Daily Double Dutch reports from Geegeez: detailed write-ups, statistics and information on Geegeez’s own horse betting project. Read on to find out more.

Cheltenham TV Trends: Fri 14th Dec 2018

The tapes go up for the opening day of the 2018 Cheltenham December Meeting this Friday (14th December) with FOUR LIVE ITV races from Prestbury Park.
As always, we are on hand with his quick-fire trends ahead of the LIVE races......

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1:55 – CF Roberts Electrical + Mechanical Services Mares’ Handicap Chase Cl3 2m5f ITV4

Two previous runs
Both winners carried 11-3 or more in weight
Both winners aged between 6-8 years-old
Trainer Evan Williams won the race in 2016
Trainer Gordon Elliott has a 16% record with this chasers at the track
Trainer Henry Daly is just 1 from 19 with his chasers at the track

2.30 – CF Roberts 25 Years Of Sponsorship Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

14/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/16 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before (5 won)
11/16 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
11/16 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Aged 8 or younger
10/16 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
9/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (none won)
9/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/16 – Irish bred
8/16 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
6/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (last two runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2
Robinsfirth (7/4) won the race 12 months ago

3.05 –Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase Cl2 3m7f ITV4

13/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/14 – Had run over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
12/14 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (3 won)
11/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
10/14 – Placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
10/14 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
9/14 – Aged 9 or older
8/14 – Aged in double-figures
7/14 – Had won over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
7/14 – Trained by Enda Bolger
7/14 – Placed favourites
5/14 – Carried 11-12
5/14 – French bred
5/14 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1
Bless The Wings (12/1) won the race 12 months ago
Josie’s Orders won the race in 2015

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3.40 – Citipost Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV4

12/15 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
12/15 – Carried 11-2 or less
12/15 – Aged 7 or younger
11/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
11/15 – Irish bred
11/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 - Priced 8/1 or bigger in the betting
9/15 – Rated between 128 and 137
8/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
7/15 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (one winner)
7/15 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
5/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/15 - Trained by Jonjo O'Neill
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 8th Dec 2018

Another massive Saturday of NH jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Sandown and Aintree, with the Tingle Creek Chase and Becher Chase the feature contests - As always, we’ve got all the big-race trends and stats for all the LIVE races.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – randoxhealth.com Henry VIII Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

15/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/15 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
14/15 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 2m
14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
13/15 – Won last time out
13/15 – French (9) or Irish (4) bred
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Arkle Chase (2 winners)
10/15 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (4) last time out
10/15 – Winning distance – 2 ¾ lengths or more
7/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/15 – Winners went onto finish 1st or 2nd in that season’s Arkle Chase
2/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/15 – Trained by Alan King
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1

2.25 - Jumeirah Hotels And Resorts December Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f216y ITV4

14/15 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
13/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/15 – Aged 4,5 or 6 years-old
12/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
10/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
10/15 – Carried 10-13 or less
9/15 – Rated between 116-128
9/15 – Irish bred~
8/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
4/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
8 of the last 9 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 13/2

3.00 – Betfair Tingle Creek Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

15/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Aged 9 or younger
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Had won a Grade One chase before
13/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s QM Champion Chase
12/16 – Officially rated 165 or higher
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
12/16 – French bred
12/16 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
11/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
9/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
9/16 – Won last time out
9/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
8/16 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
5/16 – Went onto win the Champion Chase (Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre, Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
4/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
1/16 – Went onto win the Gold Cup (Kauto Star) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 5/2

Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Cheltenham

3.35 – Betfair London National Handicap Chase Cl2 3m5f110y ITV4

13/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Aged 7 or older
13/14 – Won between 2-6 times over fences before
13/14 – Had won (fences) over at least 3m before
12/14 – Rated 126 or higher
12/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
11/14 – Aged 8 or older
10/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
9/14 – Irish bred
8/14 – Carried 11-0 or more
8/14 – Had raced over fences at Sandown before (2 won)
5/14 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Towcester (2) last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/14 – Trained by Tom George
1/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 8/1

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Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.30 – Randox Health Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m2f ITV4

13/16 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
12/16 – Carried 10-12 or less
12/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/16 – Had no more than 1 start that season
11/16 – Aged 9 or older
11/16 – Officially rated between 123-138
11/16 – Irish bred winners
11/16 – Had raced at Aintree before
11/16 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
11/16 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
10/16 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/16 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
7/16 – Placed favourites
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Irish-trained winners
3/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
1/16 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
0/16 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 6 times since 1993
Blaklion won the race in 2017
Vieux Lion Rouge won the race in 2016
Highland Lodge won the race in 2015

2.05 – Rewards4Racing Many Clouds Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m1f ITV4

Just 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Aged 8 or younger
4/7 – Winning favourites
Definitly Red won the race in 2017
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 & 2014
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2011
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 5/2

2.40 – Racing UK Fillies’ Juvenile Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 (3Yyo) 2m1f ITV4

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/6 – Won between 0-1 times over hurdles
5/6 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/6 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Winning distance 8 or more lengths
5/6 – Carried 10-12 in weight
4/6 – Winning favourites
3/6 – Irish-trained winners
2/6 – Trained by Alan King
2/6 – Won last time out
2/6 – Trained by Gavin Cromwell
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 10/3

3.15 – Aintree Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV

12/13 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
11/13 – Aged 8 or older
11/13 – Rated 124 or more
10/13 – Had run at Aintree before (4 over the GN style fences)
more
9/13 – Irish bred
9/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Had won (chase) over at least 2m4f before
8/13 – Carried 10-12 or more
6/13 – Returned a double-figure price
5/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
4/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (5th & 7th)
1/13 – Won last time out
9 of the last 12 winners were aged 8 or 9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 1st Dec 2018

Another huge Saturday ahead with the Hennessy Gold Cup – or as it’s now called The Ladbroke Trophy Chase - plus the Fighting Fifth Hurdle as the main contests at Newbury and Newcastle – As always, we’ve got all the ITV TV trends to help you find the best winning profile of past winners of the main races.

 

 

Newbury Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

Six previous runnings
3 of the last 6 winners aged 5 years-old
1 winning favourite (joint)
5 of the 6 winners carried between 10-10 and 11-5
Old Guard won the race 12 months ago
Philip Hobbs, Paul Nicholls, Alan King, Rebecca Curtis & Ali Stronge have trained the winners

 

 

2.25 Ladbrokes Intermediate Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Registered As The Gerry Fielden Hurdle) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m69y ITV

12/12 – Had at least 4 runs over hurdles before
11/12 – Aged 6 or younger
11/12 – Won over 2m (hurdles) before
10/12 – Won just 1-2 times in the past (hurdles)
9/12 – Irish, French or German bred
9/12 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
7/12 – Finished in the top three last time out
7/12 – Had raced at Newbury before
6/12 – Officially rated between 126-134
6/12 – Unplaced favourites
5/12 – Aged 5 years-old
4/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/12 – Raced at Aintree last time out
2/12 – Won last time out
7 of the last 11 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

 

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3.00 – Ladbrokes Trophy Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) ITV 3m2f110y

15/16 – Aged 8 or younger
14/16 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
14/16 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
13/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
12/16 – Had run at Newbury before (8 had won over fences there)
12/16 – Carried 10-13 or more
11/16 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
11/16 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
11/16 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
10/16 – Rated between 140 and 151
10/16 – Had a previous run that season
9/16 – Won last time out
9/16 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
8/16 – Ran at either Aintree (2) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 6)
2/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty (2 of last 6)
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 15/2
Since 1968 there has only been one winner aged in double-figures (1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (27 runnings) there have been 13 winners (48%) aged 7 years-old

 

 

3.35 - Ladbrokes Handicap Chase (for the Jim Joel Memorial Trophy) Cl2 2m1f ITV

14/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Officially rated between 126-136
11/16 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
10/16 – French bred
9/16 – Had won a UK chase race over 2m1f
9/16 – Had won between 2-5 chase races in the UK
9/16 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
8/16 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
8/16 – Placed in their last race
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Won a chase race at Newbury before
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
9 of the last 12 winners carried between 10-8 and 11-3
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 – BetVictor Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

16/16 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
15/16 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
14/16 – Finished in the first two in their latest race
13/16 – Raced in the Champion Hurdle later that same season
13/16 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Officially rated 151 or higher
10/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/16 – Placed in the top 6 in the Champion Hurdle later that season
10/16 – Won their last race
8/16 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/16 – Won by an Irish bred horse
4/16 – Won by an Irish based yard
3/16 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
3/16 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of last 10)
2/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/16 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 4)
2/16 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that same season (2008 Punjabi, 2018 Buveur d’Air)
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 5/1
Note: The 2008 renewal was staged at Wetherby, and the 2010 race at Newbury

 

 

3.20 – BetVictor Rehearsal Chase (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV

13/14 – Didn’t win their last race
12/14 – Irish bred
12/14 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
11/14 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/14 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 3m
10/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/14 – Unplaced last time out
9/14 – Had won at least 3 times over fences in the UK
7/14 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
5/14 – Unplaced favourites
5/14 – Aged 8 years-old
4/14 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/14 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Richards
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 8/1
Beware The Bear (11/4 fav) won the race in 2017
Otago Trial won the race in 2016
Note: The 2002, 2003, & 2004 runnings were at Chepstow

 

Newbury TV Trends: Fri 30th Nov 2018

It's DAY ONE of the Newbury Hennessy Meeting on Friday (30th Nov 2018) and we’ve four LIVE races on ITV to take in that include the Grade Two Long Distance Hurdle.
As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and free tips.

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (LIVE RUK/ITV)

1.50 – Ladbrokes Novices' Chase (Registered As The Berkshire Novices' Chase) (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m3f187y ITV4

10/11 – Aged 5 or older
10/11 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Favourites placed in the top 2
8/11 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
7/11 – Yet to win over fences
7/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/11 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

2.25 – Ladbrokes Open Handicap Chase Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f187y ITV4

11/11 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
10/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 9 or younger
9/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
8/11 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
7/11 – Rated between 131 and 140
7/11 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/11 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
2/11 – Trained by Alan King
2/11 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
0/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

3.00 –  Ladbrokes Long Distance Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m52y ITV4

13/16 – Grade One winner over hurdles
13/16 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
12/16 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
12/16 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
12/16 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Had won a hurdles race at Newbury before
10/16 – Ran at either Aintree (6) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
9/16 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – French bred
8/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Returned odds-on in the betting
7/16 – Went onto win that season’s World Hurdle
6/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
5/16 – Won by Paul Nicholls (inc 5 of last 9 renewals)
3/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
Unowhatimeanharry won the race in 2016
Beer Goggles won the race in 2017

3.35 - Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 3m52y ITV4

10/11 – Placed 5th or better last time out
10/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
10/11 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
10/11 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
9/11 – Raced at either Cheltenham (4), Wincanton (3) or Wetherby (2) last time
9/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/11 – Won just 1-2 times over hurdles
7/11 – Yet to win over 3m (or further) over hurdles
7/11 – Irish bred winners
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/11 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/11 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

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Sat TV Trends: 24th Nov 2018

More excellent jumping action at Ascot and Haydock this Saturday with the ITV cameras heading to both tracks. The Betfair Chase is the highlight from Haydock at 3.00, while the main event at Ascot is the Christy 1965 Chase – As always, we are on hand with all the trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 - Christy 1965 Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f8y ITV

14/15 – Aged 8 or younger
13/15 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
12/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/15 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
10/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Won by a French-bred horse
10/15 – Had won over this trip (fences) 2m5f or further before
10/15 – Ran at Aintree (3) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
9/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
9/15 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
8/15 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
6/15 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
6/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Aged 5 years-old
3/15 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/15 – Won by trainer Alan King
2/15 – Won by trainer Philip Hobbs
2/15 – Went onto win at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Albertas Run & Vautour, RyanAir Chase 2009 & 2016)
Top Notch won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2

Note: The 2002 running was at Wincanton and the 2004 renewal at Windsor

 

 

2.40 - Coral Hurdle (Registered As The Ascot Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV

16/16 – Priced 7/2 or less
14/16 – Won over at least 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
14/16 – Won a Grade 2 (or better) hurdle race previously
13/16 – Won by and Irish (10) or French (3) bred horse
12/16 – Favourites placed
10/16 – Won their latest race
10/16 – Won by a horse aged 7 or older
10/16 – Won a Grade 1 hurdle race previously
10/16 – Had their last race 3 months or longer ago
9/16 – Favourites that won (2 joint)
9/16 – Won between 3-5 times over hurdles previously
6/16 – Went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle after winning this (1 won)
5/16 – Went onto race in the Champion Hurdle that same season (4 of 5 finished 4th or better, Faugheen won both in 2014-15)
5/16 – Won a hurdles race at Ascot previously
4/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
4/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
2/16 – Won by the Willie Mullins stable
4 of the last 12 winners were Irish-trained
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/4
Lil Rockerfeller won the race in 2017
Note: the 2004 & 2005 renewals were at Windsor

 

3.15 – Gerard Bertrand Hurst Handicap Chase Cl2 2m192y ITV

11/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Aged between 6 and 9 years-old
11/12 – Had won over fences over this trip (or further) before
9/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Carried 11-0 or more
9/12 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
8/12 – Rated 142 or higher
7/12 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
6/12 – Ran at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
6/12 – Had raced at Ascot before
6/12 – Placed favourites
4/12 – Placed horses from the Paul Nicholls yard
4/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Aged 6 years-old
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/12 – Trained by Gary Moore

 

 

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Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 - Betfair Best Odds On ITV Races Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m3f ITV

7 previous runnings
6/7 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
6/7 – Irish bred
6/7 – Had won between 1-2 times before
6/7 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/7 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
5/7 – Had won over at least 2m2f before
5/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
2/7 – Winning favourites
3/7 – Ridden by a conditional claiming jockey
Limited Reserve won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 7/1

 

2.25 - Betfair Exchange Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV

12/13– Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
12/13 – Had won between 1-3 times (hurdles UK) before
11/13 – Carried 10-9 or more
11/13 – Rated between 132 and 143
8/13 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (no winners)
7/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
7/13 – Placed favourites
7/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/13 – French bred
5/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/13 – Trained by David Pipe
2/13 – Trained by Nick Williams
Sam Spinner won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/2

 

3.00 - Betfair Chase (Registered as The Lancashire Chase) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m1f ITV

13 Previous runnings
11/13 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
11/13 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/13 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
10/13 – Won by and Irish (3) or French (7) bred horse
10/13 - Placed in the top three in their last race
10/13 - Won a Grade One chase previously
9/13 - Raced at Haydock previously
9/13 – Favourites placed
8/13 – Aged 8 or older
7/13 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
7/13 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
6/13 – Won by a previous winner of the race
6/13 – Winning favourites
5/13 – Won their latest race
3/13 - Raced at Aintree last time out
The average winning price in the last 11 runnings is 11/2
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
Ruby Walsh has ridden the winner in 2006, 2009, 2011, 2012

 

3.35 – Better Value On The Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase Cl2 3m24y ITV

11/11 – Aged 9 or younger
10/11 – French (4) or Irish (6) bred
9/11 – Carried 11-1 or more
9/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Had won 2-3 times over fences before
8/11 – Had won over at least 3m (chase) before
7/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/11 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
4/11 – Carried 11-11 or more in weight
4/11 –Winning distance – head or shorter
4/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/11 – Winning favourites
Chase The Spud won the race in 2017

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 17th Nov 2018

A huge day up at Cheltenham this Saturday with the BetVictor Gold Cup the feature racethe ITV cameras are at Prestbury Park to take in four of the races, plus are also covering two at Lingfield.

As always we've got all the key trends & stats to help you whittle down the runners.

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

12.40 - JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial (Registered as The Prestbury Juvenile Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m87y RUK

13/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/13 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles before
11/13 – Never raced at Cheltenham before
10/13 – Returned 4/1 or shorter
10/13 – Won last time out
8/13 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
9/13 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Went onto race in that seasons Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
9/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 2
7/13 – Winning favourites
5/13 – Irish bred
5/13 – Went onto finish 1st or 2nd in the Triumph Hurdle
4/13 – German bred
3/13 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/13 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/13 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/13 – Trained by Alan King
2/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/13 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/13 – Went onto win the Triumph Hurdle (Defi Du Seuill 2017, Katchit 2006)
Owner JP McManus has won the last two runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

1.15 - mallardjewellers.com Novices´ Chase Cl2 3m80y RUK

13/13 – Had won a race over at least 2m4f (fences) before
11/13 – Aged 7 or younger
11/13 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
10/13 – Raced no more than twice over fences
10/13 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
9/13 – Won between 0-1 times over fences before
8/13 – Aged 6 years-old
8/13 – Raced at Cheltenham (3), Aintree (2) or Wetherby (2) last time out
7/13 – Went onto run in the RSA Chase (no winners)
7/13 – Won last time out
7/13 – Irish bred
5/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Trained by David Pipe
3/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/13 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 4/1

1.50 - BetVictor Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m3f110y ITV

15/16 – Had won a 3m+ race over fences before
14/16 – Had run at Cheltenham before
13/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Aged 8 or younger
11/16 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
10/16  – Had won between 3 and 5 times over fences before
9/16 – Irish bred
9/16 – Ran within the last month
8/16 – Officially rated between 135 and 146
8/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
7/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/16  – Ran at either Cheltenham (4) or Sandown (2) last time out
6/16 – French bred
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/16 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien (2 of last 5 years)
Perfect Candidate (7/1) won the race last year
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

2.25 – BetVictor Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f110y ITV

16/16 – Had run at Cheltenham before
15/16 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
15/16 – Won by a UK-based trainer
12/16 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had won at Cheltenham before
11/16 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
11/16 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
11/16 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (2) or Twiston-Davies (3)
10/16 – Carried 10-13 or less (But 4 of the last 6 carried 10-13 or more)
10/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/16 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
8/16 – Aged 7 years-old
8/16 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
7/16 – Placed favourites
5/16 – Won their last race
4/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/16 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/16 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/16 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/16 – Irish-trained winners
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 9 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 34 runners
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 10.5/1

3.00 – Regulatory Finance Solutions Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f67y ITV

14/16 – Aged 7 or younger
13/16 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
13/16 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
12/16 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
12/16 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
11/16 – Officially rated 126 to 137
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16  – Ran at either Cheltenham (5), Aintree (3) or Chepstow (3) last time out
10/16 – Irish bred
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Ran within the last month
7/16 – Won their last race
8/16 – Had run at Cheltenham before
6/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/16 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/16 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
4 of the last 10 winners have had a claiming jockey riding
Anteros won the race in 2016 & was second in 2017

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3.30 - BetVictor Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f26y ITV

12/13 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
12/13 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
11/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/13 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
8/13 – Returned a double-figure price
7/13 – Favourites unplaced
6/13 – Carried 10-13 or less
6/13 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a race at the Cheltenham Festival
6/13 – Had run at Cheltenham before
7/13 – Irish bred winners
5/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – French bred winners
2/13 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10.5/1
2 of the last 6 winners went onto be placed in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
2 of the last 10 winners went onto be placed in the Ladbrokes World Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season

 

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

2.45 – Betway Churchill Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

10/12 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Rated between 103 and 112
9/12 – Favourites placed in the top two
8/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/12 – Placed last time out
9/12 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/12 – Won between 1-4 times before
8/12 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
4/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

3.15 – Betway Golden Rose Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

11/11 – Previous winner over 6f or 7f
10/11 – Aged 4 or older
10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
10/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
9/11 – Won 5 or more times before
8/11 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
7/11 – Unplaced last time out
7/11 – Unplaced favourites
4/11 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/11 – Winning favourites
Gifted Master (9/2) won the race last year
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

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Cheltenham TV Trends: Fri 16th Nov 2018

Another big day ahead for the ITV racing team this Friday (16th Nov) as they take in four races from Cheltenham on the opening day of their three-day November Meeting.

As always we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these to find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends

1:50 – BetVictor Handicap Chase Cl2 2m ITV

15/16 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
15/16 – Carried 11-7 or less in weight
14/16 – Raced at Cheltenham before
13/16 – Raced at least 5 times over fences previously
12/16 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
10/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
9/16 – Unplaced in their previous race
8/16 – Having their first run of the season
8/16 – Favourites placed
7/16 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting
6/16 – French-bred horse
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/16 – Favourites that won
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/16 – Won their most recent race
2/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/16 – Trained by Paul Henderson (last 2 runnings)
0/16 – Irish-trained winners
Doitforthevillage won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

 

2.25 – Steel Plate And Sections Novices´ Chase Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

16/16 – Won by a horse aged 5 or older
15/16 – Won between 0 and 1 times over fences previously
14/16 – Priced 6/1 or shorter
14/16 – Ran between 0 and 2 times over fences
13/16 -  Finished in the top three in their latest race
12/16 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
12/16 – Favourites placed
11/16 – Placed in the first two in their previous race
10/16 – Won by a horse aged 6 years-old  (9 of last 11 runnings)
9/16 – Irish-bred horse
8/16 – Raced at either Aintree (2), Cheltenham (4) or Auteuil (2) last time out
8/16 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
8/16 – First run over fences
7/16 – Raced already that season
6/16 – French-bred horse
6/16 – Won their latest race
6/16 – Favourites that won
5/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
5/16 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
2/16 – Ridden by Noel Fehily
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1
Dynaste, Denman, Weird Al, Imperial Commander, Time For Rupert and Grands Crus are all big names to win this race in recent years

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3.00 - Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase Cl2 3m7f ITV

15/15 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
14/15 – Either Irish (8) or French (6) bred
13/15 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
11/15 – Winner came from the top 3 in the betting
11/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
11/15 – Had a recent run that season
11/15 – Won at least 5 times over fences previously
11/15 – Unplaced in their last race
10/15 – Raced over this Cross County course previously (6 won)
10/15 – Carried 11-5 or more in weight
10/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
9/15 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
6/15 – Trained by Enda Bolger
5/15 – Favourites that won
Josies Orders won this in 2015
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

3.35 - Ballymore Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Hyde Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f ITV

14/14 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
14/14 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/14 – Had won a NH Flat race earlier in their career
11/14 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (2 winners)
11/14 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
10/14 – Aged 5 years-old
10/14 – Had raced at either Uttoxeter (4), Chepstow (4) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
8/14 – Won just once before (under rules)
8/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Had won over 2 ½ (or further) over hurdles before
4/14 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/14 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/14 – Went onto win a race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 10th Nov 2018

This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Wincanton with the Badger Ales Chase their feature, plus they are also at Doncaster for the ultra-competitive November Handicap and also at Aintree to take in one of their contests as always we've got all the trends and stats for the LIVE races.

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.30 – Marathonbet Sportsbook British EBF Gillies Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

13/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/14 – Had won at least twice before
11/14 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
11/14 – Had 3 or more runs that season
9/14 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
8/14 – Ran at either Lingfield (3), Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
8/14 – Unplaced last time out
7/14 – Had won over 1m2f before
7/14 – Returned 8/1 or bigger in the betting
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
6/14 – Won by an Irish-bred filly
2/14 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/14 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/14 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/14 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

 

 

2.05 – Marathonbet Official Global Partner Of Manchester City Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

13/15 – Had at least 6 previous runs that season
13/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Had won over 6f before
13/15 – Won from stall 12 or lower
12/15 – Rated 99 or higher
12/15 – Aged 4 or older
10/15 – Had won at least 5 times before in their career
8/15 – Had won at Doncaster before
8/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/15 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/15 – Ran at York (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
4/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Winning mare/filly
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

 

3.15 - Marathonbet November Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV4

12/15 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
12/15 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
12/15 – Winners that came from draw 9 or higher
12/15 – Favourites that were unplaced
11/15 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
11/15 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
10/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
10/15 – Won carrying 8-13 or less in weight
10/15 – Placed last time out
10/15 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Ridden by jockey Martin Dwyer
2/15 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 5 times in all)
1/15 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
Just 1 winning favourite since 1995

 

 

Wincanton Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Hunts Food Service Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4

11/11 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Aged 7 or younger
8/11 – Had won over at least 2m4f before (hurdles)
8/11 – Rated between 119-129
8/11 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
7/11 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
7/11 – Had won at least twice before (hurdles)
7/11 – Finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th last time out
5/11 – Had run at the track before
5/11 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
5/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Aged 6 years-old
2/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/11 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

 

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2.25 – Bet At racinguk.com ‘Rising Stars’ Novices Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

11/11 – Had won no more than twice over fences
10/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Favourites placed
9/11 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Had won over 2m3f or further (Chase)
8/11 – Irish (4) or French (4) bred
8/11 – Aged 6 or younger
7/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
7/11 – Won last time out
6/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/2

 

 

3.00 - Unibet Elite Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

14/14 – Aged 7 or younger
13/14 – Won between 2-5 times before (hurdles)
12/14 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Came from the top three in the betting
10/14 – Unplaced last time out
9/14 – Rated 150 or lower
9/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
8/14 – Having first run of the season
5/14 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/14 – Carried 10-6 or less
5/14 – Won with 11-10 in weight
4/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/14 – Trained by John Quinn
2/14 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

 

3.35 - Badger Ales Trophy (A Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

15/15 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
13/15 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
13/15 – Won at least two chase races previously
13/15 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
12/15 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
12/15 –  Raced at the course previously (5 won over fences)
12/15 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
12/15  – Placed in the top four in their last race
10/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Raced already that season
9/15 – Irish-bred horse
8/15 – Raced at either Sandown (2), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
8/15 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
7/15 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
7/15 – Priced at double-figures
7/15 – Won their latest race
5/15 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
5/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/15 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 4 of the last 8 years)
Present Man (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/2

 

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

 

2.40 – Rewards4Racing Handicap Chase Cl2 2m4f ITV

13/13 – Aged 9 or younger
13/13 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Had won 2 or less times over fences before
10/13 – Last raced over 6 months ago
10/13 – Aged 8 or younger
10/13 – Unplaced favourites
9/13 – Had won over 2m4f (or further) over fences before
9/13 – Carried 10-13 or more
7/13 – Rated between 119 and 130
9/13 – Had raced at Aintree before
5/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/13 – Trained by Venetia Williams
1/13 – Winning favourites
On Tour (4/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 3rd Nov 2018

As always we've got all the key race trends for this Saturday’s LIVE ITV races from Wetherby and Ascot, including the Grade Two Charlie Hall Chase.

 

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.50 - Ascot Underwriting Chase (A Novices´ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m3f ITV4

5 previous runnings
5/5 – Irish bred
4/5 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
3/5 – Aged 6 year-old
3/5 – Yet to win over fences
2/5 – Had run over hurdles at Ascot before
0/5 – Winning favourites
Trainer Oliver Sherwood has a 33% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 23% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 23% record with his chasers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 6/1

2.25 – Byrne Group Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV4

12/15 – Aged 8 years-old or younger
11/15 – Irish (5) or French (6) bred
10/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
9/15 – Having their first run of the new season
9/15 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
8/15 – Rated 130 or lower
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
5/15 – Aged 8 years-old
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Ran at either Ascot (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
3/15 – Won carrying 11-12
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

3.00 – Bet With Ascot Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV4

14/14 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
14/14 – Had won over at 2m or 2m1f over hurdles before
12/14 – Never raced at Ascot before
11/14 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
9/14 – Having their first run of the season
9/14 – Unplaced last time out
8/14 – Placed favourites
7/14 – Winning favourites (1 co, 2 joint)
6/14 – Ran at Huntingdon (3) or Aintree (3) last time out
5/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
4/14 – Won by a French bred horse
3/14 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
2/14 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/14 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/14 - Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/14 – Won by trainer Alan King
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

3.35 – Sodexo Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV4

13/13 – Had won a chase race over at least 2m4f before
10/13 – Didn’t win last time out
10/13 – Had run at Ascot before (4 won)
8/13 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
9/13 – Unplaced favourites
8/13 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
8/13 – Having their first run of the season
8/13 – Unplaced in their last race
8/13 – Carried 10-10 or more
8/13 – Aged 8 or older
8/13 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
6/13 – Officially rated 135 to 138 inc
5/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/13 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Ran at Sandown last time out
2/13 - Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/13 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
Go Conquer won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/1

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – OLBG.com Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

11/11 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
10/11 – Had between 2-5 previous hurdles wins to their name
9/11 – Never raced at Wetherby before
9/11 – Having their first run of the season
7/11 – Finished unplaced last time out
7/11 – Placed favourites
6/11 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
6/11 – Had won a NH Flat race previously
4/11 – Ran at Punchestown last time out
5/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by John Quinn
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/2

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2.40 – bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

14/16 – Were having their first run of the season
14/16 – Rated 151 or higher
13/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
11/16 – Aged 8 or older
11/16 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
10/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Ran at either Ayr (3), Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
9/16 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
6/16 – Had run at Wetherby before (2 won)
6/16  - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/16 – Trained by Evan Williams
Bristol De Mai (6/1) won the race in 2017
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005, 2007 & 2017
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 15/2

 

3.15 – bet365 Hurdle (West Yorkshire Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m26y ITV4

16/16 – Had won over at least 2m3f over hurdles before
15/16 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
14/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
13/16 – Failed to win their last race
12/16 – Officially rated 149 or higher
12/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Aged 6,7 or 8 years-old
8/16 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
9/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/16 – Had won at Wetherby before
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 27th Oct 2018

Loads to look forward to this Saturday with something for everyone as the ITV cameras are at Doncaster & Newbury for some decent flat action, plus they are also over the jumps for the first time this season at Cheltenham.

As always here at GEEGEEZ.co.uk we got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.45 –Doncaster Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

11/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
10/11 – Foaled in February or later
10/11 – Had won over 6f before
10/11 – Won between 1-2 times before
9/11 – Won last time out
8/11 – Carried 9-1 in weight
8/11 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/11 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
7/11 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
7/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – March-born foals
5/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/11 – Trained by Brian Meehan
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10.5/1
Trainer Marco Botti has won 2 of the last 3 runnings

 

3.25 – sunracing.co.uk Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f ITV

14/14 – Ran 5 or more times that season
13/14 – Had won over 5f before
13/14 – Aged 5 or younger
11/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/14 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
9/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/14 – Carried 8-10 or less
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
9/14 – Had run at Doncaster before (4 won)
5/14 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (2) last time out
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Winners from stall 1
2/14 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
2/14 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 5)
1/14 – Winning mare/filly
8 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure stall
The average winning SP in the 10 years is 11.5/1

 

4.05 – Vertem Futurity Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) ITV 1m

15/16 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
14/16 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
14/16 – Placed favourites
13/16 - Foaled in February or later
13/16 – Finished in the top two last time out
13/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/16 – Winning favourites
11/16 – Had raced at least twice previously
11/16 – Won their last race
10/16 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/16 - Had won over a mile before
9/16 – Ran at either the Curragh (3) or Newmarket (6) last time out
6/16 – Won by an Irish-based yard
5/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/16 – Won by a Montjeu-bred colt
4/16 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
3/16 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
2/16 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
1/16 – Went onto win the St Leger
Five winners have gone onto win the following season’s Epsom Derby
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 8 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2017
The average SP in the last 16 runnings is 7/1

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

 

2.20 – Teddington Royal British Legion Stakes (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

16/16 – Aged 5 or younger
15/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
14/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had won at least twice before
13/16 – Had at least 4 runs that season
13/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
10/16 – Rated 107 or higher
10/16 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/16 – Placed horses from stall 6
7/16 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/16 – Won by a filly or mare
6/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Andrew Balding
0/16 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

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2.50 – Molson Coors Stakes (Registered As The Horris Hill Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

14/15 – Foaled in Feb or later
12/15 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
11/15 – Never raced at Newbury
11/15 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
11/15 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
9/15 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
8/15 – Won over 7f before
8/15 – Favourites unplaced
7/15 – Foaled in February
7/15 – Won their last race
7/15 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
4/15 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
4/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
1/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends ITV/RUK)

2.00 – ‘Matchbook’ Exchange Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV

12/12 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting market
10/11 – Won over at least 3m previously
9/11 – First run of the season
8/11 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
8/11 – Favourites unplaced
8/11 – Rated 136 or higher
8/11 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
7/11 – Irish bred winners
7/11 – Had won at Cheltenham previously
6/11 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/11 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
5/11 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
5/11 – Unplaced in their last race
1/11 – Winning Favourites
Cogry (13/2) won the race 12 months ago
Singlefarmpayment was 2nd in the race last year
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

2.35 - Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV

7/9 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
6/9 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Carried 10-12 in weight
5/9 – Placed in their last race
4/9 – Irish bred winners
4/9 – Favourites placed
3/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Won 3 times over hurdles previously
2/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1

 

3.10 – Randox Health Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f199y ITV

Only 3 previous runnings
Foxtail Hillwon the race in 2017 for trainer Neil Mulholland
Boondooma won the race in 2016 for trainer Dr Richard Newland
All three winners aged between 6-8 years-old (2 aged 8)
All three winners returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
1 winning favourite
2 of the 3 winners carried 11-1 or more

 

3.45 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y ITV

7/9 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/9 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
7/9 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
7/9 – Had run at Cheltenham before (3 winners)
6/9 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
6/9 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
5/9 – Unplaced favourites
4/9 – Won last time out
3/9 – Irish Bred
2/9 – Mare winners
2/9 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/9 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 20th Oct 2018

More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 20th October - and what a day in prospect! A top card at Ascot for Champions Day that sees four Group Ones, a Group Two and a super-competitive handicap. Bundles to look forward to and as always, we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these key trends to find the best profiles of past winners.

Good Luck!

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.25 - Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) Cl1 2m ITV

14/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Won at Listed or better class previously
13/16 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or less
12/16 – Aged 5 or older
11/16 – Returned 9/2 or shorter
11/16 – Favourites placed
11/16 – Raced at least 5 times that season
11/16 – Won over at least 2 miles on the flat previously
11/16 – Won at least 5 times previously
8/16 – Raced at Longchamp (3), Ascot (2) or Doncaster (3) last time out
7/16 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
7/16 – Won their latest race
5/16 – Irish-trained winners
3/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/16 – Trained by Dermot Weld
Order Of St George (4/5 fav) won the race in 2016
Since 2011: 5 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 2-4 (inc)
Since 2011: Horses from stall 7 have been placed in 4 of the last 6
The average winning odds in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

2.00 - Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

15/16 – Won over 6f previously
15/16 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
15/16 – Won at least 3 times previously
14/16 –  Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Raced at least 4 times that season
13/16 – Won at Listed or better class previously
12/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/16 – Raced at Ascot previously (3 won)
12/16 – Finished in the top 4 in their latest race
11/16 – Won a Group race previously
10/16 – Favourites placed
10/16 – Raced at Haydock (5), Goodwood (2) or Newbury (3) last time out
4/16 – Won their latest race
4/16 – Favourites that won
Librisa Breeze (10/1) won the race in 2017
The Tin Man (13/2) won the race in 2016
Since 2011: 4 of the last 7 winners have come from stalls 12 (2) or 14 (2)
Since 2011: 4 of the last 7 winners came from double-figure stalls
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 12 placed 5 of the last 7 runnings
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 14 placed 4 of the last 7 runnings

The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 13/2

Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

2.40 - Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV

10/10 – Raced 3 or more times that season
9/10 – Won at Listed or better class previously
8/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
8/10 – Won over 1m4f previously
8/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
8/10 – Won at least 3 times previously
8/10 – Raced within the last 9 weeks
7/10 – Returned between 4/1 and 6/1
7/10 – Rated 110 or higher
6/10 – Favourites placed
6/10 – Aged 3 years-old
5/10 – Won their last race
3/10 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/10 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/10 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1
Hydrangea (4/1) won the race 12 months ago
Note: The 2009 & 2010 renewals were run at Newmarket

 

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3.15 - Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

16/16 – Raced at least 3 times that season
15/16 – Raced at Goodwood, Longchamp or Leopardstown last time out
15/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
15/16 – Aged 3 or 5 years-old
14/16 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
14/16 – Finished in the top three in their last race
13/16 – Favourites placed
12/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/16 – Raced at Ascot previously (6 won)
8/16 – Won their latest race
8/16 – Won at least 7 times previously
7/16 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
7/16 – Favourites that won
4/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/16 – Trained by Freddie Head
2/16 – Trained by John Gosden
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Persuasive (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1
Since 2011: Horses from stall 2 and 7 have won 4 of the last 7 runnings

Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

3.50 - Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f ITV

16/16 – Won at least 4 times previously
15/16 – Won between 4 and 8 times previously
15/16 – Aged 5 or younger
15/16 – Finished in the top 3 in their latest race
14/16 – Won over 1m2f previously
14/16 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
12/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/16 – Raced 5 or more times that season
10/16 – Won their last race
7/16 – Raced at either Longchamp (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
6/16 – Favourites unplaced
6/16 – Returned a double-figure price
4/16 – Won by a French-based trainer
4/16 – Favourites
3/16 – Ridden by Tom Queally
Cracksman (13/8 fav) won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Aidan O'Brien has never won this race
Since 2011: Horses from stall 5 have won 2 of the last 5 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 11/2

 

4.30 - Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) Cl2 1m ITV

Just 4 previous runnings
4/4 - Winners drawn 10 or lower
3/4 - previous winners were aged 5 years-old
3/4 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-3 in weight
3/4 - Winners ran at Newmarket last time out
1/4 - Winning favourite
Trainers David O’Meara, Roger Charlton, Saeed Bin Suroor and Marcus Tregoning have won the race in the past
Horses from stalls 12 or 13 have been placed in the last 3 runnings

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 13th Oct 2018

This weekend as the ITV cameras head to Newmarket and York to take in seven LIVE races.

At HQ its the second day of the Newmarket Dubai Future Champions meeting, plus there is also LIVE racing from York. Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn & Dewhurst Stakes.

Did you know that 13 of the last 16 Cesarewitch Handicap winners carried 9-1 or less and had also raced in the last 2 months?

As mentioned, ITV cameras are also at York to take in three races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy - a race that has seen ALL of the last 15 winners having raced in the last 4 weeks.

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races - we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

 

1.50 – Godolphin Flying Start Zetland Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV

11/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
10/11 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Placed favourites
10/11 – Won no more than twice before
9/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/11 – Drawn in stalls 2-5 (inc)
9/11 – Had won over at least 1m before
6/11 – Won last time out
6/11 – Came from stalls 2 or 3
6/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Ran at Leicester last time out
2/11 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/11 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/11 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
0/11 – Winners from stall 1

 

2.25 – Masar Godolphin Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

13/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
12/13 – Had won over at least 7f before
12/13 – Had raced at least twice before
11/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Won between 1-2 times before
9/13 – Won last time out
9/13 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Foaled in Feb or March
8/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Godolphin winners
2/13 – Ridden by William Buick
2/13 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/13 – Irish-trained winners
7 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 3-5

Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

 

3.00 - Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

16/16 – Raced at least 3 times that season
14/16 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
14/16 – Placed in their last race
12/16 – Won over 7f previously
11/16 – Favourites placed
11/16 – Won at least 3 times previously
11/16 – Won their last race
11/16 – Won a Group race previously
10/16 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (6) last time out
10/16 – Won by an Irish-based stable
9/16 – Foaled in either  Feb or March
7/16 – Favourites that won
6/16 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/16 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
5/16 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/16 – Trained by Jim Bolger
5/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (6 wins in total)
5/16 – Ridden by Kevin Manning
5/16 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season
2/16 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
1/16 – Winners that came from stall 1
The Irish have won 10 of the last 12 runnings
3 of the last 8 winners came from stall 3
Aidan O’Brien has trained the last three winners

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3.40 – Dubai £500,000 Cesarewitch Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

15/16 – Aged 4 or older
13/16 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
13/16 – Had run within the last 2 months
13/16 – Carried 9-1 or less
12/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/16 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
11/16 – Finished 4th or better last time out
10/16 – Aged 5 or older
10/16 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
9/16 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
9/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/16 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
8/16 – Ran at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
8/16 – Had run at the track before
8/16 – Placed favourites
7/16 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
7/16 – Won by a NH trainer
4/16 – Winning mares
3/16 – Winners from stall 1
3/16 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/16 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 23/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1993

 

 

York Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

 

2.05 - Download The Coral App Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

Just five previous running
No winning favourite yet
3 of the last 5 winners were aged 3 years-old
All 5 previous winners returned 10/1 or shorter
Trainer Tom Dascombe has a 23% record with this 3 year-olds at the track

 

2.40 – coral.co.uk Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

15/15– Had raced within the last month
14/15 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
13/15 – Foaled in March or later
12/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Had 4 or more runs that season
12/15 – Had never raced at York before
11/15 – Had won over 6f before
11/15 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
9/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Unplaced last time out
6/15 – Ran at either Redcar (4) or Newbury (2) last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Winners from stall 2
4/15 – Filly winners
3/15 – Placed horses from stall 1
2/15 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/15 – Ridden by David Allen

 

3.15 – Coral Sprint Trophy (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

15/15 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
15/15 – Had won at least 3 races before
14/15 – Had run at York before
14/15 – Had won a race over 6f before
13/15 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
11/15 – Aged 5 or younger
10/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Rated between 92 and 98
8/15 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
8/15 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
5/15 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/15 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/15 – Filly or mare winners
Teruntum Star (10/1) won the race in 2017

 

 

 

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Newmarket TV Trends: Friday 12th Oct 2018

More LIVE ITV action on Friday 12th October for day one of the two-day Dubai Future Champions Festival at Newmarket. Plenty to get stuck into with the Group One Bet365 Fillies’ Mile the clear feature race, but with the Cornwallis Stakes, Oh So Sharp Stakes and Challenge Stakes supporting then there is a lot to look forward to.

As always we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these to find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

1.50 – Newmarket Academy Godolphin Beacon Project Cornwallis Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

13/15 – Had won over 5f previously
12/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
11/15 – Rated 98 or more
11/15 – Ran within the last 30 days
11/15 – Foaled in March or later
11/15 – Winning distance – 1 ½ or less
11/15 – Won at least twice or more before
10/15 – Had raced 5 or more times
10/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
8/15 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
7/15 – Filly winners
6/15 – Raced at Ayr last time out
6/15 – Won their last race
4/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Raced at Doncaster last time out

 

2.25 – The Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

13/14 – Had between 1-2 wins already
13/14 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/14 – Had between 1-3 career runs
11/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/14 – Won last time out
10/14 – Foaled in March or later
10/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
8/14 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Had won over 7f or further before
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
7/14 – Irish bred
4/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore

 

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3.00 – The Godolphin Stud & Stable Awards Challenge Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

15/15 – Won a Listed (4) or Group (10) race previously
15/15 – Won over 7f previously
15/15 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
15/15 – Raced 3 or more times that season
12/15 – Won 3 or more times previously
12/15 – Winners from stall 10 or lower
11/15 –  Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
11/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
11/15 – Officially rated 113 or higher
9/15 – Priced 7/1 or lower
8/15 – Placed in their last race
8/15 – Favourites placed
6/15 – Won at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
6/15 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Goodwood (2) last time out
4/15 – Won their previous race
4/15 - Favourites that won
2/15 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda
1/15 – Filly/Mare winners

 

3.35 – Bet365 Fillies´ Mile (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

14/14 - Finished in the first three last time out
14/14 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
13/14 – Finished in the first two last time out
13/14- Yet to win a Group 1
13/14 – Foaled in Feb or later
12/14 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
11/14 – Had won between 2-3 times before
10/14 – Favourites that finished in the top three
10/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Won last time out
10/14 – Had won a Group race before
9/14 – Foaled in Feb or March
7/14 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
6/14 - Winning favourites (or joint)
6/14 – Irish bred
4/14 - Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/14 – Irish-trained winners
3/14 – US bred
3/14 – Won by trainer John Gosden
3/14 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori

 

4.10 – Bet365 Old Rowley Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 1m4f ITV

4 previous runnings3/4 – Had won at least twice before
3/4 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
3/4 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
3/4 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
3/4 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
2/4 – Priced 8/1 in the betting
2/4 – Ran at Haydock last time out
0/4 – winning favourites

 

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Sat TV Trends: 6th Oct 2018

This weekend as the ITV cameras head to Newmarket, Ascot and Redcar to take in seven LIVE races.

At Redcar we've got the Two-Year-Old Trophy as their feature contest, while at Newmarket the Group One Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes takes centre stage - a race the French have won 5 times in the last 16 years. Then at Ascot we've four more races that include the Cumberland Lodge and John Guest Bengough Stakes, plus the ultra-competitive Challenge Cup Handicap - Did you know that 14 of the last 16 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed?

As always, use these key trends to find the best profiles of recent winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

1.50 – Duke Of Edinburgh’s Award Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV4

14/14 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
14/14 – Won over 5f before
13/14 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Rated 101 or higher
11/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
11/14 – Aged 5 or younger
10/14 – Had won between 3-7 times before
9/14 – Unplaced last time out
8/14 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
7/14 – Raced at Newbury last time out
6/14 – Irish bred
3/14 - Trained by Bryan Smart
2/14 – Won last time out
1/14 – Winning favourites
Just Glamorous (33/1) won the race in 2017
10 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 10 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

2.25 – Stella Artois Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

16/16 - Finished fourth or better last time out
14/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
14/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/16 – Placed favourites
13/16 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
12/16 – Won at Listed or better class before
11/16 – Had raced at the course before (6 won)
10/16 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
10/16 – Had 5 or more runs that season
10/16 – Won last time out
10/16 – Had won 4 or more times before
8/16 – Favourites to win
6/16 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
5/16 – Trained by Marcus Tregoning
2/16 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
1/16 – Filly or mare winners
9 of the last 10 winners came from draws 8 or lower
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3
Danehill Kodiac (8/1) won the race in 2007
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.00 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV4

10 previous runnings
10/10 – Won over 6f previously
10/10 – Officially rated 100 or higher
9/10 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
9/10 – Won 4 or more times previously
8/10 – Had run within the last 30 days
7/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
6/10 – Raced 6 or more times that season
5/10 – Won their previous race
3/10 – Returned a double-figure price
3/10 – Favourites to win
2/10 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 5 of the last 7 runnings (3 wins)
Horses from stall 5 and 7 have won 5 of the last 7 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
Blue Point (Evs) won the race in 2017

3.35 – Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

15/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
14/16 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
13/16 – Won over 7f previously
11/16 – Had raced within the last 30 days
11/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/16 – Raced at Ascot previously
10/16 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/16 – Raced 7 or more times that season
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price
7/16 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
5/16 – Raced at Ayr last time out
4/16 – Favourites to win
2/16 – Traind by Roger Charlton
2/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/16 – Won their previous race
0/16 – Filly or mare winners
7 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
5 of the last 10 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
4 of the last 10 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1
Accidental Agent (16/1) won the race in 2017

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.05 - British EBF Breeders´ Fillies´ Series Sprint Handicap Cl2 6f ITV4

Just 2 previous running
Trainer Malcolm Saunders won the race in 2017
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race in 2016
Trainer John Gosden has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Hughie Morrison has a 33% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

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3.15 -
Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

12/14 – Had won over at least 1m before
12/14 – Previous Group winners
12/14 – Won between 3-5 times before
11/14 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
10/14 – Rated between 113 and 119
9/14 – Previous Group One winners
7/14 – Aged 3 years-old
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 co)
5/14 – French-trained winners
5/14 – Raced at Deauville last time out
4/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The last 11 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
Horses from stall 1 have won 4 of the last 12 runnings
Roly Poly (4/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

 

Redcar Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.45 – Racing UK Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

13/16 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
11/16 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
10/16 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
10/16 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/16 – Foaled in March or later
8/16 – Had won over 6f before
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Filly winners
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/16 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/16 – Trained by Stan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 29th Sept 2018

The ITV cameras are at Newmarket this Saturday to show four LIVE races, with the Cambridgeshire Handicap their feature. Plus, they are also at Haydock to take in two competitive handicaps  - as always we’re on hand with all the key trends and stats……

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 - Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m ITV4

16/16 – Had won one or two races before
15/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/16 – Had won over 7f or further before
15/16 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
13/16 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
12/16 - Either US or Irish bred
12/16 – Foaled in Feb or March
10/16 – Had only won over 7f before
9/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Trained by John Gosden
3/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner 5 times
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)

 

2.25 – Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV4

16/16 – Finished in the top two last time out
16/16 – Had won over 6f before
15/16 – Foaled in Feb or March
15/16 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
14/16 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Had 3 or more previous runs
11/16 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (2 won it)
11/16 – Won last time out
11/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
9/16 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
8/16 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
7/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/16 – Winners drawn in stall 6
2/16 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
2/16 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (last 2 runnings)
2/16 – Trained by Brian Meehan
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

3.00 - Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f ITV

15/15 – Won over 6f previously
14/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/15 – Won their last race
13/15 – Had run 3 or more times previously
13/15 – Won at least twice previously
12/15 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
11/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
11/15 – Foaled in either Feb or March
9/15 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
9/15 – Favourites placed
5/15 – Ran at Deauville last time out
4/15 – Favourites that won
4/15 – Won by an Irish-based stable
3/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
1/15 – Winners that came from stall 1
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004, 2011 & 2017

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3.40 – Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV

16/16 – Aged 6 or younger
15/16 – Won 3 or more times in their career
13/16 – Carried 9-4 or less
12/16 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
12/16 – Won from a double-figure stall
12/16 – Unplaced favourites
12/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
11/16 – Finished 5th or better last time out
11/16 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/16 – Rated between 90-100
11/16 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
9/16 – Carried 8-12 or less
5/16 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Won their last race
10 of the last 12 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 22/1

 


HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – Smarkets Betting Exchange Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV4

10/11 – Had won 1 or 2 times before
10/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
9/11 – Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/11 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
6/11 – Irish bred winners
4/11 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Tom Dascombe
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

3.15 – Smarkets Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4

11/11 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
11/11 – Had won over 5f before
10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
9/11 – Came from stalls 7-11 (inc)
8/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/11 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
8/11 – Had won between 2-4 times before
7/11 – Rated between 92-96
7/11 – Had raced at Haydock before
7/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
4/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/11 – Trained by Jamie Osborne
2/11 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/11 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

 

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