Daily Double Dutch reports from Geegeez: detailed write-ups, statistics and information on Geegeez’s own horse betting project. Read on to find out more.

Sat TV Trends: 11th Aug 2018

The ITV4 cameras head to Ascot for their unique Shergar Cup meeting, while they are also at Newmarket and Haydock – Like all Saturday’s Andy Newton’s got all the LIVE ITV4 race trends to help narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.  

 

Saturday 11th August 2018

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

1:05 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV4

10/10 – Failed to win their last race
9/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/10 – Raced at Ascot previously
9/10 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
9/10 – Had 4 or more runs that season
9/10 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting market
8/10 – Won at least 3 times in their career
7/10 – Favourites  placed
6/10 – Had won over 5f previously
5/10 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/10 – Favourites (1 joint)
4/10 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
3/10 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including 2 of the last 4 runnings)
2/10 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
2 of the last 10 winners came from stall 11
Stake Acclaim (4/1 jfav) won the race in 2017

 

1.40 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m ITV4

13/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Carried 8-13 or more
11/14 – Favourites placed in the top 4
11/14 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
11/14 – Rated between 86-94
11/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/14 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
11/14 – Had raced at the track before
10/14 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (5) last time out
9/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/14 – Trained by Ian Williams
1/14 – Won last time out
Euchen Glen (7/1) won the race in 2017
No winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
3 of the last 9 winners came from stall 9
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top three in 6 of the last 11 runnings

 

2.15 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4

13/14 – Aged 6 or younger
13/14 – Officially rated between 87-94
12/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
12/14 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
11/14 – Won between 1-4 times previously
8/14 – Aged 4 years-old
8/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
6/14 – Had run at Ascot previously
6/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/14 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
4/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
2/14 – Favourites that won
Great Hall (12/1) won the race in 2017
No winners from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
3 of the last 12 winners came from stall 5
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

 

2.50 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

14/14 – Won over at least a mile before
14/14 – Failed to win last time out
14/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/14 – Rated between 92-100
13/14 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
12/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Won between 2-4 times before
9/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/14 – Had run at Ascot before
4/14 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/14 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/14 – Winning favourites
Raising Sand (10/1) won the race in 2018
3 of the last 12 winners came from stall 1
10 or the last 13 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting

 

3.25 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – ITV4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Raced 3 or more times that season
7/9 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
7/9 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
7/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
6/9 – Officially rated between 84-90
4/9 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/9 – Favourites placed
2/9 – Favourites that won
2/9 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/9 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Danehill Kodiac (8/1) won the race in 2017
7 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8

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4.00 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f ITV4

14/14 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
13/14 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks
13/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
12/14 – Won between 2-3 times previously
12/14 – Won over 6f previously
12/14 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
10/14 – Officially rated between 86-95
10/14 – Came from the top three in the betting market
10/14 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
9/14 – Favourites placed
6/14 – Had run at Ascot previously
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Won by the Roger Charlton yard
3/14 – Winning Favourites
Golden Apollo (4/1) won the race in 2017
6 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

 

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

1.55 - Smarkets Haydock Park Ladies´ Trophy Handicap (Pro-Am Lady Riders´ Race) Cl3 1m3f200y ITV4

Only two previous runnings
Azari (12/1) won the race in 2017
Trainer Iain Jardine has a 20% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Hugo Palmer has a 28% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

3.05 – Smarkets Betting Exchange Rose of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f95y ITV4

15/15 – Aged 5 or younger
14/15 – Officially rated 105 or higher
13/15 – Yet to run at Haydock
13/15 – Favourites placed
13/15 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
12/15 – Won a Listed or better class race before
11/15 – Won over 1m2f or further
11/15 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
11/15 – Raced 3 or more previous runs that season
10/15 – Raced at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
10/15 – Won 3 or more times during their career
9/15 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Finished unplaced in their last race
4/15 – Favourites that won
3/15 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/15 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
Frankuus (8/1) won the race in 2017

 

NEWMARKET (JULY) Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

3.45 – german-thoroughbred.com Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4

14/15 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
14/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/15 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
13/15 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting market
13/15 – Won just once previously
13/15 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
11/15 – Had won over only 6f previously
9/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Won their last race
9/15 – Raced at Newmarket (July) previously
8/15 – Raced at Newmarket (5) or Sandown (3) last time out
7/15 – Had just one previous run
7/15 –  Favourites that won
5/15 – Won by Godolphin
4/15 – Won over 7f previously
3/15 – Trained by the Hills stable
Tajaanus (10/1) won the race in 2017
2 winners from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
4 of the last 11 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (2) or 2nd (2)

 

 

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Glorious Goodwood Trends: DAY FIVE (Sat 4th Aug 2018)

It's panama hats, pimms, plus strawberries and cream galore at the start of August with the 5-day Glorious Goodwood Meeting (Tues 31st July to Sat 4th Aug). As always, the West Sussex track can expect monster crowds throughout the week with a whole host of top-notch contests each day for punters to get stuck into.

So, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

We continue on Day FIVE with four LIVE ITV races, including the Gordon Stakes and the super-competitive Stewards' Cup.

DAY FIVE - Saturday 4th August 2018

1.50 – Qatar Stewards’ Sprint Stakes Handicap (Consolation Race for the Qatar Stewards’ Cup) (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f

14/14 – Didn’t win their last race
12/14 – Raced at Goodwood previously
13/14 – Had won over 6f previously
11/14 – Won at least 3 times during their career
11/14 – Had 4 or more runs that season
10/14 – Finished 4th or worse in their last race
10/14 – Favourites unplaced
8/14 – Priced between 8/1 and 12/1 in the market
7/14 – Winning Distance - 1 ¼ lengths or more
7/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
7/14 – Raced at either York (3) or Newmarket (4) last time out
3/14 – Trained by Clive Cox
3/14 – Favourites (one in the last 12 years)
1/14 – 3 year-old winners
Scorching Heat (9/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago
11 of the last 12 winners carried 9-0 or more
8 of the last 12 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-5
No winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
Horses from stall 3 has won 2 of the last 9 runnings

 

2.25 – The Qatar Summer Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

14/15 – Had won at least twice before
13/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
13/15 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
12/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/15 – Carried 9-7 or more
9/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Rated between 90-100
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Came from the top three in the betting
4/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/15 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
No winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
Horses from stalls 12, 13 & 14 have good e/w records in recent years
7 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 10-14 (inc)
Solider In Action (11/1) won the race 12 months ago

3.00 – Qatar Gordon Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

15/15 – Won between 1-3 times before
14/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/15 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
11/15 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/15 – Winning distance – neck or shorter
8/15 – Went onto run in the St Leger
6/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda
2/15 – Went onto win the St Leger
10 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 4-10 (inc)
The horse from stall 7 has won 4 of the last 11 runnings
Horses from stalls 4,7 & 10 have won 8 of the last 11 runnings
Crystal Ocean (6/4 fav) won the race 12 months ago

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3.35 – Unibet Stewards´ Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

15/15 – Had won over 6f before
14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
14/15 – Had at least 3 previous career wins to their name
14/15 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
11/15 – Raced at either Ascot, York or Newmarket last time out
10/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
10/15 – Placed favourites (top 4)
10/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/15 – Raced at Goodwood before
8/15 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
5/15 – Favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
2/15 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Winning 3 year-olds
Lancelot Du Lac (25/1) won the race 12 months ago
10 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure draw
Stall 18 has won 2 of the last 12 runnings

 

 

 

 

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Glorious Goodwood Trends: DAY FOUR (Fri 3rd Aug 2018)

It's panama hats, pimms, plus strawberries and cream galore at the start of August with the 5-day Glorious Goodwood Meeting (Tues 31st July to Sat 4th Aug). As always, the West Sussex track can expect monster crowds throughout the week with a whole host of top-notch contests each day for punters to get stuck into.

So, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

We continue on Day FOUR with four LIVE ITV races, including the Glorious Stakes, Betfred Mile, plus the Group Two King George Stakes.

DAY FOUR - Friday 3rd August 2018

1.50 - Bombay Sapphire Glorious Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

16/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Winners by 1 ½ lengths or less
11/16 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
11/16 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
10/16 – Had won at Listed or better class before
10/16 – Had run at Goodwood before (5 won)
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Aged 4 years-old
8/16 – Winning favourites
7/16 – Unplaced last time out
7/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/16 – Were won by either a head or neck
4/16 – Trained by Luca Cumani
5/16 - Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
8 of the last 12 winners came from stall 5 or higher
Horses from stall 1 placed in 7 of the last 9 runnings (2 wins)
Poet’s Word (7/4 fav) won the race 12 months ago

 

2.25 – Bonhams Thoroughbred Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m ITV

15/16 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
14/16 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
12/16 – Had not won a Group 3 or better before
12/16 – Had won at least twice during their career
12/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/16 – Ran at either Newbury (2), Goodwood (2) or Newmarket (4) last time out
5/16 – Had run at Goodwood before
5/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Trained by Brian Meehan
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Beat The Bank (7/4 fav) won the race 12 months ago
6 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 1-3 (inc)
The last 11 winners came from stalls 1-6 (inc)

Note: 2012 was a dead-heat

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3.00 – Unibet Golden Mile (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
15/16 – Had won over at least 1m before
14/16 – Had raced 3 or more times that season
13/16 – Had won 3 or more races during their career
10/16 – Carried 8-13 or less
10/16 – Never raced at Goodwood before
10/16 –Priced 7/1 or shorter
9/16 – Aged  4 or 5 years-old
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
8/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
6/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Won their last race
3/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Belgian Bill won the race in 2015
Red Avenger won the race in 2014
11 of the last 13 winners were drawn 9 or lower
11 of the last 13 runnings saw the first two both drawn in 11 or lower
Master The World (6/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 12/1

 

3.35 - Qatar King George Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV

16/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Had won over 5f before
13/16 – Didn’t win last time out
12/16 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
12/16 – Had won 4 or more times in their careers
11/16 – Ran at York, Ascot or Newmarket last time out
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
7/16 – Had run at Goodwood before
6/16 – Had only won at Listed Class before
5/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Trained by the Hills yard
2/16 – Trained by William Haggas
2/16 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Take Cover (8/1) won the race in 2014 & 2016
8 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
Horses from stall 4 and 8 have won 4 of the last 11 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

 

 

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Glorious Goodwood Trends: DAY THREE (Thurs 2nd Aug 2018)

It's panama hats, pimms, plus strawberries and cream galore at the start of August with the 5-day Glorious Goodwood Meeting (Tues 31st July to Sat 4th Aug). As always, the West Sussex track can expect monster crowds throughout the week with a whole host of top-notch contests each day for punters to get stuck into.

So, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

We continue on Day THREE with four LIVE ITV races, including the Richmond Stakes, Lillie Langtry Stakes, plus the Group One Nassau Stakes for fillies and mares.

DAY THREE - Thursday 2nd August 2018

1.50 – Matchbook Best Value Exchange Handicap Cl2 1m1f192y ITV

14/15 – Had won between 1-3 times before
14/15 – Winning distance – 1 ¾ lengths or less
14/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Rated between 91-99
11/15 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
10/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
8/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
6/15 – Had raced at Goodwood before
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston (2 of last 5 runnings)
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Trained by John Gosden
3/15 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
2/15 – Ridden by William Buick
No winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
Stall 14 has been placed in 5 of the last 12 runnings
8 of the last 12 winners came from stall 11 or lower
5 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 4-7 (inc)
Good Omen (8/1) won the race 12 months ago

2.25 – Qatar Lillie Langtry Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m6f ITV

13/15 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
12/15 – Had raced 2 or more times already that season
11/15 – Finished in the top three last time out
11/15 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/15 – Had run at Goodwood before
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
7/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 - Ridden by Tom Queally
8 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 4-6 (inc)
Endless Time (5/2) won the race 12 months ago

3.00 – Qatar Richmond Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

15/16 – Had won 1 or 2 races before
15/16 – Had won over 5 or 6f before
14/16 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
13/16 – Never raced at Goodwood before
13/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Placed last time out
11/16 – Won by a Feb or March foal
11/16 – Won their previous race
8/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
6/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon (inc last 6 of last 8 runnings)
2/16 – Trained by Peter Chapple-Hyam
3 of the last 12 winners came from stall 2
8 of the last 12 horses from stall 2 finished in the top 3
3 of the last 12 winners came from stall 6
11 of the last 12 winners came from stall 2-7 (inc)
Barraquero (4/1) won the race 12 months ago

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3.35 – Qatar Nassau Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f192y ITV

14/14 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the market
13/14 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/14 – Aged either 3 or 4 years-old
11/14 – Winning Favourites
11/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/14 – Had won a Group One race previously
10/14 – Won between 2-4 times before
9/14 – Had won over 1m2f previously
4/14 – Won by the Aidan O’Brien yard
3/14 – Ridden by Tom Queally
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden
2/14 – Won by the Sir Michael Stoute yard
Winter (10/11 fav) won the race 12 months ago
9 of the last 12 winners were drawn 7 or lower
Stalls 1, 6 and 7 have won 8 of the last 12 renewals
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 21st July 2018

This Saturday the LIVE ITV TV races come from Newmarket, Market Rasen & Newbury.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with the key trends and stats – use these to find the best profiles of past winners of each race.

Saturday 21st July 2018

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.45 – Smarkets Betting Exchange Aphrodite Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV3

13/14 – Won over at least 1m2f or further before
12/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
9/14 – Won between 1-2 times before
6/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/14 - Winning favourite
5/14 – Ran at Haydock last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden
2/14 – Trained by Luca Cumani (2 of last 3 years)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – bet365 Stakes (Registered as The Steventon Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV3

9/13 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/13 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
9/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or  more
8/13 – Had run at the track before
8/13 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/13 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/13 – Had won a Group race before
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 8 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

2.25 – JLT Cup Cl2 (3yo+) 2m ½f ITV3

No previous runnings
Trainer Hughie Morrison is just 3 from 37 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 17% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track

3.00 – bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f8y ITV3

13/14 – Won over 6f before
11/14 – Aged 5 or younger
11/14 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had won 4 or more times before
10/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/14 – Placed favourites
6/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/14 – Had won a Group race before
6/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Winners from stall 8
2/14 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
2/14 – Trained by William Haggas
2/14 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of last 3)
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
8 of the last 11 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2

 

3.35 - Weatherbys Super Sprint (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 5f34y ITV3

13/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Had won over 5f before
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/14 – Won 1-2 times before
9/14 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/14 – Won by a Feb or March foal
7/14 – Irish bred winners
6/14 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Won by a filly
4/14 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
3/14 – Winners from stall 1
4/14 – Winning favourites
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013, 2015 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1

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Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – 188Bet Summer Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV3

14/16 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
14/16 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
13/16 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
12/16 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/16 – Had run at Market Rasen before
2/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/16 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 11 winners carried 11-5 or less
8 of the last 12 winners carried 11-0 or less
7 of the last 12 winners retuned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

 

3.15 – 188Bet Summer Plate (Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m6f110y ITV3

16/16 – Had run within the last 3 months
14/16 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
14/16 – Aged 7 or older
12/16 – Had won 2 or more chases before
11/16 – Carried 10-13 or less
10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/16 – Had run at Market Rasen before
9/16 – Won their previous race
6/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
4/16 – Trained by Peter Bowen
4/16 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 7)
2/16 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
8 of the last 10 winners were aged between 7-9 years-old
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1
Alcala won the race in 2017

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 28th July 2018

Another big Saturday of horse racing action with the ITV cameras heading to Ascot for four races that include the Group One King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes, while they are also at York to take in three more contests that include the Skybet Dash.

As always, we’ve got is all covered with all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle.

 

Saturday 28th July 2018

 

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.50 – Princess Margaret Keenland Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

13/15 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Had won just once before
12/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/15 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/15 – Won over 6f before
9/15 – Winning favourite
6/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Won by the Hannon yard
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
6 of the last 12 winners were Irish bred
8 of the last 12 horses from stall 1 were placed
4 of the last 6 winners came from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
Nyaleti (2/1 fav) won the race 12 months ago
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

2.25 – Porsche Handicap Cl2 1m ITV

Only 7 previous runnings
6/7 – Carried 8-8 or more
5/7 – Winners between stalls 9-15
5/7 – Had won just once before
3/7 – Won last time out
5/7 – Unplaced favourites
3/7 – Returned 10/1 or bigger in the betting
3/7 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/7 – Irish bred
1/7 – Winning favourite
D’Bai (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Charlie Appleby won the race in 2017
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2016
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2014
Trainer Hughie Morrison won the race in 2012

3.00 – Gigaset International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

15/15 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
15/15 – Had raced at Ascot previously
15/15 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
12/15 – Won over 7f previously
12/15 – Favourites unplaced
11/15 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
11/15 – Won between 2-4 times previously
10/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
10/15 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
10/15 – Aged 4 years-old
9/15 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/15 – Won their last race
4/15 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/15 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/15 – Ridden by Jimmy Quinn
1/15 – Winning favourites
Trainer Richard Fahey has won the race three times in the last 8 years
9 of the last 11 winners ran at either Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
8 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure stall
7 of the last 11 winners finished in the top 5 last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 24/1
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

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3.40 – King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Qipco British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV

16/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/16 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
15/16 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
14/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Placed last time out
12/16 – Previous Group 1 winner
12/16 – aged 4 years-old
9/16 – Had run Ascot before
9/16 – Won their previous race
8/16 – Favourites that won
7/16 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
5/16 – Won at Ascot before
3/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004 and 2017
2 of the last 4 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Galileo (2001) was the last horse to do the Derby/King George double
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009 & 2010
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 7/2

YORK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – Skybet Britain’s Most Popular Online Bookmaker Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

10/10 – Carried 9-3 or more
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
9/10 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Had won over 7f before
8/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/10 – Had won at York before
4/10 – Rated between 73 and 80
4/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
4/10 – Returned 4/1 in the betting
2/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/10 – Won by the David O’Meara yard
2/10 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/10 – Won last time out
Get Knotted (11/2) won the race in 2016 & 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

2.40 – Sky Bet Dash (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

14/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/14 – Had won between 2-6 times before
12/14 – Carried 8-12 or more
12/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Aged 5 or younger
11/14 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
9/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
8/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/14 – Had run at York before
6/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/14 – Won last time out
8 of the last 12 winners carried 9-0 or more
Flying Pursuit (12/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

3.15 – Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

11/12 – Aged 6 or younger
11/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/12 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
9/12 – Had won over 1m2f before
9/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/12 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
8/12 – Rated between 112 and 117
6/12 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/12 – Had run at York before
6/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Aged 6 years-old
2/12 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Success Days (3/1 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

 

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Glorious Goodwood Trends: DAY ONE (Tues 31st July 2018)

It's panama hats, pimms, plus strawberries and cream galore at the start of August with the 5-day Glorious Goodwood Meeting (Tues 31st July to Sat 4th Aug). As always, the West Sussex track can expect monster crowds throughout the week with a whole host of top-notch contests each day for punters to get stuck into.

So we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

We get going on Day One with four LIVE ITV races, including the Vintage Stakes and Lennox Stakes, plus the recently upgraded Group One Goodwood Cup.

 

DAY ONE - Tuesday 31st July 2018

1.50 – Matchbook Betting Exchange Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m1f192y ITV

15/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
14/16 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
14/16 – Had won at least 3 times already during their career
13/16 – Carried 8-11 or more
11/16 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Had run at Goodwood before
11/16 – Unplaced last time out
10/16 – Unplaced favourites
10/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/16 – Won their last race
2/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/16 – Winning favourites (1 co-fav)
Fabricate (20/1) won the race 12 months ago
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 9 or higher
8 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

2.25 - Qatar Vintage Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

15/16 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
15/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/16 – Had 2 or 3 previous career runs
12/16 – Won last time out
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Winning favourites
10/16 – Won by a March or later foal
8/16 – Ran at either Newmarket (5) or Ascot (2) last time out
7/16 – Had won 2 previous races
4/16 – Had run at Goodwood before
4/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3 of the last 9 winners came from stall 9
Expert Eye (7/4 fav) won the race 12 months ago

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3.00 - Qatar Lennox Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

16/16 – Had won at least 2 times before
14/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had 2 or more previous runs already that season
13/16 – Had won over 7f before
13/16 – Previous Group Race winners
12/16 – Had previously won a Group 2 or 3
10/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/16 – Had run at Goodwood before
7/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/16 - Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
8 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
3 of the last 7 winners came from stall 5
Breton Rock (50/1) won the race 12 months ago

3.35 – Qatar Goodwood Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 2m ITV

14/16 – Placed last time out
12/16 – Aged 5 or older
12/16 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
12/16 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
10/16 – Had won over at least 2m before
9/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
9/16 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Had run at Goodwood before
8/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – Won their previous race
4/16 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/16 – Trained by Michael Bell
Big Orange won the race in 2015 and 2016
Stradivarius (6/1) won the race in 2017
5 of the last 21 runnings were won by a previous winner of the race
ALL of the last 14 winners had raced in the last 45 days
10 of the last 11 winners came from stall 10 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 14th July 2018

It’s the final day of the three-day Newmarket July Meeting this Saturday and the ITV cameras are there to take in the best of the action, plus they are also at York and Ascot on what is a bumper Saturday of flat horse racing.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with all the key trends and stats – use these to find the best profiles of past winners of each race.

Saturday 14th July 2018

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.05 - Bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

15/16 – Won over at least 6f previously
14/16 – Placed in their last race
13/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
12/16 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
11/16 – Won their latest race
11/16 – Won by either a March or April foal
8/16 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
6/16 – Favourites unplaced
4/16 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/16 – Winners from stall 3
4/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
5/16 – Winning Favourites
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 5 runnings)
2/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
Gustav Klimt (5/6) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

 

1.40 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

15/16 – Won over 7f previously
15/16 – Raced 3 or more times that season
12/16 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
11/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
10/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/16 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
9/16 – Winners from stall 14 or higher
8/16 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
8/16 – Horses from a double-figure stall that 1st, 2nd and 3rd
8/16 – Placed in their last race
4/16 – Favourites (inc joint and co)
3/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Above The Rest (12) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11.5/1
Heaven’s Guest won the race in 2014 & was second in 2016

 

2.15 - Darley July Cup (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

Recent July Cup Winners.....

2017     Harry Angel (9/2)
2016     Limato (9/2 fav)
2015     Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014     Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013     Lethal Force (9/2)
2012     Mayson (20/1)
2011     Dream Ahead (7/1)
2010    Starspangledbanner (2/1 fav)
2009   Fleeting Spirit (12/1)
2008   Marchand d'Or  (5/2 fav)
2007   Sakhee's Secret  (9/2)
2006   Les Arcs (10/1)
2005   Pastoral Pursuits (22/1)
2004   Frizzante (14/1)
2003   Oasis Dream (9/2)
2002   Continent (12/1)

16 Year July Cup Betting Trends

15/16 – Aged 5 or younger
14/16 – Had won over 6f before
13/16 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
13/16 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
13/16 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
12/16 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
10/16 – Placed last time out
9/16 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
6/16 – Won their previous race
5/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
2/16 – Irish-trained winners
1/16 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 8/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 3 times before (1999, 2001 & 2010)

 

3.20 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

14/16 – Had won over 7f or further previously
13/16 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
12/16 – Had 2 or more runs that season
9/16 – Unplaced in their last race
9/16 – Favourites unplaced
7/16 – Winners from stall 9 or higher
3/16 – Won their last race
3/16 – Winning Favourites
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Ridden by Dane O’Neill
Medahim (12/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 10/1

 

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

 

1.55 - John Smith´s City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

Only 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Won over 5f before
7/7 – Placed favourites
7/7 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
7/7 – Rated between 101 and 111
5/7 – Unplaced last time out
4/7 – Had only won at Handicap class before
4/7 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
4/7 – Won by a neck
4/7 – Won at York before
3/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/7 – Ridden by Phillip Makin
Take Cover (5/1) won the race in 2017
Out Do won the race in 2015

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2.35 - John Smith´s Silver Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m6f ITV3

12/12 – Aged 5 or younger
12/12 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
11/12 – Won from stall 10 or lower
9/12 – Didn’t win their previous race
8/12 – Placed favourites
7/12 – Aged 4 years-old
6/12 – Had run at York before
5/12 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/12 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
4/12 – Luca Cumani-trained horses that finished in the top three
3/12 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1
Rare Rhythm (9/4) won the race in 2017

 

3.10 - John Smith´s Racing Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV3

14/14 – Ran within the last 3 weeks
13/14 – Had won over at least 1m before
13/14 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
10/14 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
11/14 – Had won between 2-4 times before
10/14 – Rated 90 or less
10/14 – Placed last time out
8/14 – Priced between 7/1 and 14/1
9/14 – Winning distance – ¾ or less
8/14 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
6/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Won by a USA-bred horse
4/14 – Had raced at York before
3/14 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 12 winners came from stall 7 or lower
5 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 2 or 3
Chiefofchiefs (8/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

3.40 – 59th John Smith´s Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m2f88y ITV3

Recent John Smith’s Cup Winners.......

2017 – Ballet Concerto (8/1) Sir Michael Stoute
2016 – Educate (18/1) Ismail Mohammed
2015 – Master Carpenter (14/1) Rod Millman
2014 – Farraaj (6/1) Roger Varian
2013 – Danchai (10/1) William Haggas
2012 – King’s Warrior (10/1) Peter Chapple-Hyam
2011 – Green Destiny (6/1) W Haggas
2010 – Wigmore Hall (5/1) M Bell
2009 – Sirvino (16/1) T Barron
2008 – Flying Clarets (12/1) R Fahey
2007 – Charlie Tokyo (11/1) R Fahey
2006 – Fairmile (6/1 jfav) W Swinburn
2005 – Mullins Bay (4/1 fav) AP O’Brien
2004 – Arcalis (20/1) J Howard Johnson
2003 -  Far Lane (7/1) B Hills
2002 – Vintage Premium (20/1) R Fahey

John Smith’s Cup Key Trends

15/16 – Aged 5 or younger
15/16 – Returned 20/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
13/16 – Came from stall 9 or higher
12/16 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
11/16 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Carried 9-3 or less
10/16 – Top 4 finish in their previous race
10/16 – Aged 4 years-old
8/16 – Officially rated between 99-105
7/16 – Had run at York before
5/16 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
3/16 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
2/16 – Trained by William Haggas
2/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
Since 1970 just one winner older than 5 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 11/1

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

12.45 – Bet With Ascot Heritage Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

Just 4 previous running
4/5 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
4/5 – Carried 8-10 or more
2/5 – Aged 4 years-old
Danzeno (8/1 co-fav) won the race 12 months ago

 

1.20 - Fred Cowley MBE Memorial Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV

11/11 Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
9/11 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
9/11 – Had won over at least a mile before
9/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/11 – Had raced at Ascot before (2 won)
8/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Previous Group race winner
6/11 – Had won at least 4 times before
6/11 – Winning favourites
5/11 – Aged 4 years-old
4/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/11 – Had won a Group 1 before
Mutakayyef (7/2 fav) won the race in 2016 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

 

 

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Newmarket July Meeting Trends: DAY TWO (Fri 13th July 2018)

The three-day 2018 Newmarket July Meeting continues on Friday (13th July) and with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle.

As we move into the second day (Gentleman's Day) the Group Two Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Cherry Hinton) and the Group One Falmouth Stakes take centre stage - did you know 15 of the last 16 Falmouth Stakes winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old

As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races, highlighting the main trends – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

 


Newmarket July Meeting - Day Two,
Friday 13th July 2018

1.50 – bet365 Handicap (Silver Bunbury Cup) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

Only three previous runnings
Parfait win the race in 2017
Swift Approval won the race in 2016
2 of the last 3 winners were aged 4 years-old
All three previous winners carried 9-4 or more in weight
2 winning favourites

2.25 - Duchess of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored by Bet365) (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV

14/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/14 – Had raced at least twice before
13/14 – Foaled in Feb (6) or March (6)
13/14 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
13/14 – Had won between 1-2 times before
12/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
10/14 – Won by a UK-based yard
9/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
9/14 – Had won over 6f before
8/14 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
7/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by the Hannon team
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (4 wins in total)
3/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (inc last 2)
1/14 – Drawn in stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2
Clemmie (11/8 fav) won the race in 2017

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3.00 - bet354 Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV

10/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Had won between 1-2 times before
9/11 – Have never run at Newmarket (July) before
8/11 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
8/11 – Placed in the top 6 last time out
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
5/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/11 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
5/11 – Trained by Mark Johnston (including last 4 of last 5 runnings)
3/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Trained by Andrew Balding
0/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1
Marzouq (6/1) won the race in 2017

3.35 - Qipco Falmouth Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

16/16 – Won a Listed or better class race previously
15/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/16– Won over at least 1 mile previously
12/16 – Won from stall 5 or lower
12/16 – Had 2+ runs that season
11/16 – Won at 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
9/16 – Favourites placed
6/16 – Had run on the Newmarket July course previously
6/16 – Favourites  that won (1 joint)
5/16 – Previous Group One winners
4/16 – Won their last race
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 4)
2/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (last 2 runnings)
2/16 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
Roly Poly (6/4 fav) won the race in 2017

 



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Newmarket July Meeting Trends: DAY ONE (Thurs 12th July 2018)

The three-day 2018 Newmarket July Meeting gets started on Thursday (12th July) and with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle.

On day one the Group Two July Stakes and Princess of Wales's Stakes are the key contests - did you know that a 4 year-old has won 8 of the last 11 Princess Of Wales's Stakes?  

As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races, highlighting the main trends – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

 


Newmarket July Meeting - Day One,
Thursday 12th July 2018

 

1.50 - Bahrain Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f ITV

16/16 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
14/16 – Failed to win last time out
14/16 – Never run on the Newmarket July Course before
11/16 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
10/16 – Favourites placed in the top three
10/16 – Won at 3/1 or shorter
10/16 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
9/16 – Finished fifth or worse in their previous race
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Trained by John Gosden (inc 4 of last 7 runnings)
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/16 – Ridden by William Buick
2/16 – Winners that came from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2
Raheen House (7/2) won the race in 2017

 

2.25 - Arqana July Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

15/16 – Placed in their last run
15/16 – Had won over 5 or 6f previously
13/16 – Had 2 or more previous career starts
12/16 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
10/16 – Won their last race
9/16 – Won at 9/2 or shorter
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
7/16 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their last race
6/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
5/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
1/16 – Winners that came from stall 1
Frankie Dettori has ridden 4 winners in the race
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
Cardsharp (8/1) won the race in 2017

Your first 30 days for just £1

 

3.00 – Bet365 Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

12/12 – Didn’t win last time out
12/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
12/12 – Had 3 or 4 previous runs that season
12/12 – Had won no more than 3 times before
10/12 – Had won over 6f before
9/12 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
9/12 – Carried 8-12 or less
9/12 – Came from a double-figure stall
9/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/12 – Unplaced favourites
7/12 – Finished unplaced last time out
3/12 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/12 – Ridden by David Probert
0/12 – Winning favourites
Ekhiyaar (13/2) won the race in 2017

 

3.35 - Princess Of Wales´s Arqana Racing Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

14/16 – Aged 4 or older (4 year-olds have won 8 of last 11)
14/16 – Had 2 or more runs that season
14/16 – Previously won over at least 1m4f
13/16 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
11/16 – Won at 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
10/16 – Unplaced in their previous race
9/16 – Favourites that were placed
8/16 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their previous race
5/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 9 times in total)
4/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/16 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
Big Orange won the race in 2015 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Hawkbill (7/2) won the race in 2017

 



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Sat TV Trends: 7th July 2018

The ITV cameras head to Sandown and Haydock on Saturday 8th July with the Coral-Eclipse, plus the Lancashire Oaks and Old Newton Cup the clear highlights – as always we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

12.20 - Coral Charge (Registered as The Sprint Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 5f6y ITV

16/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
15/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Favourites placed
12/16 – Had won at least 3 times before
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/16 – Winning favourites
6/16 – Had won at Sandown before
5/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
7 of the last 12 winners were Irish bred
10 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

12.55 – Coral Challenge (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV

15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
14/16 – Carried 8-8 or more
14/16 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
14/16 – Previous winners over 1m (or further)
12/16 – Didn’t win their previous race
10/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Aged 4 years-old
10/16 – Had run at Sandown before
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/16 – Ran at either York (2) or Ascot (4) last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Andrew Balding
9 of the last 12 winners came from stall 8 or lower
Secret Act (16/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1

1.30 – Coral Distaff (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m14y ITV

15/15 – Had at least 1 previous run already that season
14/15 – Had never run at Sandown before
13/15 – Had won over 7f or further before
12/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Finished in the top three last time out
8/15 – Favourites that finished in the top three
4/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The last 12 winners came from stalls 3-8 (inc)
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 3,4,5 or 6
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

2.10 – Coral-Eclipse (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

Eclipse Stakes Past Winners

2017 – Ulysses (8/1)
2016 – Hawkbill (6/1)
2015 – Golden Horn (4/9 fav)
2014 – Mukhadram (14/1)
2013 – Al Kazeem (15/8 fav)
2012 – Nathaniel (7/2)
2011 – So You Think (4/11 fav)
2010 -  Twice Over (13/8 fav)
2009 – Sea The Stars (4/7 fav)
2008 – Mount Nelson (7/2)
2007 – Notnowcato (7/1)
2006 –David Junior (9/4)
2005 –Oratorio (12/1)
2004 –Refuse To Bend (15/2)
2003 –Falbrav (8/1)
2002 – Hawk Wing (8/15 fav)

Eclipse Stakes Betting Trends

16/16 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Won by a previous Group One winner
13/16 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
12/16 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
12/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (three won there)
11/16 – Placed in their last race
7/16 – Favourites that won
5/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
4/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/16 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4 of the last 11 winners won last time out
2 of the last 9 Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 5/1
Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994, 1993 & 2017
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995 & 2016
Trainer John Gosden has won 2 of the last 6 runnings

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

12.35 - bet365 Handicap Cl3 1m2f95y ITV

1 previous running
John Gosden trained the winner in 2017
Trainer John Gosden has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Sir Mark Prescott has a 33% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 3 from 45 with his 3 year-olds at the track

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1.10 – bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m3f200y ITV

13/16 – Had won at least at Listed class before
13/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/16 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Had won between 1-3 times before
10/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
6/16 – Trained by John Gosden
5/16 – Had raced at Haydock before
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/16 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/16 – Trained by David Elsworth
2/16 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
The last 5 winners were aged 4 years-old
Endless Time won the race 12 months ago (11/4 fav)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

Note: The 2007 renewal was staged at Newmarket

1.45 – bet365 Old Newton Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m3f200y ITV

Recent Old Newton Cup Winners

2017 – Dylan Mouth (25/1)
2016 – Tawdeea (8/1)
2015 – Notarised (12/1)
2014 – De Rigueur (9/1)
2013 – Star Lahib (8/1)
2012 – Number Theory (8/1)
2011 – Halicarnassus (14/1)
2010 – Dangerous Midge (17/2)
2009 – Red Merlin (15/2 jfav)
2008 – Mad Rush (5/2 fav)
2007 – Dansili Dancer (15/2)
2006 – Consular (16/1)
2005 – Zeitgeist (9/1)
2004 – Alkaased (7/1)
2003 – Collier Hill (8/1)
2002 – Sun Bird (40/1)

Key Old Newton Cup Betting Trends

14/16 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
13/16 – Aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Won no more than 5 times before
12/16 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
11/16 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/16 – Aged 4 years-old
11/16 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
10/16 – Had won at least 3 times before
10/16 – Favourites placed in the top 4
9/16 – Raced within the last 7 days
9/16 – Irish or USA bred
8/16 – Carried 8-10 or less
7/16 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
6/16 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
6/16 – Had won a race at Haydock before
4/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/16 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 12/1

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 30th June 2018

The Northumberland Plate, one of the richest staying handicaps, takes centre stage at Newcastle racecourse, while the ITV cameras also head to Newmarket. Plus, as an extra bonus - it’s also Irish Derby Day over at the Curragh!!

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

 

Saturday 30th June 2018

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV and RUK)

1.10 – Betway Empress Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

16/16 – Never raced at the track before
14/16 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
14/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
10/16 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs
9/16 – Didn’t win their previous race
8/16 – Came from stall 4 or lower
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time (2 Albany, 3 Queen Mary)
4/16 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

1.45 - Betway Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV4

14/16 – Won over 7f before
14/16 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
14/16 – Had at least 1 run already that season
12/16 – Aged 5 or younger
10/16 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
10/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/16 – Came from stall 3 or lower
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon (3 of last 7 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

12.20 - Betfred ‘Supports Jack Berry House’ Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

15/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
13/16 – Had won over 6f before
12/16 – Had won between 1-4 times before
10/16 – Rated 90 or less
10/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/16 – Aged 4 years-old
10/16 – Carried 9-0 or more
8/16 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
7/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/16 – Had run at Newcastle before
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/16- Ran at York last time out
2/16 – Trained by Tim Easterby
3/16 – Won last time out
12 of the last 14 winners came from stall 7 or HIGHER
7 of the last 14 winners came between stalls 10-15

12.55 - Betfred TV Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

16/16 – Had won over 6f before
14/16 – Unplaced last time out
14/16 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
13/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Has raced within the last 4 weeks
11/16 – Yet to win a Group race
9/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/16 – Aged 5 or older
7/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/16 – Had run at Newcastle before
5/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/16 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/16 – Won last time out
Intisaab was second in the race 12 months ago
Aeolus won the race in 2015
9 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 1-5
Just 2 winners from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings (and only 4 horses placed)

 

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1.30 - Betfred Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation Race for the John Smith´s Northumberland Plate) Cl2 2m56y ITV

Two previous runnings
Dannyday (7/2 fav) won the race in 2016
2/2 – Winning favourites
2/2 – Winners came from stalls 11-16 (inc)
2/2 – Carried 9-8 and 9-9 in weight
Trainer James Bethell has a 24% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer William Haggas is 2 from 4 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Ian Williams has a 25% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Karl Burke is just 1 from 31 with his older horses at the track
The average winning SP in the last 2 runnings is 5/2

 

2.05 – Stobart Rail & Civils Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y ITV4

Past Northumberland Plate Winners~

2017 -  Higher Power (11/2)
2016 – Antiquarium (16/1)
2015 – Quest For More (15/2)
2014 – Angel Gabrial (4/1 fav)
2013 – Tominator (8/1)
2012 – Ile de Re (5/2 fav)
2011 – Tominator (25/1)
2010 – Overturn (14/1)
2009 – Som Tala (16/1)
2008 – Arc Bleu (14/1)
2007 – Juniper Girl (5/1 fav)
2006 – Toldo (33/1)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (14/1)
2004 – Mirjan (33/1)
2003 – Unleash (10/1)
2002 – Bangalore (8/1)

Key Northumberland Plate Trends

15/16  - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
15/16 – Finished fifth or better last time out
14/16 – Came from stall 14 or lower
14/16 – Aged 6 or younger
12/16 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
12/16 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
10/16 – Carried 8-12 or less
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/16 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
6/16 – Won by a National Hunt yard
4/16 – Won their previous race
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 10 winners)
3/16 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
2/16 – Trained by Donald McCain
1/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 13.5/1
Note: The 2016 & 2017 running was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle

 

Curragh Horse Racing Trends (ATR)

5.15 - Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Filies) 1m4f

Recent Irish Derby Winners

2017 – CAPRI (6/1)
2016 – HARZAND (4/6 fav)
2015 – JACK HOBBS (10/11 fav)
2014 – AUSTRALIA (1/8 fav)
2013 – TRADING LEATHER (6/1)
2012 - CAMELOT  (1/5 fav)
2011 – TREASURE BEACH (7/2)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (7/2)
2009 – FAME AND GLORY (8/11 fav)
2008 – FROZEN FIRE (16/1)
2007 – SOLDIER OF FORTUNE (5/1)
2006 – DYLAN THOMAS (9/2 fav)
2005 – HURRICANE RUN (4/5 fav)
2004 – GREY SWALLOW (10/1)
2003 – ALAMSHAR  (4/1)

Key Irish Derby Betting Trends and Stats

15/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/15 – Had 3 or more wins in their career
13/15 – Won by an Irish-based yard
13/15 – Won a Group race before
13/15 – Favourites that were placed in the top 4
13/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
11/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/15 – Failed to win their last race
11/15 – Ran in the Epsom Derby last time out
10/15 – Had never raced at the Curragh before
9/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won it 12 times in all)
7/15 – Placed in the Epsom Derby (3 winners, Harzand, Australia & Camelot)
4/15 – Previous Group 1 winners
3/15 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 4/1

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 2nd June 2018

It’s Derby Day at Epsom Racecourse this weekend and like every Saturday we’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our free tips on each contest.

Did you know that 15 of the last 16 Epsom Derby winners had finished 1st or 2nd in their last race, while 11 of the last 16 Derby winners came from a single-figure stall?

Supporting the big race, we’ve got four more LIVE races to take in that include the Epsom Dash, which is run over one of the quickest 5f courses in the world – blink and you’ll miss it!

 

Saturday 2nd June 2018

Epsom Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.00 - Investec Private Banking Handicap Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m2f18y ITV

15/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/15 – Never run at Epsom before
13/15 – Had won over 1m before (5 over 1m2f)
11/15 – Winners from stall 6 or higher
11/15 – Placed last time out
10/15 – Carried 8-10 or more
10/15 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
8/15 – Favourites that were placed
8/15 – Horses placed from stall 1
5/15 – Won their previous race
3/15 – Winners from stall 1
3/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/15 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
3/15 – Won by trainer Sylvester Kirk
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
Stall 2 has just one place to its name in the last 15 runnings

2.35 - Princess Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Investec) (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m114y ITV

15/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/15 – Had won at Listed or Group 3 class before
13/15 – Drawn in stall 4,5,6 or 7
13/15 – Favourites placed
12/15 – Had won between 4-6 times before
12/15 – Finished in the top three last time out
12/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Had won over at least a mile before
12/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
9/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
8/15 – Had raced at Epsom before
8/15 – Winning favourites
8/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Drawn in either stall 5 or 6
5/15 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/15 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/15 – Won by a Cheveley Park-owned horse
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/15 – Trained by Roger Charlton
Jockeys Silvester de Sousa (2), James Doyle (3) and Frankie Dettori (2) have won 7 of the last 8 runnings
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 8 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

3.10 – INVESTEC DIOMED STAKES (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 1m 114y ITV

15/15 – Had won over at least a mile before
13/15 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
12/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/15 – Aged 5 or older
12/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
11/15 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/15 – Had raced at Epsom before
11/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1
Sovereign Debt (4/1) won the race 12 months ago
Arod (7/4 fav) won the race in 2015

3.45 – Investec Corporate Banking "Dash" (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV

Recent Epsom Dash Winners

2017 – CASPIAN PRINCE (25/1)
2016 – CASPIAN PRINCE (11/1)
2015 – DESERT LAW (16/1)
2014 – CASPIAN PRINCE (9/1)
2013 – DUKE OF FIRENZE (5/1 fav)
2012 – STONE OF FOLCA (50/1)
2011 – CAPTAIN DUNNE (13/2)
2010 – BERTOLIVER (33/1)
2009 – INDIAN TRAIL (11/1)
2008 – HOLBECK GHYLL (15/2)
2007 – HOGMANEIGH (7/1)
2006 – DESERT LORD (12/1)
2005 – FIRE UP THE BAND (14/1)
2004 – CARIBBEAN CORAL (20/1)
2003 – ATLANTIC VIKING (9/1)

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Epsom Dash Betting Trends and Stats

16/16 – Didn’t win last time out
14/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks (12 within the last 4 weeks)
12/16 – Came from stall 8 or higher
12/16 – Won by horses aged between 5 and 8 years-old (inc)
12/16– Unplaced favourites
11/16 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/16 – Had raced at Epsom previously (4 had won)
10/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/16 – Horses from stall 1 that hit the frame
1/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 15 renewals is 16/1

4.30 – Investec Derby (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m4f10y ITV

Past Epsom Derby Winners

2017 – Wings of Eagles (40/1)
2016 – Harzand (13/2)
2015 – Golden Horn (13/8 fav)
2014 – Australia (11/8 fav)
2013 – Ruler Of The World (7/1)
2012 – Camelot (8/13 fav)
2011 – Pour Moi (4/1)
2010 – Workforce (6/1)
2009 – Sea The Stars (11/4)
2008 – New Approach (5/1)
2007 – Authorized (5/4 fav)
2006 – Sir Percy (6/1)
2005 – Motivator (3/1 fav)
2004 – North Light (7/2 j fav)
2003 – Kris Kin (6/1)
2002 – High Chaparral (7/2)

Epsom Derby Betting Trends and Stats

16/16 – Raced no more than 5 times before
15/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
15/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/16 – Had won a Group race before
12/16 – Favourites that were placed
11/16 – Won from a single-figure stall
11/16 – Won last time out
11/16 – Had run over at least 1m2f before
10/16 – Had raced no more than 3 times before
8/16 – Had won a Group One before
8/16 – Irish-trained winners
6/16 – Won by the favourite
5/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won 6 in all)
4/16 – Won the Dante Stakes (York) last time out
4/16 – Ran in the 2,000 Guineas that season (2 winners)
3/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won 5 in all)
3/16 – Winners from stall 12 or higher
1/16 – Won over 1m4f before
0/16 – Run at the course before
0/16 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 6/1
10 Dante winners went onto win the Derby (Golden Horn, 2015 being the most-recent)
Only 1 horse that was beaten in the Dante (Workforce) went onto win the Derby

Epsom Derby Trainer Stats
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2010, 2004, 2003, 1986 & 1981
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2002, 2001, 2012, 2013, 2014 & 2017

 

 

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Epsom TV Trends: Fri 1st June 18

It’s day one of the two-day Epsom Derby Meeting this Friday (1st June 2018). The Investec Oaks at 4.30pm is the third English Classic of the season and the highlight on the day’s action, but there is also a top supporting card that includes the Group One Coronation Cup. 

Did you know? 14 of the last 16 horses from stall 1 were unplaced in the Epsom Oaks?

As always around the main meetings we are on-hand with all the key stats for all the LIVE ITV races.

 

Friday 1st June 2018

Epsom Horse Racing Trends

2.00 – Investec WOODCOTE EBF STAKES (Conditions Race) Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV

16/16 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
15/16 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
14/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Single-figured stalls that filled the first three home
13/16 – Had 2 or more previous runs
12/16 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
11/16 – Yet to win over 6f
8/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
7/16 – Won their previous race
5/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston (2002, 2003, 2011, 2015 & 2017)
3/16 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/16 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
8 of the last 10 winners were foaled in Feb (3) or March (5)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

 

2.35 – INVESTEC CLICK & INVEST MILE (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-105) 1m 114y ITV

13/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
13/15 – Had won over at least a mile before
12/15 – Had won between 2-5 times before
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/15 – Irish bred
10/15 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/15 – Placed last time out
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Carried 9-1 or more
6/15 – Raced at the track before
4/15 – Raced at Sandown last time out
3/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Godolphin won the race 12 months ago
8 of the last 10 winners returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

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3.10 – INVESTEC CORONATION CUP (Group 1) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

16/16 – Had previously won a Group 1 or 2 race
15/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
14/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/16 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
11/16 – Ran at either Chester, York, Newmarket or the Curragh last time out
11/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
10/16 – Horses from stall 3 that were placed (four won)
10/16 – Favourites placed
8/16 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (2005, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 & 2017)
6/16 – Won their last race
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Had run at Epsom before
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2009, 2011 & 2017)
1/16 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/2

 

3.45 – INVESTEC WEALTH & INVESTMENT HANDICAP (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 1m2f

14/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f or further before
12/15 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Had won at least 3 times before
11/15 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
11/15 – Came from stall 8 or lower
10/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Rated between 86-97
9/15 – Irish bred
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Came from the top three in the betting
8/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
5/15 – Had raced at the track before
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Not So Sleepy won the race 12 months ago

 

4.30 - INVESTEC OAKS (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f

16/16 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
14/16 – Horses from stall 1 that were unplaced
13/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/16 – Won from stall 5 or higher
11/16 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
10/16 – Favourites that were placed
9/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Won by the favourite (1 joint)
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price
4/16 – Ran in the English 1,000 Guineas
4/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/16 – Irish-trained winners
2/16 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
0/16 – Had run at the course before
0/16 – Had run over 1m4f before
7 of the last 11 favourites were unplaced
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 6 times
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 12.5/1
Kazzia (2002) and Minding (2016) were the last horses to win both the 1,000 Guineas and Epsom Oaks
The horse from stall 2 has been placed in 7 of the last 14 runnings

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 26th May 2018

More LIVE ITV4 horse racing this Saturday as the cameras take in eight races across three venues – Haydock, York and Goodwood – with the feature contest the Group Two Temple Stakes at Haydock Park.
As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Saturday 26th May 2018

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

1.55 – Netbet Mobile Bet10Get10 Festival Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m1f192y ITV4

13/14 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/14 – Had won at least 3 times before
10/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/14 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
8/14 – Finished in the top two last time out
8/14 – Had run at Goodwood before
8/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/14 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14– Ridden by Tom Queally
2/14 – Won last time out
First Sitting won the race in 2017
Spark Plug was second in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/2

 

2.30 – Netbet Sport Handicap (3yo) Cl2 7f ITV4

5 previous runnings
5/5 - returned 9/2 to 12/1
5/5 – Came from stalls 2-6 (inc)
5/5 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
5/5 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
4/5 - carried between 8-0 and 8-4
3/5 – Rated between 77-81
3/5 – Won just once before
3/5 – Winners from stall 3
2/5 – Trained by Mark Johnston
1/5 winning favourites
Richard Hannon, Mark Johnston (2), Andrew Balding and Mick Channon are the past winning yards
Trainer William Haggas has a 25% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock has a 19% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer George Scott is 2 from 6 with his 3 years-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian is just 2 from 26 with his 3 year-olds at the track
The average SP in the last 5 runnings is 8/1

 

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

3.05 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Bronte Cup Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) (4yo+) Cl1 1m6f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 23% (+28) record with his 4 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 18% record (+17) with his 4 year-olds at the track

 

3.40 – Unibet Sprint Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Drawn in stalls 5-9 (inc)
4/4 – Raced in the last 2 weeks
3/4 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
3/4 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
3/4 – Didn’t win last time out
3/4 – Winning distance ½ length or less
2/4 – Aged 4 years-old
1/4 – Winning favourites
Copper Knight win the race 12 months ago
Trainer Dave Griffiths has a 20% strike-rate with this older horses at the track
Trainer Michael Easterby is just 3 from 134 (2%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 11 from 236 (5%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan is just 3 from 94 (3%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston is just 2 from 48 (4%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 9 from 171 (5%) with his older horses at the track

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Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.15 – Amix Ready Mixed Concrete Handicap Cl2 2m45y ITV4

Just 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Winners aged 4 or 5
4/4 – Didn’t win last time out
4/4 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
4/4 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
4/4 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
4/4 – Came from stalls 2-8 (inc)
4/4 – Unplaced favourites
4/4 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
3/4 – Winners carried 8-13 or more
3/4 – Rated between 91-98
No winning favourite yet
Trainers Mark Johnston, Tim Easterby, Brian Ellison and Lucy Wadham were previous winners of the race

 

2.50 - Amix Silver Bowl Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

15/15 – Had won between 1-3 times before
14/15 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
12/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
12/15 – Placed last time out
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/15 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
5/15 – Won last time out¬
5/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston (2 of last 5)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

 

3.25 – Armstrong Aggregates Sandy Lane Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo) 6f ITV4

14/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
13/14 – Had won over 6f before
12/14 – Had won between 1-3 times before
12/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – From stall 5 or higher
8/14 – Winning favourites
6/14 – Came from stall 8 or 9
3/14 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/14 – Raced at York last time
2/14 – Trained by William Haggas
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2009 and 2015

 

4.00 – Armstrong Aggregates Temple Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV4

15/16 – Trained in the UK
14/16 – Had won over 5f before
13/16 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
12/16 – Raced within the last 2 months
10/16 – Placed third or better last time out
9/16 – Favourites that were placed
9/16 – Had won a Group race before
9/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Won their latest race
2/16 – Owned by Qatar Racing (2 of last 4 runnings)
2/16 – Trained by Clive Cox (last 2 runnings)
2/16 – Ridden by Adam Kirby (last 2 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 13/2
6 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 6 or lower

 

 

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