Daily Double Dutch reports from Geegeez: detailed write-ups, statistics and information on Geegeez’s own horse betting project. Read on to find out more.

Sat TV Trends: 16th Dec 2017

A MASSIVE day up at Prestbury Park as the Cheltenham December Meeting continues this Saturday, plus the ITV cameras also head to Doncaster for three races - as always we're on-hand with all the big-race trends and stats…..

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.55 – Caspian Caviar Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

15/15 – Aged 8 or younger
13/15 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
12/15 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
11/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (no winners)
10/15 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (4 won)
10/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Officially rated 142 or higher
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
9/15 – French bred
7/15 – Carried 10-13 or more
5/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/15 – Ran in the BetVictor (Nov) Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
4/15 – Finished in the top 5 in the Bet Victor Gold Cup last time out
4/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/15 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
1/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 10/1

2.30 - Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

13/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/13 – Placed favourites
12/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
12/13 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Aged 6 or younger
11/13 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
10/13 – Winning favourite (1 co, 1 joint)
10/13 – Went on run in the Albert Bartlett (2 won) at the Cheltenham Festival
9/13 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/13 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Won last time out
8/13 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
8/13 – Had won at Cheltenham before
8/13 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
8/13 – Irish bred
2/13 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/13 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 15/8

3.05 – Unibet International Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f ITV4

15/15 – Raced over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
14/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Placed in the top 3 in their latest race
13/15 – Won over 2m1f (hurdles) previously
12/15 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old or younger
12/15 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle later that season (5 placed)
12/15 – Won 4 or more times over hurdles previously
11/15 – Won their latest race
11/15 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
11/15 –  Favourites placed
11/15 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
11/15 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
9/15 – Won by a horse aged either 4 or 5 years-old
8/15 – Rated 162 or higher
7/15 – Winning distance:  4+ lengths
6/15 – Won the Greatwood Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
4/15 – Won by a French-bred horse
4/15 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
4/15 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/15 – Ridden by jockey Sam Twiston-Davies
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 – Won the Betfair Hurdle last time out
2/15 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/15 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
1/15 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that season (Rooster Booster 2002)
The New One has won the race in 2013, 2014 and 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 7/2

3.40 – OLBG Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4 1/2f ITV4

Just 2 previous runnings
Both winners carried 10-11 in weight
Both winners aged 7 or 8 years-old
No winning favourite yet
Trainer Harry Fry has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Martin Keighley has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Neil Mulholland has only a 3% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Fergal O’Brien is just 2 from 29 with his hurdlers at the track

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Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

2.10 – bet365 December Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

Only 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
7/7 – Won between 0-2 times over fences
6/7 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
5/7 – Priced 9/4 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Placed favourites
5/7 – French (2) or Irish (3) bred
5/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
4/7 – Winning favourites
4/7 – Won last time out
3/7 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3 of the last 4 runnings have been won by trainer Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 9/4

Note: from 2013 back the race was run at Lingfield Park

2.45 – Bet365 Summit Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) (3yo) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/7 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
6/7 – Favourites placed in the top 3
6/7 – Had won just once before over hurdles
5/7 – Irish (3) or French (2) bred
5/7 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
4/7 – Won last time out
2/7 – Ran at Market Rasen last time out
2/7 – Trained by John Quinn
2/7 – Winning favourites
Trainer Paul Nicholls the race 12 months ago
Peace and Co won the race in 2015 and went onto with the Triumph Hurdle
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 11/2

3.20 – bet365 Handicap Chase (4 yo+) Cl2 3m ITV4

8/8 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
7/8 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Aged 8 or younger
7/8 – Had won no more than 2 times over fenced
6/8 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
5/8 – Aged 7 years-old
5/8 – Unplaced last time out
5/8 – Irish bred
5/8 – Ran at Doncaster before
5/8 – Had won over 3m (fences) before
2/8 – Trained by Emma Lavelle
1/8 – Winning favourites
The last three winners were all rated 139
No Duffer (9/1) won the race 12 months ago
Sego Success won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 7/1

Cheltenham TV Trends: Fri 15th Dec 2017

The tapes go up for the opening day of the 2017 Cheltenham December Meeting this Friday (15th December) with FOUR LIVE ITV races from Prestbury Park.
As always, we are on hand with his quick-fire trends ahead of the LIVE races......

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1:55 – CF Roberts Electrical + Mechanical Services Mares’ Handicap Chase Cl3 2m5f ITV4

One previous run
Trainer Michael Scudamore has just a 19% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Warren Greatrex is 0 from 17 record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Tim Vaughan is 0 from 23 with his chasers at the track
Jockey Robert Dunne has a 40% (2 from 5) record riding over fences at the track

2.30 – December Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

13/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/15 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before (5 won)
11/15 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
10/15 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Aged 8 or younger
9/15 – Placed favourites
9/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (none won)
9/15 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
8/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/15 – Irish bred
7/15 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
6/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2
Theatre Guide (15/2) won the race 12 months ago

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3.05 –Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase Cl2 3m7f ITV4

12/13 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/13 – Had run over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
11/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (3 won)
10/13 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
10/13 – Placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
9/13 – Aged 9 or older
9/13 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
7/13 – Had won over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
7/13 – Aged in double-figures
7/13 – Trained by Enda Bolger
6/13 – Placed favourites
5/13 – Carried 11-12
5/13 – French bred
5/12 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1
Cantlow (13/8 fav) won the race 12 months ago

3.40 – Citipost Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV4

12/14 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
11/14 – Carried 11-2 or less
11/14 – Aged 7 or younger
10/14 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
10/14 – Irish bred
10/14 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
9/14 - Priced 8/1 or bigger in the betting
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
8/14 – Rated between 128 and 137
8/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
7/14 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (one winner)
7/14 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/14 - Trained by Jonjo O'Neill
Call To Order (11/2) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

Sat TV Trends: 9th Dec 2017

Another massive Saturday of NH jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Sandown and Aintree, with the Tingle Creek Chase and Becher Chase the feature contests - As always, we’ve got all the big-race trends and stats for all the LIVE races.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)


1.45 – randoxhealth.com Henry VIII Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

14/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/14 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
13/14 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 2m
13/14 – Aged 6 or younger
12/14 – Won last time out
12/14 – French (8) or Irish (4) bred
11/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Arkle Chase (2 winners)
9/14 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (3) last time out
9/14 – Winning distance – 2 ¾ lengths or more
7/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/14 – Winners went onto finish 1st or 2nd in that season’s Arkle Chase
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1

2.20 - Jumeirah Hotels And Resorts December Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f216y ITV4

13/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/14 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
12/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/14 – Aged 4,5 or 6 years-old
11/14 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
10/14 – Carried 10-13 or less
9/14 – Rated between 116-128
8/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
8/14 – Irish bred
4/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 13/2

2.55 – Betfair Tingle Creek Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

14/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Aged 9 or younger
13/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/15 – Had won a Grade One chase before
12/15 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s QM Champion Chase
12/15 – Officially rated 165 or higher
11/15 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
10/15 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
10/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/15 – French bred
11/15 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
9/15 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
8/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
8/15 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
5/15 – Went onto win the Champion Chase (Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre, Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
4/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/15 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
1/15 – Went onto win the Gold Cup (Kauto Star) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 5/2

Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Cheltenham

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3.30 – Betfair London National Handicap Chase Cl2 3m5f110y ITV4

13/13 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/13 – Aged 7 or older
12/13 – Won between 2-6 times over fences before
12/13 – Had won (fences) over at least 3m before
11/13 – Rated 126 or higher
11/13 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Aged 8 or older
9/13 – Unplaced favourites
9/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/13 – Irish bred
8/13 – Carried 11-0 or more
7/13 – Had raced over fences at Sandown before (2 won)
4/13 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Towcester (2) last time out
4/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/13 – Trained by Tom George
2/13 - Trained by Paul Nicholls
1/13 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 13/2

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.30 – Randox Health Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m2f ITV4

12/15 – Carried 10-12 or less
12/15 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
11/15 – Aged 9 or older
11/15 – Officially rated between 123-138
11/15 – Irish bred winners
11/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/15 – Had no more than 1 start that season
10/15 – Had raced at Aintree before
10/15 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
10/15 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
9/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/15 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
6/15 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
6/15 – Placed favourites
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 – Irish-trained winners
3/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
2/15 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
0/15 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 14/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 5 times since 1993

2.05 – Download The App At 188Bet Fillies’ Juvenile Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 (3Yyo) 2m1f ITV4

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
5/5 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
5/5 – Won between 0-1 times over hurdles
4/5 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
4/5 – Winning distance 8 or more lengths
4/5 – Winning favourites
4/5 – Carried 10-12 in weight
2/5 – Trained by Alan King
2/5 – Irish-trained winners
2/5 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 2/1

2.35 – 188bet.co.uk Many Clouds Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m1f ITV4

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/6 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
5/6 – Won no more than 3 times over fences
5/6 – Aged 8 or younger
5/6 – Had raced over fences at Aintree before
4/6 – Ran at Aintree (2) or Wetherby (2) last time out
3/6 – Winning favourites
3/6 – Having their seasonal reappearance
1/6 – Irish-trained winners
1/6 – Won last time out
Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 & 2014
Nicky Henderson won the race in 2011
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 5/2

3.10 – 188bet.co.uk Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV

11/12 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
10/12 – Aged 8 or older
10/12 – Rated 124 or more
9/12 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
9/12 – Had run at Aintree before (4 over the GN style fences)
more
8/12 – Irish bred
8/12 – Had won (chase) over at least 2m4f before
7/12 – Carried 10-12 or more
6/12 – Returned a double-figure price
5/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 - Trained by Paul Nicholls
1/12 – Won last time out
1/12 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (5th)
9 of the last 11 winners were aged 8 or 9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/1

Sat TV Trends: 2nd Dec 2017

Another huge Saturday ahead with the Hennessy Gold Cup – or as it’s now called The Ladbroke Trophy Chase - plus the Fighting Fifth Hurdle as the main contests at Newbury and Newcastle – As always, we’ve got all the ITV TV trends to help you find the best winning profile of past winners of the main races.

Newbury Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

Five previous runnings
3 of the last 5 winners aged 5 years-old
No winning favourite
All winners carried between 10-10 and 11-5
Philip Hobbs, Paul Nicholls, Alan King, Rebecca Curtis & Ali Stronge have trained the winners
Trainer Harry Fry has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 30% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Ben Pauling has a 24% record with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Richard Johnson has 19% (+45) strike-rate riding over hurdles at the track

2.25 Ladbrokes Intermediate Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Registered As The Gerry Fielden Hurdle) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m69y ITV

11/11 – Had at least 4 runs over hurdles before
10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
10/11 – Won over 2m (hurdles) before
9/11 – Irish, French or German bred
9/11 – Won just 1-2 times in the past (hurdles)
8/11 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
8/11 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Finished in the top three last time out
6/11 – Officially rated between 126-134
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
6/11 – Had raced at Newbury before
5/11 – Aged 5 years-old
4/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/11 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Raced at Aintree last time out
2/11 – Won last time out
7 of the last 10 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

3.00 – Ladbrokes Trophy Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) ITV 3m2f110y

14/15 – Aged 8 or younger
13/15 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
13/15 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
12/15 – Had run at Newbury before (8 had won over fences there)
12/15 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Carried 10-13 or more
12/15 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
11/15 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
11/15 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
11/15 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
9/15 – Rated between 140 and 151
9/15 – Had a previous run that season
8/15 – Ran at either Aintree (2) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
8/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
8/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 5)
2/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/15 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty (2 of last 5)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 9/1
Since 1968 there has only been one winner aged in double-figures (1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (26 runnings) there have been 13 winners (50%) aged 7 years-old

3.35 - Ladbrokes Handicap Chase (for the Jim Joel Memorial Trophy) Cl2 2m1f ITV

13/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Officially rated between 126-136
11/15 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
10/15 – French bred
9/15 – Had won a UK chase race over 2m1f
9/15 – Had won between 2-5 chase races in the UK
8/15 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
8/15 – Placed in their last race
8/15 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/15 – Won a chase race at Newbury before
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/15 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
9 of the last 11 winners carried between 10-8 and 11-3
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
Grey Gold won the race in 2015

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Newcastle Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.10 – Unibet Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

15/15 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
14/15 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
13/15 – Placed in the first two in their latest race
12/15 – Raced in the Champion Hurdle later that same season
12/15 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Officially rated 151 or higher
10/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
9/15 – Placed in the top 6 in the Champion Hurdle later that season
9/15 – Won their last race
7/15 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/15 – Won by an Irish bred horse
4/15 – Won by an Irish based yard
3/15 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
2/15 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/15 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 3)
2/15 - Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/15 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that same season (2008 Punjabi)
Irving won the race in 2014 and 2016
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 11/2
Note: The 2008 renewal was staged at Wetherby, and the 2010 race at Newbury

3.20 – At The Races Rehearsal Chase (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV

12/13 – Didn’t win their last race
11/13 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/13 – Irish bred
11/13 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
10/13 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 3m
9/13 – Had won at least 3 times over fences in the UK
9/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
9/13 – Unplaced last time out
6/13 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
5/13 – Unplaced favourites
5/13 – Aged 8 years-old
4/13 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/13 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 – Trained by Nicky Richards
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 8/1

Note: The 2002, 2003, & 2004 runnings were at Chepstow

Newbury TV Trends: Fri 1st Dec 2017

It's DAY ONE of the Newbury Hennessy Meeting this Friday and we’ve four LIVE races on ITV to take in that include the Grade Two Long Distance Hurdle.
As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and free tips.

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (LIVE RUK/ITV)

1.50 – Ladbrokes Novices' Chase (Registered As The Berkshire Novices' Chase) (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m3f187y ITV4

9/10 – Aged 5 or older
9/10 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Yet to win over fences
7/10 – Favourites placed in the top 2
7/10 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
6/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/10 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/10 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

2.25 – Ladbrokes Open Handicap Chase Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f187y ITV4

10/10 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
9/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Aged 9 or younger
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
7/10 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
7/10 – Rated between 131 and 140
6/10 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/10 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
2/10 – Trained by Alan King
2/10 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
0/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

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3.00 –  Ladbrokes Long Distance Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m52y ITV4

13/15 – Grade One winner over hurdles
12/15 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
12/15 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
12/15 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
12/15 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
11/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Had won a hurdles race at Newbury before
9/15 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Winning favourites
9/15 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
8/15 – French bred
8/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Returned odds-on in the betting
7/15 – Went onto win that season’s World Hurdle
6/15 – Won by a previous winner of the race
5/15 – Won by Paul Nicholls (inc 5 of last 8 renewals)
3/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
Unowhatimeanharry won the race in 2016
Thistlecrack won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

3.35 - Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 3m52y ITV4

10/10 – Placed 5th or better last time out
9/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/10 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
9/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
8/10 – Raced at either Cheltenham (4), Wincanton (2) or Wetherby (2) last time
7/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Won just 1-2 times over hurdles
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Yet to win over 3m (or further) over hurdles
6/10 – Irish bred winners
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/10 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/10 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

Sat TV Trends: 25th Nov 2017

More excellent jumping action at Ascot and Haydock this Saturday with the ITV cameras heading to both tracks. The Betfair Chase is the highlight from Haydock at 3.00, while the main event at Ascot is the Christy 1965 Chase – As always, we are on hand with all the trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 - Christy 1965 Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f8y ITV

13/14 – Aged 8 or younger
12/14 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
11/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/14 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
9/14 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
9/14 – Favourites placed
9/14 – Won by a French-bred horse
9/14 – Had won over this trip (fences) or further before
9/14 – Ran at Aintree (2) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
8/14 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
7/14 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
6/14 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
6/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Aged 5 years-old
2/14 – Won by trainer Alan King
2/14 – Won by trainer Philip Hobbs
2/14 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/14 – Went onto win at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Albertas Run & Vautour, RyanAir Chase 2009 & 2016)
Royal Regatta won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2

Note: The 2002 running was at Wincanton and the 2004 renewal at Windsor

 2.40 - Coral Hurdle (Registered As The Ascot Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV

15/15 – Priced 7/2 or less
13/15 – Won by and Irish (10) or French (3) bred horse
13/15 – Won over at least 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
13/15 – Won a Grade 2 (or better) hurdle race previously
12/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Won their latest race
10/15 – Won by a horse aged 7 or older
10/15 – Won a Grade 1 hurdle race previously
10/15 – Had their last race 3 months or longer ago
9/15 – Favourites that won (2 joint)
8/15 – Won between 3-5 times over hurdles previously
5/15 – Went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle after winning this (1 won)
5/15 – Went onto race in the Champion Hurdle that same season (4 of 5 finished 4th or better, Faugheen won both in 2014-15)
4/15 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
4/15 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/15 – Won a hurdles race at Ascot previously
3/15 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
2/15 – Won by the Willie Mullins stable
4 of the last 11 winners were Irish-trained
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/4
Note: the 2004 & 2005 renewals were at Windsor

3.15 - Shawbrook Handicap Chase Cl2 2m192y ITV

11/11 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Aged between 6 and 9 years-old
10/11 – Had won over fences over this trip (or further) before
9/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Carried 11-0 or more
8/11 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
7/11 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/11 – Rated 142 or higher
6/11 – Ran at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
6/11 – Had raced at Ascot before
6/11 – Placed favourites
4/11 – Placed horses from the Paul Nicholls yard
4/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Aged 6 years-old
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 – Trained by Gary Moore
Sir De Grugy won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

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Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 - Betfair Exchange Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m3f ITV

6 previous runnings
5/6 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
5/6 – Had won over at least 2m2f before
5/6 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
5/6 – Irish bred
5/6 – Had won between 1-2 times before
5/6 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/6 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
2/6 – Winning favourites
2/6 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 7/1

2.25 - Betfair Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV

11/12– Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
11/12 – Had won between 1-3 times (hurdles UK) before
10/12 – Carried 10-10 or more
10/12 – Rated between 132 and 143
7/12 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (no winners)
7/12 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
7/12 – Placed favourites
6/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/12 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/12 – French bred
5/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/12 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/12 – Trained by David Pipe
2/12 – Trained by Nick Williams
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/2

3.00 - Betfair Chase (Registered as The Lancashire Chase) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m1f ITV

12 Previous runnings
10/12 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
10/12 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/12 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
9/12 – Won by and Irish (3) or French (6) bred horse
9/12 - Placed in the top three in their last race
9/12 - Won a Grade One chase previously
8/12 - Raced at Haydock previously
8/12 - Aged 8 or older
8/12 – Favourites placed
7/12 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
6/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/12 – Won by a previous winner of the race
6/12 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
5/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (inc 3 of the last 4)
3/12 - Raced at Aintree last time out
3/12 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
4/12 – Won their latest race
The average winning price in the last 11 runnings is 6/1
Cue Card has won the race in 2013, 2015 & 2016
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
Ruby Walsh has ridden the winner in 2006, 2009, 2011, 2012

3.35 – Best Odds Guaranteed With Betfair Handicap Chase Cl2 3m24y ITV

10/10 – French (4) or Irish (6) bred
10/10 – Aged 9 or younger
8/10 – Carried 11-1 or more
8/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Had won 2-3 times over fences before
7/10 – Had won over at least 3m (chase) before
6/10 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
6/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/10 – Carried 11-11 or more in weight
4/10 –Winning distance – head or shorter
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites

Sat TV Trends: 18th Nov 2017

A huge day up at Cheltenham this Saturday with the BetVictor Gold Cup the feature racethe ITV cameras are at Prestbury Park to take in four of the races, plus are also covering two at Lingfield. As always we've got all the key trends & stats to help you whittle down the runners.

 

 

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

12.40 - JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial (Registered as The Prestbury Juvenile Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m87y RUK

12/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/12 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles before
10/12 – Never raced at Cheltenham before
9/12 – Returned 4/1 or shorter
9/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/12 – Won last time out
8/12 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
8/12 – Went onto race in that seasons Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
8/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 2
6/12 – Winning favourites
5/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Went onto finish 1st or 2nd in the Triumph Hurdle
4/12 – German bred
3/12 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/12 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/12 – Trained by Alan King
2/12 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/12 – Went onto win the Triumph Hurdle (Defi Du Seuill 2017, Katchit 2006)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

1.15 - mallardjewellers.com Novices´ Chase Cl2 3m80y RUK

12/12 – Had won a race over at least 2m4f (fences) before
10/12 – Aged 7 or younger
10/12 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Raced no more than twice over fences
10/12 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
9/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/12 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
9/12 – Won between 0-1 times over fences before
7/12 – Aged 6 years-old
7/12 – Irish bred
7/12 – Raced at Cheltenham (3), Aintree (2) or Wetherby (2) last time out
6/12 – Went onto run in the RSA Chase (no winners)
6/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Trained by David Pipe
2/12 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/12 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 7/2

1.50 - BetVictor Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m3f110y ITV

14/15 – Had won a 3m+ race over fences before
13/15 – Had run at Cheltenham before
12/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Aged 8 or younger
10/15 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
9/15  – Had won between 3 and 5 times over fences before
8/15 – Officially rated between 135 and 146
8/15 – Irish bred
8/15 – Ran within the last month
8/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/15 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
7/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
6/15  – Ran at either Cheltenham (4) or Sandown (2) last time out
6/15 – French bred
3/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

2.25 – BetVictor Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f110y ITV

15/15 – Had run at Cheltenham before
14/15 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
14/15 – Won by a UK-based trainer
12/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
11/15 – Had won at Cheltenham before
10/15 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
10/15 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (2) or Twiston-Davies (2)
9/15 – Carried 10-13 or less (But 4 of the last 5 carried 10-13 or more)
9/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/15 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
8/15 – Aged 7 years-old
8/15 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
7/15 – Placed favourites
5/15 – Won their last race
4/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/15 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/15 – Irish-trained winners
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 8 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 32 runners
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 17/2

3.00 – Regulatory Finance Solutions Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f67y ITV

13/15 – Aged 7 or younger
13/15 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
12/15 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
12/15 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
11/15 – Officially rated 126 to 137
11/15 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
10/15 – Irish bred
10/15 – Placed favourites
10/15  – Ran at either Cheltenham (4), Aintree (3) or Chepstow (3) last time out
9/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/15 – Ran within the last month
6/15 – Won their last race
7/15 – Had run at Cheltenham before
5/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/15 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/15 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Anteros won the race last season

3.30 - Martin & Co Jewellers Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f26y ITV

11/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
11/12 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
10/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/12 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
7/12 – Returned a double-figure price
6/12 – Carried 10-13 or less
6/12 – Favourites unplaced
6/12 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a race at the Cheltenham Festival
6/12 – Had run at Cheltenham before
6/12 – Irish bred winners
4/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – French bred winners
2/12 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/12 Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9.5/1
2 of the last 5 winners went onto be placed in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
2 of the last 9 winners went onto be placed in the Ladbrokes World Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season

 

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Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

2.45 – Betway Churchill Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

10/11 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Rated between 103 and 112
8/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/11 – Favourites placed in the top two
8/11 – Placed last time out
8/11 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
8/11 – Won between 1-4 times before
7/11 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
The average SP in the last 11 runnings is 9/2

3.15 – Betway Golden Rose Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

10/10 – Previous winner over 6f or 7f
9/10 – Aged 4 or older
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Won 5 or more times before
7/10 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
6/10 – Unplaced last time out
6/10 – Unplaced favourites
4/10 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

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Cheltenham TV Trends: Fri 17th Nov 2017

Another big day ahead for the ITV racing team this Friday as they take in four races from Cheltenham on the opening day of their three-day November Meeting.

As always we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these to find the best profiles of past winners.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends

 

1:50 – BetVictor Handicap Chase Cl2 2m ITV

14/15 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
14/15 – Carried 11-7 or less in weight
13/15 – Raced at Cheltenham before
12/15 – Raced at least 5 times over fences previously
11/15 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
9/15 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
8/15 – Having their first run of the season
8/15 – Unplaced in their previous race
7/15 – Favourites placed
6/15 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting
6/15 – French-bred horse
3/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/15 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/15 – Favourites that won
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/15 – Won their most recent race
2/15 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
0/15 – Irish-trained winners
Un Beau Roman won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

2.25 – Steel Plate And Sections Novices´ Chase Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

15/15 – Won by a horse aged 5 or older
14/15 – Won between 0 and 1 times over fences previously
13/15 – Priced 6/1 or shorter
13/15 – Ran between 0 and 2 times over fences
12/15 -  Finished in the top three in their latest race
12/15 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
11/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Placed in the first two in their previous race
10/15 – Won by a horse aged 6 years-old  (9 of last 10 runnings)
8/15 – Raced at either Aintree (2), Cheltenham (4) or Auteuil (2) last time out
8/15 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
8/15 – Irish-bred horse
8/15 – First run over fences
6/15 – Raced already that season
6/15 – French-bred horse
5/15 – Won their latest race
5/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
5/15 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
5/15 – Favourites that won
2/15 – Ridden by Noel Fehily
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1
Dynaste, Denman, Weird Al, Imperial Commander, Time For Rupert and Grands Crus are all big names to win this race in recent years

3.00 - Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase Cl2 3m7f ITV

14/14 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
14/14 – Either Irish (8) or French (6) bred
13/14 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
11/14 – Winner came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
11/14 – Had a recent run that season
11/14 – Won at least 5 times over fences previously
10/14 – Carried 11-5 or more in weight
10/14 – Favourites placed
10/14 – Unplaced in their last race
9/14 – Raced over this Cross County course previously (6 won)
9/14 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
9/14 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
6/14 – Trained by Enda Bolger
5/14 – Favourites that won
Urgent De Gregaine won the race in 2016
Josies Orders won this in 2015

3.35 - Ballymore Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Hyde Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f ITV

13/13 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
13/13 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/13 – Had won a NH Flat race earlier in their career
10/13 – Had raced at either Uttoxeter (4), Chepstow (4) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
10/13 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (2 winners)
10/13 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
9/13 – Aged 5 years-old
7/13 – Won just once before
7/13 – Won last time out
7/13 – Had won over 2 ½ (or further) over hurdles before
4/13 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
4/13 – Raced at Uttoxeter last time out
4/13 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/13 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/13 – Went onto win a race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

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Cheltenham TV Trends: Sunday 19th Nov 2017

Another big day ahead for the ITV racing team this Sunday as they take in four races from Cheltenham on the final day of their three-day November Meeting.

As always we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these to find the best profiles of past winners.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends

1.50 – Racing Post Arkle Trophy Trial Novices´ Chase (Registered as The November Novices´ Chase) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

14/15 – Placed in the top three in their last race
13/15 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
13/15 – Favourites placed
13/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/15 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
13/15 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Raced (hurdles or fences) at Cheltenham previously
12/15 – Raced just once previously over fences
9/15 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
9/15 – Ran in the Arkle Chase at the Festival later that season (1 won, Azertyuiop, 2002)
9/15 – Won their latest race
9/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (inc last 6 of last 9 years)
9/15 – Favourites that won
9/15 – Won previously over fences
7/15 – Won by a French bred
4/15 – Won by Irish bred
4/15 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
3/15 – Won by a German bred
3/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/15 – Fell in the Arkle Chase later that season
3/15 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

2.25 – Shloer Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV

8 previous runnings
7/8 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Officially rated 150+
6/8 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
6/8 – Went onto run in the Champion Chase (1 winner, Sprinter Sacre 2015)
6/8 – Won on seasonal reappearance
6/8 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
6/8 – Aged 7 or older
6/8 – Failed to win last time out
6/8 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
5/8 – Carried 11-0 to win
5/8 – Won by a horse aged 8 or older
4/8 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/8 – German bred
3/8 – Raced at Aintree last time out
3/8 – Favourites that won
Fox Norton won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 4/1

3.00 – Unibet Greatwood Hurdle (A Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y ITV

14/15 – Had won a 2m1f (or further) hurdles race before
13/15 – Had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Officially rated 140 or higher
10/15 – Had run 6 or less times over hurdles
10/15 – Had a recent run (within the last 6 weeks)
10/15 – Finished in the top two last time out
10/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Had run at Cheltenham before
9/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or further
8/15 – Carried 11-4 or more
7/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Came from the first three in the betting
6/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
6/15 – Won their previous race
4/15 – Winners that carried 11-12
4/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Winning favourites
1/15 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1
5 of the last 8 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle

3.30 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Sharp Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m110y ITV

13/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/13 – Won last time out
11/13 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles
11/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Favourites that finished in the top three
9/13 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
8/13 – Carried 11-7 in weight
8/13 – Had won a NH Flat race before
7/13 – Went onto run in that season’s Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (1 winner, Altior)
7/13 – Aged 5 years-old
6/13 – Irish bred
5/13 – Aged 4 years-old
4/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Won by the Pipe team
2/13 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/13 – Won by the Nicholls stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

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Sat TV Trends: 11th Nov 2017

This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Wincanton with the Badger Ales Chase their feature, plus they are also at Doncaster for the ultra-competitive November Handicap – as always we've got all the trends and stats for the LIVE races.

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 – Betfred Mobile Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

13/14 – Had at least 6 previous runs that season
13/14 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Had won over 6f before
12/14 – Aged 4 or older
12/14 – Won from stall 12 or lower
11/14 – Rated 99 or higher
10/14 – Had won at least 5 times before in their career
8/14 – Had won at Doncaster before
7/14 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/14 – Ran at York (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Winning mare/filly
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

2.40 - Betfred TV EBF Stallions Breeding Winners Gillies Fillies´ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f60y ITV4

12/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/13 – Had won at least twice before
10/13 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
10/13 – Had 3 or more runs that season
8/13 – Ran at either Lingfield (3), Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
8/13 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
7/13 – Had won over 1m2f before
7/13 – Returned 8/1 or bigger in the betting
7/13 – Unplaced favourites
6/13 – Won by an Irish-bred filly
2/13 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/13 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/13 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

3.15 - Betfred November Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV4

11/14 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
11/14 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
11/14 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
11/14 – Winners that came from draw 9 or higher
11/14 – Favourites that were unplaced
10/14 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
10/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
9/14 – Won carrying 8-13 or less in weight
9/14 – Placed last time out
9/14 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Ridden by jockey Martin Dwyer
2/14 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 5 times in all)
1/14 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
Just 1 winning favourite since 1995

Wincanton Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Z Hotels Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4

10/10 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Aged 7 or younger
8/10 – Had won over at least 2m4f before (hurdles)
7/10 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Had won at least twice before (hurdles)
7/10 – Rated between 119-129
7/10 – Finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th last time out
7/10 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
5/10 – Had run at the track before
5/10 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
5/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Aged 6 years-old
2/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/10 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

2.25 – John Romans Park Homes ‘Rising Stars’ Novices Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Had won no more than twice over fences
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Irish (4) or French (4) bred
8/10 – Aged 6 or younger
8/10 – Favourites placed
8/10 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Had won over 2m3f or further (Chase)
6/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

3.00 - Unibet Elite Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

13/13 – Aged 7 or younger
12/13 – Won between 2-5 times before (hurdles)
11/13 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Came from the top three in the betting
10/13 – Unplaced last time out
8/13 – Rated 150 or lower
8/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
8/13 – Having first run of the season
5/13 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/13 – Carried 10-6 or less
5/13 – Won with 11-10 in weight
4/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 – Trained by John Quinn
2/13 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/13 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

3.35 - Badger Ales Trophy (A Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

14/14 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
12/14 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
12/14 – Won at least two chase races previously
12/14 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
11/14 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
11/14 –  Raced at the course previously (4 won over fences)
11/14 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
11/14  – Placed in the top four in their last race
10/14 – Favourites placed
9/14 – Raced already that season
8/14 – Raced at either Sandown (2), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
8/14 – Irish-bred horse
7/14 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
7/14 – Priced at double-figures
6/14 – Won their latest race
5/14 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
4/14 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 3 of the last 7 years)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/2

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Sat TV Trends: 4th Nov 2017

As always we've got all the key race trends for this Saturday’s LIVE ITV races from Wetherby and Ascot, including the Grade Two Charlie Hall Chase.

 

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.50 - Ascot Underwriting Novices´ Limited Handicap Chase Cl3 2m3f ITV

4 previous runnings
4/4 – Irish bred
3/4 – Aged 6 year-old
2/4 – Yet to win over fences
2/4 – Had run over hurdles at Ascot before
0/4 – Winning favourites
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 25% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 22% record with his chasers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 13/2

 

2.25 – Byrne Group Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV

12/14 – Aged 8 years-old or younger
10/14 – Irish (4) or French (6) bred
9/14 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
9/14 – Having their first run of the new season
8/14 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
7/14 – Rated 130 or lower
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
5/14 – Aged 8 years-old
4/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Ran at either Ascot (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
3/14 – Won carrying 11-12
3/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/14 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
Quite By Chance won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

3.00 -William Hill Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV

13/13 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
13/13 – Had won over at 2m or 2m1f over hurdles before
11/13 – Never raced at Ascot before
10/13 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
9/13 – Having their first run of the season
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
7/13 – Placed favourites
6/13 – Ran at Huntingdon (3) or Aintree (3) last time out
6/13 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
5/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
4/13 – Won by a French bred horse
3/13 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
2/13 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/13 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/13 - Won by the Nicky Henderson team
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

3.35 – Sodexo Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV

12/12 – Had won a chase race over at least 2 ½m before
10/12 – Didn’t win last time out
9/12 – Had run at Ascot before (4 won)
8/12 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
8/12 – Unplaced favourites
8/12 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
8/12 – Having their first run of the season
8/12 – Unplaced in their last race
7/12 – Carried 10-10 or more
7/12 – Aged 8 or older
7/12 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
6/12 – Officially rated 135 to 138 inc
5/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/12 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Ran at Sandown last time out
Antony won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/1

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)


2.05 – OLBG.com Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV

10/10 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
9/10 – Never raced at Wetherby before
9/10 – Had between 2-5 previous hurdles wins to their name
8/10 – Having their first run of the season
7/10 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
5/10 – Had won a NH Flat race previously
4/10 – Ran at Punchestown last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by John Quinn
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

2.40 –  bet365 Hurdle (West Yorkshire Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m26y ITV

15/15 – Had won over at least 2m3f over hurdles before
14/15 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
14/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
12/15 – Failed to win their last race
12/15 – Officially rated 149 or higher
11/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Aged 6,7 or 8 years-old
8/15 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
8/15 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/15 – Had won at Wetherby before
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Silsol won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

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3.15 – bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

13/15 – Were having their first run of the season
12/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
13/15 – Rated 151 or higher
11/15 – Aged 8 or older
10/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
9/15 – Ran at either Ayr (3), Aintree (4) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
9/15 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
6/15 – Had run at Wetherby before (2 won)
6/15  – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/15 – Trained by Evan Williams
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005 & 2007
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 15/2

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 28th Oct 2017

Bundles going on this Saturday with something for everyone as the ITV cameras are at Doncaster & Newbury for some decent flat action, plus they are also over the jumps for the first time this season at Cheltenham – As always we got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle…….Can leading Irish handler Aidan O’Brien, who’s already had a cracking season, land yet another Racing Post Trophy and his 26th Group One of the year?

 

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.45 – Bet Through The Racing Post App Doncaster Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

10/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
9/10 – Foaled in February or later
9/10 – Had won over 6f before
9/10 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
7/10 – Carried 9-1 in weight
7/10 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
7/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
6/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
5/10 – March-born foals
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1
Trainer Marco Botti has a 21% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Charles Hills is just 4 from 43 (9%) with his 2 year-olds at the track

 

3.25 – Racing Post Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) ITV 1m

15/15 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
13/15 - Foaled in February or later
13/15 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
13/15 – Placed favourites
12/15 – Finished in the top two last time out
12/15 – Raced with the last month
10/15 – Winning favourites
10/15 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/15 – Had raced at least twice previously
10/15 – Won their last race
9/15 – Ran at either the Curragh (3) or Newmarket (6) last time out
5/15 – Won by an Irish-based yard
4/15 – Won by a Montjeu-bred colt
4/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/15 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
3/15 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
1/15 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
1/15 – Went onto win the St Leger
Five winners have gone onto win the following season’s Epsom Derby
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 7 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011 & 2012
The average SP in the last 15 runnings is 7/1
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a 25% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 25% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Aidan O’Brien is just 1 from 18 with his 2 year-olds at the track

 

4.00 – Sun Bets Responsible Betting Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

13/13 – Ran 5 or more times that season
12/13 – Had won over 5f before
12/13 – Aged 5 or younger
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
8/13 – Carried 8-10 or less
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
8/13 – Had run at Doncaster before (4 won)
5/13 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (2) last time out
5/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Winners from stall 1
1/13 – Winning mare/filly
7 of the last 10 winners came from a double-figure stall
Soie D’Leau won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the 10 years is 11.5/1

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.15 - Worthington´s “Indigo Leisure Stakes” (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

14/15 – Aged 5 or younger
14/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
13/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Had won at least twice before
12/15 – Had at least 4 runs that season
12/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
9/15 – Rated 107 or higher
9/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
9/15 – Placed horses from stall 6
7/15 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/15 – Won by a filly or mare
6/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding
0/15 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

2.50 – Bathwick Tyres Stakes (Registered As The Horris Hill Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV4

13/14 – Foaled in Feb or later
11/14 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Never raced at Newbury
11/14 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
10/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
10/14 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
9/14 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
8/14 – Won over 7f before
7/14 – Foaled in February
7/14 – Won their last race
7/14 – Favourites unplaced
6/14 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
4/14 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
4/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
1/14 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends ITV/RUK)

 

2.00 – Randoxhealth.com Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV

10/10 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting market
9/10 – Won over at least 3m previously
8/10 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
8/10 – Favourites unplaced
8/10 – Rated 136 or higher
8/10 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
8/10 – First run of the season
7/10 – Irish bred winners
6/10 – Had won at Cheltenham previously
5/10 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
5/10 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/10 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
5/10 – Unplaced in their last race
1/10 – Winning Favourites
Coologue (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2

 

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2.35 - Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV

7/8 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
5/8 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Carried 10-12 in weight
4/8 – Irish bred winners
4/8 – Favourites placed
4/8 – Placed in their last race
3/8 – Winning favourites
3/8 – Won 3 times over hurdles previously
2/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average SP in the last 8 runnings is 5/1

3.10 – Randox Health Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f199y ITV

Only 2 previous runnings
Fox Norton won the race in 2017 for trainer Neil Mulholland
Boondooma won the race in 2016 for trainer Dr Richard Newland
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a +£19 level stakes profit with his chasers at the track
Trainer Jessie Harrington is 3 from 11 (27%) with her chasers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is only 1 from 27 with his chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams is only 3 from 83 with her chasers at the track
Trainer Henry De Bromhead is only 2 from 43 with her chasers at the track

 

3.45 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y ITV

 

7/8 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/8 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
7/8 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
6/8 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
6/8 – Had run at Cheltenham before (2 winners)
5/8 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
5/8 – Unplaced favourites
4/8 – Won last time out
3/8 – Irish Bred
2/8 – Mare winners
2/8 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
1/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 10/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 21st Oct 2017

More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 21st October - and what a day in prospect! A top card at Ascot for Champions Day that sees four Group Ones, a Group Two and a super-competitive handicap. Bundles to look forward to and as always, we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these key trends to find the best profiles of past winners.

 

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.25 - Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) Cl1 2m ITV

13/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Won at Listed or better class previously
12/15 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or less
11/15 – Aged 5 or older
10/15 – Returned 9/2 or shorter
10/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Raced at least 5 times that season
10/15 – Won over at least 2 miles on the flat previously
10/15 – Won at least 5 times previously
8/15 – Raced at Longchamp (3), Ascot (2) or Doncaster (3) last time out
6/15 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
7/15 – Won their latest race
4/15 – Irish-trained winners
Sheikhzayedroad (11/1) won the race in 2016
Since 2011: 5 of the last 6 winners came from stalls 2-4 (inc)
Since 2011: Horses from stall 7 have been placed in 3 of the last 5
The average winning odds in the last 11 runnings is 11/2
Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Newmarket

 

2.00 - Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

15/15 – Won over 6f previously
14/15 –  Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Raced at least 4 times that season
14/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
14/15 – Won at least 3 times previously
13/15 – Won at Listed or better class previously
12/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/15 – Raced at Ascot previously (3 won)
11/15 – Won a Group race previously
11/15 – Finished in the top 4 in their latest race
10/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Raced at Haydock (5), Goodwood (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/15 – Won their latest race
4/15 – Favourites that won
The Tin Man (13/2) won the race in 2016
Since 2011: 4 of the last 6 winners have come from stalls 12 (2) or 14 (2)
Since 2011: 4 of the last 6 winners came from double-figure stalls
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 12 placed 4 of the last 6 runnings
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 14 placed 4 of the last 6 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 13/2
Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

2.40 - Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV

9/9 – Raced 3 or more times that season
8/9 – Won over 1m4f previously
8/9 – Won at Listed or better class previously
7/9 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
7/9 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
7/9 – Won at least 3 times previously
7/9 – Raced within the last 9 weeks
6/9 – Rated 110 or higher
5/9 – Favourites placed
5/9 – Aged 3 years-old
5/9 – Won their last race
2/9 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/9 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/9 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1
Journey (4/1) won the race 12 months ago
Note: The 2009 & 2010 renewals were run at Newmarket

 

3.15 - Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

15/15 – Raced at Goodwood, Longchamp or Leopardstown last time out
15/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
15/15 – Raced at least 3 times that season
15/15 – Aged 3 or 5 years-old
14/15 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
13/15 – Finished in the top three in their last race
12/15 – Favourites placed
11/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/15 – Raced at Ascot previously (5 won)
8/15 – Won their latest race
8/15 – Won at least 7 times previously
7/15 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
7/15 – Favourites that won
4/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Minding (7/4 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4
Since 2011: Horses from stall 2 and 7 have won 4 of the last 6 runnings
Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

3.50 - Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f ITV

15/15 – Won at least 4 times previously
14/15 – Won between 4 and 8 times previously
14/15 – Aged 5 or younger
14/15 – Finished in the top 3 in their latest race
13/15 – Won over 1m2f previously
13/15 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
11/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/15 – Raced 5 or more times that season
9/15 – Won their last race
7/15 – Raced at either Longchamp (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
6/15 – Favourites unplaced
6/15 – Returned a double-figure price
4/15 – Won by a French-based trainer
3/15 – Ridden by Tom Queally
3/15 – Favourites
Almanzor (11/8 fav) won the race 12 months ago
Since 2011: Horses from stall 5 have won 2 of the last 4 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 7/1

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4.30 - Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) Cl2 1m ITV

Just 3 previous runnings
All 3 previous winners aged 5 years-old
All 3 previous winners draw 10 or lower
All 3 previous winners ran at Newmarket last time out
No winning favourite
Horses from stalls 12 or 13 have been placed in the last 3 runnings

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 14th Oct 2017

More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 14th October for day two of the Newmarket Dubai Future Champions meeting, plus there is also LIVE racing from York. Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Betfred Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn & Dewhurst Stakes.

As mentioned, ITV cameras are also at York to take in three races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy.

So as always, we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

 

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.50 – Godolphin Flying Start Zetland Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV

10/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
9/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/10 – Drawn in stalls 2-5 (inc)
9/10 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Placed favourites
9/10 – Won no more than twice before
8/10 – Had won over at least 1m before
6/10 – Won last time out
6/10 – Came from stalls 2 or 3
5/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Ran at Leicester last time out
2/10 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/10 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/10 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

2.25 – Masar Godolphin Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

12/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/12 – Had won over at least 7f before
11/12 – Had raced at least twice before
10/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/12 – Won last time out
8/12 – Foaled in Feb or March
8/12 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Irish bred
4/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/12 – Irish-trained winners
7 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 3-5


3.00 - Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

14/15 – Raced at least 3 times that season
14/15 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
13/15 – Placed in their last race
12/15 – Won over 7f previously
11/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (6) last time out
10/15 – Won at least 3 times previously
10/15 – Won their last race
10/15 – Won a Group race previously
9/15 – Won by an Irish-based stable
8/15 – Foaled in either  Feb or March
7/15 – Favourites that won
6/15 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/15 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
5/15 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/15 – Trained by Jim Bolger
5/15 – Ridden by Kevin Manning
5/15 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season
2/15 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
0/15 – Winners that came from stall 1
The Irish have won 9 of the last 11 runnings
3 of the last 7 winners came from stall 3
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

3.40 – Betfred Cesarewitch (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

14/15 – Aged 4 or older
12/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/15 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
12/15 – Had run within the last 2 months
12/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/15 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
10/15 – Finished 4th or better last time out
10/15 – Aged 5 or older
9/15 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
9/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/15 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
9/15 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
8/15 – Ran at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
8/15 – Had run at the track before
7/15 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
7/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Won by a NH trainer
4/15 – Winning mares
3/15 – Winners from stall 1
2/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/15 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 24/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1993

 

York Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 - Download The Coral App Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

Just four previous running
Trainer Luca Cumani won the race in 2013
Trainer Charlie Appleby won the race in 2014
Trainer David O’Meara won the race in 2015
Trained Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2016
No winning favourite yet
3 of the last 4 winners were aged 3 years-old
All 4 previous winners returned 9/1 or shorter
Adam Kirby has ridden 2 of the last 4 winners of the race
Trainer John Gosden has a 29% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Hugo Palmer has a 22% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan is just 4 from 111 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John Quinn is just 2 from 60 (3%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

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2.40 – coral.co.uk Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

14/14– Had raced within the last month
13/14 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
12/14 – Foaled in March or later
12/14 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Had won over 6f before
11/14 – Had 4 or more runs that season
11/14 – Had never raced at York before
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
9/14 – Placed favourites
6/14 – Unplaced last time out
6/14 – Ran at either Redcar (4) or Newbury (2) last time out
5/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Winners from stall 2
3/14 – Filly winners
3/14 – Placed horses from stall 1
2/14 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/14 – Ridden by David Allen
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

3.15 – Coral Sprint Trophy (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

14/14 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
14/14 – Had won at least 3 races before
13/14 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
13/14 – Had run at York before
13/14 – Had won a race over 6f before
10/14 – Aged 5 or younger
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/14 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
8/14 – Rated between 92 and 98
8/14 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
8/14 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/14 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
5/14 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/14 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/14 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 


 

 

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Newmarket TV Trends: Friday 13th Oct 2017

More LIVE ITV action on Friday 13th October for day one of the two-day Dubai Future Champions Festival at Newmarket. Plenty to get stuck into with the Group One Bet365 Fillies’ Mile the clear feature race, but with the Cornwallis Stakes, Oh So Sharp Stakes and Challenge Stakes supporting then there is a lot to look forward to.

As always we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these to find the best profiles of past winners.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends


1.50 – Newmarket Academy Godolphin Beacon Project Cornwallis Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

12/14 – Had won over 5f previously
11/14 – Ran within the last 30 days
11/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
10/13 – Rated 98 or more
10/14 – Had raced 5 or more times
10/14 – Foaled in March or later
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 ½ or less
10/14 – Won at least twice or more before
9/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
8/14 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
7/14 – Filly winners
6/14 – Raced at Ayr last time out
6/14 – Won their last race
4/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Raced at Doncaster last time out

2.25 – The Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

13/13 – Had between 1-2 wins already
12/13 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/13 – Had between 1-3 career runs
11/13 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Won last time out
10/13 – Foaled in March or later
10/13 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
9/13 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
8/13 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Had won over 7f or further before
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
6/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/13 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore

 

3.00 – The Godolphin Stud & Stable Awards Challenge Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

14/14 – Won a Listed (4) or Group (9) race previously
14/14 – Won over 7f previously
14/14 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/14 – Raced 3 or more times that season
11/14 – Won 3 or more times previously
11/14 – Winners from stall 10 or lower
11/14 –  Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
10/14 – Officially rated 113 or higher
8/14 – Priced 7/1 or lower
8/14 – Placed in their last race
7/14 – Favourites placed
6/14 – Won at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
5/14 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Goodwood (2) last time out
4/14 – Won their previous race
3/14 - Favourites that won
2/14 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda
1/14 – Filly/Mare winners

3.35 – Bet365 Fillies´ Mile (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

13/13 - Finished in the first three last time out
13/13 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
12/13 – Finished in the first two last time out
12/13- Yet to win a Group 1
12/13 – Foaled in Feb or later
11/13 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
10/13 – Favourites that finished in the top three
10/13 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Had won between 2-3 times before
9/13 – Foaled in Feb or March
9/13 – Won last time out
9/13 – Had won a Group race before
6/13 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
6/13 - Winning favourites (or joint)
6/13 – Irish bred
4/13 - Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/13 – Irish-trained winners
3/13 – US bred
3/13 – Won by trainer John Gosden
3/13 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/13 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori

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4.10 – Bet365 Old Rowley Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 1m4f ITV

3 previous runnings
3/3 – Had won at least twice before
2/3 – Ran at Haydock last time out
2/3 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
2/3 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
2/3 – Priced 8/1 in the betting
2/3 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
2/3 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
0/3 – winning favourites
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 24% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Jeremy Noseda is 0 from 28 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett is just 3 from 47 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Michael Bell is just 2 from 41 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton won the race in 2016
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2015

 

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