Double Dutch, 5th February 2014
Two more winners yesterday taking our tally to five doubles in six days and another exacta to boot. Both first choice horses won and both were drifters, meaning that our advised 6.13/1 double actually paid out at 9/1: nice work.
Light The City was huge (in my opinion) at an SP of 3/1 and led from 3f out and really stretched out the pack, winning by 8 lengths in the end, whilst Benefit Cut made all and eased clear from 3 out to score by nine lengths.
Yesterday's results were as follows:
Light The City: won at 3/1 (adv 2/1)
Mister Frosty: 2nd at 6/4 (adv 2/1)
(The Exacta paid £13.20 here)
Benefit Cut: won at 6/4 (adv 11/8)
Mystifiable: u/p at 7/2 (adv 4/1)
Results to date:
139 winning selections from 491 = 28.31%
46 winning doubles in 131 days = 35.11%
P/L : +13.64pts (+5.25% ROI)
I hope to keep the run going with these for Wednesday:
The Romford Pele just about sets the standard amongst these here today with some decent consistent performances of late. He has already shown himself to be better suited at the larger obstacles than he was over hurdles, finishing 233 in his three chases to date and wasn't disgraced by a 10 length margin of defeat in a Grade 2 contest at Newbury at the end of November. He has had the odd hiccup with his jumping and Ludlow's easier fences should be more to his liking.
He's trained by Rebecca Curtis whose horses tend to go well when the mud is flying and he's got the benefit of a certain Mr McCoy on his back and AP is 5/12 on Miss Curtis' horses here at Ludlow, which probably explains the 7/4 pricetag. He won't however have it all his own way and I have a (very!) slight preference for David Pipe's Edmund Kean. He may well have to concede weight all round, but any repeat of the way he ran at Leicester last time out should be enough here.
He jumped well that day and stayed on well to win on his chasing debut and he finished the race in a manner that suggests there's much more to come and that a price of 15/8 might yet prove to be a tad generous. The Pipe yard is renowned for its 3 miles and beyond chasers and this may well be the next off the production line.
Addikt appeared to be the subject of some large bets last week before being a self-certified non-runner (not that I'm suggesting foul play!) and although it has been 8 races since he last won, that last win was over this very course and distance. There has been plenty of discussion about horses dropping down the weights very quickly in light of the "Curley Coup" the other week and this horse might be another to benefit from a plummeting rating.
He won over C&D nine races ago off a mark of 60 and could well be thrown in here off 48. Today will be his fourth career attempt over course and distance and he has won all three previous runs off marks of 60, 65 and 60. He looks a decent proposition at 3/1 here.
Polydamos is an interesting challenger, who went close here over a mile five days and he was only beaten by a neck whilst staying on strongly, which suggests the extra 2 furlongs might suit him here. Despite that showing, he gets to run off the same mark for this one and it is hoped that the appication of a visor can make the difference between him coming very close (4232 in his last 4 outings) and finally getting his nose in front. He's a very viable alternative at 7/2.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles with PP as follows:
The Romford Pele / Addikt @ 10/1 (7/4 & 3/1)
The Romford Pele / Polydamos @ 11.38/1 (7/4 & 7/2)
Edmund Kean / Addikt @ 10.50/1 (15/8 & 3/1)
Edmund Kean / Polydamos @ 11.94/1 (15/8 & 7/2)