Sat TV Trends: 12th Jan 2019

More LIVE ITV racing action this Saturday as the cameras head to Warwick for the Classic Chase, plus they are also at Kempton Park with the Lanzarote Hurdle their main event.

As normal we are on-hand with all the key stats for the LIVE ITV races – hopefully they might help point you in the direction of a few winners.

 

Kempton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 – 32Red Casino Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV4

5 previous runnings
5/5 – Placed 2nd or 3rd last time out
4/5 – Didn’t win last time out
4/5 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
4/5 – Had won at least 4 times over fences
4/5 – Winning favourites
4/5 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
3/5 – Had won over fences at the track
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 11/4
Waiting Patiently won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2017 & 2016
Trainer Alan King won the race in 2015
Trainer Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014
Nicky Henderson has a 30% record with his chasers at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 28% record with his chasers at the track
Alan King is just 3 from 39 (8%) with her chasers at the track

 

2.40 – Unibet Lanzarote Hurdle (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

17/17 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
15/17 – Aged 7 or younger
15/17 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
14/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had won exactly 2 times over hurdles before
12/17 – Had never won a hurdles race over 2m4f or longer before
12/17 – Winning distance 3 lengths or less
12/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
11/17 – Irish (6) or French (5) bred
10/17 – Carried 10-11 or less
10/17 – Aged 6 years-old
9/17 – Placed favourites
7/17 – Won last time out
6/17 – Had run at Kempton before (5 won)
5/17 -  Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Nick Williams
3/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Trainer Gary Moore won the race in 1996, 1998 & 2007
Since 1980 (37 runnings) 32 winners have been aged 7 or younger
The winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1

 

3.15 – Unibet Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

Just six previous runnings
6/6 – Didn’t win last time out
5/6 – Had run at the track before
5/6 – Unplaced last time out
4/6 – Had won over 3m (fences) before
4/6 - Won between 2-4 times (fences) before
5/6 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
5/6 – Carried 11-0 or more
5/6 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
4/6 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
4/6 – Placed favourites
2/6 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/5 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 is 5/1
Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014 & 2016

 

3.45 – Unibet Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m ITV4

10/10 – Had won over at least 2m hurdles before
10/10 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
10/10 – Aged 6 or older
8/10 – Favourites that finished in the top 2
8/10 – Aged 6 years-old
8/10 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
7/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
5/10 – Finished 4th or better last time out
5/10 – Irish bred
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Returned a double-figure price
2/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/10 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2

 

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Warwick Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.50 – McCoy Contractors 2019 Construction News Award Finalist Hampton Novices´ Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV4

11/11 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – Had won between 0-2 times over fences
11/11 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/11 – Had raced in the last 7 weeks
9/11 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences
9/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/11 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
8/11 – Aged 7 years-old
7/11 – Returned 9/4 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Had won over 3m (or further) chase
7/11 – Won last time out
6/11 – Irish bred
2/11 – Trained by Alan King
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 11/4

 

 

2.25 – Ballymore Leamington Novices´ Hurdle Grade 2 Cl1 2m5f ITV4

12/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
12/12 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
12/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/12 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/12 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
8/12 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
8/12 – Irish bred
8/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Winning favourites
6/12 – Placed favourites
6/12 – Aged 5 years-old
2/12 – Went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (No Refuge, 2005 RSA Novices’ Hurdle, The New One, 2013 Neptune)
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 3/1

 

 

3.00 – McCoy Constructors Civil Engineering Classic Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 (5yo+) 3m5f ITV4

13/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m
12/13 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Carried 11-2 or less in weight
10/13 – Winners that came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
9/13 – Officially rated between 129-140
9/13 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
8/13 – Won between 2-5 times over fences before
8/13 –  Won by a horse aged 9 or older
8/13 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
8/13 – Won by an Irish bred horse
8/13 – Had raced at Warwick (hurdles, chase, NH Flat) previously
7/13 – Favourites placed
7/13 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
7/13 – Returned a double-figure price
6/13 – Had run at either Cheltenham (3) or Newbury (3) in their last race
5/13 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (One For Arthur won both races in 2017)
3/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/13 – Won their last race
2/13 – Trained by Alan King
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 10.5/1

 

 

3.35 – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 3m1f ITV4

13/13 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
12/13 – Had won between 1-4 times over hurdles before
11/13 – Carried 11-0 or less
11/13 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/13 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
10/13 – Went onto finish unplaced in the Pertemps Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
10/13 – Had never raced over hurdles at Warwick before
10/13 – Officially rated between 126-142
10/13 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/13 – Placed favourites
5/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Ran at Bangor last time out
2/13 – Won by trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/13 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/13 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/13 – Winning favourites
7 of the last 8 winners were aged 8 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 8/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 5th Jan 2019

Another MASSIVE day for the ITV4 horse racing cameras as they head to Wincanton and Sandown for more LIVE coverage.

Like every Saturday we take you through all the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and hopefully find a few winners.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV4)

12.45 – Unibet Handicap Chase Cl2 2m ITV4

12/12 – Won over at least 2m (chase) previously
11/12 – Ran within the last 2 months
11/12 – Priced 17/2 or shorter
11/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/12 – Favourites placed
9/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Officially rated 135 or higher
9/12 – Won between 1-4 times over fences in the UK previously
8/12 – Never raced at Sandown
8/12 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/12 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
7/12 – Irish bred
7/12 – Winning Favourites
6/12 – Unplaced last time out
6/12 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase at the Cheltenham Festival
4/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/12 – Went onto win a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Champion Chase, Grand Annual)
3/12 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/12 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/12 – Won their last race
Trainer Philip Hobbs has won 2 of the last 3 runnings
Speredek won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 7 running is 9/2

2.25 – Unibet Tolworth Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

13/14 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
13/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
13/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Priced  5/1 or shorter
11/14 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
11/14 – Came from the top three in the market
12/14 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
10/14 – Won last time out
10/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
9/14 – Won by an Irish bred horse
7/14 – Winning Favourites
7/14 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
4/14 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
4/14 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
3/14 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/14 – Ridden by jockey Barry Geraghty
3/14 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
2/14 – Ran at Sandown before
2/14 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
2/14 – Won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season (Summerville Boy, 2018 & Noland, 2006)
1/14 - Won the Neptune Investment Hurdle later that season (Yorkhill 2016)
5 or 6 years-old have won 20 of the last 26 runnings
Since 1988 ALL winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 4/1

3.00 - Unibet Veterans´ Handicap Chase Final (The Final of The 2015 Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m37y ITV4

Just 3 previous runnings
Buywise won the race in 2018
Pete The Feat won the race in 2017
The David Pipe yard won the race in 2016
2/3 – winners aged 11 years-old
2/3 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
Trainer David Pipe has a 38% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Kerry Lee has a 31% record with her chasers at the track
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 27% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Lucy Wadham has a 225 record with her chasers at the track
Trainer Colin Tizzard is just 2 from 42 with his chasers here

3.35 –32Red.com Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV4

11/13 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
11/13 – Won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) previously
11/13 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
11/13 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
10/13 – Unplaced last time out
8/13 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
6/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/13 – Officially rated between 127 and 132
6/13 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
6/13 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
5/13 – Went onto finish unplaced in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
5/13 – From the top 3 in the betting
4/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/13 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/13 – Trained by Venetia Williams
1/13 – Winning favourites
Rayvin Black won the race in 2015 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 7/1

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Note: 2002 & 2003 runnings were staged at Ascot

Wincanton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RUK/ITV4)

2.05 – Watch Irish Racing On Racing TV Chase (A Novices’ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m4f35y ITV4

Just 3 previous runs
3/3 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
3/3 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
2/3 – winning favourites
Trainer Alan King has a 33% record with his chasers here
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 33% record with his chasers here
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 28% record with his chasers here
Trainer Venetia Williams is just 4 from 45 with her chasers here

2.40 –  Like Racing TV On Facebook Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f82y ITV4

Just 2 previous runnings
Both winners aged 6 or 7 years-old
Trainer Tom George won the race in 2017
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 38% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Emma Lavelle has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Philip Hobbs is just 8 from 85 with his hurdlers at the track

3.15 – Follow @racingtv On Twitter Handicap Chase Cl2 (5yo+) 2m4f ITV4

7/7 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
6/7 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
6/7 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
6/7 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
5/7 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
5/7 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
5/7 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
3/7 – French bred
2/7 – Ran at Exeter last time out
2/7 – Trained by Tom George
1/7 – Winning favourite
1/7 – Won last time out
Kayf Adventure (15/8) won the race last year
The average winning SP in the last 7 runs is 5/1

 

 

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Cheltenham Trends: 1st Jan 2019

A massive day of action at Cheltenham this New Year’s Day as we begin 2019 with the ITV cameras taking in four races.

As always, we are on hand with a look at all the televised races from Prestbury Park from a trends angle – use these stats to help find the best winning profile of past winners of the race.

 

Cheltenham Racing Trends

1.25 – BetBright Dipper Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m4f166y ITV

16/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Went onto run in a Cheltenham Festival race (1 winner)
13/16 – Came from the top three in the betting
13/16 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
13/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/16 – Had won over fences at 2m3f or further before
12/16 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Irish bred
9/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Had won over hurdles at Cheltenham before
7/16 – Returned 5/4 or shorter in the betting
7/16 – Ran at either Sandown or Cheltenham last time out
7/16 – Winning favourites
6/16 – Aged 7 years-old
2/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
1/16 – Went onto win the Arkle Chase (My Way De Solzen, 2007)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1

2.00 – Download The Betbright App Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f166y ITV

16/16 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before
15/16 – Raced within the last 2 months
14/16 – Had won at least twice over fences before
14/16 – Either French (5) or Irish (9) bred
13/16 – Had won over 2m4f or further (fences) before
13/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/16 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Rated 138 or higher
11/16 – Aged 8 or older
11/16 – Carried 11-0 or less
11/16 – Unplaced last time out
10/16 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
10/16 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
9/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
8/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies yard
1/16 – Went onto win the Ryanair Chase at the Cheltenham Festival
Ballyhill (9/1) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

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2.35 – Simplify Horse Racing Selections With Betfinder At Betbright Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV

14/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
12/15 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
11/15 – Had won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
11/15 – Had won a hurdles race over at least 2m4f before
10/15 – Rated 130 or higher
10/15 – Unplaced last time out
9/15 – Went onto run in a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
9/15 – Carried 10-9 or more
9/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
8/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/15 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
5/15 – French bred
4/15 – Had won over hurdles at Cheltenham before
3/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Winning favourites
1/15 – Won by a mare
1/15 – Went onto win the World Hurdle later that season (Big Buck’s, 2009)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 15/2

3.10 – Dornan Engineering Relkeel Hurdle Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

13/14 – Went on run in a race at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
13/14 – Won by either a French (5) or Irish (8) bred
12/14 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/14 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
10/14 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
9/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/14 – Had won at Cheltenham before
9/14 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
8/14 – Went onto run in the World Hurdle later that season
6/14 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
6/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/14 – Trained by the Pipe stable
Wholestone (9/4 fav) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 29th Dec 2018

The National Hunt action continues this Saturday 30th December – with the ITV cameras at Newbury for a decent card that includes four LIVE races and the Grade One Challow Hurdle.

We’ve got all the key trends and stats for all the LIVE races to help you whittle down the fields.

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.50 - Betway Heed Your Hunch Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

6/6 – French (2) or Irish (4) bred
5/6 – Favourites placed
5/6 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
5/6 – Had won over the trip (2m4f) before
5/6 – Aged 5 years-old
5/6 – Had won 2 or more times before (hurdles)
5/6 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
3/6 – Had raced at the track before
2/6 – Ran at Newbury last time out
2/6 – Winning favourites
2/6 - Trained by Nicky Henderson
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 9/2
Brave Eagle (11/4) won the race in 2017

 

2.25 - Betway Mandarin Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+ 0-135) 3m2f ITV4

7/7 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/7 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
7/7 – Had won over 3m (fences) before
6/7 – Aged between 6-9 years-old
6/7 – Had won between 1-2 times before (fences)
6/7 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
6/7 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
5/7 – Irish bred
5/7 – Unplaced favourites
3/7 – Had raced at the track before
2/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Ran at Fontwell last time out
2/7 – Trained by Charlie Longsdon
Daklondike (6/1) won the race in 2017

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3.00 - Betway Challow Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4yo+) 2m4½f ITV4

12/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
12/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/12 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
11/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
9/12 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Wichita Lineman, 2006)
8/12 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
8/12 – Had won over 2m4f or further (hurdles) before
8/12 – Won last time out
8/12 – Had won a Grade 2 Hurdle race before
6/12 – Aged 5 years-old
6/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/12 – Trained by Nick Williams
2/12 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

 

3.35 - Betway Novices' Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+) 2m6½f ITV4

10/10 – Won between 0-1 times over fences
9/10 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
8/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
8/10 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
7/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Venetia Williams
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1

 

 

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Kempton and Chepstow TV Trends: 27th Dec 2018

A huge day of National Hunt action on Wednesday 27th December as the ITV cameras head to Kempton for three races, while they are also at Chepstow to take in the Coral Welsh National.

We’ve got all the key trends and stats for all the LIVE races to help you whittle down the fields.

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.55 – 32Red Casino Mares´ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m110y ITV

11/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Priced 17/2 or shorter
9/11 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
9/11 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
8/11 – Favourites that were placed in the top 3
7/11 – Won over 3m previously
6/11 – Won their last race
5/11 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
5/11 – Ran at the track previously
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Aged 5 years-old
2/11 – Raced at Newbury last time out

 

2.30 – Unibet Desert Orchid Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

9/11 – Aged 8 or younger
8/11 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
8/11 – Run at the track previously
8/11 – Won 4 (or more) times over fences
8/11 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
8/11 – Favourites
8/11 – Officially Rated 160+
7/11 – French bred
6/11 – Ran at Sandown last time out
3/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/11 – Trained by Alan King
2/11 - Ridden by Barry Geraghty
Politologue (8/15 fav) won the race 12 months ago

 

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3.05 – 32Red.com Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV

11/11 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
10/11 – Priced between 7/2 and 12/1
10/11 – Aged 8 or younger
9/11 – Won between 2-3 (chase) before
9/11 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
6/11 – Favourites Unplaced
5/11 – Officially Rated between 122-129
4/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
4/11 – Ran at Kempton previously
4/11 – Won over 3m (or further) previously
3/11 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
3/11 – Winning favourites (joint)
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

Chepstow Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

2.50 – Coral Welsh Grand National (A Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y ITV

16/16 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
16/16 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
16/16 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
14/16 – Aged 9 or younger
14/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
13/16 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
12/16 – Aged 8 or younger
11/16 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
10/16 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
10/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Irish bred
8/16 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
6/16 – Unplaced favourites
6/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – French bred
6/16 – Had run in the Welsh National before
4/16 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
2/16 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 10/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 22nd Dec 2018

It’s the last weekend before Christmas and it looks set to be another decent Saturday of jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Haydock and Ascot for six LIVE races.
So, to help you narrow down the fields and hopefully point you in the direction of a winner or two, here at GeeGeez we've got the big-race trends ahead of each race.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.50 – My Pension Expert Handicap Chase Cl2 2m3f ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
Mr Medic won the race in 2017
Poker School won the race in 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2015
No winning favourite in 3 runnings
All winners returned between 6/1 and 10/1
All winners aged between 4-7 years-old

2.25 – JLT Long Walk Hurdle Grade 1 Cl1 3m1f ITV4

16/16 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
16/16 – Winners that went onto compete in that season’s World Hurdle (5 won, 4 runners-up)
14/16 – Placed in the top three in their last race
14/16 – Favourites placed
13/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
12/16 – French-bred horse
12/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
12/16 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles previously
11/16 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
10/16 – Raced at Newbury last time out
9/16 – Favourites that won
9/16 – Won their last race
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Trained by Nick Williams
2/16 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
2/16 – Ridden by jockey Barry Geraghty
2/16 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
2/16 – Ridden by jockey Tom Scudamore
Sam Spinner won the race in 2017
Unowhatimeanharry (6/5 fav) won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

3.00 – Garrard Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV4

13/13 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
9/13 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
9/13 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
7/13 – Won by a French bred horse
7/13 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
8/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/13 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/13 – Raced at Ascot previously
7/13 – Favourites placed
6/13 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
5/13 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Ascot (2) last time out
5/13 – Aged 7 years-old
4/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/13 – Favourite (1 joint)
2/13 – Trained by Henry Daly
2/13 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty (2 of the last 4)
Gold Present won the race in 2017
Regal Encore (20/1) won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 10/1
Note: The 2004 renewal was staged at Windsor

3.35 – Betfair Exchange Trophy (Handicap Hurdle) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

15/15 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
15/15 – Had won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
14/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
12/15 – Had raced within the last 2 months
10/15 – Carried 10-10 or more
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Officially rated between 127 and 136
8/15 – Priced 12/1 or bigger in the betting
7/15 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
7/15 – Won last time out
7/15 – Irish bred
4/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1

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Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 – £50 Risk Free On Racing With Smarkets Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m2f191y ITV

11/11 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 7 or younger
8/11 – Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Had won 1-3 times over hurdles before
8/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
6/11 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
6/11 – Ran at either Newbury (2) or Haydock (4) last time out
6/11 – Had raced at Haydock before
5/11 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
4/11 – French bred
4/11 – Winning Favourites
2/11 – Trained by Lucy Wadham
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 5/1

2.40 – Smarkets Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

11/11 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
11/11 – Failed to win their last race
9/11 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
8/11 – Had raced at Haydock previously (hurdles or fences)
7/11 – Won over at least 3m before (hurdles or fences)
7/11 – Won between 2-3 times over fences previously
7/11 – Favourites placed
5/11 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
3/11 – Ridden by jockey Tom O’Brien
3/11 – French bred
3/11 – Went onto run in that season’s Aintree Grand National (all unplaced)
2/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/11 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
6 of the last 10 winners carried 11-0 or more
Captain Redbeard won the race in 2017

 

 

 

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Boxing Day TV Trends: 26th Dec 2018

A huge day on Boxing Day with eight domestic horse racing fixtures, but the festive highlight, as racing resumes after a two-day break, is the King George VI Meeting at Kempton Park.

The King George VI  Chase is of course the feature race on the day as punters will look to get their Christmas expenses paid for – a race in recent years we’ve seen horse racing greats like Kauto Star, Long Run, Best Mate, Kicking King, One Man and, more recently, Thistlecrack & Might Bite, landing the prize. Did you know - 12 of the last 16 King George winners were aged 8 or younger?

We take a look at each race on the Kempton card, plus the Rowland Meyrick Chase from Wetherby and highlight the main trends – hopefully this will help you narrow down the fields and point you in the direction of a few winners.

 

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

12:50 – 32Red Casino Mobile Novices' Hurdle Race 2m

11/11 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
10/11 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/11 – Winning distance 3 lengths or more
9/11 – Favourites placed in the top 3
9/11 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Had won a NH Flat race before
7/11 – Won just once over hurdles before
7/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/11 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
If The Cap Fits (6/4 fav) won the race 12 months ago

1.20 – 32Red.com Chase (A Novices´ Limited Handicap) Chase Cl3 2m4f110y ITV

14/14 – Aged 7 or younger
13/14 – Had won between 0-1 times over fences in the UK
12/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
9/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
8/14 – Placed favourites (1 joint)
7/14 – Officially rated between 119 and 125
7/14 – Carried 11-6 or more
6/14 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
6/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/14 – Won by a French bred horse
5/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/14 – Raced at Kempton last time out
Hell’s Kitchen (9/2) won the race 12 months ago

1.55 – 32RedKauto Star Novices´ Chase (In memory of Nigel Clark) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV

15/15 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Placed in the top two last time out
11/15 – Won last time out
11/15 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
11/15 – Aged 6 or younger
11/15 – French (6) or Irish (5) bred
10/15 – Had won at least 2 times over fences in the UK
10/15 – Went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (no winners)
10/15 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Aged 6 years-old
8/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Had won (chase) over at least 3m before
7/15 – Winning favourites
7/15 – Raced at Newbury last time out
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Trained by David Pipe
2/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/15 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/15 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
1/15 – French trained
1/15 – Went onto run in the Cheltenham Gold Cup (One winner - Coneygree 2015)
Royal Vacation (33/1) won the race 12 months ago

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2.30 – Unibet Christmas Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

14/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
13/16 – Placed favourites
13/16 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Went onto run in the Champion Hurdle (Faughan (2015) & Buveur D’Air (2018) winners)
10/16 – Won last time out
9/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – Irish trained
8/16 – Ran in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Newcastle) last time out
8/16 – Went onto finish in the top 5 in the Champion Hurdle that season
7/16 – Had run over hurdles at Kempton before
6/16 – French bred
5/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/16 – Trained by Noel Meade
2/16 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/16 – Trained by Willie Mullins
Owner JP McManus has won the last two runnings
Buveur D’Air (2/11 fav) won the race 12 months ago

3.05 – 32Red King George VI Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 3m ITV

15/16 – Had won a Grade One chase before
15/16 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
15/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
14/16 – Placed favourites
14/16 – French (10) or Irish bred (4)
14/16 – Had won over 3m or further (fences) before
13/16 – Officially rated 169 or higher
12/16 – Aged 8 or younger
11/16 – Winning favourites
11/16 – Won last time out
10/16 – Had won a race over fences at Kempton before
9/16 – Ran in the Betfair Chase (Haydock) last time out
8/16 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
7/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
7/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (9 times in all)
5/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/16 – Ridden by Noel Fehily
2/16 – Won by an Irish-based yard (only 3 in the last 32 runnings)
Colin Tizzard and Nicky Henderson have trained 5 of the last 8 winners (2 Tizzard, 3 Henderson)
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 7/2

15:40 – 32Red Download The App Handicap Hurdle Race 2m5f

11/11 – Won no more than 3 times (UK Hurdles)
10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
9/11 – Won between 0-2 times hurdles (UK)
9/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
9/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
7/11 – Officially rated 120-128
7/11 – Ran 5 or less weeks ago
7/11 – Won last time out
6/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/11 – Unplaced favourites
5/11 – French bred
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.10- 188Bet Rowland Meyrick Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m45y ITV

9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Aged 8 or younger
9/10 – Had won 3 or less times over fences (UK)
8/10 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
8/10 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
8/10 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
8/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Unplaced in their last race
7/10 – Had raced at Wetherby before
6/10 – Had won over 3m (chase) before
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Raced at either Haydock (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
2/10– Winning favourites
Get On The Yager won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 15th Dec 2018

A MASSIVE day up at Prestbury Park as the Cheltenham December Meeting continues this Saturday, plus the ITV cameras also head to Doncaster for three races - as always we're on-hand with all the big-race trends and stats…..

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.55 – Caspian Caviar Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

16/16 – Aged 8 or younger
14/16 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
13/16 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
13/16 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
12/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/16 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (no winners)
11/16 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (4 won)
11/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Officially rated 142 or higher
10/16 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
9/16 – French bred
7/16 – Carried 10-13 or more
6/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/16 – Ran in the BetVictor (Nov) Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
4/16 – Finished in the top 5 in the Bet Victor Gold Cup last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
1/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 10/1

2.30 - Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

14/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
13/14 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Aged 6 or younger
12/14 – Placed favourites
12/14 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
11/14 – Went on run in the Albert Bartlett (3 won) at the Cheltenham Festival
10/14 – Winning favourite (1 co, 1 joint)
9/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/14 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Won last time out
9/14 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
9/14 – Irish bred
8/14 – Had won at Cheltenham before
8/14 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
2/14 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
The last 9 winners all returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/4

3.05 – Unibet International Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f ITV4

16/16 – Raced over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
15/16 – Placed in the top 3 in their latest race
14/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Won over 2m1f (hurdles) previously
13/16 – Won 4 or more times over hurdles previously
12/16 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old or younger
12/16 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle later that season (5 placed)
11/16 – Won their latest race
11/16 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
11/16 –  Favourites placed
11/16 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
11/16 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
9/16 – Won by a horse aged either 4 or 5 years-old
9/16 – Rated 162 or higher
7/16 – Winning distance:  4+ lengths
6/16 – Won the Greatwood Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
4/16 – Won by a French-bred horse
4/16 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
4/16 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/16 – Ridden by jockey Sam Twiston-Davies
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Won the Betfair Hurdle last time out
3/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
3/16 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
1/16 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that season (Rooster Booster 2002)
The New One has won the race in 2013, 2014 and 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 10/3

3.40 – OLBG Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4 1/2f ITV4

Just 3 previous runnings
All three winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
2/3 - winners carried 10-11 in weight
2/3 - winners aged 7 or 8 years-old
1 winning favourite (joint)
Trainers, Dan Skelton, Noel Williams, Anthony Honeyball have won the race in the past

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

1.35 – bet365 December Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
8/8 – Won between 0-2 times over fences
7/8 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
6/8 – Priced 5/2 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – French (2) or Irish (4) bred
6/8 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/8 – Placed favourites
4/8 – Winning favourites
4/8 – Won last time out
3/8 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3 of the last 5 runnings have been won by trainer Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 15/8

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Note: from 2013 back the race was run at Lingfield Park

2.45 – Bet365 Summit Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) (3yo) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/8 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
7/8 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/8 – Had won just once before over hurdles
6/8 – Irish (3) or French (3) bred
6/8 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
5/8 – Won last time out
3/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Ran at Market Rasen last time out
2/8 – Trained by John Quinn
2/8 - Trained by Nicky Henderson
Peace and Co won the race in 2014 and went onto with the Triumph Hurdle
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 9/2

3.20 – bet365 Handicap Chase (4 yo+) Cl2 3m ITV4

9/9 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Aged 8 or younger
8/9 – Had won no more than 2 times over fences
7/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
6/9 – Aged 7 years-old
6/9 – Unplaced last time out
6/9 – Irish bred
6/9 – Had won over 3m+ (fences) before
5/9 – Ran at Doncaster before
2/9 – Trained by Emma Lavelle
1/9 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 4 winners were all rated 139
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9/1

 

 

 

 

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Cheltenham TV Trends: Fri 14th Dec 2018

The tapes go up for the opening day of the 2018 Cheltenham December Meeting this Friday (14th December) with FOUR LIVE ITV races from Prestbury Park.
As always, we are on hand with his quick-fire trends ahead of the LIVE races......

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1:55 – CF Roberts Electrical + Mechanical Services Mares’ Handicap Chase Cl3 2m5f ITV4

Two previous runs
Both winners carried 11-3 or more in weight
Both winners aged between 6-8 years-old
Trainer Evan Williams won the race in 2016
Trainer Gordon Elliott has a 16% record with this chasers at the track
Trainer Henry Daly is just 1 from 19 with his chasers at the track

2.30 – CF Roberts 25 Years Of Sponsorship Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

14/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/16 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before (5 won)
11/16 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
11/16 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Aged 8 or younger
10/16 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
9/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (none won)
9/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/16 – Irish bred
8/16 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
6/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (last two runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2
Robinsfirth (7/4) won the race 12 months ago

3.05 –Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase Cl2 3m7f ITV4

13/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/14 – Had run over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
12/14 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (3 won)
11/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
10/14 – Placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
10/14 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
9/14 – Aged 9 or older
8/14 – Aged in double-figures
7/14 – Had won over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
7/14 – Trained by Enda Bolger
7/14 – Placed favourites
5/14 – Carried 11-12
5/14 – French bred
5/14 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1
Bless The Wings (12/1) won the race 12 months ago
Josie’s Orders won the race in 2015

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3.40 – Citipost Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV4

12/15 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
12/15 – Carried 11-2 or less
12/15 – Aged 7 or younger
11/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
11/15 – Irish bred
11/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 - Priced 8/1 or bigger in the betting
9/15 – Rated between 128 and 137
8/15 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
7/15 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (one winner)
7/15 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
5/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/15 - Trained by Jonjo O'Neill
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 8th Dec 2018

Another massive Saturday of NH jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Sandown and Aintree, with the Tingle Creek Chase and Becher Chase the feature contests - As always, we’ve got all the big-race trends and stats for all the LIVE races.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – randoxhealth.com Henry VIII Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

15/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/15 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
14/15 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 2m
14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
13/15 – Won last time out
13/15 – French (9) or Irish (4) bred
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Arkle Chase (2 winners)
10/15 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (4) last time out
10/15 – Winning distance – 2 ¾ lengths or more
7/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/15 – Winners went onto finish 1st or 2nd in that season’s Arkle Chase
2/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/15 – Trained by Alan King
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1

2.25 - Jumeirah Hotels And Resorts December Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f216y ITV4

14/15 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
13/15 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/15 – Aged 4,5 or 6 years-old
12/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
10/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
10/15 – Carried 10-13 or less
9/15 – Rated between 116-128
9/15 – Irish bred~
8/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
4/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
8 of the last 9 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 13/2

3.00 – Betfair Tingle Creek Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

15/16 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Aged 9 or younger
14/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Had won a Grade One chase before
13/16 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s QM Champion Chase
12/16 – Officially rated 165 or higher
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
12/16 – French bred
12/16 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
11/16 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
9/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
9/16 – Won last time out
9/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
8/16 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
5/16 – Went onto win the Champion Chase (Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre, Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
4/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
1/16 – Went onto win the Gold Cup (Kauto Star) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 5/2

Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Cheltenham

3.35 – Betfair London National Handicap Chase Cl2 3m5f110y ITV4

13/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Aged 7 or older
13/14 – Won between 2-6 times over fences before
13/14 – Had won (fences) over at least 3m before
12/14 – Rated 126 or higher
12/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
11/14 – Aged 8 or older
10/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
9/14 – Irish bred
8/14 – Carried 11-0 or more
8/14 – Had raced over fences at Sandown before (2 won)
5/14 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Towcester (2) last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/14 – Trained by Tom George
1/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 8/1

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Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.30 – Randox Health Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m2f ITV4

13/16 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
12/16 – Carried 10-12 or less
12/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/16 – Had no more than 1 start that season
11/16 – Aged 9 or older
11/16 – Officially rated between 123-138
11/16 – Irish bred winners
11/16 – Had raced at Aintree before
11/16 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
11/16 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
10/16 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/16 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
7/16 – Placed favourites
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 – Irish-trained winners
3/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
1/16 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
0/16 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 6 times since 1993
Blaklion won the race in 2017
Vieux Lion Rouge won the race in 2016
Highland Lodge won the race in 2015

2.05 – Rewards4Racing Many Clouds Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m1f ITV4

Just 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Aged 8 or younger
4/7 – Winning favourites
Definitly Red won the race in 2017
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 & 2014
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2011
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 5/2

2.40 – Racing UK Fillies’ Juvenile Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 (3Yyo) 2m1f ITV4

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/6 – Won between 0-1 times over hurdles
5/6 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/6 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Winning distance 8 or more lengths
5/6 – Carried 10-12 in weight
4/6 – Winning favourites
3/6 – Irish-trained winners
2/6 – Trained by Alan King
2/6 – Won last time out
2/6 – Trained by Gavin Cromwell
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 10/3

3.15 – Aintree Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV

12/13 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
11/13 – Aged 8 or older
11/13 – Rated 124 or more
10/13 – Had run at Aintree before (4 over the GN style fences)
more
9/13 – Irish bred
9/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Had won (chase) over at least 2m4f before
8/13 – Carried 10-12 or more
6/13 – Returned a double-figure price
5/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
4/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (5th & 7th)
1/13 – Won last time out
9 of the last 12 winners were aged 8 or 9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 1st Dec 2018

Another huge Saturday ahead with the Hennessy Gold Cup – or as it’s now called The Ladbroke Trophy Chase - plus the Fighting Fifth Hurdle as the main contests at Newbury and Newcastle – As always, we’ve got all the ITV TV trends to help you find the best winning profile of past winners of the main races.

 

 

Newbury Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

Six previous runnings
3 of the last 6 winners aged 5 years-old
1 winning favourite (joint)
5 of the 6 winners carried between 10-10 and 11-5
Old Guard won the race 12 months ago
Philip Hobbs, Paul Nicholls, Alan King, Rebecca Curtis & Ali Stronge have trained the winners

 

 

2.25 Ladbrokes Intermediate Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Registered As The Gerry Fielden Hurdle) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m69y ITV

12/12 – Had at least 4 runs over hurdles before
11/12 – Aged 6 or younger
11/12 – Won over 2m (hurdles) before
10/12 – Won just 1-2 times in the past (hurdles)
9/12 – Irish, French or German bred
9/12 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
7/12 – Finished in the top three last time out
7/12 – Had raced at Newbury before
6/12 – Officially rated between 126-134
6/12 – Unplaced favourites
5/12 – Aged 5 years-old
4/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/12 – Raced at Aintree last time out
2/12 – Won last time out
7 of the last 11 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

 

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3.00 – Ladbrokes Trophy Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) ITV 3m2f110y

15/16 – Aged 8 or younger
14/16 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
14/16 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
13/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
12/16 – Had run at Newbury before (8 had won over fences there)
12/16 – Carried 10-13 or more
11/16 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
11/16 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
11/16 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
10/16 – Rated between 140 and 151
10/16 – Had a previous run that season
9/16 – Won last time out
9/16 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
8/16 – Ran at either Aintree (2) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 6)
2/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty (2 of last 6)
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 15/2
Since 1968 there has only been one winner aged in double-figures (1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (27 runnings) there have been 13 winners (48%) aged 7 years-old

 

 

3.35 - Ladbrokes Handicap Chase (for the Jim Joel Memorial Trophy) Cl2 2m1f ITV

14/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Officially rated between 126-136
11/16 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
10/16 – French bred
9/16 – Had won a UK chase race over 2m1f
9/16 – Had won between 2-5 chase races in the UK
9/16 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
8/16 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
8/16 – Placed in their last race
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Won a chase race at Newbury before
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/16 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
9 of the last 12 winners carried between 10-8 and 11-3
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 – BetVictor Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

16/16 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
15/16 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
14/16 – Finished in the first two in their latest race
13/16 – Raced in the Champion Hurdle later that same season
13/16 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Officially rated 151 or higher
10/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/16 – Placed in the top 6 in the Champion Hurdle later that season
10/16 – Won their last race
8/16 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/16 – Won by an Irish bred horse
4/16 – Won by an Irish based yard
3/16 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
3/16 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (3 of last 10)
2/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/16 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 4)
2/16 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that same season (2008 Punjabi, 2018 Buveur d’Air)
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 5/1
Note: The 2008 renewal was staged at Wetherby, and the 2010 race at Newbury

 

 

3.20 – BetVictor Rehearsal Chase (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV

13/14 – Didn’t win their last race
12/14 – Irish bred
12/14 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
11/14 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
11/14 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 3m
10/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
10/14 – Unplaced last time out
9/14 – Had won at least 3 times over fences in the UK
7/14 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
5/14 – Unplaced favourites
5/14 – Aged 8 years-old
4/14 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/14 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Richards
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 8/1
Beware The Bear (11/4 fav) won the race in 2017
Otago Trial won the race in 2016
Note: The 2002, 2003, & 2004 runnings were at Chepstow

 

Newbury TV Trends: Fri 30th Nov 2018

It's DAY ONE of the Newbury Hennessy Meeting on Friday (30th Nov 2018) and we’ve four LIVE races on ITV to take in that include the Grade Two Long Distance Hurdle.
As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and free tips.

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (LIVE RUK/ITV)

1.50 – Ladbrokes Novices' Chase (Registered As The Berkshire Novices' Chase) (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m3f187y ITV4

10/11 – Aged 5 or older
10/11 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Favourites placed in the top 2
8/11 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
7/11 – Yet to win over fences
7/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/11 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

2.25 – Ladbrokes Open Handicap Chase Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f187y ITV4

11/11 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
10/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 9 or younger
9/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
8/11 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
7/11 – Rated between 131 and 140
7/11 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/11 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
2/11 – Trained by Alan King
2/11 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
0/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

3.00 –  Ladbrokes Long Distance Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m52y ITV4

13/16 – Grade One winner over hurdles
13/16 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
12/16 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
12/16 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
12/16 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Had won a hurdles race at Newbury before
10/16 – Ran at either Aintree (6) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
9/16 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – French bred
8/16 – Won last time out
7/16 – Returned odds-on in the betting
7/16 – Went onto win that season’s World Hurdle
6/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
5/16 – Won by Paul Nicholls (inc 5 of last 9 renewals)
3/16 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
Unowhatimeanharry won the race in 2016
Beer Goggles won the race in 2017

3.35 - Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 3m52y ITV4

10/11 – Placed 5th or better last time out
10/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
10/11 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
10/11 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
9/11 – Raced at either Cheltenham (4), Wincanton (3) or Wetherby (2) last time
9/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/11 – Won just 1-2 times over hurdles
7/11 – Yet to win over 3m (or further) over hurdles
7/11 – Irish bred winners
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/11 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/11 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

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Sat TV Trends: 24th Nov 2018

More excellent jumping action at Ascot and Haydock this Saturday with the ITV cameras heading to both tracks. The Betfair Chase is the highlight from Haydock at 3.00, while the main event at Ascot is the Christy 1965 Chase – As always, we are on hand with all the trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.05 - Christy 1965 Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f8y ITV

14/15 – Aged 8 or younger
13/15 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
12/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/15 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
10/15 – Favourites placed
10/15 – Won by a French-bred horse
10/15 – Had won over this trip (fences) 2m5f or further before
10/15 – Ran at Aintree (3) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
9/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
9/15 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
8/15 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
6/15 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
6/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Aged 5 years-old
3/15 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/15 – Won by trainer Alan King
2/15 – Won by trainer Philip Hobbs
2/15 – Went onto win at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Albertas Run & Vautour, RyanAir Chase 2009 & 2016)
Top Notch won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2

Note: The 2002 running was at Wincanton and the 2004 renewal at Windsor

 

 

2.40 - Coral Hurdle (Registered As The Ascot Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV

16/16 – Priced 7/2 or less
14/16 – Won over at least 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
14/16 – Won a Grade 2 (or better) hurdle race previously
13/16 – Won by and Irish (10) or French (3) bred horse
12/16 – Favourites placed
10/16 – Won their latest race
10/16 – Won by a horse aged 7 or older
10/16 – Won a Grade 1 hurdle race previously
10/16 – Had their last race 3 months or longer ago
9/16 – Favourites that won (2 joint)
9/16 – Won between 3-5 times over hurdles previously
6/16 – Went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle after winning this (1 won)
5/16 – Went onto race in the Champion Hurdle that same season (4 of 5 finished 4th or better, Faugheen won both in 2014-15)
5/16 – Won a hurdles race at Ascot previously
4/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
4/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
2/16 – Won by the Willie Mullins stable
4 of the last 12 winners were Irish-trained
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/4
Lil Rockerfeller won the race in 2017
Note: the 2004 & 2005 renewals were at Windsor

 

3.15 – Gerard Bertrand Hurst Handicap Chase Cl2 2m192y ITV

11/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Aged between 6 and 9 years-old
11/12 – Had won over fences over this trip (or further) before
9/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Carried 11-0 or more
9/12 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
8/12 – Rated 142 or higher
7/12 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
6/12 – Ran at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
6/12 – Had raced at Ascot before
6/12 – Placed favourites
4/12 – Placed horses from the Paul Nicholls yard
4/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Aged 6 years-old
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/12 – Trained by Gary Moore

 

 

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Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 - Betfair Best Odds On ITV Races Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m3f ITV

7 previous runnings
6/7 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
6/7 – Irish bred
6/7 – Had won between 1-2 times before
6/7 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/7 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
5/7 – Had won over at least 2m2f before
5/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
2/7 – Winning favourites
3/7 – Ridden by a conditional claiming jockey
Limited Reserve won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 7/1

 

2.25 - Betfair Exchange Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV

12/13– Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
12/13 – Had won between 1-3 times (hurdles UK) before
11/13 – Carried 10-9 or more
11/13 – Rated between 132 and 143
8/13 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (no winners)
7/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
7/13 – Placed favourites
7/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/13 – French bred
5/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/13 – Trained by David Pipe
2/13 – Trained by Nick Williams
Sam Spinner won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/2

 

3.00 - Betfair Chase (Registered as The Lancashire Chase) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m1f ITV

13 Previous runnings
11/13 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
11/13 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/13 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
10/13 – Won by and Irish (3) or French (7) bred horse
10/13 - Placed in the top three in their last race
10/13 - Won a Grade One chase previously
9/13 - Raced at Haydock previously
9/13 – Favourites placed
8/13 – Aged 8 or older
7/13 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
7/13 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
6/13 – Won by a previous winner of the race
6/13 – Winning favourites
5/13 – Won their latest race
3/13 - Raced at Aintree last time out
The average winning price in the last 11 runnings is 11/2
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
Ruby Walsh has ridden the winner in 2006, 2009, 2011, 2012

 

3.35 – Better Value On The Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase Cl2 3m24y ITV

11/11 – Aged 9 or younger
10/11 – French (4) or Irish (6) bred
9/11 – Carried 11-1 or more
9/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Had won 2-3 times over fences before
8/11 – Had won over at least 3m (chase) before
7/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/11 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
4/11 – Carried 11-11 or more in weight
4/11 –Winning distance – head or shorter
4/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/11 – Winning favourites
Chase The Spud won the race in 2017

 

 

 

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Cheltenham TV Trends: Sunday 18th Nov 2018

Another big day ahead for the ITV racing team this Sunday as they take in four races from Cheltenham on the final day of their three-day November Meeting.

As always we’ll have all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle - use these to find the best profiles of past winners.

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends

1.50 – Racing Post Arkle Trophy Trial Novices´ Chase (Registered as The November Novices´ Chase) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

15/16 – Placed in the top three in their last race
14/16 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
14/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
14/16 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
14/16 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Raced (hurdles or fences) at Cheltenham previously
13/16 – Favourites placed
13/16 – Raced just once previously over fences
10/16 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
10/16 – Won their latest race
10/16 – Won previously over fences
9/16 – Ran in the Arkle Chase at the Festival later that season (1 won, Azertyuiop, 2002)
9/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (inc last 6 of last 10 years)
9/16 – Favourites that won
7/16 – Won by a French bred
4/16 – Won by Irish bred
4/16 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
4/16 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Won by a German bred
3/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/16 – Fell in the Arkle Chase later that season
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/8

2.25 – Shloer Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV

9 previous runnings
8/9 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Officially rated 150+
7/9 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
7/9 – Won on seasonal reappearance
7/9 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
7/9 – Aged 7 or older
7/9 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
6/9 – Failed to win last time out
6/9 – Went onto run in the Champion Chase (1 winner, Sprinter Sacre 2015)
5/9 – Carried 11-0 to win
5/9 – Won by a horse aged 8 or older
4/9 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/9 – Favourites that won
3/9 – German bred
3/9 – Raced at Aintree last time out
Fox Norton won the 2016 and 2017 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/2

3.00 – Unibet Greatwood Hurdle (A Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y ITV

14/16 – Had won a 2m1f (or further) hurdles race before
14/16 – Had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
13/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/16 – Officially rated 140 or higher
11/16 – Had a recent run (within the last 6 weeks)
11/16 – Finished in the top two last time out
11/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Had run at Cheltenham before
10/16 – Had run 6 or less times over hurdles
9/16 –  Winning distance – 2 lengths or further
8/16 – Carried 11-4 or more
7/16 – Placed favourites
7/16 – Came from the first three in the betting
7/16 – Won their previous race
6/16 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/16 – Winners that carried 11-12
4/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/16 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Winning favourites
1/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
6 of the last 9 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle

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3.30 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Sharp Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m110y ITV

14/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/14 – Won last time out
12/14 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles
12/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
10/14 – Favourites that finished in the top three
10/14 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
8/14 – Carried 11-7 in weight
8/14 – Had won a NH Flat race before
8/14 – Went onto run in that season’s Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (1 winner, Altior)
8/14 – Aged 5 years-old
7/14 – Irish bred
5/14 – Aged 4 years-old
4/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/14 – Won by the Nicholls stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 17th Nov 2018

A huge day up at Cheltenham this Saturday with the BetVictor Gold Cup the feature racethe ITV cameras are at Prestbury Park to take in four of the races, plus are also covering two at Lingfield.

As always we've got all the key trends & stats to help you whittle down the runners.

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

12.40 - JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial (Registered as The Prestbury Juvenile Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m87y RUK

13/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/13 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles before
11/13 – Never raced at Cheltenham before
10/13 – Returned 4/1 or shorter
10/13 – Won last time out
8/13 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
9/13 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Went onto race in that seasons Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
9/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 2
7/13 – Winning favourites
5/13 – Irish bred
5/13 – Went onto finish 1st or 2nd in the Triumph Hurdle
4/13 – German bred
3/13 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/13 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/13 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/13 – Trained by Alan King
2/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/13 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/13 – Went onto win the Triumph Hurdle (Defi Du Seuill 2017, Katchit 2006)
Owner JP McManus has won the last two runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

1.15 - mallardjewellers.com Novices´ Chase Cl2 3m80y RUK

13/13 – Had won a race over at least 2m4f (fences) before
11/13 – Aged 7 or younger
11/13 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
10/13 – Raced no more than twice over fences
10/13 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
9/13 – Won between 0-1 times over fences before
8/13 – Aged 6 years-old
8/13 – Raced at Cheltenham (3), Aintree (2) or Wetherby (2) last time out
7/13 – Went onto run in the RSA Chase (no winners)
7/13 – Won last time out
7/13 – Irish bred
5/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Trained by David Pipe
3/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/13 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 4/1

1.50 - BetVictor Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m3f110y ITV

15/16 – Had won a 3m+ race over fences before
14/16 – Had run at Cheltenham before
13/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Aged 8 or younger
11/16 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
10/16  – Had won between 3 and 5 times over fences before
9/16 – Irish bred
9/16 – Ran within the last month
8/16 – Officially rated between 135 and 146
8/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
7/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/16  – Ran at either Cheltenham (4) or Sandown (2) last time out
6/16 – French bred
3/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/16 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/16 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien (2 of last 5 years)
Perfect Candidate (7/1) won the race last year
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

2.25 – BetVictor Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f110y ITV

16/16 – Had run at Cheltenham before
15/16 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
15/16 – Won by a UK-based trainer
12/16 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had won at Cheltenham before
11/16 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
11/16 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
11/16 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (2) or Twiston-Davies (3)
10/16 – Carried 10-13 or less (But 4 of the last 6 carried 10-13 or more)
10/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/16 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
8/16 – Aged 7 years-old
8/16 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
7/16 – Placed favourites
5/16 – Won their last race
4/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/16 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/16 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/16 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/16 – Irish-trained winners
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 9 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 34 runners
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 10.5/1

3.00 – Regulatory Finance Solutions Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f67y ITV

14/16 – Aged 7 or younger
13/16 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
13/16 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
12/16 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
12/16 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
11/16 – Officially rated 126 to 137
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16  – Ran at either Cheltenham (5), Aintree (3) or Chepstow (3) last time out
10/16 – Irish bred
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Ran within the last month
7/16 – Won their last race
8/16 – Had run at Cheltenham before
6/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/16 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/16 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
4 of the last 10 winners have had a claiming jockey riding
Anteros won the race in 2016 & was second in 2017

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3.30 - BetVictor Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f26y ITV

12/13 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
12/13 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
11/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/13 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
8/13 – Returned a double-figure price
7/13 – Favourites unplaced
6/13 – Carried 10-13 or less
6/13 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a race at the Cheltenham Festival
6/13 – Had run at Cheltenham before
7/13 – Irish bred winners
5/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – French bred winners
2/13 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10.5/1
2 of the last 6 winners went onto be placed in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
2 of the last 10 winners went onto be placed in the Ladbrokes World Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season

 

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

2.45 – Betway Churchill Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

10/12 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Rated between 103 and 112
9/12 – Favourites placed in the top two
8/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/12 – Placed last time out
9/12 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/12 – Won between 1-4 times before
8/12 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
4/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

3.15 – Betway Golden Rose Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

11/11 – Previous winner over 6f or 7f
10/11 – Aged 4 or older
10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
10/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
9/11 – Won 5 or more times before
8/11 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
7/11 – Unplaced last time out
7/11 – Unplaced favourites
4/11 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/11 – Winning favourites
Gifted Master (9/2) won the race last year
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

 

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