Double Dutch, 9th May 2014
It's a bit like the film Groundhog Day at the moment here at DD Towers, as for yet another day, we'd one winner coupled with a runner-up, which although quite satisfying normally, doesn't quite cut the mustard for our requirements and there wasn't even a consolatory forecast in sight!
Thursday's results were as follows:
Canadian Diamond: 2nd at 5/2(adv 9/2)
Smalig Monterb: fell at 7/1 (adv 4/1)
Six Wives: won at 2/1 (adv 15/8)
Megaleka: u/p at 5/2 (adv 3/1)
Results to date:
230 winning selections from 803 = 28.64%
75 winning bets in 211 days = 35.55%
P/L : +59.94pts (+14.34% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
I'll be looking to get a little bit closer with these today...
Serenity Spa comes here in excellent nick, having won once and finished as runner-up twice in her last three outings, with her defeats only coming by a neck and then a head last time out. She's 412 here at Lingfield and 132 on good ground and runs off a mark just a pound higher than her last win, so she should be competitive today at odds of 5/2 BOG (Stan James).
My preference, however, is for Saucy Minx, who looks ideally drawn out in six of six, meaning she can just drop and be held up as she prefers to come late in the piece. This daughter of Dylan Thomas ran really well when third at Salisbury five days ago at a higher grade than this and has good ground form to her name. She's 2 from 5 over 7 furlongs and has won in these often tactical small-fields races in the past. She looks well weighted off 80 today and can justify her favourites tag here with a win at 9/4 BOG (Coral)
Ishikawa comes here in great form, finishing 2321 in his last four starts and was last seen winning over today's trip at Ascot nine days ago. That was on soft ground, so he'll not mind the conditions here which are getting softer by the minute. He represents Karl Burke, who is getting a fine tune from his string of late, as 10 winners and 5 places from 23 runners in the last fortnight will testify. He made all to win last time out and if allowed to dictate matters again, he'll be difficult to beat/pass and looks a decent bet at 4/1 BOG.
Knight Owl is the current 11/4 BOG favourite and it's easy to see why. He has been running consistently well for a while now, making the frame in each of his last nine runs in a sequence stretching back 17 months and that alone suggests he'll be on the premises again today. He won on his only previous visit to Nottingham and that was over course and distance on good to soft ground, so he'll be well suited here today. His record on Good/Good to Soft reads 3113 and he has finished 311 over today's trip.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles, as follows:
Saucy Minx / Knight Owl @ 10.25/1 (2/1 & 11/4 : PP)
Saucy Minx / Ishikawa @ 14/1 (2/1 & 4/1 : BetVictor, Stan James & Betfair Sportsbook)
Serenity Spa / Knight Owl @ 11.25/1 (5/2 & 5/2 : Stan James)
Serenity Spa / Ishikawa @ 16.50/1 (5/2 & 4/1 : Stan James)