Placepot Pointers – Tuesday March 28

HEXHAM – MARCH 28 

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £68.70 (6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced)

 

Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Hexham: 

Leg 1 (2.00): 4 (Storm Forecast) & 5 (Well Above Par)

Leg 2 (2.30): 3 (Verko), 4 (Silverton) & 5 (Oak Vintage)

Leg 3 (3.00): 1 (King Of Fashion) & 3 (Pinch Of Ginger)

Leg 4 (3.30): 7 (Modulus), 8 (Hollywood All Star) & 1 (Ryedale Racer)

Leg 5 (4.00): 1 (Gibbstown), 4 (Cleve Cottage) & 2 (Smuggler’s Stash)

Leg 6 (4.30): 8 (Dunly) & 9 (Teescomponents Lad)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.00: Malcolm Jefferson has saddled two of the last six winners and his soft ground Sedgefield winner STORM FORECAST is the first name on the team sheet accordingly, especially as Malcolm’s six year-old snared the silver medal in this event twelve months ago.  WELL ABOVE PAR is the obvious danger.

Favourite factor: Nine of the ten favourites have secured Placepot positions, statistics which include seven winners.  That said, the three beaten favourites were casualties when sent off at 1/3-8/15-5/6.  Nine of the tenwinners scored at a top price of 13/2.

 

2.30: Out of interest, the two outsiders in the field have received some support overnight, possibly suggesting that there is a lack of confidence in the market leaders is what appears to be a competitive event.  The outsiderd are listed in marginal order of preference as SILVERTON and OAK VINTAGE.  A more obvious winner in the field is VERKO from my viewpoint, with Micky Hammond’s eight-year-old completing my tentative trio against the other six contenders.

Favourite factor: Two of the three favourites have secured Placepot positions thus far, statistics which include an 11/4 winner.

Record of the course winners in the second race:

1/1—Master Rajeem (heavy)

1/4—Verko (good to soft)

 

3.00: Six and seven-year-olds have secured eight of the nine renewals to date and the trend can continue with seven-year-old KING OF FASHION seemingly only having to stay upright in order the snare the swag against just three rivals.  Donald McCain saddles PINCH OF GINGER however, with the stable always having to be respected at this venue (see figures below).  Out of interest, KING OF FASHION could have been named after yours truly because let’s face it, ‘hipsters’ invariably fit any occasion!

Favourite factor: Seven of the nine market leaders have finished in the frame (exact science), figures which include six successful favourites from a win perspective.

 

3.30: Eight-year-olds have secured four of the last eight contests, whilst eight of the nine winners in total carried a maximum weight of 11-5.  Putting the facts and stats together offers a short list of MODULUS, HOLLYWOOD ALL STAR and RYEDALE RACER.  Last year’s winner See Double You returns to defend his crown but at fourteen years of age, the Saddlers’ Hall raider looks up against it here, especially given his recent lack of form.

Favourite factor: Only three of the nine favourites have secured Placepot positions, albeit two of them won their respective events.

Record of the course winners in the fourth contest on the card:

2/5—Ryedale Racer (soft & heavy)

1/1—Vertigo (good)

4/12—Tikkandemicky (3 x heavy & good to soft)

2/3—See Double You (soft & heavy)

4/15—Beyond Temptation (2 x good to soft & 2 x heavy)

 

4.00: Six of the eight winners were burdened with a maximum of 11-1 and with returning title holder GIBBSTOWN running from the ‘superior’ sector of the handicap, the trend looks set to be extended.  Other of interest include CLEVE COTTAGE and SMUGGLER’S STASH.

Favourite factor: Six renewals have passed without a winning favourite being recorded, whilst four of the eight market leaders finished in the frame.

Record of the course winners in the fifth event:

3/6—Gibbstown (2 x soft & good to soft)

1/3—Smuggler’s Stash (heavy)

1/6—The Bishop (heavy)

1/2—Hattans Hill (soft)

 

4.30: Five-year-olds lead four-year-olds 5-4 during the last eleven years, with the ‘younger set’ on offer at 7/2 before any form is taken into consideration via the number of declarations.  Both the relevant entries DUNLY and TEESCOMPONENTS LAD hold definite chances from my viewpoint, especially from a Placepot perspective.

Favourite factor: Favourites have won five of the last eleven renewals, with seven of the thirteen market leaders having claimed Placepot positions.  The biggest priced winner during the study period was returned at just 6/1.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Hexham card on Tuesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:

4 runners—Lucinda Russell (6/40 – Profit of 12 points)

3—Kenny Johnson (0/12)

2—Nick Alexander (1/14 – loss of 11 points)

2—Ian Duncan (0/2)

2—Jonathan Haynes (3/20 – Profit of 2 points)

2—Malcolm Jefferson (5/17 – loss of 4 points)

2—Donald McCain (5/17—Profit of 4 points)

2—Lucy Normile (No previous runners)

2—Paul Stafford (0/7)

+ 25 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

46 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Southwell: £34.90 – 7 runners – 3 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced

Wolverhampton: 6 runners – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced

 

 

 

Placepot Pointers – Monday March 27

PLUMPTON – MARCH 27

 

Monday's Placepot permutation at Plumpton: 

Leg 1 (2.00): 5 (Ruwasi) & 4 (Little Chunk)

Leg 2 (2.30): 4 (He’s A Bully) & 2 (Oliver’s Hill)

Leg 3 (3.00): 10 (King Uther), 8 (Beau Du Brizais) & 11 (McKenzie’s Friend)

Leg 4 (3.30): 1 (Flashman), 5 (Alottarain) & 3 (No No Cardinal)

Leg 5 (4.00): 1 (Dragoon Guard), 6 (Landscape) & 8 (Goodnight Charlie)

Leg 6 (4.30): 1 (Code Of Law) & 3 (Killabrahar Cross)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

2.00: The early signs suggest that the trade press might have the two horses that appear to dominate the race the wrong way around in the betting, though it would not surprise yours truly if RUWASI and LITTLE CHUNK were eventually returned as joint favourites.  Connections of the pair seem to have little worries aside from each other and if I had to separate the two, I guess I would side with RUWASI with Little Chunk already having had four chance to score without success thus far.

 

2.30: Philip Hobbs (HE’S A BULLY) has saddled each of his last five runners to finish ‘in the three’, whilst the popular trainer has secured five winners during the last six days.  Philip’s eight-year-old representative secured his only victory to date under good to firm conditions, with similar ground potentially in the offing here if the sun gets to work as has been forecast today.  OLIVER’S HILL is also suited by such ground and this pair should certainly get us safely through to the third leg of our favourite wager.  The pair is listed in order of preference for those of you interested from a win perspective.

Record of the course winners in the second event:

1/2—Oliver’s Hill (good)

1/7—Frank N Fair (good)

 

3.00: Conditions seem to have gone against MCKENZIE’S FRIEND (2/2 at the venue) who would have been a definite player this time last week but as things stand, likelier winners include good to soft winner KING UTHER from the in-form yard of Chris Gordon and another Philip Hobbs raider on the card, namely BEAU DU BRIZAIS.  Chris boasts a March ratio of 12/21 (57% strike rate), figures which have produced 33 points of profit for level stake investors.

Record of the course winners in the third contest:

1/3—Authorized Too (soft)

2/2—McKenzie’s Friend (2 x soft)

1/3—Clondaw Bisto (heavy)

 

3.30: It remains to be seen if Goonjim is turned out again after Saturday’s weak effort at Stratford but either way, his heavy ground victory here at Plumpton on his penultimate start cuts little ice under today’s contrasting conditions.  Value for money might be found elsewhere accordingly, perhaps with FLASHMAN, ALOTTARAIN and NO NO CARDINAL heading the alternative options, certainly from a Placepot perspective.

Record of the course winners in the fourth race on the card:

1/4—Flashman (good to soft)

1/1—Goonjim (heavy)

 

4.00: DRAGOON GUARD is on offer at 5/1 right across the board at the time of writing, with layers not at all interested in laying a fraction above even money in place terms against the consistent six-year-old, from an each way perspective at least.  Others of interest include LANDSCAPE and GOODNIGHT CHARLIE.

Record of the course winners in the fifth event:

2/8—Ray Diamond (soft & heavy)

1/5—Saucysioux (heavy)

1/2—Yukon Delta (good)

 

4.30: Despite a five month break from the track, CODE OF LAW should take the beating here, with connections possibly having most to fear from the overpriced KILLABRAHAR CROSS who is a dual winner under good conditions.  This morning’s 16/1 quote makes for interesting each way/Placepot reading, albeit this is a ‘short field’ event.  New readers might like to know that the term ‘short field’ relates to 5/6/7 runners event in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way & Placepot perspectives.

Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:

2/6—Killabraham Cross (2 x good)

1/9—Kayflin (soft)

2/19—Goring Two (soft & heavy)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Plumpton card on Monday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:

6 runners—Gary Moore (10/54 – loss of 3 points)

3—Zoe Davison (1/11 – loss of 1 point)

3—Warren Greatrex (3/9 – Profit of 13 points)

3—Dina Grissell (0/21)

2—Nick Gifford (1/10 – Profit of 1 point)

2—Chris Gordon (6/22 – Profit of 5 points)

2—Paul Henderson (2/13 – loss of 6 points)

2—Philip Hobbs (4/7 – Slight profit)

2—Neil Mulholland (2/21 – loss of 13 points)

2—Seamus Mullins (0/12)

2—Anna Newton-Smith (0/15)

2—Jackie Du Plessis (0/2)

2—Suzy Smith (0/3)

+ 39 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

56 declared runners

 

 

 

Placepot Pointers – Sunday March 26

WINCANTON – MARCH 26

 

Sunday's Placepot permutation at Wincanton: 

Leg 1 (2.15): 1 (Azzuri) & 2 (Copain De Classe)

Leg 2 (2.45): 1 (Pressurize), 6 (Frampton) & 4 (Moss On The Mill)

Leg 3 (3.15): 2 (Misterton), 3 (Mister Buck’s) & 1 (Kayf Adventure)

Leg 4 (3.45): 2 (Charmix) & 1 (Antartica De Thaix)

Leg 5 (4.15): 3 (General Girling), 5 (How’s Vienna) & 1 (Shanann Star)

Leg 6 (4.45): 8 (Winningtry) & 3 (Bellamy)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

2.15: The ground should be drying out nicely whereby I would not be surprised if the “heavy in places” description is officially removed from the going report before flag fall.  Soft ground would be fine for AZZURI judged on his winning effort last time around and with Dan Skelton having saddled five winners during the last three days, AZZURI is taken to win the opener with something to spare over the likes of COPAIN DE CLASSE and Ruby Russet.

Favourite factor: This is a new meeting which often occurs at this time of year when the dates of the Easter weekend change on an annual basis.  If you are interested in such matters; have a look at the relevant numbers that follow.  If not; move on rapidly!  Easter Sunday cannot be celebrated before March 22 and never later that April 25.  Since 1800, Easter Sunday has only ever fallen on the first possible date on one occasion which was in 1818 – the next year it is due to fall on that day is in 2285, some 268 years from now. If bookmakers had their way, they would be offering 7/4 that Richard Johnson will ride a winner that day!  If you didn’t know before, you are now aware that I am a ‘numbers junkie’!

 

2.45: As far as the ground is concerned, Venetia Williams will not want the going to dry out too much for PRESSURIZE though with Charlie Deutsch stealing another three pounds from the officials, I still expect the top weight to score.  Charlie has only had one ‘outside ride’ since before the Cheltenham Festival began which is unbelievable from my viewpoint.  FRAMPTON could go well at a price after a long lay-off, whilst MOSS ON THE MILL is another contender in the mix.

Record of the course winners in the second race:

1/1—Pressurize (heavy)

1/4—Flaming Charmer (heavy)

 

3.15: Harry Fry has won with six of his last twelve runners whereby MISTERTON could prove to be the value for money call over MISTER BUCK’S and KAYF ADVENTURE.  All three relevant trainers (adding Paul Nicholls and Philip Hobbs respectively) saddled winners at Newbury on Saturday and the notion is to include all three runners into the Placepot equation for fear of this developing into a ‘win only’ event should a non-runner rear its ugly head.

 

3.45: A match in all but name here with CHARMIX and ANTARTICA DE THAIX having stones in hand of the other pair according to official ratings.  Both horses have won on soft ground and although the latter named Paul Nicholls raider is two pounds ‘well in’ accord to BHA numbers, I believe the horse which jumps the best here will prevail, pure and simple.

 

4.15: I cannot imagine (respectfully) that Simon Hodgson has enjoyed a better month than is currently the case, the trainer boasting March stats of 3/6, a ratio which has produced 65 points of level stake profit.  A local trainer from the wonderfully named Queen Camel village, Simon saddles his hat trick seeker GENERAL GIRLING with an obvious chance with juice still in the ground.  Seven pound claimer Mitchell Bastyan has ridden three winners from just eight opportunities over fences and I would imagine the whole village will be on parade this afternoon to hopefully witness another success for the team. Connections might have most to fear from HOW’S VIENNA and course winner SHANANN STAR.

Record of the course winners in the fifth race:

1/4—Shanann Star (soft)

1/5—General Girling (heavy)

 

4.45: WINNINGTRY should be able to amble round his local track to collect in the last leg of our favourite wager with only BELLAMY to beat from my viewpoint.  Paul Nicholls is looking to pick up some ‘cheap money’ here in his quest to overhaul Nicky Henderson at the top of the Trainers’ Championship table besides which, an easy four grand is nice work if you can get it!

Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:

1/1—Winningtry (soft)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Wincanton card on Sunday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued:

5 runners—Colin Tizzard (4/46 – loss of 24 points)

3—Paul Nicholls (20/41 – Profit of 9 points)

2—Harry Fry (0/13)

2—Sue Gardner (0/6)

2—Mark Gillard (0/13)

2—Simon Hodgson (2/14 – Profit of 52 points)

2—Neil Mulholland (7/34 – Profit of 28 points)

2—Jeremy Scott (1/18 – loss of 15 points)

2—Dan Skelton (0/6)

+ 21 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

43 declared runners

 

Placepot Pointers – Saturday March 25

NEWBURY – APRIL 25

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £47.20 (6 favourites – 4 winners & 2 unplaced)

 

Saturday's Placepot permutation at Newbury: 

Leg 1 (1.50): 10 (Bodega), 9 (Coolking) & 7 (Tinker Time)

Leg 2 (2.25): 3 (Gala Ball), 6 (Warriors Tale), 7 (Ut Majeur Aulmes) & 13 (Icing On The Cake)

Leg 3 (3.00): 16 (Sister Sybil), 14 (Lamanver Odyssey), 7 (Theatre Territory) & 3 (Hitherjacques Lady)

Leg 4 (3.35): 3 (Final Choice) & 6 (Dinsdale)

Leg 5 (4.10): 1 (Red Indian) & 6 (Most Celebrated)

Leg 6 (4.45): 16 (Ligny) & 15 (Harefield)

Suggested stake: 384 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Saturday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.50: Nine-year-olds have won three of the six renewals and of the relevant pair this time around, slight preference of for BODEGA over TINKER TIME.  The first named raider hails from the Ian Williams yard which seems to have been in form month on month over both codes for some time now.  Both horses will feature in my Placepot permutation, joined by COOLKING who comes to the gig on a four-timer.

Favourite factor: Five of the six winners (the last five) have scored at a top price of 8/1, statistics which include one (7/2) winner.  Only two of the six jollies have finished in the frame (exact science).

Record of course winners in the opening event:

1/3—Pete The Feat (heavy)

1/1—Tinker Time (good to soft)

2/6—Shotavodka (good to soft & heavy)

 

2.25: All three winners have carried a minimum burden of 11-3 and if you take those stats seriously via the brief trend, 10 of the 14 declaration could be ruled out of the equation.  The pick of the qualifiers on this occasion could prove to be GALA BALL from my viewpoint, though horses just under the weight barrier to catch the eye include WARRIORS TALE and UT MAJEUR AULMES. There will be worse outsiders on the card than ICING ON THE CAKE I’ll wager, conveniently ignoring the weight trend of course.

Favourite factor: Although we await the first winning favourite following three renewals, two market leaders have claimed Placepot positions thus far.

Record of course winners in the second race:

1/1—Grey Gold (soft)

2/5—O Maonlai (2 x good to firm)

1/3—Gala Ball (soft)

1/5—Ulck Du Lin (good to soft)

1/4—Warriors Tale (soft)

1/3—Ut Majeur Aulmes (good to soft)

1/6—Ericht (soft)

1/2—Icing On The Cake (good to soft)

1/1—No Buts (soft)

 

3.00: Six-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 6-3 via the last ten renewals, whilst every winner during the period carried a maximum weight of 11-3.  SISTER SYBIL and LAMANVER ODYSSEY make most appeal from those which possess ticks in both boxes.  Nicky Henderson has saddled four winners of the race, whilst Oliver Sherwood has picked up a couple of victories as well.  Their respective runners are THEATRE TERRITORY and HITHERJACQUES LADY, though both entries hail from the wrong side of the weight according to the trends.

Favourite factor: Four market leaders have won this competitive event during the last decade and to clarify the positive nature of that comment, level stake favourite investors would have gained over 11 points during the period.

 

3.35: Warren Greatrex had saddled three winners and three silver medallists via his last nine runners at the time of writing, whereby FINAL CHOICE is the first name on my team sheet in another interesting contest on the Newbury card.  This meeting is often overshadowed under the cloud of the Lincoln Handicap and it is good to see the fixture receiving top billing for a change.  Final Choice has let himself down on the last two occasions having shown plenty of previous promise and I fancy this better ground might witness an improved showing, though that has to be the case if the Makfi gelding is to be taken seriously.  DINSDALE is 13 pounds better off with Night Of Sin when well beaten by Lizzie Kelly’s mount at Bangor.  There should not be a great deal of daylight between the pair this time around.

Favourite factor: Six of the last seven favourites have secured Placepot positions, statistics which include two (7/2 & 7/4) winners.

Record of course winners in the fourth contest on the card:

1/2—Final Choice (good to soft)

1/1—Dinsdale (soft)

 

4.10: Five-year-olds have won six of the last nine renewals and Ben Pauling’s beaten favourite RED INDIAN is fancied to make amends for the Kelso defeat.  MOST CELEBRATED is preferred to Sir Antony Browne as the main threat.

Favourite factor: Market leaders have won five of the nine contests during the study period, with seven of those gold medallists having been returned at a top price of 5/2.

 

4.45: The penalised runners might do well to give weight and beatings to likely types in LIGNY and HAREFIELD who ran well in defeat on soft ground at Exeter at the first time of asking.  The market will probably tell you all you need to know about the newcomer LIGNY who hails from the local yard of Nicky Henderson who will be keen to saddle winners to maintain his lead in the Trainers’ Championship which will be settled at Aintree in all probability.

Favourite factor: Pay your money and take the choice given the stats on offer.  Four favourites have won ranging in odds between 4/6 and 4/1***, whilst other gold medallists during the last decade have been cheered home by the majority of the layers at 66/1, 33/1 & 12/1.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Newbury card on Saturday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued – These stats were compiled before racing took place at Newbury on Friday:

6 runners—Alan King (5/23 – loss of 2 points)

4—Philip Hobbs (5/24 - Profit of 40 points)

4—Charlie Longsdon (0/12)

4—Gary Moore (0/20)

3—Henry Daly (0/1)

3—Nigel Hawke (1/4 – Profit of 17 points)

3—Nicky Henderson (8/39 – loss of 14 points)

3—Neil Mulholland (2/8 – Slight profit)

3—Oliver Sherwood (1/6 – Profit of 7 points)

3—Jamie Snowdon (0/3)

2—Mick Easterby (No previous runners)

2—Harry Fry (1/9 – loss of 4 points)

2—Tom George (2/13 – Profit of 4 points)

2—Karen McLintock (No previous runners)

2—Paul Morgan (0/4)

2—Paul Nicholls (3/31 – loss of 9 points)

2—Ben Pauling (3/11 – loss of 2 points)

2—Sue Smith (No previous runners)

2—Tom Symonds (0/1)

2—Colin Tizzard (5/17 – Profit of 6 points)

2—Nigel Twiston-Davies (1/19 – loss of 15 points)

2—Evan Williams (0/12)

+ 28 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

88 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Bangor: £492.00 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced

Kelso: £1,036.70 – 7 runners – 2 winners – 1 placed – 4 unplaced

There were no meetings held at Stratford, Lingfield & Wolverhampton

 

Placepot Pointers – Friday March 24

NEWBURY – MARCH 24

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £239.10 (1st April meeting last year - 6 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 3 unplaced)

 

Friday's Placepot permutation at Newbury: 

Leg 1 (2.00): 2 (Coastal Tiep), 3 (Reigning Supreme) & 1 (Strong Pursuit)

Leg 2 (2.30): 8 (Howlongisafoot), 4 (Ten Sixty) & 7 (Big Casino)

Leg 3 (3.05): 6 (Ballyheigue Bay) & 8 (Scooby)

Leg 4 (3.40): 4 (Duelling Banjos), 6 (Bells Of Ailsworth) & 5 (Sykes)

Leg 5 (4.10): 3 (I’m A Game Changer) & 5 (Inner Drive)

Leg 6 (4.45): 2 (Man Of Steel) & 8 (Triangular)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Friday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.00: Although Paul Nicholls boasts the best record this week of the represented trainers (3/6), his raider COASTAL TIEP is not far enough clear of his main two rivals (REIGNING SUPREME and STRONG PURSUIT) to offer a bet from my viewpoint.  From a Placepot perspective, all three runners need to be included in the permutation, given that this is a ‘win only’ contest.

Favourite factor: One of the two market leaders has claimed a Placepot position to date but even then, the 1/3 favourites was obviously expected to win the relevant contest.

Record of the course winner in the opening race:

1/1—Reigning Supreme (soft)

 

2.30: Both of the trainers who have won this event on two occasions in recent years are represented here, namely Philip Hobbs (TEN SIXTY) and Nigel Twiston-Davies (BIG CASINO).  Both horses are included in the (each way) mix but Chris Gordon could have the answer with HOWLONGISAFOOT who was one of 5/5 winners on the day for the trainer recently.  Indeed, Chris has sent out eight of his last twelve runners to winning effect!

Favourite factor: Five of the nine favourites have finished in the frame via seven renewals, statistics which include two (9/2 & 11/4) winners.

 

3.05: Six-year-olds have secured three of the last four contests, whilst five of the last six gold medallists carried a minimum burden of 11-6.  Chris Gordon saddles his other runner on the card in this event, with BALLYHEIGUE BAY running out of the ‘superior’ sector of the handicap according to the weight trend.  Three six-year-olds are in contention, the best of which could prove to be Graeme McPherson’s recent Kempton winner SCOOBY who deserved to score after some consistent previous efforts, albeit the Dubai Destination gelding will have to improve again to record successive victories.

Favourite factor: Four of the nine market leaders have secured Placepot positions via seven renewals, statistics which include one 7/2 joint favourite.

Record of the course winners in the third event:

1/1—Midnight Glory (soft)

1/1—Howaboutnever (soft)

 

3.40: Seven-year-olds have won four of the last six renewals and the two relevant entries this time around appear to have good chances on behalf of the vintage, namely DUELLING BANJOS and BELLS OF AILSWORTH.  The pair is listed in order of preference, though the three pound claimer aboard the latter named Tim Vaughan raider should ensure there is not too much daylight between them at the jamstick.  It’s windy enough in Bristol this morning to suggest that any drying ground could aid and abet the chance of SYKES at half decent odds down the road at Newbury.

Favourite factor: Four favourites have won during the last six years, whilst the other winners during that period were returned at 5/1 and 7/2.

 

4.10: I’M A GAME CHANGR comes to the gig on a hat trick and with trainer Philip Hobbs saddling consistent winners again, Richard Johnson’s mount looks the horse to beat in this ‘dead eight’ contest.  Only one of Alan King’s last 34 runners have won, though that has not stopped some of them running well enough from a Placepot perspective whereby INNER DRIVE enters the equation, though very much as the ‘second string’ of my entries.

Favourite factor: Nine of the ten winners during the last decade have scored at a top price of 7/1, statistics which include three successful favourites.

Record of the course winner in the fifth contest on the card:

1/2—Zarib (soft)

 

4.45: Alan Hill saddles his usual two or three winners a season in this (Hunter Chase) sector of the sport, though MAN OF STEEL offers the chance for Alan to record a best ever term here in a race which should not prove difficult to win.  Course and distance winner TRIANGULAR might prove to be the danger at the business end of the contest.

Favourite factor: As usual in Hunter Chase events, favourites have a good record having won five renewals during the last decade, with seven gold medallists having scored at a top price of 4/1.

Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:

1/4—Duke Of Lucca (soft)

2/3—Roalco De Farges (good & good to soft)

1/2—Triangular (good)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Newbury card on Friday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:

5 runners—Philip Hobbs (5/24 – Profit of 40 points)

3—Caroline Bailey (No previous runners this season)

3—Fergal O’Brien (1/4 – loss of 2 points)

2—Chris Gordon (2/9 – Profit of 3 points)

2—Nicky Henderson (8/39 – loss of 14 points)

2—Alan King (5/23 – loss of 2 points)

2—Dan Skelton (1/19 – loss of 12 points)

2—Tim Vaughan (2/7 – Profit of 9 points)

+ 28 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

49 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

No other corresponding meetings as this was Good Friday twelve months ago

 

Placepot Pointers – Thursday March 23

WOLVERHAMPTON – MARCH 23 

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £988.60 (6 favourites – 1 winner – 1 placed – 4 unplaced)

 

Thursday's Placepot permutation at Wolverhampton: 

Leg 1 (1.50): 10 (Goodwood Crusader), 1 (Powerful Dream) & 9 (Loumarin)

Leg 2 (2.20): 2 (Drago), 4 (Mr Red Clubs) & 1 (Anton Chigurh)

Leg 3 (2.55): 6 (Surround Sound) & 4 (Dunquin)

Leg 4 (3.25): 3 (Bessemer Lady) & 2 (The Last Debutante)

Leg 5 (4.00): 1 (Lord Cooper) & 5 (Derek Duval)

Leg 6 (4.30): 4 (Hidden Charms), 11 (Shift Cross) & 3 (Dusky Maid)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.50: The trade press suggests that this is a new race on the card, though the BHA have a different viewpoint on the contest; hence the favourite factor offered below.  Only nine horses remain and one market move catches the eye in that GOODWOOD CRUSADER is only offered at a genuine each way price in one place this morning, as opposed to plenty of 6/1 available at the overnight stage.  Others to consider include POWERFUL DREAM and LOUMARIN.

Favourite factor: Only one of the last six favourites (winner at 2/1) has claimed a Placepot position.

Record of the course winners in the first race:

2/6—Powerful Dream

2/6—Pushkin Museum

2/5—Roaring Rory

1/10—Doctor Parkes

1/6—Annie Salts

1/10—Loumarin

 

2.20: Five-year-olds have held the edge via five renewals from just 20% of the total number of runners.  Four of the seven vintage representatives have finished in the frame, statistics which include two (13/2 & 2/5) winners.  DRAGO is the lone vintage representative this time around and the beaten favourite and course and distance winner could be given another chance in this grade/company.  That said, MR RED CLUBS also boasts a decent record here at Wolverhampton, whilst ANTON CHIGURH returns to defend his crown from twelve months back.

Favourite factor: The five winners to date have scored at a top price of 13/2, whilst two of the five favourites have secured Placepot positions, statistics which include one (2/5) winner.

Record of the course winners in the second contest on the card:

1/4—Anton Chigurh

2/5—Drago

7/16—Mr Red Clubs

1/14—Ready

 

2.55: It’s unusual to see the price of 15/8 offered right across the markets given its ‘fraction’ but that’s what is on offer at the time of writing for LADY TURPIN following a recent Southwell success.  The problem I have is that four course winners take on Richard Fahey’s raider, whereby I marginally prefer the likes of SURROUND SOUND and DUNQUIN.

Favourite factor: The two favourites have missed out on Placepot positions behind horses which filled frame at 6-1-28/1-4/1 in the first instance and 9/2-25/1-10/1 twelve months ago.

Wolverhampton record of course winners in the third event:

1/3—Consortium

1/13—English Summer

1/5—Dunquin

1/9—Surround Sound

 

3.25: There are plenty of leading stables represented here, despite the fact that this is a Class 6 event.  Ralph Beckett (BESSEMER LADY) and Mark Johnston (THE LAST DEBUTANTE) are two such handlers who see this obvious opportunity of winning this event before moving their raiders up in grade.

Favourite factor: Three of the five favourites have finished in the frame, statistics which include two (8/11 & 11/8) winners.

Wolverhampton record of course winners in the fourth event:

1/1—Bessemer Lady

 

4.00: LORD COOPER confirmed placings last time out when striking up successive victories, despite being six pounds worse off the Jet Setting.  This progressive three-year-old might still be a few ounces ahead of the official handicapper, with connections probably having most to fear from fellow course and distance winner DEREK DUVAL, whose three pound claimer could ensure a tight finish, potentially receiving six pounds from the selection.

Favourite factor: All four market leaders have finished in the frame via three renewals to date, statistics which include two winners.

Wolverhampton record of course winners in the fifth race:

1/1—Lord Cooper

1/6—Cappananty Con

1/1—Derek Duval

 

4.30: Although the seven experienced runners have not run too badly in the main thus far, the bar has not been set very high whereby newcomers SHIFT CROSS and HIDDEN CHARMS should both go well at the first time of asking.  DUSKY MAID is taken to run into a place late doors.

Favourite factor: Both (4/5 & 10/11) favourites have prevailed this far.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Wolverhampton card on Thursday – followed by their ratios this season + profits/losses accrued:

4 runners—Mick Appleby (11/90 – loss of 29 points)

2—Marco Botti (3/16 - - loss of 4 points)

2—Karl Burke (2/20 – loss of 5 points)

2—Chris Dwyer (2/8 – Profit of 18 points)

2—Tim Easterby (0/6)

2—Clare Ellam (0/13)

2—Geoff Harker (0/1)

2—Richard Hughes (2/26 – loss of 19 points)

2—Dean Ivory (2/31 – loss of 20 points)

2—William Muir (2/13 – Profit of 5 points)

2—David O’Meara (12/54 – Profit of 41 points)

2—Ian Williams (11/46 – Profit of 41 points)

2—Stuart Williams (4/34 – loss of 17 points)

+ 39 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

67 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Chepstow: £435.80 – 8 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 4 unplaced

Chelmsford: £610.00 – 7 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 3 unplaced

Ludlow: £103.60 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 plac

Placepot Pointers – Wednesday March 22

WARWICK – MARCH 22

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £43.80 (8 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 4 unplaced)

 

Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Warwick: 

Leg 1 (2.20): 5 (Robbin ‘Hannon) & 4 (Oscars boss)

Leg 2 (2.50): 1 (Multiculture) & 6 (Jupiter’s Gift)

Leg 3 (3.20): 1 (Towering), 2 (Krackatoa King) & 3 (Timon’s Tara)

Leg 4 (3.50): 5 (That’s Gonna Sting), 4 (Braw Angus) & 8 (The Model County)

Leg 5 (4.20): 6 (Lady Beaufort), 8 (Llantara) & 5 (One Big Love)

Leg 6 (4.50): 5 (Dontminddboys) & 7 (Veauce De Sivola)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.20: Six-year-olds have won eight of the eleven renewals to date with five-year-olds securing the other three contests thus far.  The lone vintage raider scored two years ago before a short priced (2/5) market leader kept the ball rolling twelve months ago.  ROBBIN ‘HANNON appears to be the six-year-old to be with this time around, whilst OSCARS BOSS is preferred to Fortified Bay as the main threat.  The latter named Alan King inmate represents a stable which is searching for winners at the time of writing and though several house-mates were beaten in hot races at the Cheltenham Festival one fact is impossible to ignore, in that Alan has only saddled one of his last thirty odd runners to winning effect.  I’m not saying that Fortified Bay cannot win, it’s just that I would rather look elsewhere until the tide turns.

Favourite factor: Seven favourites have won thus far, though three of the other four market leaders finished out of the frame.

 

2.50: Philip Hobbs (MULTICILUTURE) saddled the winner of this event with a ‘hot pot’ and Philip’s progressive Mount Nelson raider will be sent off as an even warmer favourite in this grade/company.  Unlike Alan King (in terms of the comment in the opening event), Philip has saddled a couple of winners since Defi Du Seuil reduced the trainer to joyful tears on Friday at Prestbury Park and another winner is one  the cards here and no mistake.  JUPITER’S GIFT is the forecast call if you want to play the race that way.

Favourite factor: The eleven favourites to have run date (the market leader was withdrawn at the start five years ago) have snared seven gold and three silver medals, whilst eight of the last ten winners were returned at odds of 9/4 or less.

 

3.20: There is a school of thought that this ‘win only’ event is exactly what this card needs given that there is a strong possibility that far too many Placepot units will have made it through to this third contest.  Whichever way the dice fall, at least 60% of the tickets will go up in smoke here, creating the possibility that the eventual dividend is worth winning.  As for the three relevant entries, my permutation will include all three runners, hoping that the horse with the least number of unites prevails.  For the record, my marginal order of preference is TOWERING, KRACKATOA KING and TIMON’S TARA, though not strongly enough to split the ‘full perm’.

Favourite factor: Both of last year’s 7/2 joint favourites finished out with the washing.

 

3.50: Regular readers will know my stance relating to handicap hurdle events beyond the minimum trip which have the worst record for favourites in any sector of the sport under both codes.  I will offer a tentative and speculative trio against the other five contenders accordingly, namely THAT’S GONNA STING, BRAW ANGUS and THE MODEL COUNTY, the only course winner in the field.

Favourite factor: Three of the five favourites have secured toteplacepot positions thus far having gained a gold medal and two of the silver variety.

Record of the course winner in the fourth race:

1/1—The Model County (soft)

 

4.20: Six-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 8-2 via just eleven contests to date whereby LADY BEAUFORT and LLANTARA are expected to get us safely through to the last leg of our favourite wager, if we possess live units going into this penultimate leg.  The pair is listed in order of preference, whilst ONE BIG LOVE nominated as a third option.

Favourite factor: Eight of the eleven market leaders (all winners of their respective races) have secured toteplacepot positions.

Record of the course winner in the fifth contest on the card:

1/1—Sparkling River (soft)

 

4.50: Eight-year-olds grab the headlines in this event as vintage representatives have snared four of the last eleven contests (including the 25/1 gold medallist in 2013), whilst also securing the silver medal in two of the last six years and a bronze in each of the last two renewals.  Six of the last nine winners have carried weights of 11-3 or more and putting the stats and facts together suggests that DONTMINDDBOYS and VEAUCE DE SIVOLA should figure prominently.

Favourite factor: Twelve of the last fifteen jollies have been beaten (includes five pairs of joint favourites), albeit five market leaders have finished in the money during the period (two winners).

Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:

2/5—Emma Soda (2 x soft)

 

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Warwick card on Wednesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:

3—Kim Bailey (2/11 – Profit of 3 points)

3—Robbin Dickin (1/18 – loss of 9 points)

2—Alexandra Dunn (0/4)

2—Claire Dyson (0/4)

2—Philip Hobbs (0/15)

2—Alan King (5/23 – loss of 8 points)

2—Kerry Lee (0/14)

2—Seamus Mullins (1/10 (Profit of 1 point)

2—Katy Price (0/1)

2—Dan Skelton (5/33 - loss of 17 points)

2—Tom Symonds (1/9 – loss of 7 points)

+ 23 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

47 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Haydock: £20.00 – 6 favourites – 4 winners – 1 placed – 1 unplaced

Kempton: £33.40 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 1 unplaced

There is no corresponding meeting relating to Newcastle

 

 

 

Placepot Pointers – Tuesday March 21

EXETER – MARCH 21

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £138.50 (6 favourites – 3 winners & 3 unplaced)

 

Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Exeter: 

Leg 1 (2.00): 1 (Paddocks Lounge) & 7 (Taurian)

Leg 2 (2.30): 2 (Pure Vision), 1 (West Torr) & 9 (Barney Of Tyanee)

Leg 3 (3.05): 6 (Magical Thomas), 8 (Straits Of Messina) & 7 (Steel City)

Leg 4 (3.40): 2 (Drumlee Sunset) & 1 (Clan Des Obeaux)

Leg 5 (4.15): 3 (Kap Jazz) & 4 (Bindon Hill)

Leg 6 (4.50): 7 (Days Of Roses), 1 (Zerochiel) & 2 (Kapgarde King)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.00: Richard Johnson’s record for trainer Sophie Leech this season stands at 4/8 in the hurdles sector and the bandwagon could roll on here with Sophie having declared PADDOCKS LOUNGE with an obvious chance.  TAURIAN is equally obvious in terms of the man danger to the selection, with Ian Williams having saddled four of his last eight runners to winning effect.  GOLAN DANCER is a lot tighter than the 11/2 quote in the trade press, though that is mainly because of the ‘dead eight’ scenario in place at the time of writing whereby layers do not want to offer half decent place terms about the nine-year-old.

Favourite factor: Six of the eleven favourites have finished in the frame (three winners) to date, whilst 27 of 30 available toteplacepot places have been claimed by horses starting at 10/1 or less. Only three of the 58 horses starting at 11/1 or more has troubled the judge (exact science).

 

2.30: Six-year-olds have won four of the eights contests, with vintage representatives on offer at 2/1 this time around before the form book in taken into consideration.  The pick of the trio of relevant raiders will hopefully prove to be PURE VISION from the Anthony Honeyball stable which has secured two winners and three silver medallists via his last six runners.  The 5/1 quote in the trade press is only available ‘in a place’ at the time of writing, with plenty of layers as tight as 3/1 about the Milan gelding.  WEST TORR and each way option BARNEY OF TYANEE are the other six-year-olds in the field.

Favourite factor: Only one (7/2) favourite has obliged via eight renewals, five of which have been claimed by horses returned in double figures, ranging between 10/1 & 25/1.

Course record of the course winner in the second race:

1/6—St Dominick (heavy)

 

3.05: Horses carrying 11-4 or more have won four of the five contests whereby the bottom four horses in the handicap are eliminated from my enquiries. These stats would normally help (which they still do to a fashion) but with the 14 represented trainers offering aggregate stats of 9/127 (7.1% strike rate) of late, confidence in only conspicuous by its absence. Upwards and onward by suggesting that MAGICAL THOMAS, STRAITS OF MESSINA and (possibly) STEEL CITY should run as well as any from the ‘superior’ sector of the handicap.

Favourite factor: Two of the four favourites have secured Placepot positions thus far via four renewals without winning their respective events.

Course record of the course winners in the third contest on the card:

1/2—Steel Express (heavy)

1/5—Baccalaureate (good to soft)

 

3.40: Eleven of the twelve winners carried a minimum weight of eleven stones, whilst seven-year-olds have claimed six of the last nine renewals, statistics which point in the direction of DRUMLEE SUNSET, notwithstanding his 100% record at the track three assignments to date.  5/2 is freely available at the time of writing in what amounts to a ‘match’, given that Oscars Way is hopelessly outclassed here, whereby the other pair would surely have to fail to complete the course to enable the bottom weight to prevail.  The problem for the ‘good thing’ according to the stats is the declaration of CLAN DES OBEAUX who is rated 14 pounds higher according to the official assessor.  I very much doubt that fourteen lengths will split the pair at the line however.

Favourite factor: Ten of the thirteen favourites (via twelve renewals) have claimed toteplacepot positions (five winners), whilst the biggest priced winner thus far was returned at 11/1 three years ago when Freckle Faced (first named horse in my analysis) extended weight trends at a decent price.

Course record of the course winner in the fourth race:

3/3—Drumlee Sunset (2 x good & good to soft)

 

4.15: It’s difficult to envisage both KAP JAZZ and BINDON HILL failing to bring their improving form to the table in this grade.  Aside from Tjongejonge, this pair are the only runners that I would not want to lay in the contest though equally, choosing between them is a problem which is why cash will be safely locked away for another day from a win perspective.

Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Exeter card.

Course record of the course winners in the fifth contest:

1/5—Binden Hill (soft)

1/1—Court By Surprise (good to soft)

1/1—Themanfrom Minella (good to soft)

 

4.50: Eight of the nine winners have carried weights of 11-2 or more which suggests that ZEROCHIEL could score, especially as seven-year-olds have won three of the last seven contests.  KAPGARDE KING is the other horse at the top of the handicap to catch the eye.  If the trends are to be breached on this occasion however, DAYS OF ROSES would have to be the call, despite the 11/1 odds which are in place this morning.  All three inmates from the Jeremy Scott yard have won during the last fortnight which makes the eight-year-old an each way play from my viewpoint.

Favourite factor: Six of the nine favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include four winners.  The biggest priced winner to date scored at 11/1 twelve months ago.

Course record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:

1/8—Absolutely Bygones (heavy)

1/3—Knight Of the Realm (heavy)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Exeter card on Tuesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:

4 runners—Philip Hobbs (5/35 – loss of 23 points)

4—David Pipe (3/37 – loss of 22 points)

3—Kim Bailey (1/14 – loss of 9 points)

3—David Dennis (1/8 – loss of 5 points)

3—Jimmy Frost (1/24 – loss of 12 points)

2—Linda Blackford (0/3)

2—Robin Dickin (0/2)

2—Polly Gundry (0/1)

2—Emma Lavelle (2/7 – Profit of 4 points)

2—Nick Mitchell (1/8 – loss of 1 point)

2—Seamus Mullins (0/6)

2—Jonjo O’Neill (0/16)

2—Ben Pauling (1/3 – slight loss)

2—Jackie Du Plessis (0/11)

2—Ian Williams (0/1)

2—Richard Woollacott (0/15)

+ 39 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

69 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Wetherby: £380.40 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced

Southwell: £248.10 – 9 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 4 unplaced

 

 

Placepot Pointers – Sunday March 19

CARLISLE – MARCH 19

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £164.10 (6 favourites – 1 winner – 3 placed – 2 unplaced)

 

Sunday's Placepot permutation at Carlisle: 

Leg 1 (2.15): 1 (Fattsota) & 12 (Bruichladdich)

Leg 2 (2.45): 2 (The Dutchman) & 1 (Gino Trail)

Leg 3 (3.20): 4 (Hills Of Dubai), 1 (Magic Dancer) & 3 (Modulus)

Leg 4 (3.55): 1 (Firth Of The Clyde), 9 (No Planning) & 3 (Cloudy Too)

Leg 5 (4.25): 3 (Lord Ballim), 1 (Hartside), 2 (Danceintothelight) & 4 (Endeavour)

Leg 6 (5.00): 2 (Pearlysteps) & 3 (Mister Marker)

Suggested stake: 288 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Sunday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.15: Five-year-olds have won three of the five renewals with vintage representatives finishing second and third in one of year’s that five-year-old's missed out from a win perspective. BRUICHLADDICH could prove to be the pick of the vintage representatives, though FATTSOTA should take the beating on all known form.  That said, all five winners to date have carried a lower weight than David O’Meara’s nine-year-old whereby from a win perspective, my cash will be safely held under lock and key.

Favourite factor: Four of the five favourites have finished in the money, statistics which include three winners.

 

2.45: My selections have scored at 9/2 and 11/4 in this event in two of the last three years and for the record, dual beaten favourite (in two of his last three races) THE DUTCHMAN is given a chance to atone for recent losses.  I am anything but convinced that he is a solid bet but with all five winners of this race having carried 11-5 or less, Sandy Thomson’s raider is taken to beat GINO TRAIL who has a touch of ‘seconditis’ just now, with the official assessor possibly needing to drop him a few pounds in order for Kerry Lee’s ten-year-old to regain the winning thread.  Warksburn Boy is 62 pounds ‘wrong in the weights’ with the selection according to official ratings.

Favourite factor: The 6/4 second favourite won a three horse event in the first running of this event five years ago, before one of the 2/1 joint market leaders scored in 2013. Three of the six favourites in total have finished in the frame, with the 2/5 market leader scraping into a Placepot position by snaring a silver medal in 2015.

 

3.20: Donald McCain has failed to secure a toteplacepot position in each of the last four years at the Cheltenham Festival though as a positive individual, Donald has offered the green light to more runners (three in total) on this card than any other trainer, the same scenario as was in place twelve months ago. Stable representative HILLS OF DUBAI has a definite chance of putting a smile back on the face of the trainer, with seemingly MAGIC DANCER and the hat trick seeker MODULUS to beat.  For the record, Donald saddled the 9/1 winner of this event twelve months ago.

Favourite factor: The 2012 inaugural 7/2 favourite duly scored as four of the leading six horses in the market dominated the 13 runner contest.  Bookmakers got their own back the following year however as a 25/1 chance proved too strong for the 6/5 favourite close home, with the third horse 33 lengths adrift of the pair.  The last three favourites have been beaten with two of them finishing in the frame (exact science).

 

3.55: Having weaved our way through the Cheltenham Festival week, it strikes yours truly that there is room for one more race at Prestbury park on an annual basis and yes given that I mention it at this time on the Carlisle card you have probably guessed that I am calling for a veteran’s steeplechase, this kind of event having proved so popular in recent years.  Upwards and onward in positive mode for Carlisle’s version by suggesting that FIRTH OF THE CLYDE should take the beating here having won the race as a 9/1 chance last year.  Sue Smith’s pair might chase the selection home, namely NO PLANNING and CLOUDY TOO.

Favourite factor: The trade press has this down as a new race which it is not!  Last year’s inaugural 11/4 favourite secured a Placepot position when finishing third behind horses returned at 9/1 and 11/2.  Sometimes races are deemed as new events because of the slight change in distance, classification etc., though that is clearly not the case this time around (same Class 2 event contested over the identical three mile and half a furlong trip).

Record of the course winners in the fourth race on the card:

1/2—Firth Of The Clyde (good to soft)

1/4—Cultram Abbey (soft)

2/3—Cloudy Too (2 x heavy)

1/1—Kaki De La Pree (soft)

2/5—Milborough (2 x soft)

 

4.25: All five winners have carried a minimum burden of 11-3, whilst six-year-olds would have come to the gig on a four-timer had any of the trainers been live to the ‘edge’.  Although ENDEAVOUR looks to have plenty to do from the ‘inferior’ sector of the handicap according to the weight trends, this win only contest does not afford us to become complacent whereby I will probably include all four horses in my permutation, hoping that Dianne Sayer’s raider prevails.  The top three horses are only separated by a pound according to the official assessor, whereby I am listing them in marginal order of preference as LORD BALLIM, HARTSIDE and DANCEINTOTHELIGHT.

Favourite factor: Three of the five favourites have prevailed, though the other two market leaders finished out with the washing.  Four of the five winners scored at a top price of 3/1, though a 25/1 chance came to the rescue for the majority of layers a couple of years back.  Talking of which, I dislike the generalisation that is spouted by supposed media ‘experts’ when discussing whether punters have won or lost, particularly at big meetings such as the Gold Cup card on Friday.  The relevant expert suggested that bookmakers had “undoubtedly won the battle” over the punters during the course of the week, but surely only from a ‘majority’ perspective.  I know of several people who enjoyed their best ever Festival, whilst there are enough punters who put together multiple bets regarding popular trainers this week that worked out perfectly via Gordon Elliott, Willie Mullins and Jessica Harrington supporters. Gordon Elliott: 1,988/1 treble on Tuesday, 39/1 double on Wednesday & a 12/1 winner on Friday.  Willie Mullins: 178/1 4-timer on Thursday & 356/1 double on Friday.  Jessica Harrington: 87/1 double on Friday having saddled a 16/1 winner on Wednesday.  Add the point that the champion jockey (Richard Johnson) rode a 33/1 winner in the mix and the lesson should be learned; don’t generalise guys!

Record of the course winners in the fifth event:

1/4—Hartside (good to soft)

1/2—Laord Ballim (good to soft)

1/2—Endeavour (good)

 

5.00: MISTER MARKER has won a couple of times at this venue which is invariably worth a good few lengths, though the terms and conditions of this event clearly favour PEARLYSTEPS.  Locals don’t take kindly to ‘southern folk’ coming to snare the swag in Cumbria however, whereby Henry Daly’s Shropshire raider might be allowed to go off at a reasonable price.

Favourite factor: Four of the five market leaders have claimed Placepot positions (two winners), with last year’s 1/2 favourite still being sought by detectives the length and breadth of the land.  Tread carefully, as two of the fivewinners of this race scored at 100/1 and 20/1.

Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:

2/7—Mister Marker (good to soft & soft)

1/4—Quel Elite (soft)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Carlisle card on Sunday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:

3 winners—Donald McCain (10/38 – Profit of 7 seven points)

2—Phil Kirby (0/3)

2—Charlie Longsdon (0/4)

2—Nicky Richards (1/15 – loss of 5 points)

2—Dianne Sayer (0/5)

2—Sue Smith (4/24 – Profit of 7 points)

2—Sandy Thomson (1/5 – loss of 2 points)

2—Miss G Walton (No previous runners this season)

2—Peter Winks (0/2)

+ 16 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

35 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Ffos Las: £318.20 – 7 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 4 unplaced

 

 

Placepot Pointers – Saturday March 18

KEMPTON – MARCH 18 

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £80.50 (8 favourites – 8 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 3 unplaced)

 

Saturday's Placepot permutation at Kempton: 

Leg 1 (1.30): 11 (Peggies Venture), 1 (Apasionado) & 5 (Old Harry Rocks)

Leg 2 (2.05): 4 (Theatre Flame), 5 (Midtech Valentine) & 1 (Days Of Heaven)

Leg 3 (2.40): 11 (Divine Spear), 8 (Byron Flyer) & 1 (Sleep Easy)

Leg 4 (3.15): 5 (Sir Note) & 3 (Max Ward)

Leg 5 (3.50): 2 (Bugsie Malone) & 4 (Cloudy Bob)

Leg 6 (4.25): 1 (Cultivator) & 3 (Pilansberg)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Saturday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.30: Six-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 6-4 via just the ten contests to date and with PEGGIES VENTURE receiving a ton of weight from APASIONADO, I expect these two six-year-olds to come home in the order as listed.  OLD HARRY ROCKS looks to be the pick of the five-year-olds from a value for money perspective.

Favourite factor: Eight of the ten favourites have secured toteplacepot positions thus far, statistics which include five winners.  Seven of the ten winners have been sent off at odds of 7/4 or less though it’s not all good news as far as short priced horses in the race are concerned.  A Paul Nicholls 1/10 chance was beaten by the minimum margin by a 16/1 outsider eight years ago.

 

2.05: Nine of the ten winners have carried weights of 11-3 or less, whilst eight gold medallists were returned at a maximum price of 5/1.  A tough race to assess via the form book despite the fact that just five runners have been declared in this 'short field' contest.  The weight trend brings the two outsiders into the mix according to the trade press quote, namely THEATRE FLAME and MIDTECH VALENTINE, the latter horse hailing for the in-form yard of Ian Williams.  I’m adding DAYS OF HEAVEN into the overnight equation, just in case a non-runner rears its ugly head which would turn the race into a ‘win only’ contest.  New readers might want to know that the term 'short field' relates to a race which is contested by 5/6/7 runners, whereby just the first and second horses 'qualify' from toteplacepot/each way perspectives.

Favourite factor: Five of the eleven market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions, stats which include four winning favourites.

Record of the course winners in the second race:

2/2—Days Of Heaven (good & soft)

1/1—Midtech Valentine (soft)

 

2.40: The first thing to mention is for you to mind your bets, with both DIVINE SPEAR and GOLDEN SPEAR having been declared. The first named raider represents Nicky Henderson who comes to the gig on a hat trick with obvious claims.  Tony Martin’s Irish representative GOLDEN SPEAR also merits respect, though it’s worth noting that last year’s beaten (Willie Mullins trained) favourite also has a long journey home to face after the race.  SLEEP EASY and BYRON FLYER are others to consider.

Favourite factor: Both (7/2 & 4/1) favourites had claimed Placepot positions without winning their respective events before the 2/1 favourite sank without trace twelve months ago.

Record of the course winners in the third contest:

1/1—Cottersrock (good)

1/1—Top Tug (good)

 

3.15: Layers have shunned the chance of SIR NOTE on his last two starts to their cost and there seems no obvious reason why I should desert the grey gelding who is a credit to trainer James Eustace.   Nico De Boinville’s mount has won his last four races under decent conditions going right handed. Whereby the hat trick looks on the cards from my viewpoint.  MAX WARD is nominated as the main danger.

Favourite factor: Search parties are still out looking for the three unplaced favourites thus far.

Record of the course winner in the fourth event:

1/1—Sir Note (good)

 

3.50: CLOUDY BOB returns to defend his crown and though returned as a successful joint favourite twelve months ago, each way investors should obtain better odds this time around.  The main threat could prove to be BUGSIE MALONE (Chris Gordon has his runners in fantastic form) and HANDSOME SAM.

Favourite factor: Four of the six favourites to date have secured two gold medal and two of the silver variety, securing toteplacepot positions along the way.

Record of the course winners in the fifth race:

1/3—New Horizons (good)

1/10 –Cloudy Bob (good)

1/2—Dreamsofthreatre (good)

 

4.25: Six-year-olds have won five of the nine renewals to date, with five-year-olds mopping up the other three contests.  A few of these could have scrambled into a race at the Festival I guess, with six-year-old CULTIVATOR certainly in the mix, arguably alongside five-year-old PILANSBURG.

Favourite factor: Nine of the ten favourites have finished in the frame, stats which include four successful market leaders.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Kempton card on Saturday – followed by their ratios at the track + profits/losses accrued:

6 runners—Nicky Henderson (9/43 – loss of 21 points)

5—Paul Nicholls (7/28 – loss of 5 points)

4—Alan King (7/24 – Profit of 8 points)

4—Emma Lavelle (1/7 – loss of 2 points)

3—Harry Fry (1/9 – loss of 6 points)

3—Tom George (2/12 – Profit of 1 point)

3—Philip Hobbs (1/13 – loss of 8 points)

3—Linda Jewell (No previous runners this season)

3—Jonjo O’Neill (1/14 – loss of 5 points)

3—Dan Skelton (3/36 – loss of 23 points)

2—Graeme McPherson (No previous runners this season)

2—Neil Mulholland (1/11 – Profit of 15 points)

2—Pat Phelan (0/3)

2—Nigel Twiston-Davies (2/12 – loss of 3 points)

2—Ian Williams (2/7 – Profit of 2 points)

+ 32 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

79 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Fontwell: 209.40 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced

Newcastle: £426.80 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced

Uttoxeter: £113.70 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 1 placed – 4 unplaced

Wolverhampton: £123.40 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced

 

Placepot Pointers – Friday March 17

 

CHELTENHAM – MARCH 17

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £1,680.90 (7 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced)

 

Friday's Placepot permutation at Cheltenham: 

Leg 1 (1.30): 2 (Charli Parcs), 13 (Soldier In Action) & 5 (Defi Du Seuil)

Leg 2 (2.10): 8 (Mick Jazz), 12 (Winter Escape), 6 (North Hill Harvey) & 23 (Jaleo)

Leg 3 (2.50): 6 (Death Duty) & 15 (Augusta Kate)

Leg 4 (3.30): 10 (Outlander), 8 (More Of That) & 2 (Champagne West)

Leg 5 (4.10): 16 (On The Fringe) & 18 (Paint The Clouds)

Leg 6 (4.50): 4 (Tommy Silver), 22 (Battleford) & 21 (Rather Be)

Suggested stake: 432 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Friday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.30: Nicky Henderson's raider CHARLI PARCS commands plenty of attention, notwithstanding stable companion SOLDIER IN ACTION, given that Nicky will have literally had dozens of horses that he could have considered for this event at the start of the season.  The fact that Nicky has saddled more winners of this race (six in total) than any other trainer adds confidence, especially with the Seven Barrows maestro having secured three of the last eight contests.  There is also the point to be made that Nicky served up a 1-2-3 in the race two years ago!  Others to consider in the opening event on the last day of the Festival include DEFI DU SEUIL (terrific record at this venue) and LANDOFHOPEANDGLORY from last year’s 'successful yard', albeit the name Joseph takes centre stage now instead of Aidan .

Favourite factor: Six favourites have won during the study period which is not a bad return considering the competitive nature of this event.  Eleven market leaders have finished in the frame.

Cheltenham record of course winners in the 'Triumph':

3/3—Defi Du Seuil (2 x good to soft & soft)

 

2.10: Although ‘only’ backed up by eleven placed representatives in the last eighteen renewals, five-year-olds command respect having won ten contests during the period. The fact that 45 of the last 56 winners were five or six years of age should also sway you towards younger horses!  Horses carrying weights of 11-1 or less have won fourteen of the last eighteen renewals and putting the stats and facts together, my ‘short list’ consists of the four horses towards the bottom of the list (accordingly), namely MICK JAZZ, WINTER ESCAPE, JALEO and MOHAAYED.  My relevant four horses against the field twelve months ago included the first named winner at 8/1 and another placed horse.  If the weight trends are breached this time around, the joker in the pack could prove to be NORTH HILL HARVEY.

Favourite factor: The last ten winners have scored at 50/1--20/1--20/1--20/1--14/1-12/1--11/1--10/1--10/1—8/1, though two of the previous three contests were won by joint favourites.  Only four of the last seventeen favourites have finished in the frame, statistics which include two winners.

Cheltenham record of course winners in the County Hurdle:

1/1—Ivanovich Gorbatov (good)

1/1—Diego Du Charmil (good)

2/3—North Hill Harvey (2 x soft)

2/8—Court Minstrel (good & good to soft)

1/1—Kapstadt (good)

 

2.50: Six-year-olds have won five of the last ten renewals of the 'Albert Bartlett' (33/1 runner up last year) and the trend could be extended by the likes of DEATH DUTY, AUGUSTA KATE and WHOLESTONE.  Last year’s result (horses filled the frame at 11/1, 33/1 & 20/1) set up the great Placepot dividend, as only 5.3% of the live units going into the race got through to the Gold Cup leg.  I would love to offer outsiders in the Placepot equation, though horses towards the head of the market look to have something of a stranglehold on the race this time around.

Favourite factor: Eight of the thirteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions to date, statistics which include four winners.

Cheltenham record of course winners in the 'Albert Bartlett':

3/4—Wholestone (2 x soft & good)

 

3.30: Willie Mullins had a red letter day on Thursday but the thought occurs that DJAKADAM (market leader in the overnight trade press) is oh so vulnerable to others in the field.  Eleven-year-old CUE CARD is also worth opposing at the odds on offer, given that he has ‘only’ won three of his eight assignments at Cheltenham.  I know the Cheltenham crowd would become frenzied if Paddy Brennan’s mount won, but I feel I have to offer three ‘outsiders’ against the fancied horses on this occasion.  My three speculative calls against the other eleven contenders consists of OUTLANDER, MORE OF THAT and CHAMPAGNE WEST.  If you don’t think that can happen, cast your mind back to an age when 15 successive Gold Cup races slipped by (ending in 2002) when favourites failed to win.  Media hype will have you believe that this is another scintillating renewal of the Gold Cup.  Let’s get one thing straight whatever the result, it isn’t.

Favourite factor: Eight of the last fourteen favourites have won the Cheltenham Gold Cup.  Twelve of the nineteen jollies have secured toteplacepot positions during the study period.

Cheltenham record of course winners in the Gold Cup:

2/7—Champagne West (good to soft & soft)

3/8—Cue Card (2 x good & good to soft)

1/2—Empire Of Dirt (good)

1/5—Irish Cavalier (good to soft)

1/4—Minella Rocco (good to soft)

4/6—More Of That (3 x good & soft)

1/5—Saphir Du Rheu (soft)

1/9—Smad Place (heavy)

 

4.10: PAINT THE CLOUDS attempts to go 'two better' having snared the bronze medal in each of the last two years and his Placepot chance is there for all to see.  That said, ON THE FRINGE has won both of the races in question and there seems little reason why the placings should be reversed.  The official figures suggest that WONDERFUL CHARM has plenty in hand of both of the afore-mentioned horses, though I’m not so sure.  ASK THE WEATHERMAN is another horse to consider over your favourite late night tipple/early morning beverage.

Favourite factor: Five favourites have won via the last eighteen contests whilst the figure increases to ten when applying the first three in the market ruling.

Cheltenham record of course winners in the Foxhunters:

1/5—Current Event (good to soft)

1/2—Let’s Get Serious (good)

1/3—Mendip Express (soft)

2/4—On The Fridge (good & soft)

2/6—Paint the Clouds (good & good to firm)

2/3—Salsify (good & soft)

 

4.50: Six-year-olds have won five of the eight renewals, whilst Willie Mullins comes to the gig having secured three of the last six contests. Eight vintage representatives line up this time around, two of which (BATTLEFORD and CASTELLO SFORZA) will be saddled by the Irish maestro.  RATHER BE is another vintage representative to be respected though I alerted some people last weekend to the chance of TOMMY SILVER in this event, following some ‘quiet support’ for the five-year-old at the time.  Paul Nicholls has had a quiet meeting thus far, but he has produced some big priced rabbits out of the hat towards the end of the week in recent seasons and TOMMY SILVER could be another of them.

Favourite factor: Two of the seven favourites to date secured toteplacepot positions (one winner).

Cheltenham record of course winners in the 'Martin Pipe':

3/7—Lac Fontana (2 x good) & heavy)

1/6—Dell’ Arca (good)

1/1—Thomas Campbell (good)

1/1—Protek Des Flos (heavy)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Cheltenham card on Friday (two or more runners):

11 winners—Willie Mullins

11—Gordon Elliott

9—Nicky Henderson

8—Paul Nicholls

8—Colin Tizzard

7—Philip Hobbs

6—Dan Skelton

5—Alan King

4—Jonjo O’Neill

4—Nigel Twiston-Davies

3—Warren Greatrex

3—Jessica Harrington

3—Seamus Mullins

3—Venetia Williams

2—J P O’Brien

2—Henry De Bromhead

2—Noel Meade

2—Dr Richard Newland

2—Ben Pauling

2—David Pipe

2—Evan Williams

2—Nick Williams

+ 43 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

143 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Fakenham: £457.30 – 7 favourites – 3 winners & 4 unplaced

Lingfield (A/W): £9.50 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced

Wolverhampton: £114.50 – 1 winner – 3 placed – 2 unplaced

 

 

 

Placepot Pointers – Thursday March 16

CHELTENHAM – MARCH 16

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £62.50 (9 favourites – 4 winners – 1 placed – 4 unplaced)

 

Thursday's Placepot permutation at Cheltenham: 

Leg 1 (1.30): 8 (Yorkhill) & 7 (Top Notch)

Leg 2 (2.10): 16 (Impulsive Star), 23 (For Good Measure), 17 (Electric Concorde) & 22 (Alzammaar)

Leg 3 (2.50): 6 (Un De Sceaux) & 3 (Empire Of Dirt)

Leg 4 (3.30): 12 (Unowhatimeanharry) & 6 (Jezki)

Leg 5 (4.10): 13 (Starchitect), 10 (King’s Odyssey), 20 (Champagne At Tara) & 5 (Diamond King)

Leg 6 (4.50): 5 (Let’s Dance), 4 (La Bague Au Roi) & 1 (Airlie Beach)

Suggested stake: 384 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Thursday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.30: 10 of the 18 toteplacepot positions have been claimed by seven-year-olds, statistics which include three four (20/1--7/1--4/1—4/1***) winners.  YORKHILL will be a popular order on behalf of the three vintage representatives though that said, some punters will be wary of the negative Mullins factor so far this week.  If Douvan could be beaten, nothing can be taken for granted though on all known form, YORKHILL should secure his tenth victory via his last eleventh assignments.  KILCREA VALE is the alternative each way call at around the 16/1 mark, albeit TOP NOTCH is preferred in terms of a viable danger to YORKHILL from a win perspective.

Favourite factor: A changing scenario to the terms and conditions of this event means that we have just six renewals to take into account.  Five of the eight market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions to date, two of which won their relevant events at 6/4 & 4/1***.

Cheltenham record of the course winner in the 'JLT':

1/1—Yorkhill (good)

 

2.10: 11 of the last 13 winners of the 'Pertempts' have carried 11-4 or less, statistics which eliminate 11 of the 24 runners this time around, taking jockey claims into account.  IMPULSIVE STAR was my call at the start of the week when perusing these races in the second half of the meeting and nothing has changed my mind.  FOR GOOD MEASURE remains relatively unexposed, as are Philip Hobbs runners this week, certainly as far as the first two days at the meeting was concerned.  Others of interest include big priced outsiders ELECTRIC CONCORDE and ALZAMMAAR alongside ISLEOFHOPENFDREAMS who would be a popular choice if Yorkhill managed to turn thing around for Willie and Ruby in the opening event on the card.

Favourite factor: Only two market leaders have finished in the frame during the last 13 years (one winner), which from an each way perspective in a fiercely competitive hurdle event, is particularly important for the layers.  Going back further in time, it's worth noting that just two market leaders has prevailed during the last 20 years.

Cheltenham record of course winners in the 'Pertempts':

1/5—Arbusson (soft)

1/8—Caid Du Berlais (soft)

1/1—El Bandit (good)

2/3—Golden Doyen (good & soft)

2/9—Splash Of Ginge (good to soft & soft)

2/6—Fingal Bay (good & good to soft)

1/2—Clondaw Cian (soft)

 

2.50: The ill-fated Vautour was one of my strongest selections during the entire week last year before registering a six length even money success.  UN DE SCEAUX would have been an equally confident choice before the results of the Mullins horses in the first two days had been added into the equation, a factor which dilutes interest to fashion. Gordon Elliott has been the main beneficiary this week and sure enough, EMPIRE OF DIRT lies in waiting, should Ruby’s mount be short of full fitness, one way or the other.

Favourite factor: Three of the last five favourites have won whilst seven of the last eight market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.

Cheltenham record of course winners in the Ryanair Chase:

1/1—Empire Of Dirt (good)

2/3—Un De Sceaux (good to soft & soft)

2/4—Uxizandre (good & soft)

 

3.30: Thistlecrack was the star turns on the day twelve months ago and though a notch or three behind that horse in terms of class this time around, UNOWHATIMEANHARRY will probably be the best backed horse on the day, not only in terms of single wagers but also from the point that his name will be included in millions of multiple bets/Placepot permutations on Thursday.  JEZKI is the obvious alternative option to take, given that at the ex-champion hurdler is well up to the class needed on the best of his form.  If you are looking for a speculative call, Ballyoptic would be the tentative choice.

Favourite factor: Fate of recent favourites: 24 market leaders—9 winners—7 placed—8 unplaced.  First three in betting: 66 representatives—16 winners—22 placed—28 unplaced.

Cheltenham record of course winners in the Stayers Hurdle:

1/1—Agrapart (soft)

1/2—Clondaw Warrior (good to firm)

1/8—Cole Harden (good)

1/4—Jezki (good to soft)

6/12—The New One (4 x good to soft & 2 x soft)

4/4—Unowhatimeanharry (2 x soft – good- good to soft)

2/7—Un Temps Pour Tout (2 x good to soft)

1/4—Yanworth (heavy)

2/8—Zarkandar (good & heavy)

 

4.10: Known for many years as the 'Mildmay of Flete', this event takes on a ‘new’ name these days though whatever titles are prefixed to contests at the meeting, trainers still target their horses for the respective events the same way. Although eight-year-olds have 'only' won five of the last 18 renewals, win and place investors should consider that vintage representatives have secured 31 of the 61 available place positions during the study period.  Horses carrying 11-2 or more have claimed just three victories and eleven place positions, leaving horses lower down the handicap to run riot.   Putting the stats and facts together I’ll offer a short list of STARCHITECT, KING’S ODYSSEY and CHAMPAGNE AT TARA, leaving DIAMOND KING (above the superior weight barrier) as the fourth option.

Favourite factor: Only one favourite (five years ago) has obliged since 1999, whilst ‘recent’ winners having included those returned at 66/1-50/1-33/1-25/1-25/1-18/1—16/1-14/1-12/1-12/1-12/1.  That said, eight of the 14 market leaders during the study period finished in the frame.

Cheltenham record of course winners in the handicap chase:

2/11—Village Vic (soft & heavy)

1/7—Art Mauresque (good)

1/2—Diamond King (good)

1/1—Voix D’Eau (good to soft)

1/2—King’s Odyssey (heavy)

2/13—Thomas Crapper (good & good to soft)

 

4.50: This renewal of last year’s new race is not as clear cut as it was twelve months ago, especially with the projected Mullins favourite (LET’S DANCE) having something to prove via the yard’s results on the first two days. I will remain to my positive thoughts before the week started relating to Willie’s five-year-old representative, though I’m quick to add LA BAGUE AY ROI and Paul Townend’s mount AIRLIE BEACH into the Placepot equation.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 8/11 favourite (Limini) duly obliged.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Cheltenham card on Thursday:

10 runners—Nicky Henderson

9—Willie Mullins

9—Paul Nicholls

7—Gordon Elliott

7—Nigel Twiston-Davies

5—Philip Hobbs

5—David Pipe

4—Alan King

4—Colin Tizzard

3—Henry De Bromhead

3—Harry Fry

3—Tom George

3—Charlie Longsdon

3—Noel Meade

3—Neil Mulholland

3—Jonjo O’Neill

3—Venetia Williams

2—Warren Greatrex

2—Mrs John Harrington

2—Patrick Kelly

2—Fergal O’Brien

2—Evan Williams

2—Nick Williams

+ 24 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

120 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Hexham: £312.70 – 7 favourites – 3 winners & 4 unplaced

Towcester: £39.20 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced

Chelmsford: £133.50 – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced

 

Placepot Pointers – Wednesday March 15

CHELTENHAM – MARCH 15

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £36.40 (6 favourites – No winners – 4 placed – 2 unplaced)

 

Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Cheltenham: 

Leg 1 (1.30): 11 (Neon Wolf), 10 (Messure Des Obeaux) & 1 (Bacardys)

Leg 2 (2.10): 8 (O O Seven), 4 (Bellshill) & 10 (Royal Vacation)

Leg 3 (2.50): 14 (Automated), 19 (Tin Soldier) & 4 (Mister Miyagi)

Leg 4 (3.30): 1 (Douvan) & 2 (Fox Norton)

Leg 5 (4.10): 8 (Cause Of Causes) & 4 (Auvergnat)

Leg 6 (4.50): 13 (Dreamcatching), 11 (Diable De Sivola), 20 (Dodgybingo) & 21 (Percy Street)

Suggested stake: 432 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.30: Willie Mullins has won four of the last nine renewals (Willie saddled the 16/1 runner up five years ago for good measure) whilst six-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 10-5 during the last 15 years, statistics which brings NEON WOLF into the mix with an obvious chance.  What I like about Harry Fry is that he does not throw lots of darts at the board, preferring to go to the mill with horses with definite claims and NEON WOLF is certainly one of those.  Willie also has a live chance with fellow vintage representative BACARDYS, whilst other home contenders with each way chances are MESSIRE DES OBEAUX and WILLOUGHBY COURT.

Favourite factor: Fate of recent favourites: 22 market leaders—7 winners—8 placed—7 unplaced. First three in the betting: 66 runners--13 winners--19 placed--34 unplaced.

Cheltenham record of course winners in the 'Neptune':

Record of the course winner in the field:

1/4—Poetic Rhythm (soft)

 

2.10: Seven-year-olds have run riot in this event in recent times, having won nine of the last ten renewals, having also secured 18 of the last 24 renewals.  I could give an each way squeak to the outsider of Nicky Henderson’s three runners, namely O O SEVEN who has always looked a horse of great potential without fully realising much of it to date!  Wednesday could be his day in the sunshine, certainly from a Placepot perspective at around the 16/1 mark.  More logical winners in the field include BELLSHILL and ROYAL VACATION, with yours truly believing that this could be the race on the card that bookmakers get the first three or four horses in the betting out of the frame.

Favourite factor: Fate of recent favourites: 23 market leaders—6 winners—7 placed—10 unplaced. First three in the betting: 66 runners--10 winners--20 placed--36 unplaced.

Cheltenham record of course winners in the 'RSA Chase':

1/3—Aurillac (good)

1/1—Heron Heights (good)

1/3—Might Bite (good)

1/3—O O Seven (good)

1/3—Royal Vacation (soft)

4/9—Whisper (2 x good to soft – good – soft)

1/4—Briery Belle (good)

 

2.50: 11 of the last 16 winners have carried weights of 11-0 or less which narrows the field down to 15 (from 26 – taking in a jockey claim) if you take the statistics literally, especially as horses with those weights have secured 16 of the total of 23 renewals of the Coral Cup thus far.  Six-year-olds have won six of the last 16 renewals and putting the stats and facts together produces an overnight short list of AUTOMATED, TIN SOLDIER, RIVER FROST and SCOIR MEAR. Further up the handicap, MISTER MIYAGI is also offered an each way/toteplacepot chance under what might prove to be fast ground.  From the look of things on Tuesday, Cheltenham will be watering by Thursday!

Favourite factor: Fate of recent favourites: 23 market leaders—1 winner—5 placed—17 unplaced. First three in the betting: 75 runners--5 winners--19 placed--51 unplaced.

Cheltenham record of course winners in the Coral Cup:

1/5—Modus (soft)

3/6—Old Guard (good – good to soft – soft)

1/11—The Romford Pele (good)

2/4—Mister Miyagi (good & good to soft)

3/7—Taquin Du Seuil (2 x good & good to soft)

1/1—Peregrine Run (good)

1/3—Hawk High (good)

1/7—Hargam (good to soft)

 

3.30: 14 of the last 17 winners of the Champion Chase have emerged from the front three in the betting, the other gold medallists having started at 16/1 and 10/1 (twice). The Mullins/Walsh bandwagon moves on with DOUVAN who seemingly only has FOX NORTON to beat.  Willie Mullins will be champing at the bit after Tuesday’s disappointing day but as has long since been the case at Prestbury Park in March, no trainer has the right to expect to saddle winners for fun.

Favourite factor:  Fate of the favourites: 22 market leaders—7 winners—5 placed—10 unplaced. First three in the betting: 65 runners: 16 winners--21 placed--28 unplaced.

Cheltenham record of course winners in the 'Queen Mother':

2/2—Douvan (2 x good to soft)

3/5—Fox Norton (2 x good & soft)

3/6—Garde La Victoire (good – good to soft – soft)

 

4.10: The unique cross country event was the first race to be added to the fixture in order to create a fourth day of the meeting back in 2005. The race has been won by an Irish trainer in 10 of the 12 years to date, dominated by Enda Bolger who has saddled four winners and eight placed horses.  The pick of Enda’s four horses might prove to be AUVERGNAT over CANTLOW, certainly from a value for money perspective.  That said, CAUSE OF CAUSES represents Gordon Elliott who enjoyed a gem of an opening day of the meeting.  Few would deny a victory for ANY CURRENCY who was disqualified last year, having finished second in each of the previous last two renewals.

Favourite factor: Favourites have won three of the 12 contests to date (eight of the other ten market leaders finished out of the frame), whilst nine gold medallists emerged from the front three in the betting.

Cheltenham record of course winners in the 'Cross Country':

2/19—Any Currency (2 x good to soft)

1/10—Bless The Wings (good to soft)

1/8—Cantlow (good to firm)

2/6—Cause Of Causes (good & good to soft)

1/3—First Lieutenant (good)

1/15—Quantitiveeasing (good)

1/7—Sausalito Sunrise (good to soft)

2/13—Third Intention (2 x good)

 

4.50: An extremely difficult toteplacepot finale in all honesty. I’m not going to bury you in waffle (other than the fact that the last eight winners have carried 11-2 or less); suffice to suggest that I am banking on DREAMCATCHING, DIABLE DE SIVOLA, PERCY STREET and DODGYBINGO to see if we can secure the toteplacepot dividend, hoping we are live going into the sixth and final leg of our favourite wager.  I have included some speculative types, hoping to land a big dividend!

Favourite factor: Two of the six favourites have finished in the frame since the last favourite prevailed back in 2010.  Four of the last five gold medallists were returned at 40/1--33/1--25/1--25/1!

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Cheltenham card on Wednesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season:

14 runners—Willie Mullins

11—Nicky Henderson

10—Gordon Elliott

7—Alan King

5—Colin Tizzard

4—Enda Bolger

3—Henry De Bromhead

3—Noel Meade

3—Dan Skelton

2—Rebecca Curtis

2—Peter Fahey

2—Alan Fleming

2—Tom George

2—Warren Greatrex

2—Mrs John Harrington

2—Philip Hobbs

2—Charlie Longsdon

2—Mouse Morris

2—Paul Nicholls

2—Fergal O’Brien

2—J P O’Brien

2—Ben Pauling

2—Nicky Richards

2—Nick Williams

+ 34 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

124 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Southwell: £106.50 – 4 winners & 2 unplaced

Huntingdon was abandoned last year

There was no meeting at Newcastle as A/W racing did not begin at Gosforth Park until May 2016

 

 

Placepot Pointers – Tuesday March 14

CHELTENHAM – MARCH 14

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £38.90 (6 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced)

 

Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Cheltenham: 

Leg 1 (1.30): 12 (Melon), 14 (River Wylde) & 9 (High Bridge)

Leg 2 (2.10): 2 (Altior) & 3 (Charbel)

Leg 3 (2.50): 18 (Singlefarmpayment), 10 (Junction Fourteen), 9 (Holywell) & 1 (Un Temps Por Tout)

Leg 4 (3.30): 12 (Yanworth) & 6 (Moon Racer)

Leg 5 (4.10): 10 (Limini) & 18 (Vroum Vroum Mag)

Leg 6 (4.50): 1 (A Genie In Abottle), 10 (Edwulf), 3 (Arpege D’Alene) & 5 (Bells N Banjos)

Suggested stake: 384 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.30: Two things to say before I light the blue touch paper.  Firstly with four different courses to race on, the relevant course winners listed under each race have not been identified as C/D winners at Cheltenham this week because of the different 'routes' relating to so many horses and events.  Secondly, the ground has dried up sufficiently for those damned bookmakers to go into the week with an edge, after so many prep races have been contested on bad ground.  Upwards and onward by revealing that five and six-year-olds have won 13 of the last 14 renewals of this opening event between them, securing 38/42 each way/toteplacepot positions during the study period.  MELON is the latest ‘talking horse’ from the Willie Mullins yard in the opening race of the week and whilst it seems that I am conditioned to include the Irish raider in my Placepot mix, RIVER WYLDE and HIGH BRIDGE are ‘preferred’ from a value for money perspective.  Willie and Nicky Henderson (RIVER WYLDE and Beyond conceit) lead the way during the last decade with two winners apiece in this event which is as close as you can get to a ‘cavalry charge’ over a two mile trip!

Favourite factor: Fate of recent favourites: 24 market leaders—5 winners—8 placed—11 unplaced. First three in the betting: 68 runners--12 winners--20 placed--36 unplaced.

Cheltenham record of course winners in the 'Supreme Novices':

2/3—Ballyandy (good & good to soft)

1/2—Pingshou (good)

 

2.10: The way that runners fall by the wayside through injury etc., makes it a crying shame from my viewpoint that we have been denied a dual between ALTIOR and Douvan in Wednesday’s Champion Chase, though naturally (and rightly), owners have the last word, however bullish trainers might be one way or the other.  With Nicky Henderson of course, we know that he thinks first and foremost of the welfare of the horses in his care whereby his might have been the final decision and if so, it’s hardly surprising that he wants his connections to win very decent price money without taking too many risks at this stage of Altior’s career.  Back on the racing front, CHARBEL is fancied to follow the favourite home (as he did recently at Sandown), albeit at a respectable distance.

Favourite factor: Fate of recent favourites: 22 market leaders—6 winners—6 placed—10 unplaced. First three in the betting: 67 runners--13 winners--18 placed--36 unplaced.

Cheltenham record of course winners in the 'Arkle':

1/3—A Hare Breath (good)

2/2—Altior (2 x good to soft)

 

2.50: Fourteen of the last eighteen winners carried a maximum burden of 10-12 whereby the victory of UN TEMPS PUR TOUT twelve months ago off 11-7 is all the more impressive.  David Pipe has offered the green light again, albeit an additional five pounds will be carried this time around.  HOLYWELL is twelve pounds better off for the relevant seven length defeat in the race last year when Jonjo’s raider finished second, finishing well clear of the remainder of the field.  There should not be a great deal of daylight between the pair again and yes, there is a chance that they could dominate proceedings.  Whether that will be possible with the concession of weight SINGLEFARMPAYMENT is another matter altogether.  Others for consideration include NOBLE ENDEAVOUR and Emma Lavelle’s overpriced raider JUNCTION FOURTEEN.

Favourite factor: Fate of recent favourites: 26 market leaders—1 winner—11 placed—14 unplaced. First three in the betting: 68 runners--9 winners--18 places--41 unplaced.

Cheltenham record of course winners in the Handicap Chase:

1/6—Un Temps Pour Tout (good to soft)

1/7—Theatre Guide (good)

1/1—Vincente De Noyer (good to soft)

3/11—Annacotty (good to soft – soft – heavy)

1/5—The Young Master (good)

2/4—Holywell (2 x good to soft)

1/6—The Druid’s Nephew (good to soft)

1/3—Ibis Du Rheu (good)

1/9—Buywise (good)

1/1—Coologue (good)

1/7—Caid Du Berlais (soft)

2/3—Singlefarmpayment (good & heavy)

1/6—A Good Skin (good)

 

3.30: With so much positive talk hailing from the Yanworth camp, punters who took around 3/1 for Alan King’s raider recently can feel pleased with themselves as if the hype continues into Tuesday, as there is a chance that the seven-year-old could be sent off as short at 15/8 in my book.  Certainly, I believe that if YANWORTH is to become the new champion, his price will be veering that way rather than towards the 11/4 mark which the trade press has opted for at the time of writing.  Either way, YANWORTH looks sure to figure prominently, though the 3/3 ratio offered by MOON RACER at Cheltenham suggest that the David Pipe team are right to ‘go for broke’ as opposed to taking easier options at the Festival.  THE NEW ONE will struggle to win for well documented reasons, though his 16/1 quote in a place makes for interesting each way reading for those that want a genuine run for their money on an outsider.  The ground looks like being too lively for Buveur D’Air, whereby Brain Power could contest minor honours with The New One.

Favourite factor: Fate of recent favourites: 23 market leaders—9 winners—6 placed—8 unplaced. First three in the betting: 66 runners--10 winners--24 placed--32 unplaced.

Cheltenham record of course winners in the 'Champion Hurdle':

3/3—Moon Racer (good – good to soft – soft)

2/3—Sceau Royal (good & soft)

6/11—The New One (4 x good to soft – good – soft)

1/2—Wicklow Brave (soft)

1/3—Yanworth (heavy)

 

4.10: Plenty of respect has to be paid to the Gordon Elliott raider Apple’s Jade but with Willie Mullins having won eight of the nine renewals of this event for mares, the chances for LIMINI and VROUM VROUM MAG are there for all to see.  I guess that Willie might be a little miffed that the pair have to clash at this stage but as long as he lands the forecast between the pair, the trainer will be happy enough.  Lifeboat Mona is the ‘optimistic’ hope that runners this side of the Irish Sea might be able to swag some prize money, though I wouldn’t bank on it.  I’ll let you decide between the Irish trio, swerving any possible blame, a stance which seems to be in evidence so much in our country (the world over) these days!

Favourite factor: The nine favourites have snared six golds and one bronze medal to date, impressive stats that would have looked even better but for the fall at the last flight of Annie Power two years ago with the race at her mercy.

Cheltenham record of course winners in the 'Mares Hurdle':

1/6—Briery Queen (soft)

1/1—Indian Stream (good)

1/1—Limini (good)

1/4—Rons Dream (good to soft)

1/1—Vroum Vroum Mag (good to soft)

 

4.50: Seven-year-olds have won six of the last twelve contests and I have win and place notions about ARPEGE D’ALENE and even BELLS N BANJOS at the exhilarating price of 50/1 representing the Fergal O’Brien team that never turn their back on a challenge, however much layers dismiss their chances, a stance which has cost them plenty of money ay Cheltenham in recent years.  That said, GENIE IN ABOTTLE, EDWULF and FLINTHAM have terrific pilots on their side here, which cannot be ignored in this type of (amateur) event.

Favourite factor: Fate of recent favourites: 22 market leaders—5 winners—4 placed—13 unplaced. First three in the betting: 69 runners--8 winners--14 placed--47 unplaced.

Cheltenham record of course winners in the 'NH Chase':

1/5—Champers On Ice (heavy)

1/2—Martello Tower (soft)

2/4—Tiger Roll (good & good to soft)

1/1—What A Moment (good)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Cheltenham card on Tuesday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued:

11—Willie Mullins (1/2 – slight loss)

9—Nicky Henderson (4/36 – loss of 18 points)

8—Henry De Bromhead (1/9 – loss of 2 points)

8—Alan King (3/23 – loss of 4 points)

5—Gordon Elliott (0/8)

5—Neil Mulholland (2/12 – loss of 6 points)

5—Nigel Twiston-Davies (7/33 – Profit of 1 point)

4—Paul Nicholls (6/45 – loss of 13 points)

4—David Pipe (2/18 – loss of 5 points)

4—Dan Shelton (4/36 – loss of 18 points)

4—Colin Tizzard (6/42 – Profit of 20 points)

3—Tom George (2/10 – loss of 6 points)

3—Malcolm Jefferson (0/1)

3—Venetia Williams (0/9)

2—Peter Bowen (0/5)

2—Rebecca Curtis (1/13 – Profit of 8 points)

2—Fergal O’Brien (3/19 – Profit of 4 points)

2—Noel Meade (No previous runners this season)

2—Jonjo O’Neill (3/24 (Profit of 25 points)

2—Ben Pauling (0/12)

+ 27 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

115 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Sedgefield: £153.00 – 3 winners & 3 unplaced

Southwell: £152.40 – 5 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced (1 non-runner - second favourite in the relevant contest was unplaced; hence the good dividend)

Wolverhampton: £25.50 – 7 favourites – 2 winners – 4 placed – 1 unplaced

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mal Boyle stats – Monday 13th

PLUMPTON – MARCH 13

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £1,354.10 (6 favourites – 1 winner – 1 placed – 4 unplaced)

 

Monday's Placepot permutation at Plumpton: 

Leg 1 (2.00): 2 (Solighoster) & 1 (Fountains Windfall)

Leg 2 (2.30): 5 (Remember Forever), 3 (Clonusker) & 1 (Brice Canyon)

Leg 3 (3.05): 3 (Rude And Crude), 1 (Starkie) & 2 (Un Anjou)

Leg 4 (3.40): 1 (Midnight Tune), 5 (Jebs Gamble) & 3 (Oscar Jane)

Leg 5 (4.10): 2 (Top And Drop) & 1 (Hope’s Wishes)

Leg 6 (4.40): 2 (Finish The Story) & 4 (Royals And Rebels)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.00: Nine of the last twelve winners have been sent off at a top price of 11/4 (see further stats below).  Five and six-year-olds have (equally) shared six recent renewals and with none of the relevant older representatives having been declared, five-year-old SOLIGHOSTER might overcome FOUNTAINS WINDFALL in what amounts to a ‘match’, especially if the relevant claimer can call on all seven pounds of his allowance.

Favourite factor: Nine of the 16 favourites have won, though four of the other seven market leaders finished out of the frame in races won by horses sent off at 33/1 (twice)--20/1--8/1--5/1—11/4--13/8.

 

2.30: Seven-year-olds have won five of the last nine renewals and with REMEMBER FOREVER being this year’s lone vintage representative, Richard Rowe’s raider is the first name on the team sheet.  I’ve seen 8/1 on offer in a place or two overnight which makes for half decent each way reading from my viewpoint.  Readers might consider the soft ground course and distance winner CLONUSKER a more logical winner, arguably alongside BRICE CANYON.

Favourite factor: 21 of the last 23 available toteplacepot positions have been claimed by horses starting at 8/1 or less (four winning favourites).  Three of the other seven market leaders secured additional toteplacepot positions.

Record of the course winners in the second race:

2/12—Clonlusker (soft & heavy)

1/6—Frank N Fair (good)

 

3.05: Ten of the last eleven winners have been returned at a top price of 11/2 whilst seven of the eight most recent gold medallists were burdened with a minimum weight of 11-4. The claimer aboard Edgar effectively eliminates the seven-year-old via the weight stats, leaving RUDE AND CRUDE, STARKIE and UN ANJOU to represent yours truly in this ‘win only’ contest.  The trio is offered in marginal order of preference at the time of writing.

Favourite factor: Six of the 11 favourites (three winners) have claimed toteplacepot positions to date.

Record of the course winners in the third event on the card:

1/3—Rude And Crude (heavy)

 

3.40: Six-year-olds have won five of the last fourteen contests, even though vintage representatives were conspicuous by their absence five years ago, notwithstanding last year’s lone contender havening been returned at 20/1 when finishing down the field.  This year's relevant entries are MIDNIGHT TUNE and JEBS GAMBLE.  Johnny Farrelly secured a 31/1 double with his only two runners on Saturday, with OSCAR JANE being his first subsequent declaration.

Favourite factor: Two favourites have obliged via the last twelve renewals (the market leader was withdrawn two years ago) during which time, the other winners were returned at 33/1--11/1--8/1--6/1--6/1----9/2--4/1--4/1--7/2--7/2. Just three of the last eight market leaders have finished in the frame (exact science).

Record of the course winners in the fourth contest:

1/1—Midnight Tune (soft)

1/1—Minella Gathering (heavy)

1/5—Bostin (good to firm)

 

4.10: This handicap hurdle is confined to mares which is not conducive to creating a ‘bank’ for the Cheltenham Festival in principle though that said, four of the six favourites have obliged, whilst the 2013 market leader was beaten by the minimum margin.  Six-year-olds have won three of the last five contests whereby TOP AND DROP confirms her status as being the selection, a decision which had been made before looking up the facts and stats.  HOPE’S WISHES returns to defend her crown, with Barry Brennan’s Kayf Tara mare given the nod as the main threat to the selection.

Favourite factor: All four favourites had claimed tote placepositions via three gold medals and one of the silver variety before the 2015 (5/4) favourite was sunk without trace.  Last year’s race reverted to type when the 11/4 market leader prevailed.

Record of the course winners in the fifth race:

1/1—Hope’s Wishes (soft)

 

4.45: Seven-year-olds lead the eight-year-olds 4-3 via the last eleven renewals during the last twelve years in this toteplacepot finale.  Indeed, seven-year-olds have won four of the last eight contests whereby ROYALS AND REBELS might prove to be the main danger to FINISH THE STORY (Johnny Farrelly’s second (last) runner on the card), having given the trainer a big build up to his raider in the fourth race on the Plumpton programme.

Favourite factor: 27 of the 29 horses to claim toteplacepot positions to date started at 9/1 or less.  Five of the twelve market leaders have finished in the frame, statistics which include four winners.

Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:

2/10—Itoldyou (good & soft)

2/13—Venetian Lad (2 x good)

2/18—Goring Two (soft & heavy)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Plumpton card on Monday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:

4 runners—Linda Jewell (2/18 – Profit of 12 points)

4—Daniel O’Brien (0/7)

3—Chris Gordon (3/18 – loss of 3 points)

3—Anthony Honeyball (4/11 – Profit 0f 2 points)

3—Richard Rowe (1/14 – loss of 9 points)

2—Alexandra Dunn (0/1)

2—Johnny Farrelly (3/9 – Profit of 8 points)

2—Diana Grissell (0/19)

2—Gary Moore (10/52 – loss of 1 point)

2—Neil Mulholland (2/20 – loss of 12 points)

2—Anna Newton-Smith (0/13)

2—Martin Smith (0/1)

+ 21 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

52 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Chepstow (contested on the Saturday last year): £1,827.40 – 7 favourites – 1 winner & 6 unplaced

Stratford: Abandoned

Chelmsford (contested on the previous Thursday last year): £57.00 – 3 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced