Sat Trends: 18th Nov 2017

A huge day up at Cheltenham this Saturday with the BetVictor Gold Cup the feature racethe ITV cameras are at Prestbury Park to take in four of the races, plus are also covering two at Wetherby. As always we've got all the key trends & stats to help you whittle down the runners.

 

 

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

12.40 - JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial (Registered as The Prestbury Juvenile Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m87y RUK

12/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/12 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles before
10/12 – Never raced at Cheltenham before
9/12 – Returned 4/1 or shorter
9/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/12 – Won last time out
8/12 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
8/12 – Went onto race in that seasons Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
8/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 2
6/12 – Winning favourites
5/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Went onto finish 1st or 2nd in the Triumph Hurdle
4/12 – German bred
3/12 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/12 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/12 – Trained by Alan King
2/12 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/12 – Went onto win the Triumph Hurdle (Defi Du Seuill 2017, Katchit 2006)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

1.15 - mallardjewellers.com Novices´ Chase Cl2 3m80y RUK

12/12 – Had won a race over at least 2m4f (fences) before
10/12 – Aged 7 or younger
10/12 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Raced no more than twice over fences
10/12 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
9/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/12 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
9/12 – Won between 0-1 times over fences before
7/12 – Aged 6 years-old
7/12 – Irish bred
7/12 – Raced at Cheltenham (3), Aintree (2) or Wetherby (2) last time out
6/12 – Went onto run in the RSA Chase (no winners)
6/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Trained by David Pipe
2/12 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/12 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 7/2

1.50 - BetVictor Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m3f110y ITV

14/15 – Had won a 3m+ race over fences before
13/15 – Had run at Cheltenham before
12/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Aged 8 or younger
10/15 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
9/15  – Had won between 3 and 5 times over fences before
8/15 – Officially rated between 135 and 146
8/15 – Irish bred
8/15 – Ran within the last month
8/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/15 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
7/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
6/15  – Ran at either Cheltenham (4) or Sandown (2) last time out
6/15 – French bred
3/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

2.25 – BetVictor Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f110y ITV

15/15 – Had run at Cheltenham before
14/15 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
14/15 – Won by a UK-based trainer
12/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
11/15 – Had won at Cheltenham before
10/15 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
10/15 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (2) or Twiston-Davies (2)
9/15 – Carried 10-13 or less (But 4 of the last 5 carried 10-13 or more)
9/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/15 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
8/15 – Aged 7 years-old
8/15 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
7/15 – Placed favourites
5/15 – Won their last race
4/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/15 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/15 – Irish-trained winners
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 8 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 32 runners
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 17/2

3.00 – Regulatory Finance Solutions Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f67y ITV

13/15 – Aged 7 or younger
13/15 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
12/15 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
12/15 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
11/15 – Officially rated 126 to 137
11/15 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
10/15 – Irish bred
10/15 – Placed favourites
10/15  – Ran at either Cheltenham (4), Aintree (3) or Chepstow (3) last time out
9/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/15 – Ran within the last month
6/15 – Won their last race
7/15 – Had run at Cheltenham before
5/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/15 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/15 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Anteros won the race last season

3.30 - Martin & Co Jewellers Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f26y ITV

11/12 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
11/12 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
10/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/12 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
7/12 – Returned a double-figure price
6/12 – Carried 10-13 or less
6/12 – Favourites unplaced
6/12 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a race at the Cheltenham Festival
6/12 – Had run at Cheltenham before
6/12 – Irish bred winners
4/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – French bred winners
2/12 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/12 Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9.5/1
2 of the last 5 winners went onto be placed in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
2 of the last 9 winners went onto be placed in the Ladbrokes World Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season

 

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Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

2.45 – Betway Churchill Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

10/11 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Rated between 103 and 112
8/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/11 – Favourites placed in the top two
8/11 – Placed last time out
8/11 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
8/11 – Won between 1-4 times before
7/11 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
The average SP in the last 11 runnings is 9/2

3.15 – Betway Golden Rose Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

10/10 – Previous winner over 6f or 7f
9/10 – Aged 4 or older
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Won 5 or more times before
7/10 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
6/10 – Unplaced last time out
6/10 – Unplaced favourites
4/10 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

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Cheltenham TV Trends: Fri 17th Nov 2017

Another big day ahead for the ITV racing team this Friday as they take in four races from Cheltenham on the opening day of their three-day November Meeting.

As always we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these to find the best profiles of past winners.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends

 

1:50 – BetVictor Handicap Chase Cl2 2m ITV

14/15 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
14/15 – Carried 11-7 or less in weight
13/15 – Raced at Cheltenham before
12/15 – Raced at least 5 times over fences previously
11/15 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
9/15 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
8/15 – Having their first run of the season
8/15 – Unplaced in their previous race
7/15 – Favourites placed
6/15 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting
6/15 – French-bred horse
3/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/15 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/15 – Favourites that won
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/15 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/15 – Won their most recent race
2/15 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
0/15 – Irish-trained winners
Un Beau Roman won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

2.25 – Steel Plate And Sections Novices´ Chase Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

15/15 – Won by a horse aged 5 or older
14/15 – Won between 0 and 1 times over fences previously
13/15 – Priced 6/1 or shorter
13/15 – Ran between 0 and 2 times over fences
12/15 -  Finished in the top three in their latest race
12/15 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
11/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Placed in the first two in their previous race
10/15 – Won by a horse aged 6 years-old  (9 of last 10 runnings)
8/15 – Raced at either Aintree (2), Cheltenham (4) or Auteuil (2) last time out
8/15 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
8/15 – Irish-bred horse
8/15 – First run over fences
6/15 – Raced already that season
6/15 – French-bred horse
5/15 – Won their latest race
5/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
5/15 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
5/15 – Favourites that won
2/15 – Ridden by Noel Fehily
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1
Dynaste, Denman, Weird Al, Imperial Commander, Time For Rupert and Grands Crus are all big names to win this race in recent years

3.00 - Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase Cl2 3m7f ITV

14/14 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
14/14 – Either Irish (8) or French (6) bred
13/14 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
11/14 – Winner came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
11/14 – Had a recent run that season
11/14 – Won at least 5 times over fences previously
10/14 – Carried 11-5 or more in weight
10/14 – Favourites placed
10/14 – Unplaced in their last race
9/14 – Raced over this Cross County course previously (6 won)
9/14 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
9/14 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
6/14 – Trained by Enda Bolger
5/14 – Favourites that won
Urgent De Gregaine won the race in 2016
Josies Orders won this in 2015

3.35 - Ballymore Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Hyde Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f ITV

13/13 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
13/13 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/13 – Had won a NH Flat race earlier in their career
10/13 – Had raced at either Uttoxeter (4), Chepstow (4) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
10/13 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (2 winners)
10/13 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
9/13 – Aged 5 years-old
7/13 – Won just once before
7/13 – Won last time out
7/13 – Had won over 2 ½ (or further) over hurdles before
4/13 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
4/13 – Raced at Uttoxeter last time out
4/13 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/13 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/13 – Went onto win a race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

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Cheltenham TV Trends: Sunday 19th Nov 2017

Another big day ahead for the ITV racing team this Sunday as they take in four races from Cheltenham on the final day of their three-day November Meeting.

As always we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these to find the best profiles of past winners.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends

1.50 – Racing Post Arkle Trophy Trial Novices´ Chase (Registered as The November Novices´ Chase) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

14/15 – Placed in the top three in their last race
13/15 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
13/15 – Favourites placed
13/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/15 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
13/15 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Raced (hurdles or fences) at Cheltenham previously
12/15 – Raced just once previously over fences
9/15 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
9/15 – Ran in the Arkle Chase at the Festival later that season (1 won, Azertyuiop, 2002)
9/15 – Won their latest race
9/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (inc last 6 of last 9 years)
9/15 – Favourites that won
9/15 – Won previously over fences
7/15 – Won by a French bred
4/15 – Won by Irish bred
4/15 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
3/15 – Won by a German bred
3/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/15 – Fell in the Arkle Chase later that season
3/15 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

2.25 – Shloer Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV

8 previous runnings
7/8 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Officially rated 150+
6/8 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
6/8 – Went onto run in the Champion Chase (1 winner, Sprinter Sacre 2015)
6/8 – Won on seasonal reappearance
6/8 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
6/8 – Aged 7 or older
6/8 – Failed to win last time out
6/8 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
5/8 – Carried 11-0 to win
5/8 – Won by a horse aged 8 or older
4/8 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/8 – German bred
3/8 – Raced at Aintree last time out
3/8 – Favourites that won
Fox Norton won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 4/1

3.00 – Unibet Greatwood Hurdle (A Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y ITV

14/15 – Had won a 2m1f (or further) hurdles race before
13/15 – Had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Officially rated 140 or higher
10/15 – Had run 6 or less times over hurdles
10/15 – Had a recent run (within the last 6 weeks)
10/15 – Finished in the top two last time out
10/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Had run at Cheltenham before
9/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or further
8/15 – Carried 11-4 or more
7/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Came from the first three in the betting
6/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
6/15 – Won their previous race
4/15 – Winners that carried 11-12
4/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Winning favourites
1/15 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1
5 of the last 8 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle

3.30 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Sharp Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m110y ITV

13/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/13 – Won last time out
11/13 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles
11/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Favourites that finished in the top three
9/13 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
8/13 – Carried 11-7 in weight
8/13 – Had won a NH Flat race before
7/13 – Went onto run in that season’s Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (1 winner, Altior)
7/13 – Aged 5 years-old
6/13 – Irish bred
5/13 – Aged 4 years-old
4/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Won by the Pipe team
2/13 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/13 – Won by the Nicholls stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

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Sat TV Trends: 11th Nov 2017

This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Wincanton with the Badger Ales Chase their feature, plus they are also at Doncaster for the ultra-competitive November Handicap – as always we've got all the trends and stats for the LIVE races.

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 – Betfred Mobile Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

13/14 – Had at least 6 previous runs that season
13/14 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Had won over 6f before
12/14 – Aged 4 or older
12/14 – Won from stall 12 or lower
11/14 – Rated 99 or higher
10/14 – Had won at least 5 times before in their career
8/14 – Had won at Doncaster before
7/14 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/14 – Ran at York (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Winning mare/filly
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

2.40 - Betfred TV EBF Stallions Breeding Winners Gillies Fillies´ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f60y ITV4

12/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/13 – Had won at least twice before
10/13 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
10/13 – Had 3 or more runs that season
8/13 – Ran at either Lingfield (3), Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
8/13 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
7/13 – Had won over 1m2f before
7/13 – Returned 8/1 or bigger in the betting
7/13 – Unplaced favourites
6/13 – Won by an Irish-bred filly
2/13 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/13 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/13 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

3.15 - Betfred November Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV4

11/14 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
11/14 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
11/14 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
11/14 – Winners that came from draw 9 or higher
11/14 – Favourites that were unplaced
10/14 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
10/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
9/14 – Won carrying 8-13 or less in weight
9/14 – Placed last time out
9/14 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Ridden by jockey Martin Dwyer
2/14 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 5 times in all)
1/14 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
Just 1 winning favourite since 1995

Wincanton Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Z Hotels Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4

10/10 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Aged 7 or younger
8/10 – Had won over at least 2m4f before (hurdles)
7/10 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Had won at least twice before (hurdles)
7/10 – Rated between 119-129
7/10 – Finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th last time out
7/10 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
5/10 – Had run at the track before
5/10 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
5/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Aged 6 years-old
2/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/10 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

2.25 – John Romans Park Homes ‘Rising Stars’ Novices Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

10/10 – Had won no more than twice over fences
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Irish (4) or French (4) bred
8/10 – Aged 6 or younger
8/10 – Favourites placed
8/10 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Had won over 2m3f or further (Chase)
6/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

3.00 - Unibet Elite Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

13/13 – Aged 7 or younger
12/13 – Won between 2-5 times before (hurdles)
11/13 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Came from the top three in the betting
10/13 – Unplaced last time out
8/13 – Rated 150 or lower
8/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
8/13 – Having first run of the season
5/13 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/13 – Carried 10-6 or less
5/13 – Won with 11-10 in weight
4/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 – Trained by John Quinn
2/13 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/13 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

3.35 - Badger Ales Trophy (A Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

14/14 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
12/14 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
12/14 – Won at least two chase races previously
12/14 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
11/14 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
11/14 –  Raced at the course previously (4 won over fences)
11/14 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
11/14  – Placed in the top four in their last race
10/14 – Favourites placed
9/14 – Raced already that season
8/14 – Raced at either Sandown (2), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
8/14 – Irish-bred horse
7/14 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
7/14 – Priced at double-figures
6/14 – Won their latest race
5/14 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
4/14 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 3 of the last 7 years)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/2

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Sat TV Trends: 4th Nov 2017

As always we've got all the key race trends for this Saturday’s LIVE ITV races from Wetherby and Ascot, including the Grade Two Charlie Hall Chase.

 

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.50 - Ascot Underwriting Novices´ Limited Handicap Chase Cl3 2m3f ITV

4 previous runnings
4/4 – Irish bred
3/4 – Aged 6 year-old
2/4 – Yet to win over fences
2/4 – Had run over hurdles at Ascot before
0/4 – Winning favourites
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 25% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 22% record with his chasers at the track
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 13/2

 

2.25 – Byrne Group Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV

12/14 – Aged 8 years-old or younger
10/14 – Irish (4) or French (6) bred
9/14 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
9/14 – Having their first run of the new season
8/14 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
7/14 – Rated 130 or lower
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
5/14 – Aged 8 years-old
4/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Ran at either Ascot (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
3/14 – Won carrying 11-12
3/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/14 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
Quite By Chance won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

3.00 -William Hill Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV

13/13 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
13/13 – Had won over at 2m or 2m1f over hurdles before
11/13 – Never raced at Ascot before
10/13 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
9/13 – Having their first run of the season
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
7/13 – Placed favourites
6/13 – Ran at Huntingdon (3) or Aintree (3) last time out
6/13 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
5/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
4/13 – Won by a French bred horse
3/13 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
2/13 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/13 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/13 - Won by the Nicky Henderson team
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

3.35 – Sodexo Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV

12/12 – Had won a chase race over at least 2 ½m before
10/12 – Didn’t win last time out
9/12 – Had run at Ascot before (4 won)
8/12 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
8/12 – Unplaced favourites
8/12 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
8/12 – Having their first run of the season
8/12 – Unplaced in their last race
7/12 – Carried 10-10 or more
7/12 – Aged 8 or older
7/12 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
6/12 – Officially rated 135 to 138 inc
5/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/12 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Ran at Sandown last time out
Antony won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/1

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)


2.05 – OLBG.com Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV

10/10 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
9/10 – Never raced at Wetherby before
9/10 – Had between 2-5 previous hurdles wins to their name
8/10 – Having their first run of the season
7/10 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
5/10 – Had won a NH Flat race previously
4/10 – Ran at Punchestown last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by John Quinn
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

2.40 –  bet365 Hurdle (West Yorkshire Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m26y ITV

15/15 – Had won over at least 2m3f over hurdles before
14/15 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
14/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
12/15 – Failed to win their last race
12/15 – Officially rated 149 or higher
11/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Aged 6,7 or 8 years-old
8/15 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
8/15 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/15 – Had won at Wetherby before
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Silsol won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

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3.15 – bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

13/15 – Were having their first run of the season
12/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
13/15 – Rated 151 or higher
11/15 – Aged 8 or older
10/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
9/15 – Ran at either Ayr (3), Aintree (4) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
9/15 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
6/15 – Had run at Wetherby before (2 won)
6/15  – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/15 – Trained by Evan Williams
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005 & 2007
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 15/2

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 28th Oct 2017

Bundles going on this Saturday with something for everyone as the ITV cameras are at Doncaster & Newbury for some decent flat action, plus they are also over the jumps for the first time this season at Cheltenham – As always we got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle…….Can leading Irish handler Aidan O’Brien, who’s already had a cracking season, land yet another Racing Post Trophy and his 26th Group One of the year?

 

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.45 – Bet Through The Racing Post App Doncaster Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

10/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Drawn in stall 9 or lower
9/10 – Foaled in February or later
9/10 – Had won over 6f before
9/10 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Raced at York, Nottingham or Kempton last time out
7/10 – Carried 9-1 in weight
7/10 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
7/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
6/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
5/10 – March-born foals
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1
Trainer Marco Botti has a 21% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Charles Hills is just 4 from 43 (9%) with his 2 year-olds at the track

 

3.25 – Racing Post Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) ITV 1m

15/15 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
13/15 - Foaled in February or later
13/15 – Had won either 1 or 2 races before
13/15 – Placed favourites
12/15 – Finished in the top two last time out
12/15 – Raced with the last month
10/15 – Winning favourites
10/15 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/15 – Had raced at least twice previously
10/15 – Won their last race
9/15 – Ran at either the Curragh (3) or Newmarket (6) last time out
5/15 – Won by an Irish-based yard
4/15 – Won by a Montjeu-bred colt
4/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/15 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
3/15 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
1/15 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
1/15 – Went onto win the St Leger
Five winners have gone onto win the following season’s Epsom Derby
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 7 times – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009, 2011 & 2012
The average SP in the last 15 runnings is 7/1
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a 25% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 25% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Aidan O’Brien is just 1 from 18 with his 2 year-olds at the track

 

4.00 – Sun Bets Responsible Betting Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

13/13 – Ran 5 or more times that season
12/13 – Had won over 5f before
12/13 – Aged 5 or younger
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
8/13 – Carried 8-10 or less
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
8/13 – Had run at Doncaster before (4 won)
5/13 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (2) last time out
5/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Winners from stall 1
1/13 – Winning mare/filly
7 of the last 10 winners came from a double-figure stall
Soie D’Leau won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the 10 years is 11.5/1

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.15 - Worthington´s “Indigo Leisure Stakes” (Registered As The St Simon) (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

14/15 – Aged 5 or younger
14/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
13/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Had won at least twice before
12/15 – Had at least 4 runs that season
12/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
9/15 – Rated 107 or higher
9/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
9/15 – Placed horses from stall 6
7/15 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
6/15 – Won by a filly or mare
6/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding
0/15 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

2.50 – Bathwick Tyres Stakes (Registered As The Horris Hill Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV4

13/14 – Foaled in Feb or later
11/14 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Never raced at Newbury
11/14 – Won just 1 or 2 races before
10/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
10/14 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
9/14 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
8/14 – Won over 7f before
7/14 – Foaled in February
7/14 – Won their last race
7/14 – Favourites unplaced
6/14 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
4/14 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
4/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
1/14 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends ITV/RUK)

 

2.00 – Randoxhealth.com Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f ITV

10/10 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting market
9/10 – Won over at least 3m previously
8/10 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
8/10 – Favourites unplaced
8/10 – Rated 136 or higher
8/10 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
8/10 – First run of the season
7/10 – Irish bred winners
6/10 – Had won at Cheltenham previously
5/10 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
5/10 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
5/10 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
5/10 – Unplaced in their last race
1/10 – Winning Favourites
Coologue (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2

 

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2.35 - Masterson Holdings Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV

7/8 – Having their first run of the new jumps season
5/8 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Carried 10-12 in weight
4/8 – Irish bred winners
4/8 – Favourites placed
4/8 – Placed in their last race
3/8 – Winning favourites
3/8 – Won 3 times over hurdles previously
2/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average SP in the last 8 runnings is 5/1

3.10 – Randox Health Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f199y ITV

Only 2 previous runnings
Fox Norton won the race in 2017 for trainer Neil Mulholland
Boondooma won the race in 2016 for trainer Dr Richard Newland
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a +£19 level stakes profit with his chasers at the track
Trainer Jessie Harrington is 3 from 11 (27%) with her chasers at the track
Trainer Dan Skelton is only 1 from 27 with his chasers at the track
Trainer Venetia Williams is only 3 from 83 with her chasers at the track
Trainer Henry De Bromhead is only 2 from 43 with her chasers at the track

 

3.45 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 2m7f208y ITV

 

7/8 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/8 – Priced 17/2 or bigger in the betting
7/8 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
6/8 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
6/8 – Had run at Cheltenham before (2 winners)
5/8 – Last ran 6 month+ ago
5/8 – Unplaced favourites
4/8 – Won last time out
3/8 – Irish Bred
2/8 – Mare winners
2/8 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
1/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 10/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 21st Oct 2017

More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 21st October - and what a day in prospect! A top card at Ascot for Champions Day that sees four Group Ones, a Group Two and a super-competitive handicap. Bundles to look forward to and as always, we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these key trends to find the best profiles of past winners.

 

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.25 - Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2) Cl1 2m ITV

13/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Won at Listed or better class previously
12/15 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or less
11/15 – Aged 5 or older
10/15 – Returned 9/2 or shorter
10/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Raced at least 5 times that season
10/15 – Won over at least 2 miles on the flat previously
10/15 – Won at least 5 times previously
8/15 – Raced at Longchamp (3), Ascot (2) or Doncaster (3) last time out
6/15 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
7/15 – Won their latest race
4/15 – Irish-trained winners
Sheikhzayedroad (11/1) won the race in 2016
Since 2011: 5 of the last 6 winners came from stalls 2-4 (inc)
Since 2011: Horses from stall 7 have been placed in 3 of the last 5
The average winning odds in the last 11 runnings is 11/2
Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Newmarket

 

2.00 - Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

15/15 – Won over 6f previously
14/15 –  Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Raced at least 4 times that season
14/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
14/15 – Won at least 3 times previously
13/15 – Won at Listed or better class previously
12/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/15 – Raced at Ascot previously (3 won)
11/15 – Won a Group race previously
11/15 – Finished in the top 4 in their latest race
10/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Raced at Haydock (5), Goodwood (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/15 – Won their latest race
4/15 – Favourites that won
The Tin Man (13/2) won the race in 2016
Since 2011: 4 of the last 6 winners have come from stalls 12 (2) or 14 (2)
Since 2011: 4 of the last 6 winners came from double-figure stalls
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 12 placed 4 of the last 6 runnings
Since 2011: Horses from stalls 14 placed 4 of the last 6 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 13/2
Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

2.40 - Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV

9/9 – Raced 3 or more times that season
8/9 – Won over 1m4f previously
8/9 – Won at Listed or better class previously
7/9 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
7/9 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
7/9 – Won at least 3 times previously
7/9 – Raced within the last 9 weeks
6/9 – Rated 110 or higher
5/9 – Favourites placed
5/9 – Aged 3 years-old
5/9 – Won their last race
2/9 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/9 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/9 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1
Journey (4/1) won the race 12 months ago
Note: The 2009 & 2010 renewals were run at Newmarket

 

3.15 - Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

15/15 – Raced at Goodwood, Longchamp or Leopardstown last time out
15/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
15/15 – Raced at least 3 times that season
15/15 – Aged 3 or 5 years-old
14/15 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
13/15 – Finished in the top three in their last race
12/15 – Favourites placed
11/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/15 – Raced at Ascot previously (5 won)
8/15 – Won their latest race
8/15 – Won at least 7 times previously
7/15 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
7/15 – Favourites that won
4/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Minding (7/4 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4
Since 2011: Horses from stall 2 and 7 have won 4 of the last 6 runnings
Note: The 2005 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

3.50 - Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f ITV

15/15 – Won at least 4 times previously
14/15 – Won between 4 and 8 times previously
14/15 – Aged 5 or younger
14/15 – Finished in the top 3 in their latest race
13/15 – Won over 1m2f previously
13/15 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race previously
11/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/15 – Raced 5 or more times that season
9/15 – Won their last race
7/15 – Raced at either Longchamp (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
6/15 – Favourites unplaced
6/15 – Returned a double-figure price
4/15 – Won by a French-based trainer
3/15 – Ridden by Tom Queally
3/15 – Favourites
Almanzor (11/8 fav) won the race 12 months ago
Since 2011: Horses from stall 5 have won 2 of the last 4 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 7/1

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4.30 - Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) Cl2 1m ITV

Just 3 previous runnings
All 3 previous winners aged 5 years-old
All 3 previous winners draw 10 or lower
All 3 previous winners ran at Newmarket last time out
No winning favourite
Horses from stalls 12 or 13 have been placed in the last 3 runnings

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 14th Oct 2017

More LIVE ITV action on Saturday 14th October for day two of the Newmarket Dubai Future Champions meeting, plus there is also LIVE racing from York. Plenty to get stuck into again with the ultra-competitive Betfred Cesarewitch Handicap one of the key betting races of the flat turf season, while the race is supported by the Autumn & Dewhurst Stakes.

As mentioned, ITV cameras are also at York to take in three races, with the feature being the Coral Sprint Trophy.

So as always, we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our verdicts on each race.

 

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.50 – Godolphin Flying Start Zetland Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV

10/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
9/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/10 – Drawn in stalls 2-5 (inc)
9/10 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Placed favourites
9/10 – Won no more than twice before
8/10 – Had won over at least 1m before
6/10 – Won last time out
6/10 – Came from stalls 2 or 3
5/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Ran at Leicester last time out
2/10 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/10 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/10 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

2.25 – Masar Godolphin Autumn Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

12/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/12 – Had won over at least 7f before
11/12 – Had raced at least twice before
10/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/12 – Won last time out
8/12 – Foaled in Feb or March
8/12 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Irish bred
4/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/12 – Irish-trained winners
7 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 3-5


3.00 - Darley Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

14/15 – Raced at least 3 times that season
14/15 – Yet to race at Newmarket (Rowley)
13/15 – Placed in their last race
12/15 – Won over 7f previously
11/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Raced at either Goodwood (2), Longchamp (2) or the Curragh (6) last time out
10/15 – Won at least 3 times previously
10/15 – Won their last race
10/15 – Won a Group race previously
9/15 – Won by an Irish-based stable
8/15 – Foaled in either  Feb or March
7/15 – Favourites that won
6/15 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/15 – Placed horses that came from stall 2
5/15 – Returned 20/1 or bigger
5/15 – Trained by Jim Bolger
5/15 – Ridden by Kevin Manning
5/15 – Finished in the top 2 in the 2000 Guineas the following season
2/15 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
0/15 – Winners that came from stall 1
The Irish have won 9 of the last 11 runnings
3 of the last 7 winners came from stall 3
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

3.40 – Betfred Cesarewitch (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

14/15 – Aged 4 or older
12/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/15 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before
12/15 – Had run within the last 2 months
12/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/15 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season
10/15 – Finished 4th or better last time out
10/15 – Aged 5 or older
9/15 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
9/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/15 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
9/15 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before
8/15 – Ran at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out
8/15 – Had run at the track before
7/15 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price
7/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Won by a NH trainer
4/15 – Winning mares
3/15 – Winners from stall 1
2/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/15 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 24/1
Just 2 winning favourites since 1993

 

York Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 - Download The Coral App Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

Just four previous running
Trainer Luca Cumani won the race in 2013
Trainer Charlie Appleby won the race in 2014
Trainer David O’Meara won the race in 2015
Trained Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2016
No winning favourite yet
3 of the last 4 winners were aged 3 years-old
All 4 previous winners returned 9/1 or shorter
Adam Kirby has ridden 2 of the last 4 winners of the race
Trainer John Gosden has a 29% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Hugo Palmer has a 22% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan is just 4 from 111 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer John Quinn is just 2 from 60 (3%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

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2.40 – coral.co.uk Rockingham Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV

14/14– Had raced within the last month
13/14 – Had won between 1 and 3 times before
12/14 – Foaled in March or later
12/14 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Had won over 6f before
11/14 – Had 4 or more runs that season
11/14 – Had never raced at York before
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or more
9/14 – Placed favourites
6/14 – Unplaced last time out
6/14 – Ran at either Redcar (4) or Newbury (2) last time out
5/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Winners from stall 2
3/14 – Filly winners
3/14 – Placed horses from stall 1
2/14 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/14 – Ridden by David Allen
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

3.15 – Coral Sprint Trophy (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

14/14 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
14/14 – Had won at least 3 races before
13/14 – Had raced 6 or more times that season
13/14 – Had run at York before
13/14 – Had won a race over 6f before
10/14 – Aged 5 or younger
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/14 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
8/14 – Rated between 92 and 98
8/14 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
8/14 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/14 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
5/14 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/14 – Trained by Michael Dods
1/14 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 


 

 

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Newmarket TV Trends: Friday 13th Oct 2017

More LIVE ITV action on Friday 13th October for day one of the two-day Dubai Future Champions Festival at Newmarket. Plenty to get stuck into with the Group One Bet365 Fillies’ Mile the clear feature race, but with the Cornwallis Stakes, Oh So Sharp Stakes and Challenge Stakes supporting then there is a lot to look forward to.

As always we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these to find the best profiles of past winners.

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends


1.50 – Newmarket Academy Godolphin Beacon Project Cornwallis Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

12/14 – Had won over 5f previously
11/14 – Ran within the last 30 days
11/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
10/13 – Rated 98 or more
10/14 – Had raced 5 or more times
10/14 – Foaled in March or later
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 ½ or less
10/14 – Won at least twice or more before
9/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
8/14 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
7/14 – Filly winners
6/14 – Raced at Ayr last time out
6/14 – Won their last race
4/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Raced at Doncaster last time out

2.25 – The Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV

13/13 – Had between 1-2 wins already
12/13 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/13 – Had between 1-3 career runs
11/13 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Won last time out
10/13 – Foaled in March or later
10/13 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
9/13 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
8/13 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Had won over 7f or further before
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
6/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/13 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore

 

3.00 – The Godolphin Stud & Stable Awards Challenge Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

14/14 – Won a Listed (4) or Group (9) race previously
14/14 – Won over 7f previously
14/14 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/14 – Raced 3 or more times that season
11/14 – Won 3 or more times previously
11/14 – Winners from stall 10 or lower
11/14 –  Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
10/14 – Officially rated 113 or higher
8/14 – Priced 7/1 or lower
8/14 – Placed in their last race
7/14 – Favourites placed
6/14 – Won at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
5/14 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Goodwood (2) last time out
4/14 – Won their previous race
3/14 - Favourites that won
2/14 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda
1/14 – Filly/Mare winners

3.35 – Bet365 Fillies´ Mile (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

13/13 - Finished in the first three last time out
13/13 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
12/13 – Finished in the first two last time out
12/13- Yet to win a Group 1
12/13 – Foaled in Feb or later
11/13 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
10/13 – Favourites that finished in the top three
10/13 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Had won between 2-3 times before
9/13 – Foaled in Feb or March
9/13 – Won last time out
9/13 – Had won a Group race before
6/13 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
6/13 - Winning favourites (or joint)
6/13 – Irish bred
4/13 - Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/13 – Irish-trained winners
3/13 – US bred
3/13 – Won by trainer John Gosden
3/13 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/13 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori

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4.10 – Bet365 Old Rowley Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 1m4f ITV

3 previous runnings
3/3 – Had won at least twice before
2/3 – Ran at Haydock last time out
2/3 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
2/3 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
2/3 – Priced 8/1 in the betting
2/3 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
2/3 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
0/3 – winning favourites
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 24% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Jeremy Noseda is 0 from 28 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett is just 3 from 47 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Michael Bell is just 2 from 41 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton won the race in 2016
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2015

 

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Sat TV Trends: 7th Oct 2017

We take you through the seven LIVE ITV4 races this Saturday at Ascot, Redcar and Newmarket from a trends angle – Did you know that 13 of the last 15 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed?

Use these key trends to find the best profiles of recent winners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

 

1.50 – Hope And Homes For Children Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV4

13/13 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
13/13 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/13 – Won over 5f before
11/13 – Rated 101 or higher
11/13 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
10/13 – Aged 5 or younger
9/13 – Had won between 3-7 times before
8/13 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
6/13 – Raced at Newbury last time out
5/13 – Irish bred
3/13 – Trained by Bryan Smart
2/13 – Won last time out
1/13 – Winning favourites
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 10 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

2.25 - Gigaset Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

15/15 - Finished fourth or better last time out
13/15 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/15 – Placed favourites
12/15 – Won at Listed or better class before
12/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/15 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
10/15 – Had 5 or more runs that season
10/15 – Had raced at the course before (5 won)
10/15 – Won last time out
9/15 – Had won 4 or more times before
8/15 – Favourites to win
6/15 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
5/15 – Trained by Marcus Tregoning
2/15 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
1/15 – Filly or mare winners
The last 9 winners came from draws 8 or lower
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/4
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.00 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Won over 6f previously
9/9 – Officially rated 100 or higher
8/9 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
8/9 – Won 4 or more times previously
7/9 – Had run within the last 30 days
6/9 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
6/9 – Raced 6 or more times that season
5/9 – Won their previous race
3/9 – Returned a double-figure price
2/9 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
2/9 – Favourites to win
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 4 of the last 6 runnings (2 wins)
Horses from stall 5 and 7 have won 4 of the last 6 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 8/1

3.35 – totescoop6 Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

14/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/15 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
12/15 – Won over 7f previously
10/15 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
10/15 – Had raced within the last 30 days
10/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/15 – Raced at Ascot previously
9/15 – Raced 7 or more times that season
7/15 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
7/15 – Returned a double-figure price
5/15 – Raced at Ayr last time out
4/15 – Favourites to win
2/15 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/15 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/15 – Won their previous race
0/15 – Filly or mare winners
6 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
5 of the last 9 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 4
4 of the last 9 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 14/1
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.05 - British EBF Breeders´ Fillies´ Series Sprint Handicap Cl2 6f ITV4

Just 1 previous running
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Mick Channon has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston is just 6 from 102 (6%) with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

2.40 - Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

11/13 – Had won over at least 1m before
11/13 – Previous Group winners
11/13 – Won between 3-5 times before
10/13 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
9/13 – Rated between 113 and 119
8/13 – Previous Group One winners
6/13 – Aged 3 years-old
5/13 – Winning favourites (1 co)
5/13 – French-trained winners
5/13 – Raced at Deauville last time out
4/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The last 10 winners came from stalls 9 or lower
Horses from stall 1 have won 3 of the last 11 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

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Redcar Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

3.20 - totepool Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

12/15 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
10/15 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
9/15 – Foaled in March or later
9/15 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
9/15 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/15 – Had won over 6f before
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
5/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/15 – Filly winners
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/15 – Trained by Stan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 30th Sept 2017

The ITV cameras are at Newmarket this Saturday to show four LIVE races, with the Cambridgeshire Handicap their feature. Plus, they are also at Haydock to take in three competitive handicaps that include the rescheduled Ayr Gold Cup that was cancelled last weekend  - as always we’re on hand with all the key trends and stats……

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 - Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m ITV4

15/15 – Had won one or two races before
14/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/15 – Had won over 7f or further before
14/15 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
12/15 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
11/15 - Either US or Irish bred
11/15 – Foaled in Feb or March
10/15 – Had only won over 7f before
8/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/15 – Trained by John Gosden
2/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner 5 times
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)

2.20 – Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV4

15/15 – Finished in the top two last time out
15/15 – Had won over 6f before
14/15 – Foaled in Feb or March
14/15 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
12/15 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Had 3 or more previous runs
11/15 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (2 won it)
10/15 – Won last time out
10/15 – Placed favourites
9/15 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
8/15 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
8/15 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
6/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/15 – Winners drawn in stall 6
2/15 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
2/15 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/15 – Trained by Brian Meehan
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

2.55 - Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f ITV

14/14 – Won over 6f previously
13/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
12/14 – Won their last race
12/14 – Had run 3 or more times previously
12/14 – Won at least twice previously
11/14 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
11/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
10/14 – Foaled in either Feb or March
9/14 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
9/14 – Favourites placed
5/14 – Ran at Deauville last time out
4/14 – Favourites that won
3/14 – Won by an Irish-based stable
2/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
1/14 – Winners that came from stall 1
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004 & 2011

3.35 - Betfred Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV

15/15 – Aged 6 or younger
14/15 – Won 3 or more times in their career
12/15 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
12/15 – Carried 9-4 or less
11/15 – Won from a double-figure stall
11/15 – Finished 5th or better last time out
11/15 – Unplaced favourites
11/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
11/15 – Had 5 or more runs that season
10/15 – Rated between 90-100
10/15 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
8/15 – Carried 8-12 or less
5/15 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by John Gosden
2/15 – Won their last race
9 of the last 11 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 20/1

4.45 - British Stallion Studs EBF "Jersey Lily" Fillies´ Nursery Handicap Cl2 7f RUK

12/12 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
12/12 – Won no more than twice before
11/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Won 1-2 times before
9/12 – Carried 8-8 or more
9/12 – Unplaced favourites
9/12 – Foaled in March
8/12 – Failed to win last time out
8/12 – Had won over 7f before
7/12 – Officially rated between 75-79
5/12 – Irish bred
3/12 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by William Haggas
2/12 – Won by Godolphin

 

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – Watch Racing UK On BT TV Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV4

10/10 – Had won 1 or 2 times before
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
8/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
6/10 – Unplaced favourites
5/10 – Irish bred winners
4/10 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 - Trained by Tom Dascombe
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

2.40 – nationwidevechilecontracts.co.uk Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4

10/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
10/10 – Had won over 5f before
9/10 – Aged 6 or younger
8/10 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
8/10 – Came from stalls 7-11 (inc)
7/10 – Had raced at Haydock before
7/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/10 – Rated between 92-96
7/10 – Favourites placed
7/10 – Had won between 2-4 times before
6/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/10 – Trained by Jamie Osborne
2/10 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

3.15 – 32Red Gold Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 6f ITV4

15/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
12/15 – Failed to win their last race
12/15 – Had won over 6f before
10/15 – Carried 9-1 or more
10/15 – Had 7 or more runs that season
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Rated 90-100
9/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 – Came from a double-figure stall
9/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/15 – Had raced at Ayr before
7/15 – Ran at either Doncaster (3), Goodwood (2) or Haydock (2) last time out
7/15 – Winning distance 1 length or less
4/15 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
1/15– Winning favourites (2 winning favs since 1980)
0/15 – Filly or mare winners
Since 1980 just five winners aged 6 or older
The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronsiea in 1930/31
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 16/1

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Note: This race is normally staged at Ayr

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 23rd Sept 2017

It's a shame that we've lost the Ayr Gold Cup Meeting due to a waterlogged track, but we've still LIVE ITV4 contests at Newbury that include the Group Two Mill Reef Stakes.

As always we've  got all the TV trends for you. Use these to find the best profiles of past winners and whittle down the runners.


Saturday 23rd September 2017

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.15 –Dubai Duty Free Legacy Cup Stakes (Registered As The Arc Trial) (Group 3) Cl1 1m3f5y ITV4

15/15 – Won over 1m2f (or further) previously
14/15 – Priced 9/1 or less
12/15 – Aged 5 or younger
11/15 – Had 4 or more career wins
11/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/15 – Had won at Listed or better class previously
9/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Raced at Newbury before
8/15 – Raced 5 or more times that season
7/15 – Had won a Group race before
6/15 – Won their last race
4/15 – Favourites that won
3/15 – Raced at York last time
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Trained by David Simcock (including last 2 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

2.50 – Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f8y ITV4

12/15 – Won from draw 5 or lower
12/15 – Raced 3 or more times
12/15 – Priced 5/1 or shorter
11/15 – Won over 6f previously
11/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Foaled in March or later
9/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/15 – Favourites (or joint) to win
7/15 – Won exactly two races before
6/15 – Won by an April foal
5/15 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
4/15 – Won their previous race
4/15 – Ran in the Gimcrack last time out (York)
2/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/15 – Trained by Karl Burke
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/15 – Filly winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

3.25 – Dubai Duty Free Handicap Cl2 1m2f6y ITV4

13/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/15 – Won from stall 7 or higher
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/15 – Won at least twice previously
10/15 – Won over 1m2f previously
10/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/15 – Raced 5 or more times that season
9/15 – Officially rated between 89 and 94
9/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
8/15 – Won by a 4 year-old
8/15 – Won from a double-figure draw
7/15 – Returned a double-figure price
6/15 – Had raced at Newbury before (2 won)
4/15 – Trained by Luca Cumani
4/15 – Won their last race
3/15 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
Baydar won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

4.00 - Dubai International Airport World Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 5f34y ITV4

15/15 – Raced four or more times that season
13/15 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
13/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/15 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
12/15 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
12/15 – Won a Listed or Group race before
11/15 – Won over 5f previously
11/15 - Aged 5 or younger
10/15 – Won 4 or more times
7/15 – Previous Group race winners
6/15 – Ran at the Curragh last time out (inc 3 of last 5 winners)
5/15 – Won their last race
5/15 – Favourites
4/15 – Mare winners
Cotai Glory (9/2) won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

AYR Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

**THE 2017 AYR GOLD CUP MEETING HAS BEEN ABANDONED DUE TO A WATERLOGGED TRACK**

2.00 – William Hill Firth Of Clyde Stakes (Group 3) (for The Ayrshire Agricultural Challenge Cup) Cl1 6f ITV4

13/15 – Previous winners over 6f
13/15 – Finished 4th or better last time out
13/15 – Had never raced at Ayr before
13/15 – Had won once or two times before
12/15 – Winning distance 1 length or further
11/15 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
11/15 – Had 3 or more runs that season
10/15 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/15 – Trained by Bryan Smart
2/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1

 

2.35 – William Hill Ayr Silver Cup (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

14/15 – Carried 8-11 or more
13/15 – Aged 5 or younger
13/15 – Previous winners over 6f
13/15 – Winning distance 1 length or less
12/15 – Had raced at Ayr before (5 won)
12/15 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/15 – Carried 9-0 or more
10/15 - Had either 2 or 3 career wins to their name
10/15 – Finished 5th or better last time out
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
7/15 – The first 4 home all returned a double-figure price
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/15 – Winning Favourites
3/15 – Drawn in stalls 8 to 20 (inc) i.e horses drawn either high or low have done best
0/15 – Filly or mare winners
Tatlisu won the race in 2015
Huntsmans Close won the race in 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/1

 

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3.10 - William Hill Supports Clic Sargent Ayrshire Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
10/11 – Had won over 1m before
10/11 – Won between 2-6 times before
9/11 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Winners from stalls 9 or lower
9/11 – Placed 4th or worse in their last race
9/11 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
8/11 – Aged 4 or older
8/11 – Returned between 7/1-14/1 in the betting
7/11 – Had run at the track before
7/11 – Rated between 89-93
7/11 – Unplaced favourites
6/11 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
2/11 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/11 – Trained by Michael Dods
2/11 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
1/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

3.45 – William Hill Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

15/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
12/15 – Failed to win their last race
12/15 – Had won over 6f before
10/15 – Carried 9-1 or more
10/15 – Had 7 or more runs that season
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Rated 90-100
9/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 – Came from a double-figure stall
9/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/15 – Had raced at Ayr before
7/15 – Ran at either Doncaster (3), Goodwood (2) or Haydock (2) last time out
7/15 – Winning distance 1 length or less
4/15 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
1/15– Winning favourites (2 winning favs since 1980)
0/15 – Filly or mare winners
Since 1980 just five winners aged 6 or older
The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronsiea in 1930/31
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 16/1

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 16th Sept 2017

Like all big race days we are on hand with the key TV trends this Saturday from Chester and Doncaster, including the newly-sponsored William Hill St Leger - the final of the English Classics this turf season.

As always we've  got all the TV trends for you. Use these to find the best profiles of past winners and whittle down the runners.


Saturday 16th September 2017

 

DONCASTER Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

 

1.50 – William Hill Portland Handicap Cl2 5f140y ITV

15/15 – Carried 8-12 or more
13/15 – Won over 6f before
12/15 – Had run 5 or more times that season
12/15 – Winner rated between 95 and 101
12/15 – Came from a double-figure stall
11/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
10/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/15 – Won 4 or more times in their career
10/15 – Run at Doncaster previously
8/15 – Unplaced Favourites
7/15 – Placed in their last race
6/15 – Winners aged 5 years-old (inc 6 of last 9 years)
6/15 – Raced in that season’s Great St Wilfrid (Ripon)
4/15 – Raced at Ripon last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Won by the Kevin Ryan yard
3/15 – Won last time out
Captain Colby won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1

2.25 – Alan Wood Plumbing Park Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

12/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/14 – Run 3 or more times that season
12/14 – Won 3 or more times before
11/14 – Won over 7f before
11/14 – Won a Group race previously
11/14 – Returned  7/1 or shorter
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Run at either Goodwood (5), Newbury (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
10/14 – Unplaced in their most recent race
10/14 – Aged 4 or older
7/14 – Placed horses from stall 1
6/14 – Had run at Doncaster before
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/14 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda
3 Irish-trained winners in the last 8 runnings
Breton Rock won the race in 2016
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

3.00 – Howcroft Industrial Supplies Champagne Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 7f ITV

15/16 - Returned  8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had won over 7f before
14/16 – Won 1 or 2 times previously
13/16 – Favourites placed
13/16 – Won by a Feb or March foal
13/16 – Finished third or better last time out
10/16 – Won last time out
9/16 – Run at Sandown, Newbury, York or t¬¬he Curragh last time out
8/16 – Raced 3 or more times that season
7/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Won by Godolphin
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/16 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard
2/16 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/16 – Won by the Charlie Appleby yard
2/16 – Won by the Saeed Bin Suroor yard
2/16 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/4
Note: 2005 renewal was a dead-heat

3.35 – William Hill St Leger Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m6f132y ITV

14/15 – Had 2 or 3 previous career wins
13/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Placed favourites
12/15 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
11/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Had won a Group race before
11/15 – Had 4 or 5 previous runs that season
10/15 – Had never raced over 1m6f or further before
10/15 – Winning distance of 1 length or more
10/15 – Had won over at least 1m3f before
9/15 – Officially rated 109 to 115
9/15 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
8/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Ran in the Great Voltigeur last time out (2 won it)
6/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/15 – USA-bred winners
3/15 – Ran in the Gordon Stakes last time out (2 won it)
3/15 – Trained by John Gosden
3/15 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/15 – Ridden by William Buick
2/15 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won the race 6 times
Aidan O’Brien has trained 4 winners of the race
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 8/1

 

 

CHESTER Horse Racing Trends (ITV)

 

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2.05 – 32Red Casino Nursery Handicap Cl3 (2yo 0-95) 5f ITV

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
7/7 – Foaled in Feb or later
7/7 – Unplaced last time out
6/7 – Had won just once before
6/7 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/7 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
5/7 – Foaled in March or April
5/7 – Officially rated 80-85
5/7 – Unplaced favourites
5/7 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
4/7 – Won from stall 1 or 2
1/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 7/1

2.40 – 32Red.com Stand Cup (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f66y ITV

11/11 – Didn’t win last time out
10/11 – Had won at least twice before
10/11 – Came from the top three in the betting
9/11 – Had raced within the last 3 weeks
9/11 – Had 2 or more runs that season
9/11 – Aged 5 or younger
9/11 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Rated between 102-110
7/11 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
7/11 – Won at Listed or Group class before
6/11 – Favourites that finished either 1st or 2nd
4/11 – Ran at York last time out
3/11 – Had run at Chester before
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Godolphin-owned winners
2/11 – Trained by Pat Chamings
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

3.15 – 32Red.com Handicap Cl3 7f122y ITV

Only 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Carried 8-13 or more
7/7 – Came from stall 6 or higher
6/7 – Aged 4 or older
6/7 – Returned 8/1 or bigger in the betting
5/7 – Carried 9-2 or more
4/7 – Aged 4 years-old
3/7 – Returned a double-figure price
2/7 – Ridden by Franny Norton
2/7 – Trained by Mark Johnston
1/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 11/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 9th Sept 2017

Plenty going on this Saturday –  this week from Haydock, Ascot & Kempton - with the Group One Haydock Sprint Cup the feature contest on the day.....As always we've  got all the TV trends for you. Use these to find the best profiles of past winners and whittle down the runners.


Saturday 9th September 2017

 

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.50 – 32Red Casino Ascendant Stakes (Listed) Cl1 (2yo) 1m ITV

8/8 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
8/8 – Irish bred
7/8 – Foaled in March or April
7/8 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
7/8 – Placed favourites
6/8 – Had won just once before
6/8 – Had at least 2 previous runs
5/8 – Winning favourites
3/8 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
3/8 – Won last time out
3/8 – Ran at York last time out

 

2.25 - 32 Red Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

13/15 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
13/15 - Aged 5 or younger
12/15 – Rated 111 or higher
12/15 – Had won over 6f before
12/15 – Didn’t win their previous race
11/15 – Winning distance 1 length or less
11/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/15 –Had 4 or more runs that season
10/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
9/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/15 – Had won a Group race before
8/15 – Ran at Deauville (3) or York (5) last time out
7/15 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
6/15 – Had run at Haydock before (3 had won)
5/15 – Had won a Group 1 before
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Placed horse from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 17/2

3.00 - 32 Red Be Friendly Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

11/14 – Had won 4 or more times before
11/14 – Rated 90+
11/14 – Had run at Haydock before (2 won)
11/14 – Previous winners over 5f
10/14 – Had 8 or more previous runs that season
9/14 – Unplaced last time out
9/14 – Winning distance - 1 length or less
9/14 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
8/14 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
8/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/14 – Placed favourites
6/14 – Carried 8-11 or less
3/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Tim Easterby

3.35 – 32Red Mile (Registered as The Superior Mile Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

11/13 – Won over 1m or further before
11/13 – Won 3 or more times before
10/13 – Winning distance 1 length or more
10/13 – Had won a Listed or better race before
10/13 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Had 3 or more runs that season
7/13 – Ran at either York or Ascot last time out
7/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
6/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Had won at Haydock before
3/13 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
5 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 1 or 4

4.10 - 32 Red Casino Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

13/14 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
13/14 – Had won at least twice before
12/14 – Finished 4th or better last time out
12/14 – Had run 4 or more times that season
12/14 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
11/14 – Rated 90 to 101
10/14 – Drawn in stall 8 or higher
9/14 – Winning distance ¾ lengths or less
8/14 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/14 – Ran at Haydock before
7/14 – Had run over 1m6f before
5/14 – Ran at York last time out
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/14 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/14 – Ridden by Joe Fanning
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 9/1

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

 2.45 – Cunard Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

Only 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Didn’t win last time out
6/6 – Had run at the course before
6/6 – Had won over 7f before
6/6 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
6/6 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
6/6 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
5/6 – Irish bred
4/6 – Rated between 95-97
4/6 – Had between 4-7 wins already
4/6 – Unplaced last time out
3/6 – Aged 5 years-old
2/6 – Winners from stall 12
0/6 – Winning favourites

3.55 - Appletiser Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

Only 7 previous runnings
6/7 – Rated between 85-95
5/7 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
5/7 – Had won just once before
4/7 – Carried 9-0 or more
4/7 – Horses placed from stall 10
4/7 – Horses placed from stall 8
4/7 – Won last time out
4/7 – Had run at Ascot before (3 won)
4/7 – Returned a double-figure price
3/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/7 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor
2/7 – Winning favourites (1 co)
Note: the 2015 running was a dead-heat

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KEMPTON Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 - totescoop6 September Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

10/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
9/11 – Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Had won between 4-7 times before
8/11 – Winning distance – 1 ¼l or more
8/11 – Had won over 1m4f before
8/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Horses from stall 2 that finished in the top 3
6/11 – Had run at Kempton before
6/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/11 – Ran at York (3) or Windsor (2) last time out
4/11 – Aged 4 years-old
4/11 – Godolphin-owned runners
3/11 – Winners from stall 2
3/11 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/11 – Winning favourites
0/11 – Winners from stall 1

 

3.15 - totequadpot London Mile Handicap (Series Final) Cl2 1m ITV

11/11 – Had run at Kempton before
9/11 – Had won over a mile before
9/11 – Won between 3-7 times before
9/11 – Unplaced favourites
8/11 – Aged 4 years-old
7/11 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/11 – Returned 20/1 or bigger in the betting
5/11 – Rated between 77-85
5/11 – Horses from stall 9 that finished in the top 3
4/11 – Ran at Kempton last time out
3/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
1/11 – Winning favourites
4 of the last 5 winners came from stalls 14 or 16 (2 each)

 

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Sat TV Trends 2nd Sept 2017

More LIVE horse racing action this weekend as the ITV4 cameras head to Sandown, Chester and Beverley – we’ve got it all covered with the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Saturday 2nd September 2017

 

SANDOWN Horse Racing Trends (Live ITV/RUK)

2.25 –Solario Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f16y ITV4

14/15 – Never raced at Sandown before
14/15 – Had won at least one race before
14/15 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
13/15 – Foaled in Jan, Feb or March
10/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Won last time out
10/15 – Had 2 or more previous runs
8/15 – Had won over 7f before
8/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Won by trainer John Gosden
3/15 – Ridden by Jimmy Fortune
2/15 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
2/15 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda (two of last 6 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 3/1


3.00 –Atalanta Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m14y ITV4

13/15 – Had 3 or more runs that season
12/15 – Winning distance 1 ¼ or less
12/15 – Had won over a mile before
11/15 – Aged 3 years-old
11/15 – Priced 4/1 or shorter
10/15 – Rated between 98 and 108
10/15 – Placed last time out
10/15 – Had won 3 or more times before
10/15 – Had won a Listed or Group class race
6/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/15 – Had run at Sandown before
4/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 5/1


3.35 – Kalaglow Handicap Cl2 1m2f7y ITV4

13/15 – Ran at either Haydock, York, Newmarket or Goodwood last time
12/15 – Had 4 or more runs that season
10/15 – Unplaced favourites
10/15 – Winning distance 1 length or less
10/15 – Won 3 or more times before
8/15 – Aged 4 years-old
8/15 – Had run at Sandown before (4 won)
8/15 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/15 – Returned a double-figure price
5/15 – Won last time out
3/15 –Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/15 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9.5/1

 

BEVERLEY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

3.15 - totescoop6 Beverley Bullet Sprint Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV4

12/13 – Winning distance 1 length or less
12/13 – Had 3 or more runs that season
11/13 – Had won over 5f before
11/13 – Unplaced last time out
11/13 – Won 3 or more times before
9/13 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
9/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Run at Beverley before (5 won)
4/13 – Aged 3 years-old
3/13 – Ridden by Tom Eaves
3/13 – Trained by Bryan Smart
2/13 – Trained by Ian Semple
1/13 – Winning favourites
No winner from a double-figure draw in the last 11 runnings
8 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
5 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 1 or 2
The horse from stall 9 has been placed in 6 of the last 11 runnings
Alpha Delphini won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2

CHESTER Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.10 – Corbettsports.com Chester Stakes (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m5f89y ITV4

14/14 – Won over 1m4f or further before
11/14 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
11/14 – Had won 3 or more times before
11/14 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
11/14 – Winning distance 1 ½ lengths or less
10/14 – Returned 5/1 or bigger in the betting
9/14 – Ran at either Pontefract, Ascot or Goodwood last time out
9/14 – Carried 9-3 or less
8/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Placed last time out
6/14 – Had run at Chester before (2 won)
4/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Winning favourite
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

2.45 – Corbettsports.com Handicap Cl2 7f122y ITV4

13/13 – Had won over at least 7f before
12/13 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/13 – Rated between 83-96
10/13 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
10/13 – Had raced at Chester before
10/13 – Aged 6 or younger
8/13 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/13 – Unplaced last time out
6/13 – Drawn between stalls 11-14 (inc)
6/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/13 – Aged 3 years-old
5/13 – Ran at Chester last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13– Trained by Mark Brisbourne
2/13 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/13 – Trained by David Evans
Breakable won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/1

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3.20 - MBNA Handicap Cl2 5f110y ITV4

5/5 – Didn’t win last time out
5/5 – Stall 1 horse placed
5/5 – Had won between 3-5 times before
4/5 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
4/5 – Rated between 90-96
4/5 – Ran at York (2) or Ripon (2) last time out
4/5 – Had run at Chester in the past
3/5 – Winning favourites
3/5 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2 (last 3 winners)
2/5 - Trained by Richard Fahey
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 6/1

 

 

 

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