Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 5th Sept 2020

This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Haydock, Kempton and Ascot to take in races across the three venues. The Group One Sprint Cup is the clear highlight of the weekend from Haydock - Did you know that 15 of the last 18 Sprint Cup winners were aged 5 or younger, while 13 of the last 18 came from stalls 6 or higher?

Use these key trends and stats to whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Saturday 5th September 2020

 

HAYDOCK Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.45 – Betfair Superior Mile (Group 3) Cl1 1m ITV

14/16 – Won over 1m or further before
14/16 – Won 3 or more times before
13/16 – Winning distance 1 length or more
13/16 – Had won a Listed or better race before
12/16 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Had 3 or more runs that season
9/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/16 – Ran at either York or Ascot last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Won last time out
4/16 – Had won at Haydock before
3/16 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/16 – Trained by Brian Ellison
6 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 1 or 4
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

 

2.15 – Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

Your first 30 days for just £1

10/11 – Came from stalls 3-10 (inc)
10/11 – Had run in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
9/11 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
8/11 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Rated between 81-89 (inc)
6/11 – Came from stalls 6-10 (inc)
6/11 – Irish Bred
6/11 – Placed favourites
5/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Ran at either York (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Andrew Balding
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

 

 

2.50 – Betfair Exchange Old Borough Cup Handicap Cl2 1m6f ITV

16/17 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
16/17 – Had won at least twice before
15/17 – Had run 4 or more times that season
15/17 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
14/17 – Finished 4th or better last time out
13/17 – Rated 90 to 101
12/17 – Drawn in stall 7 or higher
10/17 – Winning distance ¾ lengths or less
9/17 – Had run over 1m6f before
8/17 – Carried 9-0 or more
8/17 – Ran at Haydock before
6/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/17 – Ran at York last time out
4/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 – Ridden by Joe Fanning
2/17 – Trained by Iain Jardine (2 of last 5 winners)
2/17 – Trained by Ian Williams (last 2 winners)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1
Reshoun (6/1) won this race in 2018

 

3.25 – Betfair Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

16/18 – Unplaced horses from stall 1
15/18 - Aged 5 or younger
15/18 – Rated 111 or higher
15/18 – Had won over 6f before
14/18 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
14/18 – Didn’t win their previous race
14/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/18 – Winning distance 1 length or less
13/18 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
12/18 –Had 4 or more runs that season
12/18 – Had won a Group race before
9/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/18 – Ran at Deauville (4) or York (5) last time out
9/18 – Had run at Haydock before (3 had won)
7/18 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/18 – Had won a Group 1 before
6/18 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 9/1
Hello Youmzain (9/2 cfav) won this race in 2019
The Tin Man (7/1) won this race in 2018

 

4.00 - Betfair Each Way Edge Be Friendly Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV

14/17 – Previous winners over 5f
13/17 – Had won 4 or more times before
12/17 – Rated 90+
12/17 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
11/17 – Had run at Haydock before (2 won)
11/17 – Unplaced last time out
11/17 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
10/17 – Had 8 or more previous runs that season
10/17 – Winning distance - 1 length or less
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/17 – Placed favourites
8/17 – Carried 8-11 or less
3/17 – Won last time out
3/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Tim Easterby

 Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

3.05 - Lavazza Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

Only 10 previous runnings
8/10 – Rated between 84-95
8/10 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
7/10 – Had won just once before
5/10 – Horses placed from stall 10
5/10 – Returned a double-figure price
5/10 – Carried 9-0 or more
5/10 – Had run at Ascot before (3 won)
4/10 – Horses placed from stall 8
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
2/10 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor
2/10 – Trained by Roger Varian
Note: the 2015 running was a dead-heat

 

3.40 – Tweenhills Follow The Foals Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV

Only 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Aged 3 (2) or 5 (3) years-old
5/5 – Won over 6f before
5/5 – Rated between 80-91 (inc)
4/5 – Won 2+ times before
4/5 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
4/5 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
4/5 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
4/5 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
3/5 – Unplaced favourites
2/5 – Winning favourites
2/5 – Won last time out
2/5 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/5 – Trained by Ed Walker (last 2)

4.15 – Porsche Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

Only 9 previous runnings
9/9 – Had won over 7f before
9/9 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
9/9 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or less
8/9 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
8/9 – Didn’t win last time out
8/9 – Had run at the course before
7/9 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/9 – Irish bred
6/9 – Unplaced last time out
4/9 – Rated between 95-97
4/9 – Won by a claiming jockey (4 of the last 6)
4/9 – Had between 4-7 wins already
3/9 – Aged 5 years-old
2/9 – Winners from stall 12
0/9 – Winning favourites
Salute The Soldier (10/1) won the race in 2019
Ripp Orf (7/1) won the race in 2018 and was second in 2019

 

Kempton Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

2.00 – Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Sirenia Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV

10/10 – Winners between stalls 2-10 (inc)
10/10 – Won 1 or 2 times before
10/10 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
10/10 – Had 4+ runs before
10/10 – Had won over 5f or 6f before
8/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Foaled March or earlier
8/10 – Finished 5th or better last time out
7/10 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
6/10 – Ran at York last time out
3/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard

 

2.35 – Unibet September Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f ITV

13/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Didn’t win last time out
10/14 – Had won between 4-7 times before
10/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 ¼l or more
9/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/14 – Horses from stall 2 that finished in the top 3
8/14 – Had run at Kempton before
5/14 – Ran at York (3) or Windsor (2) last time out
5/14 – Aged 4 years-old
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Godolphin-owned runners
3/14 – Winners from stall 2
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 5)
3/14 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
1/14 – Winners from stall 1
Enable (8/15) won the race in 2018

Newmarket TV Trends: Thurs 24th Sept 2020

This midweek the ITV racing cameras head to Newmarket racecourse to take in the three-day Cambridgeshire Meeting.

On Thursday, there are four LIVE ITV races, with the Group Three Tattersalls Stakes (3.00) the feature - a race that ALL of the last 10 winners have been drawn in stalls 2, 5 or 7!

We take a look at the LIVE races from a trends and stats angle - use these to find the best winning profiles of past winners.

 

Newmarket Free Racing Tips & Trends (Thurs 24th Sept)

 

1.50 – Bentley Motors Nursery Handicap Cl2 (2yo) 1m ITV4

10/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/10 – Foaled in Feb or later
9/10 – Placed in the top three last time out
9/10 – Won between 0-2 times before
9/10 – Never raced at the track before
8/10 – Carried 8-10 or more in weight
8/10 – Won over 6f or 7f before
8/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Foaled in March or later
6/10 – Rated between 80-85 (inc)
6/10 – Placed favourites
3/10 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
3/10 – Winners from stall 9
3/10 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick
1/10 – Winning favourites
1/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

Your first 30 days for just £1

2.25 – British Stallion Studs EBF Premier Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV4

1 previous running
Trainer Andrew Balding won this race last season
Trainer Michael Dods is 2-from-4 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3.00 – Tattersalls Stakes (Registered as the Somerville Tattersall Stakes) (Group 3) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV4

10/10 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
10/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/10 – Drawn in stalls 2 (3), 5 (4) or 7 (3)
10/10 – Won between 1-3 times before
9/10 – Foaled in Feb or later
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Favourites placed in the top 3
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/10 – Irish trained
2/10 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard
1/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

 

 

3.35 – Jockey Club Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 2m ITV4

9/10 – Placed favourites
9/10 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Had run at the course before (3 won)
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
7/10 – Won 3 or more times
7/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Had won over at least 1m6f before
7/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Trained by John Gosden
3/10 – Ridden by William Buick
2/10 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Withhold (10/11 fav) won the race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

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Kerry National Trends

Run over 3m the Guinness Kerry National is a Grade A Handicap Chase staged at Listowel racecourse.

Trainer Gordon Elliott has won two of the last four runnings, while we’ve not seen a winning favourite in the last 18 renewals.

Horse racing trends expert Andy Newton takes a look back at past winners and gives you some of the key stats to look out for ahead of the 2020 renewal – this year run on Wednesday 23rd September.

 

Recent Kerry National Winners

2019 – Poker Party (14/1)
2018 – Snow Falcon (6/1)
2017 – Potters Point (8/1)
2016 – Wrath Of Titans (7/1)
2015 – Rogue Angel (8/1)
2014 – Your Busy (25/1)
2013 – White Star Line (16/1)
2012 – Faltering Fullback (33/1)
2011 – Alfa Beat (20/1)
2010 – Alfa Beat (6/1)
2009 – Northern Alliance (4/1 fav)
2008 – Ponmeoath (9/1)
2007 – Ponmeoath (14/1)
2006 – Bothar Na (10/1)
2005 – Euro Leader (11/2)
2004 – Banasan (7/1)
2003 – Native Performance (8/1)
2002 – Monty’s Pass (9/1)

 

Key Kerry National Betting Trends

18/18 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
16/18 – Rated 126 or higher
15/18 – Aged 8 or younger
15/18 – Had run at Listowel before (5 won)
13/18 – Had won at least twice over fences before
13/18 – Finished 4th or better last time out
12/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – The first three home were aged 9 or younger
10/18– Had won 5 or more times
9/18 – Favourites placed
8/18 – Winning distance between 1 and 4 lengths
8/18 – Carried 10-10 or more
6/18 – Had won over 3m (or further) before
5/18 – Ran at Galway last time out
3/18 – Trained by E McNamara
2/18 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/18 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
1/18 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 14/1

 

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Sun TV Trends: 30th Aug 2020

More LIVE horse racing action this Sunday as the ITV4 cameras head to Goodwood and Perth – we’ve got it all covered with the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends

1:50 - Ladbrokes Best Odds Guaranteed Fillies' Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 1m4f ITV3

No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 24% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Hughie Morrisson is only 2 from 36 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

2:25 - Ladbrokes Giving Extra Places Every Day Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV3

Your first 30 days for just £1

Only 2 previous runnings
No winning favourite
Both winners aged 4 or 5 years-old
Both winners carried between 9-5 and 9-6 in weight
Trainer Marcus Tregoning has a 22% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David Menuisier has a 23% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding has a 20% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 26% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Thomas Greatrex has a 40% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

3:00 - Ladbrokes Get Your Daily Odds Boost Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 1m2f ITV3

8/8 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/8 – Didn’t win last time out
7/8 – Won between 1-2 times before
6/8 – Winners from stall 6 or lower
5/8 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
4/8 – Ran at Goodwood before
4/8 – Irish bred
3/8 – Winners from stall 1
2/8 – Trained by Amanda Perrett
2/8 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
1/8 – Winning favourite
The average winning SP in the last 8 running is 15/2
Jockey Jim Crowley has a 22% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

3:35 - Ladbrokes Supreme Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 7f ITV3

10/10 – Had won over 7f before
9/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Aged between 3-5 years-old
8/10 – Won 3 or 4 times before
7/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Placed favourites
6/10 – Ran at the track before
3/10 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/10 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
2/10 – Trained by David O’Meara
1/10 – Winning favourites
1/10 – Winners from stall 1
Average winning SP in the last 10 runnings 11/2

Perth Horse Racing Trends

 

2:05 - bet365 Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+) 2m ITV3

No previous runnings
Trainer Brian Ellison has a 50% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Nigel Hawke has a 30% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 25% record with his chasers at the track
Jockey Brian Hughes has a 22% record riding over fences at the track

2:40 - bet365 Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (3yo+) 2m4f ITV3

Trainer Neil Mulholland has a 35% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Donald McCain has a 24% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Keith Dalgleish has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 29% record with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Charlotte Jones has a 33% record riding over hurdles at the track

3:15 - bet365 Sam Morshead Perth Gold Cup Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m ITV3

10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Aged 10 or younger
9/10 – Had won over 3m+ (fences) before
8/10 – Won between 1-4 times over fences
8/10 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
8/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Had run at the track before
3/10 – Ran at Perth last time out (all won there)
2/10 – Trained by David Pipe
2/10 – Trained by Peter Bowen
2/10 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
2/10 – Winning favourites
Trainer Peter Bowen has a 47% record with his chasers at the track
Trainer Jennie Candlish has a 33% record with his chasers at the track
Jockey Sean Quinlan has a 26% record riding over fences at the track

Sat TV Trends: 29th Aug 2020

More LIVE horse racing action this weekend as the ITV4 cameras head to Goodwood, Newmarket and Windsor – we’ve got it all covered with the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends

 

1.50 - Ladbrokes Prestige Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

10/10 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/10 – Yet to win a Group or Listed race
10/10 – Foaled in Jan, Feb or March
10/10 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
10/10 – Won 1 or 2 times before
8/10 – Placed favourites
8/10 – Ran at Newmarket, Goodwood or Ascot last time out
7/10 – Won last time out
7/10 – Had won over 7f before
6/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/10 – Ridden by Harry Bentley
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

Your first 30 days for just £1

 

2.25 - Brian Chattaway Celebrating 50 Years At Ladbrokes Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

9/10 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
9/10 – Won over 7f before
9/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Won between 3-5 times before
8/10 – Carried 9-0 or more in weight
8/10 – Drawn between stalls 5-9 (inc)
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Had run at Goodwood or Ascot last time out
7/10 – Had run at Goodwood before
7/10 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/10 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

 

3:00 - Ladbrokes March Stakes (Group 3) (In Memory Of John Dunlop) Cl1 (3yo) 1m6f ITV

 

10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Placed favourites
9/10 – Yet to win a Group or Listed race
8/10 – Won over at least 1m4f in the past
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 4 or lower
7/10 – Had run at the track before
6/10 – Won by a 3 year-old (last 6 runnings)
5/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by William Haggas
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3

3:35 - Ladbrokes Celebration Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

10/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
10/10 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
9/10 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
9/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had won over 1m before
8/10 – Won between 3- 6 times before
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 1, 2 or 3
7/10 – Had won a Group race before
6/10 – Had run at the track before
5/10 – Won by a 3 year-old
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/10 – Ran at Salisbury last time out
3/10 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by David Simcock
Duke Of Hazzard (3/1) won this in 2019

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends

 

2:05 - Hopeful Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

10/10 – Has won over 6f in the past
10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
8/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
6/10 – Won between 2-4 times before
6/10 – Placed last time out
6/10 – Ran at the track before
5/10 – Stall 1 horse placed (top 3)
3/10 – Winning favourite
2/10 – Trained by Dean Ivory
Raucous (10/1) won this race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

Windsor Horse Racing Trends

 

2:40 - August Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m3½f ITV

10/10 – Aged between 3-6 years old
10/10 – Drawn between stalls 2-6 (inc)
10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Placed favourites
8/10 – Had won over 1m2f+ before
8/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Won between 2-4 times
6/10 – Drawn in stall 4
3/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/10 – Trained by David Simcock
2/10 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/10 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/10 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
1/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1
Desert Encounter won this in 2018

3:15 - Sky Sports Racing Winter Hill Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

9/10 – Won over 1m2f+ before
8/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/10 – Winners from stalls 1 (4) or 4 (3)
7/10 – Had won 4+ times before
7/10 – Placed in the top three last time out
5/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/10 – Trained by Michael Bell
2/10 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
Desert Encounter won this race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

Sandown TV Trends: Sun 23rd Aug 2020

More LIVE horse racing action this Sunday as the ITV3 cameras head to Sandown Park – we’ve got it all covered with the key trends and stats to help you whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

SANDOWN Horse Racing Trends (Live ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.00 – Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap Cl3 5f ITV3

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11/12 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
11/12 – Didn’t win last time out
11/12 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
10/12 – Had won over this 5f trip
9/12 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Rated between 80-93
8/12 – Had run at Sandown before (3 winners)
8/12 – Drawn 7 or higher
7/12 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
5/12 – Rated between 85-87
2/12 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/12 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
1/12 – Winning favourites (joint)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

 

 

2.30 – Betway Handicap Cl2 1m2f7y ITV3

15/18 – Had 4 or more runs that season
13/18 – Ran at Haydock, York, Newmarket or Goodwood last time
12/18 – Unplaced favourites
12/18 – Winning distance 1 length or less
11/18 – Won 3 or more times before
11/18 – Aged 4 years-old
9/18 – Carried 9-0 or more
9/18 – Had run at Sandown before (4 won)
8/18 – Returned a double-figure price
7/18 – Won last time out
3/18 –Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
5 of the last 7 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
Hyanna won the race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1

 

3.05 –Betway Atalanta Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m14y ITV3

15/18 – Had 3 or more runs that season
14/18 – Had won over a mile before
14/18 – Winning distance 1 1/2 or less
13/18 – Priced 9/2 or shorter
13/18 – Aged 3 years-old
11/18 – Placed last time out
11/18 – Had won 3 or more times before
11/18 – Had won a Listed or Group class race
11/18 – Rated between 98 and 108
7/18 – Winning favourites
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/18 – Had run at Sandown before
Lavender’s Blue (12/1) won the race in 2019
Veracious (10/11 fav) won the race in 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

 

3.40 –Betway Solario Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f16y ITV3

17/18 – Never raced at Sandown before
17/18 – Had won at least one race before
16/18 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
15/18 – Foaled in Jan, Feb or March
13/18 – Placed favourites
12/18 – Had 2 or more previous runs
11/18– Won last time out
9/18 – Had won over 7f before
8/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
8/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Won by trainer John Gosden
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/8

Saturday TV Trends: Sandown 22nd Aug 2020

This Saturday (22nd August 2020) the ITV cameras are not only at York to cover their final day of their Ebor Festival, but they are also at Sandown Park to show FOUR LIVE races.

We’ve got all the LIVE Sandown races covered with key trends and stats.

 

Sandown Horse Racing Trends

 

2.05 - Betway Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-90) 1m2f ITV

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
3/3 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-5 (inc) in weight
3/3 – Winners from stalls 3, 4 or 5
0/3 – Winning favourite
Trainers Roger Charlton, Clive Cox and Sylvester Kirk have won this race
Trainer David Menuisier has a 39% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Sir Mark Prescott has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 22% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

2.40 - Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 1m ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has a 40% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Menuisier has a 31% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3.15 - Play 4 To Win At Betway Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-90) 1m ITV

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Winners between stalls 5-7 (inc)
3/3 – Carried between 9-6 and 9-9 (inc) in weight
2/3 – Drawn in stall 5
1/3 – Winning favourites
Trainers George Scott, Martin Smith and Simon Crisford have won this race before
Trainer Roger Charlton has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track has
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 22% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

3.55 - Betway British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10/GBB Race) Cl5 (2yo) 7f

No previous runnings
Trainer John Gallagher has a 27% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track

York TV Trends: Friday 21st Aug 2020

Horse racing trends expert Andy Newton is on hand for us at this week’s York Ebor Meeting as he gives you all the key stats ahead of the LIVE ITV races each day.

 

York – Day Three TV Trends

Friday 21st Aug 2020

DAY THREE – COOLMORE NUNTHORPE DAY

 

1.45 – Sky Bet Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

16/17 – Aged 5 or younger
16/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before (6 over 1m4f)
15/17 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
15/17 – Had won at least twice on the flat before
13/17 – Carried 9-5 or less in weight
13/17 – Won from stall 8 or higher
13/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/17 – Ran at either Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (4) last time out
5/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (3) or Mark Johnston (2)
3/17 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
Tamreer (33/1) won the race in 2019

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2.15 – Weatherbys Hamilton Lonsdale Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 2m88y ITV

14/16 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
14/16 – Had 4 or more career wins
13/16 – Had won over 1m6f or further before
12/16 – Didn’t win last time out
12/16 – Raced 3 or more times that season
12/16 – Favourites placed
12/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/16 – Won a Listed or better class race before
10/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/16 – Had run at York before (8 won)
5/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
0/16 – Winners from stall 1
Stradivarius (4/11) won the race in 2018 and 2019

 

 

2.45 – Al Basti Equiworld Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

17/17 – Won just 1-2 times before
16/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/17 – Won just once before
11/17 – Foaled in March or later
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/17 – Had won over 6f before
4/17 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/17 – Trained by William Haggas
3/17 – Winning favourites
Emaraaty (5/1) won the race in 2018

 

3.15 - Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 5f ITV

16/18 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
16/18 – Had won over 5f before
16/18 – Came from stall 11 or lower
15/18 – Had an official rating of 108 or more
14/18 – Had run at the course before
13/18 – Favourites to finish in the top 4
12/18 – Were previous Group race winners
8/18 – Ran at Goodwood last time out (inc 7 of last 10)
4/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Placed horses from stall 1 (3rd in 2003 & 2012)
2/18 – Ran at Sandown last time out
2/18 – Trained by Michael Dods
6 of the last 9 winners were fillies/mares
9/11 – Drawn 7 or higher
Battaash (7/4) won the race in 2019
Alpha Delphini (40/1) won the race in 2018

 

3.45 – British Stallion Studs EBF Convivial Maiden Stakes (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 (2yo) 7f ITV

10/10 – Foaled in Feb or later
8/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Drawn in stalls 4-11 (inc)
8/10 – Foaled in Feb or March
7/10 – Placed favourites
6/10 – Ran at Ascot (2), Newmarket (2) or Goodwood (2) last time out
6/10 – Returned 11/1 or bigger in the betting
5/10 – Irish bred
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard

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York TV Trends: Weds 19th Aug 2020

Horse racing trends expert Andy Newton is on hand for us at this week’s York Ebor Meeting as he gives you all the key stats ahead of the LIVE ITV races each day.

York Horse Racing Trends

Wednesday 19th Aug 2020

DAY ONE – JUDDMONTE INTERNATIONAL DAY

 

1.45 – Sky Bet Symphony Group Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 5f89y ITV

11/11 – Carried 8-13 or more
10/11 – Returned 7/1 or bigger in the betting
9/11 – Had run 6 or more times that season
9/11 – Had won 5 or more times during their career
8/11 – Had run at York before (5 won)
7/11 – Unplaced last time out
7/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/11 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/11 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
1/11 – Winning favourites
Dakota Gold (4/1 fav) won the race in 2019
El Astronaute (12/1) won the race in 2018

 

2.15 – Tattersalls Acomb Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

16/17 – Had won at least once before
15/17 – Won their previous race
13/17 – Placed favourites
13/17 – Had won over 7f or further before
7/17 – Ran at either York (3) or Newmarket (4) last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 - Had run at York before
2/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 - Ridden by James Doyle
2/17 – Trained by William Haggas
2/17 – Trained by Charles Hills
2/17 – Winners from stall 1
7 of the last 11 winners were foaled in March or later
9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 5-9 (inc)

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2.45 – Sky Bet Great Voltigeur Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m4f ITV

16/18 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
15/18 – Had won at least twice already in their career
15/18 - Placed favourites
14/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
14/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (3), Godolphin (3) or John Gosden (5)
8/18 – Winning favourites
6/18 – Went onto be placed in the St Leger
3/18 – Went onto win the St Leger (Logician, Lucarno, Rule of Law)
4/18 -  Ridden by Frankie Dettori
0/18 – Winners from stall 1
Logician (5/5 fav) won the race in 2019
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 3 times before (2001, 2003 & 2016)
Trainer John Gosden has won the race 5 times before (2007, 2008, 2012, 2017 & 2019)
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has won this race 7 times before (1982, 1994, 1999, 2000, 2005, 2011 & 2013)
14 horses have won this before going onto win the St Leger (Sept 12th)

Note: The 2008 renewal was run at Goodwood

 

3.15 - Juddmonte International Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

16/18 – Previous Group 1 winners
16/18 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
15/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
14/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/18 – Had not run at York before
12/18 – Aged 4 or older
11/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/18 – Had won 5 or more times before
11/18 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
9/18 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Sandown (4) last time out
8/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/18 – Won the Epsom Derby that season
2/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (5 winners in total)
6 of the last 12 winners were Irish-trained
Japan (5/1) won the race in 2019

Note: The 2008 renewal was run at Newmarket

 

3.45 Sky Bet Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 2m 1/2f ITV

10/10 – Had run in the last 2 months
9/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Won between 1-5 times before
7/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Came from stall 7 or higher
7/10 – Rated between 87-96
7/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
6/10 – Drawn from stalls 8-13 (inc)
6/10 – Had run at the course before
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
4/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Iris-trained winners
2/10 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/10 – Ridden by Harry Bentley
Eddystone Rock (8/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

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York TV Trends: Saturday 22nd Aug 2020

Horse racing trends expert Andy Newton is on hand for us at this week’s York Ebor Meeting as he gives you all the key stats ahead of the LIVE ITV races each day.

Saturday 22nd Aug 2020

DAY FOUR – SKY BET EBOR DAY

YORK HORSE RACING TRENDS (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.50 – Sky Bet And Symphony Strensall Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m208y ITV

17/17 – Had won over at least a mile before
17/17 – Had won at least twice in the their career
16/17 – Had between 2 and 4 runs already that season
14/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/17 – Had won over a mile before
7/17 – Won by Godolphin
7/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/17 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
4/17 – Had won at York before
3/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (2 of last 3)
3/17 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 6)
2/17 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
Zaaki (7/2) won the race in 2019
Lord Glitters (2/1 fav) won the race in 2018

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Note: The 2009 running was a dead-heat

 

2.25 – Sky Bet Melrose Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

15/17 – Never raced at York before
14/17 – Had 4 or more runs that season
13/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
13/17 – Had a top 5 finish last time out
12/17 – Won carrying 9-0 or less
12/17 – Had won over 1m4f or further
11/17 - Drawn in stall 8 or lower
4/17 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/17 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/17 – Ridden by William Buick
2/17 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of last 3)
2/17 – Trained by William Haggas
Hamish (7/1) won the race in 2019
Ghostwatch (10/1) won the race in 2018


3.00 – Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

16/17 – Failed to win last time out
16/17 – Aged 5 or younger
14/17 – Priced 7/1 or shorter
13/17 – Drawn in stalls 4 to 8 (inc)
12/17 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
12/17 – Never run at York before
12/17 – Winning distance 1 length or less
11/17 – Had 4 or more runs that season
7/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/17 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
3/17 – Won by trainer Andrew Balding
1/17 – Placed horses from stall 1
Shine So Bright (6/1) won the race in 2019
Expert Eye (Evs) won the race in 2018

 

3.40 – Sky Bet Ebor (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

17/18 – Carried 9-5 or less
17/18 – Aged 6 or younger
15/18 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
14/18 – Won from a double-figure stall
12/18 – Carried 9-1 or less
12/18 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
12/18 – Winning Distance - 1 length or less
11/18 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
8/18 – Had run at York before
5/18 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Irish-trained winners (5 of the last 10)
4/18 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/18 – Ran at Galway last time out
2/18 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/18 – Placed horses from stall 1 (third 2011, third 2013)
1/18 – Winning favourites
Just one winning favourite since 1999
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1980, 1991 & 1996
Mustajeer (16/1) won the race in 2019
Muntahaa (11/1) won the race in 2018

 

4.10 – Julia Graves Roses Stakes (Listed Race) Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

10/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/10 – Returned 13/2 or shorter
8/10 – Didn’t win last time out
7/10 – March foals
7/10 – Won over 5f before
6/10 – Ran at Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
4/10 – Drawn in stall 9 (2) or 10 (2)
3/10 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
1/10 – Winning favourites

 

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York TV Trends: Thurs 20th Aug 2020

York – Day Two TV Trends

 

DARLEY YORKSHIRE OAKS & LADIES DAY

Thursday 20th Aug 2020

 

1.45 - Skybet Lowther Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) Cl1 6f ITV

17/18 – Had won over 5 or 6f before
17/18 – Had won at least once before
16/18 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
16/18 – Had not run at York before
15/18 – Won by a Jan, Feb or March foal
14/18 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12/18  - Drawn in stall 4 or higher
12/18 – Won last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
2/18 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/18 – Trained by William Haggas

Note: 2008 renewal was run at Newmarket

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2.15 - Goffs UK Yearling Stakes (CLASS 2) (2yo) 6f ITV

18/18 – Had 1 or 2 career wins to their name
17/18 – Had 2 or more career runs
17/18 – Foaled in Feb or later
16/18 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
13/18 – Won from stall 10 or higher
13/18 – Foaled in Feb or March
12/18 – Placed favourites
7/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Brian Meehan
3/18 – Trained by William Haggas (inc 3 of last 7 winners)
2/18 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/18 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon (3 of last 4 winners)
2/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
0/18 – Placed horses from stall 1

Note: 2008 renewal was run at Newmarket
2002, 2003, 2004, 2005 renewals were run at Doncaster

 


2.45 - Clipper Logistics Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

16/17 – Had won 2 or more times before
15/17 -  Winning distance of 2 lengths or less
13/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/17 – Returned 15/2 or bigger in the betting
12/17 – Ran at either Ascot (4), Sandown (2), Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (2) last time out
12/17 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
12/17 – Unplaced last time out
11/17 – Won from stall 12 or lower
11/17 – Carried 9-0 or less
2/17 – Won by the Hills (Barry/Charlie) stable
1/17 – Winning favourites
What’s The Story (12/1) won the race in 2019
Poet’s Society (20/1) won the race in 2018

 

3.15 - Darley Yorkshire Oaks (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) ITV

18/19 – Aged 3 (12) or 4 (6) years-old
18/19 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
17/19 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
17/19 – Had at least 3 previous wins to their name
16/19 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
16/19 – Placed favourites
15/19 – Priced 7/2 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
13/18 – Previous Group 1 winners
12/18 – Had won over 1m4f before
8/18 – Winning favourites
7/18 - Had run in that season’s Epsom Oaks (2 winners)
4/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (Won it 8 times in all)
2/18  - Trained by Jim Bolger
Enable (1/4 fav) won the race in 2019

 

3.45 British EBF & Sir Henry Cecil Galtres Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies and Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV

10/10 – Won between 1-3 times
10/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Winners from stalls 5-11 (inc)
9/10 – Won over at least 1m2f
9/10 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
7/10 – Drawn between stalls 5-9 (inc)
5/10 – Won last time out
4/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/10 – Drawn in stall 6
2/10 – Trained by John Gosden
2/10 – Trained by Dermot Weld
2/10 – Trained by William Haggas
2/10 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni

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Sun TV Trends: 16th Aug 2020

This Sunday, the ITV cameras head to Newbury and Ripon to take in seven races across the two venues.

At Newbury, the Listed St Hugh Fillies’ Stakes (3.35) is their main draw, while up at Ripon it’s their Great St Wilfrid day.

We’ve got the LIVE races covered from a trends angle, plus our free horse racing tips.

 

 

NEWBURY HORSE RACING TRENDS

 

1:50 – Unibet Extra Places Every Day Handicap Cl4 (3yo+ 0-85) 1m ITV4

5 previous runnings
5/5 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
5/5 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
5/5 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
3/5 – Winners from stalls 3 or lower
2/5 – Winners from stall 3
0/5 – Winning favourites
Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton won this race in 2019

 

2:25 – Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 7f ITV4

10/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Aged 5 or younger
8/10 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
2/10 – Trained by William Haggas
1/10 – Winning favourites

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3:00 – Unibet You’re On Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 1m5½f ITV4

10/10 – Aged 5 or younger
9/10 – Carried 9-0 or more in weight
8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
3/10 – Winning favourites
Emenem won this race in 2019

 

3:35 – Unibet St Hugh's Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo) 5f ITV4

9/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
5/10 - Drawn in stalls 1 or 2
2/10 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/10 – Winning favourites
Trainer Archie Watson won this race in 2018

 

 

RIPON HORSE RACING TRENDS

 

2:05 - williamhill.com Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 1m ITV4

10/10 – Carried 9-3 or more in weight
9/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Winners from stall 7 or lower
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Trained by David O’Meara (4 of the last 7)
2/10 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/10 – Ridden by Danny Tudhope
Hortzador won this race in 2019

 

2:40 - William Hill Ripon Hornblower Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 (2yo) 6f ITV4

10/10 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
9/10 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Drawn in stall 1
3/10 – Trained by Richard Fahey
3/10 – Trained by Ann Duffield
2/10 – Ridden by Tony Hamilton

 

3:15 - William Hill Great St Wilfrid Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 6f ITV4

 

16/18 – Previous winners over 6f
14/18 – Didn’t win last time out
14/18 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
13/18 – Carried 8-12 or more
12/18 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
12/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/18 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
10/18  - Had run at Ripon before (3 won)
9/18 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
7/18 – Ran at either Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/18 – Aged 4 years-old
5/18 – Winning favourites (4 in the last 7 years)
3/18 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 9)
3/18 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 7)
1/18 – Aged 3 years-old
Dakota Gold (5/1 fav) won the race in 2019
Gunmetal won the race in 2018
No winner from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
8 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
Only 6 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less
The average winning SP in the last 18 runnings is 11/1

 

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Sat TV Trends: 15th Aug 2020

We’ve got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE ITV action from Newbury and Newmarket this Saturday.

Use these trends to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.

 

NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 Betway Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap (Class 4) (3yo+ 0-85) 1m4f ITV4

10/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
9/10 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
9/10 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Didn’t’ win last time out
8/10 – Drawn in stalls 3 (6) or 5 (2)
8/10 – Placed 5th or better last time out
8/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/10 – Rated between 80 and 85
7/10 – Won just once before
6/10 – Ran at Newmarket (July) before
5/10 – Winning favourites

 

2.40 Betway Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-90) 7f ITV

7/7 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/7 – Won between 1-3 times
7/7 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-7 in weight
5/7 – Had won over 7f before
5/7 – Placed favourites
5/7 – Rated between 79-81
6/7 – Finished in the top two last time out
5/7 – Won last time out
2/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Trained by David Barron

 

3.15 – Betway Grey Horse Handicap (for Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f ITV

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16/17 – Failed to win last time out
15/17 – Had won over 6f before
15/17 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
14/17 – Aged 5 or older
13/17 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
13/17 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
12/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Had 3 or more career wins
11/17 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
3/17 – Trained by Tony Newcombe
1/17 – Winning favourites
My Amigo (5/1) won the race in 2018
Case Key (8/1) won the race in 2017 and 2019

 

 

 

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.50 – Denford Stakes (Registered as The Washington Singer Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

16/18 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Finished in the first three last time out
15/18 – Had won a race before
14/18 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
13/18 – Won by a Feb (7) or March (5) foal
12/18 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
12/18 – Placed favourites
11/18 – Won last time out
10/18 – Horses from stall 3 placed
10/18 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
7/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/18 – Ran at Goodwood (2) or Sandown (2) last time out
4/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
4/18 – Won on their racecourse debut
4/18 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/18 – Trained by John Gosden
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore

 

2.25 - Unibet You're On Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 39% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Jim Crowley has a 21% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3.00 – Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y ITV

18/18 – Had won at least twice in their career
16/18 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
14/18 – Aged 3-5 years-old
13/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/18 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
12/18 – Officially rated 110 or higher
12/18 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
11/18 – Ran at Goodwood (4) or Newmarket (6) last time out
10/18 – Winning favourites
8/18 – Had already won a Group race
7/18 – Had won at Newbury before
Technician (10/1) won the race in 2019

 

3.35 – Unibet Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

16/18 – Didn’t win last time out
16/18 – Had won a Listed (6) or Group (9) race before
15/18 – Had won over this 7f trip before
15/18 – Officially rated 108 or more
15/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/18 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
14/18 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
9/18 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
8/18 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
The last 11 winners were all draw 6 or lower
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
Glorious Journey (10/3) won the race in 2019
Sir Dancealot won the race in 2018
Breton Rock won the race in 2014 and was third in 2015

 

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Doncaster TV Trends: Weds 9th Sept 2020

The ITV cameras head to Doncaster racecourse in the middle of September (9th-14th) for the 4-day St Leger Meeting – they will be covering races on Wednesday, Thursday, Friday and Saturday – with races spread across both ITV and ITV3.

As always - here at GeeGeez - we’ve got it all covered with all the TV race trends and stats – these should help narrow down the fields and also highlight the best profiles of horses that have done well in the races in the past.

Wednesday 9th September 2020

 

1.40 – bet365 Nursery Handicap Cl2 (2yo) 7f ITV3

10/10 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
9/10 – Won between 0-1 times before
8/10 – Carried 9-4 or less
8/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Won over 6f or 7f before
7/10 – Rated between 78-85 (inc)
7/10 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
6/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
6/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/10 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

 

2.10 – bet365 Scarbrough Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (2yo+) 5f ITV3

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18/18 – Had won over 5f or 6f before
16/18 – Didn’t win last time out
16/18  - Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Drawn in stalls 8 or lower
15/18 – Had won over 5f before
13/18 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
13/18 – Winning distance 1 length or less
11/18 – Drawn in stalls 4 to 8 (inc)
10/18 – Had run at Doncaster before
10/18 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
9/18 – Had won 5 or more times before
9/18 – Had 6 or more runs that season
9/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Robert Cowell
3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/18 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/18 – Won by previous winners of the race
2/18 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
The average price of the winner in the last 10 runnings is 5/1
Note: the 2006 renewal was staged at York

 

2.40 – Mondialiste Leger Legends Classified Stakes Cl5 (3yo+ 0-70) 1m ITV3

10/10 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
10/10 – Rated 69 (2) or 70 (8)
9/10 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
9/10 – Won between 1-4 times
8/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/10 – Won over 1m before
6/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Had run at the track before
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

3.15 – bet365 Sceptre Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (3yo+) 7f ITV3

15/17 – Never raced at Doncaster before
13/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
12/17 – Won between 1-3 times before
11/17 – Drawn in stalls 3-7 (inc)
10/17 – Had won over 7f before
9/17 – Came from the top three in the betting
8/17 – Placed favourites
8/17 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
7/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won by the Hills stable
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 - Ridden by Jamie Spener
2/17 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/17 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of last 5 runnings)
2/17 – Irish-trained winners
0/17 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 12/1

 

3.45 – Each Way Extra At bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m2f ITV3

9/10 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Won between 2-4 times before
9/10 – Irish (6) or GB (3) bred
8/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/10 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Rated between 91 and 98
8/10 – Won over 1m2f before
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 5 or lower
7/10 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
6/10 – Ran at Newmarket (2), York (2) or Goodwood (2) last time out
4/10 – Had run at Doncaster before
3/10 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/10 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/10 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/10 – Trained by David Simcock
2/10 – Won last time out
1/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1

 

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2020 Sovereign Stakes Trends

Staged at Salisbury racecourse the Sovereign Stakes is a Group Three race run over 1m, with just over £42,000 on offer to the winner.

First run in 2000 the contest is the highest-classed race run at Salisbury and in recent years trainers Richard Hannon and Andrew Balding are the yards to follow – they’ve won the race three times each since 2001.

We take a look at the key stats ahead of the 2020 renewal – this year run on Sunday 9th August. Did you know 16 of the last 17 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting?

 

Recent Sovereign Stakes Winners

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2019 – KICK ON (9/2)
2018 - PLUMATIC (3/1)
2017 - BALLET CONCERTO (5/2)
2016 – ZONDERLAND (4/1)
2015 – KODI BEAR (11/4 fav)
2014 – CAPTAIN CAT (11/2)
2013 – AFSARE (9/4 fav)
2012 – TULLIUS (11/4)
2011 – SIDE GLANCE (2/1 fav)
2010 – SEA LORD (7/2)
2009 – MAC LOVE (25/1)
2008 – ORDNANCE ROW (5/1)
2007 – PRIDE OF NATION (5/2 fav)
2006 – BELENUS (11/10 fav)
2005 – LAYMAN (9/2)
2004 – NORSE DANCER (3/1)
2003 – PASSING GLANCE (6/1)

Sovereign Stakes Betting Trends

16/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had won over a mile (or further) before
15/17 – Aged 5 or younger
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/17 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
11/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
9/17 – Had won at Listed or Group 3 class before
9/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/17 – Raced at Ascot (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
6/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Had raced at Salisbury before (3 won)
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/17 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 4/1
Richard Hannon has won the race in 2001, 2002 & 2008
Andrew Balding has won the race in 2003, 2011 & 2012

 

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