Daily Double Dutch reports from Geegeez: detailed write-ups, statistics and information on Geegeez’s own horse betting project. Read on to find out more.

Sat TV Trends: 16th Feb 2019

With the equine flu situation now over, racing is back and it's back with a bang!

With the ITV cameras covering some of last week's lost races we've now 10 contests to take in from Ascot, Haydock, Wincanton and even  heading over to Ireland for the Red Mills Chase at Gowran Park.

So, to help narrow down the fields, and point you in the direction of a few winners, then we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – we hope they help!

 

ASCOT HORSE RACING TRENDS (ATR/ITV)

1.35 - Sodexo Reynoldstown Novices´ Chase (An Ascot Appearance Money Scheme Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV4

16/16 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
14/16 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
13/16 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences previously
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Won last time out
10/16 – Irish bred
9/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
9/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (2 winners)
8/16 – Placed favourites
8/16 – Winners that went onto finish 5th or better in the RSA Chase
7/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill

Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park

 

2.10 – Keltbray Swinley Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV4

Only 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Won 1 or 2 chase races previously
7/8 – Finished 5th or better last time out
7/8 – Aged 8 or older
7/8 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
6/8 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
5/8 – Had raced at Ascot (fences) before
5/8 – Aged in double-figures
4/8 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/8 – Irish bred
3/8 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
3/8 – Winning distance head or shorter
2/8 – Won last time out
2/8 – Winning Favourites
5 of the last 6 winners carried 11-0 or more
Regal Encore won this race in 2018

2.45 - Betfair Denman Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

13/15 – Had won at least 4 times over fences (UK) before
13/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
12/15 – Rated 150+
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Aged 8 or younger
11/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Winners that went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (4 winners)
9/15 – Raced at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (4) last time out
9/15 – Had won over fences at Newbury before
6/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Winning distance – ¾ length or less
5/15 – French bred
4/15 – Winners that went onto win the Gold Cup (Coneygree, Denman, Kauto Star & Native River)
3/15 – Returned a double-figure price
3/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
6 of the last 12 winners were aged 7 years-old
The average SP in the last 12 runnings is 10/3

3.20 - Betfair Hurdle (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

Your first 30 days for just £1

16/16 – Carried 11-7 or less in weight
15/16 – Aged 7 or younger
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/16 – Rated 130 or higher
13/16 – Won between 2-4 times over hurdles in the UK/IRE before
13/16 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
13/16 – Came from the first 7 in the betting
13/16 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
13/16 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
12/16 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/16 – Irish bred
8/16 – Came from the top 5 in the betting
7/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Aged 5 years-old (including 7 of last 10)
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (has won the race 5 times in all)
3/16 – Trained by Gary Moore
2/16 - Raced at Leopardstown last time out
2/16 – Owned by JP McManus
1/16 – Went onto win the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Spirit Leader 2003)
21 of the last 22 winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 14/1

 

3.55 - Betfair Ascot Chase Grade 1 Cl1 2m5f110y ITV4

16/16 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
15/16 – Priced at 15/2 or shorter in the market
14/16 – Winners that didn’t win their next start
14/16 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
13/16 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
12/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
12/16 – Favourites placed
12/16 – Officially rated 157 or higher
11/16 – Priced 2/1 or shorter in the market
11/16 – Favourites that won
7/16 – Won between 1-4 times over fences previously
7/16 – Unplaced in their latest race
7/16 – Raced at Kempton (King George) last time out
5/16 – Winners that ran in that season’s Ryanair Chase (1 winner, Cue Card) later that year
5/16 – Won over fences at Ascot previously
5/16 – Won their last race
3/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/16 – Trained by Alan King
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
10 of the last 12 winners returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
Waiting Patiently won this race in 2018
Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park

 

HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4)

2.25 – William Hill Rendlesham Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV4

15/16 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
11/16 – Rated 145 or higher
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
10/16 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
10/16 – Aged 8 or younger
9/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
8/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle (no winners)
7/16 – Had run at Haydock before
6/16 – French-bred
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
1/16 – Winning favourites
1/16 – Winners that went onto win the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival

Note: The 2003, 2004, 2005 - Run at Kempton Park

 

3.35 – William Hill Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f ITV4

16/16 – UK-based trained winners
16/16 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
14/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/16 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
13/16 – Aged 10 or younger
12/16 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
12/16 – Aged 9 or younger
12/16 – Rated 135 or higher
11/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Finished in the top two last time out
10/16 – Carried 11-0 or less
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
7/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
6/16 – Irish-bred winners
4/16 – Winners that won by exactly 15 lengths
4/16 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/16 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/16 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
2/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Venetia Williams
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 10/1

 

WINCANTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4)

1.45 Betway Heedyourhunch Handicap Chase 2m ITV4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
3/4 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
3/4 – Aged 8 or younger
2/4 – Winning favourites
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 27% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Gary Moore is just 1 from 14 with his chasers at the track

3.00 - Betway Kingwell Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 1m7f65y ITV4

15/15 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
14/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/15 – Priced 10/3 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
13/15 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
12/15 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle (1 winner Katchit)
11/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/15 – Rated 155 or higher
9/15 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
8/15 – Winning favourites
8/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Raced at Sandown last time out
4/15 – Trained by Alan King
1/15 – Winners that went onto win the World Hurdle (Inglis Drever)

 

GOWRAN PARK TRENDS (ITV4)

2.30 – Red Mills Chase (Grade 2) 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Had won over at least 2m4f (Chase) before
10/10 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
9/10 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Irish bred
7/10 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Aged 8 or younger
7/10 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/10 – Rated 150 or lower
6/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Raced at Thurles last time out
3/10 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/10 – Ridden by Paul Townend

 

 

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Naas Stats and Trends: Sat 9th Feb 2019

With British racing on lockdown due to the outbreak of equine flu the focus switches to Naas, in Ireland, this Saturday. The ITV4 cameras are ensuring the show goes on by heading across the Irish Sea to cover FIVE races LIVE for punters.

Yes, we won’t be getting the quality that we’ll be missing from the Newbury and Warwick cards but we’ve still a Listed Mares’ Chase (2:10) to take in and well done to the ITV team for keeping things ticking over.

 

Saturday 9th February 2019

NAAS HORSE RACING STATS

1:40 - Cavan Developments Maiden Hurdle (5yo+) 2m ITV4

- Trainer Gordon Elliott took this race 12 months ago
- Trainer E D Delany is 2-from-2 with his hurdlers at the track
- Trainer Paul Nolan is 0-from-17 with his hurdlers at the track
- Trainer A J Martin is 0-from-18 with his hurdlers at the track

2:10 - BBA Ireland Limited Opera Hat Mares Chase (Listed) (5yo+) 2m ITV4

- Trainer Willie Mullins has won two of the last three runnings
- Trainer Willie Mullins has a 27% record with his chasers at the track
- Trainer Gordon Elliott is just 5 from 46 with his chasers at the track
- The last five winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
- Two of the last three favourites won the race

2:40 - EMS Copiers Rated Novice Hurdle (4yo) 2m ITV4

Your first 30 days for just £1

- Trainer Willie Mullins has a 27% record with his hurdlers at the track
- Jockey Mark Walsh has a 28% strike-rate when riding over hurdles at the track

3:10 - O'Driscoll O'Neil Handicap Chase (5yo+ 0-130) 2m4f ITV4

- Trainer Paul Nolan has an 18% record with his chasers at the track
- Trainer Jessie Harrington is 0 from 12 with her chasers at the track
- Jockey Barry Geraghty has a 33% record riding over fences at the track

3:40 - Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (4yo+ 80-109) 2m ITV4

- 6 of the last 7 winners were aged 9 or younger
- 5 of the last 7 winners carried 11st or more
- 4 of the last 7 winners returned a double-figure SP
- Trainer P J Rothwell is 0 from 25 with his hurdlers at the track
- Jockey Trevor Ryan is 2 from 7 (29%) riding over hurdles at the track

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 2nd Feb 2019

Sandown, Musselburgh and Wetherby provide the LIVE ITV action this Saturday with seven races spread across the three venues.

As always, we got it all covered with all the key trends – use these stats to help find the best past winning profiles to help whittle down the runners and hopefully pin-point a few winners.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.15 – 888Sport Bet £10 Get £30 Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f119y

12/12 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
12/12 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
11/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/12 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/12 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
9/12 – Aged 9 or younger
9/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
7/12 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/12 – Had run over fences at Sandown before (3 won)
6/12 – Winners that went to race in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase
5/12 – Carried 10-10 or less
5/12 – Raced at Sandown last time out
5/12 – Came from outside the top 4 in the betting
4/12 – Aged 7 years-old
4/12 – French bred
4/12 – Had an official rating of exactly 125
3/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/12 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2

1.50 – 888Sport Contenders Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV4

8/8 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/8 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
8/8 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
7/8 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Won between 2-5 times (hurdles)
7/8 – French bred
5/8 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/8 – Winning favourites
5/8 – Rated 161 or higher
5/8 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/8 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/8 – Won last time out
Buveur D’Air won the race in 2017 and 2018

2.25 – 888Sport Scilly Isles Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV

15/15 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/15 – Won no more than 3 times over fences before
15/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
13/15 – Aged 7 or younger
13/15 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
10/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/15 – Winning favourites
9/15 – French bred
6/15 – Aged 7 years-old
5/15 – Irish bred
5/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/15 – Had run over fences at Sandown before
4/15 – Winners that went onto finish in the top 5 in the RSA Chase
4/15 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob (last 4 winners)
3/15 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
The average winning  SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/4

3.00 – 888Sport Heroes Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m7f98y ITV

Your first 30 days for just £1

13/13 – Had run in the last 8 weeks
13/13 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
12/13 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) previously
11/13 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
10/13 – Officially rated 135 or lower
10/13 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles previously
10/13 – Winners that went to race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
10/13 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
9/13 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
9/13 – Priced 13/2 or less
8/13 – Won by a horse aged 7 or younger
8/13 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/13 – Favourites placed
4/13 – Raced over hurdles at Sandown previously (3 won)
4/13 – Won their last race
5/13 – Favourites that won
4/13 – Won by a French-bred horse
4/13 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/13 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
2/13 – Won by the Philip Hobbs yard
2/13 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/13 – Winners that went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Ryanair Chase, 2007 Taranis)

3.35 – 888Sport Masters Handicap Chase Cl2 3m110y ITV

14/15 – Carried 11-5 or less
13/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/15 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
12/15 – Aged 9 or younger
11/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences (UK) before
10/15 – Rated 136 or lower
9/15 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/15 – Had raced at Sandown before (4 won)
8/15 – Placed last time out
8/15 – Irish-bred
7/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/15 – Raced at either Sandown (3) or Haydock (3) last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/15 – French-bred
3/15 – Winners that went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
2/15 – Trained by Lucy Wadham (2 of last 5)
2/15 – Trained by Venetia Williams (2 of last 5)

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.40 – William Hill Towton Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

13/14 – Aged 8 or younger
12/14 – Had never raced over fences at Wetherby before
11/14 – Priced 3/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/14 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
10/14 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
9/14 – Aged 7 years-old
9/14 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (3) last time out
9/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Irish bred
7/14 – Won last time out
7/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (1 winner, Blaklion 2016, plus all finished 6th or better)
2/14 – Trained by Ian Williams

 

Musselburgh Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 - bet365 Scottish County Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f124y

11/12 – Returned 15/2 or less in the betting
10/12 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
11/12 – Had won over this trip before (hurdles)
9/12 – Aged 6 years-old
8/12 – Former flat horses
8/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/12 – Carried 11-0 or less
7/12 – Rated between 120-130
7/12 – Favourites placed in the top 4
2/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Won last time out

 

3.15 – bet365 Edinburgh National Handicap Chase Cl2 4m176y

Only two previous runnings
2/2 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
2/2 – Priced between 6/1 and 10/1 in the betting
0/2 – Winning favourites
Trainer Sandy Thompson won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 60% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Tim Vaughan has a 27% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Trainer Sandy Thompson has a 26% strike-rate with his chasers at the track
Full Jack won the race in 2018
Dancing Shadow (6/1) won the race in 2017

 

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Sat TV Trends: 26th Jan 2019

Another massive day of horse racing this Saturday with 'Trials Day' up at Cheltenham – their last meeting before the Festival in March. Therefore, plenty more clues to be had, including top races like the Cleeve Hurdle and Cotswold Chase.

The ITV cameras are also heading to Doncaster to take in the best of their action, including the ultra-competitive SkyBet Chase – a race the Alan King yard have twice in the last three years.

As always, we got it all covered with all the key trends – use these stats to help find the best past winning profiles to help whittle down the runners and hopefully pin-point a few winners.

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

12.40 – JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial (A Juvenile Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f RUK

13/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/15 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
12/15 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
12/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Had previously won at least once over hurdles in the UK
9/15 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the market
9/15 – Winning distance – 2 ¼ lengths or less
9/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – French bred (including last 6 winners)
8/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/15 – Went onto be placed in that season’s Triumph Hurdle (3 winners, Defi Du Seuil  2017, Peace & Co 2015, Katchit 2007)
4/15 – Trained by Alan King
4/15 – Priced 25/1, 50/1 or 100/1
5/15 – Had raced at Cheltenham previously
3/15 – Won by a German bred horse
3/15 – Won by an Irish bred horse
Nicky Henderson has trained 4 of the last 6 winners
The last two winners have been owned by JP McManus

2018 Winner: APPLE’S SHAKIRA (N Henderson) 1/7 fav

 

13.15 – Timeform Novices´ Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f RUK

15/15 – Aged 8 or younger
14/15 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (2 winners, La Landiere Cathcart 2003, Close Brothers Novices’ Chase Mister Whitaker 2018)
14/15 – Won between 0-2 races over fences in the UK previously
13/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/15 – Finished either 1st or 2nd last time out
12/15 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) in the UK previously
11/15 – Priced 13/2 or shorter
11/15 – Rated 128 or higher
9/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/15 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
9/15 – Irish bred
7/15 – Carried 11-2 or more
6/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Ran at Kempton last time out
5/15 – French bred
3/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/15 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/15 – Won with 11-12 in weight
2/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/15 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
1/15 – Winning favourites

2018 Winner: MISTER WHITAKER (M Channon) 6/1

 

1.50 – Spectra Cyber Security Solutions Trophy Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f ITV

14/15 – Had won over at least 2m5f (fences) previously
13/15 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
13/15 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
13/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
13/15 – Rated 130 or higher
12/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/15 – Aged 8 or older
11/15 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before (7 won)
11/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/15 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
9/15 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
9/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/15 – Carried 10-7 or less
5/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Won by the Hobbs yard

2018 Winner: FRODON (P Nicholls) 13/2

 

2.25 - BetBright Trial Cotswold Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

Your first 30 days for just £1

15/15 – Officially rated 151 or higher
14/15 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
14/15 – Ran at Cheltenham over fences before (8 had won)
14/15 – Won over at least 3m before (fences)
13/15 – Won between 2-6 times over fences
11/15 – Went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (no winners, all placed 8th or better)
11/15 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
10/15 – Ran at either Wetherby (3), Cheltenham (3) or Kempton (4) last time
10/15 – Priced 7/1 or less
9/15 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
9/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Unplaced last time out
7/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
6/15 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the market
6/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Won by a French-bred horse
2/15 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard (4 wins in total)
2/15 – Won by the Oliver Sherwood yard
1/15 – Went onto win the Grand National (Many Clouds, 2015)
0/15 – Favourites
10 of the last 11 winners were aged 9 or 10 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 15/2
Looks Like Trouble (2000) was the last winner to go onto win the Cheltenham Gold Cup

2018 Winner: DEFINITLY RED (B Ellison) 7/1

 

3.00 – Ballymore Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 2m4f110y ITV4

13/13 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
12/13 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
11/13 – Favourites placed
11/13 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
11/13 – Winners that later raced at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (3 winners)
10/13 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) previously
10/13 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
10/13 – Won their latest race
10/13 – Won by a horse aged 6 years-old
9/13 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
8/13 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
8/13 – Priced 7/2 or less
5/13 – Favourites that won
4/13 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/13 – Raced at Newbury last time out
3/13 – Won by the Alan King stable
3/13 – Winners that went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
3/13 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/13 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable

2018 Winner: SANTINI (N Henderson) 4/1

 

3.35 – galliardhomes.com Cleeve Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV

13/14 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
13/14 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
13/14 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles previously
12/14 – Raced at Cheltenham (hurdles) previously
11/14 – Went to run in that season’s Ladbrokes World Hurdle (4 won)
11/14 – Officially rated 154 or higher
10/14 – Winners that went onto finish in the top 4 in that season’s Ladbrokes World Hurdle
9/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
9/14 – Finished either 1st or 2nd in their last race
8/14 – Favourites placed
8/14 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
7/14 – Won their latest race
6/14 – Favourites that won
6/14 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/14 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
2/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown
Unowhatimeanharry won the race in 2017

2018 Winner: AGRAPART (N Williams) 9/1

 

4.10 - Steel Plate And Sections Handicap Hurdle (CLASS 2) (4yo+) RUK Soft 2m1f

14/14 – Rated 121 or higher
13/14 – Had raced within the last 9 weeks
12/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
12/14 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
11/14 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
10/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/14 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner La Fontana)
8/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
7/14 – Irish bred
7/14 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or less
5/14 – French bred
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/14 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
9 of the last 10 winners carried 10-12 or less in weight

2018 Winner: REMILUC (C Gordon) 20/1

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV4)

2.05 – Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The River Don Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m110y ITV4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or less
9/9 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
8/9 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
8/9 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/9 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/9 – Won last time out
6/9 – Placed favourites
5/9 – Irish bred
3/9 – Winning favourite
3/9 – Had raced at Doncaster before
The average SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1
The last 7 winners were all aged 5 or 6 years-old

2018 Winner: ENNISCOFFEY OSCAR (E Lavelle) 9/2

 

2.40 - OLBG.com Yorkshire Rose Mares´ Hurdle (Registered as The Doncaster Mares´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged 8 or younger
8/9 – Had won over this trip before
8/9 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
7/9 – Won last time out
6/9 – Went onto run in the Mares’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/9 – Won between 1-3 times before (hurdles)
5/9 – Irish bred
4/9 - Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1

2018 Winner: MARIA’S BENEFIT (S Edmunds) 10/11 fav

 

3.15 – Sky Bet Chase (A Handicap) (formerly The Great Yorkshire Chase) (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (5yo+ 0-155) CH4 3m ITV4

12/13 – Had won between 0-3 times over fences before
12/13 – Carried 11-2 or less
12/13 – Aged 9 or younger
10/13 – Officially rated 130 or higher
10/13 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
9/13 – Carried 10-12 or less
9/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
8/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
7/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/13 – Finished unplaced last time out
7/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Alan King
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 9/1
Note: The 2007 running was staged at Southwell
Other Stats:
4 of the last 12 winners of this race went onto contest the William Hill Trophy (now JLT Chase) at the Cheltenham Festival that season (1 winner)
4 of the last 12 winners went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners, all unplaced)

2018 Winner: WAKANDA (S Smith) 8/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 19th Jan 2019

It’s off to Haydock and Ascot this Saturday for the LIVE ITV action with the Clarence House Chase and Peter Marsh Chase the two big highlights – like all big race days we've got all the big races covered from a trends and stats angle…….use these to help whittle down the final runners and find the best winning profiles of past winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.50 - OLBG.com Mares´ Hurdle (Registered As The Warfield Mares´ Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
8/9 – Officially Rated 133 or higher
8/9 – From the top 4 in the betting
8/9 – Later ran in that season’s OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
8/9 – Won over at least 2m5f (hurdles) previously
7/9 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
6/9 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
6/9 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Newbury (2) in their last race
6/9 – Favourites placed
5/9 – Won their last race
5/9 – Winning Favourites
4/9 – French bred
3/9 – Raced at Ascot previously
3/9 – Aged 6 years-old
2/9 – Trained by Harry Fry
2/9 - Later finished second in the OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
1/9 – Won the OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival) – Vroum Vroum Mag (2016)
Trainer Harry Fry won 2 of the last 4 runnings

2.25 – Matchbook Holloway´s Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV4

9/11 – Priced 5/1 or bigger in the betting
9/11 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
9/11 – Aged 7 or younger
8/11 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
8/11 – Officially rated 139 or higher
8/11 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
7/11 – Ran within in the last 4 weeks
6/11 – French bred
6/11 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/11 – Went onto race in that season’s Coral Cup (best finish 3rd)
5/11 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles in the UK previously
5/11 – Had raced at Ascot previously
5/11 – Won their last race
5/11 – Aged 6 years-old
3/11 – Trained by David Pipe
3/11 – Raced at Cheltenham in their last race
2/11 – Later raced in that season’s World Hurdle (best finish 3rd)
2/11 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/11 – Favourites (1 co)
Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Haydock

3.00 – bet365.com Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV4

12/12 – Won between 1-3 times over fences in the UK previously
11/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
10/12 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Either French (3) or Irish (7) bred
9/12 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
9/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/12 – Officially Rated 130 or higher
8/12 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
8/12 – Aged 8 or younger
6/12 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
6/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
5/12 – Winning distance  - 6 lengths or further
5/12 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
4/12 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2) or Chepstow (2) last time out
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 4 runnings)
2/12 – Trained by Richard Rowe
2/12 – Won their last race
2/12 – Winning Favourites

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Uttoxeter

3.35 – Matchbook Clarence House Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m1f ITV

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16/16 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
16/16 – Won at least 3 times (fences) previously
15/16 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
15/16 – Won a race over fences at 2m1f or further
14/16 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
14/16 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
14/16 – Favourites placed
12/16 – Won by a French-bred horse
11/16 – Won their last race
10/16 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (4 winners)
10/16 – Raced at Sandown (6) or Wetherby (3) last time out
9/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/16 – Favourites that won
8/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
7/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
4/16 – Went onto win the Champion Chase that season (2009 - Master Minded, Sprinter Sacre 2013, 2014 Sire de Grugy, 2015 Dodging Bullets)
4/16 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won the race 5 times in all)
4/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
4/16 – Had won the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) last time out
3/16 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (won the race 4 times in all)
2/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
Since 1989 there have only been 3 winners aged in double-figures
Since 1989 (28 runnings) there have been 12 winners aged 8 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 3/1
Note:
2006 – Renewal at Sandown
2005 & 2017 – Renewals at Cheltenham

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

12/12 – Aged 7 or younger
12/12 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
11/12 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Won their last race
6/12 – Aged 5 years-old
6/12 – Had raced at Haydock previously
6/12 – Winning Favourites
4/12 -  Ran at Haydock last time out
3/12 – French bred
2/12 – Went onto win the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle
2/12 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/12 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/12 – Trained by Donald McCain Jnr
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 11/4
Note: 2004 Renewal was staged at Wetherby

2.40 – The New One Unibet (Registered as the Champion Hurdle Trial) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

13/13 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
13/13 – Favourites placed in the top 3
11/13 – Finished in the top three in their last race
11/13 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle
11/13 -  From the top 3 in the betting
11/13 – Priced 9/4 or shorter
10/13 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles previously
10/13 – Officially Rated 152 or higher
10/13 – Either French (3) or Irish (7) bred
9/13 – Ran at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (5) last time out
7/13 – Aged 7 or younger
8/13 – Winning Favourites
4/13 – Placed in the top 4 in that season’s Champion Hurdle (no winners)
3/13 – Won their last race
1/13 – Went onto win that season’s World Hurdle
The average SP in the last 8 runnings is 2/1

3.15 - Peter Marsh Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

15/15 – Won on ground described as soft or worse previously
14/15 – Aged 8 or older
14/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
13/15 – Had run within the last 36 days
11/15 – Won at least 3 times over fences previously
10/15 – Officially Rated 139 or higher
10/15 – Won at Haydock previously
10/15 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
9/15 – Favourites unplaced
9/15 – Won between 3-5 times over fences before
8/15 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
9/15 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/15 – Won before (fences) over at least 3m
8/15 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
8/15 – Irish bred
7/15 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
7/15 – Won over fences at Haydock before
6/15 – Ran at Wetherby last time out
5/15 – Raced in the Roland Meyrick (Wetherby) last time out
5/15 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
3/15 – Trained by Sue Smith
2/15 – Trained by the McCain stable
2/15 – Won their last race
2/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 10/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 12th Jan 2019

More LIVE ITV racing action this Saturday as the cameras head to Warwick for the Classic Chase, plus they are also at Kempton Park with the Lanzarote Hurdle their main event.

As normal we are on-hand with all the key stats for the LIVE ITV races – hopefully they might help point you in the direction of a few winners.

 

Kempton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 – 32Red Casino Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV4

5 previous runnings
5/5 – Placed 2nd or 3rd last time out
4/5 – Didn’t win last time out
4/5 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
4/5 – Had won at least 4 times over fences
4/5 – Winning favourites
4/5 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
3/5 – Had won over fences at the track
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 11/4
Waiting Patiently won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2017 & 2016
Trainer Alan King won the race in 2015
Trainer Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014
Nicky Henderson has a 30% record with his chasers at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 28% record with his chasers at the track
Alan King is just 3 from 39 (8%) with her chasers at the track

 

2.40 – Unibet Lanzarote Hurdle (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

17/17 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
15/17 – Aged 7 or younger
15/17 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
14/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had won exactly 2 times over hurdles before
12/17 – Had never won a hurdles race over 2m4f or longer before
12/17 – Winning distance 3 lengths or less
12/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
11/17 – Irish (6) or French (5) bred
10/17 – Carried 10-11 or less
10/17 – Aged 6 years-old
9/17 – Placed favourites
7/17 – Won last time out
6/17 – Had run at Kempton before (5 won)
5/17 -  Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Nick Williams
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Trainer Gary Moore won the race in 1996, 1998 & 2007
Since 1980 (37 runnings) 32 winners have been aged 7 or younger
The winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1

 

3.15 – Unibet Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

Just six previous runnings
6/6 – Didn’t win last time out
5/6 – Had run at the track before
5/6 – Unplaced last time out
4/6 – Had won over 3m (fences) before
4/6 - Won between 2-4 times (fences) before
5/6 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
5/6 – Carried 11-0 or more
5/6 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
4/6 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
4/6 – Placed favourites
2/6 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/5 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 is 5/1
Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014 & 2016

 

3.45 – Unibet Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m ITV4

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10/10 – Had won over at least 2m hurdles before
10/10 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
10/10 – Aged 6 or older
8/10 – Favourites that finished in the top 2
8/10 – Aged 6 years-old
8/10 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
7/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
5/10 – Finished 4th or better last time out
5/10 – Irish bred
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Returned a double-figure price
2/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/10 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2

 

Warwick Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.50 – McCoy Contractors 2019 Construction News Award Finalist Hampton Novices´ Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV4

11/11 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – Had won between 0-2 times over fences
11/11 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/11 – Had raced in the last 7 weeks
9/11 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences
9/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/11 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
8/11 – Aged 7 years-old
7/11 – Returned 9/4 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Had won over 3m (or further) chase
7/11 – Won last time out
6/11 – Irish bred
2/11 – Trained by Alan King
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 11/4

 

 

2.25 – Ballymore Leamington Novices´ Hurdle Grade 2 Cl1 2m5f ITV4

12/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
12/12 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
12/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/12 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/12 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
8/12 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
8/12 – Irish bred
8/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Winning favourites
6/12 – Placed favourites
6/12 – Aged 5 years-old
2/12 – Went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (No Refuge, 2005 RSA Novices’ Hurdle, The New One, 2013 Neptune)
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 3/1

 

 

3.00 – McCoy Constructors Civil Engineering Classic Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m5f ITV4

13/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m
12/13 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Carried 11-2 or less in weight
10/13 – Winners that came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
9/13 – Officially rated between 129-140
9/13 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
8/13 – Won between 2-5 times over fences before
8/13 –  Won by a horse aged 9 or older
8/13 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
8/13 – Won by an Irish bred horse
8/13 – Had raced at Warwick (hurdles, chase, NH Flat) previously
7/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
7/13 – Returned a double-figure price
6/13 – Had run at either Cheltenham (3) or Newbury (3) in their last race
5/13 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (One For Arthur won both races in 2017)
3/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/13 – Won their last race
2/13 – Trained by Alan King
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 10.5/1

 

 

3.35 – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 3m1f ITV4

13/13 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
12/13 – Had won between 1-4 times over hurdles before
11/13 – Carried 11-0 or less
11/13 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
10/13 – Went onto finish unplaced in the Pertemps Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
10/13 – Had never raced over hurdles at Warwick before
10/13 – Officially rated between 126-142
10/13 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/13 – Placed favourites
5/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Ran at Bangor last time out
2/13 – Won by trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/13 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/13 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/13 – Winning favourites
7 of the last 8 winners were aged 8 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 8/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 5th Jan 2019

Another MASSIVE day for the ITV4 horse racing cameras as they head to Wincanton and Sandown for more LIVE coverage.

Like every Saturday we take you through all the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and hopefully find a few winners.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV4)

12.45 – Unibet Handicap Chase Cl2 2m ITV4

12/12 – Won over at least 2m (chase) previously
11/12 – Ran within the last 2 months
11/12 – Priced 17/2 or shorter
11/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/12 – Favourites placed
9/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Officially rated 135 or higher
9/12 – Won between 1-4 times over fences in the UK previously
8/12 – Never raced at Sandown
8/12 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/12 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
7/12 – Irish bred
7/12 – Winning Favourites
6/12 – Unplaced last time out
6/12 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase at the Cheltenham Festival
4/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/12 – Went onto win a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Champion Chase, Grand Annual)
3/12 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/12 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/12 – Won their last race
Trainer Philip Hobbs has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Speredek won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 7 running is 9/2

2.25 – Unibet Tolworth Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

13/14 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
13/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
13/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Priced  5/1 or shorter
11/14 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
11/14 – Came from the top three in the market
12/14 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
10/14 – Won last time out
10/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
9/14 – Won by an Irish bred horse
7/14 – Winning Favourites
7/14 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
4/14 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
4/14 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
3/14 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/14 – Ridden by jockey Barry Geraghty
3/14 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
2/14 – Ran at Sandown before
2/14 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
2/14 – Won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season (Summerville Boy, 2018 & Noland, 2006)
1/14 - Won the Neptune Investment Hurdle later that season (Yorkhill 2016)
5 or 6 years-old have won 20 of the last 26 runnings
Since 1988 ALL winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 4/1

3.00 - Unibet Veterans´ Handicap Chase Final (The Final of The 2015 Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m37y ITV4

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Just 3 previous runnings
Buywise won the race in 2018
Pete The Feat won the race in 2017
The David Pipe yard won the race in 2016
2/3 – winners aged 11 years-old
2/3 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
Trainer David Pipe has a 38% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Kerry Lee has a 31% record with her chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 27% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Lucy Wadham has a 225 record with her chasers at the track
Trainer Colin Tizzard is just 2 from 42 with his chasers here

3.35 –32Red.com Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV4

11/13 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
11/13 – Won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) previously
11/13 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
11/13 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
10/13 – Unplaced last time out
8/13 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
6/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/13 – Officially rated between 127 and 132
6/13 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
6/13 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
5/13 – Went onto finish unplaced in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
5/13 – From the top 3 in the betting
4/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/13 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/13 – Trained by Venetia Williams
1/13 – Winning favourites
Rayvin Black won the race in 2015 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 7/1

Note: 2002 & 2003 runnings were staged at Ascot

Wincanton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RUK/ITV4)

2.05 – Watch Irish Racing On Racing TV Chase (A Novices’ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m4f35y ITV4

Just 3 previous runs
3/3 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
3/3 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
2/3 – winning favourites
Trainer Alan King has a 33% record with his chasers here
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 33% record with his chasers here
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 28% record with his chasers here
Trainer Venetia Williams is just 4 from 45 with her chasers here

2.40 –  Like Racing TV On Facebook Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f82y ITV4

Just 2 previous runnings
Both winners aged 6 or 7 years-old
Trainer Tom George won the race in 2017
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 38% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Emma Lavelle has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Philip Hobbs is just 8 from 85 with his hurdlers at the track

3.15 – Follow @racingtv On Twitter Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 2m4f ITV4

7/7 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
6/7 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
6/7 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
6/7 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
5/7 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
5/7 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
5/7 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
3/7 – French bred
2/7 – Ran at Exeter last time out
2/7 – Trained by Tom George
1/7 – Winning favourite
1/7 – Won last time out
Kayf Adventure (15/8) won the race last year
The average winning SP in the last 7 runs is 5/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 29th Dec 2018

The National Hunt action continues this Saturday 30th December – with the ITV cameras at Newbury for a decent card that includes four LIVE races and the Grade One Challow Hurdle.

We’ve got all the key trends and stats for all the LIVE races to help you whittle down the fields.

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.50 - Betway Heed Your Hunch Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

6/6 – French (2) or Irish (4) bred
5/6 – Favourites placed
5/6 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
5/6 – Had won over the trip (2m4f) before
5/6 – Aged 5 years-old
5/6 – Had won 2 or more times before (hurdles)
5/6 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
3/6 – Had raced at the track before
2/6 – Ran at Newbury last time out
2/6 – Winning favourites
2/6 - Trained by Nicky Henderson
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 9/2
Brave Eagle (11/4) won the race in 2017

 

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2.25 - Betway Mandarin Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-135) 3m2f ITV4

7/7 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/7 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
7/7 – Had won over 3m (fences) before
6/7 – Aged between 6-9 years-old
6/7 – Had won between 1-2 times before (fences)
6/7 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
6/7 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
5/7 – Irish bred
5/7 – Unplaced favourites
3/7 – Had raced at the track before
2/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Ran at Fontwell last time out
2/7 – Trained by Charlie Longsdon
Daklondike (6/1) won the race in 2017

 

3.00 - Betway Challow Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

12/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
12/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/12 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
11/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
9/12 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Wichita Lineman, 2006)
8/12 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
8/12 – Had won over 2m4f or further (hurdles) before
8/12 – Won last time out
8/12 – Had won a Grade 2 Hurdle race before
6/12 – Aged 5 years-old
6/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/12 – Trained by Nick Williams
2/12 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

 

3.35 - Betway Novices' Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+) 2m6½f ITV4

10/10 – Won between 0-1 times over fences
9/10 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
8/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/10 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
7/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Venetia Williams
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1

 

 

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Kempton and Chepstow TV Trends: 27th Dec 2018

A huge day of National Hunt action on Wednesday 27th December as the ITV cameras head to Kempton for three races, while they are also at Chepstow to take in the Coral Welsh National.

We’ve got all the key trends and stats for all the LIVE races to help you whittle down the fields.

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.55 – 32Red Casino Mares´ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m110y ITV

11/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Priced 17/2 or shorter
9/11 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
9/11 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
8/11 – Favourites that were placed in the top 3
7/11 – Won over 3m previously
6/11 – Won their last race
5/11 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
5/11 – Ran at the track previously
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Aged 5 years-old
2/11 – Raced at Newbury last time out

 

2.30 – Unibet Desert Orchid Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

9/11 – Aged 8 or younger
8/11 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
8/11 – Run at the track previously
8/11 – Won 4 (or more) times over fences
8/11 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
8/11 – Favourites
8/11 – Officially Rated 160+
7/11 – French bred
6/11 – Ran at Sandown last time out
3/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/11 – Trained by Alan King
2/11 - Ridden by Barry Geraghty
Politologue (8/15 fav) won the race 12 months ago

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3.05 – 32Red.com Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV

11/11 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
10/11 – Priced between 7/2 and 12/1
10/11 – Aged 8 or younger
9/11 – Won between 2-3 (chase) before
9/11 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
6/11 – Favourites Unplaced
5/11 – Officially Rated between 122-129
4/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
4/11 – Ran at Kempton previously
4/11 – Won over 3m (or further) previously
3/11 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
3/11 – Winning favourites (joint)
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

Chepstow Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

2.50 – Coral Welsh Grand National (A Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV

16/16 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
16/16 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
16/16 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
14/16 – Aged 9 or younger
14/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
13/16 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
12/16 – Aged 8 or younger
11/16 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
10/16 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
10/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Irish bred
8/16 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
6/16 – Unplaced favourites
6/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – French bred
6/16 – Had run in the Welsh National before
4/16 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
2/16 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 10/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 22nd Dec 2018

It’s the last weekend before Christmas and it looks set to be another decent Saturday of jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Haydock and Ascot for six LIVE races.
So, to help you narrow down the fields and hopefully point you in the direction of a winner or two, here at GeeGeez we've got the big-race trends ahead of each race.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.50 – My Pension Expert Handicap Chase Cl2 2m3f ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
Mr Medic won the race in 2017
Poker School won the race in 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2015
No winning favourite in 3 runnings
All winners returned between 6/1 and 10/1
All winners aged between 4-7 years-old

2.25 – JLT Long Walk Hurdle Grade 1 Cl1 3m1f ITV4

16/16 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
16/16 – Winners that went onto compete in that season’s World Hurdle (5 won, 4 runners-up)
14/16 – Placed in the top three in their last race
14/16 – Favourites placed
13/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
12/16 – French-bred horse
12/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
12/16 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles previously
11/16 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
10/16 – Raced at Newbury last time out
9/16 – Favourites that won
9/16 – Won their last race
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Trained by Nick Williams
2/16 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
2/16 – Ridden by jockey Barry Geraghty
2/16 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
2/16 – Ridden by jockey Tom Scudamore
Sam Spinner won the race in 2017
Unowhatimeanharry (6/5 fav) won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

3.00 – Garrard Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV4

13/13 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
9/13 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
9/13 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
7/13 – Won by a French bred horse
7/13 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
8/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/13 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/13 – Raced at Ascot previously
7/13 – Favourites placed
6/13 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
5/13 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Ascot (2) last time out
5/13 – Aged 7 years-old
4/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/13 – Favourite (1 joint)
2/13 – Trained by Henry Daly
2/13 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty (2 of the last 4)
Gold Present won the race in 2017
Regal Encore (20/1) won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 10/1
Note: The 2004 renewal was staged at Windsor

3.35 – Betfair Exchange Trophy (Handicap Hurdle) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

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15/15 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
15/15 – Had won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
14/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
12/15 – Had raced within the last 2 months
10/15 – Carried 10-10 or more
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Officially rated between 127 and 136
8/15 – Priced 12/1 or bigger in the betting
7/15 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
7/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Irish bred
4/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 – £50 Risk Free On Racing With Smarkets Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m2f191y ITV

11/11 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 7 or younger
8/11 – Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Had won 1-3 times over hurdles before
8/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
6/11 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
6/11 – Ran at either Newbury (2) or Haydock (4) last time out
6/11 – Had raced at Haydock before
5/11 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
4/11 – French bred
4/11 – Winning Favourites
2/11 – Trained by Lucy Wadham
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 5/1

2.40 – Smarkets Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

11/11 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
11/11 – Failed to win their last race
9/11 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
8/11 – Had raced at Haydock previously (hurdles or fences)
7/11 – Won over at least 3m before (hurdles or fences)
7/11 – Won between 2-3 times over fences previously
7/11 – Favourites placed
5/11 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
3/11 – Ridden by jockey Tom O’Brien
3/11 – French bred
3/11 – Went onto run in that season’s Aintree Grand National (all unplaced)
2/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/11 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
6 of the last 10 winners carried 11-0 or more
Captain Redbeard won the race in 2017

 

 

 

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Boxing Day TV Trends: 26th Dec 2018

A huge day on Boxing Day with eight domestic horse racing fixtures, but the festive highlight, as racing resumes after a two-day break, is the King George VI Meeting at Kempton Park.

The King George VI  Chase is of course the feature race on the day as punters will look to get their Christmas expenses paid for – a race in recent years we’ve seen horse racing greats like Kauto Star, Long Run, Best Mate, Kicking King, One Man and, more recently, Thistlecrack & Might Bite, landing the prize. Did you know - 12 of the last 16 King George winners were aged 8 or younger?

We take a look at each race on the Kempton card, plus the Rowland Meyrick Chase from Wetherby and highlight the main trends – hopefully this will help you narrow down the fields and point you in the direction of a few winners.

 

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

12:50 – 32Red Casino Mobile Novices' Hurdle Race 2m

11/11 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
10/11 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/11 – Winning distance 3 lengths or more
9/11 – Favourites placed in the top 3
9/11 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Had won a NH Flat race before
7/11 – Won just once over hurdles before
7/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/11 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
If The Cap Fits (6/4 fav) won the race 12 months ago

1.20 – 32Red.com Chase (A Novices´ Limited Handicap) Chase Cl3 2m4f110y ITV

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14/14 – Aged 7 or younger
13/14 – Had won between 0-1 times over fences in the UK
12/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
9/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
8/14 – Placed favourites (1 joint)
7/14 – Officially rated between 119 and 125
7/14 – Carried 11-6 or more
6/14 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
6/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/14 – Won by a French bred horse
5/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/14 – Raced at Kempton last time out
Hell’s Kitchen (9/2) won the race 12 months ago

1.55 – 32RedKauto Star Novices´ Chase (In memory of Nigel Clark) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV

15/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Placed in the top two last time out
11/15 – Won last time out
11/15 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
11/15 – Aged 6 or younger
11/15 – French (6) or Irish (5) bred
10/15 – Had won at least 2 times over fences in the UK
10/15 – Went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (no winners)
10/15 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Aged 6 years-old
8/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Had won (chase) over at least 3m before
7/15 – Winning favourites
7/15 – Raced at Newbury last time out
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Trained by David Pipe
2/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/15 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/15 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
1/15 – French trained
1/15 – Went onto run in the Cheltenham Gold Cup (One winner - Coneygree 2015)
Royal Vacation (33/1) won the race 12 months ago

2.30 – Unibet Christmas Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

14/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
13/16 – Placed favourites
13/16 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Went onto run in the Champion Hurdle (Faughan (2015) & Buveur D’Air (2018) winners)
10/16 – Won last time out
9/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – Irish trained
8/16 – Ran in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Newcastle) last time out
8/16 – Went onto finish in the top 5 in the Champion Hurdle that season
7/16 – Had run over hurdles at Kempton before
6/16 – French bred
5/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/16 – Trained by Noel Meade
2/16 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/16 – Trained by Willie Mullins
Owner JP McManus has won the last two runnings
Buveur D’Air (2/11 fav) won the race 12 months ago

3.05 – 32Red King George VI Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV

15/16 – Had won a Grade One chase before
15/16 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
14/16 – Placed favourites
14/16 – French (10) or Irish bred (4)
14/16 – Had won over 3m or further (fences) before
13/16 – Officially rated 169 or higher
12/16 – Aged 8 or younger
11/16 – Winning favourites
11/16 – Won last time out
10/16 – Had won a race over fences at Kempton before
9/16 – Ran in the Betfair Chase (Haydock) last time out
8/16 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
7/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
7/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (9 times in all)
5/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/16 – Ridden by Noel Fehily
2/16 – Won by an Irish-based yard (only 3 in the last 32 runnings)
Colin Tizzard and Nicky Henderson have trained 5 of the last 8 winners (2 Tizzard, 3 Henderson)
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 7/2

15:40 – 32Red Download The App Handicap Hurdle Race 2m5f

11/11 – Won no more than 3 times (UK Hurdles)
10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
9/11 – Won between 0-2 times hurdles (UK)
9/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
9/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
7/11 – Officially rated 120-128
7/11 – Ran 5 or less weeks ago
7/11 – Won last time out
6/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/11 – Unplaced favourites
5/11 – French bred
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.10- 188Bet Rowland Meyrick Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m45y ITV

9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Aged 8 or younger
9/10 – Had won 3 or less times over fences (UK)
8/10 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
8/10 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
8/10 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
8/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Unplaced in their last race
7/10 – Had raced at Wetherby before
6/10 – Had won over 3m (chase) before
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Raced at either Haydock (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
2/10– Winning favourites
Get On The Yager won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 15th Dec 2018

A MASSIVE day up at Prestbury Park as the Cheltenham December Meeting continues this Saturday, plus the ITV cameras also head to Doncaster for three races - as always we're on-hand with all the big-race trends and stats…..

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.55 – Caspian Caviar Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

16/16 – Aged 8 or younger
14/16 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
13/16 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
12/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/16 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (no winners)
11/16 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (4 won)
11/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Officially rated 142 or higher
10/16 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
9/16 – French bred
7/16 – Carried 10-13 or more
6/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/16 – Ran in the BetVictor (Nov) Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
4/16 – Finished in the top 5 in the Bet Victor Gold Cup last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
1/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 10/1

2.30 - Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

14/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
13/14 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Aged 6 or younger
12/14 – Placed favourites
12/14 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
11/14 – Went on run in the Albert Bartlett (3 won) at the Cheltenham Festival
10/14 – Winning favourite (1 co, 1 joint)
9/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/14 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Won last time out
9/14 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
9/14 – Irish bred
8/14 – Had won at Cheltenham before
8/14 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
2/14 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
The last 9 winners all returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/4

3.05 – Unibet International Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f ITV4

16/16 – Raced over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
15/16 – Placed in the top 3 in their latest race
14/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Won over 2m1f (hurdles) previously
13/16 – Won 4 or more times over hurdles previously
12/16 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old or younger
12/16 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle later that season (5 placed)
11/16 – Won their latest race
11/16 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
11/16 –  Favourites placed
11/16 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
11/16 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
9/16 – Won by a horse aged either 4 or 5 years-old
9/16 – Rated 162 or higher
7/16 – Winning distance:  4+ lengths
6/16 – Won the Greatwood Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
4/16 – Won by a French-bred horse
4/16 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
4/16 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/16 – Ridden by jockey Sam Twiston-Davies
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Won the Betfair Hurdle last time out
3/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
3/16 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
1/16 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that season (Rooster Booster 2002)
The New One has won the race in 2013, 2014 and 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 10/3

3.40 – OLBG Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4 1/2f ITV4

Just 3 previous runnings
All three winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
2/3 - winners carried 10-11 in weight
2/3 - winners aged 7 or 8 years-old
1 winning favourite (joint)
Trainers, Dan Skelton, Noel Williams, Anthony Honeyball have won the race in the past

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Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

1.35 – bet365 December Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
8/8 – Won between 0-2 times over fences
7/8 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
6/8 – Priced 5/2 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – French (2) or Irish (4) bred
6/8 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/8 – Placed favourites
4/8 – Winning favourites
4/8 – Won last time out
3/8 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3 of the last 5 runnings have been won by trainer Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 15/8

Note: from 2013 back the race was run at Lingfield Park

2.45 – Bet365 Summit Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) (3yo) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/8 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
7/8 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/8 – Had won just once before over hurdles
6/8 – Irish (3) or French (3) bred
6/8 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
5/8 – Won last time out
3/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Ran at Market Rasen last time out
2/8 – Trained by John Quinn
2/8 - Trained by Nicky Henderson
Peace and Co won the race in 2014 and went onto with the Triumph Hurdle
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 9/2

3.20 – bet365 Handicap Chase (4 yo+) Cl2 3m ITV4

9/9 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Aged 8 or younger
8/9 – Had won no more than 2 times over fences
7/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
6/9 – Aged 7 years-old
6/9 – Unplaced last time out
6/9 – Irish bred
6/9 – Had won over 3m+ (fences) before
5/9 – Ran at Doncaster before
2/9 – Trained by Emma Lavelle
1/9 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 4 winners were all rated 139
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9/1

 

 

 

 

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Cheltenham TV Trends: Fri 14th Dec 2018

The tapes go up for the opening day of the 2018 Cheltenham December Meeting this Friday (14th December) with FOUR LIVE ITV races from Prestbury Park.
As always, we are on hand with his quick-fire trends ahead of the LIVE races......

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1:55 – CF Roberts Electrical + Mechanical Services Mares’ Handicap Chase Cl3 2m5f ITV4

Two previous runs
Both winners carried 11-3 or more in weight
Both winners aged between 6-8 years-old
Trainer Evan Williams won the race in 2016
Trainer Gordon Elliott has a 16% record with this chasers at the track
Trainer Henry Daly is just 1 from 19 with his chasers at the track

2.30 – CF Roberts 25 Years Of Sponsorship Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

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14/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/16 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before (5 won)
11/16 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
11/16 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Aged 8 or younger
10/16 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
9/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (none won)
9/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/16 – Irish bred
8/16 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
6/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (last two runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2
Robinsfirth (7/4) won the race 12 months ago

3.05 –Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase Cl2 3m7f ITV4

13/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/14 – Had run over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
12/14 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (3 won)
11/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
10/14 – Placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
10/14 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
9/14 – Aged 9 or older
8/14 – Aged in double-figures
7/14 – Had won over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
7/14 – Trained by Enda Bolger
7/14 – Placed favourites
5/14 – Carried 11-12
5/14 – French bred
5/14 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1
Bless The Wings (12/1) won the race 12 months ago
Josie’s Orders won the race in 2015

3.40 – Citipost Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV4

12/15 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
12/15 – Carried 11-2 or less
12/15 – Aged 7 or younger
11/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
11/15 – Irish bred
11/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 - Priced 8/1 or bigger in the betting
9/15 – Rated between 128 and 137
8/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
7/15 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (one winner)
7/15 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
5/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/15 - Trained by Jonjo O'Neill
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 8th Dec 2018

Another massive Saturday of NH jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Sandown and Aintree, with the Tingle Creek Chase and Becher Chase the feature contests - As always, we’ve got all the big-race trends and stats for all the LIVE races.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – randoxhealth.com Henry VIII Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

15/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/15 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
14/15 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 2m
14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
13/15 – Won last time out
13/15 – French (9) or Irish (4) bred
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Arkle Chase (2 winners)
10/15 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (4) last time out
10/15 – Winning distance – 2 ¾ lengths or more
7/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/15 – Winners went onto finish 1st or 2nd in that season’s Arkle Chase
2/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/15 – Trained by Alan King
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1

2.25 - Jumeirah Hotels And Resorts December Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f216y ITV4

14/15 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
13/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/15 – Aged 4,5 or 6 years-old
12/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
10/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
10/15 – Carried 10-13 or less
9/15 – Rated between 116-128
9/15 – Irish bred~
8/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
4/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
8 of the last 9 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 13/2

3.00 – Betfair Tingle Creek Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

15/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Aged 9 or younger
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Had won a Grade One chase before
13/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s QM Champion Chase
12/16 – Officially rated 165 or higher
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
12/16 – French bred
12/16 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
11/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
9/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
9/16 – Won last time out
9/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
8/16 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
5/16 – Went onto win the Champion Chase (Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre, Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
4/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
1/16 – Went onto win the Gold Cup (Kauto Star) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 5/2

Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Cheltenham

3.35 – Betfair London National Handicap Chase Cl2 3m5f110y ITV4

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13/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Aged 7 or older
13/14 – Won between 2-6 times over fences before
13/14 – Had won (fences) over at least 3m before
12/14 – Rated 126 or higher
12/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
11/14 – Aged 8 or older
10/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
9/14 – Irish bred
8/14 – Carried 11-0 or more
8/14 – Had raced over fences at Sandown before (2 won)
5/14 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Towcester (2) last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/14 – Trained by Tom George
1/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 8/1

 

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.30 – Randox Health Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m2f ITV4

13/16 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
12/16 – Carried 10-12 or less
12/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/16 – Had no more than 1 start that season
11/16 – Aged 9 or older
11/16 – Officially rated between 123-138
11/16 – Irish bred winners
11/16 – Had raced at Aintree before
11/16 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
11/16 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
10/16 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/16 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
7/16 – Placed favourites
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Irish-trained winners
3/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
1/16 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
0/16 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 6 times since 1993
Blaklion won the race in 2017
Vieux Lion Rouge won the race in 2016
Highland Lodge won the race in 2015

2.05 – Rewards4Racing Many Clouds Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m1f ITV4

Just 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Aged 8 or younger
4/7 – Winning favourites
Definitly Red won the race in 2017
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 & 2014
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2011
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 5/2

2.40 – Racing UK Fillies’ Juvenile Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 (3Yyo) 2m1f ITV4

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/6 – Won between 0-1 times over hurdles
5/6 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/6 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Winning distance 8 or more lengths
5/6 – Carried 10-12 in weight
4/6 – Winning favourites
3/6 – Irish-trained winners
2/6 – Trained by Alan King
2/6 – Won last time out
2/6 – Trained by Gavin Cromwell
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 10/3

3.15 – Aintree Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV

12/13 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
11/13 – Aged 8 or older
11/13 – Rated 124 or more
10/13 – Had run at Aintree before (4 over the GN style fences)
more
9/13 – Irish bred
9/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Had won (chase) over at least 2m4f before
8/13 – Carried 10-12 or more
6/13 – Returned a double-figure price
5/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
4/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (5th & 7th)
1/13 – Won last time out
9 of the last 12 winners were aged 8 or 9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 1st Dec 2018

Another huge Saturday ahead with the Hennessy Gold Cup – or as it’s now called The Ladbroke Trophy Chase - plus the Fighting Fifth Hurdle as the main contests at Newbury and Newcastle – As always, we’ve got all the ITV TV trends to help you find the best winning profile of past winners of the main races.

 

 

Newbury Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

Six previous runnings
3 of the last 6 winners aged 5 years-old
1 winning favourite (joint)
5 of the 6 winners carried between 10-10 and 11-5
Old Guard won the race 12 months ago
Philip Hobbs, Paul Nicholls, Alan King, Rebecca Curtis & Ali Stronge have trained the winners

 

 

2.25 Ladbrokes Intermediate Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Registered As The Gerry Fielden Hurdle) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m69y ITV

12/12 – Had at least 4 runs over hurdles before
11/12 – Aged 6 or younger
11/12 – Won over 2m (hurdles) before
10/12 – Won just 1-2 times in the past (hurdles)
9/12 – Irish, French or German bred
9/12 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
7/12 – Finished in the top three last time out
7/12 – Had raced at Newbury before
6/12 – Officially rated between 126-134
6/12 – Unplaced favourites
5/12 – Aged 5 years-old
4/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/12 – Raced at Aintree last time out
2/12 – Won last time out
7 of the last 11 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

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3.00 – Ladbrokes Trophy Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) ITV 3m2f110y

15/16 – Aged 8 or younger
14/16 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
14/16 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
13/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
12/16 – Had run at Newbury before (8 had won over fences there)
12/16 – Carried 10-13 or more
11/16 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
11/16 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
11/16 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
10/16 – Rated between 140 and 151
10/16 – Had a previous run that season
9/16 – Won last time out
9/16 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
8/16 – Ran at either Aintree (2) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 6)
2/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty (2 of last 6)
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 15/2
Since 1968 there has only been one winner aged in double-figures (1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (27 runnings) there have been 13 winners (48%) aged 7 years-old

 

 

3.35 - Ladbrokes Handicap Chase (for the Jim Joel Memorial Trophy) Cl2 2m1f ITV

14/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Officially rated between 126-136
11/16 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
10/16 – French bred
9/16 – Had won a UK chase race over 2m1f
9/16 – Had won between 2-5 chase races in the UK
9/16 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
8/16 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
8/16 – Placed in their last race
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Won a chase race at Newbury before
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
9 of the last 12 winners carried between 10-8 and 11-3
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 – BetVictor Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

16/16 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
15/16 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
14/16 – Finished in the first two in their latest race
13/16 – Raced in the Champion Hurdle later that same season
13/16 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Officially rated 151 or higher
10/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/16 – Placed in the top 6 in the Champion Hurdle later that season
10/16 – Won their last race
8/16 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/16 – Won by an Irish bred horse
4/16 – Won by an Irish based yard
3/16 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
3/16 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of last 10)
2/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/16 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 4)
2/16 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that same season (2008 Punjabi, 2018 Buveur d’Air)
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 5/1
Note: The 2008 renewal was staged at Wetherby, and the 2010 race at Newbury

 

 

3.20 – BetVictor Rehearsal Chase (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV

13/14 – Didn’t win their last race
12/14 – Irish bred
12/14 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
11/14 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/14 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 3m
10/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/14 – Unplaced last time out
9/14 – Had won at least 3 times over fences in the UK
7/14 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
5/14 – Unplaced favourites
5/14 – Aged 8 years-old
4/14 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/14 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Richards
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 8/1
Beware The Bear (11/4 fav) won the race in 2017
Otago Trial won the race in 2016
Note: The 2002, 2003, & 2004 runnings were at Chepstow

 

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