Weekly Stat Pack: 26th to 30th December 2013

26th to 30th December

Weekly Stat Pack: 26th to 30th December

KEMPTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Kempton: 71
Favourite stats: 22 (31.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/16 (50.0%)

The figures (in bold) after each line relating to trainers who have saddled three winners or more relate to the ratio for this current season.

Leading trainers of winners at Kempton in 2013:
14--Nicky Henderson (5/1-3/10*-3/1*-13/2-13/2-6/1-9/2-10/3-4/5*-25/1-15/8*-4/11*-3/1*-9/2)--4/16
9--Alan King (4/5*-5/1-5/1-13/2-9/2-6/1-9/4-4/6*-2/1*)--4/15
9--Paul Nicholls (7/1-5/4*-9/4-11/8-11/4*-9/2-8/11*-5/2-4/1)--4/7
4--Jonjo O'Neill (5/2**-11/10*-9/1-7/2)--2/8
3--Harry Fry (12/1-12/1-4/7*)--1/2
3--Tom George (7/2-11/4-9/2)--1/2
3--Paul Webber (9/1-12/1-9/2)--2/9

69/71 winners (97.2%) scored at a top price of 12/1

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
10--Nicky Henderson (5/2**-11/8-8/11-10/11-7/4-4/11-6/4-11/10-1/6-10/11)
7--Paul Nicholls (9/2-5/4-2/1-7/4**-10/11-3/1-7/4)
5--Philip Hobbs (11/4-9/4-7/4-3/1-3/1)
3--Alan King (4/1-5/2**-11/10)
3--Donald McCain (5/4-2/1-9/4)

Complete 2013 stats regarding favourites of selected trainers (Odds on ratio in brackets):
6/16--Nicky Henderson (3/8)
3/4--Paul Nicholls (1/2)
2/3--Alan King (2/2)
2/4--Jonjo O'Neill (0/1)
1/1--Harry Fry (--)
0/3--Donald McCain (--)

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FONTWELL NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Fontwell: 145
Favourite stats: 50 (34.5%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 16/27 (59.2%)

Leading trainers of winners at Fontwell in 2013:
9--Gary Moore (4/5*-6/4*-12/1-7/1-4/5*-7/1-10/1-5/2-9/2)
8--Chris Gordon (12/1-4/1-3/1-9/2-14/1-7/2-7/2-4/1*)
8--Charlie Longsdon (5/2-4/1-4/6*-5/1-10/11*-9/4*-5/1-5/2)
7--Caroline Keevil (11/4**-9/5-16/1-7/2-20/1-5/2-16/1)
5--Paul Nicholls (3/1-9/4-7/4*-2/1*-11/4)
4--Lawney Hill (9/2-11/4*-5/1-7/1)
4--Neil Mulholland (4/1**-4/1-6/4*-7/1)
4--Jamie Snowden (7/1-7/1-6/4-20/1)

134/145 winners (92.4%) to date started at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1**-6/4-7/2-Evs-11/4-7/4-3/1-5/2**)
7--Charlie Longsdon (11/8-13/8-7/2-5/2-Evs-2/1-6/4)
5--Paul Nicholls (5/6-9/4**-7/4-1/4-2/1)
5--Jamie Snowden (2/1**-2/1**-5/2-Evs-11/8)
5--Colin Tizzard (11/4-2/1-7/2-5/6-7/4)
4--Chris Gordon (5/4-7/2-7/2-7/4)
4--Brendan Powell (5/4-9/4-4/1-5/2**)
4--Oliver Sherwood (2/1-11/4-2/1-4/5)

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FFOS LAS NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ffos Las: 130
Favourite stats: 46 (35.4%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/17 (47.1%)

Trainers of winners at Ffos Las in 2013:
17--Peter Bowen (3/1**-3/1-7/1-11/4*-5/1-5/2-15/8-9/4*-4/7*-7/4*-9/4-5/1-16/1-3/1-7/2-11/8*-10/1)
13--Rebecca Curtis (11/2-4/1-16/1-7/2-4/1-11/10*-5/2-3/1-15/8-6/1-4/6*-8/13*-9/4**)
8--Evan Williams (7/1-7/2-9/4-20/1-5/2-9/4-Evs*-6/1)
8--Jonjo O'Neill (9/2-7/2-3/1-5/1-13/8-7/4*-4/9*-7/2)
5--David Pipe (3/1-2/1-2/1**-5/1-7/1)
5--Nigel Twiston Davies (5/4*-7/1-4/1-14/1-4/1)
4--Henry Daly (7/4*-11/8*-11/8*-8/1)
4--Dr Richard Newland (7/1-11/10*-2/1*-11/4*)
4--Paul Nicholls (9/4-11/10-13/8*-10/11*)
4--David Rees (4/1-7/1-6/1-8/1)
4--Tim Vaughan (4/1-8/11-12/1-9/4)

121/130 winners (93.1%) were sent off at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
12--Rebecca Curtis (11/4-4/9-10/11-7/4-7/4-2/1**-11/8-11/4-3/1-6/4**-5/6-9/4)
10--Peter Bowen (11/4**-9/2-7/4-11/4-11/8-10/11-9/4-5/2-5/4-6/4)
9--Jonjo O'Neill (11/8-2/1-5/2-6/4-11/8-11/8-6/5-9/4-7/2***)
6--Nigel Twiston-Davies (9/4-3/1-7/4-5/4-11/4-3/1)
6--Evan Williams (7/2-15/8**9/4-4/5-3/1**-5/2)
4--David Pipe (9/4-9/4-15/8-7/2)

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HUNTINGDON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Huntingdon: 111
Favourite stats: 35 (31.5%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/17 (58.8%)

Leading trainers of winners at Huntingdon in 2013:
12--Nicky Henderson (4/9*-4/7*-11/10*-11/10*-3/1-15/8-15/8**-4/7*-2/1*-11/8*-8/15*-9/4*)
6--Jonjo O'Neill (15/8**-4/1-5/4*-5/1-5/1-4/6*)
5--Charlie Longsdon (5/2-Evs*-5/2*-3/1-5/2)
4--Kim Bailey (8/1-4/1*-7/1-5/1)
3--Ben Case (5/2-9/2-16/1)
3--John Ferguson (4/9*-6/1-9/2)
3--Lawney Hill (20/1-15/8-9/4)
3--Neil King (9/1-50/1-5/4*)
3--Gary Moore (12/1-12/1-4/1)
3--Paul Nicholls (4/5*-3/1-4/9*)
3--Tim Vaughan (4/5*-4/11*-10/1)

98/111 (88.3%) winners were sent off at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--John Ferguson (4/5-10/11-5/4-5/2-2/1)
5--Charlie Longsdon (5/4-2/1**-4/7-2/1-3/1)
4--Philip Hobbs (5/2-4/1-11/4-13/8)
4--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-10/3-7/2-5/2)
3--Nicky Henderson (15/8-4/5-8/15)
3--Alan King (1/2-15/8-7/2)
3--Gary Moore (5/2-4/1***-11/10)
3--Brendan Powell (9/2**-4/1***-15/8)
3--Venetia Williams (11/4-5/2-7/2)

Your first 30 days for just £1

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MARKET RASEN NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Market Rasen: 124
Favourite stats: 47 (37.9%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 15/23 (65.2%)

Leading trainers of winners at Market Rasen in 2013:
10--Charlie Longsdon (6/1-9/2-7/2-5/1-2/1*-3/1*-5/6*-5/6*-1/2*-5/4*)
7--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1**-15/2-11/10*-5/2*-2/1*-8/11*-6/4**)
4--Peter Bowen (11/2-3/1*-5/6*-3/1)
4--John Ferguson (1/2*-9/2**-8/1-8/13*)
4--Steve Gollings (3/1-7/2-2/1*-11/2)
4--Nicky Henderson (5/6*-15/8*-8/1-1/7*)
4--Fergal O'Brien (5/1-7/4*-9/1-16/1)
4--Lucy Wadham (9/4**-9/1-7/2-13/8*)

114/124 winners (91.9%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
12--Jonjo O'Neill (7/2**-9/2**11/4-9/4-5/4-5/2-9/2**-5/1**-9/4-5/4-2/1**-15/8**)
6--John Ferguson (4/1**-11/10-11/4-7/4-9/2-9/4)
6--Donald McCain (10/11-2/1-3/1-13/8-11/8-6/4**)
5--Charlie Longsdon (9/4**-3/10*-1/6-15/8**-11/4)
4--Jennie Candlish (2/1-11/4-7/2-5/4)
4--Dianne Sayer (11/10-4/5-11/4-6/5)

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TOWCESTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Towcester: 98
Favourite stats: 36 (36.7%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 11/17 (64.7%)

Leading trainers of winners at Towcester in 2013:
6--Fergal O'Brien (2/1*-8/1-15/8*-11/2-4/5*-6/1)
5--Kim Bailey (6/4*-6/4*-7/2*-4/1-14/1)
4--Claire Dyson (5/1-16/1-4/1-7/2)
4--Nicky Henderson (2/1*-2/11*-9/4-7/4**)
4--Philip Hobbs (4/5*-4/1-3/1*-8/13*)
4--David Pipe (7/4*-4/1-1/2*-13/8*)

88/98 winners (89.8%) were sent off at a top price of 12/1

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Kim Bailey (5/4-7/4-8/13-10/11)
4--Nicky Henderson (Evs-11/4-15/8-15/8)
4--Fergal O'Brien (5/2-4/5-3/1-Evs)
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (9/4-11/8-3/1-5/4)

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SEDGEFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of aces at Sedgefield: 105
Favourite stats: 46 (43.8%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/12 (75.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Sedgefield in 2013:
13--Donald McCain (4/6*-6/5*-5/4*-3/1-8/1-6/5*-10/11*-1/5*-Evs*-7/4*-3/1-8/13*-5/6*)
5--Diane Sayer (8/1-4/1**-4/1-6/4*-6/4*)
4--Phil Kirby (5/2*-1/4*-11/2-8/1)
4--Sue Smith (7/1-7/4*-11/2-3/1)
3--Brian Ellison (6/4*-5/2*-14/1)
3--Joanne Foster (3/1-7/2*-4/1)
3--Steve Gollings (9/2-11/8*-9/4**)
3--Malcolm Jefferson (7/2-11/2-5/1)
3--Jonjo O'Neill (17/2-13/8*-Evs**)
3--John Wade (2/1*-4/1-4/1)

94/105 winners (89.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--Donald McCain (5/4-5/2-15/8-11/4-7/4-11/10-Evs**-11/10-6/4)
7--Brian Ellison (6/4-10/11-9/4-2/1**-5/2-11/8-2/5)
7--Phil Kirby (5/2-11/10-11/4-5/4-3/1**-11/4-7/2**)
4--Chris Grant (9/4**-10/3-13/8*-15/8*)
3--Rose Dobbin (13/2-11/2-15/8)
3--Sue Smith (3/1-2/1-9/4)

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WETHERBY NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Wetherby: 106
Favourite stats: 47 (44.3%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 11/18 (61.1%)

Leading trainers of winners at Wetherby in 2013:
11--Sue Smith (5/1-4/1***-9/2-5/4*-10/3-3/1*-11/8*-15/8*-4/7*-9/1-8/1)
7--Brian Ellison (7/1-8/13*-11/4-6/4*-15/8*-17/2-25/1)
6--Donald McCain (5/2-13/8*-2/1*-5/2-6/4-3/10*)
5--Kim Bailey (Evs*-9/2-5/6*-3/10*-5/1)
4--John Quinn (3/1-14/1-8/11*-3/1*)
3--Tim Easterby (3/1-7/4*-9/4*)
3--Alan King (15/8*-4/6*-6/4)
3--Jonjo O'Neill (11/4-3/1*-7/1)
3--John Wade (2/1*-3/1*-7/2)

98/106 (92.4%) winners sent off at 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--Donald McCain (3/1**-13/8-5/2-11/4-10/3)
5--David Pipe (11/8-10/11-8/13-5/2**-8/11)
5--Lucinda Russell (11/4-3/1-11/8-6/5-11/4**)
4--Alan King (5/2-5/2-9/4**-10/11)
4--Jonjo O'Neill (5/4-6/4**-9/4-9/4)
3--Malcolm Jefferson (15/8-5/1-11/4)
3--Sue Smith (9/4-11/4**-7/2**)

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WINCANTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Wincanton: 116
Favourite stats: 41 (35.3%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 13/20 (65.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Wincanton in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):
17--Paul Nicholls (6/1-1/3*-17/2-3/1-Evs*-2/1-8/13*-Evs*-3/1-7/4*-4/6*-1/4*-2/5*-7/2-4/5*-11/8*-10/3)
7--David Pipe (5/6*-10/1-4/1**-3/1-5/1-7/2-5/2*)
7--Colin Tizzard (4/1-11/4**-9/1-10/1-11/4-4/9*-7/2)
6--Harry Fry (3/1-16/1-5/4*-13/2-5/1-11/4**)
6--Philip Hobbs (5/4*-Evs*-7/1-9/4*-4/1*-11/8*)
6--Jeremy Scott (25/1-11/8*-7/1-7/1-5/1-9/2)
5--Tom George (6/1-11/5*-2/1*-3/1-3/1)

107/117 of the winners (91.5%) started at 12/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
13--Paul Nicholls (5/2-5/6-3/1-7/2-11/8-9/4-4/9-11/8-Evs-1/3-5/2-11/10-9/5)
10--David Pipe (7/2-7/2**-13/8-6/5-11/4**-9/4-7/4-6/1-15/8-6/4)
7--Philip Hobbs (Evs-11/10-7/4-3/1**-7/2**-5/2-15/8)
4--Nicky Henderson (6/5-5/4-2/5-4/6)
4--Alan King (3/1**-3/1-5/1**-11/4**)
4--Colin Tizzard (5/2**-7/2**-7/2-4/1)

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WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 199
Favourite stats: 69 (34.7%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/25 (40.0%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
12/65--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1-9/1-7/2*-7/1-5/2*-8/1)
7/32--Michael Appleby (5/6*-7/2-4/1-5/4*-5/2*-2/1*-7/2)
7/40--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2-3/1-5/6*-7/4-10/1)
5/20--Alan Bailey (7/4*-20/1-5/1-16/1-8/1)
5/22-Tom Dascombe (11/10*-7/1-6/4*-9/4-5/1)
5/25--Marco Botti (20/1-7/2-10/3-5/4-6/4*)
4/9--Christine Dunnett (9/2-7/2-8/1-6/4*)
4/11--Phil McBride (9/4-50/1-5/4*-3/1*)
4/20--James Given (11/4-13/8-8/1-5/2)

180/199 (90.5%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
10--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**-4/1**-1/2-5/4-2/1-5/4)
6--Marco Botti (5/4-13/8-Evs-Evs-15/8-Evs)
6--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8-11/4-8/11)
4--David O'Meara (4/6-11/10-9/2-3/1)
4--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4-11/4)

Mal Boyle

Weekly Stat Pack: 17th to 22nd December 2013

10th to 16th December

Weekly Stat Pack: 10th to 16th December

The lead up to Christmas is an important time for punters who like to keep abreast of what is going on whilst buying presents/provisions and keeping some ‘ammunition’ for the Boxing Day racing extravaganza.

The all-weather meetings will be updated here on a daily basis given that I have been away for three days and there is literally too much information to catch up on for today, not wishing to put the NH work in jeopardy.

Make sure that you catch up on the daily stats each morning which will include up to date A/W figures alongside venues which have more than one meeting during the course of the week which in this case is Ascot on Saturday.

Catch you next week with all the delights of the Christmas fixtures, hoping for a frost/snow free build up to Boxing Day.

TUESDAY (17/12):

Catterick:

CATTERICK NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Catterick: 47
Favourite stats: 18 (38.3% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/13 (61.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Catterick in 2013:
4--Keith Reveley (Evs*-1/5*-2/5*-5/1)
3--Donald McCain (2/1-4/1-15/8*)
3--Simon Shirley-Beavan (10/1-10/3-7/4)
3--Michael Smith (6/4*-5/1-8/1)

44/47 winners (93.6) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--Donald McCain (3/1-13/8-5/4-15/8-7/4-10/11)
4--Keith Reveley (6/4-13/8-11/4**-9/4)

12.10: All seven winners have carried 11-4 or less to victory, whilst five renewals have slipped by since the last successful favourite was registered.

1.10: Six of the last seven winners have carried a minimum burden of eleven stones, whilst eight-year-olds have secured four of the last five renewals, statistics which include last year’s 25/1 winner, one of only two vintage representatives in the seven strong line up. The 2011 (9/2) favourite was the first market leader to score since 2004.

1.40: Five-year-olds lead the four-year-olds 4-3 via the last nine renewals, whilst Donald McCain (Cool Sky) has saddled two of the last five gold medallists. Cool Sky was one of four five day declarations held by Donald this time around. Eight of the last nine winners have scored at a top price of 7/1 during which time, three market leaders obliged. The last eight favourites have all secured toteplacepot positions, albeit hot favourites at 1/2 and 4/6 were turned over from a win perspective.

2.10: Carmela Maria comes to the gig on a hat trick. Only one of the last eight favourites has won, whilst six-year-olds have won three of the last four contests. Just one of the last five market leaders has finished in the frame.

3.10: Four-year-olds lead the five-year-olds have 5-4 thus far during which time, three favourites have obliged. Eight winners have scored at odds of 15/2 or less whilst favourites come to the party on a hat trick this time around.

*

Fakenham:

FAKENHAM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Fakenham: 52
Favourite stats: 19 (36.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/14 (57.1%)

Trainers of winners at Fakenham in 2013:
5--Neil King (3/1-9/4-9/1-7/2-2/1)
4--Lucy Wadham (9/1-9/4*-11/4-7/1)
3--Peter Bowen (4/1-6/5*-3/1)
3--Caroline Fryer (11/1-7/4*-11/4*)
3--Nicky Henderson (2/5*-10/11*-6/4)
3--Paul Nicholls (9/4*-8/11*-4/9*)

All 52 winners have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--John Ferguson (2/1**-11/8-15/8**-8/13)
2--Warren Greatrex (2/5 & 3/1)
2--Alex Hales (6/4 & 11/8)
2--Gary Moore (1/6-9/4)

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WEDNESDAY (18/12):

Newbury:

NEWBURY NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newbury: 56
Favourite stats: 21 (37.5%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Newbury in 2013:
10--Paul Nicholls (5/4*-8/11*-4/5*-5/1-18/1-5/4*-5/4*-5/2**-8/11*-7/2)
5--Nicky Henderson (5/4*-5/1*-Evs*-1/16*-20/1)
4--Alan King (7/4*-2/1-16/1-7/2)
3--Harry Fry (7/4*-15/8*-11/4*)
3--Philip Hobbs (4/1-6/1-40/1)

48/56 winners (85.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--David Pipe (3/1-4/1-11/4-11/10-9/2-11/2)
4--Nicky Henderson (9/4-5/2**-10/11-5/4)
4--Paul Nicholls (6/1**-5/2-2/5-5/4)
3--Alan King (6/4-5/2**-6/1)

Juvenile hurdle event scheduled for 12.10: Favourites have won eight renewals during the last eleven years. Nicky Henderson has secured four victories in this event during the last decade, with Dawalan (Berry Garaghty already jocked aboard) being Nicky’s only option this time around.

Class 3, three-mile handicap chase due to be contested at 12.40: Nigel Twiston-Davies has won three of the seven contests and the trainer only has not been represented every year by any means. Nigel’s only option at the weekend was According To Trev. The last six winners have carried a minimum burden of eleven stones.

Class 4 maiden hurdle event scheduled for 1.10: Nicky Henderson has secured four of the last thirteen renewals of this event with trainer holding two options at the five day stage. Five clear market leaders have obliged to date alongside a joint favourite. Ten of the fourteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions. The last eight winners have scored at odds of 11/2 or less.

Class 4 two and a quarter-mile handicap chased scheduled for 1.40: Six of the last eight winners have carried a minimum burden of 11-2.

Three mile Graduation Chase due to be contested at 2.15: The five favourites to date have secured four gold and one silver medal with four winners carrying weights of 11-4 or more.

Novice hurdle ‘qualifier‘ scheduled for 2.45: Five-year-olds have landed six renewals during the last eleven years whilst vintage representatives have secured eight of the last twelve available toteplacepot positions for good measure. Four of the last eleven renewals have been secured by favourites during which time, eight winners have scored at odds of 11/2 or less. Nicky Henderson held six options earlier in the week for a race that the trainer has won four times during the last eleven years. That said, Alan King’s lone entry Fine Words should not be ignored given that Alan has greeted three of the last five winner of this contest.

*

Ludlow:

LUDLOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ludlow: 100
Favourite stats: 40 (40.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/14 (64.3%)

Leading trainers of winners at Ludlow in 2013 (stats include one dead heat):
9--Evan Williams (17/2-4/1-8/1-9/2-2/1*-5/2-2/1*-2/1*-11/4**)
6--Nicky Henderson (4/5*-7/2-7/4-1/3*-Evs*-6/5*)
6--Venetia Williams (2/1*-9/1-7/2*-13/2-9/2*-9/2*)
5--Henry Daly (11/2-5/1-4/11*-10/1-4/1)
4--Philip Hobbs (7/1-15/8*-4/1-10/11*)
4--Richard Lee (4/1*-10/3-11/10*-6/1)
4--Tom Symonds (2/1*-7/1-17/2-9/2)

93/101 winners (92.1%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--Evan Williams (10/3-4/1**-10/11-4/1***-5/2-3/1**-2/1**-4/1-6/4)
8--Nicky Henderson (6/4-10/11-9/4-11/8-8/11-15/8-7/4-2/1)
6--Venetia Williams (11/4-15/8-11/8-3/1-7/2-9/4)
3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (3/1-11/8-6/4)

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THURSDAY (19/12):

Exeter:

EXETER DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Exeter: 95
Favourite stats: 32 (33.7% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 15/24 (62.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Exeter in 2013:
11--David Pipe (4/1-4/5*-1/4*-6/1-11/2-9/4*-8/11*-14/1-1/5*-7/1-6/4)
6--Paul Nicholls (5/6*-4/9*-6/5-6/1-13/8-4/11*)
5--Oliver Sherwood (11/4*-11/4-2/1-4/7*-5/1)
5--Colin Tizzard (7/2-7/2-2/1--11/4-5/4*)
4--Seamus Mullins (12/1-2/11*-5/2-9/2)

Your first 30 days for just £1

85/95 winners (89.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
7--Philip Hobbs (3/1-11/8-6/4-4/5-5/2-9/4-9/2)
7--Paul Nicholls (7/5-Evs-6/4-11/5-15/8-Evs-10/11)
6--Emma Lavelle (3/1-10/11-2/5-Evs-7/2-5/1)
4--Colin Tizzard (4/1-13/8-11/8-11/10)
3--Vic Dartnell (11/10-11/4-6/5)

*

Towcester:

TOWCESTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Towcester: 91
Favourite stats: 32 (35.2%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/16 (62.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Towcester in 2013:
6--Fergal O'Brien (2/1*-8/1-15/8*-11/2-4/5*-6/1)
5--Kim Bailey (6/4*-6/4*-7/2*-4/1-14/1)
4--Claire Dyson (5/1-16/1-4/1-7/2)
4--Philip Hobbs (4/5*-4/1-3/1*-8/13*)
4--David Pipe (7/4*-4/1-1/2*-13/8*)
3--Nicky Henderson (2/1*-2/11*-9/4)
3--Tim Vaughan (4/1-11/4**-8/1)

82/91 winners (90.1%) were sent off at a top price of 12/1

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Kim Bailey (5/4-7/4-8/13-10/11)
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (9/4-11/8-3/1-5/4)
3--Nicky Henderson (Evs-11/4-15/8)
3--Fergal O'Brien (5/2-4/5-3/1)

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FRIDAY (20/12):

Ascot:

ASCOT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ascot: 34
Favourite stats: 17 (50.0% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/10 (90.0%)

Trainers of winners at Ascot in 2013:
4--Paul Nicholls (8/13*-8/11*-8/13*-1/5*)
4--Venetia Williams (16/1-12/1-7/4*-8/1)
3--Nicky Henderson (5/4*-8/11*-4/7*)
2--Nick Gifford (33/1 & 11/1)
2--David Pipe (4/6*-11/4*)
2--Colin Tizzard (15/8*-5/1)

29/34 winners (85.3%) thus far were sent off at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
5--Nicky Henderson (2/1**-11/8-7/2-5/2-5/2**)
2--Philip Hobbs (2/1** & 7/2)
2--Gary Moore (3/1 & 4/1)

Maiden hurdle event over twenty-two furlongs scheduled for 1.00: Nicky Henderson has saddled two (four-year-old) winners of this event via five contests thus far. Given that Nicky has only been represented in the race three times, we should seriously consider which of the four options that the trainer held earlier in the week is given the green light.

Novice handicap chase (seventeen furlongs) scheduled for 1.30: Six-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 4-3 via the eight renewals contested during the last eleven years. Three favourites have prevailed during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at just 9/1 (last year).

Grade 2 Novice Hurdle due to be contested at 2.00: Four-year-olds have secured six of the last eight events, with vintage representatives coming to the gig on a four-timer on this occasion. Nicky Henderson was responsible for two of the fourteen five-day declarations, the trainer having saddled two of the last seven winners.

Nineteen furlong Grade 2 Novice Chase scheduled for 2.35: The biggest priced winner was returned at 13/2 via eight contests during the last eleven years, statistics which include four successful favourites. Six-year-olds have secured three of the last five contests via 32% of the total number of runners.

Twenty two furlong handicap hurdle event scheduled for 3.10: Five-year-olds have won four of the five renewals to date, whilst Jonjo O’Neill has saddled two gold medallists thus far. Jonjo was responsible for 3/34 five day entries at the time of writing.

Closing bumper event scheduled for 3.40: Four-year-olds have won five of the seven recent renewals during which time, successful favourites were only conspicuous by their absence. Jonjo O’Neill’s recent Huntingdon winner Fort Worth is of interest, given that the Presenting representative is Jonjo’s only option this week in a race that the trainer has secured twice via the last six renewals.

*

Uttoxeter:

UTTOXETER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Uttoxeter: 160
Favourite stats: 53 (33.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 11/19 (57.9%)

Leading trainers at Uttoxeter in 2013:
8--David Pipe (6/1-7/1-3/1-16/1-10/3-16/1-2/1*-8/13*)
7--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-11/4-28/1-3/1-9/2-11/4-1/2*)
6--Alan King (5/1-4/11*-6/4*-9/4*-Evs*-2/1*)
6--Sue Smith (14/1-11/8*-5/1-7/1-3/1*-7/2*)
6--Nigel Twiston-Davies (85/40-10/3-9/4*-7/2-22/1-7/2*)
5--Peter Bowen (5/2-10/3*-4/1-11/4-8/11*)
4--Jim Best (4/1-11/8*-1/2*-6/4*)
4--Charlie Longsdon (4/1*-3/1-4/7*-8/1)
4--Tim Vaughan (6/5*-11/4**-10/3-8/1)
4--Evan Williams (15/8*-11/2-7/2-5/2*)

139/160 winners (86.8%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
20--Jonjo O'Neill (2/1-Evs-6/4-5/4-7/2-5/2-6/5-6/4-6/4-11/4-13/8-2/1-5/4-11/8-13/8-5/2-7/2**-13/8-8/11-2/1)
8--Donald McCain (3/1-13/8-5/2-2/1-9/4-5/2-5/4-6/4)
5--Tim Vaughan (2/1-9/4-7/4-11/8-6/5)
4--Nicky Henderson (13/8-15/8-13/8-15/8)
4--David Pipe (15/8-3/1-7/4-4/5)

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SATURDAY (21/12):

Ascot:

ASCOT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ascot: 34
Favourite stats: 17 (50.0% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/10 (90.0%)

Trainers of winners at Ascot in 2013:
4--Paul Nicholls (8/13*-8/11*-8/13*-1/5*)
4--Venetia Williams (16/1-12/1-7/4*-8/1)
3--Nicky Henderson (5/4*-8/11*-4/7*)
2--Nick Gifford (33/1 & 11/1)
2--David Pipe (4/6*-11/4*)
2--Colin Tizzard (15/8*-5/1)

29/34 winners (85.3%) thus far were sent off at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
5--Nicky Henderson (2/1**-11/8-7/2-5/2-5/2**)
2--Philip Hobbs (2/1** & 7/2)
2--Gary Moore (3/1 & 4/1)

Three mile novice handicap hurdle event scheduled for 12.45: Just the three renewals to date though that said, five-year-olds have won all three events whilst securing the forecast positions on two occasions (9/2 & 8/1--6/1 & 14/1) and the first and third horses home (3/1 & 16/1) twelve months ago.

Seventeen furlong handicap chase, due off at 1.50 at the time of writing. All five winners have carried a minimum burden of 11-1.

Eight of the last twelve favourites have won the ‘Long Walk’ which is scheduled to be contested at 2.25.

Listed Silver Cup event scheduled for 3.00: The last seven winners have carried weights of 11-1 or less, whilst the successful 2011 (joint) favourite was the first market leader to oblige in a long time, the three previous scorers having prevailed at 33/1-25/1-12/1. Last year’s race reverted to type with the 9/4 market leader unseating its rider following several mistakes. Seven-year-olds have won four of the last eight renewals, statistics which include three of the last five contests.

Listed ‘Ladbroke’ event scheduled for 3.35: Five-year-olds have secured six of the ten renewals. Nicky Henderson has saddled three of the last nine winners, with the trainer holding three options at the time of writing. Six of the last eight winners have scored at odds ranging between 12/1 and 33/1 during which time, just one (9/4) favourite obliged.

*

Haydock:

HAYDOCK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Haydock: 37
Favourite stats: 12 (32.4% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 0/2

Leading trainers of winners at Haydock in 2013:
4--Donald McCain (9/1-10/3-11/10*-5/1***)
3--Paul Nicholls (10/1-9/4***-11/4)
3--Venetia Williams (6/5*-12/1-15/8*)

35/37 winners (94.6%) were returned at 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--Venetia Williams (5/4-9/4***-5/1**-4/1-5/1***)
3--Philip Hobbs (10/11-3/1-11/4)
3--Emma Lavelle (2/1**-11/2-15/8)
3--Paul Nicholls (11/2**-11/10-9/2)

Class 3, two-mile handicap hurdle event scheduled for 12.10: Four of the five favourites to date have secured two gold and two silver medals. Four of the five winners carried weights of 11-5 or more to victory.

‘Tommy Whittle Chase’ due to be contested at 2.45: Seven and eight-year-olds have won the last six renewals between them with the older vintage having the edge (4-2). Five of the six winners carried 11-4 or less during which time, one successful (10/3) favourite emerged.

*

Newcastle:

NEWCASTLE NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newcastle: 51
Favourite stats: 25 (49.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/11 (72.7%)

Trainers of winners at Newcastle in 2013:
4--Nick Alexander (1/2*-7/2-6/1-11/2)
4--Phil Kirby (Evs*-4/1-4/1-7/4*)
4--Donald McCain (7/2-3/1-4/1-22/1)
4--Lucinda Russell (3/1-4/6*-14/1-5/6*)
4--John Wade (6/5*-15/8*-5/2*-2/1*)
2--Stuart Crawford (3/1* & 11/8*)
2--Brian Ellison (10/11* & 9/4*)
2--James Ewart (6/4* & 4/1*)
2--Nicky Henderson (8/11* & 8/13*)
2--Keith Reveley (5/2-3/10*)
2--Nicky Richards (6/4* & 9/1)

46/51 (90.2%) of the winners scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--James Ewart (2/1-4/11-5/2-4/1)
4--Donald McCain (11/4-9/2-10/11-3/1)
2--Chris Grant (7/2 & 4/1)
2--Malcolm Jefferson (5/2** & 4/9)
2--Lucinda Russell (9/4 & 3/1)
2--Martin Todhunter (9/4 & 7/2)

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SUNDAY (22/12):

Bangor:

BANGOR NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Bangor: 81
Favourite stats: 32 (39.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/15 (66.7%)

Leading trainers at Bangor in 2013:
10--Donald McCain (Evs*-3/1-5/6*-11/8*-4/6*-4/9*-11/2-8/15*-20/1-7/2)
6--Rebecca Curtis (2/1*-5/1-11/8*-1/2*-Evs*-8/11*)
5--Jonjo O'Neill (7/1-10/1-5/2-9/2-13/8*)
4--Fergal O'Brien (11/8*-9/4*-5/1-9/2)
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (15/2-7/1-11/4**-11/1)
3--Tony Coyle (8/1-2/1-5/2)
3--Miss Sally Duckett (5/4*-85/40-5/4*)
3--Harry Fry (1/2*-3/1-5/2)
3--Nicky Henderson (5/4-15/2-4/6*)
3--Charlie Longsdon (3/1-11/8*-9/4)
3--John O'Shea (5/1-11/4-16/1)

76/81 winners (93.8%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-6/4-11/4-7/2-11/8-11/4-13/8-4/1-7/4)
7--Donald McCain (11/10-5/6-2/1-5/4-6/4-4/6-11/8)
4--Peter Bowen (7/2-2/1-2/1-7/4)
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (7/2-5/2**-9/2-5/2)
3--Rebecca Curtis (5/4-15/8-5/6)
3--Tim Vaughan (10/11-13/8-2/5)

*

Lingfield (NH):

LINGFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Lingfield: 68
Favourite stats: 27 (39.7%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 11/21 (52.4%)

Trainers of winners at Lingfield in 2013:
5--Gary Moore (8/1-3/1-11/4-5/4*-3/1)
4--Warren Greatrex (12/1-6/4*-11/4-10/11*)
3--Alison Batchelor (66/1-1/2*-14/1)
3--Philip Hobbs (9/4-4/6*-2/5*)
3--Pat Phelan (7/2-10/1-4/7*)

57/68 winners (83.8%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
3--Warren Greatrex (11/4-7/4-10/11)
3--Nicky Henderson (13/8-4/7-5/4)
3--Venetia Williams (6/4-6/4-5/2)
2--Alan King (10/11 & 7/4)
2--Charlie Longsdon (6/5 & 11/10)
2--Gary Moore (2/1 & 9/4)
2--Tim Vaughan (4/11 & 4/6)

Mal Boyle

Weekly Stat Pack: 10th to 16th December 2013

10th to 16th December

Weekly Stat Pack: 10th to 16th December

With racing this week totally dominated by the Cheltenham meeting on Friday/Saturday, I’m leading with their races this time around, if only to keep your attention!

FRIDAY (13/12):

12.30: Novices Chase (21 furlongs):

Six-year-olds have won six of the last ten renewals during which time, three clear market leaders and one joint favourite have obliged. The record is especially impressive given that the vintage was not represented two tears ago. Going back a little further in time, nine of the thirteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions during the last thirteen years via twelve renewals, stats which include six winners.

1.05: Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Chase:

Seven-year-olds have won this race six times during the last fourteen years, whilst twelve of the last fourteen gold medallists during the period carried weights of 11-5 or less. Eleven winners were burdened with a maximum weight of 11-4. Four successive market leaders prevailed between 2001 and 2004, though only two of the subsequent nine favourites have reached the frame, during which time the seven winners have been returned at prices ranging between 4/1 and 14/1.

1.40: Handicap Hurdle (17 furlongs):

Eleven of the last sixteen winners carried weights of 11-8 or less, whilst six scorers were burdened with a maximum of 10-12. Five-year-olds have won six of the last eleven renewals. Six clear market leaders have won in recent years, accompanied by two joint favourites. Thirteen of the eighteen jollies have secured toteplacepot positions. A word of warning for favourite punters however, as the only odds on favourite was beaten seven years ago at 4/5.

2.10: Handicap Chase (25 furlongs)

Favourites have an excellent record, obliging on 22 occasions. The most recent winning favourite was Midnight Chase at 11/4 in 2010. Kingscliff at 4/7 in 2003 is the shortest-priced winner, while Lavenshaw in 1972 and Duntree in 1992 both scored at 14/1 and are the longest-priced winners thus far.

2012 Master Overseer 9-10-00--David Pipe--Tom Scuadamore--11/1 (8 ran)
2011 Shakalakaboomboom 7-11-00--Nicky Henderson--Barry Geraghty 9/2 (6 ran)
2010 Midnight Chase 8-11-03--Neil Mullholland--Dougie Costello 11/4 fav (16 ran)
2009 The Package 6-10-00--David Pipe--Timmy Murphy 6/1 (12 ran)
2008 Mon Mome 8-10-08--Venetia Williams--Aidan Coleman 11/2 (15 ran)
2007 Over The Creek 8-10-04--David Pipe--Christian Williams 6/1 fav (16 ran)
2006 D’Argent 9-10-05--Alan King--Robert Thornton 10/1 (15 ran)
2005 Royal Auclair 8-11-05--Paul Nicholl--Liam Heard 13/2 (11 ran)
2004 Therealbandit 7-11-09--Martin Pipe--Timmy Murphy 13/2 (12 ran)
2003 Kingscliff 6-11-02--Robert Alner--Andrew Thornton 4/7 fav (7 ran)
2002 Horus 7-11-04--Martin Pipe--Tony McCoy 5/2 fav (10 fav)
2001 Royale De Vassy 7-10-00--Venetia Williams--Norman Williamson 7/1 (11 ran)
2000 Marlborough 8-11-11--Nicky Henderson--Mick Fitzgerald 9/2 fav (12 ran)

2.40: Cross Country Handicap Steeple Chase:

The incredibly tough Spot Thedifference is the best horse to have raced over Cheltenham’s Cross Country Steeple Chase course with a remarkable seven victories. Spot The Difference landed his first Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Steeple Chase in 2004, proving four lengths too strong for French Executive.

2012 Outlaw Pete 8-10-00--J Halley--Mr J Halley 7/2 (10 ran)
2011 Garde Champetre 12-11-12--Enda Bolger--Mr J T McNamara 6/1 (10 ran)
2010 No race - frozen patches on course
2009 Garde Champetre 10-11-12--Enda Bolger--Mr J T McNamara 9/4 fav (16 ran)
2008 Garde Champetre 9-11-12--Enda Bolger--Miss Nina Carberry 7/4 fav (16 ran)
2007 Woderkid 7-10-00--Tony Martin--Ken Whelan 5/1 (16 ran)
2006 Spot The Difference 13-11-12--Enda Bolger--Mr J T McNamara 6/1 (12 ran)
2005 Ivoire De Beaulieu 9-10-00--Ferdy Murphy--Alan O’Keeffe 16/1 (16 ran)
2004 Spot The Difference 11-11-12--Enda Bolger--Mr J T McNamara 4/1Jt fav (10 ran)
2003 No race
2002 The Quads 10-11-03--Ferdy Murph--Davy Russell 6/1 (10 ran)
2001 Paddy’s Return 9-11-01--Ferdy Murphy--Paul Carberry 13/2 (12 ran)

3.15: Handicap Hurdle (three miles):

Eight of the last twelve winners have won at 50/1-25/1-16/1-16/1-10/1-9/1-9/1-8/1-8/1. Five of the fifteen favourites have prevailed, whilst seven market leaders finished in the frame. The last five winners carried weights of 10-12 or more.

3.45: “National Hunt” Novices’ Hurdle (17 furlongs):

Nicky Henderson had won the previous three renewals of the closing event on day one of the meeting before last year‘s silver medallist representative was thwarted by a 4/1 chance (Melodic Rendevouz). Four favourites have won during the last eleven years during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at 9/1. Leading horses such as Darlan (two years ago), Tidal Bay (2006) and Rhinestone Cowboy (2002) have won this event.

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SATURDAY (14/12):

12.10: Triumph Hurdle Trial:

Fifty four of the fifty five horses during the study period which were sent off at 11/1 or more were beaten which suggests we should keep fancied horses on the right side (level stake loss of forty points relating to outsiders). Eleven of the last thirteen winners have been returned at 6/1 or less, statistics which includes four successful favourites. Eleven of the last fourteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions. Only three of the seven odds on favourites have won during the last fifteen years.

12.40: Novice Chase (25 furlongs):

Trainer Paul Nicholls has secured four of the last eight contests in which the trainer was represented. Six favourites have prevailed during the study period, whilst eleven market leaders have finished in the frame. Just two of the seven odds on favourites have won in the last fourteen years. A total of thirty three horses starting at 6/1 or more failed to win during the study period.

1.15: Jenny Mould Memorial Handicap Chase:

Eight-year-olds have won four of the last seven renewals of this handicap steeplechase event over Cheltenham’s minimum trip, whilst favourites come into this year's renewal on a four timer. Three trainers have been responsible for eight of the last ten contests, with Nicky Henderson and Paul Nicholls leading the way with three successes apiece, with Philip Hobbs saddling two gold medallists.

1.50: Novice Hurdle (Grade Two):

Market leaders (of one description or another) have secured seven of the nine renewals thus far, whilst ten of the twelve favourites have finished in the frame. Five-year-olds lead the six-year-olds have 4-3 via the last nine contests.

2.25: Handicap chase (Gold Cup):

A fancied horse - if not the favourite - usually wins the ’Stewart Family’ Gold Cup, with thirty three victors having been returned at single-figure odds, including thirteen of the last sixteen. In 2007, Tamarinbleu became the longest priced winner in the contest’s history when scoring at 22/1.

2012 Unioniste 4-9-09--Paul Nicholls--Harry Derham--15/2 (14 ran)
2011 Quantitativeeasing 6-10-07--Nicky Henderson--Barry Geraghty 6/1 (16 ran)
2010 Poquelin 7-11-07--Paul Nicholls--Ian Popham--16/1 (16 ran)
2009 Poquelin 6-11-08--Paul Nicholls--Ruby Walsh--7/2 fav (17 ran)
2008 Abandoned
2007 Tamarinbleu 7-11-08--David Pipe--Denis O’Regan 22/1 (16 ran)
2006 Exotic Dancer 6-11-04--Jonjo O’Neill--Tony Dobbin 8/1 (12 ran)
2005 Sir Oj 8-10-00--Noel Meade--Paul Carberry 16/1 (16 ran)
2004 Monkerhostin 7-10-02 Philip Hobbs--Richard Johnson 4/1 (13 ran)
2003 Iris Royal 7-10-13 Nicky Henderson--Mick Fitzgerald 7/1 (17 ran)
2002 Fondmort 6-10-05 Nicky Henderson--Mick Fitzgerald 5/1 (9 ran)
2001 Abandoned
2000 Go Roger Go 6-11-00 Edward O’Grady--Norman Williamson 7/1 12 (ran)

3.05: International (Hurdle) (Grade Two):

Nine favourites have won during the last twelve years, whilst ten of the fourteen market leaders have finished in the frame.

2012 Zarkandar 5-11-04--Paul Nicholls--Ruby Walsh 6/5 fav (7 ran)
2011 Grandouet 4-11-04--Nicky Henderson--Barry Geraghty 5/2 jt fav (8 ran)
2010 Menorah 5-11-04--Philip Hobbs--Richard Johnson 7/4 fav (9 ran)
2009 Khyber Kim 7-11-04--Nigel Twiston-Davies--Paddy Brennan 12/1 (7 ran)
2008 Binocular 4-11-04--Nicky Henderson--Tony McCoy Evs fav (5 ran)
2007 Osana 5-11-00--David Pipe--Paddy Brennan 7/1 (8 ran)
2006 Detroit City 4-11-04--Philip Hobbs--Richard Johnson 4/6 fav (4 ran)
2005 Harchibald 6-11-08--Noel Meade--Paul Carberry 10/11 fav (9 ran)
2004 Back In Front 7-11-08--Edward O’Grady--Davy Russell 5/2 fav (7 ran)
2003 Rigmarole 5-11-04--Paul Nicholls--Robert Thornton 25/1 (7 ran)
2002 Rooster Booster 8-11-04--Philip Hobbs--Richard Johnson 11/8 fav (9 ran)
2001 Valiramix 5-11-04 Martin Pipe--Tony McCoy 1/2 fav (4 ran)
2000 Geos 5-11-04 Nicky Henderson--Mick Fitzgerald 14/1 (8 ran)

3.35: Relkeel Hurdle (Grade Two)

There have been forty five renewals, with the race abandoned five times. Two contests took place at other courses as Cheltenham could not race in 2001 (Newbury) and 2008 (Ascot).
Seven horses in total have won both the StanJames.com International and the Stan James Champion Hurdle. Salmon Spray (1966 Champion Hurdle), Comedy Of Errors (1975 Champion Hurdle) and Rooster Booster (2003 Champion Hurdle) are the three horses to win the two contests in the same season. Nicky Henderson has saddled three of the last four renewals, with Rolling Star being Nicky’s only option at the five day stage.

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Day to day comments:

TUESDAY (10/12):

Fontwell:

FONTWELL NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Fontwell: 138
Favourite stats: 47 (34.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 16/26 (61.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Fontwell in 2013:
8--Gary Moore (4/5*-6/4*-12/1-7/1-4/5*-7/1-10/1-5/2)
7--Chris Gordon (12/1-4/1-3/1-9/2-14/1-7/2-7/2)
7--Caroline Keevil (11/4**-9/5-16/1-7/2-20/1-5/2-16/1)
6--Charlie Longsdon (5/2-4/1-4/6*-5/1-10/11*-9/4*)
5--Paul Nicholls (3/1-9/4-7/4*-2/1*-11/4)
4--Lawney Hill (9/2-11/4*-5/1-7/1)
4--Neil Mulholland (4/1**-4/1-6/4*-7/1)
4--Jamie Snowden (7/1-7/1-6/4-20/1)

127/138 winners (92.0%) to date started at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1**-6/4-7/2-Evs-11/4-7/4-3/1-5/2**)
7--Charlie Longsdon (11/8-13/8-7/2-5/2-Evs-2/1-6/4)
5--Paul Nicholls (5/6-9/4**-7/4-1/4-2/1)
5--Jamie Snowden (2/1**-2/1**-5/2-Evs-11/8)
5--Colin Tizzard (11/4-2/1-7/2-5/6-7/4)
4--Chris Gordon (5/4-7/2-7/2-7/4)
4--Brendan Powell (5/4-9/4-4/1-5/2**)

12.40: Six of the nine last nine favourites have finished in the frame (three winners) though heavy investors should be warned that horses at 1/6 and 1/5 have been turned over in recent years. That said, favourites come to this contest on a hat trick.

2.40: Four of the last five winners have carried weights of 11-3 or more to record 20/1-15/2-11/2-7/2 successes, with eight of twelve runners ‘qualifying’ via the weight trends this time around. Only one of the six favourites to date has finished in the frame (no winners).

3.10: Three of the eight favourites have secured toteplacepot positions via seven renewals to date, statistics which include two winners.

*

Uttoxeter:

UTTOXETER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Uttoxeter: 153
Favourite stats: 51 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/15 (60.0%)

Leading trainers at Uttoxeter in 2013:
7--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-11/4-28/1-3/1-9/2-11/4-1/2*)
7--David Pipe (6/1-7/1-3/1-16/1-10/3-16/1-2/1*)
6--Alan King (5/1-4/11*-6/4*-9/4*-Evs*-2/1*)
6--Sue Smith (14/1-11/8*-5/1-7/1-3/1*-7/2*)
6--Nigel Twiston-Davies (85/40-10/3-9/4*-7/2-22/1-7/2*)
5--Peter Bowen (5/2-10/3*-4/1-11/4-8/11*)
4--Jim Best (4/1-11/8*-1/2*-6/4*)
4--Charlie Longsdon (4/1*-3/1-4/7*-8/1)
4--Evan Williams (15/8*-11/2-7/2-5/2*)

133/153 winners (86.9%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
19--Jonjo O'Neill (2/1-Evs-6/4-5/4-7/2-5/2-6/5-6/4-6/4-11/4-13/8-2/1-5/4-11/8-13/8-5/2-7/2**-13/8-8/11)
8--Donald McCain (3/1-13/8-5/2-2/1-9/4-5/2-5/4-6/4)
5--Tim Vaughan (2/1-9/4-7/4-11/8-6/5)
4--Nicky Henderson (13/8-15/8-13/8-15/8)
4--David Pipe (15/8-3/1-7/4-4/5)

*

Southwell (A/W):

SOUTHWELL (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 32
Favourite stats: 10 (31.2%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 2/4 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Southwell:
3/7--Michael Appleby (6/1-9/2-9/4*)
3/13--John Jenkins (14/1-4/1-6/1)
2/6--Brian Ellison (11/2 & 5/1)
2/7--Keith Dalgleish (6/1 & 9/4**)
2/7--Shaun Harris (8/1 & 18/1)
2/7--Violet M Jordan (4/1** & 12/1)

30/32 (93.7%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--John Jenkins (4/1**-3/1-2/1-7/2**)
2--Keith Dalgleish (11/4 & 2/1)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

WEDNESDAY (11/12):

Hexham:

HEXHAM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Hexham: 86
Favourite stats: 33 (38.4% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/11 (54.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Hexham in 2013:
15--Lucinda Russell (5/2*-13/8*-15/8-11/1-3/1-9/1-15/8*-6/1-13/8*-7/1-5/2*-9/4*-5/2-13/8*-5/1)
6--Sue Smith (5/1-11/4-10/3-4/1**-7/2-7/2)
3--Stuart Coltherd (5/2*-11/4-11/2**)
3--Stuart Crawford (11/10*-7/4-3/1)
3--Rose Dobbin (7/1-4/1-20/1)
3--James Ewart (7/2-11/8*-9/2)
3--Ferdy Murphy (5/1-6/1-15/8*)
3--Dianne Sayer (16/1-15/8*-7/2**)

80/86 winners (93.0%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
14--Lucinda Russell (13/8-4/1**-5/2**-7/4-7/4-3/1-4/1-8/15-3/1-11/4-10/3-7/2***-13/8-3/1)
8--Sue Smith (9/2-5/1**-11/4-2/1-11/2***-11/2-9/4-8/11)
3--Phil Kirby (5/2**-11/2**-9/4)
3--Tim Vaughan (7/4-7/4-11/4)

*

Leicester:

LEICESTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Leicester: 44
Favourite stats: 21 (47.7%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/10 (70.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Leicester in 2013:
5--Tom George (7/1-1/4*-13/8*-5/1-5/1)
4--John Ferguson (6/5*-8/11*-8/11*-4/6*)
3--Venetia Williams (2/1*-3/1*-2/1**)
2--Richard Guest (5/1 & Evs*)
2--Philip Hobbs (10/11* & Evs*)
2--G.D. Hanmer (7/1 & 3/1)
2--David Pipe (10/11* & 15/8*)
2--Nigel Twiston-Davies (9/4 & 9/2)
2--Ian Williams (9/4* & 7/2)

41/44 winners (93.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
2--Emma Lavelle (6/4 & 9/4)
2--Fergal O'Brien (5/4 twice)
2--David Pipe (15/8 & 10/3**)

Selling event schedule for 1.40: Seven-year-olds have won four of the last eight contests, whilst seven of the last nine renewals have been snared by runners burdened with a maximum weight of 11-3. Three market leaders have won during the study period alongside a joint favourite.

Class 4 handicap chase half a furlong short of three miles due to be contested at 2.10: Eight of the last nine winners have scored at a top price of 15/2, statistics which include four successful favourites.

*

Kempton (A/W):

KEMPTON (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 103
Favourite stats: 28 (27.5%--includes joint/co favourites & 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 5/6 (83.3%)

Leading trainers at Kempton:
4/8--Luca Cumani (16/1-11/8*-7/2-1/6*)
4/17--Marco Botti (2/1-2/1*-5/1-10/1)
4/25--John Gosden (2/5*-14/1-6/1-8/1)
4/33--Richard Hannon (7/2-4/1-8/1-11/2)
3/7--David Lanigan (5/2-7/4*-9/2)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-7/2-5/1)
3/10--Charlie Appleby (11/10*-9/4*-4/5*)
3/10--James Bethell (9/2-8/1-8/1)
3/10--Derek Ivory (8/1-8/1-5/4*)

86/103 (83.5%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
7--John Gosden (6/5-2/1-7/4-15/8-5/4-2/1-9/4)
4--Andrew Balding (2/1-5/1-4/1-15/8)
4--James Fanshawe (9/4-9/2-5/2-11/10)
4--William Haggas (11/8-5/4-9/4-5/2)
3--George Baker (15/8-5/2-11/4)
3--Richard Hannon (4/1**-7/2-13/8)
3--David O'Meara (7/2**-11/4***-7/4)

*

Lingfield (A/W):

LINGFIELD (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 88
Favourite stats: 31 (35.2%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/13 (53.8%)

Leading trainers at Lingfield:
3/4--Laura Mongan (8/1 three times)
3/6--Willie Musson (5/1-7/2*-3/1*)
3/6--David Nicholls (20/1-3/1-4/1)
3/9--William Haggas (9/2-9/4*-11/4)
3/11--Roger Varian (5/6*-3/1**-5/2)
3/15--Andrew Balding (6/1-4/6*-33/1)
3/16--David Evans (6/1-3/1*-5/2*)
3/18--John Gosden (Evs*-11/4-8/15*)

76/88 (86.4%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--Marco Botti (9/4-7/4**-5/2-Evs-6/4-11/10)
4--David Evans (5/4-7/4-11/4-5/1)
3--John Gosden (6/4**-4/5-6/4)
3--Gary Moore (5/1**-7/2**-10/11)
3--Ed Walker (5/2-3/1**-3/1)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

THURSDAY (12/12):

Your first 30 days for just £1

Huntingdon:

HUNTINGDON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Huntingdon: 104
Favourite stats: 33 (31.7%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/16 (56.2%)

Leading trainers of winners at Huntingdon in 2013:
10--Nicky Henderson (4/9*-4/7*-11/10*-11/10*-3/1-15/8-15/8**-4/7*-2/1*-11/8*)
6--Jonjo O'Neill (15/8**-4/1-5/4*-5/1-5/1-4/6*)
4--Kim Bailey (8/1-4/1*-7/1-5/1)
4--Charlie Longsdon (5/2-Evs*-5/2*-3/1)
3--Ben Case (5/2-9/2-16/1)
3--John Ferguson (4/9*-6/1-9/2)
3--Lawney Hill (20/1-15/8-9/4)
3--Neil King (9/1-50/1-5/4*)
3--Gary Moore (12/1-12/1-4/1)
3--Paul Nicholls (4/5*-3/1-4/9*)
3--Tim Vaughan (4/5*-4/11*-10/1)

93/104 (89.4%) winners were sent off at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
3--Charlie Longsdon (5/4-2/1**-4/7-2/1-3/1)
4--John Ferguson (4/5-10/11-5/4-5/2)
4--Philip Hobbs (5/2-4/1-11/4-13/8)
4--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-10/3-7/2-5/2)
3--Nicky Henderson (15/8-4/5-8/15)
3--Venetia Williams (11/4-5/2-7/2)

Class 4 handicap hurdle event scheduled for 12.30: Four of the five winners to date have carried a minimum weight of 11-2.

Mares novice chase scheduled for 1.00: All six winners have scored at odds of 3/1 or less, statistics whilst include three successful favourites.

‘Peterborough Chase’ scheduled for 2.00: Seven of the last eight winners have carried weights of 11-5 or more, whilst four favourites have won during the last eleven years. Five contests have slipped by since the last market leader obliged.

Three mile novice handicap chase scheduled for 2.30: Just one favourite has obliged via the last nine renewals, during which time six winners have emerged at odds ranging between 10/1 & 25/1. Six-year-old’s have won four of the last eight renewals.

*

Newcastle:

NEWCASTLE NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newcastle: 51
Favourite stats: 25 (49.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/11 (72.7%)

Trainers of winners at Newcastle in 2013:
4--Nick Alexander (1/2*-7/2-6/1-11/2)
4--Phil Kirby (Evs*-4/1-4/1-7/4*)
4--Donald McCain (7/2-3/1-4/1-22/1)
4--Lucinda Russell (3/1-4/6*-14/1-5/6*)
4--John Wade (6/5*-15/8*-5/2*-2/1*)
2--Stuart Crawford (3/1* & 11/8*)
2--Brian Ellison (10/11* & 9/4*)
2--James Ewart (6/4* & 4/1*)
2--Nicky Henderson (8/11* & 8/13*)
2--Keith Reveley (5/2-3/10*)
2--Nicky Richards (6/4* & 9/1)

46/51 (90.2%) of the winners scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--James Ewart (2/1-4/11-5/2-4/1)
4--Donald McCain (11/4-9/2-10/11-3/1)
2--Chris Grant (7/2 & 4/1)
2--Malcolm Jefferson (5/2** & 4/9)
2--Lucinda Russell (9/4 & 3/1)
2--Martin Todhunter (9/4 & 7/2)

*

Taunton:

TAUNTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Taunton: 61
Favourite stats: 28 (45.9%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 11/17 (64.7%)

Leading trainers of winners at Taunton in 2013:
6--Paul Nicholls: (7/4*-5/6*-6/5*-4/7*-13/2-11/4)
5--David Pipe (2/1*-8/11*-7/2-7/1-4/1)
4--Harry Fry (9/4-8/11*-10/3*-10/11*)
4--Philip Hobbs (4/5*-8/11*-2/1*-15/8*)
4--Venetia Williams (6/4*-5/4*-4/6*-4/6*)
3--Evan Williams (10/1-25/1-10/3)

57/61 winners (93.4%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less thus far,
forty eight of which (78.7%) were sent off at a top price of 7/1

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--Paul Nicholls (6/4-5/6-4/6-3/1**-5/6)
3--Chris Down (10/3-4/1-5/2)
3--Philip Hobbs (15/8-6/4-Evs)
2--Nicky Henderson (10/11 & 11/10)
2--David Pipe (3/1** & 13/8)
2--Tim Vaughan (2/1 & 8/13)
2--Evan Williams (9/4 & 2/1)

*

Kempton (A/W):

KEMPTON (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 103
Favourite stats: 28 (27.5%--includes joint/co favourites & 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 5/6 (83.3%)

Leading trainers at Kempton:
4/8--Luca Cumani (16/1-11/8*-7/2-1/6*)
4/17--Marco Botti (2/1-2/1*-5/1-10/1)
4/25--John Gosden (2/5*-14/1-6/1-8/1)
4/33--Richard Hannon (7/2-4/1-8/1-11/2)
3/7--David Lanigan (5/2-7/4*-9/2)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-7/2-5/1)
3/10--Charlie Appleby (11/10*-9/4*-4/5*)
3/10--James Bethell (9/2-8/1-8/1)
3/10--Derek Ivory (8/1-8/1-5/4*)

86/103 (83.5%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
7--John Gosden (6/5-2/1-7/4-15/8-5/4-2/1-9/4)
4--Andrew Balding (2/1-5/1-4/1-15/8)
4--James Fanshawe (9/4-9/2-5/2-11/10)
4--William Haggas (11/8-5/4-9/4-5/2)
3--George Baker (15/8-5/2-11/4)
3--Richard Hannon (4/1**-7/2-13/8)
3--David O'Meara (7/2**-11/4***-7/4)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

FRIDAY (13/12):

Cheltenham:

CHELTENHAM NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Cheltenham: 90
Favourite stats: 25 (27.8%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/11 (54.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Cheltenham in 2013:
10--Nicky Henderson (5/2-1/5*-1/4*-16/1-8/15*-11/4*-9/4-10/1-10/11*-4/1)
7--Paul Nicholls (16/1-11/4-8/13*-11/2-7/4**-7/4**-2/1)
6--Jonjo O'Neill (11/4*-7/1-25/1-5/1-3/1-7/1)
5--Willie Mullins (25/1-9/4*-8/11*-13/8*-5/1)
5--David Pipe (5/1-40/1-6/4-12/1-7/2**)
5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (16/1-13/2-9/4*-7/2-8/1)
4--Philip Hobbs (5/1*-7/2*-5/4*-20/1)
4--Colin Tizzard (28/1-11/8-7/2-13/2)

67/90 winners (74.4%) have been returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
10--Paul Nicholls (10/11-4/1-6/1**-5/2-9/2**-15/8-5/2**-10/3**-7/2**-5/1**)
9--Nicky Henderson (9/4-15/8-5/2-7/1-5/4-7/2**-4/6-7/2-6/1**)
6--David Pipe (5/2-7/2-11/8-9/4-15/8-9/2)
4--John Ferguson (8/1**-Evs-6/1**-6/1**)
4--Alan King (7/2**-7/4**-7/4**-15/8)
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (4/5-9/4**-9/2-9/2)

*

Bangor:

BANGOR NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Bangor: 81
Favourite stats: 32 (39.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/15 (66.7%)

Leading trainers at Bangor in 2013:
10--Donald McCain (Evs*-3/1-5/6*-11/8*-4/6*-4/9*-11/2-8/15*-20/1-7/2)
6--Rebecca Curtis (2/1*-5/1-11/8*-1/2*-Evs*-8/11*)
5--Jonjo O'Neill (7/1-10/1-5/2-9/2-13/8*)
4--Fergal O'Brien (11/8*-9/4*-5/1-9/2)
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (15/2-7/1-11/4**-11/1)
3--Tony Coyle (8/1-2/1-5/2)
3--Miss Sally Duckett (5/4*-85/40-5/4*)
3--Harry Fry (1/2*-3/1-5/2)
3--Nicky Henderson (5/4-15/2-4/6*)
3--Charlie Longsdon (3/1-11/8*-9/4)
3--John O'Shea (5/1-11/4-16/1)

76/81 winners (93.8%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-6/4-11/4-7/2-11/8-11/4-13/8-4/1-7/4)
7--Donald McCain (11/10-5/6-2/1-5/4-6/4-4/6-11/8)
4--Peter Bowen (7/2-2/1-2/1-7/4)
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (7/2-5/2**-9/2-5/2)
3--Rebecca Curtis (5/4-15/8-5/6)
3--Tim Vaughan (10/11-13/8-2/5)

Class 4 novice chase event scheduled for 12.10: Five-year-olds have won all three renewals to date, whilst securing all six available toteplacepot positions. The three favourites have secured two gold medals and one of the silver variety.

Three mile handicap hurdle event due to be contested at 1.50: Seven-year-olds have won three of the last four contests, whilst the last seven gold medallists have carried a minimum burden of 10-10.

Seventeen furlong NH Novice Hurdle scheduled for 2.20: Four-year-olds have secured seven of the last ten renewals during which time, six market leaders and one joint favourite have prevailed. Donald McCain held four options at the penultimate entry stage, the trainer having secured four of the last seven renewals.

Five-year-olds lead the four-year-olds 5-4 via nine renewals during the last decade in the scheduled closing bumper event at 3.25.

*

Southwell (A/W):

SOUTHWELL (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 32
Favourite stats: 10 (31.2%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 2/4 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Southwell:
3/7--Michael Appleby (6/1-9/2-9/4*)
3/13--John Jenkins (14/1-4/1-6/1)
2/6--Brian Ellison (11/2 & 5/1)
2/7--Keith Dalgleish (6/1 & 9/4**)
2/7--Shaun Harris (8/1 & 18/1)
2/7--Violet M Jordan (4/1** & 12/1)

30/32 (93.7%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--John Jenkins (4/1**-3/1-2/1-7/2**)
2--Keith Dalgleish (11/4 & 2/1)

*

Wolverhampton:

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 171
Favourite stats: 64 (37.4%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/23 (43.5%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
11/54--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1-9/1-7/2*-7/1-5/2*)
5/19--Alan Bailey (7/4*-20/1-5/1-16/1-8/1)
5/25--Michael Appleby (5/6*-7/2-4/1-5/4*-5/2*)
5/35--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2-3/1-5/6*)
4/8--Christine Dunnett (9/2-7/2-8/1-6/4*)
4/11--Phil McBride (9/4-50/1-5/4*-3/1*)
4/16-Tom Dascombe (11/10*-7/1-6/4*-9/4)
4/22--Marco Botti (20/1-7/2-10/3-5/4)

155/171 (90.6%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
8--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**-4/1**-1/2-5/4)
6--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8-11/4-8/11)
4--Marco Botti (5/4-13/8-Evs-Evs)
4--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4-11/4)

Class 4 twelve furlong handicap scheduled for 5.25: Three clear market leaders and two joint favourites have prevailed via just the six contests thus far. Four-year-olds lead the three-year-olds 3-2 to date. Four of the six winners have carried 9-3 or more to victory.

Class 6 maiden event due to be contested at 5.55: Three-year-olds have won all four contests, whilst we still await the first successful market leader.

Class 6 seven furlongs handicap scheduled for 6.25: Eight of the 10 winners have carried weights of 9-2 or more, statistics which include four successful favourites. Three and four-year-olds have (equally) shared eight of the last ten renewals.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

SATURDAY (14/12):

Cheltenham:

CHELTENHAM NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Cheltenham: 90
Favourite stats: 25 (27.8%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/11 (54.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Cheltenham in 2013:
10--Nicky Henderson (5/2-1/5*-1/4*-16/1-8/15*-11/4*-9/4-10/1-10/11*-4/1)
7--Paul Nicholls (16/1-11/4-8/13*-11/2-7/4**-7/4**-2/1)
6--Jonjo O'Neill (11/4*-7/1-25/1-5/1-3/1-7/1)
5--Willie Mullins (25/1-9/4*-8/11*-13/8*-5/1)
5--David Pipe (5/1-40/1-6/4-12/1-7/2**)
5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (16/1-13/2-9/4*-7/2-8/1)
4--Philip Hobbs (5/1*-7/2*-5/4*-20/1)
4--Colin Tizzard (28/1-11/8-7/2-13/2)

67/90 winners (74.4%) have been returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
10--Paul Nicholls (10/11-4/1-6/1**-5/2-9/2**-15/8-5/2**-10/3**-7/2**-5/1**)
9--Nicky Henderson (9/4-15/8-5/2-7/1-5/4-7/2**-4/6-7/2-6/1**)
6--David Pipe (5/2-7/2-11/8-9/4-15/8-9/2)
4--John Ferguson (8/1**-Evs-6/1**-6/1**)
4--Alan King (7/2**-7/4**-7/4**-15/8)
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (4/5-9/4**-9/2-9/2)

*

Doncaster:

DONCASTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Doncaster: 49
Favourite stats: 24 (49.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/10 (70.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Doncaster in 2013:
5--Paul Nicholls (85/40-4/5*-Evs*-13/8*-13/8**)
4--John Ferguson (11/2-10/11*-Evs*-2/1*)
4--Nicky Henderson (4/11*-11/4**-5/2-9/4*)
4--Keith Reveley (20/1-7/2-9/1-9/4*)
3--John Quinn (14/1-7/4*-7/2)
2--Henry Daly (11/2 & 15/2)
2--Emma Lavelle (13/8* & 2/1*)
2--Venetia Williams (5/2* & 6/1)

Over half of the winners (26/49) have emerged from just eight stables

45/49 winners (91.8%) sent off at odds of 12/1 or less (9/1 in real terms)

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--Paul Nicholls (11/4**-4/7-9/2-7/4**)
3--Nicky Henderson (Evs-13/8**-11/10)
3--Alan King (3/1-9/4-13/2)
2--James Ewart (5/2 & 9/2)
2--Jonjo O'Neill (2/1 & 5/1)
2--Jeremy Scott (7/2 & 7/4)
2--Tim Vaughan (3/1 & 1/2)

Class 3 handicap chase over nineteen furlongs due to be contested at 2.40: The last six winners have carried a minimum burden of 11-4.

Coole River potentially represents Emma Lavelle who comes to the gig on a hat trick, whilst seven-year-olds have won three of the four contests thus far in the potential finale at 3.15 (three mile handicap chase).

*

Lingfield (NH):

LINGFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Lingfield: 61
Favourite stats: 25 (41.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/20 (50.0%)

Trainers of winners at Lingfield in 2013:
4--Gary Moore (8/1-3/1-11/4-5/4*)
3--Alison Batchelor (66/1-1/2*-14/1)
3--Philip Hobbs (9/4-4/6*-2/5*)
3--Pat Phelan (7/2-10/1-4/7*)
2--George Baker (6/4* & 5/2*)
2--Ali Brewer (7/1 & 3/1)
2--Mick Channon (13/8 & 16/1)
2--Warren Greatrex (12/1 & 10/11*)
2--Tom Gretton (7/4* & 9/4**)
2--Oliver Sherwood (3/1 & Evs*)
2--Venetia Williams (9/4* & 11/8*)

50/61 winners (82.0%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
3--Nicky Henderson (13/8-4/7-5/4)
2--Warren Greatrex (11/4 & 10/11)
2--Alan King (10/11 & 7/4)
2--Charlie Longsdon (6/5 & 11/10)
2--Tim Vaughan (4/11 & 4/6)
2--Venetia Williams (6/4 & 5/2)

*

Southwell (A/W):

SOUTHWELL (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 32
Favourite stats: 10 (31.2%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 2/4 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Southwell:
3/7--Michael Appleby (6/1-9/2-9/4*)
3/13--John Jenkins (14/1-4/1-6/1)
2/6--Brian Ellison (11/2 & 5/1)
2/7--Keith Dalgleish (6/1 & 9/4**)
2/7--Shaun Harris (8/1 & 18/1)
2/7--Violet M Jordan (4/1** & 12/1)

30/32 (93.7%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--John Jenkins (4/1**-3/1-2/1-7/2**)
2--Keith Dalgleish (11/4 & 2/1)

*

Wolverhampton (A/W):

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 171
Favourite stats: 64 (37.4%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/23 (43.5%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
11/54--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1-9/1-7/2*-7/1-5/2*)
5/19--Alan Bailey (7/4*-20/1-5/1-16/1-8/1)
5/25--Michael Appleby (5/6*-7/2-4/1-5/4*-5/2*)
5/35--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2-3/1-5/6*)
4/8--Christine Dunnett (9/2-7/2-8/1-6/4*)
4/11--Phil McBride (9/4-50/1-5/4*-3/1*)
4/16-Tom Dascombe (11/10*-7/1-6/4*-9/4)
4/22--Marco Botti (20/1-7/2-10/3-5/4)

155/171 (90.6%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
8--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**-4/1**-1/2-5/4)
6--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8-11/4-8/11)
4--Marco Botti (5/4-13/8-Evs-Evs)
4--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4-11/4)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

SUNDAY (15/12):

Carlisle:

CARLISLE NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Carlisle: 82
Favourite stats: 36 (44.4%--includes joint and co favourites & one non runner)
Odds on ratio: 11/17 (64.7%)

Leading trainers of winners at Carlisle in 2013:
7--Nicky Richards (1/8*-5/1-3/1**-10/1-4/1-4/7*-4/1)
6--Jonjo O'Neill (9/2-6/4-7/4*-6/4*-11/10*-5/4*)
4--Charlie Longsdon (6/4*-11/10*-10/11*-4/5*)
4--Alan Swinbank (6/1-10/1-11/10*-6/4*)
3--Rose Dobbin (11/2-3/1*-4/1)
3--Tim Easterby (3/1**-15/8*-8/1)
3--Brian Ellison (11/4-6/1-7/2*)
3--James Ewart (4/7*-2/1*-11/8)
3--Donald McCain (5/2-4/5*-9/1)

76/82 winners (92.7%) scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
7--Lucinda Russell (3/1**-5/2-6/4-11/10-7/2**-11/8-11/8)
5--Donald McCain (4/9-4/6-7/2-4/1-7/4)
4--Sue Smith (4/1***-9/2-9/2-3/1**)
3--Brian Ellison (6/4-7/2**-3/1)
3--Charlie Longsdon (Evs-5/6-11/8)
3--Alan Swinbank (5/2-5/2-6/5)

*

Southwell (NH):

SOUTHWELL NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number ofraces at Southwell: 129
Favourite stats: 52 (40.3%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 14/20 (70.0%)

Leading trainers at Southwell in 2013 (includes one dead-heat):
7--Charlie Longsdon (3/1-7/2**-9/2-10/11*-8/1-9/4-4/6*)
5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (2/7*-4/5*-7/2-11/4-7/4)
4--Jonjo O'Neill (11/2-5/4*-16/1-5/6*)
4--Keith Reveley (3/1-11/8*-14/1-3/1)
4--Lucy Wadham (6/4*-3/1-4/1-6/5*)
4--Venetia Williams (Evs*-13/8*-7/1-11/4**)

121/130 winners (93.1%) to date were returned at odds of 12/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--Jonjo O'Neill (15/8-15/8-9/4-15/8-7/4-2/1)
5--Charlie Longsdon (9/4-9/4-8/13-15/8-5/2)
4--Alan King (5/1**-3/1**-6/4-5/2)
4--Sue Smith (8/15-7/2-3/1***-11/10)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

MONDAY (16/12):

Ffos Las:

FFOS LAS NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ffos Las: 123
Favourite stats: 43 (34.9%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/16 (50.0%)

Trainers of winners at Ffos Las in 2013:
16--Peter Bowen (3/1**-3/1-7/1-11/4*-5/1-5/2-15/8-9/4*-4/7*-7/4*-9/4-5/1-16/1-3/1-7/2-11/8*)
12--Rebecca Curtis (11/2-4/1-16/1-7/2-4/1-11/10*-5/2-3/1-15/8-6/1-4/6*-8/13*)
8--Evan Williams (7/1-7/2-9/4-20/1-5/2-9/4-Evs*-6/1)
7--Jonjo O'Neill (9/2-7/2-3/1-5/1-13/8-7/4*-4/9*)
5--David Pipe (3/1-2/1-2/1**-5/1-7/1)
5--Nigel Twiston Davies (5/4*-7/1-4/1-14/1-4/1)

115/124 winners (92.7%) were sent off at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
11--Rebecca Curtis (11/4-4/9-10/11-7/4-7/4-2/1**-11/8-11/4-3/1-6/4**-5/6)
9--Peter Bowen (11/4**-9/2-7/4-11/4-11/8-10/11-9/4-5/2-5/4)
8--Jonjo O'Neill (11/8-2/1-5/2-6/4-11/8-11/8-6/5-9/4)
6--Evan Williams (7/2-15/8**9/4-4/5-3/1**-5/2)
5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (9/4-3/1-7/4-5/4-11/4)
4--David Pipe (9/4-9/4-15/8-7/2)

*

Plumpton:

PLUMPTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Plumpton: 91
Favourite stats: 37 (40.6%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/13 (76.9%)

Leading trainers of winners at Plumpton in 2013:
7--Gary Moore (6/1-9/2-Evs-9/2-7/2-4/1**-4/1)
5--Alan King (6/4-8/11*-1/2*-11/10*-8/11*)
5--David Pipe (1/5*-15/8*-1/7*-9/2-11/8*)
4--Chris Gordon (33/1-5/1-9/1-7/2)
4--Suzy Smith (8/1-5/1-16/1-11/4**)
4--Venetia Williams (9/4*-3/1**-Evs*10/11*)
3--Kevin Tork (40/1-3/1*-11/8*)
3--Tom Symonds (16/1-3/1-15/8*)
3--Sheena West (9/4-6/1-10/3*)

81/91 winners (89.0%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Charlie Longsdon (Evs-3/1-15/8-11/4)
3--Philip Hobbs (7/4-11/8-3/1)
3--Emma Lavelle (2/1-5/2-15/8)
3--Gary Moore (2/1-6/4-3/1)
3--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-9/2-11/4)
3--Tim Vaughan (11/8-6/4-2/1**)

*

Wolverhampton (A/W):

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 171
Favourite stats: 64 (37.4%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/23 (43.5%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
11/54--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1-9/1-7/2*-7/1-5/2*)
5/19--Alan Bailey (7/4*-20/1-5/1-16/1-8/1)
5/25--Michael Appleby (5/6*-7/2-4/1-5/4*-5/2*)
5/35--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2-3/1-5/6*)
4/8--Christine Dunnett (9/2-7/2-8/1-6/4*)
4/11--Phil McBride (9/4-50/1-5/4*-3/1*)
4/16-Tom Dascombe (11/10*-7/1-6/4*-9/4)
4/22--Marco Botti (20/1-7/2-10/3-5/4)

155/171 (90.6%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
8--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**-4/1**-1/2-5/4)
6--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8-11/4-8/11)
4--Marco Botti (5/4-13/8-Evs-Evs)
4--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4-11/4)

Weekly Stat Pack: 3rd to 9th December 2013

3rd to 9th December

Weekly Stat Pack: 3rd to 9th December

This week’s ‘Tingle Creek’ meeting at Sandown:

Nicky Henderson saddled five winners at the two-day fixture last year, including a 50/1 four timer on the Saturday of the meeting.

Paul Nicholls has a strangle hold on the ‘Tingle Creek’ having saddled seven recent winners, whilst landing three renewals of the Henry VIII Novice Chase which is also contested on the Saturday of the meeting. That said, Nicky Henderson who bagged last weekend’s two big races (‘Hennessey’ and the ‘Fighting Fifth‘) saddled both Sandown gold medallists twelve months ago.

Favourites have won seven renewals of the Tingle Creek during the last eleven years, whilst four favourites have obliged in the afore-mentioned Novice Chase event.

Four of the five odds on favourites have won the ‘Tingle Creek’ during the study period, whilst three of the six odds on market leaders in the ‘Henry VIII’ have prevailed. The beaten hot-pots were saddled by Emma Lavelle, Paul Nicholls and Alan King.

Aside from Nicky’s winner on Friday, Jonjo O’Neill landed a 20/1 double on the first day of the meeting having saddled gold medallists at 13/2 and 15/8.

*

Day to day analysis:

TUESDAY (03/12):

Southwell (NH):

SOUTHWELL NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Southwell: 122
Favourite stats: 49 (40.2%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 13/19 (68.4%)

Leading trainers at Southwell in 2013 (includes one dead-heat):
6--Charlie Longsdon (3/1-7/2**-9/2-10/11*-8/1-9/4)
4--Jonjo O'Neill (11/2-5/4*-16/1-5/6*)
4--Keith Reveley (3/1-11/8*-14/1-3/1)
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (2/7*-4/5*-7/2-11/4)
4--Lucy Wadham (6/4*-3/1-4/1-6/5*)
4--Venetia Williams (Evs*-13/8*-7/1-11/4**)

115/123 winners (93.5%) to date were returned at odds of 12/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--Jonjo O'Neill (15/8-15/8-9/4-15/8-7/4-2/1)
5--Charlie Longsdon (9/4-9/4-8/13-15/8-5/2)
4--Alan King (5/1**-3/1**-6/4-5/2)
4--Sue Smith (8/15-7/2-3/1***-11/10)
3--David Bridgwater (3/1**-2/1-7/4)
3--Brian Ellison (15/8-7/4-9/4)
3--Nicky Henderson (11/8-7/4-15/8)

*

Sedgefield:

SEDGEFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Sedgefield: 98
Favourite stats: 42 (42.9%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/9 (66.7%)

Leading trainers of winners at Sedgefield in 2013:
12--Donald McCain (4/6*-6/5*-5/4*-3/1-8/1-6/5*-10/11*-1/5*-Evs*-7/4*-3/1-8/13*)
5--Diane Sayer (8/1-4/1**-4/1-6/4*-6/4*)
4--Phil Kirby (5/2*-1/4*-11/2-8/1)
4--Sue Smith (7/1-7/4*-11/2-3/1)
3--Joanne Foster (3/1-7/2*-4/1)
3--Steve Gollings (9/2-11/8*-9/4**)
3--Malcolm Jefferson (7/2-11/2-5/1)
3--Jonjo O'Neill (17/2-13/8*-Evs**)
3--John Wade (2/1*-4/1-4/1)

88/98 winners (89.8%) were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Donald McCain (5/4-5/2-15/8-11/4-7/4-11/10-Evs**-11/10)
7--Phil Kirby (5/2-11/10-11/4-5/4-3/1**-11/4-7/2**)
6--Brian Ellison (6/4-10/11-9/4-2/1**-5/2-11/8)
4--Chris Grant (9/4**-10/3-13/8*-15/8*)
3--Rose Dobbin (13/2-11/2-15/8)
3--Sue Smith (3/1-2/1-9/4)

2.00: Travis County is the youngest horse in the line-up and with (hopefully) more scope for improvement than any of his eight rivals, Tony McCoy’s mount is taken to score. Tony has only ridden one winner for Brian Ellison during the last five years though to be entirely fair, the champion jockey has only partnered four inmates for the trainer. Four of the five favourites (via four renewals) have claimed toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two (2/1 & 11/4) winners.

*

Wolverhampton:

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 135
Favourite stats: 48 (35.5%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/19 (42.1%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
10/45--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1-9/1-7/2*-7/1)
5/22--Michael Appleby (5/6*-7/2-4/1-5/4*-5/2*)
3/7--Christine Dunnett (9/2-7/2-8/1)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)
3/9--Phil McBride (9/4-50/1-5/4*)
3/13--Alan Bailey (7/4*-20/1-5/1)
3/13-Tom Dascombe (11/10*-7/1-6/4*)
3/13--James Tate (10/3-8/1-8/1)
3/17--Richard Fahey (10/3-11/10*-11/10*)
3/26--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2)
3/30--David O'Meara (16/1-5/1-11/1)

122/135 (90.4%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
7--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**-4/1**-1/2)
5--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8-11/4)
4--Marco Botti (5/4-13/8-Evs-Evs)
4--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4-11/4)
3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)
3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)
3--Shaun Harris (2/1-3/1-5/2)
3--David O'Meara (4/6-11/10-9/2)
3--Derek Shaw (9/4**-11/8-3/1**)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)

2.10: We still await the first successful favourite following five renewals during which time, all five winners carried a maximum burden of nine stones. Four and five-year-olds have (equally) shared four of the five contests to date with Silly Billy being the only horse in the line-up this year who possesses ticks in both trend boxes. For the record, Silly Billy’s trainer Brian Ellison landed last year’s contest via a 28/1 chance.

3.40: Three-year-olds have won three of the last four renewals whilst favourites come to the gig on a hat trick. Three market leaders have won via seven renewals during which time, a biggest priced winner of 10/1 emerged.

4.10: Market leaders have secured five of the last nine contests during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at 8/1. All nine winners carried a maximum burden of 9-3.

4.40: Three-year-olds have won three of the four renewals, statistics which include one (2/5) successful favourite.

5.10: Seven contests have slipped by since the last (7/4) favourite obliged.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

WEDNESDAY (04/12):

Catterick:

CATTERICK NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Catterick: 40
Favourite stats: 16 (40.0% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/12 (66.7%)

Leading trainers of winners at Catterick in 2013:
4--Keith Reveley (Evs*-1/5*-2/5*-5/1)
3--Simon Shirley-Beavan (10/1-10/3-7/4)
2--Micky Hammond (11/2 & 5/1)
2--Martin Keighley (11/4 & 15/8*)
2--Jojnjo O'Neill (2/1 & 11/4*)
2--John Quinn (10/11* & 4/5*)
2--Michael Smith (6/4* & 8/1)
2--John Wade (4/6* & 15/8*)

37/40 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--Donald McCain (3/1-13/8-5/4-15/8-7/4-10/11)
3--Keith Reveley (6/4-13/8-11/4**)
2--John Wade (3/1 & 6/4)
2--Venetia Williams (9/2 & 1/2)

Juvenile hurdle scheduled for 1.20: Favourites have secured six victories during the last decade during which time, nine gold medallists have scored at odds of 6/1 or less.

Class 4 extended three-mile handicap chase due to be contested at 2.50: Five renewals have slipped by without a successful favourite being recorded, the quintet all priced at odds ranging between 9/2 and 9/1. Six-year-olds have secured three of the last five contests.

Four-year-olds have won five of the seven renewals of the closing bumper event which is scheduled for 3.20.

*

Ludlow:

LUDLOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ludlow: 93
Favourite stats: 37 (39.8%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/13 (61.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Ludlow in 2013 (stats include one dead heat):
9--Evan Williams (17/2-4/1-8/1-9/2-2/1*-5/2-2/1*-2/1*-11/4**)
6--Nicky Henderson (4/5*-7/2-7/4-1/3*-Evs*-6/5*)
6--Venetia Williams (2/1*-9/1-7/2*-13/2-9/2*-9/2*)
4--Philip Hobbs (7/1-15/8*-4/1-10/11*)
4--Richard Lee (4/1*-10/3-11/10*-6/1)
4--Tom Symonds (2/1*-7/1-17/2-9/2)
3--Henry Daly (11/2-5/1-4/11*)
3--Philip Rowley (5/2*-15/8*-16/1)
3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (8/1-9/2-5/6*)

86/94 winners (91.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Evan Williams (10/3-4/1**-10/11-4/1***-5/2-3/1**-2/1**-4/1)
7--Nicky Henderson (6/4-10/11-9/4-11/8-8/11-15/8-7/4)
6--Venetia Williams (11/4-15/8-11/8-3/1-7/2-9/4)
3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (3/1-11/8-6/4)

Claiming hurdle event scheduled for 12.40: Six of the seven winners were burdened with a minimum weight of 10-13 during which time, two market leaders have prevailed.

Two and a half handicap chase of the novice variety due off at 1.10: Six-year-olds have won the last three contests. Favourites have won three of the six contests thus far, races which have produced a top priced winner of 8/1. Five of the six winners have carried a minimum weight of 11-2. Evan Williams is the only trainer to have secured two victories thus far, with the trainer hold two options at the time of writing.

Class 4 handicap hurdle over the minimum trip due to be contested at 1.40: Four-year-olds have won the last three (of four) contests. The biggest priced winner to date was sent off at just 4/1 (one successful favourite thus far).

*

Kempton:

KEMPTON (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 95
Favourite stats: 27 (28.7%--includes joint/co favourites & 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 5/6 (83.3%)

Leading trainers at Kempton:
4/8--Luca Cumani (16/1-11/8*-7/2-1/6*)
4/23--John Gosden (2/5*-14/1-6/1-8/1)
3/7--James Bethell (9/2-8/1-8/1)
3/7--David Lanigan (5/2-7/4*-9/2)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-7/2-5/1)
3/10--Charlie Appleby (11/10*-9/4*-4/5*)
3/10--Derek Ivory (8/1-8/1-5/4*)
3/15--Marco Botti (2/1-2/1*-5/1)

79/95 (83.1%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--John Gosden (6/5-2/1-7/4-15/8-5/4-2/1)
4--Andrew Balding (2/1-5/1-4/1-15/8)
4--James Fanshawe (9/4-9/2-5/2-11/10)
4--William Haggas (11/8-5/4-9/4-5/2)
3--George Baker (15/8-5/2-11/4)
3--Richard Hannon (4/1**-7/2-13/8)
3--David O'Meara (7/2**-11/4***-7/4)

4.20: Three of the five contests have been secured by market leaders. The last five (of six) favourites have all secured toteplacepot positions. Three-year-olds have won all five renewals though that said, only eight older horses have taken on the juniors to date.

4.50: Six of the seven winners of this Nursery event have carried a minimum burden of nine stones. Six gold medallists have scored at odds of 7/1 or less, statistics which include two successful (7/2 & 11/8) market leaders.

5.20 & 5.50 (two divisions): We still await the first successful favourite following eight renewals, the last three winners having scored at 33/1-14/1-10/1.

6.50: Honours are just about even between bookmakers and punters I guess, given that the two successful (9/2 & 10/3) market leaders were recorded alongside gold medallists returned at 16/1-16/1-14/1 to date.

*

Lingfield (A/W):

LINGFIELD (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 64
Favourite stats: 20 (31.2%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 3/8 (37.5%)

Leading trainers at Lingfield:
3/3--Laura Mongan (8/1 three times)
2/3--Charlie Appleby (10/1 & 6/1)
2/3--Willie Musson (5/1 & 3/1*)
2/5--Jim Boyle (5/2* & 5/1**)
2/5--William Haggas (9/2 & 11/4)
2/6--Tom Dascombe (8/1 & 4/5*)
2/8--Simon Dow (5/1 & 5/2**)
2/8--Roger Varian (5/6* & 5/2)
2/9--David Evans (6/1 & 5/2*)
2/10--Andrew Balding (6/1 & 33/1)
2/16--Gary Moore (6/1 & 8/1)
2/17--Richard Hannon (7/1 & 14/1)

52/64 (81.2%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Marco Botti (9/4-7/4**-5/2-Evs)
3--John Gosden (6/4**-4/5-6/4)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

THURSDAY (05/12):

Leicester:

LEICESTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Leicester: 38
Favourite stats: 20 (52.6%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/8 (75.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Leicester in 2013:
4--Tom George (7/1-1/4*-13/8*-5/1)
3--John Ferguson (6/5*-8/11*-8/11*)
3--Venetia Williams (2/1*-3/1*-2/1**)

35/38 winners (92.1%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
2--Emma Lavelle (6/4 & 9/4)
2--Fergal O'Brien (5/4 twice)
2--David Pipe (15/8 & 10/3**)

*

Market Rasen:

MARKET RASEN NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Market Rasen: 117
Favourite stats: 45 (38.5%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 14/22 (63.6%)

Leading trainers of winners at Market Rasen in 2013:
10--Charlie Longsdon (6/1-9/2-7/2-5/1-2/1*-3/1*-5/6*-5/6*-1/2*-5/4*)
6--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1**-15/2-11/10*-5/2*-2/1*-8/11*)
4--Peter Bowen (11/2-3/1*-5/6*-3/1)
4--John Ferguson (1/2*-9/2**-8/1-8/13*)
4--Fergal O'Brien (5/1-7/4*-9/1-16/1)
4--Lucy Wadham (9/4**-9/1-7/2-13/8*)

107/117 winners (91.4%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
12--Jonjo O'Neill (7/2**-9/2**11/4-9/4-5/4-5/2-9/2**-5/1**-9/4-5/4-2/1**-15/8**)
5--John Ferguson (4/1**-11/10-11/4-7/4-9/2)
5--Charlie Longsdon (9/4**-3/10*-1/6-15/8**-11/4)
5--Donald McCain (10/11-2/1-3/1-13/8-11/8)
4--Jennie Candlish (2/1-11/4-7/2-5/4)
4--Dianne Sayer (11/10-4/5-11/4-6/5)

*

Wincanton:

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WINCANTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Wincanton: 109
Favourite stats: 37 (33.9%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 13/20 (65.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Wincanton in 2013 (includes one dead heat):
16--Paul Nicholls (6/1-1/3*-17/2-3/1-Evs*-2/1-8/13*-Evs*-3/1-7/4*-4/6*-1/4*-2/5*-7/2-4/5*-11/8*)
7--David Pipe (5/6*-10/1-4/1**-3/1-5/1-7/2-5/2*)
6--Jeremy Scott (25/1-11/8*-7/1-7/1-5/1-9/2)
6--Colin Tizzard (4/1-11/4**-9/1-10/1-11/4-4/9*)
5--Harry Fry (3/1-16/1-5/4*-13/2-5/1)
5--Tom George (6/1-11/5*-2/1*-3/1-3/1)
5--Philip Hobbs (5/4*-Evs*-7/1-9/4*-4/1*)

100/110 of the winners (90.9%) started at 12/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
12--Paul Nicholls (5/2-5/6-3/1-7/2-11/8-9/4-4/9-11/8-Evs-1/3-5/2-11/10)
10--David Pipe (7/2-7/2**-13/8-6/5-11/4**-9/4-7/4-6/1-15/8-6/4)
6--Philip Hobbs (Evs-11/10-7/4-3/1**-7/2**-5/2)
4--Nicky Henderson (6/5-5/4-2/5-4/6)
4--Alan King (3/1**-3/1-5/1**-11/4**)
4--Colin Tizzard (5/2**-7/2**-7/2-4/1)
3--Emma Lavelle (6/4-2/1-11/4**)
3--Jeremy Scott (2/1-9/4-4/1**)
3--Venetia Williams (11/4-8/13-5/4)

Two and three-quarter mile novice handicap hurdle event scheduled for 1.40: The last ten winners carried a maximum burden of 11-4 during which time, five winners were returned at odds ranging between 16/1 and 50/1. Four five-year-olds won during the study period, accompanied by just two successful market leaders who represented the vintage.

Class 4 ‘Silver Buck’ handicap chase event due to be contested at 2.10: Six of the last eight favourites have won, three of which were trained by Paul Nicholls. Buck’s Bond was Paul’s only option earlier in the week. Five of the last six gold medallists carried weights of 10-10 or less.

Two mile Class 3 handicap hurdle event scheduled for 2.40: Five-year-olds have secured six of the last ten contests, whilst eight winners carried a minimum burden of eleven stones. Three joint favourites have obliged though successful clear favourites were only conspicuous by their absence.

Wincanton’s conditional jockeys' event set for 3.10: Favourites have won four of the nine renewals, whilst eight winners were sent off at a top price of 8/1.

*

Wolverhampton:

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 135
Favourite stats: 48 (35.5%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/19 (42.1%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
10/45--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1-9/1-7/2*-7/1)
5/22--Michael Appleby (5/6*-7/2-4/1-5/4*-5/2*)
3/7--Christine Dunnett (9/2-7/2-8/1)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)
3/9--Phil McBride (9/4-50/1-5/4*)
3/13--Alan Bailey (7/4*-20/1-5/1)
3/13-Tom Dascombe (11/10*-7/1-6/4*)
3/13--James Tate (10/3-8/1-8/1)
3/17--Richard Fahey (10/3-11/10*-11/10*)
3/26--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2)
3/30--David O'Meara (16/1-5/1-11/1)

122/135 (90.4%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
7--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**-4/1**-1/2)
5--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8-11/4)
4--Marco Botti (5/4-13/8-Evs-Evs)
4--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4-11/4)
3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)
3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)
3--Shaun Harris (2/1-3/1-5/2)
3--David O'Meara (4/6-11/10-9/2)
3--Derek Shaw (9/4**-11/8-3/1**)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

FRIDAY (06/12):

Sandown:

SANDOWN NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Sandown: 50
Favourite stats: 15 (30.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/11 (45.5%)

Trainers of winners at Sandown in 2013:
7--Nicky Henderson (7/4-11/10*-9/4*-8/1-11/4-1/2*-1/3*)
6--Paul Nicholls (7/4*-4/5*-7/4*-2/9*-9/2-11/4)
5--Venetia Williams (5/1-11/8*-6/5*-7/2-4/1)
4--Gary Moore (20/1-6/1-5/1-25/1)

40/50 winners (80.0%) sent off at odds of 17/2 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
8--Nicky Henderson (5/2-4/7-5/2-5/2-9/2**-2/1-3/1**-4/11)
7--Paul Nicholls (1/3-2/5-11/4-6/4-11/4-15/8-3/1**)
4--Venetia Williams (5/6-10/3-2/1-11/4)
2--Warren Greatrex (15/8 & 9/2)
2--David Pipe (3/1 & 9/2**)
2--Jeremy Scott (10/3 & 3/1)

Juvenile hurdle event scheduled for 12.35: Favourites have won four of the last ten renewals, whilst seven of the eleven market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions. That said, hot favourites at 1/4 and 4/5 have been beaten from a win perspective, albeit the biggest priced winner during the study period was sent off at just 8/1.

Class 3 two and a half mile handicap chase due to be contested at 1.10: The last eight winners have carried a minimum burden of 10-13 during which time, three market leaders prevailed.

Grade 2 two and a half mile novice hurdle event scheduled for 1.45: Four and five-year-old’s have secured nine of the last ten renewals, with five-year-olds edging out their younger rivals 5-4 of late. Paul Nicholls (potentially saddled by Saint Roque this time around) has not saddled a winner of the race since snaring back-to-back victories in 2004/05. Although only one favourite has scored via the last six contests, five market leaders have won during the extended study period with the biggest priced winner returned at just 11/2. Seven of the ten favourites secured toteplacepot positions.

Listed ‘Future Stars’ steeplechase scheduled for 2.20: Paul Nicholls has secured four of the last ten renewals with Rolling Aces potentially representing the yard this time around. Seven-year-olds have secured five victories during the study period, whilst four of the last eight favourites have prevailed. Rolling Aces just happens to be a seven-year-old but then again, regular readers will know that Paul Nicholls pays attention to such details.

Class 4 two miles handicap hurdle for novices due to be contested at 3.25: Five-year-old’s have secured three of the last five renewals of Sandown’s scheduled finale. Nine of the last ten winners have carried weights of 11-5 or more, statistics which include the last seven gold medallists. Three clear market leaders and two joint favourites have prevailed via nine contests during the last decade.

*

Exeter:

EXETER DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Exeter: 88
Favourite stats: 28 (31.8% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 12/20 (60.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Exeter in 2013:
10--David Pipe (4/1-4/5*-1/4*-6/1-11/2-9/4*-8/11*-14/1-1/5*-7/1)
5--Paul Nicholls (5/6*-4/9*-6/5-6/1-13/8)
5--Oliver Sherwood (11/4*-11/4-2/1-4/7*-5/1)
5--Colin Tizzard (7/2-7/2-2/1--11/4-5/4*)
3--Susan Gardner (9/4-11/2-5/6*)
3--Martin Hill (18/1-7/1-9/1)
3--Philip Hobbs (6/4*-Evs*-11/4*)
3--Alan King (9/2-4/11*-7/4*)
3--Seamus Mullins (12/1-2/11*-5/2)
3--Jeremy Scott (5/4-4/1-16/1)

78/88 winners (88.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--Philip Hobbs (3/1-11/8-6/4-4/5-5/2-9/4)
6--Emma Lavelle (3/1-10/11-2/5-Evs-7/2-5/1)
6--Paul Nicholls (7/5-Evs-6/4-11/5-15/8-Evs)
4--Colin Tizzard (4/1-13/8-11/8-11/10)
3--Vic Dartnell (11/10-11/4-6/5)

Nineteen furlong conditional jockey’s event scheduled for 12.25: The last nine winners have scored at odds of 8/1 or less, statistics which include two successful (11/8 & 7/4) market leaders.

Nineteen furlong novice chase event due to be contested at 1.30: Six-year-olds rule the roost as vintage representatives have snared four of the last six renewals. Four favourites have won via nine contests with the biggest priced winner returned at just 15/2. Philip Hobbs is the only trainer to have saddled two winners and Philip’s lone entry earlier in the week was Pistol, with the trainer trying desperately to rid himself of the memory of his representative Fingal Bay (ran out) twelve months ago.

Four mile handicap chase scheduled for 2.05: Some readers might suggest that six nine-year-old winners of this event during the last eleven years can be put down to pure coincidence though if that is so, why do plenty of professionals within the sport suggest that only nine and ten-year-old’s should be seriously considered in the Grand National? The vintage records of the relevant raiders down the years have been proved right via a general rule of thumb whereby I will stick to the principle in this extreme marathon event, albeit only five of the twenty-four five day acceptors were nine-year-olds. No successful favourites were recorded during the study period, with six of the last nine gold medallists being returned in double figures.

Seventeen furlong novice hurdle ‘qualifier’ scheduled for 2.40: Five-year-olds have secured seven victories during the last eleven years, with four-year-old’s ‘mopping up’ three of the other four events. Only two favourites have won during the study period though that said, ten market leaders secured toteplacepot positions.

Exeter’s closing bumper event scheduled for 3.45: Four favourites have won via the last nine contests. eight gold medallists were returned at odds of 7/2 or less.

*

Lingfield (A/W):

LINGFIELD (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 64
Favourite stats: 20 (31.2%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 3/8 (37.5%)

Leading trainers at Lingfield:
3/3--Laura Mongan (8/1 three times)
2/3--Charlie Appleby (10/1 & 6/1)
2/3--Willie Musson (5/1 & 3/1*)
2/5--Jim Boyle (5/2* & 5/1**)
2/5--William Haggas (9/2 & 11/4)
2/6--Tom Dascombe (8/1 & 4/5*)
2/8--Simon Dow (5/1 & 5/2**)
2/8--Roger Varian (5/6* & 5/2)
2/9--David Evans (6/1 & 5/2*)
2/10--Andrew Balding (6/1 & 33/1)
2/16--Gary Moore (6/1 & 8/1)
2/17--Richard Hannon (7/1 & 14/1)

52/64 (81.2%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Marco Botti (9/4-7/4**-5/2-Evs)
3--John Gosden (6/4**-4/5-6/4)

*

Wolverhampton:

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 135
Favourite stats: 48 (35.5%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/19 (42.1%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
10/45--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1-9/1-7/2*-7/1)
5/22--Michael Appleby (5/6*-7/2-4/1-5/4*-5/2*)
3/7--Christine Dunnett (9/2-7/2-8/1)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)
3/9--Phil McBride (9/4-50/1-5/4*)
3/13--Alan Bailey (7/4*-20/1-5/1)
3/13-Tom Dascombe (11/10*-7/1-6/4*)
3/13--James Tate (10/3-8/1-8/1)
3/17--Richard Fahey (10/3-11/10*-11/10*)
3/26--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2)
3/30--David O'Meara (16/1-5/1-11/1)

122/135 (90.4%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
7--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**-4/1**-1/2)
5--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8-11/4)
4--Marco Botti (5/4-13/8-Evs-Evs)
4--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4-11/4)
3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)
3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)
3--Shaun Harris (2/1-3/1-5/2)
3--David O'Meara (4/6-11/10-9/2)
3--Derek Shaw (9/4**-11/8-3/1**)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

SATURDAY (07/12):

Sandown:

SANDOWN NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Sandown: 50
Favourite stats: 15 (30.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/11 (45.5%)

Trainers of winners at Sandown in 2013:
7--Nicky Henderson (7/4-11/10*-9/4*-8/1-11/4-1/2*-1/3*)
6--Paul Nicholls (7/4*-4/5*-7/4*-2/9*-9/2-11/4)
5--Venetia Williams (5/1-11/8*-6/5*-7/2-4/1)
4--Gary Moore (20/1-6/1-5/1-25/1)

40/50 winners (80.0%) sent off at odds of 17/2 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
8--Nicky Henderson (5/2-4/7-5/2-5/2-9/2**-2/1-3/1**-4/11)
7--Paul Nicholls (1/3-2/5-11/4-6/4-11/4-15/8-3/1**)
4--Venetia Williams (5/6-10/3-2/1-11/4)
2--Warren Greatrex (15/8 & 9/2)
2--David Pipe (3/1 & 9/2**)
2--Jeremy Scott (10/3 & 3/1)

National Hunt Novice Hurdle due to be contested at 12.20: Nicky Henderson has saddled five of the last seven winners of this event with the trainer coming to the gig on this occasion on a five timer. Nicky’s only option at the penultimate entry stage was Vaniteux. Favourites came to the party on a six timer two years ago but the 4/6 market leader could only finish third. Last year’s race reverted to type via a successful even money market leader.

Pertemps series qualifier scheduled for 1.20: Paul Nicholls has saddled the only two successful favourites (within the last five seasons) during the last eleven years. Alan King and Jonjo O’Neill have also saddled two winners in recent times and all three trainers held options for this year’s contest earlier in the week.

Listed Handicap Hurdle event scheduled for 2.25: The last eleven winners have scored at odds of 12/1 or less (two winning favourites), whilst four-year-olds have secured four of the last nine contests. Nicky Henderson has saddled two of the last three winners and the trainer held three options at the five day stage.

Twenty nine furlong handicap chase scheduled for 3.35: Six of the last seven winners have carried a minimum weight of eleven stones.

*

Aintree:

AINTREE DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Aintree: 49
Favourite stats: 21 (42.8% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 4/8 (50.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Aintree in 2013:
6--Nicky Henderson (6/5*-4/11*-1/3*-14/1-10/1-85/40*)
5--Jonjo O'Neill (9/4-7/2**-4/5*-11/4*-11/8*)
3--Peter Bowen (5/2*-5/2*-5/2*)
2--Kevin Bishop (8/1*** & 7/2*)
2--Tom George (7/1 & 10/11*)
2--Philip Hobbs (7/1-11/4)
2--Charlie Longsdon (10/3-6/5*)

40/49 winners (81.6%) were returned at 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--Paul Nicholls (5/1**-9/4**-9/1-6/1-Evs)
4--Alan King (15/2-7/2-5/1-4/6)
4--Donald McCain (15/8-3/1**-3/1**-2/1)
2--Nicky Henderson (5/2 & 2/1)
2--Charlie Longsdon (9/2**-9/4)
2--Keith Reveley (5/1**-4/1***)

Maiden hurdle event scheduled for 12.05: Favourites have secured two of the six renewals of this event in which four market leaders have finished in the frame. Four-year-olds come to the gig on a four-timer on this occasion.

Two and a half mile handicap hurdle scheduled for 1.35: Six-year-old’s have won six renewals of this event during the last eleven years, though five-year-olds have secured three of the last six contests. Six of the last ten winners have carried a minimum weight of 11-5.

‘Becher Chase’ due to be contested at 2.10: Only one market leader has obliged in the last eight years though that said, seven of the last ten contests have been secured by horses sent off at odds of 10/1 or less. Unusually, Paul Nicholls has secured this race three times in the last nine years, whilst Nigel Twiston-Davies has landed two of the last three renewals.

*

Wetherby:

WETHERBY NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Wetherby: 99
Favourite stats: 46 (46.5%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 11/18 (61.1%)

Leading trainers of winners at Wetherby in 2013:
9--Sue Smith (5/1-4/1***-9/2-5/4*-10/3-3/1*-11/8*-15/8*-4/7*)
7--Brian Ellison (7/1-8/13*-11/4-6/4*-15/8*-17/2-25/1)
6--Donald McCain (5/2-13/8*-2/1*-5/2-6/4-3/10*)
5--Kim Bailey (Evs*-9/2-5/6*-3/10*-5/1)

92/99 (92.9%) winners sent off at 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--David Pipe (11/8-10/11-8/13-5/2**-8/11)
4--Alan King (5/2-5/2-9/4**-10/11)
4--Donald McCain (3/1**-13/8-5/2-11/4)
3--Malcolm Jefferson (15/8-5/1-11/4)
3--Jonjo O'Neill (5/4-6/4**-9/4)

*

Chepstow:

CHEPSTOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Chepstow: 94
Favourite stats: 30 (31.9%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/14 (57.1%)

Leading trainers of winners at Chepstow in 2013:
5--Alan King (2/1*-6/1-3/1-5/2-5/1)
4--Henry Daly (11/4*-5/2-5/4*-5/2**)
4--Martin Keighley (7/2-7/2-10/11*-5/1)
4--Sophie Leech (25/1-4/1-7/2-5/1)
4--Colin Tizzard (9/2-4/1-11/4*-5/1)
4--Evan Williams (3/1-6/1-14/1-10/1)
3--Vic Dartnell (9/2-20/1-7/2)
3--Mark Gillard (9/4* twice & 11/4)
3--Neil Mulholland (6/4*-8/1-8/1)
3--Paul Nicholls (10/11*-10/11*-4/5*)
3--David Pipe (5/1**-5/1-5/1**)
3--Jeremy Scott (6/4**-3/1-4/1)
3--Mark Sheppard (6/4*-9/2**-11/2)

80/94 (85.1%) of the winners scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
11--Paul Nicholls (7/4-9/4-11/4-8/11-4/5-11/4-7/4-4/7-11/8-7/4-4/1**)
6--Jonjo O'Neill (5/1**-4/1-7/4-6/4-6/4-5/2)
3--Tom George (2/1-7/2-7/4)
3--Philip Hobbs (6/4**-Evs-2/1)
3--Martin Keighley (2/1-11/4-5/1***)
3--Sophie Leech (9/2-5/1***-9/2)
3--David Pipe (5/2-9/4-5/2)
3--Colin Tizzard (5/1 **-15/8-2/1)
3--Evan Williams (11/4-2/1-6/4)

*

Wolverhampton:

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 135
Favourite stats: 48 (35.5%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/19 (42.1%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
10/45--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1-9/1-7/2*-7/1)
5/22--Michael Appleby (5/6*-7/2-4/1-5/4*-5/2*)
3/7--Christine Dunnett (9/2-7/2-8/1)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)
3/9--Phil McBride (9/4-50/1-5/4*)
3/13--Alan Bailey (7/4*-20/1-5/1)
3/13-Tom Dascombe (11/10*-7/1-6/4*)
3/13--James Tate (10/3-8/1-8/1)
3/17--Richard Fahey (10/3-11/10*-11/10*)
3/26--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2)
3/30--David O'Meara (16/1-5/1-11/1)

122/135 (90.4%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
7--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**-4/1**-1/2)
5--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8-11/4)
4--Marco Botti (5/4-13/8-Evs-Evs)
4--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4-11/4)
3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)
3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)
3--Shaun Harris (2/1-3/1-5/2)
3--David O'Meara (4/6-11/10-9/2)
3--Derek Shaw (9/4**-11/8-3/1**)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

SUNDAY (08/12):

Kelso:

KELSO NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Kelso: 74
Favourite stats: 24 (32.4%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/13 (46.2%)

Leading trainers of winners at Kelso in 2013:
10--Donald McCain (6/1-4/7*-4/1-8/13*-6/1-7/2-Evs*-5/2*-5/1-5/1)
5--John Wade (20/1-11/1-16/1-14/1-3/1*)
4--Dianne Sayer (6/1-5/1-7/2-7/2)
4--Sue Smith (8/11*-16/1-Evs*-10/3)
3--James Ewart (5/4*-5/6*-25/1)
3--Ferdy Murphy (5/2-12/1-9/1)
3--Nicky Richards (7/4-3/1-5/2)
3--Lucinda Russell (12/1-12/5*-2/1*)

65/74 winners (87.8%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--D. McCain (Evs-1/4-11/8-15/8-2/1)
4--Phil Kirby (9/2***-15/8-3/1-3/1)
4--Lucinda Russell (Evs-11/10-11/4-9/4)
4--Dianne Sayer (11/4-2/1-7/2-9/4)
3--James Ewart (4/5-5/4-4/1)
3--Pauline Robson (7/4-9/4***-6/5)

*

Warwick:

WARWICK NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Warwick: 51
Favourite stats: 21 (41.2%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Warwick in 2013:
5--Alan King (Evs*-8/15*-5/2-7/4**-3/1**)
3--Henry Daly (9/4*-5/2*-7/2)
3--David Pipe (1/2*-7/2*-7/4*)
2--Tom George (11/2 & 2/1)
2--Nicky Henderson (7/4* & 9/4*)
2--Philip Hobbs (11/2 & 15/8)
2--Charlie Longsdon (12/1 & 11/8*)
2--Jonjo O'Neill (7/1 & 16/1)
2--Nigel Twiston-Davies (5/1 & 1/2*)

46/51 gold medallists (90.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
3--Tom George (4/1-10/11-3/1)
3--Charlie Longsdon (7/2-11/8-15/8)
3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (3/1-6/4-2/1)
2--Philip Hobbs (11/4 & 3/1**)
2--Jonjo O'Neill (10/3 & 3/1)
2--Venetia Williams (7/2 & 6/4)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

MONDAY (09/12):

Musselburgh:

MUSSELBURGH NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Musselburgh: 50
Favourite stats: 18 (36.0% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/9 (66.7%)

Leading trainers of winners at Musselburgh in 2013:
10--Donald McCain (4/6*-1/5*-5/2-1/5*-17/2-7/4*-7/2-13/2-3/10*-11/10*)
3--Brian Ellison (7/1-9/2-5/1)
3--James Ewart (11/2-4/1-5/1)
3--Venetia Williams (7/2-5/2*-9/4*)

47/50 winners (94.0%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Donald McCain (5/2-4/9-11/10-10/11)
2--Rose Dobbin (5/4 & 11/4)
2--Brian Ellison (2/1 & 15/8)
2--James Ewart (7/4 twice)
2--Peter Niven (4/1 & 7/4)
2--Nicky Richards (7/2 & 11/4)
2--Lucinda Russell (4/7 & 3/1)
2--Venetia Williams (3/1 & 12/5)

*

Lingfield (A/W):

LINGFIELD (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 64
Favourite stats: 20 (31.2%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 3/8 (37.5%)

Leading trainers at Lingfield:
3/3--Laura Mongan (8/1 three times)
2/3--Charlie Appleby (10/1 & 6/1)
2/3--Willie Musson (5/1 & 3/1*)
2/5--Jim Boyle (5/2* & 5/1**)
2/5--William Haggas (9/2 & 11/4)
2/6--Tom Dascombe (8/1 & 4/5*)
2/8--Simon Dow (5/1 & 5/2**)
2/8--Roger Varian (5/6* & 5/2)
2/9--David Evans (6/1 & 5/2*)
2/10--Andrew Balding (6/1 & 33/1)
2/16--Gary Moore (6/1 & 8/1)
2/17--Richard Hannon (7/1 & 14/1)

52/64 (81.2%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Marco Botti (9/4-7/4**-5/2-Evs)
3--John Gosden (6/4**-4/5-6/4)

*

Wolverhampton:

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 135
Favourite stats: 48 (35.5%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/19 (42.1%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
10/45--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1-9/1-7/2*-7/1)
5/22--Michael Appleby (5/6*-7/2-4/1-5/4*-5/2*)
3/7--Christine Dunnett (9/2-7/2-8/1)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)
3/9--Phil McBride (9/4-50/1-5/4*)
3/13--Alan Bailey (7/4*-20/1-5/1)
3/13-Tom Dascombe (11/10*-7/1-6/4*)
3/13--James Tate (10/3-8/1-8/1)
3/17--Richard Fahey (10/3-11/10*-11/10*)
3/26--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2)
3/30--David O'Meara (16/1-5/1-11/1)

122/135 (90.4%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
7--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**-4/1**-1/2)
5--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8-11/4)
4--Marco Botti (5/4-13/8-Evs-Evs)
4--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4-11/4)
3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)
3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)
3--Shaun Harris (2/1-3/1-5/2)
3--David O'Meara (4/6-11/10-9/2)
3--Derek Shaw (9/4**-11/8-3/1**)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)

Have a great week,
Mal

Weekly Stat Pack: 26th November to 2nd December

26th Nov to 2nd Dec

Weekly Stat Pack: 26th Nov to 2nd Dec

Eleven year statistics for the Hennessy Gold Cup:

Nine of the last ten winners have been returned at odds of 10/1 or less.

Four favourites have won during the study period with two other market leaders finishing in the frame.

The average official mark of the winners during the study period is 152. Six of the last seven winners ran off a minimal office mark of 150.

Only the top eight horses in the handicap potentially race off a mark of 150+ via the five day declarations:
158 Cape Tribulation---157 Katenko---155 Prince De Beauchene---154 Lord Windermere---154 Houblon Des Obeaux---153 Imperial Commander---151---Rocky Creek---150 Cloudy Two.

The first three horses home last year (Trifecta paid 566/1) all hailed from marks of 150+ (as anticipated).

Horse carrying eleven stones or less have secured five victories and twenty places, compared to runners higher in the handicap who boast six successes, though representatives have claimed just eleven place prizes.

Popular trainer stats:
Paul Nicholls: Three winners (5/1-5/1**-11/4*) and seven placed horses at 28/1-25/1-8/1-7/1-11/2*-11/2-4/1*.
‘Team Pipe’: Two winners (25/1 & 9/4*) and five places (50/1-25/1-12/1-8/1-5/1).
Nicky Henderson: Two winners (13/2 & 4/1*) and three places (12/1-15/2-13/2).
Philip Hobbs: Three placed horses at 33/1-16/1-14/1.

Day by day analysis:

TUESDAY 26/11:

Sedgefield:

SEDGEFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Sedgefield: 91
Favourite stats: 39 (42.9%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Sedgefield in 2013:
12--Donald McCain (4/6*-6/5*-5/4*-3/1-8/1-6/5*-10/11*-1/5*-Evs*-7/4*-3/1-8/13*)
5--Diane Sayer (8/1-4/1**-4/1-6/4*-6/4*)
4--Phil Kirby (5/2*-1/4*-11/2-8/1)
4--Sue Smith (7/1-7/4*-11/2-3/1)
3--Joanne Foster (3/1-7/2*-4/1)
3--Steve Gollings (9/2-11/8*-9/4**)
3--Malcolm Jefferson (7/2-11/2-5/1)
3--Jonjo O'Neill (17/2-13/8*-Evs**)
3--John Wade (2/1*-4/1-4/1)

84/91 winners (92.3%) were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Donald McCain (5/4-5/2-15/8-11/4-7/4-11/10-Evs**-11/10)
7--Phil Kirby (5/2-11/10-11/4-5/4-3/1**-11/4-7/2**)
6--Brian Ellison (6/4-10/11-9/4-2/1**-5/2-11/8)
4--Chris Grant (9/4**-10/3-13/8*-15/8*)

*

Lingfield (NH):

LINGFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Lingfield: 54
Favourite stats: 21 (38.9%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/17 (41.2%)

Trainers of winners at Lingfield in 2013:
3--Alison Batchelor (66/1-1/2*-14/1)
3--Philip Hobbs (9/4-4/6*-2/5*)
3--Gary Moore (8/1-3/1-11/4)
3--Pat Phelan (7/2-10/1-4/7*)

45/52 winners (86.5%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
3--Nicky Henderson (13/8-4/7-5/4)
2--Warren Greatrex (11/4 & 10/11)
2--Charlie Longsdon (6/5 & 11/10)
2--Tim Vaughan (4/11 & 4/6)

12.30: Five-year-olds have won five of the last six contests. Six of the eight market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions thus far, statistics which include three (2/7-8/11-5/4) winners.

1.30: The last five winners have carried a minimum weight of 11-9, whilst three of the nine market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions via eight renewals with just two (6/4 & 13/8) gold medallists having prevailed.

2.00: Five-year-olds have secured four of the seven contests to date, whilst six of the eight market leaders have finished in the money (exact science). Two (4/9 & 7/2) successful favourites have been recorded during the period.

2.30: The last seven winners have carried weights of 11-1 or more, whilst four favourites have won during the last seven years.

3.00: The last five (and six of the last seven) winners have carried a minimum weight of 11-1. Four market leaders have obliged via eight contests.

3.30: Two of the three favourites have obliged in Lingfield’s finale at odds of (7/2 & 1/2).

*

Southwell (A/W):

SOUTHWELL (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 24
Favourite stats: 6 (25.0%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 1/3 (33.3%)

Leading trainers at Southwell:
2/4--Michael Appleby (6/1 & 9/4*)
2/4--Brian Ellison (11/2 & 5/1)
2/10--John Jenkins (14/1 & 6/1)

23/24 (95.8%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
3--John Jenkins (4/1**-3/1-2/1)
2--Keith Dalgleish (11/4 & 2/1)

*

Wolverhampton:

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 105
Favourite stats: 39 (37.1%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/15 (46.7%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
9/33--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1-9/1-7/2*)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)
3/9--Phil McBride (9/4-50/1-5/4*)
3/16--Michael Appleby (5/6*-7/2-4/1)
3/24--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2)
3/25--David O'Meara (16/1-5/1-11/1)

96/105 (91.4%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
6--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**-4/1**)
5--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8-11/4)
3--Marco Botti (5/4-13/8-Evs)
3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)
3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)
3--David O'Meara (4/6-11/10-9/2)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)
3--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

WEDNESDAY 27/11:

Fontwell:

FONTWELL NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Fontwell: 131
Favourite stats: 45 (34.3%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 16/25 (64.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Fontwell in 2013:
8--Gary Moore (4/5*-6/4*-12/1-7/1-4/5*-7/1-10/1-5/2)
7--Chris Gordon (12/1-4/1-3/1-9/2-14/1-7/2-7/2)
6--Charlie Longsdon (5/2-4/1-4/6*-5/1-10/11*-9/4*)
5--Caroline Keevil (11/4**-9/5-16/1-7/2-20/1)
5--Paul Nicholls (3/1-9/4-7/4*-2/1*-11/4)
4--Lawney Hill (9/2-11/4*-5/1-7/1)
4--Jamie Snowden (7/1-7/1-6/4-20/1)

121/131 winners (92.4%) to date started at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1**-6/4-7/2-Evs-11/4-7/4-3/1-5/2**)
6--Charlie Longsdon (11/8-13/8-7/2-5/2-Evs-2/1)
5--Paul Nicholls (5/6-9/4**-7/4-1/4-2/1)
5--Jamie Snowden (2/1**-2/1**-5/2-Evs-11/8)
5--Colin Tizzard (11/4-2/1-7/2-5/6-7/4)
4--Chris Gordon (5/4-7/2-7/2-7/4)
4--Brendan Powell (5/4-9/4-4/1-5/2**)
3--Kevin Bishop (9/2**-3/1-13/8)
3--Gary Moore (7/4-2/1**-3/1)
3--David Pipe (3/1-5/2-9/5)

*

Wetherby:

WETHERBY NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Wetherby: 92
Favourite stats: 43 (46.7%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/14 (64.3%)

Leading trainers of winners at Wetherby in 2013:
9--Sue Smith (5/1-4/1***-9/2-5/4*-10/3-3/1*-11/8*-15/8*-4/7*)
7--Brian Ellison (7/1-8/13*-11/4-6/4*-15/8*-17/2-25/1)
5--Kim Bailey (Evs*-9/2-5/6*-3/10*-5/1)
4--Donald McCain (5/2-13/8*-2/1*-5/2)
3--Tim Easterby (3/1-7/4*-9/4*)
3--Alan King (15/8*-4/6*-6/4)
3--Jonjo O'Neill (11/4-3/1*-7/1)
3--John Wade (2/1*-3/1*-7/2)

86/92 (93.5%) winners sent off at 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Alan King (5/2-5/2-9/4**-10/11)
4--Donald McCain (3/1**-13/8-5/2-11/4)
4--David Pipe (11/8-10/11-8/13-5/2**)
3--Malcolm Jefferson (15/8-5/1-11/4)
3--Jonjo O'Neill (5/4-6/4**-9/4)

*

Kempton:

KEMPTON (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 71
Favourite stats: 18 (25.7%--includes joint/co favourites & 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 4/5 (80.0%)

Leading trainers at Kempton:
4/8--Luca Cumani (16/1-11/8*-7/2-1/6*)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-7/2-5/1)
3/10--Charlie Appleby (11/10*-9/4*-4/5*)
3/13--Marco Botti (2/1-2/1*-5/1)

59/71 (831%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--John Gosden (6/5-2/1-7/4-15/8-5/4)
4--William Haggas (11/8-5/4-9/4-5/2)
3--George Baker (15/8-5/2-11/4)
3--James Fanshawe (9/4-9/2-5/2)
3--Richard Hannon (4/1**-7/2-13/8)

4.30 & 5.00 (two divisions): The five winners to date have carried weights of 9-3 or more when returned at odds of 20/1-14/1-10/1-8/1-6/1.

5.30: All three gold medallists thus far have been sent off as 5/4 favourites for their respective events.

6.00: All six market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions to date, statistics which include three (Evs-5/4-15/8) winners. Three-year-olds have won three of the six contests thus far.

6.30: Five renewals have slipped by since the inaugural favourite obliged at 9/4 back in 2007. Three-year-olds have secured all six renewals.

7.30: Three-year-olds have won three of the last six contests whilst two (11/4) favourites have prevailed via seven renewals thus far. All seven winners have carried a maximum weight of 9-3.

*

Lingfield:

LINGFIELD (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 56
Favourite stats: 18 (32.1%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 2/6 (33.3%)

Leading trainers at Lingfield:
2/2--Laura Mongan (8/1 twice)
2/3--Charlie Appleby (10/1 & 6/1)
2/3--Willie Musson (5/1 & 3/1*)
2/5--William Haggas (9/2 & 11/4)
2/7--David Evans (6/1 & 5/2*)
2/8--Simon Dow (5/1 & 5/2**)
2/8--Roger Varian (5/6* & 5/2)
2/13--Richard Hannon (7/1 & 14/1)
2/14--Gary Moore (6/1 & 8/1)

46/56 (82.1%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Marco Botti (9/4-7/4**-5/2-Evs)
2--Paul Cole (7/2 & 7/4**)
2--Robert Eddery (6/4 & 2/1)
2--David Evans (5/4 & 5/1)
2--Richard Fahey (7/2 twice)
2--Peter Makin (4/1** & 3/1**)
2--Brian Meehan (1/3 & 11/4)
2--Gary Moore (5/1** & 10/11)
2--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/1** & 11/4)
2--Roger Varian (5/4 & 5/2)

12.00 & 12.30 (two divisions): Four of the ten renewals have been secured by favourites.

1.00: Three favourites have won via six contests, though it’s worth pointing out that two of the last three gold medallists scored at 66/1 and 25/1.

1.30: All seven winners have carried a maximum weight of 9-5.

2.35: Tinshu goes for a hat trick in the contest having won the only two renewals thus far. Trainer Derek Haydn Jones is looking for his first winner at the track this year having saddled sixteen losers at Lingfield in 2013.

3.10: The seven winners have scored at 20/1-16/1-16/1-14/1-14/1-6/1-9/2 thus far.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

THURSDAY 28/11:

Kempton (A/W):

KEMPTON (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 71
Favourite stats: 18 (25.7%--includes joint/co favourites & 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 4/5 (80.0%)

Leading trainers at Kempton:
4/8--Luca Cumani (16/1-11/8*-7/2-1/6*)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-7/2-5/1)
3/10--Charlie Appleby (11/10*-9/4*-4/5*)
3/13--Marco Botti (2/1-2/1*-5/1)

59/71 (831%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--John Gosden (6/5-2/1-7/4-15/8-5/4)
4--William Haggas (11/8-5/4-9/4-5/2)
3--George Baker (15/8-5/2-11/4)
3--James Fanshawe (9/4-9/2-5/2)
3--Richard Hannon (4/1**-7/2-13/8)

*

Newbury:

NEWBURY NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newbury: 35
Favourite stats: 13 (37.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 3/5 (60.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Newbury in 2013:
5--P. Nicholls (5/4*-8/11*-4/5*-5/1-18/1)
3--Nicky Henderson (5/4*-5/1*-Evs*)
2--Tony Carroll (8/1 & 13/2)
2--Harry Fry (7/4* & 11/4*)
2--Philip Hobbs (4/1 & 40/1)
2--Fergal O'Brien (4/1 & 33/1)
2--David Pipe (7/4* & 10/3)
2--Nigel Twiston-Davies (8/1 & 4/1)

Your first 30 days for just £1

30/35 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--David Pipe (3/1-4/1-11/4-11/10)
3--Paul Nicholls (6/1**-5/2-2/5)
2--Nicky Henderson (9/4 & 10/11)
2--Alan King (6/4 & 6/1)
2--Richard Lee (4/1 & 3/1)
2--Tim Vaughan (3/1 & 10/3)

Class 3 Novice hurdle event scheduled for 12.25: Seven favourites have prevailed during the last decade whilst the biggest priced winner during the period emerged at just 9/1. Paul Nicholls was not represented at the five day race despite having won this event four times in recent years.

Handicap Chase for Amateur riders due to be contested at 12.55: Two favourites have obliged via six renewals to date with three of the last four winners having carried a minimum burden of 11-2 to victory.

Novice handicap hurdle event scheduled for 1.30: Five and six years olds have shared six of the last seven) renewals of this event (five-year-olds lead 4-2), notwithstanding sixteen of a total of twenty five available toteplacepot positions. All eight winners have carried weights of 10-12 or more to date. Two favourites have obliged thus far, though bookmakers cheered home 25/1-12/1-11/1 winners during the period.

Three mile Grade 2 Novice Chase scheduled for 2.05: Paul Nicholls had Just a Par involved earlier in the week having secured three of the last nine renewals of this event. It’s worth noting (as Paul does invariably), that his only five day declaration is a six-year-old, representing the vintage which has secured three of the last four contests. Although only one (2/7) favourite has scored during the last decade, nine gold medallists were returned at odds of 13/2 or less.

Limited Handicap Chase over twenty two furlongs scheduled for 2.40: Six-year-olds have won four of the last five renewals, whilst four of the six winners to date carried a minimum weight of 11-4. Last year’s successful 4/1 market leader was the first favourite to oblige.

‘Gerry Fielden’ event scheduled for 3.15: Eight of the last ten winners have carried weights of 10-13 or less, whilst nine of the last fifteen favourites have reached the frame (four winners). Nicky Henderson has saddled three of the last seven gold medallists, whilst four-year-olds have secured four contests during the last decade. Nicky held two options for the race earlier in the week, namely Chatterbox and Karazhan.

Bumper event scheduled for 3.45: Four-year-olds have won all ten renewals, though only the last four contests have been open for other vintage representatives. Nicky Henderson has secured three of the last seven renewals and the local trainer’s only option at the five day stage was Maestro Royale. Three favourites have prevailed thus far, whilst seven of the last nine winners (including the last four) have been sent off a top price of 7/1.

*

Taunton:

TAUNTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Taunton: 54
Favourite stats: 26 (48.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/15 (66.7%)

Leading trainers of winners at Taunton in 2013:
6--Paul Nicholls: (7/4*-5/6*-6/5*-4/7*-13/2-11/4)
5--David Pipe (2/1*-8/11*-7/2-7/1-4/1)
4--Harry Fry (9/4-8/11*-10/3*-10/11*)
4--Venetia Williams (6/4*-5/4*-4/6*-4/6*)
3--Evan Williams (10/1-25/1-10/3)

50/54 winners (92.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less thus far,
forty two of which (77.8%) were sent off at a top price of 13/2

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--Paul Nicholls (6/4-5/6-4/6-3/1**-5/6)
3--Chris Down (10/3-4/1-5/2)
3--Philip Hobbs (15/8-6/4-Evs)
2--Nicky Henderson (10/11 & 11/10)
2--David Pipe (3/1** & 13/8)
2--Tim Vaughan (2/1 & 8/13)

*

Uttoxeter:

UTTOXETER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Uttoxeter: 146
Favourite stats: 48 (32.9%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/13 (61.5%)

Leading trainers at Uttoxeter in 2013:
7--David Pipe (6/1-7/1-3/1-16/1-10/3-16/1-2/1*)
6--Alan King (5/1-4/11*-6/4*-9/4*-Evs*-2/1*)
6--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-11/4-28/1-3/1-9/2-11/4)
6--Sue Smith (14/1-11/8*-5/1-7/1-3/1*-7/2*)
6--Nigel Twiston-Davies (85/40-10/3-9/4*-7/2-22/1-7/2*)
5--Peter Bowen (5/2-10/3*-4/1-11/4-8/11*)
4--Jim Best (4/1-11/8*-1/2*-6/4*)
4--Charlie Longsdon (4/1*-3/1-4/7*-8/1)
4--Evan Williams (15/8*-11/2-7/2-5/2*)

127/146 winners (87.0%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
17--Jonjo O'Neill (2/1-Evs-6/4-5/4-7/2-5/2-6/5-6/4-6/4-11/4-13/8-2/1-5/4-11/8-13/8-5/2-7/2**)
8--Donald McCain (3/1-13/8-5/2-2/1-9/4-5/2-5/4-6/4)
5--Tim Vaughan (2/1-9/4-7/4-11/8-6/5)
4--Nicky Henderson (13/8-15/8-13/8-15/8)
4--David Pipe (15/8-3/1-7/4-4/5)

Three mile novice hurdle event scheduled for 1.20: Six-year-olds have claimed six of the eight contests, whilst seven winners were returned at odds of 5/1 or less, statistics which include three successful favourites.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

FRIDAY 29/11:

Doncaster:

DONCASTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Doncaster: 42
Favourite stats: 20 (47.6%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/10 (70.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Doncaster in 2013:
4--Nicky Henderson (4/11*-11/4**-5/2-9/4*)
4--Paul Nicholls (85/40-4/5*-Evs*-13/8*)
4--Keith Reveley (20/1-7/2-9/1-9/4*)
3--John Ferguson (11/2-10/11*-Evs*)
3--John Quinn (14/1-7/4*-7/2)
2--Henry Daly (11/2 & 15/2)
2--Venetia Williams (5/2* & 6/1)

Over half of the winners (22/42) have emerged from just seven stables

38/42 winners sent off at odds of 9/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Paul Nicholls (11/4**-4/7-9/2-7/4**)
3--Alan King (3/1-9/4-13/2)
2--James Ewart (5/2 & 9/2)
2--Nicky Henderson (Evs & 11/10)
2--Jonjo O'Neill (2/1 & 5/1)
2--Jeremy Scott (7/2 & 7/4)
2--Tim Vaughan (3/1 & 1/2)

*

Musselburgh:

MUSSELBURGH NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Musselburgh: 43
Favourite stats: 16 (37.2% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Musselburgh in 2013:
8--Donald McCain (4/6*-1/5*-5/2-1/5*-17/2-7/4*-7/2-13/2)
3--Brian Ellison (7/1-9/2-5/1)
3--Venetia Williams (7/2-5/2*-9/4*)

42/43 winners (97.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Donald McCain (5/2-4/9-11/10-10/11)
2--Rose Dobbin (5/4 & 11/4)
2--James Ewart (7/4 twice)
2--Peter Niven (4/1 & 7/4)
2--Nicky Richards (7/2 & 11/4)
2--Venetia Williams (3/1 & 12/5)

*

Newbury:

NEWBURY NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newbury: 35
Favourite stats: 13 (37.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 3/5 (60.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Newbury in 2013:
5--P. Nicholls (5/4*-8/11*-4/5*-5/1-18/1)
3--Nicky Henderson (5/4*-5/1*-Evs*)
2--Tony Carroll (8/1 & 13/2)
2--Harry Fry (7/4* & 11/4*)
2--Philip Hobbs (4/1 & 40/1)
2--Fergal O'Brien (4/1 & 33/1)
2--David Pipe (7/4* & 10/3)
2--Nigel Twiston-Davies (8/1 & 4/1)

30/35 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--David Pipe (3/1-4/1-11/4-11/10)
3--Paul Nicholls (6/1**-5/2-2/5)
2--Nicky Henderson (9/4 & 10/11)
2--Alan King (6/4 & 6/1)
2--Richard Lee (4/1 & 3/1)
2--Tim Vaughan (3/1 & 10/3)

Juvenile hurdle event scheduled for 12.30: Paul Nicholls has saddled just eight runners in the lasteleven renewals of this novice hurdle event, and three of the Ditcheat raiders have snared gold, though his last three favourites (1/4-10/11-6/4) were only placed. Paul‘s only option earlier in the week was his French import Calipto. Seven favourites have won during the last sixteen years, whilst fourteen of the last sixteen winners have scored at odds of 8/1 or less. Twelve of the sixteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.

‘Pertempts’ three mile qualifier scheduled for 1.30: Seven of the eight favourites to date have secured toteplacepot positions (five winners), though a 33/1 winner brought relief to the layers twelve months ago. Phillip Hobbs led in Fair Along last year having secured his third victory in the race within the last six years. Philip held two options for the contest at the penultimate entry stage.

Two and a half mile novice chase (Berkshire Chase) scheduled for 2.05: Nicky Henderson has secured five of the last thirteen renewals (including three of the last five contests) and the trainer’s only entry at the five day stage was Close Touch. Six favourites have won during the last eleven years, whilst the last fifteen winners have scored at 10/1 or less. Ten of the sixteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions during the extended study period.

Class 2 handicap chase event over two and a half miles due to be contested at 2.40: Six renewals have slipped by without a successful market leader having been recorded, whilst seven-year-olds have secured four of the last nine renewals. Vintage representatives come to the gig on a hat trick this time around. Colin Tizzard invariably raids this contest, having won two of the last four renewals and it’s worth noting that his potential runner Theatrical Star is a seven-year-old who should have (good/soft) ground conditions in his favour by the time that flag fall arrives.

Five-year-olds come to the party on a four timer in the novice hurdle for mares on the card which is scheduled for 3.15. Just one of the eight contests thus far has been won by a market leader, albeit the last seven winners have scored at a top price of 9/2.

Class 3 Maiden Hurdle scheduled for 3.45: Four-year-olds have won six of the last nine renewals, whilst Nicky Henderson has claimed three victories during the last eleven years. Seven of the twelve favourites have won to date, the other five starting prices being returned at 50/1-16/1-8/1-11/2-7/2. Nine of the twelve market leaders have finished in the frame.

*

Wolverhampton:

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 105
Favourite stats: 39 (37.1%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/15 (46.7%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
9/33--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1-9/1-7/2*)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)
3/9--Phil McBride (9/4-50/1-5/4*)
3/16--Michael Appleby (5/6*-7/2-4/1)
3/24--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2)
3/25--David O'Meara (16/1-5/1-11/1)

96/105 (91.4%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
6--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**-4/1**)
5--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8-11/4)
3--Marco Botti (5/4-13/8-Evs)
3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)
3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)
3--David O'Meara (4/6-11/10-9/2)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)
3--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

SATURDAY 30/11:

Bangor:

BANGOR NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Bangor: 74
Favourite stats: 31 (41.9% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/15 (66.7%)

Leading trainers at Bangor in 2013:
8--Donald McCain (Evs*-3/1-5/6*-11/8*-4/6*-4/9*-11/2-8/15*)
6--Rebecca Curtis (2/1*-5/1-11/8*-1/2*-Evs*-8/11*)
5--Jonjo O'Neill (7/1-10/1-5/2-9/2-13/8*)
4--Fergal O'Brien (11/8*-9/4*-5/1-9/2)
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (15/2-7/1-11/4**-11/1)
3--Tony Coyle (8/1-2/1-5/2)
3--Miss Sally Duckett (5/4*-85/40-5/4*)
3--Nicky Henderson (5/4-15/2-4/6*)
3--Charlie Longsdon (3/1-11/8*-9/4)
3--John O'Shea (5/1-11/4-16/1)

70/74 winners (94.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-6/4-11/4-7/2-11/8-11/4-13/8-4/1-7/4)
6--Donald McCain (11/10-5/6-2/1-5/4-6/4-4/6)
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (7/2-5/2**-9/2-5/2)
3--Peter Bowen (7/2-2/1-2/1)
3--Tim Vaughan (10/11-13/8-2/5)

*

Newbury:

NEWBURY NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newbury: 35
Favourite stats: 13 (37.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 3/5 (60.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Newbury in 2013:
5--P. Nicholls (5/4*-8/11*-4/5*-5/1-18/1)
3--Nicky Henderson (5/4*-5/1*-Evs*)
2--Tony Carroll (8/1 & 13/2)
2--Harry Fry (7/4* & 11/4*)
2--Philip Hobbs (4/1 & 40/1)
2--Fergal O'Brien (4/1 & 33/1)
2--David Pipe (7/4* & 10/3)
2--Nigel Twiston-Davies (8/1 & 4/1)

30/35 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--David Pipe (3/1-4/1-11/4-11/10)
3--Paul Nicholls (6/1**-5/2-2/5)
2--Nicky Henderson (9/4 & 10/11)
2--Alan King (6/4 & 6/1)
2--Richard Lee (4/1 & 3/1)
2--Tim Vaughan (3/1 & 10/3)

Additional stats (see the opening paragraphs for the main facts and figures) for the Hennessy Gold Cup which is scheduled for 3.00: Seven-year-olds have won five of the last eight renewals of the Hennessy Gold Cup. Five favourites have won the Hennessy Gold Cup in the last sixteen years, though just two of the other eleven market leaders have additionally secured toteplacepot positions.

Jim Joel Trophy’ scheduled for 3.35: Seven-year-olds have won six of the last fifteen contests. Paul Nicholls (four) and Nicky Henderson (two) have secured six of the last nine contests between them. Five of the last twelve favourites have won, whilst seven market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions during the period. Fifteen of the last sixteen winners have been returned at odds of 8/1 or less.

*

Newcastle:

NEWCASTLE NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newcastle: 44
Favourite stats: 21 (47.8%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/7 (71.4%)

Trainers of winners at Newcastle in 2013:
4--Nick Alexander (1/2*-7/2-6/1-11/2)
4--John Wade (6/5*-15/8*-5/2*-2/1*)
4--Phil Kirby (Evs*-4/1-4/1-7/4*)
4--Donald McCain (7/2-3/1-4/1-22/1)
3--Lucinda Russell (3/1-4/6*-14/1)
2--Stuart Crawford (3/1* & 11/8*)
2--James Ewart (6/4* & 4/1*)
2--Keith Reveley (5/2-30/100*)
2--Nicky Richards (6/4* & 9/1)

38/44 (86.4%) of the winners scored at odds of 7/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--James Ewart (2/1-4/11-5/2-4/1)
4--Donald McCain (11/4-9/2-10/11-3/1)
2--Chris Grant (7/2 & 4/1)
2--Lucinda Russell (9/4 & 3/1)

‘The French Furze’ novice hurdle event scheduled for 1.05: Five-year-olds have secured three of the four renewals to date.

Two and a half mile handicap chase scheduled for 1.35: Favourites have won four of the last ten renewals. Sue Smith has saddled 14/1 and 2/1 (favourite) winners in two of the last three renewals in which the trainer has been represented. Sue’s only option this year is Swing Hard.

‘Fighting Fifth’ scheduled for 2.05: Five-year-olds have won six of the last eleven renewals and three of this year’s dozen declarations at the penultimate stage represented the vintage. Three clear market leaders have prevailed during the last nine years alongside a successful joint favourite. A top priced winner of 4/1 has emerged in eight of the last nine contests.

‘Rehearsal Chase’ scheduled for 2.40: Eight-year-olds have won three of the last four contests, whilst three favourites have won via the nine most recent renewals.

*

Towcester:

TOWCESTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Towcester: 84
Favourite stats: 29 (34.5%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/14 (71.4%)

Leading trainers of winners at Towcester in 2013:
6--Fergal O'Brien (2/1*-8/1-15/8*-11/2-4/5*-6/1)
4--Kim Bailey (6/4*-6/4*-7/2*-4/1)
4--David Pipe (7/4*-4/1-1/2*-13/8*)
3--Claire Dyson (5/1-16/1-4/1)
3--Nicky Henderson (2/1*-2/11*-9/4)
3--Tim Vaughan (4/1-11/4**-8/1)

76/84 winners (90.5%) were sent off at a top price of 12/1

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (9/4-11/8-3/1-5/4)
3--Kim Bailey (5/4-7/4-8/13)
3--Nicky Henderson (Evs-11/4-15/8)

Novice hurdle event for mares scheduled for 12.15: Five-year-olds have won four of the last five contests. Three of the last four favourites have obliged, as have five of the last eight market leaders.

Novice hurdle qualifier scheduled for 1.15 over twenty one furlongs: Five-year-olds have dominated this race of late, securing seven of the last ten contests. Five renewals have slipped by since the last favourite obliged when landing a hat trick of victories for market leaders.

Three mile handicap hurdle contest scheduled for 1.45: Just two (5/4 & 7/4) market leaders have prevailed via the last nine renewals.

*

Wolverhampton:

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 105
Favourite stats: 39 (37.1%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/15 (46.7%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
9/33--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1-9/1-7/2*)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)
3/9--Phil McBride (9/4-50/1-5/4*)
3/16--Michael Appleby (5/6*-7/2-4/1)
3/24--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2)
3/25--David O'Meara (16/1-5/1-11/1)

96/105 (91.4%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
6--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**-4/1**)
5--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8-11/4)
3--Marco Botti (5/4-13/8-Evs)
3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)
3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)
3--David O'Meara (4/6-11/10-9/2)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)
3--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

SUNDAY 01/12:

Leicester:

LEICESTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Leicester: 32
Favourite stats: 18 (56.2%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/8 (75.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Leicester in 2013:
4--Tom George (7/1-1/4*-13/8*-5/1)
3--John Ferguson (6/5*-8/11*-8/11*)
3--Venetia Williams (2/1*-3/1*-2/1**)
2--Richard Guest (5/1 & Evs*)
2--G.D. Hanmer (7/1 & 3/1)
2--David Pipe (10/11* & 15/8*)

30/32 winners (93.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
2--Fergal O'Brien (5/4 twice)
2--David Pipe (15/8 & 10/3**)

*

Carlisle:

CARLISLE NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Carlisle: 75
Favourite stats: 34 (45.9%--includes joint and co favourites & one non runner)
Odds on ratio: 10/15 (66.7%)

Leading trainers of winners at Carlisle in 2013:
6--Jonjo O'Neill (9/2-6/4-7/4*-6/4*-11/10*-5/4*)
5--Nicky Richards (1/8*-5/1-3/1**-10/1-4/1)
4--Charlie Longsdon (6/4*-11/10*-10/11*-4/5*)
4--Alan Swinbank (6/1-10/1-11/10*-6/4*)
3--Tim Easterby (3/1**-15/8*-8/1)
3--James Ewart (4/7*-2/1*-11/8)
3--Brian Ellison (11/4-6/1-7/2*)

70/75 winners (93.3%) scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--Lucinda Russell (3/1**-5/2-6/4-11/10-7/2**-11/8)
4--Donald McCain (4/9-4/6-7/2-4/1)
4--Sue Smith (4/1***-9/2-9/2-3/1**)
3--Brian Ellison (6/4-7/2**-3/1)
3--Charlie Longsdon (Evs-5/6-11/8)
3--Alan Swinbank (5/2-5/2-6/5)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

MONDAY 02/12:

Plumpton:

PLUMPTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Plumpton: 84
Favourite stats: 33 (39.3%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/11 (81.8%)

Leading trainers of winners at Plumpton in 2013:
6--Gary Moore (6/1-9/2-Evs-9/2-7/2-4/1**)
5--Alan King (6/4-8/11*-1/2*-11/10*-8/11*)
5--David Pipe (1/5*-15/8*-1/7*-9/2-11/8*)
4--Chris Gordon (33/1-5/1-9/1-7/2)
4--Suzy Smith (8/1-5/1-16/1-11/4**)
4--Venetia Williams (9/4*-3/1**-Evs*10/11*)
3--Kevin Tork (40/1-3/1*-11/8*)
3--Sheena West (9/4-6/1-10/3*)

74/84 winners (88.1%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Charlie Longsdon (Evs-3/1-15/8-11/4)
3--Philip Hobbs (7/4-11/8-3/1)
3--Gary Moore (2/1-6/4-3/1)
3--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-9/2-11/4)
3--Tim Vaughan (11/8-6/4-2/1**)

*

Kempton (A/W):

KEMPTON (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 71
Favourite stats: 18 (25.7%--includes joint/co favourites & 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 4/5 (80.0%)

Leading trainers at Kempton:
4/8--Luca Cumani (16/1-11/8*-7/2-1/6*)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-7/2-5/1)
3/10--Charlie Appleby (11/10*-9/4*-4/5*)
3/13--Marco Botti (2/1-2/1*-5/1)

59/71 (831%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--John Gosden (6/5-2/1-7/4-15/8-5/4)
4--William Haggas (11/8-5/4-9/4-5/2)
3--George Baker (15/8-5/2-11/4)
3--James Fanshawe (9/4-9/2-5/2)
3--Richard Hannon (4/1**-7/2-13/8)

*

Wolverhampton:

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 105
Favourite stats: 39 (37.1%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/15 (46.7%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
9/33--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1-9/1-7/2*)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)
3/9--Phil McBride (9/4-50/1-5/4*)
3/16--Michael Appleby (5/6*-7/2-4/1)
3/24--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2)
3/25--David O'Meara (16/1-5/1-11/1)

96/105 (91.4%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
6--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**-4/1**)
5--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8-11/4)
3--Marco Botti (5/4-13/8-Evs)
3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)
3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)
3--David O'Meara (4/6-11/10-9/2)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)
3--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4)

Weekly Stat Pack: 19th to 25th November

29th Oct to 4th Nov

Weekly Stat Pack: 19th to 25th November

David Pipe’s 5995/1 four-timer at Cheltenham bailed us out of trouble last week after I had suggested that he and Paul Nicholls might dominate the Open meeting at Prestbury Park.

That said, favourites offered similar results to the previous year (as anticipated) with a 21% strike rate as opposed to the 16.7% ratio in 2012.

So what of this week’s ‘predictions’ as far as the main meetings are concerned?

Nicky Henderson has long since ruled the National Hunt scene at Ascot having secured thirty-two winners during the last five years.

If anything goes wrong for the trainer this weekend, there is always Kempton’s NH fixture on Monday to fall back on, given that Nicky has already saddled twelve winners at the Sunbury track in 2013.

That said, Nicky saddled four winners (7/4*-4/7*-15/8*-8/15*) at last year’s two day meeting at Ascot and though we should never take anything for granted in this sport, it would be something of a shock if Nicky failed to hit the target this time around.

For additional confidence, readers should note that Nicky saddled the first three winners on the Friday at the 2011 fixture.

Over at Haydock for their two-day fixture, results are not quite so predictable whereby you might take note of Tim Easterby’s 16/1 and 10/1 winners at the meeting twelve months ago, whilst Paul Nicholls has saddled five of the eight winners of Saturday’s Belfair ‘Chase thus far.

Paul held two entries for this year’s renewal at the time of writing.  The fact that this event is the first Grade 1 contest of the NH season is often forgotten.

Apologies for ending on a negative note, but we lost Warwick’s Wednesday card to the weather last year and with potential snow showers on the horizon for their meeting this time around, it’s time to get your ‘thermals’ out of the drawer!

Don’t forget to log on every day to receive updates where venues stage more than one meeting during the course of the week. This week’s relevant racecourses:

Thursday: Kempton (A/W)

Saturday: Ascot--Haydock--Wolverhampton--Lingfield

Monday: Wolverhampton

Day by day analysis for this week:

TUESDAY 19/11:

Fakenham:

FAKENHAM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Fakenham: 46
Favourite stats: 17 (37.0% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/13 (61.5%)

Trainers of winners at Fakenham in 2013:
4--Neil King (3/1-9/4-9/1-7/2)
4--Lucy Wadham (9/1-9/4*-11/4-7/1)
3--Peter Bowen (4/1-6/5*-3/1)
3--Caroline Fryer (11/1-7/4*-11/4*)
3--Nicky Henderson (2/5*-10/11*-6/4)
3--Paul Nicholls (9/4*-8/11*-4/9*)
2--John Cornwall (8/1 & 5/1)
2--Fred Hutsby (15/8** & 8/15*)

All 46 winners have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--John Ferguson (2/1**-11/8-15/8**-8/13)
2--Warren Greatrex (2/5 & 3/1)
2--Alex Hales (6/4 & 11/8)
2--Gary Moore (1/6 & 9/4)

2.00: Four-year-olds have secured four of the last six renewals, whilst just two favourites has prevailed via the last nine contests.

3.30: Four of the six winners have carried a minimum burden of 11-4, whilst nine-year-olds have secured three of the six contests. Five renewals have slipped by without a successful market leader being recorded since the inaugural 4/5 favourite obliged back in 2007.

*

Lingfield (NH):

LINGFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Lingfield: 47
Favourite stats: 17 (36.2%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/16 (37.5%)

Trainers of winners at Lingfield in 2013:
3--Philip Hobbs (9/4-4/6*-2/5*)
3--Gary Moore (8/1-3/1-11/4)
3--Pat Phelan (7/2-10/1-4/7*)
2--George Baker (6/4* & 5/2*)
2--Alison Batchelor (66/1 & 14/1)
2--Mick Channon (13/8 & 16/1)
2--Warren Greatrex (12/1 & 10/11*)
2--Tom Gretton (7/4* & 9/4**)
2--Venetia Williams (9/4* & 11/8*)

38/47 winners (80.9%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
3--Nicky Henderson (13/8-4/7-5/4)
2--Warren Greatrex (11/4 & 10/11)
2--Charlie Longsdon (6/5 & 11/10)
2--Tim Vaughan (4/11 & 4/6)

*

Southwell (A/W):

SOUTHWELL (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 16
Favourite stats: 4 (25.0%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 1/2 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Southwell:
2/4--Michael Appleby (6/1 & 9/4*)
1/1--Eric Alston (10/1)
1/1--Tony Coyle (10/1)
1/1--Violet M Jordan (4/1**)
1/1--Michael Wigham (13/8*)

15/16 (93.7%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
2--Keith Dalgleish (11/4 & 2/1)
2--John Jenkins (4/1** & 2/1)

12.10: Just two favourites have won via the last eight renewals during which time, four gold medallists were returned at odds ranging between 11/1 & 40/1.

12.40: Three year-olds have secured six renewals during the last decade during which time, just one (13/8) favourite prevailed.

1.40: Market leaders have obliged in three of the last six contests, albeit there was a rogue 33/1 gold medallist recorded during the period.

2.40: Two clear market leaders and one joint favourite have prevailed via six renewals thus far. Back-to-back 16/1 winners in 2008/09 kept the majority of the layers happy.

3.10 & 3.40 (two divisions): Four-year-olds have won six of the last ten contests during which time, just one market leader has obliged. Eight of the last eleven winners prevailed at odds ranging between 13/2 and 25/1.

*

Wolverhampton:

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 74
Favourite stats: 29 (39.2%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/14 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
7/24--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)
3/22--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2)
2/2--David Lanigan (4/5* & 4/6*)
2/4--Charlie Appleby (6/4* & 10/11*)
2/4--Sir Mark Prescott (3/1** & 11/4)
2/5--Gerard Butler (4/1 & 7/2**)
2/6--David Barron (11/10* & 11/4)
2/6--Phil McBride (9/4 & 5/4*)
2/9--James Tate (10/3 & 8/1)
2/17--Keith Dalgleish (5/2 & 9/2)
2/20--David O'Meara (16/1 & 11/1)

68/74 (91.9%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
5--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**)
4--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8)
3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)
3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)
3--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4)
2--William Haggas (2/13 & 5/4)
2--Kevin Ryan (11/4-3/1)

WOLVERHAMPTON JOCKEY FAVOURITE STATS:

SYLVESTRE DE SOUSA:
8 winners (total stats at Wolverhampton: 11/25--44.0%)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (2/1-8/11-10/11)
2--Charlie Appleby (6/4 & 10/11)
1--Michael Appleby (5/6)
1--Mark Johnston (13/8)
1--Ian Williams (2/1)
5 losers (odds on ratio to date: 4/6--66.7%)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)
1--David Evans (4/1**)
1--Mark Johnston (5/2)

ADAM KIRBY:
5 winners (total stats at Wolverhampton: 6/17--35.3%)
3 David Evans (4/1***-7/2-9/2)
1--Alan King (11/8)
1--Jamie Osborne (10/11)
1 loser (Odds on ratio to date: 1/1)
1--David Evans (7/4)

GRAHAM LEE:
3 winners (total stats at Wolverhampton: 4/35--11.4%)
1--Johnny Farrelly (11/8)
1--Ed McMahon (4/1**)
1--Kevin Ryan (15/8)
4 losers (no odds on stats to date)
1--Johnny Farrelly (11/10)
1--James Given (7/2**)
1--Iain Jardine (4/1***)
1--Willie Musson (2/1)

LUKE MORRIS:
3 winners (total stats at Wolverhampton: 6/35--17.1%)
1--Luke Dace (9/4**)
1--Sir Mark Prescott (3/1**)
1--Ed Walker (9/4)
5 losers (no odds on stats to date)
3--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4)
1--Marco Botti (5/4)
1--Chris Dwyer (7/2**)

TED DURCAN:
2 winners (total stats at Wolverhampton: 2/4--50.0%)
2--David Lanigan (4/6 & 4/5)
1 loser (odds on ratio to date: 2/2)
1--Jamie Osborne (7/4)

CATHY GANNON:
1 winner (total stats at Wolverhampton: 1/4--25.0%)
1--Jim Allen (2/1)
No losers

STEPHEN CRAINE:
1 winner (total stats at Wolverhampton: 1/8--12.5%)
1--Tom Dascombe (11/10)
No losers

DAVID PROBERT:
1 winner (total stats at Wolverhampton: 1/4--25.0%)
1--Patrick Chamings (11/8)
No losers

LOUIS STEWARD:
1 winner (total stats at Wolverhampton: 1/4--25.0%)
1--Phil McBride (5/4)
No losers

WILLIAM TWISTON-DAVIES:
1 winner (total stats at Wolverhampton: 2/10--20.0%)
1--Gerard Butler (7/2**)
1 loser (no odds on stats to date)
1--Geoff OLdroyd (7/2)

EOIN WALSH:
1 winner (total stats at Wolverhampton: 1/8--12.5%)
1--David Evans (5/4)
2 losers (no odds on stats to date)
2--David Evans (2/1 & 9/4)

GRAHAM GIBBONS:
1 winner (total stats at Wolverhampton: 2/19--10.5%)
1--David Barron (11/10)
1 loser (odds on ratio to date: 0/1)
1--David Barron (10/11)

SHANE KELLY:
1 winner (total stats at Wolverhampton: 1/10--10.0%)
1--Robert Cowell (11/10)
1 loser (no odds on stats to date)
1--John Stimpson (7/2)

JOCKETS YET TO RIDE A WINNING FAVOURITE THUS FAR:
3 beaten favourites--David Allen (6/4--3/1**-5/2--all for Tim Easterby)
3 beaten favourites--Joe Fanning (10/3-13/8 M. Johnston & 2/13 W. Haggas)
2 beaten favourites--Andrea Atzeni (1/2 for Luca Cumani & 7/4 for George Baker)
2 beaten favourites--Tom Eaves (both 5/2 for Keith Dalgleish)
2 beaten favourites--Martin Harley (10/11 Mick Channon & 7/2** David Evans)
2 beaten favourites--Robert Tart (7/4 for Alan Bailey & 2/1 for Brian Ellison)
2 beaten favourites--Daniel Tudhope (11/4 for Kevin Ryan & 4/6 for David O'Meara)
1 beaten favourite--George Baker (5/2 for James Unett)
1 beaten favourite--Laura Barry (4/1 for Ollie Pears)
1 beaten favourite--George Chaloner (7/2 for Robert Eddery)
1 beaten favoruite--Ben Curtis (5/4 for Gerard Butler)
1 beaten favourite--Patrick Donaghy (13/8 for Giles Bravery)
1 beaten favourite--Duran Fentiman (2/1 for Shaun Harris)
1 beaten favourite--Shane Gray (3/1 for Kevin Ryan)
1 beaten favourite--Jason Hart (2/1 for Keith Dlagleish)
1 beaten favourite--Liam Jones (5/4 for William Haggas)
1 beaten favourite--Richard Kingscote (7/2 for Miltonj Bradley)
1 beaten favourite--Andrew Mullen (4/1*** for Michael Appleby)
1 beaten favourite--Tom Queally (5/4 for Lady Cecil)
1 beaten favourite--Jimmy Quinn (9/4 for Ed Vaughan)
1 beaten favourite--Raul Da Silva (9/4** for Derek Shaw)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

WEDNESDAY 20/11:

Hexham:

HEXHAM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Hexham: 79
Favourite stats: 29 (36.7% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/10 (60.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Hexham in 2013:
15--Lucinda Russell (5/2*-13/8*-15/8-11/1-3/1-9/1-15/8*-6/1-13/8*-7/1-5/2*-9/4*-5/2-13/8*-5/1)
6--Sue Smith (5/1-11/4-10/3-4/1**-7/2-7/2)
3--Stuart Crawford (11/10*-7/4-3/1)
3--Rose Dobbin (7/1-4/1-20/1)
3--Ferdy Murphy (5/1-6/1-15/8*)
3--Dianne Sayer (16/1-15/8*-7/2**)

73/79 winners (92.4%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
12--Lucinda Russell (13/8-4/1**-5/2**-7/4-7/4-3/1-4/1-8/15-3/1-11/4-10/3-7/2***)
8--Sue Smith (9/2-5/1**-11/4-2/1-11/2***-11/2-9/4-8/11)
3--Tim Vaughan (7/4-7/4-11/4)

Juvenile maiden hurdle due to be contested at 1.10: Six of the eight favourites have finished in the frame via seven renewals (three winners), whilst the biggest priced gold medallist to date was returned at 7/1.

Class 5 handicap hurdle event over two and a half miles scheduled for 2.40: Seven of the nine winners have carried weights of 11-1 or less, whilst the same number of gold medallists were returned in single figures, statistics which include three successful market leaders. Ten-year-olds have won three of the last four contests.

*

Kempton (A/W):

KEMPTON (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 55
Favourite stats: 15 (27.8%--includes joint/co favourites & 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 3/4 (75.0%)

Leading trainers at Kempton:
4/7--Luca Cumani (16/1-11/8*-7/2-1/6*)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-7/2-5/1)
3/10--Charlie Appleby (11/10*-9/4*-4/5*)
2/5--Marcus Tregoning (11/2 & 6/1)
2/4--James Bethell (9/2 & 8/1)
2/5--David Lanigan (5/2 & 9/2)
2/5--Brendan Powell (33/1 & 8/1)
2/9--Marco Botti (2/1 & 5/1)
2/14--John Gosden (2/5* & 8/1)
2/26--Richard Hannon (7/2 & 11/2)

46/55 (83.6%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--John Gosden (6/5-2/1-7/4-15/8)
3--George Baker (15/8-5/2-11/4)
2--Charlie Appleby (3/1 & Evs)
2--Andrew Balding (2/1 & 15/8)
2--James Fanshawe (9/4 & 5/2)
2--William Haggas (11/8 & 9/4)
2--Richard Hannon (4/1** & 13/8)
2--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5 & 9/4**)

*

Lingfield (A/W):

LINGFIELD (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 40
Favourite stats: 13 (32.5%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 2/6 (33.3%)

Leading trainers at Lingfield:
2/2--Willie Musson (5/1 & 3/1*)
2/3--Charlie Appleby (10/1 & 6/1)
2/4--Simon Dow (5/1 & 5/2**)
2/4--William Haggas (9/2 & 11/4)
2/7--Roger Varian (5/6* & 5/2)
2/9--Richard Hannon (7/1 & 14/1)
2/11--Gary Moore (6/1 & 8/1)
1/1--Laura Mongan (8/1)
1/1--David O'Meara (5/2*)
1/1--Suzy Smith (33/1)

35/40 (87.5%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
2--Marco Botti (9/4 & 5/2)
2--Peter Makin (4/1** & 3/1**)
2--Brian Meehan (1/3 & 11/4)
2--Gary Moore (5/1** & 10/11)
2--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/1** & 11/4)
2--Roger Varian (5/4 & 5/2)

12.00: Three favourites have prevailed during the last decade, whilst nine winners were returned at a top price of 6/1.

12.30: Favourites have secured five of the last ten renewals, whilst the biggest priced winner was sent off at just 11/2 during the period.

1.00: Nine winners during the last decade have scored at 7/1 or less, statistics which include three successful market leaders. All ten recent winners of this Nursery event have carried a minimum of nine stones, nine of which carried 9-5 or more.

1.30 & 2.00 (two divisions): All or nothing as far as bookmakers and punters are concerned, as three favourites have obliged via six contests, with the other trio of gold medallists being returned at 33/1-33/1-25/1.

3.00: Three-year-olds have won eight renewals during the last decade during which time, three short priced (8/11--Evs--5/4) favourites have obliged.

*

Warwick:

WARWICK NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Warwick: 43
Favourite stats: 21 (48.8%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/7 (71.4%)

Leading trainers of winners at Warwick in 2013:
5--Alan King (Evs*-8/15*-5/2-7/4**-3/1**)
3--David Pipe (1/2*-7/2*-7/4*)
2--Henry Daly (9/4*-5/2*)
2--Tom George (11/2 & 2/1)
2--Nicky Henderson (7/4* & 9/4*)
2--Charlie Longsdon (12/1 & 11/8*)
2--Jonjo O'Neill (7/1 & 16/1)
2--Nigel Twiston-Davies (5/1 & 1/2*)

40/43 gold medallists (93.0%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
3--Tom George (4/1-10/11-3/1)
3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (3/1-6/4-2/1)
2--Philip Hobbs (11/4 & 3/1**)
2--Charlie Longsdon (7/2-11/8)
2--Jonjo O'Neill (10/3 & 3/1)
2--Venetia Williams (7/2 & 6/4)

Nineteen furlong handicap hurdle event scheduled for 12.50: Five and six-year-old’s have dominated this event during the last eleven years, five-year-olds leading 5-4 during the period with vintage representatives coming to this year’s gig on a four timer.

Your first 30 days for just £1

National Hunt novice hurdle over two miles scheduled for 2.50: Four-year-old’s have secured seven of the last eight renewals and a 12/1 chance was the shortest priced vintage representative in the year that four-year-old’s ‘missed out’. Out of interest, an 18/1 four-year-old finished third that year (2010).

Three and a quarter mile chase scheduled for 3.20: Six favourites have prevailed during the eleven years whilst the same number of gold medallists carried weights of 11-0 or more, as have ten of the last fifteen horses to have secured toteplacepot positions.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

THURSDAY 21/11:

Kempton (A/W):

KEMPTON (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 55
Favourite stats: 15 (27.8%--includes joint/co favourites & 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 3/4 (75.0%)

Leading trainers at Kempton:
4/7--Luca Cumani (16/1-11/8*-7/2-1/6*)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-7/2-5/1)
3/10--Charlie Appleby (11/10*-9/4*-4/5*)
2/5--Marcus Tregoning (11/2 & 6/1)
2/4--James Bethell (9/2 & 8/1)
2/5--David Lanigan (5/2 & 9/2)
2/5--Brendan Powell (33/1 & 8/1)
2/9--Marco Botti (2/1 & 5/1)
2/14--John Gosden (2/5* & 8/1)
2/26--Richard Hannon (7/2 & 11/2)

46/55 (83.6%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--John Gosden (6/5-2/1-7/4-15/8)
3--George Baker (15/8-5/2-11/4)
2--Charlie Appleby (3/1 & Evs)
2--Andrew Balding (2/1 & 15/8)
2--James Fanshawe (9/4 & 5/2)
2--William Haggas (11/8 & 9/4)
2--Richard Hannon (4/1** & 13/8)
2--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5 & 9/4**)

*

Market Rasen:

MARKET RASEN NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Market Rasen: 110
Favourite stats: 42 (38.2%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 14/22 (63.6%)

Leading trainers of winners at Market Rasen in 2013:
9--Charlie Longsdon (6/1-9/2-7/2-5/1-2/1*-3/1*-5/6*-5/6*-1/2*)
6--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1**-15/2-11/10*-5/2*-2/1*-8/11*)
4--Peter Bowen (11/2-3/1*-5/6*-3/1)
4--John Ferguson (1/2*-9/2**-8/1-8/13*)
4--Fergal O'Brien (5/1-7/4*-9/1-16/1)
4--Lucy Wadham (9/4**-9/1-7/2-13/8*)

100/110 winners (90.9%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
12--Jonjo O'Neill (7/2**-9/2**11/4-9/4-5/4-5/2-9/2**-5/1**-9/4-5/4-2/1**-15/8**)
5--John Ferguson (4/1**-11/10-11/4-7/4-9/2)
5--Charlie Longsdon (9/4**-3/10*-1/6-15/8**-11/4)
5--Donald McCain (10/11-2/1-3/1-13/8-11/8)
4--Jennie Candlish (2/1-11/4-7/2-5/4)
4--Dianne Sayer (11/10-4/5-11/4-6/5)

*

Wincanton:

WINCANTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Wincanton: 102
Favourite stats: 36 (35.3%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 13/19 (68.4%)

Leading trainers of winners at Wincanton in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):
16--Paul Nicholls (6/1-1/3*-17/2-3/1-Evs*-2/1-8/13*-Evs*-3/1-7/4*-4/6*-1/4*-2/5*-7/2-4/5*-11/8*)
7--David Pipe (5/6*-10/1-4/1**-3/1-5/1-7/2-5/2*)
6--Jeremy Scott (25/1-11/8*-7/1-7/1-5/1-9/2)
6--Colin Tizzard (4/1-11/4**-9/1-10/1-11/4-4/9*)
5--Harry Fry (3/1-16/1-5/4*-13/2-5/1)
5--Tom George (6/1-11/5*-2/1*-3/1-3/1)
4--Philip Hobbs (5/4*-Evs*-7/1-9/4*)

93/103 of the winners (90.3%) started at 12/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
11--Paul Nicholls (5/2-5/6-3/1-7/2-11/8-9/4-4/9-11/8-Evs-1/3-5/2)
10--David Pipe (7/2-7/2**-13/8-6/5-11/4**-9/4-7/4-6/1-15/8-6/4)
6--Philip Hobbs (Evs-11/10-7/4-3/1**-7/2**-5/2)
4--Nicky Henderson (6/5-5/4-2/5-4/6)
4--Colin Tizzard (5/2**-7/2**-7/2-4/1)
3--Alan King (3/1** & 3/1-5/1**)
3--Jeremy Scott (2/1-9/4-4/1**)

Conditional jockeys/Amateur rider event due to be contested at 12.50: Six-year-olds old have secured four of the last five contests, whilst just one favourite has obliged via eight renewals during the last decade.

Two mile handicap chase scheduled for 1.20: Eight renewals have slipped by without a winning favourites being registered.

Two mile six furlong novice hurdle event scheduled for 2.25: Paul Nicholls has saddled five of the last eight winners with the trainer holding three options this time around. Philip Hobbs has two runners entered in the race having secured two winners during the Nicholls (virtual) domination of the contest.

*

Chepstow:

CHEPSTOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Chepstow: 87
Favourite stats: 28 (32.2%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/13 (53.8%)

Leading trainers of winners at Chepstow in 2013:
5--Alan King (2/1*-6/1-3/1-5/2-5/1)
4--Henry Daly (11/4*-5/2-5/4*-5/2**)
4--Martin Keighley (7/2-7/2-10/11*-5/1)
4--Colin Tizzard (9/2-4/1-11/4*-5/1)

73/87 (83.9%) of the winners scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
11--Paul Nicholls (7/4-9/4-11/4-8/11-4/5-11/4-7/4-4/7-11/8-7/4-4/1**)
5--Jonjo O'Neill (5/1**-4/1-7/4-6/4-6/4)
3--Tom George (2/1-7/2-7/4)
3--Philip Hobbs (6/4**-Evs-2/1)
3--Martin Keighley (2/1-11/4-5/1***)
3--Sophie Leech (9/2-5/1***-9/2)
3--David Pipe (5/2-9/4-5/2)
3--Colin Tizzard (5/1 **-15/8-2/1)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

FRIDAY 22/11:

Ascot:

ASCOT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ascot: 21
Favourite stats: 9 (42.8% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 4/4

Trainers of winners at Ascot in 2013:
3--Venetia Williams (16/1-12/1-7/4*)
2--Nick Gifford (33/1 & 11/1)
2--Paul Nicholls (8/13* & 8/13*)
2--David Pipe (4/6*-11/4*)
2--Colin Tizzard (15/8*-5/1)

16/21 winners (72.2%) thus far were sent off at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
5--Nicky Henderson (2/1**-11/8-7/2-5/2-5/2**)
2--Gary Moore (3/1 & 4/1)

Beginners’ Chase scheduled for 1.30: The trade press would have you believe that this is a new race which I guess is true to a fashion, though only because the length of the contest has been reduced by a couple of furlongs. I do not believe I would be offering a service if I decided to hide the previous facts from readers, though you must (as ever) make up your own minds of course. Favourites had/have won all five renewals to date, with Nicky Henderson potentially coming to the gig on a four timer. Nicky only had Top Of The Range involved at the time of writing.

‘Introductory’ hurdle event scheduled for 2.05: Four-year-olds have secured four of the last seven contests, whilst Nicky Henderson was responsible for five of the nineteen penultimate stage declarations, with Barry Geraghty already ‘jocked aboard’ Nicky’s Kempton bumper winner West Wizard.

Two mile three handicap chase scheduled for 2.40: Seven-year-olds have won five of the last six contests. I highlighted the (previous) fact two years ago (3/4 at the time) and one of just two vintage representatives on the day scored at 20/1. Just five of this year’s twenty two potential runners were seven-year-olds at the time of writing. Three favourites have obliged to date via seven renewals.

Three mile handicap chase scheduled for 3.15: Six and eight-year-olds have dominated this event, equally sharing the six renewals thus far. Two (15/8) favourites have prevailed whilst five winners were returned at a top price of 8/1.

Two mile handicap hurdle due to close out the card at 3.50: Nicky Henderson has saddled three of the last seven winners (all returned as favourites of their respective events), whilst market leaders have secured four of the eight contests during the last decade. Three of the last four favourites have prevailed, whilst the last seven gold medallists were sent off at odds of 8/1 or less. Philip Hobbs only has course and distance winner Dunraven Storm entered this year having secured two of the renewals when the race eluded Nicky Henderson.

*

Ffos Las:

FFOS LAS NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ffos Las: 116
Favourite stats: 39 (33.6%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/14 (42.8%)

Trainers of winners at Ffos Las in 2013:
15--Peter Bowen (3/1**-3/1-7/1-11/4*-5/1-5/2-15/8-9/4*-4/7*-7/4*-9/4-5/1-16/1-3/1-7/2)
10--Rebecca Curtis (11/2-4/1-16/1-7/2-4/1-11/10*-5/2-3/1-15/8-6/1)
8--Evan Williams (7/1-7/2-9/4-20/1-5/2-9/4-Evs*-6/1)
7--Jonjo O'Neill (9/2-7/2-3/1-5/1-13/8-7/4*-4/9*)
5--David Pipe (3/1-2/1-2/1**-5/1-7/1)
5--Nigel Twiston Davies (5/4*-7/1-4/1-14/1-4/1)
4--Henry Daly (7/4*-11/8*-11/8*-8/1)
4--Paul Nicholls (9/4-11/10-13/8*-10/11*)
4--David Res (4/1-7/1-6/1-8/1)
4--Tim Vaughan (4/1-8/11-12/1-9/4)

108/117 winners (92.3%) were sent off at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
11--Rebecca Curtis (11/4-4/9-10/11-7/4-7/4-2/1**-11/8-11/4-3/1-6/4**-5/6)
9--Peter Bowen (11/4**-9/2-7/4-11/4-11/8-10/11-9/4-5/2-5/4)
8--Jonjo O'Neill (11/8-2/1-5/2-6/4-11/8-11/8-6/5-9/4)
5--Evan Williams (7/2-15/8**9/4-4/5-3/1**)
4--David Pipe (9/4-9/4-15/8-7/2)
5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (9/4-3/1-7/4-5/4-11/4)
3--Philip Hobbs (11/8-11/4-5/4)
3--Anthony Honeyball (8/13-6/4-3/1**)

*

Haydock:

HAYDOCK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Haydock: 24
Favourite stats: 7 (29.2% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 0/2

Leading trainers of winners at Haydock in 2013:
2--Brian Ellison (8/1 & 7/1)
2--Martin Keighley (7/2 & 9/4**)
2--Donald McCain (9/1 & 11/10*)

22/24 winners were returned at 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
2--Henry Daly (11/8 & 9/4)
2--Philip Hobbs (10/11 & 11/4)
2--Alan King (10/3 & 11/2**)
2--Donald McCain (2/1 & 5/1**)
2--Paul Nicholls (11/2** & 9/2)
2--Colin Tizzard (15/8 & 7/2)
2--Venetia Williams (5/4 & 5/1**)

Listed Novice Hurdle event due to be contested at 1.55: Four-year-olds have secured five of the eight renewals thus far with vintage representatives coming to this year’s gig on a four timer. Five of the last seven favourites have obliged whilst a top priced winner of 7/1 has emerged to date.

Two mile Bumper event due to close out the programme at 3.40: Four-year-olds have won the last five contests whilst we have yet to witness a successful favourite following six contests thus far. That said, the last five gold medallists were sent off at a top price of 6/1, whilst Donald McCain is the only trainer to have saddled two (15/8 & 11/4) winners to date. Donald held three options for the race earlier in the week.

*

Wolverhampton:

No of races: 74
Favourite stats: 29 (39.2%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/14 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
7/24--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)
3/22--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2)
2/2--David Lanigan (4/5* & 4/6*)
2/4--Charlie Appleby (6/4* & 10/11*)
2/4--Sir Mark Prescott (3/1** & 11/4)
2/5--Gerard Butler (4/1 & 7/2**)
2/6--David Barron (11/10* & 11/4)
2/6--Phil McBride (9/4 & 5/4*)
2/9--James Tate (10/3 & 8/1)
2/17--Keith Dalgleish (5/2 & 9/2)
2/20--David O'Meara (16/1 & 11/1)

68/74 (91.9%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
5--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**)
4--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8)
3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)
3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)
3--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4)
2--William Haggas (2/13 & 5/4)
2--Kevin Ryan (11/4-3/1)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

SATURDAY 23/11:

Ascot:

ASCOT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ascot: 21
Favourite stats: 9 (42.8% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 4/4

Trainers of winners at Ascot in 2013:
3--Venetia Williams (16/1-12/1-7/4*)
2--Nick Gifford (33/1 & 11/1)
2--Paul Nicholls (8/13* & 8/13*)
2--David Pipe (4/6*-11/4*)
2--Colin Tizzard (15/8*-5/1)

16/21 winners (72.2%) thus far were sent off at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
5--Nicky Henderson (2/1**-11/8-7/2-5/2-5/2**)
2--Gary Moore (3/1 & 4/1)

Two mile six novice hurdle event scheduled for 12.25: Six-year-olds have won two of the four races to date whilst securing four of the twelve each way/toteplacepot positions. This is an impressive ratio given that just ten vintage representatives have contested the race thus far. Two of the four market leaders have prevailed accompanied by 10/1 & 12/1 gold medallists.

Three mile handicap chase scheduled for 1.00: We still await the first successful market leader following four renewals thus far, whilst all four winners have carried a minimum burden of 11-8.

Two mile and six furlongs event for mares due to be contested at 1.30: We still await the first successful favourite following four renewals thus far, the four winners to date being returned at 33/1 (Tom Symonds)-8/1 (Kim Bailey)-7/1 (Emma Lavelle)-6/1 (Suzy Smith).

Grade 2 Chase over nineteen furlongs: Paul Nicholls has saddled four of the last ten winners.

Class 2 seventeen furlong handicap chase scheduled for 3.15: Favourites have won three of the seven renewals with a top priced winner of 8/1 emerging thus far. Evan Williams held two options for the contest earlier in the week having saddled two 7/1 winners in the race to date.

Bumper event scheduled for 3.50: Four-year-old’s have won three of the last five renewals, securing eleven of the fifteen available win and place positions during the period.

*

Haydock:

HAYDOCK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Haydock: 24
Favourite stats: 7 (29.2% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 0/2

Leading trainers of winners at Haydock in 2013:
2--Brian Ellison (8/1 & 7/1)
2--Martin Keighley (7/2 & 9/4**)
2--Donald McCain (9/1 & 11/10*)

22/24 winners were returned at 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
2--Henry Daly (11/8 & 9/4)
2--Philip Hobbs (10/11 & 11/4)
2--Alan King (10/3 & 11/2**)
2--Donald McCain (2/1 & 5/1**)
2--Paul Nicholls (11/2** & 9/2)
2--Colin Tizzard (15/8 & 7/2)
2--Venetia Williams (5/4 & 5/1**)

Intermediate hurdle over two miles scheduled for 12.45: Four-year-olds come to the gig on a four times, whilst Paul Nicholls (potentially represented by Far West this time around) has secured two of the last four (and three of the last seven) winners. Favourites have won five of the last seven contests during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at just 7/2.

Three mile grade 3 handicap ‘fixed brush’ hurdle event scheduled for 2.25: David Pipe has saddled two of the last three winners, with David holding two options at the five day stage on this occasion. Two clear market leaders and one joint favourite have prevailed within the last seven years.

Betfair Chase scheduled for 3.00: Four of the last seven favourites have obliged.

Three mile one furlong handicap chase scheduled for 3.35: All six winners have carried weights of 11-1 or more, whilst just one (7/2) favourite has scored thus far.

*

Huntingdon:

HUNTINGDON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Huntingdon: 97
Favourite stats: 31 (31.9%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/15 (53.3%)

Leading trainers of winners at Huntingdon in 2013:
10--Nicky Henderson (4/9*-4/7*-11/10*-11/10*-3/1-15/8-15/8**-4/7*-2/1*-11/8*)
5--Jonjo O'Neill (15/8**-4/1-5/4*-5/1-5/1)
4--Kim Bailey (8/1-4/1*-7/1-5/1)
4--Charlie Longsdon (5/2-Evs*-5/2*-3/1)

87/97 (89.7%) winners were sent off at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
3--Charlie Longsdon (5/4-2/1**-4/7-2/1-3/1)
4--John Ferguson (4/5-10/11-5/4-5/2)
4--Philip Hobbs (5/2-4/1-11/4-13/8)
4--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-10/3-7/2-5/2)
3--Nicky Henderson (15/8-4/5-8/15)
3--Venetia Williams (11/4-5/2-7/2)

*

Lingfield (A/W):

LINGFIELD (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 40
Favourite stats: 13 (32.5%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 2/6 (33.3%)

Leading trainers at Lingfield:
2/2--Willie Musson (5/1 & 3/1*)
2/3--Charlie Appleby (10/1 & 6/1)
2/4--Simon Dow (5/1 & 5/2**)
2/4--William Haggas (9/2 & 11/4)
2/7--Roger Varian (5/6* & 5/2)
2/9--Richard Hannon (7/1 & 14/1)
2/11--Gary Moore (6/1 & 8/1)
1/1--Laura Mongan (8/1)
1/1--David O'Meara (5/2*)
1/1--Suzy Smith (33/1)

35/40 (87.5%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
2--Marco Botti (9/4 & 5/2)
2--Peter Makin (4/1** & 3/1**)
2--Brian Meehan (1/3 & 11/4)
2--Gary Moore (5/1** & 10/11)
2--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/1** & 11/4)
2--Roger Varian (5/4 & 5/2)

*

Wolverhampton:

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 74
Favourite stats: 29 (39.2%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/14 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
7/24--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)
3/22--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2)
2/2--David Lanigan (4/5* & 4/6*)
2/4--Charlie Appleby (6/4* & 10/11*)
2/4--Sir Mark Prescott (3/1** & 11/4)
2/5--Gerard Butler (4/1 & 7/2**)
2/6--David Barron (11/10* & 11/4)
2/6--Phil McBride (9/4 & 5/4*)
2/9--James Tate (10/3 & 8/1)
2/17--Keith Dalgleish (5/2 & 9/2)
2/20--David O'Meara (16/1 & 11/1)

68/74 (91.9%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
5--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**)
4--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8)
3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)
3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)
3--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4)
2--William Haggas (2/13 & 5/4)
2--Kevin Ryan (11/4-3/1)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

SUNDAY 24/11:

Exeter:

EXETER DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Exeter: 80
Favourite stats: 27 (33.7% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 11/19 (57.9%)

Leading trainers of winners at Exeter in 2013:
8--David Pipe (4/1-4/5*-1/4*-6/1-11/2-9/4*-8/11*-14/1)
5--Paul Nicholls (5/6*-4/9*-6/5-6/1-13/8)
5--Colin Tizzard (7/2-7/2-2/1--11/4-5/4*)
4--Oliver Sherwood (11/4*-11/4-2/1-4/7*)
3--Susan Gardner (9/4-11/2-5/6*)
3--Martin Hill (18/1-7/1-9/1)
3--Philip Hobbs (6/4*-Evs*-11/4*)
3--Alan King (9/2-4/11*-7/4*)
3--Seamus Mullins (12/1-2/11*-5/2)
3--Jeremy Scott (5/4-4/1-16/1)

72/80 winners (90.0%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--Philip Hobbs (3/1-11/8-6/4-4/5-5/2-9/4)
5--Emma Lavelle (3/1-10/11-2/5-Evs-7/2)
5--Paul Nicholls (7/5-Evs-6/4-11/5-15/8)
4--Colin Tizzard (4/1-13/8-11/8-11/10)
3--Vic Dartnell (11/10-11/4-6/5)
2--Alan King (9/4 twice)
2--Fergal O'Brien (1/2 & 4/5)
2--Jamie Snowdon (4/1 & 7/2)
2--Evan Williams (11/8 & 4/5)
2--Venetia Williams (Evs & 3/1)

*

Towcester:

TOWCESTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Towcester: 77
Favourite stats: 28 (36.4%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/13 (69.2%)

Leading trainers of winners at Towcester in 2013:
6--Fergal O'Brien (2/1*-8/1-15/8*-11/2-4/5*-6/1)
4--Kim Bailey (6/4*-6/4*-7/2*-4/1)
4--David Pipe (7/4*-4/1-1/2*-13/8*)
3--Nicky Henderson (2/1*-2/11*-9/4)
3--Tim Vaughan (4/1-11/4**-8/1)

72/77 winners (93.5%) were sent off at a top price of 12/1

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
3--Kim Bailey (5/4-7/4-8/13)
3--Nicky Henderson (Evs-11/4-15/8)
3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (9/4-11/8-3/1)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

MONDAY 25/11:

Kempton (NH):

KEMPTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Kempton: 64
Favourite stats: 20 (31.2%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/13 (53.8%)

Leading trainers of winners at Kempton in 2013:
12--Nicky Henderson (5/1-3/10*-3/1*-13/2-13/2-6/1-9/2-10/3-4/5*-25/1-15/8*-4/11*)
9--Alan King (4/5*-5/1-5/1-13/2-9/2-6/1-9/4-4/6*-2/1*)
8--Paul Nicholls (7/1-5/4*-9/4-11/8-11/4*-9/2-8/11*-5/2)
3--Tom George (7/2-11/4-9/2)
3--Jonjo O'Neill (5/2**-11/10*-9/1)
3--Paul Webber (9/1-12/1-9/2)

62/64 winners (96.9%) scored at a top price of 12/1

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Nicky Henderson (5/2**-11/8-8/11-10/11-7/4-4/11-6/4-11/10)
7--Paul Nicholls (9/2-5/4-2/1-7/4**-10/11-3/1-7/4)
4--Philip Hobbs (11/4-9/4-7/4-3/1)
3--Alan King (4/1-5/2**-11/10)
3--Donald McCain (5/4-2/1-9/4)

*

Ludlow:

LUDLOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ludlow: 86
Favourite stats: 33 (38.4%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/12 (58.3%)

Leading trainers of winners at Ludlow in 2013 (stats include one dead heat):
7--Evan Williams (17/2-4/1-8/1-9/2-2/1*-5/2-2/1*)
6--Nicky Henderson (4/5*-7/2-7/4-1/3*-Evs*-6/5*)
5--Venetia Williams (2/1*-9/1-7/2*-13/2-9/2*)
4--Richard Lee (4/1*-10/3-11/10*-6/1)
3--Henry Daly (11/2-5/1-4/11*)
3--Philip Hobbs (7/1-15/8*-4/1)
3--Philip Rowley (5/2*-15/8*-16/1)
3--Tom Symonds (2/1*-7/1-17/2)
3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (8/1-9/2-5/6*)

80/87 winners (91.9%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Evan Williams (10/3-4/1**-10/11-4/1***-5/2-3/1**-2/1**-4/1)
7--Nicky Henderson (6/4-10/11-9/4-11/8-8/11-15/8-7/4)
6--Venetia Williams (11/4-15/8-11/8-3/1-7/2-9/4)

*

Wolverhampton:

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 74
Favourite stats: 29 (39.2%--includes joint/co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/14 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:
7/24--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*-8/1)
3/7--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)
3/22--Mark Johnston (13/8*-7/1-15/2)
2/2--David Lanigan (4/5* & 4/6*)
2/4--Charlie Appleby (6/4* & 10/11*)
2/4--Sir Mark Prescott (3/1** & 11/4)
2/5--Gerard Butler (4/1 & 7/2**)
2/6--David Barron (11/10* & 11/4)
2/6--Phil McBride (9/4 & 5/4*)
2/9--James Tate (10/3 & 8/1)
2/17--Keith Dalgleish (5/2 & 9/2)
2/20--David O'Meara (16/1 & 11/1)

68/74 (91.9%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
5--David Evans (7/4-2/1-9/4-4/1**-7/2**)
4--Mark Johnston (5/2-Evs-10/3-13/8)
3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)
3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-8/13-4/11)
3--James Tate (11/8-5/4-7/4)
2--William Haggas (2/13 & 5/4)
2--Kevin Ryan (11/4-3/1)

Mal Boyle

Weekly Stat Pack: Cheltenham Open Meeting 2013 Special

Weekly Stat Pack

Weekly Stat Pack

Stat and facts from last year’s Paddy Power meeting at Cheltenham:

The Paddy Power Gold Cup is now (arguably) the third most popular meeting of the NH season, with the ‘Open’ fixture marking the true start of the winter season.

Last year’s Paddy Power Festival was dominated by David Pipe and Paul Nicholls who saddled four winners apiece, all eight gold medallists having been saddled on the first two days of the meeting.

David’ haul (14/1-7/1-11/4-7/4) was gained via twelve runners during the first two days of the meeting, whilst Paul’s (8/1-7/1-15/8-5/4*) gold medallists were among thirteen entries from the Ditcheat yard.  Paul saddled seven losers on the final day against five from David’s Pond House stable.

Although only three of the eighteen races were secured by market leaders, fourteen gold medallists were sent off at a top price of 8/1 or less, whilst all three favourites to be returned at 5/4 or less (including one odds on chance) obliged.

The three trainers to saddle the most favourites during the meeting each saddled a winner, the market leader stats recorded as 1/5 (Paul Nicholls), 1/4 (Philip Hobbs) and 1/3 (Nicky Henderson).  Only one of the twelve races on the first two days was secured by a market leader, albeit 10/12 gold medallists were returned at a top price of 8/1.

The non believers amongst you (as far as stats are concerned) should digest the fact that Paul Nicholls (six winners) and David Pipe (four winners) dominated the 2011 meeting as well, whilst Paul saddled five beaten favourites (the same number as last season) that year.

I rarely place much emphasis on sires in the NH division, certainly far less that racing on the level and this stance was confirmed last year at the big Cheltenham meeting as all eighteen races were won by horses from different sires.

Records for the Paddy Power meeting over the last five years:

Number of successful favourites during the last six years:

Friday: 10/36

Saturday: 7/36

Sunday: 9/35 (one abandoned race)

Total: 26/107 (24.3%)

 

Average toteplacepot dividends for the last six years:

Friday: £245.23

Saturday: £422.88

Sunday: £145.02

Average over the three days: £271.04

 

Paddy Power Gold Cup stats during the last six years:

Popular trainer’s records:

Nigel Twiston-Davies: 2 winners--two placed horses--six unplaced

Ferdy Murphy: 1-1-3 (no entry this year)

Eddie O’Grady: 1-0-1 (no entry this year)

David Pipe: 1-0-7

Nicky Henderson: 0-5-6

Alan King: 0-3-4

Paul Nicholls: 1-2-12

Philip Hobbs: 0-1-3

 

Record of favourites:

One winner--one placed--four unplaced

 

Record of first three in the betting:

Five winners--five placed--nine unplaced (two joint third favourites in 2007)

 

Vintage stats:

5YO: No winners--2 placed--seven unplaced

6YO: 0-4-13

7YO: 5-4-23

8YO: 1-2-21

9YO: 0-5-12

Older horses: 0-0-11

 

You will note below that the new A/W ‘season’ has kicked in whereby I now offer stats and facts about the four relevant venues during the winter.  Updates will appear daily when more than one meeting is staged at a venue within the a week.

 

This weeks daily updates:

Thursday: Kempton (A/W)

Friday: Lingfield (A/W)

Saturday: Cheltenham--Lingfield (A/W) and Wolverhampton

Sunday: Cheltenham

Monday: Wolverhampton

 

Day by day details this week: 

TUESDAY: 

Lingfield (NH): 

LINGFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Lingfield: 41

Favourite stats: 14 (34.1%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/14 (35.7%)

 

Trainers of winners at Lingfield in 2013:

3--Philip Hobbs (9/4-4/6*-2/5*)

2--George Baker (6/4* & 5/2*)

2--Mick Channon (13/8 & 16/1)

2--Tom Gretton (7/4* & 9/4**)

2--Gary Moore (8/1 & 11/4)

2--Pat Phelan (7/2 & 4/7*)

 

33/41 winners (80.5%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Nicky Henderson (13/8-4/7-5/4)

2--Tim Vaughan (4/11 & 4/6)

 

3.00: Six, seven and eight-year-olds had equally shared the six contests before last year when another eight-year-old scored, whilst five gold medallists have carried a minimum weight of 11-4. Three of the seven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two winners.

 

Huntingdon:

HUNTINGDON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Huntingdon: 90

Favourite stats: 31 (34.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 8/14 (57.1%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Huntingdon in 2013:

10--Nicky Henderson (4/9*-4/7*-11/10*-11/10*-3/1-15/8-15/8**-4/7*-2/1*-11/8*)

4--Kim Bailey (8/1-4/1*-7/1-5/1)

4--Charlie Longsdon (5/2-Evs*-5/2*-3/1)

4--Jonjo O'Neill (15/8**-4/1-5/4*-5/1)

3--Lawney Hill (20/1-15/8-9/4)

3--Neil King (9/1-50/1-5/4*)

3--Gary Moore (12/1-12/1-4/1)

3--Paul Nicholls (4/5*-3/1-4/9*)

 

81/90 (90.0%) winners were sent off at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--John Ferguson (4/5-10/11-5/4-5/2)

4--Philip Hobbs (5/2-4/1-11/4-13/8)

4--Charlie Longsdon (5/4-2/1**-4/7-2/1)

4--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-10/3-7/2-5/2)

3--Venetia Williams (11/4-5/2-7/2)

 

Sedgefield:

SEDGEFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Sedgefield: 84

Favourite stats: 36 (42.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Sedgefield in 2013:

12--Donald McCain (4/6*-6/5*-5/4*-3/1-8/1-6/5*-10/11*-1/5*-Evs*-7/4*-3/1-8/13*)

5--Diane Sayer (8/1-4/1**-4/1-6/4*-6/4*)

4--Phil Kirby (5/2*-1/4*-11/2-8/1)

3--Joanne Foster (3/1-7/2*-4/1)

3--Steve Gollings (9/2-11/8*-9/4**)

3--Malcolm Jefferson (7/2-11/2-5/1)

3--Sue Smith (7/1-7/4*-11/2)

3--John Wade (2/1*-4/1-4/1)

 

78/84 winners (92.9%) were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

6--Brian Ellison (6/4-10/11-9/4-2/1**-5/2-11/8)

6--Phil Kirby (5/2-11/10-11/4-5/4-3/1**-11/4)

6--Donald McCain (5/4-5/2-15/8-11/4-7/4-11/10)

4--Chris Grant (9/4**-10/3-13/8*-15/8*)

 

WEDNESDAY: 

Bangor:

BANGOR NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Bangor: 67

Favourite stats: 30 (44.8% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 9/13 (69.2%)

 

Leading trainers at Bangor in 2013:

8--Donald McCain (Evs*-3/1-5/6*-11/8*-4/6*-4/9*-11/2-8/15*)

5--Rebecca Curtis (2/1*-5/1-11/8*-1/2*-Evs*)

5--Jonjo O'Neill (7/1-10/1-5/2-9/2-13/8*)

4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (15/2-7/1-11/4**-11/1)

3--Tony Coyle (8/1-2/1-5/2)

3--Miss Sally Duckett (5/4*-85/40-5/4*)

3--Nicky Henderson (5/4-15/2-4/6*)

3--Fergal O'Brien (11/8*-9/4*-5/1)

3--John O'Shea (5/1-11/4-16/1)

 

64/67 winners (95.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-6/4-11/4-7/2-11/8-11/4-13/8)

6--Donald McCain (11/10-5/6-2/1-5/4-6/4-4/6)

3--Peter Bowen (7/2-2/1-2/1)

3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (7/2-5/2**-9/2)

3--Tim Vaughan (10/11-13/8-2/5)

2--Nicky Henderson (13/8 & 5/2)

 

Class 3 Three mile handicap chase scheduled for 1.50: Horses carrying 11-7 or more have won five of the seven renewals to date, whilst four of the nine favourites have finished in the frame to date, statistics which include two winners.

Class 4 seventeen furlong novice hurdle event due to be contested at 2.20: Four-year-olds have won six of the nine renewals thus far whilst eight of the nine favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions, statistics which include six winners.

 

Exeter:

EXETER DETAILS FOR 2013:  

Number of races at Exeter: 73

Favourite stats: 24 (32.9% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 9/16 (56.2%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Exeter in 2013:

7--David Pipe (4/1-4/5*-1/4*-6/1-11/2-9/4*-8/11*)

5--Paul Nicholls (5/6*-4/9*-6/5-6/1-13/8)

5--Colin Tizzard (7/2-7/2-2/1--11/4-5/4*)

4--Oliver Sherwood (11/4*-11/4-2/1-4/7*)

3--Susan Gardner (9/4-11/2-5/6*)

3--Martin Hill (18/1-7/1-9/1)

3--Philip Hobbs (6/4*-Evs*-11/4*)

3--Seamus Mullins (12/1-2/11*-5/2)

3--Jeremy Scott (5/4-4/1-16/1)

 

66/73 winners (90.4%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less.

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Emma Lavelle (3/1-10/11-2/5-Evs-7/2)

5--Philip Hobbs (3/1-11/8-6/4-4/5-5/2)

5--Paul Nicholls (7/5-Evs-6/4-11/5-15/8)

4--Colin Tizzard (4/1-13/8-11/8-11/10)

2--Vic Dartnell (11/10 & 6/5)

2--Alan King (9/4 twice)

2--Fergal O'Brien (1/2 & 4/5)

2--Jamie Snowdon (4/1 & 7/2)

2--Venetia Williams (Evs & 3/1)

 

Class 4 twenty one furlong novice hurdle scheduled for 1.10: Favourites have secured two gold, two silver medals and one of the bronze variety via six contests.  Paul Nicholls trained the first two winners of this event (Paul held two options at the time of writing), whilst five-year-old’s come into the contest on a six timer.  Paul looks to be saddling Port Melon this time around, though it’s as well to note that his 1/3 favourite last year was unsaddled in the position reserved for the runner up.  Emma Lavelle’s only option this year is Mosspark, the trainer having won three successive contests before last year when Emma was not represented.  The fact that Emma has entered Mosspark should be noted, even if the Flemsfirth representative sidesteps this contest.

Seventeen furlong Beginners’ Chase scheduled for 2.40: Five and six-year-olds have secured six of the seven renewals to date, the younger brigade leading 4-2 to date.  Paul Nicholls has saddled two winners in the most recent renewals when the trainer was represented.  Paul held two options at the time of writing.

Class 5 nineteen furlong handicap chase due to be contested at 3.40: Only three of the ten favourites have secured toteplacepot positions (one winner) via nine renewals to date.  The last seven winners have carried weights of 11-5 or more, whilst seven-year-olds come to the gig on a hat trick this time around.

Mares novice hurdle event scheduled for 4.10: All four favourites had finished out with the washing before the last two market leaders snared gold and silver medals.  Six-year-old’s come into the contest on a five timer.

 

Kempton (A/W):

KEMPTON (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 39

Favourite stats: 8 (20.5%--includes joint/co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/4 (75.0%)

 

Leading trainers at Kempton:

4/7--Luca Cumani (16/1-11/8*-7/2-1/6*)

2/3--Marcus Tregoning (11/2 & 6/1)

2/4--James Bethell (9/2 & 8/1)

2/4--David Lanigan (5/2 & 9/2)

2/4--Brendan Powell (33/1 & 8/1)

2/6--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1 & 5/1)

2/7--Charlie Appleby (11/10* & 4/5*)

2/11--John Gosden (2/5* & 8/1)

2/16--Richard Hannon (7/2 & 11/2)

 

Selected trainers who have failed to saddle winners at Kempton during the period:

9--Mark Johnston (one beaten favourite)

7--Roger Varian (one beaten favourite)

6--Tony Carroll (one beaten favourite)

4--Andrew Balding (one beaten favourite)

4--William Haggas (two beaten favourites)

4--Jamie Osborne (one beaten favourite)

 

33/39 (84.6%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

4--John Gosden (6/5-2/1-7/4-15/8)

2--George Baker (15/8 & 11/4)

2--James Fanshawe (9/4 & 5/2)

2--William Haggas (11/8 & 9/4)

2--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5 & 9/4**)

 

Lingfield (A/W): 

LINGFIELD (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 16

Favourite stats: 3 (18.7%--includes joint/co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/1 (100.0%)

 

Leading trainers at Lingfield:

2/5--Roger Varian (5/6* & 5/2)

1/1--Charlie Appleby (10/1)

1/1--Jim Boyle (5/2*)

1/1--John Jenkins (8/1)

1/1--John Ryan (16/1)

 

Selected trainers who have failed to saddle winners at Lingfield during the period:

4--Richard Fahey (one beaten favourite)

3--Peter Makin (two beaten favourites)

3--Ed Walker (one beaten favourite)

 

15/16 (93.7%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2--Peter Makin (4/1** & 3/1**)

 

THURSDAY: 

Kempton (A/W): 

KEMPTON (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 39

Favourite stats: 8 (20.5%--includes joint/co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/4 (75.0%)

 

Leading trainers at Kempton:

4/7--Luca Cumani (16/1-11/8*-7/2-1/6*)

2/3--Marcus Tregoning (11/2 & 6/1)

2/4--James Bethell (9/2 & 8/1)

2/4--David Lanigan (5/2 & 9/2)

2/4--Brendan Powell (33/1 & 8/1)

2/6--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1 & 5/1)

2/7--Charlie Appleby (11/10* & 4/5*)

2/11--John Gosden (2/5* & 8/1)

2/16--Richard Hannon (7/2 & 11/2)

 

Selected trainers who have failed to saddle winners at Kempton during the period:

9--Mark Johnston (one beaten favourite)

7--Roger Varian (one beaten favourite)

6--Tony Carroll (one beaten favourite)

4--Andrew Balding (one beaten favourite)

4--William Haggas (two beaten favourites)

4--Jamie Osborne (one beaten favourite)

 

33/39 (84.6%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

4--John Gosden (6/5-2/1-7/4-15/8)

2--George Baker (15/8 & 11/4)

2--James Fanshawe (9/4 & 5/2)

2--William Haggas (11/8 & 9/4)

2--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5 & 9/4**)

 

Ludlow:

LUDLOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ludlow: 79

Favourite stats: 31 (39.2%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 7/12 (58.3%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Ludlow in 2013 (stats include one dead heat):

7--Evan Williams (17/2-4/1-8/1-9/2-2/1*-5/2-2/1*)

5--Venetia Williams (2/1*-9/1-7/2*-13/2-9/2*)

4--Nicky Henderson (4/5*-7/2-7/4-1/3*)

4--Richard Lee (4/1*-10/3-11/10*-6/1)

3--Philip Rowley (5/2*-15/8*-16/1)

3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (8/1-9/2-5/6*)

 

74/80 winners (92.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

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8--Evan Williams (10/3-4/1**-10/11-4/1***-5/2-3/1**-2/1**-4/1)

7--Nicky Henderson (6/4-10/11-9/4-11/8-8/11-15/8-7/4)

5--Venetia Williams (11/4-15/8-11/8-3/1-7/2)

 

Southwell (A/W):

SOUTHWELL (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 8

Favourite stats: 2 (25.0%--includes joint/co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/2 (50.0%)

 

Leading trainers at Southwell:

1/1--Eric Alston (10/1)

1/1--Violet M Jordan (4/1**)

1/2--Shaun Harris (8/1)

1/3--Michael Appleby (6/1)

1/4--Keith Dalgleish (6/1)

1/4--John Jenkins (14/1)

1/4--Alan McCabe (4/1)

1/6--Scott Dixon (4/5*)

 

Selected trainers who have failed to saddle winners at Southwell during the period:

4--Bryan Smart

3--David Evans

2--Ron Harris (one beaten favourite)

2--Gay Kelleway (one beaten favourite)

2--Hughie Morrison (one beaten favourite)

 

7/8 (87.5%) of winneres returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

1--Declan Carroll (11/4)

1--Keith Dalgleish (11/4)

1--John Davies (4/5)

1--Ron Harris (11/4)

1--John Jenkins (4/1**)

1--Gay Kelleway (15/8)

1--Hughie Morrison (5/4)

 

Taunton:

TAUNTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013 

Number of races at Taunton: 47

Favourite stats: 24 (51.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 9/13 (69.2%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Taunton in 2013:

4--Paul Nicholls: (7/4*-5/6*-6/5*-4/7*)

4--David Pipe (2/1*-8/11*-7/2-7/1)

4--Venetia Williams (6/4*-5/4*-4/6*-4/6*)

3--Harry Fry (9/4-8/11*-10/3*)

3--Evan Williams (10/1-25/1-10/3)

2--Alexandra Dunn (5/1 & 9/1)

2--Colin Tizzard (7/2* & 9/4)

2--Miss Jane Western (4/1 & 9/1)

 

43/47 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less thus far, thirty six of which were sent off at a top price of 6/1

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Paul Nicholls (6/4-5/6-4/6-3/1**-5/6)

3--Chris Down (10/3-4/1-5/2)

3--Philip Hobbs (15/8-6/4-Evs)

2--Tim Vaughan (2/1 & 8/13)

 

Class 3 novice hurdle event scheduled for 2.40: Paul Nicholls has saddled two of the last four winners in which he was represented in the race during the last five years and the Ditcheat based maestro only had his Singsspeil newcomer Irving engaged at the time of writing.  Three of the six favourites have prevailed thus far in a race which has produced a top priced winner of 5/1 thus far.  Five-year-olds lead the six-year-old 4-2 to date.

Bumper event scheduled for 4.10: Four and five-year-olds have won the last nine renewals with the 'juniors' leading 6-3 during the period.  Only two favourites have obliged via nine renewals since the turn of the Millennium.  That said, the last eight winners have been returned at odds of 8/1 or less.

 

FRIDAY: 

Cheltenham:

CHELTENHAM NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Cheltenham: 71

Favourite stats: 21 (29.6%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Cheltenham in 2013:

8--Nicky Henderson (5/2-1/5*-1/4*-16/1-8/15*-11/4*-9/4-10/1)

6--Paul Nicholls (16/1-11/4-8/13*-11/2-7/4**-7/4**)

5--Willie Mullins (25/1-9/4*-8/11*-13/8*-5/1)

5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (16/1-13/2-9/4*-7/2-8/1)

4--Jonjo O'Neill (11/4*-7/1-25/1-5/1)

3--Rebecca Curtis (7/1-7/1-11/8*)

3--Colin Tizzard (28/1-11/8-7/2)

3--Venetia Williams (4/1*-16/1-50/1)

 

52/71 winners (73.2%) have been returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

9--P. Nicholls (10/11-4/1-6/1**-5/2-9/2**-15/8-5/2**-10/3**-7/2**)

6--Nicky Henderson (9/4-15/8-5/2-7/1-5/4-7/2**)

4--David Pipe (5/2-7/2-11/8-9/4)

3--Alan King (7/2**-7/4**-7/4**)

3--Donald McCain (13/2-7/2-11/2)

 

Amateur riders event scheduled to open the three day meeting at 1.05: The last eleven winners have carried weights of 11-4 or less, whilst just one favourite has scored via the last eight contests.  Swing Bill comes into the race on a hat trick, though the twelve-year-old was one of four David Pipe representatives earlier in the week.

Class 2 handicap chase over two miles scheduled for 1.35: Nicky Henderso’s only option in the race earlier in the week was Nadiya De La Vega, the trainer coming having secured three of the last four contests.  It should not be forgotten that the seven-year-old finished third in the Paddy Power Gold Cup twelve months ago.  Paul Nicholls was saddling his third winner in this contest during the last decade twelve months ago.  Valco De Touzaine was Paul’s only option on this occasion at the time of writing.

Six-year-olds have won the last seven renewals of the Steel Plate & Sections Novice chase which is schedule for 2.05.  ‘Team Pipe’ has secured six victories during the last eleven years, whilst five market leaders have prevailed during the study period.  I felt duty bound to retain the Pipe stats and facts for future reference, event though David has not declared an interest in the contest this time around.

Class 3 Intermediate handicap hurdle event which rightly honours the name of the legendary NH owner David Johnson (scheduled for 2.40): Five and six-year-olds have (equally) shared fourteen of the fifteen renewals to date.  Four favourites have obliged to date, whilst eight of the seventeen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions.  Seven of the last 13 winners were returned at 40/1-16/1-14/1-12/1-12/1-12/1-10/1.

Grade 2 two mile novice hurdle scheduled for 2.55: Four and five-year-olds have secured ten of the last eleven renewals (five-year-olds lead 6-4 during the period).  Three favourites have prevailed during the last decade with market leaders coming to this year’s gig on a hat trick.

Cross country event scheduled for 3.15: Enda Bolger has saddled five of the last nine winners of this event, though Uncle Junior comes to the party on a hat trick this year under the care of Willie Mullins.  Only one favourite has obliged via the last seven contests, albeit that six gold medallists scored at a top price of 5/1 during the period.  Only Philip Hobbs (2010) has scored on behalf of the English trainers during the last decade.

Two mile novice handicap hurdle event scheduled for 3.40: Four-year-olds have won three of the last four renewals, whilst five contests have slipped by since a successful favourite was registered following five consecutive victories for market leaders between 2003 and 2007.

 

Lingfield (A/W): 

LINGFIELD (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 16

Favourite stats: 3 (18.7%--includes joint/co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/1 (100.0%)

 

Leading trainers at Lingfield:

2/5--Roger Varian (5/6* & 5/2)

1/1--Charlie Appleby (10/1)

1/1--Jim Boyle (5/2*)

1/1--John Jenkins (8/1)

1/1--John Ryan (16/1)

 

Selected trainers who have failed to saddle winners at Lingfield during the period:

4--Richard Fahey (one beaten favourite)

3--Peter Makin (two beaten favourites)

3--Ed Walker (one beaten favourite)

 

15/16 (93.7%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2--Peter Makin (4/1** & 3/1**)

 

Newcastle:

NEWCASTLE NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newcastle: 37

Favourite stats: 18 (48.6%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/5 (60.0%)

 

Trainers of winners at Newcastle in 2013:

4--Nick Alexander (1/2*-7/2-6/1-11/2)

4--John Wade (6/5*-15/8*-5/2*-2/1*)

4--Phil Kirby (Evs*-4/1-4/1-7/4*)

3--Donald McCain (7/2-3/1-4/1)

 

34/27 (91.9%) of the winners scored at odds of 7/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

4--Donald McCain (11/4-9/2-10/11-3/1)

3--James Ewart (2/1-4/11-5/2)

2--Chris Grant (7/2 & 4/1)

2--Lucinda Russell (9/4 & 3/1)

 

Two mile novice hurdle scheduled for 12.10: Four of the seven market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions (three winners).

Three mile handicap hurdle scheduled for 2.15: Five-year olds have secured four of the seven renewals to date.

Class 4 three mile handicap chase scheduled for 2.50:  Only one successful market leaders has emerged via seven contests thus far.

Bumper event scheduled for 3.25: Nicky Richards saddled the first two (of seven) winners of this event, whilst five-year-olds come to this year's party on a six timer.  Five of the last six favourites have finished out of the frame since the last 5/2 winning favourite was recorded back in 2007.

 

Wolverhampton: 

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 45

Favourite stats: 21 (46.7%--includes joint/co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

 

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:

6/13--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*)

3/6--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)

2/2--Sir Mark Prescott (3/1** & 11/4)

2/5--David Barron (11/10* & 11/4)

2/5--James Tate (10/3 & 8/1)

2/11--Mark Johnston (13/8* & 15/2)

 

Selected trainers who have failed to saddle winners at Wolverhampton during the period:

6--James Given (one beaten favourite)

6--John Stimpson (one beaten favourite)

5--Marco Botti (one beaten favourite)

5--Tim Easterby (one beaten favourite)

4--Alan Bailey (one beaten favourite)

 

43/45 (95.6%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)

3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)

2--Kevin Ryan (11/4-3/1)

2--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1 & 4/11)

 

SATURDAY: 

Cheltenham:

CHELTENHAM NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Cheltenham: 71

Favourite stats: 21 (29.6%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Cheltenham in 2013:

8--Nicky Henderson (5/2-1/5*-1/4*-16/1-8/15*-11/4*-9/4-10/1)

6--Paul Nicholls (16/1-11/4-8/13*-11/2-7/4**-7/4**)

5--Willie Mullins (25/1-9/4*-8/11*-13/8*-5/1)

5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (16/1-13/2-9/4*-7/2-8/1)

4--Jonjo O'Neill (11/4*-7/1-25/1-5/1)

3--Rebecca Curtis (7/1-7/1-11/8*)

3--Colin Tizzard (28/1-11/8-7/2)

3--Venetia Williams (4/1*-16/1-50/1)

 

52/71 winners (73.2%) have been returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

9--P. Nicholls (10/11-4/1-6/1**-5/2-9/2**-15/8-5/2**-10/3**-7/2**)

6--Nicky Henderson (9/4-15/8-5/2-7/1-5/4-7/2**)

4--David Pipe (5/2-7/2-11/8-9/4)

3--Alan King (7/2**-7/4**-7/4**)

3--Donald McCain (13/2-7/2-11/2)

 

Triumph Hurdle Trial scheduled for 12.40: The last twelve winners have scored at odds of 10/1 or less during which time, five favourites have obliged.  Paul Nicholls comes into the contest on a four time with Art Mauresque as his only possible representative.

Three mile novice chase scheduled for 1.15: Nigel Twiston-Davies and David Pipe were both represented at the five day stage having each saddled two winners of the race within the last seven years.  Favourites have secured five of the last ten renewals, the last seven winners having scored at a top price of 4/1.

Twenty nine furlong Grade 3 handicap chase contest due to be contested at 1.50: Eight winners during the last eleven years carried a maximum burden of 10-10.

Paddy Power Gold Cup scheduled for 2.30(see above for additional stats and facts): Eight of the last ten winners carried weights of 11-2 or less, whilst four favourites have prevailed during the last twelve years.

Listed handicap hurdle event scheduled for 3.00: The last twelve winners all carried weights of 11-2 or less.  David Pipe was winning the race on behalf of ‘Team Pipe’ for the third time during the last decade twelve months ago.  The biggest priced winner during the study period was returned at 10/1, whilst favourites of one description or another have landed five of the last ten contests.

Twenty one furlong hurdle event scheduled for 3.35: Five-year-olds have ruled the roost having won the last seven renewals.  Four market leaders have obliged during the last decade during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at 8/1.

 

Lingfield:

LINGFIELD (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH) 

No of races: 16

Favourite stats: 3 (18.7%--includes joint/co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/1 (100.0%)

 

Leading trainers at Lingfield:

2/5--Roger Varian (5/6* & 5/2)

1/1--Charlie Appleby (10/1)

1/1--Jim Boyle (5/2*)

1/1--John Jenkins (8/1)

1/1--John Ryan (16/1)

 

Selected trainers who have failed to saddle winners at Lingfield during the period:

4--Richard Fahey (one beaten favourite)

3--Peter Makin (two beaten favourites)

3--Ed Walker (one beaten favourite)

 

15/16 (93.7%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2--Peter Makin (4/1** & 3/1**)

 

Listed ‘Churchill Stakes’ scheduled for 2.35: Favourites come to the gig on a hat trick though that said, they were the only market leaders to prevail during the last decade.  Nine of the ten relevant gold medallists were returned in single figures.

Listed ‘Golden Rose’ scheduled for 3.10: Only one of the six favourites has prevailed thus far though to be fair, the biggest priced winner to date was returned at just 8/1.

 

Uttoxeter:

UTTOXETER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Uttoxeter: 139

Favourite stats: 44 (31.7%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 7/12 (58.3%)

 

Leading trainers at Uttoxeter in 2013:

7--David Pipe (6/1-7/1-3/1-16/1-10/3-16/1-2/1*)

6--Alan King (5/1-4/11*-6/4*-9/4*-Evs*-2/1*)

6--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-11/4-28/1-3/1-9/2-11/4)

6--Sue Smith (14/1-11/8*-5/1-7/1-3/1*-7/2*)

6--Nigel Twiston-Davies (85/40-10/3-9/4*-7/2-22/1-7/2*)

5--Peter Bowen (5/2-10/3*-4/1-11/4-8/11*)

4--Jim Best (4/1-11/8*-1/2*-6/4*)

4--Charlie Longsdon (4/1*-3/1-4/7*-8/1)

4--Evan Williams (15/8*-11/2-7/2-5/2*)

 

122/139 winners (87.8%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

15--Jonjo O'Neill (2/1-Evs-6/4-5/4-7/2-5/2-6/5-6/4-6/4-11/4-13/8-2/1-5/4-11/8-13/8)

8--Donald McCain (3/1-13/8-5/2-2/1-9/4-5/2-5/4-6/4)

5--Tim Vaughan (2/1-9/4-7/4-11/8-6/5)

4--Nicky Henderson (13/8-15/8-13/8-15/8)

4--David Pipe (15/8-3/1-7/4-4/5)

3--Jim Best (11/8-11/8-1/2)

3--Tom George (9/2-7/2-2/1)

3--Peter Bowen (6/5-5/2-10/11)

 

Wetherby: 

WETHERBY NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Wetherby: 85

Favourite stats: 39 (45.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 8/13 (61.5%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Wetherby in 2013:

7--Brian Ellison (7/1-8/13*-11/4-6/4*-15/8*-17/2-25/1)

6--Sue Smith (5/1-4/1***-9/2-5/4*-10/3-3/1*)

5--Kim Bailey (Evs*-9/2-5/6*-3/10*-5/1)

4--Donald McCain (5/2-13/8*-2/1*-5/2)

3--Alan King (15/8*-4/6*-6/4)

3--Jonjo O'Neill (11/4-3/1*-7/1)

3--John Wade (2/1*-3/1*-7/2)

 

80/85 (94.1%) winners sent off at 12/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Alan King (5/2-5/2-9/4**-10/11)

4--Donald McCain (3/1**-13/8-5/2-11/4)

4--David Pipe (11/8-10/11-8/13-5/2**)

3--Malcolm Jefferson (15/8-5/1-11/4)

 

Wolverhampton (A/W):

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH) 

No of races: 45

Favourite stats: 21 (46.7%--includes joint/co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

 

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:

6/13--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*)

3/6--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)

2/2--Sir Mark Prescott (3/1** & 11/4)

2/5--David Barron (11/10* & 11/4)

2/5--James Tate (10/3 & 8/1)

2/11--Mark Johnston (13/8* & 15/2)

 

Selected trainers who have failed to saddle winners at Wolverhampton during the period:

6--James Given (one beaten favourite)

6--John Stimpson (one beaten favourite)

5--Marco Botti (one beaten favourite)

5--Tim Easterby (one beaten favourite)

4--Alan Bailey (one beaten favourite)

 

43/45 (95.6%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)

3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)

2--Kevin Ryan (11/4-3/1)

2--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1 & 4/11)

 

SUNDAY: 

Cheltenham:

CHELTENHAM NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Cheltenham: 71

Favourite stats: 21 (29.6%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Cheltenham in 2013:

8--Nicky Henderson (5/2-1/5*-1/4*-16/1-8/15*-11/4*-9/4-10/1)

6--Paul Nicholls (16/1-11/4-8/13*-11/2-7/4**-7/4**)

5--Willie Mullins (25/1-9/4*-8/11*-13/8*-5/1)

5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (16/1-13/2-9/4*-7/2-8/1)

4--Jonjo O'Neill (11/4*-7/1-25/1-5/1)

3--Rebecca Curtis (7/1-7/1-11/8*)

3--Colin Tizzard (28/1-11/8-7/2)

3--Venetia Williams (4/1*-16/1-50/1)

 

52/71 winners (73.2%) have been returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

9--P. Nicholls (10/11-4/1-6/1**-5/2-9/2**-15/8-5/2**-10/3**-7/2**)

6--Nicky Henderson (9/4-15/8-5/2-7/1-5/4-7/2**)

4--David Pipe (5/2-7/2-11/8-9/4)

3--Alan King (7/2**-7/4**-7/4**)

3--Donald McCain (13/2-7/2-11/2)

 

Conditional jockey’s event scheduled for 1.00: Nicky Henderson had saddled three consecutive winners of this contest directly before securing two placed horses during the last two years..  Six-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 4-3 via the last eight contests, whilst favourites have obliged in three of the last seven renewals.

Grade 2 novice hurdle trail scheduled for 1.35: Four-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 5-4 via the last nine renewals, whilst favourites come into the race on a four timer.

Grade 2 novice chase scheduled for 1.10: Paul Nicholls has saddled six of the last ten winners, statistics which include the last four winners of the race.

Greatwood Hurdle event scheduled for 3.15: Five-year-olds have won six times during the last twelve years, whilst Philip Hobbs has saddled three of the last eleven winners.

 

Fontwell:

FONTWELL NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Fontwell: 124

Favourite stats: 43 (34.7%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 16/25 (64.0%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Fontwell in 2013:

7--Chris Gordon (12/1-4/1-3/1-9/2-14/1-7/2-7/2)

7--Gary Moore (4/5*-6/4*-12/1-7/1-4/5*-7/1-10/1)

6--Charlie Longsdon (5/2-4/1-4/6*-5/1-10/11*-9/4*)

5--Caroline Keevil (11/4**-9/5-16/1-7/2-20/1)

5--Paul Nicholls (3/1-9/4-7/4*-2/1*-11/4)

4--Lawney Hill (9/2-11/4*-5/1-7/1)

4--Jamie Snowden (7/1-7/1-6/4-20/1)

 

115/124 winners (92.7%) to date started at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

8--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1**-6/4-7/2-Evs-11/4-7/4-3/1-5/2**)

6--Charlie Longsdon (11/8-13/8-7/2-5/2-Evs-2/1)

5--Jamie Snowden (2/1**-2/1**-5/2-Evs-11/8)

5--Colin Tizzard (11/4-2/1-7/2-5/6-7/4)

4--Chris Gordon (5/4-7/2-7/2-7/4)

4--Paul Nicholls (5/6-9/4**-7/4-1/4)

4--Brendan Powell (5/4-9/4-4/1-5/2**)

3--Kevin Bishop (9/2**-3/1-13/8)

3--Gary Moore (7/4-2/1**-3/1)

3--David Pipe (3/1-5/2-9/5)

 

‘Southern National’ scheduled for 1.50: Eight of the nine contests have been won by horses returned at odds of 8/1 or less, statistics which include three successful market leaders of one description or another.  Nine-year-olds come to the party on a hat trick having secured three of the last six renewals.

Salmon Spray Challenge Trophy scheduled for 2.25: Seven of the last eight winners have carried weights of 11-0 or more.  Five of the last seven market leaders have prevailed, though the other two gold medallists were both returned at 20/1.  Five-year-olds have won three of the last seven contests.

 

MONDAY: 

Leicester: 

LEICESTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Leicester: 25

Favourite stats: 13 (52.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/6

 

Trainers of winners at Leicester in 2013:

4--Tom George (7/1-1/4*-13/8*-5/1)

3--Venetia Williams (2/1*-3/1*-2/1**)

2--John Ferguson (6/5* & 8/11*)

2--Richard Guest (5/1 & Evs*)

2--G.D. Hanmer (7/1 & 3/1)

2--David Pipe (10/11* & 15/8*)

 

23/25 winners (92.0%) were returned at odds of 7/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2--David Pipe (15/8 & 10/3**)

 

Plumpton: 

PLUMPTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Plumpton: 77

Favourite stats: 28 (36.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 7/8 (87.5%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Plumpton in 2013:

5--Gary Moore (6/1-9/2-Evs-9/2-7/2)

4--Chris Gordon (33/1-5/1-9/1-7/2)

4--Alan King (6/4-8/11*-1/2*-11/10*)

4--David Pipe (1/5*-15/8*-1/7*-9/2)

4--Venetia Williams (9/4*-3/1**-Evs*10/11*)

3--Suzy Smith (8/1-5/1-16/1)

3--Kevin Tork (40/1-3/1*-11/8*)

3--Sheena West (9/4-6/1-10/3*)

 

67/77 winners (87.0%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Charlie Longsdon (Evs-3/1-15/8-11/4)

3--Philip Hobbs (7/4-11/8-3/1)

3--Gary Moore (2/1-6/4-3/1)

3--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-9/2-11/4)

3--Tim Vaughan (11/8-6/4-2/1**)

 

Wolverhampton (A/W): 

WOLVES (A/W SEASON SAT 26TH OCTOBER TO SAT 29TH MARCH)

No of races: 45

Favourite stats: 21 (46.7%--includes joint/co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/8 (62.5%)

 

Leading trainers at Wolverhampton:

6/13--David Evans (4/1***-4/1-7/2*-22/1-9/2*-5/4*)

3/6--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/11*-10/11*-2/1*)

2/2--Sir Mark Prescott (3/1** & 11/4)

2/5--David Barron (11/10* & 11/4)

2/5--James Tate (10/3 & 8/1)

2/11--Mark Johnston (13/8* & 15/2)

 

Selected trainers who have failed to saddle winners at Wolverhampton during the period:

6--James Given (one beaten favourite)

6--John Stimpson (one beaten favourite)

5--Marco Botti (one beaten favourite)

5--Tim Easterby (one beaten favourite)

4--Alan Bailey (one beaten favourite)

 

43/45 (95.6%) of winners returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3--Keith Dalgleish (5/2-5/2-2/1)

3--Tim Easterby (6/4-5/2-3/1**)

2--Kevin Ryan (11/4-3/1)

2--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1 & 4/11)

Weekly Stat Pack, w/c 5th November 2013

Weekly Stat Pack

Weekly Stat Pack

Weekly Stat Pack, w/c 5th November 2013

Day by day details:  

TUESDAY: 

Exeter: 

Haldon Gold Cup (2.50 today)--eleven year study report for Tuesday’s renewal:

Selected record of trainers with declared runners:

Paul Nicholls (Fago): Two winners (3/1 & 6/5*)--six places--nine unplaced

Colin Tizzard (Cue Card)--One (5/6*) winner and two unplaced runners to report.

Favourite stats: 3 winners--3 placed--5 unplaced

First three in the betting record: 7 winners--7 placed--21 unplaced

Vintage figures (winners--places--unplaced):

5YO: 0-3-2 6YO: 3-2-7 7YO: 3-5-13

8YO: 1-2-17 9YO: 0-3-6 Older horses: 4-1-12

 

EXETER DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Exeter: 67

Favourite stats: 22 (32.8% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 8/15 (53.3%)

Leading trainers of winners at Exeter in 2013:

6--David Pipe (4/1-4/5*-1/4*-6/1-11/2-9/4*)

5--Paul Nicholls (5/6*-4/9*-6/5-6/1-13/8)

5--Colin Tizzard (7/2-7/2-2/1--11/4-5/4*)

4--Oliver Sherwood (11/4*-11/4-2/1-4/7*)

3--Susan Gardner (9/4-11/2-5/6*)

3--Seamus Mullins (12/1-2/11*-5/2)

3--Jeremy Scott (5/4-4/1-16/1)

60/67 winners (89.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Philip Hobbs (3/1-11/8-6/4-4/5-5/2)

5--Paul Nicholls (7/5-Evs-6/4-11/5-15/8)

3--Emma Lavelle (3/1-10/11-2/5)

3--Colin Tizzard (4/1-13/8-11/8)

 

Extended twenty one furlong Class 3 novice hurdle event scheduled for 1.50: Five-year-olds have won the last four contests during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at 13/2 (two successful favourites).  Paul Nicholls (Sea Wall) held three options at the five day stage having won the race on two occasions during the short study period. 

Class 3 novice hurdle event over seventeen furlongs due off at 2.20: Paul Nicholls (Broomfield) has saddled the winner of each of the last five contests in which the stable was represented!  Paul held two options last week.  Philip Hobbs (Sea Island Pearl) saddled the other winners during the recent period having also won the race in 2003/04. 

Class 2 extended seventeen furlong novice chase scheduled for 3.20: Five and six-year-olds have (equally) shared the six renewals to date, whilst four contests have slipped by since a successful favourite was registered.  Paul Nicholls (Dark Lover) held two options for the race last week having secured successive victories in 2008/09.  That said, Paul’s last three runners have been beaten, two of them as favourites at odds of 4/9 & 4/5. 

Class 3 three mile handicap chase due to be contested at 3.50: We still await the first successful market leaders via six renewals, the gold medallists thus far having been returned at 28/1-25/1-16/1-14/1-10/1-9/2.  Eight and nine-year-olds have each won two renewals, whilst the last four winners carried a minimum weight of 11-3 to victory.  

Class 4 handicap three mile hurdle contest due to close out the meeting at 4.20: Clear market leaders come to the gig on a hat trick whilst a 4/1 joint favourite obliged four years ago.

Kempton (A/W): 

Saeed Bin Suroor saddled a welcome winner at Wolverhampton yesterday having experienced a lean spell by his high standards.  That said, seven of his previous twelve runners had finished ‘in the three’ (one winner) whereby his excellent 31% strike rate at this venue could be increased this week. 

Southwell (A/W): 

Hughie Morrison saddles two runners on the card boasting a 25% strike rate (via thirty one winenrs) at Southwell during the last five years.  Hughie’s relevant LSP reading stands at 24 points.

 

WEDNESDAY: 

Chepstow: 

CHEPSTOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Chepstow: 80

Favourite stats: 26 (32.5%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 7/13 (53.8%)

Leading trainers of winners at Chepstow in 2013:

5--Alan King (2/1*-6/1-3/1-5/2-5/1)

4--Martin Keighley (7/2-7/2-10/11*-5/1)

3--Vic Dartnell (9/2-20/1-7/2)

3--Mark Gillard (9/4* twice & 11/4)

3--Sophie Leech (25/1-4/1-7/2)

3--Paul Nicholls (10/11*-10/11*-4/5*)

3--David Pipe (5/1**-5/1-5/1**)

3--Mark Sheppard (6/4*-9/2**-11/2)

3--Colin Tizzard (9/2-4/1-11/4*)

67/80 (83.7%) of the winners scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

10--Paul Nicholls (7/4-9/4-11/4-8/11-4/5-11/4-7/4-4/7-11/8-7/4)

5--Jonjo O'Neill (5/1**-4/1-7/4-6/4-6/4)

3--Tom George (2/1-7/2-7/4)

3--Philip Hobbs (6/4**-Evs-2/1)

3--David Pipe (5/2-9/4-5/2)

3--Colin Tizzard (5/1 **-15/8-2/1)

 

Two and a half mile maiden hurdle due to be contested at 1.10: Five-year-olds have secured five of the seven renewals to date during which time, two market leaders have obliged.

Two mile Maiden hurdle scheduled for 1.40: Four-year-olds have secured four of the seven renewals to date during which time, just one (8/11) favourite has obliged.  Last year’s 8/15 was beaten half a length to pour more salt into the punter’s wounds.

Three mile handicap hurdle scheduled for 2.40: Last year’s successful 5/2 favourite was the first market leader to prevail following six renewals thus far.

Kempton (A/W): 

Readers over the last few weeks will have made a profit of backing Jim Crowley’s mounts at Kempton as anticipated in this column. 

Nottingham: 

NOTTINGHAM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Nottingham: 125

Favourite stats: 42 (33.6%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 9/15 (60.0%)

Leading trainers at Nottingham in 2013:

6/10--Luca Cumani (1/2*-5/6*-5/4*-5/1-5/1-9/4*)

5/17--Ralph Beckett (11/1-11/10*-8/11*-3/1-11/4)

4/6--'Team Burke' (9/4-7/2-10/3-11/4)

4/18--Saeed Bin Suroor (2/5*-Evs*-4/6*-6/1)

4/26--Roy Bowring (14/1-7/1-9/1-8/1)

4/34--Mark Johnston (6/1-11/8*-11/8*-11/8)

 

112/125 winners (89.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Ralph Beckett (3/1-9/4-2/1-8/11-9/4)

4--Andrew Balding (7/2-4/5-7/4-5/4)

4--Lady Cecil (5/2**-85/40-2/1-9/4)

4--John Gosden (3/1-1/2-5/2**-9/4**)

4--David O'Meara (11/4-7/4-5/1**-4/1)

3--Luca Cumani (11/10-5/4-9/4)

3--Sir Michael Stoute (9/4-5/2-11/10)

3--Saeed Bin Suroor (13/8-7/4-2/1)

12.30: Five furlong Nursery: Two of the last five favourites have won this Nursery event which in the context of two-year-old handicaps is a good return.  Seven of the last eight gold medallists have emerged at a top price of 8/1.

1.00: Four-year-olds have secured five of the last six contests.

1.30 & 2.00 (two divisions): Thirteen of the last fifteen winners of this event have scored at odds of 11/1 or less, whilst Ralph Beckett (saddled a horse in each of the two heats this year) was responsible for both (11/1 & 15/8*) winners in 2011.

Warwick: 

WARWICK NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Warwick: 36

Favourite stats: 16 (43.2%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/6

Leading trainers of winners at Warwick in 2013:

2--Tom George (11/2 & 2/1)

2--Nicky Henderson (7/4* & 9/4*)

2--Alan King (Evs* & 3/1**)

2--Charlie Longsdon (12/1 & 11/8*)

2--Jonjo O'Neill (7/1 & 16/1)

2--David Pipe (1/2* & 7/4*)

2--Nigel Twiston-Davies (5/1 & 1/2*)

31/36 gold medallists (86.1%) were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

3--Tom George (4/1-10/11-3/1)

3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (3/1-6/4-2/1)

2--Philip Hobbs (11/4 & 3/1**)

2--Jonjo O'Neill (10/3 & 3/1)

2--Venetia Williams (7/2 & 6/4)

Four-year-olds have won seven of the last ten renewals of Warwick’s (bumper) finale (4.00 shcedule).

 

THURSDAY: 

Musselburgh: 

MUSSELBURGH NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Musselburgh: 29

Favourite stats: 11 (37.9% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/6 (50.0%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Musselburgh in 2013:

4--D. McCain (4/6*-1/5*-5/2-1/5*)

3--B. Ellison (7/1-9/2-5/1)

3--Venetia Williams (7/2-5/2*-9/4*)

2--Paul Nicholls (5/4* & 7/4*)

2--D Pipe (3/1* & 6/4*)

 

28/29 winners (96.6%) were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Donald McCain (5/2-4/9-11/10-10/11)

 

Lingfield (A/W): 

Northern based jockey Tom Eaves is booked aboard one horse at Lingfield on Thursday at time of writing whereby Beautiful Stranger might be worth a saver (at least), especially as Tom boasts a level profit stake of fifty three points via a 22% strike rate (seventeen winners) at the venue during the last five years.

 

Towcester: 

TOWCESTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Towcester: 70

Favourite stats: 26 (37.1%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 8/12 (66.7%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Towcester in 2013:

4--Kim Bailey (6/4*-6/4*-7/2*-4/1)

4--Fergal O'Brien (2/1*-8/1-15/8*-11/2)

4--David Pipe (7/4*-4/1-1/2*-13/8*)

3--Nicky Henderson (2/1*-2/11*-9/4)

3--Tim Vaughan (4/1-11/4**-8/1)

 

67/70 winners (95.7%) were sent off at a top price of 12/1

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

3--Kim Bailey (5/4-7/4-8/13)

3--Nicky Henderson (Evs-11/4-15/8)

3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (9/4-11/8-3/1)

 

Twenty one furlong handicap hurdle scheduled for 1.10: Nine of the last ten winners have carried eleven stones or more.

Two and three quarter mile handicap chase scheduled for 1.40: Six of the last seven winners have carried a minimum burden of eleven stones.

Bumper event restricted to fillies scheduled for 4.10: Although just three favourites have won via nine renewals to date, the biggest priced winner was returned at 8/1.  

Wolverhampton: 

Giles Bravery has a couple of entries at Wolverhampton this week, his last runner at the track having been touched off by ‘three parts’ when returned at 10/1.  Giles boasts a 24% strike rate at the venue, his six winners having produced a level stake profit of fifty one points.

 

FRIDAY:  

Hexham: 

HEXHAM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Hexham: 72

Favourite stats: 27 (37.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/9 (66.7%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Hexham in 2013:

11--Lucinda Russell (5/2*-13/8*-15/8-11/1-3/1-9/1-15/8*-6/1-13/8*-7/1-5/2*)

6--Sue Smith (5/1-11/4-10/3-4/1**-7/2-7/2)

3--Stuart Crawford (11/10*-7/4-3/1)

3--Rose Dobbin (7/1-4/1-20/1)

3--Ferdy Murphy (5/1-6/1-15/8*)

3--Dianne Sayer (16/1-15/8*-7/2**)

 

Your first 30 days for just £1

67/72 winners (93.1%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

10--Lucinda Russell (13/8-4/1**-5/2**-7/4-7/4-3/1-4/1-8/15-3/1-11/4)

6--Sue Smith (9/2-5/1**-11/4-2/1-11/2***-11/2)

3--Tim Vaughan (7/4-7/4-11/4)

 

Musselburgh: 

MUSSELBURGH NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Musselburgh: 29

Favourite stats: 11 (37.9% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/6 (50.0%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Musselburgh in 2013:

4--D. McCain (4/6*-1/5*-5/2-1/5*)

3--B. Ellison (7/1-9/2-5/1)

3--Venetia Williams (7/2-5/2*-9/4*)

2--Paul Nicholls (5/4* & 7/4*)

2--D Pipe (3/1* & 6/4*)

 

28/29 winners (96.6%) were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Donald McCain (5/2-4/9-11/10-10/11)

 

Wolverhampton: 

Three of David Barron’s last five runners have won and David had two runners on this card (his only representatives all week) at the time of writing.  David’s five year total of twenty nine winners has produced a strike rate of 22%, a ratio which has earned the trainer an LSP reading of thirty three points.

 

SATURDAY: 

Doncaster:

Doncaster’s November Handicap details for Saturday (11 year study):

John Gosden has trained two of the last three winners and John held three options on Monday.

Draw details:

2012: 9-5-6-2 (23 ran-good) 2011: 20-5-16-22 (23 ran-soft)

2010: 9-17-5-3 (22 ran-good to soft) 2009: 14-19-9-24 (23 ran-soft)

2008: 22-18-11-7 (21 ran-soft) 2007: 13-17-19-2 (21 ran-good to firm)

2006: Race was contested at Windsor

2005: 18-5-10-8 (21 ran-heavy) 2004: 3-6-1-4 (24 ran-soft)

2003: 14-6-3-2 (24 ran-good) 2002: 20-22-24-17 (23 ran-heavy)

Official ratings: The last nine winners have run off offical marks ranging between 93 & 99.

Favourites during the study period: Just one favourite has finished in the frame (2008) via twelve representatives (no winners).

Vintage stats:

3YO: 4 winners & 7 places 4YO: 5 winners & 15 places

5YO: 2 winners & 5 places Older horses: No winners--six places

DONCASTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Doncaster: 172

Favourite stats: 58 (33.9%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 x Non-runner)

Odds on ratio: 6/12 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Doncaster in 2013:

11/84--Richard Fahey (14/1-11/2-7/2-4/1**-16/1-10/3-7/4-9/2-5/4*-10/1-5/2*)

9/35--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5*-5/6*-15/8*-7/4*-6/1-3/1-11/4-11/10*-13/8*)

9/49--Richard Hannon (6/1-13/8*-3/1**-5/4*-20/1-1/3*-5/2*-14/1-6/4*)

6/18--Roger Varian (6/4*-11/8-9/2-4/1**-7/2*-7/1)

6/32--Charlie Hills (5/6*-5/2*-4/5*-7/1-16/1-12/1)

 

142/172 winners (82.6%) scored at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

9--Richard Hannon (8/11-9/2**-2/1-11/4-15/8-9/2-10/3**-9/4**-6/5)

8--William Haggas (10/11-15/8-11/4-5/2**-Evs-15/8-7/2-3/1)

7--James Fanshawe (15/8-4/5-5/4-2/1-9/4**-2/1-4/1**)

6--John Gosden (2/1-13/2-2/1-2/1-Evs-9/4)

6--Charlie Hills (11/8-9/2**-11/2-5/1-11/4-4/1)

6--Mark Johnston (11/4-5/2-11/4***-5/2**-7/2-4/1**)

6--David O'Meara (9/2-Evs-2/1-11/2**-3/1-3/1***)

5--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-5/4-11/10-10/11-5/2)

4--Brian Ellison (4/1-6/4-5/4-3/1)

 

Six furlong Nursery event due to be contested at 1.15: Six of the last seven winners have carried a maximum weight of 9-4, whilst four favourite have won via eight renewals during the last eleven years.

The five winners of the scheduled seven furlong Class 2 handicap at 1.50 have scored at 33/1-16/1-12/1-10/1-8/1, all carrying weights of 8-13 or less.

Ten furlong Listed event scheduled for 3.00: Three and four-year-olds have won all ten renewals thus far (juniors lead 6-4).

November Handicap scheduled for 3.35: Whilst digesting the stats and facts in the opening sector of this week’s work, it’s as well to also consider that ten of the last twelve gold medallists carried 9-2 or less.

 

Kelso: 

KELSO NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Kelso: 67

Favourite stats: 20 (29.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/12 (41.7%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Kelso in 2013:

7--Donald McCain (6/1-4/7*-4/1-8/13*-6/1-7/2-Evs*)

5--John Wade (20/1-11/1-16/1-14/1-3/1*)

4--Dianne Sayer (6/1-5/1-7/2-7/2)

4--Sue Smith (8/11*-16/1-Evs*-10/3)

3--Ferdy Murphy (5/2-12/1-9/1)

3--Nicky Richards (7/4-3/1-5/2)

 

58/67 winners (86.6%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--D. McCain (Evs-1/4-11/8-15/8-2/1)

4--Phil Kirby (9/2***-15/8-3/1-3/1)

3--James Ewart (4/5-5/4-4/1)

3--Pauline Robson (7/4-9/4***-6/5)

3--Lucinda Russell (Evs-11/10-11/4)

3--Dianne Sayer (11/4-2/1-7/2)

 

Two and three quarter mile NH novice hurdle event scheduled for 12.30: Five-year-olds lead the six-year-olds 6-3 during the last eleven years.

 

Sandown: 

SANDOWN NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Sandown: 43

Favourite stats: 13 (30.2%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/9 (44.4%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Sandown in 2013:

6--Nicky Henderson (7/4-11/10*-9/4*-8/1-11/4-1/2*)

5--Paul Nicholls (7/4*-4/5*-7/4*-2/9*-9/2)

4--Venetia Williams (5/1-11/8*-6/5*-7/2)

3--Gary Moore (20/1-6/1-5/1)

 

36/43 winners (83.7%) sent off at odds of 17/2 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7--Nicky Henderson (5/2-4/7-5/2-5/2-9/2**-2/1-3/1**)

7--Paul Nicholls (1/3-2/5-11/4-6/4-11/4-15/8-3/1**)

3--Venetia Williams (5/6-10/3-2/1)

2--Warren Greatrex (15/8 & 9/2)

2--David Pipe (3/1 & 9/2**)

 

Conditional jockeys event scheduled for 12.45: Seven-year-olds have won six of the last eight renewals with a 20/1 runner up last year mentioned in despatches.

Beginners’ Chase scheduled for 1.20: Paul Nicholls has secured four of the last six renewals whilst favourites come to this year’s gig on an eight timer!

Juvenile hurdle scheduled for 1.55: Four clear market leaders and one joint favourite have prevailed during the last eleven years.

Two and a half mile Class 2 handicap chase scheduled for 2.30: The last twelve winners have scored at odds of 8/1 or less, statistics which include six winning favourites.  Six-year-olds have secured four of the last seven contests.

Class 3 handicap hurdle event scheduled for 3.05: Ten of the last eleven winners have carried weights of 11-2 or more, ten of which scored at odds of 9/1 or less (three successful favourites).

Three mile Class 3 handicap chase scheduled for 3.40: The last ten winners carried a minimum burden of 11-2.

Bumper event scheduled for 4.10: The last twelve winners have scored at odds of 17/2 or less.  Four-year-olds have secured five of the last seven renewals.

 

Wincanton: 

WINCANTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Wincanton: 95

Favourite stats: 34 (35.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 13/19 (68.4%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Wincanton in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):

15--Paul Nicholls (6/1-1/3*-17/2-3/1-Evs*-2/1-8/13*-Evs*-3/1-7/4*-4/6*-1/4*-2/5*-7/2-4/5*)

6--David Pipe (5/6*-10/1-4/1**-3/1-5/1-7/2)

6--Colin Tizzard (4/1-11/4**-9/1-10/1-11/4-4/9*)

5--Tom George (6/1-11/5*-2/1*-3/1-3/1)

5--Jeremy Scott (25/1-11/8*-7/1-7/1-5/1)

4--Philip Hobbs (5/4*-Evs*-7/1-9/4*)

3--Harry Fry (3/1-16/1-5/4*)

3--Alan King (8/1-1/2*-4/1)

 

86/96 of the winners (89.6%) started at 12/1 or less.

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

10--Paul Nicholls (5/2-5/6-3/1-7/2-11/8-9/4-4/9-11/8-Evs-1/3)

8--David Pipe (7/2-7/2**-13/8-6/5-11/4**-9/4-7/4-6/1)

6--Philip Hobbs (Evs-11/10-7/4-3/1**-7/2**-5/2)

4--Nicky Henderson (6/5-5/4-2/5-4/6)

4--Colin Tizzard (5/2**-7/2**-7/2-4/1)

3--Alan King (3/1** & 3/1-5/1**)

3--Jeremy Scott (2/1-9/4-4/1**)

 

Class 4 two mile five handicap chase scheduled for 12.55: Seven of the last eight winners carried weights of 11-4 or more.

Mares handicap hurdle scheduled for 1.30: Only one of the last nine favourites has obliged, whilst five of the last seven winners were burdened with a maximum weight of just 10-10.

Grade 2 novice chase scheduled for 2.05: Paul Nicholls (two potential runners entered up at the five day stage) has saddled four of the last seven winners of this event.  Paul might have snared the other two contests as well had his runners not ‘tipped up’ when going well in their respective events.

Elite Hurdle (Grade 2) scheduled for 2.40: Paul Nicholls has saddled five of the last eleven winners.

Listed handicap chase event schedule for 3.15: Paul Nicholls has saddled five of the last twelve winners of the ‘Badger Beer‘.

Bumper event scheduled for 3.50: Four and five-year-olds have secured eleven of the last twelve renewals between them.  Paul Nicholls has secured four of the last ten contests.  Apologies for the repetitive nature of the Paul Nicholls domination of this meeting down the years!

 

SUNDAY: 

Ffos Las: 

FFOS LAS NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ffos Las: 109

Favourite stats: 37 (33.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/14 (42.8%)

 

Trainers of winners at Ffos Las in 2013:

13--Peter Bowen (3/1**-3/1-7/1-11/4*-5/1-5/2-15/8-9/4*-4/7*-7/4*-9/4-5/1-16/1)

10--Rebecca Curtis (11/2-4/1-16/1-7/2-4/1-11/10*-5/2-3/1-15/8-6/1)

8--Evan Williams (7/1-7/2-9/4-20/1-5/2-9/4-Evs*-6/1)

7--Jonjo O'Neill (9/2-7/2-3/1-5/1-13/8-7/4*-4/9*)

5--David Pipe (3/1-2/1-2/1**-5/1-7/1)

5--Nigel Twiston Davies (5/4*-7/1-4/1-14/1-4/1)

4--Henry Daly (7/4*-11/8*-11/8*-8/1)

4--Paul Nicholls (9/4-11/10-13/8*-10/11*)

4--David Rees (4/1-7/1-6/1-8/1)

4--Tim Vaughan (4/1-8/11-12/1-9/4)

 

99/109 winners (90.8%) were sent off at odds of 8/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

11--Rebecca Curtis (11/4-4/9-10/11-7/4-7/4-2/1**-11/8-11/4-3/1-6/4**-5/6)

8--Peter Bowen (11/4**-9/2-7/4-11/4-11/8-10/11-9/4-5/2)

8--Jonjo O'Neill (11/8-2/1-5/2-6/4-11/8-11/8-6/5-9/4)

4--David Pipe (9/4-9/4-15/8-7/2)

4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (9/4-3/1-7/4-5/4)

4--Evan Williams (7/2-15/8**9/4-4/5)

3--Philip Hobbs (11/8-11/4-5/4)

 

Market Rasen: 

MARKET RASEN NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Market Rasen: 104

Favourite stats: 39 (37.5%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 12/19 (63.2%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Market Rasen in 2013:

8--Charlie Longsdon (6/1-9/2-7/2-5/1-2/1*-3/1*-5/6*-5/6*)

6--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1**-15/2-11/10*-5/2*-2/1*-8/11*)

4--Peter Bowen (11/2-3/1*-5/6*-3/1)

4--John Ferguson (1/2*-9/2**-8/1-8/13*)

4--Fergal O'Brien (5/1-7/4*-9/1-16/1)

4--Lucy Wadham (9/4**-9/1-7/2-13/8*)

3--Jennie Candlish (2/1*-6/4-5/4)

3--Brian Ellison (14/1-6/1-10/3*)

3--Nicky Henderson (5/6*-15/8*-8/1)

3--Steve Gollings (3/1-7/2-2/1*)

3--Dr Richard Newland (11/2-7/1-8/1)

 

94/104 winners (90.4%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

12--Jonjo O'Neill (7/2**-9/2**11/4-9/4-5/4-5/2-9/2**-5/1**-9/4-5/4-2/1**-15/8**)

5--John Ferguson (4/1**-11/10-11/4-7/4-9/2)

5--Donald McCain (10/11-2/1-3/1-13/8-11/8)

4--Jennie Candlish (2/1-11/4-7/2-5/4)

4--Charlie Longsdon (9/4**-3/10*-1/6-15/8**)

4--Dianne Sayer (11/10-4/5-11/4-6/5)

3--Tony Coyle (9/2**-2/1-2/1)

3--Nicky Henderson (5/1-13/8-7/2)

3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (7/2**-11/10-4/1)

 

MONDAY: 

Carlisle: 

CARLISLE NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Carlisle: 68

Favourite stats: 31 (46.3%--includes joint and co favourites & one non runner)

Odds on ratio: 8/13 (61.5%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Carlisle in 2013:

6--Jonjo O'Neill (9/2-6/4-7/4*-6/4*-11/10*-5/4*)

4--Charlie Longsdon (6/4*-11/10*-10/11*-4/5*)

4--Nicky Richards (1/8*-5/1-3/1**-10/1)

4--Alan Swinbank (6/1-10/1-11/10*-6/4*)

3--Tim Easterby (3/1**-15/8*-8/1)

3--Brian Ellison (11/4-6/1-7/2*)

 

63/68 winners (92.6%) scored at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

6--Lucinda Russell (3/1**-5/2-6/4-11/10-7/2**-11/8)

4--Donald McCain (4/9-4/6-7/2-4/1)

4--Sue Smith (4/1***-9/2-9/2-3/1**)

3--Brian Ellison (6/4-7/2**-3/1)

3--Charlie Longsdon (Evs-5/6-11/8)

3--Alan Swinbank (5/2-5/2-6/5)

 

Southwell (NH): 

SOUTHWELL NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number ofraces at Southwell: 108

Favourite stats: 41 (38.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 12/18 (66.7%)

 

Leading trainers at Southwell in 2013 (includes one dead-heat):

5--Charlie Longsdon (3/1-7/2**-9/2-10/11*-8/1)

4--Jonjo O'Neill (11/2-5/4*-16/1-5/6*)

4--Keith Reveley (3/1-11/8*-14/1-3/1)

4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (2/7*-4/5*-7/2-11/4)

4--Venetia Williams (Evs*-13/8*-7/1-11/4**)

3--Kim Bailey (5/2-Evs*-7/1)

3--Tom George (15/8**-7/2-11/4)

3--Mike Sowersby (16/1-11/1-12/1)

3--Giles Smyly (25/1-9/4*-11/2)

3--Tim Vaughan (14/1-2/13*-6/4)

3--Lucy Wadham (6/4*-3/1-4/1)

 

101/109 winners (92.7%) to date were returned at odds of 12/1 or less.

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Charlie Longsdon (9/4-9/4-8/13-15/8-5/2)

5--Jonjo O'Neill (15/8-15/8-9/4-15/8-7/4)

4--Alan King (5/1**-3/1**-6/4-5/2)

3--David Bridgwater (3/1**-2/1-7/4)

Weekly Stat Pack: 29th Oct to 4th Nov.

29th Oct to 4th Nov

Weekly Stat Pack: 29th Oct to 4th Nov

More than a few computer issues this week whereby I concentrated on the day by day stats and facts rather than become involved in preamble in case the Internet decided to disappear again! Have a great week!

Day by day details:

TUESDAY 29/10:

Catterick:

CATTERICK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Catterick: 113
Favourite stats: 29 (25.9%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 Non Runner)
Odds on ratio: 6/11 (54.5%)

Leading trainers at Catterick in 2013:
8/29--Richard Fahey (7/1-Evs*-7/2-5/1-15/8-4/1-15/8-7/1)
7/27--Mark Johnston (2/7*-3/1-7/4*-4/1-10/11*-4/1-15/8)
7/46--David O'Meara (5/2*-17/2-2/1*-11/4-4/7*-3/1*-11/4)
6/54--Tim Easterby (10/1-3/1*-5/2-7/2-9/4-12/1)
5/30--Ruth Carr (4/1-7/4*-13/2-7/4-22/1)
5/29--Tracy Waggott (9/2*-6/1-7/2-16/1-25/1)
4/7--James Tate (14/1-9/2-11/2-15/2)
4/39--David Nicholls (7/1-5/1*-15/8*-7/4)

95/113 winners (84.1%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--David O'Meara (6/5-9/4-7/4-2/1-9/2**-9/4-7/2-11/8-11/4)
7--David Nicholls (10/3-3/1-11/8-7/2-5/2-6/4-11/4)
5--Mark Johnston (6/4-4/5-15/8-11/10-11/8)
4--Michael Dods (3/1-6/1***-9/4-11/10)
4--Richard Fahey (6/5-3/1-6/4-4/1**)
4--Phil Kirby (7/4-7/2-2/1-6/1)
3--Tim Easterby (11/4-3/1-4/1)
3--Brian Ellison (9/2-4/1**-2/1)
3--Sir Mark Prescott (7/2-6/4-6/1***)
3--John Quinn (2/1-13/8-3/1)
3--Kevin Ryan (7/4-6/1***-3/1)

*

Yarmouth:

YARMOUTH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Yarmouth 177
Favourite stats: 71 (40.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 26/35 (74.3%)

Leading trainers at Yarmouth (flat) in 2013 (Includes one dead heat scenario):
10/20--William Haggas (11/8*-11/10*-1/4*-4/6*-9/4-6/4*-11/10-11/2-9/4**-7/1)
9/30--Chris Wall (9/4-9/4**-7/1-11/8*-11/8*-13/2-11/8*-11/2-9/2)
8/39--Julia Feilden (8/1-9/1-9/4-10/1-7/2-10/1-5/2-10/1)
7/34--Phil McEntee (12/1-6/1-11/4*-6/1-9/1-10/1-10/1)
6/12--Richard Fahey (8/1-9/4-11/8*-11/4-7/2*-10/3)
6/13--Luca Cumani (5/2*-2/1-6/1-5/6*-10/3-5/4*)
5/17--Sir Michael Stoute (8/13*-11/8*-5/6*-8/11*-10/11*)
5/22--Rae Guest (8/1-10/3-8/15*-11/8*-15/2)
4/9--Lucy Wadham (9/2-5/4*-Evs*-16/1)
4/11--Jeremy Noseda (11/4*-9/2-3/10*-4/1)
4/15--James Fanshawe (2/1-2/1*-2/1*-7/4**)

161/178 (90.4%) returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers most beaten trainers:
6--Chris Wall (4/1-15/8-11/10-7/4-13/8-Evs)
5--Mark Johnston (5/2-7/4-15/8-5/2-3/1)
4--Michael Bell (2/1-6/4-6/4-7/4)
4--Marco Botti (15/8-5/2-6/4-7/4)
4--Julia Feilden (15/8-2/1-7/2-5/1)
3--George Baker (7/4-7/4-10/3)
3--Tony Carroll (9/2-4/5-85/40)
3--Anthony Carson (2/1-5/2-7/4)
3--James Fanshawe (9/4**-5/2-5/4)
3--Sir Mark Prescott (6/5-11/10-15/8)
3--Sir Michael Stoute (5/2-5/4-6/4)

1.10: Nine of the last sixteen favourites have won this juvenile event, whilst three of the other seven market leaders additionally secured toteplacepot positions. That having been said, four casualties from a win perspective were beaten when returned at 4/9--4/6--8/11--1/2.

1.40: Seven of the fifteen clear market leaders during the last fourteen years prevailed (alongside a joint favourite), whilst thirteen of the nineteen market leaders secured toteplacepot dividends. Four of the last thirteen winners have scored at 50/1--25/1--11/1--10/1. Last year's 9/4 winner ended a run of four successive market leaders of one description or another.

2.40: Twelve of the fifteen horses to have secured toteplacepot positions in the event to date carried weights of 9-2 or more, stats which include four of the six winners at 12/1, 7/1, 5/1 and 3/1. Three of the six favourites have finished in the frame without winning their respective events.

3.10: Six of the nine available each way/toteplacepot positions have been secured by horses carrying a minimum weight of nine stones, statistics which include all three (12/1-9/1-7/2*) winners. Both favourites had finished out of the frame behind 12/1 and 9/2 winners before last year’s market leader obliged at 7/2.

*

Ffos Las (NH):

FFOS LAS NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ffos Las: 102
Favourite stats: 34 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/11 (45.5%)

Trainers of winners at Ffos Las in 2013:
12--Peter Bowen (3/1**-3/1-7/1-11/4*-5/1-5/2-15/8-9/4*-4/7*-7/4*- 9/4-5/1)
10--Rebecca Curtis (11/2-4/1-16/1-7/2-4/1-11/10*-5/2-3/1-15/8-6/1)
6--Evan Williams (7/1-7/2-9/4-20/1-5/2-9/4)
5--Jonjo O'Neill (9/2-7/2-3/1-5/1-13/8)
5--David Pipe (3/1-2/1-2/1**-5/1-7/1)
5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (5/4*-7/1-4/1-14/1-4/1)
4--Paul Nicholls (9/4-11/10-13/8*-10/11*)
4--David Rees (4/1-7/1-6/1-8/1)
4--Tim Vaughan (4/1-8/11-12/1-9/4)

93/102 winners (91.2%) were sent off at odds of 8/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
10--Rebecca Curtis (11/4-4/9-10/11-7/4-7/4-2/1**-11/8-11/4-3/1- 6/4**)
8--Peter Bowen (11/4**-9/2-7/4-11/4-11/8-10/11-9/4-5/2)
8--Jonjo O'Neill (11/8-2/1-5/2-6/4-11/8-11/8-6/5-9/4)
4--David Pipe (9/4-9/4-15/8-7/2)
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (9/4-3/1-7/4-5/4)
3--Philip Hobbs (11/8-11/4-5/4)
3--Evan Williams (7/2-15/8**9/4)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

WEDNESDAY 30/10:

Haydock:

HAYDOCK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Haydock: 24
Favourite stats: 7 (29.2% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 0/2

Leading trainers of winners at Haydock in 2013:
2--Brian Ellison (8/1 & 7/1)
2--Martin Keighley (7/2 & 9/4**)
2--Donald McCain (9/1 & 11/10*)
1--Caroline Bailey (6/1)
1--Kevin Bishop (13/2)
1--Tom George (10/1)
1--Nick Gifford (18/1)
1--Chris Grant (5/2)
1--Micky Hammond (10/1)
1--Philip Hobbs (3/1)
1--Malcolm Jefferson (14/1)
1--Alan King (15/8*)
1--Paul Nicholls (10/1)
1--Gary Moore (9/2*)
1--John O'Shea (9/4*)
1--Keith Reveley (15/8)
1--Lucinda Russell (5/2)
1--Sue Smith (4/1)
1--Nigel Twiston-Davies (7/2*)
1--Evan Williams (8/1)
1--Venetia Williams (6/5*)

22/24 winners were returned at 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
2--Henry Daly (11/8 & 9/4)
2--Philip Hobbs (10/11 & 11/4)
2--Alan King (10/3 & 11/2**)
2--Donald McCain (2/1 & 5/1**)
2--Paul Nicholls (11/2** & 9/2)
2--Colin Tizzard (15/8 & 7/2)
2--Venetia Williams (5/4 & 5/1**)

*

Kempton:

Jim Crowley came good for us early last week completing a 395/1 treble at the track last Tuesday and those of us in a healthy situation from that afternoon will not be deserting the jockey on Wednesday!

*

Nottingham:

NOTTINGHAM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Nottingham: 118
Favourite stats: 40 (33.9%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/15 (60.0%)

Leading trainers at Nottingham in 2013:
6/10--Luca Cumani (1/2*-5/6*-5/4*-5/1-5/1-9/4*)
5/16--Ralph Beckett (11/1-11/10*-8/11*-3/1-11/4)
4/6--'Team Burke' (9/4-7/2-10/3-11/4)
4/18--Saeed Bin Suroor (2/5*-Evs*-4/6*-6/1)
4/24--Roy Bowring (14/1-7/1-9/1-8/1)
4/32--Mark Johnston (6/1-11/8*-11/8*-11/8)

105/118 winners (89.0%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--Ralph Beckett (3/1-9/4-2/1-8/11-9/4)
4--Lady Cecil (5/2**-85/40-2/1-9/4)
4--John Gosden (3/1-1/2-5/2**-9/4**)
4--David O'Meara (11/4-7/4-5/1**-4/1)
3--Andrew Balding (7/2-4/5-7/4)
3--Luca Cumani (11/10-5/4-9/4)
3--Sir Michael Stoute (9/4-5/2-11/10)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (13/8-7/4-2/1)

*

Ayr:

AYR DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ayr: 103
Favourite stats: 30 (29.1% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/7 (71.4%)

Leading trainers at Ayr in 2013:
16/93--Jim Goldie (8/1-13/2-10/3*-16/1-5/1-8/1-7/1-5/1-11/4-7/4-7/1-11/1-9/2-10/1-9/1-12/1)
9/81--Keith Dalgleish (4/1-13/8*-9/4*-8/1-18/1-33/1-14/1-4/5*-11/2)
7/68--Richard Fahey (4/1-10/1-7/2-7/1-7/1-25/1-16/1)
6/16--John Quinn (8/1-11/4*-5/1**-5/2*-6/1-5/4*)
5/31--Tim Easterby (5/2*-11/4**-7/4*-20/1-12/5*)
4/21--'Team Burke' (6/5*-9/2-6/5-14/1)
4/35--Michael Dods (9/2-15/8*-7/2*-7/2)
4/36--Kevin Ryan (22/1-3/10*-11/8*-7/2)
3/7--Charlie Hills (5/1-11/2-7/4*)
3/24--David Nicholls (11/8*-5/1**-12/1)
3/27--David O'Meara (7/4*-16/1-3/1*)
3/38--Mark Johnston (2/1-1/2*-5/2*)
3/43--Linda Perratt (8/1-7/2*-20/1)

87/103 winners (84.5%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--Michael Dods (2/1-9/4-3/1**-9/4-5/4-3/1-2/1-5/1**-11/5)
7--Richard Fahey (11/4-10/11-5/1**-10/3-4/1**-10/3-5/2)
4--Richard Guest (11/4**-3/1**5/2**-8/1**)
4--Mark Johnston (5/2-10/11-5/4-15/8)
4--Linda Perratt (11/8-5/2-11/4-3/1)
3--'Team Burke' (85/40-13/8-7/2)
3--Mick Easterby (9/4-3/1**-5/1)
3--David O'Meara (8/1**-11/2-7/2)
3--Sir Mark Prescott (Evs-Evs-15/8)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

THURSDAY 31/10:

Sedgefield:

SEDGEFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of aces at Sedgefield: 77
Favourite stats: 34 (44.2%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 4/7 (57.1%)

Leading trainers of winners at Sedgefield in 2013:
11--Donald McCain (4/6*-6/5*-5/4*-3/1-8/1-6/5*-10/11*-1/5*-Evs*-7/4*-3/1)
5--Diane Sayer (8/1-4/1**-4/1-6/4*-6/4*)
3--Joanne Foster (3/1-7/2*-4/1)
3--Steve Gollings (9/2-11/8*-9/4**)
3--Phil Kirby (5/2*-1/4*-11/2)
3--Sue Smith (7/1-7/4*-11/2)
3--John Wade (2/1*-4/1-4/1)

72/77 winners (93.5%) were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--Brian Ellison (6/4-10/11-9/4-2/1**-5/2-11/8)
6--Phil Kirby (5/2-11/10-11/4-5/4-3/1**-11/4)
5--Donald McCain (5/4-5/2-15/8-11/4-7/4)
4--Chris Grant (9/4**-10/3-13/8*-15/8*)

*

Stratford:

STRATFORD DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Stratford: 105
Favourite stats: 42 (40.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/19 (52.6%)

Leading trainers at Stratford in 2013:
10--Jonjo O'Neill (11/4*-7/4*-7/2-14/1-4/7*-9/1-6/4*-6/4*-11/10*-5/2**)
6--Warren Greatrex (6/1-1/6*-9/4-Evs*-3/1-4/1)
6--Tim Vaughan (5/2-8/13*-14/1-4/6*-11/8*-13/2)
4--Philip Hobbs (9/2**-11/4-4/5*-11/10*)
4--Alan King (14/1-15/8*-5/2-3/1*)
4--Phil Middleton (10/3*-4/1-10/3-2/1)
3--Peter Bowen (2/1*-5/2*-9/2)
3--John Ferguson (2/1-15/8*-8/1)
3--Nicky Henderson (15/8*-11/4*-5/1)
3--Charlie Longsdon (7/1-2/1*-5/4*)
3--David Pipe (5/2-12/1-2/5*)

96/105 winners (91.4%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--Peter Bowen (15/8-7/4-9/2**-5/4-9/4)
4--Jonjo O'Neill (9/4**-10/11-5/2-4/1***)
3--Philip Hobbs (5/4-9/4-6/5)
3--Charlie Longsdon (9/4-4/1***-10/3)
3--Tim Vaughan (6/4-5/6-11/4)

Maiden hurdle event scheduled for 4.10: Nigel Twiston-Davies has saddled four of the last ten winners, with Nigel holding two options at the five day stage. Four favourites have won via the last seven contests.

Your first 30 days for just £1

*

Kempton:

Jim Crowley potentially rides horses here at The Sunbury circuit have travelled on from Lingfield earlier in the afternoon. I make no apology for repeating last week’s positive advice, or for flagging up one of the most consistent pilots in the land.

*

Lingfield:

Seven furlong maiden event for juvenile fillies scheduled for 1.20: Two of the last six favourites have won this event though that said, the two gold medallists are the only market leaders to have prevailed via the last eleven renewals.

Class 5 maiden event for juveniles due to be contested at 1.50: Richard Hannon has saddled two of the last five winners, not having been represented in 2010. Richard held three options at the five-day stage this time around. Two of the last three winners were returned at 25/1, albeit favourites of one description or another have secured five of the last ten contests.

Class 3 seven furlong handicap scheduled for 2.20: Saeed Bin Suroor has saddled two of the last three winners and the trainer held two entries earlier in the week. Four-year-olds have won five of the last eight renewals during which time, seven winners (the last seven) have carried weights of 8-11 or more.

One mile Listed event scheduled for 2.50: Three-year-olds have won seven of the ten contests thus far. Favourites have won two of the last five renewals, whilst seven of the last eight winners scored at odds of 7/1 or less.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

FRIDAY 01/11:

Newmarket:

NEWMARKET (ROWLEY MILE) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newmarket (Rowley Mile): 102
Favourite stats: 36 (35.4%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/9 (88.9%)

Leading trainers of winners at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) in 2013:
8/71--Richard Hannon (8/11*-9/1-10/3-10/3--10/11*-12/1-16/1-7/4*)
6/17--Charlie Appleby (6/4*-7/2-9/1-11/4**-8/11*-14/1)
5/16--Roger Varian (2/1-4/1-12/1-15/2-5/1)
5/32--John Gosden (11/2-20/1-2/1*-15/8*-11/4)
5/55--Mark Johnston (6/1-11/4-4/5*-9/1-66/1)
4/14--Sir Henry Cecil (10/1-10/11*-8/1-5/1)
4/38--Andrew Balding (11/1-15/8*-7/1-25/1)
3/11--David Elsworth (6/1-5/2*-4/11*)
3/14--Roger Charlton (15/8*-11/4*-7/4*)
3/17--David Simcock (12/1-5/1-5/1)
3/19--Marco Botti (9/1-9/4-5/1)
3/19--Sir Michael Stoute (4/1-11/4*-11/4*)

87/102 winners (85.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
7--William Haggas (9/2**-5/1**-7/2**-5/2-5/4-9/2**-9/2**)
5--John Gosden (Evs-11/4**-3/1-10/3-5/4)
5--Richard Hannon (4/1-7/2-11/4-11/4-5/2)
4--Lady Cecil (6/1**-10/3-15/8-7/1)
4--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/2-7/4-15/8)
4--Luca Cumani (13/8-4/1**-3/1-2/1-)
4--Sir Michael Stoute (5/4-6/4-5/2-11/10)
3--Charlie Hills (9/2**-11/4-5/1**)
3--Mark Johnston (2/1**-7/2**--11/8**)
3--Roger Varian (11/4-5/2-3/1**)

Listed ‘Bora Sham’ event scheduled for 2.00: Richard Hannon has won this race three times during the last decade, whilst two favourites have obliged during the study period. Five of the other eight winners were returned in double figures. Richard held four options at the five day stage.

Conditions event for two and three-year-olds only scheduled for 2.30: Juveniles have won the last seven renewals and nine of the last ten during which time, favourites have obliged on five occasions.

*

Uttoxeter:

UTTOXETER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Uttoxeter: 132
Favourite stats: 37 (28.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/12 (58.3%)

Leading trainers at Uttoxeter in 2013:
6--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-11/4-28/1-3/1-9/2-11/4)
6--David Pipe (6/1-7/1-3/1-16/1-10/3-16/1)
6--Nigel Twiston-Davies (85/40-10/3-9/4*-7/2-22/1-7/2*)
5--Peter Bowen (5/2-10/3*-4/1-11/4-8/11*)
5--Sue Smith (14/1-11/8*-5/1-7/1-3/1*)
4--Jim Best (4/1-11/8*-1/2*-6/4*)
4--Charlie Longsdon (4/1*-3/1-4/7*-8/1)
4--Evan Williams (15/8*-11/2-7/2-5/2*)
3--Dai Burchell (16/1-9/2-85/40)
3--Philip Hobbs (10/1-11/8-5/1)
3--Martin Keighley (11/4-12/1-11/4*)
3--Alan King (5/1-4/11*-6/4*)
3--Nick Williams (11/4-14/1-3/1)

115/132 winners (87.1%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
15--Jonjo O'Neill (2/1-Evs-6/4-5/4-7/2-5/2-6/5-6/4-6/4-11/4-13/8-2/1-5/4-11/8-13/8)
8--Donald McCain (3/1-13/8-5/2-2/1-9/4-5/2-5/4-6/4)
5--Tim Vaughan (2/1-9/4-7/4-11/8-6/5)
4--Nicky Henderson (13/8-15/8-13/8-15/8)
4--David Pipe (15/8-3/1-7/4-4/5)
3--Jim Best (11/8-11/8-1/2)
3--Tom George (9/2-7/2-2/1)
3--Peter Bowen (6/5-5/2-10/11)

Two and a half mile handicap chase scheduled for 3.30: Seven-year-olds have won three of the five events thus far, with 20/1 and 6/1 medallists representing the vintage on other occasions. The five winners since the successful inaugural 5/2 favourite have scored at 33/1-14/1-9/1-8/1-6/1.

*

Wetherby:

WETHERBY NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Wetherby: 71
Favourite stats: 33 (46.5%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/9 (66.7%)

Leading trainers of winners at Wetherby in 2013:
6--Brian Ellison (7/1-8/13*-11/4-6/4*-15/8*-17/2)
6--Sue Smith (5/1-4/1***-9/2-5/4*-10/3-3/1*)
4--Kim Bailey (Evs*-9/2-5/6*-3/10*)
4--Donald McCain (5/2-13/8*-2/1*-5/2)
3--John Wade (2/1*-3/1*-7/2)

67/71 (94.4%) winners sent off at 9/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Donald McCain (3/1**-13/8-5/2-11/4)
3--David Pipe (11/8-10/11*-8/13*)
2--Tom George (9/4 & 11/4)
2--Malcolm Jefferson (15/8 & 11/4)
2--Alan King (5/2 & 10/11)
2--Peter Bowen (6/5-7/4)
2--Fergal O'Brien (4/1*** & 11/4)
2--Lucinda Russell (11/4-3/1)
2--John Wade (11/4 & 9/4)

*

Wolverhampton:

David Barron is back in amongst the winners after a lean time by David’s high standards, boasting a 21% strike rate via 28 winners at Dunstall Park during the last five years, a ratio which has produced an LSP reading of 34 points.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

SATURDAY 02/11:

Ascot:

ASCOT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ascot: 14
Favourite stats: 7 (50.0% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 4/4

Trainers of winners at Ascot in 2013:
2--Nick Gifford (33/1 & 11/1)
2--Paul Nicholls (8/13* & 8/13*)
1--Vic Dartnall (33/1)
1--Alan King (40/1)
1--Charlie Mann (16/1)
1--Donald McCain (15/8*)
1--Gary Moore (11/4*)
1--Fergal O'Brien (10/11*)
1--David Pipe (4/6*)
1--John Quinn (4/1)
1--Colin Tizzard (15/8*)
1--Nigel Twiston-Davies (10/1)

Eight of the fourteen winners thus far were sent off at odds of 4/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--Nicky Henderson (2/1**-11/8-7/2-5/2)
2--Gary Moore (3/1 & 4/1)
1--Philip Hobbs (2/1**)
1--Paul Nicholls (7/2)

*

Ayr:

AYR NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ayr: 65
Favourite stats: 25 (38.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/13 (61.5%)

Trainers of winners at Ayr in 2013:
10--Donald McCain (5/4*-Evs*-8/15*-5/4*-9/4**-8/13*-2/9*-5/1**-7/2-8/11*)
9--Lucinda Russell (7/2-5/6*-4/9*-5/4*-7/2-11/8**-2/1*-5/1-10/3*)
5--Jim Goldie (12/1-6/1-10/1-6/1-13/8*)
6--J.J. Lambe (16/1-4/1-8/1-9/4*-5/1-7/1)
3--Nick Alexander (11/4-5/1-7/1)

60/65 winners (92.3%) scored at a top price of 12/1

Trainers of beaten favourites:
6--Donald McCain (11/8**-13/8-9/4**-11/10-11/10-9/4)
5--Lucinda Russell (5/1**-11/8-9/2-6/4-7/2**)
4--David Pipe (4/6-8/11-11/8-6/5)
3--Jim Goldie (6/1**-5/4-7/2**)
3--Nicky Henderson (5/1**-3/1-4/5)

*

Newmarket:

NEWMARKET (ROWLEY MILE) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newmarket (Rowley Mile): 102
Favourite stats: 36 (35.4%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/9 (88.9%)

Leading trainers of winners at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) in 2013:
8/71--Richard Hannon (8/11*-9/1-10/3-10/3--10/11*-12/1-16/1-7/4*)
6/17--Charlie Appleby (6/4*-7/2-9/1-11/4**-8/11*-14/1)
5/16--Roger Varian (2/1-4/1-12/1-15/2-5/1)
5/32--John Gosden (11/2-20/1-2/1*-15/8*-11/4)
5/55--Mark Johnston (6/1-11/4-4/5*-9/1-66/1)
4/14--Sir Henry Cecil (10/1-10/11*-8/1-5/1)
4/38--Andrew Balding (11/1-15/8*-7/1-25/1)
3/11--David Elsworth (6/1-5/2*-4/11*)
3/14--Roger Charlton (15/8*-11/4*-7/4*)
3/17--David Simcock (12/1-5/1-5/1)
3/19--Marco Botti (9/1-9/4-5/1)
3/19--Sir Michael Stoute (4/1-11/4*-11/4*)

87/102 winners (85.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
7--William Haggas (9/2**-5/1**-7/2**-5/2-5/4-9/2**-9/2**)
5--John Gosden (Evs-11/4**-3/1-10/3-5/4)
5--Richard Hannon (4/1-7/2-11/4-11/4-5/2)
4--Lady Cecil (6/1**-10/3-15/8-7/1)
4--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/2-7/4-15/8)
4--Luca Cumani (13/8-4/1**-3/1-2/1-)
4--Sir Michael Stoute (5/4-6/4-5/2-11/10)
3--Charlie Hills (9/2**-11/4-5/1**)
3--Mark Johnston (2/1**-7/2**--11/8**)
3--Roger Varian (11/4-5/2-3/1**)

*

Wetherby:

WETHERBY NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Wetherby: 71
Favourite stats: 33 (46.5%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/9 (66.7%)

Leading trainers of winners at Wetherby in 2013:
6--Brian Ellison (7/1-8/13*-11/4-6/4*-15/8*-17/2)
6--Sue Smith (5/1-4/1***-9/2-5/4*-10/3-3/1*)
4--Kim Bailey (Evs*-9/2-5/6*-3/10*)
4--Donald McCain (5/2-13/8*-2/1*-5/2)
3--John Wade (2/1*-3/1*-7/2)

67/71 (94.4%) winners sent off at 9/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Donald McCain (3/1**-13/8-5/2-11/4)
3--David Pipe (11/8-10/11*-8/13*)
2--Tom George (9/4 & 11/4)
2--Malcolm Jefferson (15/8 & 11/4)
2--Alan King (5/2 & 10/11)
2--Peter Bowen (6/5-7/4)
2--Fergal O'Brien (4/1*** & 11/4)
2--Lucinda Russell (11/4-3/1)
2--John Wade (11/4 & 9/4)

Charlie Hall Chase: The last eight favourites have finished in the frame (exact science), albeit only two successful market leaders have been recorded from a win perspective during the study period. Eight-year-olds have won five of the last nine renewals (including three of the last four).

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

SUNDAY 03/11:

Carlisle:

CARLISLE NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Carlisle: 54
Favourite stats: 24 (45.3%--includes joint and co favourites & one non runner)
Odds on ratio: 6/10 (60.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Carlisle in 2013:
5--Jonjo O'Neill (9/2-6/4-7/4*-6/4*-11/10*)
4--Charlie Longsdon (6/4*-11/10*-10/11*-4/5*)
4--Nicky Richards (1/8*-5/1-3/1**-10/1)
4--Alan Swinbank (6/1-10/1-11/10*-6/4*)
3--Tim Easterby (3/1**-15/8*-8/1)
3--Brian Ellison (11/4-6/1-7/2*)

49/54 winners (90.7%) scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--Lucinda Russell (3/1**-5/2-6/4-11/10-7/2**)
4--Donald McCain (4/9-4/6-7/2-4/1)
4--Sue Smith (4/1***-9/2-9/2-3/1**)
3--Charlie Longsdon (Evs-5/6-11/8)
3--Alan Swinbank (5/2-5/2-6/5)

*

Huntingdon:

HUNTINGDON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Huntingdon: 83
Favourite stats: 29 (35.0--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/12 (66.7%)

Leading trainers of winners at Huntingdon in 2013:
10--Nicky Henderson (4/9*-4/7*-11/10*-11/10*-3/1-15/8-15/8**-4/7*-2/1*-11/8*)
4--Kim Bailey (8/1-4/1*-7/1-5/1)
4--Charlie Longsdon (5/2-Evs*-5/2*-3/1)
3--Lawney Hill (20/1-15/8-9/4)
3--Gary Moore (12/1-12/1-4/1)
3--Paul Nicholls (4/5*-3/1-4/9*)
3--Jonjo O'Neill (15/8**-4/1-5/4*)

75/83 (90.4%) winners were sent off at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Philip Hobbs (5/2-4/1-11/4-13/8)
4--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-10/3-7/2-5/2)
3--John Ferguson (4/5-10/11-5/4)
3--Venetia Williams (11/4-5/2-7/2)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

MONDAY 04/11:

Plumpton:

PLUMPTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Plumpton: 70
Favourite stats: 26 (37.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/6

Leading trainers of winners at Plumpton in 2013:
4--Alan King (6/4-8/11*-1/2*-11/10*)
4--Gary Moore (6/1-9/2-Evs-9/2)
4--David Pipe (1/5*-15/8*-1/7*-9/2)
4--Venetia Williams (9/4*-3/1**-Evs*10/11*)
3--Chris Gordon (33/1-5/1-9/1)
3--Suzy Smith (8/1-5/1-16/1)
3--Kevin Tork (40/1-3/1*-11/8*)
3--Sheena West (9/4-6/1-10/3*)

60/70 winners (85.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Charlie Longsdon (Evs-3/1-15/8-11/4)
3--Philip Hobbs (7/4-11/8-3/1)
3--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-9/2-11/4)
3--Tim Vaughan (11/8-6/4-2/1**)

*

Kempton (NH):

KEMPTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Kempton: 57
Favourite stats: 17 (29.8%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/12 (50.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Kempton in 2013:
10--Nicky Henderson (5/1-3/10*-3/1*-13/2-13/2-6/1-9/2-10/3-4/5*-25/1)
9--Alan King (4/5*-5/1-5/1-13/2-9/2-6/1-9/4-4/6*-2/1*)
7--Paul Nicholls (7/1-5/4*-9/4-11/8-11/4*-9/2-8/11*)
3--Paul Webber (9/1-12/1-9/2)

44/50 winners (88.9%) scored at a top price of 10/1

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
7--Nicky Henderson (5/2**-11/8-8/11-10/11-7/4-4/11-6/4)
7--Paul Nicholls (9/2-5/4-2/1-7/4**-10/11-3/1-7/4)
4--Philip Hobbs (11/4-9/4-7/4-3/1)
3--Donald McCain (5/4-2/1-9/4)

*

Wolverhampton:

Gerard Butler boasts some of the best ‘collective stats’ at Wolverhampton during the last five years in the training ranks; 25 winners via a 24% strike rate, accumulating 54 points of level stake profits.

Mal Boyle

Weekly Stat Pack: 22nd to 29th October

22nd to 29th October

Weekly Stat Pack: 22nd to 29th October

Wouldn’t you just know it, I went to have my ‘flu jab on Thursday and now I have ‘man flu’ about my person!

Upwards and onwards by looking at beaten favourites to a fashion, wondering why people become obsessed with punts, particularly at this time of the year when ‘freak’ results appear to be an everyday occurrence with the ground changing so quickly.

During the last few days, punters have latched onto market leaders from stables which have poor ratios at the respective venues this year, statistics which include the following examples: Amanda Perrett at Windsor (0/11--beaten 3/1 favourite on Monday), Brendan Powell at Windsor (1/13--beaten favourite at 5/2), Michael Dods (0/21--beaten 11/10 favourite at Catterick on Saturday) and Mick Easterby (1/26--beaten favourite at 5/2 at the same venue).

These are just a few examples of what are regular scenarios and the message is be lucky but more importantly, remain observant.

Day by day details:

TUESDAY 22/10:

Yarmouth:

YARMOUTH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Yarmouth 169

Favourite stats: 69 (40.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 24/33 (72.7%)

Leading trainers at Yarmouth (flat) in 2013 (Includes one dead heat scenario):

10/18--William Haggas (11/8*-11/10*-1/4*-4/6*-9/4-6/4*-11/10-11/2-9/4**-7/1)

9/29--Chris Wall (9/4-9/4**-7/1-11/8*-11/8*-13/2-11/8*-11/2-9/2)

8/37--Julia Feilden (8/1-9/1-9/4-10/1-7/2-10/1-5/2-10/1)

6/10--Richard Fahey (8/1-9/4-11/8*-11/4-7/2*-10/3)

6/13--Luca Cumani (5/2*-2/1-6/1-5/6*-10/3-5/4*)

6/31--Phil McEntee (12/1-6/1-11/4*-6/1-9/1-10/1)

4/8--Lucy Wadham (9/2-5/4*-Evs*-16/1)

4/11--Jeremy Noseda (11/4*-9/2-3/10*-4/1)

4/15--James Fanshawe (2/1-2/1*-2/1*-7/4**)

4/20--Rae Guest (8/1-10/3-8/15*-11/8*)

154/170 (90.6%) returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers most beaten trainers:

6--Chris Wall (4/1-15/8-11/10-7/4-13/8-Evs)

4--Michael Bell (2/1-6/4-6/4-7/4)

4--Mark Johnston (5/2-7/4-15/8-5/2)

3--George Baker (7/4-7/4-10/3)

3--Marco Botti (15/8-5/2-6/4)

3--Tony Carroll (9/2-4/5-85/40)

3--Anthony Carson (2/1-5/2-7/4)

3--James Fanshawe (9/4**-5/2-5/4)

3--Julia Feilden (15/8-2/1-7/2)

3--Sir Mark Prescott (6/5-11/10-15/8)

3--Sir Michael Stoute (5/2-5/4-6/4)

 

Lingfield (A/W):

Sweet P (2.30) is an interesting runner on the card given that Marcus Tregoning boasts a 23% strike rate at Lingfield via nineteen winners, statistics which have produced black figures of five points in recent seasons.

 

Exeter:

EXETER DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Exeter: 60

Favourite stats: 19 (31.7% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 8/14 (57.1%)

Leading trainers of winners at Exeter in 2013:

6--David Pipe (4/1-4/5*-1/4*-6/1-11/2-9/4*)

4--Paul Nicholls (5/6*-4/9*-6/5-6/1)

4--Oliver Sherwood (11/4*-11/4-2/1-4/7*)

4--Colin Tizzard (7/2-7/2-2/1--11/4)

3--Susan Gardner (9/4-11/2-5/6*)

3--Seamus Mullins (12/1-2/11*-5/2)

52/60 winners (86.7%) were returned at odds of 11/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Philip Hobbs (3/1-11/8-6/4-4/5-5/2)

5--Paul Nicholls (7/5-Evs-6/4-11/5-15/8)

2--Vic Dartnell (11/10 & 6/5)

2--Emma Lavelle (3/1 & 2/5)

2--Fergal O'Brien (1/2 & 4/5)

2--Jamie Snowdon (4/1 & 7/2)

2--Colin Tizzard (4/1 & 11/8)

2--Venetia Williams (Evs & 3/1)

2.10: All three favourites had finished out with the washing before the 1/9 favourite dotted up in a three horse race two years ago.  Two of last year‘s three 3/1 co favourites finished in the frame without winning the contest.  The previous nine win and place positions were secured by horses returned at 66/1-66-1-33/1-14/1-8/1-7/1-5/1-7-2-3/1.

3.10: Four-year-olds have won nine of the last 15 renewals (including eight of the last 11), whilst market leaders have won eleven of the last fifteen renewals.

4.10: The last six winners have carried a maximum burden of 11-7, whilst three clear market leaders and two joint favourites have won via the last fifteen renewals.  Thirteen of the twenty one 'jollies' have reached the frame during the study period.

4.40: Five of the seven favourites (via six renewals) have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two successful market leaders.

 

Kempton:

Jim Crowley has four booked rides at Kempton today and the leading rider at the track in terms of winners is the only jockey to have produced a level stake profit at the track via today’s top fourteen pilots at the venue.  To produce an LSP situation from just thirteen mounts short a thousand rides at the Sunbury track during the last five years is a phenomenal effort.

********************************************************************

WEDNESDAY 23/10:

Fontwell:

FONTWELL NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Fontwell: 117

Favourite stats: 42 (35.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 16/25 (64.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Fontwell in 2013:

7--Chris Gordon (12/1-4/1-3/1-9/2-14/1-7/2-7/2)

7--Gary Moore (4/5*-6/4*-12/1-7/1-4/5*-7/1-10/1)

5--Charlie Longsdon (5/2-4/1-4/6*-5/1-10/11*)

4--Lawney Hill (9/2-11/4*-5/1-7/1)

4--Caroline Keevil (11/4**-9/5-16/1-7/2)

4--Paul Nicholls (3/1-9/4-7/4*-2/1*)

4--Jamie Snowden (7/1-7/1-6/4-20/1)

3--Nicky Henderson (Evs*-Evs-5/2)

3--Philip Hobbs (9/4-9/2-3/1*)

3--David Pipe (7/4-15/8-4/7*)

109/117 winners (93.2%) to date started at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

8--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1**-6/4-7/2-Evs-11/4-7/4-3/1-5/2**)

5--Charlie Longsdon (11/8-13/8-7/2-5/2-Evs)

5--Colin Tizzard (11/4-2/1-7/2-5/6-7/4)

4--Chris Gordon (5/4-7/2-7/2-7/4)

4--Paul Nicholls (5/6-9/4**-7/4-1/4)

4--Brendan Powell (5/4-9/4-4/1-5/2**)

4--Jamie Snowden (2/1**-2/1**-5/2-Evs)

3--Kevin Bishop (9/2**-3/1-13/8)

3--Gary Moore (7/4-2/1**-3/1)

3--David Pipe (3/1-5/2-9/5)

Two and three quarter mile handicap hurdle scheduled for 2.50: All four winners have carried weights of 11-7 or less to victory.

 

Kempton:

Saeed Bin Suroor and Ralph Beckett continue to knock out the winners (offering profits into the bargain)  at this venue at an alarming rate and the two trainers can be lied upon to do so throughout the winter in my considered opinion.

 

Newmarket:

NEWMARKET (ROWLEY MILE) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newmarket (Rowley Mile): 96

Favourite stats: 34 (35.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 7/8 (87.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) in 2013:

8/70--Richard Hannon (8/11*-9/1-10/3-10/3--10/11*-12/1-16/1-7/4*)

5/28--John Gosden (11/2-20/1-2/1*-15/8*-11/4)

5/51--Mark Johnston (6/1-11/4-4/5*-9/1-66/1)

4/13--Charlie Appleby (6/4*-7/2-9/1-11/4**)

4/13--Roger Varian (2/1-4/1-12/1-15/2)

4/14--Sir Henry Cecil (10/1-10/11*-8/1-5/1)

4/37--Andrew Balding (11/1-15/8*-7/1-25/1)

3/10--David Elsworth (6/1-5/2*-4/11*)

3/16--David Simcock (12/1-5/1-5/1)

3/18--Marco Botti (9/1-9/4-5/1)

3/19--Sir Michael Stoute (4/1-11/4*-11/4*)

83/96 winners (86.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Richard Hannon (4/1-7/2-11/4-11/4-5/2)

5--William Haggas (9/2**-5/1**-7/2**-5/2-5/4)

4--Lady Cecil (6/1**-10/3-15/8-7/1)

4--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/2-7/4-15/8)

4--Luca Cumani (13/8-4/1**-3/1-2/1-)

4--John Gosden (Evs-11/4**-3/1-10/3)

4--Sir Michael Stoute (5/4-6/4-5/2-11/10)

3--Charlie Hills (9/2**-11/4-5/1**)

3--Mark Johnston (2/1**-7/2**--11/8**)

3.40: Five favourites have won during the last eleven years whilst the biggest priced winner during the period was an 8/1 chance.  Nine of the twelve market leaders finished in the frame (exact science).

4.10: John Gosden has saddled two of the last nine winners of this event and John held two entries at the time of writing.  Ten renewals have slipped by since the last favourite prevailed.

5.20: Favourites returned at 11/4 and 7/23 have obliged via just the two renewals of this Nursery event to date, carrying respective weights of 9-7 and 9-7 in the process.  Four of the five runners to have gained win and place positions in this closing event on the card have carried a minimum burden of 9-3.

 

Worcester:

WORCESTER DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Worcester: 142

Favourite stats: 54 (38.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 14/22 (63.6%)

Leading trainers at Worcester in 2013:

15--Jonjo O'Neill (9/1-10/11*-9/2-4/1-6/5*-5/1-13/8*-5/4*-4/9*-7/2-6/5*-5/2*-5/4*-11/4-5/2**)

8--Peter Bowen (3/1*-13/8*-20/1-5/2*-5/4*-2/1-13/8*-12/1)

5--Rebecca Curtis (3/1*-8/13*-2/5*-4/6*-2/1)

5--Donald McCain (13/8*-4/1-8/1-9/4-11/10*)

4--Dr Richard Newland (11/4*-11/8*-10/11*-5/6*)

4--Paul Nicholls (11/8*-11/4-5/2-2/5*)

4--Fergal O'Brien (5/1-7/4*-7/1-3/1*)

4--David Pipe (3/1-4/1-Evs*-11/8*)

4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (4/1-12/1-2/1-5/1)

126/142 winners (88.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

14--Jonjo O'Neill (6/1**-7/2-4/1**-6/4-7/4-3/1-15/8-7/4-7/2**- 7/2**-15/8-13/8-5/2-3/10*)

5--Charlie Longsdon (15/8-7/4-7/4**-6/4-10/11)

5--David Pipe (2/1-15/8-2/1**-Evs-6/5)

5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (4/1-3/1-7/2-11/10-7/4)

4--Peter Bowen (5/2-7/2**-5/4-9/4)

3--Philip Hobbs (10/11-Evs-6/4)

3--Donald McCain (5/4-7/4**-11/10)

3--Paul Nicholls (8/11-10/11-5/4)

********************************************************************

THURSDAY 24/10:

Carlisle:

CARLISLE NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Carlisle: 46

Favourite stats: 20 (46.5%--includes joint and co favourites & one non runner)

Odds on ratio: 5/9 (55.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Carlisle in 2013:

4--Alan Swinbank (6/1-10/1-11/10*-6/4*)

3--Tim Easterby (3/1**-15/8*-8/1)

3--Charlie Longsdon (6/4*-11/10*-10/11*)

2--Rose Dobbin (11/2-3/1*)

2--Brian Ellison (11/4 & 7/2*)

2--Chris Grant (5/2 & 9/4)

2--Jonjo O'Neill (9/2 & 11/10*)

2--Nicky Richards (1/8* & 10/1)

2--Pauline Robson (Evs* & 5/2)

41/46 winners (89.1%) scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Donald McCain (4/9-4/6-7/2-4/1)

3--Charlie Longsdon (Evs-5/6-11/8)

3--Lucinda Russell (3/1**-5/2-6/4)

3--Sue Smith (4/1***-9/2-9/2)

2--Andrew Parker (11/4 & 9/4)

2--Alan Swinbank (5/2 & 6/5)

2--John Wade (9/2 & 3/1)

Favourites have won all three contests of the scheduled opening (2.20) event on the card which is a Class 4 novice hurdle event over two and a half miles.

Intermediate handicap hurdle scheduled for 3.25: Five-year-old lead the six-year-olds 4-2 via the last six renewals during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at 13/2.

Class 4 handicap hurdle event over two and a half miles due to be contested at 4.30: Three of the four winners to date have carried a maximum weight of 10-11, the gold medallists in question being returned at 14/1-14/1-8/1.

 

Ludlow:

LUDLOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Ludlow: 71

Favourite stats: 27 (38.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/11 (54.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Ludlow in 2013 (stats include one dead heat):

6--Evan Williams (17/2-4/1-8/1-9/2-2/1*-5/2)

5--Venetia Williams (2/1*-9/1-7/2*-13/2-9/2*)

3--Nicky Henderson (4/5*-7/2-7/4)

3--Richard Lee (4/1*-10/3-11/10*)

3--Philip Rowley (5/2*-15/8*-16/1)

Your first 30 days for just £1

3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (8/1-9/2-5/6*)

65/72 winners (90.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

8--Evan Williams (10/3-4/1**-10/11-4/1***-5/2-3/1**-2/1**-4/1)

6--Nicky Henderson (6/4-10/11-9/4-11/8-8/11-15/8)

5--Venetia Williams (11/4-15/8-11/8-3/1-7/2)

Class 4 handicap hurdle event over the minimum trip scheduled for 5.20: Only one of the last eleven favourites has prevailed.

 

Southwell (NH):

SOUTHWELL NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number ofraces at Southwell: 100

Favourite stats: 41 (41.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 12/18 (66.7%)

Leading trainers at Southwell in 2013 (includes one dead-heat):

5--Charlie Longsdon (3/1-7/2**-9/2-10/11*-8/1)

4--Jonjo O'Neill (11/2-5/4*-16/1-5/6*)

4--Keith Reveley (3/1-11/8*-14/1-3/1)

4--Venetia Williams (Evs*-13/8*-7/1-11/4**)

3--Kim Bailey (5/2-Evs*-7/1)

3--Mike Sowersby (16/1-11/1-12/1)

3--Giles Smyly (25/1-9/4*-11/2)

3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (2/7*-4/5*-7/2)

3--Tim Vaughan (14/1-2/13*-6/4)

3--Lucy Wadham (6/4*-3/1-4/1)

93/101 winners (92.1%) to date were returned at odds of 12/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Jonjo O'Neill (15/8-15/8-9/4-15/8-7/4)

3--David Bridgwater (3/1**-2/1-7/4)

3--Alan King (5/1**-3/1**-6/4)

3--Charlie Longsdon (9/4-9/4-8/13)

 

Wolverhampton:

Tim Easterby tends to start raiding this venue more often as the turf season draws towards its close and offering a healthy 30 points of level stake profits at Dunstall Park down the years, Tim’s runners are worth a secondary glance.

********************************************************************

FRIDAY 25/10:

Doncaster:

DONCASTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Doncaster: 157

Favourite stats: 52 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 x Non-runner)

Odds on ratio: 6/12 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Doncaster in 2013:

10/75--Richard Fahey (14/1-11/2-7/2-4/1**-16/1-10/3-7/4-9/2-5/4*-10/1)

9/30--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5*-5/6*-15/8*-7/4*-6/1-3/1-11/4-11/10*-13/8*)

8/43--Richard Hannon (6/1-13/8*-3/1**-5/4*-20/1-1/3*-5/2*)

6/30--Charlie Hills (5/6*-5/2*-4/5*-7/1-16/1-12/1)

131/157 winners (83.4%) scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

8--Richard Hannon (8/11-9/2**-2/1-11/4-15/8-9/2-10/3**-9/4**)

7--William Haggas (10/11-15/8-11/4-5/2**-Evs-15/8-7/2)

6--James Fanshawe (15/8-4/5-5/4-2/1-9/4**-2/1)

6--John Gosden (2/1-13/2-2/1-2/1-Evs-9/4)

6--David O'Meara (9/2-Evs-2/1-11/2**-3/1-3/1***)

5--Charlie Hills (11/8-9/2**-11/2-5/1-11/4)

5--Mark Johnston (11/4-5/2-11/4***-5/2**-7/2)

5--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-5/4-11/10-10/11-5/2)

3--Andrew Balding (11/4**-3/1-11/2***)

3--Ralph Beckett (Evs-9/4-8/11)

3--Michael Bell (7/1-11/4-11/4**)

3--Ruth Carr (11/2**-11/2**-2/1)

3--Ed Dunlop (11/4***-5/2-2/1)

3--Jeremy Noseda (5/2-7/4-2/7)

Nursery event over a mile scheduled for 1.40: The last ten winners have carried weights of 9-4 or less, whilst four of the last five winners scored at 33/1-16/1-11/1.  Richard Hannon was responsible for three of the eighteen five day entries, with Richard Having saddled winners in the last two contests in which the stable was represented.

Class 5 one mile juvenile event for fillies scheduled for 2.10: Only three of the last twelve market leaders have posted successes during which time, a 100/1 winner was returned back in 2003.

Class 5 seven furlong juvenile maiden scheduled for 2.40: Favourites have secured five of the last seven renewals with the other winners being returned at just 3/1 and 9/2.

Class 2 six furlong handicap scheduled for 3.10: We still await the first winning favourite following six renewals, whilst four-year-olds have secured three victories.  The winners thus far have been returned at 20/1-16/1-14/1-12/1-8/1-7/1.

Fourteen and a half furlong Class 3 handicap scheduled for 3.45: Three-year-olds have won nine of the last ten contests, statistics which include the last eight gold medallists.  Seven renewals have passed by since a successful favourite was recorded, winners scoring at 33/1-20/1-20/1-8/1-15/2-7/1-11/2.

Closing apprentice handicap scheduled for 5.20:  We still await the first successful favourite following three renewals, the winners of which have been returned at 16/1-14/1-9/1, all carrying a minimum burden of 8-12.

 

Fakenham

Two mile five furlong novice chase scheduled for 2.20: Only two of the seven favourites have finished in the fame (no winners) to date, albeit five gold medallists have scored at a top price of 5/2.

Class 4 two mile handicap hurdle scheduled for 2.50: Six-year-olds have secured five of the last ten contests, whilst four of the last five market leaders have prevailed.

Class 3 handicap chase scheduled for 3.35: Only one of the last nine favourites has prevailed.

 

Newbury:

NEWBURY DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Newbury: 108

Favourite stats: 29 (26.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/10 (30.0%)

Leading trainers at Newbury in 2013:

12/105--Richard Hannon (9/2-7/2-8/11*-5/2*-5/4*-7/2*-8/1-11/10*-2/1-6/4*-6/1-2/1*)

8/27--John Gosden (5/1-25/1-2/1*-9/2-3/1-9/4*-6/1-4/1)

7/21--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/1-11/4-10/3-9/4*-5/2-8/1-15/8*)

5/17--Mark Johnston (11/1-Evs*-4/1-11/8*-9/2)

5/25--William Haggas (5/2*-11/4-4/6*-5/2*-3/1)

4/14--Luca Cumani (7/2-7/4*-7/4*-6/4*)

4/16--Richard Fahey (5/1-7/1-6/1-7/2**)

90/108 winners (83.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

17--Richard Hannon (1/2-3/1-9/4-Evs-13/8-9/4-3/1-7/4-1/2-4/1-7/4-7/2-5/4-5/2-4/1***-7/2**-4/6)

6--John Gosden (2/1-11/8-9/4-5/4-3/1-7/2**)

5--William Haggas (7/4-2/1-3/1**-9/4-7/4)

4--Lady Cecil (15/8-4/1-4/1**-13/8)

4--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/4-6/4-2/1)

4--Sir Michael Stoute (10/11-2/1-3/1**-7/2)

 

Wolverhampton:

Nine and a half furlong Class 6 handicap event due to be contested at 8.00: Three-year-old favourites have won the last two renewals carrying weights of 9-2 and 9-4 when returned at 3/1 and 11/4 respectively.

********************************************************************

SATURDAY 26/10:

Aintree:

Class 2 handicap hurdle over seventeen furlongs scheduled for 1.55: Philip Hobbs has saddled the winner of two of the last three renewals and Philip held just the one option (Dunraven Storm) at the five day stage.  Six of the eight winners have carried a minimum weight of 11-2, whilst two favourites have prevailed thus far.

Monet’s Garden Chase scheduled for 3.05: Only one clear market leader and one joint favourite have obliged via nine renewals to date.

Novice handicap hurdle over an extended three miles scheduled for 4.15: Peter Bowen (potentially represented by Cruising Bye) has saddled three of the last seven winners.  Favourites of one description or another have won four of the last seven renewals.

Class 3 two and a half mile novice chase scheduled for 4.50.  Five of the last seven market leaders have won during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at just 6/1.  Paul Nicholls has saddled four winners during the period and the trainer was only represented by Black Thunder at the time of writing.

Maiden hurdle event scheduled for 5.20:  Jonjo O’Neill has won the race three times in the last nine years and the popular trainer was double handed in the contest at the time of writing.  Favourites have secured the last seven renewals of this (scheduled) closing event!

 

Chepstow:

CHEPSTOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Chepstow: 73

Favourite stats: 25 (34.2%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 7/12 (58.3%)

Leading trainers of winners at Chepstow in 2013:

5--Alan King (2/1*-6/1-3/1-5/2-5/1)

4--Martin Keighley (7/2-7/2-10/11*-5/1)

3--Mark Gillard (9/4* twice & 11/4)

3--Sophie Leech (25/1-4/1-7/2)

3--Paul Nicholls (10/11*-10/11*-4/5*)

3--David Pipe (5/1**-5/1-5/1**)

3--Mark Sheppard (6/4*-9/2**-11/2)

3--Colin Tizzard (9/2-4/1-11/4*)

61/73 (83.6%) of the winners scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7--Paul Nicholls (7/4-9/4-11/4-8/11-4/5-11/4-7/4)

5--Jonjo O'Neill (5/1**-4/1-7/4-6/4-6/4)

3--Philip Hobbs (6/4**-Evs-2/1)

3--Colin Tizzard (5/1 **-15/8-2/1)

 

Doncaster:

DONCASTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Doncaster: 157

Favourite stats: 52 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 x Non-runner)

Odds on ratio: 6/12 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Doncaster in 2013:

10/75--Richard Fahey (14/1-11/2-7/2-4/1**-16/1-10/3-7/4-9/2-5/4*-10/1)

9/30--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/5*-5/6*-15/8*-7/4*-6/1-3/1-11/4-11/10*-13/8*)

8/43--Richard Hannon (6/1-13/8*-3/1**-5/4*-20/1-1/3*-5/2*)

6/30--Charlie Hills (5/6*-5/2*-4/5*-7/1-16/1-12/1)

131/157 winners (83.4%) scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

8--Richard Hannon (8/11-9/2**-2/1-11/4-15/8-9/2-10/3**-9/4**)

7--William Haggas (10/11-15/8-11/4-5/2**-Evs-15/8-7/2)

6--James Fanshawe (15/8-4/5-5/4-2/1-9/4**-2/1)

6--John Gosden (2/1-13/2-2/1-2/1-Evs-9/4)

6--David O'Meara (9/2-Evs-2/1-11/2**-3/1-3/1***)

5--Charlie Hills (11/8-9/2**-11/2-5/1-11/4)

5--Mark Johnston (11/4-5/2-11/4***-5/2**-7/2)

5--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-5/4-11/10-10/11-5/2)

3--Andrew Balding (11/4**-3/1-11/2***)

3--Ralph Beckett (Evs-9/4-8/11)

3--Michael Bell (7/1-11/4-11/4**)

3--Ruth Carr (11/2**-11/2**-2/1)

3--Ed Dunlop (11/4***-5/2-2/1)

3--Jeremy Noseda (5/2-7/4-2/7)

Racing Post trophy scheduled for 3.05: Aidan O’Brien was responsible for four of the thirteen runners at the penultimate stage, having saddled five winners of this Group 1 event during the last twelve years.  Eight of the last eleven renewals have fallen the way of favourites.

Conditions event over seven furlongs scheduled for 5.00: The last eight contests have slipped by without a winning favourite being registered.

 

Newbury:

‘Horris Hill’ juvenile event over seven furlongs scheduled for 2.20: Just one favourite has prevailed during the last twleve years.  Richard Hannon has saddled 14/1 and 7/1 winners during the last three years and the trainer was responsible for four of the nineteen five day declarations.

Group 2 St Simon Stakes scheduled for 2.55: Three and four-year-olds have won eight of the last nine renewals between them (juniors lead 5-3).  Eleven of the last twelve winners were returned at odds of 17/2 or less, statistics which include three successful market leaders.

Class 2 ten furlong handicap scheduled for 3.30: Three-year-olds have won seven of the last nine renewals, vintage representatives coming to this year’s gig on a six timer.  Four of the last nine renewals have been won by favourites of one description or another which in terms of the competitive nature of the race, is a decent record.

 

Stratford:

STRATFORD DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Stratford: 97

Favourite stats: 40 (41.2%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 10/19 (52.6%)

Leading trainers at Stratford in 2013:

10--Jonjo O'Neill (11/4*-7/4*-7/2-14/1-4/7*-9/1-6/4*-6/4*-11/10*-5/2**)

6--Warren Greatrex (6/1-1/6*-9/4-Evs*-3/1-4/1)

5--Tim Vaughan (5/2-8/13*-14/1-4/6*-11/8*)

4--Philip Hobbs (9/2**-11/4-4/5*-11/10*)

4--Alan King (14/1-15/8*-5/2-3/1*)

4--Phil Middleton (10/3*-4/1-10/3-2/1)

3--Peter Bowen (2/1*-5/2*-9/2)

3--David Pipe (5/2-12/1-2/5*)

88/97 winners (90.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Peter Bowen (15/8-7/4-9/2**-5/4-9/4)

3--Jonjo O'Neill (9/4**-10/11-5/2)

3--Tim Vaughan (6/4-5/6-11/4)

 

Wolverhampton:

Connor Beasley has been the subject of plenty of plaudits this season and with three winners from just eleven rides at Wolverhampton at the time of writing, Connor has realised eleven points of level stake profits in the process.

******************************************************************** 

SUNDAY 27/10:

Aintree:

AINTREE DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Aintree: 35

Favourite stats: 15 (42.8% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/5 (60.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Aintree in 2013:

6--Nicky Henderson (6/5*-4/11*-1/3*-14/1-10/1-85/40*)

3--Peter Bowen (5/2*-5/2*-5/2*)

2--Kevin Bishop (8/1*** & 7/2*)

2--Tom George (7/1 & 10/11*)

26/35 winners (74.3%) were returned at 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Paul Nicholls (5/1**-9/4**-9/1-6/1-Evs)

3--Donald McCain (15/8-3/1**-3/1**)

2--Nicky Henderson (5/2 & 2/1)

2--Alan King (15/2 & 5/1)

 

Wincanton:

WINCANTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Wincanton: 88

Favourite stats: 32 (36.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 12/17 (70.6%)

Leading trainers of winners at Wincanton in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):

14--Paul Nicholls (6/1-1/3*-17/2-3/1-Evs*-2/1-8/13*-Evs*-3/1-7/4*-4/6*-1/4*-2/5*-7/2)

6--Colin Tizzard (4/1-11/4**-9/1-10/1-11/4-4/9*)

5--Tom George (6/1-11/5*-2/1*-3/1-3/1)

5--Jeremy Scott (25/1-11/8*-7/1-7/1-5/1)

4--Philip Hobbs (5/4*-Evs*-7/1-9/4*)

4--David Pipe (5/6*-10/1-4/1**-3/1)

3--Harry Fry (3/1-16/1-5/4*)

3--Alan King (8/1-1/2*-4/1)

80/89 of the winners (89.9%) started at 12/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

9--Paul Nicholls (5/2-5/6-3/1-7/2-11/8-9/4-4/9-11/8-Evs)

7--David Pipe (7/2-7/2**-13/8-6/5-11/4**-9/4-7/4)

6--Philip Hobbs (Evs-11/10-7/4-3/1**-7/2**-5/2)

4--Nicky Henderson (6/5-5/4-2/5-4/6)

4--Colin Tizzard (5/2**-7/2**-7/2-4/1)

3--Jeremy Scott (2/1-9/4-4/1**)

********************************************************************   

MONDAY 28/10:

Leicester:

LEICESTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Leicester: 142

Favourite stats: 59 (41.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 15/29 (51.7%)

Leading trainers at Leicester in 2013:

7/38--Richard Hannon (11/4-2/1*-9/4*-5/2**-7/1-25/1-3/1*)

5/10--Roger Charlton (9/4*-9/4*-4/1-5/6*-7/4*)

5/12--Sir Michael Soute (11/4-11/4-1/2*-5/1-4/11*)

5/15--Luca Cumani (3/1-1/2*-10/11*-11/10*-11/10*)

5/15--Roger Varian (5/2*-8/1-11/4*-3/1-5/6*)

4/10--John Gosden (5/4*-5/1-6/5*-9/2)

4/10--David O'Meara (7/1-3/1*-7/2-9/4*)

4/13--Rae Guest (8/1-6/1-5/1-6/4*)

4/16--Charlie Hills (6/5*-6/4*-7/1-4/1)

4/17--Mick Channon (5/2-11/10*-2/1*-9/4)

131/142 winners (92.3%) returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Mark Johnston (Evs-7/4-4/7-6/4-7/2)

4--William Haggas (5/2**-11/8-4/5-1/2)

3--Marco Botti (5/2-13/8-4/6)

3--Henry Candy (11/8-11/10-3/1)

3--Richard Hannon (7/4-9/4-4/5)

3--Charlie Hills (9/4-7/4-2/7)

3--Roger Varian (4/5-6/4-5/2)

 

Redcar:

REDCAR DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Redcar: 113

Favourite stats: 43 (39.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/7 (42.8%)

Leading trainers of winners at Redcar in 2013 (includes one dead heat):

11/52--David O'Meara (5/1-9/4*-4/1-16/1-6/1-11/4*-9/2-9/2-10/3-9/2-5/1*)

5/27--Ruth Carr (4/1-9/2-5/2*-18/1-11/1)

5/79--Tim Easterby (6/1-5/1-10/3*-8/1-10/1)

4/16--David Barron (11/4**-11/8*-9/2-15/8*)

4/17--John Quinn (7/2-3/1-7/4*-6/4*)

4/18--Neville Bycroft (10/1-12/1-10/1-14/1)

105/114 (92.1%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--David Nicholls (15/8-7/2-9/2-5/2-4/1**)

5--David O'Meara (15/8-15/8-9/4-2/1-11/4)

4--Michael Bell (4/1-2/1-9/4-5/1)

3--Michael Dods (11/4**-5/1**-4/6)

3--Mick Easterby (2/1-7/2-9/2)

3--Brian Ellison (7/2-2/1-5/4)

3--Richard Fahey (4/5-9/2***-7/2)

3--David Lanigan (2/1-11/8-9/4)

3--Edwin Tuer (13/8-7/2-13/8)

 

Bangor:

BANGOR NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Bangor: 67

Favourite stats: 30 (44.8% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 9/13 (69.2%)

Leading trainers at Bangor in 2013:

8--Donald McCain (Evs*-3/1-5/6*-11/8*-4/6*-4/9*-11/2-8/15*)

5--Rebecca Curtis (2/1*-5/1-11/8*-1/2*-Evs*)

5--Jonjo O'Neill (7/1-10/1-5/2-9/2-13/8*)

4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (15/2-7/1-11/4**-11/1)

3--Tony Coyle (8/1-2/1-5/2)

3--Miss Sally Duckett (5/4*-85/40-5/4*)

3--Nicky Henderson (5/4-15/2-4/6*)

3--Fergal O'Brien (11/8*-9/4*-5/1)

3--John O'Shea (5/1-11/4-16/1)

64/67 winners (95.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-6/4-11/4-7/2-11/8-11/4-13/8)

6--Donald McCain (11/10-5/6-2/1-5/4-6/4-4/6)

3--Peter Bowen (7/2-2/1-2/1)

3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (7/2-5/2**-9/2)

3--Tim Vaughan (10/11-13/8-2/5)

2--Nicky Henderson (13/8 & 5/2)

 

Mal Boyle

Weekly Stat Pack: 15th to 21st October

8th to 14th October

Weekly Stat Pack: 8th to 14th October

Cheltenham, here we come!

Prestbury Park opens its doors again to an adoring Cheltenham public who can anticipate fantastic sport from here on in until May next year.

This week’s two day meeting is a prep run for next month’s wonderful Paddy Power extravaganza which has usurped Newbury’s Hennessy fixture later in the month in recent years, now arguably the third most enjoyable festival in the land after the Cheltenham (Gold Cup) and Aintree (Grand National) meetings.

Some medical issues prevented me from offering Saturday’s York update last week for which I send my humble apologies. Let’s hope I am in better shape this coming Saturday to offer you updated 2013 stats and facts for Cheltenham following Friday‘s sport at the venue.

*

Day to day analysis:

TUESDAY 15/10:

Leicester:

LEICESTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Leicester: 134
Favourite stats: 54 (40.3% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 12/25 (48.0%)

Leading trainers at Leicester in 2013:
7/37--Richard Hannon (11/4-2/1*-9/4*-5/2**-7/1-25/1-3/1*)
5/10--Roger Charlton (9/4*-9/4*-4/1-5/6*-7/4*)
5/13--Luca Cumani (3/1-1/2*-10/11*-11/10*-11/10*)
4/9--John Gosden (5/4*-5/1-6/5*-9/2)
4/10--David O'Meara (7/1-3/1*-7/2-9/4*)
4/11--Sir Michael Soute (11/4-11/4-1/2*-5/1)
4/12--Roger Varian (5/2*-8/1-11/4*-3/1)
4/13--Rae Guest (8/1-6/1-5/1-6/4*)
4/17--Mick Channon (5/2-11/10*-2/1*-9/4)

124/134 winners (92.5%) returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--William Haggas (5/2**-11/8-4/5-1/2)
4--Mark Johnston (Evs-7/4-4/7-6/4)
3--Marco Botti (5/2-13/8-4/6)
3--Henry Candy (11/8-11/10-3/1)
3--Richard Hannon (7/4-9/4-4/5)
3--Roger Varian (4/5-6/4-5/2)

2.10: Five of the last eleven favourites have won, whilst six of the sixteen market leaders reached the frame during the study period. Ten of the last eleven winners have scored at a top price of 3/1, whilst other gold medallist was returned at 6/1.

2.40: Four-year-olds have secured nine of the fifteen available toteplacepot positions thus far (stats include two of the five winners) whereby course and distance winner Red Art is the first name on my team sheet.

3.10 & 3.40 (two divisions): This race commemorates the great name of Reference Point who won both the Epsom Derby and the St Leger in 1987, before (arguably) an abscess robbed him of the chance of victory in the ‘Arc’ later in the year (ran but failed to win). Four favourites have won during the last sixteen contests, whilst thirteen recent market leaders secured toteplacepot positions via sixteen ‘divisions’ of late.

*

Newcastle:

NEWCASTLE (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newcastle: 129
Favourite stats: 46 (35.7% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/16 (62.5%)

Trainers of winners at Newcastle in 2013:
10/60--Richard Fahey (8/1-11/4-16/1-14/1-10/11*-10/11*-15/8*-9/4*-5/2**-10/1)
7/40--Michael Dods (25/1-12/1-7/2**-2/1*-5/1-11/4**-7/4)
6/50--David O'Meara (5/1-Evs*-10/3-8/1-8/11*-25/1)
5/13--David Barron (3/1*-9/1-7/2-8/1-5/4*)
5/27--Alan Swinbank (5/2**-9/2-7/2-3/1*-16/1)
5/40--Brian Ellison (4/1-5/2*-15/2-4/6*-4/7*)
6/47--Tracy Waggott (9/1-12/1-6/1-4/1-7/1-9/1)
4/21--Tony Coyle (10/1-9/2-10/1-5/2*)

117/129 winners (90.7%) to date were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
8--David O'Meara (5/2-3/1-5/4-9/4-11/4-9/5-5/2**-9/2)
7--Richard Fahey (7/4-7/4-5/2-3/1-2/1-7/2-5/2)
5--Alan Swinbank (6/4-7/2-6/5-3/1-5/2)
4--Ruth Carr (7/2-5/2-4/1-3/1)
4--William Haggas (8/13-11/8-7/2-13/8)
4--Kevin Ryan (8/13-5/2**-7/2**-3/1)

*

Huntingdon:

HUNTINGDON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Huntingdon: 76
Favourite stats: 27 (35.5--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/12 (66.7%)

Leading trainers of winners at Huntingdon in 2013:
9--Nicky Henderson (4/9*-4/7*-11/10*-11/10*-3/1-15/8-15/8**-4/7*-2/1*)
3--Kim Bailey (8/1-4/1*-7/1)
3--Lawney Hill (20/1-15/8-9/4)
3--Gary Moore (12/1-12/1-4/1)
3--Paul Nicholls (4/5*-3/1-4/9*)

68/76 (89.5%) winners were sent off at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Philip Hobbs (5/2-4/1-11/4-13/8)
4--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-10/3-7/2-5/2)
3--Venetia Williams (11/4-5/2-7/2)

*************************************************************************

WEDNESDAY 16/10:

Kempton:

Ralph Beckett landed a 48/1 double on Monday via just four runners and Ralph’s sixty four winners at this venue during the last five years (via a 23% strike rate) have yielded black figures of seventy seven points!

*

Lingfield:

Northern based rider Joe Fanning had plenty of potential mounts at Lingfield on Wednesday at the time of writing and Joe’s 19% ratio at the track during the last five years is backed up by level stake profits of fifty nine points during the period.

*

Nottingham:

NOTTINGHAM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Nottingham: 110
Favourite stats: 40 (36.4%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/15 (60.0%)

Leading trainers at Nottingham in 2013:
6/10--Luca Cumani (1/2*-5/6*-5/4*-5/1-5/1-9/4*)
4/5--'Team Burke' (9/4-7/2-10/3-11/4)
4/13--Ralph Beckett (11/1-11/10*-8/11*-3/1)
4/27--Mark Johnston (6/1-11/8*-11/8*-11/8)

97/110 winners (88.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Ralph Beckett (3/1-9/4-2/1-8/11)
4--Lady Cecil (5/2**-85/40-2/1-9/4)
4--John Gosden (3/1-1/2-5/2**-9/4**)
3--Andrew Balding (7/2-4/5-7/4)
3--Luca Cumani (11/10-5/4-9/4)

*

Wetherby:

WETHERBY NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Wetherby: 64
Favourite stats: 30 (46.9%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/9 (66.7%)

Trainers of winners at Wetherby in 2013:
6--Sue Smith (5/1-4/1***-9/2-5/4*-10/3-3/1*)
4--Kim Bailey (Evs*-9/2-5/6*-3/10*)
4--Brian Ellison (7/1-8/13*-11/4-6/4*)
4--Donald McCain (5/2-13/8*-2/1*-5/2)
3--John Wade (2/1*-3/1*-7/2)

60/64 (93.8%) winners sent off at 9/1 or less to date

Trainers of beaten favourites:
3--Donald McCain (3/1**-13/8-5/2)
3--David Pipe (11/8-10/11*-8/13*)
2--Tom George (9/4 & 11/4)
2--Malcolm Jefferson (15/8 & 11/4)
2--Alan King (5/2 & 10/11)
2--Fergal O'Brien (4/1*** & 11/4)
2--John Wade (11/4 & 9/4)

Three-year-old maiden hurdle scheduled for 2.20: Only two of the last sixteen favourites have obliged, whilst ten of the seventeen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions. Chris Grant saddles Marlborough House having secured two of the last five renewals.

Class 3 handicap hurdle event scheduled for 3.25: Ten of the last thirteen winners of this handicap hurdle event have carried weights of 11-2 or less, whilst five clear market leaders have won via the last fifteen renewals, alongside one joint and two co favourites. Fifteen of the twenty one market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions during the period.

Two and a half mile Class 3 handicap chase scheduled for 3.55: Eight of the last ten winners have carried weights of 10-12 or less. Nine of the eighteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include six winners.

Two and a half mile novice hurdle event due to be contested at 4.30: Four-year-olds have secured five of the last eleven renewals whilst nine of the last eleven favourites in this event have won, with 3/1 and 9/2 shots having snared gold in the other contests. Thirteen of the eighteen market leaders have finished in the frame during an extended period, statistics which include eleven winners.

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THURSDAY 17/10:

Brighton:

BRIGHTON DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Brighton: 130
Favourite stats: 54 (41.5%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 13/23 (56.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Brighton in 2013:
6/9--David Simcock (5/2-9/4-6/4**-3/1-9/4*-4/1)
5/14--William Knight (3/1-9/1-9/4-11/8*-7/2*)
4/9--Peter Makin (3/1**-4/1-10/11*-14/1)
4/11--George Baker (11/4*-9/4*-8/1-9/4*)
4/13--James Tate (5/4*-9/4*-4/11*-5/6*)
4/14--Pat Phelan (8/1-2/1*-11/10*-10/1)
4/18--George Margarson (6/1-11/8-5/2*-7/2)
4/20--Richard Hannon (10/11*-7/2-2/1*-11/4)

122/130 (93.8%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--Gary Moore (5/1**-5/2-10/3-15/8-7/2)
3--Tony Carroll (3/1-2/1**-9/4**)
3--Luca Cumani (6/4**-6/4-4/7)
3--John Hills (11/10*-7/4-4/5)
3--William Knight (6/4-11/4-11/10**)
3--George Margarson (2/1-2/1-5/4)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (5/4-11/4**-10/11)
3--James Tate (13/8-9/4-5/4)
3--Roger Varian (5/4-9/4-7/4)

*

Kempton:

James Fanshawe’s ratio at Kempton this year is 8/38 which equates to a 21% strike rate, figures which have produced a profit of three points in 2013 thus far.

*

Uttoxeter:

UTTOXETER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Uttoxeter: 125
Favourite stats: 33 (26.4%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/11 (54.5%)

Leading trainers at Uttoxeter in 2013:
6--David Pipe (6/1-7/1-3/1-16/1-10/3-16/1)
5--Peter Bowen (5/2-10/3*-4/1-11/4-8/11*)
5--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-11/4-28/1-3/1-9/2)
5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (85/40-10/3-9/4*-7/2-22/1)
4--Jim Best (4/1-11/8*-1/2*-6/4*)
4--Charlie Longsdon (4/1*-3/1-4/7*-8/1)
4--Sue Smith (14/1-11/8*-5/1-7/1)
4--Evan Williams (15/8*-11/2-7/2-5/2*)
3--Dai Burchell (16/1-9/2-85/40)
3--Philip Hobbs (10/1-11/8-5/1)
3--Martin Keighley (11/4-12/1-11/4*)

110/125 winners (88.0%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
14--Jonjo O'Neill (2/1-Evs-6/4-5/4-7/2-5/2-6/5-6/4-6/4-11/4-13/8-2/1-5/4-11/8)
7--Donald McCain (3/1-13/8-5/2-2/1-9/4-5/2-5/4)
5--Tim Vaughan (2/1-9/4-7/4-11/8-6/5)
4--Nicky Henderson (13/8-15/8-13/8-15/8)
4--David Pipe (15/8-3/1-7/4-4/5)
3--Jim Best (11/8-11/8-1/2)
3--Tom George (9/2-7/2-2/1)
3--Peter Bowen (6/5-5/2-10/11)

*

Your first 30 days for just £1

Wincanton:

WINCANTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Wincanton: 82
Favourite stats: 31 (37.8%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 11/16 (68.7%)

Leading trainers of winners at Wincanton in 2013:
13--Paul Nicholls (6/1-1/3*-17/2-3/1-Evs*-2/1-8/13*-Evs*-3/1-7/4*-4/6*-1/4*-2/5*)
5--Tom George (6/1-11/5*-2/1*-3/1-3/1)
5--Jeremy Scott (25/1-11/8*-7/1-7/1-5/1)
5--Colin Tizzard (4/1-11/4**-9/1-10/1-11/4)
4--Philip Hobbs (5/4*-Evs*-7/1-9/4*)
3--Harry Fry (3/1-16/1-5/4*)
3--Alan King (8/1-1/2*-4/1)
3--David Pipe (5/6*-10/1-4/1**)

74/82 winners started at 10/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--Paul Nicholls (5/2-5/6-3/1-7/2-11/8-9/4-4/9-11/8-Evs)
6--David Pipe (7/2-7/2**-13/8-6/5-11/4**-9/4)
5--Philip Hobbs (Evs-11/10-7/4-3/1**-7/2**)
4--Nicky Henderson (6/5-5/4-2/5-4/6)
4--Colin Tizzard (5/2**-7/2**-7/2-4/1)

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FRIDAY 18/10:

Cheltenham:

CHELTENHAM NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Cheltenham: 57
Favourite stats: 17 (29.8%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 4/6

Leading trainers of winners at Cheltenham in 2013:
7--Nicky Henderson (5/2-1/5*-1/4*-16/1-8/15*-11/4*-9/4)
5--Willie Mullins (25/1-9/4*-8/11*-13/8*-5/1)
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (16/1-13/2-9/4*-7/2)
3--Venetia Williams (4/1*-16/1-50/1)

38/57 winners (66.7%) have been returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--P. Nicholls (10/11-4/1-6/1**-5/2-9/2**-15/8-5/2**-10/3**-7/2**)
6--Nicky Henderson (9/4-15/8-5/2-7/1-5/4-7/2**)
4--David Pipe (5/2-7/2-11/8-9/4)
3--Donald McCain (13/2-7/2-11/2)

Two mile five furlong novice hurdle event scheduled for 2.10: Five and six-year-olds have each secured two of the five contests, whilst favourites come to this year’s gig on a four timer.

Class 2 two and a half mile novice chase event due to be contested at 2.40: A top priced winner of 5/1 has emerged via five renewals thus far during which time, two market leaders have prevailed. Paul Nicholls held two options for the race earlier in the week, last year’s inmate having been denied by a short head when attempting to secure a hat trick on behalf of the stable.

Class 2 novice chase event over an extended three mile trip scheduled for 3.50: Paul Nicholls and Gordon Elliott were both represented earlier in the week in a race in which they have (equally) shared the last four renewals, with Paul also having trained the winner back in 2006. The last ten renewals have produced a top priced winner of 9/1 during which time, four favourites obliged.

Class 3 maiden hurdle contest over the minimum trip due to be contested at 4.25: Five and six-year-olds have both landed four contests during the last decade. All ten winners during the period score at odds of 10/1 or less, statistics which include three successful market leaders. Paul Nicholls has saddled two of the last nine gold medallists.

Handicap chase event over three miles scheduled for 5.00: Eight of the nine winners during the last decade were returned in single figures, whilst this year’s market leader comes to the party on a hat trick. Both Ian Williams and Paul Nicholls were represented at the five day stage, each having saddled two recent winners of the contest.

Conditional jockey’s event which was scheduled to bring the meeting to a close at 5.30: Seven of the last ten winners had carried a minimum weight of 10-13 to victory, whilst favourites have secured three of the last eight renewals.

*

Haydock:

HAYDOCK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Haydock: 151
Favourite stats: 48 (31.8%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/19 (52.6%)

Leading trainers at Haydock in 2013 (includes one dead heat):
9/41--David O'Meara (6/1-6/1-5/2*-3/1-5/2-5/2*-11/8*-4/1*-12/1)
7/27--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-5/6*-3/1*-8/1-4/1-5/4*-8/15*)
7/53--Tom Dascombe (5/2*-13/8*-6/1-3/1-8/1-7/2-7/2)
6/21--Roger Varian (9/2-15/8*-13/8*-13/8*-9/2-4/1)
6/39--Kevin Ryan (9/4-5/1-12/1-7/2-4/1-9/2)
6/59--Mark Johnston (12/1-13/8*-25/1-8/1-10/11*-11/8*)
5/17--William Haggas (9/2-15/8-9/2*-7/1-5/1)
5/20--Andrew Balding (2/1-15/8*-4/9*-11/4-8/1)
5/30--'Team Burke' (11/2-9/2-5/2*-6/1-6/5*)
5/34--Richard Hannon (6/1-5/2-11/8*-5/4*-5/1)
4/13--John Gosden (4/6*-7/4*-7/4-8/13*)
4/23--Charlie Hills (9/4-11/1-2/1*-11/10*)

135/152 winners (88.8%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Sir Michael Stoute (6/5-7/2-1/3-11/10-Evs-4/9-11/8-4/7)
6--William Haggas (7/2***-4/1-9/4-13/8-11/4-6/4)
6--David O'Meara (5/4-11/4-11/4-9/2***-11/4-6/4)
5--Tom Dascombe (4/9-5/2-15/8-11/4-5/1)
5--Richard Hannon (15/8-2/1-10/3-10/11-5/6)
4--Ruth Carr (15/8-7/4-5/2-3/1**)
4--Luca Cumani (7/4-4/1**3/1-11/4)
4--Alan Jarvis (7/2-2/1-11/10-5/4)
4--Mark Johnston (2/1**9/2-10/11-3/1)

*

Redcar:

REDCAR DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Redcar: 105
Favourite stats: 42 (40.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 3/6 (50.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Redcar in 2013 (includes one dead heat):
11/52--David O'Meara (5/1-9/4*-4/1-16/1-6/1-11/4*-9/2-9/2-10/3-9/2-5/1*)
5/76--Tim Easterby (6/1-5/1-10/3*-8/1-10/1)
4/13--John Quinn (7/2-3/1-7/4*-6/4*)
4/16--David Barron (11/4**-11/8*-9/2-15/8*)
4/26--Ruth Carr (4/1-9/2-5/2*-18/1)

99/106 (93.4%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--David O'Meara (15/8-15/8-9/4-2/1-11/4)
4--David Nicholls (15/8-7/2-9/2-5/2)
3--Michael Bell (4/1-2/1-9/4)
3--Mick Easterby (2/1-7/2-9/2)
3--Brian Ellison (7/2-2/1-5/4)
3--David Lanigan (2/1-11/8-9/4)

*

Wolverhampton:

James Tate’s last two winners have been greeted here at Wolverhampton where the trainer boasts a strike rate of 23% down the years, though this year’s ratio is 29% at the track, statistics which have brought about an LSP reading of nineteen points via fifteen winners.

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SATURDAY 19/10:

Ascot:

ASCOT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ascot: 106
Favourite stats: 21 (19.8%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 1/3

Leading trainers at Ascot in 2013:
8/67--Mark Johnston (6/1-9/2-11/4*-12/1-10/11*-33/1-7/1-5/1)
8/85--Richard Hannon (7/1-7/2-5/2-9/2**-11/4-7/2-4/1-8/1)
6/27--Roger Varian (11/4-25/1-6/4*-6/1-11/2-8/1)
5/33--Sir Michael Stoute (2/1*-15/2-7/2*-8/1-15/8*)
4/26--Aidan O'Brien (20/1-9/2*-15/2-5/4*)
4/10--Clive Brittain (8/1-6/1-7/2-25/1)
4/14--Roger Charlton (11/4-8/1-11/2-5/2*)
4/45--Andrew Balding (8/1-3/1*-5/1-9/4*)
4/45--Saeed Bin Suroor (13/8*-14/1-14/1-4/1)

82/106 winners (77.4%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
12--Richard Hannon (10/11-3/1-2/1-4/1-7/2-11/4-6/4-7/4-7/2-7/2-9/2**-3/1)
8--Sir Michael Stoute (5/2-7/2-6/1-6/1-9/2-11/4-3/1**-3/1)
6--William Haggas (11/8-10/1***-5/1-11/2-9/2-3/1)
5--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-4/1-7/4-9/2**-4/1)
4--Andrew Balding (10/1***-7/2-2/1-2/1)
4--John Gosden (4/1-3/1-5/2-3/1**)
4--Aidan O'Brien (5/2-5/2-9/4-10/11)
4--Roger Varian (9/4-7/1**-2/1-11/4**)

*

Catterick:

CATTERICK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Catterick: 105
Favourite stats: 27 (26.0%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 Non Runner)
Odds on ratio: 5/10 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Catterick in 2013:
8/24--Richard Fahey (7/1-Evs*-7/2-5/1-15/8-4/1-15/8-7/1)
7/26--Mark Johnston (2/7*-3/1-7/4*-4/1-10/11*-4/1-15/8)
7/42--David O'Meara (5/2*-17/2-2/1*-11/4-4/7*-3/1*-11/4)
6/52--Tim Easterby (10/1-3/1*-5/2-7/2-9/4-12/1)
5/29--Ruth Carr (4/1-7/4*-13/2-7/4-22/1)
5/29--Tracy Waggott (9/2*-6/1-7/2-16/1-25/1)
4/6--James Tate (14/1-9/2-11/2-15/2)
4/34--David Nicholls (7/1-5/1*-15/8*-7/4)

88/105 winners (83.8%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--David O'Meara (6/5-9/4-7/4-2/1-9/2**-9/4-7/2-11/8-11/4)
7--David Nicholls (10/3-3/1-11/8-7/2-5/2-6/4-11/4)
5--Mark Johnston (6/4-4/5-15/8-11/10-11/8)
3--Michael Dods (3/1-6/1***-9/4)
3--Tim Easterby (11/4-3/1-4/1)
3--Richard Fahey (6/5-3/1-6/4)
3--Phil Kirby (7/4-7/2-2/1)
3--Sir Mark Prescott (7/2-6/4-6/1***)
3--John Quinn (2/1-13/8-3/1)
3--Kevin Ryan (7/4-6/1***-3/1)

Seven furlong juvenile event scheduled for 3.05: Mark Johnston has saddled three of the last ten winners. Four of the last eight favourites have obliged.

‘Catterick Dash’ scheduled for 4.15: Four-year-olds have secured six of the last eleven contests, whilst five-year-olds have won three of the last four renewals.

*

Cheltenham:

CHELTENHAM NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Cheltenham: 57
Favourite stats: 17 (29.8%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 4/6

Leading trainers of winners at Cheltenham in 2013:
7--Nicky Henderson (5/2-1/5*-1/4*-16/1-8/15*-11/4*-9/4)
5--Willie Mullins (25/1-9/4*-8/11*-13/8*-5/1)
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (16/1-13/2-9/4*-7/2)
3--Venetia Williams (4/1*-16/1-50/1)

38/57 winners (66.7%) have been returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--P. Nicholls (10/11-4/1-6/1**-5/2-9/2**-15/8-5/2**-10/3**-7/2**)
6--Nicky Henderson (9/4-15/8-5/2-7/1-5/4-7/2**)
4--David Pipe (5/2-7/2-11/8-9/4)
3--Donald McCain (13/2-7/2-11/2)

Class 2 handicap chase over two and a half miles scheduled for 2.35: Six-year-olds have secured six of the last ten contests.

Three mile handicap chase scheduled for 3.45: We still await the first successful favourite following six renewals. Eight-year-olds have won four of the six contests thus far. Philip Hobbs had secured a medal of each colour before the trainer ‘upped the ante’ by additionally securing the last two contests. Just like the last two years, Balthazar King was Philip’s only option at the five day stage.

Class 3 handicap hurdle over two miles and five furlongs scheduled for 4.25: The last nine winners have carried a maximum burden of 11-2, whilst five-year-olds have secured four of the last five contests. Time To Work was Gordon Elliott’s only entry at the time of writing, Gordon having won the race with his last two runners.

*

Kelso:

KELSO NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Kelso: 59
Favourite stats: 18 (30.5%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/12 (41.7%)

Leading trainers of winners at Kelso in 2013:
6--Donald McCain (6/1-4/7*-4/1-8/13*-6/1-7/2)
5--John Wade (20/1-11/1-16/1-14/1-3/1*)
4--Sue Smith (8/11*-16/1-Evs*-10/3)
3--Ferdy Murphy (5/2-12/1-9/1)
3--Nicky Richards (7/4-3/1-5/2)
3--Dianne Sayer (6/1-5/1-7/2)

49/59 winners (83.0%) have scored at odds of 11/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--D. McCain (Evs-1/4-11/8-15/8-2/1)
4--Phil Kirby (9/2***-15/8-3/1-3/1)
3--Pauline Robson (7/4-9/4***-6/5)

*

Wolverhampton:

Six of the last thirteen runners saddled by Jeremy Noseda had won at the time of writing and Jeremy’s only potential runner all week here at Dunstall Park was Havelovewilltravel on Saturday’s card. Jeremy boasts a 30% strike rate at the venue via twenty five winners in recent times at Wolverhampton, figures which have reaped nine points of profit in the process.

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SUNDAY 20/10:

Bath:

BATH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Bath 136
Favourite stats: 47 (34.8%--includes joint and co favourites & 1 Non-runner)
Odds on ratio: 15/22 (68.2%)

Leading trainers at Bath in 2013:
7/30--Richard Hannon (2/1*-10/11*-11/10*-4/11*-7/2-5/2*-7/1)
7/31--Jo Hughes (6/1-7/4**-5/1-20/1-4/1-15/8*-2/1*)
6/12--Sir Mark Prescott (5/6*-10/11*-1/4*-4/1-3/10*-1/2*)
6/14--Mark Johnston (7/4-6/4-5/1-2/1*-4/1-9/2)
6/47--Mick Channon (6/1-9/1-5/1-6/4*-5/2*-10/1)
5/9--William Haggas (7/2-7/2-7/4*-Evs*-4/11*)
5/16--William Muir (5/4*-4/1-5/1-11/4-7/2)
5/21--Clive Cox (16/1-7/4*-10/1-4/1-7/1)
4/22--Andrew Hollinshead (16/1-7/4*-10/1-8/1)
4/32--David Evans (7/2-8/1-6/1-7/2**)

123/136 winners (90.4%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--Mick Channon (4/1**-3/1**-6/4-11/8-2/1)
5--Richard Hannon (10/11-9/4-5/4-2/1-4/1)
5--Sir Mark Prescott (11/10-4/6-1/2-5/6-5/2)
4--Andrew Balding (5/1****-7/4**-5/4-5/4)
4--Jo Hughes (7/2-9/4-10/3**-5/4)

*

Kempton (NH):

KEMPTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Kempton: 50
Favourite stats: 11 (22.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 4/10 (40.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Kempton in 2013:
10--N. Henderson (5/1-3/10*-3/1*-13/2-13/2-6/1-9/2-10/3-4/5*-25/1)
8--Alan King (4/5*-5/1-5/1-13/2-9/2-6/1-9/4-4/6*)
6--Paul Nicholls (7/1-5/4*-9/4-11/8-11/4*-9/2)

44/50 winners (88.9%) scored at a top price of 10/1

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
7--Nicky Henderson (5/2**-11/8-8/11-10/11-7/4-4/11-6/4)
7--Paul Nicholls (9/2-5/4-2/1-7/4**-10/11-3/1-7/4)
4--Philip Hobbs (11/4-9/4-7/4-3/1)
3--Donald McCain (5/4-2/1-9/4)

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MONDAY 21/10:

Pontefract:

PONTEFRACT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Pontefract: 102
Favourite stats: 34 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/14 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Pontefract in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):
9/45--Mark Johnston (2/1*-15/2-3/1-10/11*-11/10*-11/10*-6/4*-11/2-4/9*)
7/43--Richard Fahey (11/4-9/2*-17/2-13/8-8/1-6/1-7/1)
5/21--Paul Midgley (9/1-6/1-16/1-7/1-12/1)
4/9--Sir Michael Stoute (5/1-1/5*-7/2-11/8**)
3/5--Charlie Appleby (5/4*-9/4*-2/1*)
3/8--David Barron (13/8*-10/3*-7/4*)
3/14--Mick Easterby (10/1-8/1-13/2)

94/103 winners (91.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
7--Richard Fahey (11/4-10/3-7/2-15/8-3/1-4/7-5/2)
6--Mark Johnston (7/4-5/2**-7/4-10/3-11/8-8/13)
4--Brian Ellison (10/3-3/1**7/2**-10/3**)
4--Luca Cumani (2/1-2/1-11/10-5/6)
3--Mick Easterby (3/1-5/2-2/1)
3--Jedd O'Keefe (9/4-11/8-9/4**)

*

Windsor:

WINDSOR DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Windsor: 166
Favourite stats: 70 (42.2%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 15/31 (48.4%)

Leading trainers at Windsor in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):
21/95--Richard Hannon (6/1-11/4*-Evs*-1/10*-9/4-8/11*-3/1*-7/4*-4/6*-4/9*-3/1-3/1-5/1-5/4*-5/4*-6/4*-4/6*-1/16*-2/5*-2/1*-8/11*)
8/30--Andrew Balding (14/1-7/2*-14/1-10/1-16/1-5/2**-11/4*-8/1)
6/20--Jeremy Noseda (4/1*-2/1-2/1*-5/4*-15/2-4/1)
5/13--Marco Botti (9/2-6/4*-5/2**-1/2*-7/2*)
5/15--William Haggas (15/8*-1/2*-11/4*-6/1-13/8*)
5/20--John Gosden (16/1-1/2*-11/4-5/6*-5/1)
5/30--William Muir (5/2-8/1-5/1-9/2-9/4*)

146/167 winners (87.4%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
17--Richard Hannon (7/2***-8/11-7/2**-7/4-3/1-5/6-5/6-11/10-5/6-6/5-5/6-5/2**-5/6-4/6-5/4-11/10-5/4)
6--John Gosden (13/8-9/4-7/4-2/1-8/11-Evs)
5--Roger Charlton (6/4-5/4-8/13-7/4-11/10)
5--Sir Michael Stoute (2/1-7/4-6/4-7/4**-9/4**)
4--Andrew Balding (7/4-5/2**-9/4-3/1)
4--Hughie Morrison (6/4-3/1-7/2***-10/11)
4--Jeremy Noseda (9/4**-Evs-8/11-5/6)

*

Plumpton:

PLUMPTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Plumpton: 63
Favourite stats: 22 (34.9%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/6

Leading trainers of winners at Plumpton in 2013:
4--Gary Moore (6/1-9/2-Evs-9/2)
4--David Pipe (1/5*-15/8*-1/7*-9/2)
4--Venetia Williams (9/4*-3/1**-Evs*10/11*)
3--Chris Gordon (33/1-5/1-9/1)
3--Alan King (6/4-8/11*-1/2*)
3--Suzy Smith (8/1-5/1-16/1)

51/63 winners (80.9%) were returned at odds of 9/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Charlie Longsdon (Evs-3/1-15/8-11/4)
3--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-9/2-11/4)
2--Philip Hobbs (7/4-11/8)
2--Nick Lampard (2/1 & 11/4)
2--Emma Lavelle (2/1-5/2)
2--Gary Moore (2/1 & 3/1)
2--Seamus Mullins (2/1** & 11/4)
2--Miss A. Newton-Smith (2/1 & 15/8)
2--David Pipe (15/8 & 9/4)
2--Tim Vaughan (11/8 & 2/1**)
2--Sheena West (11/4 & 3/1)

Weekly Stat Pack: 8th to 14th October

8th to 14th October

Weekly Stat Pack: 8th to 14th October

With just ten days until the first meeting at Cheltenham at the time of writing, the shift of power between codes is moving ever closer.

If we conveniently leave Saturday’s Redcar meeting aside, just seven favourites have won via the last thirty-four turf flat races (20.6%) which should suggest that we tread carefully at this time of the year on the level, especially as seven winners during the period were returned at odds ranging between 16/1 and 50/1.

Lady Cecil experiences her first ‘end of season’ campaign and it’s worth noting that her last fifteen runners have been beaten, eight of which were returned at odds of 5/1 or less, statistics which include five beaten favourites.

I am not singling Julie out for any reason other than to remind us all that the best trainers in the land can struggle to find winners at this time of year, highlighted yesterday as the usually reliable Roger Charlton who saddled three beaten favourites (his only representatives) on the day.

It’s worth noting that experienced trainers can give hints regarding where they place their horses at this time of year, with yesterday’s Pontefract meeting being of particular interest.

Of the top six trainers at the course this year in terms of the number of winners they have saddled, only Mark Johnston sent out runners at the west Yorkshire venue on Monday, with established handlers such as Richard Fahey, Sir Michael Stoute, David Barron and Mick Easterby keeping their horses safely tucked away at home.

Mark saddled two of his nine runners to winning effect but even then, level stake investors would have lost out on the day, with Mark also saddling a beaten 8/13 chance to highlight the point I am trying to make.

Tread carefully, and not only because the pavements can become slippery as the days pan out during the month of October!

Don’t forget to log in on Saturday to find the updated details for York following their meeting the previous day.

Day to day analysis:

TUESDAY 08/10:

Brighton:

BRIGHTON DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Brighton: 122
Favourite stats: 53 (43.4%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 13/23 (56.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Brighton in 2013:
5/8--David Simcock (5/2-9/4-6/4**-3/1-9/4*)
5/13--William Knight (3/1-9/1-9/4-11/8*-7/2*)
4/11--George Baker (11/4*-9/4*-8/1-9/4*)
4/13--James Tate (5/4*-9/4*-4/11*-5/6*)
4/16--George Margarson (6/1-11/8-5/2*-7/2)

116/122 (95.1%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Gary Moore (5/1**-5/2-10/3-15/8)
3--Tony Carroll (3/1-2/1**-9/4**)
3--Luca Cumani (6/4**-6/4-4/7)
3--John Hills (11/10*-7/4-4/5)
3--George Margarson (2/1-2/1-5/4)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (5/4-11/4**-10/11)
3--James Tate (13/8-9/4-5/4)
3--Roger Varian (5/4-9/4-7/4)

*

Catterick:

CATTERICK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Catterick: 97
Favourite stats: 26 (27.1%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 Non Runner)
Odds on ratio: 5/10 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Catterick in 2013:
7/22--Mark Johnston (2/7*-3/1-7/4*-4/1-10/11*-4/1-15/8)
7/40--David O'Meara (5/2*-17/2-2/1*-11/4-4/7*-3/1*-11/4)
6/22--Richard Fahey (7/1-Evs*-7/2-5/1-15/8-4/1)
5/28--Ruth Carr (4/1-7/4*-13/2-7/4-22/1)
5/29--Tracy Waggott (9/2*-6/1-7/2-16/1-25/1)
5/48--Tim Easterby (10/1-3/1*-5/2-7/2-9/4)
4/6--James Tate (14/1-9/2-11/2-15/2)
4/34--David Nicholls (7/1-5/1*-15/8*-7/4)

81/97 winners (83.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--David O'Meara (6/5-9/4-7/4-2/1-9/2**-9/4-7/2-11/8-11/4)
7--David Nicholls (10/3-3/1-11/8-7/2-5/2-6/4-11/4)
4--Mark Johnston (6/4-4/5-15/8-11/10)
3--Michael Dods (3/1-6/1***-9/4)
3--Richard Fahey (6/5-3/1-6/4)
3--Phil Kirby (7/4-7/2-2/1)
3--Sir Mark Prescott (7/2-6/4-6/1***)
3--John Quinn (2/1-13/8-3/1)
3--Kevin Ryan (7/4-6/1***-3/1)

*

Leicester:

LEICESTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Leicester: 126
Favourite stats: 49 (38.9% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 11/24 (45.8%)

Leading trainers at Leicester in 2013:
7/34--Richard Hannon (11/4-2/1*-9/4*-5/2**-7/1-25/1-3/1*)
5/9--Roger Charlton (9/4*-9/4*-4/1-5/6*-7/4*)
5/11--Luca Cumani (3/1-1/2*-10/11*-11/10*-11/10*)
4/8--John Gosden (5/4*-5/1-6/5*-9/2)
4/10--David O'Meara (7/1-3/1*-7/2-9/4*)
4/11--Sir Michael Stoute (11/4-11/4-1/2*-5/1)
4/11--Roger Varian (5/2*-8/1-11/4*-3/1)
4/13--Rae Guest (8/1-6/1-5/1-6/4*)
4/16--Mick Channon (5/2-11/10*-2/1*-9/4)

117/126 winners (92.9%) returned at odds of 12/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--William Haggas (5/2**-11/8-4/5-1/2)
4--Mark Johnston (Evs-7/4-4/7-6/4)
3--Marco Botti (5/2-13/8-4/6)
3--Henry Candy (11/8-11/10-3/1)
3--Richard Hannon (7/4-9/4-4/5)

2.10: Mark Johnston has saddled two of the last four winners (16/1 & 5/1) whilst it’s worth noting that Mark was not represented in the 2010 renewal. Mark has declared a runner in each of the two divisions (first two races on the card). Four of the nine favourites have secured toteplacepot positions via eight renewals, albeit we still await the first successful market leader. Although the market leaders have cut little ice in the contest to date, seven of the seven eight medallists ranged between 4/1 and 9/1, whereby bookmakers have not had things all their own way by any means.

3.10: Six of the last fourteen market leaders secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two winners.

3.40: Eight of the last nine winners have carried 8-11 or more which eliminates the bottom four horses if you take the stats seriously. Four of the last twelve winners were priced at 28/1-20/1-12/1-17/2, whilst seven other outsiders priced between 10/1 and 20/1 reached the frame.

4.40: Nine of the last fifteen market leaders have won. It’s worth noting however, that the other six jollies all finished out of the frame, whilst horses priced at 33/1 and 16/1 have claimed toteplacepot positions down the years. Last year’s two runner contest produced something of a ‘shock result’ with the 15/8 winner scoring having been twelve pounds ahead on official ratings and meeting his (2/5) rival on level terms!

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WEDNESDAY 09/10:

Nottingham:

NOTTINGHAM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Nottingham: 102
Favourite stats: 38 (37.3%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/13 (69.2%)

Leading trainers at Nottingham in 2013:
5/9--Luca Cumani (1/2*-5/6*-5/4*-5/1-5/1)
4/5--'Team Burke' (9/4-7/2-10/3-11/4)
4/12--Ralph Beckett (11/1-11/10*-8/11*-3/1)
4/25--Mark Johnston (6/1-11/8*-11/8*-11/8)

90/102 winners (88.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Ralph Beckett (3/1-9/4-2/1-8/11)
4--John Gosden (3/1-1/2-5/2**-9/4**)
3--Lady Cecil (5/2**-85/40-2/1)
3--Luca Cumani (11/10-5/4-9/4)

3.30: The last nine winners have scored at 15/2 or less, statistics which include three successful favourites. Without naming names, top trainers have saddled the winners of this race since the old king died.

5.00: Only one of the last ten favourites has prevailed, whist winners were returned at 33/1-25/1-16/1-124/1-14/1-12/1 during the period. Seven of the last eight gold medallists have carried a minimum burden of 9-1.

*

Ludlow:

LUDLOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ludlow: 64
Favourite stats: 25 (39.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/11 (54.5%)

Leading trainers of winners at Ludlow in 2013 (stats include one dead heat):
5--Venetia Williams (2/1*-9/1-7/2*-13/2-9/2*)
3--Nicky Henderson (4/5*-7/2-7/4)
3--Richard Lee (4/1*-10/3-11/10*)
3--Philip Rowley (5/2*-15/8*-16/1)
3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (8/1-9/2-5/6*)

56/65 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Evan Williams (10/3-4/1**-10/11-4/1***-5/2-3/1**-2/1**-4/1)
5--Nicky Henderson (6/4-10/11-9/4-11/8-8/11)
5--Venetia Williams (11/4-15/8-11/8-3/1-7/2)

Juvenile Maiden Hurdle event scheduled for 2.10: Three favourites have won via the last ten contests, during which time three gold medallists have scored at 25/1-20/1-11/1. Four of the ten market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions during the period.

Mares Novice Hurdle scheduled for 2.40: Four of the eight favourites have finished in the frame via seven renewals, statistics which include two winners. The last six gold medallists scored at a top price of 9/2.

Closing bumper event scheduled for 5.10: Evan Williams held one option (On Tour) in the race this year having secured two of the last three contests.. Five-year-olds have won five of the six contests thus far.

*

Towcester:

TOWCESTER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Towcester: 63
Favourite stats: 24 (38.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/11 (63.6%)

Leading trainers of winners at Towcester in 2013:
4--Kim Bailey (6/4*-6/4*-7/2*-4/1)
4--Fergal O'Brien (2/1*-8/1-15/8*-11/2)
4--David Pipe (7/4*-4/1-1/2*-13/8*)
3--Nicky Henderson (2/1*-2/11*-9/4)

60/63 winners sent off at a top price of 11/1

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
3--Nicky Henderson (Evs-11/4-15/8)
3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (9/4-11/8-3/1)
2--Kim Bailey (5/4 & 8/13)
2--Philip Hobbs (6/4 & 11/4**)
2--Sophie Leech (9/4 & 5/2)
2--Lucy Wadham (9/2** & Evs)
2--Richard Woollacott (11/4 & 3/1)

Twenty one furlong handicap hurdle event scheduled for 2.20: Six-year-olds have won five of the last nine contests, whilst five favourites have obliged during the last seven years. Five of the last six winners have carried a minimum burden of 11-2.

Class 5 handicap hurdle over the minimum trip due to be contested at 3.20: Five-year-olds have secured three of the last five contests, whilst three market leaders have prevailed during the last decade.

Class five handicap hurdle scheduled for 4.20 over an extended nineteen furlongs: Five-year-olds have won all three renewals thus far, whilst we still await the first successful market leader.

Three of the last seven winners were returned as favourites in the three-mile handicap chase due to be contested at 4.50. The biggest priced winner emerged at 11/1 three years ago.

The NH Flat Race which closes out the programme has become something of a bookmakers benefit event thus far with three winners scoring at 33/1-22/1-7/2.

*

Kempton:

Ralph Beckett continues to be a trainer to watch out for at Kempton (alongside the more obvious name of Saeed Bin Suroor), with Ralph having sent out sixty-four winners via a 23% strike rate at Kempton during the last five years. Ralph boasts a level stake profit of nearly seventy-eight points during the study period for good measure.

*************************************************************************

THURSDAY 10/10:

Ayr:

AYR DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ayr: 95
Favourite stats: 28 (29.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/7 (71.4%)

Leading trainers at Ayr in 2013:
16/82--Jim Goldie (8/1-13/2-10/3*-16/1-5/1-8/1-7/1-5/1-11/4-7/4-7/1-11/1-9/2-10/1-9/1-12/1)
9/78--Keith Dalgleish (4/1-13/8*-9/4*-8/1-18/1-33/1-14/1-4/5*-11/2)
6/63--Richard Fahey (4/1-10/1-7/2-7/1-7/1-25/1)
5/13--John Quinn (8/1-11/4*-5/1**-5/2*-6/1)
4/20--'Team Burke' (6/5*-9/2-6/5-14/1)
4/28--Tim Easterby (5/2*-11/4**-7/4*-20/1)
4/34--Michael Dods (9/2-15/8*-7/2*-7/2)
4/35--Kevin Ryan (22/1-3/10*-11/8*-7/2)
3/7--Charlie Hills (5/1-11/2-7/4*)
3/21--David Nicholls (11/8*-5/1**-12/1)
3/26--David O'Meara (7/4*-16/1-3/1*)
3/36--Linda Perratt (8/1-7/2*-20/1)
3/36--Mark Johnston (2/1-1/2*-5/2*)

82/95 winners (86.3%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--Michael Dods (2/1-9/4-3/1**-9/4-5/4-3/1-2/1-5/1**-11/5)
6--Richard Fahey (11/4-10/11-5/1**-10/3-4/1**-10/3)
4--Richard Guest (11/4**-3/1**5/2**-8/1**)
4--Mark Johnston (5/2-10/11-5/4-15/8)
4--Linda Perratt (11/8-5/2-11/4-3/1)
3--'Team Burke' (85/40-13/8-7/2)
3--Mick Easterby (9/4-3/1**-5/1)
3--Sir Mark Prescott (Evs-Evs-15/8)

*

Exeter:

EXETER DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Exeter: 54
Favourite stats: 16 (29.6% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/13 (53.8%)

Leading trainers of winners at Exeter in 2013:
5--David Pipe (4/1-4/5*-1/4*-6/1-11/2)
4--Paul Nicholls (5/6*-4/9*-6/5-6/1)
4--Colin Tizzard (7/2-7/2-2/1--11/4)
3--Susan Gardner (9/4-11/2-5/6*)
3--Seamus Mullins (12/1-2/11*-5/2)
3--Oliver Sherwood (11/4*-11/4-2/1)

46/54 winners were returned at odds of 11/1 or less.

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--Philip Hobbs (3/1-11/8-6/4-4/5-5/2)
5--Paul Nicholls (7/5-Evs-6/4-11/5-15/8)
2--Emma Lavelle (3/1 & 2/5)
2--Fergal O'Brien (1/2 & 4/5)
2--Jamie Snowdon (4/1 & 7/2)
2--Colin Tizzard (4/1 & 11/8)
2--Venetia Williams (Evs & 3/1)

Nineteen furlong handicap hurdle event scheduled for 2.20: Nine of the last fifteen favourites have prevailed, whilst the Pond House (Pipe) team have secured four of the last fourteen renewals. David held one option (Bathwick Man) for the contest at the time of writing.

Novice handicap hurdle over two miles and five furlongs scheduled for 2.50: Two of the six market leaders have finished in the frame via five renewals, statistics which include one successful (joint) favourite.

Class 4 handicap chase over three-mile due to be contests at 3.20: One clear market leader and one joint favourite have prevailed via four contests. The biggest priced winner was sent off at 6/1, whilst two of the five jollies have finished in the money. All four gold medallists were burdened with a maximum weight of just 10-12 to date.

Your first 30 days for just £1

Three mile beginners’ chase scheduled for 3.50: All five winners have scored at 11/2 or less (one successful favourite).

Class 4 novice hurdle event over seventeen furlongs scheduled for 4.20: Eleven of the last fourteen favourites have won this event, whilst the biggest priced winner during the period before last years 40/1 shock gold medallist was returned at just 100/30. Four-year-olds have won four renewals during the last decade.

*

Worcester:

WORCESTER DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Worcester: 135
Favourite stats: 52 (38.5%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 12/19 (63.1%)

Leading trainers at Worcester in 2013:
15--Jonjo O'Neill (9/1-10/11*-9/2-4/1-6/5*-5/1-13/8*-5/4*-4/9*-7/2-6/5*-5/2*-5/4*-11/4-5/2**)
8--Peter Bowen (3/1*-13/8*-20/1-5/2*-5/4*-2/1-13/8*-12/1)
5--Rebecca Curtis (3/1*-8/13*-2/5*-4/6*-2/1)
5--Donald McCain (13/8*-4/1-8/1-9/4-11/10*)
4--Dr Richard Newland (11/4*-11/8*-10/11*-5/6*)
4--Paul Nicholls (11/8*-11/4-5/2-2/5*)
4--Fergal O'Brien (5/1-7/4*-7/1-3/1*)
4--David Pipe (3/1-4/1-Evs*-11/8*)
4--Nigel Twiston-Davies (4/1-12/1-2/1-5/1)

119/135 winners (88.1%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
14--Jonjo O'Neill (6/1**-7/2-4/1**-6/4-7/4-3/1-15/8-7/4-7/2**-7/2**-15/8-13/8-5/2-3/10*)
5--David Pipe (2/1-15/8-2/1**-Evs-6/5)
5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (4/1-3/1-7/2-11/10-7/4)
4--Peter Bowen (5/2-7/2**-5/4-9/4)
4--Charlie Longsdon (15/8-7/4-7/4**-6/4)
3--Philip Hobbs (10/11-Evs-6/4)
3--Donald McCain (5/4-7/4**-11/10)
3--Paul Nicholls (8/11-10/11-5/4)

*

Kempton:

To add to the names of Saeed Bin Suroor and Ralph Beckett mentioned earlier in despatches in this article relating to the Sunbury circuit, James Fanshawe deserves plenty of praise for his 23% strike rate via forty six winners during the same period. James very nearly matches Ralph’s LSP reading at the time of writing on seventy two points.

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FRIDAY 11/10:

Carlisle:

CARLISLE NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Carlisle: 39
Favourite stats: 15 (39.5%--includes joint and co favourites & one non runner)
Odds on ratio: 4/7 (57.1%)

Leading trainers of winners at Carlisle in 2013:
4--Alan Swinbank (6/1-10/1-11/10*-6/4*)
3--Tim Easterby (3/1**-15/8*-8/1)
2--Brian Ellison (11/4 & 7/2*)
2--Chris Grant (5/2 & 9/4)
2--Jonjo O'Neill (9/2 & 11/10*)
2--Nicky Richards (1/8* & 10/1)
2--Pauline Robson (Evs* & 5/2)

34/39 winners scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Donald McCain (4/9-4/6-7/2-4/1)
3--Lucinda Russell (3/1**-5/2-6/4)
3--Sue Smith (4/1***-9/2-9/2)
2--Andrew Parker (11/4 & 9/4)
2--Alan Swinbank (5/2 & 6/5)
2--John Wade (9/2 & 3/1)

Class 4 seventeen furlong novice hurdle event scheduled for 5.00: Four-year-olds have won four of the last six renewals whist six favourites have prevailed during the last twelve years. Eleven of the last twelve winners have been returned at 13/2 or less.

Bumper event scheduled for 5.30: Donald McCain held one option (Plan Again) at the time of writing in a race he has secured twice in the last six years. Four and five-year-olds have won the last ten renewals (‘juniors’ lead 6-4), though just two favourites have won during the study period, which is a poor ratio in terms of bumper contests.

*

Newton Abbot:

NEWTON ABBOT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newton Abbot: 123
Favourite stats: 47 (38.2% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 18/26 (69.2%)

Leading trainers at Newton Abbot in 2013:
13--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-3/1*-6/1-5/4*-4/1-2/1*-9/2-5/2*-6/4*-11/8*-9/2-9/4*-9/4*)
8--Philip Hobbs (11/4**-12/1-11/1-15/2-11/1-4/11*-11/4*-10/1)
5--Martin Hill (8/1-5/1-9/1-16/1-11/4)
5--Evan Williams (8/1-9/4*-6/1-2/1-7/2*)
4--Jim Best (5/6*-4/6*-7/2-5/6*)
4--Paul Henderson (11/4-11/1-5/1-9/1)
4--Paul Nicholls (1/2*-2/5*-9/4-12/1)
4--Colin Tizzard (2/1**-11/4-11/2-5/2)

115/123 winners (93.5%) to date were returned at 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
10--Paul Nicholls (9/4-6/4-2/1**-2/7-Evs-5/2**-7/4-11/4-5/2**-8/11)
7--Peter Bowen (11/4-5/4-3/1**-11/10-2/1-3/1-3/1)
7--Jonjo O'Neill (5/2**-7/5-11/4-3/1-2/1-3/1-4/7)
5--Colin Tizzard (2/1-9/4-3/1**-6/4-9/4)
4--Philip Hobbs (4/1-4/1-15/8-9/4)
3--David Pipe (11/8-15/8-2/1)

*

York:

YORK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at York: 101
Favourite stats: 27 (26.7%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 3/5

Leading trainers at York in 2013:
10/63--David O'Meara (5/2-5/1-11/2-11/4*-3/1-6/1-3/1-25/1-8/1-7/1)
8/51--Kevin Ryan (9/2-4/1-14/1-11/4-7/4*-7/1-5/1-3/1)
7/33--William Haggas (4/7*-3/1-10/1-11/4*-4/9*-9/1-3/1*)
7/120--Richard Fahey (10/3*-7/1-25/1-4/1-17/2-7/2*-33/1)
5/14--Sir Michael Stoute (4/6*-13/8*-3/1-15/8*-5/4*)
5/6--Dean Ivory (8/1-11/2-9/2**-5/2-3/1*)
4/30--David Barron (7/1-9/2-8/1-13/2)
3/8--Ian Williams (15/2-14/1-13/2)
3/18--Saeed Bin Suroor (11/10*-4/1-4/1)
3/22--Richard Hannon (9/4*-7/2-2/1*)
3/29--Brian Ellison (8/1-7/1-6/1)

84/101 winners (83.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
13--William Haggas (5/1-7/2-15/8-4/1-2/1-2/1-6/4-3/1-6/1**-15/8-4/1-4/1-9/4)
8--Richard Fahey (5/4-9/2**-11/4-5/2-5/1-6/1-11/4-6/1)
4--Mark Johnston (13/8-3/1-7/2-3/1)
3--Mick Easterby (7/2-4/1-5/1**)
3--Richard Hannon (8/13-11/4-6/4)
3--David O'Meara (7/2-5/2-3/1)
3--Sir Michael Stoute (4/1-6/4-7/2)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (9/4-4/5-6/4)

Nursery event scheduled for 2.00: Just one favourite has prevailed via the last ten contests. The last five winners have carried 8-12 or less.

Class 2 mixed vintage handicap scheduled for 3.05: Saeed Bin Suroor held six options at the time of writing in a race he has won twice in the last five years, without a representative in two of the ‘missing’ contests.

*

Wolverhampton:

I have been banging the Keith Dalgleish drum relating to racing at Dunstall Park for some time now, especially as Keith’s 19% strike rate (via thirty three winners) have realised a level stake profit of twenty seven points. It’s worth noting that although Keith has held entries over the last few weeks at Wolverhampton, none actually ran whereby his next runners at the track could be worth following.

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SATURDAY 12/10:

Chepstow:

CHEPSTOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Chepstow: 65
Favourite stats: 22 (33.8%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/10 (50.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Chepstow in 2013:
4--Martin Keighley (7/2-7/2-10/11*-5/1)
3--Mark Gillard (9/4* twice & 11/4)
3--Alan King (2/1*-6/1-3/1)
3--Sophie Leech (25/1-4/1-7/2)
3--David Pipe (5/1**-5/1-5/1**)
3--Mark Sheppard (6/4*-9/2**-11/2)
3--Colin Tizzard (9/2-4/1-11/4*)

55/65 (84.6%) of the winners scored at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--Paul Nicholls (7/4-9/4-11/4-8/11-4/5-11/4)
4--Jonjo O'Neill (5/1**-4/1-7/4-6/4)
3--Colin Tizzard (5/1 **-15/8-2/1)

Juvenile hurdle scheduled for 2.25: Paul Nicholls (potentially represented by Aldopicgros and Keltus on this occasion) has saddled four of the last eight winners. Alan King (Wooly Bully and Chocala) has won the race twice in the last seven years by two of his best juvenile hurdlers during the period, namely Katchit and Franchoek.

Five-year-olds have secured all three renewals this far in the Class 4 novice hurdle event due to be contested at 3.00.

Extended nineteen furlong Class 2 novice chase event scheduled for 3.35: Both favourites have won thus far at 8/13 and 10/11.

Class 2 handicap hurdle due to be contested at 4.15: For Two and Lac Fontana potentially represent Paul Nicholls who has saddled four of the last six winners of this event, with Paul coming to the gig on a four timer on this occasion.

Class 3 handicap hurdle scheduled for 4.45: The last ten winners have carried weights of 11-3 or less whilst seven contests have slipped by without a winning favourite being recorded. Evan Williams and Philip Hobbs have both won two renewals during the last six years.

Bumper event scheduled for 5.45: Four-year-olds have won six of the last eight renewals during which time, both Paul Nicholls and Philip Hobbs have saddled two winners.

*

Hexham:

HEXHAM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Hexham: 64
Favourite stats: 24 (37.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/8 (75.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Hexham in 2013:
10--Lucinda Russell (5/2*-13/8*-15/8-11/1-3/1-9/1-15/8*-6/1-13/8*-7/1)
6--Sue Smith (5/1-11/4-10/3-4/1**-7/2-7/2)
3--Rose Dobbin (7/1-4/1-20/1)
3--Ferdy Murphy (5/1-6/1-15/8*)
3--Dianne Sayer (16/1-15/8*-7/2**)

59/64 winners (92.2%) were returned at odds of 11/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--Lucinda Russell (13/8-4/1**-5/2**-7/4-7/4-3/1)
6--Sue Smith (9/2-5/1**-11/4-2/1-11/2***-11/2)
3--Tim Vaughan (7/4-7/4-11/4)

Class 4 novice hurdle event for mares scheduled for 2.45: Five of the last six winners have scored at odds of 11/2 or less, stats which include two successful market leaders. Four-year-olds have won five of the last nine contests.

Class 4 handicap chase over two and a half miles due to be contested at 3.20: Six-year-olds have won three of the last five contests, whilst vintage representatives were only conspicuous by their absence twelve months ago.

Maiden hurdle scheduled for 4.30: Six of the seven winners to date scored at 4/1 or less, statistics which include four successful favourites. The other winner was returned at 66/1!

Bumper event scheduled for 5.35: Five-year-olds lead the four-year-olds 4-3 via eight renewals to date.

*

Newmarket:

NEWMARKET (ROWLEY MILE) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newmarket (Rowley Mile): 89
Favourite stats: 32 (36.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/6

Leading trainers of winners at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) in 2013:
8/63--Richard Hannon (8/11*-9/1-10/3-10/3--10/11*-12/1-16/1-7/4*)
5/28--John Gosden (11/2-20/1-2/1*-15/8*-11/4)
4/10--Charlie Appleby (6/4*-7/2-9/1-11/4**)
4/14--Sir Henry Cecil (10/1-10/11*-8/1-5/1)
4/48--Mark Johnston (6/1-11/4-4/5*-9/1)
3/9--David Elsworth (6/1-5/2*-4/11*)
3/12--Roger Varian (2/1-4/1-12/1)
3/16--David Simcock (12/1-5/1-5/1)
3/18--Sir Michael Stoute (4/1-11/4*-11/4*)
3/32--Andrew Balding (11/1-15/8*-7/1)

78/89 winners (87.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--Richard Hannon (4/1-7/2-11/4-11/4-5/2)
5--William Haggas (9/2**-5/1**-7/2**-5/2-5/4)
4--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/2-7/4-15/8)
4--Luca Cumani (13/8-4/1**-3/1-2/1-)
4--John Gosden (Evs-11/4**-3/1-10/3)
4--Sir Michael Stoute (5/4-6/4-5/2-11/10)
3--Lady Cecil (6/1**-10/3-15/8)
3--Charlie Hills (9/2**-11/4-5/1**)
3--Mark Johnston (2/1**-7/2**--11/8**)

Group 2 Challenge Stakes scheduled for 2.05: Three-year-olds have won five of the last six contests. Junior representatives come to the party on a four timer on this occasion. Six of the last seven winners have scored at a top price of 15/2, statistics which include three successful market leaders.

Group 1 ‘Middle Park’ scheduled for 2.35: Aidan O’Brien was responsible for seven of the twenty one five day declarations, with the trainer having saddled two of the last nine winners of this event. Aidan won this race with a 25/1 chance two years ago en route to securing a 93/1 double on the card. The other six recent winners scored at a top price of 8/1, statistics which include four successful market leaders.

Group 1 Dewhurst Stakes scheduled for 3.10: Four favourites have won during the last seven years, whilst Aidan O’Brien was responsible for eight of the fourteen declarations earlier in the week.

‘Cesarewitch’ scheduled for 3.50: Eight of the last eleven winners were sent off at a maximum price of 16/1 which suggests that this marathon event is not as much of a lottery as most believe it to be. Two successful favourites (both returned at 9/2) were recorded during the study period. Five of the last seven winners have carried a maximum burden of 9-1. That said, last year’s 66/1 winner broke the starting price and weight trends.

Group 2 ‘Rockfel’ scheduled for 4.25: To put the favourite stats of the ’Cesarewitch’ in perspective with its average of thirty odd runners, only the same number of market leaders have won this two-year-old event during the same period. Aidan O’Brien held one option (Sparrow) earlier in the week in a race that Aidan has won twice in the last six years.

Group 3 Autumn Stakes scheduled for 4.55: Favourites have won five of the last nine renewals, though the other contests were won by horses returned at 33/1-20/1-9/1-8/1. Richard Hannon held four options on Monday, the trainer having saddled two of the last ten winners.

Group 3 Darley Stakes scheduled for 5.15: Only one clear favourite has obliged during the last eleven years, with two of the last five winners having been sent off at 50/1 and 25/1.

*

York:

YORK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at York: 101
Favourite stats: 27 (26.7%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 3/5

Leading trainers at York in 2013:
10/63--David O'Meara (5/2-5/1-11/2-11/4*-3/1-6/1-3/1-25/1-8/1-7/1)
8/51--Kevin Ryan (9/2-4/1-14/1-11/4-7/4*-7/1-5/1-3/1)
7/33--William Haggas (4/7*-3/1-10/1-11/4*-4/9*-9/1-3/1*)
7/120--Richard Fahey (10/3*-7/1-25/1-4/1-17/2-7/2*-33/1)
5/14--Sir Michael Stoute (4/6*-13/8*-3/1-15/8*-5/4*)
5/6--Dean Ivory (8/1-11/2-9/2**-5/2-3/1*)
4/30--David Barron (7/1-9/2-8/1-13/2)
3/8--Ian Williams (15/2-14/1-13/2)
3/18--Saeed Bin Suroor (11/10*-4/1-4/1)
3/22--Richard Hannon (9/4*-7/2-2/1*)
3/29--Brian Ellison (8/1-7/1-6/1)

84/101 winners (83.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
13--William Haggas (5/1-7/2-15/8-4/1-2/1-2/1-6/4-3/1-6/1**-15/8-4/1-4/1-9/4)
8--Richard Fahey (5/4-9/2**-11/4-5/2-5/1-6/1-11/4-6/1)
4--Mark Johnston (13/8-3/1-7/2-3/1)
3--Mick Easterby (7/2-4/1-5/1**)
3--Richard Hannon (8/13-11/4-6/4)
3--David O'Meara (7/2-5/2-3/1)
3--Sir Michael Stoute (4/1-6/4-7/2)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (9/4-4/5-6/4)

Listed ‘Rockingham Stakes’ scheduled for 2.55: Ten of the last eleven renewals have been secured by horses scoring at odds of 15/2 or less, stats which include three successful favourites.

Class 2 mixed vintage six furlong handicap scheduled for 3.30: Richard Fahey has saddled silver and bronze medals since securing the previous two renewals in 2007 & 2009. Two of the last four favourites have won at odds of 13/2 and 6/1.

2YO seven furlong maiden event scheduled for 4.10: Mark Johnston and Richard Fahey have both saddled two winners via just four contests to date.

Eighteen furlong handicap scheduled for 4.40: Three and four-year-olds have dominated the contest to date with junior raiders leading 4-2 via seven contests.

*

Wolverhampton:

Although his strike rate and LSP reading are nothing to write home about, it’s as well to cast a second glance at any David Evans runners on the card as surprisingly perhaps, David has sent out more winners at Dunstall Park (95 in total) than any of other potentially represented trainers at the track on Saturday, leading trainers which include Mark Johnston, Kevin Ryan. Tom Dascombe, Sir Mark Prescott et al.

*************************************************************************

SUNDAY 13/10:

Goodwood:

GOODWOOD DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Goodwood: 121
Favourite stats: 44 (36.7%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 8/10 (80.0%)

Leading trainers at Goodwood in 2013:
16/109--Richard Hannon (5/1-1/4*-16/1-8/15*-7/2**-16/1-8/1-11/4-5/4*-5/1*-5/6*-6/1-4/1-11/4-13/2*-25/1)
6/12--William Haggas (15/8-5/1-14/1-12/1-2/1**-9/4)
6/28--Sir Michael Stoute (6/4*-3/1-6/4*-4/1-11/1-2/1*)
6/40--Amanda Perrett (8/1-7/2*-5/2*-8/1-4/1*-9/2)
6/49--Mark Johnston (4/1**-7/1-9/4*-8/1-2/1-13/8*)
3/7--James Fanshawe (3/1-7/1-7/2)
3/12--Jeremy Noseda (12/1-6/4*-4/1**)
3/13--Brian Meehan (9/4*-2/1-11/4*)
3/22--Ed Dunlop (8/11*-6/4*-7/2**)

101/121 winners (83.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
14--Richard Hannon (2/1-6/4-5/2-9/4-7/1**-7/4-5/2-6/5-11/10-13/8-7/2-11/4**-13/8-5/2)
6--Sir Michael Stoute (13/8-7/2**-6/4-5/1-3/1-9/4)
4--Charlie Appleby (3/1-5/2-2/1-11/4)
3--Henry Candy (15/8-5/1-4/1)
3--Mick Channon (11/8-9/4-9/2)
3--Roger Charlton (5/1-9/4-7/2)
3--Clive Cox (9/2-9/2**-Evs)
3--David Simcock (15/8-9/4-7/2)

*

Ffos Las (NH):

FFOS LAS NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ffos Las: 95
Favourite stats: 31 (32.6%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/11 (45.5%)

Trainers of winners at Ffos Las in 2013:
11--Peter Bowen (3/1**-3/1-7/1-11/4*-5/1-5/2-15/8-9/4*-4/7*-7/4*-9/4)
10--Rebecca Curtis (11/2-4/1-16/1-7/2-4/1-11/10*-5/2-3/1-15/8-6/1)
6--Evan Williams (7/1-7/2-9/4-20/1-5/2-9/4)
5--Jonjo O'Neill (9/2-7/2-3/1-5/1-13/8)
5--David Pipe (3/1-2/1-2/1**-5/1-7/1)
5--Nigel Twiston Davies (5/4*-7/1-4/1-14/1-4/1)

87/95 winners (91.6%) were sent off at odds of 8/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
8--Peter Bowen (11/4**-9/2-7/4-11/4-11/8-10/11-9/4-5/2)
8--Rebecca Curtis (11/4-4/9-10/11-7/4-7/4-2/1**-11/8-11/4)
8--Jonjo O'Neill (11/8-2/1-5/2-6/4-11/8-11/8-6/5-9/4)
4--David Pipe (9/4-9/4-15/8-7/2)
3--Philip Hobbs (11/8-11/4-5/4)
3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (9/4-3/1-7/4)
3--Evan Williams (7/2-15/8**9/4)

*************************************************************************

MONDAY 14/10:

Musselburgh:

MUSSELBURGH (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Musselburgh: 115
Favourite stats: 40 (34.8%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/12 (66.7%)

Leading trainers at Musselburgh in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):
10/57--Mark Johnston (2/1*-9/2-9/4*-11/4*-5/6*-1/2*-9/2-8/13*-5/2-16/1)
8/20--Philip Kirby (11/4-7/1-10/1-10/11*-9/4**-3/1*-12/5*-9/2)
8/31--David O'Meara (9/4*-3/1-11/8*-10/3-6/1-3/1-5/1-12/1)
8/44--Richard Fahey (7/2-7/4*-7/2-8/13*-Evs*-5/1****-11/4-11/2)
6/61--Keith Dalgleish (11/5-11/4-10/1-8/13*-10/3-25/1)
5/16--Michael Dods (4/1-6/4*-5/1-9/2*-11/4*)
5/87--Jim Goldie (20/1-10/1-16/1-9/4*-15/2)
4/17--David Barron (7/1-6/4*-3/1-7/4)

106/116 winners (91.4%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--Mark Johnston (5/2-6/5-5/2-9/4-2/1-5/2-15/8-7/2-3/1)
6--David Nicholls (4/1-9/4**-9/4-11/4-9/2-5/2)
5--Keith Dalgleish (2/1-2/1-Evs-11/8-6/5)
5--Jim Goldie (7/2**-4/1***-2/1-15/8-10/3**)
5--Bryan Smart (11/4-5/2-10/11-11/10-4/1**)
4--Richard Fahey (6/4-6/4-5/1-8/11)
4--Phil Kirby (9/5-9/4-5/1****-11/4)
4--David O'Meara (7/5-13/8-5/6-6/4)
3--Kevin Ryan (4/1-7/4-11/10)

*

Salisbury:

SALISBURY DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Salisbury: 97
Favourite stats: 37 (38.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 14/19 (73.7%)

Leading trainers at Salisbury in 2013:
21/76--Richard Hannon (2/1**-1/3*-15/8*-5/2**-4/5*-5/6*-6/1-9/2-3/10*-3/1*-6/1-2/5*-5/4*-4/5*-9/2-4/5*-3/1-8/11*-2/5*-7/1-5/2**)
5/5--Lady Cecil (6/4*-4/1-1/3*-11/8-8/11*)
4/15--Sir Michael Stoute (7/1-5/2**-5/1-7/2*)
4/28--Andrew Balding (3/1*-9/2-9/2-12/1)

87/97 winners (89.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
11--Richard Hannon (6/4-9/4**-4/6-7/4-11/10-7/4-5/4-3/1-4/11*-9/4-3/1)
5--Luca Cumani (9/4-11/4**-2/1-12/5-5/6)
3--Ralph Beckett (4/1***-9/4-5/2**)
3--Henry Candy (4/1***-5/2-3/1)
3--Clive Cox (9/4-11/8-11/4)
3--William Haggas (9/4-11/4**-10/11)
3--Amanda Perrett (7/2-11/4-9/2)
3--Sir Michael Stoute (2/1-Evs-1/2)

*

Windsor:

WINDSOR DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Windsor: 158
Favourite stats: 68 (43.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 15/31 (48.4%)

Leading trainers at Windsor in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):
21/90--Richard Hannon (6/1-11/4*-Evs*-1/10*-9/4-8/11*-3/1*-7/4*-4/6*-4/9*-3/1-3/1-5/1-5/4*-5/4*-6/4*-4/6*-1/16*-2/5*-2/1*-8/11*)
8/27--Andrew Balding (14/1-7/2*-14/1-10/1-16/1-5/2**-11/4*-8/1)
5/15--William Haggas (15/8*-1/2*-11/4*-6/1-13/8*)
5/18--Jeremy Noseda (4/1*-2/1-2/1*-5/4*-15/2)
5/19--John Gosden (16/1-1/2*-11/4-5/6*-5/1)
5/29--William Muir (5/2-8/1-5/1-9/2-9/4*)

139/159 winners (87.4%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
16--Richard Hannon (7/2***-8/11-7/2**-7/4-3/1-5/6-5/6-11/10-5/6-6/5-5/6-5/2**-5/6-4/6-5/4-11/10)
6--John Gosden (13/8-9/4-7/4-2/1-8/11-Evs)
5--Roger Charlton (6/4-5/4-8/13-7/4-11/10)
5--Sir Michael Stoute (2/1-7/4-6/4-7/4**-9/4**)
4--Andrew Balding (7/4-5/2**-9/4-3/1)
4--Hughie Morrison (6/4-3/1-7/2***-10/11)
4--Jeremy Noseda (9/4**-Evs-8/11-5/6)

Weekly Stat Pack: 1st to 7th October

1st to 7th October

Weekly Stat Pack: 1st to 7th October

The table for trainers relating to October winners from 2012 makes for interesting reading--the twenty handlers having been selected given their figuring in the top money winners sector this season at the time of writing:

17/63--Saeed Bin Suroor (27% strike rate)
17/84--John Gosden (20%)
12/70--William Haggas (17%)
7/42--Marco Botti (17%)
15/102--Mick Channon (15%)
7/48--Luca Cumani (15%)
4/29--Roger Charlton (14%)
24/164--Richard Hannon (13%)
6/46--Roger Varian (13%)
6/48--David Simcock (13%)
9/75--Kevin Ryan (12%)
6/49--Ralph Beckett (12%)
4/35--Sir Michael Stoute (11%)
15/153--Mark Johnston (10%)
7/70--Andrew Balding (10%)
5/52--Charlie Hills (10%)
12/127--Richard Fahey (9%)
2/32--Clive Cox (6%)
2/33--’Team Burke’ (6%)
2/43--David O’Meara (5%)

October opens its door to welcome back the ‘proper NH season’. That said, Jonjo O’Neill (63 winners via a 22% strike rate since the back-end of April) and Peter Bowen (47 gold medallists via 26% ratio) will argue the case that NH racing has been alive and kicking throughout the summer and I congratulate the trainers on their marvellous efforts during the relevant period.

Statistics for the Ascot and Fontwell cards on Saturday will be updated following meetings held on Friday at the two venues.

Day to day details for this week:

TUESDAY 01/10:

Ayr:

AYR DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ayr: 87
Favourite stats: 27 (31.6% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 4/6 (66.7%)

Leading trainers at Ayr in 2013:
14/72--Jim Goldie (8/1-13/2-10/3*-16/1-5/1-8/1-7/1-5/1-11/4-7/4-7/1-11/1-9/2-10/1)
7/71--Keith Dalgleish (4/1-13/8*-9/4*-8/1-18/1-33/1-14/1)
6/60--Richard Fahey (4/1-10/1-7/2-7/1-7/1-25/1)
4/11--John Quinn (8/1-11/4*-5/1**-5/2*)
4/19--'Team Burke' (6/5*-9/2-6/5-14/1)
4/24--Tim Easterby (5/2*-11/4**-7/4*-20/1)
4/31--Michael Dods (9/2-15/8*-7/2*-7/2)
4/31--Kevin Ryan (22/1-3/10*-11/8*-7/2)
3/7--Charlie Hills (5/1-11/2-7/4*)
3/34--Linda Perratt (8/1-7/2*-20/1)
3/36--Mark Johnston (2/1-1/2*-5/2*)

75/87 winners (86.2%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Michael Dods (2/1-9/4-3/1**-9/4-5/4-3/1-2/1-5/1**)
5--Richard Fahey (11/4-10/11-5/1**-10/3-4/1**)
4--Richard Guest (11/4**-3/1**5/2**-8/1**)
4--Mark Johnston (5/2-10/11-5/4-15/8)
3--'Team Burke' (85/40-13/8-7/2)
3--Mick Easterby (9/4-3/1**-5/1)
3--Linda Perratt (11/8-5/2-11/4)
3--Sir Mark Prescott (Evs-Evs-15/8)

*

Chepstow (NH):

CHEPSTOW NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Chepstow: 58
Favourite stats: 21 (36.2%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 4/9 (44.4%)

Leading trainers of winners at Chepstow in 2013:
3--Mark Gillard (9/4* twice & 11/4)
3--David Pipe (5/1**-5/1-5/1**)
3--Mark Sheppard (6/4*-9/2**-11/2)
3--Colin Tizzard (9/2-4/1-11/4*)

48/58 (82.7%) of the winners scored at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--Paul Nicholls (7/4-9/4-11/4-8/11-4/5)
3--Colin Tizzard (5/1 **-15/8-2/1)
2--Rebecca Curtis (11/8 & 11/4)
2--Philip Hobbs (6/4** & 2/1)
2--Bernard Llewellyn (9/4 & 3/1)
2--Jonjo O'Neill (5/1** & 6/4)
2--David Pipe (5/2 & 5/2)
2--Evan Williams (11/4 & 6/4)
2--Venetia Williams (10/11 & 5/6)

*

Sedgefield:

SEDGEFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of aces at Sedgefield: 70
Favourite stats: 30 (42.9%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 4/7 (57.1%)

Leading trainers of winners at Sedgefield in 2013:
11--Donald McCain (4/6*-6/5*-5/4*-3/1-8/1-6/5*-10/11*-1/5*-Evs*-7/4*-3/1)
3--Joanne Foster (3/1-7/2*-4/1)
3--Steve Gollings (9/2-11/8*-9/4**)
3--Phil Kirby (5/2*-1/4*-11/2)
3--Diane Sayer (8/1-4/1**-4/1)
3--Sue Smith (7/1-7/4*-11/2)
3--John Wade (2/1*-4/1-4/1)

66/70 winners (94.3%) were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--Phil Kirby (5/2-11/10-11/4-5/4-3/1**-11/4)
5--Brian Ellison (6/4-10/11-9/4-2/1**-5/2)
4--Chris Grant (9/4**-10/3-13/8*-15/8*)
4--Donald McCain (5/4-5/2-15/8-11/4)

2.20: Five-year-olds have secured five of the last 10 renewals of this opening event, whilst six of the last seven market leaders have won.

2.50: The three favourites thus far have secured a medal of each colour to date having claimed toteplacepot positions in the process.

3.25: Six-year-olds have won four of the six contests thus far via just nine representatives, yet on this occasion, vintage raiders are only conspicuous absence!
Four of the six market leaders have finished in the frame to date, statistics which include one (11/8) winner.

4.35: With no six-year-olds having been declared (vintage representatives have won two of the six renewals), five-year-olds might claim their third victory in the race. Five of the seven market leaders have finished in the frame thus far via six renewals. Two (7/4 and 7/2 joint) favourites have won to date.

5.10: Five of the nine market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two successful (2/1 & 4/1 joint) favourites via eight renewals.

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WEDNESDAY 02/10:

Kempton:

Charlie Appleby has enjoyed a great first season which his strike rate topping 19% at the time of writing. Having saddled eight of his thirty-five runners to winning effect here at Kempton, few can match (or better) his 23% ration at the Sunbury circuit.

*

Newcastle:

NEWCASTLE (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newcastle: 121
Favourite stats: 40 (33.1% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/15 (60.0%)

Trainers of winners at Newcastle in 2013:
10/58--Richard Fahey (8/1-11/4-16/1-14/1-10/11*-10/11*-15/8*-9/4*-5/2**-10/1)
7/40--Michael Dods (25/1-12/1-7/2**-2/1*-5/1-11/4**-7/4)
6/48--David O'Meara (5/1-Evs*-10/3-8/1-8/11*-25/1)
5/13--David Barron (3/1*-9/1-7/2-8/1-5/4*)
5/25--Alan Swinbank (5/2**-9/2-7/2-3/1*-16/1)
5/38--Brian Ellison (4/1-5/2*-15/2-4/6*-4/7*)
5/44--Tracy Waggott (9/1-12/1-6/1-4/1-7/1)

109/121 winners (90.1%) to date were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
8--David O'Meara (5/2-3/1-5/4-9/4-11/4-9/5-5/2**-9/2)
5--Alan Swinbank (6/4-7/2-6/5-3/1-5/2)
6--Richard Fahey (7/4-7/4-5/2-3/1-2/1-7/2)
4--Ruth Carr (7/2-5/2-4/1-3/1)
4--William Haggas (8/13-11/8-7/2-13/8)
4--Kevin Ryan (8/13-5/2**-7/2**-3/1)

*

Nottingham:

NOTTINGHAM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Nottingham: 95
Favourite stats: 36 (37.9%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 9/13 (69.2%)

Leading trainers at Nottingham in 2013:
4/5--Mrs K. Burke (9/4-7/2-10/3-11/4)
4/7--Luca Cumani (1/2*-5/6*-5/4*-5/1)
4/11--Ralph Beckett (11/1-11/10*-8/11*-3/1)
4/21--Mark Johnston (6/1-11/8*-11/8*-11/8)
3/10--Ed Dunlop (6/4*-5/1-3/1)
3/12--Saeed Bin Suroor (2/5*-Evs*-4/6*)
3/13--Marco Botti (8/1-12/1-2/1*)
3/19--Michael Appleby (4/1-11/4*-9/4*)
3/21--Roy Bowring (14/1-7/1-9/1)

86/95 winners (90.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Ralph Beckett (3/1-9/4-2/1-8/11)
3--Lady Cecil (5/2**-85/40-2/1)
3--John Gosden (3/1-1/2-5/2**)

2.00: Just two favourites have prevailed in the opening Nursery contest during the last decade.

3.35: Just two favourites have prevailed via the last thirteen renewals. It is entirely fitting that Sir Henry Cecil and Oh So Sharp are remembered in this contest, with the great filly having won on her racecourse debut here at Nottingham in 1984 under the care of the master.

4.10: Nine of the winners during the last decade have been returned at a top price of 13/2, statistics which include five successful market leaders.

5.00: Favourites have won six of the last ten contests.

*

Salisbury:

SALISBURY DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Salisbury: 89
Favourite stats: 33 (37.5%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 14/19 (73.7%)

Leading trainers at Salisbury in 2013:
20/66--Richard Hannon (2/1**-1/3*-15/8*-5/2**-4/5*-5/6*-6/1-9/2-3/10*-3/1*-6/1-2/5*-5/4*-4/5*-9/2-4/5*-3/1-8/11*-2/5*-7/1)
5/5--Lady Cecil (6/4*-4/1-1/3*-11/8-8/11*)

81/89 winners (91.0%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
10--Richard Hannon (6/4-9/4**-4/6-7/4-11/10-7/4-5/4-3/1-4/11*-9/4)
5--Luca Cumani (9/4-11/4**-2/1-12/5-5/6)
3--Ralph Beckett (4/1***-9/4-5/2**)
3--Henry Candy (4/1***-5/2-3/1)
3--William Haggas (9/4-11/4**-10/11)
3--Amanda Perrett (7/2-11/4-9/2)
3--Sir Michael Soute (2/1-Evs-1/2)

1.45 & 2.20 (two divisions): Six clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won via the last twenty renewals, whilst sixteen jollies have secured toteplacepot positions. Roger Charlton saddled the winners of both divisions last year and the trainer has declared his Mastercraftsman newcomer Skilled for the first of the two heats on this occasion.

2.50: Richard Hannon has won the race six times in the last sixteen years and the trainer is represented this time around by Piping Rock and Baby Bush. Nine favourites have scored during the last eleven years with the market leader coming into this year’s event on a seven timer.

3.20: Three-year-olds have won five of the seven renewals to date.

4.30: Favourites of one description or another have won five of the last seven contests.

5.00: Five of the last ten gold medallists have scored at 33/1--20/1--20/1--20/1--14/1--11/1 whilst eight of the last eleven market leaders have failed to trouble the judge. Horses carrying 9-3 or less have secured thirteen of the last fourteen contests.

5.30: The last eight winners have carried 9-3 or more.

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THURSDAY 03/10:

Bangor:

BANGOR NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Bangor: 61
Favourite stats: 26 (42.6% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/12 (66.7%)

Leading trainers at Bangor in 2013:
7--Donald McCain (Evs*-3/1-5/6*-11/8*-4/6*-4/9*-11/2)
4--Rebecca Curtis (2/1*-5/1-11/8*-1/2*)
4--Jonjo O'Neill (7/1-10/1-5/2-9/2)
3--Tony Coyle (8/1-2/1-5/2)
3--Miss Sally Duckett (5/4*-85/40-5/4*)
3--Nicky Henderson (5/4-15/2-4/6*)
3--Fergal O'Brien (11/8*-9/4*-5/1)
3--John O'Shea (5/1-11/4-16/1)
3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (15/2-7/1-11/4**)

58/61 winners (95.1%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
7--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-6/4-11/4-7/2-11/8-11/4-13/8)
6--Donald McCain (11/10-5/6-2/1-5/4-6/4-4/6)
3--Peter Bowen (7/2-2/1-2/1)
3--Nigel Twiston-Davies (7/2-5/2**-9/2)
2--Tim Vaughan (10/11 & 2/5)

Novice Chase contest due to be contested at 2.50: We still await the first successful favourite following four renewals.

Class 4 seventeen furlong handicap hurdle event scheduled for 3.20: Six-year-olds have secured four of the last five contests. Six of the last seven winners have carried a minimum burden of 10-13.

*

Warwick:

WARWICK (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Warwick: 65
Favourite stats: 27 (41.5%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 7/11 (63.6%)

Your first 30 days for just £1

Trainers of winners at Warwick (flat) in 2013:
4/7--Charlie Hills (11/4*-5/1-4/1-4/6*)
4/16--Richard Hannon (15/8-5/6*-6/4-Evs*)
3/8--Ian Williams (11/4*-7/4*-7/2*)
3/9--Rod Millman (9/2-15/2-7/2*)
3/17--Tony Carroll (6/1-25/1-15/2)

59/65 winners (90.8%) returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--Tony Carroll (11/8-6/4-9/4-7/4)
3--Richard Fahey (9/2**-3/1-7/2)
3--Richard Hannon (7/4-7/4-5/4)
3--Mark Johnston (5/2**-5/2**-5/6)
3--Saeed Bin Suroor (5/4-7/4-5/2**)
2--Luke Dace (11/4** & 5/2)
2--William Haggas (11/10 & 9/4)
2--Charlie Hills (4/5 & 6/4)

Nursery event due to be contested at 2.40: Six of the seven winners have carried a minimum weight of nine stones, whilst three of the last five gold medallists scored at 20/1-10/1-9/1.

Class 5 seven furlong juvenile maiden scheduled for 3.40: All seven winners have scored at a top price of 7/1, statistics which include two (9/4 & 8/11) successful market leaders.

*

Wolverhampton:

Two of the last seven runners saddled by George Baker have won (notwithstanding two silver medallists during the period) and boasting a 22% strike rate here at Wolverhampton during the last five years, George’s runners are worth a second look. Forty one winners have produced a level stake profit of twenty-two points during the study period.

*

Southwell:

Alan Bailey has been back among the big priced winners again of late and his LSP reading of 122 points at Southwell should ensure that you take nothing for granted. Alan boasts a 23% strike rate at the venue via twenty-one winners during the last five years) for good measure.

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FRIDAY 04/10:

Ascot:

ASCOT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ascot: 94
Favourite stats: 20 (21.3%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 1/3

Leading trainers at Ascot in 2013:
8/63--Mark Johnston (6/1-9/2-11/4*-12/1-10/11*-33/1-7/1-5/1)
8/78--Richard Hannon (7/1-7/2-5/2-9/2**-11/4-7/2-4/1-8/1)
5/29--Sir Michael Stoute (2/1*-15/2-7/2*-8/1-15/8*)
4/26--Aidan O'Brien (20/1-9/2*-15/2-5/4*)
4/10--Clive Brittain (8/1-6/1-7/2-25/1)
4/13--Roger Charlton (11/4-8/1-11/2-5/2*)
4/23--Roger Varian (11/4-25/1-6/4*-6/1)

72/94 winners (76.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--Richard Hannon (10/11-3/1-2/1-4/1-7/2-11/4-6/4-7/4-7/2)
6--William Haggas (11/8-10/1***-5/1-11/2-9/2-3/1)
5--Sir Michael Stoute (5/2-7/2-6/1-6/1-9/2)
4--Andrew Balding (10/1***-7/2-2/1-2/1)
4--Aidan O'Brien (5/2-5/2-9/4-10/11)
4--Roger Varian (9/4-7/1**-2/1-11/4**)

Class 2 six furlong handicap scheduled for 3.05: All nine winners during the last decade have carried 9-2 or less.

‘Gordon Carter’ event scheduled for 4.15: Just one winning favourite recorded via the last eleven renewals though ten scorers were sent off at odds of 9/1 or less. Three-year-olds have won three of the last four contests.

*

Fontwell:

FONTWELL NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Fontwell: 102
Favourite stats: 37 (36.3%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 15/23 (65.2%)

Leading trainers of winners at Fontwell in 2013:
6--Chris Gordon (12/1-4/1-3/1-9/2-14/1-7/2)
6--Gary Moore (4/5*-6/4*-12/1-7/1-4/5*-7/1)
4--Lawney Hill (9/2-11/4*-5/1-7/1)
4--Charlie Longsdon (5/2-4/1-4/6*-5/1)
4--Paul Nicholls (3/1-9/4-7/4*-2/1*)
4--Jamie Snowden (7/1-7/1-6/4-20/1)
3--Caroline Keevil (11/4**-9/5-16/1)

96/102 winners (94.1%) to date started at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
7--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1**-6/4-7/2-Evs-11/4-7/4-3/1)
4--Chris Gordon (5/4-7/2-7/2-7/4)
4--Charlie Longsdon (11/8-13/8-7/2-5/2)
4--Paul Nicholls (5/6-9/4**-7/4-1/4)
3--Kevin Bishop (9/2**-3/1-13/8)
3--David Pipe (3/1-5/2-9/5)
3--Brendan Powell (5/4-9/4-4/1)
3--Jamie Snowden (2/1**-2/1**-5/2)

Juvenile maiden hurdle event due to be contested at 2.10: Seven of the eight winners have been sent off at 15/2 or less, statistics which include two successful market leaders.

Class 4 novice chase contest scheduled for 2.40: Paul Nicholls has saddled both winners thus far, with the trainer only potentially represented by Easter Day this time around.

*

Hexham:

HEXHAM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Hexham: 57
Favourite stats: 23 (40.3% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/8 (75.0%)

Trainers of winners at Hexham in 2013:
8--Lucinda Russell (5/2*-13/8*-15/8-11/1-3/1-9/1-15/8*-6/1)
6--Sue Smith (5/1-11/4-10/3-4/1**-7/2-7/2)
3--Ferdy Murphy (5/1-6/1-15/8*)
3--Dianne Sayer (16/1-15/8*-7/2**)

52/57 winners (91.2%) were returned at odds of 11/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
6--Sue Smith (9/2-5/1**-11/4-2/1-11/2***-11/2)
4--Lucinda Russell (13/8-4/1**-5/2**-7/4)
2--Rose Dobbin (9/4 & 11/2***)
2--Phil Kirby (5/2** & 9/4)
2--Karen McLintock (8/13 & 2/1)
2--John O'Shea (9/4 & 5/4)
2--Andrew Parker (11/10 & 11/8)
2--Tim Vaughan (7/4 twice)

*

Wolverhampton:

During the last two days (at the time of writing), Keith Dalgleish has saddled a 25/1 winner backed up by five silver medallists at 16/1, 10/1, 13/2, 11/2, 4/1 via just eight runners. Keith’s positive record here at Wolverhampton should have been well digested by regular readers by now.

***************************************************************************

SATURDAY 05/10:

Ascot:

ASCOT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ascot: 94
Favourite stats: 20 (21.3%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 1/3

Leading trainers at Ascot in 2013:
8/63--Mark Johnston (6/1-9/2-11/4*-12/1-10/11*-33/1-7/1-5/1)
8/78--Richard Hannon (7/1-7/2-5/2-9/2**-11/4-7/2-4/1-8/1)
5/29--Sir Michael Stoute (2/1*-15/2-7/2*-8/1-15/8*)
4/26--Aidan O'Brien (20/1-9/2*-15/2-5/4*)
4/10--Clive Brittain (8/1-6/1-7/2-25/1)
4/13--Roger Charlton (11/4-8/1-11/2-5/2*)
4/23--Roger Varian (11/4-25/1-6/4*-6/1)

72/94 winners (76.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--Richard Hannon (10/11-3/1-2/1-4/1-7/2-11/4-6/4-7/4-7/2)
6--William Haggas (11/8-10/1***-5/1-11/2-9/2-3/1)
5--Sir Michael Stoute (5/2-7/2-6/1-6/1-9/2)
4--Andrew Balding (10/1***-7/2-2/1-2/1)
4--Aidan O'Brien (5/2-5/2-9/4-10/11)
4--Roger Varian (9/4-7/1**-2/1-11/4**)

Listed ‘Rous Stakes’ scheduled for 1.30: Bryan Smart had saddled three consecutive winners of this event until last year when his 25/1 runner Free Zone was beaten by a neck. Free Zone is one of two possible runners (Excelette is the other) for Bryan on this occasion.

‘Cornwallis’ event scheduled for 2.05: Favourites have won two of the last twelve renewals, whilst the biggest priced winner during the period was returned at 20/1 two years ago. Eight of the last ten gold medallists have been returned at 15/2 or less.

‘Cumberland Lodge’ scheduled for 2.40: Four-year-olds have won five of the last seven renewals, whilst vintage representatives have claimed eight of the last nine available toteplacepot positions. Favourites have secured eight of the last thirteen contests.

Seven furlong ‘Heritage Handicap’ due to be contested at 3.50: Four-year-olds have secured four of the last seven renewals with vintage representatives coming to the gig on a hat trick this time around.

Listed ‘October Stakes’ scheduled for 4.25: Favourites have won five of the last ten renewals, the biggest priced winners during the period being 16/1 gold medallists in each of the last two years.

*

Fontwell:

FONTWELL NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Fontwell: 102
Favourite stats: 37 (36.3%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 15/23 (65.2%)

Leading trainers of winners at Fontwell in 2013:
6--Chris Gordon (12/1-4/1-3/1-9/2-14/1-7/2)
6--Gary Moore (4/5*-6/4*-12/1-7/1-4/5*-7/1)
4--Lawney Hill (9/2-11/4*-5/1-7/1)
4--Charlie Longsdon (5/2-4/1-4/6*-5/1)
4--Paul Nicholls (3/1-9/4-7/4*-2/1*)
4--Jamie Snowden (7/1-7/1-6/4-20/1)
3--Caroline Keevil (11/4**-9/5-16/1)

96/102 winners (94.1%) to date started at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
7--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1**-6/4-7/2-Evs-11/4-7/4-3/1)
4--Chris Gordon (5/4-7/2-7/2-7/4)
4--Charlie Longsdon (11/8-13/8-7/2-5/2)
4--Paul Nicholls (5/6-9/4**-7/4-1/4)
3--Kevin Bishop (9/2**-3/1-13/8)
3--David Pipe (3/1-5/2-9/5)
3--Brendan Powell (5/4-9/4-4/1)
3--Jamie Snowden (2/1**-2/1**-5/2)

Two and a half mile novice hurdle event scheduled for 2.20: Six-year-olds have won five of the eight renewals to date, whilst just one favourite has prevailed during the period.

*

Newmarket:

NEWMARKET (ROWLEY MILE) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newmarket (Rowley Mile): 82
Favourite stats: 30 (36.6%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/6

Leading trainers of winners at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) in 2013:
8/58--Richard Hannon (8/11*-9/1-10/3-10/3--10/11*-12/1-16/1-7/4*)
4/14--Sir Henry Cecil (10/1-10/11*-8/1-5/1)
4/22--John Gosden (11/2-20/1-2/1*-15/8*)
4/42--Mark Johnston (6/1-11/4-4/5*-9/1)
3/7--Charlie Appleby (6/4*-7/2-9/1)
3/9--David Elsworth (6/1-5/2*-4/11*)
3/18--Sir Michael Stoute (4/1-11/4*-11/4*)
3/29--Andrew Balding (11/1-15/8*-7/1)

72/82 winners (87.8%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--Richard Hannon (4/1-7/2-11/4-11/4-5/2)
5--William Haggas (9/2**-5/1**-7/2**-5/2-5/4)
4--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/2-7/4-15/8)
4--Sir Michael Stoute (5/4-6/4-5/2-11/10)
3--Charlie Hills (9/2**-11/4-5/1**)
3--Mark Johnston (2/1**-7/2**--11/8**)

*

Redcar:

REDCAR DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Redcar: 97
Favourite stats: 37 (38.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 3/6 (50.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Redcar in 2013 (includes one dead heat):
10/45--David O'Meara (5/1-9/4*-4/1-16/1-6/1-11/4*-9/2-9/2-10/3-9/2)
4/13--John Quinn (7/2-3/1-7/4*-6/4*)
4/15--David Barron (11/4**-11/8*-9/2-15/8*)
4/64--Tim Easterby (6/1-5/1-10/3*-8/1)

92/98 (93.9%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--David O'Meara (15/8-15/8-9/4-2/1-11/4)
4--David Nicholls (15/8-7/2-9/2-5/2)
3--Michael Bell (4/1-2/1-9/4)
3--Brian Ellison (7/2-2/1-5/4)
3--David Lanigan (2/1-11/8-9/4)

‘Straight Mile Championship Final’ scheduled for 2.15: The last seven winners have carried weights of 9-1 or more. Seven of the last ten winners were returned at double figure prices, whilst Kiwi Bay has won two of the last three renewals, the Michael Dods raider having finished fourth as the beaten favourite twelve months ago.

Listed ‘Guisborough Stakes’ scheduled for 2.50: Saeed Bin Suroor has saddled three winners in the last nine years and the trainer held three options earlier in the week. Five-year-olds have won three of the last four contests, whilst four renewals have slipped by without a successful market leader being recorded.

Class 5 selling event scheduled for 4.00: Four-year-olds have secured four of the six renewals to date.

Class 5 ten furlong handicap scheduled for 4.35: Six of the last eight winners have been returned in double figures (28/1 winner two years ago), whilst the last eleven gold medallists were burned with a minimum weight of 8-12.

Five furlong mixed vintage handicap scheduled for 5.25: Four-year-olds have won four of the seven contests to date, whilst market leaders have won five renewals, boasting a level stake profit of twelve and a half points into the bargain.

*

Wolverhampton:

Gerard Butler is back among the winners and Gerard’s 24% strike rate via twenty-three winners here in the last five years have produced an LSP reading of forty-nine points.

***************************************************************************

SUNDAY 06/10:

Huntingdon:

HUNTINGDON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Huntingdon: 70
Favourite stats: 24 (34.3--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/11 (72.8%)

Trainers of winners at Huntingdon in 2013:
9--Nicky Henderson (4/9*-4/7*-11/10*-11/10*-3/1-15/8-15/8**-4/7*-2/1*)
3--Paul Nicholls (4/5*-3/1-4/9*)

62/70 (88.6%) winners were sent off at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--Philip Hobbs (5/2-4/1-11/4-13/8)
4--Jonjo O'Neill (3/1-10/3-7/2-5/2)
3--Venetia Williams (11/4-5/2-7/2)

*

Kelso:

KELSO NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Kelso: 51
Favourite stats: 16 (31.4%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/12 (41.7%)

Trainers of winners at Kelso in 2013:
5--Donald McCain (6/1-4/7*-4/1-8/13*-6/1)
4--Sue Smith (8/11*-16/1-Evs*-10/3)
3--Ferdy Murphy (5/2-12/1-9/1)
3--Nicky Richards (7/4-3/1-5/2)
3--Dianne Sayer (6/1-5/1-7/2)
3--John Wade (20/1-11/1-16/1)

45/51 winners to date have scored at odds of 11/1 or less (thirty-eight at a top price of 6/1).

Trainers of beaten favourites:
5--Donald McCain (Evs-1/4-11/8-15/8-2/1)
2--Nick Alexander (11/4** & 11/4)
2--James Ewart (4/5 & 4/1)
2--David Pipe (10/11 & 11/10)
2--Nicky Richards (4/5 & 7/4)
2--Pauline Robson (7/4 & 6/5)
2--Alan Swinbank (6/4 & 13/8)
2--John Wade (9/2*** & 7/2)

*

Uttoxeter:

UTTOXETER NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Uttoxeter: 117
Favourite stats: 31 (26.5%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/11 (54.5%)

Leading trainers at Uttoxeter in 2013:
6--David Pipe (6/1-7/1-3/1-16/1-10/3-16/1)
5--Peter Bowen (5/2-10/3*-4/1-11/4-8/11*)
5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (85/40-10/3-9/4*-7/2-22/1)
4--Jim Best (4/1-11/8*-1/2*-6/4*)
4--Charlie Longsdon (4/1*-3/1-4/7*-8/1)
4--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-11/4-28/1-3/1)
4--Sue Smith (14/1-11/8*-5/1-7/1)
4--Evan Williams (15/8*-11/2-7/2-5/2*)

102/117 winners (87.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
13--Jonjo O'Neill (2/1-Evs-6/4-5/4-7/2-5/2-6/5-6/4-6/4-11/4-13/8-2/1-5/4)
7--Donald McCain (3/1-13/8-5/2-2/1-9/4-5/2-5/4)
5--Tim Vaughan (2/1-9/4-7/4-11/8-6/5)
4--David Pipe (15/8-3/1-7/4-4/5)
3--Jim Best (11/8-11/8-1/2)
3--Tom George (9/2-7/2-2/1)
3--Peter Bowen (6/5-5/2-10/11)

*

MONDAY 07/10:

Pontefract:

PONTEFRACT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Pontefract: 95
Favourite stats: 32 (33.7%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/12 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Pontefract in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):
7/36--Mark Johnston (2/1*-15/2-3/1-10/11*-11/10*-11/10*-6/4*)
7/43--Richard Fahey (11/4-9/2*-17/2-13/8-8/1-6/1-7/1)
5/21--Paul Midgley (9/1-6/1-16/1-7/1-12/1)
4/9--Sir Michael Stoute (5/1-1/5*-7/2-11/8**)
3/8--David Barron (13/8*-10/3*-7/4*)
3/14--Mick Easterby (10/1-8/1-13/2)

89/96 winners (92.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
7--Richard Fahey (11/4-10/3-7/2-15/8-3/1-4/7-5/2)
5--Mark Johnston (7/4-5/2**-7/4-10/3-11/8)
4--Brian Ellison (10/3-3/1**7/2**-10/3**)
4--Luca Cumani (2/1-2/1-11/10-5/6)
3--Mick Easterby (3/1-5/2-2/1)

*

Windsor:

WINDSOR DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Windsor: 150
Favourite stats: 66 (44.0%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 15/31 (48.4%)

Leading trainers at Windsor in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):
21/85--Richard Hannon (6/1-11/4*-Evs*-1/10*-9/4-8/11*-3/1*-7/4*-4/6*-4/9*-3/1-3/1-5/1-5/4*-5/4*-6/4*-4/6*-1/16*-2/5*-2/1*-8/11*)
8/25--Andrew Balding (14/1-7/2*-14/1-10/1-16/1-5/2**-11/4*-8/1)
5/26--William Muir (5/2-8/1-5/1-9/2-9/4*)

132/151 winners (87.4%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
16--Richard Hannon (7/2***-8/11-7/2**-7/4-3/1-5/6-5/6-11/10-5/6-6/5-5/6-5/2**-5/6-4/6-5/4-11/10)
5--John Gosden (13/8-9/4-7/4-2/1-8/11)
5--Sir Michael Stoute (2/1-7/4-6/4-7/4**-9/4**)
4--Roger Charlton (6/4-5/4-8/13-7/4)
4--Hughie Morrison (6/4-3/1-7/2***-10/11)
4--Jeremy Noseda (9/4**-Evs-8/11-5/6)


Have a great week,
Mal Boyle

Weekly Stat Pack: 24th to 30th September

24th to 30th September

Weekly Stat Pack: 24th to 30th September

Newmarket’s Cambridgeshire meeting is upon us again and punters will be hoping for the type of results which occurred last year when the biggest priced winner was sent off at just 14/1 via twenty-two races during the course of the three days.

To completely understand those incredibly decent returns at the meeting, I should confirm that 140 horses were returned at 16/1 or more without a single winner amongst them.  Indeed, only fourteen of those one hundred and forty representatives finished in the frame.

8/22 favourites obliged (36.4%), whilst both odds on market leaders (8/13 & 4/6) at the meeting prevailed, the hot favourites having contested juvenile events.  19/22 (86.4%) started at odds of 10/1 or less, whilst William Haggas (7/2 twice) and Jeremy Noseda (9/4 & 9/2) were the only trainers to saddle more than one beaten favourite.

Positive returns in the trainer sector included John Gosden (winners at 7/2*-10/3-4/1-12/1), Mark Johnston (11/4 & 10/1) and Saeed Bin Suroor (5/2* & 14/1).  John Gosden secured a 252/1 treble on the opening day in 2012.

Don’t forget that you can find daily updated statistics when more than one meeting is staged during the course of a week. This week’s details are as follows:

Thursday: Perth
Friday: Newmarket:
Saturday: Newmarket & Haydock
Monday: Newton Abbot

Day-to-day details:

TUESDAY 24/09:

Beverley:

BEVERLEY DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Beverley: 137
Favourite stats: 51 (37.5%--includes joint and co favourites & 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 10/14 (71.4%)

Leading trainers of winners at Beverley in 2013 (includes one dead heat):
15/69--Mark Johnston (7/2*-4/6*-5/1-13/8*-7/4*-5/6*-5/2-12/1-7/2*-13/8*-4/1-13/2-11/10*-2/1*-8/13*)
11/38--David O'Meara (5/6*-10/1-5/2*-7/2-8/1-9/2-10/11*-7/4*-13/2-17/2-13/2)
9/40--Mick Easterby (15/8*-5/1-9/1-7/1-5/1-15/2-11/2-6/1-2/1)
7/20--Brian Ellison (40/1-11/1-4/1-5/4*-12/1-11/2-3/1**)
6/35--Kevin Ryan (9/2-8/1-2/1-6/1-15/8*-11/2)
6/55--Richard Fahey (15/8*-20/1-12/1-6/1-11/2-14/1)
6/72--Tim Easterby (14/1-14/1-9/4*-4/6*-10/3-3/1**)

126/138 (91.3%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
6--Mark Johnston (7/4-9/4**-11/4*-7/4-6/4-Evs)
5--Mick Easterby (7/2-9/4-9/2**-2/1-7/4)
3--Richard Fahey (10/11-5/2-11/4)
3--Steve Gollings (4/1-3/1-7/2)
3--Phil Kirby (6/5-13/8-9/4)
3--David O'Meara (9/4**-11/4-10/11)
3--Jason Tate (5/4-6/5-13/8)
3--Tracy Waggott (3/1-3/1-9/2**)

2.10: Favourites have secured three of the four contests to date, with only the 13/8 silver medallist letting the side down two years ago when additionally securing a toteplacepot position.

2.40: Four of the seven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions via six renewals, statistics which include three successful market leaders.

3.10: All four winners have carried 8-9 or less, whilst we still await the first successful market leader following four renewals thus far, whilst two of the favourites have secured toteplacepot positions.

3.40: With six of ten runners officially rated in three figures, this appears to be a really strong renewal of this event.  Seven favourites have won via fifteen renewals to date, whilst ten market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions in the process.

4.10: Only one of the last eighteen favourites (via sixteen renewals) has prevailed, whilst nine market leaders reached the frame during the study period.  The last eleven winners have carried a minimum burden of 8-12.

5.10 & 5.45 (Two divisions): Only one favourite has obliged via eight contests to date.  That said, seven gold medallists were returned at a top price of 17/2.  Tracy Waggott saddles Sinatramania in the finale having secured two of the last four renewals which is impressive, given that Tracy was not represented in the other two events.

*

Newton Abbot:

NEWTON ABBOT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newton Abbot: 109
Favourite stats: 42 (38.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 16/22 (72.7%)

Leading trainers at Newton Abbot in 2013:
12--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-3/1*-6/1-5/4*-4/1-2/1*-9/2-5/2*-6/4*-11/8*-9/2-9/4*)
8--Philip Hobbs (11/4**-12/1-11/1-15/2-11/1-4/11*-11/4*-10/1)
5--Martin Hill (8/1-5/1-9/1-16/1-11/4)
4--Jim Best (5/6*-4/6*-7/2-5/6*)
4--Paul Nicholls (1/2*-2/5*-9/4-12/1)

101/109 winners (92.7%) to date were returned at 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--Paul Nicholls (9/4-6/4-2/1**-2/7-Evs-5/2**-7/4-11/4-5/2**)
7--Peter Bowen (11/4-5/4-3/1**-11/10-2/1-3/1-3/1)
6--Jonjo O'Neill (5/2**-7/5-11/4-3/1-2/1-3/1)
4--Colin Tizzard (2/1-9/4-3/1**-6/4)
3--Philip Hobbs (4/1-4/1-15/8)
3--David Pipe (11/8-15/8-2/1)

*

Lingfield (A/W):

Jim Crowley is seemingly riding this all-weather track as well any anyone at present, having booted home twenty-two winners this year at a 1/5 strike rate.  Jim boasts an LSP reading of over sixty-eight points during the last five years at the venue for good measure.

****************************************************************

WEDNESDAY 25/09:

Goodwood:

GOODWOOD DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Goodwood: 114
Favourite stats: 37 (32.4%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 8/10 (80.0%)

Leading trainers at Goodwood in 2013:
16/103--Richard Hannon (5/1-1/4*-16/1-8/15*-7/2**-16/1-8/1-11/4-5/4*-5/1*-5/6*-6/1-4/1-11/4-13/2*-25/1)
6/12--William Haggas (15/8-5/1-14/1-12/1-2/1**-9/4)
6/34--Amanda Perrett (8/1-7/2*-5/2*-8/1-4/1*-9/2)
5/24--Sir Michael Stoute (6/4*-3/1-6/4*-4/1-11/1)
5/47--Mark Johnston (4/1**-7/1-9/4*-8/1-2/1)
3/7--James Fanshawe (3/1-7/1-7/2)
3/13--Brian Meehan (9/4*-2/1-11/4*)
3/22--Ed Dunlop (8/11*-6/4*-7/2**)

94/114 winners (82.4%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
14--Richard Hannon (2/1-6/4-5/2-9/4-7/1**-7/4-5/2-6/5-11/10-13/8-7/2-11/4**-13/8-5/2)
6--Sir Michael Stoute (13/8-7/2**-6/4-5/1-3/1-9/4)
4--Charlie Appleby (3/1-5/2-2/1-11/4)
3--Henry Candy (15/8-5/1-4/1)
3--Mick Channon (11/8-9/4-9/2)
3--Roger Charlton (5/1-9/4-7/2)
3--Clive Cox (9/2-9/2**-Evs)
3--David Simcock (15/8-9/4-7/2)

2.00: Epsom Derby and ’Arc’ winner Workforce made his winning debut in the inaugural running of this contest four years ago before the next gold medallist went on to lift Newmarket’s Group 2 ‘Tattersalls Millions’.  The last two winners have not lived up to that type of billing unfortunately.  All four favourites have finished in the frame, securing two gold, a silver and a bronze medal in the process.

2.30: Six of the nine favourites (via eight renewals) have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two winners.  The biggest priced winner to date was returned at 10/1, whilst Mark Johnston (saddles Double Bluff this time around) is the only trainer to have saddled two winners to date.

3.05: The seven gold medallists have carried 8-11 or more in the toteplacepot finale which isolates one horse down at the bottom of the handicap.  Four-year-olds have won five of the seven contests, whilst a 16/1 representative was beaten a head on one of the other occasions and another 16/1 raider finished third two years ago.  Six of the seven favourites have finished out with the washing thus far including a 10/11 market leader three years ago.

3.40: Four-year-olds have won seven of the last eleven renewals (including five of the last six) of this Listed event.  Saeed Bin Suroor has secured five of the last nine renewals and the trainer has offered Quick Wit the green light on this occasion.  Seven of the last thirteen favourites have prevailed, whilst the biggest priced winner during the last fifteen years was returned at just 10/1 (two years ago).

4.15: The last twelve winners have carried weights of 9-7 or less, whilst nine of the last thirteen favourites have reached the frame (five winners).  Amanda Perrett is responsible for two of the thirteen declarations having saddled three of the last nine winners.

4.50: Three-year-olds have won five of the last eleven contests, whilst favourites have secured four of the last eight renewals.

5.25: Although the biggest priced winner via ten renewals was just a 9/1 chance, the only favourite to oblige scored two years ago.  Seven of the last nine winners carried a maximum burden of 8-11.

*

Redcar:

REDCAR DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Redcar: 90
Favourite stats: 35 (38.9%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 3/6 (50.0%)

Leading trainers of winners at Redcar in 2013 (includes one dead heat):
10/44--David O'Meara (5/1-9/4*-4/1-16/1-6/1-11/4*-9/2-9/2-10/3-9/2)
4/13--John Quinn (7/2-3/1-7/4*-6/4*)
4/15--David Barron (11/4**-11/8*-9/2-15/8*)
4/62--Tim Easterby (6/1-5/1-10/3*-8/1)

86/91 (94.5%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--David O'Meara (15/8-15/8-9/4-2/1-11/4)
4--David Nicholls (15/8-7/2-9/2-5/2)
3--Michael Bell (4/1-2/1-9/4)
3--Brian Ellison (7/2-2/1-5/4)
3--David Lanigan (2/1-11/8-9/4)

*

Kempton:

David Lanigan’s only entry between the time of writing and Thursday was Masquerading who potentially contest the 8.00 event on the card.  David is going through something of a lean patch at present, though his 22% strike rate at this venue has been gained via twenty-one winners during the last five years, a ratio which has brought about an LSP reading of twenty-four points.

*

Perth:

PERTH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Perth: 91
Favourite stats: 24 (26.7%--includes joint and co favourites & Non-Runner)
Odds on ratio: 7/11 (63.6%)

Leading trainers at Perth in 2013:
11--Lucinda Russell (15/2-13/2-9/2**-13/2-3/1-7/1-3/1**-4/1-7/2-12/1-5/1)
9--Gordon Elliott (4/5*-4/1-20/1-2/1*-4/9*-2/9*-8/11*-2/1*-4/9*)
5--Lucy Normile (16/1-7/1-8/1-2/1-7/2)
4--Nick Alexander (12/1-22/1-10/1-2/1)
4--Peter Bowen (6/5*-6/5*-7/4**-11/4)
4--Donald McCain (5/2-15/8-3/1-1/3*)

84/91 winners (92.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
11--Lucinda Russell (7/2-3/1-5/2-5/4-9/4-7/2**-5/4-7/4-11/8-2/1-9/4)
7--Gordon Elliott (5/2-7/4**-11/8-9/4-Evs-13/5-4/5)
7--Donald McCain (9/4-7/4-15/8-7/5-11/10-11/8-2/1)
4--Peter Bowen (4/1-13/8-15/8-11/8)
4--Tom George (11/10-2/1-5/2-5/2)
3--Lisa Harrison (7/2-3/1-11/4)
3--Andrew Parker (3/1-5/2-9/4)

*************************************************************

THURSDAY 26/09:

Newmarket:

NEWMARKET (ROWLEY MILE) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newmarket (Rowley Mile): 60
Favourite stats: 22 (36.7%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/6

Trainers of winners at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) in 2013:
6/44--Richard Hannon (8/11*-9/1-10/3-10/3--10/11*-12/1)
4/14--Sir Henry Cecil (10/1-10/11*-8/1-5/1)
4/33--Mark Johnston (6/1-11/4-4/5*-9/1)
3/5--David Elsworth (6/1-5/2*-4/11*)
3/15--John Gosden (11/2-20/1-2/1*)
3/24--Andrew Balding (11/1-15/8*-7/1)

55/60 winners (91.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/2-7/4-15/8)
4--William Haggas (9/2**-5/1**-7/2**-5/2)
4--Richard Hannon (4/1-7/2-11/4-11/4)
3--Sir Michael Stoute (5/4-6/4-5/2)
2--Denis Coakley (5/1** & 7/2)
2--Luca Cumani (13/8-4/1**)
2--Tom Dascombe (15/8-9/2)
2--Charlie Hills (9/2** & 5/1**)
2--John Gosden (Evs & 10/3)

Listed (fillies & mares) event over twelve furlongs scheduled for 3.10: Three-year-olds have secured six of the last seven contests during which time, three clear market leaders and one joint favourite have obliged.

Group 3 Tattersall Stakes due to be contested at 3.40: Richard Hannon held two options for this event at the time of writing with the trainer having secured three of the last four renewals.

Listed (Rose Bowl) event scheduled for 4.15: Five-year-olds have secured six of the last ten renewals whilst five contests have slipped by without a successful market leader being recorded.

‘Layers and players’ have just about drawn level via eight renewals thus far in the Class 3 one mile handicap which is due to be contested at 4.50.  Three favourites have obliged whilst the other gold medallists have prevailed at 4/1-9/2-8/1-16/1-33/1.  Three-year-olds have landed four of the last seven events.  Six of the eight winners carried a maximum burden of 9-4 to victory.

Class 2 handicap for fillies over six furlongs scheduled for 5.25: Three and four-year-olds have (equally) shared all ten renewals during the last decade.  The last (even money) favourite to prevail was recorded back in 2006.  The last seven gold medallists carried 9-1 or less.

*

Pontefract:

PONTEFRACT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Pontefract: 88
Favourite stats: 28 (31.8%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/11 (54.5%)

Leading trainers at Pontefract in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):
7/41--Richard Fahey (11/4-9/2*-17/2-13/8-8/1-6/1-7/1)
6/34--Mark Johnston (2/1*-15/2-3/1-10/11*-11/10*-11/10*)
4/9--Sir Michael Stoute (5/1-1/5*-7/2-11/8**)
4/18--Paul Midgley (9/1-6/1-16/1-7/1)
3/8--David Barron (13/8*-10/3*-7/4*)
3/13--Mick Easterby (10/1-8/1-13/2)

82/89 winners (92.1%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
7--Richard Fahey (11/4-10/3-7/2-15/8-3/1-4/7-5/2)
5--Mark Johnston (7/4-5/2**-7/4-10/3-11/8)
4--Brian Ellison (10/3-3/1**7/2**-10/3**)
4--Luca Cumani (2/1-2/1-11/10-5/6)
3--Mick Easterby (3/1-5/2-2/1)

Juvenile maiden event over six furlongs scheduled for 2.20: Eleven of the last twelve winners were returned at odds of 7/1 or less, stats which include six successful market leaders. Thirteen of the seventeen favourites during the study period have claimed toteplacepot positions.
'Draw factor' (five furlongs)
2-3-9 (9 ran-soft)
9-2-5 (10 ran-good to firm)
12-1-2 (12 ran-good to firm)
6-4 (6 ran-good to firm)
11-3-9 (14 ran-good to firm)
4-12-10 (12 ran-good to firm)
2-8-13 (16 ran-good to firm)
3-4-9 (11-good to firm)
9-11-7 (11-good to firm)
9-5-6 (10 ran-good)
10-4-5 (10 ran-firm)
7-1-8 (11 ran-good to firm)
10-12-4 (11 ran-firm)
9-5-11 (10 ran-soft)
11-6-2 (10 ran-soft)
10-7-2 (14 ran-good to soft)
13-14-4 (15 ran-good to soft)

One mile Nursery event for fillies scheduled for 2.55: Five of the last six winners have carried weights of 8-11 or less, whilst three of the last fourteen favourites have prevailed. Seven of the fifteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.
'Draw factor' (eight furlongs)
6-4 (5 ran-soft)
2-6-3 (9 ran-good to firm)
3-6 (6 ran-good to firm)
5-1 (6 ran-good to firm)
7-8-1 (8 ran-good to firm)
8-7-2 (10 ran-good to firm)
9-12-5 (11 ran-good to firm)
4-1-11 (12 ran-good)
8-3-10 (11 ran-firm)
2-11-10 (14 ran-good to firm)
3-5 (6 ran-firm)
6-14-8-10 (17 ran-soft)
1-6-9 (13 ran-good to soft)
5-2-4-12 (16 ran-good)
4-6 (7 ran-good to firm)
3-11-4 (11 ran-good to firm)

Your first 30 days for just £1

Five furlong all aged handicap due to be contested at 3.30: Four-year-olds have won seven of the last twelve renewals, whilst the last five winners have carried a minimum burden of nine stones.  Four favourites have won since 1998, and though only nine of the seventeen market leaders secured toteplacepot positions during the study period, the record would have been half decent but for all three 9/1 co favourites having finished out with the washing back in 2002.
'Draw factor' (five furlongs):
3-6-2 (8 ran-soft)
2-3-1 (12 ran-good to firm)
8-4-1 (10 ran-good to firm)
11-4-2 (12 ran-good to firm)
5-4-2 (13 ran-good to firm)
15-14-8-9 (16 ran-good to firm)
5-14-4 (15 ran-good to firm)
2-4-17 (15 ran-good)
4-2-3-6 (16 ran-firm)
18-15-5-17 (16 ran-good to firm)
1-3-7-14 (17 ran-firm)
13-15-16 (15 ran-soft)
16-6-14-17 (16 ran-good to soft)
14-10-16-15 (18 ran-good)
5-2-7-3 (18 ran-good to firm)
15-4-17-12 (17 ran-good to firm)

Class 2 ten furlong handicap scheduled for 4.05: Mark Johnston held three options at the time of writing in a race in which Mark has won the last two contests when represented.  Four clear market leaders and two joint favourites have won during the last sixteen years, whilst eleven of the eighteen jollies have finished in the frame in the process.

One mile juvenile maiden scheduled for 4.40: Nine of the last twelve renewals have gone the way of southern raiders.  Eight favourites have won during the study period, whilst thirteen of the recent scorers were returned at odds of 4/1 or less.  Fourteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions via sixteen representatives.
'Draw factor' (eight furlongs)
2-4-3 (10 ran-soft)
6-8-2 (8 ran-good to firm)
3-1 (6 ran-good to firm)
2-6 (6 ran-good to firm))
5-8-4 (8 ran-good to firm)
7-2-9 (10 ran-good to firm)
10-5-7 (11 ran-good to firm)
11-2-8 (11 ran-good)
1-9-2 (8 ran-firm)
4-5-6 (9 ran-good to firm)
2 (4 ran-firm)
4 (4 ran-soft)
2-6-13 (12 ran-good to soft)
8-10-4 (15 ran-good)
2-5-9 (9 ran-good to firm)
6-9-12 (13 ran-good to firm)

*

Wolverhampton:

With twelve of his last eighteen runners have finished ‘in the three’ (statistics which include four winners) at the time of writing, Ed Dunlop is slowly turning his season around.  Ed boasts a strike rate here of 1/5 via thirty-seven winners during the last five years which have produced black figures from a ’level stake’ perspective.

*

Perth:

PERTH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Perth: 91
Favourite stats: 24 (26.7%--includes joint and co favourites & Non-Runner)
Odds on ratio: 7/11 (63.6%)

Leading trainers at Perth in 2013:
11--Lucinda Russell (15/2-13/2-9/2**-13/2-3/1-7/1-3/1**-4/1-7/2-12/1-5/1)
9--Gordon Elliott (4/5*-4/1-20/1-2/1*-4/9*-2/9*-8/11*-2/1*-4/9*)
5--Lucy Normile (16/1-7/1-8/1-2/1-7/2)
4--Nick Alexander (12/1-22/1-10/1-2/1)
4--Peter Bowen (6/5*-6/5*-7/4**-11/4)
4--Donald McCain (5/2-15/8-3/1-1/3*)

84/91 winners (92.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
11--Lucinda Russell (7/2-3/1-5/2-5/4-9/4-7/2**-5/4-7/4-11/8-2/1-9/4)
7--Gordon Elliott (5/2-7/4**-11/8-9/4-Evs-13/5-4/5)
7--Donald McCain (9/4-7/4-15/8-7/5-11/10-11/8-2/1)
4--Peter Bowen (4/1-13/8-15/8-11/8)
4--Tom George (11/10-2/1-5/2-5/2)
3--Lisa Harrison (7/2-3/1-11/4)
3--Andrew Parker (3/1-5/2-9/4)

*************************************************************

FRIDAY 27/09:

Haydock:

HAYDOCK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Haydock: 136
Favourite stats: 45 (33.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/19 (52.6%)

Leading trainers at Haydock in 2013 (includes one dead heat):
8/38--David O'Meara (6/1-6/1-5/2*-3/1-5/2-5/2*-11/8*-4/1*)
7/25--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-5/6*-3/1*-8/1-4/1-5/4*-8/15*)
6/36--Kevin Ryan (9/4-5/1-12/1-7/2-4/1-9/2)
6/47--Tom Dascombe (5/2*-13/8*-6/1-3/1-8/1-7/2)
6/56--Mark Johnston (12/1-13/8*-25/1-8/1-10/11*-11/8*)
5/18--Roger Varian (9/2-15/8*-13/8*-13/8*-9/2)
5/28--'Team Burke' (11/2-9/2-5/2*-6/1-6/5*)
4/10--John Gosden (4/6*-7/4*-7/4-8/13*)
4/13--William Haggas (9/2-15/8-9/2*-7/1)
4/18--Andrew Balding (2/1-15/8*-4/9*-11/4)

124/137 winners (90.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Sir Michael Stoute (6/5-7/2-1/3-11/10-Evs-4/9-11/8-4/7)
6--David O'Meara (5/4-11/4-11/4-9/2***-11/4-6/4)
5--William Haggas (7/2***-4/1-9/4-13/8-11/4)
5--Richard Hannon (15/8-2/1-10/3-10/11-5/6)
4--Ruth Carr (15/8-7/4-5/2-3/1**)
4--Tom Dascombe (4/9-5/2-15/8-11/4)
4--Alan Jarvis (7/2-2/1-11/10-5/4)

*

Newmarket:

NEWMARKET (ROWLEY MILE) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newmarket (Rowley Mile): 60
Favourite stats: 22 (36.7%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/6

Trainers of winners at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) in 2013:
6/44--Richard Hannon (8/11*-9/1-10/3-10/3--10/11*-12/1)
4/14--Sir Henry Cecil (10/1-10/11*-8/1-5/1)
4/33--Mark Johnston (6/1-11/4-4/5*-9/1)
3/5--David Elsworth (6/1-5/2*-4/11*)
3/15--John Gosden (11/2-20/1-2/1*)
3/24--Andrew Balding (11/1-15/8*-7/1)

55/60 winners (91.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/2-7/4-15/8)
4--William Haggas (9/2**-5/1**-7/2**-5/2)
4--Richard Hannon (4/1-7/2-11/4-11/4)
3--Sir Michael Stoute (5/4-6/4-5/2)
2--Denis Coakley (5/1** & 7/2)
2--Luca Cumani (13/8-4/1**)
2--Tom Dascombe (15/8-9/2)
2--Charlie Hills (9/2** & 5/1**)
2--John Gosden (Evs & 10/3)

Group 3 Oh So Sharp Stakes scheduled for 1.40: Three of the last nine winners were returned in double figures (two at 25/1) whereby any notion of a win investment should be treated with caution.  Three clear market leaders and two joint favourites have won during the last sixteen years, whilst eleven of the eighteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.

Group 2 Joel Stakes scheduled for 2.40: Three-year-olds have won eight of the last fifteen renewals of this Group 3 contest, though four-year-olds have won four of the last five contests.  Three clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won during the last sixteen years, though just two of the other thirteen market leaders managed to secure toteplacepot positions.

Group 1 Fillies Mile due to be contested at 3.15:  Seven of the last sixteen favourites have scored, whilst twelve market leaders secured toteplacepot positions in the process.  The last three favourite have obliged, all in the blue colours of Godolphin.

Seven furlong maiden event scheduled for 3.50: Eleven of the last twelve winners have scored at odds of 10/1 or less, stats which include five successful market leaders.  Sir Michael Stoute has saddled three winners during the twelve years and Michael held two options at the five-day stage.  Eleven of the last fifteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions.

Listed Godolphin Stakes scheduled for 4.25: Three and four-year-olds have (equally) shared eight of the last nine renewals.  Six of the last thirteen renewals have fallen the way of the favourites in one form or another.  Godolphin were double-handed at the time of writing in their own race which they have secured twice in the last four years.

Ten furlong ‘Challenge Whip’ due to be contested at 5.30: Three-year-olds have won six of the last seven renewals during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at 6/1.  Four of the last eight contests have gone to favourites.

*

Wolverhampton:

Ten of the last thirty-one runners saddled by Roger Varian have won at the time of writing and with the trainer boasting a strike rate of 34% at this venue in recent years, Roger’s LSP reading of twenty-three points adds plenty of interest when the trainer is represented at Dunstall Park.

*

Worcester:

WORCESTER DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Worcester: 127
Favourite stats: 49 (38.6%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/17 (58.8%)

Leading trainers at Worcester in 2013:
14--Jonjo O'Neill (9/1-10/11*-9/2-4/1-6/5*-5/1-13/8*-5/4*-4/9*-7/2-6/5*-5/2*-5/4*-11/4)
7--Peter Bowen (3/1*-13/8*-20/1-5/2*-5/4*-2/1-13/8*)
5--Rebecca Curtis (3/1*-8/13*-2/5*-4/6*-2/1)
5--Donald McCain (13/8*-4/1-8/1-9/4-11/10*)
4--Paul Nicholls (11/8*-11/4-5/2-2/5*)
4--Fergal O'Brien (5/1-7/4*-7/1-3/1*)
4--David Pipe (3/1-4/1-Evs*-11/8*)

113/127 winners (89.0%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
14--Jonjo O'Neill (6/1**-7/2-4/1**-6/4-7/4-3/1-15/8-7/4-7/2**-7/2**-15/8-13/8-5/2-3/10*)
5--David Pipe (2/1-15/8-2/1**-Evs-6/5)
5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (4/1-3/1-7/2-11/10-7/4)
4--Peter Bowen (5/2-7/2**-5/4-9/4)
4--Charlie Longsdon (15/8-7/4-7/4**-6/4)
3--Philip Hobbs (10/11-Evs-6/4)
3--Donald McCain (5/4-7/4**-11/10)
3--Paul Nicholls (8/11-10/11-5/4)

*****************************************************************

SATURDAY 28/09:

Chester:

CHESTER DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Chester: 97
Favourite stats: 34 (35.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 3/5 (60.0%)

Leading trainers at Chester in 2013:
9/56--Mark Johnston (2/1*-9/1-6/4*-9/2-9/2-5/1-5/6*-9/4*-Evs*)
9/66--Richard Fahey (12/1-4/1-11/4*-11/2-5/2-7/4*-11/4-9/2-15/8*)
4/15--Paul Green (4/1-8/1-13/2-11/4*)
4/34--Tom Dascombe (7/1-13/8*-9/2**-4/1)

95/97 winners (97.9%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
10--Mark Johnston (10/3-7/4-9/4-5/2-10/11-4/1****-5/2-9/4-7/2-7/2)
7--Richard Fahey (3/1-11/8-9/4-Evs-3/1**-3/1**-5/2)
5--Andrew Balding (2/1-2/1-9/4-4/1-5/4)
5--Tom Dascombe (3/1-Evs-3/1**-5/4-9/4)
4--Brain Ellison (3/1-4/1****-5/2**-5/2)
3--Richard Hannon (2/1-6/5-3/1)
3--Charlie Hills (10/3-5/4-11/8)
3--Sir Michael Stoute (15/8-3/1-6/4)
3--Ian Williams (7/2-3/1-2/1)

Haydock:

HAYDOCK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Haydock: 136
Favourite stats: 45 (33.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/19 (52.6%)

Leading trainers at Haydock in 2013 (includes one dead heat):
8/38--David O'Meara (6/1-6/1-5/2*-3/1-5/2-5/2*-11/8*-4/1*)
7/25--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1-5/6*-3/1*-8/1-4/1-5/4*-8/15*)
6/36--Kevin Ryan (9/4-5/1-12/1-7/2-4/1-9/2)
6/47--Tom Dascombe (5/2*-13/8*-6/1-3/1-8/1-7/2)
6/56--Mark Johnston (12/1-13/8*-25/1-8/1-10/11*-11/8*)
5/18--Roger Varian (9/2-15/8*-13/8*-13/8*-9/2)
5/28--'Team Burke' (11/2-9/2-5/2*-6/1-6/5*)
4/10--John Gosden (4/6*-7/4*-7/4-8/13*)
4/13--William Haggas (9/2-15/8-9/2*-7/1)
4/18--Andrew Balding (2/1-15/8*-4/9*-11/4)

124/137 winners (90.5%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Sir Michael Stoute (6/5-7/2-1/3-11/10-Evs-4/9-11/8-4/7)
6--David O'Meara (5/4-11/4-11/4-9/2***-11/4-6/4)
5--William Haggas (7/2***-4/1-9/4-13/8-11/4)
5--Richard Hannon (15/8-2/1-10/3-10/11-5/6)
4--Ruth Carr (15/8-7/4-5/2-3/1**)
4--Tom Dascombe (4/9-5/2-15/8-11/4)
4--Alan Jarvis (7/2-2/1-11/10-5/4)

*

Newmarket:

NEWMARKET (ROWLEY MILE) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newmarket (Rowley Mile): 60
Favourite stats: 22 (36.7%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 6/6

Trainers of winners at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) in 2013:
6/44--Richard Hannon (8/11*-9/1-10/3-10/3--10/11*-12/1)
4/14--Sir Henry Cecil (10/1-10/11*-8/1-5/1)
4/33--Mark Johnston (6/1-11/4-4/5*-9/1)
3/5--David Elsworth (6/1-5/2*-4/11*)
3/15--John Gosden (11/2-20/1-2/1*)
3/24--Andrew Balding (11/1-15/8*-7/1)

55/60 winners (91.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:
4--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/2-7/4-15/8)
4--William Haggas (9/2**-5/1**-7/2**-5/2)
4--Richard Hannon (4/1-7/2-11/4-11/4)
3--Sir Michael Stoute (5/4-6/4-5/2)
2--Denis Coakley (5/1** & 7/2)
2--Luca Cumani (13/8-4/1**)
2--Tom Dascombe (15/8-9/2)
2--Charlie Hills (9/2** & 5/1**)
2--John Gosden (Evs & 10/3)

‘Royal Lodge’ event scheduled for 2.00: Aidan O’Brien has won this race five times in the last fourteen years and the trainer held just one entry (Kingfisher) for this Group 2 contest earlier in the week. Four favourites have won during the last sixteen years, whilst eight of the twenty market leaders reached the frame during the period.  Mark Johnston has saddled two of the last five gold medallists and Mark’s lone entry earlier in the week was his Dynaformer colt SOMEWHAT was posted an emphatic four and a half-length victory at Newbury last time out.

Group 1 Cheveley Park Stakes scheduled for 2.35: Five clear market leaders and one joint favourite have prevailed during the study period, whilst nine of the seventeen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions in the process.  The last seven winners have scored at a top price of 4/1.

One mile Group 1 ’Sun Chariot’ event scheduled for 3.10: Three-year-olds have won eight of the last thirteen renewals of the ‘Sun Chariot’, whilst three of the last twelve favourites have secured this valuable prize.  Seven market leaders claimed toteplacepot positions in the process.  The English trained winner was recorded back in 2007.

Cambridgeshire Handicap scheduled for 3.50: Nine of the last ten winners of the ‘Cambridgeshire’ have carried a maximum burden of 9-3, whilst three favourites have won the race in the last sixteen years which is a reasonable record given the competitive nature of this event.  Seven of the twenty-one market leaders have finished in the frame during the study period.  Five of the first seven horses home two years ago were drawn twenty or higher, whilst last year’s frame was filled from horses drawn 21-2-7-12 (33 ran).  The fifth horse home emerged from stall seventeen for good measure.

Seven furlong Nursery contest scheduled for 4.25: Ten of the last thirteen winners of this nursery event have carried weights of 9-0 or less, whilst four clear market leaders and one joint favourite have prevailed during the last sixteen years.  Ten of the twenty jollies have snared toteplacepot positions.

Class 2 all aged seven furlong handicap scheduled for 5.00: Three-year-olds have won four of the last six renewals, albeit four-year-olds had previously held the call during the last decade or so.  Favourites have a moderate record in the potential toteplacepot finale, because although four of the last seventeen market leaders have won, only two of the other fifteen market leaders have finished in the frame.

*

Ripon:

RIPON DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ripon: 102
Favourite stats: 34 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 4/11 (36.4%)

Leading trainers of winners at Ripon in 2013 (includes one dead-heat):
12/50--Richard Fahey (13/8-9/4*-5/4*-5/2-5/2-3/1*-2/5*-9/2*-1/20*-3/1-Evs*-11/4*)
11/50--David O'Meara (6/4*-4/1**-5/1-9/4*-9/2-9/4-3/1-8/1-14/1-9/4**-3/1)
7/24--David Barron (2/1*-16/1-5/2-7/2-11/8*-7/1-7/2)
5/42--Mark Johnston (17/2-9/4-7/4*-11/4-15/8*)
4/18--Michael Dods (6/1-4/1-4/1-10/1)
4/36--Kevin Ryan (5/2-15/8*-16/1-6/4*)

92/103 winners (89.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
7--David O'Meara (7/2-7/2**-5/2**-7/2**-2/1-7/2**-5/2**)
5--Richard Fahey (5/2-4/1**-15/8-5/2**-4/5)
4--William Haggas (11/8-11/8-2/1-5/2)
4--Mark Johnston (11/4-11/8-11/10-10/11)
3--David Barron (9/4-8/11-6/4)
3--'Team Burke' (5/2-5/2-Evs)
3--Mick Easterby (7/2-11/2-4/1**)
3--Tim Easterby (15/8**-11/4*-11/4)
3--Kevin Ryan (5/4-6/1-2/1)

*

Wolverhampton:

Mickael Barzalona has impressed many shrewd judges in this country and his record of 7/31 here at Wolverhampton is decent enough.  That record has been improved at Wolverhampton this year however, with Mickael having ridden five winners from just thirteen rides (3/6 in the juvenile sector).

*

Market Rasen:

MARKET RASEN NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Market Rasen: 97
Favourite stats: 35 (36.1%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 10/17 (58.8%)

Leading trainers of winners at Market Rasen in 2013:
6--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1**-15/2-11/10*-5/2*-2/1*-8/11*)
5--Charlie Longsdon (6/1-9/2-7/2-5/1-2/1*)
4--Peter Bowen (11/2-3/1*-5/6*-3/1)
4--John Ferguson (1/2*-9/2**-8/1-8/13*)
4--Fergal O'Brien (5/1-7/4*-9/1-16/1)
4--Lucy Wadham (9/4**-9/1-7/2-13/8*)
3--Jennie Candlish (2/1*-6/4-5/4)
3--Brian Ellison (14/1-6/1-10/3*)
3--Steve Gollings (3/1-7/2-2/1*)

88/97 winners (90.7%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
12--Jonjo O'Neill (7/2**-9/2**11/4-9/4-5/4-5/2-9/2**-5/1**-9/4-5/4-2/1**-15/8**)
5--Donald McCain (10/11-2/1-3/1-13/8-11/8)
4--Jennie Candlish (2/1-11/4-7/2-5/4)
4--John Ferguson (4/1**-11/10-11/4-7/4)
4--Charlie Longsdon (9/4**-3/10*-1/6-15/8**)
3--Tony Coyle (9/2**-2/1-2/1)
3--Nicky Henderson (5/1-13/8-7/2)
3--Dianne Sayer (11/10-4/5-11/4)

**************************************************************

SUNDAY 29/09:

Epsom:

EPSOM DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Epsom: 69
Favourite stats: 16 (23.2% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 5/10 (50.0%)

Leading trainers at Epsom in 2013:
6/24--Richard Hannon (3/1**-13/8-13/8*-11/8*-2/9*-4/1)
4/8--David Simcock (12/1-7/4*-5/1-3/1)
4/15--Richard Fahey (10/1-25/1-9/2-5/1)
4/25--Mark Johnston (3/1-7/4-7/2-7/2)
4/25--Andrew Balding (3/1*-11/4-7/2-10/11*)

61/69 (88.4%) of the winners have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
7--Richard Hannon (3/1**-5/4-11/4-6/5-15/8-5/6-3/1)
6--Mark Johnston (6/5-1/2-5/2-10/3-7/4-3/1)
3--Andrew Balding (5/2-2/5-11/4**)
3--Clive Cox (4/1-11/4-11/4)
3--Gary Moore (5/6-Evs-5/2)

*

Musselburgh:

MUSSELBURGH (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Musselburgh: 107
Favourite stats: 38 (35.5%--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 8/11 (72.7%)

Leading trainers at Musselburgh in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):
10/53--Mark Johnston (2/1*-9/2-9/4*-11/4*-5/6*-1/2*-9/2-8/13*-5/2-16/1)
8/41--Richard Fahey (7/2-7/4*-7/2-8/13*-Evs*-5/1****-11/4-11/2)
7/19--Philip Kirby (11/4-7/1-10/1-10/11*-9/4**-3/1*-12/5*)
7/29--David O'Meara (9/4*-3/1-11/8*-10/3-6/1-3/1-5/1)
5/13--Michael Dods (4/1-6/4*-5/1-9/2*-11/4*)
5/56--Keith Dalgleish (11/5-11/4-10/1-8/13*-10/3)
5/81--Jim Goldie (20/1-10/1-16/1-9/4*-15/2)
4/16--David Barron (7/1-6/4*-3/1-7/4)

99/108 winners (91.7%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--Mark Johnston (5/2-6/5-5/2-9/4-2/1-5/2-15/8-7/2-3/1)
5--Keith Dalgleish (2/1-2/1-Evs-11/8-6/5)
5--Jim Goldie (7/2**-4/1***-2/1-15/8-10/3**)
5--David Nicholls (4/1-9/4**-9/4-11/4-9/2)
5--Bryan Smart (11/4-5/2-10/11-11/10-4/1**)
4--Phil Kirby (9/5-9/4-5/1****-11/4)
4--David O'Meara (7/5-13/8-5/6-6/4)

*

MONDAY 30/09:

Bath:

BATH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Bath 128
Favourite stats: 48 (37.8%--includes joint and co favourites & 1 Non-runner)
Odds on ratio: 15/22 (68.2%)

Leading trainers at Bath in 2013:
7/26--Richard Hannon (2/1*-10/11*-11/10*-4/11*-7/2-5/2*-7/1)
7/31--Jo Hughes (6/1-7/4**-5/1-20/1-4/1-15/8*-2/1*)
6/12--Sir Mark Prescott (5/6*-10/11*-1/4*-4/1-3/10*-1/2*)
5/8--William Haggas (7/2-7/2-7/4*-Evs*-4/11*)
5/11--Mark Johnston (7/4-6/4-5/1-2/1*-4/1)
5/19--Clive Cox (16/1-7/4*-10/1-4/1-7/1)
5/43--Mick Channon (6/1-9/1-5/1-6/4*-5/2*)
4/14--William Muir (5/4*-4/1-5/1-11/4)
4/20--Andrew Hollinshead (16/1-7/4*-10/1-8/1)

118/128 winners (92.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
5--Sir Mark Prescott (11/10-4/6-1/2-5/6-5/2)
4--Andrew Balding (5/1****-7/4**-5/4-5/4)
4--Mick Channon (4/1**-3/1**-6/4-11/8)
4--Jo Hughes (7/2-9/4-10/3**-5/4)
3--Milton Bradley (9/2**-7/4-7/2)
3--Tony Carroll (10/3-2/1-5/2)
3--David Evans (4/1**-6/4-5/1****)
3--Jonathan Geake (9/4-6/4-6/4)

*

Hamilton:

HAMILTON DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Hamilton: 116
Favourite stats: 41 (35.6%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 Non runner)
Odds on ratio: 5/15 (33.3%)

Leading trainers at Hamilton in 2013:
15/55--Mark Johnston (11/4-13/8*-4/1-25/1-6/5*-6/1-Evs*-Evs*-3/10*-5/2*-4/1***-7/4*-3/1-9/2-1/7*)
14/78--Keith Dalgleish (12/1-3/1-3/1*-5/1-18/1-11/4-2/1-5/1-Evs*-2/1*-13/8*-14/1-6/5*-7/2**)
8/19--David Nicholls (Evs*-11/1-11/4-4/1-5/2-7/1-22/1-11/4)
8/30--Kevin Ryan (7/2-8/1-5/2-11/4*-Evs*-5/4*-14/5*-5/2)
5/29--Alan Swinbank (25/1-9/2-7/1-6/4*-6/4*)
5/43--Alan Berry (14/1-12/1-10/1-9/1-8/1)
4/20--Ann Duffield (7/2-7/1-7/1-6/1)
4/26--Eric Alston (6/5*-10/1-9/2- 6/1)
4/44--Richard Fahey (7/2-6/4*-9/4*-15/2)

106/116 (91.4%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
8--Richard Fahey (11/8-13/8-9/4-10/3-11/2**-5/4-3/1-5/6)
7--Keith Dalgleish (4/9-15/8-85/40-5/2**-5/4-11/4-8/13)
7--Mark Johnston (5/2-3/1-11/8-3/1-6/4-5/6-2/1)
5--Eric Alston (9/4-4/1**-7/2--5/2**-4/1***)
5--Jim Goldie (7/2-7/2**-3/1**-5/2-4/1)
4--David Barron (11/10-4/1***-9/4-6/4)

*

Newton Abbot:

NEWTON ABBOT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newton Abbot: 109
Favourite stats: 42 (38.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 16/22 (72.7%)

Leading trainers at Newton Abbot in 2013:
12--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-3/1*-6/1-5/4*-4/1-2/1*-9/2-5/2*-6/4*-11/8*-9/2-9/4*)
8--Philip Hobbs (11/4**-12/1-11/1-15/2-11/1-4/11*-11/4*-10/1)
5--Martin Hill (8/1-5/1-9/1-16/1-11/4)
4--Jim Best (5/6*-4/6*-7/2-5/6*)
4--Paul Nicholls (1/2*-2/5*-9/4-12/1)

101/109 winners (92.7%) to date were returned at 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
9--Paul Nicholls (9/4-6/4-2/1**-2/7-Evs-5/2**-7/4-11/4-5/2**)
7--Peter Bowen (11/4-5/4-3/1**-11/10-2/1-3/1-3/1)
6--Jonjo O'Neill (5/2**-7/5-11/4-3/1-2/1-3/1)
4--Colin Tizzard (2/1-9/4-3/1**-6/4)
3--Philip Hobbs (4/1-4/1-15/8)
3--David Pipe (11/8-15/8-2/1)

Weekly Stat Pack: 17th to 23rd September

17th to 23rd September

Weekly Stat Pack: 17th to 23rd September

Whilst we ‘soft southerners’ look forward to a decent two-day meeting at Newbury at the weekend and the return to racing on the Rowley Mile track at Newmarket, let’s wish punters at Ayr a more successful time at the venue than was the case at the corresponding meeting twelve months.

Thursday’s meeting was abandoned, the resulting heavy ground for Friday and Saturday being (partly) responsible for just three favourites prevailing via fifteen races, whilst the shortest priced odds on favourite of two hot jollies during the two days was beaten at odds of 4/7.

That said, the average winning price (via percentage readings) was ‘only’ 5/1 which given the conditions, was not too bad a return whilst the following trainers saddled a brace of winners during the two days: Michael Dods (16/1 & 9/1), Richard Fahey (9/1 & 5/1) and Jim Goldie (12/1 & 5/1*).

Don’t forget that you can find daily updates via the Geegeez service when two or more meetings are staged at the same venue each week.  This week’s relevant updates will appear as follows:

Wednesday: Yarmouth

Thursday: Yarmouth

Friday: Ayr

Saturday: Ayr & Newbury

Monday: Hamilton

 

Day by day details:

TUESDAY 17/09:

CHEPSTOW:

CHEPSTOW DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Chepstow: 102

Favourite stats: 34 (33.3%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/11 (54.5%)

 

Trainers of winners at Chepstow in 2013:

7/30--Richard Hannon (7/2-2/5*-7/4*-7/4*-4/1-9/2-7/2*)

5/37--Bernard Llewellyn (7/2-8/1-9/4*-3/1-4/1)

5/41--David Evans (7/1-7/1-5/4*-9/2-11/4*)

4/8--George Baker (33/1-8/1-5/1-7/2)

4/31--Mick Channon (3/1**-7/4-10/1-9/4*)

 

89/102 winners (87.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

6--Bernard Llewellyn (9/2***-7/2**-3/1**-5/1****-7/4-2/1)

4--Andrew Balding (7/4**-7/2-6/4-9/4)

4--Ralph Beckett (8/11-6/4-7/2-6/4)

4--Clive Cox (15/8-5/4-2/1-Evs)

4--John O'Shea (9/2**-3/1-7/2**-11/4)

3--Mick Channon (7/4-7/4-4/6)

3--Ron Harris (5/1****-7/4-7/2**)

3--Rod Millman (9/2***-6/4-2/1)

3--Malcolm Saunders (3/1-6/4-2/1)

 

THIRSK:

THIRSK (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Thirsk: 105

Favourite stats: 32 (30.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 5/10 (50.0%)

 

Trainers of winners at Thirsk in 2013:

8/29--David Barron (7/2**-11/4*-11/4**-7/2*-5/2-4/5*-10/1-4/7*)

6/47--David O'Meara (4/1*-13/8*-11/4*-6/5*-16/1-11/4)

5/18--'Team Burke' (10/3-4/1-9/4**-4/1-3/1)

5/44--Richard Fahey (13/2-9/1-1/5*-10/3-7/1)

5/49--Ruth Carr (9/2*-16/1-11/2-8/1-3/1)

5/66--Tim Easterby (7/1-7/1-4/1-15/8*-3/1*)

 

88/105 winners (83.8%) scored at odds of 10/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

11--David O'Meara (7/2**-9/4-2/1-3/1-2/1-5/4-3/1-11/4-3/1-11/2-9/4)

9--Kevin Ryan (4/6*-2/1**-11/2***-11/4-11/4-9/4-5/1-11/4-11/8)

4--Richard Fahey (2/1-11/4**-7/2**-5/4)

3--Michael Dods (15/8-15/8-3/1)

3--Tim Easterby (4/1-6/4-4/1)

3--Brian Ellison (11/4-2/1-3/1)

3--David Nicholls (9/4-Evs-9/2**)

 

YARMOUTH:

YARMOUTH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Yarmouth 148

Favourite stats: 59 (39.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 23/31 (74.2%)

 

Leading trainers at Yarmouth (flat) in 2013 (Includes one dead heat scenario):

7/10--William Haggas (11/8*-11/10*-1/4*-4/6*-9/4-6/4*-11/10)

7/35--Julia Feilden (8/1-9/1-9/4-10/1-7/2-10/1-5/2)

6/10--Richard Fahey (8/1-9/4-11/8*-11/4-7/2*-10/3)

6/31--Phil McEntee (12/1-6/1-11/4*-6/1-9/1-10/1)

5/11--Luca Cumani (5/2*-2/1-6/1-5/6*-10/3)

5/23--Chris Wall (9/4-9/4**-7/1-11/8*-11/8*)

4/7--Jeremy Noseda (11/4*-9/2-3/10*-4/1)

4/13--James Fanshawe (2/1-2/1*-2/1*-7/4**)

4/18--Rae Guest (8/1-10/3-8/15*-11/8*)

 

136/149 (91.3%) returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten trainers:

6--Chris Wall (4/1-15/8-11/10-7/4-13/8-Evs)

4--Michael Bell (2/1-6/4-6/4-7/4)

3--George Baker (7/4-7/4-10/3)

3--Tony Carroll (9/2-4/5-85/40)

3--Anthony Carson (2/1-5/2-7/4)

3--Julia Feilden (15/8-2/1-7/2)

3--Mark Johnston (5/2-7/4-15/8)

2.30: None of the represented trainers has saddled a winner of this race during the last decade, whilst eight of the last thirteen renewals have fallen to the favourite, the biggest priced winner during the period having been returned at 7/1.  Nine of the last ten market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.

3.00: The last eleven winners have carried weights of 9-5 or less whereby the top weight Dancealot is overlooked on this occasion.  There was plenty to like about the way that Sir Michael Stoute’s Teofilo colt Ghaawy won at the third time of asking and the April foal might take some stopping under these terms.  Four favourites have prevailed during the last ten years, whilst seven of the ten market leaders during the last period finished in the frame (exact science).

3.30: Three-year-olds have won twelve of the fourteen renewals whereby the only four-year-old in the line up (Lady Cricketer) appears to have a difficult task. Nine of the fourteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions.

4.00: John Gosden’s Halling colt Thomas Hobson comes to the gig on a hat trick and as the first of his previous two victories was gained under soft conditions, Tuesday’s ground should hold few (if any) fears for potential supporters of William Buick’s mount.  William Haggas has taken the ‘quiet route’ with Battalion, steering clear of more ambitious plans that might have been on the cards following his impressive (good to soft) victory last time out.  Last year’s inaugural 10/11 market leader finished out of the ‘short field’ frame behind horses sent off at 14/1 and 16/1.  This helped to set up the £3.549.90 toteplacepot dividend.

4.30: A three-year-old representative won the first running of this event twelve months ago via just 27% of the total number of runners whereby this year’s lone vintage representative Mutanaweb is given a chance.

5.00: Three market leaders have won via the last thirteen renewals, whilst six favourites finished in the frame in the process.

 

STRATFORD:

STRATFORD DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Stratford: 91

Favourite stats: 37 (40.7%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 10/18 (55.6%)

 

Leading trainers at Stratford in 2013:

10--Jonjo O'Neill (11/4*-7/4*-7/2-14/1-4/7*-9/1-6/4*-6/4*-11/10*-5/2**)

5--Tim Vaughan (5/2-8/13*-14/1-4/6*-11/8*)

5--Warren Greatrex (6/1-1/6*-9/4-Evs*-3/1)

4--Phil Middleton (10/3*-4/1-10/3-2/1)

3--Peter Bowen (2/1*-5/2*-9/2)

3--Philip Hobbs (9/2**-11/4-4/5*)

3--Alan King (14/1-15/8*-5/2)

3--David Pipe (5/2-12/1-2/5*)

 

83/91 winners (91.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--Peter Bowen (15/8-7/4-9/2**-5/4-9/4)

3--Jonjo O'Neill (9/4**-10/11-5/2)

3--Tim Vaughan (6/4-5/6-11/4)

-------------------------------------------------------

WEDNESDAY 18/09:

BEVERLEY:

BEVERLEY DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Beverley: 129

Favourite stats: 48 (37.2%--includes joint and co favourites & 1 Non runner)

Odds on ratio: 9/13 (69.2%)

 

Leading trainers of winners at Beverley in 2013 (includes one dead heat):

15/67--Mark Johnston (7/2*-4/6*-5/1-13/8*-7/4*-5/6*-5/2-12/1-7/2*-13/8*-4/1-13/2-11/10*-2/1*-8/13*)

10/36--David O'Meara (5/6*-10/1-5/2*-7/2-8/1-9/2-10/11*-7/4*-13/2-17/2)

9/40--Mick Easterby (15/8*-5/1-9/1-7/1-5/1-15/2-11/2-6/1-2/1)

7/20--Brian Ellison (40/1-11/1-4/1-5/4*-12/1-11/2-3/1**)

6/55--Richard Fahey (15/8*-20/1-12/1-6/1-11/2-14/1)

 

118/130 (90.8%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

6--Mark Johnston (7/4-9/4**-11/4*-7/4-6/4-Evs)

5--Mick Easterby (7/2-9/4-9/2**-2/1-7/4)

3--Richard Fahey (10/11-5/2-11/4)

3--Steve Gollings (4/1-3/1-7/2)

3--Phil Kirby (6/5-13/8-9/4)

3--David O'Meara (9/4**-11/4-10/11)

3--Jason Tate (5/4-6/5-13/8)

3--Tracy Waggott (3/1-3/1-9/2**)

 

SANDOWN:

SANDOWN DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Sandown: 99

Favourite stats: 40 (40.8%--includes joint and co favourites & 1 Non-Runner)

Odds on ratio: 10/14 (71.4%)

 

Leading trainers at Sandown in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):

11/71--Richard Hannon (3/1-13/8*-11/10*-3/1**-5/4*-1/4*-4/1**-8/11*-8/1-13/2-12/1)

7/36--Andrew Balding (8/1-14/1-11/1-7/4*-11/4-9/2-11/2)

6/29--Sir Michael Stoute (8/1-4/1-5/1-5/6*-1/5*-15/8*)

4/17--William Haggas (11/8*-5/2*-3/1-9/2)

4/18--John Gosden (13/8*-4/1-11/8*-2/7*)

4/26--Saeed Bin Suroor (7/2-11/10*-9/2-3/1)

 

91/100 (91.0%) winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

8--Richard Hannon (11/4**-3/1-11/10-11/4**-11/4-11/4-2/1-15/8)

6--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/1**-5/4-7/2-7/2-6/4-6/4)

5--Sir Michael Stoute (4/5-6/4-7/2-11/8-9/4)

5--John Gosden (3/1-5/1***-11/4**-13/8-5/2**)

4--William Haggas (13/8-11/4**-3/1**-4/5)

4--Jeremy Noseda (7/4 & 5/1***-5/2-2/1)

3--Roger Charlton (9/4-5/2**-15/8)

3--Brian Meehan (Evs-11/4**-15/8)

3--Roger Varian (9/4-10/11-7/2)

2.20: Three of the seven favourites have won, though three of last four gold medallists were returned at 33/1-12/1-6/1.  Five of the eight market leaders have finished in the frame.  All seven winners carried a maximum weight of 9-4.

2.55: Ten of the eleven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions to date (five winners).  Nine gold medallists have been returned at odds of 6/1 or less, the ‘odd men out’ being 20/1 and 12/1 outsiders.  Andrew Balding (Libeccio) comes to the gig on a hat trick this time around.

3.20: Favourites have won nine of the last eleven renewals, whilst the biggest priced winner during the last eleven years was sent off at just 5/1.  Richard Hannon saddles Beau Nash on this occasion, with Richard having secured three of the last seven contests.

3.55: Market leaders have won two of the four renewals thus far, whilst three of the five favourites have finished in the frame (exact science).

4.30: Three clear favourites and a 6/1 co favourite of three have scored during the last seven years.

5.35: Although three of the last six favourites have finished in the money (no winners during the period), the relevant scorers were returned at odds of 33/1--10/1--8/1--8/1--15/2--6/1.

 

YARMOUTH:

YARMOUTH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Yarmouth 148

Favourite stats: 59 (39.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 23/31 (74.2%)

 

Leading trainers at Yarmouth (flat) in 2013 (Includes one dead heat scenario):

7/10--William Haggas (11/8*-11/10*-1/4*-4/6*-9/4-6/4*-11/10)

7/35--Julia Feilden (8/1-9/1-9/4-10/1-7/2-10/1-5/2)

6/10--Richard Fahey (8/1-9/4-11/8*-11/4-7/2*-10/3)

6/31--Phil McEntee (12/1-6/1-11/4*-6/1-9/1-10/1)

5/11--Luca Cumani (5/2*-2/1-6/1-5/6*-10/3)

5/23--Chris Wall (9/4-9/4**-7/1-11/8*-11/8*)

4/7--Jeremy Noseda (11/4*-9/2-3/10*-4/1)

4/13--James Fanshawe (2/1-2/1*-2/1*-7/4**)

4/18--Rae Guest (8/1-10/3-8/15*-11/8*)

 

136/149 (91.3%) returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten trainers:

6--Chris Wall (4/1-15/8-11/10-7/4-13/8-Evs)

4--Michael Bell (2/1-6/4-6/4-7/4)

3--George Baker (7/4-7/4-10/3)

3--Tony Carroll (9/2-4/5-85/40)

3--Anthony Carson (2/1-5/2-7/4)

3--Julia Feilden (15/8-2/1-7/2)

3--Mark Johnston (5/2-7/4-15/8)

 

KEMPTON:

Watch out for John Fahy at Kempton as the rider boasts the thick end of eighty points of level stake profits at the track and at the time of writing. John has one booked mount at the tack on Wednesday and Thursday this week as I recheck my findings.

------------------------------------------------------------------

THURSDAY 19/09:

AYR:

AYR DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ayr: 63

Favourite stats: 23 (36.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/5 (80.0%)

 

Leading trainers at Ayr in 2013:

13/52--Jim Goldie (8/1-13/2-10/3*-16/1-5/1-8/1-7/1-5/1-11/4-7/4-7/1-11/1-9/2)

5/45--Keith Dalgleish (4/1-13/8*-9/4*-8/1-18/1)

4/17--Michael Dods (9/2-15/8*-7/2*-7/2)

4/26--Richard Fahey (4/1-10/1-7/2-7/1)

3/8--Mrs K Burke (6/5*-9/2-6/5)

3/9--Kevin Ryan (22/1-3/10*-11/8*)

3/10--Tim Easterby (5/2*-11/4**-7/4*)

3/30--Mark Johnston (2/1-1/2*-5/2*)

 

59/63 winners (93.7%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Michael Dods (2/1-9/4-3/1**-9/4)

4--Mark Johnston (5/2-10/11-5/4-15/8)

3--Mrs K Burke (85/40-13/8-7/2)

3--Richard Guest (11/4**-3/1**5/2**)

3--Linda Perratt (11/8-5/2-11/4)

3--Sir Mark Prescott (Evs-Evs-15/8)

 

PONTEFRACT:

PONTEFRACT DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Pontefract: 80

Favourite stats: 24 (30.0%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/10 (60.0%)

 

Leading trainers at Pontefract in 2013 (includes one dead heat scenario):

7/39--Richard Fahey (11/4-9/2*-17/2-13/8-8/1-6/1-7/1)

6/32--Mark Johnston (2/1*-15/2-3/1-10/11*-11/10*-11/10*)

4/9--Sir Michael Stoute (5/1-1/5*-7/2-11/8**)

4/17--Paul Midgley (9/1-6/1-16/1-7/1)

3/8--David Barron (13/8*-10/3*-7/4*)

3/12--Mick Easterby (10/1-8/1-13/2)

 

75/81 winners (92.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7--Richard Fahey (11/4-10/3-7/2-15/8-3/1-4/7-5/2)

5--Mark Johnston (7/4-5/2**-7/4-10/3-11/8)

4--Brian Ellison (10/3-3/1**7/2**-10/3**)

3--Luca Cumani (2/1-2/1-11/10)

3--Mick Easterby (3/1-5/2-2/1)

 

Five furlong juvenile event due to be contested at 2.30: Market leaders have won seven of the thirteen renewals to date, whilst ten favourites have snared toteplacepot positions in the process.  The biggest priced winner thus far started at just 13/2, whilst twelve of the winners were returned at 100/30 or less.

One mile all aged (Class 4) handicap scheduled for 3.00: Seven renewals have slipped by since a 7/1 (joint) market leader obliged though that said, the biggest priced winner during the period was returned at just 9/1.  Michael Dods held two entries for the race earlier in the week having secured three of the last seven contests.  It’s worth noting that Michael was only represented on one other occasion during the study period.

Handicap for fillies over six furlongs scheduled for 4.00: Misplaced Fortune was among the five-day declarations earlier in the week, having won the last two renewals of this event.  Three-year-olds have won five of the last eight contests.

'Draw factor' (six furlongs):

6-4-3 (10 ran-good to firm)

6-4-1 (12 ran-good to firm)

14-8-15 (15 ran-good)

2-3 (6 ran-good to firm)

4-11-6 (9 ran-good to soft)

6-2 (7 ran-firm)

6-4-3 (9 ran-good)

14-13-6 (9 ran-good to soft)

2-1-3 (9 ran-firm)

11-3-8 (11 ran-good to firm)

5-10-8-2 (17 ran-firm)

11-9-15 (15 ran-firm)

8-2-11 (13 ran-good to firm)

Seventeen furlong handicap scheduled for 4.30: All seven winners to date have carried weights of 8-12 or more, whilst five of the eight favourites have secured toteplacepot positions (five winners) via six renewals (one dead heat) to date.

All aged ten furlong maiden event scheduled for 5.00: Three-year-olds have won thirteen of the last fourteen renewals, whilst six of the thirteen favourites have won to date during the study period. Eleven market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions in the process.

'Draw factor' (ten furlongs)

6-2-3 (8 ran-good to firm)

1-7-3 (9 ran-good to firm)

3-2-11 (12 ran-good to firm)

12-8-3 (12 ran-good)

10-4-3 (9 ran-good to firm)

16-11-6 (17 ran-good to soft)

2-6-3 (8 ran-firm)

13-16-1 (14 ran-good to soft)

8-9-6 (12 ran-good to soft)

Your first 30 days for just £1

2-4 (5 ran-firm)

2-1 (5 ran-good to firm)

1-2-7 (8 ran-firm)

9-11-2 (8 ran-firm)

5-2-6 (11 ran-good to firm)

 

YARMOUTH:

YARMOUTH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Yarmouth 148

Favourite stats: 59 (39.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 23/31 (74.2%)

 

Leading trainers at Yarmouth (flat) in 2013 (Includes one dead heat scenario):

7/10--William Haggas (11/8*-11/10*-1/4*-4/6*-9/4-6/4*-11/10)

7/35--Julia Feilden (8/1-9/1-9/4-10/1-7/2-10/1-5/2)

6/10--Richard Fahey (8/1-9/4-11/8*-11/4-7/2*-10/3)

6/31--Phil McEntee (12/1-6/1-11/4*-6/1-9/1-10/1)

5/11--Luca Cumani (5/2*-2/1-6/1-5/6*-10/3)

5/23--Chris Wall (9/4-9/4**-7/1-11/8*-11/8*)

4/7--Jeremy Noseda (11/4*-9/2-3/10*-4/1)

4/13--James Fanshawe (2/1-2/1*-2/1*-7/4**)

4/18--Rae Guest (8/1-10/3-8/15*-11/8*)

 

136/149 (91.3%) returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten trainers:

6--Chris Wall (4/1-15/8-11/10-7/4-13/8-Evs)

4--Michael Bell (2/1-6/4-6/4-7/4)

3--George Baker (7/4-7/4-10/3)

3--Tony Carroll (9/2-4/5-85/40)

3--Anthony Carson (2/1-5/2-7/4)

3--Julia Feilden (15/8-2/1-7/2)

3--Mark Johnston (5/2-7/4-15/8)

 

KEMPTON:

Although Richard Hannon has saddled 118 winners at Kempton during the last five years (level stake loss of 95 points), Richard’s strike rate of 15% pales into insignificance compared to Saeed Bin Suroor’s remarkable ratio of 33% via 72 gold medallists during the same period, figures which have produced a level stake profit of thirty-nine points down the years.

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FRIDAY 20/09:

AYR:

AYR DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Ayr: 63

Favourite stats: 23 (36.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/5 (80.0%)

 

Leading trainers at Ayr in 2013:

13/52--Jim Goldie (8/1-13/2-10/3*-16/1-5/1-8/1-7/1-5/1-11/4-7/4-7/1-11/1-9/2)

5/45--Keith Dalgleish (4/1-13/8*-9/4*-8/1-18/1)

4/17--Michael Dods (9/2-15/8*-7/2*-7/2)

4/26--Richard Fahey (4/1-10/1-7/2-7/1)

3/8--Mrs K Burke (6/5*-9/2-6/5)

3/9--Kevin Ryan (22/1-3/10*-11/8*)

3/10--Tim Easterby (5/2*-11/4**-7/4*)

3/30--Mark Johnston (2/1-1/2*-5/2*)

 

59/63 winners (93.7%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Michael Dods (2/1-9/4-3/1**-9/4)

4--Mark Johnston (5/2-10/11-5/4-15/8)

3--Mrs K Burke (85/40-13/8-7/2)

3--Richard Guest (11/4**-3/1**5/2**)

3--Linda Perratt (11/8-5/2-11/4)

3--Sir Mark Prescott (Evs-Evs-15/8)

 

NEWBURY:

NEWBURY DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newbury: 92

Favourite stats: 24 (26.1%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/8 (37.5%)

 

Leading trainers at Newbury in 2013:

10/88--Richard Hannon (9/2-7/2-8/11*-5/2*-5/4*-7/2*-8/1-11/10*-2/1-6/4*)

7/23--John Gosden (5/1-25/1-2/1*-9/2-3/1-9/4*-6/1)

6/18--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/1-11/4-10/3-9/4*-5/2-8/1)

5/24--William Haggas (5/2*-11/4-4/6*-5/2*-3/1)

4/14--Luca Cumani (7/2-7/4*-7/4*-6/4*)

4/10--Mark Johnston (11/1-Evs*-4/1-11/8*)

 

76/92 winners (82.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

14--Richard Hannon (1/2-3/1-9/4-Evs-13/8-9/4-3/1-7/4-1/2-4/1-7/4-7/2-5/4-5/2)

5--William Haggas (7/4-2/1-3/1**-9/4-7/4)

4--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/4-6/4-2/1)

5--John Gosden (2/1-11/8-9/4-5/4-3/1)

4--Sir Michael Stoute (10/11-2/1-3/1**-7/2)

Six furlong juvenile event scheduled for 2.00: Sixteen of the last twenty-one favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include eight winners.  Interestingly, Richard has failed to saddle a winner via the last ten contests.

'Draw factor' (six furlongs)

7-2-11 (10 ran-good to firm)

5-8-3 (12 ran-good to firm)

7-11-6 (11 ran-good to soft)

6-7-10 (11 ran-good to soft)

1-3-2 (12 ran-good)

1-7-9 (12 ran-good)

9-12-3 (14 ran-good to firm)

3-13-5 (10 ran-good)

9-10-1 (11 ran-good)

6-7-3 (9 ran-good to firm)

5-10-3 (8 ran-good to firm)

10-16-6 (16 ran-good)

1-6-5 (12 ran-good to firm)

9-5-11 (10 ran-good)

16-1-3 (16 ran-good to firm)

7-3-11 (12 ran-good to firm)

20-8-3 (23 ran-good to firm)

13-17-20 (20 ran-good to firm)

10-15-6 (15 ran-good to firm)

Class 3 twelve furlong handicap scheduled for 2.30: Five renewals have slipped by without a successful favourite being recorded since the inaugural winner scored at 3/1 back in 2007.  Three-year-olds have secured four of the last five contests.

Nine furlong conditions event scheduled for 3.05: Six favourites have won since the turn of the Millennium, whilst twelve winners have scored at odds of 8/1 or less.  Three-year-olds have secured four of the last seven renewals.

Juvenile Class 2 conditions event scheduled for 3.40: Marcus Tregoning (Castle Combe is a potential runner on this occasion) does not saddle a great number of juvenile winners in a season as a general rule, whereby it is significant that the trainer attempts to win this race for the fourth time in the last eleven years .  That said, Richard Hannon (four options at the time of writing) has won the last two events in which the stable was represented.  Five favourites have won of late (the 2011 4/7 market leader was beaten however), whilst eleven of the last seventeen market leaders have finished in the frame.

'Draw factor' (eight furlongs)

1-5 (7 ran-good to firm)

3-4 (7 ran-good to soft)

7-5-8 (10 ran-good)

7-5 (6 ran -good to firm)

1-7 (6 ran-good)

1-10-2 (9 ran-good to firm)

4-6 (7 ran-good)

2-8-4 (11 ran-good to firm)

4-5 (5 ran-good)

3-5 (5 ran-good to firm)

4-2 (7 ran-good to firm)

8-6-7 (8 ran-good to firm)

3-4 (7 ran-good to firm)

6-8-7 (8 ran-good)

3-2 (6 ran-good)

Seven furlong juvenile conditions event for fillies due to be contested at 4.15: Eight of the fourteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions during the last thirteen years, statistics which include five winners during the study period.

'Draw factor' (seven furlongs)

1-3 (5 ran-good to firm)

3-1 (7 ran-good to soft)

7-5-4 (8 ran--good)

6-2-3 (12 ran-good to firm)

9-11-3 (11 ran-good)

5-9-7 (9 ran-good to firm)

10-2-7 (13 ran-good)

6-3 (7 ran-good to firm)

5 (4 ran--good)

6-8-5 (8 ran-good to firm)

6-7 (7 ran-good to firm)

1-6-3 (8 ran-good to firm)

5-6-3 (8 ran-good to firm)

6-5 (7 ran-good)

Dubai Duty Free Cup (Listed event) schedule for 4.50: Six renewals have slipped by since the last successful favourite was recorded.  Saeed Bin Suroor has secured four of the last eleven (including three of the last four) renewals with the trainer holding three options for the race at the time of writing.

Ten furlong Class 4 handicap scheduled for 5.20: Four-year-olds have secured nine of the last ten renewals.  Three favourites have obliged during the last eleven years, though six gold medallists having been sent off at odds ranging between 14/1 & 25/1.

 

NEWCASTLE:

NEWCASTLE (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newcastle: 113

Favourite stats: 36 (31.9% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 8/14 (57.1%)

 

Trainers of winners at Newcastle in 2013:

10/57--Richard Fahey (8/1-11/4-16/1-14/1-10/11*-10/11*-15/8*-9/4*-5/2**-10/1)

7/40--Michael Dods (25/1-12/1-7/2**-2/1*-5/1-11/4**-7/4)

6/46--David O'Meara (5/1-Evs*-10/3-8/1-8/11*-25/1)

5/13--David Barron (3/1*-9/1-7/2-8/1-5/4*)

5/37--Brian Ellison (4/1-5/2*-15/2-4/6*-4/7*)

5/40--Tracy Waggott (9/1-12/1-6/1-4/1-7/1)

 

102/113 winners (90.3%) to date were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

8--David O'Meara (5/2-3/1-5/4-9/4-11/4-9/5-5/2**-9/2)

6--Richard Fahey (7/4-7/4-5/2-3/1-2/1-7/2)

4--Ruth Carr (7/2-5/2-4/1-3/1)

4--William Haggas (8/13-11/8-7/2-13/8)

4--Alan Swinbank (6/4-7/2-6/5-3/1)

4--Kevin Ryan (8/13-5/2**-7/2**-3/1)

 

WOLVERHAMPTON:

Drinkuptrig (a potential runner in the scheduled 5.20 event) was the only all-weather runner this week representing Stuart Williams.  Stuart’s thirty one winners at Wolverhampton have been gained via a 27% strike rate with Stuart boasting the same number in terms of level stake profits at Dunstall Park in recent times.

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SATURDAY 21/09:

AYR:

AYR DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ayr: 63

Favourite stats: 23 (36.5% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 4/5 (80.0%)

 

Leading trainers at Ayr in 2013:

13/52--Jim Goldie (8/1-13/2-10/3*-16/1-5/1-8/1-7/1-5/1-11/4-7/4-7/1-11/1-9/2)

5/45--Keith Dalgleish (4/1-13/8*-9/4*-8/1-18/1)

4/17--Michael Dods (9/2-15/8*-7/2*-7/2)

4/26--Richard Fahey (4/1-10/1-7/2-7/1)

3/8--Mrs K Burke (6/5*-9/2-6/5)

3/9--Kevin Ryan (22/1-3/10*-11/8*)

3/10--Tim Easterby (5/2*-11/4**-7/4*)

3/30--Mark Johnston (2/1-1/2*-5/2*)

 

59/63 winners (93.7%) have scored at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Michael Dods (2/1-9/4-3/1**-9/4)

4--Mark Johnston (5/2-10/11-5/4-15/8)

3--Mrs K Burke (85/40-13/8-7/2)

3--Richard Guest (11/4**-3/1**5/2**)

3--Linda Perratt (11/8-5/2-11/4)

3--Sir Mark Prescott (Evs-Evs-15/8)

Ayr Gold Cup scheduled for 3.30: David Nicholls has saddled four winners during the last eleven years against Kevin Ryan’s three winners during the study period.  Four-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 4-3 via the last nine contests.  The last eleven winners were returned at odds ranging between 11/1 and 33/1 with no successful market leaders recorded.  Nine of the last twelve favourites secured toteplacepot positions.  Six of the last eight winners have carried a minimum burden of 9-2.

‘Draw details’ (six furlongs)

8-19-13-2 (26 ran-heavy)

12-16-9-15 (26 ran-soft)

17-24-8-11 (26 ran-good)

15-6-9-3 (26 ran-good)

20-21-26-11 (27 ran-heavy)

22-6-9-18 (28 ran-good to soft)

6-16-9-26 (23 ran-good to soft)

2-4-27-3 (27 ran-good)

8-16-18-20 (24 ran-soft)

10-14-6-1 (26 ran-good)

16-10-15-18 (28 ran-good)

 

CATTERICK:

CATTERICK DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Catterick: 89

Favourite stats: 24 (27.3%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 Non Runner)

Odds on ratio: 5/9 (55.5%)

 

Leading trainers at Catterick in 2013:

7/37--David O'Meara (5/2*-17/2-2/1*-11/4-4/7*-3/1*-11/4)

6/20--Mark Johnston (2/7*-3/1-7/4*-4/1-10/11*-4/1)

5/18--Richard Fahey (7/1-Evs*-7/2-5/1-15/8)

5/44--Tim Easterby (10/1-3/1*-5/2-7/2-9/4)

5/24--Ruth Carr (4/1-7/4*-13/2-7/4-22/1)

5/27--Tracy Waggott (9/2*-6/1-7/2-16/1-25/1)

4/31--David Nicholls (7/1-5/1*-15/8*-

3/5--James Tate (14/1-9/2-11/2)

 

73/89 winners (82.0%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

9--David O'Meara (6/5-9/4-7/4-2/1-9/2**-9/4-7/2-11/8-11/4)

7--David Nicholls (10/3-3/1-11/8-7/2-5/2-6/4-11/4)

4--Mark Johnston (6/4-4/5-15/8-11/10)

3--Phil Kirby (7/4-7/2-2/1)

3--John Quinn (2/1-13/8-3/1)

 

NEWBURY:

NEWBURY DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newbury: 92

Favourite stats: 24 (26.1%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/8 (37.5%)

 

Leading trainers at Newbury in 2013:

10/88--Richard Hannon (9/2-7/2-8/11*-5/2*-5/4*-7/2*-8/1-11/10*-2/1-6/4*)

7/23--John Gosden (5/1-25/1-2/1*-9/2-3/1-9/4*-6/1)

6/18--Saeed Bin Suroor (4/1-11/4-10/3-9/4*-5/2-8/1)

5/24--William Haggas (5/2*-11/4-4/6*-5/2*-3/1)

4/14--Luca Cumani (7/2-7/4*-7/4*-6/4*)

4/10--Mark Johnston (11/1-Evs*-4/1-11/8*)

 

76/92 winners (82.6%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

14--Richard Hannon (1/2-3/1-9/4-Evs-13/8-9/4-3/1-7/4-1/2-4/1-7/4-7/2-5/4-5/2)

5--William Haggas (7/4-2/1-3/1**-9/4-7/4)

4--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/4-6/4-2/1)

5--John Gosden (2/1-11/8-9/4-5/4-3/1)

4--Sir Michael Stoute (10/11-2/1-3/1**-7/2)

Seven furlong juvenile maiden scheduled for 1.20: Only one (32/1) favourites has won via six renewals to date, two of which were secured by 50/1 chances.

Group 2 ‘Arc Trial’ over eleven furlongs due to be contested at 1.50: Three favourites have obliged during the last decade whilst four-year-olds have won three of the last four contests.

Market leaders have secured four of the last eight renewals of the Group 2 Mill Reef Stakes which is scheduled for 2.20.  Seven of the eight winners were returned at a top price of 5/1.

Ten furlong Class 2 handicap scheduled for 2.55: Four-year-olds lead the juniors 7-3 via the last ten contests, whilst just one 4/1 (joint) favourite has obliged during the study period.  Luca Cumani (Elhaame) held just the one option at the five-day stage, the trainer having saddled three of the last six winners.  It should be noted that Luca also saddled an 11/1 silver medallist during the period, whilst the trainer was not represented in 2009.

Group 3 ‘World Trophy’ (minimum distance) event due to be contested at 3.30: Three and four year-olds have (equally) shared six of the last seven contests, whilst market leaders come to the party on a four timer on this occasion.  That said, no successful favourites were recorded during the previous seven renewals during the last decade.

Ed Dunlop (Naaz was Ed’s only option at the time of writing) has scored with the last two runners he has saddled in this contest which is due to be contested at 4.40 (seven furlong Class 4 handicap).

 

NEWMARKET:

NEWMARKET (ROWLEY MILE) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newmarket (Rowley Mile): 52

Favourite stats: 21 (40.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/6

 

Leading trainers of winners at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) in 2013:

5/36--Richard Hannon (8/11*-9/1-10/3-10/3--10/11*)

4/14--Sir Henry Cecil (10/1-10/11*-8/1-5/1)

3/5--David Elsworth (6/1-5/2*-4/11*)

3/20--Andrew Balding (11/1-15/8*-7/1)

3/25--Mark Johnston (6/1-11/4-4/5*)

2/3--Mahmood Al Zarooni (11/2* & 7/4*)

2/4--Ian Williams (12/1 & 5/1***)

2/6--Ralph Beckett (10/1 & 11/1)

2/12--John Gosden (11/2 & 2/1*)

1/1--Patrick Chamings (20/1)

1/1--Andre Fabre (6/4*)

1/1--Edward Lynam (7/2**)

1/1--Olly Stevens (9/2)

 

Selected trainers without winners during the spring period on the Rowley Mile:

0/17--Mick Channon

0-13--Michael Bell

0-12--William Haggas

0/8--Clive Brittain

0/8--Luca Cumani

0/7--Robert Cowell

0/7--Stuart Willams

 

49/52 winners were returned at odds of 12/1 or less (others at 12/1-14/1-20/1)

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Sir Henry Cecil (15/8-5/2-7/4-15/8)

4--William Haggas (9/2**-5/1**-7/2**-5/2)

4--Richard Hannon (4/1-7/2-11/4-11/4)

2--Denis Coakley (5/1** & 7/2)

2--Charlie Hills (9/2** & 5/1**)

2--John Gosden (Evs & 10/3)

2--Sir Michael Stoute (5/4 & 5/2)

 

WOLVERHAMPTON:

Four of Ed Dunlop’s last eight runners had won at the time of writing and with the yard coming into top form at last this season, Ed’s 21% strike rate via thirty-one winners at Wolverhampton during the last five years is worth taking into consideration.  The trainer boasts seven points of level stake profits during the period for good measure.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------

SUNDAY 22/09:

HAMILTON:

HAMILTON DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Hamilton: 102

Favourite stats: 38 (37.6%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 Non runner)

Odds on ratio: 5/12 (41.8%)

 

Leading trainers at Hamilton in 2013:

15/47--Mark Johnston (11/4-13/8*-4/1-25/1-6/5*-6/1-Evs*-Evs*-3/10*-5/2*-4/1***-7/4*-3/1-9/2-1/7*)

14/73--Keith Dalgleish (12/1-3/1-3/1*-5/1-18/1-11/4-2/1-5/1-Evs*-2/1*-13/8*-14/1-6/5*-7/2**)

7/18--David Nicholls (Evs*-11/1-11/4-4/1-5/2-7/1-22/1)

7/26--Kevin Ryan (7/2-8/1-5/2-11/4*-Evs*-5/4*-14/5*)

4/28--Alan Swinbank (25/1-9/2-7/1-6/4*)

4/34--Alan Berry (14/1-12/1-10/1-9/1)

4/35--Richard Fahey (7/2-6/4*-9/4*-15/2)

 

93/102 (91.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7--Mark Johnston (5/2-3/1-11/8-3/1-6/4-5/6-2/1)

6--Keith Dalgleish (4/9-15/8-85/40-5/2**-5/4-11/4)

5--Eric Alston (9/4-4/1**-7/2--5/2**-4/1***)

4--Richard Fahey (11/8-13/8-9/4-10/3)

 

PLUMPTON:

PLUMPTON NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Plumpton: 56

Favourite stats: 20 (35.7%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/6

 

Leading trainers of winners at Plumpton in 2013:

4--David Pipe (1/5*-15/8*-1/7*-9/2)

4--Venetia Williams (9/4*-3/1**-Evs*10/11*)

3--Chris Gordon (33/1-5/1-9/1)

3--Alan King (6/4-8/11*-1/2*)

 

45/56 winners were returned at odds of 9/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

3--Charlie Longsdon (Evs--3/1--15/8)

3--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-9/2-11/4)

2--Nick Lampard (2/1 & 11/4)

2--Gary Moore (2/1 & 3/1)

2--Seamus Mullins (2/1** & 11/4)

2--Miss A. Newton-Smith (2/1 & 15/8)

2--David Pipe (15/8 & 9/4)

2--Tim Vaughan (11/8 & 2/1**)

2--Sheena West (11/4 & 3/1)

 

UTTOXETER:

UTTOXETER NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Uttoxeter: 102

Favourite stats: 30 (29.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/11 (54.5%)

 

Leading trainers at Uttoxeter in 2013:

5--Peter Bowen (5/2-10/3*-4/1-11/4-8/11*)

5--David Pipe (6/1-7/1-3/1-16/1-10/3)

5--Nigel Twiston-Davies (85/40-10/3-9/4*-7/2-22/1)

4--Jim Best (4/1-11/8*-1/2*-6/4*)

4--Evan Williams (15/8*-11/2-7/2-5/2*)

 

89/102 winners (87.3%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

11--Jonjo O'Neill (2/1-Evs-6/4-5/4-7/2-5/2-6/5-6/4-6/4-11/4-13/8)

7--Donald McCain (3/1-13/8-5/2-2/1-9/4-5/2-5/4)

4--Tim Vaughan (2/1-9/4-7/4-11/8)

3--Tom George (9/2-7/2-2/1)

3--Peter Bowen (6/5-5/2-10/11)

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MONDAY 23/09:

HAMILTON:

HAMILTON DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Hamilton: 102

Favourite stats: 38 (37.6%--includes joint and co favourites + 1 Non runner)

Odds on ratio: 5/12 (41.8%)

 

Leading trainers at Hamilton in 2013:

15/47--Mark Johnston (11/4-13/8*-4/1-25/1-6/5*-6/1-Evs*-Evs*-3/10*-5/2*-4/1***-7/4*-3/1-9/2-1/7*)

14/73--Keith Dalgleish (12/1-3/1-3/1*-5/1-18/1-11/4-2/1-5/1-Evs*-2/1*-13/8*-14/1-6/5*-7/2**)

7/18--David Nicholls (Evs*-11/1-11/4-4/1-5/2-7/1-22/1)

7/26--Kevin Ryan (7/2-8/1-5/2-11/4*-Evs*-5/4*-14/5*)

4/28--Alan Swinbank (25/1-9/2-7/1-6/4*)

4/34--Alan Berry (14/1-12/1-10/1-9/1)

4/35--Richard Fahey (7/2-6/4*-9/4*-15/2)

 

93/102 (91.2%) were returned at odds of 12/1 or less

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

7--Mark Johnston (5/2-3/1-11/8-3/1-6/4-5/6-2/1)

6--Keith Dalgleish (4/9-15/8-85/40-5/2**-5/4-11/4)

5--Eric Alston (9/4-4/1**-7/2--5/2**-4/1***)

4--Richard Fahey (11/8-13/8-9/4-10/3)

 

LEICESTER:

LEICESTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Leicester: 118

Favourite stats: 48 (40.7% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 11/24 (45.8%)

 

Leading trainers at Leicester in 2013:

7/28--Richard Hannon (11/4-2/1*-9/4*-5/2**-7/1-25/1-3/1*)

5/11--Luca Cumani (3/1-1/2*-10/11*-11/10*-11/10*)

4/6--John Gosden (5/4*-5/1-6/5*-9/2)

4/8--Roger Charlton (9/4*-9/4*-4/1-5/6*)

4/8--Roger Varian (5/2*-8/1-11/4*-3/1)

4/10--David O'Meara (7/1-3/1*-7/2-9/4*)

4/10--Sir Michael Stoute (11/4-11/4-1/2*-5/1)

4/13--Rae Guest (8/1-6/1-5/1-6/4*)

4/16--Mick Channon (5/2-11/10*-2/1*-9/4)

 

109/118 winners (92.4%) returned at odds of 11/1 or less to date

 

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--William Haggas (5/2**-11/8-4/5-1/2)

4--Mark Johnston (Evs-7/4-4/7-6/4)

3--Marco Botti (5/2-13/8-4/6)

3--Henry Candy (11/8-11/10-3/1)

 

KEMPTON:

At the time of writing, favourite stats made for interesting reading at Kempton as a 30% record has been achieved by market leaders in all three sectors of handicap races (2YO-3YO-Older horses) at the Sunbury circuit during the last five years.  In non handicap events, favourites boast a particularly impressive 44% ratio in three-year-old contests at the venue.

 

Mal Boyle

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