Savills Chase Trends

Staged at Leopardstown racecourse, Ireland, the Grade One Savills Chase (formerly the Lexus Chase) is run over a distance of 3m and is often seen as a decent guide ahead of the Cheltenham Gold Cup, run later that season.

Some great names in recent years to land both races are Denman (2007/08) and Best Mate (2003/04), while considering the contest is staged in Ireland, we’ve actually seen 8 UK-based horses come over and win the prize in the last 20 years.

12 months ago we saw the Henry De Bromhead-trained A Plus Tard win the race by ½ a length from Kemboy - the winner went onto finish a gallant runner-up in the Cheltenham Gold Cup at the Festival.

Here at GeeGeez, we take a look back at recent winners and gives you the key trends ahead of the 2021 renewal – this year run on Tuesday 28th December.

 

Recent Savills Chase Winners

2020 - A PLUS TARD
2019 – DELTA WORK
2018 - KEMBOY
2017 - ROAD TO RESPECT
2016 – OUTLANDER
2015 – DON POLI
2014 – ROAD TO RICHES
2013 – BOBS WORTH
2012 – TIDAL BAY
2011 – SYNCHRONISED
2010 – PANDORAMA
2009 – WHAT A FRIEND
2008 – EXOTIC DANCER
2007 – DENMAN
2006 – THE LISTENER
2005 – BEEF OR SALMON
2004 – BEEF OR SALMON
2003 – BEST MATE
2002 – BEEF OR SALMON

Savills Chase Betting Trends

19/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
19/20 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
18/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
18/20 – Aged 8 or younger
16/20 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
15/20 – Won by an Irish bred horse
15/20 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
12/20 – Placed favourites
10/20 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
9/20 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
8/20 – Won by a UK-based stable
6/20 – Winning favourites
6/20 – Won last time out
4/20 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/20 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/20 – Went onto win that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup

 

 

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King George VI Chase Trends

Staged each year on at Christmas on Boxing Day at Kempton racecourse, (Sunday, 26th December) the King George VI Chase is the highlight contest on the festive racing calendar.

With star names like Desert Orchid, One Man and, more recently, Kauto Star, who won the King George Chase a staggering five times, amongst the household names to land this decent pot then the 3m Grade One race never fails to attract the best longer distance chasers in training, while it’s also seen as a good guide to that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup.

We take a look back at recent winners and highlight the key stats to take into the 2021 renewal – this year run on Sunday Dec 26th, where the Paul Nicholls-trained Clan Des Obeaux, who won this in 2018 and 2019, will be trying to win back his crown.

 

Past King George VI Chase Winners

2020 - Frodon (20/1)
2019 - Clan Des Obeaux (11/2)
2018 – Clan Des Obeaux (12/1)
2017 – Might Bite (6/4 fav)
2016 – Thistlecrack (11/10 fav)
2015 – Cue Card (9/2)
2014 - Silviniaco Conti (15/8 fav)
2013 – Silviniaco Conti (7/2)
2012 – Long Run (15/8 fav)
2011 – Kauto Star (3/1)
2010 – Long Run (9/2)
2009 – Kauto Star (8/13 fav)
2008 – Kauto Star (10/11 fav)
2007 – Kauto Star (4/6 fav)
2006 – Kauto Star (8/13 fav)
2005 – Kicking King (11/8 fav)
2004 – Kicking King (3/1 fav)
2003 – Edredon Bleu (25/1)
2002 – Best Mate (11/8 fav)

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Sandown Park

King George VI Chase Trends

17/19 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
17/19 – Had won a Grade One chase before
17/19 – French (13) or Irish bred (4)
16/19 – Finished in the top three last time out
16/19 – Placed favourites
16/19 – Had won over 3m or further (fences) before
15/19 – Officially rated 168 or higher
15/19 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Aged 8 or younger
12/19 – Had won a race over fences at Kempton before
11/19 – Winning favourites
11/19 – Won last time out
10/19 – Ran in the Betfair Chase (Haydock) last time out
10/19 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
10/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (12 times in all)
8/19 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/19 – Won by an Irish-based yard (only 3 in the last 35 runnings)
Paul Nicholls, Colin Tizzard and Nicky Henderson have trained ALL of the last 15 winners between them (10 Nicholls, 2 Tizzard, 3 Henderson)
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 5/1

 

 

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Challow Hurdle Trends

The Challow Novices’ Hurdle is a Grade One event that is run over a trip of 2m4f at Newbury racecourse.

Sponsored by Mansionbet the contest has been won by some promising sorts over the years, including Wichita Lineman, Diamond Harry, Reve De Sivola, Fingal Bay, Taquin du Seuil, while last year’s contest was won by the classy Thyme Hill.

In recent years, we’ve seen 6 of the last 11 market leaders win the race while trainers Nick Williams and Jonjo O’Neill have won the race 5 times between them since 2006. 12 months ago the classy Bravemansgame, who has returned this season to win 3-from-3 over fences, took the race for trainer Paul Nicholls.

Here at Geegeez, we give you all the key stats ahead of the 2021 renewal, this year staged on Wednesday 29th December 2021.

 

Recent Challow Hurdle Winners

2020 - BRAVEMANSGAME (5/2 jfav)
2019 – THYME HILL (4/6 fav)
2018 – CHAMP (Evs fav)
2017 – POETIC RHYTHM (15/8 fav)
2016 – MESSIRE DES OBEAUX (11/4)
2015 – BARTERS HILL (4/11 fav)
2014 – PARLOUR GAMES (6/1)
2013 – CAPTAIN CUTTER (8/1)
2012 – TAQUIN DU SEUIL (13/8 fav)
2011 – FINGAL BAY (1/4 fav)
2010 – BACKSPIN (5/1)
2009 – REVE DE SIVOLA (15/8)
2008 – DIAMOND HARRY (4/6 fav)
2007 – SOUFFLUER (7/1)
2006 – WICHITA LINEMAN (11/4)

Key Challow Hurdle Trends

15/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/15 – Had raced in the last 8 weeks
15/15 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
15/15 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
14/15 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
12/15 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
12/15 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Wichita Lineman, 2006)
11/15 – Won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
11/15 – Had won over 2m4f or further (hurdles) before
11/15 – Won last time out
9/15 – Had won a Grade 2 Hurdle race before
8/16 – Aged 5 years-old
8/16 – Winning favourites (5 of the last 6)
7/16 – Irish bred
3/16 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/16 – Trained by Nick Williams
2/16 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
The average winning SP in the last 16 runnings is 11/4

 

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 11th Dec 2021

A MASSIVE day up at Prestbury Park as the Cheltenham December Meeting (The International) continues this Saturday, plus the ITV4 cameras also head to Doncaster for three races - as always, here at Geegeez, we are on hand with all the big-race trends and stats…..

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Racing Post Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

19/19 – Aged 8 or younger
17/19 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
15/19 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
15/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/19 - Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (1 winner, Frodon – Ryanair Chase)
14/19 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
13/19 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (5 won)
13/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
12/19 – Officially rated 141 or higher
11/19 – French bred
11/19 – Unplaced favourites
8/19 – Carried 10-13 or more
8/19 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
8/19 – Ran in the Paddy Power (Nov) Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
6/19 – Finished in the top 5 in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out
5/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/19 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
2/19 – Trained by David Pipe
2/19 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/19 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 10/1

 

2.25 - Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

17/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/17 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
15/17 – Aged 6 or younger
14/17 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
13/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Went on run in the Albert Bartlett (3 won) at the Cheltenham Festival
10/17 – Winning favourite (1 co, 1 joint)
10/17 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
10/17 – Won last time out
10/17 – Irish bred
9/17 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
9/17 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
8/17 – Had won at Cheltenham before
8/17 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
3/17 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/17 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
9 of the last 12 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
8 of the last 10 winners were aged 5 years-old

 

3.00 – Unibet International Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f ITV4

18/18 – Raced over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
16/18 – Placed in the top 3 in their latest race
16/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
15/18 – Won over 2m1f+ (hurdles) previously
15/18 – Won 4 or more times over hurdles previously
14/18 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old or younger
14/18 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle later that season (5 placed)
13/18 –  Favourites placed
12/18 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
12/18 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
11/18 – Won their latest race
11/18 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
9/18 – Won by a horse aged either 4 or 5 years-old
9/18 – Rated 162 or higher
7/18 – Winning distance:  4+ lengths
6/18 – Won the Greatwood Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
5/18 – Won by a French-bred horse
5/18 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
4/18 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
4/18 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/18 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/18 – Ridden by jockey Sam Twiston-Davies
3/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/18 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
1/18 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that season (Rooster Booster 2002)
Song For Someone (6/1) won the race 12 months go
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

3.35 – Close Brothers Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4 1/2f ITV4

Just 6 previous runnings
All six winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
5/6 - Winners carried 10-11 or more
5/6 - Aged 7 or younger
4/6 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
2/6 – Winning favourites
Trainers, Lucy Wadham, Nicky Henderson, Dan Skelton, Noel Williams (2), Anthony Honeyball have won the race in the past

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/ATR)

 

12.55 – bet365 December Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m ITV4

11/11 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
10/11 – Won between 0-2 times over fences
10/11 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/11 – Priced 5/2 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – French (2) or Irish (5) bred
7/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/11 – Placed favourites
5/11 – Winning favourites
5/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3 of the last 8 runnings have been won by trainer Paul Nicholls
The last 9 winners returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting

Note: from 2013 back the race was run at Lingfield Park

 

2.40 – Bet365 Summit Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) (3yo) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

11/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/11 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
9/11 – Favourites placed in the top 3
8/11 – Had won just once before over hurdles
9/11 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
8/11 – Irish (3) or French (5) bred
7/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 - Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 – Ran at Market Rasen last time out
2/11 - Ridden by Harry Cobden
2/11 – Trained by John Quinn
2/11 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
Peace and Co won the race in 2014 and went onto with the Triumph Hurdle

 

3.15 – bet365 Handicap Chase (4 yo+) Cl2 3m ITV4

11/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Had won no more than 2 times over fences
10/12 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Aged 8 or younger
9/12 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
9/12 – Unplaced last time out
9/12 – Irish bred
8/12 – Had won over 3m+ (fences) before
6/12 – Aged 7 years-old
6/12 – Ran at Doncaster before
2/12 – Trained by Emma Lavelle
2/12 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 7 winners were rated 139
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

Racing Post Gold Cup Trends

The Racing Post Gold Cup (formerly the Caspian Caviar Gold Cup) is run over 2m5f  at Cheltenham’s December Meeting each season around the middle of the month.

In recent years, trainer Paul Nicholls’ has won the prize five times, the most recent being Frodon in 2018. Nicky Henderson is another trainer to look out for - having won the race three times since 2002 – while last year (2020) the race was won by the Michael Winters-trained Chatham Street Lad, who was only the third Irish-trained winner of the race in last 19 runnings.

It's also interesting that ALL of the last 24 winners were aged 8 or younger.

It’s generally, been a good contest for the bookmakers with just one winning favourite in the last 19 runnings (last winning market leader was in 2009), but that’s not to say those at the head of the market don’t do well as 12 of the last 19 winners returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting – while three of the last eight Racing Post Gold Cup winners returned 7/1.

Here at GeeGeez we look back at recent winners and give you all the trends that matter ahead of the 2021 renewal – this year run on Saturday December 11th.

 

Recent Racing Post Cup Winners

2020 - Chatham Street Lad (16/1)
2019 – Warthog (7/1)
2018 – Frodon (7/1)
2017 – Guitar Pete (9/1)
2016 – Frodon (14/1)
2015 – Villiage Vic (8/1)
2014 – Niceonefrankie (16/1)
2013 – Double Ross (7/1)
2012 – Unioniste (15/2)
2011 – Quantitativeeasing (6/1)
2010 – Poquelin (16/1)
2009 – Poquelin (7/2 fav)
2008 – Abandoned
2007 – Tamarinbleu (22/1)
2006 – Exotic Dancer (8/1)
2005 – Sir Oj (16/1)
2004 – Monkerhostin (4/1)
2003 – Iris Royal (7/1)
2002 – Fondmort (5/1)
2001 – Abandoned
2000 – Go Roger Go (7/1)

 

Racing Post Gold Cup Betting Trends

19/19 – Aged 8 or younger
17/19 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
15/19 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
15/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
14/19 - Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (1 winner, Frodon – Ryanair Chase)
14/19 – Had won between 2-4 times over fences before
13/19 – Had raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (5 won)
13/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
12/19 – Officially rated 141 or higher
11/19 – French bred
11/19 – Unplaced favourites
8/19 – Carried 10-13 or more
8/19 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
8/19 – Ran in the Paddy Power (Nov) Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
6/19 – Finished in the top 5 in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out
5/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/19 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
2/19 – Trained by David Pipe
2/19 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/19 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 10/1

 

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 4th Dec 2021

Another massive Saturday of NH jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Sandown and Aintree, with the Tingle Creek Chase and Becher Chase the feature contests - As always, here at GeeGeez, we’ve got all the big-race trends and stats for all the LIVE races.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)


1.50 – Close Brothers Henry VIII Novices´ Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

17/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
17/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
16/17 – Had won between 1-2 times over fences before
16/17 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 2m
16/17 – Aged 6 or younger
15/17 – French (11) or Irish (4) bred
14/17 – Won last time out
11/17 – Placed favourites
11/17 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Raced at either Cheltenham (6) or Warwick (4) last time out
11/17 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Arkle Chase (2 winners)
10/17 – Winning distance – 2 ¾ lengths or more
7/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/17 – Winners went onto finish 1st or 2nd in that season’s Arkle Chase
2/17 – Trained by Alan King

 

2.25– Betfair Tingle Creek Chase (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV4

18/19 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
18/19 – Aged 9 or younger
17/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
16/19 – Had won a Grade One chase before
15/19 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s QM Champion Chase
15/19 – Placed favourites
15/19 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
14/19 – French bred
14/19 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
14/19 – Officially rated 165 or higher
14/19 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/19 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
12/19 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
12/19 – Won last time out
11/19 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
10/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (11 wins in total)
6/19 – Went onto win the Champion Chase (Altior, Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre, Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
1/19 – Went onto win the Gold Cup (Kauto Star) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 5/2

 

3.00 – Betfair Exchange London National Handicap Chase Cl2 3m5f110y ITV4

14/15 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Aged 7 or older
14/15 – Won between 2-6 times over fences before
14/15 – Had won (fences) over at least 3m before
13/15 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Rated 126 or higher
12/15 – Aged 8 or older
11/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
10/15 – Unplaced favourites
10/15 – Irish bred
9/15 – Had raced over fences at Sandown before (2 won)
8/15 – Carried 11-0 or more
5/15 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Towcester (2) last time out
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/15 – Trained by Tom George
1/15 – Winning favourites
Morney Wing (12/1) won this race in 2018
2019 running was declared a void race

 

3.35 – Betfair Daily Rewards December Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 1m7f216y ITV4

16/17 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
15/17 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
14/17 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
13/17 – Aged 4,5 or 6 years-old
12/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
12/17 – Carried 10-13 or less
11/17 – Rated between 116-128
10/17 – Irish bred
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
9/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
10 of the last 11 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
Benson (9/2) won this race in 2020
Mack The Man (6/1) won this race in 2019
Man Of Plenty (8/1) won this race in 2018

 

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.30 – Unibet Proudly Supports ‘Racing Is Everyone’s Sport’ Fillies’ Juvenile Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 (3Yyo) 2m1f ITV4

Just 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/8 – Won between 0-1 times over hurdles
7/8 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/8 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Winning distance 8 or more lengths
7/8 – Carried 10-12 in weight
5/8 – Winning favourites
4/8 – Won last time out
3/8 – Irish-trained winners
3/8 – Trained by Alan King
2/8 – Trained by Gavin Cromwell
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 5/1

2.05 – Unibet Many Clouds Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m1f ITV4

9/9 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/9 – Had won over at least 3m (chase)
8/9 – Placed favourites (top 3)
8/9 – Ran at Aintree, Wetherby or Cheltenham last time out
7/9 – Didn’t win last time out
6/9 – Aged 8 or younger
6/8 – Had run at Aintree in the past
6/9 – Winning favourites
6/9 – Irish Bred
5/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
4/9 – Ran at Wetherby last time out
2/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/9 – Trained by Brian Ellison
2/9 – Ridden by Danny Cook
Native River won this race in 2019
Definitly Red won the race in 2017 and 2018
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2013 & 2014
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2011

 

2.40 – Unibet Becher Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m2f ITV4

15/19 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
15/19 – Carried 10-12 or less
15/19 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
15/19 – Had no more than 1 start that season
14/19 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
14/19 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
13/19 – Aged 9 or older
12/19 – Officially rated between 123-138
12/19 – Officially rated between 123-138
11/19 – Irish-bred winners
11/19 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
11/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/19 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
8/19 – Placed favourites
4/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/19 – Irish-trained winners
3/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
1/19 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
0/19 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 12/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 6 times since 1993
Vieux Lion Rouge won the race in 2016 and 2020

 

3.15 – Unibet - 2021 Horse Race Betting Operator Of The Year Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

9/10 - Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 - Aged 7 or younger
8/10 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 - Won between 1-2 times before
8/10 - Aged between 5-6 years-old
7/10 - Carried 10-10 or more in weight
7/10 - Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/10 - Won over at least 2m4f before
6/10 - Had run at Aintree before
4/10 - Ran at Aintree (2) or Kempton (2) last time out
3/10 - Winning favourites
3/10 - Won last time out
2/10 - Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/10 - Trained by Dan Skelton
Kateson (5/1) won the race in 2020
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

Sandown Trends (Fri 3rd Dec 21)

The ITV horse racing cameras head to Sandown Park this Friday (3rd December 2021) to take in the opening day of their two-day Tingle Creek Festival.

They are showing FOUR races LIVE, that include the Grade Two Ballymore Winter Novices’ Hurdle at 2:25 - a race that's seen 8 of the last 10 winners aged 4 or 5 years-old.

Here at Geegeez.co.uk we've got all the key trends that matter - use these to find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Sandown Park Horse Racing Trends

1:50 - Betfair Daily Rewards Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-135) 2m4f ITV4

10/10 - Didn’t win last time out
10/10 - Rated between 119 and 125 (inc)
9/10 - Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 - Aged 7 or younger
9/10 - Carried 11st 2lbs or more in weight
8/10 - Had won in the last 6 weeks
7/10 - Irish bred
7/10 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/10 - Had run at Sandown before (hurdles or chase)
6/10 - Placed favourites
2/10 - 2 winning favourites (one joint)
2/10 - Ran at Sandown last time out
2/10 - Ridden by Daryl Jacob
Trainer Dan Skelton won the race in 2020
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

 

2:25 - Ballymore Winter Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

10/10 - Aged between 4-6 years-old
10/10 - Ran in the last 5 weeks
9/10 - Won between 1-2 times before
8/10 - Aged 5 or younger
8/10 - Favourites placed
8/10 - Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 - Won last time out
6/10 - French bred
4/10 - Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/10 - Winning favourites
3/10 - Trained by Alan King
2/10 - Ran at Ascot last time out
2/10 - Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/10 - Ridden by Wayne Hutchinson
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

3:00 - Betfair Exchange Handicap Chase Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 1m7½f ITV4

6 previous runnings
6/6  - Won a race over this trip before
6/6 - Didn’t win last time out
5/6 - Aged 6 or older
5/6 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
5/6 - Favourites placed in the top three
4/6 - Yet to win a race over fences
4/6 - Carried 11st or more
4/6 - Aged between 7-9 years-old
4/6 - Returned 7/1 or shorter
2/6 - Ran at Aintree last time out
2/6 - Ran at Sandown before
2/6 - Trained by Gary Moore
2/6 - Ridden by Jamie Moore
1/6 - Winning favourites
Darebin won the race in 2020
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 7/1

 

3:35 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m7½f ITV4

10/10 - Aged 8 or younger
8/10 - Returned 10/1 or shorter
8/10 - Won between 0-3 times over hurdles
8/10 - Didn’t win last time out
8/10 - Irish (5) or French (3) bred
7/10 - Carried 11st or less
6/10 - Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/10 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/10 - Rated between 130-139 (inc)
6/10 - Ran in the last 4 weeks
6/10 - Placed favourites
6/10 - Yet to win over 3m+
4/10 - Ridden by a claiming jockey
3/10 - Winning favourites
3/10 - Had run at Sandown before
2/10 - Trained by Alan King
2/10 - Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainer Warren Greatrex won this race in 2020
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

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Becher Chase Trends

The Becher Chase is run at Aintree racecourse over the historic Grand National-style fences and, therefore, provides punters with some early-season clues ahead of the world’s most famous steeplechase.

Run over the 3m2f the race has been won six times by trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies, while Silver Birch and Amberleigh House are recent winners of the Becher Chase then went on later in their careers to land the Grand National too.

12 months ago, in 2020, the David Pipe-trained Vieux Lion Rouge won the race for a second time and despite now being a 12 year-old could be back for more in 2021.

Here at GeeGeez we look back at recent winners and gives you the key trends to look out for ahead of the 2021 renewal, this year run on Saturday 4th December.

 

Recent Becher Chase Winners

2020 - VIEUX LION ROUGE (12/1)
2019 – WALK IN THE MILL (8/1)
2018 – WALK IN THE MILL (10/1)
2017 – BLAKLION (7/4 fav)
2016 – VIEUX LION ROUGE (8/1 fav)
2015 – HIGHLAND LODGE (20/1)
2014 – OSCAR TIME (25/1)
2013 – CHANCE DU ROY (14/1)
2012 – HELLO BUD (14/1)
2011 – WEST END ROCKER (10/1)
2010 – HELLO BUD (15/2 fav)
2009 – VIC VENTURI (7/1)
2008 – BLACK APALACHI (15/2)
2007 – MR POINTMENT (15/2)
2006 – EUROTREK (25/1)
2005 – GARVIVONNIAN (33/1)
2004 – SILVER BIRCH (4/1 fav)
2003 – CLAN ROYAL (11/2)
2002 – ARDENT SCOUT (14/1)

Becher Chase Betting Trends

15/19 – Had won between 2-5 times over fences before
15/19 – Carried 10-12 or less
15/19 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
15/19 – Had no more than 1 start that season
14/19 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
14/19 – Had run over these Grand National-style fences before
13/19 – Aged 9 or older
12/19 – Officially rated between 123-138
12/19 – Officially rated between 123-138
11/19 – Irish-bred winners
11/19 – Went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
11/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/19 – Ran in the previous season’s Grand National
8/19 – Placed favourites
4/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/19 – Irish-trained winners
3/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
1/19 – Went onto win the Grand National later in their career
0/19 – Went onto win the Grand National that same season
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 12/1
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race 6 times since 1993
Vieux Lion Rouge won the race in 2016 and 2020

 

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Tingle Creek Chase Trends

Run over 2m the BetFair-sponsored Tingle Creek Chase will be staged this year at Sandown Park racecourse on 4th December and is always seen as a good guide to the Queen Mother Champion Chase run at the Cheltenham Festival later in the season – with Master Minded (2008), Moscow Flyer (2004), Sprinter Sacre (2012), Sire de Grugy (2013), Dodging Bullets (2014) and Altior (2018) the last horses to do the Tingle Creek/Champion Chase double in the same season.

The 2019 Tingle Creek Chase was won by the Philip Hobbs-trained Defi Du Seuil – the second win in the race for the trainer after also winning it in 2001 with Flagship Uberalles, while 12 months ago trainer Paul Nicholls landed his eleventh Tingle Creek Chase when the popular grey - Politologue - landed the prize for a second time having also won it in 2017.

Here at Geegeez, we take a look back at recent winners and gives you the key Tingle Creek trends to look out for ahead of the 2021 renewal – this year run on Saturday 4th December.

Recent Tingle Creek Winners

2020 - POLITOLOGUE (11/8 fav)
2019 – DEFI DU SEUIL (2/1 fav)
2018 – ALTIOR (8/13 fav)
2017 – POLITOLOGUE (7/2)
2016 – UN DE SCEAUX (5/4 fav)
2015 – SIRE DE GRUGY (10/3)
2014 – DODGING BULLETS (9/1)
2013 – SIRE DE GRUGY (7/4 jfav)
2012 – SPRINTER SACRE (4/11 fav)
2011 – SIZING EUROPE (11/8 fav)
2010 – MASTER MINDED (10/11 fav)
2009 – TWIST MAGIC (9/4)
2008 – MASTER MINDED (4/7 fav)
2007 – TWIST MAGIC (5/1)
2006 – KAUTO STAR (4/9 fav)
2005 – KAUTO STAR (5/2 jfav)
2004 – MOSCOW FLYER (2/1)
2003 – MOSCOW FLYER (6/4 fav)
2002 – CENKOS (6/1)

 

Tingle Creek Chase Trends

18/19 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
18/19 – Aged 9 or younger
17/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
16/19 – Had won a Grade One chase before
15/19 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s QM Champion Chase
15/19 – Placed favourites
15/19 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
14/19 – French bred
14/19 – Aged between 5-8 years-old
14/19 – Officially rated 165 or higher
14/19 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/19 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
12/19 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
12/19 – Won last time out
11/19 – Had won a chase race at Sandown before
10/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/19 – Went onto win the Champion Chase (Altior, Dodging Bullets, Sire de Grugy, Sprinter Sacre, Master Minded & Moscow Flyer) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
1/19 – Went onto win the Gold Cup (Kauto Star) at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 5/2

 

Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Cheltenham

 

Sussex National Trends

It’s Plumpton’s biggest race day of the season this Sunday (2ND Jan) as the Sky Sports Racing Sussex National, run over a gruelling 3m5f, takes centre stage.

12 months ago we saw the Oliver Sherwood-trained Seaston Spirit land the race and he's back to try and defend his title.

Here at Geegeez, we look back at recent winners and gives you some more stats to look out for ahead of the 2022 renewal – this year run on Sunday 2ND January.

 

Recent Sussex National Winners

2021 - SEASTON SPIRIT (6/1)
2020 - CHRISTMAS IN APRIL (9/2)
2019 – THE TWO AMIGOS (11/8 fav)
2018 – VINNIE LEWIS (7/2 fav)
2017 – MORNEY WING (12/1)
2016 - TOUR DES CHAMPS (11/2)
2015 – ITOLDYOU (11/1)
2014 – REBLIS (5/1)
2013 – WELL REFRESHED (6/1)
2012 – DOUBLE DIZZY (8/1)
2011 – MINELLA BOYS (8/1)
2010 – MASTER OVERSEER (9/2)
2008 – IRONSIDE (25/1)
2007 – PASS ME BY (8/1)
2006 – DUNBRODY MILLAR (6/1)

Sussex National Betting Trends

14/15 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/15 – Had won over at least 3m (chase) before
14/15 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
12/15 – Carried 11-5 or less
12/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
11/15 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
9/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Irish bred
7/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Ridden by Josh Moore
2/15 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 15 runnings is 15/2

Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 18th Dec 2021

It’s the last weekend before Christmas and it looks set to be another decent Saturday of jumping action with the ITV cameras heading to Haydock and Ascot for six LIVE races.

The Grade One Howden Long Walk Hurdle (2.25) is one of the weekend highlights - a contest that will has produced 6 winners of the Stayers' Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival in the last 19 years. 2018 and 2020 winner Paisley Park will be looking for a famous third win in the race.

So, to help you narrow down the fields - here at GeeGeez - we've got all the big-race trends and key stats.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

1.50 – Howden Handicap Chase Cl2 2m3f ITV4

Only 6 previous runnings
5/6 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
5/6 – Yet to run at the track
5/6 – Had won over 2m3f+
5/6 – Carried 10-10 or more
5/6 – Returned between 6/1 to 10/1
4/6 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
2/6 – Ran at Exeter last time out
0/6 – Winning favourites
Trainers Dan Skelton, Venetia Williams, Paul Nicholls, Ian Williams, Robert Walford and Harry Fry were past winners
Bennys King won the race in 2020
Espoir De Guye won the race in 2019


2.25 –
Howden Long Walk Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 3m1f ITV4

19/19 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
18/19 – Winners that went onto compete in that season’s Stayers' Hurdle (Cheltenham Festival) (6 won, 4 runners-up)
17/19 – Placed in the top three in their last race
16/19 – Favourites placed
16/19 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
14/19 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles previously
14/19 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) previously
12/19 – French-bred horse
12/19 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
12/19 – Raced at Newbury last time out
10/19 – Won their last race
10/19 – Favourites that won
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/19 – Trained by Nick Williams
2/19 - Trained by Emma Lavelle
2/19 – Ridden by jockey Tom Scudamore
The Worlds End won the race in 2019
Paisley Park won the race in 2018 and 2020
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

Note:
2009 and 2010 runnings - Newbury
2005 running - Chepstow
2004  running -Windsor

 

 


3.00 – Howden Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV4

15/16 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
11/16 – Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
10/16 – Aged either 7 or 8 years-old
10/16 – Raced at Ascot previously
8/16 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
8/16 – Won by a French bred horse
8/16 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
8/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/16 – Favourites placed
7/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/16 – Won at least 5 times over fences before
6/16 – Aged 7 years-old
5/16 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Ascot (2) last time out
3/16 – Favourites (1 joint)
2/16 – Trained by Henry Daly
2/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 4 runnings)
Regal Encore won the race in 2016, 2019 and third in 2020

Note: The 2004 renewal was staged at Windsor

 

3.35 – Betfair Exchange Trophy Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

18/18 – Had won over at least 2m (hurdles) before
17/18 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
17/18 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
15/18 – Had raced within the last 2 months
12/18 – Carried 10-10 or more
10/18 – Officially rated between 127 and 136
10/18 – Priced 12/1 or bigger in the betting
9/18 – Unplaced favourites
8/18 – Won last time out
7/18 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
7/18 – Irish bred
5/18 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/18 – Trained by the Pipe stable
3/18 – Winning favourites
Not So Sleepy won the race in 2019 and 2020
Mohaayed won the race in 2018

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.05 – Virgin Bet Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m2f191y ITV

14/14 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Aged 7 or younger
10/14 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/14 – Didn’t win last time out
9/14 – Had won 1-3 times over hurdles before
8/14 – Had raced at Haydock before
7/14 – Ran at either Newbury (2) or Haydock (5) last time out
6/14 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
5/14 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
5/14 – Winning Favourites
4/14 – French bred
2/14 – Trained by Lucy Wadham
4 of the last 10 runnings were won by a claiming jockey

 

 

2.40 – Betfair Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase Cl2 3m 1 1/2f ITV4

14/14 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
13/14 – Failed to win their last race
11/14 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
10/14 – Won over at least 3m before (hurdles or fences)
9/14 – Had raced at Haydock previously (hurdles or fences)
8/14 – Won between 2-3 times over fences previously
8/14 – Favourites placed
4/14 – French bred
3/14 – Ridden by jockey Tom O’Brien
3/14 – Went onto run in that season’s Aintree Grand National (all unplaced)
3/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/14 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
8 of the last 13 winners carried 11-0 or more
Sam’s Adventure (14/1) won the race in 2020
Lord Du Mesnil won the race in 2019

 

 

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Cheltenham TV Trends (Fri 10th Dec 21)

The tapes go up for the opening day of the 2021 Cheltenham December Meeting (The International) this Friday (10th December) with FOUR LIVE ITV races from Prestbury Park.

As always, here at GeeGeez we are on hand with his quick-fire trends ahead of the LIVE races - use these stat to help find the best profiles of past winners.

 

1:50 – CF Roberts Electrical + Mechanical Services Mares’ Handicap Chase Cl3 2m5f ITV4

 

Five previous runs
5/5 - Aged between 6-8 years-old
5/5 - Between 0-1 chase wins before
5/5 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
4/5 - Finished in the top 5 last time out
4/5 - Irish bred
4/5 - Yet to race at Cheltenham
3/5 - Unplaced favourites
3/5 - winners carried 11-3 or more in weight
2/5 – Winning favourites
Madera Mist won the race in 2020

 

 

2.25 – Betfair Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

16/19 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
16/19 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
16/19 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before (7 won)
14/19 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
13/19 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Aged 8 or younger
11/19 – Carried 11-0 or more in weight
11/19 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (none won)
11/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/19 – Irish bred
9/19 – Placed favourites
9/19 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
7/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (2 of last 5 runnings)
2/19 - Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (2 of the last 3 runnings)
Storm Control (5/1) won the race in 2020
Cogry (9/1) won the race in 2018 and 2019
Robinsfirth (7/4) won the race in 2017

 

3.00 – Glenfarclas Crystal Cup Cross Country Handicap Chase Cl2 3m7f ITV4

16/17 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
15/17 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (4 won)
14/17 – Had run over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
13/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17– Placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
11/17 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
10/17 – Aged 9 or older
10/17 – Placed favourites
8/17 – Aged in double-figures
7/17 – Had won over the Cheltenham Cross Country course before
7/17 – Trained by Enda Bolger
7/17 – French bred
6/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Carried 11-12
Some Neck (18/1) won this race in 2020
Easysland (5/2) won this race in 2019
Fact Of The Matter (6/1) won the race in 2018
Josie’s Orders won the race in 2015

3.35 – Citipost Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m ITV4

15/18 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
14/18 – Aged 7 or younger
14/18 – Carried 11-2 or less
14/18 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
13/18 – Irish bred
13/18 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/18 – Unplaced favourites
11/18 – Rated between 127 and 137
10/18 - Priced 15/2 or bigger in the betting
9/18 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (one winner)
8/18 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
8/18 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
6/18 – Won last time out
3/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/18 - Trained by Jonjo O'Neill
Come On Teddy (11/2) won the race in 2020
Goodbye Dancer (13/2) won the race in 2019
Aaron Lad (15/2) won the race in 2018

 

 

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Ladbrokes Trophy Chase Trends

Run at Newbury racecourse over 3m 2 1/2f the Ladbrokes Trophy Chase is handicap race this gives National Hunt fans the chance to see some of the best longer distance chasers pit their wits against horses of varied abilities.

Here at GeeGeez, we look back at recent winners and gives you the main stats to look out for ahead of the 2021 renewal – this year run on Saturday 27th November.

Did you know - 17 of the last 19 Ladbrokes Trophy Chase winners were aged 8 or younger?

 

Recent Ladbrokes Trophy Chase Winners

2020 - CLOTH CAP (9/1)
2019 – DE RASHER COUNTER (12/1)
2018 – SIZING TENNESSEE (12/1)
2017 – TOTAL RECALL (9/2 fav)
2016 – NATIVE RIVER (7/2 fav)
2015 – SMAD PLACE (7/1)
2014 – MANY CLOUDS (8/1)
2013 – TRIOLO D’ALENE (20/1)
2012 – BOBS WORTH (4/1 fav)
2011 – CARRUTHERS (10/1)
2010 – DIAMOND HARRY (6/1)
2009 – DENMAN (11/4 fav)
2008 – MADISON du BERLAIS (25/1)
2007 – DENMAN (5/1)
2006 – STATE OF PLAY (10/1)
2005 – TRABOLGAN (13/2)
2004 – CELESTIAL GOLD (9/4 fav)
2003 – STRONG FLOW (5/1 jfav)
2002 - GINGEMBRE (16/1)

Ladbrokes Trophy Chase Betting Trends

17/19 – Aged 8 or younger
17/19 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
17/19 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
16/19 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
13/19 – Carried 10-13 or more
13/19 – Had run at Newbury before (9 had won over fences there)
13/19 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
13/19 – Had a previous run that season
12/19 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
12/19 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
12/19 – Rated between 140 and 151
11/19 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
11/19 – Unplaced favourites
10/19 – Won last time out
9/19 – Ran at either Aintree (2) or Cheltenham (7) last time out
6/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 9)
2/19 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/19 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (2 of the last 5)
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 9/1
11 of the last 16 winners carried 11st 1lb or more
Since 1968 there has only been one winner aged in double-figures (1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (30 runnings) there have been 14 winners (47%) aged 7 years-old

 

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 27th Nov 2021

Another huge Saturday ahead with the Ladbrokes Trophy Chase – plus the Fighting Fifth Hurdle as the main contests at Newbury and Newcastle – As always, here at GeeGeez.co.uk, we've got all the ITV TV trends to help you find the best winning profile of past winners of the main races.

Did you know? 17 of the last 19 Ladbrokes Trophy Chase winners were aged 8 or younger

 

Newbury Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.15 - Sir Peter O´Sullevan Memorial Handicap Chase Cl3 2m6f93y ITV3

15/15 – Aged 9 or younger
14/15 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
12/15 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
11/15 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
10/15 – Aged 7 or younger
9/15 – Carried 11-5 or more in weight
9/15 – Raced at Wincanton (4), Cheltenham (3) or Bangor (2) last time out
9/15 – Officially rated between 126-130
9/15 – Unplaced last time out
8/15 – Irish bred
6/15 – Had raced at Newbury over fences before
6/15 – French bred
5/15 – Placed favourites
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Winning favourites
Kapcorse (12/1) won this race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

 

1.50 – Get Your Ladbrokes £1 Free Bet Today Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f ITV3

5 previous runnings
All of the last 5 winners aged between 6-8 years-old
4 of the last 5 winners returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
4 of the last 5 winners carried 11st 3lbs or more in weight
3 of the last 5 winners were aged 6 years-old
2 of the last 5 winners trained by Nicky Henderson
Trainers Dan Skelton, Paul Nicholls and Philip Hobbs have won this race in the past
2 winning favourites (joint) in the last 5 years

 

2.25 Ladbrokes Committed To Safer Gambling Intermediate Handicap (Listed Race) (A Limited Handicap) Cl1 2m69y ITV3

14/15 – Aged 6 or younger
14/15 – Won over 2m (hurdles) before
13/15 – Had at least 4 runs over hurdles before
13/15 – Won just 1-2 times in the past (hurdles)
12/15 – Irish, French or German bred
11/15 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Finished in the top three last time out
8/15 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
8/15 – Had raced at Newbury before
8/15 – Unplaced favourites
7/15 – Aged 5 years-old
6/15 – Officially rated between 126-134
6/15 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
5/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Raced at Aintree last time out
2/15 – Won last time out
9 of the last 14 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old
Floressa (10/1) won the race in 2020

 

3.00 – Ladbrokes Trophy Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) ITV 3m2f110y ITV3

17/19 – Aged 8 or younger
17/19 – Had won between 2-5 previous races over fences
17/19 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
16/19 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Finished in the first 3 last time out
13/19 – Carried 10-13 or more
13/19 – Had run at Newbury before (9 had won over fences there)
13/19 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
13/19 – Had a previous run that season
12/19 – Aged either 6 or 7 years-old
12/19 – Had won a Grade 3 or better class chase race before
12/19 – Rated between 140 and 151
11/19 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
11/19 – Unplaced favourites
10/19 – Won last time out
9/19 – Ran at either Aintree (2) or Cheltenham (7) last time out
6/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (2 of last 9)
2/19 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/19 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (2 of the last 5)
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 9/1
11 of the last 16 winners carried 11st 1lb or more
Since 1968 there has only been one winner aged in double-figures (1981 Diamond Edge, 10)
Since 1990 (30 runnings) there have been 14 winners (47%) aged 7 years-old

 

3.35- Watch Racing Free Online At Ladbrokes Handicap Chase (for the Jim Joel Memorial Trophy) Cl2 2m1f ITV3

17/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
11/19 – Officially rated between 126-136
11/19 – French bred
11/19 – Winning distance – 2 1/4 lengths or more
10/19 – Had won a UK chase race over 2m1f
10/19 – Had won between 2-5 chase races in the UK
10/19 – Placed in their last race
10/19 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
8/19 – Unplaced favourites
7/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/19 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/19 – Won a chase race at Newbury before
2/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/19 – Trained by Venetia Williams
11 of the last 15 winners carried between 10-8 and 11-3
Zanza (5/2) won the race in 2020
Magic Saint (3/1 fav) won the race in 2019

Newcastle Horse Racing Betting Trends (ITV/ATR)

 

1.30 - Betfair Daily Rewards Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-135) 2m7 1/2f ITV3

10/10 - Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 - Aged between 5-7 years-old
9/10 - Ran in the last 5 weeks
8/10 - Carried 10st 8lbs or more
8/10 - Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 - Placed favourites
6/10 - Winning favourites
6/10 - Irish bred
5/10 - Had run at the track before
3/10 - Trained by Sue Smith
2/10 - Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

 

2.05 – BetFair Exchange Rehearsal Chase (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m ITV3

16/17 – Didn’t win their last race
15/17 – Irish bred
14/17 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
14/17 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/17 – Had won a UK chase race over at least 3m
12/17 – Unplaced last time out
11/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
11/17 – Had won at least 3 times over fences in the UK
7/17 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
7/17 – Unplaced favourites
5/17 – Aged 8 years-old
4/17 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/17 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
3/17 – Trained by Nicky Richards
2/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
8 of the last 11 winners were aged 8 or older
Takinrisks (20/1) won the race in 2019
Lake View Lad (5/1) won the race in 2018
Beware The Bear (11/4 fav) won the race in 2017
Otago Trial won the race in 2016
Note: The 2002, 2003, & 2004 runnings were at Chepstow

 

3.15 – BetFair Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m ITV

19/19 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
17/19 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
17/19 – Finished in the first two in their latest race
16/19 – Raced in the Champion Hurdle later that same season
16/19 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
15/19 – Placed favourites
14/19 – Officially rated 151 or higher
13/19 – Won their last race
11/19 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/19 – Placed in the top 6 in the Champion Hurdle later that season
9/19 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/19 – Won by an Irish bred horse
5/19 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
5/19 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (5 of last 13)
4/19 – Won by an Irish based yard
3/19 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/19 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 7)
2/19 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that same season (2008 Punjabi, 2018 Buveur d’Air)
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 5/1
Epatante (8/11 fav) won the race in 2020

Note: The 2008 renewal was staged at Wetherby, and the 2010 race at Newbury

Fighting Fifth Hurdle Trends

Sponsored by leading bookmaker Betfair, the Grade 1 Fighting Fifth hurdle is staged at Newcastle racecourse.

Having first been run in 1969 the contest is often seen as an early-season trial for the Champion Hurdle, with the Nicky Henderson-trained Punjabi (2008) and Buveur D'Air (2018) the last horses to win both races in the same season.

The 2017 and 2018 Champion Hurdle winner – Buveur d’Air – landed this race in 2017 before going onto Cheltenham glory again in March 2018, while he also took the prize in 2018 and was second in 2019. 12 months ago it was another Nicky Henderson/JP McManus runner that won the race as Epatante with ease and went onto finish third in the 2021 Champion Hurdle.

Here at GEEGEEZ, we are on hand as he looks back at past winners and gives you the key trends to look out for ahead of the 2021 renewal – this year run on Saturday 27th November.

Recent Fighting Fifth Hurdle Winners

2020 - EPATANTE (8/11 fav)
2019 – CORNERSTONE LAD (16/1)
2018 – BUVEUR D’AIR (11/8)
2017 – BUVEUR D’AIR (1/6 fav)
2016 – IRVING (6/1)
2015 – IDENTITY THIEF (6/1)
2014 – IRVING (6/4 fav)
2013 – MY TENT OR YOURS (8/11 fav)
2012 – COUNTRYWIDE FLAME (11/4)
2011 – OVERTURN (7/4)
2010 – PEDDLERS CROSS (9/4)
2009 – GO NATIVE (25/1)
2008 – PUNJABI (8/11 fav)
2007 – HARCHIBALD (4/1)
2006 – STRAW BEAR (Evs fav)
2005 – ARCALIS (9/4 fav)
2004 – HARCHIBALD (9/4 jfav)
2003 – THE FRENCH FURZE (25/1)
2002 – INTERSKY FALCON (11/10 fav)

Fighting Fifth Hurdle Betting Trends & Stats

19/19 – Won a hurdles race over at least 2m before
17/19 – Won at least a Grade 2 hurdle before
17/19 – Finished in the first two in their latest race
16/19 – Raced in the Champion Hurdle later that same season
16/19 – Won at least 4 times over hurdles before
15/19 – Placed favourites
14/19 – Officially rated 151 or higher
13/19 – Won their last race
11/19 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/19 – Placed in the top 6 in the Champion Hurdle later that season
9/19 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
6/19 – Won by an Irish bred horse
5/19 – Raced over hurdles at Newcastle before
5/19 - Trained by Nicky Henderson (5 of last 13)
4/19 – Won by an Irish based yard
3/19 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/19 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of last 7)
2/19 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that same season (2008 Punjabi, 2018 Buveur d’Air)
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 5/1

Note: The 2008 renewal was staged at Wetherby, and the 2010 race at Newbury

 

 

 

 

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