Sat TV Trends: 14th July 2018

It’s the final day of the three-day Newmarket July Meeting this Saturday and the ITV cameras are there to take in the best of the action, plus they are also at York and Ascot on what is a bumper Saturday of flat horse racing.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with all the key trends and stats – use these to find the best profiles of past winners of each race.

Saturday 14th July 2018

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.05 - Bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

15/16 – Won over at least 6f previously
14/16 – Placed in their last race
13/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
12/16 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
11/16 – Won their latest race
11/16 – Won by either a March or April foal
8/16 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
6/16 – Favourites unplaced
4/16 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/16 – Winners from stall 3
4/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
5/16 – Winning Favourites
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 5 runnings)
2/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
Gustav Klimt (5/6) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

 

1.40 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

15/16 – Won over 7f previously
15/16 – Raced 3 or more times that season
12/16 – Carried 9-3 or less in weight
11/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
10/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/16 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
9/16 – Winners from stall 14 or higher
8/16 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
8/16 – Horses from a double-figure stall that 1st, 2nd and 3rd
8/16 – Placed in their last race
4/16 – Favourites (inc joint and co)
3/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Above The Rest (12) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11.5/1
Heaven’s Guest won the race in 2014 & was second in 2016

 

2.15 - Darley July Cup (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

Recent July Cup Winners.....

2017     Harry Angel (9/2)
2016     Limato (9/2 fav)
2015     Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014     Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013     Lethal Force (9/2)
2012     Mayson (20/1)
2011     Dream Ahead (7/1)
2010    Starspangledbanner (2/1 fav)
2009   Fleeting Spirit (12/1)
2008   Marchand d'Or  (5/2 fav)
2007   Sakhee's Secret  (9/2)
2006   Les Arcs (10/1)
2005   Pastoral Pursuits (22/1)
2004   Frizzante (14/1)
2003   Oasis Dream (9/2)
2002   Continent (12/1)

16 Year July Cup Betting Trends

15/16 – Aged 5 or younger
14/16 – Had won over 6f before
13/16 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
13/16 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
13/16 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
12/16 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
10/16 – Placed last time out
9/16 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
6/16 – Won their previous race
5/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
2/16 – Irish-trained winners
1/16 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 8/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 3 times before (1999, 2001 & 2010)

 

3.20 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

14/16 – Had won over 7f or further previously
13/16 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
12/16 – Had 2 or more runs that season
9/16 – Unplaced in their last race
9/16 – Favourites unplaced
7/16 – Winners from stall 9 or higher
3/16 – Won their last race
3/16 – Winning Favourites
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Ridden by Dane O’Neill
Medahim (12/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 10/1

 

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

 

1.55 - John Smith´s City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV

Only 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Won over 5f before
7/7 – Placed favourites
7/7 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
7/7 – Rated between 101 and 111
5/7 – Unplaced last time out
4/7 – Had only won at Handicap class before
4/7 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
4/7 – Won by a neck
4/7 – Won at York before
3/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/7 – Ridden by Phillip Makin
Take Cover (5/1) won the race in 2017
Out Do won the race in 2015

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2.35 - John Smith´s Silver Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m6f ITV3

12/12 – Aged 5 or younger
12/12 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
11/12 – Won from stall 10 or lower
9/12 – Didn’t win their previous race
8/12 – Placed favourites
7/12 – Aged 4 years-old
6/12 – Had run at York before
5/12 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/12 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
4/12 – Luca Cumani-trained horses that finished in the top three
3/12 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1
Rare Rhythm (9/4) won the race in 2017

 

3.10 - John Smith´s Racing Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV3

14/14 – Ran within the last 3 weeks
13/14 – Had won over at least 1m before
13/14 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
10/14 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
11/14 – Had won between 2-4 times before
10/14 – Rated 90 or less
10/14 – Placed last time out
8/14 – Priced between 7/1 and 14/1
9/14 – Winning distance – ¾ or less
8/14 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
6/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Won by a USA-bred horse
4/14 – Had raced at York before
3/14 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 12 winners came from stall 7 or lower
5 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 2 or 3
Chiefofchiefs (8/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

3.40 – 59th John Smith´s Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m2f88y ITV3

Recent John Smith’s Cup Winners.......

2017 – Ballet Concerto (8/1) Sir Michael Stoute
2016 – Educate (18/1) Ismail Mohammed
2015 – Master Carpenter (14/1) Rod Millman
2014 – Farraaj (6/1) Roger Varian
2013 – Danchai (10/1) William Haggas
2012 – King’s Warrior (10/1) Peter Chapple-Hyam
2011 – Green Destiny (6/1) W Haggas
2010 – Wigmore Hall (5/1) M Bell
2009 – Sirvino (16/1) T Barron
2008 – Flying Clarets (12/1) R Fahey
2007 – Charlie Tokyo (11/1) R Fahey
2006 – Fairmile (6/1 jfav) W Swinburn
2005 – Mullins Bay (4/1 fav) AP O’Brien
2004 – Arcalis (20/1) J Howard Johnson
2003 -  Far Lane (7/1) B Hills
2002 – Vintage Premium (20/1) R Fahey

John Smith’s Cup Key Trends

15/16 – Aged 5 or younger
15/16 – Returned 20/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
13/16 – Came from stall 9 or higher
12/16 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
11/16 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Carried 9-3 or less
10/16 – Top 4 finish in their previous race
10/16 – Aged 4 years-old
8/16 – Officially rated between 99-105
7/16 – Had run at York before
5/16 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
3/16 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
2/16 – Trained by William Haggas
2/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
Since 1970 just one winner older than 5 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 11/1

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

12.45 – Bet With Ascot Heritage Handicap Cl2 5f ITV

Just 4 previous running
4/5 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
4/5 – Carried 8-10 or more
2/5 – Aged 4 years-old
Danzeno (8/1 co-fav) won the race 12 months ago

 

1.20 - Fred Cowley MBE Memorial Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV

11/11 Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
9/11 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
9/11 – Had won over at least a mile before
9/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/11 – Had raced at Ascot before (2 won)
8/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Previous Group race winner
6/11 – Had won at least 4 times before
6/11 – Winning favourites
5/11 – Aged 4 years-old
4/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/11 – Had won a Group 1 before
Mutakayyef (7/2 fav) won the race in 2016 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

 

 

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Newmarket July Meeting Trends: DAY TWO (Fri 13th July 2018)

The three-day 2018 Newmarket July Meeting continues on Friday (13th July) and with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle.

As we move into the second day (Gentleman's Day) the Group Two Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Cherry Hinton) and the Group One Falmouth Stakes take centre stage - did you know 15 of the last 16 Falmouth Stakes winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old

As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races, highlighting the main trends – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

 


Newmarket July Meeting - Day Two,
Friday 13th July 2018

1.50 – bet365 Handicap (Silver Bunbury Cup) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

Only three previous runnings
Parfait win the race in 2017
Swift Approval won the race in 2016
2 of the last 3 winners were aged 4 years-old
All three previous winners carried 9-4 or more in weight
2 winning favourites

2.25 - Duchess of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored by Bet365) (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV

14/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/14 – Had raced at least twice before
13/14 – Foaled in Feb (6) or March (6)
13/14 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
13/14 – Had won between 1-2 times before
12/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
10/14 – Won by a UK-based yard
9/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
9/14 – Had won over 6f before
8/14 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
7/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained by the Hannon team
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (4 wins in total)
3/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (inc last 2)
1/14 – Drawn in stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2
Clemmie (11/8 fav) won the race in 2017

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3.00 - bet354 Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV

10/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Had won between 1-2 times before
9/11 – Have never run at Newmarket (July) before
8/11 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
8/11 – Placed in the top 6 last time out
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
5/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/11 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
5/11 – Trained by Mark Johnston (including last 4 of last 5 runnings)
3/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Trained by Andrew Balding
0/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1
Marzouq (6/1) won the race in 2017

3.35 - Qipco Falmouth Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

16/16 – Won a Listed or better class race previously
15/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/16– Won over at least 1 mile previously
12/16 – Won from stall 5 or lower
12/16 – Had 2+ runs that season
11/16 – Won at 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
9/16 – Favourites placed
6/16 – Had run on the Newmarket July course previously
6/16 – Favourites  that won (1 joint)
5/16 – Previous Group One winners
4/16 – Won their last race
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 4)
2/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (last 2 runnings)
2/16 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
Roly Poly (6/4 fav) won the race in 2017

 



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Newmarket July Meeting Trends: DAY ONE (Thurs 12th July 2018)

The three-day 2018 Newmarket July Meeting gets started on Thursday (12th July) and with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle.

On day one the Group Two July Stakes and Princess of Wales's Stakes are the key contests - did you know that a 4 year-old has won 8 of the last 11 Princess Of Wales's Stakes?  

As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races, highlighting the main trends – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

 


Newmarket July Meeting - Day One,
Thursday 12th July 2018

 

1.50 - Bahrain Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f ITV

16/16 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
14/16 – Failed to win last time out
14/16 – Never run on the Newmarket July Course before
11/16 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
10/16 – Favourites placed in the top three
10/16 – Won at 3/1 or shorter
10/16 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
9/16 – Finished fifth or worse in their previous race
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Trained by John Gosden (inc 4 of last 7 runnings)
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/16 – Ridden by William Buick
2/16 – Winners that came from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2
Raheen House (7/2) won the race in 2017

 

2.25 - Arqana July Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

15/16 – Placed in their last run
15/16 – Had won over 5 or 6f previously
13/16 – Had 2 or more previous career starts
12/16 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
10/16 – Won their last race
9/16 – Won at 9/2 or shorter
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
7/16 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their last race
6/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
5/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
1/16 – Winners that came from stall 1
Frankie Dettori has ridden 4 winners in the race
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
Cardsharp (8/1) won the race in 2017

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3.00 – Bet365 Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

12/12 – Didn’t win last time out
12/12 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
12/12 – Had 3 or 4 previous runs that season
12/12 – Had won no more than 3 times before
10/12 – Had won over 6f before
9/12 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
9/12 – Carried 8-12 or less
9/12 – Came from a double-figure stall
9/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/12 – Unplaced favourites
7/12 – Finished unplaced last time out
3/12 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/12 – Ridden by David Probert
0/12 – Winning favourites
Ekhiyaar (13/2) won the race in 2017

 

3.35 - Princess Of Wales´s Arqana Racing Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

14/16 – Aged 4 or older (4 year-olds have won 8 of last 11)
14/16 – Had 2 or more runs that season
14/16 – Previously won over at least 1m4f
13/16 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
11/16 – Won at 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
10/16 – Unplaced in their previous race
9/16 – Favourites that were placed
8/16 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their previous race
5/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 9 times in total)
4/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/16 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
Big Orange won the race in 2015 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Hawkbill (7/2) won the race in 2017

 



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Sat TV Trends: 7th July 2018

The ITV cameras head to Sandown and Haydock on Saturday 8th July with the Coral-Eclipse, plus the Lancashire Oaks and Old Newton Cup the clear highlights – as always we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

12.20 - Coral Charge (Registered as The Sprint Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 5f6y ITV

16/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
15/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Favourites placed
12/16 – Had won at least 3 times before
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/16 – Winning favourites
6/16 – Had won at Sandown before
5/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
7 of the last 12 winners were Irish bred
10 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1

12.55 – Coral Challenge (Handicap) Cl2 1m14y ITV

15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
14/16 – Carried 8-8 or more
14/16 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
14/16 – Previous winners over 1m (or further)
12/16 – Didn’t win their previous race
10/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Aged 4 years-old
10/16 – Had run at Sandown before
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/16 – Ran at either York (2) or Ascot (4) last time out
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Andrew Balding
9 of the last 12 winners came from stall 8 or lower
Secret Act (16/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1

1.30 – Coral Distaff (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m14y ITV

15/15 – Had at least 1 previous run already that season
14/15 – Had never run at Sandown before
13/15 – Had won over 7f or further before
12/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Finished in the top three last time out
8/15 – Favourites that finished in the top three
4/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The last 12 winners came from stalls 3-8 (inc)
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 3,4,5 or 6
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

2.10 – Coral-Eclipse (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f7y ITV

Eclipse Stakes Past Winners

2017 – Ulysses (8/1)
2016 – Hawkbill (6/1)
2015 – Golden Horn (4/9 fav)
2014 – Mukhadram (14/1)
2013 – Al Kazeem (15/8 fav)
2012 – Nathaniel (7/2)
2011 – So You Think (4/11 fav)
2010 -  Twice Over (13/8 fav)
2009 – Sea The Stars (4/7 fav)
2008 – Mount Nelson (7/2)
2007 – Notnowcato (7/1)
2006 –David Junior (9/4)
2005 –Oratorio (12/1)
2004 –Refuse To Bend (15/2)
2003 –Falbrav (8/1)
2002 – Hawk Wing (8/15 fav)

Eclipse Stakes Betting Trends

16/16 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Won by a previous Group One winner
13/16 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
12/16 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
12/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (three won there)
11/16 – Placed in their last race
7/16 – Favourites that won
5/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
4/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/16 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4 of the last 11 winners won last time out
2 of the last 9 Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 5/1
Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994, 1993 & 2017
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995 & 2016
Trainer John Gosden has won 2 of the last 6 runnings

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RUK/ITV)

12.35 - bet365 Handicap Cl3 1m2f95y ITV

1 previous running
John Gosden trained the winner in 2017
Trainer John Gosden has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Sir Mark Prescott has a 33% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 3 from 45 with his 3 year-olds at the track

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1.10 – bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m3f200y ITV

13/16 – Had won at least at Listed class before
13/16 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/16 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Had won between 1-3 times before
10/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/16 – Won last time out
8/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
6/16 – Trained by John Gosden
5/16 – Had raced at Haydock before
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/16 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/16 – Trained by David Elsworth
2/16 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
The last 5 winners were aged 4 years-old
Endless Time won the race 12 months ago (11/4 fav)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

Note: The 2007 renewal was staged at Newmarket

1.45 – bet365 Old Newton Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m3f200y ITV

Recent Old Newton Cup Winners

2017 – Dylan Mouth (25/1)
2016 – Tawdeea (8/1)
2015 – Notarised (12/1)
2014 – De Rigueur (9/1)
2013 – Star Lahib (8/1)
2012 – Number Theory (8/1)
2011 – Halicarnassus (14/1)
2010 – Dangerous Midge (17/2)
2009 – Red Merlin (15/2 jfav)
2008 – Mad Rush (5/2 fav)
2007 – Dansili Dancer (15/2)
2006 – Consular (16/1)
2005 – Zeitgeist (9/1)
2004 – Alkaased (7/1)
2003 – Collier Hill (8/1)
2002 – Sun Bird (40/1)

Key Old Newton Cup Betting Trends

14/16 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
13/16 – Aged 5 or younger
13/16 – Won no more than 5 times before
12/16 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
11/16 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/16 – Aged 4 years-old
11/16 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
10/16 – Had won at least 3 times before
10/16 – Favourites placed in the top 4
9/16 – Raced within the last 7 days
9/16 – Irish or USA bred
8/16 – Carried 8-10 or less
7/16 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
6/16 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
6/16 – Had won a race at Haydock before
4/16 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/16 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 12/1

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 30th June 2018

The Northumberland Plate, one of the richest staying handicaps, takes centre stage at Newcastle racecourse, while the ITV cameras also head to Newmarket. Plus, as an extra bonus - it’s also Irish Derby Day over at the Curragh!!

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

 

Saturday 30th June 2018

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV and RUK)

1.10 – Betway Empress Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

16/16 – Never raced at the track before
14/16 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
14/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
10/16 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs
9/16 – Didn’t win their previous race
8/16 – Came from stall 4 or lower
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time (2 Albany, 3 Queen Mary)
4/16 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

1.45 - Betway Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV4

14/16 – Won over 7f before
14/16 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
14/16 – Had at least 1 run already that season
12/16 – Aged 5 or younger
10/16 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
10/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/16 – Came from stall 3 or lower
7/16 – Unplaced favourites
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon (3 of last 7 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

12.20 - Betfred ‘Supports Jack Berry House’ Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

15/16 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
13/16 – Had won over 6f before
12/16 – Had won between 1-4 times before
10/16 – Rated 90 or less
10/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/16 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/16 – Aged 4 years-old
10/16 – Carried 9-0 or more
8/16 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
7/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/16 – Had run at Newcastle before
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/16- Ran at York last time out
2/16 – Trained by Tim Easterby
3/16 – Won last time out
12 of the last 14 winners came from stall 7 or HIGHER
7 of the last 14 winners came between stalls 10-15

12.55 - Betfred TV Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

16/16 – Had won over 6f before
14/16 – Unplaced last time out
14/16 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
13/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Has raced within the last 4 weeks
11/16 – Yet to win a Group race
9/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/16 – Aged 5 or older
7/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/16 – Had run at Newcastle before
5/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/16 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/16 – Won last time out
Intisaab was second in the race 12 months ago
Aeolus won the race in 2015
9 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 1-5
Just 2 winners from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings (and only 4 horses placed)

 

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1.30 - Betfred Northumberland Vase Handicap (Consolation Race for the John Smith´s Northumberland Plate) Cl2 2m56y ITV

Two previous runnings
Dannyday (7/2 fav) won the race in 2016
2/2 – Winning favourites
2/2 – Winners came from stalls 11-16 (inc)
2/2 – Carried 9-8 and 9-9 in weight
Trainer James Bethell has a 24% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer William Haggas is 2 from 4 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Ian Williams has a 25% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Karl Burke is just 1 from 31 with his older horses at the track
The average winning SP in the last 2 runnings is 5/2

 

2.05 – Stobart Rail & Civils Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y ITV4

Past Northumberland Plate Winners~

2017 -  Higher Power (11/2)
2016 – Antiquarium (16/1)
2015 – Quest For More (15/2)
2014 – Angel Gabrial (4/1 fav)
2013 – Tominator (8/1)
2012 – Ile de Re (5/2 fav)
2011 – Tominator (25/1)
2010 – Overturn (14/1)
2009 – Som Tala (16/1)
2008 – Arc Bleu (14/1)
2007 – Juniper Girl (5/1 fav)
2006 – Toldo (33/1)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (14/1)
2004 – Mirjan (33/1)
2003 – Unleash (10/1)
2002 – Bangalore (8/1)

Key Northumberland Plate Trends

15/16  - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
15/16 – Finished fifth or better last time out
14/16 – Came from stall 14 or lower
14/16 – Aged 6 or younger
12/16 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
12/16 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
10/16 – Carried 8-12 or less
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/16 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
6/16 – Won by a National Hunt yard
4/16 – Won their previous race
3/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 10 winners)
3/16 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
2/16 – Trained by Donald McCain
1/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 13.5/1
Note: The 2016 & 2017 running was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle

 

Curragh Horse Racing Trends (ATR)

5.15 - Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Filies) 1m4f

Recent Irish Derby Winners

2017 – CAPRI (6/1)
2016 – HARZAND (4/6 fav)
2015 – JACK HOBBS (10/11 fav)
2014 – AUSTRALIA (1/8 fav)
2013 – TRADING LEATHER (6/1)
2012 - CAMELOT  (1/5 fav)
2011 – TREASURE BEACH (7/2)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (7/2)
2009 – FAME AND GLORY (8/11 fav)
2008 – FROZEN FIRE (16/1)
2007 – SOLDIER OF FORTUNE (5/1)
2006 – DYLAN THOMAS (9/2 fav)
2005 – HURRICANE RUN (4/5 fav)
2004 – GREY SWALLOW (10/1)
2003 – ALAMSHAR  (4/1)

Key Irish Derby Betting Trends and Stats

15/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/15 – Had 3 or more wins in their career
13/15 – Won by an Irish-based yard
13/15 – Won a Group race before
13/15 – Favourites that were placed in the top 4
13/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
11/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/15 – Failed to win their last race
11/15 – Ran in the Epsom Derby last time out
10/15 – Had never raced at the Curragh before
9/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won it 12 times in all)
7/15 – Placed in the Epsom Derby (3 winners, Harzand, Australia & Camelot)
4/15 – Previous Group 1 winners
3/15 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 4/1

 

 

 

 

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Royal Ascot Trends – DAY FIVE (Sat 24th June 2017)

As we move into the final day at ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the Group One Diamond Jubilee Stakes is the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

2.30 - Chesham Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 7f

Chesham Stakes Recent Winners

2017 – September (11/8 fav)
2016 – Churchill (8/11 fav)
2015 – Suits You (14/1)
2014 – Richard Pankhurst (10/1)
2013 – Berkshire (16/1)
2012 – Tha’ir (9/2)
2011 – Maybe (5/2 fav)
2010 – Zaidan (7/1)
2009 – Big Audio (22/1)
2008 – Free Agent (7/2 jfav)
2007 – Maze (11/2)
2006 – Champlain (7/2)
2005 – Championship Point (4/1)
2004 – Whazzat (7/1)
2003 – Pearl Of Love (11/10 fav)

Chesham Stakes Key Trends

15/15 – Had no more than 2 previous career runs
14/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/15 – Ran over 6f last time out (8 won)
13/15 – Had just 1 previous career run
12/15 – Were foaled in March or earlier
10/15 – Won their previous race
10/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
5/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/15 – Irish trained-winners (Aiden O’Brien)
2/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Ryan Moore has ridden the winners in 2011, 2016 and 2017
11 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 1-8
6 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 7 (3)
9 of the last 12 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 7/1
Trainer Paul Cole has won the race 4 times before

3.05 - Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m4f

Hardwicke Stakes Recent Winners

2017 – Idaho (9/2)
2016 – Dartmouth (10/1)
2015 – Snow Sky (12/1)
2014 – Telescope (7/4 fav)
2013 – Thomas Chippendale (8/1)
2012 – Sea Moon (3/1 fav)
2011 – Await the Dawn (4/6 fav)
2010 – Harbinger (8/11 fav)
2009 – Bronze Cannon (8/1)
2008 – Macarthur (11/8 fav)
2007 – Maraahel (10/3)
2006 – Maraahel (9/2)
2005 – Bandari (10/1)
2004 – Doyen (6/5 fav)
2003 – Indian Creek (14/1)

Hardwicke Stakes Key Trends

15/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/15 – Had won a Group 2 or 3 previously
13/15 – Placed last time out
13/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
11/15 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
11/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3), Mark Johnston (2) or Sir Michael Stoute (6)
10/15 – Had run at Ascot before
10/15 – Aged 4 years-old (inc last 8 winners)
9/15 – Placed favourites
9/15 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
6/15 – Ran at Epsom last time out (Coronation Cup)
6/15 – Won their previous race
5/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
10 of the last 12 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
8 of the last 12 winners returned 9/2 or shorter
No winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
6 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 11/2

 

3.40 - Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f

Windsor Castle Recent Winners

2017 – Sound And Silence (16/1)
2016 – Ardad (20/1)
2015 – Washington DC (5/1)
2014 – Hootenanny (7/2 fav)
2013 – Extortionist (16/1)
2012 – Hototo (14/1)
2011 – Frederick Engels (9/4 fav)
2010 – Marine Commando (9/2)
2009 – Strike The Tiger (33/1)
2008 – Flashmans Papers (100/1)
2007 – Drawnfromthepast (9/1)
2006 – Elhamri (20/1)
2005 – Titus Alone (11/4)
2004 – Chateau Istana (12/1)
2003 – Holborn (5/2 fav)
2002 – Revenue (14/1)

Windsor Castle Trends

16/16 – Had at least 1 previous outing
15/16 – Won by a foal born April or earlier
15/16 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs
13/16 – Had won over 5f before
11/16 – Placed last time out
11/16 – Had never run at Ascot before
8/16 – Won their previous race
9/16 – Returned a double-figure price (inc a 100/1 winner)
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
6/16 – Won by a Feb foal
3/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Wesley Ward
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
7 of the last 10 winners came from a double-figure stall
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 17/1

 

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4.20 - Diamond Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 6f

Diamond Jubilee Stakes Recent Winners

2017 – The Tin Man (9/2)
2016 – Twilight Son (7/2)
2015 – Undrafted (14/1)
2014 – Slade Power (7/2 fav)
2013 – Lethal Force (11/1)
2012 – Black Caviar (1/6 fav)
2011 – Society Rock (25/1)
2010 – Starspanglebanner (13/2 jfav)
2009 – Art Connoisseur (20/1)
2008 – Kingsgate Native (33/1)
2007 – Soldier’s Tale (9/1)
2006 – Les Arcs (33/1)
2005 – Cape Of Good Hope (8/1)
2004 - Fayr Jag (12/1)
2003 – Choisir (13/2)

Diamond Jubilee Stakes Key Trends

14/15 – Previous distance (6f) winners
12/15 – Failed to win their last race
12/15 – Aged 5 or younger
12/15 – Previous Group Race winners
11/15 – Had run at Ascot before
9/15 – Won by a UK-based yard
8/15 – Returned a double-figure price
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
5/15 – Ran in the King’s Stand Stakes earlier at the meeting
3/15 – Winning favourite (joint)
5 of the last 13 winners were Irish-bred
7 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure draw
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
6 of the last 13 winners returned a double-figure price
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 13/1

 

5.00 - Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-110) 6f

Wokingham Stakes Recent Winners

2017 – Out Do (25/1)
2016 – Outback Traveller (10/1)
2015 – Interception (10/1)
2014 – Baccarat (9/1)
2013 – York Glory (14/1)
2012 – Dandy Boy (33/1)
2011 – Deacon Blues (15/2)
2010 – Laddies Poker Two (9/2 fav)
2009 – High Standing (8/1)
2008 – Big Timer I (20/1)
2007 – Dark Missile (22/1)
2006 – Baltic King (10/1)
2005 – Iffraaj (9/4 fav)
2004 – Lafi (6/1 fav)
2003 – Ratio (14/1) / Fayr Jag (10/1)  (dead-heat)

Wokingham Stakes Key Trends

18/18 – Had won before over 6f or 7f
18/18 – Had no more than 4 runs that season¬¬
17/18 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
17/18 – Finished sixth or better last time out
16/18 – Had won a race over 6f before
15/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/18 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
11/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/18 – Had run at Ascot before (6 had won here)
8/18 – Ran at either Ascot, Goodwood or Newmarket last time
5/18 – Won their previous race
4/18 – Won by the favourite
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 13/1
10 of the last 12 winners carried 9-3 or less in weight
8 of the last 12 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
8 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure draw
7 of the last 8 winners came from a double-figure stall
6 of the last 7 runnings - the top 2 finishers all came from double-figure stalls
Horse from stall 15 has been placed in 3 of the last 7 runnings
Since 1980 there have been only 7 winning favourites
Since 1980 there have been 30 winners returning a double-figure price

 

5.35 - Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions Race) (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 2m5f159y

Queen Alexandra Stakes Recent Winners

2017 – Oriental Fox (10/1)
2016 – Commissioned (12/1)
2015 – Oriental Fox (4/1)
2014 – Pique Sous (11/4)
2013 – Chiberta King (8/1)
2012 – Simenon (11/4 fav)
2011 – Swingkeel (11/2)
2010 – Bergo (10/1)
2009 – Caracciola (6/1)
2008 – Honolulu (7/4 fav)
2007 – Enjoy The Moment (6/1)
2006 – Baddam (11/2)
2005 – Cruzspiel (10/1)
2004 – Corrib Eclipse (25/1)
2003 – Cover Up (4/5 fav)

Queen Alexandra Stakes Key Trends

13/15 – Finished unplaced last time out
9/15 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years old
9/15 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
8/15 – Had run at Ascot before
4/15 – Won by a NH yard
4/15 – Irish-trained winners
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Trained by Willie Mullins
8 of the last 12 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
11 of the last 12 winners ALL came from stalls 9-16 (inc)
10 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure stall
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

 

 

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Royal Ascot Trends – DAY FOUR (Fri 22nd June 2018)

As we move into day four at  ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the two Group One's - The Coronation Stakes and the Commonwealth Cup - are the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

2.30 - Albany Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f

Albany Stakes Past Winners

2017 – Different League (20/1)
2016 – Brave Anna (16/1)
2015 – Illuminate (4/1 fav)
2014 – Cursory Glance (14/1)
2013 – Kiyoshi (8/1)
2012 – Newfangled (7/4 fav)
2011 – Samitar (16/1)
2010 – Memory (15/2)
2009 – Habaayib (16/1)
2008 – Cuis Ghaire (8/11 fav)
2007 – Nijoom Dubai (50/1)
2006 - Sander Camillo (4/1 fav)
2005 – La Chunga (10/1)
2004 – Jewel In The Sand (10/1)
2003 – Silca’s Gift (5/1)


Albany Stakes Key Trends

15/15 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs
15/15 – Never raced at Ascot before
14/15 – Won by either a Feb or Mar foal
14/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Won their previous race
9/15 – Returned a double-figure price
7/15 – Won by trainers Channon (2), Hannon (3) or Noseda (2)
3/15 – Ran at Sandown last time
4/15 – Previous winner over 6f
4/15 – Winning favourites
The last 12 winners came from double-figure stalls
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 11-14 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 12/1

 

3.05 - King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f

King Edward VII Stakes Recent Winners

2017 – Permian (6/1)
2016 – Across The Stars (7/1)
2015 – Balios (3/1)
2014 – Eagle Top (12/1)
2013 – Hillstar (15/2)
2012 – Thomas Chippendale (9/2)
2011 – Nathaniel (11/4 fav)
2010 – Monterosso (7/2)
2009 – Father Time (9/1)
2008 – Campanologist (9/1)
2007 – Boscobel (7/1)
2006 – Papal Bull (5/4 fav)
2005 – Plea Bargain (9/2)
2004 – Five Dynasties (11/4 fav)
2003 – High Accolade (5/2 fav)

King Edward VII Stakes Key Trends

15/15 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
14/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the
12/15 – Had never raced at Ascot before
11/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Finished in the top three last time out
9/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
8/15 - Had won at least 2 previous races during their career
5/15 – Had already won a Listed or better class race
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by John Gosden
3/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
No winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
10 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 4-8 (inc)
11 of the last 12 winners returned 9/1 or shorter
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 11/2

 

3.40 – The Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) (Class 1) (3yo) 6f

Only 3 previous runnings
Caravaggio won the 2017 running for trainer Aidan O’Brien
Quiet Reflection won the 2016 running for trainer Karl Burke
Muhaarar won the 2015 running for trainer Charles Hills

 

4.20 - Coronation Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m

Coronation Stakes Past Winners

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2017 – Winter (4/9 fav)
2016 – Qemah (6/1)
2015 – Ervedya (3/1)
2014 – Rizeena (11/2)
2013 – Sky Lantern (9/2 jfav)
2012 – Fallen For You (12/1)
2011 – Immortal Verse (8/1)
2010 – Lillie Langtry (7/2 fav)
2009 – Ghanaati (2/1 fav)
2008 – Lush Lashes (5/1)
2007 – Indian Ink (8/1)
2006 – Nannina (6/1 jfav)
2005 – Maids Causeway (9/2)
2004 – Attraction (6/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Rhythm (4/7 fav)
2002 – Sophisticat (11/2)

Coronation Stakes Recent Trends

16/16 – Had won over at least 7f before
15/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
12/16 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 previously
11/16 – Had won over at least a 1 mile before
8/16 – Had run at Ascot before (3 winners)
8/16 – Ran in that season’s English 1,000 Guineas
7/16 – Were unplaced last time out
7/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/16 – Ran in that season’s Irish 1,000 Guineas
3/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
11 of the last 12 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
No winners from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
10 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
Just two horses placed from stall 2 (2nd ) in the last 12 runnings
6 of the last 12 winners were non UK-trained – French (3), Irish (3)
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 5/1

 

5.00 - Sandringham Handicap (Listed Race) 1m


Sandringham Handicap Recent Winners

2017 – Con Te Partiro (20/1)
2016 – Persuasive (11/4 fav)
2015 – Osaila (13/2)
2014 – Muteela (9/2 fav)
2013 – Annecdote (11/1)
2012 – Duntle (4/1 fav)
2011 – Rhythm Of Light (8/1)
2010 – Timepiece (5/1)
2009 – Moneycantbuymelove (9/2 fav)
2008 – Festivale (10/1)
2007 – Barshiba (16/1)
2006 – Red Evie (5/1 co-fav)
2005 – Beautyandthebeast (9/2)
2004 – Celtic Heroine (11/1)
2003 – Hold To Ransom (11/1)
2002 – Tashawak (12/1)

 

Sandringham Handicap Trends

14/16 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
13/16 – Had never run at Ascot before
12/16 – Had won over at least 7f before
11/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
11/16 – Carried 8-11 or more
10/16 – Placed in their previous race
7/16 – Had exactly 3 runs already that season
7/16 – Won their last race
7/16 – Returned a double-figure price
5/16 – Winning favourites (1 co)
3/16 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (7 winners in all)
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 17/2

 

5.35 - Duke of Edinburgh Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) 1m4f

Duke of Edinburgh Past Winners

2017 – Rare Rhythm (20/1)
2016 – Kinema (8/1)
2015 – Arab Dawn (6/1 jfav)
2014 – Arab Spring (11/4 fav)
2013 – Opinion (8/1)
2012 – Camborne (11/2 fav)
2011 – Fox Hunt (12/1)
2010 – Cill Rialaig (16/1)
2009 – Drill Sergeant (14/1)
2008 – Sugar Ray (8/1)
2007 – Pevensey (8/1)
2006 – Young Mick (28/1)
2005 – Notable Guest (4/1)
2004 – Wunderwood (15/2)
2003 – Waverley (14/1)

Duke of Edinburgh Key Trends

15/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
14/15 – Had at least 2 previous career wins to their name
12/15 – Carried 9-0 or more
11/15 – Placed last time out
10/15 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
9/15 – Trained by Hughie Morrison (3), Mark Johnston (2) or Sir Michael Stoute (4)
8/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
7/15 – Had run at Ascot before
7/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/15 – Ran at either York or Epsom last time (inc 6 of last 7 runnings)
5/15 – Unplaced favourites
5/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time
4/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Winning favourites
11 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure stall
7 of the last 12 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 11/1

 

 

 

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Royal Ascot Trends – DAY ONE (Tues 19th June 2018)

We kick-start another ROYAL ASCOT with the normal bang and three Group One's on the day with the Queen Anne Stakes, King's Stand Stakes and the St James's Palace Stakes the feature contests. But we've got all the opening day's races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

2.30 - Queen Anne Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m

Recent Queen Anne Stakes Winners

2017 – Ribchester (11/10 fav)
2016 – Tepin (11/2)
2015 – Solow (11/8 fav)
2014 – Toronado (4/5 fav)
2013 – Declaration Of War (15/2)
2012 – Frankel (1/10 fav)
2011 – Canford Cliffs (11/8)
2010 – Goldikova (11/8 fav)
2009 – Paco Boy (10/3)
2008 – Haradasun (5/1)
2007 – Ramonti (5/1)
2006 – Ad Valorem (13/2)
2005 – Valixir (4/1)
2004 – Refuse To Bend (12/1)
2003 – Dubai Destination (9/2)
2002 – No Excuse Needed (13/2)

Queen Anne Stakes Trends

16/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/16 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Previous winners over 1 mile
13/16 – Had already won a Group 1 race
13/16 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
12/16 - Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Won by a 4 year-old
10/16 – Had never run at Ascot before
10/16 – Trained by either R Hannon (3), A P O’Brien (3) or Godolphin (4)
8/16 – Won their previous race
7/16 – Favourites that were unplaced
7/16 – Ran in the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
3/16  - Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Only 1 winner from Stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 4 or higher
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 4/1

3.05 - Coventry Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f

Recent Coventry Stakes Winners

2017 – Rajasinghe (11/1)
2016 – Caravaggio (13/8 fav)
2015 – Buratino (6/1)
2014 – The Wow Signal (5/1 jfav)
2013 – War Command (20/1)
2012 – Dawn Approach (7/2)
2011 – Power (4/1 fav)
2010 – Strong Suit (15/8 fav)
2009 – Canford Cliffs (7/4 fav)
2008 – Art Connoisseur (8/1)
2007 – Henrythenavigator (11/4 fav)
2006 – Hellvelyn (4/1 jfav)
2005 – Red Clubs (11/2)
2004 – Iceman (5/1 jfav)
2003 – Three Valleys (7/1)
2002 – Statue Of Liberty (16/1)

Coventry Stakes Trends

16/16 – Won their previous race
15/16 – Had never raced at Ascot before
14/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 - Came from the top three in the betting
13/16 – Had at between 1 and 2 previous career runs
12/16 - Foaled in either Feb or March
10/16 – Won over 6f before
8/16 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
5/16 – Ran at either Newbury or Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
1/16 - Won by a Jan foal
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or higher
7 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 9-19 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 13/2

3.40 - King´s Stand Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 5f

Recent King’s Stand Stakes Winners

2017 – Lady Aurelia (7/2)
2016 – Profitable (4/1)
2015 – Goldream (20/1)
2014 – Sole Power (5/1)
2013 – Sole Power (8/1)
2012 - Little Bridge (12/1)
2011 - Prohibit (7/1)
2010 - Equiano (9/2)
2009 - Scenic Blast (11/4 fav)
2008 - Equiano (22/1)
2007 - Miss Andretti (3/1 fav)
2006 - Takeover Target (7/1)
2005 - Chineur (7/1)
2004 - The Tatling (8/1)
2003 – Choisir (25/1)

King’s Stand Stakes Trends

16/16 – Aged 7 or younger
14/16 – Had won over 5f before
14/16 – Had won a Group race before
13/16 – Aged 4 or older
12/16 – Finished first or second last time out
11/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Won by a non-UK based trained horse
9/16 – Favourites placed
9/16 – Had run at Ascot before (6 had won at the track)
6/16 – Ran at either Flemington (3) or Chantilly (3) last time out
6/16 – Favourites that finished third
3/16 – Won by an Australian-trained horse
3/16 – 3 Year-old winners
2/16 – Winning favourites
A horse from stalls 9, 11 & 14 has been placed in 9 of the last 10 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 15/2

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4.20 - St James´s Palace Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m

Recent St James’s Palace Stakes Winners

2017 – Barney Roy (5/2)
2016 – Galileo Gold (6/1)
2015 – Gleneagles (8/15 fav)
2014 – Kingman (8/11 fav)
2013 – Dawn Approach (5/4 fav)
2012 – Most Improved (9/1)
2011 – Frankel (3/10 fav)
2010 – Canford Cliffs (11/4 jfav)
2009 – Mastercraftsman (5/6 fav)
2008 – Henrythenavigator (4/7 fav)
2007 – Excellent Art (8/1)
2006 – Araafa (2/1 fav)
2005 – Shamardal (7/4 fav)
2004 – Azamour (9/2)
2003 - Zafeen (8/1)
2002 – Rock Of Gibraltar (4/5 fav)

St James’s Palace Stakes Trends

16/16 - Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16– Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
14/16 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
13/16 – Favourites that were placed
13/16 – Had won over a mile before
12/16 – Previous Group 1 winners
11/16 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
9/16 – Won their previous race
9/16 – Ran in the Irish 2000 Guineas (Curragh) last time out (7 won it)
5/16 – Had run at Ascot before
5/16 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
No winner from stall 1 or 2 in the last 10 runnings
6 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 4 or 5
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 3/1

5.00 - Ascot Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-95) 2m4f

Ascot Stakes Recent Winners

2017 – Thomas Hobson (4/1 fav)
2016 – Jennies Jewel (6/1)
2015 – Clondaw Warrior (5/1 fav)
2014 – Domination (12/1)
2013 – Well Sharp (9/1)
2012 – Simenon (8/1)
2011 – Veiled (11/2)
2010 – Junior (17/2)
2009 – Judgethemoment (13/2)
2008 – Missoula (20/1)
2007 – Full House (20/1)
2006 – Baddam (33/1)
2005 – Leg Spinner (9/1)
2004 – Double Obsession (25/1)
2003 – Sindapour (12/1)
2002 – Riyadh (7/1 fav)

Ascot Stakes Trends

14/16 – Carried 9-0 or more
13/16 – Won by a stable better known for their NH runners
12/16 – Had at least 1 previous run on the flat that season
10/16 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
10/16 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
8/16 – Won their previous race
7/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/16 – Trained by the Pipe stable
3/16 – Trained by Willie Mullins
3/16 – Winning favourites
6 of the last 10 winners came from a double-figure stall
No runners from stall 1 placed in the last 10 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1

 

5.35 - Wolferton Rated Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+ 0-110) 1m2f

Wolferton Rated Stakes Recent Winners

2017 – Snoano (25/1)
2016 – Sir Isaac Newton (7/1)
2015 – Mahsoob (7/4 fav)
2014 – Contributer (9/1)
2013 – Forgotten Voice (12/1)
2012 – Gatewood (3/1 fav)
2011 – Beachfire (12/1)
2010 – Rainbow Peak (13/8 fav)
2009 – Perfect Stride (8/1)
2008 – Supaseus (12/1)
2007 – Championship Point (25/1)
2006 – I’m So Lucky (16/1)
2005 – Imperial Stride (25/1)
2004 – Red Fort (6/1)
2003 – In Time’s Eye (5/1)

Wolferton Rated Stakes Key Trends

13/15 – Had between 1 and 3 runs already that season
11/15 – Aged 4 years-old
11/15 – Had won 3 or more races during their career
10/15 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
10/15 – Unplaced favourites
10/15 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/15 – Had run at Ascot before
8/15 – Returned a double-figure price
7/15 – Ran at either York (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
3/15 – Trained by John Gosden
2/15 – Trained at Kremlin House Stables (Roger Varian/M Jarvis)
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Winning favourites
9 of the last 12 winners returned 7/1 or bigger
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 11/1

 

 

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Royal Ascot Trends – DAY TWO (Weds 20th June 2018)

As we move into day two at  ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the Group One Prince Of Wales's Stakes is the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

2.30 - Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) 5f

Queen Mary Recent Winners

2017 – Heartache (5/1)
2016 – Lady Aurelia (2/1 fav)
2015 – Acapulco (5/2 fav)
2014 – Anthem Alexander (9/4 fav)
2013 – Rizeena (6/1)
2012 – Ceiling Kitty (20/1)
2011 – Best Terms (12/1)
2010 – Maqaasid (9/4 fav)
2009 – Jealous Again (13/2)
2008 – Langs Lash (25/1)
2007 – Elletelle (20/1)
2006 – Gilded (11/2)
2005 – Flashy Wings (4/1 jfav)
2004 – Damson (11/2 jfav)
2003 – Attraction (13/8 fav)
2002 – Romantic Liason (16/1)

Queen Mary Stakes Trends

15/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/16 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
14/16 – Had won over 5f (or shorter) before
14/16 – Won by a horse foaled between Jan-Mar
13/16 – Won their previous race
11/16 – Placed favourites
7/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price
3/16 – Trained by Wesley Ward (including 2 of last 3 runnings)
2/16 – Won by trainer Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 17/2

 

3.05 - Queen´s Vase (Listed) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 2m

Queen´s Vase Recent Winners

2017 – Stradivarius (11/2)
2016 – Sword Fighter (33/1)
2015 – Aloft (5/2 fav)
2014 – Hartnell (7/2)
2013 – Leading Light (5/4 fav)
2012 – Estimate (3/1 fav)
2011 – Namibian (7/2 fav)
2010 – Mikhail Glinka (2/1 fav)
2009 – Holberg (7/1)
2008 – Patkai (6/4 fav)
2007 – Mahler (7/1)
2006 – Soapy Danger (4/1)
2005 – Melrose Avenue (4/1)
2004 – Duke Of Venice (9/2)
2003 – Shanty Star (7/2 fav)

Queen´s Vase Key Trends

13/15 – Had never raced at Ascot before
11/15 – Had at least 2 previous career wins
11/15 – Placed last time out
9/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Had run over at least 1m4f before
6/15 – Ran at either Lingfield or Haydock last time out
6/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 - Trained by Mark Johnston
5/15 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/15 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 - Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 4 times in all)
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
No winner from stall 1 in the last 12 years
The horse from stall 7 has been placed in 5 of the last 12 runnings (3 wins)
11 of the last 12 winners came from a single-figure stall
5 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 7 or 8
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 11/2

 

3.40 – The Duke of Cambridge Stakes (Windsor Forest) (Group 2) 1m

Duke of Cambridge Recent Winners

2017 – Qemah (5/2 fav)
2016 – Usherette (9/4 fav)
2015 – Amazing Maria (25/1)
2014 – Integral (9/4 fav)
2013 – Duntle (10/3)
2012 – Joviality (11/1)
2011 – Lolly For Dolly (11/1)
2010 – Strawberrydaiquiri (9/2)
2009 – Spacious (10/1)
2008 – Sabana Perdida (4/1)
2007 – Nannina (3/1 co-fav)
2006 – Soviet Song (11/8 fav)
2005 – Peeress (14/1)
2004 – Favourable Terms (13/2)

Duke of Cambridge Trends

13/14 – Had won over a mile (or further) before
13/14 – Had won a Group 3 or better race before
13/14 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
12/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/14 – Won by a 4 year-old
10/14 – Had run at Ascot before
8/14 – Favourites that were placed
7/14 – Had won at Ascot before
5/14 – Returned a double-figure price
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/14 – Ran at Epsom last time out
4/14 – Owned by Cheveley Park Stud
2/14 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/14 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 8/1
Only three placed horses (2 winners) from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings

 

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4.20 - The Prince of Wales´s Stakes (Group 1) 1m2f

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Recent Winners

2017 – Highland Reel (9/4)
2016 – My Dream Boat (16/1)
2015 – Free Eagle (5/2 fav)
2014 – The Fugue (11/2)
2013 – Al Kazeem (11/4)
2012 – So You Think (4/5 fav)
2011 – Rewilding (17/2)
2010 – Byword (5/2 fav)
2009 – Vision D’etat (4/1)
2008 – Duke of Marmalade (Evs fav)
2007 – Manduro (15/8 fav)
2006 – Ouija Board (8/1)
2005 – Azamour (11/8 fav)
2004 – Rakti (3/1)
2003 – Nayef (5/1)
2002 -  Grandera (4/1)

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Trends

16/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/16 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Won by a 4 or 5 year-old
13/16 – Were previous Group 1 winners
13/16 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
13/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/16 – Placed favourites
8/16 – Won their last race
8/16 – Won by a non-UK based trainer
8/16 – Had run at Ascot before
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/16 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 9/2
3 of the last 10 runnings have gone to a French-trained horse

 

5.00 - Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) 1m

Royal Hunt Cup Recent Winners

2017 – Zhui Feng (25/1)
2016 – Portage (10/1)
2015 – GM Hopkins (8/1)
2014 – Field of Dream (20/1)
2013 – Belgian Bill (33/1)
2012 – Prince Of Johanne (16/1)
2011 – Julienas (12/1)
2010 – Invisible Man (28/1)
2009 – Forgotten Voice (4/1 fav)
2008 – Mr Aviator (25/1)
2007 – Royal Oath (9/1)
2006 – Cesare (14/1)
2005 – New Seeker (11/1)
2004 – Mine (16/1)
2003 – Macadamia (8/1)
2002 – Norton (25/1)

Royal Hunt Cup Trends

15/16 – Had won over at least a mile before
13/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/16 – Unplaced favourites
12/16 – Returned a double-figure price
12/16 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/16 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs that season
10/16 – Had run at Ascot before
9/16 – Won by a 4 year-old (inc 7 of the last 9 runnings)
5/16 – Won their last race
2/16 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/16 – Won by trainer John Gosden
1/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 16.5/1
Overall, high number stalls have dominated in recent years
10 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure stall
We’ve seen 3 winners from stall 33 in the last 9 runnings

 

5.35 - Jersey Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 7f

Recent Jersey Stakes Winners

2017 – Le Brivido (2/1 fav)
2016 – Ribchester (7/1)
2015 – Dutch Connection (14/1)
2014 – Mustajeeb (9/2 jfav)
2013 – Gale Force Ten (9/2 fav)
2012 – Ishvana (20/1)
2011 – Strong Suit (11/1)
2010 – Rainfall (8/1)
2009 – Ouqba (12/1)
2008 – Aqlaam (13/2)
2007 – Tariq (15/2)
2006 – Jeremy (9/2)
2005 – Proclamation (7/1)
2004 – Kheleyf (6/1)
2003 – Membership (20/1)
2002 -  Just James (20/1)

Jersey Stakes Trends

15/16 – Had at least 1 run already that season
12/16 – Had 4 or more career runs
10/16 – Had won over 7f before
9/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/16 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
7/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
7/16 – Had run at Ascot before
6/16 – Horses from stall 8 placed
6/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/16 – Won their previous race
2/16 – Trained by Jeremy Noseda
3/16 – Winning favourites
The Irish have won 3 of the last 6 runnings
The horse from stall 11 has finished 2nd in 4 of the last 10 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 10/1

 

 

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Royal Ascot Trends – DAY THREE (Thurs 21st June 2018)

As we move into day three at  ROYAL ASCOT there is plenty more to get excited about, but the Group One Ascot Gold Cup is the day's feature contest. As always we've got all the races covered with key trends and stats - use these to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

 

2.30 - Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f

Norfolk Stakes Recent Winners

2017 – Sioux Nation (14/1)
2016 – Prince Of Lir (8/1)
2015 – Waterloo Bridge (12/1)
2014 – Baitha Alga (8/1)
2013 – No Nay Never (4/1)
2012 – Reckless Abandon (4/1)
2011 – Bapak Chinta (6/1)
2010 – Approve (16/1)
2009 – Radiohead (10/1)
2008 – South Central (11/4 fav)
2007 – Winker Watson (2/1 fav)
2006 – Dutch Art (11/4)
2005 – Masta Plasta (7/2)
2004 – Blue Dakota (5/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Valour (4/1)

Norfolk Stakes Key Trends

15/15 – Previous winners over 5f
15/15 – Had at least 1 previous run
14/15 – Had a RPR of 106+
13/15 – Won their previous race
13/15 – Had never raced at Ascot before
11/15 – Foaled in March or April
10/15 – Favourites placed
8/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5/15 – Returned a double-figure price
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Ran at Windsor last time out
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 7-12 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

3.05 – Hampton Court Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m2f

Hampton Court Stakes Recent Winners

2017 – Benbatl (9/2)
2016 – Hawkbill (11/2)
2015 – Time Test (15/8 fav)
2014 – Cannock Chase (7/4 fav)
2013 – Remote (9/4 fav)
2012 – Energizer (15/2)
2011 – Pisco Sour (20/1)
2010 – Afsare (9/4 fav)
2009 – Glass Harmonium (8/1)
2008 – Collection (13/2)
2007 – Zaham (7/2 fav)
2006 – Snoqualmie Boy (33/1)
2005 – Indigo Cat (3/1 fav)
2004 – Moscow Ballet (8/1)
2003 – Persian Majesty (8/1)

Hampton Court Stakes Key Trends

14/15 – Had not raced at Ascot before
12/15 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
12/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/15 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
9/15 – Had won over 1m2f before
7/15 – Unplaced favourites
6/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 - Ran at Epsom last time out
2/15 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
No winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
10 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
8 of the last 12 winners came from stall 5-9 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 15/2

 

3.40 - Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £77,092 1m4f

Ribblesdale Stakes Recent Winners

2017 – Coronet (9/1)
2016 – Even Song (15/8 fav)
2015 – Curvy (9/2)
2014 – Bracelet (10/1)
2013 – Riposte (9/2)
2012 – Princess Highway (17/2)
2011 – Banimpire (3/1 fav)
2010 – Hibaayeb (4/1 jfav)
2009 – Flying Cloud (5/1)
2008 – Michita (10/3 fav)
2007 – Silkwood (4/1)
2006 – Mont Etoile (25/1)
2005 – Thakafaat (22/1)
2004 – Punctilious (9/2)
2003 – Spanish Sun (9/2)

Ribblesdale Stakes Key Trends

13/15 – Had at least 2 previous races that season
12/15 – Placed in their previous race
12/15 – Had never raced at Ascot before
11/15 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
10/15 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Placed favourites
9/15 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
7/15 – Won their last race
5/15 – Irish-trained winners (4 of last 6)
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
6 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 3-6 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 15/2

 

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4.20 - Gold Cup (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f

Recent Ascot Gold Cup Winners

2017 – Big Orange (5/1)
2016 – Order Of St George (10/11 fav)
2015 – Trip To Paris (12/1)
2014 – Leading Light (10/11 fav)
2013 – Estimate (7/2 fav)
2012 – Colour Vision (6/1)
2011 – Fame And Glory (11/8 fav)
2010 – Rite of Passage (20/1)
2009 – Yeats (6/4 fav)
2008 – Yeats (11/8 fav)
2007 – Yeats (8/13 fav)
2006 – Yeats (7/1)
2005 – Westerner (7/4 fav)
2004 – Papineau (5/1)
2003 – Mr Dinos (3/1)
2002 – Royal Rebel (16/1)

Key Ascot Gold Cup Trends

14/16 – Had no more than 2 previous runs that season
13/16 – Had won over at least 2 miles on the flat before
13/16 – Had between 1-2 previous runs that season
12/16 – Favourites that were placed
10/16 – Previous Group 1 winners
11/16 – Won their last race
9/16 – Aged 5 or older
8/16 – Won by the favourite
7/16 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/16 – Ran at Sandown last time out (Henry II Stakes)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 11/2
10 of the last 12 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7 of the last 12 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
6 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
Godolphin won the race in 1996, 1998, 2004 & 2012
Aidan O’Brien has trained the winner in 2016, 2014, 2011, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006
Since 1949 there have been 13 multiple winners of the race

 

5.00 - Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m

Britannia Stakes Recent Winners

2017 – Bless Him (25/1)
2016 – Defrocked (13/2)
2015 – War Envoy (10/1)
2014 – Born In China (14/1)
2013 – Beauty Flame (20/1)
2012 – Fast Or Free (6/1 fav)
2011 – Sagramor (8/1)
2010 – Ransom Note (9/1)
2009 – Fareer (20/1)
2008 – Fifteen Love (28/1)
2007 – Eddie Jock (33/1)
2006 – Sir Gerard (9/2 fav)
2005 – Mostashaar (10/3 fav)
2004 – Mandobi (8/1)
2003 – New Seeker (16/1)

Britannia Stakes Key Trends

13/15 – Had no more than 3 previous runs that season
12/15 – Failed to win their previous race
12/15 – Had won a race over 7f or 1m before
11/15 – Placed last time out
11/15 – Carried 8-13 or less
10/15 – Had never run at Ascot before
9/15 – Unplaced favourites
9/15 – Returned a double-figure price
8/15 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
6/15 – Had only won over 7f previously
4/15 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/15 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just one top three finish horse from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
8 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure stall
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 13/1

 

5.35 - King George V Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m4f

King George V Stakes Recent Winners

2017 – Atty Persse (7/1)
2016 - Primitivo (13/2)
2015 – Space Age (9/1)
2014 – Elite Army (4/1 jfav)
2013 – Elidor (20/1)
2012 – Fennell Bay (12/1)
2011 – Brown Panther (4/1 jfav)
2010 – Dandino (7/1)
2009 – Cosmic Sun (66/1)
2008 – Colony (11/2 fav)
2007 – Heron Bay (20/1)
2006 – Linas Selection (9/2)
2005 – Munsef (14/1)
2004 – Admiral (9/1)
2003 – Fantastic Love (10/1)

King George V Stakes Key Trends

15/15 – Had at least 2 previous runs that same season
15/15 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
14/15 – Never raced at Ascot before
14/15 – Placed last time out
12/15 – Carried 8-13 or less
10/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f previously
8/15 – Favourites placed
8/15 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
7/15 – Won their previous race
5/15 – Won by trainers Sir Michael Stoute (2) or Mark Johnston (3)
4/15 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
9 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 10-20 (inc)
7 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 10-15 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 13/1

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 16th June 2018

Another busy Saturday of horse racing ahead with this weekend's LIVE ITV4 coming from Sandown, Chester and York.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

 

Saturday 16th June 2018

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.05 – Randox Health Scurry Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f6y ITV4

13/13 – Returned 11/1 or shorter
11/13 – Had won over 5f before
11/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/13 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/13 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
8/13 – Had won at least 3 times before
8/13 – Came from stall 7 or higher
8/13 – Irish bred
7/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/13 – Winning favourites
7/13 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/13 – Had won a Listed or Group 3 race before
5/13 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Beverley (2) last time out
2/13 – Trained by Michael Bell
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2
Trainer Stuart Kittow has 40% strike-rate (2 from 5) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Channon has just 2 from 29 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Adam Kirby is just 3 from 47 riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

3.15 – Randox Health Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV4

6 previous runnings
5/6 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Didn’t win last time out
5/6 – Had won between 2-4 times before
5/6 – Had won over 1m before
5/6 – Rated between 90-94
5/6 – Carried 9-5 or more in weight
4/6 – Aged 4 years-old
4/6 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
4/6 – Ran at either Sandown (2) or Newmarket (2) last time out
4/6 – Had run at the course before
4/6 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
3/6 – Winning favourites
2/6 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 11/2

 

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

1.50 – Queen Mother´s Cup (Lady Amateur Riders) (Handicap) Cl3 1m4f ITV4

14/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
13/15 – Carried 9-11 or more
13/15 – Had run over 1m4f or further previously
12/15 – Had at least 2 previous runs already that season (flat)
12/15 – Aged 6 or younger
12/15 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
11/15 – Rated between 80-89
11/15 – Won from a single-figure stall
10/15 – Favourites placed in the top four
10/15 – Had run at York before
9/15 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
9/15 – Had won at least 3 times before (flat)
8/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/15 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
6/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/15 – Winners that came from stalls 3 or 4
4/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/15 – Won by trainer Tim Easterby
3/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Won by trainer Luca Cumani
2/15 – Ridden by Miss J Coward
1/15 – Placed horses from stall 2
Tapis Libre (8/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

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2.25 – JCB Handicap Cl2 7f ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Aged 4 years-old
3/3 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
3/3 – Rated between 90-99
3/3 – Unplaced favourites
3/3 – Had raced at York before
3/3 – Came from a single-figure stall
2/3 – Won over 7f before
2/3 – Came from stall 9
0/3 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 11/1
Trainer Andrew Balding won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Charles Hills has a 22% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Jedd O’Keeffe has a 21% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan is just 3 from 96 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston is just 2 from 48 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 12 from 243 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 9 from 176 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Michael Easterby is just 4 from 138 with his older horses at the track
Jockey Georgina Cox is 3 from 4 riding older horses at the track

 

3.00 – Sky Bet Grand Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl (4yo+) 1m6f ITV4

9/10 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
9/10 – Had raced in the last 2 months
9/10 – Officially rated 103 or higher
8/10 – Placed favourites
8/10 – Drawn in stalls 1-7 (inc)
8/10 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
8/10 – Won at least 4 times before (flat)
7/10 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Ran at the track before
2/10 – Trained by Peter Niven
2/10 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
1/10 – Winners from stall 1
Clever Cookie won the race in 2014 & 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
Note: The 2014 running was a dead-heat

 

3.35 –Pavers Foundation Catherine Memorial Sprint (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

11/13 – Rated between 87-97
11/13 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
11/13 – Had won over 6f before
10/13 – Unplaced favourites
10/13 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
9/13 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Had won between 1-2 times before
6/13 – Irish bred
6/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Won by Tim Easterby (inc 3 of the last 5 runnings)
2/13 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
1/13 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/1
7 of the last 10 winners came from a single-figure draw
Trainer Hugo Palmer is 4 from 12 (33%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Clive Cox is 2 from 9 (22%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is only 5 from 127 (4%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Andrea Atzeni is 7 from 33 (21%) riding 3 year-olds at the track
Paul Hanagan is only 1 from 46 riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

Chester Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.40 – City of London Handicap (Cl2) (3yo 0-100) 1m4f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan has a 24% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 9th June 2018

Another busy Saturday of horse racing ahead with this weekend's LIVE ITV4 coming from Newmarket, Musselburgh and Haydock. As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Saturday 9th June 2018

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

3.05 – Animal Health Trust Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 7f ITV4

One previous running
Trainer Mark Johnston has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David Baron has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is just 12 from 132 with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

3.40 – John Sunley Memorial Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m6f ITV4

One previous running
Trainer Mark Johnston won this race 12 months ago
Horse from stall 12 won this race 12 months ago
Trainer Mark Johnston has a 21% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Josie Gordon is 0 from 15 riding older horses at the track

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

2.15 Betway Middle Distance Handicap Cl3 (3yo) 1m4f ITV4

Trainer Hugo Palmer has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 16% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 24% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Richard Kingscote has a 22% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has a 22% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy is just 3 from 36 riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

2.50 Betway Pinnacle Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m3f ITV4

15/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
13/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Rated 92 or higher
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
11/15 – Aged 4 years-old
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/15 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
5/15 – Had run at Haydock before
4/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/15 – Trained by John Gosden
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

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3.25 Betway Achilles Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 5f ITV4

9/9 – Returned 14/1 or shorter
8/9 – Aged 5 or older
8/9 – Had raced in the last 10 weeks
8/9 – Won between 6-8 times before
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Had won over 5f before
7/9 – Drawn between stalls 2-7 (inc)
6/9 – Had run at the course before
6/9 – Winning distance 1 length or less
6/9 – Had finished in the top 5 last time out
5/9 – Unplaced favourites
4/9 – Winning favourites
Final Venture (9/4) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/2

 

4.00 Betway John Of Gaunt Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV4

14/15 – Rated 107 or higher
14/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
12/15 – Came from the top three in the betting
12/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Had won over 7f before
10/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/15 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
9/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
5/15 – Had run at the track before
4/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 - Aged 9 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

Musselburgh Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)

1.55 – Edinburgh Gin’s Seaside Gin Handicap Cl3 (4yo+) 1m4 1/2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Rebecca Bastiman has a 20% (+23) record with her older horses at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett is 1-from-1 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is 5 from 65 with his older horses at the track

 

2.30 – Edinburgh Gin Scottish Sprint Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+) 5f ITV4

13/14 – Won over 5f before
11/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 5
11/14 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/14 -  Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/14 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/14 – Had won between 2-5 times before
9/14 – Came from a double-figure stall
9/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/14 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
6/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Line Of Reason (11/1) won the race in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 16/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 2nd June 2018

It’s Derby Day at Epsom Racecourse this weekend and like every Saturday we’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our free tips on each contest.

Did you know that 15 of the last 16 Epsom Derby winners had finished 1st or 2nd in their last race, while 11 of the last 16 Derby winners came from a single-figure stall?

Supporting the big race, we’ve got four more LIVE races to take in that include the Epsom Dash, which is run over one of the quickest 5f courses in the world – blink and you’ll miss it!

 

Saturday 2nd June 2018

Epsom Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.00 - Investec Private Banking Handicap Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m2f18y ITV

15/15 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/15 – Never run at Epsom before
13/15 – Had won over 1m before (5 over 1m2f)
11/15 – Winners from stall 6 or higher
11/15 – Placed last time out
10/15 – Carried 8-10 or more
10/15 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
8/15 – Favourites that were placed
8/15 – Horses placed from stall 1
5/15 – Won their previous race
3/15 – Winners from stall 1
3/15 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/15 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
3/15 – Won by trainer Sylvester Kirk
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
Stall 2 has just one place to its name in the last 15 runnings

2.35 - Princess Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Investec) (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m114y ITV

15/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/15 – Had won at Listed or Group 3 class before
13/15 – Drawn in stall 4,5,6 or 7
13/15 – Favourites placed
12/15 – Had won between 4-6 times before
12/15 – Finished in the top three last time out
12/15 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
12/15 – Had won over at least a mile before
12/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
9/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/15 – Aged 4 years-old
8/15 – Had raced at Epsom before
8/15 – Winning favourites
8/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Drawn in either stall 5 or 6
5/15 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/15 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/15 – Won by a Cheveley Park-owned horse
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/15 – Trained by Roger Charlton
Jockeys Silvester de Sousa (2), James Doyle (3) and Frankie Dettori (2) have won 7 of the last 8 runnings
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 8 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

3.10 – INVESTEC DIOMED STAKES (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 1m 114y ITV

15/15 – Had won over at least a mile before
13/15 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
13/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/15 – Had won at least 4 times before
12/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/15 – Aged 5 or older
12/15 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
11/15 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/15 – Had raced at Epsom before
11/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/15 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1
Sovereign Debt (4/1) won the race 12 months ago
Arod (7/4 fav) won the race in 2015

3.45 – Investec Corporate Banking "Dash" (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV

Recent Epsom Dash Winners

2017 – CASPIAN PRINCE (25/1)
2016 – CASPIAN PRINCE (11/1)
2015 – DESERT LAW (16/1)
2014 – CASPIAN PRINCE (9/1)
2013 – DUKE OF FIRENZE (5/1 fav)
2012 – STONE OF FOLCA (50/1)
2011 – CAPTAIN DUNNE (13/2)
2010 – BERTOLIVER (33/1)
2009 – INDIAN TRAIL (11/1)
2008 – HOLBECK GHYLL (15/2)
2007 – HOGMANEIGH (7/1)
2006 – DESERT LORD (12/1)
2005 – FIRE UP THE BAND (14/1)
2004 – CARIBBEAN CORAL (20/1)
2003 – ATLANTIC VIKING (9/1)

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Epsom Dash Betting Trends and Stats

16/16 – Didn’t win last time out
14/16 – Raced within the last 6 weeks (12 within the last 4 weeks)
12/16 – Came from stall 8 or higher
12/16 – Won by horses aged between 5 and 8 years-old (inc)
12/16– Unplaced favourites
11/16 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
11/16 – Had raced at Epsom previously (4 had won)
10/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/16 – Horses from stall 1 that hit the frame
1/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 15 renewals is 16/1

4.30 – Investec Derby (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m4f10y ITV

Past Epsom Derby Winners

2017 – Wings of Eagles (40/1)
2016 – Harzand (13/2)
2015 – Golden Horn (13/8 fav)
2014 – Australia (11/8 fav)
2013 – Ruler Of The World (7/1)
2012 – Camelot (8/13 fav)
2011 – Pour Moi (4/1)
2010 – Workforce (6/1)
2009 – Sea The Stars (11/4)
2008 – New Approach (5/1)
2007 – Authorized (5/4 fav)
2006 – Sir Percy (6/1)
2005 – Motivator (3/1 fav)
2004 – North Light (7/2 j fav)
2003 – Kris Kin (6/1)
2002 – High Chaparral (7/2)

Epsom Derby Betting Trends and Stats

16/16 – Raced no more than 5 times before
15/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/16 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
15/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/16 – Had won a Group race before
12/16 – Favourites that were placed
11/16 – Won from a single-figure stall
11/16 – Won last time out
11/16 – Had run over at least 1m2f before
10/16 – Had raced no more than 3 times before
8/16 – Had won a Group One before
8/16 – Irish-trained winners
6/16 – Won by the favourite
5/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won 6 in all)
4/16 – Won the Dante Stakes (York) last time out
4/16 – Ran in the 2,000 Guineas that season (2 winners)
3/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won 5 in all)
3/16 – Winners from stall 12 or higher
1/16 – Won over 1m4f before
0/16 – Run at the course before
0/16 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 6/1
10 Dante winners went onto win the Derby (Golden Horn, 2015 being the most-recent)
Only 1 horse that was beaten in the Dante (Workforce) went onto win the Derby

Epsom Derby Trainer Stats
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2010, 2004, 2003, 1986 & 1981
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2002, 2001, 2012, 2013, 2014 & 2017

 

 

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Epsom TV Trends: Fri 1st June 18

It’s day one of the two-day Epsom Derby Meeting this Friday (1st June 2018). The Investec Oaks at 4.30pm is the third English Classic of the season and the highlight on the day’s action, but there is also a top supporting card that includes the Group One Coronation Cup. 

Did you know? 14 of the last 16 horses from stall 1 were unplaced in the Epsom Oaks?

As always around the main meetings we are on-hand with all the key stats for all the LIVE ITV races.

 

Friday 1st June 2018

Epsom Horse Racing Trends

2.00 – Investec WOODCOTE EBF STAKES (Conditions Race) Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV

16/16 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
15/16 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
14/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Single-figured stalls that filled the first three home
13/16 – Had 2 or more previous runs
12/16 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
11/16 – Yet to win over 6f
8/16 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
7/16 – Won their previous race
5/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston (2002, 2003, 2011, 2015 & 2017)
3/16 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/16 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
8 of the last 10 winners were foaled in Feb (3) or March (5)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

 

2.35 – INVESTEC CLICK & INVEST MILE (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-105) 1m 114y ITV

13/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
13/15 – Had won over at least a mile before
12/15 – Had won between 2-5 times before
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/15 – Irish bred
10/15 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
10/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/15 – Placed last time out
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Carried 9-1 or more
6/15 – Raced at the track before
4/15 – Raced at Sandown last time out
3/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Godolphin won the race 12 months ago
8 of the last 10 winners returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

 

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3.10 – INVESTEC CORONATION CUP (Group 1) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

16/16 – Had previously won a Group 1 or 2 race
15/16 – Had won over 1m4f before
15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
14/16 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/16 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
11/16 – Ran at either Chester, York, Newmarket or the Curragh last time out
11/16 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
10/16 – Horses from stall 3 that were placed (four won)
10/16 – Favourites placed
8/16 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (2005, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 & 2017)
6/16 – Won their last race
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Had run at Epsom before
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2009, 2011 & 2017)
1/16 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/2

 

3.45 – INVESTEC WEALTH & INVESTMENT HANDICAP (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 1m2f

14/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f or further before
12/15 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/15 – Had won at least 3 times before
11/15 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
11/15 – Came from stall 8 or lower
10/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Rated between 86-97
9/15 – Irish bred
9/15 – Placed favourites
8/15 – Came from the top three in the betting
8/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
5/15 – Had raced at the track before
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Not So Sleepy won the race 12 months ago

 

4.30 - INVESTEC OAKS (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f

16/16 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
14/16 – Horses from stall 1 that were unplaced
13/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/16 – Won from stall 5 or higher
11/16 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
10/16 – Favourites that were placed
9/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – Won by the favourite (1 joint)
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price
4/16 – Ran in the English 1,000 Guineas
4/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/16 – Irish-trained winners
2/16 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
0/16 – Had run at the course before
0/16 – Had run over 1m4f before
7 of the last 11 favourites were unplaced
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 6 times
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 12.5/1
Kazzia (2002) and Minding (2016) were the last horses to win both the 1,000 Guineas and Epsom Oaks
The horse from stall 2 has been placed in 7 of the last 14 runnings

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 26th May 2018

More LIVE ITV4 horse racing this Saturday as the cameras take in eight races across three venues – Haydock, York and Goodwood – with the feature contest the Group Two Temple Stakes at Haydock Park.
As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Saturday 26th May 2018

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

1.55 – Netbet Mobile Bet10Get10 Festival Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m1f192y ITV4

13/14 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/14 – Had won at least 3 times before
10/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/14 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
8/14 – Finished in the top two last time out
8/14 – Had run at Goodwood before
8/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/14 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14– Ridden by Tom Queally
2/14 – Won last time out
First Sitting won the race in 2017
Spark Plug was second in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/2

 

2.30 – Netbet Sport Handicap (3yo) Cl2 7f ITV4

5 previous runnings
5/5 - returned 9/2 to 12/1
5/5 – Came from stalls 2-6 (inc)
5/5 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
5/5 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
4/5 - carried between 8-0 and 8-4
3/5 – Rated between 77-81
3/5 – Won just once before
3/5 – Winners from stall 3
2/5 – Trained by Mark Johnston
1/5 winning favourites
Richard Hannon, Mark Johnston (2), Andrew Balding and Mick Channon are the past winning yards
Trainer William Haggas has a 25% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock has a 19% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer George Scott is 2 from 6 with his 3 years-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian is just 2 from 26 with his 3 year-olds at the track
The average SP in the last 5 runnings is 8/1

 

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

3.05 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Bronte Cup Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) (4yo+) Cl1 1m6f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 23% (+28) record with his 4 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 18% record (+17) with his 4 year-olds at the track

 

3.40 – Unibet Sprint Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV4

Only 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Drawn in stalls 5-9 (inc)
4/4 – Raced in the last 2 weeks
3/4 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
3/4 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
3/4 – Didn’t win last time out
3/4 – Winning distance ½ length or less
2/4 – Aged 4 years-old
1/4 – Winning favourites
Copper Knight win the race 12 months ago
Trainer Dave Griffiths has a 20% strike-rate with this older horses at the track
Trainer Michael Easterby is just 3 from 134 (2%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 11 from 236 (5%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan is just 3 from 94 (3%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston is just 2 from 48 (4%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 9 from 171 (5%) with his older horses at the track

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Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RUK)

2.15 – Amix Ready Mixed Concrete Handicap Cl2 2m45y ITV4

Just 4 previous runnings
4/4 – Winners aged 4 or 5
4/4 – Didn’t win last time out
4/4 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
4/4 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
4/4 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
4/4 – Came from stalls 2-8 (inc)
4/4 – Unplaced favourites
4/4 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
3/4 – Winners carried 8-13 or more
3/4 – Rated between 91-98
No winning favourite yet
Trainers Mark Johnston, Tim Easterby, Brian Ellison and Lucy Wadham were previous winners of the race

 

2.50 - Amix Silver Bowl Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

15/15 – Had won between 1-3 times before
14/15 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/15 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/15 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
12/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
12/15 – Placed last time out
11/15 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/15 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
5/15 – Won last time out¬
5/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/15 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/15 – Trained by Mark Johnston (2 of last 5)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

 

3.25 – Armstrong Aggregates Sandy Lane Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo) 6f ITV4

14/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
13/14 – Had won over 6f before
12/14 – Had won between 1-3 times before
12/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – From stall 5 or higher
8/14 – Winning favourites
6/14 – Came from stall 8 or 9
3/14 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/14 – Raced at York last time
2/14 – Trained by William Haggas
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2009 and 2015

 

4.00 – Armstrong Aggregates Temple Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV4

15/16 – Trained in the UK
14/16 – Had won over 5f before
13/16 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
12/16 – Raced within the last 2 months
10/16 – Placed third or better last time out
9/16 – Favourites that were placed
9/16 – Had won a Group race before
9/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Won their latest race
2/16 – Owned by Qatar Racing (2 of last 4 runnings)
2/16 – Trained by Clive Cox (last 2 runnings)
2/16 – Ridden by Adam Kirby (last 2 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 13 years is 13/2
6 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 6 or lower

 

 

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