Saturday started with the late abandonment of the Ffos Las card, which restrcited us to 2 x 1pt singles on our Lingfield race, but thankfully I seemed to have read the Lingfield card very well, as my Stat Picks service had the winners of the first and last races on the card and we enjoyed a 1-2 finish in our race.
Things went even better when our longer priced horse, Taajub headed Burning Thread inside the final furlong, as this not only gave us a 5/1 single, but also a 19/1 exacta for those doing the exotics.
So, no double, but we got the best we could from the day.
Saturday's results were as follows:
Taajub : WON at 5/1 (adv 9/2)
Burning Thread : 2nd at 11/4 (adv 3/1)
The Exacta paid £20.00 here!
Clyne : meeting abandoned (adv 2/1)
Cotillon : meeting abandoned (adv 9/2)
Results to date:
798 winning selections from 2874 = 27.75%
247 winning bets in 744 days = 33.11%
P/L : +69.53pts (+4.68% ROI)
Not only does Haines receive weight all round, but he's a dab hand at these staying contests on the A/W. To date in A/W handicaps beyond 1m5f, he has 5 wins and 2 places from eight runs and another bold effort is expected today. He last ran three weeks ago, winning a 2m contest at Kempton by almost four lengths and the 5th placed horse from that contest (beaten by 7 lengths) then went on to win here at Wolverhampton 10 days ago, suggesting we'll get a decent run for our money here at 7/2 BOG, but...
...the presence of Paddy's Motorbike means he might have a stiffer task on his hands today, assuming the latter handles the step up in trip of an extra 4.5 furlongs. That said, he did produce a career best effort when winning a 1m4f handicap here last time out. The promisingly talented and in-form Josephine Gordon takes a valuable 5lbs off his back again today, as she did last time out and she'll be hoping to ride what would be her 8th winner inside the last month.
Much will revolve around Paddy's Motorbike's ability to step up in trip, as he'd probably be longer than his current 3/1 BOG odds otherwise.
Sandy Thomson's hurdlers are 7 from 27 here at Musselburgh and in So Satisfied, he'll be hoping for some improvement from a fine comeback run last time out. This horse was a decent third of twelve here over a longer trip on New Year's Day coming off the back of a 6 month break and with 7lb claimer Steven Fox retaining the ride, the drop back in trip should be more to his liking and I think So Satisfied has a fine chance of landing this at 100/30 BOG...
...with the main danger coming from the handicap debutant Lady Clitico. Her yard is in decent form at present and she herself showed considerable promise in her last three efforts over hurdles, finishing 4th and then 2nd both at Perth, before a fall at Sedgefield at the last hurdle whilst leading back in September.
She's had a break and has since returned to sharpen up with two runs on the A/W, most recently beaten by just 2 lengths over 1m4f and if returning to past hurdling form, Lady Clitico a real threat here at 7/2 BOG.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows...
Paddy's Motorbike / So Satisfied @ 16.33/1 (3/1 & 10/3 : BetVictor)
Paddy's Motorbike / Lady Clitico @ 17/1 (3/1 & 7/2 : Bet365 & BetVictor)
Haines / So Satisfied @ 18.50/1 (7/2 & 10/3 : BetVictor)
Haines / Lady Clitico @ 19.25/1 (7/2 & 7/2 : BetVictor, Coral & Paddy Power)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS