Sat TV Trends: 20th July 2019

This Saturday the LIVE ITV TV races come from Newmarket, Market Rasen & Newbury.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with the key trends and stats – use these to find the best profiles of past winners of each race.

Saturday 20th July 2019

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.40 – Ric And Mary Hambro Aphrodite Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV3

14/15 – Won over at least 1m2f or further before
13/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/15 – Won between 1-2 times before
6/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/15 - Winning favourite
5/15 – Ran at Haydock last time out
5/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Trained by John Gosden
Worth Waiting (4/1) won the race in 2018

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – bet365 Stakes (Registered as The Steventon Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV3

10/14 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/14 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
9/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or  more
8/14 – Had run at the track before
9/14 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/14 – Had won a Group race before
4/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won 4 of the last 9 runnings

2.25 – Marsh Cup Cl2 (3yo+) 2m ½f ITV3

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Just one previous  running
Stratum (11/4 fav) won the race in 2018
Sir Michael Stoute has a 19% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Mick Channon is just 1 from 31 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

3.00 – bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f8y ITV3

14/15 – Won over 6f before
12/15 – Aged 5 or younger
12/15 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Had won 4 or more times before
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Placed favourites
6/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/15 – Had won a Group race before
6/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Winners from stall 8
2/15 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of last 4)
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/15 – Winners from stall 1
8 of the last 12 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting


3.40 - Weatherbys Super Sprint (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 5f34y ITV3

14/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Had won over 5f before
11/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/15 – Won 1-2 times before
10/15 – Favourites placed in the top 4
9/15 – Won by a Feb or March foal
8/15 – Irish bred winners
7/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Won by a filly
6/15 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/15 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
3/15 – Winners from stall 1
4/15 – Winning favourites
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013, 2015 and 2017

 

Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.10 – Betway Summer Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV3

14/17 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
14/17 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
13/17 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
13/17 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
11/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
6/17 – Had run at Market Rasen before
2/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/17 – Winning favourites
11 of the last 12 winners carried 11-5 or less
8 of the last 13 winners carried 11-0 or less
8 of the last 13 winners retuned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
L’Inganno Felice (8/1) won the race in 2018

3.20 – Betway Summer Plate (Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m6f110y ITV3

17/17 – Had run within the last 3 months
15/17 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
15/17 – Aged 7 or older
13/17 – Had won 2 or more chases before
12/17 – Carried 10-13 or less
11/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/17 – Had run at Market Rasen before
10/17 – Won their previous race
6/17 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
5/17 – Trained by Peter Bowen
4/17 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/17 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/17 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 8)
2/17 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
9 of the last 11 winners were aged between 7-9 years-old
More Buck’s won the race in 2018

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 13th July 2019

It’s the final day of the three-day Newmarket July Meeting this Saturday and the ITV cameras are there to take in the best of the action, plus they are also at York and Ascot on what is a bumper Saturday of flat horse racing.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with all the key trends and stats – use these to find the best profiles of past winners of each race.

Saturday 13th July 2019

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.20 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

15/17 – Had won over 7f or further previously
13/17 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
13/17 – Had 2 or more runs that season
10/17 – Unplaced in their last race
10/17 – Favourites unplaced
9/17 – Winners from stall 8 or higher
3/17 – Won their last race
3/17 – Winning Favourites
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Ridden by Dane O’Neill
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1


2.55 - Bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

16/17 – Won over at least 6f previously
15/17 – Placed in their last race
14/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
12/17 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
12/17 – Won their latest race
11/17 – Won by either a March or April foal
9/17 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
7/17 – Favourites unplaced
4/17 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/17 – Winners from stall 3
4/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
6/17 – Winning Favourites
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 5 runnings)
2/17 – Trained by Mick Channon
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

3.30 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

16/17 – Won over 7f previously
16/17 – Raced 3 or more times that season
13/17 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
11/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
10/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/17 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
10/17 – Winners from stall 14 or higher
9/17 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
8/17 – Horses from a double-figure stall that 1st, 2nd and 3rd
8/17 – Placed in their last race
4/17 – Favourites (inc joint and co)
3/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
Burnt Sugar won the race in 2018
Above The Rest won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

4.40 - Darley July Cup (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

Recent July Cup Winners.....

2018     U S Navy Flag (8/1)
2017     Harry Angel (9/2)
2016     Limato (9/2 fav)
2015     Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014     Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013     Lethal Force (9/2)
2012     Mayson (20/1)
2011  Dream Ahead (7/1)
2010  Starspangledbanner (2/1 fav)
2009  Fleeting Spirit (12/1)
2008  Marchand d'Or  (5/2 fav)
2007  Sakhee's Secret  (9/2)
2006  Les Arcs (10/1)
2005  Pastoral Pursuits (22/1)
2004  Frizzante (14/1)
2003  Oasis Dream (9/2)
2002  Continent (12/1)

July Cup Betting Trends

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16/17 – Aged 5 or younger
15/17 – Had won over 6f before
14/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
14/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
13/17 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
13/17 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
10/17 – Placed last time out
9/17 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
6/17 – Won their previous race
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Irish-trained winners
2/17 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
1/17 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 8/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 4 times before (1999, 2001, 2010 & 2018)

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 - John Smith´s City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

Only 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Won over 5f before
8/8 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/8 – Rated between 101 and 111
7/8 – Placed favourites
6/8 – Unplaced last time out
5/8 – Had only won at Handicap class before
5/8 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
5/8 – Won by a neck or less
5/8 – Won at York before
3/8 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/8 – Ridden by David Allen
Mr Lupton won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 13/2

2.40 - John Smith´s Silver Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m6f ITV

13/13 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
12/13 – Aged 5 or younger
12/13 – Won from stall 10 or lower
10/13 – Didn’t win their previous race
9/13 – Placed favourites
7/13 – Aged 4 years-old
6/13 – Had run at York before
5/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/13 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
3/13 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Dylan Mouth won the race in 2018

3.15 - John Smith´s Racing Handicap Cl2 1m ITV

15/15 – Ran within the last 3 weeks
14/15 – Had won over at least 1m before
14/15 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
11/15 – Had won between 2-4 times before
10/15 – Rated 90 or less
10/15 – Placed last time out
9/15 – Winning distance – ¾ or less
8/15 – Priced between 7/1 and 14/1
8/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
6/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Won by a USA-bred horse
4/15 – Had raced at York before
4/15 – Winning favourites
Trainer David O'Meara has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
11 of the last 13 winners came from stall 7 or lower
5 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 2 or 3
Wadilsafa won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

3.50 – John Smith´s Jubilee Cup Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

Recent John Smith’s Cup Winners.......

2018 – Euchen Glen (20/1) Jim Goldie
2017 – Ballet Concerto (8/1) Sir Michael Stoute
2016 – Educate (18/1) Ismail Mohammed
2015 – Master Carpenter (14/1) Rod Millman
2014 – Farraaj (6/1) Roger Varian
2013 – Danchai (10/1) William Haggas
2012 – King’s Warrior (10/1) Peter Chapple-Hyam
2011 – Green Destiny (6/1) W Haggas
2010 – Wigmore Hall (5/1) M Bell
2009 – Sirvino (16/1) T Barron
2008 – Flying Clarets (12/1) R Fahey
2007 – Charlie Tokyo (11/1) R Fahey
2006 – Fairmile (6/1 jfav) W Swinburn
2005 – Mullins Bay (4/1 fav) AP O’Brien
2004 – Arcalis (20/1) J Howard Johnson
2003 -  Far Lane (7/1) B Hills
2002 – Vintage Premium (20/1) R Fahey

John Smith’s Cup Key Trends

16/17 – Returned 20/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Aged 5 or younger
15/17 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
13/17 – Came from stall 9 or higher
13/17 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
11/17 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Carried 9-3 or less
11/17 – Top 4 finish in their previous race
10/17 – Aged 4 years-old
9/17 – Officially rated between 99-105
8/17 – Had run at York before
5/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
3/17 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by William Haggas
2/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 11/1

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.45 – Betfred Heritage Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

Just 6 previous running
5/6 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
5/6 – Carried 8-10 or more
5/6 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
2/6 – Aged 4 years-old
Danzeno won the race in 2017
Spring Loaded won the race in 2018

4.00 - Fred Cowley MBE Memorial Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV

12/12 Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
10/12 – Had won over at least a mile before
10/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Had raced at Ascot before (2 won)
9/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
7/12 – Previous Group race winner
7/12 – Winning favourites
6/12 – Had won at least 4 times before
5/12 – Aged 4 years-old
5/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/12 – Had won a Group 1 before
9 of the last 10 winners were draw in stalls 5 or lower
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Beat The Bank won the race in 2018
Mutakayyef  won the race in 2016 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

 

 

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Newmarket July Meeting Trends: DAY TWO (Fri 12th July 2019)

The three-day 2019 Newmarket July Meeting continues on Friday (12th July) and with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle.

As we move into the second day (Gentleman's Day) the Group Two Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Cherry Hinton) and the Group One Falmouth Stakes take centre stage - did you know 16 of the last 17 Falmouth Stakes winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old

As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races, highlighting the main trends – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

 


Newmarket July Meeting - Day Two,
Friday 12th July 2019


1.50 - bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV

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11/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Had won between 1-2 times before
10/12 – Have never run at Newmarket (July) before
9/12 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
9/12 – Placed in the top 6 last time out
7/12 – Unplaced favourites
6/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/12 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
6/12 – Trained by Mark Johnston (including 5 of last 6 runnings)
3/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Trained by Andrew Balding
0/12 – Winning favourites
Communique (8/1) won the race in 2018

2.25 - Duchess of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored by Bet365) (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV

15/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
15/15 – Had raced at least twice before
14/15 – Foaled in Feb (6) or March (6)
14/15 – Had won between 1-2 times before
13/15 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
12/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
11/15 – Won by a UK-based yard
10/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
10/15 – Had won over 6f before
8/15 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
7/15 – Winning favourites
7/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Trained by the Hannon team
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (inc 2 of last 3)
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (4 wins in total)
1/15 – Drawn in stall 1
Pretty Pollyanna (20/1) won the race in 2018

3.00 – bet365 Trophy (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

Just one previous running
The Charlie Appleby yard won this race in 2018
The Charlie Appleby yard have a 30% record with their 4+ year-olds at the track
The Mark Johnston yard have a 28% record with their 4+ year-olds at the track
The Andrew Balding yard are just 1 from 33 with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey PJ McDonald has a 38% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Andrea Atzeni has a 31% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey James Doyle has a 22% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

3.35 – Tattersalls Falmouth Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

17/17 – Won a Listed or better class race previously
16/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/17– Won over at least 1 mile previously
13/17 – Won from stall 5 or lower
13/17 – Had 2+ runs that season
12/17 – Won at 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
10/17 – Favourites placed
7/17 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/17 – Had run on the Newmarket July course previously
6/17 – Previous Group One winners
5/17 – Won their last race
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 5)
2/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 3 runnings)
2/17 – French-trained winners
Alpha Centauri (4/9 fav) won the race in 2018

 

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Newmarket July Meeting Trends: DAY ONE (Thurs 11th July 2019)

The three-day 2019 Newmarket July Meeting gets started on Thursday (11th July) and with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle.

On day one the Group Two July Stakes and Princess of Wales's Stakes are the key contests - did you know that a 4 year-old has won 9 of the last 12 Princess Of Wales's Stakes?  

As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races, highlighting the main trends – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

 


Newmarket July Meeting - Day One,
Thursday 11th July 2019

 

1.50 - Bahrain Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f ITV

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17/17 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
15/17 – Failed to win last time out
15/17 – Never run on the Newmarket July Course before
12/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
10/17 – Favourites placed in the top three
10/17 – Won at 3/1 or shorter
10/17 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
10/17 – Finished fifth or worse in their previous race
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by John Gosden (inc 4 of last 8 runnings)
3/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/17 – Ridden by William Buick
2/17 – Winners that came from stall 1
Wells Farhh Go (7/1) won the race in 2018

2.25 - Arqana July Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

16/17 – Placed in their last run
16/17 – Had won over 5 or 6f previously
14/17 – Had 2 or more previous career starts
13/17 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
10/17 – Won their last race
10/17 – Won at 9/2 or shorter
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their last race
6/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
6/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
1/17 – Winners that came from stall 1
Frankie Dettori has ridden 5 winners in the race
Advertise (11/10) won the race in 2018

3.00 – Bet365 Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

13/13 – Didn’t win last time out
13/13 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
13/13 – Had won no more than 3 times before
12/13 – Had 3 or 4 previous runs that season
11/13 – Had won over 6f before
10/13 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
10/13 – Carried 8-12 or less
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/13 – Came from a double-figure stall
9/13 – Unplaced favourites
8/13 – Finished unplaced last time out
4/13 – Trained by Andrew Balding
4/13 – Ridden by David Probert
0/13 – Winning favourites
Foxtrot Lady (8/1) won the race in 2018

3.35 - Princess Of Wales´s Arqana Racing Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

15/17 – Aged 4 or older (4 year-olds have won 9 of last 12)
15/17 – Previously won over at least 1m4f
14/17 – Had 2 or more runs that season
13/17 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
12/17 – Won at 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
11/17 – Unplaced in their previous race
10/17 – Favourites that were placed
8/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their previous race
5/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 9 times in total)
4/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
Best Solution (6/1) won the race in 2018

 

===============================================================

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Sat TV Trends: 6th July 2019

The ITV cameras head to Sandown and Haydock on Saturday 8th July with the Coral-Eclipse, plus the Lancashire Oaks and Old Newton Cup the clear highlights – as always we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

13.50 - Coral Charge (Registered as The Sprint Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 5f6y ITV

17/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
16/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Favourites placed
13/17 – Had won at least 3 times before
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Had won at Sandown before
5/17 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/17 – Won last time out
8 of the last 13 winners were Irish bred
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)

14.25 – Coral Challenge (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV

16/17 – Aged 6 or younger
15/17 – Carried 8-8 or more
15/17 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
15/17 – Previous winners over 1m (or further)
13/17 – Didn’t win their previous race
11/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Aged 4 years-old
10/17 – Had run at Sandown before
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/17 – Ran at either York (2) or Ascot (4) last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Andrew Balding
10 of the last 13 winners came from stall 8 or lower

15.00 – Coral Distaff (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m14y ITV

16/16 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
15/16 – Had never run at Sandown before
14/16 – Had won over 7f or further before
13/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
9/16 – Favourites that finished in the top three
4/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The last 13 winners came from stalls 3-9 (inc)
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 3,4,5 or 6

 

15.35 – Coral-Eclipse (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

Eclipse Stakes Betting Trends

17/17 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/17 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
13/17 – Won by a previous Group One winner
13/17 – Placed favourites
12/17 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
12/17 – Placed in their last race
11/17 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (three won there)
8/17 – Favourites that won
5/17 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
5/17 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4 of the last 12 winners won last time out
2 of the last 10 Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 9/2

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12 of out the last 14 winners had run in the previous 30 days
10 out of the last 14 winners were Group 1 winners
13 of the last 14 winners came from the first four in the betting
12 out of the last 14 winners had won over 1m 2f or further

Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts

Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994, 1993 & 2017
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995 & 2016
Trainer John Gosden has won 3 of the last 7 runnings

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)


14.05 -
bet365 Handicap Cl3 1m2f95y ITV

2 previous runnings
Mark Johnston trained the winner in 2018
John Gosden trained the winner in 2017

14.40 – bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m3f200y ITV

14/17 – Had won at least at Listed class before
14/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/17 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Had won between 1-3 times before
10/17 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
6/17 – Trained by John Gosden
5/17 – Had raced at Haydock before
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/17 – Trained by David Elsworth
2/17 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
The last 6 runnings have been won by a 4 year-old
Horseplay won the race 12 months ago (11/4)

Note: The 2007 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

15.15 – bet365 Old Newton Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m3f200y ITV

Key Old Newton Cup Betting Trends

15/17 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
14/17 – Aged 5 or younger
13/17 – Won no more than 5 times before
13/17 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
12/17 – Carried 9-1 or less
12/17 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
11/17 – Aged 4 years-old
11/17 – Had won at least 3 times before
11/17 – Favourites placed in the top 4
10/17 – Irish or USA bred
9/17 – Raced within the last 7 days
9/17 – Carried 8-11 or less
7/17 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
6/17 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
6/17 – Had won a race at Haydock before
5/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 12/1

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 29th June 2019

The Northumberland Plate, one of the richest staying handicaps, takes centre stage at Newcastle racecourse, while the ITV cameras also head to Newmarket and York. Plus, as an extra bonus - it’s also Irish Derby Day over at the Curragh!!

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Saturday 29th June 2019

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV and RUK)

2.05 – Randox Health Empress Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

17/17 – Never raced at the track before
15/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
13/17 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
10/17 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs
10/17 – Didn’t win their previous race
8/17 – Came from stall 4 or lower
6/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time (2 Albany, 3 Queen Mary)
4/17 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

3.15 – Randox Health Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV4

15/17 – Won over 7f before
15/17 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
15/17 – Had at least 1 run already that season
13/17 – Aged 5 or younger
11/17 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/17 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
9/17 – Came from stall 3 or lower
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon (3 of last 8 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.50 – Betfair Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

16/17 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
16/17 – Aged 6 or younger
14/17 – Had won over 6f before
12/17 – Had won between 1-4 times before
11/17 – Finished unplaced last time out
11/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/17 – Carried 9-0 or more
10/17 – Rated 90 or less
9/17 – Aged 4 years-old
9/17 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/17 – Had run at Newcastle before
3/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/17 - Ran at York last time out
2/17 – Trained by Tim Easterby
13 of the last 15 winners came from stall 7 or HIGHER
8 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 10-15

2.25 – Betfair Exchange Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

16/17 – Had won over 6f before
15/17 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
14/17 – Unplaced last time out
13/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Has raced within the last 4 weeks
12/17 – Yet to win a Group race
10/17 – Placed favourites
9/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/17 – Aged 5 or older
7/17 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/17 – Had run at Newcastle before
5/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/17 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Won last time out
10 of the last 16 winners came between stalls 1-5
Above The Rest (12/1) won the race 12 months ago
Just 2 winners from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings (and only 4 horses placed)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

3.00 – Betfair Exchange Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation Race for the John Smith´s Northumberland Plate) Cl2 2m56y ITV

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Three previous runnings
Cosmeli won the race in 2018
3/3 – Carried 9-7, 9-8 and 9-9 in weight
3/3 – Ran in the last 2 months
3/3 – Winners came from stalls 11-19 (inc)
2/3 – Won last time out
2/3 – Had run at Newcastle (flat) before
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 13/1

3.35 – Betfair Exchange Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y ITV4

Past Northumberland Plate Winners

2018 -  Withhold (5/1 fav)
2017 -  Higher Power (11/2)
2016 – Antiquarium (16/1)
2015 – Quest For More (15/2)
2014 – Angel Gabrial (4/1 fav)
2013 – Tominator (8/1)
2012 – Ile de Re (5/2 fav)
2011 – Tominator (25/1)
2010 – Overturn (14/1)
2009 – Som Tala (16/1)
2008 – Arc Bleu (14/1)
2007 – Juniper Girl (5/1 fav)
2006 – Toldo (33/1)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (14/1)
2004 – Mirjan (33/1)
2003 – Unleash (10/1)
2002 – Bangalore (8/1)

Key Northumberland Plate Trends

16/17  - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
16/17 – Finished fifth or better last time out
15/17 – Came from stall 14 or lower
15/17 – Aged 6 or younger
13/17 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
13/17 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
10/17 – Carried 8-12 or less
9/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/17 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
6/17 – Won by a National Hunt yard
5/17 – Won their previous race
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 11 winners)
3/17 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
2/17 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/17 – Trained by Roger Charlton (2 of last 4)
1/17 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 13/1
Note: The 2016, 2017 & 2018 running was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle

Other Northumberland Plate Facts

No horse older than 8 has won the race since 1985
Five of the last 13 winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time out
Nine winning favourites (1 joint) since 1985, including 3 of the last 7
Paul Cole trained the winner in 1997, 1998 & 2001

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV)

2.45 Summer Music Saturday Handicap Cl2  (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Kevin Ryan is just 3 from 112 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Michael Easterby is just 5 from 127 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

Curragh Horse Racing Trends (ATR)

5.20 - Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Filies) 1m4f

Recent Irish Derby Winners

2018 – LATROBE (14/1)
2017 – CAPRI (6/1)
2016 – HARZAND (4/6 fav)
2015 – JACK HOBBS (10/11 fav)
2014 – AUSTRALIA (1/8 fav)
2013 – TRADING LEATHER (6/1)
2012 - CAMELOT  (1/5 fav)
2011 – TREASURE BEACH (7/2)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (7/2)
2009 – FAME AND GLORY (8/11 fav)
2008 – FROZEN FIRE (16/1)
2007 – SOLDIER OF FORTUNE (5/1)
2006 – DYLAN THOMAS (9/2 fav)
2005 – HURRICANE RUN (4/5 fav)
2004 – GREY SWALLOW (10/1)
2003 – ALAMSHAR  (4/1)

Key Irish Derby Betting Trends and Stats

16/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
14/16 – Won by an Irish-based yard
13/16 – Had 3 or more wins in their career
14/16 – Favourites that were placed in the top 4
13/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Won a Group race before
13/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/16 – Failed to win their last race
11/16 – Ran in the Epsom Derby last time out
10/16 – Had never raced at the Curragh before
9/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won it 12 times in all)
7/16 – Placed in the Epsom Derby (3 winners, Harzand, Australia & Camelot)
4/16 – Previous Group 1 winners
3/16 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 9/2

 

 

 

 

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Royal Ascot Trends – DAY THREE (Thurs 20th June 2019)

As we move into day three at  ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the Group One Ascot Gold Cup is the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

2019 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2.30 - Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f

Norfolk Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Shang Shang Shang (5/1)
2017 – Sioux Nation (14/1)
2016 – Prince Of Lir (8/1)
2015 – Waterloo Bridge (12/1)
2014 – Baitha Alga (8/1)
2013 – No Nay Never (4/1)
2012 – Reckless Abandon (4/1)
2011 – Bapak Chinta (6/1)
2010 – Approve (16/1)
2009 – Radiohead (10/1)
2008 – South Central (11/4 fav)
2007 – Winker Watson (2/1 fav)
2006 – Dutch Art (11/4)
2005 – Masta Plasta (7/2)
2004 – Blue Dakota (5/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Valour (4/1)

Norfolk Stakes Key Trends

16/16 – Previous winners over 5f
16/16 – Had at least 1 previous run
14/16 – Had a RPR of 106+
14/16 – Won their previous race
14/16 – Had never raced at Ascot before
12/16 – Foaled in March or April
10/16 – Favourites placed
9/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Windsor last time out
Aidan O’Brien has trained 2 of the last 4 winners
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 7-12 (inc)

 

3.05 – Hampton Court Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m2f

Hampton Court Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Hunting Horn (5/1)
2017 – Benbatl (9/2)
2016 – Hawkbill (11/2)
2015 – Time Test (15/8 fav)
2014 – Cannock Chase (7/4 fav)
2013 – Remote (9/4 fav)
2012 – Energizer (15/2)
2011 – Pisco Sour (20/1)
2010 – Afsare (9/4 fav)
2009 – Glass Harmonium (8/1)
2008 – Collection (13/2)
2007 – Zaham (7/2 fav)
2006 – Snoqualmie Boy (33/1)
2005 – Indigo Cat (3/1 fav)
2004 – Moscow Ballet (8/1)
2003 – Persian Majesty (8/1)

Hampton Court Stakes Key Trends
15/16 – Had not raced at Ascot before
13/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
13/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/16 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
10/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 - Ran at Epsom last time out
3/16 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
8 of the last 13 winners came from stall 5-9 (inc)

 

3.40 - Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £77,092 1m4f

Ribblesdale Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Magic Wand (10/3)
2017 – Coronet (9/1)
2016 – Even Song (15/8 fav)
2015 – Curvy (9/2)
2014 – Bracelet (10/1)
2013 – Riposte (9/2)
2012 – Princess Highway (17/2)
2011 – Banimpire (3/1 fav)
2010 – Hibaayeb (4/1 jfav)
2009 – Flying Cloud (5/1)
2008 – Michita (10/3 fav)
2007 – Silkwood (4/1)
2006 – Mont Etoile (25/1)
2005 – Thakafaat (22/1)
2004 – Punctilious (9/2)
2003 – Spanish Sun (9/2)

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Ribblesdale Stakes Key Trends

14/16 – Had at least 2 previous races that season
12/16 – Placed in their previous race
13/16 – Had never raced at Ascot before
12/16 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
11/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
7/16 – Won their last race
6/16 – Irish-trained winners (5 of last 7)
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 5)
3/16 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just two winners from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
6 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 3-6 (inc)

 

4.20 - Gold Cup (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f

Recent Ascot Gold Cup Winners

2018 – Stradivarius (7/4 jfav)
2017 – Big Orange (5/1)
2016 – Order Of St George (10/11 fav)
2015 – Trip To Paris (12/1)
2014 – Leading Light (10/11 fav)
2013 – Estimate (7/2 fav)
2012 – Colour Vision (6/1)
2011 – Fame And Glory (11/8 fav)
2010 – Rite of Passage (20/1)
2009 – Yeats (6/4 fav)
2008 – Yeats (11/8 fav)
2007 – Yeats (8/13 fav)
2006 – Yeats (7/1)
2005 – Westerner (7/4 fav)
2004 – Papineau (5/1)
2003 – Mr Dinos (3/1)
2002 – Royal Rebel (16/1)

Key Ascot Gold Cup Trends

15/17 – Had no more than 2 previous runs that season
14/17 – Had won over at least 2 miles on the flat before
14/17 – Had between 1-2 previous runs that season
13/17 – Favourites that were placed
12/17 – Won their last race
11/17 – Previous Group 1 winners
9/17 – Aged 5 or older
9/17 – Won by the favourite
7/17 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/17 – Ran at Sandown last time out (Henry II Stakes)
11 of the last 13 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8 of the last 13 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
6 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
Godolphin won the race in 1996, 1998, 2004 & 2012
Aidan O’Brien has trained the winner in 2016, 2014, 2011, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006
Since 1949 there have been 13 multiple winners of the race

 

5.00 - Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m

Britannia Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Ostillo (10/1)
2017 – Bless Him (25/1)
2016 – Defrocked (13/2)
2015 – War Envoy (10/1)
2014 – Born In China (14/1)
2013 – Beauty Flame (20/1)
2012 – Fast Or Free (6/1 fav)
2011 – Sagramor (8/1)
2010 – Ransom Note (9/1)
2009 – Fareer (20/1)
2008 – Fifteen Love (28/1)
2007 – Eddie Jock (33/1)
2006 – Sir Gerard (9/2 fav)
2005 – Mostashaar (10/3 fav)
2004 – Mandobi (8/1)
2003 – New Seeker (16/1)

Britannia Stakes Key Trends

14/16 – Had no more than 3 previous runs that season
13/16 – Had won a race over 7f or 1m before
12/16 – Failed to win their previous race
12/16 – Placed last time out
12/16 – Carried 8-13 or less
11/16 – Had never run at Ascot before
10/16 – Unplaced favourites
10/16 – Returned a double-figure price
8/16 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
6/16 – Had only won over 7f previously
4/16 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/16 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just one top three finish horse from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
9 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall

5.35 - King George V Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m4f

King George V Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Baghdad (9/1)
2017 – Atty Persse (7/1)
2016 - Primitivo (13/2)
2015 – Space Age (9/1)
2014 – Elite Army (4/1 jfav)
2013 – Elidor (20/1)
2012 – Fennell Bay (12/1)
2011 – Brown Panther (4/1 jfav)
2010 – Dandino (7/1)
2009 – Cosmic Sun (66/1)
2008 – Colony (11/2 fav)
2007 – Heron Bay (20/1)
2006 – Linas Selection (9/2)
2005 – Munsef (14/1)
2004 – Admiral (9/1)
2003 – Fantastic Love (10/1)

King George V Stakes Key Trends

16/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs that same season
16/16 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
15/16 – Never raced at Ascot before
15/16 – Placed last time out
13/16 – Carried 8-13 or less
11/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f previously
9/16 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
8/16 – Favourites placed
8/16 – Won their previous race
6/16 – Won by trainers Sir Michael Stoute (2) or Mark Johnston (4)
4/16 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
10 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 10-20 (inc)
8 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 10-16 (inc)

 

 

 

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Royal Ascot Trends – DAY FOUR (Fri 21st June 2019)

As we move into day four at  ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the two Group One's - The Coronation Stakes and the Commonwealth Cup - are the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.


2019 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2.30 - Albany Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f

Albany Stakes Past Winners

2018 – Main Edition (7/1)
2017 – Different League (20/1)
2016 – Brave Anna (16/1)
2015 – Illuminate (4/1 fav)
2014 – Cursory Glance (14/1)
2013 – Kiyoshi (8/1)
2012 – Newfangled (7/4 fav)
2011 – Samitar (16/1)
2010 – Memory (15/2)
2009 – Habaayib (16/1)
2008 – Cuis Ghaire (8/11 fav)
2007 – Nijoom Dubai (50/1)
2006 - Sander Camillo (4/1 fav)
2005 – La Chunga (10/1)
2004 – Jewel In The Sand (10/1)
2003 – Silca’s Gift (5/1)


Albany Stakes Key Trends

16/16 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs
16/16 – Never raced at Ascot before
15/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/16 – Won by either a Feb or Mar foal
12/16 – Won their previous race
11/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price
7/16 – Won by trainers Channon (2), Hannon (3) or Noseda (2)
5/16 – Previous winner over 6f
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Sandown last time
The last 13 winners came from double-figure stalls
10 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 11-15 (inc)

 

3.05 - King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f

King Edward VII Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Old Persian (9/2)
2017 – Permian (6/1)
2016 – Across The Stars (7/1)
2015 – Balios (3/1)
2014 – Eagle Top (12/1)
2013 – Hillstar (15/2)
2012 – Thomas Chippendale (9/2)
2011 – Nathaniel (11/4 fav)
2010 – Monterosso (7/2)
2009 – Father Time (9/1)
2008 – Campanologist (9/1)
2007 – Boscobel (7/1)
2006 – Papal Bull (5/4 fav)
2005 – Plea Bargain (9/2)
2004 – Five Dynasties (11/4 fav)
2003 – High Accolade (5/2 fav)

King Edward VII Stakes Key Trends

16/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
15/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the
12/16 – Had never raced at Ascot before
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/16 - Had won at least 2 previous races during their career
6/16 – Had already won a Listed or better class race
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 4-9 (inc)
12 of the last 13 winners returned 9/1 or shorter

3.40 – The Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) (Class 1) (3yo) 6f

Commonwealth Cup Recent Winners

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2018 - Eqtidaar (12/1)
2017 - Caravaggio (5/6 fav)
2016 - Quiet Reflection (7/4 fav)
2015 - Muhaarar (10/1)

Commonwealth Cup Trends

4/4 – Won over 6f before
4/4 – Drawn 8 or lower
4/4 – Ran in the last month
3/4 – Won 3+ times before
3/4 – Had run at Ascot before
3/4 – Rated 117 or higher
2/4 – Winning favourite
2/4 – Came from stall 8
2/4 – Won last time out

4.20 - Coronation Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m

Coronation Stakes Past Winners

2018 – Alpha Centauri (11/4 fav)
2017 – Winter (4/9 fav)
2016 – Qemah (6/1)
2015 – Ervedya (3/1)
2014 – Rizeena (11/2)
2013 – Sky Lantern (9/2 jfav)
2012 – Fallen For You (12/1)
2011 – Immortal Verse (8/1)
2010 – Lillie Langtry (7/2 fav)
2009 – Ghanaati (2/1 fav)
2008 – Lush Lashes (5/1)
2007 – Indian Ink (8/1)
2006 – Nannina (6/1 jfav)
2005 – Maids Causeway (9/2)
2004 – Attraction (6/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Rhythm (4/7 fav)
2002 – Sophisticat (11/2)

Coronation Stakes Recent Trends

17/17 – Had won over at least 7f before
16/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
13/17 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 previously
12/17 – Had won over at least a 1 mile before
9/17 – Had run at Ascot before (3 winners)
8/17 – Ran in that season’s English 1,000 Guineas
8/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/17 – Unplaced last time out
5/17 – Ran in that season’s Irish 1,000 Guineas
3/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
12 of the last 13 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
No winners from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
Just two horses placed from stall 2 (2nd ) in the last 13 runnings
7 of the last 13 winners were non UK-trained – French (3), Irish (4)

 

5.00 - Sandringham Handicap (Listed Race) 1m


Sandringham Handicap Recent Winners

2018 – Agrotera (11/2 fav)
2017 – Con Te Partiro (20/1)
2016 – Persuasive (11/4 fav)
2015 – Osaila (13/2)
2014 – Muteela (9/2 fav)
2013 – Annecdote (11/1)
2012 – Duntle (4/1 fav)
2011 – Rhythm Of Light (8/1)
2010 – Timepiece (5/1)
2009 – Moneycantbuymelove (9/2 fav)
2008 – Festivale (10/1)
2007 – Barshiba (16/1)
2006 – Red Evie (5/1 co-fav)
2005 – Beautyandthebeast (9/2)
2004 – Celtic Heroine (11/1)
2003 – Hold To Ransom (11/1)
2002 – Tashawak (12/1)

 

Sandringham Handicap Trends

15/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
13/17 – Had never run at Ascot before
13/17 – Had won over at least 7f before
12/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
11/17 – Carried 8-11 or more
11/17 – Placed in their previous race
7/17 – Had exactly 3 runs already that season
8/17 – Won their last race
7/17 – Returned a double-figure price
6/17 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/17 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (7 winners in all)

 

5.35 - Duke of Edinburgh Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) 1m4f

Duke of Edinburgh Past Winners

2018 – Dash Of Spice (7/2 fav)
2017 – Rare Rhythm (20/1)
2016 – Kinema (8/1)
2015 – Arab Dawn (6/1 jfav)
2014 – Arab Spring (11/4 fav)
2013 – Opinion (8/1)
2012 – Camborne (11/2 fav)
2011 – Fox Hunt (12/1)
2010 – Cill Rialaig (16/1)
2009 – Drill Sergeant (14/1)
2008 – Sugar Ray (8/1)
2007 – Pevensey (8/1)
2006 – Young Mick (28/1)
2005 – Notable Guest (4/1)
2004 – Wunderwood (15/2)
2003 – Waverley (14/1)

Duke of Edinburgh Key Trends

16/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/16 – Had at least 2 previous career wins to their name
13/16 – Carried 9-0 or more
12/16 – Placed last time out
11/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
9/16 – Trained by Hughie Morrison (3), Mark Johnston (2) or Sir Michael Stoute (4)
9/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
7/16 – Had run at Ascot before
7/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/16 – Ran at either York or Epsom last time (inc 7 of last 8 runnings)
5/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time
4/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/16 – Winning favourites
12 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

 

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Royal Ascot Trends – DAY FIVE (Sat 22nd June 2019)

As we move into the final day at ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the Group One Diamond Jubilee Stakes is the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

2019 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2.30 - Chesham Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 7f

Chesham Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Arthur Kitt (13/2)
2017 – September (11/8 fav)
2016 – Churchill (8/11 fav)
2015 – Suits You (14/1)
2014 – Richard Pankhurst (10/1)
2013 – Berkshire (16/1)
2012 – Tha’ir (9/2)
2011 – Maybe (5/2 fav)
2010 – Zaidan (7/1)
2009 – Big Audio (22/1)
2008 – Free Agent (7/2 jfav)
2007 – Maze (11/2)
2006 – Champlain (7/2)
2005 – Championship Point (4/1)
2004 – Whazzat (7/1)
2003 – Pearl Of Love (11/10 fav)

Chesham Stakes Key Trends

16/16 – Had no more than 2 previous career runs
15/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/16 – Ran over 6f last time out (9 won)
14/16 – Had just 1 previous career run
13/16 – Were foaled in March or earlier
11/16 – Won their previous race
11/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
5/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Irish trained-winners (Aiden O’Brien)
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Ryan Moore has ridden the winners in 2011, 2016 and 2017
12 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 1-8
6 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 7 (3)
10 of the last 13 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
Trainer Paul Cole has won the race 4 times before

 

3.05 - Jersey Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 7f

Recent Jersey Stakes Winners

2018 – Expert Eye (8/1)
2017 – Le Brivido (2/1 fav)
2016 – Ribchester (7/1)
2015 – Dutch Connection (14/1)
2014 – Mustajeeb (9/2 jfav)
2013 – Gale Force Ten (9/2 fav)
2012 – Ishvana (20/1)
2011 – Strong Suit (11/1)
2010 – Rainfall (8/1)
2009 – Ouqba (12/1)
2008 – Aqlaam (13/2)
2007 – Tariq (15/2)
2006 – Jeremy (9/2)
2005 – Proclamation (7/1)
2004 – Kheleyf (6/1)
2003 – Membership (20/1)
2002 - Just James (20/1)

 

Jersey Stakes Trends

16/17 – Had at least 1 run already that season
13/17 – Had 4 or more career runs
11/17 – Had won over 7f before
10/17 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
9/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
7/17 – Had run at Ascot before
7/17 – Horses from stall 8 placed
6/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/17 – Won their previous race
3/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 wins in total)
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (5 wins in total)
The Irish have won 3 of the last 7 runnings
The horse from stall 11 has finished 2nd in 5 of the last 11 runnings

3.40 - Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m4f

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Hardwicke Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Crystal Ocean (4/7 fav)
2017 – Idaho (9/2)
2016 – Dartmouth (10/1)
2015 – Snow Sky (12/1)
2014 – Telescope (7/4 fav)
2013 – Thomas Chippendale (8/1)
2012 – Sea Moon (3/1 fav)
2011 – Await the Dawn (4/6 fav)
2010 – Harbinger (8/11 fav)
2009 – Bronze Cannon (8/1)
2008 – Macarthur (11/8 fav)
2007 – Maraahel (10/3)
2006 – Maraahel (9/2)
2005 – Bandari (10/1)
2004 – Doyen (6/5 fav)
2003 – Indian Creek (14/1)

Hardwicke Stakes Key Trends

16/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
16/16 – Had won a Group 2 or 3 previously
14/16 – Placed last time out
14/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
12/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3), Mark Johnston (2) or Sir Michael Stoute (7)
11/16 – Had run at Ascot before
11/16 – Aged 4 years-old (inc last 9 winners)
10/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
6/16 – Ran at Epsom last time out (Coronation Cup)
7/16 – Won their previous race
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
11 of the last 13 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
9 of the last 13 winners returned 9/2 or shorter
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
7 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)

 

4.20 - Diamond Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 6f

Diamond Jubilee Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Merchant Navy (4/1)
2017 – The Tin Man (9/2)
2016 – Twilight Son (7/2)
2015 – Undrafted (14/1)
2014 – Slade Power (7/2 fav)
2013 – Lethal Force (11/1)
2012 – Black Caviar (1/6 fav)
2011 – Society Rock (25/1)
2010 – Starspanglebanner (13/2 jfav)
2009 – Art Connoisseur (20/1)
2008 – Kingsgate Native (33/1)
2007 – Soldier’s Tale (9/1)
2006 – Les Arcs (33/1)
2005 – Cape Of Good Hope (8/1)
2004 - Fayr Jag (12/1)
2003 – Choisir (13/2)

Diamond Jubilee Stakes Key Trends

15/16 – Previous distance (6f) winners
12/16 – Failed to win their last race
13/16 – Aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Previous Group Race winners
11/16 – Had run at Ascot before
9/16 – Won by a UK-based yard
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Ran in the King’s Stand Stakes earlier at the meeting
3/16 – Winning favourite (joint)
2/16 – Trained by James Fanshawe
5 of the last 14 winners were Irish-bred
8 of the last 14 winners came from a double-figure draw
No winner from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
6 of the last 14 winners returned a double-figure price.

 

5.00 - Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-110) 6f

Wokingham Stakes Recent Winners

2018 - Bacchus (33/1)
2017 – Out Do (25/1)
2016 – Outback Traveller (10/1)
2015 – Interception (10/1)
2014 – Baccarat (9/1)
2013 – York Glory (14/1)
2012 – Dandy Boy (33/1)
2011 – Deacon Blues (15/2)
2010 – Laddies Poker Two (9/2 fav)
2009 – High Standing (8/1)
2008 – Big Timer I (20/1)
2007 – Dark Missile (22/1)
2006 – Baltic King (10/1)
2005 – Iffraaj (9/4 fav)
2004 – Lafi (6/1 fav)
2003 – Ratio (14/1) / Fayr Jag (10/1)  (dead-heat)

Wokingham Stakes Key Trends

19/19 – Had won before over 6f or 7f
19/19 – Had no more than 4 runs that season­­
18/19 – Finished sixth or better last time out
17/19 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
17/19 – Had won a race over 6f before
16/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/19 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
12/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/19 – Had run at Ascot before (6 had won here)
9/19 – Ran at either Ascot, Goodwood or Newmarket last time
5/19 – Won their previous race
4/19 – Won by the favourite
10 of the last 13 winners carried 9-3 or less in weight
8 of the last 13 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
9 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure draw
8 of the last 9 winners came from a double-figure stall
6 of the last 8 runnings - the top 2 finishers all came from double-figure stalls
Horse from stall 15 has been placed in 3 of the last 8 runnings
Since 1980 there have been only 7 winning favourites
Since 1980 there have been 31 winners returning a double-figure price

 

5.35 - Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions Race) (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 2m5f159y

Queen Alexandra Stakes Recent Winners

2018 - Pallasator (11/2)
2017 – Oriental Fox (10/1)
2016 – Commissioned (12/1)
2015 – Oriental Fox (4/1)
2014 – Pique Sous (11/4)
2013 – Chiberta King (8/1)
2012 – Simenon (11/4 fav)
2011 – Swingkeel (11/2)
2010 – Bergo (10/1)
2009 – Caracciola (6/1)
2008 – Honolulu (7/4 fav)
2007 – Enjoy The Moment (6/1)
2006 – Baddam (11/2)
2005 – Cruzspiel (10/1)
2004 – Corrib Eclipse (25/1)
2003 – Cover Up (4/5 fav)

Queen Alexandra Stakes Key Trends

14/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/16 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
9/16 – Had run at Ascot before
9/16 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years old
5/16 – Won by a NH yard
5/16 – Irish-trained winners
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
9 of the last 13 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 9-16 (inc)
10 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 15th June 2019

Another busy Saturday of horse racing ahead with this weekend's LIVE ITV4 coming from Sandown, Chester and York.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Saturday 15th June 2019

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

2.05 – Randox Health Scurry Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV4

14/14 – Returned 11/1 or shorter
12/14 – Had won over 5f before
11/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
9/14 – Had won at least 3 times before
9/14 – Came from stall 7 or higher
9/14 – Irish bred
7/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/14 – Had won a Listed or Group 3 race before
5/14 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Beverley (2) last time out
2/14 – Trained by Michael Bell
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

3.15 – Randox Health Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV4

7 previous runnings
6/7 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
6/7 – Had won between 2-4 times before
6/7 – Had won over 1m before
6/7 – Rated between 90-94
6/7 – Carried 9-5 or more in weight
5/7 – Aged 4 years-old
5/7 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
5/7 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
4/7 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newmarket (2) last time out
4/7 – Had run at the course before
3/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Via Serendipity (4/1) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 5/1

 

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

1.50 – Queen Mother´s Cup (Lady Amateur Riders) (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4

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14/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Carried 9-11 or more
14/16 – Had run over 1m4f or further previously
13/16 – Had at least 2 previous runs already that season (flat)
13/16 – Aged 6 or younger
12/16 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
12/16 – Rated between 80-89
12/16 – Won from a single-figure stall
11/16 – Favourites placed in the top four
11/16 – Had run at York before
10/16 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
9/16 – Had won at least 3 times before (flat)
8/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/16 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
6/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/16 – Winners that came from stalls 3 or 4
4/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/16 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Won by trainer Luca Cumani
2/16 – Ridden by Miss J Coward
2/16 – Placed horses from stall 2
Mister Belvedere (20/1) won the race in 2018
Tapis Libre (8/1) won the race in 2017

 

2.25 – JCB Handicap Cl2 7f ITV4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
4/4 – Unplaced favourites
4/4 – Had raced at York before
3/4 – Rated between 90-99
3/4 – Aged 4 years-old
3/4 – Came from a single-figure stall
3/4 – Won over 7f before
2/4 – Came from stall 9
0/4 – Winning favourites
Above The Rest (16/1) won the race in 2018

 

3.00 – Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Grand Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl (4yo+) 1m6f ITV4

10/11 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
10/11 – Had raced in the last 2 months
10/11 – Officially rated 103 or higher
9/11 – Placed favourites
9/11 – Drawn in stalls 1-7 (inc)
9/11 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
9/11 – Won at least 4 times before (flat)
8/11 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Ran at the track before
2/11 – Trained by Peter Niven
2/11 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/11 – Winners from stall 1
Marmelo won the race in 2018
Clever Cookie won the race in 2014 & 2015
Note: The 2014 running was a dead-heat

 

3.35 –Pavers Foundation Catherine Memorial Sprint (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

12/14 – Rated between 87-97
12/14 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
12/14 – Had won over 6f before
10/14 – Unplaced favourites
11/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/14 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had won between 1-2 times before
6/14 – Irish bred
7/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby (inc 3 of the last 6 runnings)
2/14 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
8 of the last 11 winners came from a single-figure draw

 

Chester Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.40 – City of London Handicap (Cl2) (3yo 0-100) 1m4f ITV4

One previous running
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race in 2018
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a 25% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Channon is just 1 from 26 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Nicola Currie has a 67% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
The 2018 winner came from stall 4

 

 

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Royal Ascot Trends – DAY ONE (Tues 18th June 2019)

We kick-start another ROYAL ASCOT with the normal bang and three Group One's on the day with the Queen Anne Stakes, King's Stand Stakes and the St James's Palace Stakes the feature contests. But we've got all the opening day's races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

2019 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2.30 - Queen Anne Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m

Recent Queen Anne Stakes Winners

2018Accidental Agent (33/1)
2017 – Ribchester (11/10 fav)
2016 – Tepin (11/2)
2015 – Solow (11/8 fav)
2014 – Toronado (4/5 fav)
2013 – Declaration Of War (15/2)
2012 – Frankel (1/10 fav)
2011 – Canford Cliffs (11/8)
2010 – Goldikova (11/8 fav)
2009 – Paco Boy (10/3)
2008 – Haradasun (5/1)
2007 – Ramonti (5/1)
2006 – Ad Valorem (13/2)
2005 – Valixir (4/1)
2004 – Refuse To Bend (12/1)
2003 – Dubai Destination (9/2)
2002 – No Excuse Needed (13/2)

Queen Anne Stakes Trends

17/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/17 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Previous winners over 1 mile
13/17 – Had already won a Group 1 race
14/17 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
12/17 - Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Won by a 4 year-old
10/17 – Had never run at Ascot before
10/17 – Trained by either R Hannon (3), A P O’Brien (3) or Godolphin (4)
8/17 – Won their previous race
8/17 – Favourites that were unplaced
8/17 – Ran in the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 - Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Only 1 winner from Stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 4 or higher

3.05 - Coventry Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f

Recent Coventry Stakes Winners

2018 – Calyx (2/1 fav)
2017 – Rajasinghe (11/1)
2016 – Caravaggio (13/8 fav)
2015 – Buratino (6/1)
2014 – The Wow Signal (5/1 jfav)
2013 – War Command (20/1)
2012 – Dawn Approach (7/2)
2011 – Power (4/1 fav)
2010 – Strong Suit (15/8 fav)
2009 – Canford Cliffs (7/4 fav)
2008 – Art Connoisseur (8/1)
2007 – Henrythenavigator (11/4 fav)
2006 – Hellvelyn (4/1 jfav)
2005 – Red Clubs (11/2)
2004 – Iceman (5/1 jfav)
2003 – Three Valleys (7/1)
2002 – Statue Of Liberty (16/1)

Coventry Stakes Trends

17/17 – Won their previous race
16/17 – Had never raced at Ascot before
15/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 - Came from the top three in the betting
14/17 – Had between 1 and 2 previous career runs
12/17 - Foaled in either Feb or March
11/17 – Won over 6f before
9/17 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
6/17 – Ran at either Newbury or Newmarket last time out
5/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
1/17 - Won by a Jan foal
10 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or higher
7 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 9-19 (inc)

3.40 - King´s Stand Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 5f

Recent King’s Stand Stakes Winners

2018 - Blue Point (6/1)
2017 – Lady Aurelia (7/2)
2016 – Profitable (4/1)
2015 – Goldream (20/1)
2014 – Sole Power (5/1)
2013 – Sole Power (8/1)
2012 - Little Bridge (12/1)
2011 - Prohibit (7/1)
2010 - Equiano (9/2)
2009 - Scenic Blast (11/4 fav)
2008 - Equiano (22/1)
2007 - Miss Andretti (3/1 fav)
2006 - Takeover Target (7/1)
2005 - Chineur (7/1)
2004 - The Tatling (8/1)
2003 – Choisir (25/1)

King’s Stand Stakes Trends

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17/17 – Aged 7 or younger
15/17 – Had won a Group race before
14/17 – Aged 4 or older
14/17 – Had won over 5f before
12/17 – Finished first or second last time out
12/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/17 – Won by a non-UK based trained horse
10/17 – Had run at Ascot before (7 had won at the track)
9/17 – Favourites placed
6/17 – Ran at either Flemington (3) or Chantilly (3) last time out
6/17 – Favourites that finished third
3/17 – Won by an Australian-trained horse
3/17 – 3 Year-old winners
2/17 – Winning favourites
A horse from stalls 9, 11 & 14 has been placed in 10 of the last 11 runnings

4.20 - St James´s Palace Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m

Recent St James’s Palace Stakes Winners

2018 - Without Parole (9/4 fav)
2017 – Barney Roy (5/2)
2016 – Galileo Gold (6/1)
2015 – Gleneagles (8/15 fav)
2014 – Kingman (8/11 fav)
2013 – Dawn Approach (5/4 fav)
2012 – Most Improved (9/1)
2011 – Frankel (3/10 fav)
2010 – Canford Cliffs (11/4 jfav)
2009 – Mastercraftsman (5/6 fav)
2008 – Henrythenavigator (4/7 fav)
2007 – Excellent Art (8/1)
2006 – Araafa (2/1 fav)
2005 – Shamardal (7/4 fav)
2004 – Azamour (9/2)
2003 - Zafeen (8/1)
2002 – Rock Of Gibraltar (4/5 fav)

St James’s Palace Stakes Trends

17/17 - Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17– Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
15/17 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
14/17 – Favourites that were placed
14/17 – Had won over a mile before
12/17 – Previous Group 1 winners
12/17 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
10/17 – Won their previous race
9/17 – Ran in the Irish 2000 Guineas (Curragh) last time out (7 won it)
5/17 – Had run at Ascot before
5/17 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
Just 1 winner from stall 1 or 2 in the last 11 runnings
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 4 or 5

5.00 - Ascot Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-95) 2m4f

Ascot Stakes Recent Winners

2018 - Lagostovegas (10/1)
2017 – Thomas Hobson (4/1 fav)
2016 – Jennies Jewel (6/1)
2015 – Clondaw Warrior (5/1 fav)
2014 – Domination (12/1)
2013 – Well Sharp (9/1)
2012 – Simenon (8/1)
2011 – Veiled (11/2)
2010 – Junior (17/2)
2009 – Judgethemoment (13/2)
2008 – Missoula (20/1)
2007 – Full House (20/1)
2006 – Baddam (33/1)
2005 – Leg Spinner (9/1)
2004 – Double Obsession (25/1)
2003 – Sindapour (12/1)
2002 – Riyadh (7/1 fav)

Ascot Stakes Trends

15/17 – Carried 9-0 or more
14/17 – Won by a stable better known for their NH runners
13/17 – Had at least 1 previous run on the flat that season
11/17 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
10/17 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
8/17 – Won their previous race
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/17 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/17 – Trained by Willie Mullins
3/17 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure stall
Just one winner (or placed) horse from stall 1 placed in the last 11 runnings

 

5.35 - Wolferton Rated Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+ 0-110) 1m2f

Wolferton Rated Stakes Recent Winners

2018 - Monarchs Glen (8/1)
2017 – Snoano (25/1)
2016 – Sir Isaac Newton (7/1)
2015 – Mahsoob (7/4 fav)
2014 – Contributer (9/1)
2013 – Forgotten Voice (12/1)
2012 – Gatewood (3/1 fav)
2011 – Beachfire (12/1)
2010 – Rainbow Peak (13/8 fav)
2009 – Perfect Stride (8/1)
2008 – Supaseus (12/1)
2007 – Championship Point (25/1)
2006 – I’m So Lucky (16/1)
2005 – Imperial Stride (25/1)
2004 – Red Fort (6/1)
2003 – In Time’s Eye (5/1)

Wolferton Rated Stakes Key Trends

13/16 – Had between 1 and 3 runs already that season
12/16 – Aged 4 years-old
12/16 – Had won 3 or more races during their career
11/16 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
11/16 – Unplaced favourites
11/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/16 – Had run at Ascot before
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price
7/16 – Ran at either York (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
4/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Trained at Kremlin House Stables (Roger Varian/M Jarvis)
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 13 winners returned 7/1 or bigger

 

 

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Royal Ascot Trends – DAY TWO (Weds 19th June 2019)

As we move into day two at  ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the Group One Prince Of Wales's Stakes is the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

2019 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2.30 - Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) 5f

Queen Mary Recent Winners

2018 – Signora Cabello (25/1)
2017 – Heartache (5/1)
2016 – Lady Aurelia (2/1 fav)
2015 – Acapulco (5/2 fav)
2014 – Anthem Alexander (9/4 fav)
2013 – Rizeena (6/1)
2012 – Ceiling Kitty (20/1)
2011 – Best Terms (12/1)
2010 – Maqaasid (9/4 fav)
2009 – Jealous Again (13/2)
2008 – Langs Lash (25/1)
2007 – Elletelle (20/1)
2006 – Gilded (11/2)
2005 – Flashy Wings (4/1 jfav)
2004 – Damson (11/2 jfav)
2003 – Attraction (13/8 fav)
2002 – Romantic Liason (16/1)

Queen Mary Stakes Trends

16/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/17 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
15/17 – Had won over 5f (or shorter) before
15/17 – Won by a horse foaled between Jan-Mar
14/17 – Won their previous race
11/17 – Placed favourites
7/17 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
6/17 – Returned a double-figure price
3/17 – Trained by Wesley Ward (including 2 of last 4 runnings)
2/17 – Won by trainer Richard Hannon

 

3.05 - Queen´s Vase (Listed) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 2m

Queen´s Vase Recent Winners

2018 – Kew Gardens (10/3)
2017 – Stradivarius (11/2)
2016 – Sword Fighter (33/1)
2015 – Aloft (5/2 fav)
2014 – Hartnell (7/2)
2013 – Leading Light (5/4 fav)
2012 – Estimate (3/1 fav)
2011 – Namibian (7/2 fav)
2010 – Mikhail Glinka (2/1 fav)
2009 – Holberg (7/1)
2008 – Patkai (6/4 fav)
2007 – Mahler (7/1)
2006 – Soapy Danger (4/1)
2005 – Melrose Avenue (4/1)
2004 – Duke Of Venice (9/2)
2003 – Shanty Star (7/2 fav)

Queen´s Vase Key Trends

14/16 – Had never raced at Ascot before
12/16 – Had at least 2 previous career wins
11/16 – Placed last time out
9/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Had run over at least 1m4f before
6/16 – Ran at either Lingfield or Haydock last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 - Trained by Mark Johnston
6/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/16 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 - Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 4 times in all)
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 years
The horse from stall 7 has been placed in 6 of the last 12 runnings (4 wins)
12 of the last 13 winners came from a single-figure stall
6 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 7 or 8

 

3.40 - The Prince of Wales´s Stakes (Group 1) 1m2f

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Poet’s Word (11/2)
2017 – Highland Reel (9/4)
2016 – My Dream Boat (16/1)
2015 – Free Eagle (5/2 fav)
2014 – The Fugue (11/2)
2013 – Al Kazeem (11/4)
2012 – So You Think (4/5 fav)
2011 – Rewilding (17/2)
2010 – Byword (5/2 fav)
2009 – Vision D’etat (4/1)
2008 – Duke of Marmalade (Evs fav)
2007 – Manduro (15/8 fav)
2006 – Ouija Board (8/1)
2005 – Azamour (11/8 fav)
2004 – Rakti (3/1)
2003 – Nayef (5/1)
2002 -  Grandera (4/1)

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Trends

Your first 30 days for just £1

17/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
16/17 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
16/17 – Won by a 4 or 5 year-old
14/17 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
14/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/17 – Were previous Group 1 winners
11/17 – Placed favourites
9/17 – Won their last race
9/17 – Won by a non-UK based trainer
9/17 – Had run at Ascot before
6/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/17 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3 of the last 11 runnings have gone to a French-trained horse

4.20 – The Duke of Cambridge Stakes (Windsor Forest) (Group 2) 1m

Duke of Cambridge Recent Winners

2018 – Aljazzi (9/2)
2017 – Qemah (5/2 fav)
2016 – Usherette (9/4 fav)
2015 – Amazing Maria (25/1)
2014 – Integral (9/4 fav)
2013 – Duntle (10/3)
2012 – Joviality (11/1)
2011 – Lolly For Dolly (11/1)
2010 – Strawberrydaiquiri (9/2)
2009 – Spacious (10/1)
2008 – Sabana Perdida (4/1)
2007 – Nannina (3/1 co-fav)
2006 – Soviet Song (11/8 fav)
2005 – Peeress (14/1)
2004 – Favourable Terms (13/2)

Duke of Cambridge Trends

14/15 – Had won over a mile (or further) before
14/15 – Had won a Group 3 or better race before
14/15 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
13/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Won by a 4 year-old
11/15 – Had run at Ascot before
8/15 – Favourites that were placed
7/15 – Had won at Ascot before
5/15 – Returned a double-figure price
5/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/15 – Ran at Epsom last time out
4/15 – Owned by Cheveley Park Stud
2/15 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/15 – Winners from stall 1
Only four placed horses (2 winners) from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings

 

5.00 - Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) 1m

Royal Hunt Cup Recent Winners

2018 – Settle For Bay (16/1)
2017 – Zhui Feng (25/1)
2016 – Portage (10/1)
2015 – GM Hopkins (8/1)
2014 – Field of Dream (20/1)
2013 – Belgian Bill (33/1)
2012 – Prince Of Johanne (16/1)
2011 – Julienas (12/1)
2010 – Invisible Man (28/1)
2009 – Forgotten Voice (4/1 fav)
2008 – Mr Aviator (25/1)
2007 – Royal Oath (9/1)
2006 – Cesare (14/1)
2005 – New Seeker (11/1)
2004 – Mine (16/1)
2003 – Macadamia (8/1)
2002 – Norton (25/1)

Royal Hunt Cup Trends

16/17 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/17 – Unplaced favourites
13/17 – Returned a double-figure price
13/17 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/17 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs that season
10/17 – Had run at Ascot before
10/17 – Won by a 4 year-old (inc 8 of the last 10 runnings)
5/17 – Won their last race
2/17 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/17 – Won by trainer John Gosden
1/17 – Winning favourites
Overall, high number stalls have dominated in recent years
11 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall
We’ve seen 3 winners from stall 33 in the last 10 runnings

 

5.35 - Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f

Windsor Castle Recent Winners

2018 – Soldier’s Call (12/1)
2017 – Sound And Silence (16/1)
2016 – Ardad (20/1)
2015 – Washington DC (5/1)
2014 – Hootenanny (7/2 fav)
2013 –
Extortionist (16/1)
2012 – Hototo (14/1)
2011 – Frederick Engels (9/4 fav)
2010 – Marine Commando (9/2)
2009 – Strike The Tiger (33/1)
2008 – Flashmans Papers (100/1)
2007 – Drawnfromthepast (9/1)
2006 – Elhamri (20/1)
2005 – Titus Alone (11/4)
2004 – Chateau Istana (12/1)
2003 – Holborn (5/2 fav)
2002 – Revenue (14/1)

Windsor Castle Trends

17/17 – Had at least 1 previous outing
16/17 – Won by a foal born April or earlier
16/17 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs
14/17 – Had won over 5f before
12/17 – Placed last time out
12/17 – Had never run at Ascot before
10/17 – Returned a double-figure price (inc a 100/1 winner)
9/17 – Won their previous race
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
7/17 – Won by a Feb foal
3/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Wesley Ward
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
8 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 8th June 2019

Another busy Saturday of horse racing ahead with this weekend's LIVE ITV4 coming from Newmarket, Beverley and Haydock - we've NINE LIVE races across the three venues with the Hilary Needler Trophy (Beverley) and the Group Three John Of Gaunt Stakes (Haydock) two of the highlights.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Saturday 8th June 2019

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.10 – Bentley Cambridge Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 7f ITV4

Two previous runnings
Trainer Mick Channon won the race last year
Last two winners drawn in double-figures
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 29% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Brian Meehan has a 25% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

2.45 – Bernard Sunley Memorial Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m6f ITV4

Two previous runnings
Amazing Red won this race 12 months ago
Trainer Ed Dunlop won this race in 2018
Trainer Mark Johnston won this race in 2017
Trainer Mark Johnston has a 28% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has a 25% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ian Williams has a 24% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 1 from 30 with his 4+  year-olds at the track

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.45 Betway Middle Distance Handicap Cl3 (3yo) 1m4f ITV4

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One previous running
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a 38% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 30% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Frankie Dettori has a 31% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

2.25 Betway Pinnacle Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m3f ITV4

16/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
14/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Rated 92 or higher
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/16 – Aged 4 years-old
11/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/16 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
6/16 – Had run at Haydock before
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

3.00 Betway Achilles Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 5f ITV4

10/10 – Returned 14/1 or shorter
9/10 – Aged 5 or older
9/10 – Had raced in the last 10 weeks
9/10 – Won between 6-8 times before
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Had won over 5f before
8/10 – Drawn between stalls 2-7 (inc)
7/10 – Had run at the course before
7/10 – Winning distance 1 length or less
7/10 – Had finished in the top 5 last time out
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
5/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by William Haggas
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2

 

3.35 Betway John Of Gaunt Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV4

15/16 – Rated 107 or higher
15/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/16 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
13/16 – Came from the top three in the betting
13/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Had won over 7f before
11/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/16 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
10/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
9/16 – Favourites placed
5/16 – Had run at the track before
4/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 - Aged 9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

Beverley Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.25 Dadie Oughtred Memorial Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 7 1/2f ITV

No previous runnings
The Richard Hannon yard have a 42% record with their runners at the track

2.00 Hilary Needler Trophy Fillies’ Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

12/14 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
11/14 – Had won over 5f before
11/14 – Had won just once before
11/14 – Irish bred
10/14 – Had raced in the last 2 weeks
10/14 – Had raced between 1-2 times before
8/14 – Won last time out
7/14 – Placed favourites
5/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/14 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/14 – Raced at York last out
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/14 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/1
The last 9 winners drawn 9 or lower
7 or the last 9 winners were foaled in Feb or March
7 of last 10 winners have been drawn in stalls 6-9 (inc)

 

3.15 Truckingby Brian Yeardley Two Year Old Trophy Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) (Colts & Geldings Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

10/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Feb, March or April bred
10/10 – Drawn in 6 or lower
8/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/10 – Won over 5f before
8/10 – Won at least once before
7/10 – Favourites placed
7/10 – Had raced twice or more
6/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Drawn in stall 1
3/10 – Trained by Mick Channon
The Richard Hannon yard have a 43% record with their 2 year-olds at the track
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 1st June 2019

It’s Derby Day at Epsom Racecourse this weekend and like every Saturday we’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our free tips on each contest.

Did you know that 15 of the last 17 Epsom Derby winners had finished 1st or 2nd in their last race, while 11 of the last 17 Derby winners came from a single-figure stall?

Supporting the big race, we’ve got four more LIVE races to take in that include the Epsom Dash, which is run over one of the quickest 5f courses in the world – blink and you’ll miss it!

 

Saturday 1st June 2019

Epsom Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.00 - Investec Private Banking Handicap Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m2f18y ITV

16/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Never run at Epsom before
14/16 – Had won over 1m before (5 over 1m2f)
11/16 – Winners from stall 6 or higher
11/16 – Placed last time out
11/16 – Carried 8-10 or more
10/16 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Favourites that were placed
8/16 – Horses placed from stall 1
5/16 – Won their previous race
3/16 – Winners from stall 1
3/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
3/16 – Won by trainer Sylvester Kirk
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1
Stall 2 has just two places (1 win) to its name in the last 16 runnings

 

2.35 - Princess Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Investec) (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m114y ITV

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16/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/16 – Had won at Listed or Group 3 class before
14/16 – Drawn in stall 4,5,6, 7 or 8
14/16 – Favourites placed
13/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/16 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
13/16 – Had won over at least a mile before
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Had won between 4-6 times before
11/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/16 – Aged 4 years-old
9/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – Had raced at Epsom before
8/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Drawn in either stall 5 or 6
5/16 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/16 – Won by a Cheveley Park-owned horse
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/16 – Trained by Roger Charlton
Jockeys Silvestre de Sousa (2), James Doyle (3) and Frankie Dettori (3) have won 8 of the last 9 runnings
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 9 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

 

3.10 - Investec Diomed Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 1m 114y ITV

16/16 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
14/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
13/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/16 – Aged 5 or older
13/16 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
12/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/16 – Had raced at Epsom before
12/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/16 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

3.45 – Investec Corporate Banking "Dash" (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV

Epsom Dash Betting Trends and Stats

16/17 – Didn’t win last time out
15/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks (12 within the last 4 weeks)
13/17 – Came from stall 8 or higher
13/17 – Won by horses aged between 5 and 8 years-old (inc)
13/17– Unplaced favourites
12/17 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/17 – Had raced at Epsom previously (4 had won)
11/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/17 – Horses from stall 1 that hit the frame
1/17 – Winning favourites
Caspian Prince won the race in 2016 and 2017
Duke Of Firenze won the race in 2013
The average winning SP in the last 16 renewals is 15.5/1

 

4.30 – Investec Derby (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m4f10y ITV

Epsom Derby Betting Trends and Stats

16/17 – Raced no more than 5 times before
16/17 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
15/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/17 – Had won a Group race before
12/17 – Favourites that were placed
11/17 – Won from a single-figure stall
11/17 – Won last time out
11/17 – Had run over at least 1m2f before
10/17 – Had raced no more than 3 times before
8/17 – Had won a Group One before
8/17 – Irish-trained winners
6/17 – Won by the favourite
5/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won 6 in all)
5/17 – Ran in the 2,000 Guineas that season (2 winners)
4/17 – Won the Dante Stakes (York) last time out
3/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won 5 in all)
3/17 – Winners from stall 12 or higher
1/17 – Won over 1m4f before
0/17 – Run at the course before
0/17 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 13/2
10 Dante winners went onto win the Derby (Golden Horn, 2015 being the most-recent)
Only 1 horse that was beaten in the Dante (Workforce) went onto win the Derby

Epsom Derby Trainer Stats

Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2010, 2004, 2003, 1986 & 1981
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2002, 2001, 2012, 2013, 2014 & 2017

 

 

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Epsom TV Trends: Fri 31st May 19

It’s day one of the two-day Epsom Derby Meeting this Friday (31st May 2019). The Investec Oaks at 4.30pm is the third English Classic of the season and the highlight on the day’s action, but there is also a top supporting card that includes the Group One Coronation Cup. 

Did you know? 14 of the last 17 horses from stall 1 were unplaced in the Epsom Oaks?

As always around the main meetings we are on-hand with all the key stats for all the LIVE ITV races.

 

Friday 31st May 2019

Epsom Horse Racing Trends

2.00 – Investec WOODCOTE EBF STAKES (Conditions Race) Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV

17/17 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
16/17 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
15/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Single-figured stalls that filled the first three home
14/17 – Had 2 or more previous runs
13/17 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
12/17 – Yet to win over 6f
8/17 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
8/17 – Won their previous race
5/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston (2002, 2003, 2011, 2015 & 2017)
3/17 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/17 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/17 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
9 of the last 11 winners were foaled in Feb (3) or March (6)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

2.35 – Investec CLICK & INVEST Mile (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-105) 1m 114y

Your first 30 days for just £1

14/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Had won over at least a mile before
13/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/16 – Had won between 2-5 times before
11/16 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
11/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Placed last time out
10/16 – Irish bred
10/16 – Placed favourites
8/16 – Carried 9-1 or more
7/16 – Raced at the track before
4/16 – Raced at Sandown last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
9 of the last 11 winners returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

3.10 – INVESTEC CORONATION CUP (Group 1) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

17/17 – Had previously won a Group 1 or 2 race
16/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
16/17 – Aged 6 or younger
15/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
14/17 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
12/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
11/17 – Ran at either Chester, York, Newmarket or the Curragh last time out
11/17 – Favourites placed
10/17 – Horses from stall 3 that were placed (four won)
8/17 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (2005, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 & 2017)
7/17 – Won their last race
7/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Had run at Epsom before
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2009, 2011 & 2017)
1/17 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/4

3.45 – Investec Wealth & Investment Handicap (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 1m2f

15/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f or further before
13/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/16 – Had won at least 3 times before
11/16 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
12/16 – Came from stall 9 or lower
11/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Rated between 86-98
10/16 – Irish bred
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Came from the top three in the betting
9/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
6/16 – Had raced at the track before
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

4.30 - Investec Oaks (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f

17/17 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
14/17 – Horses from stall 1 that were unplaced
14/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/17 – Won from stall 5 or higher
11/17 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
11/17 – Favourites that were placed
9/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Won by the favourite (1 joint)
5/17 – Returned a double-figure price
5/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
5/17 – Irish-trained winners
4/17 – Ran in the English 1,000 Guineas
2/17 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/17 – Trained by John Gosden
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
0/17 – Had run at the course before
0/17 – Had run over 1m4f before
7 of the last 12 favourites were unplaced
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 7 times
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 12/1

Kazzia (2002) and Minding (2016) were the last horses to win both the 1,000 Guineas and Epsom Oaks
The horse from stall 2 has been placed in 7 of the last 15 runnings

 

 

 

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