Race of the Day – 24 Mar

Race of the Day - 16:00 Lingfield

This is a very nice looking handicap being run over one and a half miles on the all weather at Lingfield, with almost £12k going to the winner.

The excellent Adam Kirby rides Retrieve, and Kirby has a quite brilliant record here at Lingfield over the past five years. He's had 198 winners (20.71%) from 956 races for a level stakes profit of 22.84, which is amazing going over such a large sample of races.

Abareeq is trained by Mark Johnston and ridden by Joe Fanning, and these two are an excellent team who have been among the winners over the past 30 days. You can see this by the green 30 below their names, and if you click on the trainer and jockey icons below the horses name, you will be able to see the detail behind this.

Retrieve has four sections of green on the Instant Expert report, so looks nicely suited to this race. However this is only from a handful of races, so a bit of caution to putting too much weight behind this. He is three pounds lower than for his last victory though, so if the ten year old can rediscover some old form, he could make the frame.

Bayre has one section of green and four of amber, from quite a large amount of races. He is also just the one pound higher than his last win, so looks to be quite a strong favourite.

The Pace tab shows us that there is no real bias when it comes to running styles here over this distance. Leaders, prominent runners and those in mid division are all within 1% of each other, showing that no real advantage exists here.

Sennockian Star looks certain to break away quickly and lead them along, as he has easily the highest pace score, and there are no other real front runners in the race.

Horses For Courses is a report that is free to all users on a Friday, and it is excellent at finding horses that return to a certain course and do well time and again.

Barye has a brilliant record here at Lingfield, having won three times (50%) and been placed four times (66.67%) from six races, for level stakes profits of 7.75 and 8.69 respectively. He is the current favourite at around 2/1, but looks to have a great chance of taking this valuable prize.

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Race of the Day – 23 Mar

Race of the Day - 13:50 Wolverhampton

This is a five furlong sprint on the artificial surface at Wolverhampton, and it has quite an open looking feel to it.

The current favourite is Dashing Poet, and she is the bottom weight, but also has the highest Speed Rating. These ratings are particularly applicable in the shorter contests as they are travelling as their maximum speeds for a lot of the race. As a three year old filly, she is getting the highest possible weight allowances, so has a few things in her favour. Martin Lane is her jockey and he has been in really good form of late, as can be seen by the green 14 and 30 below his name, indicating useful form over the last 14 and 30 days.

The Instant Expert report is free to all users for every race on a Thursday, and Powerful Dream shows up very well with three sections of green and two of amber. She is also just two pounds higher than for her last win, so must enter calculations here today.

Pushkin Museum also looks good at a big price, with two sections of green and three of amber. He is six pounds higher than when last in the winners enclosure, but his liking for today's racing conditions make it encouraging for a place.

Being the sprint distance we would expect early leaders to have a good record, and they really do. Over 22% of them have gone on to victory for a level stakes profit of 517.43 from a sample of 947 runners.

Annie Salts is always quickly away and along with Doctor Parkes and Loumarin, look the most likely early leaders.

Low drawn horses here over this distance have a clear advantage, with over 10% of them winning and almost third of them claiming a place.

This is a definite plus for the fast starting Doctor Parkes, but also offers encouragement for Powerful Dream. Although she is not usually that fast from the stalls, she should still have the opportunity to get a decent position if getting away reasonably well.

 

Race of the Day – 22 Mar

Race of the Day - 20:15 Kempton

They race over the marathon distance of two miles on the all weather surface at Kempton, and it's a 0-65 handicap.

Treble Strike is trained by Dean Ivory, and he has a very good record with horses running over the staying distances. He's had 12 winners (22.64%) and 21 places (39.62%) for level stakes profits of 20.88 and 20.51 respectively. This level of detail can be seen by clicking on the black trainer icon below the horses name.

Not too many of the runners show up particularly well on the Instant Expert report, however when on the 'Place' setting we can see that one of the outsiders Art History, has three sections of green and one of amber. He is nine years old now and doesn't have a lot of recent racing behind him, but his mark is definitely on the low side and if he retains any of his old ability, 20/1 could be a big price.

Even though this race is being run over two miles, leaders here still have a good record. From 236 runners they have an almost 14% strike rate, for a level stakes profit of 48.19.

From looking at the Pace report we can see that there is no real standout front runner, therefore this could be a muddling pace, and as the Pace Prediction tentatively suggests, the race may be falsely run.

Trainer Statistics is free to all members on a Wednesday, and it's a very useful report for showing which trainers are currently amongst the winners.

Chris Gordon has been in fantastic form over the past 30 days, enjoying 13 winners (50%) and 17 places (65.38%) from 26 runners, for level stakes profits of 31.93 and 43.91 respectively. He has just the one runner today, and that is Shalianzi, who has the very competent Luke Morris on board.

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Race of the Day – 21 Mar

Race of the Day - 17:00 Southwell

We go to Southwell for Race of the Day, and a six furlong handicap for those rated 0-75.

Bring On A Spinner has a trainer and a jockey who both have good course form over the past five years, as can be seen from the green 'C5' below their respective names. If you click on the trainer or jockey icons below the horses name, you will be able to see this in more detail.

Daniel Loughrane, who runs Big Amigo in this race, has been in excellent current form. Over the past 30 days he's had six winners (21.43%) and eleven places (39.29%) for level stakes profits of 33.75 and 35.13 respectively. He also has extremely good course form here at Southwell.

The Shortlist is the report that is free to all users on a Tuesday, and Bring On A Spinner has a full line of green, giving him a score of 15. This shows he is extremely well suited by the racing conditions here today, and may prove to be some value at a current price of around 7/1.

The Instant Expert report highlights how well suited Bring On A Spinner is to this race, and he is also just three pounds higher than for his last victory. It is interesting to see that he has a particular liking for Southwell, with four wins from his seven races here.

African Blessing also looks good on this report, with four sections of green. This is from a much smaller sample of races however, so I wouldn't give as much weight to it.

The Pace report shows that early leaders have a very good record here over this distance. A little over 23% of them have gone on to win the race, for a massive level stakes profit of 432.25.

There are a few runners in this field that are usually away quickly, but from this report it appears that the most likely leaders are Coiste Bodhar and Bring On A Spinner, based on their last four races. Low and middle drawn horses have an advantage, and these two are drawn two and six, so that should also help.

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Race of the Day – 20 Mar

Race of the Day - 15:00 Kempton

This is a seven furlong handicap on the all weather surface at Kempton, for those rated from 0-65.

It has a very open look to the race, with the current favorite of the 14 runner field, priced around 9/2.

Bounty Pursuit is the favourite, and he is ridden by Sivestre De Sousa. He has been is useful recent form, and also has a very good record at the course. Over the past five years he's had 68 winners from 380 runners (17.89%) for a level stakes profit of 8.29.

There aren't too many sections of green when looking at the Instant Expert report, however, Bounty Pursuit has four sections with only the course not being green. This is grey for him, as he has never raced here before. He has won at both Southwell and Wolverhampton, therefore I would be hopeful that he would be able to cope fine with the surface here, and being just the four pounds higher than for his last victory, I think he looks to have a very good chance.

Magic Mirror has three sections of green, including having won here at Kempton, so also looks to be a player here today.

When looking at the Pace report, we can see that early leaders here over this distance do extremely well. They have a win record of 16.52%, for a level stakes profit of 95.74.

There aren't too many in the field that are usually away that quickly. Mime Dance has the highest pace score but was away slowly last time, and as the Pace Prediction alludes to, this could well be a falsely run race and a sprint from a couple of furlongs out.

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Race of the Day – 13 Mar

Race of the Day - 17:50 Chelmsford

This is a one mile and five furlong handicap on the all weather surface at Chelmsford, for horses rated from 0-75.

Bracken Brae was a winner last time out over two miles, however she does have excellent course and distance form. She has raced over course and distance seven times, with three wins, three seconds and a third place.

Mick Easterby runs Heart Locket here today, and he has an excellent course record. Over the past five years, he's had 15 winners (28.85%) and 27 places (51.92%) for level stakes profits of 16.47 and 15.764 respectively.

When looking at the Instant Expert report Bracken Brae stands right out. She has four sections of green and one of amber, showing that she is very well suited by the racing conditions here today. She is just the two pounds heavier than for her last victory, and looks to have a very good chance of taking this.

When switching to the 'place'setting, Rowlestone Lass has a very consistent record, and at a price of 16/1, looks to be potentially a value each way shout.

Leaders here over this distance have the best record, with a little over 17% of them going on to win the race. Next best are prominent runners, with just under 17% of them winning, and I think this highlights that it is definitely preferable to be towards the front of proceedings early on in the race.

Casablanca looks almost certain to be right at the front early on, based on his last four runs. He is always very handy, and nothing else in the race is much of a front runner.

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Race of the Day – 10 Mar

Race of the Day - 19:45 Newcastle

This is a wide open five furlong dash on the all weather course at Newcastle.

Novabridge is near the top of the handicap, and he comes out on top in the Speed Ratings, which are particularly applicable over the minimum trip, where speed is of the essence.

Windforpower has a similar profile, in that he is at the top on official ratings, and is second on the Speed Ratings. He has Ben Curtis on board, who has been in very useful form over the past couple of weeks.

Although there isn't much green on the Instant Expert report, Novabridge has about the best profile, with one section of green and four of amber. He is four pounds higher than his last winning mark, however I think if he can break away well he stands a good chance.

The Burnham Mare is definitely at home in this class of race, winning four from six attempts, and she has also dropped down the handicap a little to a mark that is four pounds lower than her last winning effort.

Prominent runners have the best record here over this distance, and it is quite interesting to note that leaders don't have that good a record, which is unusual for races over the minimum distance.

The Bunham Mare and David's Beauty are both normally away quickly, and being drawn close to each other in stalls nine and thirteen they may well take each other along.

A lot of the early pace does appear to be drawn high, so it may well be an advantage to be drawn this side.

Horses For Courses is the report that is free to all users on a Friday, and it shows us that Novabridge is right at home racing here at Newcastle. From his five races here, he's had two winners and three places, for level stakes profits of 11.50 and 19,38 respectively. He is drawn in stall ten, therefore he is right there with the pace, and I expect him to be finishing the race very strongly. At 9/1, I think he is excellent each way value.

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Race of the Day – 9 Mar

Race of the Day - 14:45 Southwell

Today's Race of the Day is a selling stakes on the all weather at Southwell, being run over a mile and a half.

Paris Bound is the youngster of the field at four years old, and he's had just the two races on the all weather tracks so far. However both his trainer Andrew Balding, and jockey David Probert, have very good records here at Southwell. Probert's record here over the last five years is 16 winners (20.51%) and 28 places (35.90%), for level stakes profits of 53.33 and 41.39 respectively.

La Estrella was a creditable fifth on his comeback last time out over two miles, and a win here today would make it a record 28 wins in this sphere, for the remarkable 14 year old.

The Instant Expert report (which is free for every race to all users on a Thursday) highlights what an amazing career La Estrella has had. He has a lovely full line of green, and from a very large sample of races. His record here at Southwell is something to behold, and although he may not retain all of the old ability, it is great to still see him racing.

Luv U Whatever also has very good course form, and he is one of the highest on the official ratings.

From looking at the Pace tab we can see that leaders here over this distance have quite a good record, with over 15% of them going on to win the race, for level stakes profits of 13.05.

Luv U Whatever is a confirmed front runner, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see Andrew Mullen shoot off in front and try to make all.

Brassbound is also normally quite handy, and he may give Luv U Whatever a bit of competition for the early lead.

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Race of the Day – 8 Mar

Race of the Day - 14:30 Lingfield Park

This is a six furlong claiming stakes on the all weather at Lingfield, and there is a short priced favourite in the field of six.

Tom Dascombe trains the jolly, Flowers On Venus, and he has quite a useful record with last time out winners. He's had 24 winners (19.83%) from 121 runners, for level stakes profits of 2.51. He was a good winner last time out in a similar race, and I think it will take a decent performance to topple him here today.

Fairway To Heaven is the second favourite, and he is ridden by Adam Kirby who has a phenomenal record at Lingfield. He has produced a level stakes profit over the last five years from over 950 races, which is an amazing achievement.

Flowers On Venus is the one runner that stands out on the Instant Expert tab, with four sections of green and just one of red. It interesting to note that he has just the one win from nine attempts over this distance, and although winning two out of his last three races, they were both over seven furlongs. If the early pace is high in this race, there is a chance he could get a little outpaced.

Leaders here over this distance have an excellent record, with almost 25% of them going on to win the race, for level stakes profits of 139.97. With prominent runners easily the next best, we are definitely looking for runners that are usually up with the pace.

With such a small field there shouldn't be too much of a problem to get near the front if they break well, but Flowers Of Venus is usually very quickly away. If he can remain with the early pace, we have already seen that he will have the extra stamina when it comes to the final furlong.

Trainer Statistics is the report that is free to all users on a Wednesday, and it is an excellent tool for finding out where certain trainers excel, or where they 'go' to place a fancied runner.

Michael Wigham doesn't send his horses to Lingfield that often, but when he does, they usually deliver. Over the past year he has had 11 runners here, with six of them winning, for level stakes profits of 16.42. He runs Fairway To Heaven here today, and given the slight doubts about the favourite over this distance, Fairway To Heaven maybe the value play in this race.

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Race of the Day – 7 Mar

Race of the Day - 15:00 Southwell

We head to Southwell for Race of the Day, and a one mile and six furlong handicap for those rated 0-75.

Katie Gale is the current favourite at around 2/1, and she has been in very consistent form, without getting her head in front. She may have dropped down to a winnable mark now, and this appears to be her optimum distance, boasting a course and distance win from just three pounds lower in 2015.

Chris Dwyer, who runs Noguchi here today, has an excellent record with his all weather runners. Clicking on the black trainer icon below the horses name shows his record in detail. We can see that on the all weather he's had 46 winners (17.10%) and 102 places (37.92%) from 269 runners, for level stakes profits of 61.98 and 52.35 respectively.

Katie Gale shows up about the best on the Instant Expert tab, and it highlights what an excellent record she has here at Southwell. She has won here five times from eleven races for 7.28 points profit at level stakes, which is impressive. Overall she has two sections of green and three of amber, so looks to have things quite nicely in her favour today.

Noguchi is very well suited by this distance, winning three out of seven races run over 14 furlongs, and he is four pounds lower than for his last victory.

From looking at the Pace tab we can see that the running style doesn't really have a huge effect on how the ran pans out. Prominent runners have just the best record with a strike rate of 14.45%, but it isn't by much.

It looks like a reasonable pace could be set, as Katie Gale, Samtu and Pinwood are all usually quite handy in the early stages of their races.

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Race of the Day – 6 Mar

Race of the Day - 17:10 Wolverhampton

This is a one and a half mile handicap for those rated 0-105, and with almost £12k for the winner, it has attracted a very nice looking field.

Winterlude is at the top of the handicap, and he has Joe Fanning on board, who has been in very good form of late. He's has 15 winners (26.32%) and 31 places (54.39%) from 57 runners, for level stakes profits of 20.08 and 24.50 respectively. Trainer Jennie Candlish has also been among the winners recently, and she has a useful record at the course.

Silvestre De Sousa rides John Reel, and he is a bit of a specialist here at Wolverhampton, winning over a quarter of his races here during the past year.

When looking at the Instant Expert tab, Winterlude really stands out. He has four sections of green and one of amber, proving that he is very well suited by today's racing conditions. His figures are from quite a good sample of races too, so I think he has a very good chance of taking this. It should be noted that he is seven pounds higher than when winning last time out, but he's in great form and looks capable of defying that raise.

John Reel has won two of his six races at the course, and at 14/1 he may be a little over priced.

Prominent runners here over this distance have the best record, but it isn't by too much. From looking at the Pace tab there is no real bias, with horses that are held up having just a 2% lower strike rate than early leaders.

John Reel and Mistiroc look the likely leaders early on, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see De Sousa take them along a quick pace and then try and steal it from the front.

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Race of the Day – 3 Mar

Race of the Day - 15:05 Lingfield

We head to Lingfield for the Race of the Day, and a claiming stakes run over ten furlongs with just the six runners.

Gary Moore runs the current favourite, Gaelic Silver, and he has been in excellent form over the past two weeks, with six winners (20%) and 14 places (46.67%) from 30 runners, for level stakes profits of 9.91 and 17.34 respectively.

Black Dave is ridden by Adam Kirby, and anything he rides on the all weather needs to have a closer look. Kirby has a brilliant long term record here at Lingfield, with 197 winners from 953 runners (20.69%) for a level stakes profit of 23.19. Over such a large sample, that really is fantastic going.

There is not a lot of green on the Instant Expert report for this race, however Black Dave has two sections of green (Course and Distance), and two of amber. He does look to have a very good chance of taking this today.

Leaders and prominent runners have the best record here over this distance, with both of them having over a 14% win strike rate.

Black Dave has the highest 'Pace' score and from looking at the previous running styles, it looks like he may only have the 100/1 shot Thrtypointstothree as company for the early lead. This looks like an obvious race for a typical 'Kirby' ride, where he leads them along and then strikes for home and is not able to be caught.

Horses For Courses is the report that is free to all users on a Friday, and today it highlights what an excellent record Black Dave has here at Lingfield. From ten races he's had four winners (40%) and seven places (70%) for level stakes profits of 17.75 and 24.71. Gaelic Silver being the current favourite is keeping his price at a very reasonable 2/1, and for me that appears a bit of value given what we have looked at above.

 

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Race of the Day – 2 Mar

Race of the Day - 16:10 Taunton

This is quite a useful looking handicap hurdle at Taunton, where the going is good.

Volpone Jelois is trained by Paul Nicholls, who as well as being in good current form, has an excellent record at this course. This can be seen by the green characters below his name, and if you click on the black trainer icon below the horses name, you can see this in more detail. Over the past five years, Nicholls has had 52 winners (30.59%) and 107 places (62.94%) for level stakes profits of 3.80 and 8.50 respectively.

Qualando was a Cheltenham festival winner two years ago, when trained by Paul Nicholls, but hasn't hit those heights since, and he is now with Alan Jones. The blue letters 'TC' next to the horses name indicate a trainer change, and if you click on those letters, it will take you to a report that shows how well the relevant trainers do with horses they have inherited.

The Instant Expert report to free to all users on a Thursday, and when looking at it for the race in question, The Unit stands out. He has four sections of green and just the one grey section, as he has never run in this class before. He is definitely well suited by the race conditions here today, and although he is nine pounds higher than for his last win, he was a very good second place behind the useful Air Horse One from this weight last time out.

Roadie Joe has three sections of green, and is actually two pounds lower than for his last win. He was going quite nicely when falling two from home last time out, so if he can reproduce that kind of form and a clear round, he could be in the mix.

Leaders here over this distance have a very good record, with 21.43% of them going on to win the race, for a level stakes profit of 56.74.

Roadie Joe and Volpone Jelois are both usually very prominent in their races, and I expect those two to be at the head of affairs from the start in this one. They could potentially take each other on, which could lead to them going too fast, and opening it up for the four in behind them to swoop when they have exhausted themselves.

 

 

 

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Race of the Day – 1 Mar

Race of the Day - 15:20 Ffos Las

The ground is heavy at Ffos Las today, and this is a two mile six furlong handicap hurdle for horses rated 0-100.

Filatore is the outsider of the field at 14/1, however he is the highest rated on the Speed Ratings, with a mark of 101. He has fallen a long way down the handicap over the last six months and is now on a very attractive mark, however it remains to be seen whether he has the fight left in him to win a race like this. He has been very consistent on heavy ground in the past, so perhaps a return to a shorter trip on heavy going can bring the best out of him.

Fille Des Champs is the top weight and she looks comfortably the best on the Instant Expert tab. She has three sections of green, including being only one of two runners in the race to have won on heavy going. She is three pounds higher than for her last victory, but this looks well within her capabilities.

Kapricorne is the only other runner here with a green section, having won two out of his six races here at Ffos Las.

There are no green 'blobs' on the Pace report, but there are three of amber, and prominent runners have the best record here over this distance. They have a strike rate of 16.55% for a small level stakes loss, from 139 runners.

Follow the tracks is normally at the head of affairs and has easily the highest pace score. The 'Pace Prediction' is Probable Loner Speed, and it will be Follow The Tracks that is most likely to be in front early on.

Trainer Statistics is the report that is free to all users on a Wednesday, and it shows us that over the past five years David Rees has a very impressive record here at Ffos Las. He's had 12 winners (12.20%) and 23 places (23.96%) for level stakes profits of 69.50 and 55.24 respectively. Steel Native is his runner here today and he looks to be in with a shout.

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Race of the Day – 28 Feb

Race of the Day - 15:10 Leicester

This is quite a nice looking hunters' chase at Leicester, with a couple of the bigger yards represented.

Rebel Rebellion runs for Paul Nicholls, and he has been in very good form recently, as can be seen by the green '14' and '30' below his name. When looking at his form in more detail (you can do this by clicking on the black trainer icon below the horses name), we can see that it is really quite rare that Nicholls has a runner here at Leicester. Over the past five years he's had just the seven runners, however from those seven there have been four winners and six places. Rebel Rebellion is the top rated in the field today by 12 pounds, and looks to have an excellent chance.

The Shortlist is a very useful report for showing runners that are well suited by the conditions of the race in question, and it is free to all users on a Tuesday.

Penmore Hill has an excellent score of 12, with four sections of green and only the field size being grey. He has won one out of four races in relative field sizes, so this isn't something that I would be too bothered about, and at around 9/1, he looks to be decent value from what we have seen so far.

The Instant Expert tab shows the nice line of green for Penmore Hill, with one section of amber.

Another runner that really stands out here is Rebel Rebellion, who also has four sections of green. He has never raced here at Leicester before, which isn't surprising given he is trained by Paul Nicholls, so his stats on this report look really impressive.

There is not a a large enough sample to ascertain a running style preference for this distance at Leicester, however, it looks very likely that Toby Lerone, Galway Jack and Rebel Rebellion will be at the head of affairs in the early part of the race.

The field appears to be split in two, with half of the field very keen to get on with things, and the other half content to sit and wait to see how things pan out.

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