Daily Double Dutch reports from Geegeez: detailed write-ups, statistics and information on Geegeez’s own horse betting project. Read on to find out more.

Double Dutch, 9th September 2013

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 9th September 2013

Sod's Law struck yesterday to deny us our first winning double of this trial. Race 1 provided us with a nice 4/1 BOG (3/1 SP) winner in the shape of Lancelot du Lac who got home under a patient ride from Jim Cowley and further boosted trainer Dean Ivory's record at York. This was after Hoofalong had reared up in the stalls and relieved himself of his jockey before the race was even underway!

Our second race saw me go with Safe Investment, who was anything but. He was disappointing and needed reminders from a long way out. He plugged on and eventually got home in 4th place, some 26 lengths behind the eventual winner 2/1 Chestnut Ben. And this is where Sod's Law struck. Chestnut Ben was on my shortlist of three, but discarded based on his recent inability to get his nose in front and also because I didn't want to be seen continually backing the top two in the market.

As it was, I went with Wak A Turtle, who finished third at 7/1. His jumping did improve, but he simply wasn't good enough on the day. Hindsight's a wonderful thing and whilst we could have been celebrating an 11/1 maiden double success, we actually lost another couple of points.

Yesterday's results were as follows:

Lancelot du Lac : won
Hoofalong : unseated rider
---------------------------------
Wak A Turtle : 3rd
Safe Investment : 4th

Your first 30 days for just £1

Trial to date:

3 winners from 14 = 21.43%Stakes: 7.5pts
Returns: 1.6pts

P/L : -5.90pts (-78.67% ROI)

Battered and bruised, but undeterred of course as we move in to a new week starting with the...

3.10 Huntingdon

Tiny Tenor should be the one to beat here and his 11/4 tag suggests that the bookies feel the same way. he's a lightly raced 7 yr old with just six starts to his name (all between May 2012 and 3rd March 2013).

He has changed yard since his last run, but Nick Scholfield has already been on board for three of those six starts, so there's some familiarity there and although he is yet to record a victory, he progressed nicely before his break and a return to that level should be enough here.

If however, he doesn't get home, then he's likely to have the likes of Odin, Alwaystheoptimist and West Brit at his heels and from those three, it's Odin that i have a slight preference for.

Odin is currently available at 9/2 and is a dual code winner. His two wins on the flat last summer will ensure plenty of pace between the hurdles and since switching codes has been a model of consistency with finishes of 41232.

It should also be noted that his trainer Don Cantillon has an excellent record here at Huntingdon with 17 winners from 51 over obstacles.

4.20 Perth

I find very little to separate Outrageous Request and Endeavor, but I do have a slight leaning towards the former. Outrageous Request was a course and distance winner two races ago and can be excused the 4th place over C&D last time out, when he ran from 7lbs out of the handicap.

Endeavor is no stranger to the winners' enclosure, having won 9 of his previous 37 races over hurdles and has been pretty consistent this year, winning four of his eleven races and never failing to finish in the first four home.

There's little to choose between them in the market either, with BOG odds of 3/1 and 4/1 respectively.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Tiny Tenor / Outrageous Request @ 15.00 with BetVictor
Tiny Tenor / Endeavor @ 18.75 with BetFred
Odin / Outrageous Request @ 22.00 with Stan James
Odin / Endeavor @ 25.00 with Betfred

Double Dutch, 8th September 2013

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 8th September 2013

Don't worry, I've not given up on this just yet, despite yesterday's poor showing. A combination of an alarm that didn't ring, a traffic tailback and a dearth of decent racing have combined to make me several hours later than I'd like with this post. It's not even an interesting story, so I'll not bore you with the details!

Yesterday's results were as follows:

Bennys Quest : 2nd
Synthe Davis : 3rd
---------------------------------
Al Kazeem : 2nd
Declaration of War : non-runner

Your first 30 days for just £1

Another non-runner and just a pair of runners-up was the best I could manage, I'm afraid, but today is another day and we swiftly move onto today's first race which is the...

4.40 York

At the risk of becoming predictable, I really cannot see the winner coming from outside the top two in the market and although odds of around 4/1 for both of Hoofalong and Lancelot du Lac are a little longer than I'd usually put in these double, I feel they represent an excellent chance of us taking a decent stake into our second race. I saw Can You Conga as the main threat but hat horse is now also a non-runner. Several of the remainder of the field are well held on form in races against my chosen pair.

Hoofalong looked good in defeat at the recent Ebor meeting at York and should be a major player stepping down in class today, whilst Lancelot du Lac was very impressive whilst winning at Newmarket at this level last time out, so both horses come here in good heart and good nick. It should also be noted that Dean Ivory (trainer of Lancelot du Lac) has a record of 4 wins and 4 places in handicap races at York in the last two years.

5.20 Fontwell

I chose this race because I really fancy the chances of Safe Investment here. Lawney Hill's yard is in really good form at present with four of her last six runners all winning and she looks set to improve that run here. Her entry in this race has already finished second and then won here over course and distance in the last month and as such, Safe Investment looks to live up to his name this afternoon at odds of around 3/1, which then leaves with the task of finding the best back-up plan!

It then basically comes down to a choice between the 2/1 favourite Chestnut Ben and 7/1 shot Wak A Turtle. I have misgivings over the pair of them. Chestnut Ben is consistent, but he's a consistent loser. It's eighteen months and twelve races since he last won and despite finishing second four times and third five times in his last ten outings, he just can't get home first. A further 4lb rise for his latest run will do him no favours, either.

Wak A Turtle has only had one try over the larger obstacles, when he was second over today's course and distance. His jumping left a little to be desired that day and he was badly hampered on a couple of occasions, but still got himself home in second place, going down by just six lengths to the useful and far more experienced Cinevator. A better round of jumping today could see him go very close at a nice price indeed.

All things considered, both Chestnut Ben and Wak A Turtle have about as much chance as each other, so I'm opting for value with Wak A Turtle at 7/1.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Hoofalong/ Safe Investment @ 20.00 with Paddy Power
Hoofalong/ Wak A Turtle @ 40.00 with Ladbrokes
Lancelot du Lac/ Safe Investment @ 20.00 with Coral
Lancelot du Lac/ Wak A Turtle @ 37.50 with Coral

Double Dutch, 7th September 2013

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 7th September 2013

Yesterday's results were as follows:

Big Johnny D : won
Purcell : non-runner
---------------------------------
Handsome Ransom : unplaced
Good Speech : non-runner

We were blighted by non-runners yesterday, I'm afraid. Two of our selections were withdrawn, leaving us with 2 x 0.5pt singles and 1 double. Big Johnny D duly obliged in race 1, but the 11/4 price was reduced to 11/5 after a 20p Rule 4 deduction, whilst Handsome Ransom was very disappointing, trailing home last of the four runners in race 2.

All of which meant that we had a 1.6pt return from a 1.5pt outlay for a small 6.67% profit on the day.

We have to wait until tea time onwards for today's selections starting with the...

5.05 Stratford

Where Synthe Davis looks to be in good nick of late, winning very comfortably at Fontwell two starts ago, before putting in a very good show to finish fourth at Worcester in a far stronger race. She'll be suited by the drop back in trip today and would have looked a good bet at up to 100/30, had it not been for the presence of Bennys Quest.

Bennys Quest is having an Indian summer at the age of 10 and has relished the move to Neil Mulholland's yard, finishing 3211 in his four races for his new trainer. A 4lb rise for his latest win looks quite lenient, especially as the runner-up from that race then went on to win by 6 lengths next time out. Best price for Bennys Quest is currently 5/4.

6.50 Leopardstown

The Irish Champion Stakes is the latest instalment of the battle royale featuring Al Kazeem and Declaration of War amongst others. And despite this being a top quality field, it's hard to see the winner coming from outside these two runners. Al Kazeem currently leads 2-1 and the presence of rain to slightly soften the current good to firm track will play further into Al Kazeem's hand whilst hopefully negating Trading Leather's chances further.

So, it's Al Kazeem & Declaration of War for me at  5/2  and 11/4 respectively.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Al Kazeem/ Bennys Quest @ 7.88 with BetVictor
Al Kazeem/ Synthe Davis @ 15.16 with Coral
Declaration of War/ Bennys Quest @ 7.88 with Stan James
Declaration of War/ Synthe Davis @ 16.24 with Coral / Stan James

Double Dutch, 6th September 2013

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 6th September 2013

We almost got off to a flyer yesterday with these results:

Five Out of Five : 3rd
Amuse Me : won
---------------------------------
Ghanaian : 2nd
Floating Along : 3rd

All of which meant we were just a neck away from landing a 10.38/1 double on Day 1 and we're hoping to get closer today, although the caveat with these feature is that we expect a fairly low strike rate at odds like that!

I've selected two races from nearby (to me, anyway!) Haydock today starting with the...

4.30 Haydock

Where it's hard to look beyond the top two in the market, as Big Johnny D has been progressing nicely since dropping back down to 7f, recording back to back victories on both fast ground and ground with some "give", meaning he should be fine today.

The 13lb hike in the weights may, however, be the fly in the ointment, allowing Purcell to take advantage on his step up from 6 furlongs. He showed plenty of fight win last time out at Chester and with Ryan Moore on board, could win again.

These two are currently 11/4 (generally) and 4/1 (Ladbrokes & Coral) respectively.

5.00 Haydock

Which is a competitive 6 runner handicap, but once again the top to in the market should provide the winner. Handsome Ransom is currently the 5/2 favourite with Bet 365 and the manner of his victory last time out, accounting for The Cockney Sparrow was eye-catching to say the least. It unfortunately also caught the assessor's eye and this has resulted in a 9lb rise in the weights.

Which might just open the door for Good Speech, who races from 21lbs lower at the bottom of the card and was only narrowly defeated last time out at Thirsk. She shaped as though she might want further and providing she gets the extra 2f today, the 11/4 generally available might be a good thing.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Purcell / Handsome Ransom @ 15.16 with bet365
Big Johnny D / Handsome Ransom @ 12.25 with bet365
Purcell / Good Speech @ 16.88 with Betfred
Big Johnny D / Good Speech @ 14.06 with BetVictor

 

Double Dutch, 5th September 2013

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Today sees the first day of a 30-day trial of our new selection service, the Double Dutch.
Quite simply, we're going to try and narrow two races down to just two possible winners in each race.

We'll then place 4 x 0.5pts double bets on the possible permutations. We're very aware that this isn't true dutching, but we feel that to do so would get messy!

Our first selections for the Double Dutch, 5th September 2013 come from the...

3.25 Sedgefield

Where I'd expect Five Out Of Five to fully justify his current 9/4 (Stan James) favourite status, He won comfortably on his last two starts and looks to be the best jumper in this field. An 8lb rise shouldn't be enough to stop him today.

If, however, he does come undone, I'd expect Tony McCoy to be the instigator of his downfall on board Amuse Me. This horse isn't in the best of form at present, but based on past exploits, the fact he's been rested and also the jockey factor, he seems the pick of a bad bunch of challengers and currently trades at 3/1 with Betfred.

And in the 4.20 Salisbury,

I'm looking to an old friend Mickael Barzalona to come up trumps again on Ghanaian. This C&D winner is in excellent form, finishing in the first three in each of her last six races and looks a good bet at 5/2 BOG.

The main danger in my eyes is the in-form Floating Along, who'll look to get out early and ensure pace in the race. She has won three and finished second three times in her last races with two of those defeats seeing her go down by 0.75 lengths and a short head. She's always there or thereabouts and looks decent value here at 4/1.

4 x 0.5pt doubles as above, Stan James offers the best prices at 9/4, 5/2, 5/2 and 4/1 respectively.

Your first 30 days for just £1