Daily Double Dutch reports from Geegeez: detailed write-ups, statistics and information on Geegeez’s own horse betting project. Read on to find out more.

Sat TV Trends: 13th Oct 2018

This weekend as the ITV cameras head to Newmarket and York to take in seven LIVE races.

At HQ its the second day of the Newmarket Dubai Future Champions meeting, plus there is also LIVE racing from York. Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn & Dewhurst Stakes.

Did you know that 13 of the last 16 Cesarewitch Handicap winners carried 9-1 or less and had also raced in the last 2 months?

As mentioned, ITV cameras are also at York to take in three races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy - a race that has seen ALL of the last 15 winners having raced in the last 4 weeks.

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races - we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

 

1.50 – Godolphin Flying Start Zetland Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV

11/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
10/11 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Placed favourites
10/11 – Won no more than twice before
9/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/11 – Drawn in stalls 2-5 (inc)
9/11 – Had won over at least 1m before
6/11 – Won last time out
6/11 – Came from stalls 2 or 3
6/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Ran at Leicester last time out
2/11 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/11 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/11 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
0/11 – Winners from stall 1

 

2.25 – Masar Godolphin Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

13/13 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
12/13 – Had won over at least 7f before
12/13 – Had raced at least twice before
11/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Won between 1-2 times before
9/13 – Won last time out
9/13 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Foaled in Feb or March
8/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Godolphin winners
2/13 – Ridden by William Buick
2/13 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/13 – Irish-trained winners
7 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 3-5

Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

 

3.00 - Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

16/16 – Raced at least 3 times that season
14/16 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
14/16 – Placed in their last race
12/16 – Won over 7f previously
11/16 – Favourites placed
11/16 – Won at least 3 times previously
11/16 – Won their last race
11/16 – Won a Group race previously
10/16 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (6) last time out
10/16 – Won by an Irish-based stable
9/16 – Foaled in either  Feb or March
7/16 – Favourites that won
6/16 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/16 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
5/16 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/16 – Trained by Jim Bolger
5/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (6 wins in total)
5/16 – Ridden by Kevin Manning
5/16 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season
2/16 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
1/16 – Winners that came from stall 1
The Irish have won 10 of the last 12 runnings
3 of the last 8 winners came from stall 3
Aidan O’Brien has trained the last three winners

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3.40 – Dubai £500,000 Cesarewitch Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

15/16 – Aged 4 or older
13/16 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
13/16 – Had run within the last 2 months
13/16 – Carried 9-1 or less
12/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/16 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
11/16 – Finished 4th or better last time out
10/16 – Aged 5 or older
10/16 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
9/16 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
9/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/16 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
8/16 – Ran at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
8/16 – Had run at the track before
8/16 – Placed favourites
7/16 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
7/16 – Won by a NH trainer
4/16 – Winning mares
3/16 – Winners from stall 1
3/16 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/16 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 23/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1993

 

 

York Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

 

2.05 - Download The Coral App Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

Just five previous running
No winning favourite yet
3 of the last 5 winners were aged 3 years-old
All 5 previous winners returned 10/1 or shorter
Trainer Tom Dascombe has a 23% record with this 3 year-olds at the track

 

2.40 – coral.co.uk Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

15/15– Had raced within the last month
14/15 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
13/15 – Foaled in March or later
12/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Had 4 or more runs that season
12/15 – Had never raced at York before
11/15 – Had won over 6f before
11/15 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
9/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Unplaced last time out
6/15 – Ran at either Redcar (4) or Newbury (2) last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Winners from stall 2
4/15 – Filly winners
3/15 – Placed horses from stall 1
2/15 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/15 – Ridden by David Allen

 

3.15 – Coral Sprint Trophy (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

15/15 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
15/15 – Had won at least 3 races before
14/15 – Had run at York before
14/15 – Had won a race over 6f before
13/15 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
11/15 – Aged 5 or younger
10/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Rated between 92 and 98
8/15 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
8/15 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
5/15 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/15 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/15 – Filly or mare winners
Teruntum Star (10/1) won the race in 2017

 

 

 

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Newmarket TV Trends: Friday 12th Oct 2018

More LIVE ITV action on Friday 12th October for day one of the two-day Dubai Future Champions Festival at Newmarket. Plenty to get stuck into with the Group One Bet365 Fillies’ Mile the clear feature race, but with the Cornwallis Stakes, Oh So Sharp Stakes and Challenge Stakes supporting then there is a lot to look forward to.

As always we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these to find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

1.50 – Newmarket Academy Godolphin Beacon Project Cornwallis Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

13/15 – Had won over 5f previously
12/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
11/15 – Rated 98 or more
11/15 – Ran within the last 30 days
11/15 – Foaled in March or later
11/15 – Winning distance – 1 ½ or less
11/15 – Won at least twice or more before
10/15 – Had raced 5 or more times
10/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
8/15 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
7/15 – Filly winners
6/15 – Raced at Ayr last time out
6/15 – Won their last race
4/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Raced at Doncaster last time out

 

2.25 – The Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

13/14 – Had between 1-2 wins already
13/14 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/14 – Had between 1-3 career runs
11/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/14 – Won last time out
10/14 – Foaled in March or later
10/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
8/14 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Had won over 7f or further before
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
7/14 – Irish bred
4/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore

 

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3.00 – The Godolphin Stud & Stable Awards Challenge Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

15/15 – Won a Listed (4) or Group (10) race previously
15/15 – Won over 7f previously
15/15 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
15/15 – Raced 3 or more times that season
12/15 – Won 3 or more times previously
12/15 – Winners from stall 10 or lower
11/15 –  Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
11/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
11/15 – Officially rated 113 or higher
9/15 – Priced 7/1 or lower
8/15 – Placed in their last race
8/15 – Favourites placed
6/15 – Won at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
6/15 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Goodwood (2) last time out
4/15 – Won their previous race
4/15 - Favourites that won
2/15 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda
1/15 – Filly/Mare winners

 

3.35 – Bet365 Fillies´ Mile (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

14/14 - Finished in the first three last time out
14/14 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
13/14 – Finished in the first two last time out
13/14- Yet to win a Group 1
13/14 – Foaled in Feb or later
12/14 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
11/14 – Had won between 2-3 times before
10/14 – Favourites that finished in the top three
10/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Won last time out
10/14 – Had won a Group race before
9/14 – Foaled in Feb or March
7/14 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
6/14 - Winning favourites (or joint)
6/14 – Irish bred
4/14 - Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/14 – Irish-trained winners
3/14 – US bred
3/14 – Won by trainer John Gosden
3/14 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori

 

4.10 – Bet365 Old Rowley Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 1m4f ITV

4 previous runnings3/4 – Had won at least twice before
3/4 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
3/4 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
3/4 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
3/4 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
2/4 – Priced 8/1 in the betting
2/4 – Ran at Haydock last time out
0/4 – winning favourites

 

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Sat TV Trends: 6th Oct 2018

This weekend as the ITV cameras head to Newmarket, Ascot and Redcar to take in seven LIVE races.

At Redcar we've got the Two-Year-Old Trophy as their feature contest, while at Newmarket the Group One Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes takes centre stage - a race the French have won 5 times in the last 16 years. Then at Ascot we've four more races that include the Cumberland Lodge and John Guest Bengough Stakes, plus the ultra-competitive Challenge Cup Handicap - Did you know that 14 of the last 16 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed?

As always, use these key trends to find the best profiles of recent winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

1.50 – Duke Of Edinburgh’s Award Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV4

14/14 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
14/14 – Won over 5f before
13/14 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Rated 101 or higher
11/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
11/14 – Aged 5 or younger
10/14 – Had won between 3-7 times before
9/14 – Unplaced last time out
8/14 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
7/14 – Raced at Newbury last time out
6/14 – Irish bred
3/14 - Trained by Bryan Smart
2/14 – Won last time out
1/14 – Winning favourites
Just Glamorous (33/1) won the race in 2017
10 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 10 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

2.25 – Stella Artois Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

16/16 - Finished fourth or better last time out
14/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
14/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/16 – Placed favourites
13/16 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
12/16 – Won at Listed or better class before
11/16 – Had raced at the course before (6 won)
10/16 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
10/16 – Had 5 or more runs that season
10/16 – Won last time out
10/16 – Had won 4 or more times before
8/16 – Favourites to win
6/16 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
5/16 – Trained by Marcus Tregoning
2/16 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
1/16 – Filly or mare winners
9 of the last 10 winners came from draws 8 or lower
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3
Danehill Kodiac (8/1) won the race in 2007
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.00 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV4

10 previous runnings
10/10 – Won over 6f previously
10/10 – Officially rated 100 or higher
9/10 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
9/10 – Won 4 or more times previously
8/10 – Had run within the last 30 days
7/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
6/10 – Raced 6 or more times that season
5/10 – Won their previous race
3/10 – Returned a double-figure price
3/10 – Favourites to win
2/10 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 5 of the last 7 runnings (3 wins)
Horses from stall 5 and 7 have won 5 of the last 7 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
Blue Point (Evs) won the race in 2017

3.35 – Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

15/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
14/16 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
13/16 – Won over 7f previously
11/16 – Had raced within the last 30 days
11/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/16 – Raced at Ascot previously
10/16 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/16 – Raced 7 or more times that season
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price
7/16 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
5/16 – Raced at Ayr last time out
4/16 – Favourites to win
2/16 – Traind by Roger Charlton
2/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/16 – Won their previous race
0/16 – Filly or mare winners
7 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
5 of the last 10 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
4 of the last 10 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1
Accidental Agent (16/1) won the race in 2017

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.05 - British EBF Breeders´ Fillies´ Series Sprint Handicap Cl2 6f ITV4

Just 2 previous running
Trainer Malcolm Saunders won the race in 2017
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race in 2016
Trainer John Gosden has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Hughie Morrison has a 33% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

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3.15 -
Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

12/14 – Had won over at least 1m before
12/14 – Previous Group winners
12/14 – Won between 3-5 times before
11/14 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
10/14 – Rated between 113 and 119
9/14 – Previous Group One winners
7/14 – Aged 3 years-old
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 co)
5/14 – French-trained winners
5/14 – Raced at Deauville last time out
4/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The last 11 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
Horses from stall 1 have won 4 of the last 12 runnings
Roly Poly (4/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

 

Redcar Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.45 – Racing UK Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

13/16 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
11/16 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
10/16 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
10/16 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/16 – Foaled in March or later
8/16 – Had won over 6f before
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Filly winners
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/16 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/16 – Trained by Stan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 29th Sept 2018

The ITV cameras are at Newmarket this Saturday to show four LIVE races, with the Cambridgeshire Handicap their feature. Plus, they are also at Haydock to take in two competitive handicaps  - as always we’re on hand with all the key trends and stats……

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 - Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m ITV4

16/16 – Had won one or two races before
15/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/16 – Had won over 7f or further before
15/16 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
13/16 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
12/16 - Either US or Irish bred
12/16 – Foaled in Feb or March
10/16 – Had only won over 7f before
9/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Trained by John Gosden
3/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner 5 times
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)

 

2.25 – Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV4

16/16 – Finished in the top two last time out
16/16 – Had won over 6f before
15/16 – Foaled in Feb or March
15/16 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
14/16 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Had 3 or more previous runs
11/16 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (2 won it)
11/16 – Won last time out
11/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
9/16 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
8/16 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
7/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/16 – Winners drawn in stall 6
2/16 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
2/16 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (last 2 runnings)
2/16 – Trained by Brian Meehan
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

3.00 - Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f ITV

15/15 – Won over 6f previously
14/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/15 – Won their last race
13/15 – Had run 3 or more times previously
13/15 – Won at least twice previously
12/15 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
11/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
11/15 – Foaled in either Feb or March
9/15 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
9/15 – Favourites placed
5/15 – Ran at Deauville last time out
4/15 – Favourites that won
4/15 – Won by an Irish-based stable
3/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
1/15 – Winners that came from stall 1
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004, 2011 & 2017

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3.40 – Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV

16/16 – Aged 6 or younger
15/16 – Won 3 or more times in their career
13/16 – Carried 9-4 or less
12/16 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
12/16 – Won from a double-figure stall
12/16 – Unplaced favourites
12/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
11/16 – Finished 5th or better last time out
11/16 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/16 – Rated between 90-100
11/16 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
9/16 – Carried 8-12 or less
5/16 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Won their last race
10 of the last 12 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 22/1

 


HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – Smarkets Betting Exchange Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV4

10/11 – Had won 1 or 2 times before
10/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
9/11 – Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/11 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
6/11 – Irish bred winners
4/11 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Tom Dascombe
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

3.15 – Smarkets Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4

11/11 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
11/11 – Had won over 5f before
10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
9/11 – Came from stalls 7-11 (inc)
8/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/11 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
8/11 – Had won between 2-4 times before
7/11 – Rated between 92-96
7/11 – Had raced at Haydock before
7/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
4/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/11 – Trained by Jamie Osborne
2/11 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/11 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

 

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Newmarket TV Trends: Friday 28th Sept 2018

Another big day of LIVE ITV racing this Friday as the cameras head to Newmarket to take in four races, including the Group Two Rockfel and Joel Stakes.
As always, we’ve got it all covered with all the big-race trends for the LIVE races, plus our verdict on each contest – Enjoy!

 

Friday 28th September 2018

1.50 – Muhaarar Rosemary Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

7/7 – Had won over 1m before
7/7 – Had between 3-6 runs that season
6/7 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
5/7 – Won between 1-3 times before
5/7 – Placed horses from stall 3 (2 winners)
5/7 – Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/7 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
4/7 – Aged 3 years-old
2/7 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/7 – Trained by John Gosden
2/7 – Trained by William Haggas
0/7 – Winning favourites
Richard Hannon won the race in 2013
William Haggas won the race in 2014 & 2017
John Gosden won the race in 2015 & 2016
Laugh Aloud won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 15/2

 

2.25 – Princess Royal Nayef Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

12/13 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/13 – Placed favourites
11/13 – Had won over 1m2f or further in the past
11/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/13 – Won between 1-3 times before
10/13 – Aged 3 years-old
8/13 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/13 – Winning favourites
5/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13 – Ridden by William Buick
Trainer John Gosden has won 3 of the last 6 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

3.00 – Shadwell Rockfel Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4

13/14 – Had won 1-2 times in the past
13/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time
12/14 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
9/14 – Won by a March or April born foal
8/14 – Won over 7f before
8/14 – Placed favourites
7/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by trainer Mick Channon
2/14 – Won by the Hills yard
2/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (last two winners)
2/14 – Won by trainer Jim Bolger
2/14 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
0/14 – Winners from stalls 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

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3.35 – Shadwell Joel Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV4

13/14 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/14 – Officially rated between 111-118
11/14 – Had won a Group race before
10/14 – Failed to win last time out
10/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/14 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
10/14 – Had won over 1m before
10/14 – Won 4 or less times before
9/14 – Raced at either Doncaster, Haydock, Newmarket or Newbury last time out
9/14 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (4 won)
9/14 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
6/14 – Aged 4 years-old
5/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (including 2 of last 3 runnings)
2/14 – Won by Godolphin (Saeed Bin Suroor)
1/14 – Winners from stalls 2 or 3
Beat The Bank won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 22nd Sept 2018

It’s Ayr Gold Cup day at the Scottish venue this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are also heading to Newbury for their Dubai Duty Free Day – We’ve 8 LIVE races in total.

As always, we've  got all the TV trends for you. Use these to find the best profiles of past winners and whittle down the runners.


Saturday 22nd September 2018

AYR Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.00 - William Hill Supports The Fight Against Parkinson's Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
10/11 – Had won over 1m before
10/11 – Won between 2-6 times before
9/11 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Winners from stalls 9 or lower
9/11 – Placed 4th or worse in their last race
9/11 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
8/11 – Aged 4 or older
8/11 – Returned between 7/1-14/1 in the betting
7/11 – Had run at the track before
7/11 – Rated between 89-93
7/11 – Unplaced favourites
6/11 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
2/11 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/11 – Trained by Michael Dods
2/11 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
1/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

2.40 – William Hill Ayr Silver Cup (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

15/15 – Carried 8-11 or more
13/15 – Aged 5 or younger
13/15 – Previous winners over 6f
13/15 – Winning distance 1 length or less
12/15 – Had raced at Ayr before (5 won)
12/15 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/15 – Carried 9-0 or more
10/15 - Had either 2 or 3 career wins to their name
10/15 – Finished 5th or better last time out
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
7/15 – The first 4 home all returned a double-figure price
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/15 – Winning Favourites
3/15 – Drawn in stalls 8 to 20 (inc) i.e horses drawn either high or low have done best
0/15 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/1

 

3.15 – William Hill Firth Of Clyde Stakes (Group 3) (for The Ayrshire Agricultural Challenge Cup) Cl1 6f ITV4

13/15 – Previous winners over 6f
13/15 – Finished 4th or better last time out
13/15 – Had never raced at Ayr before
13/15 – Had won once or two times before
12/15 – Winning distance 1 length or further
11/15 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
11/15 – Had 3 or more runs that season
10/15 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/15 – Trained by Bryan Smart
2/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1

 

3.50 – William Hill Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

16/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
14/16 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
13/16 – Had won over 6f before
12/16 – Failed to win their last race
11/16 – Carried 9-1 or more
10/16 – Had 7 or more runs that season
10/16 – Unplaced favourites
10/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/16 – Rated 90-100
9/16 – Came from a double-figure stall
9/16 – Had raced at Ayr before
8/16 – Ran at either Doncaster (3), Goodwood (2) or Haydock (3) last time out
8/16 – Winning distance 1 length or less
4/16 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
1/16– Winning favourites (2 winning favs since 1980)
0/16 – Filly or mare winners
Since 1980 just five winners aged 6 or older
The last 10 winners came from stalls 8 or lower (4 of the last 13 winners came from stall 8)
The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronsiea in 1930/31
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 15/1

Note: The 2017 renewal was staged at Haydock

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NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

1.45 – Dubai Duty Free Handicap Cl2 1m2f6y ITV4

14/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/16 – Won from stall 7 or higher
12/16 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
12/16 – Won at least twice previously
11/16 – Won over 1m2f previously
11/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/16 – Raced 5 or more times that season
10/16 – Officially rated between 89 and 94
9/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
9/16 – Won by a 4 year-old
9/16 – Won from a double-figure draw
7/16 – Returned a double-figure price
6/16 – Had raced at Newbury before (2 won)
4/16 – Trained by Luca Cumani
4/16 – Won their last race
4/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint, 1 Co)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

 

2.20 –Dubai Duty Free Legacy Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m3f5y ITV4

16/16 – Won over 1m2f (or further) previously
15/16 – Priced 9/1 or less
13/16 – Aged 5 or younger
12/16 – Had 4 or more career wins
12/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/16 – Had won at Listed or better class previously
10/16 – Favourites placed
9/16 – Raced at Newbury before
8/16 – Raced 5 or more times that season
7/16 – Had won a Group race before
6/16 – Won their last race
4/16 – Favourites that won
3/16 – Trained by David Simcock (including last 3 runnings)
3/16 – Raced at York last time
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

2.55 – Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f8y ITV4

13/16 – Won from draw 5 or lower
13/16 – Raced 3 or more times
13/16 – Priced 5/1 or shorter
12/16 – Won over 6f previously
12/16 – Favourites placed
11/16 – Foaled in March or later
10/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/16 – Favourites (or joint) to win
7/16 – Won exactly two races before
6/16 – Won by an April foal
5/16 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
4/16 – Won their previous race
4/16 – Ran in the Gimcrack last time out (York)
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/16 – Trained by Karl Burke
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/16 – Filly winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

3.30 - Dubai International Airport World Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 5f34y ITV4

16/16 – Raced four or more times that season
14/16 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
14/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/16 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
13/16 – Won a Listed or Group race before
12/16 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
12/16 – Won over 5f previously
11/16 - Aged 5 or younger
11/16 – Won 4 or more times
8/16 – Previous Group race winners
6/16 – Ran at the Curragh last time out (inc 3 of last 6 winners)
6/16 – Won their last race
5/16 – Favourites
4/16 – Mare winners
Take Cover won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 15th Sept 2018

Like all big race days we are on hand with the key TV trends this Saturday from Chester and Doncaster, including the William Hill St Leger - the final of the English Classics this turf season.

As always we've  got all the TV trends for you. Use these to find the best profiles of past winners and whittle down the runners.


Saturday 15th September 2018

 

DONCASTER Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.50 – William Hill Portland Handicap Cl2 5f140y ITV

15/16 – Carried 8-12 or more
14/16 – Won over 6f before
13/16 – Had run 5 or more times that season
13/16 – Came from a double-figure stall
12/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/16 – Winner rated between 95 and 101
11/16 – Won 4 or more times in their career
11/16 – Run at Doncaster previously
10/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/16 – Unplaced Favourites
8/16 – Placed in their last race
7/16 – Winners aged 5 years-old (inc 7 of last 10 years)
6/16 – Raced in that season’s Great St Wilfrid (Ripon)
4/16 – Raced at Ripon last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Won by the Kevin Ryan yard
3/16 – Won last time out
Spring Loaded (12/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1

2.25 – Alan Wood Plumbing Park Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

13/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/15 – Run 3 or more times that season
13/15 – Won 3 or more times before
12/15 – Won over 7f before
12/15 – Won a Group race previously
12/15 – Returned  7/1 or shorter
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Aged 4 or older
10/15 – Run at either Goodwood (5), Newbury (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
10/15 – Unplaced in their most recent race
7/15 – Placed horses from stall 1
6/15 – Had run at Doncaster before
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/15 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda
3 Irish-trained winners in the last 9 runnings
Acclaim (3/1) won the race in 2017
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

3.00 – Howcroft Industrial Supplies Champagne Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f ITV

16/17 - Returned  8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Won 1 or 2 times previously
14/17 – Favourites placed
14/17 – Had won over 7f before
13/17 – Won by a Feb or March foal
13/17 – Finished third or better last time out
10/17 – Won last time out
9/17 – Run at Sandown, Newbury, York or t­­he Curragh last time out
8/17 – Raced 3 or more times that season
7/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Won by Godolphin
3/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/17 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard
2/17 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/17 – Won by the Charlie Appleby yard
2/17 – Won by the Saeed Bin Suroor yard
2/17 – Winners from stall 1
Seahenge (8/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/4
Note: 2005 renewal was a dead-heat

3.35 – William Hill St Leger Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m6f132y ITV

15/16 – Had 2 or 3 previous career wins
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Placed favourites
13/16 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
12/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had won a Group race before
12/16 – Had 4 or 5 previous runs that season
11/16 – Had won over at least 1m3f before
10/16 – Had never raced over 1m6f or further before
10/16 – Winning distance of 1 length or more
10/16 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
9/16 – Officially rated 109 to 115
9/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/16 – Ran in the Great Voltigeur last time out (2 won it)
4/16 – USA-bred winners
4/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/16 – Ran in the Gordon Stakes last time out (2 won it)
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden
3/16 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (5 wins in total)
2/16 – Ridden by William Buick
2/16 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/16 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won the race 6 times
Aidan O’Brien has trained 5 winners of the race
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 15/2

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CHESTER Horse Racing Trends (ITV)

 

2.05 – Read Josephine Gordon Blog At Unibet.co.uk/blog Handicap (Cl3) (4yo+ 0-90) ITV

- Just one previous running
- Trainer Kevin Ryan won last year’s race
- Trainer Andrew Balding has a 22% (+43) strike-rate with his older horses at the track
- Trainer Ian Williams is only 3 from 47 (6%) with his older horses at the track

2.40 – 32Red.com Stand Cup (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f66y ITV

12/12 – Didn’t win last time out
11/12 – Had won at least twice before
11/12 – Came from the top three in the betting
10/12 – Aged 5 or younger
10/12 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Had raced within the last 3 weeks
9/12 – Had 2 or more runs that season
8/12 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
8/12 – Won at Listed or Group class before
7/12 – Rated between 102-110
7/12 – Favourites that finished either 1st or 2nd
4/12 – Ran at York last time out
4/12 – Had run at Chester before
4/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Godolphin-owned winners
2/12 – Trained by Pat Chamings
Duretto (11/10 fav) won the race in 2017
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 5 or lower

 

 

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York Ebor Festival Trends: DAY FOUR (Sat 25th Aug 2018)

The York Ebor Festival concludes on Saturday 25th August 2018, as the four-day meeting heads into it's final day.

Four more LIVE ITV races to take in, including the Group Three Strensall Stakes, but the final day is always spearheaded by the Ebor Handicap - Europe's most valuable handicap - did you know that ALL of the last 16 Ebor Handicap winners carried 9-4 or less in weight, while 13 of the last 16 winners came from a double-figure stall?

As always, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

 

DAY FOUR - Saturday 25th August 2018

 

1.50 – Sky Bet Strensall Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m208y ITV

15/15 – Had won over at least a mile before
15/15 – Had won at least twice in the their career
14/15 – Had between 2 and 4 runs already that season
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Had won over a mile before
7/15 – Won by Godolphin
6/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/15 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
4/15 – Had won at York before
Mustashry (5/2 fav) won the race in 2017
Note: The 2009 running was a dead-heat

 

2.25 – Sky Bet Melrose Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

13/15 – Not raced at York before
13/15 – Had 4 or more runs that season
11/15 – Won carrying 9-0 or less
11/15 – Had won over 1m4f or further
11/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
11/15 – Had a top 5 finish last time out
9/15 - Drawn in stall 8 or lower
4/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/15 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
Secret Advisor (5/1 fav) won the race in 2017

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3.00 – Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

14/15 – Failed to win last time out
14/15 – Aged 5 or younger
13/15 – Drawn in stalls 4 to 8 (inc)
12/15 – Priced 7/1 or shorter
11/15 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
11/15 – Never run at York before
11/15 – Winning distance 1 length or less
10/15 – Had 4 or more runs that season
6/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/15 – Won by Andrew Balding
2/15 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute
1/15 – Placed horses from stall 1
Talaayeb (9/1) won the race in 2017

 

3.40 – Sky Bet Ebor (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

16/16 – Carried 9-4 or less
15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
13/16 – Won from a double-figure stall
13/16 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
12/16 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/16 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
11/16 – Winning Distance - 1 length or less
9/16 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
7/16 – Had run at York before
5/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Irish-trained winners (4 of the last 9)
4/16 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/16 – Ran at Galway last time out
2/16 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/16 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/16 – Placed horses from stall 1 (third 2011, third 2013)
1/16 – Winning favourites
Just one winning favourite since 1999
Trainer Luca Cumani won the race in 1999, 2004 & 2007
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1980, 1991 & 1996
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 22/1

 

 

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York Ebor Festival Trends: DAY THREE (Fri 24th Aug 2018)

The York Ebor Festival continues on Friday 24th August 2018, as the four-day meeting heads into it's third day.

Four more LIVE ITV races to take in, including the Group Two Lonsdale Cup, but day three is all about the Group One Nunthorpe Stakes as we get a chance to see some of the best sprinters on the planet doing battle again - did you know 14 of the last 16 Nunthorpe winners came from stall 11 or lower, plus finished in the top 5 last time out?

As always, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

 

DAY THREE - Friday 24th August 2018

1.55 – Sky Bet Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

14/15 – Aged 5 or younger
14/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before (6 over 1m4f)
13/15 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
13/15 – Had won at least twice on the flat before
11/15 – Carried 9-5 or less in weight
11/15 – Won from stall 8 or higher
11/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/15 – Ran at either Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (4) last time out
5/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (3) or Mark Johnston (2)
3/15 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
Fidaawy (11/1) won the race in 2017

 

2.25 – Weatherbys Hamilton Lonsdale Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 2m88y ITV

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12/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
12/14 – Had 4 or more career wins
12/14 – Didn’t win last time out
11/14 – Had won over 1m6f or further before
10/14 – Raced 3 or more times that season
10/14 – Favourites placed
10/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/14 – Won a Listed or better class race before
8/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/14 – Had run at York before (6 won)
3/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
0/14 – Winners from stall 1
Montaly (16/1) won the race in 2017
Note: The 2008 renewal was run at Newbury

 

3.00 – Al Basti Equiworld Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

15/15 – Won just 1-2 times before
15/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/15 – Won just once before
10/15 – Foaled in March or later
10/15 – Had won over 6f before
9/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
3/15 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Winning favourites
Sands Of Mali (14/1) won the race in 2017

 

3.35 - Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 5f ITV

14/16 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
14/16 – Had won over 5f before
14/16 – Came from stall 11 or lower
13/16 – Had an official rating of 108 or more
12/16 – Favourites to finish in the top 4
12/16 – Had run at the course before
11/16 – Were previous Group race winners
7/16 – Ran at Goodwood last time out (inc 6 of last 8)
4/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Ran at Sandown last time out
2/16 – Placed horses from stall 1 (3rd in 2003 & 2012)
6 of the last 7 renewals were won by fillies/mares
Marsha (8/1) won the race in 2017

 

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York Ebor Festival Trends: DAY TWO (Thurs 23rd Aug 2018)

The York Ebor Festival continues on Thursday 23rd August 2018, as the four-day meeting heads into it's second day.

Four more LIVE ITV races to take in, including the Group Two Lowther Stakes, plus the Group One Darley Yorkshire Oaks - did you know that ALL of the last 17 Yorkshire Oaks were aged 3 or 4 years-old, while 16 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 4 or higher

As always, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

 

DAY TWO - Thursday 23rd August 2018

 

1.55 - Skybet Lowther Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

15/16 – Had won over 5 or 6f before
15/16 – Had won at least once before
14/16 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
14/16 – Had not run at York before
14/16 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
13/16 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/16  - Drawn in stall 4 or higher
12/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/16 – Trained by William Haggas
Threading (9/2) won the race in 2017
Note: 2008 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

2.25 - Goffs Premier Yearling Stakes (CLASS 2) (2yo) 6f ITV

16/16 – Had 2 or more career runs
16/16 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
16/16 – Had 1 or 2 career wins to their name
15/16 – Foaled in Feb or later
11/16 – Won from stall 10 or higher
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Foaled in Feb or March
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Brian Meehan
3/16 – Trained by William Haggas (inc 3 of last 5 winners)
2/16 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon (last two)
2/16 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
0/16 – Placed horses from stall 1
Tangled (15/2) won the race in 2017
Note: 2008 renewal was run at Newmarket
2002, 2003, 2004, 2005 renewals were run at Doncaster

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3.00 - Clipper Logistics Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

14/15 – Had won 2 or more times before
13/15 -  Winning distance of 2 lengths or less
12/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/15 – Returned 15/2 or bigger in the betting
11/15 – Ran at either Ascot (4), Sandown (2), Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
11/15 – Won from stall 12 or lower
10/15 – Carried 9-0 or less
10/15 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
10/15 – Unplaced last time out
2/15 – Won by the Hills (Barry/Charlie) stable
1/15 – Winning favourites
Flaming Spear (10/1) won the race in 2017

 

3.35 - Darley Yorkshire Oaks (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) ITV

17/17 – Aged 3 (11) or 4 (6) years-old
16/17 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
16/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/17 – Had at least 3 previous wins to their name
14/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
12/17 – Previous Group 1 winners
11/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
7/17 – Winning favourites
7/17 – Had run in that season’s Epsom Oaks (2 winners)
4/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (Won it 8 times in all)
2/17  - Trained by Jim Bolger
Enable (1/4) won the race in 2017
Note: 2008 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

 

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York Ebor Festival Trends: DAY ONE (Weds 22nd Aug 2018)

The horse racing action steps up a few gears again on Wednesday 22nd August as the four-day Ebor Festival from York racecourse gets going. Bundles to look forward to with 10 Group races spread over the meeting that include the Juddmonte Stakes, Nunthorpe Stakes and the Yorkshire Oaks, while the meeting is always concluded with the Ebor Handicap on the final day - the most valuable flat handicap in Europe!

We get going on DAY ONE with four LIVE ITV races, including the Group Three Acomb Stakes, where 12 of the last 14 winners won last time out, while we've also the Great Voltigeur - a decent St Leger Trial - but the opening day's feature is the Group One Juddmonte International Stakes - a race that is worth just over £540k to the winner!

As always, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

 

DAY ONE - Wednesday 22nd August 2018

1.55 – Sky Bet Symphony Group Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 5f89y ITV

9/9 – Returned 7/1 or bigger in the betting
9/9 – Carried 8-13 or more
8/9 – Had run 6 or more times that season
6/9 – Unplaced last time out
6/9 – Had run at York before (3 won)
7/9 – Had won 5 or more times during their career
5/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/9 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/9 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
0/9 – Winning favourites
Desert Law (14/1) won the race in 2017

 

2.25 – Tattersalls Acomb Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

14/15 – Had won at least once before
13/15 – Won their previous race
12/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Had won over 7f or further before
7/15 – Ran at either York (3) or Newmarket (4) last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
7/15 – Ran at either York (3) or Newmarket (4) last time out
2/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/15 - Ridden by James Doyle
3/15 - Had run at York before
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
1/15 – Winners from stall 1
8 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 5-9 (inc)
Wells Farhh Go (10/1) won the race in 2017

 

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3.00 – Sky Bet Great Voltigeur Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m4f ITV

14/16 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
13/16 – Had won at least twice already in their career
13/16 - Placed favourites
12/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
12/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (3), Godolphin (2) or John Gosden (4)
7/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Went onto be placed in the St Leger
2/16 – Went onto win the St Leger (Lucarno, Rule of Law)
3/16 -  Ridden by Frankie Dettori
0/16 – Winners from stall 1
Cracksman (4/6 fav) won the race in 2017
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 3 times before (2001, 2003 & 2016)
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has won this race 7 times before (1982, 1994, 1999, 2000, 2005, 2011 & 2013)
13 horses have won this before going onto win the St Leger

Note: The 2008 renewal was run at Goodwood

 

3.35 - Juddmonte International Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

14/16 – Previous Group 1 winners
14/16 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
13/16 – Had not run at York before
13/16 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
12/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/16 – Aged 4 or older
11/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/16 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
10/16 – Had won 5 or more times before
8/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Sandown (3) last time out
4/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/16 – Won the Epsom Derby that season
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (5 winners in total)
5 of the last 10 winners were Irish-trained
Ulysses (4/1) won the race in 2017

Note: The 2008 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 18th Aug 2018

We’ve got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE ITV action from Newbury, Newmarket and Ripon this Saturday, with the competitive Great St Wilfrid Handicap and the Group Three Geoffrey Freer Stakes the main events.

 

Saturday 18th August 2018

 

NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

 

2.45 – Randox Health (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

15/16 – Failed to win last time out
13/16 – Only had 1 or 2 career wins to their name
13/16 – Came from stall 10 or lower
12/16 – Had won over 6f before
12/16 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
12/16 – Winning distance ½ length or less
10/16 – Carried 8-13 or less
10/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
9/16 – Rated 82 to 88 inc
8/16 – Had run at the track before (4 won)
6/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/16 – Winners won by a neck
4/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/16 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Trained by David Barron
2/16 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of last 5 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Denford Stud Stakes (Registered as The Washington Singer Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

14/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Finished in the first three last time out
13/16 – Had won a race before
12/16 – Won by a Feb (7) or March (5) foal
12/16 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
11/16 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Horses from stall 3 placed
9/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
7/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Ran at Goodwood (2) or Sandown (2) last time out
4/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden
3/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/16 – Won on their racecourse debut
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

2.25 – Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y ITV

16/16 – Had won at least twice in their career
14/16 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
12/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/16 – Officially rated 110 or higher
12/16 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
12/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Aged 3-5 years-old
11/16 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
9/16 – Ran at Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (5) last time out
9/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – Had already won a Group race
7/16 – Had won at Newbury before
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2

3.00 – Ladies Day Handicap Cl3 7f ITV

15/16 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
14/16 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
14/16 – Had won at least twice during their career
12/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Winning distance 1 length or shorter
11/16 – Carried 9-1 or more
10/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/16 – Drawn in stalls 11, 12, 13, 14 or 15
3/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
Squats (7/1) won the race last year
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

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3.35 – Ladyswood Stud Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

15/16 – Didn’t win last time out
14/16 – Had won a Listed (5) or Group (8) race before
13/16 – Had won over this 7f trip before
13/16 – Officially rated 110 or more
13/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/16 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
12/16 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
8/16 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
7/16 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
Breton Rock won the race in 2014 and was third in 2015
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

RIPON Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 – William Hill Silver Trohpy Handicap (Consolation Race For The William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes) Cl2 6f ITV

6/6 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
6/6 – Didn’t win last time out
6/6 – Previous winners over 6f
6/6 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
6/6 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
6/6 – Returned between 13/2 and 16/1
5/6 – Favourites placed in the top 4
5/6 – Won between 3-4 times before
5/6 – Winning distance head or shorter
5/6 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
4/6 – Drawn in stalls 13 or higher
4/6 – Rated between 87-93
2/6 – Has won at Ripon before
0/6 – Winning favourites
Teruntum Star won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 6 years is 12/1

 

3.15 – William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

14/16 – Previous winners over 6f
13/16 – Didn’t win last time out
12/16 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
11/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/16 – Carried 8-12 or more
10/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/16 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
9/16  - Had run at Ripon before (3 won)
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
6/16 – Ran at either Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/16 – Aged 4 years-old
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by David O’Meara
1/16 – Aged 3 years-old
No winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
8 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
Only 5 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 12.5/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 11th Aug 2018

The ITV4 cameras head to Ascot for their unique Shergar Cup meeting, while they are also at Newmarket and Haydock – Like all Saturday’s Andy Newton’s got all the LIVE ITV4 race trends to help narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.  

 

Saturday 11th August 2018

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

1:05 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV4

10/10 – Failed to win their last race
9/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/10 – Raced at Ascot previously
9/10 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
9/10 – Had 4 or more runs that season
9/10 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
8/10 – Won at least 3 times in their career
7/10 – Favourites  placed
6/10 – Had won over 5f previously
5/10 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/10 – Favourites (1 joint)
4/10 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
3/10 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including 2 of the last 4 runnings)
2/10 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
2 of the last 10 winners came from stall 11
Stake Acclaim (4/1 jfav) won the race in 2017

 

1.40 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m ITV4

13/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Carried 8-13 or more
11/14 – Favourites placed in the top 4
11/14 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
11/14 – Rated between 86-94
11/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/14 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
11/14 – Had raced at the track before
10/14 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (5) last time out
9/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/14 – Trained by Ian Williams
1/14 – Won last time out
Euchen Glen (7/1) won the race in 2017
No winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
3 of the last 9 winners came from stall 9
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top three in 6 of the last 11 runnings

 

2.15 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4

13/14 – Aged 6 or younger
13/14 – Officially rated between 87-94
12/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
12/14 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
11/14 – Won between 1-4 times previously
8/14 – Aged 4 years-old
8/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
6/14 – Had run at Ascot previously
6/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/14 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
4/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
2/14 – Favourites that won
Great Hall (12/1) won the race in 2017
No winners from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
3 of the last 12 winners came from stall 5
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

 

2.50 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

14/14 – Won over at least a mile before
14/14 – Failed to win last time out
14/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/14 – Rated between 92-100
13/14 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
12/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Won between 2-4 times before
9/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/14 – Had run at Ascot before
4/14 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/14 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/14 – Winning favourites
Raising Sand (10/1) won the race in 2018
3 of the last 12 winners came from stall 1
10 or the last 13 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting

 

3.25 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – ITV4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Raced 3 or more times that season
7/9 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
7/9 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
7/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
6/9 – Officially rated between 84-90
4/9 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/9 – Favourites placed
2/9 – Favourites that won
2/9 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/9 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Danehill Kodiac (8/1) won the race in 2017
7 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8

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4.00 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f ITV4

14/14 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
13/14 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks
13/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
12/14 – Won between 2-3 times previously
12/14 – Won over 6f previously
12/14 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
10/14 – Officially rated between 86-95
10/14 – Came from the top three in the betting market
10/14 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
9/14 – Favourites placed
6/14 – Had run at Ascot previously
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Won by the Roger Charlton yard
3/14 – Winning Favourites
Golden Apollo (4/1) won the race in 2017
6 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

 

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

1.55 - Smarkets Haydock Park Ladies´ Trophy Handicap (Pro-Am Lady Riders´ Race) Cl3 1m3f200y ITV4

Only two previous runnings
Azari (12/1) won the race in 2017
Trainer Iain Jardine has a 20% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Hugo Palmer has a 28% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

3.05 – Smarkets Betting Exchange Rose of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f95y ITV4

15/15 – Aged 5 or younger
14/15 – Officially rated 105 or higher
13/15 – Yet to run at Haydock
13/15 – Favourites placed
13/15 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
12/15 – Won a Listed or better class race before
11/15 – Won over 1m2f or further
11/15 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
11/15 – Raced 3 or more previous runs that season
10/15 – Raced at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
10/15 – Won 3 or more times during their career
9/15 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Finished unplaced in their last race
4/15 – Favourites that won
3/15 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/15 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
Frankuus (8/1) won the race in 2017

 

NEWMARKET (JULY) Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

3.45 – german-thoroughbred.com Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4

14/15 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
14/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/15 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
13/15 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting market
13/15 – Won just once previously
13/15 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
11/15 – Had won over only 6f previously
9/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Won their last race
9/15 – Raced at Newmarket (July) previously
8/15 – Raced at Newmarket (5) or Sandown (3) last time out
7/15 – Had just one previous run
7/15 –  Favourites that won
5/15 – Won by Godolphin
4/15 – Won over 7f previously
3/15 – Trained by the Hills stable
Tajaanus (10/1) won the race in 2017
2 winners from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
4 of the last 11 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (2) or 2nd (2)

 

 

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Glorious Goodwood Trends: DAY FIVE (Sat 4th Aug 2018)

It's panama hats, pimms, plus strawberries and cream galore at the start of August with the 5-day Glorious Goodwood Meeting (Tues 31st July to Sat 4th Aug). As always, the West Sussex track can expect monster crowds throughout the week with a whole host of top-notch contests each day for punters to get stuck into.

So, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

We continue on Day FIVE with four LIVE ITV races, including the Gordon Stakes and the super-competitive Stewards' Cup.

DAY FIVE - Saturday 4th August 2018

1.50 – Qatar Stewards’ Sprint Stakes Handicap (Consolation Race for the Qatar Stewards’ Cup) (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f

14/14 – Didn’t win their last race
12/14 – Raced at Goodwood previously
13/14 – Had won over 6f previously
11/14 – Won at least 3 times during their career
11/14 – Had 4 or more runs that season
10/14 – Finished 4th or worse in their last race
10/14 – Favourites unplaced
8/14 – Priced between 8/1 and 12/1 in the market
7/14 – Winning Distance - 1 ¼ lengths or more
7/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
7/14 – Raced at either York (3) or Newmarket (4) last time out
3/14 – Trained by Clive Cox
3/14 – Favourites (one in the last 12 years)
1/14 – 3 year-old winners
Scorching Heat (9/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago
11 of the last 12 winners carried 9-0 or more
8 of the last 12 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-5
No winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
Horses from stall 3 has won 2 of the last 9 runnings

 

2.25 – The Qatar Summer Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

14/15 – Had won at least twice before
13/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
13/15 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
12/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/15 – Carried 9-7 or more
9/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Rated between 90-100
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Came from the top three in the betting
4/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/15 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
No winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
Horses from stalls 12, 13 & 14 have good e/w records in recent years
7 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 10-14 (inc)
Solider In Action (11/1) won the race 12 months ago

3.00 – Qatar Gordon Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

15/15 – Won between 1-3 times before
14/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/15 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
11/15 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/15 – Winning distance – neck or shorter
8/15 – Went onto run in the St Leger
6/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda
2/15 – Went onto win the St Leger
10 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 4-10 (inc)
The horse from stall 7 has won 4 of the last 11 runnings
Horses from stalls 4,7 & 10 have won 8 of the last 11 runnings
Crystal Ocean (6/4 fav) won the race 12 months ago

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3.35 – Unibet Stewards´ Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

15/15 – Had won over 6f before
14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
14/15 – Had at least 3 previous career wins to their name
14/15 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
11/15 – Raced at either Ascot, York or Newmarket last time out
10/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
10/15 – Placed favourites (top 4)
10/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/15 – Raced at Goodwood before
8/15 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
5/15 – Favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
2/15 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Winning 3 year-olds
Lancelot Du Lac (25/1) won the race 12 months ago
10 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure draw
Stall 18 has won 2 of the last 12 runnings

 

 

 

 

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Glorious Goodwood Trends: DAY FOUR (Fri 3rd Aug 2018)

It's panama hats, pimms, plus strawberries and cream galore at the start of August with the 5-day Glorious Goodwood Meeting (Tues 31st July to Sat 4th Aug). As always, the West Sussex track can expect monster crowds throughout the week with a whole host of top-notch contests each day for punters to get stuck into.

So, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

We continue on Day FOUR with four LIVE ITV races, including the Glorious Stakes, Betfred Mile, plus the Group Two King George Stakes.

DAY FOUR - Friday 3rd August 2018

1.50 - Bombay Sapphire Glorious Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

16/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Winners by 1 ½ lengths or less
11/16 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
11/16 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
10/16 – Had won at Listed or better class before
10/16 – Had run at Goodwood before (5 won)
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Aged 4 years-old
8/16 – Winning favourites
7/16 – Unplaced last time out
7/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/16 – Were won by either a head or neck
4/16 – Trained by Luca Cumani
5/16 - Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
8 of the last 12 winners came from stall 5 or higher
Horses from stall 1 placed in 7 of the last 9 runnings (2 wins)
Poet’s Word (7/4 fav) won the race 12 months ago

 

2.25 – Bonhams Thoroughbred Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m ITV

15/16 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
14/16 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
12/16 – Had not won a Group 3 or better before
12/16 – Had won at least twice during their career
12/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/16 – Ran at either Newbury (2), Goodwood (2) or Newmarket (4) last time out
5/16 – Had run at Goodwood before
5/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Trained by Brian Meehan
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Beat The Bank (7/4 fav) won the race 12 months ago
6 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 1-3 (inc)
The last 11 winners came from stalls 1-6 (inc)

Note: 2012 was a dead-heat

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3.00 – Unibet Golden Mile (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
15/16 – Had won over at least 1m before
14/16 – Had raced 3 or more times that season
13/16 – Had won 3 or more races during their career
10/16 – Carried 8-13 or less
10/16 – Never raced at Goodwood before
10/16 –Priced 7/1 or shorter
9/16 – Aged  4 or 5 years-old
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
8/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
6/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Won their last race
3/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Belgian Bill won the race in 2015
Red Avenger won the race in 2014
11 of the last 13 winners were drawn 9 or lower
11 of the last 13 runnings saw the first two both drawn in 11 or lower
Master The World (6/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 12/1

 

3.35 - Qatar King George Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV

16/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Had won over 5f before
13/16 – Didn’t win last time out
12/16 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
12/16 – Had won 4 or more times in their careers
11/16 – Ran at York, Ascot or Newmarket last time out
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
7/16 – Had run at Goodwood before
6/16 – Had only won at Listed Class before
5/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Trained by the Hills yard
2/16 – Trained by William Haggas
2/16 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Take Cover (8/1) won the race in 2014 & 2016
8 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
Horses from stall 4 and 8 have won 4 of the last 11 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

 

 

 Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays

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