Daily Double Dutch reports from Geegeez: detailed write-ups, statistics and information on Geegeez’s own horse betting project. Read on to find out more.

Royal Ascot Trends – DAY THREE (Thurs 20th June 2019)

As we move into day three at  ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the Group One Ascot Gold Cup is the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

2019 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2.30 - Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f

Norfolk Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Shang Shang Shang (5/1)
2017 – Sioux Nation (14/1)
2016 – Prince Of Lir (8/1)
2015 – Waterloo Bridge (12/1)
2014 – Baitha Alga (8/1)
2013 – No Nay Never (4/1)
2012 – Reckless Abandon (4/1)
2011 – Bapak Chinta (6/1)
2010 – Approve (16/1)
2009 – Radiohead (10/1)
2008 – South Central (11/4 fav)
2007 – Winker Watson (2/1 fav)
2006 – Dutch Art (11/4)
2005 – Masta Plasta (7/2)
2004 – Blue Dakota (5/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Valour (4/1)

Norfolk Stakes Key Trends

16/16 – Previous winners over 5f
16/16 – Had at least 1 previous run
14/16 – Had a RPR of 106+
14/16 – Won their previous race
14/16 – Had never raced at Ascot before
12/16 – Foaled in March or April
10/16 – Favourites placed
9/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Windsor last time out
Aidan O’Brien has trained 2 of the last 4 winners
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 7-12 (inc)

 

3.05 – Hampton Court Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m2f

Hampton Court Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Hunting Horn (5/1)
2017 – Benbatl (9/2)
2016 – Hawkbill (11/2)
2015 – Time Test (15/8 fav)
2014 – Cannock Chase (7/4 fav)
2013 – Remote (9/4 fav)
2012 – Energizer (15/2)
2011 – Pisco Sour (20/1)
2010 – Afsare (9/4 fav)
2009 – Glass Harmonium (8/1)
2008 – Collection (13/2)
2007 – Zaham (7/2 fav)
2006 – Snoqualmie Boy (33/1)
2005 – Indigo Cat (3/1 fav)
2004 – Moscow Ballet (8/1)
2003 – Persian Majesty (8/1)

Hampton Court Stakes Key Trends
15/16 – Had not raced at Ascot before
13/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
13/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/16 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
10/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 - Ran at Epsom last time out
3/16 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
8 of the last 13 winners came from stall 5-9 (inc)

 

3.40 - Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £77,092 1m4f

Ribblesdale Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Magic Wand (10/3)
2017 – Coronet (9/1)
2016 – Even Song (15/8 fav)
2015 – Curvy (9/2)
2014 – Bracelet (10/1)
2013 – Riposte (9/2)
2012 – Princess Highway (17/2)
2011 – Banimpire (3/1 fav)
2010 – Hibaayeb (4/1 jfav)
2009 – Flying Cloud (5/1)
2008 – Michita (10/3 fav)
2007 – Silkwood (4/1)
2006 – Mont Etoile (25/1)
2005 – Thakafaat (22/1)
2004 – Punctilious (9/2)
2003 – Spanish Sun (9/2)

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Ribblesdale Stakes Key Trends

14/16 – Had at least 2 previous races that season
12/16 – Placed in their previous race
13/16 – Had never raced at Ascot before
12/16 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
11/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
7/16 – Won their last race
6/16 – Irish-trained winners (5 of last 7)
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 5)
3/16 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just two winners from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
6 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 3-6 (inc)

 

4.20 - Gold Cup (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f

Recent Ascot Gold Cup Winners

2018 – Stradivarius (7/4 jfav)
2017 – Big Orange (5/1)
2016 – Order Of St George (10/11 fav)
2015 – Trip To Paris (12/1)
2014 – Leading Light (10/11 fav)
2013 – Estimate (7/2 fav)
2012 – Colour Vision (6/1)
2011 – Fame And Glory (11/8 fav)
2010 – Rite of Passage (20/1)
2009 – Yeats (6/4 fav)
2008 – Yeats (11/8 fav)
2007 – Yeats (8/13 fav)
2006 – Yeats (7/1)
2005 – Westerner (7/4 fav)
2004 – Papineau (5/1)
2003 – Mr Dinos (3/1)
2002 – Royal Rebel (16/1)

Key Ascot Gold Cup Trends

15/17 – Had no more than 2 previous runs that season
14/17 – Had won over at least 2 miles on the flat before
14/17 – Had between 1-2 previous runs that season
13/17 – Favourites that were placed
12/17 – Won their last race
11/17 – Previous Group 1 winners
9/17 – Aged 5 or older
9/17 – Won by the favourite
7/17 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/17 – Ran at Sandown last time out (Henry II Stakes)
11 of the last 13 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8 of the last 13 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
6 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
Godolphin won the race in 1996, 1998, 2004 & 2012
Aidan O’Brien has trained the winner in 2016, 2014, 2011, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006
Since 1949 there have been 13 multiple winners of the race

 

5.00 - Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m

Britannia Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Ostillo (10/1)
2017 – Bless Him (25/1)
2016 – Defrocked (13/2)
2015 – War Envoy (10/1)
2014 – Born In China (14/1)
2013 – Beauty Flame (20/1)
2012 – Fast Or Free (6/1 fav)
2011 – Sagramor (8/1)
2010 – Ransom Note (9/1)
2009 – Fareer (20/1)
2008 – Fifteen Love (28/1)
2007 – Eddie Jock (33/1)
2006 – Sir Gerard (9/2 fav)
2005 – Mostashaar (10/3 fav)
2004 – Mandobi (8/1)
2003 – New Seeker (16/1)

Britannia Stakes Key Trends

14/16 – Had no more than 3 previous runs that season
13/16 – Had won a race over 7f or 1m before
12/16 – Failed to win their previous race
12/16 – Placed last time out
12/16 – Carried 8-13 or less
11/16 – Had never run at Ascot before
10/16 – Unplaced favourites
10/16 – Returned a double-figure price
8/16 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
6/16 – Had only won over 7f previously
4/16 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/16 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just one top three finish horse from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
9 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall

5.35 - King George V Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m4f

King George V Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Baghdad (9/1)
2017 – Atty Persse (7/1)
2016 - Primitivo (13/2)
2015 – Space Age (9/1)
2014 – Elite Army (4/1 jfav)
2013 – Elidor (20/1)
2012 – Fennell Bay (12/1)
2011 – Brown Panther (4/1 jfav)
2010 – Dandino (7/1)
2009 – Cosmic Sun (66/1)
2008 – Colony (11/2 fav)
2007 – Heron Bay (20/1)
2006 – Linas Selection (9/2)
2005 – Munsef (14/1)
2004 – Admiral (9/1)
2003 – Fantastic Love (10/1)

King George V Stakes Key Trends

16/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs that same season
16/16 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
15/16 – Never raced at Ascot before
15/16 – Placed last time out
13/16 – Carried 8-13 or less
11/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f previously
9/16 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
8/16 – Favourites placed
8/16 – Won their previous race
6/16 – Won by trainers Sir Michael Stoute (2) or Mark Johnston (4)
4/16 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
10 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 10-20 (inc)
8 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 10-16 (inc)

 

 

 

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Royal Ascot Trends – DAY FOUR (Fri 21st June 2019)

As we move into day four at  ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the two Group One's - The Coronation Stakes and the Commonwealth Cup - are the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.


2019 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2.30 - Albany Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f

Albany Stakes Past Winners

2018 – Main Edition (7/1)
2017 – Different League (20/1)
2016 – Brave Anna (16/1)
2015 – Illuminate (4/1 fav)
2014 – Cursory Glance (14/1)
2013 – Kiyoshi (8/1)
2012 – Newfangled (7/4 fav)
2011 – Samitar (16/1)
2010 – Memory (15/2)
2009 – Habaayib (16/1)
2008 – Cuis Ghaire (8/11 fav)
2007 – Nijoom Dubai (50/1)
2006 - Sander Camillo (4/1 fav)
2005 – La Chunga (10/1)
2004 – Jewel In The Sand (10/1)
2003 – Silca’s Gift (5/1)


Albany Stakes Key Trends

16/16 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs
16/16 – Never raced at Ascot before
15/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/16 – Won by either a Feb or Mar foal
12/16 – Won their previous race
11/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price
7/16 – Won by trainers Channon (2), Hannon (3) or Noseda (2)
5/16 – Previous winner over 6f
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Sandown last time
The last 13 winners came from double-figure stalls
10 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 11-15 (inc)

 

3.05 - King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f

King Edward VII Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Old Persian (9/2)
2017 – Permian (6/1)
2016 – Across The Stars (7/1)
2015 – Balios (3/1)
2014 – Eagle Top (12/1)
2013 – Hillstar (15/2)
2012 – Thomas Chippendale (9/2)
2011 – Nathaniel (11/4 fav)
2010 – Monterosso (7/2)
2009 – Father Time (9/1)
2008 – Campanologist (9/1)
2007 – Boscobel (7/1)
2006 – Papal Bull (5/4 fav)
2005 – Plea Bargain (9/2)
2004 – Five Dynasties (11/4 fav)
2003 – High Accolade (5/2 fav)

King Edward VII Stakes Key Trends

16/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
15/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the
12/16 – Had never raced at Ascot before
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/16 - Had won at least 2 previous races during their career
6/16 – Had already won a Listed or better class race
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 4-9 (inc)
12 of the last 13 winners returned 9/1 or shorter

3.40 – The Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) (Class 1) (3yo) 6f

Commonwealth Cup Recent Winners

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2018 - Eqtidaar (12/1)
2017 - Caravaggio (5/6 fav)
2016 - Quiet Reflection (7/4 fav)
2015 - Muhaarar (10/1)

Commonwealth Cup Trends

4/4 – Won over 6f before
4/4 – Drawn 8 or lower
4/4 – Ran in the last month
3/4 – Won 3+ times before
3/4 – Had run at Ascot before
3/4 – Rated 117 or higher
2/4 – Winning favourite
2/4 – Came from stall 8
2/4 – Won last time out

4.20 - Coronation Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m

Coronation Stakes Past Winners

2018 – Alpha Centauri (11/4 fav)
2017 – Winter (4/9 fav)
2016 – Qemah (6/1)
2015 – Ervedya (3/1)
2014 – Rizeena (11/2)
2013 – Sky Lantern (9/2 jfav)
2012 – Fallen For You (12/1)
2011 – Immortal Verse (8/1)
2010 – Lillie Langtry (7/2 fav)
2009 – Ghanaati (2/1 fav)
2008 – Lush Lashes (5/1)
2007 – Indian Ink (8/1)
2006 – Nannina (6/1 jfav)
2005 – Maids Causeway (9/2)
2004 – Attraction (6/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Rhythm (4/7 fav)
2002 – Sophisticat (11/2)

Coronation Stakes Recent Trends

17/17 – Had won over at least 7f before
16/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
13/17 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 previously
12/17 – Had won over at least a 1 mile before
9/17 – Had run at Ascot before (3 winners)
8/17 – Ran in that season’s English 1,000 Guineas
8/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/17 – Unplaced last time out
5/17 – Ran in that season’s Irish 1,000 Guineas
3/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
12 of the last 13 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
No winners from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
Just two horses placed from stall 2 (2nd ) in the last 13 runnings
7 of the last 13 winners were non UK-trained – French (3), Irish (4)

 

5.00 - Sandringham Handicap (Listed Race) 1m


Sandringham Handicap Recent Winners

2018 – Agrotera (11/2 fav)
2017 – Con Te Partiro (20/1)
2016 – Persuasive (11/4 fav)
2015 – Osaila (13/2)
2014 – Muteela (9/2 fav)
2013 – Annecdote (11/1)
2012 – Duntle (4/1 fav)
2011 – Rhythm Of Light (8/1)
2010 – Timepiece (5/1)
2009 – Moneycantbuymelove (9/2 fav)
2008 – Festivale (10/1)
2007 – Barshiba (16/1)
2006 – Red Evie (5/1 co-fav)
2005 – Beautyandthebeast (9/2)
2004 – Celtic Heroine (11/1)
2003 – Hold To Ransom (11/1)
2002 – Tashawak (12/1)

 

Sandringham Handicap Trends

15/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
13/17 – Had never run at Ascot before
13/17 – Had won over at least 7f before
12/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
11/17 – Carried 8-11 or more
11/17 – Placed in their previous race
7/17 – Had exactly 3 runs already that season
8/17 – Won their last race
7/17 – Returned a double-figure price
6/17 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/17 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (7 winners in all)

 

5.35 - Duke of Edinburgh Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) 1m4f

Duke of Edinburgh Past Winners

2018 – Dash Of Spice (7/2 fav)
2017 – Rare Rhythm (20/1)
2016 – Kinema (8/1)
2015 – Arab Dawn (6/1 jfav)
2014 – Arab Spring (11/4 fav)
2013 – Opinion (8/1)
2012 – Camborne (11/2 fav)
2011 – Fox Hunt (12/1)
2010 – Cill Rialaig (16/1)
2009 – Drill Sergeant (14/1)
2008 – Sugar Ray (8/1)
2007 – Pevensey (8/1)
2006 – Young Mick (28/1)
2005 – Notable Guest (4/1)
2004 – Wunderwood (15/2)
2003 – Waverley (14/1)

Duke of Edinburgh Key Trends

16/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/16 – Had at least 2 previous career wins to their name
13/16 – Carried 9-0 or more
12/16 – Placed last time out
11/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
9/16 – Trained by Hughie Morrison (3), Mark Johnston (2) or Sir Michael Stoute (4)
9/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
7/16 – Had run at Ascot before
7/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/16 – Ran at either York or Epsom last time (inc 7 of last 8 runnings)
5/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time
4/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/16 – Winning favourites
12 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

 

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Royal Ascot Trends – DAY FIVE (Sat 22nd June 2019)

As we move into the final day at ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the Group One Diamond Jubilee Stakes is the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

2019 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2.30 - Chesham Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 7f

Chesham Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Arthur Kitt (13/2)
2017 – September (11/8 fav)
2016 – Churchill (8/11 fav)
2015 – Suits You (14/1)
2014 – Richard Pankhurst (10/1)
2013 – Berkshire (16/1)
2012 – Tha’ir (9/2)
2011 – Maybe (5/2 fav)
2010 – Zaidan (7/1)
2009 – Big Audio (22/1)
2008 – Free Agent (7/2 jfav)
2007 – Maze (11/2)
2006 – Champlain (7/2)
2005 – Championship Point (4/1)
2004 – Whazzat (7/1)
2003 – Pearl Of Love (11/10 fav)

Chesham Stakes Key Trends

16/16 – Had no more than 2 previous career runs
15/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/16 – Ran over 6f last time out (9 won)
14/16 – Had just 1 previous career run
13/16 – Were foaled in March or earlier
11/16 – Won their previous race
11/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
5/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Irish trained-winners (Aiden O’Brien)
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Ryan Moore has ridden the winners in 2011, 2016 and 2017
12 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 1-8
6 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 7 (3)
10 of the last 13 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
Trainer Paul Cole has won the race 4 times before

 

3.05 - Jersey Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 7f

Recent Jersey Stakes Winners

2018 – Expert Eye (8/1)
2017 – Le Brivido (2/1 fav)
2016 – Ribchester (7/1)
2015 – Dutch Connection (14/1)
2014 – Mustajeeb (9/2 jfav)
2013 – Gale Force Ten (9/2 fav)
2012 – Ishvana (20/1)
2011 – Strong Suit (11/1)
2010 – Rainfall (8/1)
2009 – Ouqba (12/1)
2008 – Aqlaam (13/2)
2007 – Tariq (15/2)
2006 – Jeremy (9/2)
2005 – Proclamation (7/1)
2004 – Kheleyf (6/1)
2003 – Membership (20/1)
2002 - Just James (20/1)

 

Jersey Stakes Trends

16/17 – Had at least 1 run already that season
13/17 – Had 4 or more career runs
11/17 – Had won over 7f before
10/17 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
9/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
7/17 – Had run at Ascot before
7/17 – Horses from stall 8 placed
6/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/17 – Won their previous race
3/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 wins in total)
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (5 wins in total)
The Irish have won 3 of the last 7 runnings
The horse from stall 11 has finished 2nd in 5 of the last 11 runnings

3.40 - Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m4f

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Hardwicke Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Crystal Ocean (4/7 fav)
2017 – Idaho (9/2)
2016 – Dartmouth (10/1)
2015 – Snow Sky (12/1)
2014 – Telescope (7/4 fav)
2013 – Thomas Chippendale (8/1)
2012 – Sea Moon (3/1 fav)
2011 – Await the Dawn (4/6 fav)
2010 – Harbinger (8/11 fav)
2009 – Bronze Cannon (8/1)
2008 – Macarthur (11/8 fav)
2007 – Maraahel (10/3)
2006 – Maraahel (9/2)
2005 – Bandari (10/1)
2004 – Doyen (6/5 fav)
2003 – Indian Creek (14/1)

Hardwicke Stakes Key Trends

16/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
16/16 – Had won a Group 2 or 3 previously
14/16 – Placed last time out
14/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
12/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3), Mark Johnston (2) or Sir Michael Stoute (7)
11/16 – Had run at Ascot before
11/16 – Aged 4 years-old (inc last 9 winners)
10/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
6/16 – Ran at Epsom last time out (Coronation Cup)
7/16 – Won their previous race
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
11 of the last 13 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
9 of the last 13 winners returned 9/2 or shorter
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
7 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)

 

4.20 - Diamond Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 6f

Diamond Jubilee Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Merchant Navy (4/1)
2017 – The Tin Man (9/2)
2016 – Twilight Son (7/2)
2015 – Undrafted (14/1)
2014 – Slade Power (7/2 fav)
2013 – Lethal Force (11/1)
2012 – Black Caviar (1/6 fav)
2011 – Society Rock (25/1)
2010 – Starspanglebanner (13/2 jfav)
2009 – Art Connoisseur (20/1)
2008 – Kingsgate Native (33/1)
2007 – Soldier’s Tale (9/1)
2006 – Les Arcs (33/1)
2005 – Cape Of Good Hope (8/1)
2004 - Fayr Jag (12/1)
2003 – Choisir (13/2)

Diamond Jubilee Stakes Key Trends

15/16 – Previous distance (6f) winners
12/16 – Failed to win their last race
13/16 – Aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Previous Group Race winners
11/16 – Had run at Ascot before
9/16 – Won by a UK-based yard
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Ran in the King’s Stand Stakes earlier at the meeting
3/16 – Winning favourite (joint)
2/16 – Trained by James Fanshawe
5 of the last 14 winners were Irish-bred
8 of the last 14 winners came from a double-figure draw
No winner from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
6 of the last 14 winners returned a double-figure price.

 

5.00 - Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-110) 6f

Wokingham Stakes Recent Winners

2018 - Bacchus (33/1)
2017 – Out Do (25/1)
2016 – Outback Traveller (10/1)
2015 – Interception (10/1)
2014 – Baccarat (9/1)
2013 – York Glory (14/1)
2012 – Dandy Boy (33/1)
2011 – Deacon Blues (15/2)
2010 – Laddies Poker Two (9/2 fav)
2009 – High Standing (8/1)
2008 – Big Timer I (20/1)
2007 – Dark Missile (22/1)
2006 – Baltic King (10/1)
2005 – Iffraaj (9/4 fav)
2004 – Lafi (6/1 fav)
2003 – Ratio (14/1) / Fayr Jag (10/1)  (dead-heat)

Wokingham Stakes Key Trends

19/19 – Had won before over 6f or 7f
19/19 – Had no more than 4 runs that season­­
18/19 – Finished sixth or better last time out
17/19 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
17/19 – Had won a race over 6f before
16/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/19 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
12/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/19 – Had run at Ascot before (6 had won here)
9/19 – Ran at either Ascot, Goodwood or Newmarket last time
5/19 – Won their previous race
4/19 – Won by the favourite
10 of the last 13 winners carried 9-3 or less in weight
8 of the last 13 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
9 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure draw
8 of the last 9 winners came from a double-figure stall
6 of the last 8 runnings - the top 2 finishers all came from double-figure stalls
Horse from stall 15 has been placed in 3 of the last 8 runnings
Since 1980 there have been only 7 winning favourites
Since 1980 there have been 31 winners returning a double-figure price

 

5.35 - Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions Race) (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 2m5f159y

Queen Alexandra Stakes Recent Winners

2018 - Pallasator (11/2)
2017 – Oriental Fox (10/1)
2016 – Commissioned (12/1)
2015 – Oriental Fox (4/1)
2014 – Pique Sous (11/4)
2013 – Chiberta King (8/1)
2012 – Simenon (11/4 fav)
2011 – Swingkeel (11/2)
2010 – Bergo (10/1)
2009 – Caracciola (6/1)
2008 – Honolulu (7/4 fav)
2007 – Enjoy The Moment (6/1)
2006 – Baddam (11/2)
2005 – Cruzspiel (10/1)
2004 – Corrib Eclipse (25/1)
2003 – Cover Up (4/5 fav)

Queen Alexandra Stakes Key Trends

14/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/16 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
9/16 – Had run at Ascot before
9/16 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years old
5/16 – Won by a NH yard
5/16 – Irish-trained winners
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
9 of the last 13 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 9-16 (inc)
10 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

 

 

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Royal Ascot Trends – DAY ONE (Tues 18th June 2019)

We kick-start another ROYAL ASCOT with the normal bang and three Group One's on the day with the Queen Anne Stakes, King's Stand Stakes and the St James's Palace Stakes the feature contests. But we've got all the opening day's races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

2019 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2.30 - Queen Anne Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m

Recent Queen Anne Stakes Winners

2018Accidental Agent (33/1)
2017 – Ribchester (11/10 fav)
2016 – Tepin (11/2)
2015 – Solow (11/8 fav)
2014 – Toronado (4/5 fav)
2013 – Declaration Of War (15/2)
2012 – Frankel (1/10 fav)
2011 – Canford Cliffs (11/8)
2010 – Goldikova (11/8 fav)
2009 – Paco Boy (10/3)
2008 – Haradasun (5/1)
2007 – Ramonti (5/1)
2006 – Ad Valorem (13/2)
2005 – Valixir (4/1)
2004 – Refuse To Bend (12/1)
2003 – Dubai Destination (9/2)
2002 – No Excuse Needed (13/2)

Queen Anne Stakes Trends

17/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/17 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Previous winners over 1 mile
13/17 – Had already won a Group 1 race
14/17 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
12/17 - Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Won by a 4 year-old
10/17 – Had never run at Ascot before
10/17 – Trained by either R Hannon (3), A P O’Brien (3) or Godolphin (4)
8/17 – Won their previous race
8/17 – Favourites that were unplaced
8/17 – Ran in the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 - Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Only 1 winner from Stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 4 or higher

3.05 - Coventry Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f

Recent Coventry Stakes Winners

2018 – Calyx (2/1 fav)
2017 – Rajasinghe (11/1)
2016 – Caravaggio (13/8 fav)
2015 – Buratino (6/1)
2014 – The Wow Signal (5/1 jfav)
2013 – War Command (20/1)
2012 – Dawn Approach (7/2)
2011 – Power (4/1 fav)
2010 – Strong Suit (15/8 fav)
2009 – Canford Cliffs (7/4 fav)
2008 – Art Connoisseur (8/1)
2007 – Henrythenavigator (11/4 fav)
2006 – Hellvelyn (4/1 jfav)
2005 – Red Clubs (11/2)
2004 – Iceman (5/1 jfav)
2003 – Three Valleys (7/1)
2002 – Statue Of Liberty (16/1)

Coventry Stakes Trends

17/17 – Won their previous race
16/17 – Had never raced at Ascot before
15/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 - Came from the top three in the betting
14/17 – Had between 1 and 2 previous career runs
12/17 - Foaled in either Feb or March
11/17 – Won over 6f before
9/17 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
6/17 – Ran at either Newbury or Newmarket last time out
5/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
1/17 - Won by a Jan foal
10 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or higher
7 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 9-19 (inc)

3.40 - King´s Stand Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 5f

Recent King’s Stand Stakes Winners

2018 - Blue Point (6/1)
2017 – Lady Aurelia (7/2)
2016 – Profitable (4/1)
2015 – Goldream (20/1)
2014 – Sole Power (5/1)
2013 – Sole Power (8/1)
2012 - Little Bridge (12/1)
2011 - Prohibit (7/1)
2010 - Equiano (9/2)
2009 - Scenic Blast (11/4 fav)
2008 - Equiano (22/1)
2007 - Miss Andretti (3/1 fav)
2006 - Takeover Target (7/1)
2005 - Chineur (7/1)
2004 - The Tatling (8/1)
2003 – Choisir (25/1)

King’s Stand Stakes Trends

Your first 30 days for just £1

17/17 – Aged 7 or younger
15/17 – Had won a Group race before
14/17 – Aged 4 or older
14/17 – Had won over 5f before
12/17 – Finished first or second last time out
12/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/17 – Won by a non-UK based trained horse
10/17 – Had run at Ascot before (7 had won at the track)
9/17 – Favourites placed
6/17 – Ran at either Flemington (3) or Chantilly (3) last time out
6/17 – Favourites that finished third
3/17 – Won by an Australian-trained horse
3/17 – 3 Year-old winners
2/17 – Winning favourites
A horse from stalls 9, 11 & 14 has been placed in 10 of the last 11 runnings

4.20 - St James´s Palace Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m

Recent St James’s Palace Stakes Winners

2018 - Without Parole (9/4 fav)
2017 – Barney Roy (5/2)
2016 – Galileo Gold (6/1)
2015 – Gleneagles (8/15 fav)
2014 – Kingman (8/11 fav)
2013 – Dawn Approach (5/4 fav)
2012 – Most Improved (9/1)
2011 – Frankel (3/10 fav)
2010 – Canford Cliffs (11/4 jfav)
2009 – Mastercraftsman (5/6 fav)
2008 – Henrythenavigator (4/7 fav)
2007 – Excellent Art (8/1)
2006 – Araafa (2/1 fav)
2005 – Shamardal (7/4 fav)
2004 – Azamour (9/2)
2003 - Zafeen (8/1)
2002 – Rock Of Gibraltar (4/5 fav)

St James’s Palace Stakes Trends

17/17 - Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17– Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
15/17 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
14/17 – Favourites that were placed
14/17 – Had won over a mile before
12/17 – Previous Group 1 winners
12/17 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
10/17 – Won their previous race
9/17 – Ran in the Irish 2000 Guineas (Curragh) last time out (7 won it)
5/17 – Had run at Ascot before
5/17 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
Just 1 winner from stall 1 or 2 in the last 11 runnings
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 4 or 5

5.00 - Ascot Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-95) 2m4f

Ascot Stakes Recent Winners

2018 - Lagostovegas (10/1)
2017 – Thomas Hobson (4/1 fav)
2016 – Jennies Jewel (6/1)
2015 – Clondaw Warrior (5/1 fav)
2014 – Domination (12/1)
2013 – Well Sharp (9/1)
2012 – Simenon (8/1)
2011 – Veiled (11/2)
2010 – Junior (17/2)
2009 – Judgethemoment (13/2)
2008 – Missoula (20/1)
2007 – Full House (20/1)
2006 – Baddam (33/1)
2005 – Leg Spinner (9/1)
2004 – Double Obsession (25/1)
2003 – Sindapour (12/1)
2002 – Riyadh (7/1 fav)

Ascot Stakes Trends

15/17 – Carried 9-0 or more
14/17 – Won by a stable better known for their NH runners
13/17 – Had at least 1 previous run on the flat that season
11/17 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
10/17 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
8/17 – Won their previous race
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/17 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/17 – Trained by Willie Mullins
3/17 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure stall
Just one winner (or placed) horse from stall 1 placed in the last 11 runnings

 

5.35 - Wolferton Rated Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+ 0-110) 1m2f

Wolferton Rated Stakes Recent Winners

2018 - Monarchs Glen (8/1)
2017 – Snoano (25/1)
2016 – Sir Isaac Newton (7/1)
2015 – Mahsoob (7/4 fav)
2014 – Contributer (9/1)
2013 – Forgotten Voice (12/1)
2012 – Gatewood (3/1 fav)
2011 – Beachfire (12/1)
2010 – Rainbow Peak (13/8 fav)
2009 – Perfect Stride (8/1)
2008 – Supaseus (12/1)
2007 – Championship Point (25/1)
2006 – I’m So Lucky (16/1)
2005 – Imperial Stride (25/1)
2004 – Red Fort (6/1)
2003 – In Time’s Eye (5/1)

Wolferton Rated Stakes Key Trends

13/16 – Had between 1 and 3 runs already that season
12/16 – Aged 4 years-old
12/16 – Had won 3 or more races during their career
11/16 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
11/16 – Unplaced favourites
11/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/16 – Had run at Ascot before
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price
7/16 – Ran at either York (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
4/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Trained at Kremlin House Stables (Roger Varian/M Jarvis)
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 13 winners returned 7/1 or bigger

 

 

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Royal Ascot Trends – DAY TWO (Weds 19th June 2019)

As we move into day two at  ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the Group One Prince Of Wales's Stakes is the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

2019 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2.30 - Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) 5f

Queen Mary Recent Winners

2018 – Signora Cabello (25/1)
2017 – Heartache (5/1)
2016 – Lady Aurelia (2/1 fav)
2015 – Acapulco (5/2 fav)
2014 – Anthem Alexander (9/4 fav)
2013 – Rizeena (6/1)
2012 – Ceiling Kitty (20/1)
2011 – Best Terms (12/1)
2010 – Maqaasid (9/4 fav)
2009 – Jealous Again (13/2)
2008 – Langs Lash (25/1)
2007 – Elletelle (20/1)
2006 – Gilded (11/2)
2005 – Flashy Wings (4/1 jfav)
2004 – Damson (11/2 jfav)
2003 – Attraction (13/8 fav)
2002 – Romantic Liason (16/1)

Queen Mary Stakes Trends

16/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/17 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
15/17 – Had won over 5f (or shorter) before
15/17 – Won by a horse foaled between Jan-Mar
14/17 – Won their previous race
11/17 – Placed favourites
7/17 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
6/17 – Returned a double-figure price
3/17 – Trained by Wesley Ward (including 2 of last 4 runnings)
2/17 – Won by trainer Richard Hannon

 

3.05 - Queen´s Vase (Listed) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 2m

Queen´s Vase Recent Winners

2018 – Kew Gardens (10/3)
2017 – Stradivarius (11/2)
2016 – Sword Fighter (33/1)
2015 – Aloft (5/2 fav)
2014 – Hartnell (7/2)
2013 – Leading Light (5/4 fav)
2012 – Estimate (3/1 fav)
2011 – Namibian (7/2 fav)
2010 – Mikhail Glinka (2/1 fav)
2009 – Holberg (7/1)
2008 – Patkai (6/4 fav)
2007 – Mahler (7/1)
2006 – Soapy Danger (4/1)
2005 – Melrose Avenue (4/1)
2004 – Duke Of Venice (9/2)
2003 – Shanty Star (7/2 fav)

Queen´s Vase Key Trends

14/16 – Had never raced at Ascot before
12/16 – Had at least 2 previous career wins
11/16 – Placed last time out
9/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Had run over at least 1m4f before
6/16 – Ran at either Lingfield or Haydock last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 - Trained by Mark Johnston
6/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/16 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 - Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 4 times in all)
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 years
The horse from stall 7 has been placed in 6 of the last 12 runnings (4 wins)
12 of the last 13 winners came from a single-figure stall
6 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 7 or 8

 

3.40 - The Prince of Wales´s Stakes (Group 1) 1m2f

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Poet’s Word (11/2)
2017 – Highland Reel (9/4)
2016 – My Dream Boat (16/1)
2015 – Free Eagle (5/2 fav)
2014 – The Fugue (11/2)
2013 – Al Kazeem (11/4)
2012 – So You Think (4/5 fav)
2011 – Rewilding (17/2)
2010 – Byword (5/2 fav)
2009 – Vision D’etat (4/1)
2008 – Duke of Marmalade (Evs fav)
2007 – Manduro (15/8 fav)
2006 – Ouija Board (8/1)
2005 – Azamour (11/8 fav)
2004 – Rakti (3/1)
2003 – Nayef (5/1)
2002 -  Grandera (4/1)

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Trends

Your first 30 days for just £1

17/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
16/17 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
16/17 – Won by a 4 or 5 year-old
14/17 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
14/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/17 – Were previous Group 1 winners
11/17 – Placed favourites
9/17 – Won their last race
9/17 – Won by a non-UK based trainer
9/17 – Had run at Ascot before
6/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/17 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3 of the last 11 runnings have gone to a French-trained horse

4.20 – The Duke of Cambridge Stakes (Windsor Forest) (Group 2) 1m

Duke of Cambridge Recent Winners

2018 – Aljazzi (9/2)
2017 – Qemah (5/2 fav)
2016 – Usherette (9/4 fav)
2015 – Amazing Maria (25/1)
2014 – Integral (9/4 fav)
2013 – Duntle (10/3)
2012 – Joviality (11/1)
2011 – Lolly For Dolly (11/1)
2010 – Strawberrydaiquiri (9/2)
2009 – Spacious (10/1)
2008 – Sabana Perdida (4/1)
2007 – Nannina (3/1 co-fav)
2006 – Soviet Song (11/8 fav)
2005 – Peeress (14/1)
2004 – Favourable Terms (13/2)

Duke of Cambridge Trends

14/15 – Had won over a mile (or further) before
14/15 – Had won a Group 3 or better race before
14/15 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
13/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Won by a 4 year-old
11/15 – Had run at Ascot before
8/15 – Favourites that were placed
7/15 – Had won at Ascot before
5/15 – Returned a double-figure price
5/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/15 – Ran at Epsom last time out
4/15 – Owned by Cheveley Park Stud
2/15 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/15 – Winners from stall 1
Only four placed horses (2 winners) from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings

 

5.00 - Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) 1m

Royal Hunt Cup Recent Winners

2018 – Settle For Bay (16/1)
2017 – Zhui Feng (25/1)
2016 – Portage (10/1)
2015 – GM Hopkins (8/1)
2014 – Field of Dream (20/1)
2013 – Belgian Bill (33/1)
2012 – Prince Of Johanne (16/1)
2011 – Julienas (12/1)
2010 – Invisible Man (28/1)
2009 – Forgotten Voice (4/1 fav)
2008 – Mr Aviator (25/1)
2007 – Royal Oath (9/1)
2006 – Cesare (14/1)
2005 – New Seeker (11/1)
2004 – Mine (16/1)
2003 – Macadamia (8/1)
2002 – Norton (25/1)

Royal Hunt Cup Trends

16/17 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/17 – Unplaced favourites
13/17 – Returned a double-figure price
13/17 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/17 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs that season
10/17 – Had run at Ascot before
10/17 – Won by a 4 year-old (inc 8 of the last 10 runnings)
5/17 – Won their last race
2/17 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/17 – Won by trainer John Gosden
1/17 – Winning favourites
Overall, high number stalls have dominated in recent years
11 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall
We’ve seen 3 winners from stall 33 in the last 10 runnings

 

5.35 - Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f

Windsor Castle Recent Winners

2018 – Soldier’s Call (12/1)
2017 – Sound And Silence (16/1)
2016 – Ardad (20/1)
2015 – Washington DC (5/1)
2014 – Hootenanny (7/2 fav)
2013 –
Extortionist (16/1)
2012 – Hototo (14/1)
2011 – Frederick Engels (9/4 fav)
2010 – Marine Commando (9/2)
2009 – Strike The Tiger (33/1)
2008 – Flashmans Papers (100/1)
2007 – Drawnfromthepast (9/1)
2006 – Elhamri (20/1)
2005 – Titus Alone (11/4)
2004 – Chateau Istana (12/1)
2003 – Holborn (5/2 fav)
2002 – Revenue (14/1)

Windsor Castle Trends

17/17 – Had at least 1 previous outing
16/17 – Won by a foal born April or earlier
16/17 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs
14/17 – Had won over 5f before
12/17 – Placed last time out
12/17 – Had never run at Ascot before
10/17 – Returned a double-figure price (inc a 100/1 winner)
9/17 – Won their previous race
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
7/17 – Won by a Feb foal
3/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Wesley Ward
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
8 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 1st June 2019

It’s Derby Day at Epsom Racecourse this weekend and like every Saturday we’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our free tips on each contest.

Did you know that 15 of the last 17 Epsom Derby winners had finished 1st or 2nd in their last race, while 11 of the last 17 Derby winners came from a single-figure stall?

Supporting the big race, we’ve got four more LIVE races to take in that include the Epsom Dash, which is run over one of the quickest 5f courses in the world – blink and you’ll miss it!

 

Saturday 1st June 2019

Epsom Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.00 - Investec Private Banking Handicap Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m2f18y ITV

16/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Never run at Epsom before
14/16 – Had won over 1m before (5 over 1m2f)
11/16 – Winners from stall 6 or higher
11/16 – Placed last time out
11/16 – Carried 8-10 or more
10/16 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Favourites that were placed
8/16 – Horses placed from stall 1
5/16 – Won their previous race
3/16 – Winners from stall 1
3/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
3/16 – Won by trainer Sylvester Kirk
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1
Stall 2 has just two places (1 win) to its name in the last 16 runnings

 

2.35 - Princess Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Investec) (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m114y ITV

Your first 30 days for just £1

16/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/16 – Had won at Listed or Group 3 class before
14/16 – Drawn in stall 4,5,6, 7 or 8
14/16 – Favourites placed
13/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/16 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
13/16 – Had won over at least a mile before
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Had won between 4-6 times before
11/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/16 – Aged 4 years-old
9/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – Had raced at Epsom before
8/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Drawn in either stall 5 or 6
5/16 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/16 – Won by a Cheveley Park-owned horse
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/16 – Trained by Roger Charlton
Jockeys Silvestre de Sousa (2), James Doyle (3) and Frankie Dettori (3) have won 8 of the last 9 runnings
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 9 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

 

3.10 - Investec Diomed Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 1m 114y ITV

16/16 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
14/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
13/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/16 – Aged 5 or older
13/16 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
12/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/16 – Had raced at Epsom before
12/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/16 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

3.45 – Investec Corporate Banking "Dash" (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV

Epsom Dash Betting Trends and Stats

16/17 – Didn’t win last time out
15/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks (12 within the last 4 weeks)
13/17 – Came from stall 8 or higher
13/17 – Won by horses aged between 5 and 8 years-old (inc)
13/17– Unplaced favourites
12/17 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/17 – Had raced at Epsom previously (4 had won)
11/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/17 – Horses from stall 1 that hit the frame
1/17 – Winning favourites
Caspian Prince won the race in 2016 and 2017
Duke Of Firenze won the race in 2013
The average winning SP in the last 16 renewals is 15.5/1

 

4.30 – Investec Derby (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m4f10y ITV

Epsom Derby Betting Trends and Stats

16/17 – Raced no more than 5 times before
16/17 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
15/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/17 – Had won a Group race before
12/17 – Favourites that were placed
11/17 – Won from a single-figure stall
11/17 – Won last time out
11/17 – Had run over at least 1m2f before
10/17 – Had raced no more than 3 times before
8/17 – Had won a Group One before
8/17 – Irish-trained winners
6/17 – Won by the favourite
5/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won 6 in all)
5/17 – Ran in the 2,000 Guineas that season (2 winners)
4/17 – Won the Dante Stakes (York) last time out
3/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won 5 in all)
3/17 – Winners from stall 12 or higher
1/17 – Won over 1m4f before
0/17 – Run at the course before
0/17 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 13/2
10 Dante winners went onto win the Derby (Golden Horn, 2015 being the most-recent)
Only 1 horse that was beaten in the Dante (Workforce) went onto win the Derby

Epsom Derby Trainer Stats

Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2010, 2004, 2003, 1986 & 1981
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2002, 2001, 2012, 2013, 2014 & 2017

 

 

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Epsom TV Trends: Fri 31st May 19

It’s day one of the two-day Epsom Derby Meeting this Friday (31st May 2019). The Investec Oaks at 4.30pm is the third English Classic of the season and the highlight on the day’s action, but there is also a top supporting card that includes the Group One Coronation Cup. 

Did you know? 14 of the last 17 horses from stall 1 were unplaced in the Epsom Oaks?

As always around the main meetings we are on-hand with all the key stats for all the LIVE ITV races.

 

Friday 31st May 2019

Epsom Horse Racing Trends

2.00 – Investec WOODCOTE EBF STAKES (Conditions Race) Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV

17/17 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
16/17 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
15/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Single-figured stalls that filled the first three home
14/17 – Had 2 or more previous runs
13/17 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
12/17 – Yet to win over 6f
8/17 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
8/17 – Won their previous race
5/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston (2002, 2003, 2011, 2015 & 2017)
3/17 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/17 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/17 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
9 of the last 11 winners were foaled in Feb (3) or March (6)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

2.35 – Investec CLICK & INVEST Mile (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-105) 1m 114y

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14/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Had won over at least a mile before
13/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/16 – Had won between 2-5 times before
11/16 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
11/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Placed last time out
10/16 – Irish bred
10/16 – Placed favourites
8/16 – Carried 9-1 or more
7/16 – Raced at the track before
4/16 – Raced at Sandown last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
9 of the last 11 winners returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

3.10 – INVESTEC CORONATION CUP (Group 1) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

17/17 – Had previously won a Group 1 or 2 race
16/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
16/17 – Aged 6 or younger
15/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
14/17 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
12/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
11/17 – Ran at either Chester, York, Newmarket or the Curragh last time out
11/17 – Favourites placed
10/17 – Horses from stall 3 that were placed (four won)
8/17 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (2005, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 & 2017)
7/17 – Won their last race
7/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Had run at Epsom before
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2009, 2011 & 2017)
1/17 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/4

3.45 – Investec Wealth & Investment Handicap (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 1m2f

15/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f or further before
13/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/16 – Had won at least 3 times before
11/16 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
12/16 – Came from stall 9 or lower
11/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Rated between 86-98
10/16 – Irish bred
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Came from the top three in the betting
9/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
6/16 – Had raced at the track before
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

4.30 - Investec Oaks (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f

17/17 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
14/17 – Horses from stall 1 that were unplaced
14/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/17 – Won from stall 5 or higher
11/17 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
11/17 – Favourites that were placed
9/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Won by the favourite (1 joint)
5/17 – Returned a double-figure price
5/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
5/17 – Irish-trained winners
4/17 – Ran in the English 1,000 Guineas
2/17 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/17 – Trained by John Gosden
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
0/17 – Had run at the course before
0/17 – Had run over 1m4f before
7 of the last 12 favourites were unplaced
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 7 times
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 12/1

Kazzia (2002) and Minding (2016) were the last horses to win both the 1,000 Guineas and Epsom Oaks
The horse from stall 2 has been placed in 7 of the last 15 runnings

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 25th May 2019

More LIVE ITV4 horse racing this Saturday as the cameras take in NINE races across FOUR venues – Haydock, York and Goodwood – with the feature contest the Group Two Temple Stakes at Haydock Park, while they are also over at the Curragh to take in the Irish 2,000 Guineas.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Saturday 25th May 2019

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

1.55 – Betfair Best Odds On ITV Festival Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m1f192y ITV4

14/15 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Had won at least 3 times before
10/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/15 – Had run at Goodwood before
8/15 – Finished in the top two last time out
8/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/15 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
5/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15– Ridden by Tom Queally
2/15 – Won last time out
Spark Plug was second in 2017 and third in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

2.30 – Betfair Each Way Edge Handicap (3yo) Cl2 7f ITV4

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Came from stalls 2-6 (inc)
6/6 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
6/6 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
5/6 – Winners from stall 2 or 3
5/6 - returned 9/2 to 12/1
4/6 - carried between 8-0 and 8-4
3/6 – Rated between 77-81
3/6 – Won just once before
3/6 – Winners from stall 3
2/6 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/6 winning favourites
2/6 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (last 2 runnings)
William Haggas, Richard Hannon, Mark Johnston (2), Andrew Balding and Mick Channon are the past winning yards
Trainer William Haggas has a 29% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock has a 19% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is 2 from 32 with his 3 years-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hughes is just 1 from 29 with his 3 year-olds at the track
The average SP in the last 6 runnings is 7/1

 

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

3.05 – William Hill Bronte Cup Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) (4yo+) Cl1 1m6f ITV4

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Just 1 previous runnings
Trainer John Gosden has a 32% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston is just 3 from 52 (6%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Channon is just 1 from 24 (4%) is this 4+year-olds at the track

 

3.45 – William Hill Leading On Course Bookmaker Sprint Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV4

Only 5 previous runnings
4/5 – Drawn in stalls 5-9 (inc)
4/5 – Raced in the last 2 weeks
4/5 – Didn’t win last time out
4/5 – Winning distance ½ length or less
3/5 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
3/5 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
2/5 – Aged 4 years-old
1/5 – Winning favourites
Copper Knight won the race in 2017
Trainer Michael Easterby is just 5 from 120 (4%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Paul Midgley is just 3 from 8 (4%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Roger Fell is just 1 from 40 (3%) with his older horses at the track

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.15 – Amix Ready Mixed Concrete Handicap Cl2 2m45y ITV4

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Winners aged 4 or 5
5/5 – Didn’t win last time out
5/5 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
5/5 – Came from stalls 2-8 (inc)
5/5 – Unplaced favourites
5/5 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
4/5 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
4/5 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
4/5 – Winners carried 8-13 or more
4/5 – Rated between 90-98
No winning favourite yet
Trainers Wiliam Haggas, Mark Johnston, Tim Easterby, Brian Ellison and Lucy Wadham were previous winners of the race


2.50 - Amix Silver Bowl Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

16/16 – Had won between 1-3 times before
15/16 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/16 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
13/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/16 – Placed last time out
12/16 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/16 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
6/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston (2 of last 6)
David Probert has ridden 2 of the last 9 winners.
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2


3.25 – Armstrong Aggregates Sandy Lane Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo) 6f ITV4

15/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
14/15 – Had won over 6f before
13/15 – Had won between 1-3 times before
13/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – From stall 5 or higher
8/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Came from stall 8 or 9
3/15 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/15 – Raced at York last time
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2009 and 2015


4.00 – Armstrong Aggregates Temple Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV4

16/17 – Trained in the UK
15/17 – Had won over 5f before
14/17 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
12/17 – Raced within the last 2 months
11/17 – Placed third or better last time out
10/17 – Favourites that were placed
10/17 – Had won a Group race before
9/17 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Won their latest race
2/17 – Owned by Qatar Racing (2 of last 5 runnings)
2/17 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 3 runnings)
2/17 – Ridden by Adam Kirby (2 of last 3 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 6/1
6 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower

Curragh Horse Racing Trends (ITV4)

3.35 Tattersalls Irish 2,000 Guineas (Group 1) (3yo) 1m ITV4

17/17 – Had run within the last 3 weeks
14/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
14/17 – Had won over either 7f or 1m before
13/17 – Favourites that finished in the top two
13/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Had won between 1-4 times before
12/17 – Irish bred
11/17 – Had run at the Curragh before
11/17 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
10/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
9/17 – Had won a Group 1 race before
8/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
8/17 – Winning favourites
8/17 – Unplaced last time out
7/17 – Trained by a UK-based stable
7/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Won the 2,000 Guineas (Newmarket) that season
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 5/1
Rock of Gibraltar (2002), Cockney Rebel (2007), Henrythenavigator (2008), Gleneagles (2015) & Churchill (2017) all did the English/Irish 2,000 Guineas double

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Sat TV Trends: 18th May 2019

After a week at York the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always, here at Geegeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats anglAfter a week at York the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always Andy Newton’s got all the big race trends and tips……

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 - Shalaa Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV

13/14 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
12/14 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/14 – Had won over 6f before
12/14 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
10/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/14 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
5/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Drawn in stall 3
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

2.25 - Al Rayyan Stakes (Registered As The Aston Park) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

15/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
12/16 – Drawn 4 or lower
11/16 – Had run at Newbury before
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
10/16 – Irish bred
10/16 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
8/16 – Had won between 1-3 times before
8/16 – Aged 4 years-old
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Won last time out
3 of the last 11 winners were Godolphin-owned
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1
Crystal Ocean (2/5 fav) won the race last year

3.00 - Al Zubarah London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV

15/16 – Had won between 1-2 times before
14/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Rated 90 or lower
13/16 – Carried 8-10 or more
13/16 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
12/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/16 – Irish bred
5/16 – Raced at Newbury before (2 won here)
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2

3.40 - Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

16/16 – Won over a mile before
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Had won a Group One race before
13/16 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
13/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Aged 4 years-old
11/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/16 – Winning favourites
10/16 – Having their first run of the season
10/16 – Unplaced last time out
5/16 – Godolphin owned
4/16 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/16 – Won by a mare
3/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/16 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
2/16 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (has won the race 7 times in all)
1/16 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 3/1

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Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

2.05 – Betway Fairway Stakes (Listed) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

12/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Had won between 1-2 times before
11/12 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
10/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/12 – Favourites placed in the top three
10/12 – Had won over 1m or further before
9/12 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Draw 1,2 or 3
8/12 – Had raced at Newmarket before (Rowley)
6/12 – Winning favourites
6/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/12 – US-bred winners
3/12 – Trained John Gosden
3/12 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/12 – Godolphin-owned winners
2/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/12 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

2.40 –Betway King Charles II Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

15/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
13/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
13/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Won only once before
12/16 – Winners from stall 4 or lower
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/16 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
9/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by the Hills stable
2/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 5 winners)
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

3.15 - Betway Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

16/16 – Had won between 1-3 times before
13/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Had won over 6f before
13/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
10/16 – Carried 8-12 or more
10/16 – Favourites placed in the top 4
9/16 – Rated between 91-96
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
6/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Won by a mare/filly
3/16 – Won by the Kremlin House (Varian) stable
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 1-8
8 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 3-7
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

 

 

 

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York TV Trends: Fri 17th May 2019

We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the third day (Fri) of the York Dante Meeting, with the Group Two Yorkshire Cup the feature contest today.

 

YORK HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 – Langleys Solicitors EBF Stallions Marygate Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

13/14 – Had won over 5f before
13/14 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/14 – Won by a horse foaled in February or later
12/14 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
12/14 – Had won between 1-2 times before
12/14 – Won last time out
11/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Placed favourites
7/14 – Winners from stall 9
6/14 – Winning favourites
9 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 6-11 (inc)
Richard Fahey has trained 2 of the last 8 winners
Michael Bell has trained 2 of the last 11 winners

2.25 - Oaks Farm Stables Fillies´ Stakes (Registered As The Michael Seely Memorial Stakes) (Listed) Cl1 1m ITV

13/13 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
13/13 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
13/13 – Won between 1-2 times in the past
11/13 – Had won over at least 7f before
9/13 – Placed 5th or better last time out
9/13 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
7/13 – Horses from stall 1 placed
7/13 – Raced at either Newmarket (5) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore

3.00 – Matchbook Yorkshire Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 1m6f ITV

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15/15 – Didn’t win last time out
15/15 – Came from stall 7 or lower
14/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
14/15 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
14/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Aged 5 or older
12/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
11/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/15 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
8/15 – Had run at York before
7/15 – Horses from stall 7 placed in the top 3
7/15 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
6/15 – Came from stall 4 or 7
6/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/15 – Ran at Newbury last time out
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
Stradivarius won the race 12 months ago

3.35 – Matchbook 'Best Value' Exchange Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

17/17 – Aged 7 or younger
16/17 – Had run over 1m2f before
14/17 – Didn’t win their last race
13/17 – Came from stall 5 or higher
13/17 – Won over at least 1m2f before
12/17 – Carried 8-12 or MORE
12/17 – Had a previous run that season
10/17 – Won by a 4 year-old (including 7 of the last 11 years)
9/17 – Finished third or better last time out
5/17 – Had run at York before
5/17 – Won by the favourite
3/17 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor (2007, 2008, 2009)
3/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/17 – Won by trainer John Gosden
2/17 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
11 of the last 13 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting

 

 

 

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York TV Trends: Thurs 16th May 2019

We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the second day (Thurs) of the York Dante Meeting, with Dante Stakes, a respected Epsom Derby Trial, the feature contest today - 4 of the last 17 Dante winners went onto win the Epsom Derby.

 

 

YORK HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)


2.20 – Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

11/11 – Had raced at York before
10/11 – Came from a single-figure draw
10/11 – Failed to win last time out
10/11 – Had won at least 4 times before
9/11 – Returned a double-figure price
9/11 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
9/11 – Winning distance 3/4 length or shorter
9/11 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
8/11 – Aged 6 or older
6/11 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1
6/11 – Favourites placed
5/11 – Rated between 87-92
5/11 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
2/11 – Trained by Michael Easterby
0/11 – Winning favourites
El Astronaute (15/2) won the race in 2018
Duke Of Firenze won the race in 2016 and 2017

2.25 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Middleton Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

15/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/15 – Won over 1m2f before
12/15 – Favourites placed
11/15 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Having first run of the season
9/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/15 – Wining favourites (including 6 of last 11)
8/15 – Had raced at York before
5/15 – Winners from stall 4
4/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Had won at York before
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
1/15 – Irish trained winners
1/15 – French trained winners
1/15 – Winners from stall 1

3.00 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dante Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

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15/17 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby (4 won)
13/17 – Finished third or better last time out
11/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Had a previous race that season
10/17 – Won their previous race
9/17 – Went onto be placed in the Epsom Derby
4/17 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (won it 4 times in all)
3/17 - Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (won it 6 times in all)
3/17 – Won by jockey Ryan Moore
3/17 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/17 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of last 4 runnings)
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/17 – Ridden by William Buick
1/17 – Had run at York before
0/17 – Winners from stall 2
Just 2 winning favourite in the last 12 runnings
Golden Horn (2015) was the last Dante winner to go onto win the Epsom Derby
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 15/2

 

3.35 - Matchbook Betting Podcast Hambleton Stakes (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV

14/14 – Rated between 96-105
13/14 – Carried 8-7 or more in weight
13/14 – Had won over a mile before
12/14 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
10/14 – Came from a single-figure draw
10/14 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
9/14 – Had won at least 4 times before
9/14 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
7/14 – Placed last time out
7/14 – Aged 4 years-old
3/14 – Winning favourite (1 joint, 1 co)
1/14 – Won last time out

 

 

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York TV Trends: Weds 15th May 2019

We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the opening day (Weds) of the York Dante Meeting – with the Duke Of York Clipper Stakes and the Musidora Stakes the two main events today.

 

 

YORK HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)


1.50 – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Jorvik Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

15/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
14/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/15 – Rated between 80 and 93
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
10/15 – Winners from stall 6 or higher
10/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
9/15 – Had won at least 3 times before
8/15 – Had run at York before
7/15 – Aged 5 years-old
6/15 – Unplaced last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 - Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
0/16 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

2.25 - Infinity Tyres Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

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16/17 – Aged 6 or younger
16/17 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
13/17 – Had run at York before (5 won at the track before)
13/17 – Had won over this trip before
11/17 – Carried 8-12 or MORE
9/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/17 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/17 – Won by a 4 year-old
7/17 – Returned either 6/1 or 7/1 in the betting
4/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/17 – Won their previous race
1/17 – Winning outright favourite
9 of the last 10 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
Trainer Michael Easterby won the race in 2011 & 2014
Trainer David O’Meara won the race in 2018 and 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

3.00 - Duke of York Clipper Logistics Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV

16/17 – Came from stall 9 or lower
15/17 – Previous Listed or Group Three winners
15/17 – Had won over 6f before
12/17 – Had run at York before
12/17 – Came from stall 7 or lower
12/17 – Had a previous race that season
12/17 – Won by either a 4 or 5 year-old
10/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/17 – Unplaced last time out
6/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/17 – Won by the favourite
4/17 – Won their last race
5/17 – Had won a Group One race previously in their career
2/17 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 14/1

3.35 - Tattersalls Musidora Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

16/17 – Had won a race before
15/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
13/17 – Had a previous run that season
13/17 – Finished 4th or better last time
11/17 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks
8/17 – Won by the favourite
8/17 – Won their previous race
5/17 – Previous distance winners over 1m2f
5/17 – Trained by John Gosden (5 of the last 8)
4/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (3 of last 4)
3/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Ridden by William Buick
1/17 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Sariska 2009)
0/17 – Had run at York before
11 of the last 13 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/2
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won the race

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 11th May 2019

Another jam-packed day Saturday on the horse racing front with the ITV4 cameras heading to Ascot, Haydock and Lingfield  - we've 8 races in total that include the Victoria Cup, Swinton Hurdle, plus the Lingfield Derby and Oaks Trials - As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV contests covered from a trends and stats angle.

Saturday 11th May 2019

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.10 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Registered As The Swinton Hurdle Race) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/16 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
16/16 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
16/16 – Carried 11-5 or less
15/16 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
15/16 – Didn’t win last time out
14/16 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
11/16 – Irish bred
11/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Carried 10-8 or less
9/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
8/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/16 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
4/16 – Trained by Evan Williams (4 of the last 6 runnings)
3/16 – Ran at Ayr last time out
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/16 – Irish-trained winners
4 of the last 13 winners returned 16/1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.15 – Les Ambassadeurs Casino Handicap Cl3 1m4f ITV4

Only 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/8 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
8/8 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Rated between 86 and 91
7/8 – Won 2 or 3 times before
7/8 – Carried 9-4 or less
6/8 – Aged 4 years-old
6/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Favourites placed in the top 3
4/8 – Won on reappearance run (4 of last 5)
4/8 – Drawn in stalls 5-8 (inc)
4/8 – Horses from stall 11 placed (1 winner)
4/8 – Had raced at Ascot before
3/8 – Winning favourites (3 of last 4)
2/8 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/8 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 4/1

2.50 - Carey Group Buckhounds Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

11/13 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Had won 3 or more times before
8/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
7/13 – Had raced at Ascot before
7/13 – Winning favourites (inc co or joint)
7/13 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/13 – Raced within the last 3 weeks
4/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by John Gosden
3/13 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The last 10 winners ALL came from stalls 5 or lower
Barsnati (10/11 fav) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

 

3.25 – St James’s Wealth Management British EBF Premier Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

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13/13 – Failed to win last time out
13/13 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
11/13 – Had won over a mile before
11/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
11/13 – Aged 5 or younger
9/13 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Carried 9-0 or more
9/13 – Aged 4 years-old
8/13 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
7/13 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
7/13 – Rated between 82-87
7/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/13 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

4.00 – Totescoop6 Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

15/16 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/16 – Aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Had won no more than 3 times
12/16 – Carried 8-10 or less
12/16 – Had won over 7f before
10/16 – Unplaced favourites
10/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/16 – Had run at Ascot before (4 winners)
5/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint) – only 1 in the last 10 years
2/16 – Trained by David Elsworth (2 of last 4)
The last 6 winners came from a double-figure draw
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1
Ripp Orf (20/1) won the race 12 months ago

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.55 - Betfred Mobile Oaks Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

14/15 – Had won no more than once before
12/15 – Had no more than 3 career runs
12/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Came from stall 5 or higher
10/15 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (no winners, two seconds)
8/15 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
7/15 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
7/15 – Having first run of the season
7/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Winners from stall 5
4/15 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
3/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/15 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/15 - Trained by John Gosden
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

2.30 - Betfred Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

16/16 – Had won no more than 3 times
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (no winners)
12/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Finished 4th or better last time out
11/16 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
11/16 – Favourites placed
8/16 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2
The last winner to go on and win the Epsom Derby was High Rise 1998

3.40 - Betfred "Supports Jack Berry House" Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f1y ITV4

13/13 – Aged 5 or younger
12/13 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
11/13 – Won between 1-4 times before
10/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Had won over 7f before
8/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/13 – Placed favourites
7/13 – Drawn in stall 3 (4) or 7 (3)
7/13 – Irish-bred
6/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Non UK-trained winners
5/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/13 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
2/13 – Winning favourites
5 of the last 10 winners returned double-figures in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

 

 

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Chester TV Trends: Friday 10th May 2019

The three-day 2019 Chester May Meeting concludes on Friday 10th May with four more LIVE races on ITV - We've got the main contests - including the Chester Cup - did you know that 16 of the last 17 Chester Cup winners were aged 7 or younger?

 

CHESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS


1.50 –
Liverpool Gin Earl Grosvenor Handicap Cl2 7f122y ITV

14/17 - Had won over this trip (7 1/2f) before
15/17 - Didn’t win their last race
13/17 - Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
14/17 - Had a previous run that season
14/17 - Finished unplaced last time out
13/17 - Carried 8-10 or more
13/17 - Had run before at Chester
12/17 - Favourites placed
10/17 - Came from stall 5 or higher
7/17 - Won by a 4 year-old
8/17 - Horses placed from stall 1
5/17 - Won by the favourite
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
3/17 – Winning horses from stall 1
Baraweez won the race in 2018

2.25 – Homeserve Huxley Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f75y ITV

16/17 – Aged either a 4 or 5 year-old
14/17 – Had won over 1m2f before
13/17 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd in this race
13/17 – Had a previous race that season
12/17 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/17 – Winners from between stalls 1-4
9/17 – Winning favourites
9/17 – Failed to win their previous race
6/17 – Returned 6/4 or shorter in the betting
5/17 – Ran in the John Porter at Newbury before winning this
5/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
5/17 – Had raced at Chester before
5/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Forest Ranger won the race in 2018

3.00 – Boodles Diamond Handicap Cl2 1m2 1/2f ITV

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10/10 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
10/10 – Won at least twice before
9/10 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
9/10 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
8/10 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
8/10 – Rated between 90-95
8/10 – Placed favourites
8/10 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute


3.35 –
Sportpesa Chester Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f147y ITV

16/17 – Aged 7 years-old or younger
15/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/17 – Officially rated between 93-99
13/17 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-olds
12/17 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/17 – Won from stall 7 or lower
11/17 – Carried 9-2 or less
11/17 – Had raced within the last 2 months
11/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Had won previously over at least 2m on the flat
9/17 – Favourites were unplaced
8/17 – Irish bred
4/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/17 – Won by owner Dr Marwan Koukash
3/17 – Had won at the track before
3/17 – Ran at Aintree over hurdles last time out
2/17 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/17 – Won by the favourite
2/17 – Won their previous race
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 12/1

Key Chester Cup Stats

The race has seen repeat winners three times since 1997
Since 1975 we’ve only seen 4 winning favourites
The Hills yard took the race in 1980, 1999, 2001 and 2009
Since 1975 all winners have been aged 8 or younger
Since 1975 there have only been three winners aged 8 years-old
Since 1981 only 7 winners have carried more than 9-2 to victory
4 of the last 9 winners came from NH yards
3 of the last 7 winners returned 10/1
Dr Marwan Koukash has owned 4 of the last 11 winners

 

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Chester TV Trends: Thurs 9th May 2019

The three-day 2019 Chester May Meeting continues on Thursday 9th May with four more LIVE races on ITV - We've got the main contests - including the Dee Stakes - covered with all the key trends and stats.

 

 

CHESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS

1.50 – Gateley PLC Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

11/11 – Won from stall 7 or lower
11/11 – Had won over 5f before
11/11 – Had won between 2-6 times before
11/11 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/11 – Came from stall 5 or lower
8/11 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
8/11 – Had raced at Chester before
8/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/11 – Finished in the top 7 last time out
7/11 – Officially rated between 87-90
5/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
2/11 – Winners from stall 1
9 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 1-4
A Momentofmadness won the race in 2018

2.25 - Homeserve Dee Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f75y ITV

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16/17 – Had not run at Chester before
15/17 – Yet to win over this trip before
14/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Favourites finished in the frame
14/17 – Came from stall 3 or higher
11/17 – Failed to win another race after taking this
10/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/17 – Had a previous run that season
8/17 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby
7/17 – Won by the favourite
7/17 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
6/17 – Won their previous race
0/17 – Winners from stall 1
Only Kris Kin in 2003 went onto win this and then the Epsom Derby in the last 16 years

3.00 – Deepbridge Capital Handicap Cl2 7f122y ITV

16/17 – Hadn’t raced at Chester before
15/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had a previous run that season
13/17 – Came between stalls 2-7
11/17 – Finished third or better last time out
10/17 – Carried 9-0 or less
10/17 – Placed favourites
6/17 – Winning favourites (or joint)
5/17 – Ran at Newbury last time out
5/17 – Placed horses from stall 1
2/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/17 – Winners from stall 1

3.35 - Boodles Diamond Ormonde Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f89y ITV

16/17 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
12/17 – Won by either a 4 or 5 year-old
12/17 – Didn’t win their previous race
11/17 – Had a previous run that season
10/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
9/17 – Won by the favourite
8/17 – Had run before at Chester
5/17 – Ran in the John Porter (Newbury) last time out
4/17 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
4/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (won it 6 times in all)

 

 

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