An each way double bet each day. As the name suggests, it’s a bit of a punt, hence Daily Dabble.

Daily Dabble, 19th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 19th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 19th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 19th July 2013

As one of our readers pointed out yesterday, these selections have performed unbelievably poorly of late and yesterday was no exception, I'm afraid.

What I can tell you is that the run of poor results is not down to a lack of effort on my part and I'd never put up a horse I wasn't prepared to back with my own money. For the record Entrenched was awful yesterday, having drifted from our advised 11/4 out to 5/1, he was slow away and showed little before finishing last of the 5 runners, some 16 lengths off the pace.

Two hours later, Sky Khan gave a much better display, before being edged out in a close finish, going down by just a neck.

The record, however, will show another blank and I aim to rectify this today, starting in the...

2.10 Haydock

Just three runners go to post for this one and I'm going with Vital Evidence. He won a maiden at Sandown last time and is out of Group 1 winner. He looked like he needed further last time out and today's extra two furlongs should suit him well. Trained by Sir Michael Stoute who has a 42.9% strike rate in handicap races at Haydock in the July/August period and is very good at getting horses to win on their handicap debut when stepping up in trip and a 36.8% strike rate backs up that theory. Only 3 run here, so no big prices, but 11/8 still looks reasonable here.

4.45 Nottingham

Former course and distance winners have a near 30% strike rate and an ROI of over 100% when returning to Nottingham and Stellar Express comes here in good nick too. She won well on Saturday at Chester and now returns to Nottingham for a drop in trip to 1 mile. Today is her 6th crack at this trip here and to date she is 3/5 over course and distance. Ajmany is a real danger, but his presence means we can get a reasonable price of around 3/1 for our pick.

Back Vital EvidenceStellar Express in a double with BetVictor paying 17/2 BOG

***PS Don't forget, you can find all today's racecards right here!***

Daily Dabble, 18th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 18th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 18th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 18th July 2013

I'd have struggled to pick my own nose if asked yesterday, such was the performances of my own bets! I didn't fare any better here either. Thunder Sheik didn't jump well and despite conceding bags of weight all round, he was placed 3rd and beaten by just a short head and a head in a tight finish.

This made Al Thumana's run purely academical, which was just as well as she finished 5th of 6 runners, a good 14 lengths off the leader.

Undeterred, I've dusted myself off and I'll try again, starting in the...

4.10 Leicester

The Godolphin empire is doubly represented here with both Thouwra and our selection Entrenched entered for this one. Most will attract support throughout the day, but I prefer Entrenched for a couple of reasons. The booking of Mickael Barzalona would suggest that this is the first string and the horse makes his 2nd appearance today for a yard with a great record of getting horses to improve from ordinary debuts  (35.5% strike rate).  No long odds here, as tends to be the case in such small fields, but at 11/4 BOG, we'll hopefully have a few quid riding on the...

6.10 Epsom

Where I'm siding with top weight Sky Khan, who comes here in top form and fitness fresh from an easy win over hurdles at Uttoxeter nine days ago, which rounded off a very consistent hurdling season. He now returns to flat action and his winter of hurdling should mean he won't lack for stamina. He progressed nicely on the Flat last season, improving in each of his four races, which culminated in a win at Leicester on his last Flat outing. Of the seven runners he beat that day, four have gone on to win since, whilst two of them have raced at Listed and/or Group race level. Another smallish field means pretty short odds, but the 15/8 currently available looks reasonable at least.

Back EntrenchedSky Khan in a double with Bet365 paying just over 9/1 BOG (9.3125/1)

***PS Don't forget, you can find all today's racecards right here!***

Daily Dabble, 17th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 17th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 17th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 17th July 2013

A poor show all round yesterday, I'm afraid. Powerful Wind ran out of steam late on and despite only being headed inside the final furlong, weakened so badly that he finished back in 5th of 6 runners, over 13 lengths behind the winner!

And it was a pretty similar story at Killarney too, where Rain God led, was headed a furlong out and also finished 5th of 6. His margin of defeat was "only" just under five lengths, though.

Much, much better is needed today, starting with the...

2.50 Uttoxeter

Thunder Sheik comes here looking to complete a 24-day hat trick after wins over today's trip at Worcester and then over this C&D 17 days ago. He had Lyssio five lengths behind him that day, yet Lyssio was a commanding 21-lengths winner at Newton Abbot on Monday. Understandably higher in the weights today, the 6lb penalty will give his rivals a little hope, but the way he has seen out his races strongly of late suggests he'll have far too much in his locker today and whilst a price of 5/4 isn't over generous, it probably is a fair assessment of his chances.

3.40 Catterick

I'm going with Al Thumama, a 3yr old filly also seeking a hat trick today. She likes to make all from the front and is very difficult to pass once she gets her head in front and I'd expect her to employ the same tactics today. He first win was over 8.5f before stepping up to 11f last time out. She looked like she wanted further on both occasions and the step up to today's mile and a half could be just the ticket for this improving filly. She looks a decent prospect for us here today at a price of around 7/4.

Back Thunder Sheik & Al Thumama in a double with Bet365 paying just over 5/1 BOG (5.1875/1)

***PS Don't forget, you can find all today's racecards right here!***

Daily Dabble, 16th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 16th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 16th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 16th July 2013

Close, but not close enough again yesterday. We picked up a winner in race 2 as Frontline got home at 6/4, a shade shorter than our 13/8 advice, but it was all a bit in vain, as Aloha had already failed to keep her end of the bargain.

We'd selected her at 6/4, but she drifted out to 5/2, as the market was far more keen on Nateeja and they were proved right as that horse pretty much blew the rest of the field away, scoring by a good seven lengths whilst easing down to win at 4/1 with our selection back in third place.

I'm going back to the Killarney meet for one of today's picks, but our first port of call is the...

2.45 Bath

Where I like the look of Powerful Wind, who made all to win over course and distance last month and despite a 7lb rise in the weights today, the manner in which he completed that C&D victory gives me the hope he can repeat the feat. He wasn't disgraced when finishing third at The Curragh last time out in a much stronger race than this and I expect him to gain an easy lead here today. If he does get that lead, he'll be very difficult to beat and at odds of up to 2/1 on offer, we should be set fair for the...

6.10 Killarney

Where Rain God looks the standout horse on show. The combination of faster ground and blinkers seems to have work wonders for this one, with three wins and a place from his last four outings under those conditions. The going is good to firm today and those blinkers are reapplied and I don't think that even the 6lb rise in the weights will stop this becoming the latest winner for AP/JP O'Brien partnership. He has the best form in the race and despite the penalty is till very weighted, receiving plenty from his rivals and as such looks a solid second leg at odds of around 13/8

Back Powerful WindRain God in a double with Betfred paying just short of 7/1 BOG (6.875/1)

***PS Don't forget, you can find all today's racecards right here!***

Daily Dabble Update, 8th to 14th July 2013

Daily Dabble: Update

Daily Dabble: Update

Daily Dabble Update: 08/07/13 to 14/07/13

It was a week of two halves this, as we finally called time on the original E/W double concept and moved to a more stringent selection process to aim for more consistency at shorter prices.

The E/W policy wasn't bearing profit, despite being constantly very close to do so, but it did become apparent that we were "chasing the big one" the longer we persisted. A 50% place strike rate, including a 7/1 winner in the first three days of the week vividly highlighting the issue!

Whilst the change to a shorter priced 1pt E/W double doesn't have the same potential for a big win, we're confident that we've more chance of consistency, which should build the bank steadily.

Selections & Results: 08/07/13 to 10/07/13
(E/W doubles)
08/07: 3rd at 14/1 & u/p
09/07: 2nd at 5/1 & u/p
10/07: Won at 7/1 & u/p

08/07 to 10/07:
1 winner from 6 = 16.67%
3 placers from 6 = 50.00%

Doubles:
0 winning bet from 3 = 0.00%
P/L: -6.00pts
ROI: -100%

July Overall (E/W Selections):
4 winners from 19 = 21.05%
9 placers from 19= 47.37%

July E/W Doubles:
1 winning bet from 10 = 10.00%
P/L: -14.00pts
ROI: -70.00%

To lose 70% of stakes in 10 days, despite having a win strike rate of over 21% and a place strike rate approaching 50% shows the difficulty here. Backing the selections as win only singles was profitable, but that wasn't the remit!

Selections & Results: 11/07/13 to 14/07/13
(1pt win doubles)
11/07: 2nd at 15/8 &  u/p
12/07: 2nd at 11/10 & u/p
13/07: 11/10 winner & 13/8 winner (Double paid 4.5125/1)
14/07: 2nd at 6/4 & 3rd at 6/4

11/07 to 14/07:
2 winners from 8 = 25.00%
6 placers from 8 = 75.00%

Doubles:
1 winning bet from 4 = 25.00%
P/L: +1.5125pts
ROI: +37.81%

 

Daily Dabble, 15th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 15th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 15th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 15th July 2013

No joy yesterday, I'm afraid. Loose Preformer was beaten by just a length in to second place at our advised 6/4, whilst Momkinzain was a similar distance off the winner when finishing 3rd at 5/4 (we'd advised 6/4 there, too)

I'm back in the chair today and hopefully I can pick up where I left off on Saturday with a couple of evening runners, the first of which runs in the...

6.50 Wolverhampton

Aloha had a couple of today's rivals behind her when finishing second last time out at Lingfield just over a fortnight ago and had she not run into serious traffic on her journey from the back of the pack to try to take the race, then the margin between her and those re-opposing today would have been greater and the way she was staying on suggests that she may very well have won.

A step up in trip shouldn't be an issue here today and providing she can stay out of trouble this time, I expect her to break her maiden tag at 6/4, which will then hopefully give us 2.5pts to run onto the...

8.40 Killarney

Where Frontline looks a very warm order indeed. Considered good enough to be as short as 4/1 on debut, despite the race being a 23-runner affair at Punchestown. He travelled very well until late on that day and this looks a far weaker assignment than last time out. he's sure to have come on for the experience and although he was back in seventh last time out, he was only beaten by seven lengths. Some of the six ahead of him have run since and notched up some decent results. He looks short at 13/8, but I think he'll go even shorter as the day progresses and I'm happy to see Katie Walsh on board for her only ride of the day.

Back AlohaFrontline in a double with Paddy Power paying just over 11/2 BOG (5.5625/1)

***PS Don't forget, you can find all today's racecards right here!***

Daily Dabble, 14th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 14th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 14th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 14th July 2013

A very nice little double yesterday, which paid just over 9/2 at the early recommended prices, but only a bit more than 3/1 at SP. That demonstrates the need to use the BOG bookies and, if you're not already registered, you can that with geegeez' nine-in-one registration form here.

Chris is having a day off today, so I'll see if I can replicate his feat, beginning in the...

3.40 Southwell

This is a selling hurdle, so most of them have issues of one sort or another, be they injury, ailment, fragility, or just plain lack of ability. One that seems to hold up on most of those scores is Loose Preformer, trained by the excellent David O'Meara and ridden by the excellent Tony McCoy.

This fellow is dropping back in trip having failed to get home the last twice over a half mile further, and he's also dropping down in class. He's the highest rated here, and is twenty pounds lower than his highest rating - from just a year and a half ago. It's possible that he's 'gone', but he's in the right hands, both literally in terms of the jockey and more figuratively, in terms of the trainer, and it'd be disappointing if he wasn't able to get the job done here at 6/4.

4.30 Perth

Momkinzain will bid to complete the double if we're still live, and he's on a hat-trick in this conditional riders' handicap hurdle. He's won the last twice for his eight pound claiming jockey, and has only gone up five pounds for his most recent win. Trip, ground and class look fine for him, and he might even make a bid from the front in a race with no obvious early pace.

He too is a 6/4 shot, meaning we're chasing a Best Odds Guaranteed double at 5.25/1

Back Loose PreformerMomkinzain in a double with Stan James, Boyle or Paddy Power paying 5.25/1 BOG

***PS Don't forget, you can find all today's racecards right here!***

Daily Dabble, 13th July 2013

Daily Dabble: 13/07/13

Daily Dabble: 13/07/13

Daily Dabble, 13th July 2013

I've still to get off the mark under the new format, as both selections were beaten yesterday. First up was Justification (who didn't provide my selection with any!) who was disappointing, it has to be said. He weakened quite badly late on and dropped to over 12 lengths off the eventual winner, a position defying his 11/8 favouritism.

Double Discount ran far better for us in the day's last race, but missed out by a short head after an enthralling battle with Enzaal in the closing stages where the lead changed hands three times.

I've got a couple of hot prospects in small fields today, starting with the...

4.25 Newmarket

Emirates Flyer was fifth in the Norfolk and looked like he needed further than the bare minimum 5f on offer that day. That said, he was by no means disgraced on that occasion and beat the re-opposing Green Door comfortably that day. Sacha Park is the main danger, but she's still to get off the mark and I fancy Emirates Flyer to take this at 11/10 to further improve Mickael Barzalona's excellent 26% strike rate at this track.

9.05 Salisbury

Magic of Reality is progressing nicely as form figures of 6421 will testify. She made all last time out to break her maiden tag over tonight's course and distance and looks to have a very good chance on her handicap debut, where she looks reasonably treated. her main rivals are either already carrying too much weight for me or are running under a penalty and whilst tonight represents a step up in Class, it's not as good a race as the Listed event she was 4th in at Newmarket in May. The 13/8 on offer looks very reasonable here.

Back Emirates FlyerMagic of Reality in a double with Stan James paying 9/2 BOG (4.5125/1 to be precise)

***PS Don't forget, you can find all today's racecards right here!***

Daily Dabble, 12th July 2013

Daily Dabble: 11/07/13

Daily Dabble: 12/07/13

Daily Dabble, 12th July 2013

Yesterday's new approach didn't quite pan out as hoped/expected. Cara Gina was very weak in the market and drifted out from our advised 5/4 to an eventual SP of 9/4. This lack of confidence was well founded as she could only finish 3rd of 5 runners and she was well beaten if truth be told (almost 5 lengths off the winner in a 5f race!)

Your first 30 days for just £1

Our tale of woe was completed ten minutes later when Wadi Al Hattawi failed to justify his 11/10 fav price tag (we'd taken 15/8) when going down by three parts of a length. His 2nd place was at least an improvement upon race 1, but that's about it!

We're looking for much better from today's pairing, starting with the..

5.00 Dundalk:

I'm going with Justification here, who is currently available at around the 11/8 mark. The Ballydoyle team are in fantastic form again at present and this race represents this horse's ideal route back into the winners' enclosure. Good enough to be sent off as favourite in the Chester Cup, he was by no means disgraced when beaten by some decent horses into 7th place with the overall margin of defeat only a little over 4 lengths. The drop back to 2m will help today, as will the fact that this race is weaker than those he has contested of late. Today is only his second visit to this track, but he did win here on his previous outing.

9.20 Chester:

Tom Dascombe's 3 yr old Double Discount is on a roll at present and seeks to complete a hat trick over today's trip. When he won last time out, the victory was far more comfortable than the half-length official margin would suggest, as he was eased down considerably once the job was done. The way he saw off his rivals that day implies that the 6lb penalty he carries today wouldn't be enough to stop him, regardless of the fact that the yard has decided to use the very capable 5lb claimer Declan Bates to negate the majority of the penalty. By no means a shoo-in, but he should bring home the bacon tonight at odds of around 11/10.

Back JustificationDouble Discount in a double with either of BetVictor or Paddy Power paying 4/1 BOG (3.9875/1 to be precise)

***PS Don't forget, you can find all today's racecards right here!***

Daily Dabble, 11th July 2013

Daily Dabble: 11/07/13

Daily Dabble: 11/07/13

Daily Dabble, 11th July 2013

As has been the case on many occasions for the Daily Dabble, it was one in and one out and it proved to be the final straw for this service as an E/W double attempt. (We'll have to change the logo, of course!)

The fact that we highlighted yet another decent priced winner (Fairyinthewind at 7/1) coupled with an unplaced selection meant that yet again we drew nothing back from the bet and as such it's not viable to continue in this format.

Your first 30 days for just £1

Both Matt and myself appreciate that many of you back these as singles and/or as part of a Trixie with SotD, but as a concept of finding doubles, it's simply not working.

We recently took the decision to move SotD to a sub 6/1 win only selection service to improve the strike rate and the returns and that seems to be bearing fruit now, so the plan here is that we'll look to double two fancied horses to create a double in the 3/1 to 5/1 range. These odds parameters aren't set in stone, but will provide me with a guideline / framework to work to.

We're going to trial this for the next three weeks and I hope to hit the ground running starting with the..

4.05 Warwick

Cara Gina has had a meteoric rise of late, winning her last three contests in the space of 17 days from mid-June. She completed that hat-trick of wins (all at Bath over 5.5f) nine days ago and aims to make it four from four here today. Despite missing the break completely last time out, she still strolled to a comfortable 4 lengths victory and I've not convinced that even a 4lb rise plus a 6lb penalty will be enough to stop her this afternoon. She's available in the Evens to 5/4 region today and I'd expect her to win and quite likely at a shorter price.

4.15 Doncaster

I'm very interested in Saeed bin Suroor's runner Wadi Al Hattawi here. He won pretty comfortably on debut in a maiden last September at Wolverhampton and hasn't been seen since, but in his absence from the track, 8 of the 12 horses he beat that day have gone on to win since. He now enters the handicap fray for a yard in form and one that does really well with handicap debutants. As a 3yr old competing in an open age handicap, he's getting handfuls of weight all round and this coupled with the nature of his debut win means he's the most likely here and is priced accordingly at 15/8 or so.

Back Cara GinaWadi Al Hattawi in a double with Paddy Power paying almost 11/2 BOG (5.325/1 to be precise)

***PS Don't forget, you can find all today's racecards right here!***

Daily Dabble, 10th July 2013

Daily Dabble: 10/07/13

Daily Dabble: 10/07/13

Daily Dabble, 10th July 2013

Unfortunately, yesterday went the way I feared it might. Sweet Martoni was the more speculative of the two selections at 16/1 and although she ran well enough under a decent ride from Mickael Barzalona, it wasn't quite enough. As it was, she was less than 2 lengths away from the money back in 5th place, but she was by no means disgraced.

The safer option, Bapak Muda, didn't fare quite as well as I thought he might, as he was beaten late in the final furlong by a 33/1 shot. E/W Singles backers will have just about got their stakes back from a 5/1 second placed finish.

Your first 30 days for just £1

Not really good enough, if I'm brutally honest and I expect better today, starting with the..

4.40 Yarmouth

Tornado Battle is a half-brother to At The Brink, a winner of some 13 races at a mile or shorter and also to Juniper Pass, a US Grade 2 winner over a mile, so there's plenty in the breeding to suggest he'll have some pace. He ran very green on debut, finishing 5th of 6, but has been away from the track since that debut almost five months ago. Trainer mark Johnston is very good at taking horses away for lengthy breaks and then returning to win with seven winners from twenty-five this season alone with horses coming off breaks of 3 to 6 months. This doesn't look a strong contest at all and he looks massively overpriced at odds of up to 11/1 in places, although a more realistic 8/1 seems the general consensus.

8.40 Worcester

Fairyinthewind is till very unexposed at this level with just three NH starts to date and she makes her handicap debut this evening. She was, admittedly, very disappointing last time out when running at Wincanton off a stiff weight, but she had looked very good when landing a maiden hurdle by seven lengths over today's course and distance on her previous outing. I wouldn't be at all surprised if she made a big impact now sent out in handicap company and if her jumping holds up, I'd expect her to be there or thereabouts at the close. Speed between the hurdles should be an issue with this one, as she has plenty of good runs under her belt on the flat at trips of up to 1m 2f and achieved an Official Rating of 74.  The current odds of 7/1 look fair to me and I think she has a very good chance of landing what looks like an open contest.

Today's double pays 89/1 BOG today with Bet365, whilst the place element is priced at just over 13/2 (6.68/1 to be exact).

Back Tornado BattleFairyinthewind in an each way double with Bet365 with the win part paying 89/1 (Best Odds Guaranteed)

***PS Don't forget, you can find all today's racecards right here!***

Daily Dabble, 9th July 2013

Daily Dabble: 07/07/13

Daily Dabble: 09/07/13

Daily Dabble, 9th July 2013

Jaja de Jau was disappointing yesterday for reasons discussed already on yesterday's blog, but Multi Bene defied the market by producing an excellent run in our second contest. I was happy to take the 8/1 early BOG price on him, but the feeling wasn't mutual elsewhere!

Eventually sent off at 14/1, he showed little signs of rustiness after a 200-day break to run into 3rd place giving the E/W singles backers some respite on an otherwise poor day.

Your first 30 days for just £1

A similarly priced one today plus a "safer" option make up Tuesday's All-Weather double, which kicks off with the..

2.45 Wolverhampton

Sweet Martoni is still unexposed (just 5 starts to date) at this level and has been running well of late, particularly when finishing third last time out at Nottingham over 10 furlongs on soft ground. It is expected that she'll relish the extra couple of furlongs today and her current odds of up to 16/1 look far too long to me. Whether she wins or not, I don't see her as a 14/1 shot here. She runs off the same mark of 69 as last time out and receives a fair chunk of weight from most of her rivals, but interestingly the Racing Post ratings have her as high as 74, so if she runs to that level, there might be some surprised faces out there.

7.35 Southwell

Bapak Muda is another lightly-raced sort, making only his fifth start and has shown considerable promise in 3 maiden contests, gradually improving before admittedly running terribly on his handicap debut last time out at Newcastle. I put that down as a bad day at the office and move on to a new challenge today. USA bred horses tend to fare really well here at Southwell and trainer Kevin Ryan has a great record here too. At around 5/1 today, Bapak Muda should be good enough to win this, never mind just get placed. It is a trappy affair, but he's drawn well down in stall 1 and should be able use the rail to its full advantage.

Today's double pays 101/1 BOG today with Stan James, whilst the place element is priced at just under 17/2 (8.45/1 to be exact).

Back Sweet MartoniBapak Muda in an each way double with Stan James with the win part paying 101/1 (Best Odds Guaranteed)

***PS Don't forget, you can find all today's racecards right here!***

Daily Dabble Update, 1st to 7th July 2013

Daily Dabble: Update

Daily Dabble: Update

Daily Dabble Update: 01/07/13 to 07/07/13

It was another of those strange weeks last week, where despite a near 50% place strike rate, we only had one occasion where we found two on the same day. This meant an overall loss of 8pts on the week, based on a daily stake of 2pts (1pt E/W).

I know that many of you (myself included) are backing these as singles and E/W singles and with a near 25% strike rate this week, courtesy of winners at 17/2, 13/2 and 5/1, a 10pt profit was made from the 13 singles.

Now all I need to do is to get two of those on the same day!

Selections & Results: 01/07/13 to 07/07/13

01/07: 13/2 winner & u/p
02/07: U/p & non-runner
03/07: 3rd at 13/2 & u/p
04/07: Both runners u/p (both 4th!)
05/07: 3rd at 13/2 & a 17/2 winner (+4pts)
06/07: UR & a 5/1 winner
07/07: 2nd at 8/1 & u/p

01/07 to 07/07:
3 winners from 13 = 23.08%
6 placers from 13 = 46.15%

Doubles:
1 winning bet from 7 = 14.28%
P/L: -8.00pts
ROI: -57.14%

July Overall:
3 winners from 13 = 23.08%
6 placers from 13 = 46.15%

July Doubles:
1 winning bet from 7 = 14.28%
P/L: -8.00pts
ROI: -57.14%

Daily Dabble, 8th July 2013

Daily Dabble: 07/07/13

Daily Dabble: 07/07/13

Daily Dabble, 8th July 2013

Sunday was a pretty frustrating day of two contrasting performances, if truth be told.

Full Toss folded very disappointingly late on, despite looking like having a decent chance at the 2 pole. He went backwards from there, eventually coming home last of the nine runners.

Your first 30 days for just £1

This meant that our second selection, Sagredo, was only running for pride and for the singles backers amongst you and even though he finished 2nd at 8/1, more frustration was in store for us there. He travelled best of all and took the lead effortlessly 2 out, but when push came to shove and he was asked for an effort on the run in, there was nothing there and the race, which was his to lose, was lost.

Monday, however, brings us the start of  a new week and an opportunity to get back to winning ways, starting with the..

4.15 Newton Abbot

The names of Anthony Honeyball and Rachael Green are well-known to Geegeez readers and they look to be in control of a very decent prospect in this race today, Jaja de Jau. This 4 yr old is still unexposed and lightly raced after just six NH starts under belt and results have been improving of late for her. Fourth on her penultimate start at Worcester and then second last time out at Uttoxeter have both shown that she's ready to win, but she did seem to struggle on the run-in. The run-in here at Newton Abbot isn't a demanding as either of those two and this should help her close the race out better today. Rachael Green's 3lb claim will also come in handy today and as Jaja de Jau is only set to carry 10 st 6lbs anyway, she might well be quite favourably treated despite a fairly harsh looking 4lb rise for her recent second place run. The price of 11/2 looks pretty fair here.

8.00 Windsor

Multi Bene really stepped up to the plate last season once sent out on handicap duty. Two wins and four second-place finishes from his seven handicap runs make him a live E/W prospect. His two wins came on good to soft ground and also on good to firm ground, whilst he is 3222 on A/W. He clearly acts well on pretty much whatever ground he is asked to tackle and the only reservation there can possibly be here today is the fact that he's now returning from a break of 200 days. His trainer has a decent enough record here and if he has Multi Bene firing from the off today, there's every chance of him kicking off his season with an 8/1 winner.

Today's double pays 57.5/1 BOG today with BetVictor, whilst the place element is priced at just over 5/1 (5.175/1 to be exact).

Back Jaja de Jau & Multi Bene in an each way double with BetVictor with the win part paying 57.5/1 (Best Odds Guaranteed)

***PS Don't forget, you can find all today's racecards right here!***

Daily Dabble, 7th July 2013

Daily Dabble: 05/07/13

Daily Dabble: 05/07/13

Daily Dabble, 7th July 2013

Well, both horses selected on Saturday were first past the post. Unfortunately, in race 1, Midnight Feast crossed the line without a jockey on his back, having unceremoniously dumped Kieran Fox to the ground approximately three seconds into the race! The horse veered right immediately after leaving the stalls and the jockey was simply unable to stay on board.

This meant the double was down without even so much as a run for our money. Singles backers will, however, have taken some comfort in the fact that I called Invincible Cara out as the likely winner of race 2 and she didn't disappoint under a patient ride from Adam Kirby who waited for the gap to appear before pressing home at 5/1.

Your first 30 days for just £1

All well and good, but we need to get two home today, starting with the..

3.00 Ayr

Where I'm siding with Full Toss to over turn the favourite. He had a decent enough season last year, winning at Newcastle and also over course and distance here. His last outing was the Silver Cambridgeshire, where he ran very well and was by no means disgraced, finishing 6th of 28 runners at a massive price of 50/1. He was beaten by less than 4 lengths that day and the four horses immediately in front of him that day have all gone on to win since. The winner Henry Allingham, has also yet to reappear. We'll obviously not be getting 50/1 again for this lesser contest, but the 13/2 we can get looks more than fair.

4.45 Market Rasen

Sagredo looks very leniently treated here today, as he returns to hurdling after three runs on the flat designed to sharpen him up a little. He was well fancied last time out at Chepstow (backed into 3/1 favouritism), but he didn't like the softness of the ground (good to soft that day). He runs here back over hurdles off a mark of just 110, having been as high as 123 within the last year and for a horse who consistently makes the frame (16 times from 36, including 6 wins), the 7/1 on offer looks to big to ignore today.

Today's double pays 59/1 BOG today with Paddy Power, whilst the place element is priced at just over 9/2 (4.52/1 to be exact).

Back Full Toss & Sagredo in an each way double with Paddy Power with the win part paying 59/1 (Best Odds Guaranteed)

***PS Don't forget, you can find all today's racecards right here!***

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