Double Dutch, 5th October 2013
Yesterday's results helped to cheer me up a bit, but I'm still feeling a bit rough! Hopefully more medicine will come in the form of some more winners today?
It was a 12.13/1 double yesterday to take our recent run to 6 winners from the last 12, garnering over 13pts profit in the process: a run I'm keen to maintain today.
Yesterday's results were as follows:
Cailin Annamh: won at 11/4 (SP 5/2)
Jennies Jewel: 2nd at 11/8
(Incidentally, the Exacta paid £7.20)
Parish Hall: won at 5/2 (SP 7/4)
Afonso de Sousa: 3rd at 13/8 (SP 5/4)
Trial to date:
28 winning selections from 107 = 26.17%
8 winning doubles in 30 days = 26.67%
P/L : -10.22pts (-17.47% ROI)
Today we're staying in England for two flat races, one on turf and one on the All-Weather, kicking off with the...
Where a couple of withdrawals has rendered this race (in my opinion, at least) a two-horse race between the top two on the racecard and in the betting. Of those in this race with previous racecourse experience, Erroneous and Alisios have the best form to date, having both finished second last time out. They both look likely to improve for their recent runs and I wouldn't be surprised to see a 1-2 finish in that order.
The bookies seem to agree with me, as they're only offering 2/1 and 11/4 respectively for horses in a 17-runner maiden: pretty short odds indeed, but ideal double material.
Sees Let Me In turned out quickly after an impressive win here at Wolverhampton on Thursday evening, when he scored at 9/2 and the margin of victory could well have been more than the eventual 2.5 lengths, such was his dominance. He goes a furlong further today, but seemed to have plenty left in the tank and the 6lb extra he is burdened with, is virtually offset by the booking of Daniel Muscutt and his 5lb claim. Daniel's no mug round this track either and should steer his mount home for his hat trick at 7/4 (Boylesports)
Pour La Victoire was third in that same race on Thursday and looks the most likely to challenge this evening, he's very consistent with five consecutive top three finishes and runs off the same mark of 53 as he did two days ago, which is still a pound lower than when he was second in a stronger race than this at Brighton two starts ago. As a backup selection, odds of 3/1 are interesting here,
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Erroneous / Let Me In @ 7.92 with Boylesports
Erroneous / Pour La Victoire @ 12.00 with BetVictor and BetFred
Alisios / Let Me In @ 10.40 with SportingBet
Alisios / Pour La Victoire @ 16.00 with SportingBet