Daily Double Dutch reports from Geegeez: detailed write-ups, statistics and information on Geegeez’s own horse betting project. Read on to find out more.

Sandown TV Trends: Fri 26th April 2019

Plenty to look forward to this Friday as the ITV cameras head to Sandown Park for their opening day of their two-day mixed flat and jumps meeting. We get going on Friday (26th April) with four LIVE flat races on the card that include the Bet365 Mile, Classic Trial, Gordon Richard Stakes and the Esher Cup.

As always, here at GeeGeez.co.uk we’ve got it all covered with the key trends, plus our tips on each of the LIVE races.

 

 

SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.50 - bet365 Esher Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV4

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16/16 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
16/16 – Had won no more than twice before
14/16 – Never raced at Sandown before
13/16 – Had won just once before
12/16 – Had between 2-4 runs before
12/16 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
12/16 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
10/16 – Had won over at least 1 mile before
9/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
7/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Raced at Kempton last time out
3/16 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
2/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Trained by the Hannon stable
2/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

 

2.25 - bet365 Gordon Richards Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV4

15/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/16 – Officially rated 110 or higher
14/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Had won a Group race before
13/16 – Had won at least twice (UK) before
11/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/16 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
7/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
7/16 – Irish bred
5/16 – Had run at Sandown before
5/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Ridden by James Doyle
Crystal Ocean (Evs) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2

 

3.00 - bet365 Classic Trial (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV4

13/15 – Won between 1-3 times before
13/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Never raced at Sandown before
11/15 – Had won over at least 1m before
10/15 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
9/15 – Irish bred winners
8/15 – Raced at Leopardstown (2), Curragh (2) or Newbury (4) last time out
7/15 – Horses drawn in stall 4 that finished in the first 3
7/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Trained by John Gosden
3/15 – Winners from stall 4
3/15 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/15 – Ridden by William Buick
2/15 – Winners from stall 3
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

3.35 - bet365 Mile (Group 2) Cl1 1m14y ITV4

14/15 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Had won a Group race before
12/15 – Had won over a mile before
11/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Had won 5 or more times before
11/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
9/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Aged 4 years-old
8/15 – Trained by the Hannon stable
7/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Horses drawn in stall 3 that finished second
5/15 – Had run at Sandown before
4/15 – Previous Group One winners
3/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/15 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Won by a previous winner of the race
3 of last 8 winners have come from stall 1
Addeybb (6/4 fav) the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 20th April 2019

It’s been a busy week for the ITV Racing cameras, but there us no let-up as the LIVE Saturday action continues from Musselburgh and Haydock.

We’ve a flat card at Musselburgh, with the competitive Scottish Sprint Cup the feature, among four LIVE races – did you know 11 of the last 15 Scottish Sprint Cup winners carried 9-1 or less in weight?

Then at Haydock we are jumping with three LIVE races on their Challenger Series Final day.

Plenty to look forward to and, as always, we’ve got it all covered with all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races.


Musselburgh Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)


1.50 - Easter Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-95) 7f ITV4

Two previous runnings
Lualiwa (Kevin Ryan) won the race in 2018
Twin Appeal (David Baron) won the race in 2017
Last two winners from stalls 3 & 4
Last two winners carried between 9-3 and 9-4
Last two winners priced between 11/2 and 6/1
Trainer Garry Moss has a 50% record (5 from 10) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Rebecca Bastiman has a 19% record (15 from 78) with her 4+ year-olds at the track
The average winning SP in the last 2 runnings is 6/1

2.25 - Royal Mile Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 1m ITV4

Only 4 previous runnings
Trainers William Haggas, John Quinn, Richard Fahey and Mark Johnston are the past winners
All previous winners carried between 8-0 and 8-12
All previous winners rated between 81-86 (inc)
All previous winners came from stalls 2-6 (inclusive)
All previous winners were placed in the top 4 last time out
3 of the last 4 winners won this off a 5+month break
3 of the last 4 winners returned between 6/1 and 11/1
3 of the last 4 winners won last time out
No winning favourite yet
Trainer Mark Johnston has a 22% strike-rate (21 from 94) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey has a 21% strike-rate (17 from 81) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Iain Jardine is just 1 from 42 with his 3 year-olds at the track.
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 10/1


3.00 – Scottish Sprint Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+) 5f ITV4

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14/15 – Won over 5f before
12/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 5
12/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/15 -  Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/15 – Had won between 2-5 times before
9/15 – Came from a double-figure stall
8/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
6/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Bryan Smart
2/15 – Trained by Mick Appleby
Line Of Reason (11/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 16/1
Trainer Mick Appleby has a 29% (6 from 21) record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 4 from 62 with his older horses at the track

3.35 Queen’s Cup Stakes (A Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4 yo+) 1m6f ITV4

Only 4 previous runnings
Trainers, Jim Goldie, Brian Ellison, John Patrick Shananhan & Archie Watson are the past winners
All 4 winners returned a double figure price (10/1 to 16/1)
All 4 winners DIDN’T win last time out
All 4 winners aged between 5-7 years-old
No winning favourites as yet
3 of the last 4 winners draw between 3-4 (inc)
3 of the last 4 winners carried 8-12 or less in weight
Trainer Archie Watson has a 60% (3 from 5) record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Karl Burke has a 33% (3 from 9) record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 12.5/1

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)


2.05 – Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 1m7f ITV4

Three previous runnings
Trainers Nigel Twiston-Davies, Tom George and Donald McCain have won the race before
All 3 previous winners carried 10-4 or less in weight
All 3 previous winners returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
All 3 winners ran 1 ½ months or less ago
All 3 winners rated between 115-119 (inc)
All 3 winners DIDN’T win last time out
2 of the 3 winners were ridden by conditional claiming jockeys
Trainer Donald McCain is just 6 from 58 (10%) with his hurdlers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 8/1

2.40 – Challenger Staying Chase Series Final Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 3m 1 1/2f ITV4

Three previous runnings
Trainers Lucy Wadham, Alan King and Tom George have won the race before
No winning favourite yet
All 3 winners aged between 8-10 years-old
All 3 winners carried between 11-0 and 11-10
All 3 winners ran within the last month
All 3 winners rated between 125-132
All 3 winners DIDN’T win last time out
Trainer Tom George is just 2 from 22 with his chasers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 12/1

3.15 – Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV4

Three previous runnings
Trainers Nick Williams, Jonjo O’Neill and Stuart Edmunds have won this race before
No winning favourite as yet
All 3 winners placed in the top 3 last time out
All 3 winners ran within the last 2 months
All 3 winners aged 6 or 7 years-old
All 3 winners returned between 8/1 and 16/1
2 of the 3 winners carried 10-9 or less
Trainer Emma Lavelle has a 33% record (5 from 15) with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Ben Pauling has a 50% record (2 from 4) with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Henry Daly is 0 from 14 with his hurdlers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 12/1

 

 

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Newmarket Craven Meeting TV Trends (Tues 16th-Weds 17th April)

More LIVE ITV horse racing action this midweek as the cameras head to flat racing’s HQ – Newmarket – to take in four races on Tuesday (16th April) and Wednesday (17th April).
Several early season Classic pointers to take in over the week with the Nell Gwyn and Craven Stakes both key trials ahead of the 1,000 and 2,000 Guineas run at the track next month.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with the key trends, plus our tips on each of the LIVE races.

 

Tuesday 16th April 2019

1.50 – 6f (Row) Weatherbys Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+) ITV4

Just three previous running
Trainer Ed Walker won the 2018 running
Trainer Charles Hills won the 2017 running
Trainer Kevin Ryan won the 2016 running
2 of the last 3 winners were aged 4 years-old
No winning favourite yet
Trainer Kevin Ryan is 6 from 26 (23%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Amanda Perrett is 4 from 17 (24%) with her older horses at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is just 1 from 48 (2%) with his older horses at the track

2.25 – 7f (Row) bet365 European Free Handicap (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4

12/12 – Had won between 1-2 times before
11/12 – Rated between 101 and 108
11/12 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Raced at Kempton, Newmarket, Ascot or Newbury last time out
11/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Last ran 5 ½ or longer months ago
10/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
9/12 – Drawn in stalls 2-6 (inc)
7/12 – Yet to win over 7f
4/12 – Won by the Hills stable
5/12 – Winning favourites
5/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/12 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

3.00 – 1m1f – bet365 Feilden Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4

9/10 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Top three finish last time out
9/10 – Had run 5+ months ago
9/10 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/10 – Had won over at least 1m before
7/10 – Favourites placed
7/10 – Winners that came between stalls 2-4 (inc)
5/10 – Won last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Winners from stall 4
2/10 – Trained by John Gosden
2/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/10 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

 

3.35 - 7f (Row) Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4

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15/16 – Were having their first run of the season
13/16 – Had won between 1-2 times previously
13/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/16 – Had only won over 6f or 7f before
11/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race in the past
8/16 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley)
8/16 – Had won over 7f before
7/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (won it 7 times in all)
4/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/16 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas
3 of the last 8 winners came from stall 11
No real draw advantage with the last 10 winners coming from stalls 1 to 13
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

 

Wednesday 17th April 2019

1.50 – 6f (Row) bet365.com Handicap (Class 2) (3yo)

12/12 – Had won over 6f before
11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
10/12 – Came from stall 8 or lower
10/12 – Rated between 86-93 (inc)
9/12 – Had between 1-4 previous runs
9/12 – Won after 5 ½ months or more off
9/12 – Had won just once before
9/12 – Carried 8-13 or less
7/12 – Won from stalls 2, 6 or 8
7/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/12 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/12 – Ridden by Silvestre de Sousa
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

2.25 – 6f (Row) bet365 Wood Ditton Maiden Stakes (Class 3) (3yo)

10/10 – Having their debut runs
9/10 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
8/10 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Favourites placed
7/10 – Winning distance less than a length
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/10 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/10 – Trained by William Haggas
0/10 – Winners from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

3.00 – 6f (Row) Connaught Access Flooring Abernant Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)

12/12 – Won over 6f before
11/12 – Aged 4 or older
11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
9/12 – Rated between 106 and 114
9/12 – Ran 5 months or more ago
9/12 – Had run at Newmarket before
9/12 – Won at least 4 times before
8/12 – Favourites placed in the top three
8/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/12 – Aged between 4 or 5 years-old
7/12 – Irish bred
4/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/12 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/12 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/12 – Won by the Hills stable
0/12 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
Brando won the race 12 months ago and in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1

3.35 - 1m (Row) bet365 Craven Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) (Class 1) (3yo)

15/16 – Having their first run of the season
14/16 – Rated 110 or higher
13/16 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
12/16 – Came from the top three in the betting
12/16 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Had won over 7f before
11/16 – Yet to win over a mile
11/16 – Had won no more than twice before
10/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
9/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
8/16 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (3 won)
7/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon (including last 4 of last 7 runnings)
4/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
1/16 – Irish-trained winners
1/16 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 5/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 13th April 2019

As we head deeper into April, this Saturday we’ve another big day of horse racing with the ITV cameras heading to both Newbury and Ayr for a mixture of both flat and jumping action. The Grand National bandwagon rolls into Scotland as Ayr racecourse hosts the Scottish Grand National, while they’ve also three supporting races that include the Scottish Champion Hurdle.

Did you know, ALL of the last 16 Scottish National winners ran within the last 57 days, while 14 of the last 16 were aged 8 or older?

That’s not all - the ITV cameras are also at Newbury, as the new flat turf season ramps up another notch with their Greenham Meeting – we’ve four races for flat fans from the Berkshire track.

So, as always here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK/ITV)

1.40 – Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Stakes (Registered As The John Porter Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

16/16 – Aged 6 or younger
16/16 – Had won over 1m4f (or further) before
16/16 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Had won between 2-5 times before
14/16 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
13/16 – Having their first run of the season
13/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
10/16 – Had raced at Newbury before
10/16 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
8/16 – Drawn 6 or higher
7/16 – Had won a Group race before
5/16 – Raced at Newbury last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/16 – Winning favourites
Defoe won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford


2.10 –Dubai Duty Free Stakes (Registered As The Fred Darling Stakes) (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

14/16 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
14/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
14/16 – Had won between 1-2 times before
13/16 – Having their first run of the season
13/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Came from the top three in the betting
12/16 – Drawn 5 or higher
8/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
8/16 – Had won over 7f before
8/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Had won at Newbury before
5/16 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
4/16 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
4/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/16 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/16 – Trained by the Hannon stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford


2.40– Watership Down Stud Greenham Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f ITV

 

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15/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had won at either 6f or 7f before
14/16 – Having their first run of the season
13/16 – Won at Listed class or better before
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Won between 2-4 times before
11/16 – Finished in the top two last time out
11/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
8/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Had won a Group race before
7/16 – Had won over 7f before
7/16 – Winning favourites
7/16 – Had won a race at Newbury before
6/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/16 – Irish-trained
2/16 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford


3.15 – MansionBet Spring Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

 

16/16 – Aged 6 or younger
16/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/16 – Won no more than 4 times before
14/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/16 – Rated between 85-98
13/16 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
13/16 – Won over at least 1m before
13/16 – Won between 2-4 times before
10/16 – Carried 8-12 or less
10/16 – Unplaced last time out
9/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
7/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/16 – Had run at Newbury before
3/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of last 4)
2/16 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer (2 of last 5)
2/16 – Trained by Luca Cumani
1/16 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

 

AYR HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK/ITV)

 

1.25 – Scotty Brand Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV

15/16 – Aged 9 or younger
15/16 – Had won over at least 2m (chase) before
14/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had won between 2-4 times (chase) before
14/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
12/16 – Rated between 127-139
11/16 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
11/16 – Finished in the top four last time out
11/16 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
11/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – French bred
10/16 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
8/16 – Had run at Ayr before
4/16 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (including last 2 years)
Theinval won the race 12 months ago
Duke Of Navan won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

1.55 – J & D Pierce Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV

11/11 – Last race 6 weeks or less ago
11/11 – Won no more than 3 times over fences (under rules)
10/11 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
9/11 – Favourites placed in the top 5
8/11 - Aged 7 years-old
8/11 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/11 – Had won over 3m (fences) in the past
6/11 – Irish-trained winners
4/11 – French bred winners
3/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Winning favourites
No real weight trend with winners in the last 11 years ranging from 10-0 to 11-11
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

2.25 – CPMS Scottish Champion Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl2 2m ITV

16/16 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
14/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
14/16 – Carried 10-13 or less
13/16 – Had won between 2-4 times over hurdles before
13/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
13/16 – Aged 7 or younger
11/16 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Rated 137 or higher
10/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/16 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
9/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
7/16 – Irish bred
5/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Ran at Aintree last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites (joint)
3/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/16 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/16 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

3.00 – Jordan Electrics Ltd Future Champion Novices´ Chase Grade 2 Cl1 2m4f110y ITV

16/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/16 – Aged 8 or younger
15/16 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
15/16 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
8/16 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/16 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
6/16 – Raced at Aintree last time out
6/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
5/16 – Had raced at Ayr before
4/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Richards
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

3.35 – Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 4m110y ITV

16/16 – Last ran 57 days or less ago
14/16 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
14/16 – Aged 8 or older
13/16 – Fallen or unseated no more than once during their careers
13/16 - Irish or French bred
12/16 – Carried 10-9 or less
12/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/16 – Finished in the first three last time out
11/16 – Aged between 8-10 years-old
10/16 – Came from the first 7 in the betting market
10/16 – Had won over 3m1f or further
10/16 – Last raced between 30-57 days ago
6/16 - Had won (fences) at Ayr before
5/16 – Had won over 3m7f or further before
5/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Returned 15/2 in the betting
2/16 – Ran in the Grimthorpe Chase (Doncaster) last time out
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 3 winners)
1/16 – Winning favourites
2 of the last 7 winners were won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 21/1

 

 

 

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2019 Aintree Festival Trends: DAY THREE (Sat 6th April)

As we head into the last day of the 2019 Aintree Grand National Meeting on Saturday 6th April 2019 we’ve five more LIVE ITV races to enjoy.

The Stayers’ Hurdle and Maghall Novices’ Chase are always decent contests, but really – it’s all about one race on the Saturday – the Randox Health Grand National.

Here at GeeGeez we've got all the key stats for the main LIVE ITV races – use these to help build-up the best profile of horses that have done well in each race over the years.

 

 

SATURDAY, 6th April 2019 (ITV/Racing TV)

2.20pm – Betway Mersey Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m4f ITV

2018 Winner: BLACK OP (3/1 fav)
Trainer: Tom George
Jockey: Noel Fehily

15/16 – Won by a horse aged 5 or older
14/16 – Raced 39 days or less ago
13/16 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
12/16 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the market
12/16 – Placed in the top three last time out
11/16 – Raced in the Supreme (4), Neptune (6) or County Hurdle (1) last time out
7/16 – Favourites to win (2 joint) (6 of the last 9 favs have won)
6/16 – Won their last race
4/16 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
4/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/16 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/16 – Won by the Nicky Henderson yard (inc two of last 8 runnings)
17 of the last 21 (81%) winners were either fav or 2nd fav
10 of the last 13 (77%) winners had won at least 3 times hurdles
14 of the last 20 (70%) winners ran at the Cheltenham Festival
15 of the last 22 (68%) winners finished 6th or better at the Cheltenham Festival
Willie Mullins, Paul Nicholls or Nicky Henderson have won 8 of the last 15 (53%) runnings between them
6 of the last 9 runnings went to a 5 year-old

3.00pm – Doom Bar Maghull Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

2018 Winner: DIEGO DU CHARMIL (5/1 odds)

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Trainer: Paul Nicholls
Jockey: Harry Cobden

16/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
16/16 – Winners from the first 3 in the market
16/16 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the market
14/16 – Won by a horse aged 7 or younger
13/16 – Ran within the last 35 days
12/16 – Placed in the top three in their last race
10/16 – Ran in the Arkle Chase last time out
10/16 – Won by a horse aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/16 – Won their last race
6/16 – Favourites that won
5/16 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
5/16 – Ridden by either Ruby Walsh (3) or Barry Geraghty (2)
3/16 – Irish-trained winners
2/16 – Won by the Nicky Henderson yard (inc two of last 8 runnings)
2/16 – Won by the Henry de Bromhead yard (inc two of the last 6 runnings)
Since 1989 there have been just 3 Irish-trained winners – 2013, 2015 & 2016
Since 1999 trainer Paul Nicholls has had 7 winners and 7 runners-up
18 of the last 24 (75%) winners ran in the Arkle Chase that season
7 of the last 10 winners were French bred

3.40pm – Ryanair Stayers’ Hurdle (Reg as the Liverpool Hurdle) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m110y ITV

2018 Winner: IDENTITY THIEF (14/1)
Trainer: Henry De Bromhead
Jockey: Sean Flanagan

14/15 – Priced 11/2 or less in the market
14/15 – Ran within the last 30 days
12/15 – Won or finished 2nd at this meeting previously
10/15 – Placed 4th or better in that season’s Sun Racing Stayers' Hurdle (Cheltenham)
10/15 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
10/15 – Won by a horse aged 6 or 7 years-old
8/15 – Won their last race
8/15 – Favourites to win (6 odds-on)
6/15 – Raced in that season’s Cleeve Hurdle
4/15 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
4/15 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
2/15 – Trained by Alan King
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/15 – Number of Irish-trained winners
Whisper won the race in 2014 & 2015
14 of the last 15 (93%) winners raced at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
14 of the last 15 (93%) winners had won a Grade 1 or 2 before
13 of the last 15 (87%) had run at this meeting before
13 of the last 15 (87%) were favourite or second favourite
7 of the last 10 winners won a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
6 of the last 10 winners won the Stayers’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) before winning this

 

4.20pm – Betway Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f ITV

2018 Winner: THOMAS PATRICK (3/1 fav odds)
Trainer: Tom Lacey
Jockey: Richard Johnson

14/16 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
14/16 – Had run within the last 35 days
13/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 or older
10/16 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the market
9/16 – Raced at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
9/16 – Unplaced in their last race
4/16 – Won their last race
3/16 – Favourites that won
3/16 – Won by the Philip Hobbs yard
2/16 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
2/16 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
1/16 – Irish-trained winners
Only 3 of the last 20 winners were aged 10+
Only 2 winners carried more than 11st in the last 15 years
Just 1 Irish-trained winner in the last 42 runnings
9 of the last 11 (82%) winners were rated between 134 and 140

5.15pm – Randox Health Grand National Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 4m3f110y ITV

2018 Winner: TIGER ROLL (10/1 odds)
Trainer: Gordon Elliott
Jockey: Davy Russell

Aintree Grand National Trends (Last 28 Runnings)
·  27/28 – Ran no more than 55 days ago
· 27/28 – Officially rated 137 or higher
· 26/28 – Had won over at least 3m (chase) before
· 25/28 – Had won no more than 6 times over fences before
· 23/28 – Aged 9 or older
· 23/28 – Returned a double-figure price
· 22/28 – Ran no more than 34 days ago
· 21/28 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
· 22/28 – Carried 10-13 OR LESS
· 19/28 – Had won between 4-6 times over fences before
· 16/28 – Carried 10-8 OR LESS
· 17/28 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
· 17/28 – Aged 10 years-old or younger
· 15/28 – Placed favourites
· 14/28 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
· 15/28 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
· 10/28 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
· 9/28 – Trained in Ireland (inc 6 of the last 13 years)
· 6/28 – Ran in a previous Grand National
· 5/28 – Won by the favourite or joint favourite
· 6/28 – Won last time out
· 2/28 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
· 2/28 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/28 – Ridden by Leighton Aspell
· 0/28 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old OR LESS

Aintree Grand National Facts

    • Since 1978, 124 horses have tried to win with more than 11-5 – with just two winners – Many Clouds (11-9) in 2015 & Neptune Collonges (11-6) in 2012
    • 10 of the last 11 winners were having their first start in the race
    • 15 of the last 20 winners were bred in Ireland
    • Only 2 horse that won at the Cheltenham Festival that same season has won since 1961
    • The last 7 year-old or younger to win was back in 1940
    • 12 of the last 22 winners had won or been placed in a National-type race before
    • No horse aged 13 or older has won since 1923 or placed since 1969
    • 3 of the last 10 winners ran in the Scottish National the previous season
    • 9 of the last 16 winners had run over hurdles at some stage earlier in the season
    • 5 of the last 17 winners had been unplaced in the National last year
    • Only four 8 year-olds have won the last 25 renewals
    • Just one past winner or placed horse from the previous year’s race has won for 34 years (76 have attempted)
    • 20 of the last 22 winners had fallen or unseated no more than twice in their careers
    • The last horse to win back-to-back Nationals was Red Rum in 1974

Aintree Grand National Betting Trends (16 Year)

15/16 – Had won over at least 3m previously
14/16 – Ran less than 50 days ago
14/16 – Officially rated 137 or higher
13/16 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
9/16 – Won by horses aged in double-figures
9/16 – Winners from the top 8 in the betting
9/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/16 – Experienced the National fences
6/16 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
6/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
5/16 – Won by a horse aged 10 years-old
4/16 – Won their last race
3/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/16 – Won by the McCain yard

 

 

 

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2019 Aintree Festival Trends: DAY TWO (Fri 5th April)

Into the second day of the Aintree Grand National Meeting on Friday 5th April 2019 the ITV cameras are on-hand to take in five more LIVE races.

The Mildmay Novices’ Chase, JLT Melling Chase and the Randox Health Topham Chase are the three feature contests as the 'must-see' action from Liverpool’s premier track continues.

As always, here at GeeGeez we've got all the main trends for the LIVE ITV races – use these to build-up a better profile of horses that have done well in each race over the years.

 

FRIDAY, 5th April 2019 (ITV/Racing TV)

2.20pm – Betway Top Novices´ Hurdle Grade 2 Cl1 2m110y ITV

2018 Winner: LALOR (14/1 odds)
Trainer: Kayley Woollacott
Jockey: Richard Johnson

15/16 – Raced no more than 31 days ago
10/16 – Finished first or second last time out
10/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Aged 5 years-old
8/16 – Ran in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
7/16 – Had raced on the flat before
5/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/16 – Winning favourites
15 of the last 22 (68%) winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out
21 of the last 28 (75%) winners came from the top 4 in the market
Just one Irish winner since 1978
9 of the last 19 (47%) winners were placed in the top 6 in that season’s Supreme Novices’ Hurdle

2.50pm – Betway Mildmay Novices´ Chase Grade 2 Cl1 3m1f ITV

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2018 Winner: TERREFORT (3/1 fav)
Trainer: Nicky Henderson
Jockey: Daryl Jacob

16/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
16/16 – Raced no more than 55 days ago
13/16 – Aged 7 or younger
13/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/16 – Raced no more than 33 days ago
12/16 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
7/16 – Ran in the RSA Chase last time out
7/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (including last 2)
2/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/16 – Irish trained winners
5 of the last 6 winners ran in the Kauto Star Novices’ Chase
29 of the last 30 (97%) winners were priced 10/1 or less
24 of the last 28 winners had won over at least 3m before
34 of the last 38 (89%) winners had won twice or more over fences
14 of the last 17 (82%) winners raced at the Cheltenham Festival that season
Just one winner returned 11/1 or bigger since 1989

3.25pm – JLT Melling Chase Grade 1 Cl1 2m4f ITV

201 Winner: POLITOLOGUE (11/1)
Trainer: Paul Nicholls
Jockey: Sam Twiston-Davies

16/16 – Raced within the last 30 days
16/16 – Ran in either the Ryanair or Champion Chase that season
15/16 – Raced at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
13/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Aged 9 or younger
10/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/16 – Ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase last time out
7/16 – Winning favourites
6/16 – Irish-trained winners
6/16 – Ran in the Ryanair Chase that season
4/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/16 – Trained by Alan King
No winners have been beaten in a previous running of the race
21 of the last 28 (75%) runners had won over at least 2m4f
30 of the last 33 (91%) winners were aged 7 or older
13 of the last 24 (54%) winners had finished third or better in the Queen Mother Champion Chase that season
15 of the last 24 (63%) winners were fav or 2nd fav
19 of the last 28 (68%) winners had been placed at the Grand National Meeting before
12 of the last 15 (80%) winners had won a Grade 1 Chase earlier that season
26 of the last 28 (93%) winners ran at the Cheltenham Festival that season

4.05pm – Randox Health Topham Chase Handicap (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f110y ITV

2018 Winner: ULTRAGOLD (14/1 odds)
Trainer: Colin Tizzard
Jockey: Harry Cobden

15/16 – Raced within the last 34 days
15/16 – Aged 10 or younger
13/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/16 – Carried 10-7 or less in weight
10/16 – Raced within the last 23 days
10/16 – Unplaced last time out
4/16 – Trained by Peter Bowen
4/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/16 – Ridden by Sam Waley-Cohen
2/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Ridden by Tom O’Brien
1/16 – Irish-trained winners
The last 5 winners ran at the Cheltenham Festival
8 of the last 13 (62%) winners raced in last year’s race
10 of the last 13 (77%) winners hadn’t won over fences that season
10 of the last 15 (67%) winners had raced over the GN-style fences before
14 of the last 26 (54%) winners had raced at least 7 times that season
Only 2 Irish-trained winners since 1979
No British or Irish-bred winner aged 7 or younger since 1985
Just one winner aged 11+ (109 have tried) since 1994

4.40pm – Doom Bar Sefton Novices´ Hurdle Grade 1 Cl1 3m110y ITV

2018 Winner: SANTINI (6/4 fav odds)
Trainer: Nicky Henderson
Jockey: Nico De Boinville

14/16 – Had run within the last 35 days
12/16 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
10/16 – Returned 7/1 or bigger in the market
7/16 – Won their last race
4/16 – Favourites that won
2/16 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
2/16 – Won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies stable
1/16 – Irish-trained winners
11 of the last 12 winners were aged 6 or 7 years-old (92%)
21 of the last 24 (88%) won at least twice over hurdles before
20 of the last 26 (77%) winners had won 4 times or more over hurdles
13 of the last 25 (52%) winners won over at least 2m7f previously
13 of the last 19 (68%) winners didn’t run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival

 

 

 

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2019 Aintree Festival Trends: DAY ONE (Thurs 4th April)

Another top week for jump racing fans as the three-day Aintree Grand National Meeting kicks-off on Thursday 4th April 2019 with the ITV cameras showing five races LIVE each day.

We get going on DAY ONE with the Betway Bowl, Aintree Hurdle and the Randox Health Foxhunters’ Chase are some of the key highlights so there is bundles to look forward to.

As always with the big meetings, here at GeeGeez we've all the main trends for the LIVE ITV races – use these to help build-up a better profile of horses that have done well in each race over the years.

 

 

THURSDAY, 4th April 2019 (ITV/Racing TV)

2.20pm – Doombar Anniversary 4yo Juvenile Hurdle 4yo Grade 1 (Class 1) (4yo) 2m1f ITV

2018 Winner: WE HAVE A DREAM (2/1 odds)
Trainer: Nicky Henderson
Jockey: Daryl Jacob

14/16 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
13/16 – Placed in the top three last time out
11/16 – Raced in the Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
10/16 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
7/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Won by trainer Alan King (4 of the last 12)
5/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/16 – Irish-trained winners
11/14 winners were placed at worst at the Cheltenham Festival
French-bred horses have won 11 of the last 20 (55%) runnings – including the last four.
13/19 winners raced in the Triumph Hurdle earlier that season
Just 5/29 winners hadn’t won at least twice over hurdles before

2.50pm – Betway Bowl Chase Grade 1 (Class 1) (5yo+) 3m1f ITV

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2018 Winner: MIGHT BITE (4/5 fav odds)
Trainer: Nicky Henderson
Jockey: Barry Geraghty

14/16 – Didn’t win last time out
13/16 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
10/16 – Ran in the Gold Cup (Cheltenham) last time out
9/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/16 – Aged in double-figures
4/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/16 – Winning favourites
4/5 – Won that season’s King George
15/35 (43%) winners were aged 10 or older
24/35 (69%) winners ran in that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
13/22 (59%) winners were placed fourth or better in that season’s King George VI Chase
2nd or 3rd favourites have won 13 of the last 26 (50%) renewals and 6 of the last 9 (67%)
4 of the last 8 winners had run in this race before
3 of the last 10 winners finished in the top 3 in that season’s Hennessy Gold Cup at Newbury

3.25pm – Betway Aintree Hurdle Grade 1 (Class 1) (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

2018 Winner: L’AMI SERGE (5/1 odds)
Trainer: Nicky Henderson
Jockey: Daryl Jacob

16/16 – Aged 8 or younger
13/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
11/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/16 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle last time out
8/16 – Irish-trained winners, plus 18 of the last 42
5/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
4/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
4/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson (4 of the last 8)
3/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
10 of the last 13 winners (including last 7) had won a Grade 1 before
9 of the last 18 (50%) winners had won at this meeting before
Only 5 Champion Hurdle winners since 1999 have run – but 3 won
Every British-trained winner had raced at the Cheltenham Festival that season
Just 1 of the last 18 Champion Hurdle runner-ups to race have won

4.05pm – The Randox Health Fox Hunters´ Chase (Class 2) (6yo+) 2m5f ITV1

2018 Winner: BALNASLOW (11/2 odds)
Trainer: Graham John McKeever
Jockey: Derek O’Connor

16/16 – Aged 9 or older (Just 2 of the last 33 winners were younger than 9)
13/16 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Aged in double-figures
11/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Ran in the Cheltenham Foxhunters’ last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/16 – Ridden by Sam Waley-Cohen
Irish-trained runners have won 4 of the last 5 runnings
11 of the last 14 winners went off favourite or second favourite
22 of the last 26 winners had won a race earlier that season
Only 2 of the last 35 winners were aged younger than 9
22 of the last 26 (85%) winners came from the top 4 in the market
10 of the last 14 winners had run over these National-style fences before
Ex-handicap horses have won 11 of the last 17 (65%) renewals


4.40pm – Red Rum Handicap Chase Grade 3 (Class 1) (5yo+) 2m ITV

2018 Winner: Bentelimar (10/1 odds)
Trainer: Charlie Longsdon
Jockey: Jonathan Burke

15/16 – Aged 9 or younger
14/16 – Carried 11-1 or less
11/16 – Carried 10-13 or less
11/16 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
9/16 – Aged 7 or younger
10/16 – Unplaced last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites (1 co)
3/16 – Won last time out
1/16 – Irish-trained winner
10 of the last 18 winners were Novices
15 of the last 19 winners were rated 139 or lower
Only 2 winners older than 9 years-old since 1988
4 of the last 11 winners were ridden by conditional jockeys
The top 5 in the betting have won 14 of the last 21 (67%) runnings
17 of the last 19 (89%) winners carried 11-2 or less
3 of the last 12 winners raced in the previous year’s race
7 of the last 20 (35%) winners ran in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual (Cheltenham)

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 30th March 2019

It’s flat action all the way for the ITV cameras this weekend as the new turf season gets going at Doncaster on Saturday, with the ultra-competitive Lincoln Handicap as the feature, while there is also decent all-weather racing at Kempton with that include the Listed Magnolia Stakes.

The ITV cameras are showing seven races across the two venues and, as always, we’ve got it all covered with key trends and stats.

 

KEMPTON Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 – Matchbook Magnolia Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV4

12/12 – Aged 6 or younger
11/12 – Had won over 1m2f before
10/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/12 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/12 – Drawn in stalls 1-4 (inc)
8/12 – Unplaced last time out
8/12 – Last ran 5 months or more ago
7/12 – Winning favourites
5/12 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/12 – Had won at Kempton before
4/12 – Unplaced favourites
4/12 – Irish bred
3/12 – Trained by William Haggas
3/12 – Trained by John Gosden
Fabricate (13/8) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

2.40 - Better Odds With Matchbook Handicap Cl2 6f ITV4

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/6 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/6 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/6 – Carried between 8-10 and 9-5
5/6 – Ran within the last 2 months
4/6 – Horses from stall 6 placed
3/6 – Winners from stall 6
3/6 – Rated between 87-91
2/6 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 4/1


3.15 –
Matchbook Betting Podcast Rosebery Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) Cl2 1m3f ITV4

15/15 – Had won over at least 1m1f before
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Had won between 2-4 times before
11/15 – Rated between 89 and 99
10/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/15 – Carried 8-13 or more in weight
9/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
8/15 – Aged 4 years-old
7/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
2/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/15 – Winning favourites
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/2

 

 

DONCASTER Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV4)

1.50 - Unibet Cammidge Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

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14/15 – Aged 7 or younger
13/15 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
13/15 – Had won no more than 5 times before
13/15 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
13/15 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/15 – Raced at Doncaster, Ascot, Lingfield or Windsor last time out
10/15 – Had won over 6f before
10/15 – Last ran 4 months or longer ago
9/15 – Rated 102+
9/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/15 – Had raced at Doncaster before
8/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
3/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites (or joint)
3/15 – Had won at Doncaster before
No winners from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 10 runnings
6 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 9-16 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Note: The 2007 running was staged at Newcastle
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Redcar
Perfect Pasture (4/1 jfav) took the race in 2018

2.25 – Unibet Spring Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

14/17 – Carried 8-13 or more
14/17 – Aged 4 years-old
13/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
14/17 – Finished fourth or worse last time out
11/17 – Won over a mile before
9/17 – Won from a single-figure draw
2/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Won last time out
1/17 – Won a race at Doncaster before
2/17 – Winners from stalls 3-7 (inclusive)
Lord Of The Rock won the race in 2016
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2010 & 2014
Just 1 winner older than 6 in the last 17 years
High Acclaim (50/1) win the race in 2018
Lord Of The Rock won the race in 2016

3.00 – Unibet Doncaster Mile Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV4

Just 6 previous running
6/6 – Last ran 4+ months ago
6/6 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Rated 106+
5/6 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
5/6 – Had won over at least 1m before
5/6 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
4/6 – Winners from stalls 2 or 4 (2 each)
4/6 – Had won 6+ times before
3/6 – Winning favourites
3/6 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/6 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of last 3)
1/6 – Won last time out
Zabeel Prince (10/11 fav) won the race in 2018

3.35 – Unibet Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

16/16 – Aged 6 or younger
15/16 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
14/16 – Had won over at least 1m before
13/16 – Had won between 2-4 times before
12/16 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
11/16 – Having their first run of the flat season
10/16 – Unplaced favourites
10/16 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
10/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
9/16 – Aged 4 years-old
8/16 – Had raced at Doncaster before
8/16 – Officially rated between 95-99
8/16 – Placed first or second last time out
7/16 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
6/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Placed horses from stall 12 (1 winner)
4/16 - Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by William Haggas
2/16 – Trained by Mark Tompkins
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/16 – Trained by John Quinn
Addeybb (5/1) won the race in 2018
8 of the last 9 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-4 in weight
Just 1 winner has carried 9-10 in the last 33 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 14/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Redcar and the 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 23rd March 2019

Another busy day this Saturday with the ITV4 cameras at Newbury and Kelso – we’ve seven races across the two venues to take in.

As always, we’ve got it all covered from a trends angle.

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends

2.05 – Insure With Be Wiser Handicap Chase Cl3 3m2f ITV4

Just 8 previous runnings
7/8 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
7/8 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
7/8 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
6/8 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
6/8 – Had won over 2m7f (or further) before (fences)
5/8 – Aged 9 years-old
5/8 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
4/8 – Had raced over fences at Newbury before
4/8 – Irish bred
1/8 – Winning favourites
1/8 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 15/2

 

2.40 –Be Wiser Handicap Hurdles Cl2 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Won no more than twice over hurdles before
10/10 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Favourites placed in the top three
9/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Rated 113 or higher
7/10 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
3/10 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/10 – Trained by Lucy Wadham
2/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1

3.15 - EBF & TBA Mares´ "National Hunt" Novices´ Hurdle Finale Limited Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

Your first 30 days for just £1

13/14 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
13/14 – Won between 1-2 times before (hurdles)
10/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Aged 6 years-old
9/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Unplaced favourites
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14 – Ran at Huntingdon last time out
2/14 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/14 – Trained by Charlie Longsdon
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
The last 12 winners carried 11-3 or less in weight
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 28% record with his hurdlers at the track

KELSO Horse Racing Trends

1.50 – EBF Mares’ Novices’ Chase (Qualifier For The EBF Mares’ Chase Series) Cl3 (5yo+) 2m 5 1/2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 33% record (5 from 15) with his chasers at the track
Trainer Michael Scudamore is 2 from 5 (40%) with his chasers at the track
Trainer Iain Jardine has a 29% record with his chasers at the track

2.25 – Bernhard Lighting Rig Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV4

7/8 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
7/8 – Unplaced last time out
6/8 – Had raced at Kelso before
6/8 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
6/8 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
6/8 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
4/8 – Unplaced favourites
4/8 – Aged 7 years-old
3/8 – Winning favourites
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 50% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Tom George has a 50% record with his hurdlers at the track

3.00 – Liz Adams Memorial Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 3m2f ITV4

4 previous runnings
4/4 – Aged 9 or younger
4/4 – Unplaced last time out
3/4 – Had raced at the track before
3/4 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
3/4 – Had run at Kelso before
2/4 – Ran at Kelso last time out
1/4 – Winning favourites
Trainer Tom George has a 60% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 44% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 33% record with his chasers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 4 years is 15/2

3.35 – Paxton’s Exclusively Kverneland Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 3m2f ITV4

Only 5 previous runnings
3 of the last 5 winners carried 11-7 or more in weight
Trainer Lucinda Russell has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
The last 3 winners were ridden by a conditional jockey
3 of the last 5 winners were aged 7 or 8 years-old
4 of the last 5 winners returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
4 of the last 5 winners carried 11-1 or more
2 of the last 3 winners were aged 7 years-old
1 winning favourite in the last 5 runnings
3 of the last 4 winners were placed at Haydock last time out
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 50% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Tom George has a 50% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Keith Dalgleish has a 31% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Richards has a 27% record with his hurdlers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 5 years is 5/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 9th March 2019

It's the weekend before Cheltenham so the quality of racing always takes a bit of a backseat. This weekend the ITV cameras head to Sandown with the Imperial Cup their feature, and don't forget the winner of the race will be up for a £100k bonus if they go onto land any Cheltenham Festival race next week. We've also got two LIVE races on the AW from Wolverhampton, with their Lincoln Trial the main event.

As always, we are  on hand with all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races. Use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends

1.50 – European Breeders´ Fund Matchbook VIP "National Hunt" Novices´ Handicap Hurdle Final (Grade 3) Cl1 2m3f173y ITV

16/16 – Had won no more than twice over hurdles before
15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
15/16 – Carried 10-11 or more
13/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Rated 129 or less
13/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Irish bred
11/16 – Returned 8/1 or less in the betting
12/16 – Unplaced favourites
10/16 – Aged 6 years-old
8/16 – Had won over this trip before
5/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Won by the Pipe yard
1/16 – Winning favourites
1/16 – Winners that went onto run at Cheltenham (3rd Martin Pipe)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

2.25 – Matchbook Imperial Cup Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y ITV

16/16 – Had won no more than twice over hurdles before
15/16 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
15/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Carried 10-13 or less
13/16 – Rated 124 or higher
12/16 – Aged 6 or younger
11/16 – Carried 10-7 or less
10/16 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Gaspara - Fred Winter)
10/16 – Had won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) before
10/16 – Finished in the top two last time out
9/16 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/16 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2), Sandown (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
6/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – French bred
5/16 – Had raced at Sandown (hurdles) before – 2 had won there before
5/16 – Won by the Pipe stable (have won it 9 times in all)
2/16 - Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of last 3)
1/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
Trainer Paul Nicholls has NEVER won the race
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 11/1

 

3.00 – EBF Stallions/TBA Mares´ Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race (Listed) Cl1 2m110y ITV

Your first 30 days for just £1

15/15 – Had won at least one NH Flat race before
14/15 – 1ST or 2ND last time out
13/15 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
11/15– Won last time out
10/15 – Had won just once before (NH Flat race)
9/15 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
8/15 – Aged 5 years-old
1/15 – Winning favourites
9 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

3.35 – Matchbook Racing Is Commission Free Handicap Chase Cl3 3m37y ITV

14/16 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
14/16 – Carried 11-1 or more
14/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 -  Rated between 125-134
13/16 – Aged 8 or older
12/16 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Unplaced last time out
10/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/16 – Irish bred
8/16 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
Pete The Feat (9/1) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

Wolverhampton Horse Racing Trends

2.05 – Sunracing.co.uk Lincoln Trial Handicap Cl2 1m141y ITV

15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
14/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Won over a mile (or further) before
13/16– Won at least three times before
13/16 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
9/16 – Came from stall 8 or higher
8/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/16 – Aged 5 years-old
7/16 – Had won at Wolverhampton before
5/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/16 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
Big Country (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

3.15 – Sunracing.co.uk Lady Wulfruna Stakes (AW Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Listed Race) Cl1 7f32y ITV

11/12 – Had won over 7f before
10/12 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Had raced within the last 3 weeks
9/12 – Rated 104 or higher
7/12 – Raced at Lingfield last time out
7/12 – Drawn in stall 7 or higher
6/12 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
6/12 – Unplaced last time out
6/12 – Had won at Wolverhampton before
4/12 – Winning favourite
2/12 – Trained by Marco Botti
Second Thought (8/11) won the race in 2018

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 2nd March 2019

We’ve had better LIVE Saturday ITV race days, but with the Cheltenham Festival on the horizon then it’s no surprise the quality is slightly down – Newbury, Kelso and Doncaster provide the LIVE ITV action this week, and, as always, we’ve got all the races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4/RUK)

2.05 – William Hill Supporting Greatwood Veterans´ Handicap Chase (Qualifier) (Leg 3 of Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m2f110y ITV4

8/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
8/9 – Aged 10 years-old
7/9 – Won over at least 3m (chase)
5/9 – Favourites unplaced
5/9 – Carried 11-4 or more in weight
4/9 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
2/9 – Won their last race
1/9 – Winning favourites
Trainer David Pipe won the race in 2015 and 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 6 renewals is 6/1

 

2.40 – William Hill Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f ITV4

14/15 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
13/15 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
13/15 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
13/15 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
12/15 – Raced at Newbury (hurdles or fences) previously
12/15 – Won over this trip previously
11/15 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
10/15 – Officially rated 139 or higher
9/15 – Favourites placed
8/15 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
8/15 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
7/15 – Won by a French-bred horse
6/15 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
6/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/15 – Favourites  to win (1 joint)
2/15 – Won by the Pipe yard
2/15 – Ridden by Nick Scholfield
2/15 - Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/15– Won their last race
Thomas Crapper won the race 12 months ago
Sametegal won the race in 2016
Note: The 2006 renewal was a dead-heat

 

DONCASTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4/RUK)

1.50 – 888Sport Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m96y ITV4

Only 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged 9 or younger
6/6 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
5/6 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
5/6 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Finished 4th or better last time out
5/6 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
5/6 – Irish bred
4/6 – Favourites place in the top two
4/6 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/6 – Ran at Doncaster (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
2/6 – Aged 9 years-old
2/6 – Favourites
2/6 – Won last time out
Brydon Boy won the race in 2017

Your first 30 days for just £1

 

2.25 – 888Sport Bet £10 Get £30 Handicap Chase Cl2 2m90y ITV4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
6/7 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
4/7 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
4/7 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
3/7 – Raced at Musselburgh last time out
2/7 – Trained by Brian Ellison
2/7 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 4/1

 

3.00 – 888Sport Take ‘Em On Mares´ Novices´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m96y ITV4

5 previous running
5/5 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/5– Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/5 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
4/5 – Favourites placed in the top 2
4/5 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
3/5 - Won by the favourite (1 co-fav)
3/5 – Irish bred
The average winning SP in the last 5 years is 9/4

 

3.35 – 888Sport Grimthorpe Chase (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m2f ITV4

14/14 – Aged 8 or older
13/14 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/14 – Won no more than 4 times over fences
11/14 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
10/14 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
10/14 – Aged 9 or older
10/14 – From the top 3 in the betting
10/14 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Rated 131 or less
8/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/14 – Raced over fences at Doncaster before (3 winners)
6/14 – Won their last race
6/14 – Irish bred
4/14 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners)
2/14 – Favourites
8 year-olds have won 3 of the last 4 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2


KELSO HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RUK)

3.15 – Edinburgh Gin Premier Kelso Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4 yo+) 2m2f ITV4

10/10 – Aged 7 or younger
9/10 – Favourites placed in the top three
9/10 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
8/10 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Had won at least twice over hurdles before
7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Had raced at Kelso before
3/10 – Winning favourite
3/10 – Ran at Musselburgh last time out
2/10 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 23rd Feb 2019

This weekend the ITV cameras head to Kempton, with their newly-sponsored Betdaq Handicap Chase their feature contest, while they are also at Lingfield for the Winter Derby and the Newcastle for their Eider Chase.

As always, we are  on hand with all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races. Use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)

1.50 – 888Sport Pendil Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV4

12/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
12/14 – French (8) of Irish (3) bred
11/14 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
11/14 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/14 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
10/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (won 7 of the last 10)
9/14 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
8/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 6/4

2.25 – 888Sport Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

14/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 -  Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Had won no more than once over hurdles in the UK
12/15 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
12/15 – Winners that went onto run in the Triumph Hurdle (3 winners)
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
10/15– Won carrying either a 4lb or 7lb penalty
9/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – French bred
5/15 – Irish bred
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/15 – Trained by Alan King (won the last two runnings)
3/15 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Triumph Hurdle
3/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Zarkandar, Soldatino and Penzance went onto land that season’s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

3.00 – Sky Bet Dovecote Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

Your first 30 days for just £1

12/13 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
12/13 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
11/13 – Had never raced over hurdles at Kempton before
9/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
10/13 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles before
10/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – French bred
4/13 – Trained by Alan King
4/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/13 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

3.35 – 888Sport Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV4

14/16 – Rated 139 or higher
14/16 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
13/16 – Aged 9 or younger
12/16 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
11/16 – Won a class 2 chase or better before
11/16 – Carried 10-13 or more
11/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Came from the top 4 in the betting
11/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/16 – Rated between 139 and 150
8/16 – Carried 11-5 or more
7/16 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
7/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Aged 8 years-old
5/16 – French bred
4/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
4/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/16 – Ridden by Richard Johnson (won it 5 times in all)
2/16 – Trained by Tom George
2/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs (won it 4 times in all)
2/16 – Ran in the King George VI Chase last time out
2/16 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner)
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 10/1
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown Park

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)

2.40 – Vertem Eider (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 4m1f ITV4

15/15 – Had won over at least 3m before
13/15 – Aged 10 or younger
12/15 – Carried 11-0 or more
12/15 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/15 – Irish-bred
11/15 – Winners came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
10/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/15 – Officially rated between 131-140
9/15 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/15 – Placed favourites
5/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Won over 3m4f or further before
3/15 – Carried 11-12 in weight
2/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 10/1

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)

2.05 – Betway Hever Sprint Stakes (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV4

11/12 – Rated 96+
10/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Raced 6 weeks or longer ago
9/12 – Had raced at Lingfield before
8/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/12 – Placed favs
8/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/12 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
4/12 – US bred
4/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Mare winners
3/12 – Trained by David Barron
0/12 – Winners from stall 1
Royal Birth won the race in 2017
Gracious John won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

3.15 - Betway Winter Derby (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f ITV4

16/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or shorter
13/16 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
12/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
12/16 – Had run at Lingfield previously
12/16 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
12/16 – Had raced at either Lingfield (8) or Kempton (4) last time out
12/16 – Winning distance – less than a length
10/16 – Placed in their last race
10/16 – Drawn in stall 7 or less
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the market
10/16 – Won at Lingfield previously
10/16 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
9/16 – Won their last race
8/16 – Won at least 6 times previously
7/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the 16 renewals is 6/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 16th Feb 2019

With the equine flu situation now over, racing is back and it's back with a bang!

With the ITV cameras covering some of last week's lost races we've now 10 contests to take in from Ascot, Haydock, Wincanton and even  heading over to Ireland for the Red Mills Chase at Gowran Park.

So, to help narrow down the fields, and point you in the direction of a few winners, then we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – we hope they help!

 

ASCOT HORSE RACING TRENDS (ATR/ITV)

1.35 - Sodexo Reynoldstown Novices´ Chase (An Ascot Appearance Money Scheme Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV4

16/16 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
14/16 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
13/16 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences previously
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Won last time out
10/16 – Irish bred
9/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
9/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (2 winners)
8/16 – Placed favourites
8/16 – Winners that went onto finish 5th or better in the RSA Chase
7/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill

Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park

 

2.10 – Keltbray Swinley Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV4

Only 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Won 1 or 2 chase races previously
7/8 – Finished 5th or better last time out
7/8 – Aged 8 or older
7/8 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
6/8 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
5/8 – Had raced at Ascot (fences) before
5/8 – Aged in double-figures
4/8 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/8 – Irish bred
3/8 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
3/8 – Winning distance head or shorter
2/8 – Won last time out
2/8 – Winning Favourites
5 of the last 6 winners carried 11-0 or more
Regal Encore won this race in 2018

2.45 - Betfair Denman Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

13/15 – Had won at least 4 times over fences (UK) before
13/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
12/15 – Rated 150+
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Aged 8 or younger
11/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Winners that went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (4 winners)
9/15 – Raced at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (4) last time out
9/15 – Had won over fences at Newbury before
6/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Winning distance – ¾ length or less
5/15 – French bred
4/15 – Winners that went onto win the Gold Cup (Coneygree, Denman, Kauto Star & Native River)
3/15 – Returned a double-figure price
3/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
6 of the last 12 winners were aged 7 years-old
The average SP in the last 12 runnings is 10/3

3.20 - Betfair Hurdle (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

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16/16 – Carried 11-7 or less in weight
15/16 – Aged 7 or younger
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/16 – Rated 130 or higher
13/16 – Won between 2-4 times over hurdles in the UK/IRE before
13/16 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
13/16 – Came from the first 7 in the betting
13/16 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
13/16 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
12/16 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/16 – Irish bred
8/16 – Came from the top 5 in the betting
7/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Aged 5 years-old (including 7 of last 10)
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (has won the race 5 times in all)
3/16 – Trained by Gary Moore
2/16 - Raced at Leopardstown last time out
2/16 – Owned by JP McManus
1/16 – Went onto win the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Spirit Leader 2003)
21 of the last 22 winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 14/1

 

3.55 - Betfair Ascot Chase Grade 1 Cl1 2m5f110y ITV4

16/16 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
15/16 – Priced at 15/2 or shorter in the market
14/16 – Winners that didn’t win their next start
14/16 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
13/16 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
12/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
12/16 – Favourites placed
12/16 – Officially rated 157 or higher
11/16 – Priced 2/1 or shorter in the market
11/16 – Favourites that won
7/16 – Won between 1-4 times over fences previously
7/16 – Unplaced in their latest race
7/16 – Raced at Kempton (King George) last time out
5/16 – Winners that ran in that season’s Ryanair Chase (1 winner, Cue Card) later that year
5/16 – Won over fences at Ascot previously
5/16 – Won their last race
3/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/16 – Trained by Alan King
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
10 of the last 12 winners returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
Waiting Patiently won this race in 2018
Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park

 

HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4)

2.25 – William Hill Rendlesham Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV4

15/16 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
11/16 – Rated 145 or higher
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
10/16 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
10/16 – Aged 8 or younger
9/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
8/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle (no winners)
7/16 – Had run at Haydock before
6/16 – French-bred
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
1/16 – Winning favourites
1/16 – Winners that went onto win the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival

Note: The 2003, 2004, 2005 - Run at Kempton Park

 

3.35 – William Hill Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f ITV4

16/16 – UK-based trained winners
16/16 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
14/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/16 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
13/16 – Aged 10 or younger
12/16 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
12/16 – Aged 9 or younger
12/16 – Rated 135 or higher
11/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Finished in the top two last time out
10/16 – Carried 11-0 or less
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
7/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
6/16 – Irish-bred winners
4/16 – Winners that won by exactly 15 lengths
4/16 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/16 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/16 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
2/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Venetia Williams
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 10/1

 

WINCANTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4)

1.45 Betway Heedyourhunch Handicap Chase 2m ITV4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
3/4 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
3/4 – Aged 8 or younger
2/4 – Winning favourites
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 27% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Gary Moore is just 1 from 14 with his chasers at the track

3.00 - Betway Kingwell Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 1m7f65y ITV4

15/15 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
14/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/15 – Priced 10/3 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
13/15 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
12/15 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle (1 winner Katchit)
11/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/15 – Rated 155 or higher
9/15 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
8/15 – Winning favourites
8/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Raced at Sandown last time out
4/15 – Trained by Alan King
1/15 – Winners that went onto win the World Hurdle (Inglis Drever)

 

GOWRAN PARK TRENDS (ITV4)

2.30 – Red Mills Chase (Grade 2) 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Had won over at least 2m4f (Chase) before
10/10 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
9/10 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Irish bred
7/10 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Aged 8 or younger
7/10 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/10 – Rated 150 or lower
6/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Raced at Thurles last time out
3/10 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/10 – Ridden by Paul Townend

 

 

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Naas Stats and Trends: Sat 9th Feb 2019

With British racing on lockdown due to the outbreak of equine flu the focus switches to Naas, in Ireland, this Saturday. The ITV4 cameras are ensuring the show goes on by heading across the Irish Sea to cover FIVE races LIVE for punters.

Yes, we won’t be getting the quality that we’ll be missing from the Newbury and Warwick cards but we’ve still a Listed Mares’ Chase (2:10) to take in and well done to the ITV team for keeping things ticking over.

 

Saturday 9th February 2019

NAAS HORSE RACING STATS

1:40 - Cavan Developments Maiden Hurdle (5yo+) 2m ITV4

- Trainer Gordon Elliott took this race 12 months ago
- Trainer E D Delany is 2-from-2 with his hurdlers at the track
- Trainer Paul Nolan is 0-from-17 with his hurdlers at the track
- Trainer A J Martin is 0-from-18 with his hurdlers at the track

2:10 - BBA Ireland Limited Opera Hat Mares Chase (Listed) (5yo+) 2m ITV4

- Trainer Willie Mullins has won two of the last three runnings
- Trainer Willie Mullins has a 27% record with his chasers at the track
- Trainer Gordon Elliott is just 5 from 46 with his chasers at the track
- The last five winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
- Two of the last three favourites won the race

2:40 - EMS Copiers Rated Novice Hurdle (4yo) 2m ITV4

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- Trainer Willie Mullins has a 27% record with his hurdlers at the track
- Jockey Mark Walsh has a 28% strike-rate when riding over hurdles at the track

3:10 - O'Driscoll O'Neil Handicap Chase (5yo+ 0-130) 2m4f ITV4

- Trainer Paul Nolan has an 18% record with his chasers at the track
- Trainer Jessie Harrington is 0 from 12 with her chasers at the track
- Jockey Barry Geraghty has a 33% record riding over fences at the track

3:40 - Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (4yo+ 80-109) 2m ITV4

- 6 of the last 7 winners were aged 9 or younger
- 5 of the last 7 winners carried 11st or more
- 4 of the last 7 winners returned a double-figure SP
- Trainer P J Rothwell is 0 from 25 with his hurdlers at the track
- Jockey Trevor Ryan is 2 from 7 (29%) riding over hurdles at the track

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 2nd Feb 2019

Sandown, Musselburgh and Wetherby provide the LIVE ITV action this Saturday with seven races spread across the three venues.

As always, we got it all covered with all the key trends – use these stats to help find the best past winning profiles to help whittle down the runners and hopefully pin-point a few winners.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.15 – 888Sport Bet £10 Get £30 Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f119y

12/12 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
12/12 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
11/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/12 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/12 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
9/12 – Aged 9 or younger
9/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
7/12 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/12 – Had run over fences at Sandown before (3 won)
6/12 – Winners that went to race in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase
5/12 – Carried 10-10 or less
5/12 – Raced at Sandown last time out
5/12 – Came from outside the top 4 in the betting
4/12 – Aged 7 years-old
4/12 – French bred
4/12 – Had an official rating of exactly 125
3/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/12 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2

1.50 – 888Sport Contenders Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV4

8/8 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/8 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
8/8 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
7/8 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Won between 2-5 times (hurdles)
7/8 – French bred
5/8 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/8 – Winning favourites
5/8 – Rated 161 or higher
5/8 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/8 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/8 – Won last time out
Buveur D’Air won the race in 2017 and 2018

2.25 – 888Sport Scilly Isles Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV

15/15 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/15 – Won no more than 3 times over fences before
15/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
13/15 – Aged 7 or younger
13/15 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
10/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/15 – Winning favourites
9/15 – French bred
6/15 – Aged 7 years-old
5/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/15 – Had run over fences at Sandown before
4/15 – Winners that went onto finish in the top 5 in the RSA Chase
4/15 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob (last 4 winners)
3/15 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
The average winning  SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/4

3.00 – 888Sport Heroes Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m7f98y ITV

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13/13 – Had run in the last 8 weeks
13/13 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
12/13 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) previously
11/13 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
10/13 – Officially rated 135 or lower
10/13 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles previously
10/13 – Winners that went to race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
10/13 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
9/13 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
9/13 – Priced 13/2 or less
8/13 – Won by a horse aged 7 or younger
8/13 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/13 – Favourites placed
4/13 – Raced over hurdles at Sandown previously (3 won)
4/13 – Won their last race
5/13 – Favourites that won
4/13 – Won by a French-bred horse
4/13 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/13 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
2/13 – Won by the Philip Hobbs yard
2/13 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/13 – Winners that went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Ryanair Chase, 2007 Taranis)

3.35 – 888Sport Masters Handicap Chase Cl2 3m110y ITV

14/15 – Carried 11-5 or less
13/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/15 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
12/15 – Aged 9 or younger
11/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences (UK) before
10/15 – Rated 136 or lower
9/15 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/15 – Had raced at Sandown before (4 won)
8/15 – Placed last time out
8/15 – Irish-bred
7/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/15 – Raced at either Sandown (3) or Haydock (3) last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/15 – French-bred
3/15 – Winners that went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
2/15 – Trained by Lucy Wadham (2 of last 5)
2/15 – Trained by Venetia Williams (2 of last 5)

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.40 – William Hill Towton Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

13/14 – Aged 8 or younger
12/14 – Had never raced over fences at Wetherby before
11/14 – Priced 3/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/14 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
10/14 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
9/14 – Aged 7 years-old
9/14 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (3) last time out
9/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Irish bred
7/14 – Won last time out
7/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (1 winner, Blaklion 2016, plus all finished 6th or better)
2/14 – Trained by Ian Williams

 

Musselburgh Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 - bet365 Scottish County Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f124y

11/12 – Returned 15/2 or less in the betting
10/12 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
11/12 – Had won over this trip before (hurdles)
9/12 – Aged 6 years-old
8/12 – Former flat horses
8/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/12 – Carried 11-0 or less
7/12 – Rated between 120-130
7/12 – Favourites placed in the top 4
2/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Won last time out

 

3.15 – bet365 Edinburgh National Handicap Chase Cl2 4m176y

Only two previous runnings
2/2 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
2/2 – Priced between 6/1 and 10/1 in the betting
0/2 – Winning favourites
Trainer Sandy Thompson won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 60% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Tim Vaughan has a 27% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Sandy Thompson has a 26% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Full Jack won the race in 2018
Dancing Shadow (6/1) won the race in 2017

 

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