Daily Double Dutch reports from Geegeez: detailed write-ups, statistics and information on Geegeez’s own horse betting project. Read on to find out more.

Sat TV Trends: 30th Nov 2019

Another huge Saturday ahead with the Hennessy Gold Cup – or as it’s now called The Ladbroke Trophy Chase - plus the Fighting Fifth Hurdle as the main contests at Newbury and Newcastle – As always, we’ve got all the ITV TV trends to help you find the best winning profile of past winners of the main races.

 

 

Newbury Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Get Your Ladbrokes £1 Free Bet Today Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

Seven previous runnings
3 of the last 7 winners aged 5 years-old
2 winning favourites (both joint)
6 of the 7 winners carried between 10-10 and 11-6
Nicky Henderson, Philip Hobbs, Paul Nicholls, Alan King, Rebecca Curtis & Ali Stronge have trained the winners

 

2.25 Ladbrokes Intermediate Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Registered As The Gerry Fielden Hurdle) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m69y ITV

13/13 – Had at least 4 runs over hurdles before
12/13 – Aged 6 or younger
12/13 – Won over 2m (hurdles) before
11/13 – Won just 1-2 times in the past (hurdles)
10/13 – Irish, French or German bred
10/13 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
8/13 – Finished in the top three last time out
7/13 – Had raced at Newbury before
7/13 – Unplaced favourites
6/13 – Officially rated between 126-134
5/13 – Aged 5 years-old
4/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/12 – Raced at Aintree last time out
2/13 – Won last time out
7 of the last 12 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old
Global Citizen (5/1) won the race in 2018

 

3.00 – Ladbrokes Trophy Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) ITV 3m2f110y

Your first 30 days for just £1

15/17 – Aged 8 or younger
15/17 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
15/17 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
13/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
13/17 – Carried 10-13 or more
12/17 – Had run at Newbury before (8 had won over fences there)
12/17 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
11/17 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
11/17 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
11/17 – Rated between 140 and 151
11/17 – Had a previous run that season
10/17 – Won last time out
10/17 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – Ran at either Aintree (2) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/17 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/17 - Trained by Colin Tizzard (2 of last 3)
2/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 7)
2/17 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty (2 of last 7)
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 9/1
Since 1968 there has only been one winner aged in double-figures (1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (28 runnings) there have been 13 winners (48%) aged 7 years-old

3.40 - Ladbrokes Handicap Chase (for the Jim Joel Memorial Trophy) Cl2 2m1f ITV

15/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
11/17 – Officially rated between 126-136
10/17 – French bred
10/17 – Had won a UK chase race over 2m1f
10/17 – Had won between 2-5 chase races in the UK
10/17 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
9/17 – Placed in their last race
8/17 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
7/17 – Unplaced favourites
6/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/17 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/17 – Won a chase race at Newbury before
2/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/17 – Trained by Venetia Williams
10 of the last 13 winners carried between 10-8 and 11-3
Lady Buttons (5/2 fav) won the race in 2018

 

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 – BetFair Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

17/17 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
16/17 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
15/17 – Finished in the first two in their latest race
14/17 – Raced in the Champion Hurdle later that same season
14/17 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
13/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Officially rated 151 or higher
11/17 – Won their last race
10/17 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/17 – Placed in the top 6 in the Champion Hurdle later that season
8/17 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/17 – Won by an Irish bred horse
4/17 – Won by an Irish based yard
4/17 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
4/17 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (4 of last 11)
3/17 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/17 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 5)
2/17 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that same season (2008 Punjabi, 2018 Buveur d’Air)
Buveur D’Air has won the last two runnings
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 5/1

 

3.20 – BetFair Rehearsal Chase (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV

14/15 – Didn’t win their last race
13/15 – Irish bred
13/15 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
12/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/15 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 3m
11/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/15 – Unplaced last time out
9/15 – Had won at least 3 times over fences in the UK
7/15 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
6/15 – Unplaced favourites
5/15 – Aged 8 years-old
4/15 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/15 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Richards
Lake View Lad (5/1) won the race in 2018
Beware The Bear (11/4 fav) won the race in 2017
Otago Trial won the race in 2016
Note: The 2002, 2003, & 2004 runnings were at Chepstow

 

 

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Newbury TV Trends: Fri 29th Nov 2019

It's DAY ONE of the Newbury Hennessy Meeting on Friday (29th Nov 2019) and we’ve four LIVE races on ITV to take in that include the Grade Two Long Distance Hurdle.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and free tips.

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (LIVE RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 – Get Your Ladbrokes £1 Free Bet Today Handicap Chase Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f187y ITV4

12/12 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
11/12 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Aged 9 or younger
10/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
9/12 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
7/12 – Rated between 131 and 140
7/12 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
2/12 – Trained by Alan King
2/12 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
0/12 – Winning favourites
Oldgrangewood (6/1) won this race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

 

2.25 – Ladbrokes Novices' Chase (Registered As The Berkshire Novices' Chase) (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

11/12 – Aged 5 or older
11/12 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Favourites placed in the top 2
9/12 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
7/12 – Yet to win over fences
7/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/12 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/12 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/2

Your first 30 days for just £1

 

 

3.00 – Ladbrokes Long Distance Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m52y ITV4

14/17 – Grade One winner over hurdles
14/17 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
12/17 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
12/17 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
12/17 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
12/17 – Placed favourites
12/17 – Had won a hurdles race at Newbury before
11/17 – Ran at either Aintree (7) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
10/17 – Winning favourites
9/17 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
8/17 – French bred
8/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Returned odds-on in the betting
7/17 – Went onto win that season’s World Hurdle
7/17 – Won by a previous winner of the race
5/17 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls (inc 5 of last 10 renewals)
Unowhatimeanharry won the race in 2016 & 2018
Beer Goggles won the race in 2017
Thistlecrack won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

3.35 - Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 3m52y ITV4

11/12 – Placed 5th or better last time out
11/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
11/12 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
10/12 – Raced at either Cheltenham (5), Wincanton (3) or Wetherby (2) last time
10/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/12 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Placed favourites
8/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/12 – Irish-bred winners
7/12 – Won just 1-2 times over hurdles
7/12 – Yet to win over 3m (or further) over hurdles
5/12 – Winning favourites
5/12 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/12 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/12 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
Viva Le Roi won this race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

===============================================================================

 

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Sat TV Trends: 23rd Nov 2019

More excellent jumping action at Ascot and Haydock this Saturday with the ITV cameras heading to both tracks. The Betfair Chase is the highlight from Haydock at 3.00, while the main event at Ascot is the Christy 1965 Chase – As always, we are on hand with all the trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

 

2.05 - Christy 1965 Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f8y ITV

15/16 – Aged 8 or younger
13/16 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
13/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
11/16 – Favourites placed
11/16 – Won by a French-bred horse
11/16 – Had won over this trip (fences) 2m5f or further before
11/16 – Ran at Aintree (4) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
10/16 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
9/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
9/16 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
7/16 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
7/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Aged 5 years-old
3/16 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Won by trainer Alan King
2/16 – Won by trainer Philip Hobbs
2/16 – Went onto win at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Albertas Run & Vautour, RyanAir Chase 2009 & 2016)
Politologue won the race in 2018
Top Notch won the race in 2017

Note: The 2002 running was at Wincanton and the 2004 renewal at Windsor

 

 2.40 - Coral Hurdle (Registered As The Ascot Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV

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17/17 – Priced 7/2 or less
15/17 – Won over at least 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
14/17 – Won a Grade 2 (or better) hurdle race previously
14/17 – Won by and Irish (10) or French (3) bred horse
13/17 – Favourites placed
10/17 – Won their latest race
10/17 – Won by a horse aged 7 or older
10/17 – Won a Grade 1 hurdle race previously
10/17 – Had their last race 3 months or longer ago
10/17 – Favourites that won (2 joint)
10/17 – Won between 3-5 times over hurdles previously
6/17 – Went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle after winning this (1 won)
5/17 – Went onto race in the Champion Hurdle that same season (4 of 5 finished 4th or better, Faugheen won both in 2014-15)
5/16 – Won a hurdles race at Ascot previously
4/17 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
4/17 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/17 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
2/17 – Won by the Willie Mullins stable
4 of the last 13 winners were Irish-trained
If The Cap Fits won the race in 2018
Lil Rockerfeller won the race in 2017
Note: the 2004 & 2005 renewals were at Windsor

 

3.20 – Gerard Bertrand Hurst Handicap Chase Cl2 2m192y ITV

12/13 – Aged between 6 and 9 years-old
12/13 – Had won over fences over this trip (or further) before
11/13 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/13 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
9/13 – Carried 11-0 or more
8/13 – Rated 142 or higher
7/13 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/13 – Ran at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
7/13 – Had raced at Ascot before
6/13 – Placed favourites
4/13 – Placed horses from the Paul Nicholls yard
4/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Aged 6 years-old
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 – Trained by Gary Moore
Caid du Lin won the race in 2018

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Betfair Exchange Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m3f ITV

8 previous runnings
7/8 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
7/8 – Had won between 1-2 times before
6/8 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
6/8 – Irish bred
6/8 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
6/8 – Had won over at least 2m2f before
6/8 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
3/8 – Ridden by a conditional claiming jockey
2/8 – Winning favourites
Black Mischief won the race in 2018
Limited Reserve won the race in 2017

 

2.25 - Betfair Best Odds On ITV Races Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ½f ITV

13/14– Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
13/14 – Had won between 1-3 times (hurdles UK) before
12/14 – Carried 10-9 or more
11/14 – Rated between 132 and 143
9/14 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (1 winner, Paisley Park 2019)
8/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
8/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7/14 – Placed favourites
6/14 – French bred
6/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/14 – Trained by David Pipe
2/14 – Trained by Nick Williams
Paisley Park won the race in 2018
Sam Spinner won the race in 2017

 

3.00 - Betfair Chase (Registered as The Lancashire Chase) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m 1 1/2f ITV

12/14 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
11/14 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/14 – Won by and Irish (3) or French (8) bred horse
11/14 - Placed in the top three in their last race
11/14 - Won a Grade One chase previously
10/14 - Raced at Haydock previously
10/14 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
9/14 – Favourites placed
8/14 – Aged 8 or older
7/14 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
7/14 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
7/14 – Won by a previous winner of the race
6/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Won their latest race
4/14 - Raced at Aintree last time out
The average winning price in the last 14 runnings is 11/2
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
The Nigel Twiston-Davies yard has won the prize in 2010, 2017 and 2018
Bristol De Mai has won the last two runnings.

3.40 – Better Value On The Betair Exchange Stayers’ Handicap Chase Cl3 (4yo+ 0-135) 3m 4 1/2f ITV

8/8 – Aged 8 or younger
7/8 – Aged between 7-8 years-old
7/8 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Carried 11st 9lbs or more
6/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
6/8 – Won between 1-2 times fences
6/8 – Rated between 129-135
5/8 – Unplaced last time out
2/8 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/8 – Winning favourites

 

 

 

Sat TV Trends: 16th Nov 2019

A huge day up at Cheltenham this Saturday with the BetVictor Gold Cup the feature racethe ITV cameras are at Prestbury Park to take in four of the races, plus are also covering two at Lingfield.

As always we've got all the key trends & stats to help you whittle down the runners.

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

12.05 - Ballymore Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Hyde Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f ITV

15/15 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
15/15 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/15 – Had won a NH Flat race earlier in their career
12/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (2 winners)
12/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
11/15 – Had raced at Uttoxeter (4), Chepstow (5) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
10/15 – Aged 5 years-old
9/15 – Won just once before (under rules)
9/15 – Had won over 2 ½m (or further) over hurdles before
8/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/15 – Went onto win a race at the Cheltenham Festival that season

12.40 -

JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial (Registered as The Prestbury Juvenile Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m87y RacingTV

14/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/14 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles before
12/14 – Never raced at Cheltenham before
11/14 – Returned 4/1 or shorter
11/14 – Won last time out
10/14 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
10/14 – Went onto race in that seasons Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
9/14 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
9/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 2
7/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Irish bred
5/14 – Went onto finish 1st or 2nd in the Triumph Hurdle
4/14 – German bred
4/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/14 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/14 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/14 – Trained by Alan King
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/14 – Went onto win the Triumph Hurdle (Defi Du Seuill 2017, Katchit 2006)
Owner JP McManus has won 2 of the last 3 runnings

1.15 - mallardjewellers.com Novices´ Chase Cl2 3m80y RacingTV

Your first 30 days for just £1

14/14 – Had won a race over at least 2m4f (fences) before
12/14 – Aged 7 or younger
11/14 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
11/14 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
10/14 – Won between 0-1 times over fences before
10/14 – Raced no more than twice over fences
10/14 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/14 – Raced at Cheltenham (3), Aintree (3) or Wetherby (2) last time out
8/14 – Aged 6 years-old
7/14 – Went onto run in the RSA Chase at the Cheltenham Festival that season (no winners)
7/14 – Won last time out
7/14 – Irish bred
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Trained by David Pipe
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan

1.50 - BetVictor Smartcards Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m3f110y ITV

16/17 – Had won a 3m+ race over fences before
15/17 – Had run at Cheltenham before
14/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Aged 8 or younger
12/17 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
11/17  – Had won between 3 and 5 times over fences before
10/17 – Irish bred
10/17 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
8/17 – Officially rated between 135 and 146
8/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/17 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
7/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/17  – Ran at either Cheltenham (4) or Sandown (2) last time out
6/17 – French bred
3/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/17 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/17 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/17 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien (2 of last 6 years)
Rock The Kasbah (9/1) won the race in 2018
Perfect Candidate (7/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

2.25 – BetVictor Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f110y ITV

17/17 – Had run at Cheltenham before
16/17 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
16/17 – Won by a UK-based trainer
13/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Had won at Cheltenham before
12/17 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
12/17 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
11/17 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (2) or Twiston-Davies (3)
11/17 – Carried 10-13 or less (But 4 of the last 7 carried 10-13 or more)
11/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/17 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
9/17 – Aged 7 years-old
8/17 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
8/17 – Placed favourites
5/17 – Won their last race
4/17 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/17 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/17 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/17 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/17 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/17 – Irish-trained winners
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 10 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 37 runners
Baron Alco (8/1) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 10/1

3.00 – Spinal Injuries Association Big Bucks Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f67y ITV

15/17 – Aged 7 or younger
14/17 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
14/17 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
13/17 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
12/17 – Officially rated 126 to 137
12/17 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
12/17 – Placed favourites
12/17  – Ran at either Cheltenham (6), Aintree (3) or Chepstow (3) last time out
11/17 – Irish bred
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
9/17 – Had run at Cheltenham before
8/17 – Won their last race
7/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/17 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/17 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
4 of the last 11 winners have had a claiming jockey riding
Anteros won the race in 2016 & was second in 2017
First Assignment won the race in 2018

3.30 - BetVictor Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f26y ITV

13/14 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
12/14 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
11/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/14 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
8/14 – Returned a double-figure price
7/14 – Favourites unplaced
7/14 – Carried 10-13 or less
7/14 – Had run at Cheltenham before
7/14 – Irish bred winners
6/14 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a race at the Cheltenham Festival
5/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – French bred winners
2/14 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 - Winning favourites
Speedo Boy (4/1 jfav) won the race in 2018
2 of the last 6 winners went onto be placed in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
2 of the last 10 winners went onto be placed in the Ladbrokes World Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

2.45 – Betway Churchill Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

11/13 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Rated between 102 and 112
10/13 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/13 – Won between 1-4 times before
9/13 – Favourites placed in the top two
8/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/13 – Placed last time out
8/13 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
4/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Master The World (10/1) won the race in 2017 and 2018

 

3.15 – Betway Golden Rose Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

12/12 – Previous winner over 6f or 7f
11/12 – Didn’t win last time out
11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Aged 4 or older
9/12 – Won 5 or more times before
8/12 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
8/12 – Unplaced last time out
8/12 – Unplaced favourites
4/12 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
Gifted Master (9/2) won the race in 2017
Encrypted won the race in 2018

 

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Sat TV Trends: 9th Nov 2019

This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Wincanton with the Badger Ales Chase their feature, plus they are also at Doncaster (ABANDONED) for the ultra-competitive November Handicap and also at Aintree to take in one of their contests as always we've got all the trends and stats for the LIVE races.

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.30 – British EBF Gillies Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

13/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/15 – Had won at least twice before
12/15 – Had 3 or more runs that season
11/15 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
9/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
9/15 – Unplaced last time out
8/15 – Ran at either Lingfield (3), Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
8/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/15 – Returned 8/1 or bigger in the betting
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
6/15 – Won by an Irish-bred filly
2/15 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/15 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/15 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1

Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

 

2.05 – Bombardier Golden Beer Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

14/16 – Had at least 6 previous runs that season
14/16 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had won over 6f before
13/16 – Won from stall 12 or lower
13/16 – Rated 99 or higher
13/16 – Aged 4 or older
11/16 – Had won at least 5 times before in their career
9/16 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
8/16 – Had won at Doncaster before
8/16 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/16 – Ran at York (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Winning mare/filly
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

 

3.15 – November Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV4

13/16 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
13/16 – Winners that came from draw 9 or higher
13/16 – Favourites that were unplaced
12/16 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
12/16 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
12/16 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
11/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
11/16 – Placed last time out
11/16 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/16 – Won carrying 8-13 or less in weight
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 5 times in all)
2/16 – Ridden by jockey Martin Dwyer
1/16 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1
Just 1 winning favourite since 1995

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Wincanton Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Richard Barber Memorial Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4

12/12 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Aged 7 or younger
9/12 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Had won over at least 2m4f before (hurdles)
8/12 – Rated between 119-129
8/12 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
8/12 – Had won at least twice before (hurdles)
7/12 – Finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th last time out
7/12 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
6/12 – Had run at the track before
6/12 – Irish bred
6/12 – Aged 6 years-old
5/12 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 8)
2/12 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 6)
2/12 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

2.25 – John Romans Park ‘Rising Stars’ Novices Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

12/12 – Had won no more than twice over fences
11/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Favourites placed
10/12 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Had won over 2m3f or further (Chase)
9/12 – Irish (5) or French (4) bred
8/12 – Aged 6 or younger
8/12 – Won last time out
7/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
7/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
9 of the last 10 winners were aged between 5-7
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/2

3.00 - Unibet Elite Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

15/15 – Aged 7 or younger
13/15 – Won between 2-5 times before (hurdles)
13/15 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Came from the top three in the betting
10/15 – Unplaced last time out
10/15 – Rated 150 or lower
10/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
8/15 – Having first run of the season
5/15 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/15 – Carried 10-6 or less
5/15 – Won with 11-10 in weight
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
3/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Trained by John Quinn
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

3.35 - Badger Beers Silver Trophy (A Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

16/16 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
14/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
14/16 – Won at least two chase races previously
14/16 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
13/16 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
13/16 –  Raced at the course previously ( won over fences)
13/16 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
13/16  – Placed in the top four in their last race
11/16 – Favourites placed
10/16 – Raced already that season
10/16 – Irish-bred horse
9/16 – Raced at either Sandown (3), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
9/16 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
7/16 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
7/16 – 6Priced at double-figures
7/16 – Won their latest race
6/16 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
5/16 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 5 of the last 9 years)
Present Man won the race in 2017 and 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

 

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Virgin Bet Handicap Chase Cl2 2m4f ITV

14/14 – Aged 9 or younger
14/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Had won 2 or less times over fences before
11/14 – Last raced over 6 months ago
10/14 – Aged 8 or younger
10/14 – Unplaced favourites
10/14 – Carried 10-13 or more
9/14 - Had won over 2m4f (or further) over fences before
7/14 – Rated between 119 and 130
6/14 – Had raced at Aintree before
5/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Trained by Venetia Williams
1/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 2nd Nov 2019

As always we've got all the key race trends for this Saturday’s LIVE ITV races from Wetherby and Ascot, including the Grade Two Charlie Hall Chase.

 

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

 

1.35 - Ascot Underwriting Chase (A Novices´ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m3f ITV4

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged 7 or younger
6/6 – Irish bred
5/6 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
4/6 – Yet to win over fences
3/6 – Aged 6 year-old
2/6 – Had run over hurdles at Ascot before
1/6 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 11/2

 

2.10 – Byrne Group Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV4

13/16 – Aged 8 years-old or younger
11/16 – Irish (5) or French (6) bred
11/16 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
9/16 – Having their first run of the new season
9/16 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
8/16 – Rated 130 or lower
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Aged 8 years-old
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Ran at either Ascot (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
4/16 – Won carrying 11-12
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/16 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2


2.45 – Sodexo Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/16 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
15/15 – Had won over at 2m or 2m1f over hurdles before
13/15 – Never raced at Ascot before
12/15 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
9/15 – Having their first run of the season
9/15 – Unplaced last time out
8/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Winning favourites (1 co, 2 joint)
6/15 – Ran at Huntingdon (3) or Aintree (3) last time out
6/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
5/15 – Won by a French bred horse
3/15 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
3/15 – Won by trainer Alan King, including last two renewals
2/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/15 - Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
6 of the last 10 winners were aged 5 years-old.
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2


3.20 – Sodexo Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV4

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14/14 – Had won a chase race over at least 2m4f before
11/14 – Didn’t win last time out
10/14 – Had run at Ascot before (4 won)
9/14 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
9/14 – Carried 10-10 or more
9/14 – Aged 8 or older
8/14 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
8/14 – Having their first run of the season
8/14 – Unplaced in their last race
8/14 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
6/14 – Officially rated 135 to 138 inc
5/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/14 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Gary Moore
2/14 – Ran at Sandown last time out
2/14 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
2/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
Go Conquer won the race in 2017 and was third in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/1

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)


1.20 bet365 Handicap Chase Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m3 1/2f ITV4

Just one previous running
Trainer Charlie Longsdon won the 2018 running
Trainer Philip Kirby has a 45% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 31% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 21% record with his chasers at the track
Jockey Harry Skelton has a 34% record riding over fences at the track

 

1.55 – bet365 Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

12/12 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
11/12 – Had between 2-5 previous hurdles wins to their name
10/12 – Having their first run of the season
9/12 – Never raced at Wetherby before
8/12 – Finished unplaced last time out
7/12 – Placed favourites
7/12 – Had won a NH Flat race previously
6/12 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
4/12 – Ran at Punchestown last time out
5/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by John Quinn
Lady Buttons (7/2) won this race in 2018 and was second in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/4

 

3.05 – bet365 Hurdle (West Yorkshire Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m26y ITV4

17/17 – Had won over at least 2m3f over hurdles before
16/17 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
15/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
14/17 – Failed to win their last race
12/17 – Officially rated 149 or higher
12/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Aged 6,7 or 8 years-old
9/17 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/17 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
7/17 – Had won at Wetherby before
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/17 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

3.40 – bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

15/17 – Were having their first run of the season
15/17 – Rated 151 or higher
14/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
12/17 – Aged 8 or older
12/17 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
11/17 – Ran at either Ayr (3), Aintree (6) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
10/17 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
10/17 – Placed favourites
7/17 – Had run at Wetherby before (3 won)
6/17  - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (5 wins in total)
2/17 – Trained by Evan Williams
Definitly Red (3/1) won the race in 2018
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005, 2007 & 2017
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 7/1

 

 

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Cheltenham TV Trends: Fri 15th Nov 2019

Another big day ahead for the ITV racing team this Friday (15th Nov) as they take in four races from Cheltenham on the opening day of their three-day November Meeting.

As always we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these to find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends

1:50 – BetVictor Handicap Chase Cl2 2m ITV

16/17 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
15/17 – Carried 11-7 or less in weight
15/17 – Raced at Cheltenham before
14/17 – Raced at least 5 times over fences previously
13/17 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
10/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/17 – Unplaced in their previous race
9/17 – Having their first run of the season
9/17 – Favourites placed
8/17 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting
6/17 – French-bred horse
4/17 – Favourites that won
3/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/17 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/17 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/17 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/17 – Won their most recent race
2/17 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/17 – Trained by Paul Henderson (2 of last 3 runnings)
0/17 – Irish-trained winners
Bun Doran won the race in 2018
Doitforthevillage won the race in 2017

 

2.25 – Steel Plate And Sections Novices´ Chase Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

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17/17 – Won by a horse aged 5 or older
16/17 – Won between 0 and 1 times over fences previously
15/17 – Priced 6/1 or shorter
15/17 – Ran between 0 and 2 times over fences
14/17 - Finished in the top three in their latest race
13/17 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
12/17 – Favourites placed
12/17 – Placed in the first two in their previous race
11/17 – Won by a horse aged 6 years-old (10 of last 12 runnings)
9/17 – Irish-bred horse
8/17 – Raced at either Aintree (2), Cheltenham (4) or Auteuil (2) last time out
8/17 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
8/17 – First run over fences
8/17 – Raced already that season
7/17 – Won their latest race
6/17 – French-bred horse
6/17 – Favourites that won
5/17 – Trained by the Pipe stable
5/17 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
Dynaste, Denman, Weird Al, Imperial Commander, Time For Rupert and Grands Crus are all big names to win this race in recent years

 

3.00 - Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase Cl2 3m7f ITV

16/16 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
15/16 – Either Irish (9) or French (6) bred
14/16 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
12/16 – Winner came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
12/16 – Had a recent run that season
12/16 – Won at least 5 times over fences previously
12/16 – Unplaced in their last race
11/16 – Raced over this Cross County course previously (7 won)
11/16 – Favourites placed
11/16 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
10/16 – Carried 11-5 or more in weight
10/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
7/16 – Trained by Enda Bolger
6/16 – Favourites that won
Josies Orders won this in 2015 and 2018

 

3.35 - Ballymore Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Hyde Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f ITV

15/15 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
15/15 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/15 – Had won a NH Flat race earlier in their career
12/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (2 winners)
12/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
11/15 – Had raced at Uttoxeter (4), Chepstow (5) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
10/15 – Aged 5 years-old
9/15 – Won just once before (under rules)
9/15 – Had won over 2 ½m (or further) over hurdles before
8/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/15 – Went onto win a race at the Cheltenham Festival that season

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 26th Oct 2019

Loads to look forward to this Saturday with something for everyone as the ITV cameras are at Doncaster & Newbury for some decent flat action, plus they are also over the jumps for the first time this season at Cheltenham.

As always here at GEEGEEZ.co.uk we got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)


1.45 –Doncaster Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

12/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
11/12 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
11/12 – Foaled in February or later
11/12 – Had won over 6f before
11/12 – Won between 1-2 times before
10/12 – Won last time out
9/12 – Carried 9-1 in weight
9/12 – Favourites placed in the top 3
8/12 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
8/12 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
8/12 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/12 – March-born foals
6/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/12 – Trained by Brian Meehan
Trainer Marco Botti has won 2 of the last 4 runnings

 

3.25 – Vertem Futurity Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) ITV 1m

15/17 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
15/17 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
15/17 – Placed favourites
14/17 - Foaled in February or later
14/17 – Finished in the top two last time out
14/17 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/17 – Winning favourites
12/17 – Had raced at least twice previously
11/17 – Won their last race
11/17 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/17 – Had won over a mile in the past
10/17 – Ran at either the Curragh (3) or Newmarket (7) last time out
7/17 – Won by an Irish-based yard
6/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/17 – Won by a Montjeu-bred colt
4/17 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
3/17 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
3/17 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
1/17 – Went onto win the St Leger
Five winners have gone onto win the following season’s Epsom Derby
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 9 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2017 & 2018
The average SP in the last 17 runnings is 13/2

 

4.00 – Doncaster Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f ITV

15/15 – Ran 5 or more times that season
14/15 – Had won over 5f before
14/15 – Aged 5 or younger
12/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/15 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
10/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 – Carried 8-10 or less
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Had run at Doncaster before (4 won)
5/15 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (2) last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Winners from stall 1
2/15 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
2/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 6)
1/15 – Winning mare/filly
Tarboosh (8/1 jfav) won the race in 2018
9 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

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2.20 – Victoria Club Stakes (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

17/17 – Aged 5 or younger
15/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had won at least twice before
14/17 – Had at least 4 runs that season
13/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Rated 107 or higher
10/17 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
10/17 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
10/17 – Placed horses from stall 6
7/17 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/17 – Won by a filly or mare
6/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Trained by Andrew Balding
1/17 – Winners from stall 1
Morando (8/1) won the race in 2018
Young Rascal (Evs) won this race in 2017


2.50 – Cancom Stakes Stakes (Registered As The Horris Hill Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

15/16 – Foaled in Feb or later
13/16 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
11/16 – Never raced at Newbury
12/16 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
11/16 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
10/16 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
9/16 – Favourites unplaced
8/16 – Won over 7f before
8/16 – Won their last race
7/16 – Foaled in February
7/16 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
4/16 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
4/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
1/16 – Winning favourites

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends ITV/RacingTV)

2.00 – ‘Matchbook Betting Exchange’ Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV

12/13 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting market
11/12 – Won over at least 3m previously
10/12 – First run of the season
9/12 – Rated 134 or higher
9/12 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
8/12 – Irish bred winners
8/12 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
8/12 – Favourites unplaced
7/12 – Had won at Cheltenham previously
6/12 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/12 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
5/12 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
5/12 – Unplaced in their last race
1/12 – Winning Favourites
Cogry (13/2) won the race in 2017
Cogry was 2nd in the race last year
Relentless Dreamer (16/1) won the race in 2018

 

2.35 - Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV

7/10 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
6/10 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Carried 10-12 in weight
5/10 – Placed in their last race
5/10 – Irish bred winners
4/10 – Favourites placed
4/10 – Won 3 times over hurdles previously
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Pearl Of The West (1st 5/1) won the race in 2018


3.10 – Randox Health Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f199y ITV

Only 4 previous runnings
Foxtail Hill won the race in 2017 for trainer Neil Mulholland and was third in 2018
All four winners aged between 6-8 years-old (three aged 8)
All four winners returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
1 winning favourite
3 of the 4 winners carried 11-1 or more
Modus (4/1) won the race in 2018


3.45 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y ITV

8/10 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
7/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
7/10 – Had run at Cheltenham before (3 winners)
7/10 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
6/10 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
4/10 – Won last time out
4/10 – Irish Bred
2/10 – Mare winners
2/10 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/10 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/10 – Winning favourites
The Mighty Don (1st 16/1) won this race in 2018

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 19th Oct 2019

More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 20th October - and what a day in prospect! A top card at Ascot for Champions Day that sees four Group Ones, a Group Two and a super-competitive handicap. Bundles to look forward to and as always, we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these key trends to find the best profiles of past winners.

Good Luck!

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.35 - Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

16/17 – Won over 6f previously
16/17 – Won at least 3 times previously
15/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
15/17 –  Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/17 – Raced at least 4 times that season
14/17 – Won at Listed or better class previously
13/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/17 – Raced at Ascot previously (3 won)
12/17 – Finished in the top 4 in their latest race
12/17 – Won a Group race previously
10/17 – Favourites placed
11/17 – Raced at Haydock (6), Goodwood (2) or Newbury (3) last time out
4/17 – Won their latest race
4/17 – Favourites that won
2/17 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan (2 of the last 4)
Sands Of Mali (28/1) won the race in 2018
Librisa Breeze (10/1) won the race in 2017
The Tin Man (13/2) won the race in 2016
Since 2011: 4 of the last 8 winners have come from stalls 12 (2) or 14 (2)
Since 2011: 5 of the last 8 winners came from double-figure stalls
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 12 placed 5 of the last 8 runnings
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 14 placed 4 of the last 8 runnings

The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

2.10 - Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV

11/11 – Raced 3 or more times that season
10/11 – Won at Listed or better class previously
9/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
9/11 – Won at least 3 times previously
9/11 – Raced within the last 9 weeks
8/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
8/11 – Won over 1m4f previously
8/11 – Returned between 4/1 and 6/1
8/11 – Rated 110 or higher
7/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 – Aged 3 years-old
5/11 – Won their last race
4/11 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/11 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/11 – Favourites that won
2/11 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (last 2 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1
Magical (5/1) won the race 12 months ago
3 of the last 10 winners came from stall 2

Note: The 2009 & 2010 renewals were run at Newmarket

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2.45 - Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) Cl1 2m ITV

14/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/17 – Won at Listed or better class previously
14/17 – Winning distance – 1 1/2 lengths or less
12/17 – Aged 5 or older
12/17 – Returned 9/2 or shorter
12/17 – Favourites placed
12/17 – Won over at least 2 miles on the flat previously
12/17 – Won at least 5 times previously
11/17 – Raced at least 5 times that season
8/17 – Raced at Longchamp (3), Ascot (2) or Doncaster (3) last time out
8/17 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
8/17 – Won their latest race
5/17 – Irish-trained winners
3/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of the last 4)
2/17 – Trained by Dermot Weld
2/17 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 4)
Stradivarius (Evs fav) won the race in 2018
Since 2011: 5 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 2-4 (inc)
Since 2011: Horses from stall 7 have been placed in 4 of the last 7
The average winning odds in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

3.20 - Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

17/17 – Raced at least 3 times that season
16/17 – Raced at Goodwood, Longchamp or Leopardstown last time out
16/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
16/17 – Aged 3 or 5 years-old
15/17 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
15/17 – Finished in the top three in their last race
14/17 – Favourites placed
13/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
10/17 – Raced at Ascot previously (6 won)
9/17 – Won their latest race
9/17 – Won at least 7 times previously
8/17 – Favourites that won
7/17 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/17 – Trained by John Gosden
3/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/17 – Trained by Freddie Head
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 2-8 (inc)
Since 2011: Horses from stall 2 and 7 have won 4 of the last 8 runnings

Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

4.00 - Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f ITV

17/17 – Won at least 4 times previously
16/17 – Won between 4 and 8 times previously
16/17 – Aged 5 or younger
16/17 – Finished in the top 3 in their latest race
15/17 – Won over 1m2f previously
15/17 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
13/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/17 – Raced 5 or more times that season
10/17 – Won their last race
7/17 – Raced at either Longchamp (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
6/17 – Favourites unplaced
6/17 – Returned a double-figure price
5/17 – Favourites
4/17 – Won by a French-based trainer
3/17 – Ridden by Tom Queally
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (last 2)
2/17 – Trained by John Gosden (last 2)
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
Since 2011: Horses from stall 5 have won 2 of the last 6 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

4.40 - Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) Cl2 1m ITV

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 - Winners drawn 10 or lower
4/5 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-5 in weight
4/5 - Winners ran at Newmarket last time out
4/5 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
3/5 - Previous winners were aged 5 years-old
1/5 - Winning favourite
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 10/1
Sharja Bridge (8/1) won this race in 2018
Trainers Roger Varian, David O’Meara, Roger Charlton, Saeed Bin Suroor and Marcus Tregoning have won the race in the past
Horses from stalls 12 or 13 have been placed in 3 of the last 4 runnings

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 12th Oct 2019

This weekend as the ITV cameras head to Newmarket and York to take in seven LIVE races.

At HQ its the second day of the Newmarket Dubai Future Champions meeting, plus there is also LIVE racing from York. Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn & Dewhurst Stakes.

Did you know that 14 of the last 17 Cesarewitch Handicap winners carried 9-2 or less and had also raced in the last 2 months?

As mentioned, ITV cameras are also at York to take in three races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy - a race that has seen ALL of the last 16 winners having raced in the last 4 weeks.

So, as always, we’ve got it all covered here with all the key trends, plus our verdict, on each of the LIVE ITV races - we’re confident these trends will point you in the direction of a few winners, or at least help narrow down some of the field to highlight the horses that fit the best profile of past winners.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

2.20 – Godolphin Flying Start Zetland Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV

12/12 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
11/12 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
11/12 – Won no more than twice before
10/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/12 – Placed favourites
10/12 – Had won over at least 1m before
9/12 – Drawn in stalls 2-5 (inc)
7/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Came from stalls 2 or 3
6/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Ran at Leicester last time out
2/12 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/12 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/12 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/12 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
0/12 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the last two runnings
Irish-trained winners have won 3 of the last 4
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

2.55 – Dubai Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

14/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
13/14 – Had won over at least 7f before
13/14 – Had raced at least twice before
12/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Won between 1-2 times before
10/14 – Won last time out
10/14 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Foaled in Feb or March
9/14 – Irish bred
5/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Godolphin winners
2/14 – Ridden by William Buick
2/14 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/14 – Irish-trained winners
7 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 3-5
The last 2 winners came from stall 9
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

Note: From 2009 back the race was staged at ASCOT, while the 2005 running was at Salisbury

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3.30 - Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

17/17 – Raced at least 3 times that season
15/17 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
15/17 – Placed in their last race
13/17 – Won over 7f previously
12/17 – Favourites placed
12/17 – Won at least 3 times previously
12/17 – Won their last race
12/17 – Won a Group race previously
10/17 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (6) last time out
10/17 – Won by an Irish-based stable
10/17 – Foaled in either Feb or March
8/17 – Favourites that won
6/17 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/17 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
5/17 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/17 – Trained by Jim Bolger
5/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (6 wins in total)
5/17 – Ridden by Kevin Manning
5/17 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season
2/17 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
1/17 – Winners that came from stall 1
The Irish have won 10 of the last 13 runnings
3 of the last 9 winners came from stall 3
Aidan O’Brien has trained 3 of the last 4 winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

 

4.10 – Emirates Cesarewitch Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

16/17 – Aged 4 or older
14/17 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
14/17 – Had run within the last 2 months
14/17 – Carried 9-2 or less
13/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/17 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
11/17 – Finished 4th or better last time out
11/17 – Aged 5 or older
11/17 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
10/17 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
10/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/17 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
8/17 – Ran at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
8/17 – Had run at the track before
8/17 – Placed favourites
8/17 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
8/17 – Won by a NH trainer
4/17 – Winning mares
3/17 – Winners from stall 1
3/17 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
3/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/17 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/17 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 18/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1993

 

 

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

2.40 – coral.co.uk Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

16/16– Had raced within the last month
15/16 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
13/16 – Foaled in March or later
13/16 – Had 4 or more runs that season
12/16 – Had never raced at York before
12/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
11/16 – Had won over 6f before
10/16 – Placed favourites
8/16 – Unplaced last time out
7/16 – Ran at either Redcar (5) or Newbury (2) last time out
5/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Winners from stall 2
4/16 – Filly winners
3/16 – Placed horses from stall 1
3/16 – Trained by Tim Easterby
3/16 – Ridden by David Allen
The horse from stall 6 has won 4 of the last 9 runnings

3.15 – Smart Money’s On Coral Handicap (96 Plus Race) Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

Just six previous runnings
5/6 - Returned 10/1 or shorter
4/6 - Aged 3 years-old
4/6 – Ridden by Franny Norton (2) or Adam Kirby (2)
0/6 – Winning favourites
2 of the last 3 winners came from stall 8

 

3.50 – Coral Sprint Trophy (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

16/16 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
16/16 – Had won at least 3 races before
15/16 – Had run at York before
15/16 – Had won a race over 6f before
14/16 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
12/16 – Aged 5 or younger
11/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/16 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
9/16 – Rated between 92 and 98
9/16 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
8/16 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
5/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/16 – Trained by Kevin Ryan (last 2 winners)
2/16 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/16 – Filly or mare winners
4 of the last 10 winners were ridden by a claiming apprentice
Major Jumbo (12/1) won the race in 2018
Teruntum Star (10/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/1

 

 

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Newmarket TV Trends: Friday 11th Oct 2019

More LIVE ITV action on Friday 12th October for day one of the two-day Dubai Future Champions Festival at Newmarket. Plenty to get stuck into with the Group One Bet365 Fillies’ Mile the clear feature race, but with the Cornwallis Stakes, Oh So Sharp Stakes and Challenge Stakes supporting then there is a lot to look forward to.

As always we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these to find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

1.50 – Newmarket Academy Godolphin Beacon Project Cornwallis Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

14/16 – Had won over 5f previously
13/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
12/16 – Rated 98 or more
12/16 – Ran within the last 30 days
12/16 – Winning distance – 1 ½ or less
12/16 – Won at least twice or more before
11/16 – Foaled in March or later
11/16 – Had raced 5 or more times
10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
9/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
7/16 – Filly winners
6/16 – Raced at Ayr last time out
6/16 – Won their last race
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2 of the last 5 winners trained by Jonathan Portman
2 of the last 10 winners trained by Kevin Ryan
2 of the last 10 winners ridden by Jamie Spencer
3 of the last 4 winners came from stalls 11 or higher
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

2.25 – The Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

14/15 – Had between 1-2 wins already
14/15 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
14/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/15 – Had between 1-3 career runs
12/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
11/15 – Won last time out
11/15 – Foaled in March or later
11/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/15 – Had won over 7f or further before
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
8/15 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
7/15 – Irish bred
4/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/15 – Trained by Roger Varian (last 2 winners)
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

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3.00 – The Godolphin Stud & Stable Awards Challenge Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

16/16 – Won a Listed (4) or Group (10) race previously
16/16 – Won over 7f previously
16/16 – Raced 3 or more times that season
15/16 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Won 3 or more times previously
13/16 – Winners from stall 10 or lower
12/16 –  Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
12/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
12/16 – Officially rated 113 or higher
10/16 – Priced 7/1 or lower
9/16 – Placed in their last race
9/16 – Favourites placed
7/16 – Won at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
6/16 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Goodwood (2) last time out
5/16 – Won their previous race
5/16 - Favourites that won
2/16 – Trained by Henry Candy
1/16 – Filly/Mare winners
Limato has won the last two runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

3.35 – Bet365 Fillies´ Mile (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

15/15 - Finished in the first three last time out
15/15 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
14/15- Yet to win a Group 1
13/15 – Finished in the first two last time out
13/15 – Foaled in Feb or later
13/15 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
11/15 – Had won between 2-3 times before
11/15 – Favourites that finished in the top three
10/15 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Won last time out
10/15 – Had won a Group race before
9/15 - Foaled in Feb or March
7/15 - Raced at Doncaster last time out
7/15 – Irish bred
6/15 - Winning favourites (or joint)
6/15 – Irish-trained winners
4/15 - Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/15 – US bred
3/15 – Won by trainer John Gosden
3/15 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
4 of the last 5 winners have been Irish-trained
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

4.10 – Bet365 Old Rowley Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 1m4f ITV

5 previous runnings
4/5 – Had won at least twice before
4/5 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
4/5 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
3/5 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
3/5 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
2/5 – Priced 8/1 in the betting
2/5 – Ran at Haydock last time out
0/5 – winning favourites
Trainer Ralph Becket won the race last season
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 14/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 5th Oct 2019

This weekend as the ITV cameras head to Newmarket, Ascot and Redcar to take in seven LIVE races.

At Redcar we've got the Two-Year-Old Trophy as their feature contest, while at Newmarket the Group One Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes takes centre stage - a race the French have won 5 times in the last 17 years. Then at Ascot we've four more races that include the Cumberland Lodge and John Guest Bengough Stakes, plus the ultra-competitive Challenge Cup Handicap.

Did you know that 15 of the last 17 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed?

As always, use these key trends to find the best profiles of recent winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

2.00 – UK Hi-Fi Show Live Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV4

15/15 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
15/15 – Won over 5f before
14/15 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
12/15 – Aged 5 or younger
11/15 – Rated 101 or higher
10/15 – Had won between 3-7 times before
9/15 – Unplaced last time out
8/15 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
7/15 – Raced at Newbury last time out
7/15 – Irish bred
3/15 – Trained by Bryan Smart
3/15 – Won last time out
1/15 – Winning favourites
Intense Romance (11/1) won the race in 2018
11 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 11 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

 

2.35 – Property Raceday Targets £3M Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

16/17 - Finished fourth or better last time out
15/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/17 – Placed favourites
14/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/17 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
12/17 – Won at Listed or better class before
12/17 – Had raced at the course before (6 won)
10/17 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
10/17 – Had 5 or more runs that season
10/17 – Won last time out
10/17 – Had won 4 or more times before
8/17 – Favourites to win
6/17 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 5)
2/17 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
1/17 – Filly or mare winners
10 of the last 11 winners came from draws 8 or lower
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2
Laraaib (11/2) won the race in 2018
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

3.10 – bet365 Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

16/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
14/17 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
14/17 – Won over 7f previously
12/17 – Had raced within the last 30 days
12/17 – Raced at Ascot previously
11/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/17 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/17 – Raced 7 or more times that season
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price
8/17 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
5/17 – Raced at Ayr last time out
4/17 – Favourites to win
2/17 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/17 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/17 – Won their previous race
0/17 – Filly or mare winners
The last 10 winners were aged 6 or younger
7 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
5 of the last 11 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
4 of the last 11 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
Raising Sand (5/1) won the race in 2018 and was third in 2017

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Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

3.40 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV4

11 previous runnings
11/11 – Won over 6f previously
11/11 – Officially rated 100 or higher
10/11 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
9/11 – Won 4 or more times previously
9/11 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
7/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
6/11 – Raced 6 or more times that season
5/11 – Won their previous race
3/11 – Returned a double-figure price
3/11 – Favourites to win
2/11 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 5 of the last 8 runnings (3 wins)
Horses from stall 5 and 7 have won 5 of the last 8 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1
Projection (2/1) won the race in 2018

 

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

1.40 - British EBF Premier Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV4

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
3/3 – Didn’t win last time out
3/3 – Won just once before
3/3 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
3/3 – Favourites placed in the first three
2/3 – Had won over 1m2f before
1/3 – Winning favourite
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 9/2

2.15 - £150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV4

Just 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Carried between 8-4 and 8-11 in weight
4/4 – Rated between 79-85
4/4 – Foaled Feb or later
3/4 – Won from a double-figure draw
3/4 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
3/4 – Won just one before
3/4 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
3/4 – First 3 home came from double-figure draws
3/4 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
0/4 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 8/1


3.25 -
Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

13/15 – Had won over at least 1m before
13/15 – Previous Group winners
12/15 – Won between 3-5 times before
12/15 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
11/15 – Rated between 113 and 119
10/15 – Previous Group One winners
8/15 – Aged 3 years-old
6/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
5/15 – French-trained winners
5/15 – Raced at Deauville last time out
4/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 3)
2/15 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The last 12 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
Horses from stall 1 have won 4 of the last 13 runnings
Laurens (11/4 fav) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1


Redcar Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

2.55 – Racing TV Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

14/17 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
13/17 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
12/17 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
11/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/17 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
9/17 – Foaled in March or later
9/17 – Had won over 6f before
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
5/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Filly winners
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/17 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/17 – Trained by Stan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 28th Sept 2019

The ITV cameras are at Newmarket this Saturday to show four LIVE races, with the Cambridgeshire Handicap their feature. Plus, they are also at Haydock to take in two competitive handicaps  - as always we’re on hand with all the key trends and stats……

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 - Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m ITV4

17/17 – Had won one or two races before
16/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/17 – Had won over 7f or further before
16/17 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
15/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/17 - Either US or Irish bred
12/17 – Foaled in Feb or March
11/17 – Had only won over 7f before
9/17 – Won last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by John Gosden
4/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner 5 times
10 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)

 

2.25 – Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV4

17/17 – Finished in the top two last time out
17/17 – Had won over 6f before
15/17 – Foaled in Feb or March
15/17 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
15/17 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
14/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had 3 or more previous runs
12/17 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (2 won it)
12/17 – Won last time out
11/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
9/17 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
8/17 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
7/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/17 – Winners drawn in stall 6
2/17 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
2/17 – Trained by the Hannon yard
3/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (last 3 runnings)
2/17 – Trained by Brian Meehan
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

3.00 - Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f ITV

16/16 – Won over 6f previously
15/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
14/16 – Won their last race
14/16 – Won at least twice previously
13/16 – Had run 3 or more times previously
13/16 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
12/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
12/16 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/16 – Favourites placed
9/16 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
5/16 – Ran at Deauville last time out
5/16 – Favourites that won
5/16 – Won by an Irish-based stable
4/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
1/16 – Winners that came from stall 1
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004, 2011, 2017 & 2018

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3.40 – Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV

17/17 – Aged 6 or younger
16/17 – Won 3 or more times in their career
14/17 – Carried 9-5 or less
13/17 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
13/17 – Won from a double-figure stall
13/17 – Unplaced favourites
13/17 – Had won over 1m2f before
12/17 – Finished 5th or better last time out
11/17 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/17 – Rated between 90-100
12/17 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
9/17 – Carried 8-12 or less
5/17 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by John Gosden
3/17 – Won their last race
11 of the last 13 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 21/1

 


HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Download The App at Virgin Bet Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV4

11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
10/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Had won 1 or 2 times before
9/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/12 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
6/12 – Unplaced favourites
7/12 – Irish bred winners
5/12 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Tom Dascombe
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

3.15 – Virgin Bet Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4

12/12 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
12/12 – Had won over 5f before
11/12 – Aged 6 or younger
10/12 – Came from stalls 7-11 (inc)
9/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/12 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
9/12 – Had won between 2-4 times before
8/12 – Favourites placed
7/12 – Rated between 92-96
7/12 – Had raced at Haydock before
7/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
5/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/12 – Trained by Jamie Osborne
2/12 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/12 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

 

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Newmarket TV Trends: Friday 27th Sept 2019

Another big day of LIVE ITV racing this Friday as the cameras head to Newmarket to take in four races, including the Group Two Rockfel and Joel Stakes.
As always, we’ve got it all covered with all the big-race trends for the LIVE races, plus our verdict on each contest – Enjoy!

 

Friday 27th September 2019

 

1.50 – Tasleet British EBF Rosemary Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

8/8 – Had won over 1m before
8/8 – Had between 3-6 runs that season
7/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Won between 1-3 times before
6/8 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
6/8 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Placed horses from stall 3 (2 winners)
5/8 – Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/8 – Aged 3 years-old
3/8 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/8 – Trained by William Haggas
2/8 – Trained by John Gosden
0/8 – Winning favourites
Richard Hannon won the race in 2013
William Haggas won the race in 2014, 2017 & 2018
John Gosden won the race in 2015 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 15/2

 

2.25 – Princess Royal Muhaarar Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

13/14 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
11/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Had won over 1m2f or further in the past
11/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/14 – Won between 1-3 times before
11/14 – Aged 3 years-old
8/14 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Ridden by William Buick
The horse from stall 12 has won 3 of the last 6 runnings
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 7 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

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3.00 – Shadwell Rockfel Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4

14/15 – Had won 1-2 times in the past
13/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time
13/15 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
9/15 – Won by a March or April born foal
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Won over 7f before
7/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Trained by trainer Mick Channon
2/15 – Won by the Hills yard
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of last 3 winners)
2/15 – Won by trainer Jim Bolger
2/15 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
1/15 – Winners from stalls 1 or 2
8 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 5-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

3.35 – Shadwell Joel Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV4

14/15 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
14/15 – Officially rated between 111-118
12/15 – Had won a Group race before
11/15 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
11/15 – Had won over 1m before
10/15 – Won 4 or less times before
10/15 – Raced at either Doncaster, Haydock, Newmarket or Newbury last time out
10/15 – Failed to win last time out
10/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/15 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (4 won)
6/15 – Aged 4 years-old
6/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (including 2 of last 4 runnings)
2/15 – Won by Godolphin (Saeed Bin Suroor)
2/15 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/15 – Winners from stalls 2 or 3
The last 4 winners came from stalls 2 (2) or 6 (2)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 21st Sept 2019

It’s Ayr Gold Cup day at the Scottish venue this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are also heading to Newbury for their Dubai Duty Free Day – We’ve 8 LIVE races in total.

As always, we've  got all the TV trends for you. Use these to find the best profiles of past winners and whittle down the runners.


Saturday 21st September 2019

AYR Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

2.00 - William Hill Foundation: Uniting Against Dementia Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

11/12 – Didn’t win last time out
11/12 – Had won over 1m before
11/12 – Won between 2-6 times before
10/12 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Winners from stalls 9 or lower
10/12 – Placed 4th or worse in their last race
10/12 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
9/12 – Aged 4 or older
9/12 – Returned between 7/1-14/1 in the betting
7/12 – Had run at the track before
7/12 – Rated between 89-93
7/12 – Unplaced favourites
6/12 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
2/12 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/12 – Trained by Michael Dods
2/12 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
1/12 – Winning favourites
Waarif (12/1) won the race in 2018

 

2.40 – William Hill Ayr Silver Cup (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

16/16 – Carried 8-11 or more
14/16 – Aged 5 or younger
14/16 – Previous winners over 6f
13/16 – Winning distance 1 length or less
12/16 – Had raced at Ayr before (5 won)
12/16 – Had 5 or more runs that season
12/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/16 – Carried 9-0 or more
11/16 - Had either 2 or 3 career wins to their name
10/16 – Finished 5th or better last time out
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
7/16 – The first 4 home all returned a double-figure price
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/16 – Drawn in stalls 8 to 20 (inc) i.e horses drawn either high or low have done best
2/16 – Winning Favourites
0/16 – Filly or mare winners
Snazzy Jazzy (11/1) won the race in 2018
Tatlisu won the race in 2015
Huntsmans Close won the race in 2014

 

3.15 – William Hill Firth Of Clyde Stakes (Group 3) (for The Ayrshire Agricultural Challenge Cup) Cl1 6f ITV4

14/16 – Finished 4th or better last time out
14/16 – Had never raced at Ayr before
13/16 – Previous winners over 6f
13/16 – Had won once or two times before
13/16 – Winning distance 1 length or further
12/16 – Had 3 or more runs that season
11/16 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
11/16 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
10/16 – Placed favourites
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/16 – Trained by Bryan Smart
3/16 – Winning favourites
Queen Of Bermuda (9/2 fav) won the race in 2018

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3.50 – William Hill Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

18/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
17/18 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/18 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
14/18 – Had won over 6f before
13/18 – Failed to win their last race
12/18 – Carried 9-1 or more
12/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/18 – Rated 90-101
11/18 – Came from a double-figure stall
10/18 – Had 7 or more runs that season
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
9/18 – Had raced at Ayr before
9/18 – Ran at either Doncaster (3), Goodwood (3) or Haydock (3) last time out
9/18 – Winning distance 1 length or less
4/18 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
2/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/18 – Winning favourites (3 winning favs since 1980)
0/18 – Filly or mare winners
The last 10 winners came from stalls 8 or lower (4 of the last 14 winners came from stall 8)
Since 1980 just five winners aged 6 or older
The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronsiea in 1930/31
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 15/1

Note: The 2017 renewal was staged at Haydock

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

 

1.45 - Dubai International Airport World Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 5f34y ITV4

17/17 – Raced four or more times that season
15/17 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
15/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
15/17 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
14/17 – Won a Listed or Group race before
13/17 – Won over 5f previously
12/17 - Aged 5 or younger
12/17 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
12/17 – Won 4 or more times
8/17 – Previous Group race winners
6/17 – Ran at the Curragh last time out (inc 3 of last 6 winners)
6/17 – Won their last race
6/17 – Favourites
4/17 – Mare winners
Mr Lupton (11/4 fav) won the race in 2018

2.20 –Dubai Duty Free Legacy Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m3f5y ITV4

17/17 – Won over 1m2f (or further) previously
16/17 – Priced 9/1 or less
14/17 – Aged 5 or younger
13/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/17 – Had won at Listed or better class previously
12/17 – Had 4 or more career wins
11/17 – Favourites placed
10/17 – Raced at Newbury before
8/17 – Raced 5 or more times that season
8/17 – Had won a Group race before
6/17 – Won their last race
4/17 – Favourites that won
3/17 – Trained by David Simcock (including 3 of last 4 runnings)
3/17 – Raced at York last time
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Young Rascal (5/2) won the race in 2018

 

2.55 – Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f8y ITV4

14/17 – Won from draw 5 or lower
14/17 – Raced 3 or more times
14/17 – Priced 5/1 or shorter
13/17 – Won over 6f previously
12/17 – Favourites placed
12/17 – Foaled in March or later
10/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/17 – Favourites (or joint) to win
8/17 – Won exactly two races before
7/17 – Won by an April foal
5/17 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
5/17 – Won their previous race
4/17 – Ran in the Gimcrack last time out (York)
2/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/17 – Trained by Karl Burke
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/17 – Filly winners

 

3.30 – Dubai Duty Free Handicap Cl2 1m2f6y ITV4

15/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/17 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
13/17 – Won at least twice previously
12/17 – Won from stall 7 or higher
12/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/17 – Raced 5 or more times that season
11/17 – Officially rated between 89 and 94
11/17 – Won over 1m2f previously
10/17 – Won by a 4 year-old
9/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
9/17 – Won from a double-figure draw
7/17 – Returned a double-figure price
6/17 – Had raced at Newbury before (2 won)
4/17 – Trained by Luca Cumani
4/17 – Won their last race
4/17 – Winning favourites (2 joint, 1 Co)
Buzz (9/1) won the race in 2018

 

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