Sat TV Trends: 20th Jan 2018

It’s off to Haydock and Ascot this Saturday for the LIVE ITV action with the Clarence House Chase and Peter Marsh Chase the two big highlights – like all big race days we've got all the big races covered from a trends and stats angle…….use these to help whittle down the final runners and find the best winning profiles of past winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.50 - OLBG.com Mares´ Hurdle (Registered As The Warfield Mares´ Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
7/8 – Officially Rated 133 or higher
7/8 – From the top 4 in the betting
7/8 – Later ran in that season’s David Nicholson Mares’ Only Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
7/8 – Won over at least 2m5f (hurdles) previously
6/8 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
6/8 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
6/8 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Newbury (2) in their last race
5/8 – Favourites placed
4/8 – Won their last race
4/8 – Winning Favourites
3/8 – French bred
3/8 – Raced at Ascot previously
3/8 – Aged 6 years-old
2/8 – Trained by Harry Fry
2/8 - Later finished second in the OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
1/8 – Won the OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival) – Vroum Vroum Mag (2016)
Trainer Harry Fry won 2 of the last 3 runnings

2.25 – Ascot Spring Garden Show Holloway´s Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV4

8/10 – Priced 11/2 or bigger in the betting
8/10 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
8/10 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/10 – Aged 7 or younger
7/10 – Officially rated 139 or higher
7/10 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
6/10 – Ran within in the last 4 weeks
6/10 – French bred
6/10 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/10 – Went onto race in that season’s Coral Cup (best finish 3rd)
5/10 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles in the UK previously
5/10 – Had raced at Ascot previously
4/10 – Won their last race
4/10 – Aged 6 years-old
3/10 – Trained by David Pipe
3/10 – Raced at Cheltenham in their last race
2/10 – Later raced in that season’s World Hurdle (best finish 3rd)
2/10 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/10 – Favourites (1 co)

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Haydock

3.00 – bet365.com Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV4

11/11 – Won between 1-3 times over fences in the UK previously
10/11 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
9/11 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Either French (3) or Irish (6) bred
8/11 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
8/11 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
8/11 – Officially Rated 130 or higher
7/11 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
7/11 – Aged 8 or younger
5/11 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
5/11 – From the top 3 in the betting
5/11 – Winning distance  - 6 lengths or further
5/11 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
4/11 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2) or Chepstow (2) last time out
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 3 runnings)
2/11 – Ridden by Andrew Thornton
2/11 – Trained by Richard Rowe
1/11 – Won their last race
1/11 – Winning Favourites

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Uttoxeter

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3.35 – Royal Salute Whisky Clarence House Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m1f ITV

15/15 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
15/15 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
15/15 – Won at least 3 times (fences) previously
14/15 – Won a race over fences at 2m1f or further
13/15 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
13/15 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
13/15 – Favourites placed
11/15 – Won by a French-bred horse
10/15 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (4 winners)
10/15 – Won their last race
10/15 – Raced at Sandown (6) or Wetherby (3) last time out
9/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
8/15 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
8/15 – Favourites that won
7/15 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
4/15 – Went onto win the Champion Chase that season (2009 - Master Minded, Sprinter Sacre 2013, 2014 Sire de Grugy, 2015 Dodging Bullets)
4/15 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won the race 5 times in all)
4/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
4/15 – Had won the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) last time out
3/15 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (won the race 4 times in all)
2/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
Un De Sceaux (Willie Mullins) has won the last two runnings
Since 1989 there have only been 2 winners aged in double-figures
Since 1989 (27 runnings) there have been 12 winners aged 8 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 10/3

Note:

2006 – Renewal at Sandown
2005 & 2017 – Renewals at Cheltenham

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.30 – Altcar Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (5yo+) 2m4f RUK

7/7 – Finished in the top three last time out
6/7 – Favourites placed in the first three
6/7 – Aged 7 or younger
6/7 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
5/7 – Had won over 2m4f (fences) before
5/7 – Had raced 4 or more times over fences
5/7 – Had won just twice over fences before
4/7 – Won last time out
4/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Trained by Donald McCain
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 5/2

>2.05 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

11/11 – Aged 7 or younger
11/11 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
10/11 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Aged 5 years-old
6/11 – Had raced at Haydock previously
7/11 – Won their last race
5/11 – Winning Favourites
4/11 -  Ran at Haydock last time out
3/11 – French bred
2/11 – Went onto win the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle
2/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/11 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/11 – Trained by Donald McCain Jnr
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 11/4
Note: 2004 Renewal was staged at Wetherby

2.40 – Unibet Champion Hurdle Trial (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

12/12 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
12/12 – Favourites placed in the top 3
10/12 – Finished in the top three in their last race
10/12 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
10/12 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle
10/12 -  From the top 3 in the betting
10/12 – Priced 9/4 or shorter
9/12 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles previously
9/12 – Officially Rated 152 or higher
9/12 – Either French (3) or Irish (6) bred
8/12 – Ran at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (4) last time out
7/12 – Aged 7 or younger
7/12 – Winning Favourites
4/12 – Placed in the top 4 in that season’s Champion Hurdle (no winners)
3/12 – Won their last race
1/12 – Went onto win that season’s World Hurdle
The New One (Sam Twiston-Davies/Nigel Twiston-Davies) has won the last three runnings
The average SP in the last 7 runnings is 2/1

3.15 - Peter Marsh Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

14/14 – Won on ground described as soft or worse previously
13/14 – Aged 8 or older
13/14 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
12/14 – Had run within the last 36 days
11/14 – Won at least 3 times over fences previously
10/14 – Officially Rated 139 or higher
10/14 – Won at Haydock previously
9/14 – Favourites unplaced
9/14 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
9/14 – Won between 3-5 times over fences before
8/14 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
8/14 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/14 – Won before (fences) over at least 3m
8/14 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
7/14 – Irish bred
6/14 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
6/14 – Ran at Wetherby last time out
6/14 – Won over fences at Haydock before
5/14 – Raced in the Roland Meyrick (Wetherby) last time out
5/14 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
3/14 – Trained by Sue Smith
2/14 – Trained by the McCain stable
2/14 – Won their last race
2/14 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 10/1

Sat TV Trends: 13th Jan 2018

More LIVE ITV action this Saturday as the cameras head to Warwick for the Classic Chase - a race One For Arthur took 12 months ago before taking the Aintree Grand National, plus they are also at Kempton Park with the Lanzarote Hurdle their main race.

As normal we are on-hand with all the key stats for the LIVE ITV races – hopefully they might help point you in the direction of a few winners.

 

Kempton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 – 32Red Casino Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV4

4 previous runnings
4/4 – Didn’t win last time out
4/4 – Placed 2nd or 3rd last time out
3/4 – Had won over fences at the track
3/4 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
3/4 – Had won at least 5 times over fences
3/4 – Winning favourites
3/4 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 3/1
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2017 & 2016
Trainer Alan King won the race in 2015
Trainer Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014
Nicky Henderson has a 32% record with his chasers at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with his chasers at the track
Alan King is just 4 from 45 (9%) with her chasers at the track

2.40 – 32Red.com Lanzarote Hurdle (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

16/16 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
15/16 – Aged 7 or younger
15/16 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
12/16 – Had won exactly 2 times over hurdles before
13/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Had never won a hurdles race over this trip or longer before
11/16 – Winning distance 3 lengths or less
11/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
10/16 – Carried 10-11 or less
10/16 – Irish (5) or French (5) bred
9/16 – Aged 6 years-old
9/16 – Placed favourites
7/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Had run at Kempton before (4 won)
5/16-  Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Nick Williams
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainer Gary Moore won the race in 1996, 1998 & 2007
Since 1980 (36 runnings) 32 winners have been aged 7 or younger
The winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2

3.15 – 32Red.com Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

Just five previous runnings
5/5 – Didn’t win last time out
4/5 – Had run at the track before
4/5 – Unplaced last time out
4/5 – Had won over 3m (fences) before
4/5- Won between 2-4 times (fences) before
4/5 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
4/5 – Carried 11-0 or more
4/5 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
3/5 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
3/5 – Placed favourites
2/5 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/5 – Winning favourites years is 5/1
The average winning SP in the last 5
Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014 & 2016
Venetia Williams is just 2 from 30 with her chasers at the track

3.45 – 32Red.com Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m ITV4

9/9 – Had won over at least 2m hurdles before
9/9 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
9/9 – Aged 6 or older
8/9 – Favourites that finished in the top 2
7/9 – Aged 6 years-old
7/9 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
6/9 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
5/9 – Finished 4th or better last time out
4/9 – Irish bred
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Returned a double-figure price
1/9 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 10/1

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Warwick Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.50 - Betfred Home Of Goals Galore Hampton Novices´ Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV4

10/10 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Had won between 0-2 times over fences
10/10 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/10 – Had raced in the last 7 weeks
8/10 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences
8/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/10 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
7/10 – Aged 7 years-old
6/10 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Had won over 3m (or further) chase
6/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Irish bred
2/10 – Trained by Alan King
2/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 11/4

2.25 – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 3m1f ITV4

12/12 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
11/12 – Had won between 1-4 times over hurdles before
10/12 – Carried 11-0 or less
10/12 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/12 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
10/12 – Went onto finish unplaced in the Pertemps Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
9/12 – Had never raced over hurdles at Warwick before
9/12 – Officially rated between 126-142
9/12 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/12 – Placed favourites
6/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Ran at Bangor last time out
2/12 – Won by trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/12 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/12 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/12 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 7 winners were aged 8 or younger
Tobefair (9/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 15/2

3.00 – Neptune Investment Management Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Leamington Novices´ Hurdle) Grade 2 Cl1 2m5f ITV4

11/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
11/11 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
11/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/11 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/11 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
7/11 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
7/11 – Irish bred
7/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Winning favourites
5/11 – Placed favourites
5/11 – Aged 5 years-old
2/11 – Went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (No Refuge, 2005 RSA Novices’ Hurdle, The New One, 2013 Neptune)
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 4/1

 

3.35 – Betfred Classic Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f ITV4

12/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m
11/12 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
9/12 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
9/12 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
9/12 – Winners that came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
8/12 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
8/12 – Officially rated between 129-140
8/12 – Won between 2-5 times over fences before
7/12 –  Won by a horse aged 9 or older
7/12 –  Placed in the top 3 in their last race
7/12 – Won by an Irish bred horse
7/12 – Had raced at Warwick (hurdles, chase, NH Flat) previously
6/12 – Favourites unplaced
6/12 – Had run at either Cheltenham (3) or Newbury (3) in their last race
6/12 – Returned a double-figure price
4/12 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (One For Arthur won both races in 2017)
3/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/12 – Won their last race
2/12 – Trained by Alan King
The average winning SP in the last 12 runnings is 10.5/1

Sat TV Trends: 6th Jan 2018

Another MASSIVE day for the ITV4 horse racing cameras as they head to Wincanton and Sandown for more LIVE coverage, plus are also showing the rescheduled Coral Welsh National from Chepstow.
Like every Saturday we take you through all the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and hopefully find a few winners.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV4)

1.50 – 32Red Casino Handicap Chase Cl2 2m ITV4

11/11 – Won over at least 2m (chase) previously
10/11 – Ran within the last 2 months
10/11 – Priced 17/2 or shorter
10/11 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/11 – Never raced at Sandown
9/11 – Favourites placed
8/11 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/11 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/11 – Irish bred
8/11 – Officially rated 135 or higher
8/11 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
8/11 – Won between 1-4 times over fences in the UK previously
6/11 – Unplaced last time out
6/11 – Winning Favourites
6/11 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase at the Cheltenham Festival
4/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/11 – Went onto win a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Champion Chase, Grand Annual)
3/11 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/11 – Won their last race
Trainer Philip Hobbs has won the last 2 runnings
Garde La Victoire won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 8 running is 9/2

2.25 – 32Red Tolworth Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

13/13 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
13/13 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
12/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Priced  5/1 or shorter
11/13 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
11/13 – Came from the top three in the market
11/13 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
10/13 – Won last time out
10/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
8/13 – Won by an Irish bred horse
7/13 – Winning Favourites
7/13 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
4/13 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
4/13 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
3/13 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/13 – Ridden by jockey Barry Geraghty
3/13 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
2/13 – Ran at Sandown before
2/13 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
1/13 – Won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season (Noland 2006)
1/13 - Won the Neptune Investment Hurdle later that season (Yorkhill 2016)
5 or 6 years-old have won 19 of the last 25 runnings
Since 1988 ALL winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 10/3

3.00 - 32RedSport.com Veterans´ Handicap Chase Final (The Final of The 2015 Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m37y ITV4

Just 2 previous runnings
Pete The Feat won the race in 2017
The David Pipe yard won the race in 2016
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 43% (3 from 7) record with his chasers here
Trainer Gary Moore has a 27% (11 from 41) record with his chasers here
Trainer Colin Tizzard is just 1 from 29 with his chasers here
Trainer Tom George is 2 from 25 with his chasers here
Jockey Joshua Moore has a 24% record riding over fences at the track

3.35 –32Red Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV4

11/12 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
10/12 – Won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) previously
10/12 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
10/12 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
9/12 – Unplaced last time out
8/12 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
6/12 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/12 – Officially rated between 127 and 132
6/12 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
6/12 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
5/12 – Went onto finish unplaced in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
4/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
4/12 – Irish bred
3/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/12 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/12 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/12 – Trained by Venetia Williams
0/12 – Winning favourites
Rayvin Black won the race in 2015 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 11/1

Note: 2002 & 2003 runnings were staged at Ascot

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Wincanton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RUK/ITV4)

2.40– smarkets.com Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 2m4f ITV4

6/6 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
5/6 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
5/6 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
5/6 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
5/6 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
5/6 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
4/6 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
3/6 – French bred
2/6 – Ran at Exeter last time out
2/6 – Trained by Tom George
1/6 – Winning favourite
1/6 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 6 runs is 13/2

3.15 – S Markets Chase (A Novices’ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m4f35y ITV4

Just 2 previous runs
Trainer David Pipe has a 30% record with his chasers here
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 27% record with his chasers here

3.45 –  S Markets Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f82y ITV4

Just 1 previous run
Trainer Kim Bailey has a 24% record with his hurdlers here
Trainer Neil King is 2 from 5 (40%) with his hurdlers here
Trainer Jamie Snowden is 0 from 22 with his hurdlers here
James Best has a 4% (2 from 49) record riding over hurdles here

Chepstow Horse Racing Betting Trends (RUK/ITV4)

1.35 – coral.co.uk Future Champions Finale Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

12/13 – Won between 0-2 times previously
12/13 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
12/13 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
10/13 – Aged 3 years-old
9/13 – French bred
6/13 – Won their last race
4/13 – Raced at the track previously
3/13 – Raced at Newbury last time out
4/13 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Alan King
Defi Du Seuil (4/5 fav) won the race 12 months ago

2.05 Coral Welsh Grand National Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m 5 1/2f ITV4

15/15 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
15/15 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
15/15 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
14/15 – Aged 9 or younger
13/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/15 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
12/15 – Aged 8 or younger
11/15 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
10/15 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
10/15 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Irish bred
8/15 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
6/15 – Unplaced favourites
6/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – French bred
5/15 – Had run in the Welsh National before
4/15 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
2/15 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 10/1

Cheltenham – New Year’s Day TV Trends

A massive day of action at Cheltenham this New Year’s Day as we begin 2017 with the ITV cameras taking in four races.

As always, we are on hand with a look at all the televised races from Prestbury Park from a trends angle – use these stats to help find the best winning profile of past winners of the race.

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.25 – BetBright Dipper Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m4f166y ITV

15/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Went onto run in a Cheltenham Festival race (1 winner)
12/15 – Came from the top three in the betting
12/15 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
12/15 – Had won over fences at 2m3f or further before
12/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/15 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
9/15 – Placed favourites
9/15 – Irish bred
9/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Returned 5/4 or shorter in the betting
7/15 – Had won over hurdles at Cheltenham before
7/15 – Ran at either Sandown or Cheltenham last time out
6/15 – Aged 7 years-old
6/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/15 – Went onto win the Arkle Chase (My Way De Solzen, 2007)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1

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2.00 - BetBright Best For Festival Betting Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f166y ITV

15/15 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before
14/15 – Raced within the last 2 months
14/15 – Had won at least twice over fences before
13/15 – Either French (4) or Irish (9) bred
13/15 – Had won over 2m4f or further (fences) before
12/15 – Raced within the last 3 weeks
12/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Rated 138 or higher
11/15 – Aged 8 or older
10/15 – Carried 11-0 or less
10/15 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
10/15 – Unplaced last time out
9/15 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
9/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
8/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies yard
1/15 – Went onto win the Ryanair Chase at the Cheltenham Festival
Shantou Flyer (20/1) won the race in 2017
Splash Of Ginge won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

2.35 - BetBright Casino Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV

13/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
12/14 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
10/14 – Had won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
10/14 – Had won a hurdles race over at least 2m4f before
9/14 – Went onto run in a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
9/14 – Rated 130 or higher
9/14 – Carried 10-9 or more
9/14 – Unplaced last time out
8/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
8/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/14 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
5/14 – French bred
4/14 – Had won over hurdles at Cheltenham before
3/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/14 – Winning favourites
1/14 – Won by a mare
1/14 – Went onto win the World Hurdle later that season (Big Buck’s, 2009)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

3.10 – Dornan Engineering Relkeel Hurdle Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

12/13 – Went on run in a race at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
12/13 – Won by either a French (5) or Irish (7) bred
11/13 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
9/13 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
8/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Had won at Cheltenham before
8/13 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
7/13 – Went onto run in the World Hurdle later that season
6/13 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
5/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/13 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/13 – Trained by the Pipe stable
Agrapart (16/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9/2

Sat TV Trends: 30th Dec 2017

Another huge day of National Hunt action on Saturday 30th December as the ITV cameras head to Newbury, Taunton and Haydock to take in eight races from the three venues.
We’ve got all the key trends and stats for all the LIVE races to help you whittle down the fields.

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.50 - Betfred Wishing You A Very Happy New Year Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

5/5 – Favourites placed
5/5 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
5/5 – Had won over the trip before
5/5 – French (2) or Irish (3) bred
4/5 – Aged 5 years-old
4/5 – Had won 2 or more times before (hurdles)
4/5 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
3/5 – Had raced at the track before
2/5 – Ran at Newbury last time out
2/5 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 5/1
Tim Vaughan’s Theligny (12/1) won the race 12 months ago

 

2.25 - Betfred Mandarin Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-135) 3m2f ITV4

6/6 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
6/6 – Aged between 6-9 years-old
6/6 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
6/6 – Had won over 3m (fences) before
5/6 – Had won between 1-2 times before
5/6 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
5/6 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
4/6 – Irish bred
4/6 – Unplaced favourites
3/6 – Had raced at the track before
2/6 – Winning favourites
2/6 – Ran at Fontwell last time out
2/6 – Trained by Charlie Longsdon
Knockanrawley win the race in 2014

 

3.00 - Betfred Challow Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

11/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
11/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/11 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
10/11 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
8/11 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
8/11 – Had won over 2m4f or further (hurdles) before
8/11 – Won last time out
8/11 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Wichita Lineman, 2006)
8/11 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
7/11 – Had won a Grade 2 Hurdle race before
6/11 – Aged 5 years-old
5/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/11 – Trained by Nick Williams
2/11 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

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3.35 - Betfred TV Limited Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+) 2m6½f ITV4

9/9 – Won between 0-1 times over fences
8/9 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
7/9 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
6/9 – Irish bred
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Venetia Williams
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

 

2.10 - Last Fling Handicap Chase (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-145) 3m3½f ITV4

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
3/3 – Unplaced last time out
3/3 – Had won over 3m+ fences before
3/3 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
2/3 – Irish bred
1/3 – Winning favourites
Trainer Kerry Lee has a 33% record with his chasers here
Trainer Donald McCain has a 29% record with his chasers here
Trainer Tom George is just 1 from 19 with his chasers here
Jockey Will Kennedy has a 36% record riding over fences here
Trainer Venetia Williams won the race 12 months ago

 

2.45 - #help4Matt Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-130) 2m4½f ITV4

Just 1 previous run
Trainer Charlie Mann won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Donald McCain has a 29% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Evan Williams is just 1 from 30 with his chasers at the track

Taunton Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

3.15 - totetrifecta Mares' Novices' Hurdle (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo+) 2m½f ITV4

5/5 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
5/5 – Won between 1-2 times (hurdles) before
5/5 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
4/5 – Irish bred
4/5 – Favourites placed in the top 2
4/5 – Won last time out
3/5 – Aged 5 years-old
2/5 – Winning favourites
2/5 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/5 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 5/2

Boxing Day TV Trends: 26th Dec 2017

A huge day on Boxing Day with eight domestic horse racing fixtures, but the festive highlight, as racing resumes after a two-day break, is the King George VI Meeting at Kempton Park.

The King George VI  Chase is of course the feature race on the day as punters will look to get their Christmas expenses paid for – a race in recent years we’ve seen horse racing greats like Kauto Star, Long Run, Best Mate, Kicking King, One Man and, more recently, Thistlecrack, landing the prize. Did you know - 11 of the last 15 King George winners were aged 8 or younger?

We take a look at each race on the Kempton card, plus the Rowland Meyrick Chase from Wetherby and highlight the main trends – hopefully this will help you narrow down the fields and point you in the direction of a few winners.

 

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

12:45 – 32Red Casino Mobile Novices' Hurdle Race 2m

10/10 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
9/10 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/10 – Winning distance 3 lengths or more
8/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
8/10 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Won just once over hurdles before
7/10 – Had won a NH Flat race before
6/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/10 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
Elgin (11/2) won the race 12 months ago

 

1.20 – 32Red.com Chase (A Novices´ Limited Handicap) Chase Cl3 2m4f110y ITV

13/13 – Aged 7 or younger
12/13 – Had won between 0-1 times over fences in the UK
11/13 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
9/13 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
8/13 – Placed favourites (1 joint)
7/13 – Officially rated between 119 and 125
6/13 – Carried 11-6 or more
6/13 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
6/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/13 – Won by a French bred horse
5/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/13 – Raced at Kempton last time out
Poker School (7/2) won the race 12 months ago

1.55 – 32RedKauto Star Novices´ Chase (In memory of Nigel Clark) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV

14/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Placed in the top two last time out
11/14 – Won last time out
11/14 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
10/14 – Aged 6 or younger
10/14 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – French (5) or Irish (5) bred
9/14 – Had won at least 2 times over fences in the UK
9/14 – Went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (no winners)
8/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Aged 6 years-old
7/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Had won (chase) over at least 3m before
6/14 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Trained by David Pipe
2/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/14 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/14 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
1/14 – French trained
1/14 – Went onto run in the Cheltenham Gold Cup (One winner - Coneygree 2015)
Royal Vacation (33/1) won the race 12 months ago

2.30 – Unibet Christmas Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

13/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/15 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
12/15 – Placed favourites
12/15 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Went onto run in the Champion Hurdle (Faughan (2015) only winner)
9/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Irish trained
8/15 – Winning favourites
7/15 – Ran in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Newcastle) last time out
7/15 – Went onto finish in the top 5 in the Champion Hurdle that season
7/15 – Had run over hurdles at Kempton before
5/15 – French bred
4/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/15 – Trained by Noel Meade
2/15 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/15 – Trained by Willie Mullins
Yanworth won the race 12 months ago

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3.05 – 32Red King George VI Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV

Past King George VI Chase Winners

2016 – Thistlecrack (11/10 fav)
2015 – Cue Card (9/2)
2014 - Silviniaco Conti (15/8 fav)
2013 – Silviniaco Conti (7/2)
2012 – Long Run (15/8 fav)
2011 – Kauto Star (3/1)
2010 – Long Run (9/2)
2009 – Kauto Star (8/13 fav)
2008 – Kauto Star (10/11 fav)
2007 – Kauto Star (4/6 fav)
2006 – Kauto Star (8/13 fav)
2005 – Kicking King (11/8 fav)
2004 – Kicking King (3/1 fav)
2003 – Edredon Bleu (25/1)
2002 – Best Mate (11/8 fav)
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

King George VI Chase Trends

14/15 – Had won a Grade One chase before
14/15 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
14/15 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/15 – Placed favourites
13/15 – French (10) or Irish bred (3)
13/15 – Officially rated 169 or higher
13/15 – Had won over 3m or further (fences) before
11/15 – Aged 8 or younger
10/15 – Had won a race over fences at Kempton before
10/15 – Winning favourites
10/15 – Won last time out
9/15 – Ran in the Betfair Chase (Haydock) last time out
8/15 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
7/15 – Won by a previous winner of the race
7/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (9 times in all)
5/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/15 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/15 – Ridden by Noel Fehily
2/15 – Won by an Irish-based yard (only 3 in the last 31 runnings)
Colin Tizzard and Nicky Henderson have trained 4 of the last 7 winners (2 each)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 7/2

 

15:45 – 32Red On The App Handicap Hurdle Race 2m5f

10/10 – Won no more than 3 times (UK Hurdles)
9/10 – Aged 6 or younger
8/10 – Won between 0-2 times hurdles (UK)
8/10 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
8/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/10 – Officially rated 120-128
6/10 – Ran 5 or less weeks ago
6/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
5/10 – French bred
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.10 - 188Bet Rowland Meyrick Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m45y ITV

9/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Aged 8 or younger
8/9 – Had won 3 or less times over fences (UK)
7/9 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
7/9 – Unplaced in their last race
7/9 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
7/9 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
7/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Had raced at Wetherby before
5/9 – Had won over 3m (chase) before
5/9 – Irish bred
4/9 – Raced at either Haydock (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
1/9 – Winning favourites
Definitly Red won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

Sat TV Trends: 23rd Dec 2017

It’s the last weekend before Christmas and it looks set to be another decent Saturday of jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Haydock and Ascot for six LIVE races.
So, to help you narrow down the fields and hopefully point you in the direction of a winner or two, here at GeeGeez we've got the big-race trends ahead of each race.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.50 – My Pension Expert Handicap Chase Cl2 2m3f ITV4

Only 2 previous runnings
Poker School won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2015
No winning favourite in 2 runnings
Both winners returned between 6/1 and 8/1
Both winners aged between 4-6 years-old
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with this chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 21% record with his chasers at the track

2.25 – JLT Reve De Sivola Long Walk Hurdle Grade 1 Cl1 3m1f ITV4

15/15 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
15/15 – Winners that went onto compete in that season’s World Hurdle (5 won, 4 runners-up, 3 unplaced)
13/15 – Placed in the top three in their last race
13/15 – Favourites placed
12/15 – French-bred horse
12/15 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
12/15 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
11/15 – Won at least 5 times over hurdles previously
11/15 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
10/15 – Raced at Newbury last time out
9/15 – Favourites that won
8/15 – Won their last race
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 – Trained by Nick Williams
2/15 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
2/15 – Ridden by jockey Barry Geraghty
2/15 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
2/15 – Ridden by jockey Tom Scudamore
Unowhatimeanharry (6/5 fav) won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

Note:
2009 and 2010 runnings - Newbury
2005 running - Chepstow
2004  running -Windsor

3.00 – Lavazza Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV4

12/12 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
9/12 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
8/12 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
7/12 – Won by a French bred horse
7/12 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
7/12 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
7/12 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/12 – Raced at Ascot previously
7/12 – Favourites placed
6/12 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
5/12 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Ascot (2) last time out
4/12 – Aged 7 years-old
4/12 – Priced at double-figure price in the betting
3/12 – Favourite (1 joint)
2/12 – Trained by Henry Daly
2/12 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty (2 of the last 3)
Regal Encore (20/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 10/1
Note: The 2004 renewal was staged at Windsor

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3.35 – Racing Welfare Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

14/14 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
14/14 – Had won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
13/14 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
12/14 – Had raced within the last 2 months
10/14 – Carried 10-10 or more
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
8/14 – Officially rated between 127 and 136
8/14 – Priced 12/1 or bigger in the betting
7/14 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
7/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Irish bred
4/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1
Jolly’s Cracked and Sternrubin dead-headed in the race 12 months ago

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.10 – Betfred Supports Jack Berry House Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m2f191y ITV

10/10 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Aged 7 or younger
7/10 – Had won 1-2 times over hurdles before
7/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/10 – Placed favourites
6/10 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
6/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
5/10 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
5/10 – Ran at either Newbury (2) or Haydock (3) last time out
5/10 – Had raced at Haydock before
4/10 – French bred
3/10 – Winning Favourites
2/10 – Trained by Lucy Wadham
Clyne (6/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 6/1

2.45 – Betfred Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

10/10 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
10/10 – Failed to win their last race
9/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
7/10 – Won over at least 3m before (hurdles or fences)
7/10 – Won between 2-3 times over fences previously
7/10 – Favourites placed
7/10 – Had raced at Haydock previously (hurdles or fences)
5/10 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
3/10 – Ridden by jockey Tom O’Brien
3/10 – French bred
2/10 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/10 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/10 – Went onto run in that season’s Aintree Grand National (both unplaced)
6 of the last 9 winners carried 11-0 or more
Broadway Buffalo (5/1) won the race in 2014
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 6/1

Kempton & Chepstow TV Trends: 27th Dec 2017

A huge day of National Hunt action on Wednesday 27th December as the ITV cameras head to Kempton for three races, while they are also at Chepstow to take in four contests, including the Coral Welsh National.

We’ve got all the key trends and stats for all the LIVE races to help you whittle down the fields.

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.55 – 32Red Casino Mares´ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m110y ITV4

10/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Priced 17/2 or shorter
8/10 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
8/10 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
7/10 – Favourites that were placed in the top 3
7/10 – Won over 3m previously
5/10 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
5/10 – Ran at the track previously
5/10 – Won their last race
4/10 – Aged 5 years-old
4/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Raced at Newbury last time out
Nordic Nymph (3/1 fav) won the race 12 months ago

2.30 – Unibet Desert Orchid Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

8/10 – Aged 8 or younger
7/10 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
7/10 – Run at the track previously
7/10 – Won 4 (or more) times over fences
7/10 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
7/10 – Favourites
7/10 – Officially Rated 160+
6/10 – French bred
5/10 – Ran at Sandown last time out
3/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/10 – Trained by Alan King
2/10 - Ridden by Barry Geraghty
Special Tiara (8/11 fav) won the race 12 months ago

3.05 – 32Red.com Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

10/10 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
9/10 – Priced between 4/1 and 12/1
9/10 – Aged 8 or younger
9/10 – Won between 2-3 (chase) before
8/10 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
6/10 – Favourites Unplaced
5/10 – Officially Rated between 122-129
4/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
4/10 – Ran at Kempton previously
4/10 – Won over 3m (or further) previously
3/10 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
3/10 – Winning favourites (joint)
2/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Double Shuffle (8/1) won the race 12 months ago

Chepstow Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.05 – coral.co.uk Best Price Guaranteed On Horse Racing Handicap Chase Cl2 2m3f110y ITV4

13/14 – French (8) or Irish (5) bred
12/14 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
12/14 – Won over 2 ½ miles (fences) previously
11/14 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
11/14 – Won between 2-3 times (fences) previously
9/14 – Placed in the first three last time out
8/14 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
8/14 – Aged 7 or younger
6/14 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
6/14 – Won their last race
4/14 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/14 – Ridden by Liam Treadwell
2/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/14  – Ridden by Noel Fehily
2/14 – Trained by Charlie Mann
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Aso (6/5 fav) won the race 12 months ago

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1.35 - Coral Proud Supporters Of British Horse Racing Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV4

13/15 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
12/15 – Won between 1-3 times previously over hurdles
12/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/15 – Irish bred
10/15 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Carried between 11-2 and 11-11 in weight
9/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/15 – Officially Rated 120 or less
8/15 – Ran at Chepstow previously
8/15 – Won over 3m previously
5/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
1/15 – Won their last race
Note: The 2011 running was a dead-heat
Shantou Bob (10/1) won the race 12 months ago
Awaywiththegreys has won 2 of the last 3 runnings of this race

2.10 – coral.co.uk Future Champions Finale Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

12/13 – Won between 0-2 times previously
12/13 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
12/13 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
10/13 – Aged 3 years-old
9/13 – French bred
6/13 – Won their last race
4/13 – Raced at the track previously
3/13 – Raced at Newbury last time out
4/13 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Alan King
Defi Du Seuil (4/5 fav) won the race 12 months ago

2.50 – Coral Welsh Grand National (A Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV4

15/15 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
15/15 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
15/15 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
14/15 – Aged 9 or younger
13/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/15 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
12/15 – Aged 8 or younger
11/15 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
10/15 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
10/15 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Irish bred
8/15 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
6/15 – Unplaced favourites
6/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – French bred
5/15 – Had run in the Welsh National before
4/15 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
2/15 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Winning favourites
Native River (11/4 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 10/1

 

Sat TV Trends: 16th Dec 2017

A MASSIVE day up at Prestbury Park as the Cheltenham December Meeting continues this Saturday, plus the ITV cameras also head to Doncaster for three races - as always we're on-hand with all the big-race trends and stats…..

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.55 – Caspian Caviar Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

15/15 – Aged 8 or younger
13/15 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
12/15 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
11/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (no winners)
10/15 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (4 won)
10/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Officially rated 142 or higher
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
9/15 – French bred
7/15 – Carried 10-13 or more
5/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/15 – Ran in the BetVictor (Nov) Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
4/15 – Finished in the top 5 in the Bet Victor Gold Cup last time out
4/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/15 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
1/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 10/1

2.30 - Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

13/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/13 – Placed favourites
12/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
12/13 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Aged 6 or younger
11/13 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
10/13 – Winning favourite (1 co, 1 joint)
10/13 – Went on run in the Albert Bartlett (2 won) at the Cheltenham Festival
9/13 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/13 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Won last time out
8/13 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
8/13 – Had won at Cheltenham before
8/13 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
8/13 – Irish bred
2/13 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/13 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 15/8

3.05 – Unibet International Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f ITV4

15/15 – Raced over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
14/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Placed in the top 3 in their latest race
13/15 – Won over 2m1f (hurdles) previously
12/15 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old or younger
12/15 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle later that season (5 placed)
12/15 – Won 4 or more times over hurdles previously
11/15 – Won their latest race
11/15 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
11/15 –  Favourites placed
11/15 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
11/15 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
9/15 – Won by a horse aged either 4 or 5 years-old
8/15 – Rated 162 or higher
7/15 – Winning distance:  4+ lengths
6/15 – Won the Greatwood Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
4/15 – Won by a French-bred horse
4/15 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
4/15 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/15 – Ridden by jockey Sam Twiston-Davies
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 – Won the Betfair Hurdle last time out
2/15 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/15 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
1/15 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that season (Rooster Booster 2002)
The New One has won the race in 2013, 2014 and 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 7/2

3.40 – OLBG Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4 1/2f ITV4

Just 2 previous runnings
Both winners carried 10-11 in weight
Both winners aged 7 or 8 years-old
No winning favourite yet
Trainer Harry Fry has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Martin Keighley has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Neil Mulholland has only a 3% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Fergal O’Brien is just 2 from 29 with his hurdlers at the track

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Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

2.10 – bet365 December Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

Only 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
7/7 – Won between 0-2 times over fences
6/7 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
5/7 – Priced 9/4 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Placed favourites
5/7 – French (2) or Irish (3) bred
5/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
4/7 – Winning favourites
4/7 – Won last time out
3/7 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3 of the last 4 runnings have been won by trainer Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 9/4

Note: from 2013 back the race was run at Lingfield Park

2.45 – Bet365 Summit Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) (3yo) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/7 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
6/7 – Favourites placed in the top 3
6/7 – Had won just once before over hurdles
5/7 – Irish (3) or French (2) bred
5/7 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
4/7 – Won last time out
2/7 – Ran at Market Rasen last time out
2/7 – Trained by John Quinn
2/7 – Winning favourites
Trainer Paul Nicholls the race 12 months ago
Peace and Co won the race in 2015 and went onto with the Triumph Hurdle
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 11/2

3.20 – bet365 Handicap Chase (4 yo+) Cl2 3m ITV4

8/8 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
7/8 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Aged 8 or younger
7/8 – Had won no more than 2 times over fenced
6/8 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
5/8 – Aged 7 years-old
5/8 – Unplaced last time out
5/8 – Irish bred
5/8 – Ran at Doncaster before
5/8 – Had won over 3m (fences) before
2/8 – Trained by Emma Lavelle
1/8 – Winning favourites
The last three winners were all rated 139
No Duffer (9/1) won the race 12 months ago
Sego Success won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 7/1

Cheltenham TV Trends: Fri 15th Dec 2017

The tapes go up for the opening day of the 2017 Cheltenham December Meeting this Friday (15th December) with FOUR LIVE ITV races from Prestbury Park.
As always, we are on hand with his quick-fire trends ahead of the LIVE races......

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1:55 – CF Roberts Electrical + Mechanical Services Mares’ Handicap Chase Cl3 2m5f ITV4

One previous run
Trainer Michael Scudamore has just a 19% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Warren Greatrex is 0 from 17 record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Tim Vaughan is 0 from 23 with his chasers at the track
Jockey Robert Dunne has a 40% (2 from 5) record riding over fences at the track

2.30 – December Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

13/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/15 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before (5 won)
11/15 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
10/15 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Aged 8 or younger
9/15 – Placed favourites
9/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (none won)
9/15 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
8/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/15 – Irish bred
7/15 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
6/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2
Theatre Guide (15/2) won the race 12 months ago

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3.05 –Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase Cl2 3m7f ITV4

12/13 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/13 – Had run over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
11/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (3 won)
10/13 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
10/13 – Placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
9/13 – Aged 9 or older
9/13 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
7/13 – Had won over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
7/13 – Aged in double-figures
7/13 – Trained by Enda Bolger
6/13 – Placed favourites
5/13 – Carried 11-12
5/13 – French bred
5/12 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1
Cantlow (13/8 fav) won the race 12 months ago

3.40 – Citipost Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV4

12/14 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
11/14 – Carried 11-2 or less
11/14 – Aged 7 or younger
10/14 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
10/14 – Irish bred
10/14 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
9/14 - Priced 8/1 or bigger in the betting
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
8/14 – Rated between 128 and 137
8/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
7/14 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (one winner)
7/14 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/14 - Trained by Jonjo O'Neill
Call To Order (11/2) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

Sat TV Trends: 9th Dec 2017

Another massive Saturday of NH jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Sandown and Aintree, with the Tingle Creek Chase and Becher Chase the feature contests - As always, we’ve got all the big-race trends and stats for all the LIVE races.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)


1.45 – randoxhealth.com Henry VIII Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

14/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/14 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
13/14 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 2m
13/14 – Aged 6 or younger
12/14 – Won last time out
12/14 – French (8) or Irish (4) bred
11/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Arkle Chase (2 winners)
9/14 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (3) last time out
9/14 – Winning distance – 2 ¾ lengths or more
7/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/14 – Winners went onto finish 1st or 2nd in that season’s Arkle Chase
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1

2.20 - Jumeirah Hotels And Resorts December Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f216y ITV4

13/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/14 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
12/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/14 – Aged 4,5 or 6 years-old
11/14 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
10/14 – Carried 10-13 or less
9/14 – Rated between 116-128
8/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
8/14 – Irish bred
4/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 13/2

2.55 – Betfair Tingle Creek Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

14/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Aged 9 or younger
13/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/15 – Had won a Grade One chase before
12/15 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s QM Champion Chase
12/15 – Officially rated 165 or higher
11/15 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
10/15 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
10/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/15 – French bred
11/15 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
9/15 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
8/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
8/15 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
5/15 – Went onto win the Champion Chase (Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre, Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
4/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/15 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
1/15 – Went onto win the Gold Cup (Kauto Star) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 5/2

Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Cheltenham

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3.30 – Betfair London National Handicap Chase Cl2 3m5f110y ITV4

13/13 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/13 – Aged 7 or older
12/13 – Won between 2-6 times over fences before
12/13 – Had won (fences) over at least 3m before
11/13 – Rated 126 or higher
11/13 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Aged 8 or older
9/13 – Unplaced favourites
9/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/13 – Irish bred
8/13 – Carried 11-0 or more
7/13 – Had raced over fences at Sandown before (2 won)
4/13 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Towcester (2) last time out
4/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/13 – Trained by Tom George
2/13 - Trained by Paul Nicholls
1/13 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 13/2

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.30 – Randox Health Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m2f ITV4

12/15 – Carried 10-12 or less
12/15 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
11/15 – Aged 9 or older
11/15 – Officially rated between 123-138
11/15 – Irish bred winners
11/15 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/15 – Had no more than 1 start that season
10/15 – Had raced at Aintree before
10/15 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
10/15 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
9/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/15 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
6/15 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
6/15 – Placed favourites
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 – Irish-trained winners
3/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
2/15 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
0/15 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 14/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 5 times since 1993

2.05 – Download The App At 188Bet Fillies’ Juvenile Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 (3Yyo) 2m1f ITV4

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
5/5 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
5/5 – Won between 0-1 times over hurdles
4/5 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
4/5 – Winning distance 8 or more lengths
4/5 – Winning favourites
4/5 – Carried 10-12 in weight
2/5 – Trained by Alan King
2/5 – Irish-trained winners
2/5 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 2/1

2.35 – 188bet.co.uk Many Clouds Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m1f ITV4

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/6 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
5/6 – Won no more than 3 times over fences
5/6 – Aged 8 or younger
5/6 – Had raced over fences at Aintree before
4/6 – Ran at Aintree (2) or Wetherby (2) last time out
3/6 – Winning favourites
3/6 – Having their seasonal reappearance
1/6 – Irish-trained winners
1/6 – Won last time out
Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 & 2014
Nicky Henderson won the race in 2011
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 5/2

3.10 – 188bet.co.uk Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV

11/12 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
10/12 – Aged 8 or older
10/12 – Rated 124 or more
9/12 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
9/12 – Had run at Aintree before (4 over the GN style fences)
more
8/12 – Irish bred
8/12 – Had won (chase) over at least 2m4f before
7/12 – Carried 10-12 or more
6/12 – Returned a double-figure price
5/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 - Trained by Paul Nicholls
1/12 – Won last time out
1/12 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (5th)
9 of the last 11 winners were aged 8 or 9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/1

Sat TV Trends: 2nd Dec 2017

Another huge Saturday ahead with the Hennessy Gold Cup – or as it’s now called The Ladbroke Trophy Chase - plus the Fighting Fifth Hurdle as the main contests at Newbury and Newcastle – As always, we’ve got all the ITV TV trends to help you find the best winning profile of past winners of the main races.

Newbury Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

Five previous runnings
3 of the last 5 winners aged 5 years-old
No winning favourite
All winners carried between 10-10 and 11-5
Philip Hobbs, Paul Nicholls, Alan King, Rebecca Curtis & Ali Stronge have trained the winners
Trainer Harry Fry has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 30% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Ben Pauling has a 24% record with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Richard Johnson has 19% (+45) strike-rate riding over hurdles at the track

2.25 Ladbrokes Intermediate Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Registered As The Gerry Fielden Hurdle) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m69y ITV

11/11 – Had at least 4 runs over hurdles before
10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
10/11 – Won over 2m (hurdles) before
9/11 – Irish, French or German bred
9/11 – Won just 1-2 times in the past (hurdles)
8/11 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
8/11 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Finished in the top three last time out
6/11 – Officially rated between 126-134
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
6/11 – Had raced at Newbury before
5/11 – Aged 5 years-old
4/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/11 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Raced at Aintree last time out
2/11 – Won last time out
7 of the last 10 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

3.00 – Ladbrokes Trophy Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) ITV 3m2f110y

14/15 – Aged 8 or younger
13/15 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
13/15 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
12/15 – Had run at Newbury before (8 had won over fences there)
12/15 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Carried 10-13 or more
12/15 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
11/15 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
11/15 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
11/15 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
9/15 – Rated between 140 and 151
9/15 – Had a previous run that season
8/15 – Ran at either Aintree (2) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
8/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
8/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 5)
2/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/15 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty (2 of last 5)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 9/1
Since 1968 there has only been one winner aged in double-figures (1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (26 runnings) there have been 13 winners (50%) aged 7 years-old

3.35 - Ladbrokes Handicap Chase (for the Jim Joel Memorial Trophy) Cl2 2m1f ITV

13/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Officially rated between 126-136
11/15 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
10/15 – French bred
9/15 – Had won a UK chase race over 2m1f
9/15 – Had won between 2-5 chase races in the UK
8/15 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
8/15 – Placed in their last race
8/15 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/15 – Won a chase race at Newbury before
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/15 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
9 of the last 11 winners carried between 10-8 and 11-3
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
Grey Gold won the race in 2015

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Newcastle Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.10 – Unibet Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

15/15 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
14/15 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
13/15 – Placed in the first two in their latest race
12/15 – Raced in the Champion Hurdle later that same season
12/15 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Officially rated 151 or higher
10/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
9/15 – Placed in the top 6 in the Champion Hurdle later that season
9/15 – Won their last race
7/15 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/15 – Won by an Irish bred horse
4/15 – Won by an Irish based yard
3/15 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
2/15 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/15 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 3)
2/15 - Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/15 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that same season (2008 Punjabi)
Irving won the race in 2014 and 2016
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 11/2
Note: The 2008 renewal was staged at Wetherby, and the 2010 race at Newbury

3.20 – At The Races Rehearsal Chase (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV

12/13 – Didn’t win their last race
11/13 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/13 – Irish bred
11/13 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
10/13 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 3m
9/13 – Had won at least 3 times over fences in the UK
9/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
9/13 – Unplaced last time out
6/13 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
5/13 – Unplaced favourites
5/13 – Aged 8 years-old
4/13 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/13 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 – Trained by Nicky Richards
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 8/1

Note: The 2002, 2003, & 2004 runnings were at Chepstow

Newbury TV Trends: Fri 1st Dec 2017

It's DAY ONE of the Newbury Hennessy Meeting this Friday and we’ve four LIVE races on ITV to take in that include the Grade Two Long Distance Hurdle.
As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and free tips.

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (LIVE RUK/ITV)

1.50 – Ladbrokes Novices' Chase (Registered As The Berkshire Novices' Chase) (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m3f187y ITV4

9/10 – Aged 5 or older
9/10 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Yet to win over fences
7/10 – Favourites placed in the top 2
7/10 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
6/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/10 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/10 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

2.25 – Ladbrokes Open Handicap Chase Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f187y ITV4

10/10 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
9/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Aged 9 or younger
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
7/10 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
7/10 – Rated between 131 and 140
6/10 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/10 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
2/10 – Trained by Alan King
2/10 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
0/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

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3.00 –  Ladbrokes Long Distance Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m52y ITV4

13/15 – Grade One winner over hurdles
12/15 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
12/15 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
12/15 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
12/15 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
11/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Had won a hurdles race at Newbury before
9/15 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Winning favourites
9/15 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
8/15 – French bred
8/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Returned odds-on in the betting
7/15 – Went onto win that season’s World Hurdle
6/15 – Won by a previous winner of the race
5/15 – Won by Paul Nicholls (inc 5 of last 8 renewals)
3/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
Unowhatimeanharry won the race in 2016
Thistlecrack won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

3.35 - Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 3m52y ITV4

10/10 – Placed 5th or better last time out
9/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/10 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
9/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
8/10 – Raced at either Cheltenham (4), Wincanton (2) or Wetherby (2) last time
7/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Won just 1-2 times over hurdles
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Yet to win over 3m (or further) over hurdles
6/10 – Irish bred winners
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/10 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/10 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

Sat TV Trends: 25th Nov 2017

More excellent jumping action at Ascot and Haydock this Saturday with the ITV cameras heading to both tracks. The Betfair Chase is the highlight from Haydock at 3.00, while the main event at Ascot is the Christy 1965 Chase – As always, we are on hand with all the trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 - Christy 1965 Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f8y ITV

13/14 – Aged 8 or younger
12/14 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
11/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/14 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
9/14 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
9/14 – Favourites placed
9/14 – Won by a French-bred horse
9/14 – Had won over this trip (fences) or further before
9/14 – Ran at Aintree (2) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
8/14 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
7/14 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
6/14 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
6/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Aged 5 years-old
2/14 – Won by trainer Alan King
2/14 – Won by trainer Philip Hobbs
2/14 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/14 – Went onto win at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Albertas Run & Vautour, RyanAir Chase 2009 & 2016)
Royal Regatta won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2

Note: The 2002 running was at Wincanton and the 2004 renewal at Windsor

 2.40 - Coral Hurdle (Registered As The Ascot Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV

15/15 – Priced 7/2 or less
13/15 – Won by and Irish (10) or French (3) bred horse
13/15 – Won over at least 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
13/15 – Won a Grade 2 (or better) hurdle race previously
12/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Won their latest race
10/15 – Won by a horse aged 7 or older
10/15 – Won a Grade 1 hurdle race previously
10/15 – Had their last race 3 months or longer ago
9/15 – Favourites that won (2 joint)
8/15 – Won between 3-5 times over hurdles previously
5/15 – Went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle after winning this (1 won)
5/15 – Went onto race in the Champion Hurdle that same season (4 of 5 finished 4th or better, Faugheen won both in 2014-15)
4/15 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
4/15 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/15 – Won a hurdles race at Ascot previously
3/15 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
2/15 – Won by the Willie Mullins stable
4 of the last 11 winners were Irish-trained
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/4
Note: the 2004 & 2005 renewals were at Windsor

3.15 - Shawbrook Handicap Chase Cl2 2m192y ITV

11/11 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Aged between 6 and 9 years-old
10/11 – Had won over fences over this trip (or further) before
9/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Carried 11-0 or more
8/11 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
7/11 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/11 – Rated 142 or higher
6/11 – Ran at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
6/11 – Had raced at Ascot before
6/11 – Placed favourites
4/11 – Placed horses from the Paul Nicholls yard
4/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Aged 6 years-old
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 – Trained by Gary Moore
Sir De Grugy won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

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Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 - Betfair Exchange Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m3f ITV

6 previous runnings
5/6 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
5/6 – Had won over at least 2m2f before
5/6 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
5/6 – Irish bred
5/6 – Had won between 1-2 times before
5/6 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/6 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
2/6 – Winning favourites
2/6 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 7/1

2.25 - Betfair Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV

11/12– Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
11/12 – Had won between 1-3 times (hurdles UK) before
10/12 – Carried 10-10 or more
10/12 – Rated between 132 and 143
7/12 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (no winners)
7/12 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
7/12 – Placed favourites
6/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/12 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/12 – French bred
5/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/12 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/12 – Trained by David Pipe
2/12 – Trained by Nick Williams
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/2

3.00 - Betfair Chase (Registered as The Lancashire Chase) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m1f ITV

12 Previous runnings
10/12 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
10/12 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/12 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
9/12 – Won by and Irish (3) or French (6) bred horse
9/12 - Placed in the top three in their last race
9/12 - Won a Grade One chase previously
8/12 - Raced at Haydock previously
8/12 - Aged 8 or older
8/12 – Favourites placed
7/12 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
6/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/12 – Won by a previous winner of the race
6/12 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
5/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (inc 3 of the last 4)
3/12 - Raced at Aintree last time out
3/12 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
4/12 – Won their latest race
The average winning price in the last 11 runnings is 6/1
Cue Card has won the race in 2013, 2015 & 2016
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
Ruby Walsh has ridden the winner in 2006, 2009, 2011, 2012

3.35 – Best Odds Guaranteed With Betfair Handicap Chase Cl2 3m24y ITV

10/10 – French (4) or Irish (6) bred
10/10 – Aged 9 or younger
8/10 – Carried 11-1 or more
8/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Had won 2-3 times over fences before
7/10 – Had won over at least 3m (chase) before
6/10 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
6/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/10 – Carried 11-11 or more in weight
4/10 –Winning distance – head or shorter
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites

Sat TV Trends: 18th Nov 2017

A huge day up at Cheltenham this Saturday with the BetVictor Gold Cup the feature racethe ITV cameras are at Prestbury Park to take in four of the races, plus are also covering two at Lingfield. As always we've got all the key trends & stats to help you whittle down the runners.

 

 

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

12.40 - JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial (Registered as The Prestbury Juvenile Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m87y RUK

12/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/12 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles before
10/12 – Never raced at Cheltenham before
9/12 – Returned 4/1 or shorter
9/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/12 – Won last time out
8/12 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
8/12 – Went onto race in that seasons Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
8/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 2
6/12 – Winning favourites
5/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Went onto finish 1st or 2nd in the Triumph Hurdle
4/12 – German bred
3/12 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/12 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/12 – Trained by Alan King
2/12 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/12 – Went onto win the Triumph Hurdle (Defi Du Seuill 2017, Katchit 2006)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

1.15 - mallardjewellers.com Novices´ Chase Cl2 3m80y RUK

12/12 – Had won a race over at least 2m4f (fences) before
10/12 – Aged 7 or younger
10/12 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Raced no more than twice over fences
10/12 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
9/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/12 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
9/12 – Won between 0-1 times over fences before
7/12 – Aged 6 years-old
7/12 – Irish bred
7/12 – Raced at Cheltenham (3), Aintree (2) or Wetherby (2) last time out
6/12 – Went onto run in the RSA Chase (no winners)
6/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Trained by David Pipe
2/12 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/12 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 7/2

1.50 - BetVictor Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m3f110y ITV

14/15 – Had won a 3m+ race over fences before
13/15 – Had run at Cheltenham before
12/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Aged 8 or younger
10/15 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
9/15  – Had won between 3 and 5 times over fences before
8/15 – Officially rated between 135 and 146
8/15 – Irish bred
8/15 – Ran within the last month
8/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/15 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
7/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
6/15  – Ran at either Cheltenham (4) or Sandown (2) last time out
6/15 – French bred
3/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

2.25 – BetVictor Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f110y ITV

15/15 – Had run at Cheltenham before
14/15 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
14/15 – Won by a UK-based trainer
12/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
11/15 – Had won at Cheltenham before
10/15 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
10/15 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (2) or Twiston-Davies (2)
9/15 – Carried 10-13 or less (But 4 of the last 5 carried 10-13 or more)
9/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/15 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
8/15 – Aged 7 years-old
8/15 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
7/15 – Placed favourites
5/15 – Won their last race
4/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/15 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/15 – Irish-trained winners
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 8 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 32 runners
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 17/2

3.00 – Regulatory Finance Solutions Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f67y ITV

13/15 – Aged 7 or younger
13/15 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
12/15 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
12/15 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
11/15 – Officially rated 126 to 137
11/15 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
10/15 – Irish bred
10/15 – Placed favourites
10/15  – Ran at either Cheltenham (4), Aintree (3) or Chepstow (3) last time out
9/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/15 – Ran within the last month
6/15 – Won their last race
7/15 – Had run at Cheltenham before
5/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/15 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/15 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Anteros won the race last season

3.30 - Martin & Co Jewellers Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f26y ITV

11/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
11/12 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
10/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/12 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
7/12 – Returned a double-figure price
6/12 – Carried 10-13 or less
6/12 – Favourites unplaced
6/12 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a race at the Cheltenham Festival
6/12 – Had run at Cheltenham before
6/12 – Irish bred winners
4/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – French bred winners
2/12 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/12 Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9.5/1
2 of the last 5 winners went onto be placed in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
2 of the last 9 winners went onto be placed in the Ladbrokes World Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season

 

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Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

2.45 – Betway Churchill Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

10/11 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Rated between 103 and 112
8/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/11 – Favourites placed in the top two
8/11 – Placed last time out
8/11 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
8/11 – Won between 1-4 times before
7/11 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
The average SP in the last 11 runnings is 9/2

3.15 – Betway Golden Rose Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

10/10 – Previous winner over 6f or 7f
9/10 – Aged 4 or older
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Won 5 or more times before
7/10 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
6/10 – Unplaced last time out
6/10 – Unplaced favourites
4/10 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

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