Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Betting Trends

Run over 1m4f the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe is one of Europe’s most valuable Group One contests that is open to horses of either sex that are aged 3 or older and staged at Longchamp racecourse.

In recent years, the contest has been dominated by the younger horses with 11 of the last 19 winners being aged 3 years-old, while 13 of the last 19 - came here off the back of a last time out victory. Last year we saw the French-trained Sottsass land the race - improving on his third in the 2019 renewal.

As always, here at GeeGeez, we are on-hand with all the key stats for the 2021 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe – this year run on Sunday 3rd  October.

 

Recent Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Winners

2020 - Sottsass (73/10)
2019 – Waldgeist (131/10)
2018 - Enable (Evs)
2017 – Enable (10/11 fav)
2016 – Found (6/1)
2015 – Golden Horn (9/2)
2014 – Treve (11/1)
2013 – Treve (9/2)
2012 – Solemia (33/1)
2011 – Danedream (20/1)
2010 – Workforce (6/1)
2009 – Sea The Stars (4/6 fav)
2008 – Zarkava (13/8 fav)
2007 – Dylan Thomas (11/2)
2006 – Rail Link (4/7 fav)
2005 – Hurricane Run (11/4)
2004 – Bago (10/1)
2003 – Dalakhani (9/4)
2002 – Marienbard (158/10)

Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Betting Trends

18/19 – Had won a Group 1 race before
17/19 – Had won over 1m4f before
15/19 – Had 4 or more runs that season
15/19 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
14/19 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
14/19 – Had won at least 5 times before
13/19 – Had run at Longchamp before
13/19 – Won last time out
12/19 – Had won at Longchamp previously
11/19 – Aged 3 years-old
10/19 – Placed favourites
10/19 – Won by a French-based yard
9/19 – Ran at Longchamp last time out
8/19 – Female winners
5/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Won by a UK-based yard
3/19 – Trained by Andre Fabre (won the race 8 times in all)
2/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2016, 2007)
3 of the last 12 Epsom Derby winners that season have won
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 15/2
Trainer John Gosden has won 3 of the last 6 runnings
Since 1976 we’ve seen just 3 winners aged 5 or older
18 of the last 27 winners were aged 3 years-old
Jockey Olivier Peslier has won the race 4 times
Jockey Frankie Dettori has won the race 6 times

 

There are many other key trends to take into the race.........

Age – 3 year-olds have by far the best recent record – winning 11 of the last 19 renewals – a huge plus the Godolphin pair of Adayar and Hurricane Lane if running. The Aidan O’Brien filly, Snowfall, is also a 3 year-old to note, but she does need to bounce back from being beaten at 1/5 in the Prix Vermeille at Longchamp in September. We’ve only seen three winners aged 5 or older win the race since 1976, which is not great news for one of the leading fancies in the ante-post betting Tarnawa, who - if running - would head here as a 5 year-old.

Fitness – With 15 of the last 19 winners (79%) having had at least four runs that season, then it pays to look for horses that have had several runs under their belts this term.

Market Guide – In recent years, the Arc has seen five winning favourites in the last 19 runnings (26%), which is not a bad strike-rate. In fact, 10 of the last 19 (53%) market leaders have also been placed, while 14 of the last 19 winners returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting.

Class - With this being one of the top middle-distance Group One races on the racing calendar then having proven form at the highest level is a must. A massive 18 of the last 19 Arc winners had already won at Group One Level.

Trip – Similar to the last trend, it’s no surprise to see that 17 of the last 19 Arc winners had already won over this 1m4f tips in the past. With the race often run at a strong pace, then horses stepping up in trip for the first time have a whole new task to tackle and this unknown to overcome - so having proven form over the distance is often key.

Draw Advantage – This has been one of the main trends in recent years and a good starting point when the final runners come out each year. Many would think that with the race being run over 1m4f, then the draw might not play a bit part – but that’s not the case at all! A massive 15 of the last 19 Arc winners (79%) came from stalls 8 or lower, while 14 of the last 19 (74%) were drawn 6 or less. 12 months ago, this was further backed up 12 months ago with the winner - Sottsass - drawn in stall 4, while the first three home came from stalls 4,1 and 7.

Track Form – Having tasted the Longchamp track in the past is another plus. We’ve seen 13 of the last 19 winners having raced at the course before – with 12 of those 19 had won at the track in the past.

Trainer/Jockey Stats – It’s a race that’s been dominated by the French-based Andre Fabre, with eight wins to his name - with the last of those coming in 2019. Plus, with three wins in the last six then the John Gosden camp are also starting to make a name for themselves in this contest. It’s slightly surprising that Aidan O’Brien has only two Arc wins to his name, but that could easily change this year and - as mentioned in the intro - the Charlie Appleby Godolphin team, who are yet to win the race, could have a strong hand with their St Leger and Derby winners this season. In terms of jockeys, a certain Frankie Dettori has six wins under his belt and is the most successful pilot in the race’s history, with the French veteran, Olivier Peslier, not far back with four wins.

Sat TV Trends: 25th Sept 2021

The ITV cameras are at Newmarket this Saturday to show four LIVE races, with the Cambridgeshire Handicap their feature. Plus, they are also at Haydock to take in two competitive handicaps - as always, we’re on hand with all the key trends and stats……

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RACINGTV)

 

1.50 - Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m ITV4

19/19 – Had won one or two races before
18/19 – Had won over 7f or further before
18/19 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
17/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/19 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
15/19 - Either US or Irish bred
13/19 – Had only won over 7f before
12/19 – Foaled in Feb or March
10/19 – Won last time out
7/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/19 – Trained by John Gosden
2/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner 6 times
12 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

Note: From 2010 back the race was run at Ascot, except in 2005 (Newmarket)

 

2.25 – Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV4

19/19 – Finished in the top two last time out
18/19 – Had won over 6f before
17/19 – Had not run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
17/19 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
16/19 – Foaled in Feb or March
15/19 – Had 3 or more previous runs
15/19 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Went onto run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season (2 won it)
13/19 – Placed favourites
12/19 – Won last time out
11/19 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
10/19 – Had won exactly 2 previous races
8/19 – Horses from stall 6 that finished in the top 3
7/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/19 – Winners drawn in stall 6
3/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 5 runnings)
2/19 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
2/19 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/19 – Trained by Brian Meehan
10 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

3.00 - Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) Cl1 6f ITV4

18/18 – Won over 6f previously
17/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
16/18 – Won their last race
16/18 – Won at least twice previously
15/18 – Had run 3 or more times previously
15/18 – Never raced at Newmarket (Rowley) previously
14/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
14/18 – Foaled in either Feb or March
12/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
6/18 – Ran at Deauville last time out
6/18 – Favourites that won
5/18 – Won by an Irish-based stable
4/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/18 - Trained by Clive Cox
2/18 - Trained by Mark Johnston
1/18 – Winners that came from stall 1
Aidan O’Brien won the race in – 2000, 2001, 2004, 2011, 2017 & 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

3.40 – Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m1f ITV

19/19 – Aged 6 or younger
16/19 – Won 3 or more times in their career
16/19 – Carried 9-5 or less
15/19 – Won from a double-figure stall
14/19 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
14/19 – Unplaced favourites
14/19 – Had won over 1m2f before
13/19 – Finished 5th or better last time out
13/19 – Rated between 90-100
13/19 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
12/19 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/19 – Carried 8-12 or less
5/19 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Trained by John Gosden
3/19 – Won their last race
2/19 - Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/19 - Trained by Marcus Tregoning
The last 6 winners came from stalls 21 or higher
13 of the last 15 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 21/1


HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Betway Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV4

13/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
12/14 – Didn’t win last time out
11/14 – Had won 1 or 2 times before
11/14 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/14 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
9/14 – Irish bred winners
7/14 – Unplaced favourites
7/14 – Had raced at Haydock before
4/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Tom Dascombe
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

2.40 – Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4

14/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
14/14 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
14/14 – Had won over 5f before
13/14 – Aged 6 or younger
11/14 – Came from stalls 7-11 (inc)
11/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/14 – Carried 8-11 or more in weight
11/14 – Had won between 2-4 times before
10/14 – Favourites placed
8/14 – Rated between 92-96
8/14 – Had raced at Haydock before
8/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/14 – Trained by Jamie Osborne
2/14 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/14 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
Dakota Gold won the race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

Cambridgeshire Handicap Trends

Run over 1m1f the Cambridgeshire Handicap is staged at Newmarket racecourse on their Rowley Mile track. First run in 1839 the contest is the first race in what’s known as the Autumn Double, with the Cesarewitch being the other race run in October.

We take a look ahead to the 2021 renewal of the Bet365 Cambridgeshire Handicap, this year run on Saturday 25th September – giving you the key stats to look out for.....Did you know ALL of the last 19 winners were aged 6 or younger?

Recent Cambridgeshire Handicap Winners

2020 - Majestic Dawn (40/1)
2019 - Lord North (9/2 fav)
2018 - Wissahickon (11/1)
2017 - Dolphin Vista (50/1)
2016 – Spark Plug (12/1)
2015 – Third Time Lucky (14/1)
2014 – Bronze Angel (14/1)
2013 – Educate (8/1 fav)
2012 – Bronze Angel (9/1)
2011 – Prince of Johanne (40/1)
2010 – Credit Swap (14/1)
2009 – Supaseus (16/1)
2008 – Tazeez (25/1)
2007 – Pipedreamer (5/1 fav)
2006 – Formal Decree (9/1)
2005 – Blue Monday (5/1 fav)
2004 – Spanish Don (100/1)
2003 – Chivalry (14/1)
2002 – Beauchamp Pilot (14/1)

Key Cambridgeshire Handicap Trends

 

19/19 – Aged 6 or younger
16/19 – Won 3 or more times in their career
16/19 – Carried 9-5 or less
15/19 – Won from a double-figure stall
14/19 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
14/19 – Unplaced favourites
14/19 – Had won over 1m2f before
13/19 – Finished 5th or better last time out
13/19 – Rated between 90-100
13/19 – Returned a double (or treble) figure price in the betting
12/19 – Had 5 or more runs that season
11/19 – Carried 8-12 or less
5/19 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Trained by John Gosden
3/19 – Won their last race
2/19 - Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/19 - Trained by Marcus Tregoning
The last 6 winners came from stalls 21 or higher
13 of the last 15 winners had run in the last 9 weeks
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 21/1

 

 

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Newmarket TV Trends: Fri 24th Sept 2021

Another big day of LIVE ITV racing this Friday as the cameras head to Newmarket to take in four races, including the Group Two Rockfel and Joel Stakes.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with all the big-race trends for the LIVE races, plus our verdict on each contest – Enjoy!

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.50 – British EBF Rosemary Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV4

10/10 – Had won over 1m before
10/10 – Had between 3-6 runs that season
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Won between 1-3 times before
8/10 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
7/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Had run at Newmarket (Rowley) before
6/10 – Aged 3 years-old
5/10 – Placed horses from stall 3 (2 winners)
3/10 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/10 – Trained by William Haggas
2/10 -Trained by Richard Hannon
2/10 – Trained by John Gosden
2/10 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
0/10 – Winning favourites
Richard Hannon won the race in 2013 and 2020
William Haggas won the race in 2014, 2017 & 2018
John Gosden won the race in 2015 & 2016

 

2.25 – Princess Royal Muhaarar Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

14/16 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
13/16 – Had won over 1m2f or further in the past
13/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Won between 1-3 times before
11/16 – Aged 3 years-old
9/16 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/16 – Winning favourites
6/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Ridden by William Buick
The horse from stall 12 has won 3 of the last 8 runnings
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 9 runnings
Antonia De Vega (16/5) won the race in 2020

 

 

3.00 – Rockfel Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) Cl1 7f ITV4

15/17 – Had won 1-2 times in the past
15/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time
15/17 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
10/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Won by a March or April born foal
9/17 – Won over 7f before
8/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (2 of last 5 winners)
2/17 – Trained by trainer Mick Channon
2/17 – Won by the Hills yard
2/17 – Won by trainer Jim Bolger
2/17 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas the following season
2/17 – Winners from stalls 1 or 2
9 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 5-8 (inc)
Isabella Giles (11/5) won the race in 2020

 

3.35 – Joel Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV4

16/17 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
14/17 – Officially rated between 111-118
14/17 – Had won a Group race before
13/17 – Had won over 1m before
12/17 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
12/17 – Failed to win last time out
12/17 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/17 – Won 4 or less times before
11/17 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (5 won)
10/17 – Raced at either Doncaster, Haydock, Newmarket or Newbury last time out
6/17 – Aged 4 years-old
6/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (including 2 of last 6 runnings)
3/17 – Won by Godolphin (Saeed Bin Suroor)
3/17 – Winners from stalls 2 or 3
3/17 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
2/17 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/17 - Trained by David O’Meara (2 of the last 9)
2/17 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 4)
Kameko (85/40) won the race in 2020
Benbatl won this race in 2019
4 of the last 5 winners came from stalls 2 (2) or 6 (2)

 

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Sat TV Trends: 18th Sept 2021

It’s Ayr Gold Cup Day in Scotland (Ayr racecourse) this Saturday, while the ITV cameras are also heading to Newbury for their Dubai Duty Free Day – We’ve 9 LIVE races in total and we’ve got it all covered with all the key trends for each race, plus our verdict.

Did you know? 15 of the last 20 Ayr Gold Cup winners FAILED to win their last race, while 11 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 8 or higher.

Use our key trends to whittle down the runners and help find the best profiles of past winners.

 

AYR Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.55 – Virgin Bet Doonside Cup Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Yet to race at Ayr
9/10 – Won over 1m2f or more
9/10 – Winners from stalls 8 or lower
9/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Rated between 101 and 111
8/10 – Won 3 or more times before
7/10 – Irish bred
7/10 – Aged 4 or older
6/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
3/10 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/10 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
Addeybb (11/10 fav) won the race in 2020

 

2.30 – Virgin Bet Ayr Silver Cup (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

18/18 – Carried 8-11 or more
16/18 – Aged 5 or younger
16/18 – Previous winners over 6f
14/18 – Winning distance 1 length or less
14/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
14/18 – Carried 9-0 or more
13/18 – Had raced at Ayr before (5 won)
13/18 – Had 5 or more runs that season
12/18 - Had either 2 or 3 career wins to their name
11/18 – Finished 5th or better last time out
11/18 – Unplaced favourites
8/18 – The first 4 home all returned a double-figure price
4/18 – Won last time out
3/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/18 – Drawn in stalls 8 to 20 (inc) i.e horses drawn either high or low have done best
3/18 – Winning Favourites
0/18 – Filly or mare winners
Magical Spirit (18/1) won the race in 2020
Golden Apollo (12/1) won the race in 2019
Snazzy Jazzy (11/1) won the race in 2018

 

3.05 – Virgin Bet Firth Of Clyde Stakes (Group 3) (for The Ayrshire Agricultural Challenge Cup) Cl1 6f ITV

16/18 – Finished 4th or better last time out
16/18 – Had never raced at Ayr before
14/18 – Previous winners over 6f
14/18 – Had won once or two times before
14/18 – Winning distance 1 length or further
13/18 – Had 3 or more runs that season
13/18 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
12/18 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
11/18 – Placed favourites
8/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/18 – Won last time out
3/18 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/18 – Trained by Bryan Smart
4/18 – Winning favourites
Umm Kulthum (9/4 fav) won the race in 2020

 

3.40 – Virgin Bet Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV

20/20 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
18/20 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
17/20 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
15/20 – Had won over 6f before
15/20 – Failed to win their last race
13/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/20 – Rated 90-101
13/20 – Carried 9-1 or more
13/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/20 – Came from a double-figure stall
11/20 – Had 7 or more runs that season
11/20 – Unplaced favourites
11/20 – Winning distance 1 length or less
10/20 – Ran at either Doncaster (3), Goodwood (4) or Haydock (3) last time out
9/20 – Had raced at Ayr before
4/20 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/20 – Winning favourites (4 winning favs since 1980)
2/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/20 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 8)
0/20 – Filly or mare winners
11 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 8 or higher (4 of the last 16 winners came from stall 8)
Since 1980 just five winners aged 6 or older
The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronsiea in 1930/31
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 15/1
Note: The 2018 renewal was a dead-heat

 

4.15 – Virgin Bet Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV

9/9 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
9/9 - Won at least twice before
9/9 - Rated between 89 and 96
8/9 - Won previously over 1m
7/9 - Aged between 3-5 years-old
7/9 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/9 - Drawn between stalls 3 and 9 (inc)
7/9 - Carried 9-3 or less in weight
7/9 - Finished in the top 4 last time out
5/9 - Irish bred
5/9 - Placed favourites
5/9 - Had run at Ayr before
3/9 - Ridden by a claiming jockey
2/9 - Trained by David O’Meara
2/9 - Winning favourites
Johan (9/2) won the race in 2020

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)


2.15 -
Dubai International Airport World Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 5f34y ITV

18/19 – Raced four or more times that season
17/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
16/19 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
16/19 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
16/19 – Won a Listed or Group race before
15/19 – Won over 5f previously
14/19 - Aged 5 or younger
13/19 – Won 4 or more times
12/19 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
8/19 – Previous Group race winners
6/19 – Ran at the Curragh last time out (inc 3 of last 8 winners)
6/19 – Won their last race
6/19 – Favourites
5/19 – Mare winners
Lazuli (5/2) won the race in 2020
Maid In India (12/1) won the race in 2019
Mr Lupton (11/4 fav) won the race in 2018

 

2.50 –Dubai Duty Free Legacy Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m3f5y ITV

19/19 – Won over 1m2f (or further) previously
18/19 – Priced 9/1 or less
15/19 – Aged 5 or younger
15/19 – Had won at Listed or better class previously
14/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
14/19 – Had 4 or more career wins
11/19 – Favourites placed
11/19 – Raced at Newbury before
10/19 – Had won a Group race before
8/19 – Raced 5 or more times that season
7/19 – Won their last race
4/19 – Favourites that won
4/19 – Trained by David Simcock (including 4 of last 6 runnings)
4/19 – Raced at York last time
2/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Elarqam (2/1) won the race in 2020
Desert Encounter (9/4) won the race in 2019 and 2017

 

3.25 – Dubai Duty Free Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m2f ITV

11/11 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Won over 1m2f or further before
10/11 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
9/11 – Won 3 or 4 times
9/11 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
7/11 – Drawn 8 or lower
6/11 – Rated between 92 and 96 (inc)
5/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Winners from stalls 1 (2) or 13 (2)
4/11 – Had run at Newbury before
Ilaraab (15/2) won the race in 2020

 

4.00 – Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 6f8y ITV

15/19 – Priced 5/1 or shorter
15/19 – Won from draw 5 or lower
14/19 – Raced 3 or more times
14/19 – Won over 6f previously
14/19 – Favourites placed
12/19 – Foaled in March or later
11/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/19 – Favourites (or joint) that won
8/19 – Won exactly two races before
7/19 – Won by an April foal
6/19 – Won their previous race
5/19 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
4/19 – Ran in the Gimcrack last time out (York)
2/19 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/19 – Trained by Karl Burke
2/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey
0/19 – Filly winners

 

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Ayr Gold Cup Trends

Run over 6f, the Ayr Gold Cup is a handicap race open to horses aged 3 or older and staged at Ayr racecourse. The line-up is put together from the highest-rated horses entered, with the maximum number of runners currently standing at 27 – any horses that don’t make the race are offered the chance to run in the consolation races – the Ayr Silver and Bronze Cups. Did you know since 1980 we’ve seen just 3 winning favourites?

Here at Geegeez we take a look back at recent winners and gives you the key trends to look out for ahead of the 2021 renewal – this year run on Saturday 18th September.

Recent Ayr Gold Cup Winners

2020 - Nahaarr (7/2 fav)
2019 – Angel Alexander (28/1)
2018 – Baron Bolt (28/1) & Son Of A Rest (5/1 fav)
2017 - Donjuan Triumphant (13/2)
2016 – Brando (11/1)
2015 – Don’t Touch (6/1 fav)
2014 – Louis The Pious (10/1)
2013 – Highland Colori (20/1)
2012 – Captain Ramius (16/1)
2011 – Our Jonathan (11/1)
2010 – Redford (14/1)
2009 – Jimmy Styles (14/1)
2008 – Regal Parade (18/1)
2007 – Advanced (20/1)
2006 – Fonthill Road (16/1)
2005 – Presto Shinko (12/1)
2004 – Funfair Wane (33/1)
2003 – Quito (20/1)
2002 – Funfair Wane (16/1)

Key Ayr Gold Cup Betting Trends

20/20 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
18/20 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
17/20 – Had 3 or more wins to their name
15/20 – Had won over 6f before
15/20 – Failed to win their last race
13/20 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/20 – Rated 90-101
13/20 – Carried 9-1 or more
13/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/20 – Came from a double-figure stall
11/20 – Had 7 or more runs that season
11/20 – Unplaced favourites
11/20 – Winning distance 1 length or less
10/20 – Ran at either Doncaster (3), Goodwood (4) or Haydock (3) last time out
9/20 – Had raced at Ayr before
4/20 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/20 – Winning favourites (4 winning favs since 1980)
2/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/20 - Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 8)
0/20 – Filly or mare winners
11 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 8 or higher (4 of the last 16 winners came from stall 8)
Since 1980 just five winners aged 6 or older
The last horse to win back-to-back races was Heronsiea in 1930/31
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 15/1
Note: The 2018 renewal was a dead-heat

 

 

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Doncaster TV Trends: Saturday 11th Sept 2021

The ITV cameras head to Doncaster racecourse in the middle of September (8th-11th) for the 4-day St Leger Meeting – they will be covering races on Wednesday, Thursday, Friday and Saturday – with races spread across both ITV and ITV3.

As always, here at GeeGeez, we’ve got it all covered with all the TV race trends and stats – these should help narrow down the fields and also highlight the best profiles of horses that have done well in the races in the past.

Saturday 11th September 2021

 

1.45 – Portland Handicap Cl2 5f140y ITV3

18/19 – Carried 8-12 or more
16/19 – Had run 5 or more times that season
16/19 – Came from a double-figure stall
15/19 – Won over 6f before
15/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
13/19 – Winner rated between 95 and 101
13/19 – Run at Doncaster previously
12/19 – Won 4 or more times in their career
12/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/19 – Unplaced Favourites
10/19 – Placed in their last race
9/19 – Winners aged 5 years-old (inc 9 of last 13 years)
7/19 – Raced in that season’s Great St Wilfrid (Ripon)
4/19 – Raced at Ripon last time out
4/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Won by the Kevin Ryan yard
3/19 – Won last time out
2/19 – Ridden by William Buick
2/19 - Trained by Charles Hills
9 of the last 10 winners were aged 5 or younger
Stone Of Destiny (16/1) won the race in 2020
A Momentofmadness won the race in 2018 and was 2nd in 2019

 

2.20 – Champagne Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

19/20 - Returned  8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/20 – Won 1 or 2 times previously
17/20 – Favourites placed
16/20 – Had won over 7f before
16/20 – Won by a Feb or March foal
16/20 – Finished third or better last time out
13/20 – Won last time out
11/20 – Run at Sandown, Newbury, York or t­­he Curragh last time out
9/20 – Raced 3 or more times that season
9/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard
4/20 – Won by Godolphin
4/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/20 – Won by the Mark Johnston yard
2/20 – Won by the Charlie Appleby yard
2/20 – Won by the Saeed Bin Suroor yard
2/20 – Winners from stall 1
Chindit (15/8) won the race in 2020
Note: 2005 renewal was a dead-heat

3.00 – Cazoo Park Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV3

15/18 – Won 3 or more times before
15/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
15/18 – Run 3 or more times that season
15/18 – Won a Group race previously
15/18 – Returned  7/1 or shorter
14/18 – Won over 7f before
13/18 – Aged 4 or older
13/18 – Placed favourites
12/18 – Unplaced in their most recent race
10/18 – Run at either Goodwood (5), Newbury (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
8/18 – Placed horses from stall 1
8/18 – Had run at Doncaster before
5/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Won by a previous winner of the race
4 Irish-trained winners in the last 12 runnings
Wichita (11/4 fav) won the race in 2020

 

3.35 – Cazoo St Leger Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m6f132y ITV3

17/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
16/19 – Had 2 or 3 previous career wins
16/19 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
15/19 – Placed favourites
15/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Had won a Group race before
14/19 – Had won over at least 1m3f before
13/19 – Had 4 or 5 previous runs that season
12/19 – Winning distance of 1 length or more
12/19 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
12/19 – Had never raced over 1m6f or further before
11/19 – Officially rated 109 to 115
11/19 – Won last time out
8/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
8/19 – Ran in the Great Voltigeur last time out (3 won it)
5/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/19 – Trained by John Gosden
4/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (5 wins in total)
3/19 – Ran in the Gordon Stakes last time out (2 won it)
3/19 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse (6 wins in total)
2/19 – Ridden by William Buick
2/19 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/19 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won the race 6 times
Aidan O’Brien has trained 6 winners of the race
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 7/1

 

 

 

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Doncaster TV Trends: Fri 10th Sept 2021

The ITV cameras head to Doncaster racecourse in the middle of September (8th-11th) for the 4-day St Leger Meeting – they will be covering races on Wednesday, Thursday, Friday and Saturday – with races spread across both ITV and ITV3.

As always, here at GeeGeez, we’ve got it all covered with all the TV race trends and stats – these should help narrow down the fields and also highlight the best profiles of horses that have done well in the races in the past.

Friday 10th September 2021

 

1.40 – Cazoo Flying Scotsman Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV3

11/11 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
9/11 – Won last time out
9/11 – Foaled in March or later
9/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Won over 7f or 1m before
9/11 – Won just once before
7/11 – Winning favourites
7/11 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Drawn in stalls 2 (3) or 5 (3)
5/11 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/11 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/11 – Trained by John Gosden
2/11 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/11 – Ridden by Silvestre de Sousa
New Mandate (17/2) won this race in 2020

 

2.10 – Flying Childers Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV3

17/18 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
15/18 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
14/18 – Placed horses from stall 2 or 3
14/18 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
13/18 – Won 1-2 times before
13/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/18 – Placed favourites
7/18 – Winning favourites
7/18 – Ran at York last time
6/18 – Foaled in April
6/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
5/18 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
5/18 – Won last time out
1/18 – Irish-trained winners
1/18 – Winners from stall 1
Ubettabelieveit (40/1) won the race in 2020

 

2.40 – Doncaster Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 2m2f ITV3

18/20 – Had won over 1m6f or further before
18/20 – Had 2 or more runs that season
17/20 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
15/20 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
14/20 – Had run at Doncaster before (6 won)
14/20 – Placed last time out
13/20 – Had won 5 or more times before
13/20 – Aged 6 or younger
12/20 – Previous Group race winners
12/20 – Winning distance 1 or more lengths
11/20 – Ran at York last time out
9/20 – Winning favourites
8/20 – Unplaced favourites
8/20 – Won last time out
4/20 – Trained in Ireland
Spanish Mission (6/4 fav) won the race in 2020

 

3.15 – Mallard Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f132y ITV3

18/18 – Drawn in stall 11 or lower
17/18 – Aged 5 or younger
17/18 – Had won at least twice before
15/18 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
14/18 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
14/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
13/18 – Carried 8-10 or more
10/18 – Winning distance 1 length or more
9/18 – Had 5 or more runs that season
7/18 – Had run at Doncaster before (5 won)
7/18 – Ran at York last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites
6/18 – Returned a double-figure price
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/18 – Trained by Michael Bell
2/18 – Trained by James Fanshawe
2/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
Apparate (5/1) won this race in 2020

 

3.45 – Cazoo Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6 1/2f ITV3

11/11 – Didn’t win last time out
11/11 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
10/11 – Aged 5 or younger
10/11 – Won over 6f and 7f
10/11 – Won between 2-4 times
10/11 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
8/11 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
8/11 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
7/11 – Had run at Doncaster before
7/11 – Carried between 8-10 and 8-13 in weight
7/11 – Irish bred
2/11 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/11 – Winning favourites
0/11 – Winners from stall 1
Tranchee (7/2) won this race in 2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Irish Champion Stakes Trends

The Group One Irish Champion Stakes is staged at Leopardstown racecourse and run over a distance of 1m2f.

In recent years, the race has been dominated by trainer Aiden O’Brien – he’s won the race nine times since 2000, including for the last two years with his classy mare - Magical. Can he make it ten in 2021?

Here at Geegeez we are on hand with all the key stats ahead of the 2021 renewal – this year run on Saturday 11th Sept 2021.

 

Irish Champion Stakes Recent Winners

2020 - Magical (9/2)
2019 – Magical (11/10 fav)
2018 – Roaring Lion (8/11 fav)
2017 – Decorated Knight (25/1)
2016 – Almanzor (7/1)
2015 – Golden Horn (5/4 fav)
2014 – The Grey Gatsby (7/1)
2013 – The Fugue (4/1)
2012 – Snow Fairy (15/8)
2011 – So You Think (1/4 fav)
2010 – Cape Blanco (6/1)
2009 – Sea The Stars (4/6 fav)
2008 – New Approach (8/13 fav)
2007 – Dylan Thomas (8/15 fav)
2006 – Dylan Thomas (13/8 fav)
2005 – Oratorio (7/1)
2004 – Azamour (8/1)
2003 – High Chaparral (4/1)

 

Irish Champion Stakes Betting Trends

19/19 – Previous Group 1 winner
18/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/19 – Won 4 or more times before
17/19 – Had won over 1m2f before
16/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/19 – Ran at York, Sandown or Ascot last time out
15/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/19 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
14/19 – Rated 120+
14/19 – Placed favourites
11/19 – Trained in Ireland
10/19 – Aged 3 years-old
9/19 – Won last time out
8/19 – Winning favourites
8/19 – Previous course winners
8/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
5/19 – Returned odds-on
3/19 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 8)
3/19 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
2/19 – Won the Coral Eclipse last time out
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 4/1

St Leger Trends

The Cazoo-sponsored St Leger is the oldest of the five British flat racing Classics, as well as the longest in trip at Doncaster racecourse. Run over a distance of 1m6f and for 3 year-olds only this contest is targeted by horses that ran in that season’s Great Voltigeur, with 8 of the last 19 winners having ran in that York race before winning this, while in recent years with seen 8 winning favourites in the last 19 runnings.

Look out for John Gosden-trained horses as this powerful Newmarket stable has won the race four times in the last 19 years, while top Irish handler – Aidan O’Brien has saddled the winner of the St Leger six times, including 3 of the last 8 seasons with Leading Light, Capri and Kew Gardens. Also note any Godolphin-owned entries as they these famous blue silks have won the final English Classic of the season a staggering six times!

Here at GEEGEEZ we've got all the key stats ahead of the 2021 renewal – this year run on Saturday 11th September.

 

Recent St Leger Winners

2020 – Galileo Chrome (4/1)
2019 – Logician (5/6 fav)
2018 - Kew Gardens (3/1)
2017 - Capri (3/1 fav)
2016 – Harbour Law (22/1)
2015 – Simple Verse (8/1)
2014 – Kingston Hill (9/4 fav)
2013 – Leading Light (7/2 fav)
2012 – Encke (25/1)
2011 – Masked Marvel (15/2)
2010 – Arctic Cosmos (12/1)
2009 – Mastery (14/1)
2008 – Conduit (8/1)
2007 – Lucarno (7/2)
2006 – Sixties Icon (11/8 fav)
2005 – Scorpion (10/11 fav)
2004 – Rule of Law (3/1 jfav)
2003 – Brian Boru (5/4 fav)
2002 – Bollin Eric (7/1)

Key St Leger Trends

17/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
16/19 – Had 2 or 3 previous career wins
16/19 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
15/19 – Placed favourites
15/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Had won a Group race before
14/19 – Had won over at least 1m3f before
13/19 – Had 4 or 5 previous runs that season
12/19 – Winning distance of 1 length or more
12/19 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
12/19 – Had never raced over 1m6f or further before
11/19 – Officially rated 109 to 115
11/19 – Won last time out
8/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
8/19 – Ran in the Great Voltigeur last time out (3 won it)
5/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/19 – Trained by John Gosden
4/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (5 wins in total)
3/19 – Ran in the Gordon Stakes last time out (2 won it)
3/19 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse (6 wins in total)
2/19 – Ridden by William Buick
2/19 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/19 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won the race 6 times
Aidan O’Brien has trained 6 winners of the race
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 7/1

 

 

Sat TV Trends: 4th Sept 2021

This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Haydock, Kempton and Ascot to take in races across the three venues. The Group One Sprint Cup is the clear highlight of the weekend from Haydock - Did you know that 15 of the last 19 Sprint Cup winners were aged 5 or younger, while 14 of the last 19 came from stalls 5 or higher?

Here at GeeGeez we are on hand with all the key trends and stats - use these to help find the best winning profiles of past winners.

 

Saturday 4th September 2021

 

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.45 – Betfair Double Daily Rewards Superior Mile (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

15/17 – Won over 1m or further before
15/17 – Won 3 or more times before
14/17 – Winning distance 1 length or more
13/17 – Had won a Listed or better race before
13/17 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Had 3 or more runs that season
10/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/17 – Placed favourites
8/17 – Ran at either York or Ascot last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Had won at Haydock before
3/17 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Trained by Brian Ellison
Top Rank (11/2) won the race in 2020
7 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 1 or 4

 

2.20 – “My Odds Boost” On Betfair Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

11/12 – Came from stalls 3-10 (inc)
11/12 – Had run in the last 4 weeks
10/12 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
10/12 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/12 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Rated between 81-89 (inc)
6/12 – Came from stalls 6-10 (inc)
6/12 – Irish Bred
6/12 – Placed favourites
5/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Ran at either York (4) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Andrew Balding
Favourite Moon (9/4) won the race in 2020

 

2.55 – Betfair Exchange Old Borough Cup Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

17/18 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
17/18 – Had won at least twice before
16/18 – Had run 4 or more times that season
15/18 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
14/18 – Finished 4th or better last time out
14/18 – Rated 90 to 101
13/18 – Drawn in stall 7 or higher
10/18 – Winning distance ¾ lengths or less
10/18 – Had run over 1m6f before
9/18 – Carried 9-0 or more
9/18 – Ran at Haydock before
7/18 – Ran at York last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/18 – Ridden by Joe Fanning
2/18 – Trained by Iain Jardine
2/18 – Trained by Ian Williams
Euchen Glen (14/1) won this race in 2020
Reshoun (6/1) won this race in 2018

 

3.30 – Betfair Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

17/19 – Unplaced horses from stall 1
16/19 – Rated 111 or higher
16/19 – Had won over 6f before
15/19 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
15/19 - Aged 5 or younger
15/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
14/19 – Didn’t win their previous race
14/19 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
13/19 – Winning distance 1 length or less
13/19 – Had won a Group race before
12/19 –Had 4 or more runs that season
10/19 – Had run at Haydock before (4 had won)
9/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/19 – Ran at Deauville (4) or York (5) last time out
8/19 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/19 – Had won a Group 1 before
7/19 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 8/1

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

3.10 - Lavazza Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

9/11 – Rated between 84-95
9/11 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
7/11 – Had won just once before
6/11 – Horses placed from stall 10
6/11 – Carried 9-0 or more
6/11 – Had run at Ascot before (4 won)
5/11 – Returned a double-figure price
5/11 – Horses placed from stall 8
5/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/11 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
3/11 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/11 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor
Note: the 2015 running was a dead-heat

3.45 - Careys Foundation Supporting The Lighthouse Club Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

Only 9 previous runnings
10/10 – Had won over 7f before
10/10 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
9/10 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
9/10 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Had run at the course before
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Unplaced last time out
5/10 – Won by a claiming jockey (5 of the last 7)
5/10 – Had between 4-7 wins already
4/10 – Rated between 95-97
3/10 – Aged 5 years-old
2/10 – Winners from stall 12
0/10 – Winning favourites
Documenting (14/1) won the race in 2020
Salute The Soldier (10/1) won the race in 2019
Ripp Orf (7/1) won the race in 2018 and was second in 2019

 

 

 

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

2.40 – Unibet September Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

14/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
11/15 – Winning distance – 1 ¼l or more
10/15 – Didn’t win last time out
10/15 – Had won between 4-7 times before
9/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 – Horses from stall 2 that finished in the top 3
9/15 – Had run at Kempton before
6/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Ran at York (3) or Windsor (2) last time out
5/15 – Aged 4 years-old
4/15 – Godolphin-owned runners
4/15 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of the last 6)
3/15 – Winners from stall 2
3/15 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
1/15 – Winners from stall 1
Enable won the race in 2018 and 2020

 

3.15 - Unibet London Mile Series Final Handicap Cl2(3yo+) 1m ITV

14/14 – Had run at Kempton before
12/14 – Had won over a mile before
11/14 – Won between 3-7 times before
11/14 – Unplaced favourites
10/14 – Aged 4 years-old
9/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/14 – Returned 20/1 or bigger in the betting
5/14 – Rated between 77-85
5/14 – Horses from stall 9 that finished in the top 3
5/14 – Ran at Kempton last time out
5/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Winning favourites
5 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 14 (3) or 16 (2)

 

 

 

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Doncaster TV Trends: Thurs 9th Sept 2021

The ITV cameras head to Doncaster racecourse in the middle of September (8th-11th) for the 4-day St Leger Meeting – they will be covering races on Wednesday, Thursday, Friday and Saturday – with races spread across both ITV and ITV3.

As always, here at GeeGeez, we’ve got it all covered with all the TV race trends and stats – these should help narrow down the fields and also highlight the best profiles of horses that have done well in the races in the past.

 

Thursday 9th September 2021

 

1:40 - British Stallion Studs "Carrie Red" EBF Fillies´ Stakes (Nursery Handicap) Cl2 6f110y ITV3

18/18 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
16/18 – Carried 9-3 or less
15/18 – Placed third or better last time out
15/18 – Rated 74 or higher
14/18 – Had won at least one race before
12/18 – Won by a Feb or Mar-born foal
12/18 – Placed favourites
12/18 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
10/18 – Came from a double-figure stall
8/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Had run at Doncaster before
2/18 – Won by the Hannon team
2/18 – Won by the Richard Fahey team
2/18 – Won by the Paul Cole yard
Spright (10/1) won the race in 2020

 

2.10 - Weatherbys Scientific £200,000 2-Y-O Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 6f110y ITV3

16/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
13/17 – Finished 5th or better last time out
13/17 – Yet to win over 6 ½ or 7f
12/17 – Won between 1-2 times
11/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/17 – Won from a double-figure stall
9/17 – Foaled in Jan or Feb
8/17 – Raced at York last time out
8/17 – Placed favourites
5/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey (including 2 or the last 7 runnings)
2/17 – Had raced at Doncaster before
2/17 – Trained by Brian Meehan
2/17 – Ridden by Franny Norton
2/17 – Won by a filly
2/17 - Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 4)
2/17– Trained by Kevin Ryan (2 of last 8)
2/17 – Placed horses from stall 1 (third 2009)
1/17 – Irish-trained winners
11 of the last 14 winners carried 8-12 or less in weight
Line Of Departure (15/2) won this race in 2020

 

2.40Cazoo May Hill Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m ITV3

18/19 – Had 1 or 2 previous career wins
17/19 – Had won over 7f+ before
17/19 – Won by a Feb, Mar or April foal
15/19 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
12/19 – Won last time out
10/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
9/19 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 2
6/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/19 – Trained by John Gosden
2/19 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Indigo Girl (10/3) won the race in 2020
11 of the last 15 winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has only won the race once (2018)

3.15 – Park Hill Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m6f132y ITV3

16/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/18 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
13/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/18 – Won no more than 4 times before
11/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Previous Group winners
9/18 – Had run at Doncaster before
9/18 – Had won over at least 1m6f before
7/18 – Irish bred
7/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Won the Lilly Langtry (Goodwood) that season
5/18 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/18 – Trained by John Gosden
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
Pista (6/1) won this race in 2020

 

3.45 – Cazoo Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 7f ITV3

10/11 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
10/11 – Won over 6f or 7f
10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Drawn 7 or less
9/11 – Won between 1-2 times
9/11 – Carried 8-11 or more
8/11 – Rated 86-92
8/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Won over 7f before
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
6/11 – Irish bred
5/11 – Drawn 3 or less
4/11 – Had run at Doncaster before
3/11 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/11 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/11 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
Haqeeqy (12/1) won this race in 2020

 

 

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Haydock Sprint Cup Trends

 

Run at Haydock Park racecourse the Group One Sprint Cup is run over 6f and often attracts some of the best speedsters from around the world.

Here at GeeGeez we take a look back at previous winners and highlight the key trends ahead of the 2021  renewal – this year run on Saturday 4th September – Did you know that 15 of the last 19 Haydock Sprint Cup winners were aged 5 or younger?

 

Recent Haydock Sprint Cup Winners

2020 - Dream Of Dreams (5/2 fav)
2019 – Hello Youmzain (9/2 cfav)
2018 - The Tin Man (7/1)
2017 - Harry Angel (2/1 fav)
2016 – Quiet Reflection (7/2 fav)
2015 – Twilight Son (10/1)
2014 – G Force (11/1)
2013 – Gordon Lord Byron (7/2)
2012 – Society Rock (10/1)
2011 – Dream Ahead (4/1 fav)
2010 – Markab (12/1)
2009 – Regal Parade (14/1)
2008 – African Rose (7/2 fav)
2007 – Red Clubs (9/1)
2006 – Reverence (11/4 fav)
2005 – Goodricke (14/1)
2004 – Tante Rose (10/1)
2003 – Somnus (12/1)
2002 – Invincible Spirit (25/1)

 

Key Haydock Sprint Cup Betting Trends

17/19 – Unplaced horses from stall 1
16/19 – Rated 111 or higher
16/19 – Had won over 6f before
15/19 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
15/19 - Aged 5 or younger
15/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
14/19 – Didn’t win their previous race
14/19 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
13/19 – Winning distance 1 length or less
13/19 – Had won a Group race before
12/19 –Had 4 or more runs that season
10/19 – Had run at Haydock before (4 had won)
9/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/19 – Ran at Deauville (4) or York (5) last time out
8/19 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/19 – Had won a Group 1 before
7/19 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 8/1

 

 

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Newmarket Trends: Thurs 23rd Sept 2021

More decent horse racing action on Thursday 23rd September as the Racing TV cameras head to Newmarket for the opening day of their three-day Cambridgeshire Meeting.

We’ve four standout races on day one that include the Listed Rose Bowl Stakes and the Group Three Tattersalls Stakes.

As always, we are on hand with the key trends and our free tips on all the main races.

 

Newmarket Free Racing Tips & Trends (Thurs 23rd Sept 2021)

 

1.35 – Federation Of Bloodstock Agents Nursery Handicap Cl2 (2yo) 1m RTV

11/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/11 – Foaled in Feb or later
10/11 – Placed in the top three last time out
10/11 – Won between 0-2 times before
10/11 – Never raced at the track before
9/11 – Carried 8-10 or more in weight
9/11 – Won over 6f or 7f before
9/11 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Foaled in March or later
6/11 – Rated between 80-85 (inc)
6/11 – Placed favourites
4/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
3/11 – Winners from stall 9
3/11 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/11 – Ridden by William Buick
1/11 – Winning favourites
1/11 – Winners from stall 1
Lost In Space (15/8) won the race in 2021

 

2.10 – British Stallion Studs EBF Premier Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f RTV

2 previous running
Trainer Charlie Fellowes won this race in 2020
Trainer Andrew Balding won this race in 2019
Trainer Michael Dods has a 33% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Appleby is 0-from-26 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 22% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

2.45 – Tattersalls Stakes (Registered as the Somerville Tattersall Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 (2yo) 7f RTV

11/11 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
11/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
11/11 – Drawn in stalls 2 (4), 5 (4) or 7 (3)
11/11 – Won between 1-3 times before
10/11 – Foaled in Feb or later
10/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Favourites placed in the top 3
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/11 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/11 – Irish trained
2/11 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard
1/11 – Winners from stall 1
La Barrosa (1st 4/7 fav) won this race in 2020

 

3.20 – Jockey Club Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 2m RTV

10/11 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
9/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Placed favourites
8/11 – Had run at the course before (3 won)
8/11 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
8/11 – Won 3 or more times
8/11 – Had won over at least 1m6f before
7/11 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Trained by John Gosden
3/11 – Ridden by William Buick
2/11 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Ranch Hand (15/2) won the race in 2020
Withhold (10/11 fav) won the race in 2019

 

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 28th Aug 2021

More LIVE horse racing action this weekend as the ITV4 cameras head to Goodwood, Newmarket and Beverley – we’ve got it all covered with the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends

 

1.50 - tote Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV4

11/11 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
11/11 – Yet to win a Group or Listed race
11/11 – Foaled in Jan, Feb or March
11/11 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
11/11 – Won 1 or 2 times before
9/11 – Ran at Newmarket, Goodwood or Ascot last time out
8/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Won last time out
7/11 – Had won over 7f before
6/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/11 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/11 – Ridden by Harry Bentley
Isabella Giles (11/4) won the race in 2020

 

2.25 - tote Quadpot Starts Here Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV4

10/11 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
10/11 – Won over 7f before
10/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Won between 3-5 times before
9/11 – Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Carried 9-0 or more in weight
8/11 – Drawn between stalls 5-9 (inc)
8/11 – Had run at Goodwood before
8/11 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Had run at Goodwood or Ascot last time out
6/11 – Winning favourites
6/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/11 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
Cold Stare (13/2) won the race in 2020

 

 

3:00 - tote March Stakes (Group 3) (In Memory Of John Dunlop) Cl1 (3yo) 1m6f ITV4

11/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Placed favourites
10/11 – Yet to win a Group or Listed race
8/11 – Won over at least 1m4f in the past
8/11 – Drawn in stalls 4 or lower
8/11 – Had run at the track before
7/11 – Won by a 3 year-old (last 7 runnings)
5/11 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Trained by William Haggas

 

3:35 - tote Celebration Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV4

11/11 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
10/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/11 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
10/11 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Had won over 1m before
8/11 – Won between 3- 6 times before
8/11 – Had won a Group race before
7/11 – Drawn in stalls 1, 2 or 3
6/11 – Had run at the track before
5/11 – Won by a 3 year-old
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/11 – Ran at Salisbury last time out
3/11 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
3/11 – Won last time out
2/11 – Trained by David Simcock
Century Dream (11/4 fav) won this race in 2020
Duke Of Hazzard (3/1) won this in 2019

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

 

2:45 - Close Brothers Hopeful Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV4

11/11 – Has won over 6f in the past
11/11 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
8/11 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
8/11 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
7/11 – Won between 2-4 times before
6/11 – Placed last time out
6/11 – Ran at the track before
5/11 – Stall 1 horse placed (top 3)
3/11 – Winning favourite
2/11 – Trained by Dean Ivory
Brad The Brief (10/1) won this race in 2020

 

 

Beverley Horse Racing Trends

 

2.05 - William Hill Silver Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV4

10/10 - Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 - Drawn in stalls 4 of lower
9/10 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 - Carried 9st or less in weight
8/10 - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/10 - Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/10 - Favourites placed
7/10 - Irish bred
3/10 - Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/10 - Winning favourite
2/10 - Trained by Richard Fahey
2/10 - Trained by Karl Burke
2/10 - Ridden by Ben Curtis (last two)

 

 

3.15 - William Hill Beverley Bullet Sprint Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f ITV4

10/10 - Aged 4 or older
10/10 - Previous winners over 5f
10/10 - Returned 10/1 or shorter
9/10 - Aged 5 or older
9/10 - Rated 100+
9/10 - Placed favourites
9/10 - Had won 5+ races before
8/10 - Unplaced last time out
8/10 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/10 - Drawn in stalls 4 or lower
7/10 - Ran at Ascot (3), York (2) or Goodwood (2) last time
6/10 - Had run at the track before
3/10 - Winning favourite
2/10 - Trained by David Griffiths
2/10 - Ridden by Jamie Spencer
Dakota Gold (11/2) won the race in 2020
Judicial (13/2) won the race in 2019

 

 

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