Sat TV Trends: 18th July 2020

This Saturday we’ve another busy day of LIVE ITV Racing with the cameras heading to York and Newbury to take in seven races across the two venues.

At York, the John Smith’s Cup (2:30) is the feature contest – a race that 16 of the last 18 winners were aged 5 or younger.

Then at Newbury, the Group Three Hackwood Stakes (4.00) tops the bill.

Like all big race days, here at Geegeez.co.uk we've got the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.

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York Horse Racing Trends

 

1:55 - John Smith's Silver Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV4

 

14/14 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
13/14 – Won from stall 10 or lower
12/14 – Aged 5 or younger
11/14 – Didn’t win their previous race
10/14 – Placed favourites
7/14 – Aged 4 years-old
7/14 – Had run at York before
5/14 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/14 – Horses from stall 2 that finished second
3/14 – Winning favourites
Red Verdon (20/1) won the race in 2019

 

2:30 - John Smith's Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV4

 

17/18 – Returned 20/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Aged 5 or younger
16/18 – Had won over 1m1f or further before
14/18 – Had between 3-5 previous runs already that season
13/18 – Came from stall 9 or higher
12/18 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Carried 9-3 or less
11/18 – Top 4 finish in their previous race
10/18 – Aged 4 years-old
10/18 – Officially rated between 99-105
9/18 – Had run at York before
6/18 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
3/18 – Won by trainer Richard Fahey
2/18 – Trained by William Haggas
2/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 11/1

 

3:05 - John Smith's City Walls Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f ITV4

9/9 – Won over 5f before
9/9 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/9 – Rated between 101 and 111
8/9 – Placed favourites
6/9 – Unplaced last time out
6/9 – Had only won at Handicap class before
6/9 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
5/9 – Won by a neck or less
6/9 – Won at York before
3/9 – Ran at Ascot last time out
Copper Knight won the race in 2019

 

3:40 - William Hill Extra Places Every Day Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-93) 1m4f ITV4

9/10 – Won over 1m2f or further
8/10 - Drawn in stalls 1-9 (inc)
8/10 – Won between 1-3 times
8/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Aged 5 or younger
7/10 – Had run at York before
6/10 – Placed favourites
6/10 – Rated between 93-98 (inc)
4/10 – Won last time out
4/10 – Won from stalls 8,9 or 10
3/10 – Ran at York last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/10 – Trained by Saeed Bi Suroor
2/10 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope

 

Newbury Horse Racing Trends

 

2.15 bet365 Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV4

 

10/10 – Foaled in Feb, Mar or April
10/10 – Had run in the last 4 weeks
10/10 – Won over 6f before
9/10 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
8/10 – Won just once before
7/10 – Returned 7/2 or less
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Foaled in March or April
6/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/10 – Unplaced last time out
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/10 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan

 

 

2:50 - British EBF/bet365 Premier Fillies' Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV4

 

10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/10 – Won between 1-4 times before
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
8/10 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
8/10 – Rated between 83-92
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Carried 9-5 or more in weight
7/10 – Had won over 1m before
7/10 – Won between 1-3 times
4/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston
1/10  - Winning favourite

 

 

3:25 - bet365 Aphrodite Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV4

 

15/16 – Won over at least 1m2f or further before
14/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/16 – Won between 1-2 times before
6/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/16 - Winning favourite
5/16 – Ran at Haydock last time out
5/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden

Note: Normally run at Newmarket

 

 

4:00 - bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV4

 

15/16 – Won over 6f before
13/16 – Aged 5 or younger
12/16 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Had won 4 or more times before
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/16 – Placed favourites
7/16 – Had won a Group race before
6/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
6/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Winners from stall 8
2/16 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
2/16 – Trained by William Haggas
2/16 – Trained by Charles Hills (2 of last 5)
2/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/15 – Winners from stall 1
8 of the last 12 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting

 

Sat TV Trends: 11th July 2020

Plenty going on again this Saturday with a monster NINE LIVE ITV races to take in.

We’ve the final day of the Newmarket July Meeting, with the Group One Darly July Stakes, plus the Group Two Superlative Stakes and the competitive Bunbury Cup Handicap.

Then at Ascot, we’ve four more LIVE races to enjoy from the Berkshire track that include the Group Two Summer Mile.

As always, we’ve got all the races covered with key trends and stats – use these to find the best past profile of winning horses.

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

 

1.50 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

16/18 – Had won over 7f or further previously
14/18 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
14/18 – Had 2 or more runs that season
10/18 – Unplaced in their last race
9/18 – Favourites unplaced
8/18 – Winners from stall 8 or higher
3/18 – Won their last race
3/18 – Winning Favourites
2/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/18 – Ridden by Dane O’Neill
The Richard Hannon yard has won 3 of the last 7
Motakhayyel (5/1) won the race in 2019

2.25 British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 7f ITV

10/10 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
8/10 – Rated between 83-93 (inc)
7/10  - Had won over at least 7f before
7/10 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
6/10 – Placed favourites
4/10 – Drawn in stalls 10 or 13 (2 each)
4/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/10 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/10 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

3.00 - Bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

17/18 – Won over at least 6f previously
16/18 – Placed in their last race
15/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
13/18 – Won their latest race
12/18 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
12/18 – Won by either a March or April foal
9/18 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
8/18 – Favourites unplaced
6/18 – Winning Favourites
4/18 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/18 – Winners from stall 3
5/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 7 runnings)
2/18 – Trained by Mick Channon
Mystery Power (7/1) won the race in 2019

3.35 - Darley July Cup (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

Recent July Cup Winners.....

2019     Ten Sovereigns (9/2)
2018     U S Navy Flag (8/1)
2017     Harry Angel (9/2)
2016     Limato (9/2 fav)
2015     Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014     Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013     Lethal Force (9/2)
2012     Mayson (20/1)
2011      Dream Ahead (7/1)
2010      Starspangledbanner (2/1 fav)
2009      Fleeting Spirit (12/1)
2008      Marchand d'Or (5/2 fav)
2007      Sakhee's Secret                (9/2)
2006      Les Arcs (10/1)
2005      Pastoral Pursuits (22/1)
2004      Frizzante (14/1)
2003      Oasis Dream (9/2)
2002      Continent (12/1)

July Cup Betting Trends

17/18 – Aged 5 or younger
16/18 – Had won over 6f before
15/18 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
15/18 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
14/18 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
13/18 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
10/18 – Placed last time out
9/18 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
9/18 – Unplaced favourites
6/18 – Won their previous race
5/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Irish-trained winners (O’Brien trained the last 2 winners)
2/18 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
1/18 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 8/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 5 times before (1999, 2001, 2010, 2018 & 2019)

 

4.10 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

17/18 – Won over 7f previously
17/18 – Raced 3 or more times that season
14/18 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
11/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/18 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
11/18 – Winners from stall 14 or higher
9/18 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
9/18 – Horses from a double-figure stall that 1st, 2nd and 3rd
8/18 – Placed in their last race
4/18 – Favourites (inc joint and co)
3/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Vale Of Kent (13/2) won the race in 2019

 

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

 

2.05 – Betfred “Ascot Official Bookmaker* Fillies Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 1m ITV

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Won over at least 7f before
7/7 – Never ran at the course before
7/7 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
7/7 – Won between 1-2 times before
6/7 – Aged 3 years-old
6/7 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
6/7 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
5/7 – Favourites placed
3/7 – Trained by William Haggas
3/7 – Won last time out
2/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 4/1

2.40 – ‘Play Nifty Fifty Exclusively At Betfred’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m4f ITV

7/7 – Drawn in between stalls 3-7 (inc)
7/7 – Didn’t win last time out
7/7 – Won between 0-3 times
7/7 – Had run in the last 3 weeks
6/7 – Favourites placed in the first two
5/7 – Drawn in stalls 4 or 6
5/7 – Rated between 83-93 (inc)
5/7 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
4/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/7 – Had run at Ascot before
2/7 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/7 – Godolphin-owned
2/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 15/2

 

3.15 – Betfred Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV

13/13 Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
11/13 – Had won over at least a mile before
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Had raced at Ascot before (2 won)
10/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Aged either 4 or 6 years-old
8/13 – Previous Group race winner
8/13 – Winning favourites
7/13 – Had won at least 4 times before
5/13 – Aged 4 years-old
5/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/13 – Had won a Group 1 before
10 of the last 11 winners were draw in stalls 5 or lower
Trainer William Haggas has won 2 of the last 4 runnings
Trainer Andrew Balding has won the last 2 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

 

 

3.50 – Betfred Heritage Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f ITV

Just 7 previous running
7/7 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
6/7 – Didn’t win last time out
6/7 – Had won between 2-6 times
6/7 – Had won over 5f before
6/7 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
6/7 – Carried 8-10 or more
6/7 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
4/7 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
4/7 – Came from a double-figure stall
3/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/7 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 8/1

 

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Newmarket July Meeting Trends: Fri 10th July 2020

The three-day 2020 Newmarket July Meeting continues on Friday (10th July) and with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle.

As we move into the second day (Gentleman's Day) the Group Two Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Cherry Hinton) and the Group One Falmouth Stakes take centre stage - did you know 14 of the last 18 Falmouth Stakes winners came from stalls 5 or lower?

As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races, highlighting the main trends – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

Enjoy!


Newmarket July Meeting - Day Two,
Friday 10th July 2020

1.50 – Price Promise at bet365 Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-88) 7f ITV4

No previous runnings
Jockey Ben Curtis is 4-from-5 (80%) riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Joe Fanning has a 31% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Andrea Azteni has a 30% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey PJ McDonald has a 30% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

2.25 - Duchess of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored by Bet365) (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV4

16/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
16/16 – Had raced at least twice before
15/16 – Had won between 1-2 times before
14/16 – Foaled in Feb (6) or March (6)
14/16 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
13/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
12/16 – Won by a UK-based yard
11/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
11/16 – Had won over 6f before
8/16 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
7/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by the Hannon team
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (inc 2 of last 4)
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (5 wins in total)
2/16 – Drawn in stall 1
Raffle Prize (9/2) won the race in 2019

 


3.00 – bet365 Trophy (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

Just two previous running
The Mark Johnston yard won this race in 2019
The Charlie Appleby yard won this race in 2018
King’s Advice (10/1) won this race in 2019
Trainer Mark Johnston has a 30% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is 0-from-29 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Ben Curtis is 4-from-5 (80%) riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Joe Fanning has a 31% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey PJ McDonald has a 30% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

3.35 - bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV

11/13 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
11/13 – Had won between 1-2 times before
11/13 – Have never run at Newmarket (July) before
10/13 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Placed in the top 6 last time out
9/13 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
7/13 – Irish bred
6/13 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
6/13 – Trained by Mark Johnston (including 5 of last 7 runnings)
5/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Trained by Andrew Balding
0/13 – Winning favourites
Walkinthesand (9/1) won the race in 2019

 

4.10 – Tattersalls Falmouth Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

18/18 – Won a Listed or better class race previously
17/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/18– Won over at least 1 mile previously
14/18 – Won from stall 5 or lower
14/18 – Had 2+ runs that season
13/18 – Won at 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
10/18 – Favourites placed
7/18 – Favourites  that won (1 joint)
7/18 – Previous Group One winners
6/18 – Had run on the Newmarket July course previously
5/18 – Won their last race
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 6)
2/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 4 runnings)
2/18 – French-trained winners
Veracious (6/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

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Market Rasen TV Trends: Fri 10th July 2020

A big day over the jumps at Market Rasen this Friday as the ITV cameras head to the track to show two live races – the Summer Plate and the Summer Hurdle.

We’ve got both races covered with key trends and stats – use these to narrow down the fields and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Market Rasen TV Trends

Friday 10th July 2020

2.05 Betway Summer Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV4

15/18 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
14/18 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
14/18 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
13/18 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
11/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
6/18 – Had run at Market Rasen before
2/18 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/18 – Winning favourites
12 of the last 13 winners carried 11-5 or less
9 of the last 14 winners carried 11-0 or less
8 of the last 14 winners retuned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
Grapevine (25/1) won the race in 2019

2.40 Betway Summer Plate Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m5 1/2f ITV4

17/18 – Had run within the last 3 months
16/18 – Had won over at least 2m3f (chase) before
16/18 – Aged 7 or older
13/18 – Had won 2 or more chases before
12/18 – Carried 10-13 or less
12/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/18 – Had run at Market Rasen before
11/18 – Won their previous race
7/18 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
5/18 – Trained by Peter Bowen
4/18 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/18 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/18 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 9)
2/18 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
Trainer Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2009 and 2014
10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 7-9 years-old
Casablanca Mix won the race in 2019

 

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Newmarket July Meeting Trends: Thurs 9th July 2020

The three-day 2020 Newmarket July Meeting gets started on Thursday (9th July) and with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle.

On day one the Group Two July Stakes and Prince of Wales's Stakes are the key contests - did you know that a 4 year-old has won 10 of the last 13 Prince Of Wales's Stakes?  

As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races, highlighting the main trends – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

Enjoy!

 

Newmarket July Meeting - Day One,

Thursday 9th July 2020

 

1.50 – Bahrain International Sir Henry Cecil Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 1m ITV4

6/7 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
6/7 – Won 2 or 3 times in the past
6/7 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
6/7 – Had won over 7f or 1m in the past
5/7 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
4/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 9/1

 

 

2.25 - Bahrain Trophy (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f ITV4

18/18 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
16/18 – Failed to win last time out
16/18 – Never run on the Newmarket July Course before
12/18 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
11/18 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
10/18 – Favourites placed in the top three
10/18 – Won at 3/1 or shorter
10/18 – Finished fifth or worse in their previous race
5/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Trained by John Gosden (inc 4 of last 9 runnings)
3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/18 – Ridden by William Buick
2/17 – Winners that came from stall 1
Spanish Mission (13/2) won the race in 2019

 

 

3.00 – Tattersalls July Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

17/18 – Had won over 5 or 6f previously
16/18 – Placed in their last run
15/18 – Had 2 or more previous career starts
14/18 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
10/18 – Won their last race
10/18 – Won at 9/2 or shorter
9/18 – Unplaced favourites
9/18 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their last race
6/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon
6/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
1/18 – Winners that came from stall 1
Frankie Dettori has ridden 5 winners in the race
Royal Lytham (11/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

3.35 – Bet365 Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

14/14 – Had won no more than 3 times before
13/14 – Didn’t win last time out
13/14 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Had 3 or 4 previous runs that season
12/14 – Had won over 6f before
11/14 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
11/14 – Carried 8-12 or less
11/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/14 – Came from a double-figure stall
10/14 – Unplaced favourites
8/14 – Finished unplaced last time out
4/14 – Trained by Andrew Balding
4/14 – Ridden by David Probert
0/14 – Winning favourites
Pass The Vino (25/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

4.10 - Princess Of Wales´s Tattersalls Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f ITV

16/18 – Aged 4 or older (4 year-olds have won 10 of last 13)
16/18 – Previously won over at least 1m4f
15/18 – Had 2 or more runs that season
14/18 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
12/18 – Won at 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Won a Group 1 or 2 race before
12/18 – Unplaced in their previous race
10/18 – Favourites that were placed
9/18 – Ran at Royal Ascot in their previous race
5/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 9 times in total)
4/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
4/18 – Won by trainer Mark Johnston
Communique (11/1) won the race in 2019

 

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York TV Trends: Thurs 9th July 2020

Normally run in May, but the York Dante Meeting was cancelled this year due to the Coronavirus outbreak.

However, the good news is three of their races have been moved to this Thursday (9th July) – the Musidora and Dante Stakes, plus the Listed Marygate Fillies’ Stakes – and will be shown LIVE on ITV Racing too.

We take a look at the three LIVE races with key trends and stats – use these to find the profiles of past winning horses.

 

York Horse Racing Trends

Thursday 9th July 2020

 

2.05 – EBF Marygate Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo) 5f ITV4

 

14/15 – Had won over 5f before
14/15 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/15 – Won by a horse foaled in February or later
13/15 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
13/15 – Had won between 1-2 times before
13/15 – Won last time out
11/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Winners from stall 9
6/15 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 6-11 (inc)
Richard Fahey has trained 2 of the last 9 winners
Michael Bell has trained 2 of the last 12 winners
2019 Winner: Good Vibes (10/1)

2.40 – Tattersalls Musidora Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2 1/2f ITV4

 

17/18 – Had won a race before
15/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Had a previous run that season
14/18 – Finished 4th or better last time
13/18 – Came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
11/18 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks
8/18 – Won by the favourite
8/18 – Won their previous race
5/18 – Previous distance winners over 1m2f
5/18 – Trained by John Gosden (5 of the last 9)
4/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (3 of last 5)
3/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/18 – Ridden by William Buick
1/18 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Sariska 2009)
0/18 – Had run at York before
11 of the last 14 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won the race
2019 Winner: Nausha (14/1)

 

3.15 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dante Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2 1/2f ITV4

16/18 – Winners that went onto run in the Epsom Derby (4 won)
14/18 – Finished third or better last time out
12/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Had a previous race that season
11/18 – Won their previous race
9/18 – Went onto be placed in the Epsom Derby
4/18 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
4/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/18 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (won it 4 times in all)
3/18 - Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (won it 6 times in all)
3/18 – Won by jockey Ryan Moore
3/18 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of last 5 runnings)
2/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/18 – Ridden by William Buick
1/18 – Had run at York before
0/18 – Winners from stall 2
Just 2 winning favourites in the last 13 runnings
Golden Horn (2015) was the last Dante winner to go onto win the Epsom Derby
2019 Winner: Telecaster (7/1)

 

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Sat TV Trends: 4th July 2020

It’s Derby Day at Epsom Racecourse this weekend and like every Saturday we’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our free tips on each contest.

Yes, normally run in early June, but due to the coronavirus outbreak has been moved to early July – with the Epsom Oaks joining the Derby to be run on the same day.

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Did you know that 16 of the last 18 Epsom Derby winners had finished 1st or 2nd in their last race, while 12 of the last 18 Derby winners came from a single-figure stall?

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Supporting the two big Epsom races are five more contests – four of which will also be shown LIVE by the ITV horse racing team.

Here at GeeGeez.co.uk we've got all the ITV LIVE Saturday races covered with the key trends - use these stats to find the best winning profiles of past winners!

 

Epsom Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1:50 - Investec Woodcote EBF Stakes (Conditions Race) (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV

18/18 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
17/18 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
16/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Single-figured stalls that filled the first three home
14/18 – Had 2 or more previous runs
14/18 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
12/18 – Yet to win over 6f
9/18 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
9/18 – Won their previous race
5/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston (2002, 2003, 2011, 2015 & 2017)
3/18 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/18 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/18 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
10 of the last 12 winners were foaled in Feb (3) or March (7)

 

2:25 - Investec Surrey Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 7f ITV

10/10 – Had won over 6f+ before
10/10 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
9/10 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
8/10 - Rated between 95-107
8/10 – Never raced at Epsom before
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 3 or higher
7/10 – Won just 1-2 times before
7/10 – Had won over 7f before
7/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Won at the track before
2/10 – Godolphin-owned
2/10 – Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

3:00 - Investec Handicap Cl2 (4yo+) 1m2f ITV

16/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f or further before
14/17 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
14/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/17 – Had won at least 3 times before
13/17 – Came from stall 9 or lower
12/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Rated between 86-98
11/17 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
11/17 – Irish bred
11/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Came from the top three in the betting
10/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
7/17 – Had raced at the track before
6/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
3/17 – Trained by Roger Varian
3/17 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni

 

3:40 - Investec Oaks (Group 1) Cl1 (3yo) 1m4f ITV

18/18 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
15/18 – Horses from stall 1 that were unplaced
15/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/18 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
11/18 – Won from stall 5 or higher
11/18 – Favourites that were placed
10/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Won by the favourite (1 joint)
5/18 – Returned a double-figure price
5/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
5/18 – Irish-trained winners
4/18 – Ran in the English 1,000 Guineas
3/18 – Trained by John Gosden
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
1/18 – Had run over 1m4f before
0/18 – Had run at the course before
7 of the last 13 favourites were unplaced
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 7 times
Trainer John Gosden has won 3 of the last 6 runnings.
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 11.5/1
Kazzia (2002) and Minding (2016) were the last horses to win both the 1,000 Guineas and Epsom Oaks
The horse from stall 2 has been placed in 7 of the last 16 runnings

 

4:15 - Princess Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Investec) (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo) 1m½f ITV

17/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
17/17 – Had won at Listed or Group 3 class before
15/17 – Drawn in stall 4,5,6, 7 or 8
15/17 – Favourites placed
14/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
14/17 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
14/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Had won over at least a mile before
13/17 – Had won between 4-6 times before
12/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
10/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/17 – Aged 4 years-old
9/17 – Winning favourites
9/17 – Had raced at Epsom before
9/17 – Drawn in either stall 5 or 6
8/17 – Won last time out
6/17 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/17 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/17 – Won by a Cheveley Park-owned horse
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/17 – Trained by Roger Charlton
Jockeys Silvestre de Sousa (2), James Doyle (3) and Frankie Dettori (3) have won 8 of the last 10 runnings
Godolphin have won 3 of the last 10 runnings

 

4:55 - Investec Derby Stakes (Group 1) Cl1 (3yo) 1m4f ITV

Epsom Derby Betting Trends and Stats

17/18 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
16/18 – Raced no more than 5 times before
16/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/18 – Had won a Group race before
12/18 – Favourites that were placed
12/18 – Won from a single-figure stall
12/18 – Won last time out
12/18 – Had run over at least 1m2f before
10/18 – Had raced no more than 3 times before
9/18 – Irish-trained winners
8/18 – Had won a Group One before
6/18 – Won by the favourite
6/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won 7 in all)
5/18 – Ran in the 2,000 Guineas that season (2 winners)
4/18 – Won the Dante Stakes (York) last time out
3/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won 5 in all)
3/18 – Winners from stall 12 or higher
2/18 – Won over 1m4f before
0/18 – Run at the course before
0/18 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 13/2
10 Dante winners went onto win the Derby (Golden Horn, 2015 being the most-recent)
Only 1 horse that was beaten in the Dante (Workforce) went onto win the Derby

 Epsom Derby Trainer Stats

Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2010, 2004, 2003, 1986 & 1981
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2002, 2001, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2017 & 2018

 

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Sunday TV Trends: 5th July 2020

We the normal horse racing calendar still a bit up in the air at the moment, we’ve more LIVE ITV racing this Sunday – this time from Sandown and Haydock, who have both moved their big Coral-Eclipse and Old Newton Cup race days due to it being Derby Day on Saturday.

So, at Sandown we’ve the Group One Coral-Eclipse Stakes to look forward to – a race that the popular mare – Enable – will be all the rage in. Then up at Haydock, we’ve the Old Newton Cup and Group Two Lancashire Oaks are the two features that all join together for what will be a great Sunday of LIVE ITV Racing.

We’ve got all the key trends, plus our FREE tips for all the LIVE ITV Racing contests – use these stats to find the best profile of past winners.

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Sandown Horse Racing Tips and Trends

 

1:50 - Coral Charge (Group 3) (Registered As The Sprint Stakes) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f ITV

18/18 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
17/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Favourites placed
14/18 – Came from the top 4 in the betting
13/18 – Had won at least 3 times before
13/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/18 – Winning favourites
7/18 – Had won at Sandown before
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Ran at Ascot last time out
8 of the last 14 winners were Irish bred
11 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)

 

 

2:25 - Coral Henry II Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m ITV

12/12 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
11/12 – Had won over at least 1m6f before
11/12 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
10/12 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Aged 6 or younger
10/12 – Favourites placed in the top 3
10/12 – Rated between 109 and 117
9/12 – Had run in the last 8 weeks
8/12 – Won at least 6 times in the past
8/12 – Won over at least 2m before
5/12 – Had run at the course before
5/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/12 – Winners from stall 5
4/12 – Won last time out
3/12 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

3:00 - Coral Challenge (Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 1m ITV

17/18 – Aged 6 or younger
16/18 – Carried 8-8 or more
16/18 – Previous winners over 1m (or further)
15/18 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
14/18 – Didn’t win their previous race
12/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Had run at Sandown before
10/18 – Aged 4 years-old
8/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/18 – Ran at either York (2) or Ascot (5) last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Andrew Balding
11 of the last 14 winners came from stall 8 or lower

 

3:35 - Coral-Eclipse (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m2f ITV

18/18 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
14/18 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
14/18 – Won by a previous Group One winner
14/18 – Placed favourites
13/18 – Placed in their last race
12/18 – Raced between 2 and 3 times that season
11/18 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out (three won there)
9/18 – Favourites that won
5/18 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
5/18 – Raced in the Epsom Derby that season
4/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/18 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of last 8)
5 of the last 13 winners won last time out
2 of the last 11 Derby winners of that season went onto win the race
The last 6 year-old to win the race was in 1886
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 9/2

12 of out the last 15 winners had run in the previous 30 days
11 out of the last 15 winners were Group 1 winners
14 of the last 15 winners came from the first four in the betting
13 out of the last 15 winners had won over 1m 2f or further

 

Other Eclipse Stakes Trainer Facts

Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2011, 2008, 2005, 2002 & 2000
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2007, 2001, 1997, 1994, 1993 & 2017
Godolphin-owned horses have won the race in 2004, 1998, 1996, 1995 & 2016
Trainer John Gosden has won 4 of the last 8 runnings

 

 

Haydock Horse Racing Tips and Trends

 

2.05 – bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 1m6f ITV

Trainer William Haggas has a 30% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 24% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Alan King has a 24% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Martin Harley has a 26% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

2.40 - bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV

15/18 – Had won at least at Listed class before
15/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/18 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/18 – Placed favourites
12/18 – Had won between 1-3 times before
11/18 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
9/18 – Won last time out
9/18 – Had won over 1m4f before
7/18 – Trained by John Gosden
5/18 – Had raced at Haydock before
4/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/18 – Trained by David Elsworth
2/18 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
The last 7 runnings have been won by a 4 year-old

 

3.15 - bet365 Old Newton Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

 

16/18 – Had won a race over 1m4f before
14/18 – Aged 5 or younger
14/18 – Officially rated between 89 and 97
13/18 – Won no more than 5 times before
13/18 – Carried 9-1 or less
12/18 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower
12/18 – Had won at least 3 times before
11/18 – Favourites placed in the top 4
11/18 – Aged 4 years-old
10/18 – Irish or USA bred
10/18 – Carried 8-12 or less
9/18 – Raced within the last 7 days
7/18 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
7/18 – Placed horses (top three) from stall 4
6/18 – Had won a race at Haydock before
5/18 – Won last time out
4/18 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/18 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 12/1

 

 

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Sunday TV Trends: 28th June 2020

This Sunday (28th June 2020) there is more LIVE ITV horse racing to enjoy with seven races spread across both Windsor and Newmarket.

We’ve got the key trends and stats for each race, plus our FREE TIPS. Use these key trends to whittle down the runners and find the best past winning profiles.

 

Windsor Horse Racing Trends (Sky/ITV4)

 

2:25 - Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 6f ITV4

14/15 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
13/15 – Had won over 6f before
12/15 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
10/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/15 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
5/15 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Drawn in stall 3
3/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

Note: This race is normally staged at Newbury

 

3:00 - Midsummer Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV4

 10/10 – Returned 8/1 or less in the betting
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Ran at Newmarket (3), Ascot (4) or York (2) last time out
9/10 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
9/10 – Aged 5 or younger
8/10 – Rated between 102 and 110
8/10 – Favourites placed in the top three
7/10 – Drawn 4 or lower
7/10 – Won over at least 1m before
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 4 or lower
3/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Had run at the course before
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

3:35 - attheraces.com Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 1m ITV4

 No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 36% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston is only 2 from 27 (7%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Silvestre De Sousa has a 29% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Luke Morris has only a 4% record riding 3 year—olds a the track

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

 

2:45 - Betway Empress Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV4

18/18 – Never raced at the track before
16/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
13/18 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
10/18 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs
10/18 – Didn’t win their previous race
9/18 – Came from stall 5 or lower
7/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time (2 Albany, 3 Queen Mary)
4/18 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/18 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

 

 

3:20 - Betway Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 6f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Roger Varian has a 16% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

 

3:55 - Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Jockey David Egan is only 1 from 35 (3%) riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

4:30 - Betway Fred Archer Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV4

18/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/18 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
15/18 – Had between 0 and 2 previous runs that season
14/18 – Didn’t win their previous race
14/18 – Placed favourites
13/18 – Had won over 1m4f (or further) before
11/18 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
11/18 – Aged 4 years-old
11/18 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
9/18 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
3/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/18 – Won by the Kremlin House stable (Roger Varian)
8 of the last 10 winners drawn 5 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 27th June 2020

Another decent day of LIVE ITV this Saturday as the cameras head to Newcastle and Newmarket. 

The Northumberland Plate takes centre stage at Newcastle racecourse, while the ITV cameras also head to Newmarket, plus it’s Irish Derby Day over at the Curragh - here at GeeGeez.co.uk we've got all the TV races covered from a trends angle.

So, put the odds in your favour – if a certain trend has happened many times in the past then there is a good chance of it repeating itself. As always, we hope these stats help direct you towards a few winners and pay for the weekend expenses.

Let’s get started!

 

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Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV and RacingTV)


2.05 – Betway Handicap Cl2 (3yo) 7f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Mick Appleby has a 38% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Tom Dascombe is only 1 from 21 (5%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 24% record riding 3 year-olds a the track
Jockey Richard Kingscote is only 1 from 33 (3%) riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

2.40 – Betway Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

16/18 – Won over 7f before
16/18 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
16/18 – Had at least 1 run already that season
13/18 – Aged 5 or younger
12/18 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/18 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
9/18 – Came from stall 3 or lower
8/18 – Unplaced favourites
6/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon (3 of last 9 runnings)
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1
Limato won the race in 2019
Sir Dancealot won the race in 2018

 

3.15 – Betway Fairway Stakes (Listed) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

13/13 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Had won between 1-2 times before
11/13 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
11/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/13 – Favourites placed in the top three
11/13 – Had won over 1m or further before
10/13 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Draw 1,2 or 3
8/13 – Had raced at Newmarket before (Rowley)
7/13 – Winning favourites
6/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/13 – US-bred winners
3/13 – Trained John Gosden
3/13 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/13 – Godolphin-owned winners
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/13 – Ridden by William Buick
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)


1.50 – Betfair Backs Racing Welfare
Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f ITV

17/18 – Had won over 6f before
16/18 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
15/18 – Unplaced last time out
14/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Has raced within the last 4 weeks
12/18 – Yet to win a Group race
11/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/18 – Had won at least 4 times before
8/18 – Aged 5 or older
8/18 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/18 – Had run at Newcastle before
2/18 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/18 – Won last time out
11 of the last 17 winners came between stalls 1-5
Just 2 winners from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings (and only 4 horses placed)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

2.25 – Betfair Free Bet Streak Gosforth Park Cup Handicap Cl2 (4yo+) 5f

Just 4 past runnings
Trainers Richard Fahey, Tim Easterby, Paul Midgley and David Nicholls have won the race before
4/4 – Had run at Newcastle before
4/4 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
3/4 – Rated between 88 and 93 (inc)
3/4 – Placed favourites
3/4 – Won over 5f before
3/4 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
3/4 – Drawn in stalls 7 or higher
3/4 – Returned between 8/1 and 14/1 in the betting
2/4 – Won last time out
2/4 – Ran at Musselburgh last time out
1/4 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 8/1
Copper Knight won this race in 2018

 

3.00 – Betfair Exchange Hoppings Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

4/4 – Drawn stalls 5 or lower
4/4 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
3/4 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
3/4 – Yet to run at the track
3/4 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/4 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
3/4 – Rated between 95 and 100
2/4 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 4/1

 

3.35 – Betfair Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y ITV4

Past Northumberland Plate Winners

2018 -  Withhold (5/1 fav)
2017 - 
Higher Power (11/2)
2016 –
Antiquarium (16/1)
2015 –
Quest For More (15/2)
2014 –
Angel Gabrial (4/1 fav)
2013 –
Tominator (8/1)
2012 –
Ile de Re (5/2 fav)
2011 –
Tominator (25/1)
2010 – Overturn (14/1)
2009 – Som Tala (16/1)
2008 – Arc Bleu (14/1)
2007 – Juniper Girl (5/1 fav)
2006 – Toldo (33/1)
2005 – Sergeant Cecil (14/1)
2004 – Mirjan (33/1)
2003 – Unleash (10/1)
2002 – Bangalore (8/1)

Key Northumberland Plate Trends

16/17  - Had won over at least 1m4f before on the flat
16/17 – Finished fifth or better last time out
15/17 – Came from stall 14 or lower
15/17 – Aged 6 or younger
13/17 – Had won over at least 1m6f before on the flat
13/17 – Finished in the top three in their previous race
10/17 – Carried 8-12 or less
9/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/17 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that season
6/17 – Won by a National Hunt yard
5/17 – Won their previous race
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Ran at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 11 winners)
3/17 – Had won on the flat at Newcastle before
2/17 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/17 – Trained by Roger Charlton (2 of last 4)
1/17 – Won by a previous winner of the race
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 13/1
Note: The 2016, 2017 & 2018 running was staged on the All Weather track at Newcastle

Other Northumberland Plate Facts

 

No horse older than 8 has won the race since 1985
Five of the last 13 winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time out
Nine winning favourites (1 joint) since 1985, including 3 of the last 7
Paul Cole trained the winner in 1997, 1998 & 2001

 

Curragh Horse Racing Trends (Ire)

7.15 – Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1) (Colts and Fillies) (3yo) 1m4f

 

Recent Irish Derby Winners

2019 – SOVEREIGN (33/1)
2018 – LATROBE (14/1)
2017 – CAPRI (6/1)
2016 – HARZAND (4/6 fav)
2015 – JACK HOBBS (10/11 fav)
2014 – AUSTRALIA (1/8 fav)
2013 – TRADING LEATHER (6/1)
2012 - CAMELOT  (1/5 fav)
2011 – TREASURE BEACH (7/2)
2010 – CAPE BLANCO (7/2)
2009 – FAME AND GLORY (8/11 fav)
2008 – FROZEN FIRE (16/1)
2007 – SOLDIER OF FORTUNE (5/1)
2006 – DYLAN THOMAS (9/2 fav)
2005 – HURRICANE RUN (4/5 fav)
2004 – GREY SWALLOW (10/1)
2003 – ALAMSHAR (4/1)

Key Irish Derby Betting Trends and Stats

17/17 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
15/17 – Won by an Irish-based yard
15/17 – Favourites that were placed in the top 4
13/17 – Had 3 or more wins in their career
13/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Won a Group race before
13/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
12/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/17 – Failed to win their last race
12/17 – Ran in the Epsom Derby last time out
11/17 – Had never raced at the Curragh before
10/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won it 13 times in total)
7/17 – Placed in the Epsom Derby (3 winners, Harzand, Australia & Camelot)
4/17 – Previous Group 1 winners
3/17 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 13/2

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 13th June 2020

Another decent day of LIVE ITV this Saturday as the cameras head to Sandown and Newbury to take in seven races across the two venues. And, as always, we’ve got all the LIVE TV ITV trends and stats.

At Newbury, the Group 3 Diomed Stakes (3.35) is their feature contest, while at Sandown the sprinters are in action for the Listed Scurry Stakes (2:40).

 

So, put the odds in your favour – if a certain trend has happened many times in the past then there is a good chance of it repeating itself. As always, we hope these stats help direct you towards a few winners and pay for the weekend expenses.

Let’s get started!

 

 =========================================

Newbury Horse Racing Trends

1:50 - It’s Not Rocket Science With MansionBet Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-95) 1m2f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer John Gosden has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Clive Cox is only 2 from 37 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Richard Kingscote is only 1 from 24 riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

2:25 - Watch And Bet With MansionBet At Newbury Maggie Dickson Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 7f ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Winners came between stalls 4-6 (inc)
3/3 – Unplaced last time out
3/3 – Had won over 7f in the past
3/3 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
0/3 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 3 runnings is 9/1
Trainer Ed Walker won this race 12 months ago
Trainer Richard Hannon won this race in 2018
Trainer William Haggas has a 37% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Tom Marquand is 0-from-31 riding 4+ year-olds at the track

Note: This race is normally run at Musselburgh

 

3:00 - British Stallion Studs EBF/MansionBet Abingdon Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV4

10/10 – Won no more than twice before
9/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
7/10 – Drawn between stalls 1-4
7/10 – Had won over at least 1m before
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Trained by John Gosden
2/10 – Ridden by James Doyle
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick
2/10 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3 of the last 4 winners came from stall 8
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

 

3:35 - MansionBet Beaten By A Head Diomed Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV4

17/17 – Had won over at least a mile before
15/17 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
15/17 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
14/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
14/17 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
13/17 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
13/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
13/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Aged 5 or older
11/17 – Had raced at Epsom before
8/17 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/17 – Ridden by William Buick
Zaaki won the race in 2019
Century Dream won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

Note: This race is normally run at Epsom

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends

2:05 - Sutton Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 7f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Roger Varian has a 24% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Mark Johnston is only 4 from 52 (8%) with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

2:40 - Scurry Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 5f ITV4

15/15 – Returned 11/1 or shorter
13/15 – Had won over 5f before
11/15 – Placed favourites
11/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/15 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
10/15 – Came from stall 7 or higher
9/15 – Had won at least 3 times before
9/15 – Irish bred
7/15 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/15 – Winning favourites
7/15 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/15 – Had won a Listed or Group 3 race before
5/15 – Ran at either Haydock (3) or Beverley (2) last time out
2/15 – Trained by Michael Bell
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

 

3:15 - Claygate Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a 42% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Jamie Osborne has a 27% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is only 2 from 30 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Jason Watson has a 30% record when riding 4+ year-olds at the track

Sunday TV Trends: 7th June 2020

The LIVE ITV Racing action is coming thick and fast at the moment with seven more races this Sunday.

We’ve the rescheduled 1,000 Guineas, from Newmarket, topping the bill, while the Brigadier Gerard, which is normally run at Sandown in May, has been moved up to Haydock.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and stats – hopefully these will help whittle down the runners and point you in the direction of horses that fit the best past winning profiles.

 

Sunday, June 7, ITV

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

1.50 Betfair Exchange Buckhounds Stakes (Listed) 1m4f ITV

10/10 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
10/10 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
10/10 – Won between 2-5 times before
9/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Officially rated 102+
8/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
8/10  - Had won over at least 1m2f before
7/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Last ran over 7 months ago
6/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Drawn in stall 5
3/10 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/10 – Trained by John Gosden

Note: This race is normally staged at Ascot

 

2.25 Betfair Exchange Bet In-Play Handicap 1m2f ITV

No previous runnings
Sir Michael Stoute has a 19% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is only 3 from 43 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Elsworth is 0 from 21 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Tom Marquand is only 1 from 32 riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3.00 Betfair EBF Pretty Polly Fillies’ Stakes (Listed) 1m2f ITV

10/10 – Finished in the top three last time out
9/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had between 1-3 runs before
9/10 – Won justg once before
8/10 – Drawn between stalls 1-6 (inc)
7/10 – Won last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of the last 6)
4/10 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (3 of the last 5)
2/10 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks

 


3.35 Qipco 1,000 Guineas Stakes (Group 1) 1m ITV

16/18 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/18 – Had won between 2-3 times before
13/18 – Had won a Group race before
13/18 – Drawn between 2-13 (inc)
11/18 – Won their previous race
11/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
11/18 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
10/18 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
9/18 – Returned a double-figure price
8/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
8/18 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
7/18 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
7/18 – Favourites unplaced
7/18 – Irish-trained winners
6/18 – Drawn in stalls 7 or 8
5/18 – Previous Group One winners
5/18 – Went onto win the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot
4/18 – Won by a US bred horse
4/18 – Won by the favourite
3/18 – French-trained winners
3/18 – Went onto finish fourth in the Epsom Oaks
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/18 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Kazzia 2002, Minding 2016)
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
9 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 13/1

1,000 Guineas Facts

Owner Hamdam Al Maktoum has won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Ryan Moore has ridden the winner 3 times (2012, 2015, 2016)
Godolphin have won the race 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Aidan O’Brien has trained five winners, Virginia Waters (1995), Homecoming Queen (2012), Minding (2016), Winter (2017), Hermosa (2019)

 

Haydock Park Horse Racing Trends

2.05 Betway Pinnacle Stakes (Group 3) 1m 3 1/2f

17/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Rated 92 or higher
13/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/17 – Aged 4 years-old
12/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/17 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
6/17 – Had run at Haydock before
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/17 – Trained by John Gosden
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
10/10 – Came between stalls 3-9 (inc)
10/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-olds

2.40 Betway Brigadier Gerard Stakes (Group 3) 1m2f

17/17 – Had won at least twice before
15/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
13/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
13/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had won a Group or Listed race before
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/17 – Had won between 2-4 times before
12/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/17 – Aged 4 years-old
12/17 – Rated 111 or higher
10/17 – Had won a Group Race before
10/17 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
8/17 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
7/17 – Irish bred
6/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
6/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (6 of last 9)
5/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
2/17 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 5/1

 

3.15 Betway Spring Trophy Stakes (Listed) 7f

10/10 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
10/10 – Had won over 7f before
10/10 – Returned 6/1 or less
8/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Drawn between stalls 1-3
7/10 – Won 4 or 5 times in the past
7/10 – Rated between 109 and 113
7/10 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
6/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Had raced at Haydock before
3/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 5)
2/10  - Trained by David O’Meara (2 of last 5)
Safe Voyage won the race in 2019
Tabarrak won the race in 2018
Oh This Is Us won the race in 2017

 

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Saturday TV Trends: 6th June 2020

The LIVE ITV Racing action comes thick and fast this weekend as we've several more rescheduled races that were due to be run last month.

Newmarket and Newcastle are the two venues showing the LIVE action, with top races that include the Qipco 2,000 Guineas, plus we've also the Group Three Palace House Stakes, while the Sagaro Stakes is the main event up at Newcastle.

As always, we've got all the big race key trends and stats to help you find the best profiles based on recent results.

Saturday, June 6, ITV

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

1.50 Palace House Stakes (Group 3) 5f ITV

16/17 – Had won over 5f before
15/17 – Won 3 or more times before
14/17 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
14/17 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
14/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/17 – Had run at Newmarket before
13/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/17 – Aged 5 or younger
11/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Rated between 108 and 114
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/17 – Won last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/17 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Mabs Cross has won the race in 2018 and 2019
Just one placed horse from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
7 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)

2.25 Dahlia Fillies’ Stakes (Group 2) 1m2f ITV

16/16 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
15/16 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
15/16 – Had won over 1m (or further) before
14/16 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
12/16 – Aged 4 years-old
9/16 – Had run at the course before
9/16 – Won this on first run of the season
7/16 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
6/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Ran at Kempton last time out
3/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/16 – Ridden by William Buick
2/16 – French-trained winners (2 of the last 6)
10 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)

3.00 Newmarket Stakes (Listed) 1m2f ITV

8/10 – Winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 2 (5)
8/10 – Won between 1 and 2 times
8/10 -  Favourites placed in the top three
8/10 – Won over at least 1m before
7/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
7/10 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
5/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/10 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
2/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/10 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick

3.35 Qipco 2,000 Guineas Stakes (Group 1) 1m ITV

18/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
16/18 – Had won over at least 7f before
16/18 – Had won a Group race before
16/18 – Had won between 2-5 times before
15/18 – Drawn in stall 12 or lower
14/18 – Won last time out
13/18 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
13/18 – Having their first run of the season
12/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
11/18 – Won by an Irish-based yard
10/18 – Irish bred
9/18 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (10 wins in total)
7/18 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 3
7/18 – Had won over a mile before
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
4/18 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
4/18 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
3/18 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
6 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 6 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 10/1

 

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts

- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012, 2015, 2017, 2018 & 2019
- Frankie Dettori rode the winner in 1996, 1999

 

Newcastle Horse Racing Trends

 

2.05 Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap 7f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Michael Wigham has a 25% record with his 4+ year-olds or older at the track
Trainer Tom Dascombe has a 25% record with his 4+ year-olds or older at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 22% record with his 4+ year-olds or older at the track
Trainer Karl Burke is only 2 from 43 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds or older at the track
Jockey Tom Eaves is only 10 from 206 (5%) when riding 4 year-olds or older at the track

2.40 Sagaro Stakes (Group 3) 2m 1/2f ITV

15/17 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had won at least 3 times before
13/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/17 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
11/17 – Had won a Group race before
11/17 – Had won over at least 2m (flat) before
11/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Rated 108 or higher
8/17 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
7/17 – Winning distance – ½ or less
4/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Raced at Nottingham last time out
3/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Went onto win the Ascot Gold Cup (2 of last 8)

Note: Normally staged at Ascot

 

3.15 Betway Heed Your Hunch Handicap 1m ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer John Gosden has a 33% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Sir Mark Prescott has a 24% with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Hugo Palmer has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

 

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Friday TV Trends: 5th June 2020

With the UK horse racing set to return to normal we’ve some bumper ITV Racing days ahead – starting with seven LIVE races from Newmarket and Lingfield with rescheduled races that include the Coronation Cup and the Lingfield Oaks and Derby Trials.

 

=================================================

 

Friday, June 5th, ITV4

Newmarket Horse Racing Tips and Trends

1.50 Betway Handicap 6f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Tony Carroll has a 25% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is just 2 from 43 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track


2.25 Abernant Stakes (Group 3) 6f ITV4

13/13 – Won over 6f before
12/13 – Aged 4 or older
11/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
10/13 – Had run at Newmarket before
10/13 – Won at least 4 times before
9/13 – Rated between 106 and 114
9/13 – Ran 5 months or more ago
9/13 – Favourites placed in the top three
8/13 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/13 – Aged between 4 or 5 years-old
7/13 – Irish bred
4/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/13 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/13 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/13 – Won by the Hills stable
0/13 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
Brando won the race in 2018 and 2017, plus third in 2019

 

3.00 Paradise Stakes (Listed) 1m ITV4

10/10 – Aged 6 or younger
10/10 – Won over at least 7f before
10/10 – Didn’t win last time out
9/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter
9/10 – Placed favourites
9/10 – Had run at the track before
8/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/10 – Unplaced last time out
7/10 – Drawn 5 or lower
3/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Trained by John Gosden
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick
0/10 – Winning favourirtes
Zaaki won this race in 2019
Century Dream won this race in 2020

*Note: Normally run at Ascot (May)

 


3.35 Coronation Cup (Group 1) 1m4f ITV4

18/18 – Had previously won a Group 1 or 2 race
17/18 – Had won over 1m4f before
17/18 – Aged 6 or younger
16/18 – Finished in the top three last time out
15/18 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
13/18 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/18 – Ran at either Chester, York, Newmarket or the Curragh last time out
12/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Horses from stall 3 that were placed (four won)
8/18 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (2005, 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 & 2017)
8/18 – Winning favourites
7/18 – Won their last race
6/18 – Had run at Epsom before
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2009, 2011 & 2017)
1/18 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 10/3

 

Lingfield Horse Racing Tips and Trends


2.05
 East Grinstead Handicap 7f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer John Gosden has a 33% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Robert Havlin has a 21% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

2.40 Oaks Trial Fillies’ Stakes (Listed) 1m4f ITV4

15/16 – Had won no more than once before
14/16 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Had no more than 3 career runs
13/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/16 – Came from stall 5 or higher
10/16 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (no winners, two seconds)
8/16 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
8/16 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
8/16 – Having first run of the season
8/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
4/16 – Winners from stall 5
4/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/16 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/16 – Trained by William Haggas
3/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Irish-trained winners

 

3.15 Derby Trial Stakes (Listed) 1m4f ITV4

17/17 – Had won no more than 3 times
14/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/17 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (1 winner, Anthony Van Dyck, 2019)
13/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Finished 4th or better last time out
12/17 – Favourites placed
11/17 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
8/17 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
5/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/17 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
High Rise (1998) and Anthony Van Dyck (2019) were the last winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby

 

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Sat TV Trends: 14th March 2020

It's always a bit quiet this weekend with the Cheltenham hangovers, but there is still ITV Racing to take in with the cameras heading to Uttoxeter, with the Midlands National the feature, while they are also at Kempton Park.

As always, we are  on hand with all the key trends and stats for the LIVE ITV races. Use these to whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Uttoxeter Horse Racing Trends

2.25 - 1834 Novices' Handicap Chase Cl2 3m ITV

13/16 – Aged 8 or younger
13/16 – Carried 10-9 or more
11/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
11/16 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
10/16 – Had won over at least 3m (chases) before
10/16 – Placed last time out
10/16 – Never raced at Uttoxeter before
10/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Returned 7/1 or less
8/16 – Unplaced favourites
8/16 – Aged 7 years-old
5/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Alan King
2/16 – Trained by Harry Fry (two of last three runnings)
2/16 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/16 – Winning favourites
De Rasher Counter (4/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

3.00 - Burton Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV

Only 8 Previous Runnings
7/8 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
6/8 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
3/8 – Winning favourites
3/8 – Aged 8 years-old
Poker Play (16/1) won the race in 2019

 

3.35 - Marston's 61 Deep Midlands Grand National Chase Handicap (Listed Race) Cl1 4m1f110y ITV

15/16 – Aged 9 or younger
14/16 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
14/16 – Carried 10-12 or less
14/16 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
13/16 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
12/16 – Won by an Irish bred horse
12/16 – Had never run at Uttoxeter before
12/16 – Unplaced favourites
11/16 – Officially rated 135 or less
10/16 – Carried 10-9 or less
10/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/16 – Returned a double-figure-price in the betting
8/16 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
8/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Trained by David Pipe
3/16 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 16 years is 11.6/1

 

Kempton Park Horse Racing Trends

 

2.40 – Paddy Power Silver Plate Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m5f ITV

Only 6 previous runnings
Nicky Henderson has won 2 of the last 6 runnings
No winning favourite yet from the last 6 runnings
5 of last 6 previous winners carried 11-12 or more
Wicked Willy (20/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

3.15 – Paddy Power Silver Bowl (A Handicap Chase) Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

Only 6 previous running
1 winning favourite (co) from the last 6 runnings
5 of the last 6 winners carried 11-2 or more
Trainers Charlie Longsdon, Venetia William, Tom George, Ian Williams, Paul Nicholls, Tom George and Jonjo O’Neill have won the race so far
Forth Bridge (7/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

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