Sunday TV Trends: 28th June 2020

This Sunday (28th June 2020) there is more LIVE ITV horse racing to enjoy with seven races spread across both Windsor and Newmarket.

We’ve got the key trends and stats for each race, plus our FREE TIPS. Use these key trends to whittle down the runners and find the best past winning profiles.

 

Windsor Horse Racing Trends (Sky/ITV4)

 

2:25 - Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 6f ITV4

14/15 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
13/15 – Had won over 6f before
12/15 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
10/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/15 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
5/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Drawn in stall 3
3/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

Note: This race is normally staged at Newbury

 

3:00 - Midsummer Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV4

 10/10 – Returned 8/1 or less in the betting
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Ran at Newmarket (3), Ascot (4) or York (2) last time out
9/10 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
9/10 – Aged 5 or younger
8/10 – Rated between 102 and 110
8/10 – Favourites placed in the top three
7/10 – Drawn 4 or lower
7/10 – Won over at least 1m before
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 4 or lower
3/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Had run at the course before
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

Your first 30 days for just £1

 

3:35 - attheraces.com Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 1m ITV4

 No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 36% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston is only 2 from 27 (7%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has a 29% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Luke Morris has only a 4% record riding 3 year—olds a the track

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

 

2:45 - Betway Empress Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV4

18/18 – Never raced at the track before
16/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
13/18 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
10/18 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs
10/18 – Didn’t win their previous race
9/18 – Came from stall 5 or lower
7/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time (2 Albany, 3 Queen Mary)
4/18 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/18 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

 

 

3:20 - Betway Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 6f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Roger Varian has a 16% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

 

3:55 - Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Jockey David Egan is only 1 from 35 (3%) riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

4:30 - Betway Fred Archer Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV4

18/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/18 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
15/18 – Had between 0 and 2 previous runs that season
14/18 – Didn’t win their previous race
14/18 – Placed favourites
13/18 – Had won over 1m4f (or further) before
11/18 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
11/18 – Aged 4 years-old
11/18 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
9/18 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
3/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/18 – Won by the Kremlin House stable (Roger Varian)
8 of the last 10 winners drawn 5 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 27th June 2020

Another decent day of LIVE ITV this Saturday as the cameras head to Newcastle and Newmarket. 

The Northumberland Plate takes centre stage at Newcastle racecourse, while the ITV cameras also head to Newmarket, plus it’s Irish Derby Day over at the Curragh - here at GeeGeez.co.uk we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

So, put the odds in your favour – if a certain trend has happened many times in the past then there is a good chance of it repeating itself. As always, we hope these stats help direct you towards a few winners and pay for the weekend expenses.

Let’s get started!

 

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Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV and RacingTV)


2.05 – Betway Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 7f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Mick Appleby has a 38% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Tom Dascombe is only 1 from 21 (5%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 24% record riding 3 year-olds a the track
Jockey Richard Kingscote is only 1 from 33 (3%) riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

2.40 – Betway Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

16/18 – Won over 7f before
16/18 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
16/18 – Had at least 1 run already that season
13/18 – Aged 5 or younger
12/18 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/18 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
9/18 – Came from stall 3 or lower
8/18 – Unplaced favourites
6/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon (3 of last 9 runnings)
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1
Limato won the race in 2019
Sir Dancealot won the race in 2018

 

3.15 – Betway Fairway Stakes (Listed) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

13/13 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Had won between 1-2 times before
11/13 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
11/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/13 – Favourites placed in the top three
11/13 – Had won over 1m or further before
10/13 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Draw 1,2 or 3
8/13 – Had raced at Newmarket before (Rowley)
7/13 – Winning favourites
6/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/13 – US-bred winners
3/13 – Trained John Gosden
3/13 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/13 – Godolphin-owned winners
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/13 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

Your first 30 days for just £1

 

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)


1.50 – Betfair Backs Racing Welfare
Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

17/18 – Had won over 6f before
16/18 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
15/18 – Unplaced last time out
14/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Has raced within the last 4 weeks
12/18 – Yet to win a Group race
11/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/18 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/18 – Aged 5 or older
8/18 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/18 – Had run at Newcastle before
2/18 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/18 – Won last time out
11 of the last 17 winners came between stalls 1-5
Just 2 winners from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings (and only 4 horses placed)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

2.25 – Betfair Free Bet Streak Gosforth Park Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+) 5f

Just 4 past runnings
Trainers Richard Fahey, Tim Easterby, Paul Midgley and David Nicholls have won the race before
4/4 – Had run at Newcastle before
4/4 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
3/4 – Rated between 88 and 93 (inc)
3/4 – Placed favourites
3/4 – Won over 5f before
3/4 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
3/4 – Drawn in stalls 7 or higher
3/4 – Returned between 8/1 and 14/1 in the betting
2/4 – Won last time out
2/4 – Ran at Musselburgh last time out
1/4 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 8/1
Copper Knight won this race in 2018

 

3.00 – Betfair Exchange Hoppings Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

4/4 – Drawn stalls 5 or lower
4/4 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
3/4 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
3/4 – Yet to run at the track
3/4 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/4 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
3/4 – Rated between 95 and 100
2/4 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 4/1

 

3.35 – Betfair Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y ITV4

Past Northumberland Plate Winners

2018 -  Withhold (5/1 fav)
2017 - 
Higher Power (11/2)
2016 –
Antiquarium (16/1)
2015 –
Quest For More (15/2)
2014 –
Angel Gabrial (4/1 fav)
2013 –
Tominator (8/1)
2012 –
Ile de Re (5/2 fav)
2011 –
Tominator (25/1)
2010 – Overturn (14/1)
2009 – Som Tala (16/1)
2008 – Arc Bleu (14/1)
2007 – Juniper Girl (5/1 fav)
2006 – Toldo (33/1)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (14/1)
2004 – Mirjan (33/1)
2003 – Unleash (10/1)
2002 – Bangalore (8/1)

Key Northumberland Plate Trends

16/17  - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
16/17 – Finished fifth or better last time out
15/17 – Came from stall 14 or lower
15/17 – Aged 6 or younger
13/17 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
13/17 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
10/17 – Carried 8-12 or less
9/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/17 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
6/17 – Won by a National Hunt yard
5/17 – Won their previous race
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 11 winners)
3/17 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
2/17 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/17 – Trained by Roger Charlton (2 of last 4)
1/17 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 13/1
Note: The 2016, 2017 & 2018 running was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle

Other Northumberland Plate Facts

 

No horse older than 8 has won the race since 1985
Five of the last 13 winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time out
Nine winning favourites (1 joint) since 1985, including 3 of the last 7
Paul Cole trained the winner in 1997, 1998 & 2001

 

Curragh Horse Racing Trends (Ire)

7.15 – Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) (Colts and Fillies) (3yo) 1m4f

 

Recent Irish Derby Winners

2019 – SOVEREIGN (33/1)
2018 – LATROBE (14/1)
2017 – CAPRI (6/1)
2016 – HARZAND (4/6 fav)
2015 – JACK HOBBS (10/11 fav)
2014 – AUSTRALIA (1/8 fav)
2013 – TRADING LEATHER (6/1)
2012 - CAMELOT  (1/5 fav)
2011 – TREASURE BEACH (7/2)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (7/2)
2009 – FAME AND GLORY (8/11 fav)
2008 – FROZEN FIRE (16/1)
2007 – SOLDIER OF FORTUNE (5/1)
2006 – DYLAN THOMAS (9/2 fav)
2005 – HURRICANE RUN (4/5 fav)
2004 – GREY SWALLOW (10/1)
2003 – ALAMSHAR (4/1)

Key Irish Derby Betting Trends and Stats

17/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
15/17 – Won by an Irish-based yard
15/17 – Favourites that were placed in the top 4
13/17 – Had 3 or more wins in their career
13/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Won a Group race before
13/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
12/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/17 – Failed to win their last race
12/17 – Ran in the Epsom Derby last time out
11/17 – Had never raced at the Curragh before
10/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won it 13 times in total)
7/17 – Placed in the Epsom Derby (3 winners, Harzand, Australia & Camelot)
4/17 – Previous Group 1 winners
3/17 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 13/2

 

 

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2020 Royal Ascot Trends – Day Five (Sat 20th June)

2020 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

The 2020 ROYAL ASCOT  fixture, which is set to be staged later this year, still hangs in the balance due to the ongoing coronavirus pandemic, but Ascot officials have already stated that if the meeting does get the all-clear to race - it will be done behind closed doors.

Into DAY FIVE at  ROYAL ASCOT we've EIGHT more mouth-watering races to look forward to that include the Chesham Stakes and the Hardwicke Stakes, but all eyes will be on some of the best sprinters in the world as they line-up for the Group One Diamond Jubilee Stakes at 4.20.

Did you know that 14 of the last 17 Diamond Jubilee Stakes winners were aged 5 or younger?

Like all big race days here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats, plus our free tips (to be added once final runners are out) - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

Saturday 20th June 2020

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12:40 - Silver Wokingham Handicap (3yo+) 6f

New Race

1.15 - Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) 5f

Queen Mary Recent Winners

2019 – Raffle Prize (18/1)
2018 – Signora Cabello (25/1)
2017 – Heartache (5/1)
2016 – Lady Aurelia (2/1 fav)
2015 – Acapulco (5/2 fav)
2014 – Anthem Alexander (9/4 fav)
2013 – Rizeena (6/1)
2012 – Ceiling Kitty (20/1)
2011 – Best Terms (12/1)
2010 – Maqaasid (9/4 fav)
2009 – Jealous Again (13/2)
2008 – Langs Lash (25/1)
2007 – Elletelle (20/1)
2006 – Gilded (11/2)
2005 – Flashy Wings (4/1 jfav)
2004 – Damson (11/2 jfav)
2003 – Attraction (13/8 fav)
2002 – Romantic Liason (16/1)

Queen Mary Stakes Trends

17/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
17/18 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
15/18 – Had won over 5f (or shorter) before
15/18 – Won by a horse foaled between Jan-Mar
15/18 – Won their previous race
12/18 – Placed favourites
7/18 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
7/18 – Returned a double-figure price
3/18 – Trained by Wesley Ward (including 2 of last 5 runnings)
2/18 – Won by trainer Richard Hannon

 

1.50 - Coventry Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f

Recent Coventry Stakes Winners

Your first 30 days for just £1

2019 – Arizona (15/8 fav)
2018 – Calyx (2/1 fav)
2017 – Rajasinghe (11/1)
2016 – Caravaggio (13/8 fav)
2015 – Buratino (6/1)
2014 – The Wow Signal (5/1 jfav)
2013 – War Command (20/1)
2012 – Dawn Approach (7/2)
2011 – Power (4/1 fav)
2010 – Strong Suit (15/8 fav)
2009 – Canford Cliffs (7/4 fav)
2008 – Art Connoisseur (8/1)
2007 – Henrythenavigator (11/4 fav)
2006 – Hellvelyn (4/1 jfav)
2005 – Red Clubs (11/2)
2004 – Iceman (5/1 jfav)
2003 – Three Valleys (7/1)
2002 – Statue Of Liberty (16/1)

Coventry Stakes Trends

18/18 – Won their previous race
17/18 – Had never raced at Ascot before
16/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 - Came from the top three in the betting
15/18 – Had between 1 and 2 previous career runs
13/18 - Foaled in either Feb or March
12/18 – Won over 6f before
10/18 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
6/18 – Ran at either Newbury or Newmarket last time out
6/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon
1/18 - Won by a Jan foal
10 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 6 or higher
7 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 9-19 (inc)

 

2.25 - Coronation Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m

Coronation Stakes Past Winners

2019 – Watch Me (20/1)
2018 – Alpha Centauri (11/4 fav)
2017 – Winter (4/9 fav)
2016 – Qemah (6/1)
2015 – Ervedya (3/1)
2014 – Rizeena (11/2)
2013 – Sky Lantern (9/2 jfav)
2012 – Fallen For You (12/1)
2011 – Immortal Verse (8/1)
2010 – Lillie Langtry (7/2 fav)
2009 – Ghanaati (2/1 fav)
2008 – Lush Lashes (5/1)
2007 – Indian Ink (8/1)
2006 – Nannina (6/1 jfav)
2005 – Maids Causeway (9/2)
2004 – Attraction (6/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Rhythm (4/7 fav)
2002 – Sophisticat (11/2)

Coronation Stakes Recent Trends

18/18 – Had won over at least 7f before
16/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
13/18 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 previously
13/18 – Had won over at least a 1 mile before
9/18 – Had run at Ascot before (3 winners)
8/18 – Ran in that season’s English 1,000 Guineas
8/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
8/18 – Unplaced last time out
5/18 – Ran in that season’s Irish 1,000 Guineas
3/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
12 of the last 14 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
No winners from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
12 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
Just two horses placed from stall 2 (2nd ) in the last 14 runnings
8 of the last 14 winners were non UK-trained – French (4), Irish (4)

 

3.00 - St James´s Palace Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m

Recent St James’s Palace Stakes Winners

2019 – Circus Maximus (10/1)
2018 – Without Parole (9/4 fav)
2017 – Barney Roy (5/2)
2016 – Galileo Gold (6/1)
2015 – Gleneagles (8/15 fav)
2014 – Kingman (8/11 fav)
2013 – Dawn Approach (5/4 fav)
2012 – Most Improved (9/1)
2011 – Frankel (3/10 fav)
2010 – Canford Cliffs (11/4 jfav)
2009 – Mastercraftsman (5/6 fav)
2008 – Henrythenavigator (4/7 fav)
2007 – Excellent Art (8/1)
2006 – Araafa (2/1 fav)
2005 – Shamardal (7/4 fav)
2004 – Azamour (9/2)
2003 - Zafeen (8/1)
2002 – Rock Of Gibraltar (4/5 fav)

St James’s Palace Stakes Trends

18/18 - Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
15/18 – Favourites that were placed
15/18 – Had won over a mile before
14/18– Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
12/18 – Previous Group 1 winners
12/18 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
10/18 – Won their previous race
9/18 – Ran in the Irish 2000 Guineas (Curragh) last time out (7 won it)
6/18 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/18 – Had run at Ascot before
Just 2 winners from stall 1 or 2 in the last 12 runnings
6 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 4 or 5

 

3.35 - Diamond Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 6f

Diamond Jubilee Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – Blue Point (6/4 fav)
2018 – Merchant Navy (4/1)
2017 – The Tin Man (9/2)
2016 – Twilight Son (7/2)
2015 – Undrafted (14/1)
2014 – Slade Power (7/2 fav)
2013 – Lethal Force (11/1)
2012 – Black Caviar (1/6 fav)
2011 – Society Rock (25/1)
2010 – Starspanglebanner (13/2 jfav)
2009 – Art Connoisseur (20/1)
2008 – Kingsgate Native (33/1)
2007 – Soldier’s Tale (9/1)
2006 – Les Arcs (33/1)
2005 – Cape Of Good Hope (8/1)
2004 - Fayr Jag (12/1)
2003 – Choisir (13/2)

Diamond Jubilee Stakes Key Trends

16/17 – Previous distance (6f) winners
14/17 – Aged 5 or younger
14/17 – Previous Group Race winners
12/17 – Failed to win their last race
12/17 – Had run at Ascot before
10/17 – Won by a UK-based yard
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
6/17 – Ran in the King’s Stand Stakes earlier at the meeting
4/17 – Winning favourite (joint)
2/17 – Trained by James Fanshawe
6 of the last 15 winners were Irish-bred
8 of the last 15 winners came from a double-figure draw
No winner from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
6 of the last 15 winners returned a double-figure price.

 

4.10 - Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-110) 6f

Wokingham Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – Cape Byron (7/2 fav)
2018 – Bacchus (33/1)
2017 – Out Do (25/1)
2016 – Outback Traveller (10/1)
2015 – Interception (10/1)
2014 – Baccarat (9/1)
2013 – York Glory (14/1)
2012 – Dandy Boy (33/1)
2011 – Deacon Blues (15/2)
2010 – Laddies Poker Two (9/2 fav)
2009 – High Standing (8/1)
2008 – Big Timer I (20/1)
2007 – Dark Missile (22/1)
2006 – Baltic King (10/1)
2005 – Iffraaj (9/4 fav)
2004 – Lafi (6/1 fav)
2003 – Ratio (14/1) / Fayr Jag (10/1)  (dead-heat)

 

Wokingham Stakes Key Trends

20/20 – Had won before over 6f or 7f
20/20 – Had no more than 4 runs that season­­
19/20 – Finished sixth or better last time out
18/20 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
17/20 – Had won a race over 6f before
17/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/20 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
12/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/20 – Had run at Ascot before (7 had won here)
10/20 – Ran at either Ascot, Goodwood or Newmarket last time
6/20 – Won their previous race
5/20 – Won by the favourite
10 of the last 14 winners carried 9-3 or less in weight
9 of the last 14 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
10 of the last 14 winners came from a double-figure draw
9 of the last 10 winners came from a double-figure stall
7 of the last 9 runnings - the top 2 finishers all came from double-figure stalls
Horse from stall 15 has been placed in 3 of the last 9 runnings
Since 1980 there have been only 8 winning favourites
Since 1980 there have been 31 winners returning a double-figure price

 

4.40 - Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions Race) (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 2m5f159y

Queen Alexandra Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – Cleonte (7/2)
2018 – Pallasator (11/2)
2017 – Oriental Fox (10/1)
2016 – Commissioned (12/1)
2015 – Oriental Fox (4/1)
2014 – Pique Sous (11/4)
2013 – Chiberta King (8/1)
2012 – Simenon (11/4 fav)
2011 – Swingkeel (11/2)
2010 – Bergo (10/1)
2009 – Caracciola (6/1)
2008 – Honolulu (7/4 fav)
2007 – Enjoy The Moment (6/1)
2006 – Baddam (11/2)
2005 – Cruzspiel (10/1)
2004 – Corrib Eclipse (25/1)
2003 – Cover Up (4/5 fav)

Queen Alexandra Stakes Key Trends

15/17 – Finished unplaced last time out
11/17 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
10/17 – Had run at Ascot before
10/17 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years old
5/17 – Won by a NH yard
5/17 – Irish-trained winners
3/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
10 of the last 14 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
12 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 9-16 (inc)
11 of the last 14 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

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2020 Royal Ascot Trends – Day Four (Fri 19th June)

2020 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

GOOD NEWS - The 2020 ROYAL ASCOT  fixture is on!!  But, Ascot officials have already stated it will be done behind closed doors.

On DAY FOUR at  ROYAL ASCOT we've seven more mouth-watering races to look forward to that include the Group One Commonwealth Cup, plus the Group Two Norfolk Stakes and Hardwicke Stakes.

Did you know that 15 of the last 17 Hardwicke Stakes winners were placed in their last race?

Like all big race days here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats, plus our free tips (to be added once final runners are out) - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

Friday 19th June 2020

  ================================================================  

1.15 - Palace Of Holyroodhouse Handicap (3yo) 5f

New Race

 

1.50 - Albany Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f

Albany Stakes Past Winners

2019 – Daahyeh (4/1 fav)
2018 – Main Edition (7/1)
2017 – Different League (20/1)
2016 – Brave Anna (16/1)
2015 – Illuminate (4/1 fav)
2014 – Cursory Glance (14/1)
2013 – Kiyoshi (8/1)
2012 – Newfangled (7/4 fav)
2011 – Samitar (16/1)
2010 – Memory (15/2)
2009 – Habaayib (16/1)
2008 – Cuis Ghaire (8/11 fav)
2007 – Nijoom Dubai (50/1)
2006 - Sander Camillo (4/1 fav)
2005 – La Chunga (10/1)
2004 – Jewel In The Sand (10/1)
2003 – Silca’s Gift (5/1)

 


Albany Stakes Key Trends

17/17 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs
17/17 – Never raced at Ascot before
16/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Won by either a Feb or Mar foal
13/17 – Won their previous race
12/17 – Placed favourites
9/17 – Returned a double-figure price
7/17 – Won by trainers Channon (2), Hannon (3) or Noseda (2)
6/17 – Previous winner over 6f
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Ran at Sandown last time
The last 14 winners came from double-figure stalls
11 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 11-15 (inc)

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2.25 - Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (2yo) 5f

Norfolk Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – A’Ali (5/1)
2018 – Shang Shang Shang (5/1)
2017 – Sioux Nation (14/1)
2016 – Prince Of Lir (8/1)
2015 – Waterloo Bridge (12/1)
2014 – Baitha Alga (8/1)
2013 – No Nay Never (4/1)
2012 – Reckless Abandon (4/1)
2011 – Bapak Chinta (6/1)
2010 – Approve (16/1)
2009 – Radiohead (10/1)
2008 – South Central (11/4 fav)
2007 – Winker Watson (2/1 fav)
2006 – Dutch Art (11/4)
2005 – Masta Plasta (7/2)
2004 – Blue Dakota (5/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Valour (4/1)

Norfolk Stakes Key Trends

17/17 – Had at least 1 previous run
16/17 – Previous winners over 5f
15/17 – Had a RPR of 106+
15/17 – Had never raced at Ascot before
14/17 – Won their previous race
13/17 – Foaled in March or April
10/17 – Favourites placed
10/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
5/17 – Returned a double-figure price
3/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Ran at Windsor last time out
2/17 – Trained by Wesley Ward
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (4 wins in total)
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Aidan O’Brien has trained 2 of the last 5 winners
10 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 7-12 (inc)

 

3.00 - Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m4f

Hardwicke Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – Defoe (11/4 fav)
2018 – Crystal Ocean (4/7 fav)
2017 – Idaho (9/2)
2016 – Dartmouth (10/1)
2015 – Snow Sky (12/1)
2014 – Telescope (7/4 fav)
2013 – Thomas Chippendale (8/1)
2012 – Sea Moon (3/1 fav)
2011 – Await the Dawn (4/6 fav)
2010 – Harbinger (8/11 fav)
2009 – Bronze Cannon (8/1)
2008 – Macarthur (11/8 fav)
2007 – Maraahel (10/3)
2006 – Maraahel (9/2)
2005 – Bandari (10/1)
2004 – Doyen (6/5 fav)
2003 – Indian Creek (14/1)

Hardwicke Stakes Key Trends

17/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
17/17 – Had won a Group 2 or 3 previously
15/17 – Placed last time out
15/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/17 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
12/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3), Mark Johnston (2) or Sir Michael Stoute (7)
11/17 – Had run at Ascot before
11/17 – Aged 4 years-old (inc last 9 winners)
11/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/17 – Won their previous race
7/17 – Ran at Epsom last time out (Coronation Cup)
7/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
12 of the last 14 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
10 of the last 14 winners returned 9/2 or shorter
No winner from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
7 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)

 

 

3.35 - The Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) (Class 1) (3yo) 6f

Commonwealth Cup Recent Winners


2019 – Advertise (8/1)
2018 - Eqtidaar (12/1)
2017 - Caravaggio (5/6 fav)
2016 - Quiet Reflection (7/4 fav)
2015 - Muhaarar (10/1)

Commonwealth Cup Trends

5/5 – Won over 6f before
5/5 – Drawn 8 or lower
4/5 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
4/5 – Won 3+ times before
4/5 – Had run at Ascot before
4/5 – Rated 117 or higher
2/5 – Winning favourite
2/5 – Came from stall 8
2/5 – Won last time out

 

4.10 - Queen´s Vase (Listed) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 2m

Queen´s Vase Recent Winners

2019 – Dashing Willoughby (6/1)
2018 – Kew Gardens (10/3)
2017 – Stradivarius (11/2)
2016 – Sword Fighter (33/1)
2015 – Aloft (5/2 fav)
2014 – Hartnell (7/2)
2013 – Leading Light (5/4 fav)
2012 – Estimate (3/1 fav)
2011 – Namibian (7/2 fav)
2010 – Mikhail Glinka (2/1 fav)
2009 – Holberg (7/1)
2008 – Patkai (6/4 fav)
2007 – Mahler (7/1)
2006 – Soapy Danger (4/1)
2005 – Melrose Avenue (4/1)
2004 – Duke Of Venice (9/2)
2003 – Shanty Star (7/2 fav)

Queen´s Vase Key Trends

15/17 – Had never raced at Ascot before
12/17 – Had at least 2 previous career wins
11/17 – Placed last time out
11/17 – Had run over at least 1m4f before
9/17 – Placed favourites
6/17 – Ran at either Lingfield or Haydock last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
6/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
5/17 - Trained by Mark Johnston
4/17 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 - Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 4 times in all)
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
No winner from stall 1 in the last 14 years
The horse from stall 7 has been placed in 6 of the last 13 runnings (4 wins)
13 of the last 14 winners came from a single-figure stall
6 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 7 or 8

 

4.40 - Duke of Edinburgh Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) 1m4f

Duke of Edinburgh Past Winners

2019 – Baghdad (7/2 fav)
2018 – Dash Of Spice (7/2 fav)
2017 – Rare Rhythm (20/1)
2016 – Kinema (8/1)
2015 – Arab Dawn (6/1 jfav)
2014 – Arab Spring (11/4 fav)
2013 – Opinion (8/1)
2012 – Camborne (11/2 fav)
2011 – Fox Hunt (12/1)
2010 – Cill Rialaig (16/1)
2009 – Drill Sergeant (14/1)
2008 – Sugar Ray (8/1)
2007 – Pevensey (8/1)
2006 – Young Mick (28/1)
2005 – Notable Guest (4/1)
2004 – Wunderwood (15/2)
2003 – Waverley (14/1)

 

Duke of Edinburgh Key Trends

17/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
16/17 – Had at least 2 previous career wins to their name
14/17 – Carried 9-0 or more
13/17 – Placed last time out
12/17 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
10/17 – Trained by Hughie Morrison (3), Mark Johnston (3) or Sir Michael Stoute (4)
10/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
8/17 – Had run at Ascot before
7/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/17 – Ran at either York or Epsom last time (inc 7 of last 9 winners)
5/17 – Unplaced favourites
6/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time
4/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/17 – Winning favourites
13 of the last 14 winners came from a double-figure stall

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Royal Ascot Free Tips and Trends: Day Two (Weds 17th June 2020)

2020 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

GOOD NEWS - The 2020 ROYAL ASCOT  fixture is on!!  But, Ascot officials have already stated it will be done behind closed doors.

The feature contest on DAY TWO at Royal Ascot is the Group One Prince of Wales’s Stakes at 4.20. Did you know – 17 of the last 18 Prince Of Wales’s Stakes winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old, while 13 of the last 18 successful horses in the race were previous Group One winners?

Like all big race days here at GEEGEEZ we’ve got it all covered with key trends and stats, plus our free tips (to be added once final runners are out) – use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

Day Two – Wednesday 17th June 2020

  ================================================================

 

1.15 - Silver Royal Hunt Cup Handicap (3yo+) 1m

New Race

 

1.50 - Hampton Court Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m2f

Hampton Court Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – Sangarius (13/2)
2018 – Hunting Horn (5/1)
2017 – Benbatl (9/2)
2016 – Hawkbill (11/2)
2015 – Time Test (15/8 fav)
2014 – Cannock Chase (7/4 fav)
2013 – Remote (9/4 fav)
2012 – Energizer (15/2)
2011 – Pisco Sour (20/1)
2010 – Afsare (9/4 fav)
2009 – Glass Harmonium (8/1)
2008 – Collection (13/2)
2007 – Zaham (7/2 fav)
2006 – Snoqualmie Boy (33/1)
2005 – Indigo Cat (3/1 fav)
2004 – Moscow Ballet (8/1)
2003 – Persian Majesty (8/1)

Hampton Court Stakes Key Trends

16/17 – Had not raced at Ascot before
14/17 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
14/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/17 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
10/17 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
6/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 - Ran at Epsom last time out
3/17 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
No winner from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
12 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
9 of the last 14 winners came from stall 5-9 (inc)

 

2.25 - King George V Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m4f

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King George V Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – South Pacific (22/1)
2018 – Baghdad (9/1)
2017 – Atty Persse (7/1)
2016 - Primitivo (13/2)
2015 – Space Age (9/1)
2014 – Elite Army (4/1 jfav)
2013 – Elidor (20/1)
2012 – Fennell Bay (12/1)
2011 – Brown Panther (4/1 jfav)
2010 – Dandino (7/1)
2009 – Cosmic Sun (66/1)
2008 – Colony (11/2 fav)
2007 – Heron Bay (20/1)
2006 – Linas Selection (9/2)
2005 – Munsef (14/1)
2004 – Admiral (9/1)
2003 – Fantastic Love (10/1)

 

King George V Stakes Key Trends

17/17 – Had at least 2 previous runs that same season
17/17 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
16/17 – Never raced at Ascot before
16/17 – Placed last time out
14/17 – Carried 8-13 or less
12/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f previously
10/17 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
8/17 – Favourites placed
8/17 – Won their previous race
6/17 – Won by trainers Sir Michael Stoute (2) or Mark Johnston (4)
4/17 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/17 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
10 of the last 14 winners came between stalls 10-20 (inc)
8 of the last 14 winners came between stalls 10-16 (inc)

 

3.00 - The Prince of Wales´s Stakes (Group 1) 1m2f

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – Crystal Ocean (3/1)
2018 – Poet’s Word (11/2)
2017 – Highland Reel (9/4)
2016 – My Dream Boat (16/1)
2015 – Free Eagle (5/2 fav)
2014 – The Fugue (11/2)
2013 – Al Kazeem (11/4)
2012 – So You Think (4/5 fav)
2011 – Rewilding (17/2)
2010 – Byword (5/2 fav)
2009 – Vision D’etat (4/1)
2008 – Duke of Marmalade (Evs fav)
2007 – Manduro (15/8 fav)
2006 – Ouija Board (8/1)
2005 – Azamour (11/8 fav)
2004 – Rakti (3/1)
2003 – Nayef (5/1)
2002 -  Grandera (4/1)


Prince of Wales´s Stakes Trends

18/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
17/18 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
17/18 – Won by a 4 or 5 year-old
15/18 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
15/18 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/18 – Were previous Group 1 winners
12/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Won their last race
10/18 – Had run at Ascot before
9/18 – Won by a non-UK based trainer
6/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/18 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3 of the last 12 runnings have gone to a French-trained horse

 

3.35 - Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) 1m

 

Royal Hunt Cup Recent Winners

2019 – Afaak (20/1)
2018 – Settle For Bay (16/1)
2017 – Zhui Feng (25/1)
2016 – Portage (10/1)
2015 – GM Hopkins (8/1)
2014 – Field of Dream (20/1)
2013 – Belgian Bill (33/1)
2012 – Prince Of Johanne (16/1)
2011 – Julienas (12/1)
2010 – Invisible Man (28/1)
2009 – Forgotten Voice (4/1 fav)
2008 – Mr Aviator (25/1)
2007 – Royal Oath (9/1)
2006 – Cesare (14/1)
2005 – New Seeker (11/1)
2004 – Mine (16/1)
2003 – Macadamia (8/1)
2002 – Norton (25/1)

Royal Hunt Cup Trends

17/18 – Had won over at least a mile before
15/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/18 – Unplaced favourites
14/18 – Returned a double-figure price
13/18 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/18 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs that season
11/18 – Had run at Ascot before
10/18 – Won by a 4 year-old (inc 8 of the last 11 runnings)
5/18 – Won their last race
2/18 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/18 – Won by trainer John Gosden
1/18 – Winning favourites
Overall, high number stalls have dominated in recent years
12 of the last 14 winners came from a double-figure stall
We’ve seen 3 winners from stall 33 in the last 11 runnings

 

4.10 - Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f

Windsor Castle Recent Winners

2019 – Southern Hills (7/1)
2018 – Soldier’s Call (12/1)
2017 – Sound And Silence (16/1)
2016 – Ardad (20/1)
2015 – Washington DC (5/1)
2014 – Hootenanny (7/2 fav)
2013 – Extortionist (16/1)
2012 – Hototo (14/1)
2011 – Frederick Engels (9/4 fav)
2010 – Marine Commando (9/2)
2009 – Strike The Tiger (33/1)
2008 – Flashmans Papers (100/1)
2007 – Drawnfromthepast (9/1)
2006 – Elhamri (20/1)
2005 – Titus Alone (11/4)
2004 – Chateau Istana (12/1)
2003 – Holborn (5/2 fav)
2002 – Revenue (14/1)

Windsor Castle Trends

18/18 – Had at least 1 previous outing
17/18 – Won by a foal born April or earlier
17/18 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs
14/18 – Had won over 5f before
13/18 – Placed last time out
13/18 – Had never run at Ascot before
10/18 – Returned a double-figure price (inc a 100/1 winner)
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
9/18 – Won their previous race
8/18 – Won by a Feb foal
3/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Wesley Ward
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
9 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

4.40 - Copper Horse Handicap (4yo+) 1m6f

New Race

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Sat TV Trends: 13th June 2020

Another decent day of LIVE ITV this Saturday as the cameras head to Sandown and Newbury to take in seven races across the two venues. And, as always, we’ve got all the LIVE TV ITV trends and stats.

At Newbury, the Group 3 Diomed Stakes (3.35) is their feature contest, while at Sandown the sprinters are in action for the Listed Scurry Stakes (2:40).

 

So, put the odds in your favour – if a certain trend has happened many times in the past then there is a good chance of it repeating itself. As always, we hope these stats help direct you towards a few winners and pay for the weekend expenses.

Let’s get started!

 

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Newbury Horse Racing Trends

1:50 - It’s Not Rocket Science With MansionBet Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-95) 1m2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer John Gosden has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Clive Cox is only 2 from 37 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Richard Kingscote is only 1 from 24 riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

2:25 - Watch And Bet With MansionBet At Newbury Maggie Dickson Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 7f ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Winners came between stalls 4-6 (inc)
3/3 – Unplaced last time out
3/3 – Had won over 7f in the past
3/3 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
0/3 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 9/1
Trainer Ed Walker won this race 12 months ago
Trainer Richard Hannon won this race in 2018
Trainer William Haggas has a 37% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Tom Marquand is 0-from-31 riding 4+ year-olds at the track

Note: This race is normally run at Musselburgh

 

3:00 - British Stallion Studs EBF/MansionBet Abingdon Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV4

10/10 – Won no more than twice before
9/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/10 – Drawn between stalls 1-4
7/10 – Had won over at least 1m before
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Trained by John Gosden
2/10 – Ridden by James Doyle
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick
2/10 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3 of the last 4 winners came from stall 8
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

 

3:35 - MansionBet Beaten By A Head Diomed Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV4

17/17 – Had won over at least a mile before
15/17 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
15/17 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
14/17 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
13/17 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
13/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
13/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Aged 5 or older
11/17 – Had raced at Epsom before
8/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/17 – Ridden by William Buick
Zaaki won the race in 2019
Century Dream won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

Note: This race is normally run at Epsom

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends

2:05 - Sutton Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 7f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Roger Varian has a 24% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston is only 4 from 52 (8%) with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

2:40 - Scurry Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 5f ITV4

15/15 – Returned 11/1 or shorter
13/15 – Had won over 5f before
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/15 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
10/15 – Came from stall 7 or higher
9/15 – Had won at least 3 times before
9/15 – Irish bred
7/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/15 – Winning favourites
7/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/15 – Had won a Listed or Group 3 race before
5/15 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Beverley (2) last time out
2/15 – Trained by Michael Bell
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

 

3:15 - Claygate Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a 42% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Jamie Osborne has a 27% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is only 2 from 30 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Jason Watson has a 30% record when riding 4+ year-olds at the track

Sunday TV Trends: 7th June 2020

The LIVE ITV Racing action is coming thick and fast at the moment with seven more races this Sunday.

We’ve the rescheduled 1,000 Guineas, from Newmarket, topping the bill, while the Brigadier Gerard, which is normally run at Sandown in May, has been moved up to Haydock.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – hopefully these will help whittle down the runners and point you in the direction of horses that fit the best past winning profiles.

 

Sunday, June 7, ITV

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

1.50 Betfair Exchange Buckhounds Stakes (Listed) 1m4f ITV

10/10 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
10/10 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
10/10 – Won between 2-5 times before
9/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Officially rated 102+
8/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
8/10  - Had won over at least 1m2f before
7/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Last ran over 7 months ago
6/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Drawn in stall 5
3/10 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/10 – Trained by John Gosden

Note: This race is normally staged at Ascot

 

2.25 Betfair Exchange Bet In-Play Handicap 1m2f ITV

No previous runnings
Sir Michael Stoute has a 19% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is only 3 from 43 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Elsworth is 0 from 21 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Tom Marquand is only 1 from 32 riding 4+ year-olds at the track

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3.00 Betfair EBF Pretty Polly Fillies’ Stakes (Listed) 1m2f ITV

10/10 – Finished in the top three last time out
9/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had between 1-3 runs before
9/10 – Won justg once before
8/10 – Drawn between stalls 1-6 (inc)
7/10 – Won last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of the last 6)
4/10 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (3 of the last 5)
2/10 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks

 


3.35 Qipco 1,000 Guineas Stakes (Group 1) 1m ITV

16/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/18 – Had won between 2-3 times before
13/18 – Had won a Group race before
13/18 – Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
11/18 – Won their previous race
11/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
11/18 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
10/18 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
9/18 – Returned a double-figure price
8/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
8/18 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
7/18 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
7/18 – Favourites unplaced
7/18 – Irish-trained winners
6/18 – Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
5/18 – Previous Group One winners
5/18 – Went onto win the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot
4/18 – Won by a US bred horse
4/18 – Won by the favourite
3/18 – French-trained winners
3/18 – Went onto finish fourth in the Epsom Oaks
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/18 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Kazzia 2002, Minding 2016)
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
9 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 13/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

Owner Hamdam Al Maktoum has won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 3 times (2012, 2015, 2016)
Godolphin have won the race 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Aidan O’Brien has trained five winners, Virginia Waters (1995), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019)

 

Haydock Park Horse Racing Trends

2.05 Betway Pinnacle Stakes (Group 3) 1m 3 1/2f

17/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Rated 92 or higher
13/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/17 – Aged 4 years-old
12/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/17 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
6/17 – Had run at Haydock before
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/17 – Trained by John Gosden
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
10/10 – Came between stalls 3-9 (inc)
10/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-olds

2.40 Betway Brigadier Gerard Stakes (Group 3) 1m2f

17/17 – Had won at least twice before
15/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
13/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
13/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had won a Group or Listed race before
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Had won between 2-4 times before
12/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/17 – Aged 4 years-old
12/17 – Rated 111 or higher
10/17 – Had won a Group Race before
10/17 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
8/17 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
7/17 – Irish bred
6/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
6/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (6 of last 9)
5/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
2/17 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 5/1

 

3.15 Betway Spring Trophy Stakes (Listed) 7f

10/10 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
10/10 – Had won over 7f before
10/10 – Returned 6/1 or less
8/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Drawn between stalls 1-3
7/10 – Won 4 or 5 times in the past
7/10 – Rated between 109 and 113
7/10 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
6/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 5)
2/10  - Trained by David O’Meara (2 of last 5)
Safe Voyage won the race in 2019
Tabarrak won the race in 2018
Oh This Is Us won the race in 2017

 

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Saturday TV Trends: 6th June 2020

The LIVE ITV Racing action comes thick and fast this weekend as we've several more rescheduled races that were due to be run last month.

Newmarket and Newcastle are the two venues showing the LIVE action, with top races that include the Qipco 2,000 Guineas, plus we've also the Group Three Palace House Stakes, while the Sagaro Stakes is the main event up at Newcastle.

As always, we've got all the big race key trends and stats to help you find the best profiles based on recent results.

Saturday, June 6, ITV

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

1.50 Palace House Stakes (Group 3) 5f ITV

16/17 – Had won over 5f before
15/17 – Won 3 or more times before
14/17 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
14/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
14/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/17 – Had run at Newmarket before
13/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/17 – Aged 5 or younger
11/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Rated between 108 and 114
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/17 – Won last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/17 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Mabs Cross has won the race in 2018 and 2019
Just one placed horse from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
7 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)

2.25 Dahlia Fillies’ Stakes (Group 2) 1m2f ITV

16/16 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
15/16 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
15/16 – Had won over 1m (or further) before
14/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
12/16 – Aged 4 years-old
9/16 – Had run at the course before
9/16 – Won this on first run of the season
7/16 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
6/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Ran at Kempton last time out
3/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/16 – Ridden by William Buick
2/16 – French-trained winners (2 of the last 6)
10 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)

3.00 Newmarket Stakes (Listed) 1m2f ITV

8/10 – Winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 2 (5)
8/10 – Won between 1 and 2 times
8/10 -  Favourites placed in the top three
8/10 – Won over at least 1m before
7/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
7/10 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/10 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
2/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/10 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick

3.35 Qipco 2,000 Guineas Stakes (Group 1) 1m ITV

18/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/18 – Had won over at least 7f before
16/18 – Had won a Group race before
16/18 – Had won between 2-5 times before
15/18 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
14/18 – Won last time out
13/18 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
13/18 – Having their first run of the season
12/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
11/18 – Won by an Irish-based yard
10/18 – Irish bred
9/18 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
7/18 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
7/18 – Had won over a mile before
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
4/18 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
4/18 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/18 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
6 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 10/1

 

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Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends

 

2.05 Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap 7f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Michael Wigham has a 25% record with his 4+ year-olds or older at the track
Trainer Tom Dascombe has a 25% record with his 4+ year-olds or older at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 22% record with his 4+ year-olds or older at the track
Trainer Karl Burke is only 2 from 43 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds or older at the track
Jockey Tom Eaves is only 10 from 206 (5%) when riding 4 year-olds or older at the track

2.40 Sagaro Stakes (Group 3) 2m 1/2f ITV

15/17 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had won at least 3 times before
13/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/17 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
11/17 – Had won a Group race before
11/17 – Had won over at least 2m (flat) before
11/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Rated 108 or higher
8/17 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
7/17 – Winning distance – ½ or less
4/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Raced at Nottingham last time out
3/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Went onto win the Ascot Gold Cup (2 of last 8)

Note: Normally staged at Ascot

 

3.15 Betway Heed Your Hunch Handicap 1m ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer John Gosden has a 33% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Sir Mark Prescott has a 24% with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Hugo Palmer has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

 

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Friday TV Trends: 5th June 2020

With the UK horse racing set to return to normal we’ve some bumper ITV Racing days ahead – starting with seven LIVE races from Newmarket and Lingfield with rescheduled races that include the Coronation Cup and the Lingfield Oaks and Derby Trials.

 

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Friday, June 5th, ITV4

Newmarket Horse Racing Tips and Trends

1.50 Betway Handicap 6f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Tony Carroll has a 25% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is just 2 from 43 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track


2.25 Abernant Stakes (Group 3) 6f ITV4

13/13 – Won over 6f before
12/13 – Aged 4 or older
11/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
10/13 – Had run at Newmarket before
10/13 – Won at least 4 times before
9/13 – Rated between 106 and 114
9/13 – Ran 5 months or more ago
9/13 – Favourites placed in the top three
8/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/13 – Aged between 4 or 5 years-old
7/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/13 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/13 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/13 – Won by the Hills stable
0/13 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
Brando won the race in 2018 and 2017, plus third in 2019

 

3.00 Paradise Stakes (Listed) 1m ITV4

10/10 – Aged 6 or younger
10/10 – Won over at least 7f before
10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter
9/10 – Placed favourites
9/10 – Had run at the track before
8/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/10 – Unplaced last time out
7/10 – Drawn 5 or lower
3/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Trained by John Gosden
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick
0/10 – Winning favourirtes
Zaaki won this race in 2019
Century Dream won this race in 2020

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*Note: Normally run at Ascot (May)

 


3.35 Coronation Cup (Group 1) 1m4f ITV4

18/18 – Had previously won a Group 1 or 2 race
17/18 – Had won over 1m4f before
17/18 – Aged 6 or younger
16/18 – Finished in the top three last time out
15/18 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
13/18 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/18 – Ran at either Chester, York, Newmarket or the Curragh last time out
12/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Horses from stall 3 that were placed (four won)
8/18 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (2005, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 & 2017)
8/18 – Winning favourites
7/18 – Won their last race
6/18 – Had run at Epsom before
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2009, 2011 & 2017)
1/18 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 10/3

 

Lingfield Horse Racing Tips and Trends


2.05
 East Grinstead Handicap 7f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer John Gosden has a 33% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Robert Havlin has a 21% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

2.40 Oaks Trial Fillies’ Stakes (Listed) 1m4f ITV4

15/16 – Had won no more than once before
14/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Had no more than 3 career runs
13/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/16 – Came from stall 5 or higher
10/16 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (no winners, two seconds)
8/16 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
8/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Having first run of the season
8/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
4/16 – Winners from stall 5
4/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/16 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/16 – Trained by William Haggas
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Irish-trained winners

 

3.15 Derby Trial Stakes (Listed) 1m4f ITV4

17/17 – Had won no more than 3 times
14/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/17 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (1 winner, Anthony Van Dyck, 2019)
13/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Finished 4th or better last time out
12/17 – Favourites placed
11/17 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
8/17 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
5/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/17 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
High Rise (1998) and Anthony Van Dyck (2019) were the last winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby

 

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2020 Royal Ascot Trends – Day One (Tues 16th June)

2020 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

GOOD NEWS - The 2020 ROYAL ASCOT  fixture is on!!  But, Ascot officials have already stated it will be done behind closed doors.

So, if the 2020 Royal Ascot Meeting is on, we get going with some cracking contests that include the Group One King's Stand Stakes and the Group Two Ribblesdale Stakes as two of the feature races on a seven-race card.

Did You Know - ALL of the last 18 King's Stand Stakes winners were aged 7 or younger?

Like all big race days here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats, plus our free tips (to be added once final runners are out) - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

Day One – Tuesday 16th June 2020

  =========================================================

1.15 - Buckingham Palace Handicap (3yo+) 7f

5/5 – Returned 12/1 or bigger in the betting
5/5 – Had run at Ascot before
5/5 – Had won over at least 6f before
5/5 – Had 5+ wins before
5/5 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
5/5 – Unplaced favourites
4/5 – Bred in Ireland
4/5 – Rated between 93-98
4/5 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
4/5 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
4/5 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
2/5 – Came from stall 29
2/5 – Ran at Ascot last time out
0/5 – Winning favourites

Note: This race was last run at the meeting in 2014

 

1.50 - Queen Anne Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m

Recent Queen Anne Stakes Winners

2019 – Lord Glitters (14/1)
2018 – Accidental Agent (33/1)
2017 – Ribchester (11/10 fav)
2016 – Tepin (11/2)
2015 – Solow (11/8 fav)
2014 – Toronado (4/5 fav)
2013 – Declaration Of War (15/2)
2012 – Frankel (1/10 fav)
2011 – Canford Cliffs (11/8)
2010 – Goldikova (11/8 fav)
2009 – Paco Boy (10/3)
2008 – Haradasun (5/1)
2007 – Ramonti (5/1)
2006 – Ad Valorem (13/2)
2005 – Valixir (4/1)
2004 – Refuse To Bend (12/1)
2003 – Dubai Destination (9/2)
2002 – No Excuse Needed (13/2)

Queen Anne Stakes Trends

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17/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/18 – Previous winners over 1 mile
15/18 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
14/18 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Had already won a Group 1 race
12/18 - Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Won by a 4 year-old
10/18 – Had never run at Ascot before
10/18 – Trained by either R Hannon (3), A P O’Brien (3) or Godolphin (4)
9/18 – Favourites that were unplaced
9/18 – Ran in the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury last time out
8/18 – Won their previous race
5/18 – Winning favourites
3/18  - Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Only 2 winners from Stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 4 or higher

 

2.25 - Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £77,092 1m4f

Ribblesdale Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – Star Catcher (4/1)
2018 – Magic Wand (10/3)
2017 – Coronet (9/1)
2016 – Even Song (15/8 fav)
2015 – Curvy (9/2)
2014 – Bracelet (10/1)
2013 – Riposte (9/2)
2012 – Princess Highway (17/2)
2011 – Banimpire (3/1 fav)
2010 – Hibaayeb (4/1 jfav)
2009 – Flying Cloud (5/1)
2008 – Michita (10/3 fav)
2007 – Silkwood (4/1)
2006 – Mont Etoile (25/1)
2005 – Thakafaat (22/1)
2004 – Punctilious (9/2)
2003 – Spanish Sun (9/2)

Ribblesdale Stakes Key Trends

15/17 – Had at least 2 previous races that season
14/17 – Had never raced at Ascot before
13/17 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
13/17 – Placed in their previous race
12/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
7/17 – Won their last race
6/17 – Irish-trained winners (5 of last 8)
4/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/17 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 6)
3/17 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just two winners from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
7 of the last 14 winners came between stalls 3-6 (inc)

 

3.00 - King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f

King Edward VII Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – Japan (6/4 fav)
2018 – Old Persian (9/2)
2017 – Permian (6/1)
2016 – Across The Stars (7/1)
2015 – Balios (3/1)
2014 – Eagle Top (12/1)
2013 – Hillstar (15/2)
2012 – Thomas Chippendale (9/2)
2011 – Nathaniel (11/4 fav)
2010 – Monterosso (7/2)
2009 – Father Time (9/1)
2008 – Campanologist (9/1)
2007 – Boscobel (7/1)
2006 – Papal Bull (5/4 fav)
2005 – Plea Bargain (9/2)
2004 – Five Dynasties (11/4 fav)
2003 – High Accolade (5/2 fav)

King Edward VII Stakes Key Trends

17/17 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
16/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the
13/17 – Had never raced at Ascot before
12/17 – Placed favourites
12/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
10/17 - Had won at least 2 previous races during their career
7/17 – Had already won a Listed or better class race
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by John Gosden
3/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
No winner from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
11 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 4-9 (inc)
13 of the last 14 winners returned 9/1 or shorter

 

3.35 - King´s Stand Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 5f

Recent King’s Stand Stakes Winners

2019 – Blue Point (5/2)
2018 – Blue Point (6/1)
2017 – Lady Aurelia (7/2)
2016 – Profitable (4/1)
2015 – Goldream (20/1)
2014 – Sole Power (5/1)
2013 – Sole Power (8/1)
2012 - Little Bridge (12/1)
2011 - Prohibit (7/1)
2010 - Equiano (9/2)
2009 - Scenic Blast (11/4 fav)
2008 - Equiano (22/1)
2007 - Miss Andretti (3/1 fav)
2006 - Takeover Target (7/1)
2005 - Chineur (7/1)
2004 - The Tatling (8/1)
2003 – Choisir (25/1)

King’s Stand Stakes Trends

18/18 – Aged 7 or younger
16/18 – Had won a Group race before
15/18 – Aged 4 or older
15/18 – Had won over 5f before
13/18 – Finished first or second last time out
13/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Had run at Ascot before (8 had won at the track)
10/18 – Favourites placed
10/18 – Won by a non-UK based trained horse
6/18 – Ran at either Flemington (3) or Chantilly (3) last time out
6/18 – Favourites that finished third
3/18 – Won by an Australian-trained horse
3/18 – 3 Year-old winners
3/18 – Winning favourites
A horse from stalls 9, 11 & 14 has been placed in 11 of the last 12 runnings

 

4.10 - The Duke of Cambridge Stakes (Windsor Forest) (Group 2) 1m

Duke of Cambridge Recent Winners

2019 – Move Swiftly (9/1)
2018 – Aljazzi (9/2)
2017 – Qemah (5/2 fav)
2016 – Usherette (9/4 fav)
2015 – Amazing Maria (25/1)
2014 – Integral (9/4 fav)
2013 – Duntle (10/3)
2012 – Joviality (11/1)
2011 – Lolly For Dolly (11/1)
2010 – Strawberrydaiquiri (9/2)
2009 – Spacious (10/1)
2008 – Sabana Perdida (4/1)
2007 – Nannina (3/1 co-fav)
2006 – Soviet Song (11/8 fav)
2005 – Peeress (14/1)
2004 – Favourable Terms (13/2)

 

Duke of Cambridge Trends

15/16 – Had won over a mile (or further) before
14/16 – Had won a Group 3 or better race before
14/16 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
14/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Won by a 4 year-old
11/16 – Had run at Ascot before
9/16 – Favourites that were placed
7/16 – Had won at Ascot before
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price
5/16 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/16 – Ran at Epsom last time out
4/16 – Owned by Cheveley Park Stud
2/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/16 – Winners from stall 1
Only four placed horses (2 winners) from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings

 

4.40 - Ascot Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-95) 2m4f

Ascot Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – The Grand Visir (12/1)
2018 – Lagostovegas (10/1)
2017 – Thomas Hobson (4/1 fav)
2016 – Jennies Jewel (6/1)
2015 – Clondaw Warrior (5/1 fav)
2014 – Domination (12/1)
2013 – Well Sharp (9/1)
2012 – Simenon (8/1)
2011 – Veiled (11/2)
2010 – Junior (17/2)
2009 – Judgethemoment (13/2)
2008 – Missoula (20/1)
2007 – Full House (20/1)
2006 – Baddam (33/1)
2005 – Leg Spinner (9/1)
2004 – Double Obsession (25/1)
2003 – Sindapour (12/1)
2002 – Riyadh (7/1 fav)

Ascot Stakes Trends

16/18 – Carried 9-0 or more
14/18 – Won by a stable better known for their NH runners
14/18 – Had at least 1 previous run on the flat that season
12/18 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
11/18 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
9/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/18 – Won their previous race
3/18 – Trained by the Pipe stable
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Trained by Willie Mullins
7 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure stall
Just one winner (or placed) horse from stall 1 placed in the last 12 runnings

 

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2020 Royal Ascot Trends – Day Three (Thurs 18th June)

2020 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

 

The 2020 ROYAL ASCOT  fixture is on!!  But, Ascot officials have already stated it will be done behind closed doors.

We look ahead to DAY THREE at  ROYAL ASCOT and we've seven more top-notch races to take in, but day three has always only ever been about one race - the Ascot Gold Cup! Trainer Aidan O'Brien will be going for his 8th win in the race.

Did you know - 14 of the last 18 Ascot Gold Cup favourites finished in the top three?

Like all big race days here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats, plus our free tips (to be added once final runners are out) - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

Thursday 18th June 2020

  ======================================================  


Thursday 18th June 2020

 

1.15 - Golden Gates Handicap (3yo) 1m2f

New Race

 

1.50 - Wolferton Rated Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+ 0-110) 1m2f

Wolferton Rated Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – Addeybb (5/1)
2018 – Monarchs Glen (8/1)
2017 – Snoano (25/1)
2016 – Sir Isaac Newton (7/1)
2015 – Mahsoob (7/4 fav)
2014 – Contributer (9/1)
2013 – Forgotten Voice (12/1)
2012 – Gatewood (3/1 fav)
2011 – Beachfire (12/1)
2010 – Rainbow Peak (13/8 fav)
2009 – Perfect Stride (8/1)
2008 – Supaseus (12/1)
2007 – Championship Point (25/1)
2006 – I’m So Lucky (16/1)
2005 – Imperial Stride (25/1)
2004 – Red Fort (6/1)
2003 – In Time’s Eye (5/1)

 

Wolferton Rated Stakes Key Trends

14/17 – Had between 1 and 3 runs already that season
13/17 – Had won 3 or more races during their career
12/17 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/17 – Aged 4 years-old
11/17 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
11/17 – Unplaced favourites
9/17 – Had run at Ascot before
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price
7/17 – Ran at either York (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
4/17 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of last 9)
2/17 – Trained at Kremlin House Stables (Roger Varian/M Jarvis)
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 14 winners returned 7/1 or bigger

Your first 30 days for just £1

 

2.25 - Jersey Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 7f

Recent Jersey Stakes Winners

2019 – Space Traveller (25/1)
2018 – Expert Eye (8/1)
2017 – Le Brivido (2/1 fav)
2016 – Ribchester (7/1)
2015 – Dutch Connection (14/1)
2014 – Mustajeeb (9/2 jfav)
2013 – Gale Force Ten (9/2 fav)
2012 – Ishvana (20/1)
2011 – Strong Suit (11/1)
2010 – Rainfall (8/1)
2009 – Ouqba (12/1)
2008 – Aqlaam (13/2)
2007 – Tariq (15/2)
2006 – Jeremy (9/2)
2005 – Proclamation (7/1)
2004 – Kheleyf (6/1)
2003 – Membership (20/1)
2002 -  Just James (20/1)

 

Jersey Stakes Trends

17/18 – Had at least 1 run already that season
14/18 – Had 4 or more career runs
11/18 – Had won over 7f before
10/18 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
9/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/18 – Unplaced favourites
8/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
8/18 – Horses from stall 8 placed
7/18 – Had run at Ascot before
7/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/18 – Won their previous race
3/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 wins in total)
2/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (5 wins in total)
The Irish have won 3 of the last 8 runnings
The horse from stall 11 has finished 2nd in 5 of the last 12 runnings

 

3.00 - Chesham Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 7f

Chesham Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – Pinatubo (3/1)
2018 – Arthur Kitt (13/2)
2017 – September (11/8 fav)
2016 – Churchill (8/11 fav)
2015 – Suits You (14/1)
2014 – Richard Pankhurst (10/1)
2013 – Berkshire (16/1)
2012 – Tha’ir (9/2)
2011 – Maybe (5/2 fav)
2010 – Zaidan (7/1)
2009 – Big Audio (22/1)
2008 – Free Agent (7/2 jfav)
2007 – Maze (11/2)
2006 – Champlain (7/2)
2005 – Championship Point (4/1)
2004 – Whazzat (7/1)
2003 – Pearl Of Love (11/10 fav)

 

Chesham Stakes Key Trends

17/17 – Had no more than 2 previous career runs
16/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/17 – Ran over 6f last time out (10 won)
14/17 – Had just 1 previous career run
14/17 – Were foaled in March or earlier
12/17 – Won their previous race
12/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
5/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/17 – Irish trained-winners (Aiden O’Brien)
2/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Ryan Moore has ridden the winners in 2011, 2016 and 2017
13 of the last 14 winners came between stalls 1-8
7 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 7 (4)
11 of the last 14 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
Trainer Paul Cole has won the race 4 times before

 

3.35 - Gold Cup (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f

Recent Ascot Gold Cup Winners

2019 – Stradivarius (Evs fav)
2018 – Stradivarius (7/4 jfav)
2017 – Big Orange (5/1)
2016 – Order Of St George (10/11 fav)
2015 – Trip To Paris (12/1)
2014 – Leading Light (10/11 fav)
2013 – Estimate (7/2 fav)
2012 – Colour Vision (6/1)
2011 – Fame And Glory (11/8 fav)
2010 – Rite of Passage (20/1)
2009 – Yeats (6/4 fav)
2008 – Yeats (11/8 fav)
2007 – Yeats (8/13 fav)
2006 – Yeats (7/1)
2005 – Westerner (7/4 fav)
2004 – Papineau (5/1)
2003 – Mr Dinos (3/1)
2002 – Royal Rebel (16/1)

Key Ascot Gold Cup Trends

16/18 – Had no more than 2 previous runs that season
15/18 – Had won over at least 2 miles on the flat before
15/18 – Had between 1-2 previous runs that season
14/18 – Favourites that were placed
13/18 – Won their last race
12/18 – Previous Group 1 winners
10/18 – Aged 5 or older
10/18 – Won by the favourite
7/18 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/18 – Ran at Sandown last time out (Henry II Stakes)
12 of the last 14 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9 of the last 14 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
7 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
Godolphin won the race in 1996, 1998, 2004 & 2012
Aidan O’Brien has trained the winner in 2016, 2014, 2011, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006
Since 1949 there have been 14 multiple winners of the race

 

4.10 - Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m

Britannia Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – Biometric (28/1)
2018 – Ostillo (10/1)
2017 – Bless Him (25/1)
2016 – Defrocked (13/2)
2015 – War Envoy (10/1)
2014 – Born In China (14/1)
2013 – Beauty Flame (20/1)
2012 – Fast Or Free (6/1 fav)
2011 – Sagramor (8/1)
2010 – Ransom Note (9/1)
2009 – Fareer (20/1)
2008 – Fifteen Love (28/1)
2007 – Eddie Jock (33/1)
2006 – Sir Gerard (9/2 fav)
2005 – Mostashaar (10/3 fav)
2004 – Mandobi (8/1)
2003 – New Seeker (16/1)

Britannia Stakes Key Trends

15/17 – Had no more than 3 previous runs that season
14/17 – Had won a race over 7f or 1m before
13/17 – Failed to win their previous race
13/17 – Placed last time out
13/17 – Carried 8-13 or less
12/17 – Had never run at Ascot before
11/17 – Returned a double-figure price
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
7/17 – Had only won over 7f previously
4/17 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/17 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just one top three finish horse from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
10 of the last 14 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

 

4.40 - Sandringham Handicap (Listed Race) 1m


Sandringham Handicap Recent Winners

2019 – Thanks Be (33/1)
2018 – Agrotera (11/2 fav)
2017 – Con Te Partiro (20/1)
2016 – Persuasive (11/4 fav)
2015 – Osaila (13/2)
2014 – Muteela (9/2 fav)
2013 – Annecdote (11/1)
2012 – Duntle (4/1 fav)
2011 – Rhythm Of Light (8/1)
2010 – Timepiece (5/1)
2009 – Moneycantbuymelove (9/2 fav)
2008 – Festivale (10/1)
2007 – Barshiba (16/1)
2006 – Red Evie (5/1 co-fav)
2005 – Beautyandthebeast (9/2)
2004 – Celtic Heroine (11/1)
2003 – Hold To Ransom (11/1)
2002 – Tashawak (12/1)

 

Sandringham Handicap Trends

16/18 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
15/18 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Had never run at Ascot before
13/18 – Had won over at least 7f before
12/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
12/18 – Placed in their previous race
11/18 – Carried 8-11 or more
8/18 – Won their last race
8/18 – Returned a double-figure price
7/18 – Had exactly 3 runs already that season
6/18 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/18 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (7 winners in all)

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 14th March 2020

It's always a bit quiet this weekend with the Cheltenham hangovers, but there is still ITV Racing to take in with the cameras heading to Uttoxeter, with the Midlands National the feature, while they are also at Kempton Park.

As always, we are  on hand with all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races. Use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Uttoxeter Horse Racing Trends

2.25 - 1834 Novices' Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV

13/16 – Aged 8 or younger
13/16 – Carried 10-9 or more
11/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/16 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
10/16 – Had won over at least 3m (chases) before
10/16 – Placed last time out
10/16 – Never raced at Uttoxeter before
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Returned 7/1 or less
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
8/16 – Aged 7 years-old
5/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Alan King
2/16 – Trained by Harry Fry (two of last three runnings)
2/16 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/16 – Winning favourites
De Rasher Counter (4/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

3.00 - Burton Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

Only 8 Previous Runnings
7/8 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
6/8 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
3/8 – Winning favourites
3/8 – Aged 8 years-old
Poker Play (16/1) won the race in 2019

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3.35 - Marston's 61 Deep Midlands Grand National Chase Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 4m1f110y ITV

15/16 – Aged 9 or younger
14/16 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
14/16 – Carried 10-12 or less
14/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/16 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
12/16 – Won by an Irish bred horse
12/16 – Had never run at Uttoxeter before
12/16 – Unplaced favourites
11/16 – Officially rated 135 or less
10/16 – Carried 10-9 or less
10/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/16 – Returned a double-figure-price in the betting
8/16 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
8/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Trained by David Pipe
3/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 11.6/1

 

Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends

 

2.40 – Paddy Power Silver Plate Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m5f ITV

Only 6 previous runnings
Nicky Henderson has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
No winning favourite yet from the last 6 runnings
5 of last 6 previous winners carried 11-12 or more
Wicked Willy (20/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

3.15 – Paddy Power Silver Bowl (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

Only 6 previous running
1 winning favourite (co) from the last 6 runnings
5 of the last 6 winners carried 11-2 or more
Trainers Charlie Longsdon, Venetia William, Tom George, Ian Williams, Paul Nicholls, Tom George and Jonjo O’Neill have won the race so far
Forth Bridge (7/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

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2020 Cheltenham Festival Trends: DAY FOUR (Fri 13th March 2020)

Each day of the 2020 Cheltenham Festival our horse racing trends experts here at GeeGeez.co.uk will give you all the quick-fire positive and negative stats for EVERY race. Apply these to the final cards and you will build up a picture and a profile of which horses have historically done the best in recent renewals.

We hope they help narrow down the fields and also help pin-point plenty of winners at the 2020 Cheltenham Festival for you!

 

DAY FOUR: Friday 13th March 2020

 

13:30 JCB Triumph Hurdle   2m 1f

2019 Winner: PENTLAND HILLS (20/1)
Trainer – Nicky Henderson
Jockey – Nico de Boinville

Pluses…..

  • 20 of the last 26 winners won last time out
  • 7 of the last 11 winners were unbeaten over hurdles
  • Irish have won 4 of the last 7 runnings
  • French-breds have filled 9 of the last 15 places (last 5 runnings)
  • 11 of the last 15 came from the top 4 in the betting
  • 10 of the last 12 winners returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
  • Respect Henderson (7 winners), Nicholls, Hobbs and King-trained runners
  • 7 of the last 16 first ran over hurdles by November (5 of the last 8 by mid-Nov)
  • 10 of the last 14 winners returned 13/2 or shorter
  • The Spring Juvenile Hurdle is a good guide
  • 9 of the last 10 winners ran in the Finesse, Adonis or Spring Juvenile Hurdles last time
  • 6 of the last 11 winners had run in France before
  • Nicky Henderson has trained 7 winners of the race
  • Gordon Elliott has had 2 wins and 2 seconds in the last 6 years

Negatives….

  • Take on horses that have won at 2m2f or further in the past
  • Avoid horses that last ran 56 days or longer ago
  • Avoid horses that had run 3 or more times over hurdles
  • Be careful of horses rated 138 or lower – no winner in the last 12
  • Willie Mullins has a poor record – currently 0-from-27


14:10 Randox Health County Handicap Hurdle   2m 1f

2020 Winner: CH’TIBELLO (12/1)
Trainer – Dan Skelton
Jockey – Harry Skelton

Pluses….

  • The Irish have won 8 of the last 13 runnings
  • 4 of the last 12 winners ran in that season’s Coral.ie Hurdle (Leopardsotwn)
  • 13 of the last 14 winners were rated in the 130’s
  • 7 of the last 12 winners returned 20/1 or bigger
  • 5 of the last 11 winners had run in 6 or less hurdles races
  • 10 of the last 14 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
  • 12 of the last 14 winners were priced in double-figures
  • 12 of the last 16 winners began their careers on the flat
  • Look for Mullins, Martins & Nicholls-trained runners
  • Respect the Imperial Cup (Sandown Park) winner
  • 9 winners since 2002 ran in the Ladbrokes or Betfair Hurdles that season
  • 10 of the last 19 winners came from the top 5 in the betting
  • 13 of the last 16 winners were 1st or 2nd season hurdlers
  • 11 of the last 13 winners DIDN’T win last time out
  • Paul Nicholls is 4 from 28 (+18pts)
  • Willie Mullins is 4 from 33 (+46pts)
  • Trainer Dan Skelton has trained 3 of the last 4 renewals (last 2)

Negatives….

  • Strangely, previous course winners have a bad record
  • Since 1960 only 5 winners carried more than 11st 2lb
  • Since 1961, only 9 winners had run at the Festival before
  • Since 2005, just one winner rated 140+ (146 runners)
  • Avoid runners that hadn’t raced at least 4 times that season
  • Avoid horses making their handicap debuts

 

14:50 Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle   3m

2019 Winner: MINELLA INDO (50/1)
Trainer – Henry De Bromhead
Jockey – Rachael Blackmore

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Pluses….

  • 9 of the last 15 winners had run at Cheltenham over hurdles before
  • 14 of the last 15 winners contested a Graded Hurdle last time out
  • All of the last 15 winners won or placed in a Graded Novice before
  • 5 of the last 8 winners had won a Point
  • 8 of the last 15 came from the top 5 in the betting
  • 9 of the last 15 winner ran 47 days (or more) ago
  • 13 of the last 15 had run in a race over 3m
  • 12 of the last 15 winners were aged 6 or 7 years-old
  • 12 of the last 15 winners were 1st or 2nd last time out
  • 11 of the last 15 winners had 4+ runs over hurdles
  • 13 of the last 14 winners finished in the top 3 last time out
  • 4 of the last 14 favourites won
  • Respect Jonjo O’Neill runners (2 wins)

Negatives….

  • Horses that ran in the last 23 days haven’t fared well
  • Avoid horses that DIDN’T finish 1st or 2nd last time out
  • Be wary of horses that have raced less than 3 times over hurdles
  • Willie Mullins is 1 from 35 in the race
  • 5 year-olds have a poor record
  • Only 4 of the last 15 winners hadn’t raced that calendar year

 

15:30 Magners Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase   3m 2½f

2019 Winner: AL BOUM PHOTO (12/1)
Trainer – Willie Mullins
Jockey – Paul Townend

Pluses….

  • 16 of the last 20 winners ran in the Savills Chase or King George that season
  • 17 of the last 19 finished 1st or 2nd last time out
  • 17 of the last 20 winners were 2nd or 3rd season chasers
  • 10 of the last 14 winners had run 9 or less times over fences
  • All of the last 20 winners were Grade 1 winners
  • 15 of the last 19 had won or placed at the Festival before
  • 16 of the last 19 winners hailed from the top 3 in the betting
  • 18 of the last 19 winners had raced no more than 12 times over fences
  • 11 of the last 12 winners ran 3 or less times that season
  • 16 of the last 23 winners were bred in Ireland
  • 11 of the last 14 winners won last time out
  • 5 of the last 14 favourites won
  • ALL of the last 20 winners were aged 9 or younger
  • Horses placed in a previous Supreme Novices’ Hurdle have a good record

 

Negatives….

  • Non-Grade One winners have a poor record
  • No winner older than 10 years-old since 1969 (0 from 71)
  • Horses rated 166 or less are only 5 from last 33
  • Avoid horses that had run on ‘heavy’ ground that season
  • Horses wearing headgear have a bad recent record
  • Willie Mullins has only won the race once (2019), 1 from 30 (had last 4 of the last 7 seconds and the 2019 winner though)
  • Only 2 winners since 2000 returned 9/1 or bigger
  • Just 1 of the last 12 winners had raced more than 3 times that season
  • Horses that were beaten in their first Gold Cup don’t fare well

 

16:10 St James’ Place Foxhunter Chase   3m 2½f

2019 Winner: HAZEL HILL (7/2 fav)
Trainer – Philip Rowley
Jockey – Mr Alex Edwards

Pluses…..

  • 25 of the last 29 winners were aged under 11 years-old
  • 25 of the last 34 won last time out
  • 6 of the last 10 winners finished in the top 5 in the race last year
  • 8 of the last 11 winners came from the first 4 in the betting
  • 27 of the last 31 started out in point-to-point races
  • 11 of the last 14 winners ran 34 days or less ago
  • Respect the Irish runners (won 6 of last 9)
  • 5 of the last 8 winners ran in the Leopardstown Inn Hunters’ Chase
  • 9 of the last 14 winners were aged 8-10 years-old
  • 8 of the last 11 winners returned 15/2 or shorter
  • 11 of the last 12 winners finished in the top 3 last time out
  • 9 of the last 10 winners rated 134 or higher (6 of last 7, rated 138+)

Negatives….

  • Horses that ran in a handicap race that season haven’t got a good record
  • Avoid horses that hadn’t won a race under rules
  • Just 2 winners in the last 43 years aged 12 or older
  • 26 of the last 28 horses aged 11+ (priced in single figures) have lost – but the 2019 winner – Hazel Hill – defied this trend
  • Avoid ex-handicappers rated 140+ in their careers
  • Avoid horses that raced 35 days or longer ago
  • Just 1 winner since 2000 hadn’t run within the last 53 days
  • Horses aged 11+ are just 5 from 236 since 1990
  • Just 3 winners since 2000 didn’t finish in the top 3 last time out

16:50 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Handicap Chase   2m ½f

2019 Winner: CROCO BAY (66/1)
Trainer – Ben Case
Jockey – Kielan Woods

Pluses….

  • 16 of the last 20 winners carried 11st or less
  • 14 of the last 16 winners had run at the Festival before
  • 8 of the last 16 winners ran in the previous renewal
  • Irish have won 3 of the last 7 runnings
  • 8 of the last 10 winners came from outside the top 5 in the betting
  • 11 of the last 16 winners were aged 8 or older
  • Henderson, Nicholls, King-trained horses are respected
  • Respect JP McManus-owned horses (4 winners, 9 placed)
  • The last 9 winners were rated at least 138
  • 5 year-olds have a good record (from few runners of that age that have run)
  • Novices have won 5 of the last 11 runnings
  • 6 of the last 9 winners were rated between 140-147
  • 7 of the last 9 winners carried 10-11 or more in weight
  • 18 of the last 20 winners had run no more than 12 times over fences

Negatives….

  • Horses aged 10+ are just 2 win from the last 24 runnings
  • Horses that last ran 45 days or more ago have seen just 7 winners since 1990
  • Last time out winners are just 1 from last 14
  • Horses aged 6 or younger (from top 3 in the market) are just 1 from 28 since 2005
  • Just 2 winners rated 147+ since 1992
  • Horses that won a handicap chase that season have a bad recent record

 

 

17:30 Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle   2m 4½f

2019 Winner: EARLY DOORS (5/1)
Trainer – Joseph O’Brien
Jockey – Jonjo O’Neill

Pluses….

  • 10 of the last 11 winners were 2nd season-hurdlers
  • 8 of the last 9 winners placed in the top 3 last time
  • All of the last 11 winners carried 11-1 or more
  • 10 of the last 11 winners had 8 or less runs over hurdles
  • 4 of the last 6 winners were Irish-based Novices
  • Irish have won 6 of the last 9 (5 making handicap debuts)
  • 31 of the 33 win and place horses were 1st or 2nd season hurdlers
  • Look for Henderson, Nicholls, Mullins, Elliot-trained horses
  • 9 of the 11 winners were placed in the top 4 last time out
  • 5 of the 11 winners won last time out
  • 5 of the last 6 winners had run over a longer trip that season
  • 7 of the 11 winners were rated 133-139
  • 7 of the 11 winners returned at a double-figure price (9 of the last 11 were 16/1 or less)
  • 5 and 6 year-old have won 10 of last 11 runnings
  • Look for jockeys that have ridden 20+ winners
  • Willie Mullins is 3 from 16 runners in the race (won 3 of the last 9 runnings)
  • Respect any Gigginstown House Stud-owned runners (4 winners, 5 places)
  • Paul Nicholls has won the race twice in the last 7 years
  • Gordon Elliott has won 2 of the last 3 runnings

Negatives….

  • Despite being named after his father the David Pipe stable has a poor record so far (0 from 19, inc 3 favs)
  • Just 1 winning fav in the 11-year history (7/10 returned in double-figures)
  • Horses in headgear are currently 1 from 54
  • Only 3 winners have previous Festival experience
  • Horses with 11st or less are currently 0-from-87

 

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Sat TV Trends: 29th February 2020

We’ve had better LIVE Saturday ITV race days, but with the Cheltenham Festival on the horizon then it’s no surprise the quality is slightly down – Newbury, Kelso and Doncaster provide the LIVE ITV action this week, and, as always, we’ve got all the races covered from a trends and stats angle.

 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4/RacingTV)

**NOTE** - Newbury's Saturday card has been called off due to a waterlogged track

2.05 – William Hill Supporting Greatwood Veterans´ Handicap Chase (Qualifier) (Leg 3 of Veterans´ Chase Series) Cl2 3m2f110y ITV4

9/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter
8/10 – Aged 10 years-old
8/10 – Won over at least 3m (chase)
6/10 – Favourites unplaced
5/10 – Carried 11-4 or more in weight
4/10 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
2/10 – Won their last race
1/10 – Winning favourites
Carole’s Destrier (6/1) won the race in 2019
Trainer David Pipe won the race in 2015 and 2016
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 and 2017
The average winning SP in the last 6 renewals is 6/1

3.15– William Hill Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f ITV4

15/16 – Carried 11-5 or less in weight
14/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
14/16 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
13/16 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
13/16 – Raced at Newbury (hurdles or fences) previously
13/16 – Won over this trip previously
11/16 – Officially rated 139 or higher
11/16 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/16 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
9/16 – Favourites placed
9/16 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
8/16 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
8/16 – Won by a French-bred horse
7/16 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
6/16 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/16 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/16 – Favourites  to win (1 joint)
3/16 – Ridden by Nick Scholfield
2/16 – Won by the Pipe yard
2/16 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/16 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/16 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was a dead-heat

 

DONCASTER HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV4/RacingTV)


1.50 – 888Sport Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m96y ITV4

Your first 30 days for just £1

Only 7 previous runnings
7/7 – Aged 9 or younger
6/7 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/7 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Finished 4th or better last time out
6/7 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
6/7 – Irish bred
5/7 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
5/7 – Favourites place in the top two
4/7 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/7 – Ran at Doncaster (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
3/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Aged 9 years-old
2/7 – Won last time out

2.25 – 888Sport Bet £10 Get £30 Handicap Chase Cl2 2m90y ITV4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
6/8 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
5/8 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
5/8 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
3/8 – Raced at Musselburgh last time out
2/8 – Trained by Brian Ellison
2/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls

 

3.00 – 888Sport Take ‘Em On Mares´ Novices´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m96y ITV4

6 previous runnings
6/6– Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/6 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/6 – Favourites placed in the top 2
5/6 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
3/6 - Won by the favourite (1 co-fav)
3/6 – Irish bred

 

3.35 – 888Sport Grimthorpe Chase (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 3m2f ITV4

15/15 – Aged 8 or older
14/15 – Won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/15 – Won no more than 4 times over fences
12/15 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
11/15 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
11/15 – Aged 9 or older
10/15 – From the top 3 in the betting
10/15 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Rated 131 or less
9/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/15 – Raced over fences at Doncaster before (3 winners)
7/15 – Won their last race
7/15 – Irish bred
4/15 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners)
2/15 – Favourites
8 year-olds have won 3 of the last 5 runnings
Chidswell won the race in 2019
Definitely Red won this race in 2017

 

KELSO HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.45 – William Hill Premier Kelso Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4 yo+) 2m2f ITV4

10/11 – Aged 7 or younger
10/11 – Favourites placed in the top three
10/11 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
9/11 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/11 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Had won at least twice over hurdles before
6/11 – Won last time out
6/11 – Had raced at Kelso before
5/11 – Irish bred
3/11 – Winning favourite
3/11 – Ran at Musselburgh last time out
2/11 – Trained by Lucinda Russell

 

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2020 Cheltenham Festival Trends: DAY THREE (Thurs 12th March 2020)

Each day of the 2020 Cheltenham Festival our horse racing trends experts here at GeeGeez.co.uk will give you all the quick-fire positive and negative stats for EVERY race. Apply these to the final cards and you will build up a picture and a profile of which horses have historically done the best in recent renewals.

We hope they help narrow down the fields and also help pin-point plenty of winners at the 2020 Cheltenham Festival for you!

 

DAY THREE: Thursday 12th March 2020


13:30 Marsh Novices' Chase   2m 4f

2019 Winner: DEFI DU SEUIL 3/1 fav
Trainer – Philip Hobbs
Jockey – Barry Geraghty

Pluses….

  • 7 of the 9 winners were Irish-trained
  • The last 9 winners were aged 6 or 7 years-old
  • Willie Mullins has trained 4 of the last 9 winners
  • 7 of the last 9 winners had won a Graded Chase before
  • 7 of the last 9 winners had 7 or less runs over hurdles
  • 8 of the last 9 past winners had run at the Festival before (4 had won)
  • 8 of the 9 winners came from the top 4 in the betting
  • 7 of the last 9 winners came from the top 2 in the betting
  • 8 of the last 9 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out
  • 8 of the last 9 winners returned 7/1 or shorter
  • 7 of the last 9 winners won last time out
  • 5 of the last 9 winners ran at Leopardstown last time out
  • 6 of the last 9 winners ran between 47-54 days ago
  • 7 year-olds have won 6 of last 9 renewals

Negatives….

  • Be careful of horses rated 146 or less
  • Just two British-trained winners so far
  • The top-rated horse is just 1 from 9
  • Since 1990 all Festival Novice Chase winners have been aged 8 or younger
  • 4 winning favourites in 9 runnings (1 co)
  • Just 1 of the last 9 winners had less than 3 career chase starts
  • Just 1 winner had been off for more than 54 days


14:10 Pertemps Final Handicap Hurdle   3m

2019 Winner: SIRE DU BERLAIS 4/1 fav
Trainer – Gordon Elliott
Jockey – Barry Geraghty

Pluses….

  • 8 of the last 10 winners started their careers in bumpers (6) or points (2)
  • Irish have won the last 4 runnings
  • 9 of the last 12 winners placed in their last race (5 won)
  • 10 of the last 19 winners were from outside the top 5 in the betting
  • The last 9 winners were rated 138 or higher
  • 9 of the last 13 winners were rated between 132-142 (inc)
  • The last 9 winners were rated between 138-148
  • 9 of the last 15 winners had won over at least 2m7f
  • 10 of the last 13 winners had run 10 or less times over hurdles before
  • 8 of the last 19 winners won their last race
  • 3 of the last 11 winners finished in the first 5 in the Betfair Hurdle
  • Look for Jonjo O’Neill, Twiston-Davies, Mullins and Pipe-trained runners
  • Respect JP McManus-owned horses – won it again in 2019 too
  • Trainer Gordon Elliott has won the last two runnings
  • Jockey Davy Russell has ridden 3 of the last 4 winners

Negatives….

  • Avoid horses with less than 6 runs over hurdles
  • Horses that have won 3+ times that season are just 1 from 10
  • Since 2000 only 1 winner didn’t have a run that calendar year
  • 5 year-olds have won just twice since 1973
  • French-bred horses are currently on a run of 2-86
  • All horses rated 150+ since 2000 have failed to finish in the top 2
  • 2 winning favourites in last 14 years
  • Paul Nicholls is currently 0 from 18 (One third and two 2nds in the last 6 runnings)
  • Horses aged 7 or younger and priced in single-figures are just 3 from 41


14:50 Ryanair Chase   2m 5f

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2019 Winner: FRODON (9/2)
Trainer – Paul Nicholls
Jockey – Bryony Frost

Pluses….

  • 21 of the 29 winners and runners-up had won at the course before
  • 6 of the last 7 winners were 2nd season chasers
  • 13 of the last 15 had won at Cheltenham previously
  • 9 of the last 12 winners had won a Grade 1 Chase before
  • The King George VI Chase is often a good guide (7 from 26)
  • The previous year’s renewal is often a good guide
  • 12 of the last 15 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
  • 7 of the last 8 winners were aged 7 or 8 years-old
  • 11 of the last 12 winners were rated 161+
  • 4 of the last 15 winners were placed in the top 3 in the Ascot Chase last time out
  • 11 of last 15 winners were fav or 2nd fav
  • 7 of the last 8 winners had 11 (or less) runs over fences
  • Trainers Jonjo O’Neill, David Pipe & Nicky Henderson are respected
  • Respect first time headgear (2 from 8)
  • 8 of the last 12 winners DIDN’T win last time out
  • Last 6 winners were French-bred

Negatives….

  • The Irish are 3 from 51 runners in this race
  • Avoid horses priced 7/1 or bigger
  • Avoid horses aged 11 or older
  • Just one winner rated 160 or below
  • Just 4 of the last 12 won last time out
  • All winners ran 4 or less times that season
  • No winner was having their Festival debut

 

15:30 Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle 3m


2019 Winner: PAISLEY PARK (11/8 fav)
Trainer – Emma Lavelle
Jockey – Aidan Coleman

 

Pluses….

  • 11 of the last 15 won last time out
  • 11 of the last 19 winners were second season hurdlers
  • 27 of the last 30 winners aged between 6-8 years-old
  • 17 of the last 19 winners came from the top 4 in the betting
  • 8 of the last 18 were French Bred
  • Respect the Cleeve Hurdle and Long Walk Hurdle form
  • 15 of the last 18 winners finished 1st or 2nd in all their hurdling runs that season
  • 13 of the last 15 winners started 10/1 or less in the betting
  • Respect past winners of the race
  • 15 of the last 23 winners had won 7 or less times over hurdles

Negatives….

  • Avoid horses that didn’t finish either 1st or 2nd last time out (2 from 20)
  • A 5 year-old is yet to win the race
  • Horses that have lost previously in the race don’t fare well
  • Trainer Willie Mullins has only won the race twice
  • Avoid front runners
  • The Irish are have won the race just three times since 1995
  • Avoid horses that were beaten in the race before
  • Previous Albert Bartlett winners have an overall poor record (1 from 16)
  • Horses wearing headgear are 0 from 67
  • Horses aged 10 or older have all been beaten since 1986 (0 from 55)

16:10 Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate   2m 5f

2019 Winner: SIRUH DU LAC (9/2)
Trainer – Nick Williams
Jockey – Lizzie Kelly

Pluses….

  • 27 of the last 32 winners were officially rated 141 or less
  • 10 of the last 11 winners carried under 11-0
  • Look out for French-breds
  • 10 of the last 16 winners had won a race in Feb or March
  • Venetia Williams & Pipe-trained runners should be noted
  • The Pipe yard have won 7 of the last 22 runnings
  • 16 of the last 19 winners returned at double-figure odds
  • 20 of the last 28 winners had run at the Festival before (but 7 of last 9 were having Festival debut)
  • 19 of the last 20 winners had run in no more than 16 chases
  • 7 of the last 10 winners had 9 or less chase runs
  • 17 of the last 20 winners came from outside the top 4 in the market

Negatives….

  • Avoid horses that are yet to win at Class 3 or better
  • The Irish have only sent out 4 winners since 1951
  • 2 winning favourites in the last 14 years
  • Only 3 of last 25 won with 11st+
  • Winners of a chase at Cheltenham before have an overall poor record, but the 2019 winner did defy this trend.
  • Only 2 of the last 16 winners hadn’t run that calendar year

16:50 Daylesford Mares’ Novices Hurdle 2m1f


2019 Winner: EGLANTINE DU SEUIL 50/1
Trainer – Willie Mullins
Jockey – Noel Fehily

  • A new race (Just four renewals)
  • Favourites have won 3 of the four runnings
  • 3 of the last 4 winners won last time out 3 of the 4 winners were French-bred
  • 3 of the 4 winners were unbeaten that season
  • Sullivan Bloodstock owners have won 2 of the 4 runnings (just 3 runners)
  • All four winners have been aged 5 years-old
  • Willie Mullins won the race in 2016, 2017, 2018 and 2019
  • Owner Rich Ricci has won 2 of the last 4 runnings

17:30 Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Handicap Chase   3m 1½f


2019 Winner: ANY SECOND NOW (6/1)
Trainer – Ted Walsh
Jockey – Mr Derek O’Connor

Pluses….

  • Respect 8 and 9 year-olds
  • 9 of the last 12 winners failed to win earlier that season
  • 3 of the last 9 winners ran in the BetVictor Handicap Chase (Open Meeting)
  • The last 8 winners ran off a mark of 137 or more
  • 7 of the last 10 winners returned 9/1 or shorter (top three in the betting)
  • 8 of the last 10 winners carried 11st 5lbs+
    8 of the last 11 winners ran in February
  • Look for McCain, Pipe and Henderson-trained runners
  • Look for horses in the top half of the handicap
  • 18 of the last 20 winners ran over at least three miles in their last race
  • Look for non-claiming amateur riders
  • 8 of the last 9 winners wore headgear
  • 9 of the last 11 winners came from the top 6 in the market
  • Jockey Jamie Codd has ridden 4 of the last 11 winners
  • Jockey Derek O’Connor 2nd 3 times and 1st in 2019
    Owner JP McManus often does well in the race

Negatives….

  • Just three Irish winners for 36 years (but have won 3 of the last 6)
  • Horses that fell or unseated that season have a poor record
  • Avoid Paul Nicholls-trained horses – he’s just 1 placed horse from his last 21
  • Trainer Willie Mullins has a poor record in the race
  • Horses carrying less than 10-10 have a poor record
  • French breds are 0 from 59 since 2005
  • Avoid claiming jockeys – 1 from 89 since 2009
  • Just 1 of the last 17 winners won last time out

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