Daily Double Dutch reports from Geegeez: detailed write-ups, statistics and information on Geegeez’s own horse betting project. Read on to find out more.

Sat TV Trends: 17th Aug 2019

We’ve got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE ITV action from Newbury, Newmarket and Ripon this Saturday, with the competitive Great St Wilfrid Handicap and the Group Three Geoffrey Freer Stakes the main events.

 

Saturday 17th August 2019

 

NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

2.45 – Unibet Grey Horse Handicap (for Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f ITV

15/16 – Failed to win last time out
14/16 – Had won over 6f before
14/16 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
13/16 – Aged 5 or older
13/16 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
12/16 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
12/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Had 3 or more career wins
10/16 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
3/16 – Trained by Tony Newcombe
1/16 – Winning favourites
My Amigo (5/1) won the race in 2018
Case Key (8/1) won the race in 2017

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Denford Stud Stakes (Registered as The Washington Singer Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

15/17 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Finished in the first three last time out
14/17 – Had won a race before
13/17 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
12/17 – Won by a Feb (7) or March (5) foal
12/17 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
11/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Won last time out
9/17 – Horses from stall 3 placed
9/17 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
7/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/17 – Ran at Goodwood (2) or Sandown (2) last time out
4/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
4/17 – Won on their racecourse debut
3/17 – Trained by John Gosden
3/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

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2.25 – Unibet Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y ITV

17/17 – Had won at least twice in their career
15/17 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
13/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/17 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Aged 3-5 years-old
12/17 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
12/17 – Officially rated 110 or higher
12/17 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
10/17 – Ran at Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (6) last time out
10/17 – Winning favourites
8/17 – Had already won a Group race
7/17 – Had won at Newbury before
Hamada (7/4 fav) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 3/1

3.00 – Unibet Handicap Cl3 7f ITV

15/17 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
15/17 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
15/17 – Had won at least twice during their career
13/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Winning distance 1 length or shorter
12/17 – Carried 9-1 or more
10/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/17 – Drawn in stalls 11, 12, 13, 14 or 15
3/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
Squats (17/2) won the race in 2017 and 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

3.35 – Unibet Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

15/17 – Didn’t win last time out
15/17 – Had won a Listed (6) or Group (9) race before
14/17 – Had won over this 7f trip before
14/17 – Officially rated 110 or more
14/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/17 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
13/17 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
9/17 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
8/17 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
The last 10 winners were all draw 6 or lower
No winner from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
Sir Dancealot won the race in 2018
Breton Rock won the race in 2014 and was third in 2015
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

 

RIPON Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 – William Hill Silver Trohpy Handicap (Consolation Race For The William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes) Cl2 6f ITV

7/7 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
7/7 – Previous winners over 6f
7/7 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
7/7 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
7/7 – Returned between 6/1 and 16/1
6/7 – Favourites placed in the top 4
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
5/6 – Won between 3-4 times before
5/6 – Winning distance head or shorter
5/6 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
4/6 – Drawn in stalls 13 or higher
4/6 – Rated between 87-93
2/6 – Has won at Ripon before
0/6 – Winning favourites
Quick Look won the race in 2018
Teruntum Star won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 6 years is 12/1

3.15 – William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

15/17 – Previous winners over 6f
14/17 – Didn’t win last time out
13/17 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
12/17 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
12/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/17 – Carried 8-12 or more
11/17 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
9/17 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
9/17 - Had run at Ripon before (3 won)
7/17 – Ran at either Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/17 – Aged 4 years-old
4/17 – Winning favourites (3 in the last 6 years)
3/17 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 8)
3/17 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 6)
1/17 – Aged 3 years-old
Gunmetal won the race in 2018
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
8 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
Only 5 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 12.5/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 10th Aug 2019

The ITV4 cameras head to Ascot for their unique Shergar Cup meeting, while they are also at Newmarket and Haydock – Like all Saturday’s Andy Newton’s got all the LIVE ITV4 race trends to help narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.  

 

Saturday 11th August 2019

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

1:05 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV4

11/11 – Failed to win their last race
10/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/11 – Raced at Ascot previously
10/11 – Carried 9-3 or more weight
10/11 – Had 4 or more runs that season
10/11 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
8/11 – Won at least 3 times in their career
7/11 – Favourites  placed
6/11 – Had won over 5f previously
5/11 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/11 – Favourites (1 joint)
5/11 – Winning distance – 1 or more lengths
3/11 – Trained by Robert Cowell (including 2 of the last 5 runnings)
2/11 – Won by the Andrew Balding yard
Tis Marvellous (6/1) won the race in 2018

1.40 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (Handicap) Cl2 2m ITV4

14/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Carried 8-13 or more
12/15 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
12/15 – Rated between 86-94
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Had won between 2-5 times before (flat)
12/15 – Had raced at the track before
11/15 – Favourites placed in the top 4
10/15 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Goodwood (5) last time out
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/15 – Trained by Ian Williams
1/15 – Won last time out
Cleonte (9/2) won the race in 2018
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
3 of the last 10 winners came from stall 9
Horses from stall 9 placed in the top three in 6 of the last 12 runnings

 

2.15 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4

14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
13/15 – Officially rated between 87-94
13/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
13/15 – Won over 1m3f (or further) previously
12/15 – Won between 1-4 times previously
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
9/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
8/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/15 – Priced 9/1 or bigger in the betting market
6/15 – Had run at Ascot previously
5/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
2/15 – Favourites that won
Genetics (9/1) won the race in 2018
One winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
3 of the last 13 winners came from stall 5
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

2.50 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

15/15 – Won over at least a mile before
15/15 – Failed to win last time out
15/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/15 – Rated between 92-100
14/15 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
13/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Won between 2-4 times before
10/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/15 – Had run at Ascot before
4/15 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/15 – Winning favourites
Via Serendipity (7/2) won the race in 2018
3 of the last 13 winners came from stall 1
11 or the last 14 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting

3.25 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl3 1m4f – ITV4

10 previous runnings
10/10 – Raced 3 or more times that season
8/10 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
8/10 – Won over 1m2f or further previously
8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
7/10 – Officially rated between 84-90
4/10 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/10 – Favourites placed
2/10 – Favourites that won
2/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/10 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Berkshire Blue (9/2) won the race in 2018
7 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5, 7 or 8

4.00 - Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (Bobis Race) Cl2 6f ITV4

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15/15 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
14/15 – Ran within the last 4-5 weeks<
13/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting market
13/15 – Won over 6f previously
13/15 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
12/15 – Won between 2-3 times previously
11/15 – Officially rated between 86-95
10/15 – Came from the top three in the betting market
10/15 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting market
10/15 – Favourites placed
7/15 – Had run at Ascot previously
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Won by the Roger Charlton yard
3/15 – Winning Favourites
Green Power (12/1) won the race in 2018
6 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5-8 (inc)

Haydock Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

1.55 – Vulcan Village Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier) Cl3 (3yo+) 1m ITV4

10/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Won between 1-4 times before
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
8/10 – Drawn in stalls 6 or lower
7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Carried between 9-0 and 9-6
7/10 – Won over 1m before
6/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Horses from stall 5 finished in the top 2
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11.5/1

2.30 – British Stallion Studs EBF Dick Hern Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV4

8/8 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/8 – Didn’t win last time out
8/8 – Won between 1-3 times
6/8 – Rated between 94-100
6/8 – Drawn between stalls 5-8
5/8 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/8 – Ran at Ascot or Newmarket last time out
2/8 – Trained by William Haggas
2/8 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
1/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9/1

3.05 – Smarkets Betting Exchange Rose of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f95y ITV4

16/16 – Aged 5 or younger
14/16 – Officially rated 105 or higher
13/16 – Yet to run at Haydock
13/16 – Favourites placed
13/16 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
13/16 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or more
12/16 – Won a Listed or better class race before
12/16 – Won over 1m2f or further
12/16 – Raced 3 or more previous runs that season
11/16 – Officially rated between 105 and 110
11/16 – Won 3 or more times during their career
10/16 – Raced at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
9/16 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Finished unplaced in their last race
4/16 – Favourites that won
3/16 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/16 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute yard
Teodoro (10/1) won the race in 2018

 

NEWMARKET (JULY) Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

3.45 – german-thoroughbred.com Sweet Solera Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4

15/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
14/16 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
14/16 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting market
14/16 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
13/16 – Won just once previously
12/16 – Had won over only 6f previously
10/16 – Favourites placed
10/16 – Raced at Newmarket (July) previously
9/16 – Won their last race
9/16 – Raced at Newmarket (6) or Sandown (3) last time out
8/16 – Yet to win over 7f
8/16 –  Favourites that won
7/16 – Had just one previous run
5/16 – Won by Godolphin
3/16 – Trained by the Hills stable
Tajaanus (7/4 fav) won the race in 2018
2 winners from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
4 of the last 12 horses from stall 7 finished 1st (2) or 2nd (2)

 

 

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Glorious Goodwood Trends: DAY FOUR (Fri 2nd Aug 2019)

It's panama hats, pimms, plus strawberries and cream galore at the start of August with the 5-day Glorious Goodwood Meeting (Tues 30th July to Sat 3rd Aug). As always, the West Sussex track can expect monster crowds throughout the week with a whole host of top-notch contests each day for punters to get stuck into.

So, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

We continue on Day FOUR with four LIVE ITV races, including the Glorious Stakes, Betfred Mile, plus the Group Two King George Stakes.

DAY FOUR - Friday 2nd August 2019

1.50 – Theo Fennell Oak Tree Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 7f

10/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
10/10 – Won between 2-4 times before
9/10 – Won over at least 7f before
8/10 – Officially rated 100+
7/10 – Irish-bred
7/10 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/10 – Returned 7/1 or bigger in the betting
4/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/10 – French-trained winners (3 of the last 4)
3/10 – Had won at the track before
2/10 – Winning favourites
Pretty Baby (3/1 fav) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/1

2.25 – Bonhams Thoroughbred Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m ITV

16/17 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
14/17 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
13/17 – Had not won a Group 3 or better before
12/17 – Had won at least twice during their career
12/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/17 – Ran at either Newbury (2), Goodwood (2) or Newmarket (4) last time out
5/17 – Had run at Goodwood before
5/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Trained by Brian Meehan
2/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Regal Reality (10/1) won the race 12 months ago
6 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 1-3 (inc)
11 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 1-6 (inc)

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Note: 2012 was a dead-heat


3.00 –
Unibet Golden Mile (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

16/17 – Aged 6 or younger
16/17 – Had won over at least 1m before
15/17 – Had raced 3 or more times that season
14/17 – Had won 3 or more races during their career
11/17 – Never raced at Goodwood before
11/17 –Priced 7/1 or shorter
10/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/17 – Carried 8-13 or less
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
6/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Won their last race
3/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
12 of the last 14 winners were drawn 9 or lower
12 of the last 14 runnings saw the first two both drawn in 11 or lower
Seniority (9/2 jfav) won the race 12 months ago

3.35 - Qatar King George Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV –

17/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/17 – Had won over 5f before
14/17 – Didn’t win last time out
13/17 – Had won 4 or more times in their careers
12/17 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
12/17 – Ran at York, Ascot or Newmarket last time out
11/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
7/17 – Had run at Goodwood before
6/17 – Had only won at Listed Class before
6/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by the Hills yard
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Trained by William Haggas
2/17 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Battaash (8/11) won the race in 2018
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
Horses from stall 4 and 8 have won 4 of the last 12 runnings

 

 

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Glorious Goodwood Trends: DAY FIVE (Sat 3rd Aug 2019)

It's panama hats, pimms, plus strawberries and cream galore at the start of August with the 5-day Glorious Goodwood Meeting (Tues 30th July to Sat 3rd Aug). As always, the West Sussex track can expect monster crowds throughout the week with a whole host of top-notch contests each day for punters to get stuck into.

So, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

We continue on Day FIVE with four LIVE ITV races, including the Gordon Stakes and the super-competitive Stewards' Cup.

DAY FIVE - Saturday 3rd August 2019

1.50 – Qatar Stewards’ Sprint Stakes Handicap (Consolation Race for the Qatar Stewards’ Cup) (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f

15/15 – Didn’t win their last race
13/15 – Raced at Goodwood previously
14/15 – Had won over 6f previously
11/15 – Won at least 3 times during their career
12/15 – Had 4 or more runs that season
11/15 – Finished 4th or worse in their last race
11/15 – Favourites unplaced
9/15 – Priced between 8/1 and 12/1 in the market
7/15 – Winning Distance - 1 ¼ lengths or more
8/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
7/15 – Raced at either York (3) or Newmarket (4) last time out
3/15 – Trained by Clive Cox
3/15 – Favourites (one in the last 13 years)
1/15 – 3 year-old winners
Tommy G (10/1) won the race 12 months ago
12 of the last 13 winners carried 9-0 or more
9 of the last 13 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-5
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
Horses from stall 3 has won 2 of the last 10 runnings

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2.25 – The Qatar Summer Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

15/16 – Had won at least twice before
13/16 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
14/16 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
13/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/16 – Carried 9-7 or more
9/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Rated between 90-100
9/16 – Placed favourites
8/16 – Came from the top three in the betting
4/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
Horses from stalls 12, 13 & 14 have good e/w records in recent years
7 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 10-14 (inc)
Sir Chauvelin (12/1) won the race 12 months ago

3.00 – Qatar Lillie Langtry Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m6f ITV

14/16 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
13/16 – Had raced 2 or more times already that season
12/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
12/16 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/16 – Had run at Goodwood before
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
8/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ridden by Tom Queally
8 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 4-6 (inc)
Pilaster (11/4) won the race 12 months ago

3.40 – Unibet Cup (Stewards´ Cup) (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

16/16 – Had won over 6f before
15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
15/16 – Had at least 3 previous career wins to their name
15/16 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
12/16 – Raced at either Ascot, York or Newmarket last time out
11/16 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
10/16 – Placed favourites (top 4)
10/16 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/16 – Raced at Goodwood before
8/16 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
5/16 – Favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
2/16 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/16 – Trained by William Haggas
2/16 – Winning 3 year-olds
Gifted Master (10/1) won the race 12 months ago
11 of the last 14 winners came from a double-figure draw

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Glorious Goodwood Trends: DAY THREE (Thurs 1st Aug 2019)

It's panama hats, pimms, plus strawberries and cream galore at the start of August with the 5-day Glorious Goodwood Meeting (Tues 30th July to Sat 3rd Aug). As always, the West Sussex track can expect monster crowds throughout the week with a whole host of top-notch contests each day for punters to get stuck into.

So, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

We continue on Day THREE with four LIVE ITV races, including the Richmond Stakes, Lillie Langtry Stakes, plus the Group One Nassau Stakes for fillies and mares.

DAY THREE - Thursday 1st August 2019

 

1.50 – Unibet Handicap Cl2 1m2f ITV

15/16 – Had won between 1-3 times before
15/16 – Winning distance – 1 ¾ lengths or less
15/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Rated between 91-99
12/16 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
11/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
11/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
6/16 – Had raced at Goodwood before
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston (3 of last 6 runnings)
5/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden
3/16 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
2/16 – Ridden by William Buick
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
Stall 14 has been placed in 5 of the last 13 runnings
9 of the last 13 winners came from stall 11 or lower
6 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 4-7 (inc)
Communique (7/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago

2.25 – Qatar Richmond Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

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16/17 – Had won 1 or 2 races before
16/17 – Had won over 5 or 6f before
15/17 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
14/17 – Never raced at Goodwood before
14/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Placed last time out
12/17 – Won by a Feb or March foal
12/17 – Won their previous race
8/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
7/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon (inc last 6 of last 9 runnings)
2/17 – Trained by Peter Chapple-Hyam
3 of the last 13 winners came from stall 2
9 of the last 13 horses from stall 2 finished in the top 3
3 of the last 13 winners came from stall 6
11 of the last 13 winners came from stall 2-7 (inc)
King Of Yulong (5/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago

3.00 – Qatar Gordon Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

16/16 – Won between 1-3 times before
15/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/16 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
12/16 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/16 – Winning distance – neck or shorter
8/16 – Went onto run in the St Leger
7/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Winning favourites
7/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Went onto win the St Leger
10 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 4-10 (inc)
The horse from stall 7 has won 4 of the last 12 runnings
Horses from stalls 4,7 & 10 have won 8 of the last 12 runnings
Cross Counter (7/4) won the race 12 months ago

3.35 – Qatar Nassau Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f192y ITV

15/15 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the market
14/15 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/15 – Aged either 3 or 4 years-old
12/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/15 – Winning Favourites
11/15 – Had won a Group One race previously
11/15 – Won between 2-4 times before
9/15 – Had won over 1m2f previously
4/15 – Won by the Aidan O’Brien yard
3/15 – Ridden by Tom Queally
3/15 – Trained by John Gosden
2/15 – Won by the Sir Michael Stoute yard
Wild Illusion (4/1) won the race 12 months ago
10 of the last 13 winners were drawn 7 or lower
Stalls 1, 6 and 7 have won 9 of the last 13 renewals

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 27th July 2019

Another big Saturday of horse racing action with the ITV cameras heading to Ascot for four races that include the Group One King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes, while they are also at York to take in three more contests that include the Skybet Dash.

As always, we’ve got is all covered with all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle.

 

Saturday 27th July 2019

 

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.50 – Princess Margaret Keenland Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

14/16 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Had won just once before
13/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
11/16 – Won over 6f before
10/16 – Foaled in either Feb or March
9/16 – Winning favourite
7/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Won by the Hannon yard
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
7 of the last 13 winners were Irish bred
9 of the last 13 horses from stall 1 were placed
4 of the last 7 winners came from stall 1
Angel’s Hideaway (11/4) won the race 12 months ago

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

 

2.25 – Porsche Handicap Cl2 1m ITV

Only 8 previous runnings
7/8 – Carried 8-8 or more
6/8 – Winners between stalls 9-15
5/8 – Had won just once before
5/8 – Unplaced favourites
4/8 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/8 – Returned 10/1 or bigger in the betting
3/8 – Won last time out
3/8 – Irish bred
2/8 – Ridden by William Buick
2/8 – Winning favourite
Sunny Speed (9/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago

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Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2016
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2014
Trainer Hughie Morrison won the race in 2012

 

3.00 – Moet & Chandon International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

16/16 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
16/16 – Had raced at Ascot previously
15/16 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Won over 7f previously
13/16 – Favourites unplaced
12/16 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
12/16 – Won between 2-4 times previously
11/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/16 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
10/16 – Aged 4 years-old
10/16 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
7/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Won their last race
4/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/16 – Ridden by Jimmy Quinn
1/16 – Winning favourites
Burnt Sugar (20/1) won the race in 2018
Trainer Richard Fahey has won the race three times in the last 9 years
10 of the last 12 winners ran at either Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
9 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure stall
8 of the last 12 winners finished in the top 5 last time out

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

 

3.40 – King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Qipco British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV

17/17 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
16/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
16/17 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
15/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
14/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Placed last time out
13/17 – Previous Group 1 winner
12/17 – aged 4 years-old
10/17 – Had run Ascot before
10/17 – Won their previous race
8/17 – Favourites that won
8/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
6/17 – Won at Ascot before
4/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004 and 2017
2 of the last 5 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Galileo (2001) was the last horse to do the Derby/King George double
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009, 2010 & 2018
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 7/2

 

YORK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Skybet 'Get Knotted' Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

11/11 – Carried 9-3 or more
10/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
10/11 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Had won over 7f before
9/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/11 – Had won at York before
5/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
4/11 – Returned 4/1 in the betting
4/11 – Rated between 73 and 80
3/11 – Trained by Michael Dods
2/11 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/11 – Won by the David O’Meara yard
1/11 – Won last time out
Get Knotted (11/2) won the race in 2016, 2017 & 2018

2.40 – Sky Bet Dash (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

15/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/15 – Had won between 2-6 times before
13/15 – Carried 8-12 or more
13/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Aged 5 or younger
12/15 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
10/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
9/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/15 – Had run at York before
6/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/15 – Won last time out
8 of the last 13 winners carried 9-0 or more
Flying Pursuit won the race in 2017 and 2018

3.15 – Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

12/13 – Aged 6 or younger
12/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
11/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/13 – Had won over 1m2f before
10/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/13 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/13 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
8/13 – Rated between 112 and 117
7/13 – Had run at York before
6/13 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Aged 6 years-old
2/13 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Thundering Blue (5/1) won the race 12 months ago

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 20th July 2019

This Saturday the LIVE ITV TV races come from Newmarket, Market Rasen & Newbury.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with the key trends and stats – use these to find the best profiles of past winners of each race.

Saturday 20th July 2019

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.40 – Ric And Mary Hambro Aphrodite Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV3

14/15 – Won over at least 1m2f or further before
13/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/15 – Won between 1-2 times before
6/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/15 - Winning favourite
5/15 – Ran at Haydock last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Trained by John Gosden
Worth Waiting (4/1) won the race in 2018

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – bet365 Stakes (Registered as The Steventon Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV3

10/14 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/14 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
9/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or  more
8/14 – Had run at the track before
9/14 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/14 – Had won a Group race before
4/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won 4 of the last 9 runnings

2.25 – Marsh Cup Cl2 (3yo+) 2m ½f ITV3

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Just one previous  running
Stratum (11/4 fav) won the race in 2018
Sir Michael Stoute has a 19% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Mick Channon is just 1 from 31 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

3.00 – bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f8y ITV3

14/15 – Won over 6f before
12/15 – Aged 5 or younger
12/15 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Had won 4 or more times before
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Placed favourites
6/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/15 – Had won a Group race before
6/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Winners from stall 8
2/15 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of last 4)
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/15 – Winners from stall 1
8 of the last 12 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting


3.40 - Weatherbys Super Sprint (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 5f34y ITV3

14/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Had won over 5f before
11/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/15 – Won 1-2 times before
10/15 – Favourites placed in the top 4
9/15 – Won by a Feb or March foal
8/15 – Irish bred winners
7/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Won by a filly
6/15 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/15 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
3/15 – Winners from stall 1
4/15 – Winning favourites
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013, 2015 and 2017

 

Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.10 – Betway Summer Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV3

14/17 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
14/17 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
13/17 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
13/17 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
11/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
6/17 – Had run at Market Rasen before
2/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/17 – Winning favourites
11 of the last 12 winners carried 11-5 or less
8 of the last 13 winners carried 11-0 or less
8 of the last 13 winners retuned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
L’Inganno Felice (8/1) won the race in 2018

3.20 – Betway Summer Plate (Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m6f110y ITV3

17/17 – Had run within the last 3 months
15/17 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
15/17 – Aged 7 or older
13/17 – Had won 2 or more chases before
12/17 – Carried 10-13 or less
11/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/17 – Had run at Market Rasen before
10/17 – Won their previous race
6/17 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
5/17 – Trained by Peter Bowen
4/17 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/17 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/17 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 8)
2/17 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
9 of the last 11 winners were aged between 7-9 years-old
More Buck’s won the race in 2018

 

 

 

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Glorious Goodwood Trends: DAY ONE (Tues 30th July 2019)

It's panama hats, pimms, plus strawberries and cream galore at the start of August with the 5-day Glorious Goodwood Meeting (Tues 3oth July to Sat 3rd Aug). As always, the West Sussex track can expect monster crowds throughout the week with a whole host of top-notch contests each day for punters to get stuck into.

So we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

We get going on Day One with four LIVE ITV races, including the Vintage Stakes and Lennox Stakes, plus the recently upgraded Group One Goodwood Cup.

 

DAY ONE - Tuesday 30th July 2019


1.50 –
Unibet Handicap Cl2 1m1f192y ITV

16/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
14/17 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
15/17 – Had won at least 3 times already during their career
14/17 – Carried 8-11 or more
12/17 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Had run at Goodwood before
11/17 – Unplaced last time out
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
10/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/17 – Won their last race
2/17 – Trained by Mick Channon
3/17 – Winning favourites (1 co-fav)
Alfarris (13/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 9 or higher
8 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

2.25 - Qatar Vintage Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

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16/17 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
16/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
16/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/17 – Had 2 or 3 previous career runs
13/17 – Won last time out
12/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Winning favourites
10/17 – Won by a March or later-born foal
8/17 – Ran at either Newmarket or Ascot last time out
8/18 – Had won 2 previous races
4/18 – Had run at Goodwood before
4/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon
3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3 of the last 10 winners came from stall 9
Dark Vision (10/3 fav) won the race 12 months ago

 

3.00 - Qatar Lennox Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV –

17/17 – Had won at least 2 times before
15/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had 2 or more previous runs already that season
14/17 – Had won over 7f before
14/17 – Previous Group Race winners
13/17 – Had previously won a Group 2 or 3
11/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/17 – Had run at Goodwood before
7/17 – Ran at Ascot last time out
7/17 - Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
3 of the last 8 winners came from stall 5
Sir Dancealot (5/1 jfav) won the race 12 months ago

 

3.35 – Qatar Goodwood Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 2m ITV

15/17 – Placed last time out
13/17 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
13/17 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
12/17 – Aged 5 or older
11/17 – Had won over at least 2m before
10/17 – Ran at Ascot last time out
10/17 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
10/17 – Had run at Goodwood before
9/17 – Winning favourites
9/17 – Won their previous race
4/17 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/17 – Trained by Michael Bell
All of the last 15 winners had run in the last 45 days
Stradivarius won the race in 2017 & 2018
Trainer John Gosden has trained the last two winners
6 of the last 22 runnings were won by a previous winner of the race
11 of the last 12 winners came from stall 10 or lower

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 13th July 2019

It’s the final day of the three-day Newmarket July Meeting this Saturday and the ITV cameras are there to take in the best of the action, plus they are also at York and Ascot on what is a bumper Saturday of flat horse racing.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with all the key trends and stats – use these to find the best profiles of past winners of each race.

Saturday 13th July 2019

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.20 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

15/17 – Had won over 7f or further previously
13/17 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
13/17 – Had 2 or more runs that season
10/17 – Unplaced in their last race
10/17 – Favourites unplaced
9/17 – Winners from stall 8 or higher
3/17 – Won their last race
3/17 – Winning Favourites
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Ridden by Dane O’Neill
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1


2.55 - Bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

16/17 – Won over at least 6f previously
15/17 – Placed in their last race
14/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
12/17 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
12/17 – Won their latest race
11/17 – Won by either a March or April foal
9/17 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
7/17 – Favourites unplaced
4/17 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/17 – Winners from stall 3
4/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
6/17 – Winning Favourites
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 5 runnings)
2/17 – Trained by Mick Channon
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

3.30 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

16/17 – Won over 7f previously
16/17 – Raced 3 or more times that season
13/17 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
11/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
10/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/17 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
10/17 – Winners from stall 14 or higher
9/17 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
8/17 – Horses from a double-figure stall that 1st, 2nd and 3rd
8/17 – Placed in their last race
4/17 – Favourites (inc joint and co)
3/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
Burnt Sugar won the race in 2018
Above The Rest won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

4.40 - Darley July Cup (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

Recent July Cup Winners.....

2018     U S Navy Flag (8/1)
2017     Harry Angel (9/2)
2016     Limato (9/2 fav)
2015     Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014     Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013     Lethal Force (9/2)
2012     Mayson (20/1)
2011  Dream Ahead (7/1)
2010  Starspangledbanner (2/1 fav)
2009  Fleeting Spirit (12/1)
2008  Marchand d'Or  (5/2 fav)
2007  Sakhee's Secret  (9/2)
2006  Les Arcs (10/1)
2005  Pastoral Pursuits (22/1)
2004  Frizzante (14/1)
2003  Oasis Dream (9/2)
2002  Continent (12/1)

July Cup Betting Trends

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16/17 – Aged 5 or younger
15/17 – Had won over 6f before
14/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
14/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
13/17 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
13/17 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
10/17 – Placed last time out
9/17 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
6/17 – Won their previous race
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Irish-trained winners
2/17 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
1/17 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 8/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 4 times before (1999, 2001, 2010 & 2018)

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 - John Smith´s City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

Only 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Won over 5f before
8/8 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/8 – Rated between 101 and 111
7/8 – Placed favourites
6/8 – Unplaced last time out
5/8 – Had only won at Handicap class before
5/8 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
5/8 – Won by a neck or less
5/8 – Won at York before
3/8 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/8 – Ridden by David Allen
Mr Lupton won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 13/2

2.40 - John Smith´s Silver Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m6f ITV

13/13 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
12/13 – Aged 5 or younger
12/13 – Won from stall 10 or lower
10/13 – Didn’t win their previous race
9/13 – Placed favourites
7/13 – Aged 4 years-old
6/13 – Had run at York before
5/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/13 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
3/13 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Dylan Mouth won the race in 2018

3.15 - John Smith´s Racing Handicap Cl2 1m ITV

15/15 – Ran within the last 3 weeks
14/15 – Had won over at least 1m before
14/15 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
11/15 – Had won between 2-4 times before
10/15 – Rated 90 or less
10/15 – Placed last time out
9/15 – Winning distance – ¾ or less
8/15 – Priced between 7/1 and 14/1
8/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
6/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Won by a USA-bred horse
4/15 – Had raced at York before
4/15 – Winning favourites
Trainer David O'Meara has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
11 of the last 13 winners came from stall 7 or lower
5 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 2 or 3
Wadilsafa won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

3.50 – John Smith´s Jubilee Cup Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

Recent John Smith’s Cup Winners.......

2018 – Euchen Glen (20/1) Jim Goldie
2017 – Ballet Concerto (8/1) Sir Michael Stoute
2016 – Educate (18/1) Ismail Mohammed
2015 – Master Carpenter (14/1) Rod Millman
2014 – Farraaj (6/1) Roger Varian
2013 – Danchai (10/1) William Haggas
2012 – King’s Warrior (10/1) Peter Chapple-Hyam
2011 – Green Destiny (6/1) W Haggas
2010 – Wigmore Hall (5/1) M Bell
2009 – Sirvino (16/1) T Barron
2008 – Flying Clarets (12/1) R Fahey
2007 – Charlie Tokyo (11/1) R Fahey
2006 – Fairmile (6/1 jfav) W Swinburn
2005 – Mullins Bay (4/1 fav) AP O’Brien
2004 – Arcalis (20/1) J Howard Johnson
2003 -  Far Lane (7/1) B Hills
2002 – Vintage Premium (20/1) R Fahey

John Smith’s Cup Key Trends

16/17 – Returned 20/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Aged 5 or younger
15/17 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
13/17 – Came from stall 9 or higher
13/17 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
11/17 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Carried 9-3 or less
11/17 – Top 4 finish in their previous race
10/17 – Aged 4 years-old
9/17 – Officially rated between 99-105
8/17 – Had run at York before
5/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
3/17 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by William Haggas
2/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 11/1

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.45 – Betfred Heritage Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

Just 6 previous running
5/6 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
5/6 – Carried 8-10 or more
5/6 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
2/6 – Aged 4 years-old
Danzeno won the race in 2017
Spring Loaded won the race in 2018

4.00 - Fred Cowley MBE Memorial Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV

12/12 Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
10/12 – Had won over at least a mile before
10/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Had raced at Ascot before (2 won)
9/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
7/12 – Previous Group race winner
7/12 – Winning favourites
6/12 – Had won at least 4 times before
5/12 – Aged 4 years-old
5/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/12 – Had won a Group 1 before
9 of the last 10 winners were draw in stalls 5 or lower
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Beat The Bank won the race in 2018
Mutakayyef  won the race in 2016 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

 

 

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Newmarket July Meeting Trends: DAY TWO (Fri 12th July 2019)

The three-day 2019 Newmarket July Meeting continues on Friday (12th July) and with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle.

As we move into the second day (Gentleman's Day) the Group Two Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Cherry Hinton) and the Group One Falmouth Stakes take centre stage - did you know 16 of the last 17 Falmouth Stakes winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old

As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races, highlighting the main trends – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

 


Newmarket July Meeting - Day Two,
Friday 12th July 2019


1.50 - bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV

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11/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Had won between 1-2 times before
10/12 – Have never run at Newmarket (July) before
9/12 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
9/12 – Placed in the top 6 last time out
7/12 – Unplaced favourites
6/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/12 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
6/12 – Trained by Mark Johnston (including 5 of last 6 runnings)
3/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Trained by Andrew Balding
0/12 – Winning favourites
Communique (8/1) won the race in 2018

2.25 - Duchess of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored by Bet365) (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV

15/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
15/15 – Had raced at least twice before
14/15 – Foaled in Feb (6) or March (6)
14/15 – Had won between 1-2 times before
13/15 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
12/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
11/15 – Won by a UK-based yard
10/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
10/15 – Had won over 6f before
8/15 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
7/15 – Winning favourites
7/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Trained by the Hannon team
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (inc 2 of last 3)
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (4 wins in total)
1/15 – Drawn in stall 1
Pretty Pollyanna (20/1) won the race in 2018

3.00 – bet365 Trophy (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

Just one previous running
The Charlie Appleby yard won this race in 2018
The Charlie Appleby yard have a 30% record with their 4+ year-olds at the track
The Mark Johnston yard have a 28% record with their 4+ year-olds at the track
The Andrew Balding yard are just 1 from 33 with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey PJ McDonald has a 38% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Andrea Atzeni has a 31% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey James Doyle has a 22% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

3.35 – Tattersalls Falmouth Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

17/17 – Won a Listed or better class race previously
16/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/17– Won over at least 1 mile previously
13/17 – Won from stall 5 or lower
13/17 – Had 2+ runs that season
12/17 – Won at 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
10/17 – Favourites placed
7/17 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/17 – Had run on the Newmarket July course previously
6/17 – Previous Group One winners
5/17 – Won their last race
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 5)
2/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 3 runnings)
2/17 – French-trained winners
Alpha Centauri (4/9 fav) won the race in 2018

 

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Newmarket July Meeting Trends: DAY ONE (Thurs 11th July 2019)

The three-day 2019 Newmarket July Meeting gets started on Thursday (11th July) and with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle.

On day one the Group Two July Stakes and Princess of Wales's Stakes are the key contests - did you know that a 4 year-old has won 9 of the last 12 Princess Of Wales's Stakes?  

As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races, highlighting the main trends – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

 


Newmarket July Meeting - Day One,
Thursday 11th July 2019

 

1.50 - Bahrain Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f ITV

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17/17 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
15/17 – Failed to win last time out
15/17 – Never run on the Newmarket July Course before
12/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
10/17 – Favourites placed in the top three
10/17 – Won at 3/1 or shorter
10/17 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
10/17 – Finished fifth or worse in their previous race
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by John Gosden (inc 4 of last 8 runnings)
3/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/17 – Ridden by William Buick
2/17 – Winners that came from stall 1
Wells Farhh Go (7/1) won the race in 2018

2.25 - Arqana July Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

16/17 – Placed in their last run
16/17 – Had won over 5 or 6f previously
14/17 – Had 2 or more previous career starts
13/17 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
10/17 – Won their last race
10/17 – Won at 9/2 or shorter
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their last race
6/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
6/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
1/17 – Winners that came from stall 1
Frankie Dettori has ridden 5 winners in the race
Advertise (11/10) won the race in 2018

3.00 – Bet365 Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

13/13 – Didn’t win last time out
13/13 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
13/13 – Had won no more than 3 times before
12/13 – Had 3 or 4 previous runs that season
11/13 – Had won over 6f before
10/13 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
10/13 – Carried 8-12 or less
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/13 – Came from a double-figure stall
9/13 – Unplaced favourites
8/13 – Finished unplaced last time out
4/13 – Trained by Andrew Balding
4/13 – Ridden by David Probert
0/13 – Winning favourites
Foxtrot Lady (8/1) won the race in 2018

3.35 - Princess Of Wales´s Arqana Racing Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

15/17 – Aged 4 or older (4 year-olds have won 9 of last 12)
15/17 – Previously won over at least 1m4f
14/17 – Had 2 or more runs that season
13/17 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
12/17 – Won at 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
11/17 – Unplaced in their previous race
10/17 – Favourites that were placed
8/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their previous race
5/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 9 times in total)
4/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
Best Solution (6/1) won the race in 2018

 

===============================================================

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Sat TV Trends: 6th July 2019

The ITV cameras head to Sandown and Haydock on Saturday 8th July with the Coral-Eclipse, plus the Lancashire Oaks and Old Newton Cup the clear highlights – as always we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

13.50 - Coral Charge (Registered as The Sprint Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 5f6y ITV

17/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
16/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Favourites placed
13/17 – Had won at least 3 times before
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Had won at Sandown before
5/17 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/17 – Won last time out
8 of the last 13 winners were Irish bred
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)

14.25 – Coral Challenge (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV

16/17 – Aged 6 or younger
15/17 – Carried 8-8 or more
15/17 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
15/17 – Previous winners over 1m (or further)
13/17 – Didn’t win their previous race
11/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Aged 4 years-old
10/17 – Had run at Sandown before
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/17 – Ran at either York (2) or Ascot (4) last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Andrew Balding
10 of the last 13 winners came from stall 8 or lower

15.00 – Coral Distaff (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m14y ITV

16/16 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
15/16 – Had never run at Sandown before
14/16 – Had won over 7f or further before
13/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
9/16 – Favourites that finished in the top three
4/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The last 13 winners came from stalls 3-9 (inc)
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 3,4,5 or 6

 

15.35 – Coral-Eclipse (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

Eclipse Stakes Betting Trends

17/17 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/17 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
13/17 – Won by a previous Group One winner
13/17 – Placed favourites
12/17 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
12/17 – Placed in their last race
11/17 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (three won there)
8/17 – Favourites that won
5/17 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
5/17 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4 of the last 12 winners won last time out
2 of the last 10 Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 9/2

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12 of out the last 14 winners had run in the previous 30 days
10 out of the last 14 winners were Group 1 winners
13 of the last 14 winners came from the first four in the betting
12 out of the last 14 winners had won over 1m 2f or further

Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts

Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994, 1993 & 2017
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995 & 2016
Trainer John Gosden has won 3 of the last 7 runnings

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)


14.05 -
bet365 Handicap Cl3 1m2f95y ITV

2 previous runnings
Mark Johnston trained the winner in 2018
John Gosden trained the winner in 2017

14.40 – bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m3f200y ITV

14/17 – Had won at least at Listed class before
14/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/17 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Had won between 1-3 times before
10/17 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
6/17 – Trained by John Gosden
5/17 – Had raced at Haydock before
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/17 – Trained by David Elsworth
2/17 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
The last 6 runnings have been won by a 4 year-old
Horseplay won the race 12 months ago (11/4)

Note: The 2007 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

15.15 – bet365 Old Newton Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m3f200y ITV

Key Old Newton Cup Betting Trends

15/17 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
14/17 – Aged 5 or younger
13/17 – Won no more than 5 times before
13/17 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
12/17 – Carried 9-1 or less
12/17 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
11/17 – Aged 4 years-old
11/17 – Had won at least 3 times before
11/17 – Favourites placed in the top 4
10/17 – Irish or USA bred
9/17 – Raced within the last 7 days
9/17 – Carried 8-11 or less
7/17 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
6/17 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
6/17 – Had won a race at Haydock before
5/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 12/1

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 29th June 2019

The Northumberland Plate, one of the richest staying handicaps, takes centre stage at Newcastle racecourse, while the ITV cameras also head to Newmarket and York. Plus, as an extra bonus - it’s also Irish Derby Day over at the Curragh!!

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Saturday 29th June 2019

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV and RUK)

2.05 – Randox Health Empress Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

17/17 – Never raced at the track before
15/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
13/17 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
10/17 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs
10/17 – Didn’t win their previous race
8/17 – Came from stall 4 or lower
6/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time (2 Albany, 3 Queen Mary)
4/17 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

3.15 – Randox Health Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV4

15/17 – Won over 7f before
15/17 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
15/17 – Had at least 1 run already that season
13/17 – Aged 5 or younger
11/17 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/17 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
9/17 – Came from stall 3 or lower
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon (3 of last 8 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.50 – Betfair Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

16/17 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
16/17 – Aged 6 or younger
14/17 – Had won over 6f before
12/17 – Had won between 1-4 times before
11/17 – Finished unplaced last time out
11/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/17 – Carried 9-0 or more
10/17 – Rated 90 or less
9/17 – Aged 4 years-old
9/17 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/17 – Had run at Newcastle before
3/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/17 - Ran at York last time out
2/17 – Trained by Tim Easterby
13 of the last 15 winners came from stall 7 or HIGHER
8 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 10-15

2.25 – Betfair Exchange Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

16/17 – Had won over 6f before
15/17 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
14/17 – Unplaced last time out
13/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Has raced within the last 4 weeks
12/17 – Yet to win a Group race
10/17 – Placed favourites
9/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/17 – Aged 5 or older
7/17 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/17 – Had run at Newcastle before
5/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/17 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Won last time out
10 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 1-5
Above The Rest (12/1) won the race 12 months ago
Just 2 winners from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings (and only 4 horses placed)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

3.00 – Betfair Exchange Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation Race for the John Smith´s Northumberland Plate) Cl2 2m56y ITV

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Three previous runnings
Cosmeli won the race in 2018
3/3 – Carried 9-7, 9-8 and 9-9 in weight
3/3 – Ran in the last 2 months
3/3 – Winners came from stalls 11-19 (inc)
2/3 – Won last time out
2/3 – Had run at Newcastle (flat) before
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 13/1

3.35 – Betfair Exchange Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y ITV4

Past Northumberland Plate Winners

2018 -  Withhold (5/1 fav)
2017 -  Higher Power (11/2)
2016 – Antiquarium (16/1)
2015 – Quest For More (15/2)
2014 – Angel Gabrial (4/1 fav)
2013 – Tominator (8/1)
2012 – Ile de Re (5/2 fav)
2011 – Tominator (25/1)
2010 – Overturn (14/1)
2009 – Som Tala (16/1)
2008 – Arc Bleu (14/1)
2007 – Juniper Girl (5/1 fav)
2006 – Toldo (33/1)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (14/1)
2004 – Mirjan (33/1)
2003 – Unleash (10/1)
2002 – Bangalore (8/1)

Key Northumberland Plate Trends

16/17  - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
16/17 – Finished fifth or better last time out
15/17 – Came from stall 14 or lower
15/17 – Aged 6 or younger
13/17 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
13/17 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
10/17 – Carried 8-12 or less
9/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/17 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
6/17 – Won by a National Hunt yard
5/17 – Won their previous race
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 11 winners)
3/17 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
2/17 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/17 – Trained by Roger Charlton (2 of last 4)
1/17 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 13/1
Note: The 2016, 2017 & 2018 running was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle

Other Northumberland Plate Facts

No horse older than 8 has won the race since 1985
Five of the last 13 winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time out
Nine winning favourites (1 joint) since 1985, including 3 of the last 7
Paul Cole trained the winner in 1997, 1998 & 2001

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV)

2.45 Summer Music Saturday Handicap Cl2  (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Kevin Ryan is just 3 from 112 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Michael Easterby is just 5 from 127 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

Curragh Horse Racing Trends (ATR)

5.20 - Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Filies) 1m4f

Recent Irish Derby Winners

2018 – LATROBE (14/1)
2017 – CAPRI (6/1)
2016 – HARZAND (4/6 fav)
2015 – JACK HOBBS (10/11 fav)
2014 – AUSTRALIA (1/8 fav)
2013 – TRADING LEATHER (6/1)
2012 - CAMELOT  (1/5 fav)
2011 – TREASURE BEACH (7/2)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (7/2)
2009 – FAME AND GLORY (8/11 fav)
2008 – FROZEN FIRE (16/1)
2007 – SOLDIER OF FORTUNE (5/1)
2006 – DYLAN THOMAS (9/2 fav)
2005 – HURRICANE RUN (4/5 fav)
2004 – GREY SWALLOW (10/1)
2003 – ALAMSHAR  (4/1)

Key Irish Derby Betting Trends and Stats

16/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/16 – Won by an Irish-based yard
13/16 – Had 3 or more wins in their career
14/16 – Favourites that were placed in the top 4
13/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Won a Group race before
13/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/16 – Failed to win their last race
11/16 – Ran in the Epsom Derby last time out
10/16 – Had never raced at the Curragh before
9/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won it 12 times in all)
7/16 – Placed in the Epsom Derby (3 winners, Harzand, Australia & Camelot)
4/16 – Previous Group 1 winners
3/16 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 9/2

 

 

 

 

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Royal Ascot Trends – DAY THREE (Thurs 20th June 2019)

As we move into day three at  ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the Group One Ascot Gold Cup is the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

2019 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2.30 - Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f

Norfolk Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Shang Shang Shang (5/1)
2017 – Sioux Nation (14/1)
2016 – Prince Of Lir (8/1)
2015 – Waterloo Bridge (12/1)
2014 – Baitha Alga (8/1)
2013 – No Nay Never (4/1)
2012 – Reckless Abandon (4/1)
2011 – Bapak Chinta (6/1)
2010 – Approve (16/1)
2009 – Radiohead (10/1)
2008 – South Central (11/4 fav)
2007 – Winker Watson (2/1 fav)
2006 – Dutch Art (11/4)
2005 – Masta Plasta (7/2)
2004 – Blue Dakota (5/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Valour (4/1)

Norfolk Stakes Key Trends

16/16 – Previous winners over 5f
16/16 – Had at least 1 previous run
14/16 – Had a RPR of 106+
14/16 – Won their previous race
14/16 – Had never raced at Ascot before
12/16 – Foaled in March or April
10/16 – Favourites placed
9/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Windsor last time out
Aidan O’Brien has trained 2 of the last 4 winners
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 7-12 (inc)

 

3.05 – Hampton Court Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m2f

Hampton Court Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Hunting Horn (5/1)
2017 – Benbatl (9/2)
2016 – Hawkbill (11/2)
2015 – Time Test (15/8 fav)
2014 – Cannock Chase (7/4 fav)
2013 – Remote (9/4 fav)
2012 – Energizer (15/2)
2011 – Pisco Sour (20/1)
2010 – Afsare (9/4 fav)
2009 – Glass Harmonium (8/1)
2008 – Collection (13/2)
2007 – Zaham (7/2 fav)
2006 – Snoqualmie Boy (33/1)
2005 – Indigo Cat (3/1 fav)
2004 – Moscow Ballet (8/1)
2003 – Persian Majesty (8/1)

Hampton Court Stakes Key Trends
15/16 – Had not raced at Ascot before
13/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
13/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/16 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
10/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 - Ran at Epsom last time out
3/16 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
8 of the last 13 winners came from stall 5-9 (inc)

 

3.40 - Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £77,092 1m4f

Ribblesdale Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Magic Wand (10/3)
2017 – Coronet (9/1)
2016 – Even Song (15/8 fav)
2015 – Curvy (9/2)
2014 – Bracelet (10/1)
2013 – Riposte (9/2)
2012 – Princess Highway (17/2)
2011 – Banimpire (3/1 fav)
2010 – Hibaayeb (4/1 jfav)
2009 – Flying Cloud (5/1)
2008 – Michita (10/3 fav)
2007 – Silkwood (4/1)
2006 – Mont Etoile (25/1)
2005 – Thakafaat (22/1)
2004 – Punctilious (9/2)
2003 – Spanish Sun (9/2)

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Ribblesdale Stakes Key Trends

14/16 – Had at least 2 previous races that season
12/16 – Placed in their previous race
13/16 – Had never raced at Ascot before
12/16 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
11/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
7/16 – Won their last race
6/16 – Irish-trained winners (5 of last 7)
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 5)
3/16 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just two winners from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
6 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 3-6 (inc)

 

4.20 - Gold Cup (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f

Recent Ascot Gold Cup Winners

2018 – Stradivarius (7/4 jfav)
2017 – Big Orange (5/1)
2016 – Order Of St George (10/11 fav)
2015 – Trip To Paris (12/1)
2014 – Leading Light (10/11 fav)
2013 – Estimate (7/2 fav)
2012 – Colour Vision (6/1)
2011 – Fame And Glory (11/8 fav)
2010 – Rite of Passage (20/1)
2009 – Yeats (6/4 fav)
2008 – Yeats (11/8 fav)
2007 – Yeats (8/13 fav)
2006 – Yeats (7/1)
2005 – Westerner (7/4 fav)
2004 – Papineau (5/1)
2003 – Mr Dinos (3/1)
2002 – Royal Rebel (16/1)

Key Ascot Gold Cup Trends

15/17 – Had no more than 2 previous runs that season
14/17 – Had won over at least 2 miles on the flat before
14/17 – Had between 1-2 previous runs that season
13/17 – Favourites that were placed
12/17 – Won their last race
11/17 – Previous Group 1 winners
9/17 – Aged 5 or older
9/17 – Won by the favourite
7/17 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/17 – Ran at Sandown last time out (Henry II Stakes)
11 of the last 13 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8 of the last 13 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
6 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
Godolphin won the race in 1996, 1998, 2004 & 2012
Aidan O’Brien has trained the winner in 2016, 2014, 2011, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006
Since 1949 there have been 13 multiple winners of the race

 

5.00 - Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m

Britannia Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Ostillo (10/1)
2017 – Bless Him (25/1)
2016 – Defrocked (13/2)
2015 – War Envoy (10/1)
2014 – Born In China (14/1)
2013 – Beauty Flame (20/1)
2012 – Fast Or Free (6/1 fav)
2011 – Sagramor (8/1)
2010 – Ransom Note (9/1)
2009 – Fareer (20/1)
2008 – Fifteen Love (28/1)
2007 – Eddie Jock (33/1)
2006 – Sir Gerard (9/2 fav)
2005 – Mostashaar (10/3 fav)
2004 – Mandobi (8/1)
2003 – New Seeker (16/1)

Britannia Stakes Key Trends

14/16 – Had no more than 3 previous runs that season
13/16 – Had won a race over 7f or 1m before
12/16 – Failed to win their previous race
12/16 – Placed last time out
12/16 – Carried 8-13 or less
11/16 – Had never run at Ascot before
10/16 – Unplaced favourites
10/16 – Returned a double-figure price
8/16 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
6/16 – Had only won over 7f previously
4/16 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/16 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just one top three finish horse from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
9 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall

5.35 - King George V Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m4f

King George V Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Baghdad (9/1)
2017 – Atty Persse (7/1)
2016 - Primitivo (13/2)
2015 – Space Age (9/1)
2014 – Elite Army (4/1 jfav)
2013 – Elidor (20/1)
2012 – Fennell Bay (12/1)
2011 – Brown Panther (4/1 jfav)
2010 – Dandino (7/1)
2009 – Cosmic Sun (66/1)
2008 – Colony (11/2 fav)
2007 – Heron Bay (20/1)
2006 – Linas Selection (9/2)
2005 – Munsef (14/1)
2004 – Admiral (9/1)
2003 – Fantastic Love (10/1)

King George V Stakes Key Trends

16/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs that same season
16/16 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
15/16 – Never raced at Ascot before
15/16 – Placed last time out
13/16 – Carried 8-13 or less
11/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f previously
9/16 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
8/16 – Favourites placed
8/16 – Won their previous race
6/16 – Won by trainers Sir Michael Stoute (2) or Mark Johnston (4)
4/16 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
10 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 10-20 (inc)
8 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 10-16 (inc)

 

 

 

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Royal Ascot Trends – DAY FOUR (Fri 21st June 2019)

As we move into day four at  ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the two Group One's - The Coronation Stakes and the Commonwealth Cup - are the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.


2019 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2.30 - Albany Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f

Albany Stakes Past Winners

2018 – Main Edition (7/1)
2017 – Different League (20/1)
2016 – Brave Anna (16/1)
2015 – Illuminate (4/1 fav)
2014 – Cursory Glance (14/1)
2013 – Kiyoshi (8/1)
2012 – Newfangled (7/4 fav)
2011 – Samitar (16/1)
2010 – Memory (15/2)
2009 – Habaayib (16/1)
2008 – Cuis Ghaire (8/11 fav)
2007 – Nijoom Dubai (50/1)
2006 - Sander Camillo (4/1 fav)
2005 – La Chunga (10/1)
2004 – Jewel In The Sand (10/1)
2003 – Silca’s Gift (5/1)


Albany Stakes Key Trends

16/16 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs
16/16 – Never raced at Ascot before
15/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/16 – Won by either a Feb or Mar foal
12/16 – Won their previous race
11/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price
7/16 – Won by trainers Channon (2), Hannon (3) or Noseda (2)
5/16 – Previous winner over 6f
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Sandown last time
The last 13 winners came from double-figure stalls
10 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 11-15 (inc)

 

3.05 - King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f

King Edward VII Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Old Persian (9/2)
2017 – Permian (6/1)
2016 – Across The Stars (7/1)
2015 – Balios (3/1)
2014 – Eagle Top (12/1)
2013 – Hillstar (15/2)
2012 – Thomas Chippendale (9/2)
2011 – Nathaniel (11/4 fav)
2010 – Monterosso (7/2)
2009 – Father Time (9/1)
2008 – Campanologist (9/1)
2007 – Boscobel (7/1)
2006 – Papal Bull (5/4 fav)
2005 – Plea Bargain (9/2)
2004 – Five Dynasties (11/4 fav)
2003 – High Accolade (5/2 fav)

King Edward VII Stakes Key Trends

16/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
15/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the
12/16 – Had never raced at Ascot before
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/16 - Had won at least 2 previous races during their career
6/16 – Had already won a Listed or better class race
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 4-9 (inc)
12 of the last 13 winners returned 9/1 or shorter

3.40 – The Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) (Class 1) (3yo) 6f

Commonwealth Cup Recent Winners

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2018 - Eqtidaar (12/1)
2017 - Caravaggio (5/6 fav)
2016 - Quiet Reflection (7/4 fav)
2015 - Muhaarar (10/1)

Commonwealth Cup Trends

4/4 – Won over 6f before
4/4 – Drawn 8 or lower
4/4 – Ran in the last month
3/4 – Won 3+ times before
3/4 – Had run at Ascot before
3/4 – Rated 117 or higher
2/4 – Winning favourite
2/4 – Came from stall 8
2/4 – Won last time out

4.20 - Coronation Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m

Coronation Stakes Past Winners

2018 – Alpha Centauri (11/4 fav)
2017 – Winter (4/9 fav)
2016 – Qemah (6/1)
2015 – Ervedya (3/1)
2014 – Rizeena (11/2)
2013 – Sky Lantern (9/2 jfav)
2012 – Fallen For You (12/1)
2011 – Immortal Verse (8/1)
2010 – Lillie Langtry (7/2 fav)
2009 – Ghanaati (2/1 fav)
2008 – Lush Lashes (5/1)
2007 – Indian Ink (8/1)
2006 – Nannina (6/1 jfav)
2005 – Maids Causeway (9/2)
2004 – Attraction (6/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Rhythm (4/7 fav)
2002 – Sophisticat (11/2)

Coronation Stakes Recent Trends

17/17 – Had won over at least 7f before
16/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
13/17 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 previously
12/17 – Had won over at least a 1 mile before
9/17 – Had run at Ascot before (3 winners)
8/17 – Ran in that season’s English 1,000 Guineas
8/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/17 – Unplaced last time out
5/17 – Ran in that season’s Irish 1,000 Guineas
3/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
12 of the last 13 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
No winners from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
Just two horses placed from stall 2 (2nd ) in the last 13 runnings
7 of the last 13 winners were non UK-trained – French (3), Irish (4)

 

5.00 - Sandringham Handicap (Listed Race) 1m


Sandringham Handicap Recent Winners

2018 – Agrotera (11/2 fav)
2017 – Con Te Partiro (20/1)
2016 – Persuasive (11/4 fav)
2015 – Osaila (13/2)
2014 – Muteela (9/2 fav)
2013 – Annecdote (11/1)
2012 – Duntle (4/1 fav)
2011 – Rhythm Of Light (8/1)
2010 – Timepiece (5/1)
2009 – Moneycantbuymelove (9/2 fav)
2008 – Festivale (10/1)
2007 – Barshiba (16/1)
2006 – Red Evie (5/1 co-fav)
2005 – Beautyandthebeast (9/2)
2004 – Celtic Heroine (11/1)
2003 – Hold To Ransom (11/1)
2002 – Tashawak (12/1)

 

Sandringham Handicap Trends

15/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
13/17 – Had never run at Ascot before
13/17 – Had won over at least 7f before
12/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
11/17 – Carried 8-11 or more
11/17 – Placed in their previous race
7/17 – Had exactly 3 runs already that season
8/17 – Won their last race
7/17 – Returned a double-figure price
6/17 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/17 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (7 winners in all)

 

5.35 - Duke of Edinburgh Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) 1m4f

Duke of Edinburgh Past Winners

2018 – Dash Of Spice (7/2 fav)
2017 – Rare Rhythm (20/1)
2016 – Kinema (8/1)
2015 – Arab Dawn (6/1 jfav)
2014 – Arab Spring (11/4 fav)
2013 – Opinion (8/1)
2012 – Camborne (11/2 fav)
2011 – Fox Hunt (12/1)
2010 – Cill Rialaig (16/1)
2009 – Drill Sergeant (14/1)
2008 – Sugar Ray (8/1)
2007 – Pevensey (8/1)
2006 – Young Mick (28/1)
2005 – Notable Guest (4/1)
2004 – Wunderwood (15/2)
2003 – Waverley (14/1)

Duke of Edinburgh Key Trends

16/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/16 – Had at least 2 previous career wins to their name
13/16 – Carried 9-0 or more
12/16 – Placed last time out
11/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
9/16 – Trained by Hughie Morrison (3), Mark Johnston (2) or Sir Michael Stoute (4)
9/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
7/16 – Had run at Ascot before
7/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/16 – Ran at either York or Epsom last time (inc 7 of last 8 runnings)
5/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time
4/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/16 – Winning favourites
12 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

 

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