Epsom Trends: Friday 31st May 2024

It’s day one of the two-day Epsom Derby Meeting this Friday (31st May 2024). The Betfred Oaks at 4.30pm is the third English Classic of the season and the highlight on the day’s action, but there is also a top supporting card that includes the Group One Coronation Cup.

Here at GeeGeez we are on hand with all the key stats for all the LIVE ITV races.

Epsom Horse Racing Trends: Friday 31st May 2024

2.00 – Betfred British EBF Woodcote Stakes (Conditions Race) Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV

21/21 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
20/21 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
19/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
18/21 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
17/21 – Single-figured stalls that filled the first two home
16/21 – Had 2 or more previous runs
15/21 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
12/21 – Yet to win over 6f
12/21 – Won their previous race
10/21 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
5/21 – Trained by the Johnston yard (Mark) (2002, 2003, 2011, 2015 & 2017)
3/21 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
3/21 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/21 – Ridden by William Buick
10 of the last 15 winners were foaled in Feb (3) or March (7)
2023: Bobsleigh (5/1) – Trainer: Eve Johnson Houghton

2.35 – Trustatrader Handicap (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-105) 1m 1/2f

18/20 – Had won over at least a mile before
17/20 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/20 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/20 – Had won between 2-5 times before
14/20 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
14/20 – Placed last time out
12/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Irish bred
10/20 – Carried 9-1 or more
9/20 – Raced at the track before
6/20 – Won last time out
4/20 – Raced at Sandown last time out
4/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Trained by the Johnston yard (Mark/Charlie)
2/20 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/20 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 6)
11 of the last 15 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
2023: Austrian Theory (7/1) – Trainer: Charlie Johnston

3.10 – Coronation Cup (Group 1) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

22/22 – Had previously won a Group 1 or 2 race
21/22 – Had won over 1m4f before
21/22 – Aged 6 or younger
19/22 – Finished in the top three last time out
19/22 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
14/22 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/22 – Favourites placed
11/22 – Ran at either Chester, York, Newmarket or the Curragh last time out
12/22 – Horses from stall 3 that were placed (5 won)
9/22 – Won their last race
8/22 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (2005, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 & 2017)
8/22 – Winning favourites
8/22 – Had run at Epsom before
3/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2009, 2011 & 2017)
1/22 – Winners from stall 1
Note: The 2020 renewal was run at Newmarket
2023: Emily Upjohn (11/4) – Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

3.45 – Betfred Handicap (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 1m2f ITV

18/20 – Had won over at least 1m2f or further before
17/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/20 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
16/20 – Came from stall 9 or lower
14/20 – Had won at least 3 times before
13/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Rated between 86-98
13/20 – Placed favourites
13/20 – Irish bred
12/20 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight (but 5 of the last 7 carried 9-2 or more)
11/20 – Came from the top three in the betting
10/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
8/20 – Had raced at the track before
6/20 – Won last time out
6/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Trained by Roger Varian (4 of the last 10)
3/20 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
2023: Cadillac (12/1) – Trainer: George Boughey

4.30 – Betfred Oaks (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f ITV

22/22 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
19/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
18/22 – Horses from stall 1 that were unplaced
14/22 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
14/22 – Favourites that were placed
13/22 – Won last time out
8/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
8/22 – Irish-trained winners
6/22 – Won by the favourite (1 joint)
6/22 – Ran in the English 1,000 Guineas
5/22 – Returned a double-figure price
4/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
4/22 – Trained by John Gosden
2/22 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
1/22 – Had run over 1m4f before
0/22 – Had run at the course before
7 of the last 17 favourites were unplaced
7 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 9 times
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 10 runnings
O’Brien and Gosden have won ALL of the last 10 runnings between them
The average winning SP in the last 22 runnings is 10/1
8 past Oaks winners won the Musidora at York earlier that season
Love (2020), Kazzia (2002) and Minding (2016) were the last horses to win both the 1,000 Guineas and Epsom Oaks
The horse from stall 2 has been placed in 7 of the last 22 runnings
2023: Soul Sister (11/4) – Trainer: John and Thady Gosden

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