Sat TV Trends: 25th Feb 2017

This weekend the ITV cameras head to Kempton Park, with their BetBright Chase their feature contest, while they are also at Lingfield Park for the Winter Derby and the Newcastle for the Eider Chase.
As always we've got all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races.

 

Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)


1.50 - BetBright Genius Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

12/13 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 -  Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/13 – Had won no more than once over hurdles in the UK
10/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
10/13 – Winners that went onto run in the Triumph Hurdle (3 winners)
9/13 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
8/13– Won carrying either a 4lb or 7lb penalty
7/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Winning favourites
5/13 – French bred
4/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/13 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Triumph Hurdle
3/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/13 – Trained by Alan King
Zarkandar, Soldatino and Penzance went onto land that season’s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park


2.25 - BetBright Best For Festival Betting Pendil Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV

10/12 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
10/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/12 – French (7) of Irish (3) bred
9/12 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/12 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
9/12 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
8/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
7/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/4


3.00 – Sky Bet Dovecote Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

10/11 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
10/11 – Had won over 2m (hurdles) before
9/11 – Placed favourites
9/11 – Had never raced over hurdles at Kempton before
9/11 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
8/11 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles before
8/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – French bred
4/11 – Trained by Alan King
3/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/11 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

Note: The 2006 renewal was staged at Sandown Park


3.35 - BetBright Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV

13/14 – Rated 139 or higher
12/14 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
11/14 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
11/14 – Aged 9 or younger
11/14 – Won a class 2 chase or better before
10/14 – Carried 10-13 or more
10/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Came from the top 4 in the betting
10/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
9/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/14 – Rated between 139 and 150
7/14 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
7/14 – Won last time out
7/14 – Carried 11-5 or more
5/14 – Aged 8 years-old
5/14 – French bred
4/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
4/14 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/14 – Ridden by Richard Johnson (won it 5 times in all)
2/14 – Trained by Tom George
2/14 – Trained by Philip Hobbs (won it 4 times in all)
2/14 – Ran in the King George VI Chase last time out
2/14 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner)
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 9/1
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown Park


Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)


2.10 – Betfred "£1 Million Cashball" Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m ITV

9/9 – Raced within the last 3 weeks
8/9 – Unplaced last time out
8/9 – Rated 120 or higher
7/9 – Had won at least twice over hurdles before
6/9 – Aged 7 or older
6/9 – Had raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
6/9 – Carried 11-0 or more
5/9 – Irish bred
5/9 – Placed favourites
5/9 – Ran at Musselburgh last time out
3/9 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
2/9 - Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 15/2


2.45 - Betfred Eider (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 4m1f ITV

13/13 – Had won over at least 3m before
11/13 – Aged 10 or younger
10/13 – Carried 11-0 or more
10/13 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
9/13 – Irish-bred
9/13 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/13 – Winners came from the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Officially rated between 131-139
7/13 – Placed favourites
7/13 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
5/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Won over 3m4f or further before
3/13 – Carried 11-12 in weight
2/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 10/1

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)


2.05 – Betway Hever Sprint Stakes (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV

9/10 – Rated 96+
8/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/10 – Raced 6 weeks or longer ago
8/10 – Placed favs
8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/10 – Had raced at Lingfield before
6/10 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
4/10 – US bred
4/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Mare winners
3/10 – Trained by David Barron
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1
Pretend won this race in 2015


3.15 - Betway Winter Derby (All-Weather Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f ITV

14/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or shorter
12/14 – Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
11/14 – Had run at Lingfield previously
11/14 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
11/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
11/14 – Had raced at either Lingfield (7) or Kempton (4) last time out
10/14 – Winning distance – less than a length
10/14 – Placed in their last race
10/14 – Drawn in stall 7 or less
9/14 – Won at Lingfield previously
9/14 – Came from the top 3 in the market
9/14 – Won their last race
9/14 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
8/14 – Won at least 6 times previously
7/14 – Favourites to win
Grendisar won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the 14 renewals is 11/2

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 18th Feb 2017

Another huge day on the horse racing front this weekend as the ITV cameras will be heading to Ascot, Haydock and Wincanton this Saturday. The Grand National Trial at Haydock and the Ascot Chase (yes, you guessed it, at Ascot) are the feature contests to look out for.

So, to help narrow down the fields, and point you in the direction of a few winners, then we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – we hope they help!

 

 

 

 

ASCOT HORSE RACING TRENDS (ATR/ITV)


1.50 - Sodexo Reynoldstown Novices´ Chase (An Ascot Appearance Money Scheme Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV

14/14 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
12/14 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences previously
12/14 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/14 – Won last time out
9/14 – Irish bred
8/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
8/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (2 winners)
7/14 – Placed favourites
7/14 – Winners that went onto finish 5th or better in the RSA Chase
6/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/14 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park


2.25 – Keltbray Swinley Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m7f180y ITV

Only 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/6 – Won 1 or 2 chase wins
5/6 – Aged 8 or older
5/6 – Raced at either Ascot (2) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
5/6 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
4/6 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
3/6 – Winning distance head or shorter
3/6 – Had raced at Ascot (fences) before
3/6 – Aged in double-figures
3/6 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
3/6 – Irish bred
2/6 – Won last time out
2/6 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 9/2
Sausalito Sunrise won the race 12 months ago


3.00 - Les Ambassadeurs Casino Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m3f110y ITV

10/11 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
9/11 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
8/11 – Had won over 2m4f or further before
7/11 – Carried 10-12 or less
7/11 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or less
7/11 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
6/11 – Winners that went onto race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/11 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/11 – Placed favourites
5/11 – Priced 9/1 or bigger
5/11 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/11 – Had run at Ascot over hurdles before
3/11 – Winning favourite (1 joint)
2/11 – Raced at Sandown last time out
2/11 – Trained by Dr Richard Newland
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1


3.35 - Betfair Ascot Chase Grade 1 Cl1 2m5f110y ITV

14/14 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
13/14 – Priced at 15/2 or shorter in the market
12/14 – Winners that didn’t win their next start
12/14 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
11/14 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/14 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
10/14 – Favourites placed
10/14 – Officially rated 158 or higher
9/14 – Priced 2/1 or shorter in the market
9/14 – Favourites that won
7/14 – Won between 1-4 times over fences previously
7/14 – Unplaced in their latest race
6/14 – Raced at Kempton (King George) last time out
5/14 – Winners that ran in that season’s Ryanair Chase (1 winner, Cue Card) later that year
4/14 – Won over fences at Ascot previously
4/14 – Won their last race
3/14 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/14 – Trained by Alan King
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Cue Card won the race in 2013
8 of the last 10 winners returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
Note: The 2005 & 2006 - Run at Lingfield Park
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 2/1

HAYDOCK HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK/ITV)


2.05 - Betfred Rendlesham Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m6f177y ITV

13/14 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
11/14 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
10/14 – Aged 8 or younger
10/14 – Rated 145 or higher
10/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
9/14 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
8/14 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
8/14 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle (no winners)
6/14 – French-bred
6/14 – Had run at Haydock before
4/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
1/14 – Winning favourites
1/14 – Winners that went onto win the Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

Note: The 2003, 2004, 2005 - Run at Kempton Park


3.15 - Betfred Grand National Trial (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f ITV

14/14 – UK-based trained winners
14/14 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences (rules) before
12/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/14 – Finished in the top three last time out
12/14 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences (rules) before
11/14 – Aged 10 or younger
11/14 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
10/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/14 – Aged 9 or younger
10/14 – Finished in the top two last time out
10/14 – Rated 135 or higher
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/14 – Carried 11-0 or less
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
7/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all unplaced)
6/14 – Irish-bred winners
4/14 – Winners that won by exactly 15 lengths
4/14 – Ran in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/14 – Won with 11-12 in weight
3/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd in the Welsh Grand National last time out
3/14 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
2/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 10/1
Bishops Road won the race 12 months ago

WINCANTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (RUK/ITV)


2.45 - Bathwick Tyres Kingwell Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 1m7f65y ITV

13/13 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
12/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/13 – Priced 10/3 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Favourites to finish in the top 3
11/13 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
10/13 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle (1 winner Katchit)
10/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/13 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
8/13 – Rated 155 or higher
7/13 – Winning favourites
7/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Raced at Sandown last time out
2/13 – Trained by Alan King
1/13 – Winners that went onto win the World Hurdle (Inglis Drever)
Rayvin Black win the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/4

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 4th February 2017

Sandown, Musselburgh and Wetherby provide the LIVE ITV action this Saturday – As always, Andy Newton’s got all the races covered from a trends angle.....

Sandown Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

 

1.50 - Betfred "Treble Odds On Lucky 15´s" Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f119y ITV

10/10 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
10/10 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
9/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/10 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
9/10 – Aged 9 or younger
8/10 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/10 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
6/10 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/10 – Carried 10-10 or less
5/10 – Winners that went to race in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase
4/10 – Aged 7 years-old
4/10 – French bred
4/10 – Came from outside the top 4 in the betting
4/10 – Had an official rating of exactly 125
4/10 – Had run over fences at Sandown before (2 won)
4/10 – Raced at Sandown last time out
3/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/10 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2


2.25 - Betfred TV Scilly Isles Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV

13/13 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
13/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/13 – Won no more than 3 times over fences before
13/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
11/13 – Aged 7 or younger
11/13 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
10/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
9/13 – Winning favourites
9/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
7/13 – French bred
6/13 – Aged 7 years-old
5/13 – Irish bred
5/13 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/13 – Had run over fences at Sandown before
3/13 – Winners that went onto finish in the top 5 in the RSA Chase
3/13 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/13 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/13 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
The average winning  SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/4


3.00 - Betfred Mobile Heroes Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m7f98y ITV

11/11 – Had run in the last 8 weeks
11/11 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
10/11 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) previously
10/11 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
9/11 – Officially rated 135 or lower
9/11 – Winners that went to race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
9/11 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
9/11 – Won only 2-3 times over hurdles previously
8/11 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
8/11 – Priced 13/2 or less
7/11 – Won by a horse aged 7 or younger
6/11 – Favourites placed
6/11 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/11 – Raced over hurdles at Sandown previously (3 won)
4/11 – Won their last race
4/11 – Favourites that won
4/11 – Won by a French-bred horse
4/11 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/11 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
2/11 – Won by the Philip Hobbs yard
2/11 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/11 – Winners that went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Ryanair Chase, 2007 Taranis)
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 9/1


3.35 - Betfred Masters Handicap Chase Cl2 3m110y ITV

13/13 – Carried 11-5 or less
12/13 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
11/13 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
10/13 – Aged 9 or younger
9/13 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences (UK) before
9/13 – Rated 136 or lower
8/13 – Favourites placed in the top 4
8/13 – Had raced at Sandown before (4 won)
7/13 – Placed last time out
7/13 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/13 – Irish-bred
5/13 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/13 – French-bred
5/13 – Raced at either Sandown (3) or Haydock (2) last time out
5/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Winners that went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
2/13 – Trained by Lucy Wadham
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1


Wetherby Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)


2.45 - totepool Towton Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

11/12 – Aged 8 or younger
11/12 – Had never raced over fences at Wetherby before
10/12 – Priced 3/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/12 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
9/12 – Aged 7 years-old
9/12 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (3) last time out
9/12 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
9/12 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
8/12 – Placed favourites
7/12 – Won last time out
7/12 – Irish bred
6/12 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/12 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (1 winner, Blaklion 2016, plus all finished 6th or better)
2/12 – Trained by Ian Williams
The average SP in the last 8 runnings is 4/1

 

Musselburgh Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.05 – bet365 Edinburgh National Handicap Chase Cl2 4m176y

No previous runnings
Trainer Brian Ellison has a 25% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Rose Dobbin has a 20% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 19% record with his chasers at the track
Jockey Henry Brooke has a +£28 level stakes profit when riding chasers at the track
Jockey Craig Nichol has a 22% when riding chasers at the track

3.15 - bet365 Scottish County Hurdle (A Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f124y

9/10 – Returned 13/2 or less in the betting
9/10 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
9/10 – Had won over this trip before (hurdles)
8/10 – Aged 6 years-old
8/10 – Former flat horses
8/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Carried 11-0 or less
7/10 – Rated between 120-130
7/10 – Favourites placed in the top 4
2/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 38% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer John Quinn has a 37% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer James Ewart has a 21% record with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Henry Brooke has only a 4% strike-rate when riding hurdlers at the track
Trainer Lucinda Russell has just an 8% strike-rate with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Brian Ellison has just a 5% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Etaad - Seven Clans is the one to beat, but we think we head here with a fair e/w chance. Poor last time, but better draw and step up in trip are pluses. We'll ride the horse a bit different today to see if that helps too (George Baker in the saddle) - looks decent e/w value over the favourite and would not be shocked to see him run a lot better this time. "
Gary Moore

21/01/17 1st 14/1

"Fields Of Glory - Might have liked a bit more cut, but will be fine. Still a bit to learn over fences as this is only his 4th career outing over the bigger obstacles, but a horse that is capable of going well in a race like this and Richard Johnson has won on him before too. Looks one of my better chances on the day and hoping for a big run."
Tim Vaughan

20/01/17 1st 4/1

 

Sat TV Trends: 28th Jan 2017

Horse racing trends expect Andy Newton is on hand with all the key trends and stats ahead of this Saturday’s excellent Cheltenham and Doncaster cards.

Cheltenham Trials Day Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)


12.00 – JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial (A Juvenile Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f

11/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/13 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
10/13 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
10/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/13 – Winning distance – 2 ¼ lengths or less
8/13 – Had previously won at least once over hurdles in the UK
7/13 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the market
7/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – French bred (including last 4 winners)
6/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/13 – Went onto be placed in that season’s Triumph Hurdle (2 winners, Peace & Co 2015, Katchit 2007)
4/13 – Trained by Alan King
4/13 – Priced 25/1, 50/1 or 100/1
3/13 – Won by a German bred horse
3/13 – Won by an Irish bred horse
3/13 – Had raced at Cheltenham previously
3/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

2016 Winner: PROTEK DES FLOS (N Henderson) 14/1


12.35 – Timeform Novices´ Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f

13/13 – Aged 8 or younger
12/13 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, La Landiere Cathcart 2003)
12/13 – Won between 0-2 races over fences in the UK previously
10/13 – Priced 13/2 or shorter
11/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Finished either 1st or 2nd last time out
9/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) in the UK previously
9/13 – Rated 128 or higher
8/13 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
6/13 – Carried 11-2 or more
7/13 – Irish bred
5/13 – French bred
5/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Ran at Kempton last time out
3/13 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/13 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/13 – Won with 11-12 in weight
2/13 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/13 – Winning favourites

2016 Winner: KING’S ODYSSEY (E Williams) 8/1

 

1.10 – Hugo’s Restaurant Trophy Chase (A Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f CH4

13/13 – Had won over at least 2m5f (fences) previously
12/13 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
12/13 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
11/13 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
11/13 – Rated 130 or higher
10/13 – Aged 8 or older
10/13 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/13 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before (6 won)
9/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/13 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
8/13 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/13 – Carried 10-7 or less
5/13 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/13 – Winning favourites
3/13 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/13 – Won by the Pipe stable

2016 Winner: ANNACOTTY (M  Keighley) 13/2

1.45 – Berkshire Community Foundation Clarence House Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m1f ITV

14/14 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
14/14 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
14/14 – Won at least 3 times (fences) previously
13/14 – Won a race over fences at 2m1f or further
12/14 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
12/14 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
12/14 – Favourites placed
10/14 – Won by a French-bred horse
10/14 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (4 winners)
9/14 – Won their last race
9/14 – Raced at Sandown (6) or Wetherby (3) last time out
9/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
8/14 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
7/14 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
7/14 – Favourites that won
4/14 – Went onto win the Champion Chase that season (2009 - Master Minded, Sprinter Sacre 2013, 2014 Sire de Grugy, 2015 Dodging Bullets)
4/14 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won the race 5 times in all)
3/14 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (won the race 4 times in all)
3/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/14 – Had won the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) last time out
2/14 – Won by the Pipe stable
Since 1989 there have only been 2 winners aged in double-figures
Since 1989 (26 runnings) there have been 12 winners aged 8 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 12 runnings is 7/2
Note:
2006 – Renewal at Sandown
2005 – Renewal at Cheltenham


2.15 - BetBright Trial Cotswold Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f110y CH4

13/13 – Officially rated 151 or higher
12/13 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
12/13 – Won between 2-6 times over fences
12/13 – Ran at Cheltenham over fences before (7 had won)
12/13 – Ran over at least 3m (fences)
10/13 – Ran at either Wetherby (3), Cheltenham (3) or Kempton (4) last time
10/13 – Went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (no winners, all placed 8th or better)
9/13 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
9/13 – Priced 6/1 or less
8/13 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
7/13 – Placed favourites
7/13 – Unplaced last time out
5/13 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the market
5/13 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/13 – Won by a French-bred horse
4/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
1/13 – Went onto win the Grand National (Many Clouds, 2015)
0/13 – Favourites
Looks Like Trouble (2000) was the last winner to go onto win the Cheltenham Gold Cup
The average SP in the last 13 runnings is 8/1

2016 Winner: SMAD PLACE (A King) 9/2

2.50 - Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase Cl2 3m6f37y

8/9 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Aged 9 or older
7/9 – Aged between 9-11 years-old
6/9 – Had won over this Cross Country Course before
6/9 – Carried 11-8 in weight
6/9 – Irish-trained winners
4/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/9 – Trained by Enda Bolger
3/9 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/9 – Ridden by Nina Carberry
2/9 – Ridden by Patrick Mullins
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2

2016 Winner: JOSIES ORDERS (E Bolger) 11/4


3.25 – Neptune Investment Management Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 2m4f110y C4

11/11 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
10/11 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
10/11 – Favourites placed
9/11 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
9/11 – Winners that later raced at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (3 winners)
8/11 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) previously
8/11 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
8/11 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
8/11 – Won their latest race
8/11 – Won by a horse aged 6 years-old
7/11 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
7/11 – Priced 7/2 or less
4/11 – Favourites that won
3/11 – Raced at Newbury last time out
3/11 – Won by the Alan King stable
3/11 – Winners that went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
3/11 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/11 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/11 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty

2016 Winner: YANWORTH (A King) 2/1 fav

 

4.00 – galliardhomes.com Cleeve Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 3m CH4

11/12 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
11/12 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
11/12 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles previously
10/12 – Went to run in that season’s Ladbrokes World Hurdle (4 won)
10/12 – Raced at Cheltenham (hurdles) previously
9/12 – Officially rated 155 or higher
9/12 – Winners that finished in the top 4 in that season’s Ladbrokes World Hurdle
8/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
7/12 – Finished either 1st or 2nd in their last race
7/12 – Favourites placed
7/12 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
6/12 – Won their latest race
5/12 – Won by a French-bred horse
5/12 – Favourites that won
3/12 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
2/12 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown

2016 Winner: THISTLECRACK (C Tizzard) 4/5 fav

 

4.35 - Steel Plate And Sections Handicap Hurdle (CLASS 2) (4yo+) RUK Soft 2m1f

12/12 – Rated 121 or higher
11/12 – Had raced within the last 9 weeks
11/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
10/12 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
9/12 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
9/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/12 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner La Fontana)
7/12 – Irish bred
7/12 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
6/12 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or less
6/12 – Unplaced favourites
4/12 – French bred
4/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/12 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/12 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore

2016 Winner: SOLSTICE STAR (M Keighley) 13/2


Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

1.25 – Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The River Don Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m110y CH4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or less
7/7 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
7/7 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
6/7 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/7 – Placed favourites
6/7 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
5/7 – Won last time out
4/7 – Irish bred
3/7 – Winning favourite
2/7 – Had raced at Doncaster before
2/7 – Trained by Malcolm Jefferson
The average SP in the last 7 runnings is 4/1
No real age trend with 5,6,7 & 8 year-olds all winning

2016 Winner: BARTERS HILL (B Pauling) 4/7 fav

3.05 - OLBG.com Doncaster Mares´ Hurdle (Registered as The Doncaster Mares´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m110y CH4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Aged 8 or younger
6/7 – Had won over this trip before
6/7 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
5/7 – Won between 1-3 times before (hurdles)
5/7 – Went onto run in the Mares Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/7 – Won last time out
4/7 – Irish bred
2/7 - Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 13/2

2016 Winner: SMART TALK (B Ellison) 7/1

 

3.40 – Sky Bet Chase (A Handicap) (formerly The Great Yorkshire Chase) (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (5yo+ 0-155) CH4 3m

11/11 – Had won between 0-3 times over fences before
10/11 – Carried 11-2 or less in weight
10/11 – Aged 9 or younger
8/11 – Officially rated 130 or higher
8/11 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
8/11 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
7/11 – Finished unplaced last time out
7/11 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Unplaced favourites
7/11 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
7/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/11 – Ridden by Andrew Thornton
2/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9.5/1
Note: The 2007 running was staged at Southwell

Other Key Stats:

4 of the last 11 winners of this race went onto contest the William Hill Trophy (now JLT Chase) at the Cheltenham Festival that season (1 winner)
4 of the last 11 winners went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners, all unplaced)

2016 Winner: ZIGA BOY (A King) 8/1

 

 

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 20 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Etaad - Seven Clans is the one to beat, but we think we head here with a fair e/w chance. Poor last time, but better draw and step up in trip are pluses. We'll ride the horse a bit different today to see if that helps too (George Baker in the saddle) - looks decent e/w value over the favourite and would not be shocked to see him run a lot better this time. "
Gary Moore

21/01/17 1st 14/1

"Fields Of Glory - Might have liked a bit more cut, but will be fine. Still a bit to learn over fences as this is only his 4th career outing over the bigger obstacles, but a horse that is capable of going well in a race like this and Richard Johnson has won on him before too. Looks one of my better chances on the day and hoping for a big run."
Tim Vaughan

20/01/17 1st 4/1

 

 

 

Sat TV Trends: 21st Jan 17

It’s off to Haydock Park and Ascot this Saturday for the LIVE ITV action – like all big race days we've got all the main races covered from a trends and stats angle…….


Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)


1.50 - OLBG.com Mares´ Hurdle (Registered As The Warfield Mares´ Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
7/8 – Officially Rated 133 or higher
7/8 – From the top 4 in the betting
7/8 – Later ran in that season’s David Nicholson Mares’ Only Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
7/8 – Won over at least 2m5f (hurdles) previously
6/8 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
6/8 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
6/8 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Newbury (2) in their last race
5/8 – Favourites placed
4/8 – Won their last race
4/8 – Winning Favourites
3/8 – French bred
3/8 – Raced at Ascot previously
3/8 – Aged 6 years-old
2/8 – Trained by Harry Fry
2/8 - Later finished second in the OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
1/8 – Won the OLBG Mares’ Only Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival) – Vroum Vroum Mag (2016)
Trainer Harry Fry won 2 of the last 3 runnings


2.25 – Keltbray Holloway´s Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV

8/10 – Priced 11/2 or bigger in the betting
8/10 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
8/10 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/10 – Aged 7 or younger
7/10 – Officially rated 139 or higher
7/10 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
6/10 – Ran within in the last 4 weeks
6/10 – French bred
6/10 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/10 – Went onto race in that season’s Coral Cup (best finish 3rd)
5/10 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles in the UK previously
5/10 – Had raced at Ascot previously
4/10 – Won their last race
4/10 – Aged 6 years-old
3/10 – Trained by David Pipe
3/10 – Raced at Cheltenham in their last race
2/10 – Later raced in that season’s World Hurdle (best finish 3rd)
2/10 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/10 – Favourites (1 co)
Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Haydock


3.00 – Berkshire Community Foundation Clarence House Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m1f ITV

14/14 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
14/14 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
14/14 – Won at least 3 times (fences) previously
13/14 – Won a race over fences at 2m1f or further
12/14 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
12/14 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
12/14 – Favourites placed
10/14 – Won by a French-bred horse
10/14 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (4 winners)
9/14 – Won their last race
9/14 – Raced at Sandown (6) or Wetherby (3) last time out
9/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
8/14 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
7/14 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
7/14 – Favourites that won
4/14 – Went onto win the Champion Chase that season (2009 - Master Minded, Sprinter Sacre 2013, 2014 Sire de Grugy, 2015 Dodging Bullets)
4/14 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won the race 5 times in all)
3/14 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (won the race 4 times in all)
3/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/14 – Had won the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) last time out
2/14 – Won by the Pipe stable
Since 1989 there have only been 2 winners aged in double-figures
Since 1989 (26 runnings) there have been 12 winners aged 8 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 12 runnings is 7/2

Note:

2006 – Renewal at Sandown
2005 – Renewal at Cheltenham


3.35 – bet365.com Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV

11/11 – Won between 1-3 times over fences in the UK previously
10/11 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
9/11 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Either French (3) or Irish (6) bred
8/11 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
8/11 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
8/11 – Officially Rated 130 or higher
7/11 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
7/11 – Aged 8 or younger
5/11 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
5/11 – From the top 3 in the betting
5/11 – Winning distance  - 6 lengths or further
5/11 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
4/11 – Raced at either Cheltenham (2) or Chepstow (2) last time out
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 3 runnings)
2/11 – Ridden by Andrew Thornton
2/11 – Trained by Richard Rowe
1/11 – Won their last race
1/11 – Winning Favourites

Note:
2006 – Renewal at Lingfield
2005 – Renewal at Uttoxeter

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

2.05 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Rossington Main Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

10/10 – Aged 7 or younger
10/10 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
9/10 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Aged 5 years-old
6/10 – Had raced at Haydock previously
6/10 – Won their last race
4/10 – Winning Favourites
4/10 -  Ran at Haydock last time out
3/10 – French bred
2/10 – Went onto win the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle
2/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/10 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/10 – Trained by Donald McCain Jnr

Note: 2004 Renewal was staged at Wetherby


2.40 – stanjames.com Champion Hurdle Trial (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV

11/11 – Won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
11/11 – Favourites placed in the top 3
9/11 – Finished in the top three in their last race
9/11 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
9/11 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Champion Hurdle
9/11 -  From the top 3 in the betting
9/11 – Priced 9/4 or shorter
8/11 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles previously
8/11 – Officially Rated 152 or higher
8/11 – Either French (3) or Irish (5) bred
7/11 – Aged 7 or younger
7/11 – Ran at either Cheltenham (4) or Kempton (2) last time out
6/11 – Winning Favourites
4/11 – Placed in the top 4 in that season’s Champion Hurdle (no winners)
3/11 – Won their last race
1/11 – Went onto win that season’s World Hurdle


3.15 - Peter Marsh Chase (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

13/13 – Aged 8 or older
13/13 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/13 – Won on ground described as soft or worse previously
12/13 – Carried 11-3 or less in weight
12/13 – Had run within the last 36 days
10/13 – Won at least 3 times over fences previously
9/13 – Officially Rated 139 or higher
9/13 – Won at Haydock previously
9/13 – Favourites unplaced
9/13 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
8/13 – Won between 3-5 times over fences before
8/13 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
8/13 – Won before (fences) over at least 3m
7/13 – Irish bred
7/13 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
6/13 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
6/13 – Ran at Wetherby last time out
5/13 – Raced in the Roland Meyrick (Wetherby) last time out
5/13 – Won over fences at Haydock before
4/13 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
3/13 – Trained by Sue Smith
2/13 – Trained by the McCain stable
2/13 – Won their last race
1/13 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 11/1

 

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 20 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Scribner Creek - Won well two starts ago here, but pulled a bit too hard last time out over further. The drop back in trip should help as they should be going a bit quicker which should help him not race too freely. The plan is to drop him in and come with a run and should not be far away. Doesn't look much value though, but we'd be disappointed if he's not in the frame."
Mark Loughnane

10/01/17 3rd 11/2

"What Usain - All three career wins have been here at the track - only second run for us so still finding our feet with the horse but wasn't beaten far last time at Newcastle over a mile and a repeat of that effort would see him go close. But draw 12 not ideal so might need a bit of luck from there. Tough race, but each-way claims if not getting into too much traffic problems."
Mick Appleby

10/01/17 2nd 12/1

"Call Out Loud - Better last time on second run back so seems to be slowly blowing the cobwebs away. More needed up in grade here off the same mark, but trying the first-time visor here as took a hold last time - hopefully this will settle him better. Stays further too so that will help down the long straight."
Mick Appleby

10/01/17 1st 10/1

"Among Angels - Drop in class and the drop in trip here are both things in his favour. The horse is in great form at home and would not be shocked to see him run well at a fair each-way price."
Mark Loughnane

10/01/17 2nd 7/2

"Big Amigo - Won well the last day here over CD - has come out of that race very well and despite a 6lb penalty everything is in place for a big run. No reason why he can't go very close again, but, in truth, we'll be a bit disappointed if he can't follow-up."
Mark Loughnane

10/01/17 1st 9/4

"Mithqaal - A nice prize here and we look to have a decent chance. This horse loved the surface last time when dotting up by 2 lengths over 7f. The step up to a mile should be fine and a 6lb rise for that looks fair. Several others that like the surface too, so a bit more needed but is a horse certainly capable of taking this and one of my best chances on the day."
Mick Appleby

10/01/17 1st 4/6

"Pancake Day - Ran a cracker last time when third here over 6f. Been given a chance with same mark and grade. Drop down to 5f is no problem and in good form at home. Hands and Heels race, but we claim a further 7lbs so should be giving his jockey a nice run and should not be far away."
David C Griffiths

10/01/17 1st 4/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 14th Jan 17

More LIVE ITV4 action this Saturday as the cameras head to Warwick for the Classic Chase, plus they are also at Kempton Park, with the Lanzarote Hurdle their main event.

As normal, horse racing trends expert Andy Newton is on-hand with all the key stats for the LIVE ITV races – hopefully they might help point you in the direction of a few winners by narrowing down the fields.


 

 

 

Kempton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RUK/C4)

2.05 – 32Red Casino Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m4f110y ITV4

3 previous runnings
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2016
Trainer Alan King won the race in 2015
Trainer Philip Hobbs won the race in 2014
2/3 – Winning favourites
2/3 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
Nicky Henderson has a 32% record with his chasers at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 24% record with his chasers at the track
Venetia Williams is just 2 from 36 with her chasers at the track

2.40 – 32Red.com Lanzarote Hurdle (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

15/15 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
14/15 – Aged 7 or younger
14/15 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
10/15 – Had never won a hurdles race over this trip or longer before
11/15 – Had won exactly 2 times over hurdles before
12/15 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Winning distance 2 ¼ lengths or less
10/15 – Irish (5) or French (5) bred
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Carried 10-11 or less
10/15 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
9/15 – Aged 6 years-old
9/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Won last time out
5/15 – Had run at Kempton before (4 won)
5/15-  Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Nick Williams
2/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainer Gary Moore won the race in 1996, 1998 & 2007
Since 1980 (35 runnings) 31 winners have been aged 7 or younger
The winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1
Note: the 2006 running was a dead heat between Rayshan & Buck Whaley and run at Carlisle


3.15 – 32Red.com Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV4

Just four previous runnings
Philip Hobbs won the race 12 months ago and in 2014
3/4 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
3/4 – Carried 11-3 or more
2/4 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/4 – Winning favourites
Nicky Henderson has a 32% record with this chasers at the track
Ben Pauling is 2 from 5 with his chasers at the track
Venetia Williams is just 2 from 36 with her chasers at the track
Tom Cannon has a 21% record riding over fences at the track


3.45 – 32Red.com Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m ITV4

9/9 – Had won over at least 2m hurdles before
9/9 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
9/9 – Aged 6 or older
8/9 – Favourites that finished in the top 2
7/9 – Aged 6 years-old
7/9 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
6/9 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
5/9 – Finished 4th or better last time out
4/9 – Irish bred
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Returned a double-figure price
1/9 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 10/1


Warwick Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV4)


1.50 - Betfred Mobile Hampton Novices´ Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m110y ITV4

9/9 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/9 – Had raced in the last 7 weeks
9/9 – Had won between 0-2 times over fences
9/9 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/9 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences
7/9 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/9 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
6/9 – Aged 7 years-old
6/9 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
5/9 – Had won over 3m (or further) chase
5/9 – Won last time out
5/9 – Irish bred
2/9 – Trained by Alan King
2/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/9 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 9/4

2.25 – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 3m1f ITV4

11/11 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
11/11 – Had won between 1-4 times over hurdles before
9/11 – Carried 11-0 or less
9/11 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
9/11 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
9/11 – Went onto finish unplaced in the Pertemps Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
8/11 – Had never raced over hurdles at Warwick before
8/11 – Officially rated between 127-142
8/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Placed favourites
6/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
3/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Ran at Bangor last time out
2/11 – Won by trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/11 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/11 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/11 – Winning favourites
The last 6 winners were aged 8 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 15/2


3.00 – Neptune Investment Management Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Leamington Novices´ Hurdle) Grade 2 Cl1 2m5f
ITV4

10/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
10/10 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
10/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/10 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
9/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/10 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
7/10 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
6/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Aged 5 years-old
2/10 – Went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (No Refuge, 2005 RSA Novices’ Hurdle, The New One, 2013 Neptune)
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 7/2

 

3.35 – Betfred Classic Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f ITV4

11/11 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m
10/11 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
8/11 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
8/11 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
8/11 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
8/11 – Winners that came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
7/11 –  Placed in the top 3 in their last race
7/11 – Officially rated between 129-140
7/11 – Won between 2-5 times over fences before
7/11 –  Won by a horse aged 9 or older
7/11 – Had raced at Warwick (hurdles, chase, NH Flat) previously
6/11 – Favourites unplaced
6/11 – Won by an Irish bred horse
6/11 – Had run at either Cheltenham (3) or Newbury (3) in their last race
5/11 – Returned a double-figure price
3/11 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all failed to finish)
3/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 – Won their last race
2/11 – Trained by Alan King
2/11– Ridden by Ruby Walsh
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 10/1

 

 

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 20 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Scribner Creek - Won well two starts ago here, but pulled a bit too hard last time out over further. The drop back in trip should help as they should be going a bit quicker which should help him not race too freely. The plan is to drop him in and come with a run and should not be far away. Doesn't look much value though, but we'd be disappointed if he's not in the frame."
Mark Loughnane

10/01/17 3rd 11/2

"What Usain - All three career wins have been here at the track - only second run for us so still finding our feet with the horse but wasn't beaten far last time at Newcastle over a mile and a repeat of that effort would see him go close. But draw 12 not ideal so might need a bit of luck from there. Tough race, but each-way claims if not getting into too much traffic problems."
Mick Appleby

10/01/17 2nd 12/1

"Call Out Loud - Better last time on second run back so seems to be slowly blowing the cobwebs away. More needed up in grade here off the same mark, but trying the first-time visor here as took a hold last time - hopefully this will settle him better. Stays further too so that will help down the long straight."
Mick Appleby

10/01/17 1st 10/1

"Among Angels - Drop in class and the drop in trip here are both things in his favour. The horse is in great form at home and would not be shocked to see him run well at a fair each-way price."
Mark Loughnane

10/01/17 2nd 7/2

"Big Amigo - Won well the last day here over CD - has come out of that race very well and despite a 6lb penalty everything is in place for a big run. No reason why he can't go very close again, but, in truth, we'll be a bit disappointed if he can't follow-up."
Mark Loughnane

10/01/17 1st 9/4

"Mithqaal - A nice prize here and we look to have a decent chance. This horse loved the surface last time when dotting up by 2 lengths over 7f. The step up to a mile should be fine and a 6lb rise for that looks fair. Several others that like the surface too, so a bit more needed but is a horse certainly capable of taking this and one of my best chances on the day."
Mick Appleby

10/01/17 1st 4/6

"Pancake Day - Ran a cracker last time when third here over 6f. Been given a chance with same mark and grade. Drop down to 5f is no problem and in good form at home. Hands and Heels race, but we claim a further 7lbs so should be giving his jockey a nice run and should not be far away."
David C Griffiths

10/01/17 1st 4/1

 

Sat TV Trends: 7th Jan 2017

Another MASSIVE day for the ITV4 horse racing cameras as they move to Wincanton and Sandown for more LIVE coverage - with the Tolworth Hurdle at the Esher track the weekend feature.

Like every Saturday horse racing trends expert Andy Newton takes you through all the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and hopefully find a few winners.

tvtrends-300x73

 

 

 

 

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV4)

1.50 – 32Red Casino Handicap Chase Cl2 2m ITV4

10/10 – Won over at least 2m (chase) previously
9/10 – Ran within the last 2 months
9/10 – Priced 17/2 or shorter
9/10 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/10 – Never raced at Sandown
8/10 – Favourite placed
7/10 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
7/10 – From the top 3 in the betting
7/10 – Irish bred
7/10 – Officially rated 135 or higher
7/10 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
7/10 – Won between 1-4 times over fences in the UK previously
5/10 – Unplaced last time out
5/10 – Winning Favourites
5/10 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase at the Cheltenham Festival
4/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/10 – Went onto win a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Champion Chase, Grand Annual)
3/10 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/10 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/10 – Won their last race
Bold Henry won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 8 running is 5/1


2.25 – 32Red Tolworth Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

12/12 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
12/12 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
11/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Priced  5/1 or shorter
10/12 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
10/12 – Came from the top three in the market
10/12 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
9/12 – Won last time out
9/12 – Placed favourites
8/12 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
7/12 – Won by an Irish bred horse
6/12 – Favourites
6/12 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
4/12 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
4/12 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
3/12 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/12 – Ridden by jockey Barry Geraghty
3/12 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
2/12 – Ran at Sandown before
2/12 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
1/12 – Won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season (Noland 2006)
1/12 - Won the Neptune Investment Hurdle later that season (Yorkhill 2016)
5 or 6 years-old have won 18 of the last 24 runnings
Since 1988 ALL winners have been aged 7 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 7/2


3.00 - 32RedSport.com Veterans´ Handicap Chase Final (The Final of The 2015 Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m37y ITV4

1 previous running
The David Pipe yard won the race 12 months ago
Tom Scudamore rode the winner in 2016
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 25% record with his chasers here
Trainer Colin Tizzard is just 1 from 23 with his chasers here
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies is 1 from 23 with his chasers here
Jockey Daryl Jacob has a 34% record riding over fences at the track
Jockey Sam Twiston-Davies is just 2 from 39 riding over fences here


3.35 –32Red Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m110y ITV4

10/11 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
10/11 – Won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) previously
10/11 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
9/11 – Unplaced last time out
9/11 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
8/11 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
6/11 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/11 – Officially rated between 127 and 132
6/11 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
5/11 – Went onto finish unplaced in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
5/11 – Raced at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
4/11 – From the top 3 in the betting
4/11 – Irish bred
3/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/11 – Trained by Oliver Sherwood
2/11 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/11 – Trained by Venetia Williams
0/11 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 11/1

Note: 2002 & 2003 runnings were staged at Ascot


Wincanton Horse Racing Betting Trends (RUK/ITV4)


2.40 – Bathwick Tyres Yeovil Chase (A Novices’ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m4f35y ITV4

Trainer Nicky Henderson has 40% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain is 2-from-2 with his chasers at the course
Trainer Harry Fry has a 25% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 26% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Tom George has a 23% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Neil Mulholland is just 2 from 30 with his chasers at the track


3.15 -  Bathwick Tyres Poole Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f82y ITV4

Trainer Paul Nicholls has a 39% record with his hurdlers here
Trainer Neil King is 2 from 5 with his hurdlers here
Trainer Nicky Henderson has a 22% record with his hurdlers here
Trainer Sue Gardner is just 1 from 26 with his hurdlers here
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill is just 1 from 33 with his hurdlers here
Trainer Jamie Snowden is just 1 from 24 with his hurdlers here
Daryl Jacob has a 28% record riding over hurdles here

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Very disappointing run last time for Grand Facile. Using different tactics this time and if all goes well, may have a chance at a fair price being a former CD winner here."
Gary Moore

04/01/17 2nd 25/1

"Prisom - Tried over a mile last time but didn't really enjoy that. The return to 7f is, therefore, a big plus as is the return to Southwell. Looks a race with several (including us) with similar-looking chances, but she is well and so e/w claims."
Gay Kelleway

02/01/17 2nd 9/1

"Omintago - We look to have a decent chance here if running to the same level as last time when second at Wolverhampton. First run on the surface but no reason why it won't suit. Seems to be getting the hang of things now too so everything in place for a big run and looks one of my better chances on the day."
Mick Appleby

02/01/17 1st 11/10

 

Cheltenham – New Year’s Day TV Trends

Cheltenham – New Year’s Day TV Trends - A HUGE day of C4 action at Cheltenham this New Year’s Day as we begin 2017. It’s also a massive day for ITV as they take over from C4, with this being their first broadcast. As always, we are on hand with a look at all the televised races from Prestbury Park from a stats angle.

 

 

 

1.25 – BetBright Dipper Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m4f166y ITV

14/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Went onto run in a Cheltenham Festival race (1 winner)
11/14 – Came from the top three in the betting
11/14 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
11/14 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
11/14 – Had won over fences at 2m3f or further before
11/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Irish bred
8/14 – Won last time out
7/14 – Returned 5/4 or shorter in the betting
6/14 – Aged 7 years-old
6/14 – Had won over hurdles at Cheltenham before
6/14 – Ran at either Sandown or Cheltenham last time out
6/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/14 – Went onto win the Arkle Chase (My Way De Solzen, 2007)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1


2.00 - BetBright Best For Festival Betting Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f166y ITV

14/14 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before
14/14 – Raced within the last 2 months
13/14 – Had won at least twice over fences before
12/14 – Either French (4) or Irish (8) bred
12/14 – Raced within the last 3 weeks
12/14 – Had won over 2m4f or further (fences) before
12/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Rated 138 or higher
11/14 – Aged 8 or older
10/14 – Carried 11-0 or less
9/14 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
9/14 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
9/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
9/14 – Unplaced last time out
8/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
4/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies yard
1/14 – Went onto win the Ryanair Chase at the Cheltenham Festival
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2


2.35 - BetBright Casino Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV

12/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/13 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
11/13 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
9/13 – Went onto run in a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
9/13 – Rated 130 or higher
9/13 – Had won at least twice over hurdles in the UK before
9/13 – Had won a hurdles race over at least 2m4f before
8/13 – Carried 10-9 or more
8/13 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
8/13 – Unplaced last time out
7/13 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
6/13 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
5/13 – French bred
4/13 – Had won over hurdles at Cheltenham before
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/13 – Winning favourites
1/13 – Won by a mare
1/13 – Went onto win the World Hurdle later that season (Big Buck’s, 2009)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 17/2


3.10 – Dornan Engineering Relkeel Hurdle Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

11/12 – Went on run in a race at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
11/12 – Won by either a French (4) or Irish (7) bred
10/12 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
10/12 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/12 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
8/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/12 – Had won at Cheltenham before
8/12 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
6/12 – Went onto run in the World Hurdle later that season
6/12 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
5/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/12 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/12 – Trained by the Pipe stable
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 7/2

 

Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays

 

Boxing Day Trends: Kempton Park

It's always one of the biggest racing days on the horse racing calendar with eight domestic cards, but the festive feature as racing returns after a three day break is always the King George VI Meeting at Kempton Park.

Six races to take in from the Sunbury-On Thames track as punters look to get some of their Xmas expenses paid by finding the winner of the King George VI Chase. So to help you out we've got all the races covered from a trends and stats angle - use these to find the best profiles of past winners  of each race. Enjoy!

 

Kempton Horse Racing Trends - Monday 26th December 2016


12:55 – 32Red Casino Mobile Novices' Hurdle Race 2m

9/9 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
8/9 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/9 – Winning distance 3 lengths or more
8/9 – Favourites placed in the top 3
8/9 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Won just once over hurdles before
6/9 – Winning favourites
6/9 – Had won a NH Flat race before
3/9 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/9 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/9 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty


1.30 – 32Red.com Chase (A Novices´ Limited Handicap) Chase Cl3 2m4f110y CH4

12/12 – Aged 7 or younger
11/12 – Had won between 0-1 times over fences in the UK
10/12 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
9/12 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
8/12 – Placed favourites (1 joint)
6/12 – Officially rated between 119 and 125
6/12 – Carried 11-6 or more
6/12 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
6/12 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/12 – Won by a French bred horse
5/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/12 – Raced at Kempton last time out


2.05 – 32RedKauto Star Novices´ Chase (In memory of Nigel Clark) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m CH4

13/13 – Placed in the top two last time out
13/13 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/13 – Won last time out
10/13 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
9/13 – Aged 6 or younger
9/13 – Had won at least 2 times over fences in the UK
9/13 – French (5) or Irish (4) bred
8/13 – Placed favourites
8/13 – Went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (no winners)
7/13 – Winning favourites
7/13 – Aged 6 years-old
6/13 – Had won (chase) over at least 3m before
6/13 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 – Trained by David Pipe
2/13 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/13 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/13 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
1/13 – French trained
1/13 – Went onto run in the Cheltenham Gold Cup (One winner - Coneygree 2015)

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Sandown


2.40 – 32Red.com Christmas Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m CH4

12/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Had won at least 4 times over hurdles before
11/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Went onto run in the Champion Hurdle (Faughan (2015) only winner)
8/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Irish trained
7/14 – Ran in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Newcastle) last time out
7/14 – Went onto finish in the top 5 in the Champion Hurdle that season
7/14 – Had run over hurdles at Kempton before
7/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – French bred
4/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
4/14 – Trained by Noel Meade
2/14 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/14 – Trained by Willie Mullins
Faugheen has won the last 2 runnings
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Sandown
The 2010 renewal was run on 15th Jan 2011


3.10 – 32Red King George VI Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 3m CH4

Past King George VI Chase Winners

2015 – Cue Card (9/2)
2014 - Silviniaco Conti (15/8 fav)
2013 – Silviniaco Conti (7/2)
2012 – Long Run (15/8 fav)
2011 – Kauto Star (3/1)
2010 – Long Run (9/2)
2009 – Kauto Star (8/13 fav)
2008 – Kauto Star (10/11 fav)
2007 – Kauto Star (4/6 fav)
2006 – Kauto Star (8/13 fav)
2005 – Kicking King (11/8 fav)
2004 – Kicking King (3/1 fav)
2003 – Edredon Bleu (25/1)
2002 – Best Mate (11/8 fav)
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

King George VI Chase Trends

14/14 – Had won a Grade One chase before
13/14 – French (10) or Irish bred (3)
13/14 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
13/14 – Finished in the top three last time out
12/14 – Placed favourites
12/14 – Officially rated 169 or higher
12/14 – Had won over 3m or further (fences) before
10/14 – Aged 8 or younger
10/14 – Had won a race over fences at Kempton before
9/14 – Winning favourites
9/14 – Won last time out
9/14 – Ran in the Betfair Chase (Haydock) last time out
8/14 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
7/14 – Won by a previous winner of the race
7/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (9 times in all)
5/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/14 – Ridden by Noel Fehily
2/14 – Won by an Irish-based yard (only 3 in the last 30 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 7/2


15:45 – 32Red On The App Handicap Hurdle Race 2m5f

9/9 – Won no more than 3 times (UK Hurdles)
8/9 – Aged 6 or younger
7/9 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
7/9 – Won between 0-2 times hurdles (UK)
7/9 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
7/9 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/9 – Officially rated 120-128
5/9 – Ran 4 or less weeks ago
5/9 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/9 – Unplaced favourites
5/9 – Won last time out
5/9 – French bred
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Ballylare - Claimed out of the John Best yard a few weeks ago. Therefore, not had the horse long, but seems well and based on his form should have a decent each-way chance here, but we'll obviously learn a lot more about the horse after this."
Lee Carter

19/12/16 1st 8/1

"Plutocracy - Well drawn in stall 1 and gets in here off the same mark as when a fair third last time out at Kempton over this trip. Not won since 2013, but a very consistent horse that is never far away in his races. 3 recent winners are feared, but we head here with another solid-looking each-way chance."
Gary Moore

18/12/16 1st 8/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 17th December 2016

It’s the last weekend before Christmas and it looks set to be another decent Saturday of jumping action with the C4 cameras heading to Haydock and Ascot for six LIVE races.

So to help you narrow down the fields we've all the big-race trends, plus key trainer stats ahead of each race.

tvtrends-300x73

 

 

 


Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/C4)

 

1.50 – BGC Partners Handicap Chase Cl3 2m1f CH4

7/8 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
7/8 – Officially Rated between 130-137
7/8 – Won at least twice over fences previously
7/8 – Won a chase race over 2m1f previously
6/8 – French bred
6/8 – Aged 7 or older
6/8 – Priced 6/1 or shorter in the betting
3/8 – Won their last race
2/8 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/8 – Trained by Venetia Williams
1/8 – Favourites

Trainer Stats:
Tom Symonds has a 30% record with his runners at the track
Harry Fry has a 29% record with his runners at the track
Nicky Henderson has a 23% record with his runners at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 21% record with his runners at the track
Jonjo O’Neill is just 3 from 48 with his runners at the track


2.25 – JLT Long Walk Hurdle Grade 1 Cl1 3m1f CH4

14/14 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
14/14 – Winners that went onto compete in that season’s World Hurdle (5 won, 4 runners-up, 3 unplaced)
12/14 – French-bred horse
12/14 – Placed in the top three in their last race
12/14 – Favourites placed
11/14 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
11/14 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
10/14 – Won at least 5 times over hurdles previously
10/14 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
9/14 – Raced at Newbury last time out
8/14 – Favourites that won
7/14 – Won their last race
3/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 9/2

Note:
2009 and 2010 runnings - Newbury
2005 running - Chepstow
2004  running -Windsor

Trainer Stats:
Harry Fry has a 29% record with his runners at the track
Nicky Henderson has a 23% record with his runners at the track
Nigel Twiston-Davies is just 3 from 44 with his runners at the track


3.00 – Lavazza Jolie Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m CH4

11/11 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
9/11 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
7/11 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
7/11 – Won by a French bred horse
7/11 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
7/11 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
7/11 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/11 – Raced at Ascot previously
6/11 – Favourites placed
6/11 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
4/11 – Aged 7 years-old
4/11 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
3/11 – Priced at double-figure price in the betting
3/11 – Favourite (1 joint)
2/11 – Trained by Henry Daly

The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 11/1
Note: The 2004 renewal was staged at Windsor

Trainer Stats:

Nicky Henderson has a 23% record with his runners at the track
Harry Fry has a 29% record with his runners at the track
Jonjo O’Neill is only 3 from 48 with his runners at the track


3.35 – Wessex Youth Trust Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m CH4

13/13 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
13/13 – Had won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
12/13 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
11/13 – Had raced within the last 2 months
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
8/13 – Officially rated between 127 and 136
9/13 – Carried 10-10 or more
7/13 – Priced 12/1 or bigger in the betting
6/13– Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
6/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/13 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/13 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 14/1
Jolly’s Cracked and Sternrubin dead-headed in the race 12 months ago

Trainer Stats:
Harry Fry has a 45% record with his hurdlers at the track
Gary Moore is just 1 from 36 with his hurdlers at the track
Philip Hobbs has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

2.05 - Abram Mares´ Novices´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m2f191y CH4

4 previous runnings
4/4 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
4/4 – Aged 5 years-old
4/4 – Officially rated 127-133
3/4 – Won last time out
3/4 – Won between 2-3 times before
3/4 – Irish bred
3/4 – Favourites finished 1st or 2nd
2/4 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 2/1

Trainer Stats:
Graeme McPherson has a 25% record with his runners at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 22% record with his runners at the track

 

2.40 – Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase Cl2 3m CH4

9/9 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
9/9 – Failed to win their last race
8/9 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
8/9 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Won over at least 3m before (hurdles or fences)
6/9 – Won between 2-3 times over fences previously
6/9 – Favourites placed
6/9 – Had raced at Haydock previously (hurdles or fences)
5/9 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
3/9 – Ridden by jockey Tom O’Brien
2/9 – French bred
2/9 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/9 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/9 – Went onto run in that season’s Aintree Grand National (both unplaced)
1 winning favourite in the last 8 runnings
5 of the last 8 winners carried 11-0 or more
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 7/1

Trainer Stats:

Emma Lavelle has 27% record with her runners at the track
Kerry Lee is 3 from 4 with her chasers at the track
Colin Tizzard has a 25% record with his chasers at the track
Evan Williams is just 1 from 24 with his chasers at the track

 

 

 

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 20 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Aventus - Into claiming company here - looks a tough race and we've a bit to find on these terms with some of these. But we are putting the blinkers back on today and the drop back to a mile will help. Might be a tough ask to win with Poetic Force and Bazwind better off at the weights, but top three finish not out of the question. "
Jane Chapple-Hyam

12/12/16 2nd 16/1

"El Campeon - Off with an injury for most of the year but not disgraced on his comeback run when a bit free in a steadily run affair. Needs to settle better in this small field but looked like this track and trip suited him well when he carted up here last year."
Simon Dow

12/12/16 1st 6/1

"Street Outlaw is returning after a short break & is dropping into a seller for the first time. This is only a small field but we are wrong in at the weights with the main two in the betting so it will be tough to beat them.... Having said that these races don't always work on to the handicap marks so we might run into a place!"
Mark Loughnane

12/12/16 2nd 7/1

"Templier - Second runner in the race for us. TEMPLIER has schooled well at home and this hurdle debut could be interesting. Has had plenty of racecourse experience on the flat so he could give a good account of himself today. "
Gary Moore

12/12/16 1st 12/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 10th Dec 2016

A MASSIVE day up at Prestbury Park as the Cheltenham December Meeting continues, plus the C4 cameras also head to Doncaster for two races - as always, we are on-hand with all the big-race trends and stats to help you find the best winning profiles based on past winners.

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Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


1.50 – Caspian Caviar Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f CH4

14/14 – Aged 8 or younger
12/14 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
12/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (no winners)
11/14 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
11/14 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
10/14 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (4 won)
10/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Officially rated 142 or higher
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
9/14 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
8/14 – French bred
7/14 – Carried 10-13 or more
4/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/14 – Ran in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
4/14 – Finished in the top 5 in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
1/14 – Winning favourites (last winning fav 1996)
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 9.5/1


2.25 - Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m CH4

12/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/12 – Placed favourites
11/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
11/12 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
11/12 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Aged 6 or younger
9/12 – Winning favourite (1 co, 1 joint)
9/12 – Went on run in the Albert Bartlett (2 won) at the Cheltenham Festival
8/12 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
8/12 – Won last time out
8/12 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
7/12 – Had won at Cheltenham before
7/12 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
7/12 – Irish bred
2/12 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/2

 

3.00 – StanJames.com International Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f CH4

14/14 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/14 – Placed in the top 3 in their latest race
14/14 – Raced over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
12/14 – Won over 2m1f (hurdles) previously
12/14 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old or younger
11/14 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle later that season (5 placed)
11/14 – Won 4 or more times over hurdles previously
11/14 – Won their latest race
10/14 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
10/14 –  Favourites placed
10/14 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
10/14 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
9/14 – Won by a horse aged either 4 or 5 years-old
8/14 – Rated 162 or higher
7/14 – Winning distance:  4+ lengths
6/14 – Won the Greatwood Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
4/14 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/14 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
3/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/14 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/14 - Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Won the Betfair Hurdle last time out
2/14 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/14 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
1/14 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that season (Rooster Booster 2002)
Paul Nicholls, Nicky Henderson, Philip Hobbs and Nigel Twiston-Davies have won 11 of the last 14 runnings between them
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 7/2

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)

 

2.40 – bet365 December Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m CH4

Only 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
6/6 – Won between 0-2 times over fences
5/6 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
5/6 – Priced 9/4 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Placed favourites
4/6 – French (2) or Irish (2) bred
4/6 – Favourites
4/6 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
3/6 – Won last time out
3/6 – Ran at Haydock last time out
2 of the last 7 runnings have been won by trainer Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 15/8

Note from 2013 back the race was run at Lingfield Park

 

3.15 – Bet365 Summit Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m110y CH4

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/6 – Had won just once before over hurdles
6/6 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
5/6 – Favourites placed in the top 3
5/6 – Irish (3) or French (2) bred
4/6 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
4/6 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
3/6 – Won last time out
2/6 – Ran at Market Rasen last time out
2/6 – Trained by John Quinn
2/6 – Ridden by Dougie Costello
1/6 – Favourites
Trainer Alan King won the race 12 months ago
Peace and Co won the race in 2015 and went onto with the Triumph Hurdle
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 6/1

 

 

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 20 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"We are running Sunshineandbubbles back in an auction maiden today as it is such a small field so seemed like a good opportunity. She is wrong in at the weights on her handicap mark, but some of her best runs have been at the track so if she puts in a similar effort today then we hope she can get involved."
Mark Loughnane

07/12/16 1st 16/1

"Forceful Appeal - Been coming along steadily and a regular winner at this time of year. Wide passage and no luck in-running at Chelmsford last week, good record here and won this 12 months ago, but again drawn wide (11) so needs things to fall right for him. Cannot be discounted."
Simon Dow

07/12/16 1st 6/1

"Many Clouds - Everything has gone to plan so far and I am very happy with him. He had a little wind op after the National this year and had a good gallop round Newbury a few weeks ago. Looking forward to seeing him back on the track and he should give a good account of himself."
Oliver Sherwood

03/12/16 1st 3/1

"Two Smokin Barrels - Improved with every run last season. Winner of a point-to-point so should improve for going chasing. Has schooled well at home and ground conditions shold be fine - looks a tricky race, but she has a chance."
Michael Scudamore

03/12/16 1st 7/2

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 3rd Dec 2016

Another massive Saturday of NH jumping action with the C4 cameras heading to Sandown Park and Aintree, with the Tingle Creek Chase and Becher Chase the feature contests - As always we’ve got all the big-race trends and stats for all the LIVE races.

 

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Sandown Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


1.55 - Racing Post Henry VIII Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m CH4

13/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/13 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
12/13 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 2m
12/13 – Aged 6 or younger
11/13 – Won last time out
11/13 – French (8) or Irish (3) bred
10/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Winners went onto run in that season’s Arkle Chase (1 winner)
9/13 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (3) last time out
8/13 – Winning distance – 2 ¾ lengths or more
6/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/13 – Winners went onto finish 1st or 2nd in that season’s Arkle Chase
2/13 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1

 

2.25 - Jumeirah Hotels And Resorts December Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f216y CH4

12/13 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/13 – Raced within the last month
12/13 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
11/13 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Aged 4,5 or 6 years-old
10/13 – Carried 10-13 or less
10/13 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
9/13 – Rated between 116-128
8/13 – Won last time out
7/13 – Unplaced favourites
7/13 – Irish bred
3/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/13 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/13 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 13/2

 

3.00 – Tingle Creek Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m CH4

13/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/14 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Aged 9 or younger
12/14 – Had won a Grade One chase before
12/14 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s QM Champion Chase
11/14 – Officially rated 165 or higher
10/14 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
10/14 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
10/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
10/14 – French bred
10/14 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
8/14 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
8/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
8/14 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
5/14 – Went onto win the Champion Chase (Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre, Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
3/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
1/14 – Went onto win the Gold Cup (Kauto Star) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
Sire de Grugy won the race in 2013 and 2015
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 5/2

Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Cheltenham

 

3.30 – Betfair London National Handicap Chase Cl2 3m5f110y CH4

12/12 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Aged 7 or older
11/12 – Won between 2-6 times over fences before
11/12 – Had won (fences) over at least 3m before
10/12 – Rated 126 or higher
10/12 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
9/12 – Unplaced favourites
9/12 – Aged 8 or older
8/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/12 – Irish bred
7/12 – Carried 11-0 or more
6/12 – Had raced over fences at Sandown before (2 won)
4/12 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Towcester (2) last time out
4/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/12 – Trained by Tom George
1/12 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 13/2

 


Aintree Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


1.35 - Betfred Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m2f CH4

11/14 – Irish bred winners
11/14 – Carried 10-12 or less
11/14 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
11/14 – Aged 9 or older
11/14 – Officially rated between 123-138
10/14 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
10/14 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
10/14 – Had no more than 1 start that season
9/14 – Had raced at Aintree before
9/14 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/14 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
5/14 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
5/14 – Placed favourites
3/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/14 – Irish-trained winners
3/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
0/14 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
Highland Lodge won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 14/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 5 times since 1993


2.10 - Betfred "Home Of Goals Galore" Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f CH4

10/12 - Carried 10-9 or more in weight
9/12 - Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9/12 - Aged 6 or younger
9/12 – Rated 123 or higher
9/12 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
8/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/12 – Favourites placed
7/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
7/12 – Had won over at last 2m4f before
7/12 – Had run at Aintree before (3 had won there before)
7/12 – Won last time out
7/12 – French (4) or Irish (3) bred
6/12 - Winning favourites
2/12 - Trained by Peter Bowen
2/12 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/12 – Trained by Dan Skelton
Trainer Dan Skelton & Nicky Henderson have trained the last 4 winners between them
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1


2.40 - Betfred Lotto "£100K Cash Giveaway" Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m210y CH4

Just 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
5/5 – Aged 8 or younger
3/5 – Winning favourites
Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 & 2014
Nicky Henderson won the race in 2011
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 5/2
Venetia Williams is just 2 from 34 (6%) with his chasers at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes is only 3 from 38 riding over fences here


3.15 - Betfred Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y CH4

10/11 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
10/11 – Aged 8 or older
9/11 – Rated 124 or more
8/11 – Irish bred
8/11 – Had won (chase) over at least 2m4f before
8/11 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
8/11 – Had run at Aintree before (3 over the GN style fences)
more
6/11 – Returned a double-figure price
6/11 – Carried 10-12 or more
5/11 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
2/11 – Winning favourites
1/11 – Won last time out
1/11 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (5th)
Bennys Mist won the race 12 months ago
9 of the last 10 winners were aged 8 or 9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/1

 

 

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 20 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Darebin - I have always thought a lot of this horse but very disappointing last time. First-time blinkers today and if he can put his last run behind him - was his first for over 6 months - should have a decent chance. E/W price."
Gary Moore

29/11/16 1st 12/1

"Kassis is still nicely handicapped and should go well today back over hurdles with the trip and conditions to suit we hope for a good run."
Jamie Snowden

27/11/16 1st 5/1

"Pensax Lady won well last time out and remains in good form at home coming out of the race well. This looks a bit more competitive than the race she won but we hope that she can go close again!"
Mark Loughnane

26/11/16 2nd 7/1

"Win Lose Draw, Down to lowest handicap mark and with Ali's claim then we look to have a fair chance. Decent draw in 2 and we put the cheekpieces on for the first time. We think they will help and has a fair amount of experience of this track. Not the best-looking race and we should be open to improvement with just 7 career runs. Each-way chance."
Mick Appleby

26/11/16 1st 9/2

 

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Sat TV Trends 26th Nov 2016

Another huge Saturday ahead with the Hennessy Gold Cup and the Fighting Fifth Hurdle the main contests at Newbury and Newcastle – As always we’ve got all the C4 TV trends to help you find the best winning profile.

 

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Newbury Horse Racing Betting Trends (C4/RUK)


1.30 - Sir Peter O´Sullevan Memorial Handicap Chase Cl3 2m6f93y CH4

11/11 – Aged 9 or younger
10/11 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
9/11 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
8/11 – Carried 11-5 or more in weight
8/11 – Raced at Wincanton (3), Cheltenham (3) or Bangor (2) last time out
8/11 – Officially rated between 126-130
8/11 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
7/11 – Aged 7 or younger
6/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Placed favourites
5/11 – Unplaced last time out
4/11 – Had raced at Newbury over fences before
4/11 – French bred
2/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2

 

2.05 – bet365 Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m3f More4

Four previous runnings
3 of the last 4 winners aged 5 years-old
No winning favourite
All winners carried between 10-10 and 11-5
Paul Nicholls, Alan King, Rebecca Curtis & Ali Stronge have trained the winners
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has a 24% record with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Wayne Hutchinson is just 2 from 44 riding over hurdles at the track

 

2.40 bet365 Intermediate Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Registered As The Gerry Fielden Hurdle) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m69y CH4

10/10 – Had at least 4 runs over hurdles before
9/10 – Aged 6 or younger
9/10 – Won over 2m (hurdles) before
8/10 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
8/10 – Irish, French or German bred
8/10 – Won just 1-2 times in the past
7/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Finished in the top three last time out
6/10 – Officially rated between 126-134
5/10 – Aged 5 years-old
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
5/10 – Had raced at Newbury before
4/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/10 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
3/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Raced at Aintree last time out
2/10 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1


3.10 – Hennessy Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 3m2f110y

13/14 – Aged 8 or younger
12/14 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
12/14 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
11/14 – Had run at Newbury before (7 had won over fences there)
11/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Carried 10-13 or more
11/14 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
11/14 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
10/14 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
10/14 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
9/14 – Rated between 140 and 151
8/14 – Ran at either Aintree (2) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
8/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
8/14 – Had a previous run that season
7/14 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 4)
2/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty (2 of last 4)
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 9/1
Since 1968 there has only been one winner aged in double-figures (1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (26 runnings) there have been 13 winners (50%) aged 7 years-old


3.45 - bet365 Handicap Chase (for the Jim Joel Memorial Trophy) Cl2 2m1f CH4

12/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Officially rated between 126-135
10/14 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
9/14 – French bred
9/14 – Had won a UK chase race over 2m1f
8/14 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
8/14 – Placed in their last race
8/14 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
8/14 – Had won between 2-5 chase races in the UK
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/14 – Won a chase race at Newbury before
2/14 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
8 of the last 10 winners carried between 10-8 and 11-3
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
Grey Gold won the race 12 months ago

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Betting Trends (C4/ATR)


1.45 - Weatherbys Racing Diaries "The French Furze" Novices´ Hurdle Cl2 2m6f More4

7/7 – Irish bred
6/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/7 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd last time out
6/7 – Had run just 1 or 2 times over hurdles before
6/7 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
5/7 – Carried 11-3 in weight
5/7 – Had won just once over hurdles before
2/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Won at Statford last time out
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 6/1


2.55 – StanJames.com Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m CH4

14/14 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
13/14 – Placed in the first two in their latest race
13/14 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
12/14 – Raced in the Champion Hurdle later that same season
11/14 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Aged 6 or younger
10/14 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/14 – Officially rated 151 or higher
9/14 – Won their last race
8/14 – Placed in the top 5 in the Champion Hurdle later that season
7/14 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/14 – Won by an Irish bred
4/14 – Won by an Irish based yard
2/14 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
1/14 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that same season (2008 Punjabi)
Irving won the race in 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

Note: The 2008 renewal was staged at Wetherby, and the 2010 race at Newbury


3.30 – At The Races Rehearsal Chase (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m CH4

11/12 – Didn’t win their last race
11/12 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 3m
10/12 – Irish bred
10/12 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
9/12 – Had won at least 3 times over fences in the UK
8/12 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
8/12 – Unplaced last time out
6/12 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
5/12 – Unplaced favourites
4/12 – Aged 8 years-old
4/12 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/12 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/12 – Trained by Nicky Richards
2/12– Ridden by Andrew Thornton
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 15/2
Wakanda won the race 12 months ago
Note: The 2002, 2003, & 2004 runnings were at Chepstow

 

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Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 20 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Mystree - First run for us but had some decent chase form last term. Still potentially well-handicapped on hurdles rating. Richard Johnson on board a big plus too. Hoping for a nice run and has won on heavy ground in the past."
Michael Scudamore

19/11/16 1st 4/1

"Favorite Girl - Fit from the flat and good jockey booked in Jack Sherwood. The horse seems well and full of confidence at the moment after her recent win at Nottingham. Likes to race up with the pace and was second off this mark last season so that gives us hope. Some big jumping yards against us though so looks a fair standard of race. Likely to make a bold bid from the front - Small e/w if all 8 run."
Mick Appleby

18/11/16 2nd 14/1

"Twenty Eight Guns - In great order and seems a lot better for his first run back last month on his chase debut. Made a few errors that day so still did well to plug on for 4th. We've given him plenty of time to get over that and been schooling a lot at home too. Yet to win under rules, but has hit the crossbar several times. The softer ground today is a big plus and despite Royale Salute feared we are hoping to go well. "
Michael Scudamore

18/11/16 1st 2/1

 

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Sat TV Trends – 19th Nov 2016

More excellent jumping action at Ascot and Haydock this Saturday with the C4 cameras heading to both tracks. The Betfair Chase is the highlight from Haydock at 3.00, while at Ascot the Coral Hurdle and Stella Artois 1965 Chase top their card  – As always Andy Newton is on hand with all the trends and stats that will help you whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

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Ascot Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)

 

2.05 - Stella Artois 1965 Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f8y CH4

12/13 – Aged 8 or younger
11/13 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
10/13 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/13 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
9/13 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
9/13 – Favourites placed
9/13 – Won by a French-bred horse
8/13 – Had won over this trip (fences) or further before
8/13 – Ran at Aintree (2) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
7/13 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
7/13 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
6/13 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
6/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Aged 5 years-old
2/13 – Won by trainer Alan King
2/13 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/13 – Went onto win at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Albertas Run & Vautour, RyanAir Chase 2009 & 2016)

Note: The 2002 running was at Wincanton and the 2004 renewal at Windsor


2.40 - Coral Hurdle (Registered As The Ascot Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m3f58y CH4

14/14 – Priced 7/2 or less
13/14 – Won by and Irish (10) or French (3) bred horse
12/14 – Won over at least 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
12/14 – Won a Grade 2 (or better) hurdle race previously
11/14 – Favourites placed
10/14 – Won their latest race
10/14 – Won by a horse aged 7 or older
10/14 – Won a Grade 1 hurdle race previously
9/14 – Had their last race 3 months or longer ago
8/14 – Favourites that won (2 joint)
7/14 – Won between 3-5 times over hurdles previously
5/14 – Went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle after winning this (1 won)
4/14 – Went onto race in the Champion Hurdle that same season (all finished 4th or better, Faugheen won both in 2014-15)
3/14 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/14 – Won a hurdles race at Ascot previously
3/14 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
4 of the last 10 winners were Irish-trained

Note: the 2004 & 2005 renewals were at Windsor


3.15 - Shawbrook Handicap Chase Cl2 2m192y CH4

10/10 – Aged between 6 and 9 years-old
10/10 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/10 – Had won over fences over this trip (or further) before
7/10 – Carried 11-0 or more
7/10 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/10 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
6/10 – Ran at either Ascot (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
6/10 – Rated 142 or higher
5/10 – Had raced at Ascot before
5/10 – Placed favourites
4/10 – Placed horses from the Paul Nicholls yard
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Aged 6 years-old
2/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Dresden won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


1.50 - Betfair Price Rush Hurdle Cl2 2m CH4

2 previous runnings
Irving (Paul Nicholls) won the race 12 months ago
Both renewals were won by the favourite
Evan Williams has a +£42 level stakes profit with his hurdlers here

 

2.25 - Betfair Exchange "Fixed Brush" Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m6f177y CH4

11/11 – Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
10/11 – Had won between 1-3 times (hurdles UK) before
9/11 – Carried 10-10 or more
9/11 – Rated between 132 and 143
7/11 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (no winners)
6/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/11 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – French bred
6/11 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
6/11 – Placed favourites
5/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/11 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/11 – Trained by David Pipe
2/11 – Trained by Nick Williams
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

 

3.00 - Betfair Chase (Registered as The Lancashire Chase) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m1f CH4

11 Previous runnings
9/11 – Won by and Irish (3) or French (6) bred horse
9/11 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
9/11 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/11 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
8/11 - Placed in the top three in their last race
8/11 - Won a Grade One chase previously
7/11 - Raced at Haydock previously
7/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
5/11 – Won by a previous winner of the race
5/11 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 - Raced at Aintree last time out
4/11 – Won their latest race
The average winning price in the last 11 runnings is 6/1
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
Ruby Walsh has ridden the winner in 2006, 2009, 2011, 2012


3.35 – Better Value With Betfair Handicap Chase Cl2 3m24y CH4

9 previous runs
9/9 – French (4) or Irish (5) bred
9/9 – Aged 9 or younger
7/9 – Carried 11-1 or more
7/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Had won 2-3 times over fences before
6/9 – Had won over at least 3m (chase) before
5/9 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
5/9 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/9 – Carried 11-11 or more in weight
4/9 –Winning distance – head or shorter
3/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/9 – Winning favourite

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Minella On Line - First run back, but he's in great form and we have dropped him back in trip. He works very well at home so I'm hopeful of a good run."
Oliver Sherwood

14/11/16 1st 7/4

"Gores Island - Hoping for a good run from Gores Island, course winner and looks like he has Comeonginger to beat - e/w chances if all 8 stand their ground. "
Gary Moore

14/11/16 2nd 4/1

"Baron Alco - Working well and very pleased with him - should have every chance if he goes clear with just Alan King's to beat. "
Gary Moore

14/11/16 1st 4/7

"Frazer Canyon - Ran a lot better last time at Exeter so there are signs he's going the right way. Down another 4lbs for that and we think the first-time tongue-tie on here will be a big help. Step up slightly in trip a plus too, so would not be shocked to see him run a lot better with place claims on the cards."
Tim Vaughan

13/11/16 2nd 22/

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Sat TV Trends: 12th Nov 2016

A huge day up at Cheltenham this Saturday with the BetVictor Gold Cup the feature race – the C4 cameras are at Prestbury Park to take in four of the races, plus are also covering two at Wetherby. As always we've got all the key trends & stats to help you whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

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Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

 

12.40 - JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial (Registered as The Prestbury Juvenile Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m87y

11/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/11 – Never raced at Cheltenham before
10/11 – Won between 0-2 times over hurdles before
8/11 – Returned 4/1 or shorter
8/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/11 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
8/11 – Won last time out
7/11 – Went onto race in that seasons Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival)
7/11 – Favourites that finished in the top 2
5/11 – Winning favourites
5/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Went onto finish 1st or 2nd in the Triumph Hurdle
4/11 – German bred
3/11 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/11 – Trained by Alan King
2/11 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
1/11 – Went onto win the Triumph Hurdle (Katchit 2006)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1


1.15 - mallardjewellers.com Novices´ Chase Cl2 3m80y

11/11 – Had won a race over at least 2m4f (fences) before
10/11 – Aged 7 or younger
9/11 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Raced no more than twice over fences
9/11 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
9/11 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
8/11 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
8/11 – Won between 0-1 times over fences before
7/11 – Aged 6 years-old
7/11 – Irish bred
7/11 – Raced at Cheltenham (3), Aintree (2) or Wetherby (2) last time out
6/11 – Went onto run in the RSA Chase (no winners)
5/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Trained by David Pipe
2/11 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/11 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 4/1


1.50 - BetVictor Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m3f110y CH4

14/14 – Had won a 3m+ race over fences before
13/14 – Had run at Cheltenham before
12/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Aged 8 or younger
9/14  – Had won between 3 and 5 times over fences before
9/14 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
8/14 – Officially rated between 135 and 146
8/14 – Irish bred
8/14 – Ran within the last month
8/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/14 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
6/14  – Ran at either Cheltenham (4) or Sandown (2) last time out
6/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
5/14 – French bred
3/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/14 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Sausalito Sunrise won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1


2.25 – BetVictor Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 2m4f110y

14/14 – Had run at Cheltenham before
13/14 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
13/14 – Won by a UK-based trainer
11/14 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
11/14 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
10/14 – Had won at Cheltenham before
9/14 – Carried 10-13 or less
9/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/14 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
8/14 – Aged 7 years-old
8/14 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
7/14 – Placed favourites
5/14 – Won their last race
4/14 – Trained by the Pipe stable
4/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/14 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 8 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 28 runners
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 9.6/1


3.00 - Regulatory Finance Solutions Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f67y CH4

13/14 – Aged 7 or younger
12/14 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
12/14 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
11/14 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
11/14 – Officially rated 126 to 137
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
9/14 – Irish bred
9/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/14  – Ran at either Cheltenham (3), Aintree (3) or Chepstow (3) last time out
8/14 – Ran within the last month
6/14 – Won their last race
6/14 – Had run at Cheltenham before
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/14 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/14 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/14 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
Rons Dream took the race last season


3.35 - Martin & Co Jewellers Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f26y CH4

10/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
10/11 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
9/11 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/11 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
6/11 – Carried 10-13 or less
6/11 – Returned a double-figure price
6/11 – Favourites unplaced
6/11 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a race at the Cheltenham Festival
5/11 – Had run at Cheltenham before
5/11 – Irish bred winners
4/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – French bred winners
2/11 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1
2 of the last 4 winners went onto be placed in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
2 of the last 8 winners went onto be placed in the Ladbrokes World Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

2.05 - totescoop6 Racing´s Millionaire Maker Handicap Chase Cl3 2m3f85y CH4

1 previous running
Trainer Sue Smith won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Kim Bailey has a 56% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Neil Mulholland has a 38% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Michael Easterby has a 27% record with his chasers at the track


3.15 - totepoolliveinfo.com Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier for the Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Final) Cl3 2m CH4

Only 2 previous runnings
2 winning favourites
Both previous winners carried 11-6 or more
Trainer Dan Skelton has a 40% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Lucinda Russell is just 3 from 44 with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 5 from 61 with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Paddy Brennan has a 22% record riding over hurdles at the track

 

 

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 21 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Theligny - Has done really well in recent weeks - winning his last two. Into handicap company here for the first time, but looks on a fair mark and Alan's claim a further plus. Gary Moore's looks the big danger, but our horse is well and as long as the ground doesn't cut up then should have every chance."
Tim Vaughan

08/11/16 1st 5/4

"Galros Lady - Winning pointer that has her first run for us. Running out of the handicap but we get in here with just 10-0. Has settled in well and we know she stays further than this which should help in this track. Would probably not want the ground to get much softer, but this looks a good place to start and expecting a massive run. Twenty Eight Guns the clear danger, but we get a lot of weight off that horse and our horse has been doing plenty of work at home and couldn't be happier with her. Expected to run a big race."
Tim Vaughan

08/11/16 1st 11/10

"Be Royale - Won four runs back on the turf at Pontefract and has not done badly in better races the last twice. Back in grade here is a big plus and Paul Hanagan is a further bonus in the saddle. First run here but likes the AW surfaces (4 wins), so no problems on that score. Might still be a tad high in the handicap with all wins coming off lower, but is well and a better chance in this grade than recent runs. Tricky race, but hoping for some Hanagan magic, so small each-way."
Mick Appleby

07/11/16 3rd 8/1

"Stamford Raffles - Was a good winner for us last time out at Chelmsford over 1m5 1/2f. Has been raised 8lbs for that and upped in grade here, but won well that day and we are hopeful the longer trip will bring out a bit more improvement. Had 1 1/2 months to get over that race and seems a lot fresher for it. More needed, but hoping for a decent run and should be going close."
Jane Chapple-Hyam

05/11/16 1st 7/2

"For Shia and Lula ran another great race in the week and just bumped into an improving 3yr old of Richard Faheys. We are turning him out quickly, which isn't ideal, but if he can handle the quick turnaround then we know he handles Chelmsford and on paper it looks like a race he can get involved in again. "
Mark Loughnane

05/11/16 1st 3/1