Race of the Day, 25th May 2018

Another video Race of the Day today. As I say, this is NOT a daily thing, but I'm happy to post something - either text/image or video - when I have the time. This was a race I was keen to look at anyway. See what you think...

Matt


Race of the Day: Important Update

Just a quick line to say that Race of the Day has been temporarily suspended, due to the departure of a member of the team. Going forwards we are working on bringing a slightly different approach to this post, though there is no immediate time scale on the reinstatement of the service.

For now, thank you for following the Race of the Day updates: hopefully they provided solid insights on how to engage with the Gold content as well as some good-priced winners.

 

Race of the Day – 11 May 2018

Race of the Day - 13:50 Chester

Horses For Courses is the report that is available to all registered users on a Friday, and it shows that Sound Advice has a decent record running at Chester. From nine races there, he's had four winners and places (44.44%), for level stakes profits of 25.00 and 26.45 respectively.

He runs in a handicap over just under a mile in a race that has a wide open look to it.

The recent form of Sound Advice has not been great, however, he last win was five runs ago in this race last year, and he runs from the same mark today.

The ground was good to firm that day so any further drying of the ground would be a plus.

Keith Dalgleish has a reasonable long-term record at this course. Over the past five years, he's had four winners (12.90%) and six places (31.88%) for an Impact Value of 1.10.

He also has a good record with his horses coming back from a break of 60+ days. With these such runners, he is 35/229 (15.28%) for an Impact Value of 1.63.

Jockey Phillip Maken has a good strike rate here at Chester. Over the past five years, he's had six winners (14.63%) for an Impact Value of 1.24.

With the Instant Expert report looking at the past year for handicaps, Sound Advice comes out well with three sections of green. As mentioned earlier, he races from the same mark as his last victory, so with conditions in his favour I am hopeful of a good run at a nice price of around 9/1.

The Pace report shows that Arcanada and Muntadab look the most likely to be fighting it out for the early lead as they are both usually quickly away and have favourable draws in stalls one and four, respectivrly.

Sound Advice isn't usually the quickest away, but he is drawn in stall two so has a great chance to get a good early position.

Click here for the 13:50 at Chester.

To get hold of these features and insights for ALL races EVERY day, click here

Race of the Day – 9 May 2018

Race of the Day - 15:35 Chester

The Trainer Snippets report shows that Tom Dascombe has a great record with last time out winners. From his last 125 such runners, he's had 33 winners (26.40%) and 54 places (43.20%), for level stakes profits of 38.50 and 25.24 respectively and an Impact Value of 1.40.

He has two runners today that were last time out winners, and I am going to be concentrating on Proschema.

Proschema was a wide margin winner at the end of last month on soft ground at Haydock, and although that was a novices' stakes it was mightily impressive. This Declaration Of War colt is now rated 100 and looks well worth a chance in this Group 3 over one and a half miles.

As well as having a good record with last time out winners, the Dascombe yard has been in good recent form. Over the past 30 days, he's had six winners (18.18%) and 12 places (36.36%) from 33 runners, for level stakes profits of 5.75 and 5.18 respectively and an Impact Value of 1.79.

Jockey Richard Kingscote has also been in impressive form and over the past 14 days, he's had four winners (16%) and eight places (32%) from 25 runners, for level stakes profits of 5.67 and 0.44 respectively and an Impact Value of 1.54.

Kingscote also appears to like racing here at Chester as he has an excellent long-term strike rate. Over the last five years, he is 38/198 (19.19%) for an Impact Value of 1.63.

As this is a race for three-year-olds early on in the season the Instant Expert report doesn't have a huge amount of data on it.

Proschema does look well suited to conditions, however, having three sections of green to his name.

From looking at the Pace report there doesn't appear to be a lot of early speed, although Proschema lead early on and made all last time out, so it would be no surprise to see Kingscote aim to do the same again here today.

Click here for the

To get hold of these features and insights for ALL races EVERY day, click here

Race of the Day – 8 May 2018

Race of the Day - 15:35 Brighton

The Shortlist is the report that is available to all registered users on a Tuesday, and Lord Clenaghcastle makes it on to there today in a one-mile handicap at Brighton. He has a good score of 13, having four sections of green and one of amber, showing that he is well suited to conditions in this one.

There are just the seven runners, but it looks an open contest and Lord Clenaghcastle is currently priced around 8/1.

His last two runs have been below par, however, prior to that, he was in excellent form with two wins and two second places. One of those wins was over course and distance and he races from just three pounds higher today.

Trainer Gary Moore appears to enjoy coming here to Brighton as he has a particularly good record. Over the past year, he's had ten winners (18.87%) and 26 places (49.06%) from 53 runners, for level stakes profits of 36.75 and 58.48 and an Impact Value of 1.49.

Hector Crouch has managed to grab a couple of winners recently and also has a good record here at Brighton. Over the past year, he's had five winners (10.42%) and 16 places (33.33%) from 48 runners, for level stakes profits of 14.00 and 12.74 respectively.

The Instant Expert report highlights how well suited Lord Clenaghcastle is to today's conditions. He has five sections of green on the 'Place' setting and has been placed in all four outings at this course. As mentioned earlier, he is also just the three pounds higher than for his last victory.

Black Caeser is the only other runner with more than one section of green and is also extremely consistent here at Brighton.

The Pace report shows that early leaders have the best record here over this distance, with 16.13% of them going on to win the race.

There appears to be quite a bit of pace in this race and it looks as if it will likely be a truly run mile. Lord Clenaghcastle has won over nine furlongs so won't mind this as he will have the stamina to see it out.

Click here for the 15:35 at Brighton.

To get hold of these features and insights for ALL races EVERY day, click here

Race of the Day – 2 May 2018

Race of the Day - 15:55 Pontefract

The Trainer Jockey Combo Stats report shows that David O'Meara and Daniel Tudhope have been in great form together recently. Over the past 30 days, they've managed to have five winners (33.33%) and seven places (46.67%) from 15 runners, for level stakes profits of 27.00 and 30.13 respectively and an Impact Value of 3.41.

They have three together at Pontefract today, and I am going to be taking a closer look at Lamloon, who runs in a wide open one-mile handicap and is currently priced around 7/1.

Lamloon got a good start in his win at Nottingham last month and stayed on strongly at the finish. He has to race with an extra four pounds here today but looks to have improvement in him and with the yard in decent form, I think he has a chance.

As well as being in good current form, O'Meara has a good record here at Pontefract. Over the past year, he's had nine winners (19.57%) and 17 places (36.96%) from 46 runners, for an Impact Value of 1.74.

Daniel Tudhope has been riding extremely well over the past few weeks and his figures back that up. From his rides over the last two weeks, he's had five winners (16.13%) and 12 places (38.71%) from 31 runners, for level stakes profits of 7.79 and 3.35 respectively and an Impact Value of 1.70.

He also has good form here at Pontefract and over the past year, has had nine winners (21.95%) and 19 places (46.34%) from 41 runners, for level stakes profits of 7.01 and 8.33 respectively and an Impact Value of 1.95.

The Pace report shows that early leaders here over this distance have a super record, with 27.27% of them going on to win the race, for a level stakes profit of 13.51 and an Impact Value of 2.52.

Laloom is usually quickly out of the stalls and looks likely to be one of the early leaders. If he can obtain a good early position then I am hopeful that he will have the class to grab at least a place.

Click here for the 15:55 Pontefract.

To get hold of these features and insights for ALL races EVERY day, click here

Race of the Day – 1 May 2018

Race of the Day - 17:25 Brighton

The Shortlist is the report that is available to all registered users on Tuesday, and Sussex Girl makes it on to there today in a ten-furlong handicap at Brighton. He has a good score of 13, having four section of green and one of amber, so looks particularly well suited to this race.

It is an open looking handicap and she is currently priced around 7/2.

Sussex Girl won her last two races of last season, both over ten furlongs and on ground with soft in the description, and comes here with a three pound higher mark for that final win.

One of those two wins was here at Brighton and if she is fit after a winter break, looks sure to run a big race.

Trainer John Berry appears to enjoy sending his horses to Brighton as he has an excellent long-term record here. Over the past five years, he's had eight winners (33.33%) and 13 places (54.17%) from 24 runners, for level stakes profits of 33.00 and 41.61 respectively and an Impact Value of 2.54.

He also has an impressive record with last time out winners. From his last 16 such runners, he's had seven winners (43.75%) and 13 places (81.25%), for level stakes profits of 15.98 and 24.23 and an Impact Value of 2.32.

Rossa Ryan is an improving jockey and has been riding well recently. Over the past 30 days, he's had six winners (15.79%) from 38 runners, for an Impact Value of 1.55

Your first 30 days for just £1

The Instant Expert report highlights how well suited Sussex Girl is to these conditions and shows that the rest of the field does not appear well suited at all.

Apart from Sussex Girl, there are only two other horses in the field that have a section of green each.

The Pace report shows that early leaders here over this distance have the best record, with 20% of them going on to win the race, for a level stakes profit of 12.00 and an Impact Value of 2.33.

Sussex Girl raced close to the pace last time out and I expect Ryan to adopt similar tactics in this one to ensure he is in a good position to strike when they enter the final quarter of a mile.

Click here for the 17:25 at Brighton.

To get hold of these features and insights for ALL races EVERY day, click here

Race of the Day – 30 April 2018

Race of the Day - 20:20 Southwell

The Trainer Snippets report shows that Shaun Harris has an excellent record with last time out winners. From his last 28 such runners, he's had nine winners (32.14%) and 15 places (53.57%) for level stakes profits of 42.75 and 51.36 respectively and an Impact Value of 1.70.

He runs Song Of Love in a one and a half mile handicap at Southwell this evening who was a winner last time out at Chelmsford.

Song Of Love hadn't been in particularly good form prior to his last race, but he had dropped to an attractive mark and battled really well to take the spoils. He only has an extra pound to carry here today and the drop back to a trip he has won over twice before looks a good move.

As well as having a good record with last time out winners, trainer Shaun Harris' recent form figures look reasonable. Over the past 30 days, he's had one winner (12.5%) and two places (25%) from eight runners, for level stakes profits of 9.00 and 7.90 respectively and an Impact Value of 1.23.

Jockey P J McDonald has a good long-term record here at Southwell. Over the past five years, he's had 23 winners (12.99%) and 58 places (32.77%) from 177 runners, for level stakes profits of 25.26 and 8.34 respectively and an Impact Value of 1.06.

He has also been among the winners recently. Over the past 14 days, he is 4/36 (11.11%) for an Impact Value of 1.18.

The Pace report shows that prominent runners here over this distance have the best record, with 16.08% of them going on to win the race, for a level stakes profit of 59.02 and an Impact Value of 1.32.

Both Arabian Oasis and Max Liebermann are usually quickly away and it looks likely to be between them for the early lead.

Song Of Love is usually held up and waited with and I expect McDonald to do something similar in this one.

Click here for the 20:20 at Southwell.

To get hold of these features and insights for ALL races EVERY day, click here

Race of the Day – 27 April 2018

Race of the Day - 18:40 Punchestown

The Horses For Courses report is available to all registered users on a Friday, and it shows what a brilliant record On The Fringe has at Punchestown. He has managed five wins and places (71.43%) from seven races, which has produced level stakes profits of 13.82 and 14.98 respectively.

He is back at Punchestown today in a Hunters Chase looking for his sixth win here.

On The Fringe is now 13 and hasn't been in particularly good form, although he did run well to finish fifth last time out at Aintree. I am hoping that a return to a place he appears to enjoy racing out will bring out the best in him.

Trainer Enda Bolger has a useful long-term strike rate here at Punchestown. Over the past years, he's had 19 winners from 106 runners (17.92%) for an Impact Value of 2.17.

Nina Carberry is riding well and has been among the winners recently. Over the past 30 days, she's had three winners (23.08%) and six places (46.15%) from 13 runners, for level stakes profits of 5.00 and 2.69 respectively and an Impact Value of 2.22. She has also ridden On The Fringe for three of his victories here.

The Instant Expert report shows that On The Fringe is well suited to conditions here today, having three sections of green and coming out the best on this.

Very few of the field have form on today's going which could prove crucial.

The Pace report shows that both Uxizandre and Jimmy The Jetplane are usually ridden from the front and the early lead looks like to be between those two.

On The Fringe is often waited with and I would imagine that Carberry will do something similar with him today.

Click here for the 18:40 at Punchestown.

To get hold of these features and insights for ALL races EVERY day, click here

Race of the Day – 26 April 2018

Race of the Day - 20:05 Chelmsford

The Trainer Jockey Combo Stats report shows that Dean Ivory and Robert Winston have an excellent record together in handicaps at Chelmsford over the past year. They have managed six winners (28.57%) and ten places (47.62%) from 21 runners, for level stakes profits of 15.00 and 13.85 respectively and an Impact Value of 2.61.

They team up with Eljaddaaf in a seven-furlong handicap here at Chelmsford today.

Eljaddaaf got going too long to do any damage last time out (although was staying on strongly towards the finish), but his form prior to that was great, with two second-placed finishes followed by two wins. One of those wins was here at Chelmsford where he was going away at the finish and with Robert Winston back on board today, I think he has a good chance of being competitive.

He is currently priced around 11/2 and this appears big for the top weight who is also well clear on the Speed Ratings.

Dean Ivory has a good strike rate here at Chelmsford over the past year. He is 11/71 (14.56%) for a level stakes profit of 12.75 and an Impact Value of 1.35.

His horses have been running consistently over the past couple of weeks as well, with over half of them getting at least a place.

The Instant Expert report shows that Eljaddaaf is nicely suited to today's conditions, with two sections of green and three of amber. He is also just the four pounds higher than his previous mark so looks to have what it takes to be in the mix here.

Lucymai also looks very well suited to this one, having four section and green and one of amber.

From looking at the Pace report we can see that early leaders here over this distance have the best record, with 17.98% of them going on to win the race, for a level stakes profit of 23.59 and an Impact Value of 1.67.

Eljaddaaf is usually a horse that is held up and waited with and I expect Winston to do that again today, although I think he may look to close the gap on the leaders earlier than Jack Duern did last time.

Click here for the 20:05 at Chelmsford.

To get hold of these features and insights for ALL races EVERY day, click here

Race of the Day – 25 April 2018

Race of the Day - 17:55 Lingfield

The Trainer Snippets report shows that Brett Johnson has a decent record with last time out winners. From his last 15 such runners, he's had four winners (26.67%) and seven places (46.67%), for level stakes profits of 22.00 and 23.30 respectively and an Impact Value of 1.41.

Compton Abbey goes in a six-furlong handicap on the all-weather at Lingfield today and was a winner last time out.

It was the first try for Compton Abbey over six furlongs in March and she managed to hold on well. She has been raised two pounds for that win but has Rossa Ryan on board today who claims five pounds as opposed to Shepherd's three pounds last time, therefore, she effectively races from the same weight.

Johnson has a useful record here at Lingfield over the past year. In that time he has managed five winners (25%) and eight places (40%) from 20 runners, for level stakes profits of 38.00 and 43.80 respectively and an Impact Value of 2.14.

Rossa Ryan also enjoys coming here and boasts an excellent record. Over the past year, he's had seven winners (21.21%) and 15 places (45.45%) from 33 runners, for level stakes profits of 21.50 and 22.37 respectively and an Impact Value of 1.81.

The Pace report shows that early leaders here over this distance have easily the best record, with 21.05% of them going on to win the race, for a level stakes profit of 95.10 and an Impact Value of 2.36.

Compton Abbey usually finds herself in mid-division and I would expect something similar today with Ryan waiting until late on to try and strike.

Click here for the 17:55 at Lingfield.

To get hold of these features and insights for ALL races EVERY day, click here

Race of the Day – 24 April 2018

Race of the Day - 19:40 Brighton

The Shortlist is the report that is available to all registered users on a Tuesday, and Pour La Victoire makes it on to there at Brighton today with a score of 11, having three sections of green and two of amber.

He runs in a wide open looking handicap over a mile and is currently priced around 5/1.

Pour La Victoire has been running consistently over the winter without being able to get his head in front. He has been placed four times in his last five races, all of which were on the all-weather courses.

He has a better strike rate on the turf and returns to a course that he's won five times at, and races from an attractive mark.

Trainer Tony Carroll has been in excellent form recently. Over the past 30 days, he's had seven winners (26.92%) and 11 places (42.31%) from 26 runners, for level stakes profits of 28.50 and 30.08 respectively and an Impact Value of 2.55.

He also has a good long-term record here at Brighton. Over the past five years, he's had 25 winners (16.45%) and 67 places (44.08%) from 152 runners, for level stakes profits of 18.85 and 30.15 respectively and an Impact Value of 1.25.

Your first 30 days for just £1

Jockey George Downing also has a good record at this course. Over the past five years, he's had ten winners (14.93%) and 28 places (41.79%) from 67 runners, for level stakes profits of 14.67 and 20.44 respectively and an Impact Value of 1.13.

The Instant Expert report confirms the good showing of Pour La Victoire, and he looks comfortably more suited to today's conditions than a lot of his rivals. He has also dropped to a mark that is six pounds lower than for his last victory, therefore, a return to turf from an attractive mark gives him a good chance.

The Pace report shows that prominent runners have the best record here over this distance, with 14.75% of them winning the race, for a level stakes profit of 40.50.

Shifting Star appears likely to be the early leader as he is a confirmed front-runner, whilst Pour La Victoire is often quite sluggish leaving the stalls so is likely to be towards the rear and waited with.

Click here for the 19:40 at Brighton.

To get hold of these features and insights for ALL races EVERY day, click here

Race of the Day – 23 April 2018

Race of the Day - 15:10 Pontefract

The Trainer Snippets report shows that Roy Bowring has an excellent record with last time out winners. From his last 16 such runners, he's had seven winners (43.75%) and ten places (62.50%), for level stakes profits of 11.05 and 15.57 respectively and an Impact Value of 2.32.

He runs Foolaad at Pontefract today who is chasing a five-timer.

Foolaad comes here off the back of four wins in a row over five furlongs on the all-weather at Southwell. If he can transfer that form to the turf, then he surely has an excellent chance from just a two pound higher mark than his last win.

His last run on turf was a useful third place at Thirsk, so I'm hopeful he will be fine.

 

As well as having a good record with last time out winners, Bowring generally does well with his sprinters. From his last 98 runners over the sprint distances, he's had 13 winners (13.27%) for an Impact Value of 1.28. This strike rate is almost 3% higher than his overall strike rate.

The Instant Expert report shows that a few of the runners in this field are well suited to the conditions. Holmeswood especially, who has four sections of green.

Foolaad is five from six over this distance and he appears revolutionised now racing over the minimum trip.

When looking at the Pace report we can see that it's likely that El Astronaute will be the early leader. He is a confirmed front-runner and is usually at the head of affairs through the early stages of his races.

Foolaad is usually kept quite handy and I expect Kieran O'Neill to keep him just off the pace in a prominent position ready to strike.

Click here for the 15:10 at Pontefract.

To get hold of these features and insights for ALL races EVERY day, click here

Race of the Day – 19 April 2018

Race of the Day - 15:00 Newmarket

Brando makes it to The Shortlist for a Group 3 six-furlong dash at Newmarket today, and this Pivotal gelding looks nicely suited by today's race. He has a useful score of 11, having three sections of green and two of amber, and is currently the 3/1 favourite.

The most recent form of Brando looks quite poor on the face of it, however, he was racing in Group 1 company on soft or heavy going and was unable to find any kind of needed acceleration to get involved.

His last run on good ground was at Deauville, where he won a Group 1, beating the very good Aclaim by half a length. Prior to that, he was an excellent third place over course and distance in the July Cup (also a Group 1) beaten only by Harry Angel and Limato.

Trainer Kevin Ryan has been in good form recently and has been among the winners. Over the past 30 days, he's had seven winners (20.59%) and 16 places (47.06%) from 34 runners, for level stakes profits of 4.63 and 5.90 respectively and an Impact Value of 1.83.

He also has a decent looking long-term record here at Newmarket over the past five years. During that time he's had 131 runners, which have produced 19 winners (14.50%) and 44 places (33.59%), for level stakes profits of 29.58 and 63.06 respectively and an Impact Value of 1.38.

Tom Eaves has been riding well and has been in the winner's enclosure a few times. Over the past 30 days, he's had four winners (16.67%) and nine places (37.50%) from 24 runners, for level stakes profits of 16.75 and 17.24 respectively and an Impact Value of 1.49.

Your first 30 days for just £1

The Instant Expert report shows how well suited Brando is to this race but also highlights some potential dangers. Magical Memory has three sections of green and two of amber and appears to have a chance of going well at a nice price.

The Pace report shows that early leaders here over this distance have the best record, with 15.79% of them going on to win the race, for a level stakes profit of 37.08 and an Impact Value of 1.66.

Brando is usually held up and waited with and with the ground drying out I would imagine that Eaves will be happy to do something similar again today.

Click here for the 15:00 at Newmarket.

To get hold of these features and insights for ALL races EVERY day, click here

Race of the Day – 18 April 2018

Race of the Day - 17:55 Newmarket

The Trainer Jockey Combo Stats report shows that Charlie Appleby and James Doyle has a quite brilliant record together here at Newmarket over the past year. From the 22 runners they've had during that time, there have been ten winners (45.45%) and 16 places (72.73%) for level stakes profits of 8.69 and 12.53 respectively and an Impact Value of 4.26.

They team up with Bow Street in a ten-furlong handicap here today.

Bow Street was second in a novice event here over a mile in October before easily landing the spoils on the all-weather at Newmarket. The way this New Approach colt stayed on that day suggested the extra two furlongs in this race will be sure to suit and he is one of the more unexposed runners in this field, having had just the three races so far.

Appleby has been in excellent form of late, finding plenty of winners. Over the past 30 days, he's had eight winners, (53.33%) and 11 places (73.33%) from 15 runners, for level stakes profits of 3.36 and 2.74 and an Impact Value of 4.68.

His long-term course record is also impressive. Over the past five years, he's had 91 winners (23.82%) and 184 places (48.17%) from 382 runners, for level stakes profits of 58.74 and 41.63 respectively and an Impact Value of 2.26.

James Doyle has been riding superbly well of late and looks at the top of his game. During the past month, he's had 11 winners (35.48%) and 17 places (54.84%) from 31 runners, for level stakes profits of 3.30 and 1.66 respectively and an Impact Value of 3.12.

There is little data to go on when looking at the Pace report but it does appear likely that Bailey's Excelerate will lead the way and he appears to enjoy bounding along in front.

Bow Street has been prominent in his last couple of races and I would expect Doyle to try and get quite a prominent early position.

Click here for the 17:55 at Newmarket.

To get hold of these features and insights for ALL races EVERY day, click here

Your first 30 days for just £1