Daily Double Dutch reports from Geegeez: detailed write-ups, statistics and information on Geegeez’s own horse betting project. Read on to find out more.

York TV Trends: Fri 17th May 2019

We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the third day (Fri) of the York Dante Meeting, with the Group Two Yorkshire Cup the feature contest today.

 

YORK HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 – Langleys Solicitors EBF Stallions Marygate Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

13/14 – Had won over 5f before
13/14 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/14 – Won by a horse foaled in February or later
12/14 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
12/14 – Had won between 1-2 times before
12/14 – Won last time out
11/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Placed favourites
7/14 – Winners from stall 9
6/14 – Winning favourites
9 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 6-11 (inc)
Richard Fahey has trained 2 of the last 8 winners
Michael Bell has trained 2 of the last 11 winners

2.25 - Oaks Farm Stables Fillies´ Stakes (Registered As The Michael Seely Memorial Stakes) (Listed) Cl1 1m ITV

13/13 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
13/13 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
13/13 – Won between 1-2 times in the past
11/13 – Had won over at least 7f before
9/13 – Placed 5th or better last time out
9/13 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
7/13 – Horses from stall 1 placed
7/13 – Raced at either Newmarket (5) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore

3.00 – Matchbook Yorkshire Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 1m6f ITV

Your first 30 days for just £1

15/15 – Didn’t win last time out
15/15 – Came from stall 7 or lower
14/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
14/15 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
14/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Aged 5 or older
12/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
11/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/15 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
8/15 – Had run at York before
7/15 – Horses from stall 7 placed in the top 3
7/15 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
6/15 – Came from stall 4 or 7
6/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/15 – Ran at Newbury last time out
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
Stradivarius won the race 12 months ago

3.35 – Matchbook 'Best Value' Exchange Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

17/17 – Aged 7 or younger
16/17 – Had run over 1m2f before
14/17 – Didn’t win their last race
13/17 – Came from stall 5 or higher
13/17 – Won over at least 1m2f before
12/17 – Carried 8-12 or MORE
12/17 – Had a previous run that season
10/17 – Won by a 4 year-old (including 7 of the last 11 years)
9/17 – Finished third or better last time out
5/17 – Had run at York before
5/17 – Won by the favourite
3/17 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor (2007, 2008, 2009)
3/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/17 – Won by trainer John Gosden
2/17 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
11 of the last 13 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting

 

 

 

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York TV Trends: Thurs 16th May 2019

We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the second day (Thurs) of the York Dante Meeting, with Dante Stakes, a respected Epsom Derby Trial, the feature contest today - 4 of the last 17 Dante winners went onto win the Epsom Derby.

 

 

YORK HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)


2.20 – Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

11/11 – Had raced at York before
10/11 – Came from a single-figure draw
10/11 – Failed to win last time out
10/11 – Had won at least 4 times before
9/11 – Returned a double-figure price
9/11 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
9/11 – Winning distance 3/4 length or shorter
9/11 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
8/11 – Aged 6 or older
6/11 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1
6/11 – Favourites placed
5/11 – Rated between 87-92
5/11 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
2/11 – Trained by Michael Easterby
0/11 – Winning favourites
El Astronaute (15/2) won the race in 2018
Duke Of Firenze won the race in 2016 and 2017

2.25 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Middleton Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

15/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/15 – Won over 1m2f before
12/15 – Favourites placed
11/15 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Having first run of the season
9/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/15 – Wining favourites (including 6 of last 11)
8/15 – Had raced at York before
5/15 – Winners from stall 4
4/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Had won at York before
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
1/15 – Irish trained winners
1/15 – French trained winners
1/15 – Winners from stall 1

3.00 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dante Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

Your first 30 days for just £1

15/17 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby (4 won)
13/17 – Finished third or better last time out
11/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Had a previous race that season
10/17 – Won their previous race
9/17 – Went onto be placed in the Epsom Derby
4/17 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (won it 4 times in all)
3/17 - Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (won it 6 times in all)
3/17 – Won by jockey Ryan Moore
3/17 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/17 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of last 4 runnings)
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/17 – Ridden by William Buick
1/17 – Had run at York before
0/17 – Winners from stall 2
Just 2 winning favourite in the last 12 runnings
Golden Horn (2015) was the last Dante winner to go onto win the Epsom Derby
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 15/2

 

3.35 - Matchbook Betting Podcast Hambleton Stakes (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m ITV

14/14 – Rated between 96-105
13/14 – Carried 8-7 or more in weight
13/14 – Had won over a mile before
12/14 – Favourites placed in the top 4
12/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
10/14 – Came from a single-figure draw
10/14 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
9/14 – Had won at least 4 times before
9/14 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
7/14 – Placed last time out
7/14 – Aged 4 years-old
3/14 – Winning favourite (1 joint, 1 co)
1/14 – Won last time out

 

 

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York TV Trends: Weds 15th May 2019

We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the opening day (Weds) of the York Dante Meeting – with the Duke Of York Clipper Stakes and the Musidora Stakes the two main events today.

 

 

YORK HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)


1.50 – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Jorvik Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

15/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
14/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/15 – Rated between 80 and 93
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
10/15 – Winners from stall 6 or higher
10/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
9/15 – Had won at least 3 times before
8/15 – Had run at York before
7/15 – Aged 5 years-old
6/15 – Unplaced last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 - Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
0/16 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

2.25 - Infinity Tyres Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

Your first 30 days for just £1

16/17 – Aged 6 or younger
16/17 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
13/17 – Had run at York before (5 won at the track before)
13/17 – Had won over this trip before
11/17 – Carried 8-12 or MORE
9/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/17 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/17 – Won by a 4 year-old
7/17 – Returned either 6/1 or 7/1 in the betting
4/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/17 – Won their previous race
1/17 – Winning outright favourite
9 of the last 10 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
Trainer Michael Easterby won the race in 2011 & 2014
Trainer David O’Meara won the race in 2018 and 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

3.00 - Duke of York Clipper Logistics Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV

16/17 – Came from stall 9 or lower
15/17 – Previous Listed or Group Three winners
15/17 – Had won over 6f before
12/17 – Had run at York before
12/17 – Came from stall 7 or lower
12/17 – Had a previous race that season
12/17 – Won by either a 4 or 5 year-old
10/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/17 – Unplaced last time out
6/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/17 – Won by the favourite
4/17 – Won their last race
5/17 – Had won a Group One race previously in their career
2/17 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 14/1

3.35 - Tattersalls Musidora Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

16/17 – Had won a race before
15/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
13/17 – Had a previous run that season
13/17 – Finished 4th or better last time
11/17 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks
8/17 – Won by the favourite
8/17 – Won their previous race
5/17 – Previous distance winners over 1m2f
5/17 – Trained by John Gosden (5 of the last 8)
4/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (3 of last 4)
3/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Ridden by William Buick
1/17 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Sariska 2009)
0/17 – Had run at York before
11 of the last 13 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/2
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won the race

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 11th May 2019

Another jam-packed day Saturday on the horse racing front with the ITV4 cameras heading to Ascot, Haydock and Lingfield  - we've 8 races in total that include the Victoria Cup, Swinton Hurdle, plus the Lingfield Derby and Oaks Trials - As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV contests covered from a trends and stats angle.

Saturday 11th May 2019

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

3.10 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Registered As The Swinton Hurdle Race) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/16 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
16/16 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
16/16 – Carried 11-5 or less
15/16 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
15/16 – Didn’t win last time out
14/16 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
11/16 – Irish bred
11/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Carried 10-8 or less
9/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
8/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/16 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
4/16 – Trained by Evan Williams (4 of the last 6 runnings)
3/16 – Ran at Ayr last time out
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/16 – Irish-trained winners
4 of the last 13 winners returned 16/1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.15 – Les Ambassadeurs Casino Handicap Cl3 1m4f ITV4

Only 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/8 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
8/8 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Rated between 86 and 91
7/8 – Won 2 or 3 times before
7/8 – Carried 9-4 or less
6/8 – Aged 4 years-old
6/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Favourites placed in the top 3
4/8 – Won on reappearance run (4 of last 5)
4/8 – Drawn in stalls 5-8 (inc)
4/8 – Horses from stall 11 placed (1 winner)
4/8 – Had raced at Ascot before
3/8 – Winning favourites (3 of last 4)
2/8 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/8 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 4/1

2.50 - Carey Group Buckhounds Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

11/13 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Had won 3 or more times before
8/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
7/13 – Had raced at Ascot before
7/13 – Winning favourites (inc co or joint)
7/13 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/13 – Raced within the last 3 weeks
4/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by John Gosden
3/13 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The last 10 winners ALL came from stalls 5 or lower
Barsnati (10/11 fav) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

 

3.25 – St James’s Wealth Management British EBF Premier Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

Your first 30 days for just £1

13/13 – Failed to win last time out
13/13 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
11/13 – Had won over a mile before
11/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
11/13 – Aged 5 or younger
9/13 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Carried 9-0 or more
9/13 – Aged 4 years-old
8/13 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
7/13 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
7/13 – Rated between 82-87
7/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/13 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

4.00 – Totescoop6 Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

15/16 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/16 – Aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Had won no more than 3 times
12/16 – Carried 8-10 or less
12/16 – Had won over 7f before
10/16 – Unplaced favourites
10/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/16 – Had run at Ascot before (4 winners)
5/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint) – only 1 in the last 10 years
2/16 – Trained by David Elsworth (2 of last 4)
The last 6 winners came from a double-figure draw
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1
Ripp Orf (20/1) won the race 12 months ago

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.55 - Betfred Mobile Oaks Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

14/15 – Had won no more than once before
12/15 – Had no more than 3 career runs
12/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Came from stall 5 or higher
10/15 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (no winners, two seconds)
8/15 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
7/15 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
7/15 – Having first run of the season
7/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Winners from stall 5
4/15 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
3/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/15 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/15 - Trained by John Gosden
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

2.30 - Betfred Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

16/16 – Had won no more than 3 times
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (no winners)
12/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Finished 4th or better last time out
11/16 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
11/16 – Favourites placed
8/16 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2
The last winner to go on and win the Epsom Derby was High Rise 1998

3.40 - Betfred "Supports Jack Berry House" Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f1y ITV4

13/13 – Aged 5 or younger
12/13 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
11/13 – Won between 1-4 times before
10/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Had won over 7f before
8/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/13 – Placed favourites
7/13 – Drawn in stall 3 (4) or 7 (3)
7/13 – Irish-bred
6/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Non UK-trained winners
5/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/13 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
2/13 – Winning favourites
5 of the last 10 winners returned double-figures in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

 

 

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Chester TV Trends: Friday 10th May 2019

The three-day 2019 Chester May Meeting concludes on Friday 10th May with four more LIVE races on ITV - We've got the main contests - including the Chester Cup - did you know that 16 of the last 17 Chester Cup winners were aged 7 or younger?

 

CHESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS


1.50 –
Liverpool Gin Earl Grosvenor Handicap Cl2 7f122y ITV

14/17 - Had won over this trip (7 1/2f) before
15/17 - Didn’t win their last race
13/17 - Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
14/17 - Had a previous run that season
14/17 - Finished unplaced last time out
13/17 - Carried 8-10 or more
13/17 - Had run before at Chester
12/17 - Favourites placed
10/17 - Came from stall 5 or higher
7/17 - Won by a 4 year-old
8/17 - Horses placed from stall 1
5/17 - Won by the favourite
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
3/17 – Winning horses from stall 1
Baraweez won the race in 2018

2.25 – Homeserve Huxley Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f75y ITV

16/17 – Aged either a 4 or 5 year-old
14/17 – Had won over 1m2f before
13/17 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd in this race
13/17 – Had a previous race that season
12/17 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/17 – Winners from between stalls 1-4
9/17 – Winning favourites
9/17 – Failed to win their previous race
6/17 – Returned 6/4 or shorter in the betting
5/17 – Ran in the John Porter at Newbury before winning this
5/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
5/17 – Had raced at Chester before
5/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Forest Ranger won the race in 2018

3.00 – Boodles Diamond Handicap Cl2 1m2 1/2f ITV

Your first 30 days for just £1

10/10 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
10/10 – Won at least twice before
9/10 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
9/10 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
8/10 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
8/10 – Rated between 90-95
8/10 – Placed favourites
8/10 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute


3.35 –
Sportpesa Chester Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f147y ITV

16/17 – Aged 7 years-old or younger
15/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/17 – Officially rated between 93-99
13/17 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-olds
12/17 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/17 – Won from stall 7 or lower
11/17 – Carried 9-2 or less
11/17 – Had raced within the last 2 months
11/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Had won previously over at least 2m on the flat
9/17 – Favourites were unplaced
8/17 – Irish bred
4/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/17 – Won by owner Dr Marwan Koukash
3/17 – Had won at the track before
3/17 – Ran at Aintree over hurdles last time out
2/17 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/17 – Won by the favourite
2/17 – Won their previous race
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 12/1

Key Chester Cup Stats

The race has seen repeat winners three times since 1997
Since 1975 we’ve only seen 4 winning favourites
The Hills yard took the race in 1980, 1999, 2001 and 2009
Since 1975 all winners have been aged 8 or younger
Since 1975 there have only been three winners aged 8 years-old
Since 1981 only 7 winners have carried more than 9-2 to victory
4 of the last 9 winners came from NH yards
3 of the last 7 winners returned 10/1
Dr Marwan Koukash has owned 4 of the last 11 winners

 

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Chester TV Trends: Thurs 9th May 2019

The three-day 2019 Chester May Meeting continues on Thursday 9th May with four more LIVE races on ITV - We've got the main contests - including the Dee Stakes - covered with all the key trends and stats.

 

 

CHESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS

1.50 – Gateley PLC Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

11/11 – Won from stall 7 or lower
11/11 – Had won over 5f before
11/11 – Had won between 2-6 times before
11/11 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/11 – Came from stall 5 or lower
8/11 – Carried 8-10 or less in weight
8/11 – Had raced at Chester before
8/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/11 – Finished in the top 7 last time out
7/11 – Officially rated between 87-90
5/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
2/11 – Winners from stall 1
9 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 1-4
A Momentofmadness won the race in 2018

2.25 - Homeserve Dee Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f75y ITV

Your first 30 days for just £1

16/17 – Had not run at Chester before
15/17 – Yet to win over this trip before
14/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Favourites finished in the frame
14/17 – Came from stall 3 or higher
11/17 – Failed to win another race after taking this
10/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/17 – Had a previous run that season
8/17 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby
7/17 – Won by the favourite
7/17 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
6/17 – Won their previous race
0/17 – Winners from stall 1
Only Kris Kin in 2003 went onto win this and then the Epsom Derby in the last 16 years

3.00 – Deepbridge Capital Handicap Cl2 7f122y ITV

16/17 – Hadn’t raced at Chester before
15/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had a previous run that season
13/17 – Came between stalls 2-7
11/17 – Finished third or better last time out
10/17 – Carried 9-0 or less
10/17 – Placed favourites
6/17 – Winning favourites (or joint)
5/17 – Ran at Newbury last time out
5/17 – Placed horses from stall 1
2/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/17 – Winners from stall 1

3.35 - Boodles Diamond Ormonde Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f89y ITV

16/17 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
12/17 – Won by either a 4 or 5 year-old
12/17 – Didn’t win their previous race
11/17 – Had a previous run that season
10/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
9/17 – Won by the favourite
8/17 – Had run before at Chester
5/17 – Ran in the John Porter (Newbury) last time out
4/17 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
4/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (won it 6 times in all)

 

 

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Newmarket TV Trends: Sun 5th May 2019

It's DAY TWO of Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Sunday, with four more LIVE ITV races that include the second English Classic of the season - the 1,000 Guineas.

Did you know? 15 of the last 17 1,000 Guineas winners were placed in the top three last time out, while 11 of the last 17 won their most-recent outing

As always here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Qatar Racing Handicap (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

14/15 – Had won at least twice before
14/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
12/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Finished in the top 5 in their last race
11/15 – Winning distance 1 ½ lengths or less
11/15 – Had won between 2-4 times before
10/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
10/15 - Had had a recent run that season
7/15 – Had run at Newmarket before (Rowley)
5/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/15 – Ridden by William Buick
3/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
1/15 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

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2.20 – Charm Spirit Dahlia Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f ITV

15/15 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
14/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
14/15 – Had won over 1m (or further) before
13/15 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
11/15 – Aged 4 years-old
8/15 – Had run at the course before
8/15 – Won this on first run of the season
7/15 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
6/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
6/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Ran at Kempton last time out
3/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/15 – Ridden by William Buick
2/15 – French-trained winners (2 of the last 5)
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3


2.55 – Longholes Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

14/15 – Had won between 2-5 times before
13/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/15 – Had won over 6f before
13/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/15 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
10/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/15 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
7/15 – Returned between 10/1-12/1 in the betting
7/15 – Irish bred
6/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/15 – Winning favourites
Just 1 placed horse from stall 2 in the last 11 runnings
8 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 9 or higher
Gifted Master won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1


3.35 – Qipco 1,000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

15/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/17 – Had won between 2-3 times before
12/17 – Had won a Group race before
12/17 - Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
11/17 – Won their previous race
11/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
10/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/17 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
9/17 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price
8/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
7/17 – Favourites unplaced
7/17 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
7/17 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
6/17 – Irish-trained winners
6/17 - Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
5/17 – Previous Group One winners
5/17 – Went onto win the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot
4/17 – Won by a US bred horse
4/17 – Won by the favourite
3/17 – French-trained winners
3/17 – Went onto finish fourth in the Epsom Oaks
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/17 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Kazzia 2002, Minding 2016)
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
8 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 13/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

Owner Hamdam Al Maktoum has won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 3 times (2012, 2015, 2016)
Godolphin have won the race 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Aidan O’Brien has trained four winners, Virginia Waters (1995), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016) & Winter (2017)

 

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Sat TV Trends: 4th May 2019

It’s day one of Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday, with the first English Classic of the season - the 2,000 Guineas - the feature race, while the ITV cameras are also taking in two races at Goodwood.

So, as always here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Spring Lodge Stakes (Handicap) (Formerly The Suffolk Stakes) Cl2 1m1f ITV

14/14 – Had won at least twice before
14/14 – Had won over at least a mile before
12/14 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
12/14 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
12/14 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
11/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/14 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
9/14 – Rated between 90 and 96
8/14 – Aged 4 years-old
6/14 – Having their first run of the season
6/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Irish bred
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 - Winning favourites
Trainer Charlie Appleby won the race in 2018
Just 1 winner from stalls 1 or 2 in the last 11 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

2.20 - Zoustar Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

15/16 – Had won over 5f before
14/16 – Won 3 or more times before
13/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
13/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/16 – Had run at Newmarket before
12/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Aged 5 or younger
10/16 – Rated between 108 and 114
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/16 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Mabs Cross (9/2) won the race in 2018
Just one placed horse from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
7 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

2.55 – Roaring Lion Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

16/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/16 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
13/16 – Won over 1m4f+ before
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
12/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Aged 4 years-old
9/16 – Rated 112 or higher
9/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – Had won a Group race before
7/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Having their first run of the season
6/16 – Aged 5 years-old
5/16 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/16 – Returned 7/4 in the bettingc
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
2/16 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Trained by Andre Fabre
Defoe (1/2 fav) won this race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

3.35 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m ITV

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17/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/17 – Had won over at least 7f before
15/17 – Had won a Group race before
15/17 – Had won between 2-5 times before
15/17 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
13/17 – Won last time out
13/17 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
12/17 – Having their first run of the season
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
10/17 – Won by an Irish-based yard
9/17 – Irish bred
8/17 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (9 wins)
7/17 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
6/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Had won over a mile before
5/17 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
4/17 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
4/17 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/17 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
6 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 10/1

 

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017 & 2018
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999 & 2016

 

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – British Stallion EBF Daisy Warwick Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/8 – Came between stalls 1-5 (inc)
6/8 – Didn’t win last time out
6/8 – Aged 4 years-old
5/8 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/8 – Had won between 2-3 times before
5/8 – Unplaced favourites
2/8 – Winners from stall 2
2/8 – Had raced at Goodwood before
2/8 – Raced at Ascot last time out
1/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 11/2

2.40 – Goodwood May Food Festival Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Carried between 8-7 and 8-12
6/6 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
6/6 – Had won between 2-4 races before
4/6 – Winners that came between stalls 5-9 (inc)
4/6 – Ran at Kempton last time out
2/6 – Aged 4 years-old
2/6 – Finished second last time out
2/6 – Ridden by Shane Kelly
2/6 – Winners from stall 5
1/6 – Winning favourites
Taurean Star (12/1) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 12/1

 

 

 

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2019 Punchestown Festival Trends

2019 Punchestown Festival Trends: A massive week of Irish racing ahead with the 5-day Punchestown Festival (30th April - 4th May). Plenty of big names on show with a lot of Cheltenham and Aintree Festival winners also in attendance - Like all big race meetings we've got all the main trends and stats for the key races through the week – hopefully, these help narrow down the fields and point you in the direction of a few winners……………….

 

DAY ONE – Tuesday 30th April 2019

 

4.20 - Herald Champion Novice Hurdle (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m

7 of the last 14 runnings went to the favourite
7 of the last 13 winners had won a Grade 1 or 2 before
12 of the last 14 recent winners were priced 8/1 or shorter
7 of the last 14 returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
No British-trained winner for 20 years (17 runners)
Supreme Novice Hurdle winners have only followed-up 3 times
13 of the last 14 were aged either 5 or 6 years-old
Trainer Noel Meade has won the race in 2002, 2005, 2006 & 2008
Trainer Edward O’Grady has won the race in 2003, 2007 & 2011
Willie Mullins won the prize in 2009, 2010, 2014, 2015, 2017 & 2018
Ruby Walsh has ridden 4 of the last 13 winners
5 of the last 11 ran in that season’s Royal Bond Novices’ Hurdle
15 of the last 19 winners came 1st or 2nd last time out

5.30 - Boylesports.com Champion Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m

6 of the last 16 runnings went to the favourite
15 of the last 20 winners came from the first three in the betting
French breds have won 7 of the last 12 runnings
13 of the last 17 returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9 of the last 17 had previous won at the track
All of the last 17 winners had won before over 2m
14 of the last 17 came 1st or 2nd last time out
Ruby Walsh rode the winner in 2008 & 2009
11 of the last 17 were Irish-trained winners
12 of the last 17 were aged 9 or younger
5 of the last 14 finished unplaced that season’s Champion Chase at Cheltenham
12 of the last 16 winners ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase that season
6 of the last 16 winners ran in that season’s Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown)
Paul Nicholls won the race in 2008 & 2009
Willie Mullins won the race in 2010, 2015 & 2018
Un De Sceaux won the race 12 months ago

 

DAY TWO – Wednesday 1st May 2019

6.05 – CORAL Punchestown Gold Cup (Grade 1) (5yo+) 3m1f

Past Punchestown Gold Cup Winners

2018 – BELLSHILL (4/1)
2017 – SIZING JOHN (9/10 fav)
2016 – CARLINGFORD LOUGH (12/1)
2015 – DON COSSACK (5/2)
2014 – BOSTON BOB (5/2 fav)
2013 – SIR DES CHAMPS (2/1 fav)
2012 –CHINA ROCK (20/1)
2011 – FOLLOW THE PLAN (20/1)
2010 – PLANET OF SOUND (14/1)
2009 – NOTRE PERE (15/8 fav)
2008 – NEPTUNE COLLONGES (9/10 fav)
2007 – NEPTUNE COLLONGES (8/1)
2006 – WAR OF ATTRITION (4/5 fav)
2005 – KICKING KING (8/11 fav)
2004 – BEEF OF SALMON (5/4 fav)
2003 – FIRST GOLD (7/4 fav)

Punchestown Gold Cup Betting Trends

13/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/16 – Aged 8 or younger
12/16 – Irish-trained winners
11/16 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
9/16 – Had run in that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
8/16 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – Ran in the Cheltenham Gold Cup last time out
6/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 6/1
7 of the last 14 favourites have won
Eight of the last 11 Irish-trained favourites have won
Since 1999 only 2 Irish-trained winners hadn’t won at the course before
8 of the last 20 winners had run in that season’s John Durkan Memorial Chase

6.40 – RACING POST Champion INH Flat Race (Grade 1) (4-7yo) 2m

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3 winning favourites in the last 14 years (1 joint)
13 of the last 15 were aged 5 or older
The Cheltenham Champion Bumper has produced 14 winners since 1992
14 of the last 27 winners finished 6th or better in the Weatherbys Champion Bumper (Cheltenham)
26 of the last 27 winners had raced 2 or more times before
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2
Not many mares have run in the race, but 4 have won it since 1994
Trainer Noel Meade won the race in 2004, 2006, 2007
Trainer Willie Mullins won the race in 2008, 2011, 2014, 2015, 2016 & 2018
Patrick Mullins rode the winner in 2008, 2011, 2012 & 2015
The Irish have won 13 of the last 15 runnings

 

DAY THREE – Thursday 2nd May 2019

4.50 – Mogey Communications La Touche Cup Cross Country Chase (5yo+) 4m1f

6 winning favourites in the last 13 years (3 join/co)
Trainer Enda Bolger has won 13 of the last 20 runnings
10 of the last 13 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8 of the last 13 carried 12-2 or more
10 of the last 13 winners were aged 9 or older
5 of the last 13 winners ran in the race 12 months ago
20 of the last 24 winners returned 7/1 or shorter
10 of the last 13 winners ran in the Cheltenham Festival Cross Country race

 

5.30 - Ladbrokes.com Champion Stayers’ Hurdle (Grade 1) (4yo+) 3m

Past Ladbrokes.com Champion Stayers Hurdle Winners

2018 – FAUGHEEN (11/2)
2017 – UNOWHATIMEANHARRY (4/1)
2016 – ONE TRACK MIND (10/1)
2015 – JEZKI (5/2)
2014 – JETSON (20/1)
2013 – QUEVEGA (6/4 fav)
2012 – QUEVEGA (11/10 fav)
2011 – QUEVEGA (8/11 fav)
2010 – QUEVEGA (5/2 fav)
2009 – FIVEFORTHREE (5/4 fav)
2008 – BLAZING BAILEY (10/3 fav)
2007 – REFINEMENT (16/1)
2006 – ASAIN MAZE (8/13 fav)
2005 – CARLYS QUEST (25/1)
2004 – RHINESTONE COWBOY (5/2)
2003 – HOLY ORDERS (6/1)

Ladbrokes Champion Stayers Hurdle Betting Trends

14/16 – Raced at the Cheltenham Festival earlier that season
13/16 – Placed in the top three last time out
12/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Aged 8 or younger
10/16 – Irish trained winners
9/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Winning favourites
7/16 – Trained by Willie Mullins
6/16 – Ran in the Aintree Hurdle last time out
5/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
5/16 – Ran in the OLBG Mares’ Hurdle last time out
Only one Stayers’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) winner in the last 19 runnings
14 of the last 16 winners ran at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The market leader has won 9 of the last 18 runnings
11 of the last 18 winners won their previous race
10 of the 22 runnings have been won by a British-trained horse
7 of the last 15 winners ran at Aintree’s Grand National Meeting last time out
10 of the last 16 winners had won a Grade One over 3m+ before

 

6.40 - Ryanair Novice Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m

6 winning favourites in the last 8 runnings
12 of the last 13 winners returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10 of the last 13 winners were aged 7 or older (only 5 of the last 22 aged 6 or younger)
8 of the last 13 were aged either 7 or 8 years-old
21 of the last 23 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
8 of the last 13 winners ran in the Arkle Chase (Cheltenham) that same season
UK-based trainers have won 4 of the last 10 times they have had runners
14 of the last 15 winners had run at least 4 times over fences previously
Willie Mullins trained the winner in 2009, 2013, 2015, 2016, 2017 & 2018

 

DAY FOUR – Friday 3rd May 2019

5.30 – BETDAQ PUNCHESTOWN CHAMPION HURDLE (GRADE 1) 2m

7 of the last 14 favourites (1 joint) have won
7 of the last 12 winners won last time out
11 of the last 12 winners finished in the top 3 last time out
12 of the last 14 winners were aged 6 or older
11 of the last 20 winners ran in that season’s Champion Hurdle
The current Champion Hurdler is yet to finish out of the top two when running
11 of the last 14 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
Willie Mullins trained the winner in 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2015, 2016 & 2017
6 of the last 8 winners returned odds-on in the betting
Ruby Walsh rode the winner in 2011, 2012, 2013, 2015 & 2016
13 of the last 14 winners were Irish-trained

6.05 – TATTERSALLS IRELAND CHAMPION NOVICE HURDLE (GRADE 1) 2m4f

9 of the last 14 favourites have won
8 of the last 14 winners were aged 5 years-old
12 of the last 14 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
Willie Mullins has won 9 of the last 17 runnings
13 of the last 18 winners won last time out
Since 1996 all-bar-two of the winners were aged either 5 or 6 years-old

 

DAY FIVE – Saturday 4th May 2019

4.25 – AES CHAMPION FOUR YEAR-OLD HURDLE (GRADE 1) 2m

5 winning favourites in the last 14 runnings
13 of the last 14 winners returned 15/2 or shorter
Ruby Walsh has ridden 3 of the last 6 winners
Willie Mullins trained the winner in 2006, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017 & 2018
12 of the last 13 winners ran in that season’s Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham)
6 of the last 11 winners ran in that season’s Spring Juvenile Hurdle
9 of the last 21 runnings went to a British-trained horse
Owner Rich Ricci has won the last two runnings

 

 

 

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Chester TV Trends: Weds 8th May 2019

The three-day 2019 Chester May Meeting kicks-off on Wednesday 8th May with four LIVE races on ITV - We've got key contests like the Lily Agnes Stakes, Cheshire Oaks and Chester Vase covered with all the key trends and stats.

 

CHESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS

1.50 - Stellar Group Lily Agnes Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 5f16y ITV

17/17 – Had a recent run that season
16/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/17 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
13/17 - Had won over 5f before
13/17 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Won last time out
10/17 – Horses from stall 2 finished in the top 3
9/17 – Came from stalls 1-3
6/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 - Came from stall 1 (but none in the last 12 years)
3/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston (3 of the last 5 years)
2/17 – Trained by Tom Dascombe (2 of last 9 years)
2/17 – Trained by David Evans
The horse from stall 5 has won 4 of the last 12 runnings

 

2.25 - Arkle Finance Cheshire Oaks (for the Robert Sangster Memorial Cup) (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f79y ITV

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15/17 - Had not won over this trip (or further) before
15/17 – Had a previous run that season
14/17 - Favourites that finished in the top three
12/17 - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/17 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
8/17 – Won their last race
5/17 – Winners from stall 4
6/17 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
4/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Trained by John Gosden
2/17 – Winners (Light Shift) that went onto win the Epsom Oaks
None of the last 17 winners had run at Chester before


3.00 -
Boodles Diamond Handicap Cl2 5f16y ITV

17/17 – Winners from stall 7 or lower
16/17 - Had won before over this trip
13/17 - Carried 8-11 or less
14/17 - Winners came from stalls 1-4
11/17 - Had run before that season
10/17 - Favourites that finished in the top three
7/17 - Returned a double-figure price
7/17 - Had won before at Chester
2/17 – Trained by Eric Alston
3/17 – Won their last race
2/17 – Winning favourites
The last 11 winners returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting


3.35 – MBNA Chester Vase Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 (3yo) 1m4 1/4f ITV

16/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Finished third or better last time out
13/17 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd in this race
14/17 – Had a previous run that season
12/17 - Went onto finish 7th or better in the Epsom Derby
9/17 – Didn’t win their previous race
9/17 – Came from stalls 1 or 2
8/17 – Winning favourites
8/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (5 of last 6 winners)
7/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (5 of last 6 winners)
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
Just one winner in the last 17 years went onto win the Epsom Derby winner (2013 – Ruler Of The World),
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 27th April 2019

We've LIVE racing for  Bet365 Gold Cup day at Sandown Park this Saturday as the curtain comes down on another jumps season, while the ITV cameras are also heading to Leicester & Haydock for a couple more races

So, as always here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RUK)

1.50 - bet365 Novices’ Championship Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m110y ITV

One previous running
Ballymoy (Nigel Twiston-Davies) 13/2 jfav won the race in 2018
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 29% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 29% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Alan King has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is 0 from 35 with his hurdlers at the track

2.25 - bet365 Oaksey Chase (Grade Two) (for The Menorah Challenge Trophy) Cl1 2m6f ITV

Just 5 previous running
Menorah (Owned by Diana Whateley) won the race in 2014, 2015, 2016 & 2017
5/5 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
5/5 – Officially rated 161-169 (inc)
4/5 – Irish bred
4/5 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
4/5 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/5 – Ran at Aintree last time out
Top Notch (4/5 fav) won the race in 2018
The average SP in the last 5 runnings is 11/4
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 24% record with his chasers at the track

3.00 - bet365 Celebration Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

16/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/16 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Aged 9 or younger
14/16 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
13/16 – Came from the top three in the betting
13/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
12/16 – Had raced at Sandown (fences) before
11/16 – Rated 160 or higher
9/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/16 – Irish bred
6/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Winning favourite
4/16 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won it 5 times in all)
4/16 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/16 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/16 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville
2/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/16 – Ridden by Jamie Moore
1/16 – Irish-trained winners
Altior won the race in 2017 & 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1
Jockey Daryl Jacob has a 31% record riding over fences at the track

3.35 - bet365 Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV

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16/16 – Had raced in the last 56 days
15/16 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
13/16 – Carried 11-0 or less
13/16 – Had won over 3m or further before
12/16 – Aged 9 or younger
11/16 - Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Had raced in the last 25 days
9/16 – Officially rated 140 or higher
9/16 – Came from the top 7 in the betting market
8/16 – Finished 4th or worse last time out
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Ran in the Aintree Grand National last time out
2/16 – Ran in the Scottish Grand National last time out
2/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/16 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
0/16 – Winning favourites
Step Back (7/1) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 14/1

Other Key Bet365 Gold Cup Facts

The last winning favourite was Beau in 2000
Just one 6 year-old winner since 1959
23 of the last 28 (82%) winners carried less than 11st
8 year-olds have won 6 of the last 15 runnings (40%)
12 of the last 16 (75%) winners were aged 7, 8 or 9 years-old
Trainer Paul Nicholls has won the race 4 times


HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Old Boston Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged 5 or younger
5/6 – Carried between 8-7 and 9-5 in weight
5/6 – Came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
5/6 – Won over 7f in the past
5/6 – Didn’t win last time out
4/6 – Irish bred
3/6 – Rated between 96-100 (inc)
3/6 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/6 – Winning favourites
Safe Voyage (14/1) win the race in 2018
Trainer William Haggas has won race in 2016 and 2017
Trainer Richard Hannon won the race in 2015
Trainer Roger Fell has a 22% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track

LEICESTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RUK)

2.45 – EBF Stallions King Richard III Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 7f ITV

10/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
9/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Winners from stalls 2-5 (inc)
8/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/10 – Won at least twice in the past
8/10 – Had won over 7f in the past
8/10 – Irish bred winners
7/10 – Last ran 2+ months ago
7/10 – Officially rated 107 or higher
7/10 – Didn’t win last time out
6/10 – Unplaced last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Hugo Palmer
2/10 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
Emmaus (9/4 fav) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 3/1
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has a 31% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

 

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Sandown TV Trends: Fri 26th April 2019

Plenty to look forward to this Friday as the ITV cameras head to Sandown Park for their opening day of their two-day mixed flat and jumps meeting. We get going on Friday (26th April) with four LIVE flat races on the card that include the Bet365 Mile, Classic Trial, Gordon Richard Stakes and the Esher Cup.

As always, here at GeeGeez.co.uk we’ve got it all covered with the key trends, plus our tips on each of the LIVE races.

 

 

SANDOWN HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.50 - bet365 Esher Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV4

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16/16 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
16/16 – Had won no more than twice before
14/16 – Never raced at Sandown before
13/16 – Had won just once before
12/16 – Had between 2-4 runs before
12/16 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
12/16 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
10/16 – Had won over at least 1 mile before
9/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
7/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Raced at Kempton last time out
3/16 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
2/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Trained by the Hannon stable
2/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

 

2.25 - bet365 Gordon Richards Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV4

15/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/16 – Officially rated 110 or higher
14/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Had won a Group race before
13/16 – Had won at least twice (UK) before
11/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/16 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
7/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
7/16 – Irish bred
5/16 – Had run at Sandown before
5/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Ridden by James Doyle
Crystal Ocean (Evs) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2

 

3.00 - bet365 Classic Trial (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV4

13/15 – Won between 1-3 times before
13/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Never raced at Sandown before
11/15 – Had won over at least 1m before
10/15 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
9/15 – Irish bred winners
8/15 – Raced at Leopardstown (2), Curragh (2) or Newbury (4) last time out
7/15 – Horses drawn in stall 4 that finished in the first 3
7/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Trained by John Gosden
3/15 – Winners from stall 4
3/15 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/15 – Ridden by William Buick
2/15 – Winners from stall 3
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

3.35 - bet365 Mile (Group 2) Cl1 1m14y ITV4

14/15 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Had won a Group race before
12/15 – Had won over a mile before
11/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Had won 5 or more times before
11/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
9/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Aged 4 years-old
8/15 – Trained by the Hannon stable
7/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Horses drawn in stall 3 that finished second
5/15 – Had run at Sandown before
4/15 – Previous Group One winners
3/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Trained by David O’Meara
2/15 – Won by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Won by a previous winner of the race
3 of last 8 winners have come from stall 1
Addeybb (6/4 fav) the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 20th April 2019

It’s been a busy week for the ITV Racing cameras, but there us no let-up as the LIVE Saturday action continues from Musselburgh and Haydock.

We’ve a flat card at Musselburgh, with the competitive Scottish Sprint Cup the feature, among four LIVE races – did you know 11 of the last 15 Scottish Sprint Cup winners carried 9-1 or less in weight?

Then at Haydock we are jumping with three LIVE races on their Challenger Series Final day.

Plenty to look forward to and, as always, we’ve got it all covered with all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races.


Musselburgh Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)


1.50 - Easter Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-95) 7f ITV4

Two previous runnings
Lualiwa (Kevin Ryan) won the race in 2018
Twin Appeal (David Baron) won the race in 2017
Last two winners from stalls 3 & 4
Last two winners carried between 9-3 and 9-4
Last two winners priced between 11/2 and 6/1
Trainer Garry Moss has a 50% record (5 from 10) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Rebecca Bastiman has a 19% record (15 from 78) with her 4+ year-olds at the track
The average winning SP in the last 2 runnings is 6/1

2.25 - Royal Mile Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 1m ITV4

Only 4 previous runnings
Trainers William Haggas, John Quinn, Richard Fahey and Mark Johnston are the past winners
All previous winners carried between 8-0 and 8-12
All previous winners rated between 81-86 (inc)
All previous winners came from stalls 2-6 (inclusive)
All previous winners were placed in the top 4 last time out
3 of the last 4 winners won this off a 5+month break
3 of the last 4 winners returned between 6/1 and 11/1
3 of the last 4 winners won last time out
No winning favourite yet
Trainer Mark Johnston has a 22% strike-rate (21 from 94) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey has a 21% strike-rate (17 from 81) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Iain Jardine is just 1 from 42 with his 3 year-olds at the track.
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 10/1


3.00 – Scottish Sprint Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+) 5f ITV4

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14/15 – Won over 5f before
12/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 5
12/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/15 -  Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/15 – Had won between 2-5 times before
9/15 – Came from a double-figure stall
8/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
6/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Bryan Smart
2/15 – Trained by Mick Appleby
Line Of Reason (11/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 16/1
Trainer Mick Appleby has a 29% (6 from 21) record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 4 from 62 with his older horses at the track

3.35 Queen’s Cup Stakes (A Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4 yo+) 1m6f ITV4

Only 4 previous runnings
Trainers, Jim Goldie, Brian Ellison, John Patrick Shananhan & Archie Watson are the past winners
All 4 winners returned a double figure price (10/1 to 16/1)
All 4 winners DIDN’T win last time out
All 4 winners aged between 5-7 years-old
No winning favourites as yet
3 of the last 4 winners draw between 3-4 (inc)
3 of the last 4 winners carried 8-12 or less in weight
Trainer Archie Watson has a 60% (3 from 5) record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Karl Burke has a 33% (3 from 9) record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 12.5/1

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)


2.05 – Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 1m7f ITV4

Three previous runnings
Trainers Nigel Twiston-Davies, Tom George and Donald McCain have won the race before
All 3 previous winners carried 10-4 or less in weight
All 3 previous winners returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
All 3 winners ran 1 ½ months or less ago
All 3 winners rated between 115-119 (inc)
All 3 winners DIDN’T win last time out
2 of the 3 winners were ridden by conditional claiming jockeys
Trainer Donald McCain is just 6 from 58 (10%) with his hurdlers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 8/1

2.40 – Challenger Staying Chase Series Final Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 3m 1 1/2f ITV4

Three previous runnings
Trainers Lucy Wadham, Alan King and Tom George have won the race before
No winning favourite yet
All 3 winners aged between 8-10 years-old
All 3 winners carried between 11-0 and 11-10
All 3 winners ran within the last month
All 3 winners rated between 125-132
All 3 winners DIDN’T win last time out
Trainer Tom George is just 2 from 22 with his chasers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 12/1

3.15 – Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Final Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 3m 1/2f ITV4

Three previous runnings
Trainers Nick Williams, Jonjo O’Neill and Stuart Edmunds have won this race before
No winning favourite as yet
All 3 winners placed in the top 3 last time out
All 3 winners ran within the last 2 months
All 3 winners aged 6 or 7 years-old
All 3 winners returned between 8/1 and 16/1
2 of the 3 winners carried 10-9 or less
Trainer Emma Lavelle has a 33% record (5 from 15) with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Ben Pauling has a 50% record (2 from 4) with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Henry Daly is 0 from 14 with his hurdlers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 12/1

 

 

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Newmarket Craven Meeting TV Trends (Tues 16th-Weds 17th April)

More LIVE ITV horse racing action this midweek as the cameras head to flat racing’s HQ – Newmarket – to take in four races on Tuesday (16th April) and Wednesday (17th April).
Several early season Classic pointers to take in over the week with the Nell Gwyn and Craven Stakes both key trials ahead of the 1,000 and 2,000 Guineas run at the track next month.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with the key trends, plus our tips on each of the LIVE races.

 

Tuesday 16th April 2019

1.50 – 6f (Row) Weatherbys Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+) ITV4

Just three previous running
Trainer Ed Walker won the 2018 running
Trainer Charles Hills won the 2017 running
Trainer Kevin Ryan won the 2016 running
2 of the last 3 winners were aged 4 years-old
No winning favourite yet
Trainer Kevin Ryan is 6 from 26 (23%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Amanda Perrett is 4 from 17 (24%) with her older horses at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is just 1 from 48 (2%) with his older horses at the track

2.25 – 7f (Row) bet365 European Free Handicap (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4

12/12 – Had won between 1-2 times before
11/12 – Rated between 101 and 108
11/12 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Raced at Kempton, Newmarket, Ascot or Newbury last time out
11/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Last ran 5 ½ or longer months ago
10/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
9/12 – Drawn in stalls 2-6 (inc)
7/12 – Yet to win over 7f
4/12 – Won by the Hills stable
5/12 – Winning favourites
5/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/12 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

3.00 – 1m1f – bet365 Feilden Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4

9/10 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Top three finish last time out
9/10 – Had run 5+ months ago
9/10 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/10 – Had won over at least 1m before
7/10 – Favourites placed
7/10 – Winners that came between stalls 2-4 (inc)
5/10 – Won last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Winners from stall 4
2/10 – Trained by John Gosden
2/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/10 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

 

3.35 - 7f (Row) Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4

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15/16 – Were having their first run of the season
13/16 – Had won between 1-2 times previously
13/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/16 – Had only won over 6f or 7f before
11/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race in the past
8/16 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley)
8/16 – Had won over 7f before
7/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (won it 7 times in all)
4/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/16 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas
3 of the last 8 winners came from stall 11
No real draw advantage with the last 10 winners coming from stalls 1 to 13
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

 

Wednesday 17th April 2019

1.50 – 6f (Row) bet365.com Handicap (Class 2) (3yo)

12/12 – Had won over 6f before
11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
10/12 – Came from stall 8 or lower
10/12 – Rated between 86-93 (inc)
9/12 – Had between 1-4 previous runs
9/12 – Won after 5 ½ months or more off
9/12 – Had won just once before
9/12 – Carried 8-13 or less
7/12 – Won from stalls 2, 6 or 8
7/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/12 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/12 – Ridden by Silvestre de Sousa
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

2.25 – 6f (Row) bet365 Wood Ditton Maiden Stakes (Class 3) (3yo)

10/10 – Having their debut runs
9/10 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
8/10 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Favourites placed
7/10 – Winning distance less than a length
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/10 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/10 – Trained by William Haggas
0/10 – Winners from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

3.00 – 6f (Row) Connaught Access Flooring Abernant Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)

12/12 – Won over 6f before
11/12 – Aged 4 or older
11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
9/12 – Rated between 106 and 114
9/12 – Ran 5 months or more ago
9/12 – Had run at Newmarket before
9/12 – Won at least 4 times before
8/12 – Favourites placed in the top three
8/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/12 – Aged between 4 or 5 years-old
7/12 – Irish bred
4/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/12 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/12 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/12 – Won by the Hills stable
0/12 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
Brando won the race 12 months ago and in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1

3.35 - 1m (Row) bet365 Craven Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) (Class 1) (3yo)

15/16 – Having their first run of the season
14/16 – Rated 110 or higher
13/16 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
12/16 – Came from the top three in the betting
12/16 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Had won over 7f before
11/16 – Yet to win over a mile
11/16 – Had won no more than twice before
10/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
9/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
8/16 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (3 won)
7/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon (including last 4 of last 7 runnings)
4/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
1/16 – Irish-trained winners
1/16 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 5/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 13th April 2019

As we head deeper into April, this Saturday we’ve another big day of horse racing with the ITV cameras heading to both Newbury and Ayr for a mixture of both flat and jumping action. The Grand National bandwagon rolls into Scotland as Ayr racecourse hosts the Scottish Grand National, while they’ve also three supporting races that include the Scottish Champion Hurdle.

Did you know, ALL of the last 16 Scottish National winners ran within the last 57 days, while 14 of the last 16 were aged 8 or older?

That’s not all - the ITV cameras are also at Newbury, as the new flat turf season ramps up another notch with their Greenham Meeting – we’ve four races for flat fans from the Berkshire track.

So, as always here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle - use the key trends to help whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK/ITV)

1.40 – Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Stakes (Registered As The John Porter Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

16/16 – Aged 6 or younger
16/16 – Had won over 1m4f (or further) before
16/16 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Had won between 2-5 times before
14/16 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
13/16 – Having their first run of the season
13/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
10/16 – Had raced at Newbury before
10/16 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
8/16 – Drawn 6 or higher
7/16 – Had won a Group race before
5/16 – Raced at Newbury last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/16 – Winning favourites
Defoe won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford


2.10 –Dubai Duty Free Stakes (Registered As The Fred Darling Stakes) (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

14/16 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
14/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
14/16 – Had won between 1-2 times before
13/16 – Having their first run of the season
13/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Came from the top three in the betting
12/16 – Drawn 5 or higher
8/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
8/16 – Had won over 7f before
8/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Had won at Newbury before
5/16 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
4/16 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
4/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/16 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/16 – Trained by the Hannon stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford


2.40– Watership Down Stud Greenham Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f ITV

 

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15/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had won at either 6f or 7f before
14/16 – Having their first run of the season
13/16 – Won at Listed class or better before
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Won between 2-4 times before
11/16 – Finished in the top two last time out
11/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
8/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Had won a Group race before
7/16 – Had won over 7f before
7/16 – Winning favourites
7/16 – Had won a race at Newbury before
6/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/16 – Irish-trained
2/16 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford


3.15 – MansionBet Spring Cup (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

 

16/16 – Aged 6 or younger
16/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/16 – Won no more than 4 times before
14/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/16 – Rated between 85-98
13/16 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
13/16 – Won over at least 1m before
13/16 – Won between 2-4 times before
10/16 – Carried 8-12 or less
10/16 – Unplaced last time out
9/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
7/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/16 – Had run at Newbury before
3/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of last 4)
2/16 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer (2 of last 5)
2/16 – Trained by Luca Cumani
1/16 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1
Note: The 2016 renewal was staged at Chelmsford

 

AYR HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK/ITV)

 

1.25 – Scotty Brand Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV

15/16 – Aged 9 or younger
15/16 – Had won over at least 2m (chase) before
14/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had won between 2-4 times (chase) before
14/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
12/16 – Rated between 127-139
11/16 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
11/16 – Finished in the top four last time out
11/16 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
11/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – French bred
10/16 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
8/16 – Had run at Ayr before
4/16 – Ran at Aintree last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (including last 2 years)
Theinval won the race 12 months ago
Duke Of Navan won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

1.55 – J & D Pierce Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV

11/11 – Last race 6 weeks or less ago
11/11 – Won no more than 3 times over fences (under rules)
10/11 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
9/11 – Favourites placed in the top 5
8/11 - Aged 7 years-old
8/11 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/11 – Had won over 3m (fences) in the past
6/11 – Irish-trained winners
4/11 – French bred winners
3/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Winning favourites
No real weight trend with winners in the last 11 years ranging from 10-0 to 11-11
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

2.25 – CPMS Scottish Champion Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl2 2m ITV

16/16 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
14/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
14/16 – Carried 10-13 or less
13/16 – Had won between 2-4 times over hurdles before
13/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
13/16 – Aged 7 or younger
11/16 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Rated 137 or higher
10/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/16 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
9/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
7/16 – Irish bred
5/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Ran at Aintree last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites (joint)
3/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/16 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/16 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

3.00 – Jordan Electrics Ltd Future Champion Novices´ Chase Grade 2 Cl1 2m4f110y ITV

16/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/16 – Aged 8 or younger
15/16 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
15/16 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
8/16 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/16 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
6/16 – Raced at Aintree last time out
6/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
5/16 – Had raced at Ayr before
4/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Richards
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

3.35 – Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 4m110y ITV

16/16 – Last ran 57 days or less ago
14/16 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
14/16 – Aged 8 or older
13/16 – Fallen or unseated no more than once during their careers
13/16 - Irish or French bred
12/16 – Carried 10-9 or less
12/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/16 – Finished in the first three last time out
11/16 – Aged between 8-10 years-old
10/16 – Came from the first 7 in the betting market
10/16 – Had won over 3m1f or further
10/16 – Last raced between 30-57 days ago
6/16 - Had won (fences) at Ayr before
5/16 – Had won over 3m7f or further before
5/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Returned 15/2 in the betting
2/16 – Ran in the Grimthorpe Chase (Doncaster) last time out
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 3 winners)
1/16 – Winning favourites
2 of the last 7 winners were won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 21/1

 

 

 

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