Sat TV Trends: 29th July 2017

Another big Saturday of horse racing action with the ITV cameras heading to Ascot for four races that include the Group One King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes, while they are also at York to take in three more contests that include the Skybet Dash.

As always, we’ve got is all covered with all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle.

 

 

Saturday 29th July 2017

 

ASCOT Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.50 – Princess Margaret Juddmonte Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

12/14 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Had won just once before
11/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
10/14 – Foaled in either Feb or March
9/14 – Won over 6f before
8/14 – Winning favourite
5/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Won by the Hannon yard
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
5 of the last 11 winners were Irish bred
7 of the last 11 horses from stall 1 were placed
4 of the last 6 winners came from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2
Fair Eva (4/6 fav) won the race 12 months ago
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

 2.25 – Porsche Handicap Cl2 1m ITV

Only 6 previous runnings
5/6 – Carried 8-8 or more
5/6 – Winners between stalls 9-15
5/6 – Had won just once before
3/6 – Won last time out
4/6 – Unplaced favourites
3/6 – Returned 10/1 or bigger in the betting
3/6 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/6 – Irish bred
1/6 – Winning favourite
Mustashry (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race 12 months ago
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2014
Trainer Hughie Morrison won the race in 2012

 3.00 – Gigaset International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

14/14 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
14/14 – Had raced at Ascot previously
14/14 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
11/14 – Won over 7f previously
11/14 – Favourites unplaced
11/14 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
10/14 – Won between 2-4 times previously
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
9/14 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
9/14 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
9/14 – Aged 4 years-old
5/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/14 – Won their last race
4/14 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/14 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/14 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/14 – Ridden by Jimmy Quinn
1/14 – Favourites
Librisa Bereeze (4/1 fav) won the race 12 months ago
8 of the last 10 winners ran at either Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
7 of the last 10 winners came from a double-figure stall
7 of the last 10 winners finished in the top 5 last time out
Heavens Guest won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 21/1
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

 

3.35 – King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Qipco British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f ITV

15/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/15 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
14/15 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
13/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Placed last time out
11/15 – Previous Group 1 winner
9/15 – Had run Ascot before
8/15 – Won their previous race
7/15 – Favourites that won
7/15 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
5/15 – Won at Ascot before
3/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009 & 2010
Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 7/2

YORK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – Win £10,000 for Free At sportinglife.com/pick7 Now Handicap Cl2 7f ITV

9/9 – Carried 9-3 or more
8/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
8/9 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
7/9 – Had won over 7f before
7/9 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/9 – Had won at York before
4/9 – Rated between 73 and 80
4/9 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
3/9 – Returned 4/1 in the betting
2/9 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/9 – Won by the David O’Meara yard
1/9 – Won last time out
Get Knotted (11/2) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1

 

2.40 – Sky Bet Dash (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

13/13 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/13 – Carried 8-12 or more
12/13 – Had won between 2-6 times before
12/13 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Aged 5 or younger
10/13 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
9/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/13 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
7/13 – Had run at York before
6/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/13 – Won last time out
8 of the last 11 winners carried 9-0 or more
Kimberella (9/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

3.15 – Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
10/11 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
9/11 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
8/11 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
8/11 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Had won at least 4 times before
7/11 – Rated between 112 and 117
6/11 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/11 – Had run at York before
5/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Aged 6 years-old
2/11 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Time Test (1/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

 

 

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Glorious Goodwood Trends: DAY ONE (Tues 1st Aug 2017)

It's panama hats, pimms, plus strawberries and cream galore at the start of August with the 5-day Glorious Goodwood Meeting (Tues 1st to Sat 5th Aug). As always, the West Sussex track can expect monster crowds throughout the week with a whole host of top-notch contests each day for punters to get stuck into.

So we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

We get going on Day One with four LIVE ITV races, including the Vintage Stakes and Lennox Stakes, plus the recently upgraded Group One Goodwood Cup.

 

DAY ONE - Tuesday 1st August 2017

1.50 – Matchbook Betting Exchange Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m1f192y ITV

14/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
13/15 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
13/15 – Had won at least 3 times already during their career
12/15 – Carried 8-11 or more
11/15 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Had run at Goodwood before
10/15 – Unplaced favourites
10/15 – Unplaced last time out
9/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/15 – Won their last race
2/15 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/15 – Winning favourites (1 co-fav)
Fire Fighting (8/1 co-fav) won the race 12 months ago
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 9 or higher
8 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure stall
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1

2.25 - Qatar Vintage Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

14/15 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
14/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/15 – Had 2 or 3 previous career runs
11/15 – Won last time out
10/15 – Won by a March or later foal
10/15 – Placed favourites
9/15 – Winning favourites
8/15 – Ran at either Newmarket (5) or Ascot (2) last time out
7/15 – Had won 2 previous races
4/15 – Had run at Goodwood before
4/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon
3/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3 of the last 8 winners came from stall 9
War Decree (6/4 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

 

3.00 - Qatar Lennox Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

15/15 – Had won at least 2 times before
14/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Had 2 or more previous runs already that season
12/15 – Had won over 7f before
12/15 – Previous Group Race winners
11/15 – Had previously won a Group 2 or 3
10/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/15 – Had run at Goodwood before
7/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/15 - Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The last 8 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
3 of the last 6 winners came from stall 5
Dutch Connection (9/4 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

3.35 – Qatar Goodwood Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 2m ITV

13/15 – Placed last time out
12/15 – Aged 5 or older
11/15 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
11/15 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
10/15 – Had won over at least 2m before
8/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
9/15 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Had run at Goodwood before
8/15 – Winning favourites
7/15 – Won their previous race
4/15 – Won by Godolphin
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/15 – Trained by Michael Bell
Big Orange (11/4) has won the race for the last 2 years
10 of the last 11 winners came from stall 10 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

 

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Glorious Goodwood Trends: DAY TWO (Weds 2nd Aug 2017)

It's panama hats, pimms, plus strawberries and cream galore at the start of August with the 5-day Glorious Goodwood Meeting (Tues 1st to Sat 5th Aug). As always, the West Sussex track can expect monster crowds throughout the week with a whole host of top-notch contests each day for punters to get stuck into.

So, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

We get going on Day TWO with four LIVE ITV races, including the Molecomb Stakes, plus the Group One Sussex Stakes which is set-up to be a fascinating clash between recent Queen Anne Stakes winner - Ribchester and this season's 2,000 Guineas winner - Churchill.

 

DAY TWO - Wednesday 2nd August 2017

 

1.50 – Matchbook Betting Exchange Goodwood Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 2m5f ITV

15/15 – Aged 7 or younger
13/15 – Had 3+ runs already that season
12/15 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat
10/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/15 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat
9/15 – Had run at Goodwood before
8/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Carried 9-0 or more
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/15 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Star Rider (11/1) won the race 12 months ago
3 of the last 6 winners came from stall 20
8 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure stall
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 14/1

2.25 – The Better Odds with Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Stakes Cl2 1m4f ITV

13/13 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/13 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
10/13 – Winning favourites
9/13 – Rated between 85-93
8/13 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
8/13 – Won over 1m4f previously
6/13 – Came from outside the top 3 in the market
5/13 – Won their last race
4/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13– Trained by Mark Johnston
1/13 – Favourites
Dal Harraild (5/1) won the race 12 months ago
8 of the last 11 winners came from stall 10 or lower
Horses from stall 10 have won 2 of the last 11 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 8/1

 

3.00 – The Bombay Sapphire Molecomb Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f ITV

13/15 – Had won over 5f before
12/15 – Had won between 1-2 times before
12/15 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
12/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
10/15 – Winning distance – 1 lengths or less
10/15 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
8/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/15 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
Horse from stall 1 has finished in the top 3 in 6 of the last 8 runnings
Yalta (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

 

3.35 – Qatar Sussex Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

16/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/16 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Won over 1m before
13/16 – Had won 4 or more times during their career
12/16 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
11/16 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
11/16 – Has Won a Group One previously
10/16 – Winning favourites
9/16 – Aged 3 years-old
4/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/16 – Aged 4 years-old
3/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Just 1 winner from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
7 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 3-5 (inc)
The Gurkha (1st 11/8 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/8

 

 

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Glorious Goodwood Trends: DAY THREE (Thurs 3rd Aug 2017)

It's panama hats, pimms, plus strawberries and cream galore at the start of August with the 5-day Glorious Goodwood Meeting (Tues 1st to Sat 5th Aug). As always, the West Sussex track can expect monster crowds throughout the week with a whole host of top-notch contests each day for punters to get stuck into.

So, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

We continue on Day THREE with four LIVE ITV races, including the Richmond Stakes, Lillie Langtry Stakes, plus the Group One Nassau Stakes for fillies and mares.


 

DAY THREE - Thursday 3rd August 2017

 

1.50 – Matchbook Betting Exchange Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m1f192y ITV

14/14 – Had won between 1-3 times before
13/14 – Winning distance – 1 ¾ lengths or less
13/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Rated between 91-99
11/14 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
10/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/14 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
9/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
6/14 – Had raced at Goodwood before
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Trained by Mark Johnston (2 of last 4 runnings)
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
2/14 – Ridden by William Buick
No winner from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
Stall 14 has been placed in 5 of the last 11 runnings
7 of the last 11 winners came from stall 10 or lower
5 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 4-7 (inc)
You’re Hired (9/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

2.25 – Markel Insurance Fillies’ Stakes (Registered As The Lillie Langtry Stakes) (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m6f ITV

12/14 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
11/14 – Had raced 2 or more times already that season
11/14 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/14 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
8/14 – Had run at Goodwood before
7/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
8 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 4-6 (inc)
California (9/2) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

3.00 – Qatar Richmond Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

14/15 – Had won 1 or 2 races before
14/15 – Had won over 5 or 6f before
13/15 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
12/15 – Never raced at Goodwood before
12/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Placed last time out
10/15 – Won by a Feb or March foal
10/15 – Won their previous race
8/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon (inc last 6 of last 8 runnings)
2/15 – Trained by Peter Chapple-Hyam
3 of the last 11 winners came from stall 2
7 of the last 11 horses from stall 2 finished in the top 3
3 of the last 11 winners came from stall 6
10 of the last 11 winners came from stall 2-7 (inc)
Mehmas (7/2) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

3.35 – Qatar Nassau Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f192y ITV

13/13 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the market
12/13 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/13 – Aged either 3 or 4 years-old
10/13 – Winning Favourites
10/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/13 – Had won over 1m2f previously
9/13 – Had won a Group One race previously
9/13 – Won between 2-4 times before
3/13 – Ridden by Tom Queally
3/13 – Won by the Aidan O’Brien yard
2/13 – Won by the Sir Michael Stoute yard
Minding (1/5 fav) won the race 12 months ago
8 of the last 11 winners were drawn 7 or lower
Stalls 1, 6 and 7 have won 7 of the last 11 renewals
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

 

 

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Glorious Goodwood Trends: DAY FOUR (Fri 4th Aug 2017)

It's panama hats, pimms, plus strawberries and cream galore at the start of August with the 5-day Glorious Goodwood Meeting (Tues 1st to Sat 5th Aug). As always, the West Sussex track can expect monster crowds throughout the week with a whole host of top-notch contests each day for punters to get stuck into.

So, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

We continue on Day FOUR with four LIVE ITV races, including the Glorious Stakes, Betfred Mile, plus the Group Two King George Stakes.


 

DAY FOUR - Friday 4th August 2017

 

1.50 - Betfred Glorious Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

15/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Winners by 1 ½ lengths or less
11/15 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
11/15 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
9/15 – Had won at Listed or better class before
9/15 – Had run at Goodwood before (4 won)
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Aged 4 years-old
7/15 – Unplaced last time out
7/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
7/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Were won by either a head or neck
4/15 – Trained by Luca Cumani
4/15 - Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
7 of the last 11 winners came from stall 5 or higher
Horses from stall 1 placed in 7 of the last 8 runnings (2 wins)
Kings Fete (5/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 5/1

 

2.25 – Bonhams Thoroughbred Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m ITV

14/15 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
13/15 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
11/15 – Had not won a Group 3 or better before
11/15 – Had won at least twice during their career
11/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/15 – Ran at either Newbury (2), Goodwood (2) or Newmarket (3) last time out
5/15 – Had run at Goodwood before
4/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Trained by Brian Meehan
2/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Thikriyaat (9/4 fav) won the race 12 months ago
6 of the last 7 winners came from stalls 1-3 (inc)
The last 10 winners came from stalls 1-6 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

Note: 2012 was a dead-heat

3.00 - Betfred Mile (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
14/15 – Had won over at least 1m before
14/15 – Had raced 3 or more times that season
12/15 – Had won 3 or more races during their career
10/15 – Carried 8-13 or less
10/15 – Never raced at Goodwood before
9/15 –Priced 7/1 or shorter
9/15 – Aged  4 or 5 years-old
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
7/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Won their last race
3/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Belgian Bill won the race in 2015
Red Avenger won the race in 2014
10 of the last 12 winners were drawn 9 or lower
10 of the last 12 runnings saw the first two both drawn in 11 or lower
Frankin D (7/4 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 12/1

3.35 - Qatar King George Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV

15/15 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Had won over 5f before
13/15 – Didn’t win last time out
12/15 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
12/15 – Had won 4 or more times in their careers
11/15 – Ran at York, Ascot or Newmarket last time out
9/15 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
9/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Had run at Goodwood before
6/15 – Had only won at Listed Class before
5/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Take Cover (8/1) won the race in 2014 & 2016
7 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
Horses from stall 4 and 8 have won 4 of the last 10 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

 

 

 

 

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Glorious Goodwood Trends: DAY FIVE (Sat 5th Aug 2017)

It's panama hats, pimms, plus strawberries and cream galore at the start of August with the 5-day Glorious Goodwood Meeting (Tues 1st to Sat 5th Aug). As always, the West Sussex track can expect monster crowds throughout the week with a whole host of top-notch contests each day for punters to get stuck into.

So, we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

We continue on Day FIVE with four LIVE ITV races, including the Gordon Stakes and the super-competitive Stewards' Cup.


 

DAY FIVE - Saturday 5th August 2017

 

 

1.50 – Qatar Stewards’ Sprint Stakes Handicap (Consolation Race for the Qatar Stewards’ Cup) (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f

13/13 – Didn’t win their last race
12/13 – Raced at Goodwood previously
12/13 – Had won over 6f previously
11/13 – Won at least 3 times during their career
10/13 – Had 4 or more runs that season
9/13 – Finished 4th or worse in their last race
9/13 – Favourites unplaced
8/13 – Priced between 8/1 and 12/1 in the market
7/13 – Winning Distance - 1 ¼ lengths or more
7/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
6/13 – Raced at either York (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
3/13 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/13 – Favourites (none in the last 11 years)
0/13 – 3 year-old winners
Hoof It (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
The last 11 winners carried 9-0 or more
8 of the last 11 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-5
No winner from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
Horse from stall 3 has won 2 of the last 8 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 14/1

2.25 – The Qatar Summer Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

13/14 – Had won at least twice before
12/14 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
12/14 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
11/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
9/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Rated between 90-100
9/14 – Carried 9-7 or more
8/14 – Came from the top three in the betting
8/14 – Placed favourites
4/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/14 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/14 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
No winner from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
Horses from stalls 12, 13 & 14 have good e/w records in recent years
7 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 10-14 (inc)
Elidor (16/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

3.00 – Qatar Gordon Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

14/14 – Won between 1-3 times before
13/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/14 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
10/14 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/14 – Winning distance – neck or shorter
7/14 – Went onto run in the St Leger
6/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda
2/14 – Went onto win the St Leger
The last 10 winners came from stalls 4-10 (inc)
The horse from stall 7 has won 4 of the last 10 runnings
Horses from stalls 4,7 & 10 have won 8 of the last 10 runnings
Ulysses (9/2) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

3.35 – Qatar Cup (Stewards´ Cup) (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

14/14 – Aged 6 or younger
14/14 – Had won over 6f before
13/14 – Had at least 3 previous career wins to their name
13/14 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
10/14 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
10/14 – Placed favourites (top 4)
10/14 – Raced at either Ascot, York or Newmarket last time out
10/14 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
7/14 – Raced at Goodwood before
5/14 – Favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
2/14 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/14 – William Haggas
2/14 – Winning 3 year-olds
Dancing Star (9/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago
8 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure draw
Stall 18 has won 2 of the last 10 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/1

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 22nd July 2017

As always Andy Newton’s got all the trends for Saturday’s LIVE ITV TV races  - this weekend the action comes from Newmarket, Market Rasen & Newbury - with the Wetherbys Super Sprint and the Market Rasen Summer Plate and Hurdle the features.

 

 

Saturday 22nd July 2017

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.40 - BetBright Aphrodite Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV3

12/13 – Won over at least 1m2f or further before
11/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
8/13 – Won between 1-2 times before
6/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/13 - Winning favourite
4/13 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by John Gosden
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.50 – Bathwick Tyres Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-110) 7f ITV3

Only 2 previous runnings
Both winners aged 4+ years-old
No winning favourite
Both winners returned between 11/2 and 9/1 in the betting
Both winners carried 9-0 or more in the betting
Trainer Mark Johnston is only 1 from 29 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Marco Botti is only 1 from 36 with his 3 year-olds at the track

2.25 – bet365 Stakes (Registered as The Steventon Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV3

9/13 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/13 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
9/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or  more
8/13 – Had run at the track before
8/13 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/13 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/13 – Had won a Group race before
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 8 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1
Scottish won the race 12 months ago

3.00 – bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f8y ITV3

12/13 – Won over 6f before
10/13 – Aged 5 or younger
10/13 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Had won 4 or more times before
9/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Placed favourites
6/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/13 – Had won a Group race before
5/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Winners from stall 8
2/13 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
1/13 – Winners from stall 1
The Tin Man won the race 12 months ago
7 of the last 10 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2

3.35 - Weatherbys Super Sprint (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 5f34y ITV3

12/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/13 – Had won over 5f before
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/13 – Won 1-2 times before
8/13 – Favourites placed in the top 4
7/13 – Won by a Feb or March foal
6/13 – Irish bred horses
6/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
6/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Won by a filly
4/13 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
3/13 – Winners from stall 1
4/13 – Winning favourites
Mrs Danvers won the race 12 months ago
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2013 and 2015
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1

Market Rasen Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

 

2.10 - Betfred TV Summer Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV3

14/15 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
14/15 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
12/15 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
11/15 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
9/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/15 – Had run at Market Rasen before
3/15 – Ridden by Denis O’Regan
2/15 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Winning favourites
The last 11 winners carried 11-5 or less
8 of the last 11 winners carried 11-0 or less
6 of the last 11 winners retuned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
Red Tornado won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

3.20 - Betfred Summer Plate (Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m6f110y ITV3

15/15 – Had run within the last 3 months
13/15 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
13/15 – Aged 7 or older
11/15 – Had won 2 or more chases before
11/15 – Carried 10-13 or less
9/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/15 – Had run at Market Rasen before
8/15 – Won their previous race
6/15 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
4/15 – Trained by Peter Bowen
4/15 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/15 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/15 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 7)
Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
Long House Hall won the race in 2017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 15th July 2017

It’s the final day of the three-day Newmarket July Meeting today and the ITV cameras are there to take in the best of the action, plus they are also at York and Ascot on what is a bumper Saturday of flat horse racing.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with all the key trends and stats – use these to find the best profiles of past winners of each race.

 

 

Saturday 15th July 2017

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV and RUK)

2.50 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

14/15 – Had won over 7f or further previously
12/15 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
11/15 – Had 2 or more runs that season
8/15 – Unplaced in their last race
8/15 – Favourites unplaced
7/15 – Winners from stall 9 or higher
3/15 – Won their last race
3/15 – Winning Favourites
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Ridden by Dane O’Neill
Von Blucher (7/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 10/1

3.25 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

14/15 – Won over 7f previously
14/15 – Raced 3 or more times that season
11/15 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
10/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
10/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
8/15 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
8/15 – Winners from stall 14 or higher
7/15 – Horses from a double-figure stall that 1st, 2nd and 3rd
7/15 – Placed in their last race
4/15 – Favourites (inc joint and co)
3/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Golden Steps (7/1 jfav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11.5/1
Heaven’s Guest won the race in 2014 & was second in 2016

4.00 - Bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

14/15 – Won over at least 6f previously
13/15 – Placed in their last race
12/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
11/15 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
10/15 – Won their latest race
10/15 – Won by either a March or April foal
8/15 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
6/15 – Favourites unplaced
4/15 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/15 – Winners from stall 3
4/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon
4/15 – Winning Favourites
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 4 runnings)
2/15 – Trained by Mick Channon
Boynton (7/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

4.35 - Darley July Cup (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

Recent July Cup Winners.....

2016 – Limato (9/2 fav)
2015     Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014     Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013     Lethal Force (9/2)
2012     Mayson (20/1)
2011  Dream Ahead (7/1)
2010  Starspangledbanner (2/1 fav)
2009  Fleeting Spirit (12/1)
2008  Marchand d'Or  (5/2 fav)
2007  Sakhee's Secret  (9/2)
2006  Les Arcs (10/1)
2005  Pastoral Pursuits (22/1)
2004  Frizzante (14/1)
2003  Oasis Dream (9/2)
2002  Continent (12/1)

15 Year July Cup Betting Trends

14/15 – Aged 5 or younger
13/15 – Had won over 6f before
12/15 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
12/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
12/15 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
11/15 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
9/15 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
9/15 – Placed last time out
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
6/15 – Won their previous race
5/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
2/15 – Irish-trained winners
1/15 – French-trained winners
Limato (9/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 3 times before (1999, 2001 & 2010)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 8/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968

 

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.55 - John Smith´s Racing Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

13/13 – Ran within the last 3 weeks
12/13 – Had won over at least 1m before
12/13 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
10/13 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
10/13 – Had won between 2-4 times before
9/13 – Rated 90 or less
9/13 – Placed last time out
8/13 – Priced between 7/1 and 14/1
8/13 – Winning distance – ¾ or less
8/13 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Won by a USA-bred horse
4/13 – Had raced at York before
3/14 – Winning favourites
9 of the last 11 winners came from stall 7 or lower
5 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 2 or 3
Home Cummins (20/1) won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

2.30 - John Smith´s Silver Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m6f ITV

11/11 – Aged 5 or younger
11/11 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
10/11 – Won from stall 10 or lower
9/11 – Didn’t win their previous race
7/11 – Aged 4 years-old
7/11 – Placed favourites
6/11 – Carried 9-5 or less
6/11 – Had run at York before
4/11 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
4/11 – Luca Cumani-trained horses that finished in the top three
4/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1
Pamona (20/1) won the race in 2016

3.05 – 58th John Smith´s Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m2f88y ITV

Recent John Smith’s Cup Winners

2016 – Educate (18/1) Ismail Mohammed
2015 – Master Carpenter (14/1) Rod Millman
2014 – Farraaj (6/1) Roger Varian
2013 – Danchai (10/1) William Haggas
2012 – King’s Warrior (10/1) Peter Chapple-Hyam
2011 – Green Destiny (6/1) W Haggas
2010 – Wigmore Hall (5/1) M Bell
2009 – Sirvino (16/1) T Barron
2008 – Flying Clarets (12/1) R Fahey
2007 – Charlie Tokyo (11/1) R Fahey
2006 – Fairmile (6/1 jfav) W Swinburn
2005 – Mullins Bay (4/1 fav) AP O’Brien
2004 – Arcalis (20/1) J Howard Johnson
2003 -  Far Lane (7/1) B Hills
2002 – Vintage Premium (20/1) R Fahey

John Smith’s Cup Key Trends

14/15 – Aged 5 or younger
14/15 – Returned 20/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
12/15 – Came from stall 9 or higher
11/15 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
10/15 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Carried 9-2 or less
9/15 – Top 3 finish in their previous race
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
7/15 – Officially rated between 99-105
7/15 – Had run at York before
4/15 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
3/15 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 11/1

4.15 - John Smith´s City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

Only 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Won over 5f before
6/6 – Placed favourites
6/6 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
6/6 – Rated between 101 and 110
4/6 – Had only won at Handicap class before
4/6 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
4/6 – Unplaced last time out
4/6 – Won by a neck
3/6 – Won at York before
2/6 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/6 – Ridden by Phillip Makin
Marsha (5/1) won the race in 2016
Out Do won the race in 2015

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.10 - Totescoop6 Heritage Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

Just 3 previous running
4/4 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
3/4 – Carried 8-10 or more
2/4 – Aged 4 years-old
Royal Birth (8/1 co-fav) won the race 12 months ago

3.50 - Fred Cowley MBE Memorial Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV

10/10 Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
9/10 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
8/10 – Had won over at least a mile before
8/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/10 – Had raced at Ascot before (1 won)
7/10 – Placed favourites
6/10 – Previous Group race winner
5/10 – Had won at least 4 times before
5/10 – Aged 4 years-old
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Had won a Group 1 before
3/10 – Raced at Ascot last time out
Mutakayyef (7/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

 

 

 

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Newmarket July Meeting Trends: DAY TWO (Fri 14th July 2017)

The three-day 2017 Newmarket July Meeting continues on Friday (14th July) and with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle.

As we move into the second day (Gentleman's Day) the Group Two Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Cherry Hinton) and the Group One Falmouth Stakes take centre stage - did you know 14 of the last 15 Falmouth Stakes winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old

As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races, highlighting the main trends – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

 


Newmarket July Meeting - Day Two,
Friday 14th July 2017

 

1.50 – bet365 Handicap (Silver Bunbury Cup) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

Only two previous runnings
Swift Approval won the race 12 months ago
Both previous winners were aged 4 years-old
Both previous winners carried 9-4 or more in weight
1 winning favourite
Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton  is 2 from 4 with her older horses at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 26% record with his older horses (4+ year-olds) at the track
Trainer Brian Meehan is 2 from 7 with his older horses at the track

 

2.25 - Duchess of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored by Bet365) (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV

13/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/13 – Had raced at least twice before
12/13 – Foaled in Feb (6) or March (6)
12/13 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
12/13 – Had won between 1-2 times before
11/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Won by a UK-based yard
10/13 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
9/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
8/13 – Had won over 6f before
7/13 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
6/13 – Winning favourites
6/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by the Hannon team
2/13 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (4 wins in total)
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
1/13 – Drawn in stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2
Roly Poly (Aidan O’Brien) won the race in 2016 (6/1)

3.00 - bet354 Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV

9/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Had won between 1-2 times beforw
8/10 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
8/10 – Have never run at Newmarket (July) before
7/10 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Placed in the top 6 last time out
6/10 – Unplaced favourites
5/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/10 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
5/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston (including last 4 runnings)
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by Andrew Balding
0/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1

3.35 - Qipco Falmouth Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

15/15 – Won a Listed or better class race previously
14/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/145– Won over at least 1 mile previously
11/15 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
11/15 – Won from stall 5 or lower
11/15 – Had 2+ runs that season
10/15 – Won at 13/2 or shorter in the betting
8/15 – Favourites placed
5/15 – Previous Group One winners
5/15 – Had run on the Newmarket July course previously
5/15 – Favourites  that won (1 joint)
4/15 – Won their last race
2/15 – French-trained winners
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
Alice Springs (Aidan O’Brien) won the race in 2016 (5/2)

 



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Sat TV Trends: 8th July 2017

The ITV cameras head to Sandown and Haydock on Saturday 8th July with the Coral-Eclipse, plus the Lancashire Oaks and Old Newton Cup the clear highlights – as always we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle -  As always we've got all the key trends & stats to help you narrow down the fields, and hopefully point you in the direction of a few winners.

 

Saturday 8th July 2017

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

 

1.50 - Coral Charge (Registered as The Sprint Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 5f6y ITV

15/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Favourites placed
12/15 – Had won at least 3 times before
11/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Had won at Sandown before
5/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/15 – Won last time out
6 of the last 11 winners were Irish bred
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
Brando (2/1 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

2.25 – Coral Challenge (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV

14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
13/15 – Carried 8-8 or more
13/15 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
13/15 – Previous winners over 1m (or further)
11/15 – Didn’t win their previous race
10/15 – Placed favourites
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
9/15 – Had run at Sandown before
8/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/15 – Ran at either York (2) or Ascot (4) last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding
9 of the last 11 winners came from stall 8 or lower
Secret Art (16/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

3.00 – Coral Distaff (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m14y ITV

14/14 – Had at least 1 previous run already that season
13/14 – Had never run at Sandown before
12/14 – Had won over 7f or further before
11/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Finished in the top three last time out
7/14 – Favourites that finished in the top three
4/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Light Up Our World (20/1) won the race 12 months ago
The last 11 winners came from stalls 3-8 (inc)
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 3,4,5 or 6
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

3.35 – Coral-Eclipse (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

Eclipse Stakes Past Winners

2016 – Hawkbill (6/1)
2015 – Golden Horn (4/9 fav)
2014 – Mukhadram (14/1)
2013 – Al Kazeem (15/8 fav)
2012 – Nathaniel (7/2)
2011 – So You Think (4/11 fav)
2010 -  Twice Over (13/8 fav)
2009 – Sea The Stars (4/7 fav)
2008 – Mount Nelson (7/2)
2007 – Notnowcato (7/1)
2006 –David Junior (9/4)
2005 –Oratorio (12/1)
2004 –Refuse To Bend (15/2)
2003 –Falbrav (8/1)
2002 – Hawk Wing (8/15 fav)

Eclipse Stakes Betting Trends

15/15 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
13/15 – Won by a previous Group One winner
13/15 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
12/15 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
12/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (three won there)
10/15 – Placed in their last race
7/15 – Favourites that won
5/15 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
4/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/15 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4 of the last 10 winners won last time out
2 of the last 8 Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 9/2

Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994 & 1993
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995 & 2016
Trainer John Gosden has won 2 of the last 5 runnings

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 - bet365 Handicap Cl3 1m2f95y ITV

4 previous runnings
4/4 - Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
4/4 - Carried 9-3 or more
4/4 - Officially rated between 88-94
Wall Of Fire (4/1) won the race 12 months ago
Jockey Andrea Atzeni has ridden 2 of the last 4 winners

2.40 – bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m3f200y ITV

12/15 – Had won at least at Listed class before
12/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/15 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Placed favourites
9/15 – Had won between 1-3 times before
9/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/15 – Trained by John Gosden
5/15 – Had raced at Haydock before
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/15 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/15 – Trained by David Elsworth
2/15 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/15 – Ridden by Jimmy Fortune
Endless Time won the race 12 months ago (11/4 fav)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

Note: The 2007 renewal was staged at Newmarket

3.15 – bet365 Old Newton Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m3f200y ITV

Recent Old Newton Cup Winners

2016 – Tawdeea (8/1)
2015 – Notarised (12/1)
2014 – De Rigueur (9/1)
2013 – Star Lahib (8/1)
2012 – Number Theory (8/1)
2011 – Halicarnassus (14/1)
2010 – Dangerous Midge (17/2)
2009 – Red Merlin (15/2 jfav)
2008 – Mad Rush (5/2 fav)
2007 – Dansili Dancer (15/2)
2006 – Consular (16/1)
2005 – Zeitgeist (9/1)
2004 – Alkaased (7/1)
2003 – Collier Hill (8/1)
2002 – Sun Bird (40/1)

Key Old Newton Cup Betting Trends

13/15 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
13/15 – Aged 5 or younger
13/15 – Won no more than 5 times before
12/15 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/15 – Aged 4 years-old
10/15 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
9/15 – Had won at least 3 times before
9/15 – Raced within the last 7 days
9/15 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/15 – Carried 8-10 or less
8/15 – Irish or USA bred
7/15 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
6/15 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
6/15 – Had won a race at Haydock before
4/15 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/15 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 11/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 1st July 2017

The Northumberland Plate takes centre stage at Newcastle racecourse, while the ITV cameras also head to Newmarket, plus it’s Irish Derby Day over at the Curragh -  As always we've got all the key trends & stats to help you narrow down the fields, and hopefully point you in the direction of a few winners.

 

Saturday 1st July 2017

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV and RUK)

2.05 - Betway Fred Archer Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV

15/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
13/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Had between 0 and 2 previous runs that season
12/15 – Didn’t win their previous race
12/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
9/15 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
9/15 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
7/15 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
3/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/15 – Won by the Kremlin House stable
Bateel (8/11) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2

2.40 – Betway Empress Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

15/15 – Never raced at the track before
13/15 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
13/15 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
9/15 – Didn’t win their previous race
9/15 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs
7/15 – Came from stall 4 or lower
5/15 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time (2 Albany, 3 Queen Mary)
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Trained by the Hannon yard
Nations Alexandar (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

3.15 - Betway Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

13/15 – Won over 7f before
13/15 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
13/15 – Had at least 1 run already that season
11/15 – Aged 5 or younger
10/15 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
10/15 – Finished unplaced last time out
7/15 – Came from stall 3 or lower
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
4/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon (3 of last 6 runnings)
Breton Rock (11/4 fav) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/2

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.50 - Betfred ‘Celebrating 50 Years Of Success’ Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

15/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
12/15 – Had won over 6f before
11/15 – Had won between 1-4 times before
10/15 – Rated 90 or less
10/15 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
9/15 – Carried 9-0 or more
8/15 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
7/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/15 – Had run at Newcastle before
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/15- Ran at York last time out
2/15 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/15 – Won last time out
Amazour (6/1) won the race 12 months ago
11 of the last 13 winners came from stall 7 or HIGHER
6 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 10-15

2.25 - Betfred TV Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

15/15 – Had won over 6f before
14/15 – Unplaced last time out
13/15 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
12/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Has raced within the last 4 weeks
10/15 – Yet to win a Group race
9/15 – Placed favourites
9/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/15 – Aged 5 or older
7/15 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/15 – Had run at Newcastle before
5/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/15 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/15 – Won last time out
Markaz (9/2) won the race 12 months ago
Danzeno won the race in 2014 and was third 12 months ago
9 of the last 13 winners came between stalls 1-5
Just 2 winners from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings (and only 4 horses placed)

3.00 - Betfred Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation Race for the John Smith´s Northumberland Plate) Cl2 2m56y ITV

One previous running
Dannyday (7/2 fav) won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Marco Botti has a 25% record at the track with his older horses
Trainer Keith Dalgleish is only 3 from 53 (6%) with his older horses at the track Jockey
Paul Hanagan has a 20% strike-rate riding older horses at the track Jockey
Paul Mulrennan has just a 5% record riding older horses at the track
Jockey Tom Eaves has just a 4% record riding older horses at the track

3.30 – Stobart Rail Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y ITV

Past Northumberland Plate Winners

2016 – Antiquarium (16/1)
2015 – Quest For More (15/2)
2014 – Angel Gabrial (4/1 fav)
2013 – Tominator (8/1)
2012 – Ile de Re (5/2 fav)
2011 – Tominator (25/1)
2010 – Overturn (14/1)
2009 – Som Tala (16/1)
2008 – Arc Bleu (14/1)
2007 – Juniper Girl (5/1 fav)
2006 – Toldo (33/1)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (14/1)
2004 – Mirjan (33/1)
2003 – Unleash (10/1)
2002 – Bangalore (8/1)

Key Northumberland Plate Trends

14/15  - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
14/15 – Finished fifth or better last time out
13/15 – Came from stall 14 or lower
13/15 – Aged 6 or younger
11/15 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
11/15 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
10/15 – Carried 8-12 or less
9/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/15 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
6/15 – Won by a National Hunt yard
4/15 – Won their previous race
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 9 winners)
3/15 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
2/15 – Trained by Donald McCain
1/15 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 14/1
Note: The 2016 running was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle

Curragh Horse Racing Trends (ATR)

5.20 - Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Filies) 1m4f

Recent Irish Derby Winners

2016 – HARZAND (4/6 fav)
2015 – JACK HOBBS (10/11 fav)
2014 – AUSTRALIA (1/8 fav)
2013 – TRADING LEATHER (6/1)
2012 - CAMELOT  (1/5 fav)
2011 – TREASURE BEACH (7/2)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (7/2)
2009 – FAME AND GLORY (8/11 fav)
2008 – FROZEN FIRE (16/1)
2007 – SOLDIER OF FORTUNE (5/1)
2006 – DYLAN THOMAS (9/2 fav)
2005 – HURRICANE RUN (4/5 fav)
2004 – GREY SWALLOW (10/1)
2003 – ALAMSHAR  (4/1)

Key Irish Derby Betting Trends and Stats

14/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/14 – Had 3 or more wins in their career
12/14 – Won by an Irish-based yard
12/14 – Won a Group race before
12/14 – Favourites that were placed in the top 4
12/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
12/14 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/14 – Failed to win their last race
10/14 – Had never raced at the Curragh before
10/14 – Ran in the Epsom Derby last time out
8/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won it 11 times in all)
7/14 – Placed in the Epsom Derby (3 winners, Harzand, Australia & Camelot)
4/14 – Previous Group 1 winners
2/14 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 4/1

 

 

 

 

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Newmarket July Meeting Trends: DAY ONE (Thurs 13th July 2017)

The three-day 2017 Newmarket July Meeting gets started on Thursday (13th July) and with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle.

On day one the Group Two July Stakes and Prince of Wales's Stakes are the key contests - did you know that a 4 year-old has won 7 of the last 10 Prince Of Wales's Stakes?  

As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races, highlighting the main trends – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

 


Newmarket July Meeting - Day One,
Thursday 13th July 2017

1.50 - Bahrain Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f ITV

15/15 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
13/15 – Failed to win last time out
13/15 – Never run on the Newmarket July Course before
10/15 – Favourites placed in the top three
10/15 – Won at 3/1 or shorter
10/15 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
10/15 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
9/15 – Finished fifth or worse in their previous race
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Trained by John Gosden (inc 4 of last 6 runnings)
3/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/15 – Ridden by William Buick
1/15 – Winners that came from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2
Housesofparliament (Aidan O’Brien) won the race in 2016 (9/2)

2.25 - Arqana July Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

14/15 – Placed in their last run
14/15 – Had won over 5 or 6f previously
12/15 – Had 2 or more previous career starts
11/15 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
10/15 – Won their last race
9/15 – Won at 9/2 or shorter
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
6/15 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their last race
6/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon
5/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
1/15 – Winners that came from stall 1
Frankie Dettori has ridden 4 winners in the race
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
Mehmas (Richard Hannon) won the race in 2016 (11/4 fav)

3.00– Bet365 Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

11/11 – Didn’t win last time out
11/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
11/11 – Had 3 or 4 previous runs that season
11/11 – Had won no more than 3 times before
9/11 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
9/11 – Had won over 6f before
8/11 – Carried 8-12 or less
8/11 – Came from a double-figure stall
8/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/11 – Unplaced favourites
6/11 – Finished unplaced last time out
3/11 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/11 – Ridden by David Probert
0/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1
Dancing Star (Andrew Balding) won the race in 2016 (7/1)

3.35 - Princess Of Wales´s Arqana Racing Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

13/15 – Aged 4 or older (4 year-olds have won 7 of last 10)
13/15 – Had 2 or more runs that season
13/15 – Previously won over at least 1m4f
12/15 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
10/15 – Won at 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
9/15 – Unplaced in their previous race
8/15 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their previous race
8/15 – Favourites that were placed
5/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/15 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
Big Orange won the race in 2015 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Big Orange (Michael Bell) won the race in 2016 (8/1)

 



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Royal Ascot Trends – DAY FIVE (Sat 24th June 2017)

As we move into the final day at ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the Group One Diamond Jubilee Stakes is the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

 

2.30 - Chesham Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 7f

Chesham Stakes Recent Winners

2016 – Churchill (8/11 fav)
2015 – Suits You (14/1)
2014 – Richard Pankhurst (10/1)
2013 – Berkshire (16/1)
2012 – Tha’ir (9/2)
2011 – Maybe (5/2 fav)
2010 – Zaidan (7/1)
2009 – Big Audio (22/1)
2008 – Free Agent (7/2 jfav)
2007 – Maze (11/2)
2006 – Champlain (7/2)
2005 – Championship Point (4/1)
2004 – Whazzat (7/1)
2003 – Pearl Of Love (11/10 fav)

Chesham Stakes Key Trends

14/14 – Had no more than 2 previous career runs
13/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/14 – Ran over 6f last time out (8 won)
12/14 – Had just 1 previous career run
11/14 – Were foaled in March or earlier
9/14 – Won their previous race
9/14 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
4/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/14 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/14 – Irish trained-winners (Aiden O’Brien)
Trainer Paul Cole has won the race 4 times before
Trainer Michael Bell has a 33% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 27% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has a 22% record with his 2 year-olds at the track
10 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 1-8
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 7 (3)
8 of the last 11 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 7/1

3.05 - Wolferton Handicap (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+ 0-110) 1m2f

Wolferton Handicap Recent Winners

2016 – Sir Isaac Newton (7/1)
2015 – Mahsoob (7/4 fav)
2014 – Contributer (9/1)
2013 – Forgotten Voice (12/1)
2012 – Gatewood (3/1 fav)
2011 – Beachfire (12/1)
2010 – Rainbow Peak (13/8 fav)
2009 – Perfect Stride (8/1)
2008 – Supaseus (12/1)
2007 – Championship Point (25/1)
2006 – I’m So Lucky (16/1)
2005 – Imperial Stride (25/1)
2004 – Red Fort (6/1)
2003 – In Time’s Eye (5/1)

Wolferton Handicap Key Trends

12/14 – Had between 1 and 3 runs already that season
11/14 – Aged 4 years-old
11/14 – Carried 8-11 or more
10/14 – Had won 3 or more races during their career
9/14 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
9/14 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/14 – Had run at Ascot before
7/14 – Returned a double-figure price
7/14 – Ran at either York (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden
2/14 – Trained at Kremlin House Stables (Roger Varian/M Jarvis)
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Winning favourites
Trainer Roger Charlton has a 29% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
8 of the last 11 winners returned 7/1 or bigger
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 10/1

3.40 - Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m4f

Hardwicke Stakes Recent Winners

2016 – Dartmouth (10/1)
2015 – Snow Sky (12/1)
2014 – Telescope (7/4 fav)
2013 – Thomas Chippendale (8/1)
2012 – Sea Moon (3/1 fav)
2011 – Await the Dawn (4/6 fav)
2010 – Harbinger (8/11 fav)
2009 – Bronze Cannon (8/1)
2008 – Macarthur (11/8 fav)
2007 – Maraahel (10/3)
2006 – Maraahel (9/2)
2005 – Bandari (10/1)
2004 – Doyen (6/5 fav)
2003 – Indian Creek (14/1)

Hardwicke Stakes Key Trends

14/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
14/14 – Had won a Group 2 or 3 previously
13/14 – Placed last time out
12/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
11/14 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
9/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2), Mark Johnston (2) or Sir Michael Stoute (6)
10/14 – Had run at Ascot before
8/14 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Aged 4 years-old (inc last 7 winners)
5/14 – Ran at Epsom last time out (Coronation Cup)
5/14 – Winning favourites
6/14 – Won their previous race
3/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
9 of the last 11 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
7 of the last 11 winners returned 9/2 or shorter
No winner from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)
Trainer Roger Charlton has a 29% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 11/2

4.20 - Diamond Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 6f

Diamond Jubilee Stakes Recent Winners

2016 – Twilight Son (7/2)
2015 – Undrafted (14/1)
2014 – Slade Power (7/2 fav)
2013 – Lethal Force (11/1)
2012 – Black Caviar (1/6 fav)
2011 – Society Rock (25/1)
2010 – Starspanglebanner (13/2 jfav)
2009 – Art Connoisseur (20/1)
2008 – Kingsgate Native (33/1)
2007 – Soldier’s Tale (9/1)
2006 – Les Arcs (33/1)
2005 – Cape Of Good Hope (8/1)
2004 - Fayr Jag (12/1)
2003 – Choisir (13/2)

Diamond Jubilee Stakes Key Trends

13/14 – Previous distance (6f) winners
11/14 – Failed to win their last race
11/14 – Aged 5 or younger
11/14 – Had run at Ascot before
11/14 – Previous Group Race winners
8/14 – Returned a double-figure price
8/14 – Won by a UK-based yard
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
5/14 – Ran in the King’s Stand Stakes earlier at the meeting
3/14 – Winning favourite (joint)
5 of the last 12 winners were Irish-bred
7 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure draw
No winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
6 of the last 12 winners returned a double-figure price
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 13/1

5.00 - Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-110) 6f

Wokingham Stakes Recent Winners

2016 – Outback Traveller (10/1)
2015 – Interception (10/1)
2014 – Baccarat (9/1)
2013 – York Glory (14/1)
2012 – Dandy Boy (33/1)
2011 – Deacon Blues (15/2)
2010 – Laddies Poker Two (9/2 fav)
2009 – High Standing (8/1)
2008 – Big Timer I (20/1)
2007 – Dark Missile (22/1)
2006 – Baltic King (10/1)
2005 – Iffraaj (9/4 fav)
2004 – Lafi (6/1 fav)
2003 – Ratio (14/1) / Fayr Jag (10/1)  (dead-heat)

Wokingham Stakes Key Trends

17/17 – Had won before over 6f or 7f
17/17 – Had no more than 4 runs that season
16/17 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
16/17 – Ran sixth or better last time out
15/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/17 – Had won a race over 6f before
11/17 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
10/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/17 – Had run at Ascot before (6 had won here)
7/17 – Ran at either Ascot, Goodwood or Newmarket last time
5/17 – Won their previous race
4/17 – Won by the favourite
Trainer Roger Charlton has a 29% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 12/1
9 of the last 11 winners carried 9-3 or less in weight
8 of the last 11 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
8 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure draw
The last SEVEN winners came from a double-figure stall
In the last 7 runnings all of the top 2 finishers all came from double-figure stalls
Horse from stall 15 has been placed in 3 of the last 6 runnings
Since 1980 there have been only 7 winning favourites
Since 1980 there have been 29 winners returning a double-figure price

5.35 - Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions Race) (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 2m5f159y

Queen Alexandra Stakes Recent Winners

2016 – Commissioned (12/1)
2015 – Oriental Fox (4/1)
2014 – Pique Sous (11/4)
2013 – Chiberta King (8/1)
2012 – Simenon (11/4 fav)
2011 – Swingkeel (11/2)
2010 – Bergo (10/1)
2009 – Caracciola (6/1)
2008 – Honolulu (7/4 fav)
2007 – Enjoy The Moment (6/1)
2006 – Baddam (11/2)
2005 – Cruzspiel (10/1)
2004 – Corrib Eclipse (25/1)
2003 – Cover Up (4/5 fav)

Queen Alexandra Stakes Key Trends

12/14 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/14 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years old
8/14 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
7/14 – Had run at Ascot before
4/14 – Won by a NH yard
4/14 – Irish-trained winners
3/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Trained by Willie Mullins
8 of the last 11 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
The last 11 winners ALL came from stalls 9-16 (inc)
10 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure stall
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

 

 

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Royal Ascot Trends – DAY FOUR (Fri 23rd June 2017)

As we move into day four at  ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the two Group One's - The Coronation Stakes and the Commonwealth Cup - are the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

 

2.30 - Albany Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f

Albany Stakes Past Winners

2016 – Brave Anna (16/1)
2015 – Illuminate (4/1 fav)
2014 – Cursory Glance (14/1)
2013 – Kiyoshi (8/1)
2012 – Newfangled (7/4 fav)
2011 – Samitar (16/1)
2010 – Memory (15/2)
2009 – Habaayib (16/1)
2008 – Cuis Ghaire (8/11 fav)
2007 – Nijoom Dubai (50/1)
2006 - Sander Camillo (4/1 fav)
2005 – La Chunga (10/1)
2004 – Jewel In The Sand (10/1)
2003 – Silca’s Gift (5/1)

 

Albany Stakes Key Trends

14/14 – Won by either a Feb or Mar foal
14/14 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs
14/14 – Never raced at Ascot before
13/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Won their previous race
8/14 – Returned a double-figure price
7/14 – Won by trainers Channon (2), Hannon (3) or Noseda (2)
3/14 – Ran at Sandown last time
4/14 – Previous winner over 6f
4/14 – Winning favourites
The last 11 winners came from double-figure stalls
8 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 11-14 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 11.5/1

3.05 - King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f

King Edward VII Stakes Recent Winners

2016 – Across The Stars (7/1)
2015 – Balios (3/1)
2014 – Eagle Top (12/1)
2013 – Hillstar (15/2)
2012 – Thomas Chippendale (9/2)
2011 – Nathaniel (11/4 fav)
2010 – Monterosso (7/2)
2009 – Father Time (9/1)
2008 – Campanologist (9/1)
2007 – Boscobel (7/1)
2006 – Papal Bull (5/4 fav)
2005 – Plea Bargain (9/2)
2004 – Five Dynasties (11/4 fav)
2003 – High Accolade (5/2 fav)

King Edward VII Stakes Key Trends

14/14 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
13/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the
11/14 – Had never raced at Ascot before
10/14 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
7/14 - Had won at least 2 previous races during their career
4/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Had already won a Listed or better class race
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden
3/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/13 – Trained by Mark Johnston
No winner from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
10 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 4-8 (inc)
10 of the last 11 winners returned 9/1 or shorter
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 11/2

3.40 – The Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) (Class 1) (3yo) 6f

2 previous runnings
Quiet Reflection won the 2016 running for trainer Karl Burke
Muhaarar won the 2015 running for trainer Charles Hills
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has a 19% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian has a 19% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has a 15% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is just 5 from 106 (5%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Clive Cox is just 1 from 31 (3%) with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

4.20 - Coronation Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m

Coronation Stakes Past Winners

2016 – Qemah (6/1)
2015 – Ervedya (3/1)
2014 – Rizeena (11/2)
2013 – Sky Lantern (9/2 jfav)
2012 – Fallen For You (12/1)
2011 – Immortal Verse (8/1)
2010 – Lillie Langtry (7/2 fav)
2009 – Ghanaati (2/1 fav)
2008 – Lush Lashes (5/1)
2007 – Indian Ink (8/1)
2006 – Nannina (6/1 jfav)
2005 – Maids Causeway (9/2)
2004 – Attraction (6/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Rhythm (4/7 fav)
2002 – Sophisticat (11/2)

Coronation Stakes Recent Trends

15/15 – Had won over at least 7f before
14/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
11/15 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 previously
10/15 – Had won over at least a 1 mile before
7/15 – Had run at Ascot before (3 winners)
7/15 – Ran in that season’s English 1,000 Guineas
7/15 – Were unplaced last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/15 – Ran in that season’s Irish 1,000 Guineas
2/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
10 of the last 11 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
No winners from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
Just 1 horse placed from stall 2 (2nd ) in the last 11 runnings
5 of the last 11 winners were non UK-trained – French (3), Irish (2)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 5/1

5.00 - Queen´s Vase (Listed) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 2m

Queen´s Vase Recent Winners

2016 – Sword Fighter (33/1)
2015 – Aloft (5/2 fav)
2014 – Hartnell (7/2)
2013 – Leading Light (5/4 fav)
2012 – Estimate (3/1 fav)
2011 – Namibian (7/2 fav)
2010 – Mikhail Glinka (2/1 fav)
2009 – Holberg (7/1)
2008 – Patkai (6/4 fav)
2007 – Mahler (7/1)
2006 – Soapy Danger (4/1)
2005 – Melrose Avenue (4/1)
2004 – Duke Of Venice (9/2)
2003 – Shanty Star (7/2 fav)

Queen´s Vase Key Trends

12/14 – Had never raced at Ascot before
10/14 – Had at least 2 previous career wins
10/14 – Placed last time out
9/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Had run over at least 1m4f before
6/14 – Ran at either Lingfield or Haydock last time out
6/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 - Trained by Mark Johnston
5/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/14 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 - Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 4 times in all)
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
No winner from stall 1 in the last 11 years
The horse from stall 7 has been placed in 5 of the last 11 runnings (3 wins)
10 of the last 11 winners came from a single-figure stall
5 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 7 or 8
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 11/2

5.35 - Duke of Edinburgh Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) 1m4f

Duke of Edinburgh Past Winners

2016 – Kinema (8/1)
2015 – Arab Dawn (6/1 jfav)
2014 – Arab Spring (11/4 fav)
2013 – Opinion (8/1)
2012 – Camborne (11/2 fav)
2011 – Fox Hunt (12/1)
2010 – Cill Rialaig (16/1)
2009 – Drill Sergeant (14/1)
2008 – Sugar Ray (8/1)
2007 – Pevensey (8/1)
2006 – Young Mick (28/1)
2005 – Notable Guest (4/1)
2004 – Wunderwood (15/2)
2003 – Waverley (14/1)

Duke of Edinburgh Key Trends

14/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
14/14 – Had at least 2 previous career wins to their name
11/14 – Placed last time out
11/14 – Carried 9-0 or more
10/14 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
9/14 – Trained by Hughie Morrison (3), Mark Johnston (2) or Sir Michael Stoute (4)
8/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
7/14 – Had run at Ascot before
6/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/14 – Ran at either York or Epsom last time (inc last 6 runnings)
5/14 – Unplaced favourites
5/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time
4/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure stall
7 of the last 11 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 10/1

 

 

 

 

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Royal Ascot Trends – DAY THREE (Thurs 22nd June 2017)

As we move into day three at  ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the Group One Ascot Gold Cup is the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

 

2.30 - Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f

Norfolk Stakes Recent Winners

2016 – Prince Of Lir (8/1)
2015 – Waterloo Bridge (12/1)
2014 – Baitha Alga (8/1)
2013 – No Nay Never (4/1)
2012 – Reckless Abandon (4/1)
2011 – Bapak Chinta (6/1)
2010 – Approve (16/1)
2009 – Radiohead (10/1)
2008 – South Central (11/4 fav)
2007 – Winker Watson (2/1 fav)
2006 – Dutch Art (11/4)
2005 – Masta Plasta (7/2)
2004 – Blue Dakota (5/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Valour (4/1)

Norfolk Stakes Key Trends

14/14 – Previous winners over 5f
14/14 – Had at least 1 previous run
13/14 – Won their previous race
13/14 – Had a RPR of 106+
12/14 – Had never raced at Ascot before
11/14 – Foaled in March or April
9/14 – Favourites placed
8/14 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
4/14 – Returned a double-figure price
3/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Ran at Windsor last time out
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 7-12 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

3.05 - Hampton Court Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m2f

Hampton Court Stakes Recent Winners

2016 – Hawkbill (11/2)
2015 – Time Test (15/8 fav)
2014 – Cannock Chase (7/4 fav)
2013 – Remote (9/4 fav)
2012 – Energizer (15/2)
2011 – Pisco Sour (20/1)
2010 – Afsare (9/4 fav)
2009 – Glass Harmonium (8/1)
2008 – Collection (13/2)
2007 – Zaham (7/2 fav)
2006 – Snoqualmie Boy (33/1)
2005 – Indigo Cat (3/1 fav)
2004 – Moscow Ballet (8/1)
2003 – Persian Majesty (8/1)

Hampton Court Stakes Key Trends

13/14 – Had not raced at Ascot before
11/14 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
11/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/14 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
9/14 – Had won over 1m2f before
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
6/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 - Ran at Epsom last time out
2/14 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
2/14 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
No winner from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
7 of the last 11 winners came from stall 5-9 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 8/1

3.40 - Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £77,092 1m4f

Ribblesdale Stakes Recent Winners

2016 – Even Song (15/8 fav)
2015 – Curvy (9/2)
2014 – Bracelet (10/1)
2013 – Riposte (9/2)
2012 – Princess Highway (17/2)
2011 – Banimpire (3/1 fav)
2010 – Hibaayeb (4/1 jfav)
2009 – Flying Cloud (5/1)
2008 – Michita (10/3 fav)
2007 – Silkwood (4/1)
2006 – Mont Etoile (25/1)
2005 – Thakafaat (22/1)
2004 – Punctilious (9/2)
2003 – Spanish Sun (9/2)

Ribblesdale Stakes Key Trends

12/14 – Had at least 2 previous races that season
12/14 – Placed in their previous race
11/14 – Had never raced at Ascot before
10/14 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
10/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
7/14 – Won their last race
5/14 – Irish-trained winners (4 of last 5)
4/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
No winner from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
6 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 3-6 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 15/2

4.20 - Gold Cup (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f

Recent Ascot Gold Cup Winners

2016 – Order Of St George (10/11 fav)
2015 – Trip To Paris (12/1)
2014 – Leading Light (10/11 fav)
2013 – Estimate (7/2 fav)
2012 – Colour Vision (6/1)
2011 – Fame And Glory (11/8 fav)
2010 – Rite of Passage (20/1)
2009 – Yeats (6/4 fav)
2008 – Yeats (11/8 fav)
2007 – Yeats (8/13 fav)
2006 – Yeats (7/1)
2005 – Westerner (7/4 fav)
2004 – Papineau (5/1)
2003 – Mr Dinos (3/1)
2002 – Royal Rebel (16/1)

Key Ascot Gold Cup Trends

13/15 – Had no more than 2 previous runs that season
12/15 – Had won over at least 2 miles on the flat before
12/15 – Had between 1-2 previous runs that season
11/15 – Favourites that were placed
10/15 – Previous Group 1 winners
10/15 – Won their last race
8/15 – Aged 5 or older
8/15 – Won by the favourite
7/15 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
4/15 – Ran at Sandown last time out (Henry II Stakes)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 11/2
9 of the last 11 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7 of the last 11 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
Godolphin won the race in 1996, 1998, 2004 & 2012
Aidan O’Brien has trained the winner in 2016, 2014, 2011, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006
Since 1949 there have been 13 multiple winners of the race

5.00 - Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m

Britannia Stakes Recent Winners
2016 – Defrocked (13/2)
2015 – War Envoy (10/1)
2014 – Born In China (14/1)
2013 – Beauty Flame (20/1)
2012 – Fast Or Free (6/1 fav)
2011 – Sagramor (8/1)
2010 – Ransom Note (9/1)
2009 – Fareer (20/1)
2008 – Fifteen Love (28/1)
2007 – Eddie Jock (33/1)
2006 – Sir Gerard (9/2 fav)
2005 – Mostashaar (10/3 fav)
2004 – Mandobi (8/1)
2003 – New Seeker (16/1)

Britannia Stakes Key Trends

13/14 – Had no more than 3 previous runs that season
11/14 – Failed to win their previous race
11/14 – Had won a race over 7f or 1m before
11/14 – Placed last time out
10/14 – Carried 8-13 or less
10/14 – Had never run at Ascot before
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
8/14 – Returned a double-figure price
8/14 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
6/14 – Had only won over 7f previously
3/14 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
No top three finish horse from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
8 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure stall
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 13/1

5.35 - King George V Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m4f

King George V Stakes Recent Winners
2016 - Primitivo (13/2)
2015 – Space Age (9/1)
2014 – Elite Army (4/1 jfav)
2013 – Elidor (20/1)
2012 – Fennell Bay (12/1)
2011 – Brown Panther (4/1 jfav)
2010 – Dandino (7/1)
2009 – Cosmic Sun (66/1)
2008 – Colony (11/2 fav)
2007 – Heron Bay (20/1)
2006 – Linas Selection (9/2)
2005 – Munsef (14/1)
2004 – Admiral (9/1)
2003 – Fantastic Love (10/1)

King George V Stakes Key Trends
14/14 – Had at least 2 previous runs that same season
14/14 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
13/14 – Never raced at Ascot before
13/14 – Placed last time out
11/14 – Carried 8-13 or less
10/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f previously
8/14 – Favourites placed
8/14 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
7/14 – Won their previous race
5/14 – Won by trainers Sir Michael Stoute (2) or Mark Johnston (3)
3/14 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
9 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 10-20 (inc)
7 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 10-15 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 13.5/1

 

 

 

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