Fontwell Placepot Picks, 29th August 2013

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Geegeez Placepot

Geegeez Placepot

Another five out of six day yesterday, with the dreaded early bath to boot. For those who follow the advice from a back or lay perspective, you'd have done well overall. For those who, like me, do the placepots, this is a sticky spell.

Fontwell today, though in truth there's very little to get excited about. It really does seem to be a case of quantity of races over quality just now.

I'm playing C's today, which means if we use a 'C' line, all other 'C' lines are eliminated. So do take care if following the ticket builder method.

2.30 - Leg 1: Four runner races are the order of the first half of the card and that means win only for placepot purposes. Money Money Money is the favourite on his debit over hurdles, with McCoy riding for Jim Best. He's a habitual hold up horse, and that's not ideal around here. As such, it wouldn't surprise me to see a change of tactics this afternoon. He's been backed so he'll be fit and well for this belated (seven years old, 24 flat starts) hurdling bow.

Against him is proven form from the mares, Hopstrings and Shantou Breeze. Hopstrings is unexposed and steadily improving, while Shantou Breeze has track form but looks a bit of a plodder.

After a couple of difficult days, I'm playing safe with Money Money Money and Hopstrings on A. And I'll play Shantou Breeze on C.

A - 1 (Hopstrings), 3 (Money Money Money)
C - 4 (Shantou Breeze)

3.00 - Leg 2: A second four horse race, and this one is, in essence, a two horse race between Man Of Leisure and Cinevator. If the former stands up, he wins. If he doesn't, the latter wins, assuming of course that he stands up. There was a bit of hesitancy in the Man Of Leisure camp when I discussed him yesterday, and they were saying that for a horse that has been hurdling for so long, it's quite hard to get them to respect the bigger obstacles.

Cinevator is having his first chase start, so jumping talent is taken on trust. As such, I'm hurling in Kayfrou on C.

A - 1 (Cinevator), 3 (Man Of Leisure)
C - 2 (Kayfrou)

3.30 - Leg  3: And the last in the trio of quartets, if you seen what I mean. This time it's a novices' handicap hurdle, and the pace looks likely to come from Doctor Ric and/or Franklino, but they could well set things up for the more exciting Bold Raider. Dropped back in trip, and with McCoy again at the tiller, he should prove hard to beat. But, it is quite a stiff finish here and, if the petrol is running out, any of the other three could win.

It's a really trappy race, and I'm taking all of them, three on A, and Thomas Bell on C.

A - 1 (Franklino), 2 (Bold Raider), 3 (Doctor Ric)
C - 4 (Thomas Bell)

4.00 - Leg 4: At last, a massive six runners, and two places to shoot at. Unhelpfully, there's been money for all six to some degree or another. Helpfully, the favourite is on a hat-trick and is super fit having run (and won) twice in the last nine days. If he's not knackered, he's got an obvious chance. A slight concern is that both those wins have been when leading and today there are a few who like to get on with things from tape rise.

Still, this is a drop back in trip and so he'll get home all right. A.

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Try Catch Me is one of those that likes to force it, and he has a very good record around here. Fast ground and this trip is ideal too. A. Morestead has won here twice, including in May this year over course, distance, class and going, and he's only two pounds higher now. A.

A - 1 (Alderbrook Lad), 2 (Try Catch Me), 3 (Morestead)

4.30 - Leg 5: It's dodgy banker time, and the 'lucky' horse is Beyond in this six runner handicap hurdle. A decent flat handicapper, he likes to lead and looks to have a solid chance of that in an otherwise pace-deprived heat. If he doesn't lead, he probably won't win, but this is a lot easier than the last two races he contested, and the ground's rattling fast: just how he likes it.

It might be worth a place lay if things are going well.

A - 1 (Beyond)

5.00 - Leg 6: An interesting little race to finish, and it'll take them quite a long time to navigate these three and a quarter miles. Maid Of Silk runs here with a penalty after a win last Wednesday, and she's going to be played late: not always the best strategy here, as mentioned. But she is the form pick, and gets A status on that basis. Not sole A status however.

She's joined by Orion Star and Sea Cadet, both of which stay longer than the proverbial mother-in-law and have back form to win.

A - 1 (Maid Of Silk), 6 (Sea Cadet), 7 (Orion Star)

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Just A's - 2 x 2 x 3 x 3 x 1 x 3 = 108 bets

All picks - 3 x 3 x 4 x 3 x 1 x 3 = 324 bets

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Fontwell placepot picks

Fontwell placepot picks

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