Epsom Derby Trends

It’s the highlight race on the flat racing calendar as the best middle distance 3 year-olds of the season lock horns in the Epsom Derby. Steeped in history winners of the race will see their stud value rocket as soon as they cross the line.

Did you know that 17 of the last 19 Epsom Derby winners had raced no more than 5 times before?

Here at GeeGeez we take a look at recent winners and highlight the key trends ahead of the 2021 renewal – this year run on Saturday 5th June 2021.

 

Past Epsom Derby Winners

2020 – Serpentine (25/1)
2019 – Anthony Van Dyck (13/2)
2018 – Masar (16/1)
2017 – Wings of Eagles (40/1)
2016 – Harzand (13/2)
2015 – Golden Horn (13/8 fav)
2014 – Australia (11/8 fav)
2013 – Ruler Of The World (7/1)
2012 – Camelot (8/13 fav)
2011 – Pour Moi (4/1)
2010 – Workforce (6/1)
2009 – Sea The Stars (11/4)
2008 – New Approach (5/1)
2007 – Authorized (5/4 fav)
2006 – Sir Percy (6/1)
2005 – Motivator (3/1 fav)
2004 – North Light (7/2 j fav)
2003 – Kris Kin (6/1)
2002 – High Chaparral (7/2)

Epsom Derby Betting Trends

18/19 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
17/19 – Raced no more than 5 times before
17/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/19 – Had won a Group race before
16/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Won last time out
13/19 – Had run over at least 1m2f before
12/19 – Favourites that were placed
12/19 – Won from a single-figure stall
11/19 – Had raced no more than 3 times before
10/19 – Irish-trained winners
8/19 – Had won a Group One before
7/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won 8 in all)
6/19 – Won by the favourite
5/19 – Ran in the 2,000 Guineas that season (2 winners)
4/19 – Won the Dante Stakes (York) last time out
3/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won 5 in all)
4/19 – Winners from stall 12 or higher
2/19 – Won over 1m4f before
0/19 – Run at the course before
0/19 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 15/2
10 Dante winners went onto win the Derby (Golden Horn, 2015 being the most-recent)
Only 1 horse that was beaten in the Dante (Workforce) went onto win the Derby

Epsom Derby Trainer Stats

Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2010, 2004, 2003, 1986 & 1981
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2002, 2001, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2017, 2018 and 2020

 

 

 

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2021 Royal Ascot Trends – Day One (Tues 15th June)

More top action in June as the horse racing bandwagon turns its attention to the 2021 Royal Ascot Meeting. The five-day meeting (Tues 15th-Sat 19th June) is always one of the highlights on the flat racing calendar.

Like all big race days, here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

Did you know? 13 of the last 19 King's Stand Stakes winners finished first or second in their last race

 

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2021 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

Day One – Tuesday 15th June 2021

 

2.30 - Queen Anne Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m ITV

Recent Queen Anne Stakes Winners

2020 – Circus Maximus (4/1 fav)
2019 – Lord Glitters (14/1)
2018 – Accidental Agent (33/1)
2017 – Ribchester (11/10 fav)
2016 – Tepin (11/2)
2015 – Solow (11/8 fav)
2014 – Toronado (4/5 fav)
2013 – Declaration Of War (15/2)
2012 – Frankel (1/10 fav)
2011 – Canford Cliffs (11/8)
2010 – Goldikova (11/8 fav)
2009 – Paco Boy (10/3)
2008 – Haradasun (5/1)
2007 – Ramonti (5/1)
2006 – Ad Valorem (13/2)
2005 – Valixir (4/1)
2004 – Refuse To Bend (12/1)
2003 – Dubai Destination (9/2)
2002 – No Excuse Needed (13/2)

Queen Anne Stakes Trends

18/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/19 – Previous winners over 1 mile
15/19 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
15/19 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Had already won a Group 1 race
13/19 - Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Won by a 4 year-old
11/19 – Trained by either R Hannon (3), A P O’Brien (4) or Godolphin (4)
10/19 – Had never run at Ascot before
9/19 – Favourites that were unplaced
9/19 – Ran in the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury last time out
8/19 – Won their previous race
6/19 – Winning favourites
3/19  - Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Only 2 winners from Stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
10 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 4 or higher

 

3.05 - Coventry Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f ITV

Recent Coventry Stakes Winners

2020 – Nando Parrado (150/1)
2019 – Arizona (15/8 fav)
2018 – Calyx (2/1 fav)
2017 – Rajasinghe (11/1)
2016 – Caravaggio (13/8 fav)
2015 – Buratino (6/1)
2014 – The Wow Signal (5/1 jfav)
2013 – War Command (20/1)
2012 – Dawn Approach (7/2)
2011 – Power (4/1 fav)
2010 – Strong Suit (15/8 fav)
2009 – Canford Cliffs (7/4 fav)
2008 – Art Connoisseur (8/1)
2007 – Henrythenavigator (11/4 fav)
2006 – Hellvelyn (4/1 jfav)
2005 – Red Clubs (11/2)
2004 – Iceman (5/1 jfav)
2003 – Three Valleys (7/1)
2002 – Statue Of Liberty (16/1)

Coventry Stakes Trends

18/19 – Won their previous race
17/19 – Had never raced at Ascot before
16/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Had between 1 and 2 previous career runs
15/19 - Came from the top three in the betting
14/19 - Foaled in either Feb or March
12/19 – Won over 6f before
10/19 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
7/19 – Ran at either Newbury or Newmarket last time out
6/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/19 – Trained by Richard Hannon
1/19 - Won by a Jan foal
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 6 or higher
7 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 9-19 (inc)

 

3.40 - King´s Stand Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 5f ITV

Recent King’s Stand Stakes Winners

2020 – Battaash (5/6 fav)
2019 – Blue Point (5/2)
2018 – Blue Point (6/1)
2017 – Lady Aurelia (7/2)
2016 – Profitable (4/1)
2015 – Goldream (20/1)
2014 – Sole Power (5/1)
2013 – Sole Power (8/1)
2012 - Little Bridge (12/1)
2011 - Prohibit (7/1)
2010 - Equiano (9/2)
2009 - Scenic Blast (11/4 fav)
2008 - Equiano (22/1)
2007 - Miss Andretti (3/1 fav)
2006 - Takeover Target (7/1)
2005 - Chineur (7/1)
2004 - The Tatling (8/1)
2003 – Choisir (25/1)

King’s Stand Stakes Trends

19/19 – Aged 7 or younger
17/19 – Had won a Group race before
16/19 – Aged 4 or older
16/19 – Had won over 5f before
13/19 – Finished first or second last time out
14/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/19 – Had run at Ascot before (8 had won at the track)
11/19 – Favourites placed
10/19 – Won by a non-UK based trained horse
6/19 – Ran at either Flemington (3) or Chantilly (3) last time out
6/19 – Favourites that finished third
3/19 – Won by an Australian-trained horse
3/19 – 3 Year-old winners
4/19 – Winning favourites
A horse from stalls 9, 11 & 14 has been placed in 12 of the last 13 runnings

 

4.20 - St James´s Palace Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m ITV4

Recent St James’s Palace Stakes Winners

2020 – Palace Pier (4/1)
2019 – Circus Maximus (10/1)
2018 – Without Parole (9/4 fav)
2017 – Barney Roy (5/2)
2016 – Galileo Gold (6/1)
2015 – Gleneagles (8/15 fav)
2014 – Kingman (8/11 fav)
2013 – Dawn Approach (5/4 fav)
2012 – Most Improved (9/1)
2011 – Frankel (3/10 fav)
2010 – Canford Cliffs (11/4 jfav)
2009 – Mastercraftsman (5/6 fav)
2008 – Henrythenavigator (4/7 fav)
2007 – Excellent Art (8/1)
2006 – Araafa (2/1 fav)
2005 – Shamardal (7/4 fav)
2004 – Azamour (9/2)
2003 - Zafeen (8/1)
2002 – Rock Of Gibraltar (4/5 fav)

St James’s Palace Stakes Trends

19/19 - Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
16/19 – Favourites that were placed
16/19 – Had won over a mile before
14/19– Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
12/19 – Previous Group 1 winners
12/19 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
11/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
11/19 – Won their previous race
9/19 – Ran in the Irish 2000 Guineas (Curragh) last time out (7 won it)
6/19 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/19 – Had run at Ascot before
Just 2 winners from stall 1 or 2 in the last 13 runnings
6 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 4 or 5

 

5.00 - Ascot Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-95) 2m4f ITV4

Ascot Stakes Recent Winners

2020 – Coeur De Lion (16/1)
2019 – The Grand Visir (12/1)
2018 – Lagostovegas (10/1)
2017 – Thomas Hobson (4/1 fav)
2016 – Jennies Jewel (6/1)
2015 – Clondaw Warrior (5/1 fav)
2014 – Domination (12/1)
2013 – Well Sharp (9/1)
2012 – Simenon (8/1)
2011 – Veiled (11/2)
2010 – Junior (17/2)
2009 – Judgethemoment (13/2)
2008 – Missoula (20/1)
2007 – Full House (20/1)
2006 – Baddam (33/1)
2005 – Leg Spinner (9/1)
2004 – Double Obsession (25/1)
2003 – Sindapour (12/1)
2002 – Riyadh (7/1 fav)

Ascot Stakes Trends

16/19 – Carried 9-0 or more
15/19 – Won by a stable better known for their NH runners
14/19 – Had at least 1 previous run on the flat that season
13/19 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
11/19 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
10/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/19 – Won their previous race
4/19 – Trained by Willie Mullins
3/19 – Trained by the Pipe stable
3/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/19 – Winning favourites
7 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall
Just one winner (or placed) horse from stall 1 placed in the last 13 runnings

 

5.35 - Wolferton Rated Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+ 0-110) 1m2f ITV4

Wolferton Rated Stakes Recent Winners

2020 – Mountain Angel (8/1)
2019 – Addeybb (5/1)
2018 – Monarchs Glen (8/1)
2017 – Snoano (25/1)
2016 – Sir Isaac Newton (7/1)
2015 – Mahsoob (7/4 fav)
2014 – Contributer (9/1)
2013 – Forgotten Voice (12/1)
2012 – Gatewood (3/1 fav)
2011 – Beachfire (12/1)
2010 – Rainbow Peak (13/8 fav)
2009 – Perfect Stride (8/1)
2008 – Supaseus (12/1)
2007 – Championship Point (25/1)
2006 – I’m So Lucky (16/1)
2005 – Imperial Stride (25/1)
2004 – Red Fort (6/1)
2003 – In Time’s Eye (5/1)

 

Wolferton Rated Stakes Key Trends

14/18 – Had between 1 and 3 runs already that season
13/18 – Had won 3 or more races during their career
13/18 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/18 – Aged 4 years-old
12/18 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
11/18 – Unplaced favourites
10/18 – Had run at Ascot before
8/18 – Returned a double-figure price
7/18 – Ran at either York (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
4/18 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of last 10)
3/18 – Trained at Kremlin House Stables (Roger Varian/M Jarvis)
2/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/18 – Winning favourites
11 of the last 15 winners returned 7/1 or bigger

 

6.10 - Copper Horse Handicap (4yo+) 1m6f ITV4

Just the one previous running
Trainer Roger Varian won this race in 2020
Jockey Andrea Atzeni won this race in 2020

 

 

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2021 Royal Ascot Trends: Day Two (Weds 16th June 2021)

The feature contest on DAY TWO at Royal Ascot is the Group One Prince of Wales’s Stakes at 4.20.

Did you know? 18 of the last 19 Prince Of Wales’s Stakes winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old, while 13 of the last 19 successful horses in the race were previous Group One winners.

Like all big race days here at GEEGEEZ we’ve got it all covered with key trends and stats– use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

2021 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2.30 - Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) 5f ITV

Queen Mary Recent Winners

2020 – Campanelle (9/2)
2019 – Raffle Prize (18/1)
2018 – Signora Cabello (25/1)
2017 – Heartache (5/1)
2016 – Lady Aurelia (2/1 fav)
2015 – Acapulco (5/2 fav)
2014 – Anthem Alexander (9/4 fav)
2013 – Rizeena (6/1)
2012 – Ceiling Kitty (20/1)
2011 – Best Terms (12/1)
2010 – Maqaasid (9/4 fav)
2009 – Jealous Again (13/2)
2008 – Langs Lash (25/1)
2007 – Elletelle (20/1)
2006 – Gilded (11/2)
2005 – Flashy Wings (4/1 jfav)
2004 – Damson (11/2 jfav)
2003 – Attraction (13/8 fav)
2002 – Romantic Liason (16/1)

Queen Mary Stakes Trends

18/19 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
18/19 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
16/19 – Had won over 5f (or shorter) before
16/19 – Won their previous race
15/19 – Won by a horse foaled between Jan-Mar
13/19 – Placed favourites
7/19 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
7/19 – Returned a double-figure price
4/19 – Trained by Wesley Ward (including 3 of last 6 runnings)
3/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (3 of the last 5)
2/19 – Won by trainer Richard Hannon

 

3.05 - Queen´s Vase (Listed) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 2m ITV

Queen´s Vase Recent Winners

2020 – Santiago (10/3)
2019 – Dashing Willoughby (6/1)
2018 – Kew Gardens (10/3)
2017 – Stradivarius (11/2)
2016 – Sword Fighter (33/1)
2015 – Aloft (5/2 fav)
2014 – Hartnell (7/2)
2013 – Leading Light (5/4 fav)
2012 – Estimate (3/1 fav)
2011 – Namibian (7/2 fav)
2010 – Mikhail Glinka (2/1 fav)
2009 – Holberg (7/1)
2008 – Patkai (6/4 fav)
2007 – Mahler (7/1)
2006 – Soapy Danger (4/1)
2005 – Melrose Avenue (4/1)
2004 – Duke Of Venice (9/2)
2003 – Shanty Star (7/2 fav)

Queen´s Vase Key Trends

16/18 – Had never raced at Ascot before
12/18 – Had at least 2 previous career wins
12/18 – Placed last time out
11/18 – Had run over at least 1m4f before
9/18 – Placed favourites
7/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
6/18 – Ran at either Lingfield or Haydock last time out
6/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 - Trained by Mark Johnston
5/18 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 - Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 4 times in all)
2/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
No winner from stall 1 in the last 15 years
The horse from stall 7 has been placed in 6 of the last 14 runnings (4 wins)
14 of the last 15 winners came from a single-figure stall
6 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 7 or 8

 

3.40 - The Duke of Cambridge Stakes (Windsor Forest) (Group 2) 1m ITV

Duke of Cambridge Recent Winners

2020 – Nazeef (10/3)
2019 – Move Swiftly (9/1)
2018 – Aljazzi (9/2)
2017 – Qemah (5/2 fav)
2016 – Usherette (9/4 fav)
2015 – Amazing Maria (25/1)
2014 – Integral (9/4 fav)
2013 – Duntle (10/3)
2012 – Joviality (11/1)
2011 – Lolly For Dolly (11/1)
2010 – Strawberrydaiquiri (9/2)
2009 – Spacious (10/1)
2008 – Sabana Perdida (4/1)
2007 – Nannina (3/1 co-fav)
2006 – Soviet Song (11/8 fav)
2005 – Peeress (14/1)
2004 – Favourable Terms (13/2)

Duke of Cambridge Trends

16/17 – Had won over a mile (or further) before
15/17 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
15/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Won by a 4 year-old
14/17 – Had won a Group 3 or better race before
11/17 – Had run at Ascot before
10/17 – Favourites that were placed
7/17 – Had won at Ascot before
5/17 – Returned a double-figure price
5/17 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/17 – Ran at Epsom last time out
4/17 – Owned by Cheveley Park Stud
3/17 – Trained by John Gosden
2/17 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/17 – Winners from stall 1
Only four placed horses (2 winners) from stall 1 in the last 17 runnings

 

4.20 - Prince of Wales´s Stakes (Group 1) 1m2f ITV

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Recent Winners

2020 – Lord North (5/1)
2019 – Crystal Ocean (3/1)
2018 – Poet’s Word (11/2)
2017 – Highland Reel (9/4)
2016 – My Dream Boat (16/1)
2015 – Free Eagle (5/2 fav)
2014 – The Fugue (11/2)
2013 – Al Kazeem (11/4)
2012 – So You Think (4/5 fav)
2011 – Rewilding (17/2)
2010 – Byword (5/2 fav)
2009 – Vision D’etat (4/1)
2008 – Duke of Marmalade (Evs fav)
2007 – Manduro (15/8 fav)
2006 – Ouija Board (8/1)
2005 – Azamour (11/8 fav)
2004 – Rakti (3/1)
2003 – Nayef (5/1)
2002 -  Grandera (4/1)


Prince of Wales´s Stakes Trends

19/19 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
18/19 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
18/19 – Won by a 4 or 5 year-old
16/19 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
16/19 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/19 – Were previous Group 1 winners
12/19 – Placed favourites
11/19 – Won their last race
11/19 – Had run at Ascot before
9/19 – Won by a non-UK based trainer
6/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/19 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3 of the last 13 runnings have gone to a French-trained horse

5.00 - Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) 1m ITV

Royal Hunt Cup Recent Winners

2020 – Dark Vision (15/2)
2019 – Afaak (20/1)
2018 – Settle For Bay (16/1)
2017 – Zhui Feng (25/1)
2016 – Portage (10/1)
2015 – GM Hopkins (8/1)
2014 – Field of Dream (20/1)
2013 – Belgian Bill (33/1)
2012 – Prince Of Johanne (16/1)
2011 – Julienas (12/1)
2010 – Invisible Man (28/1)
2009 – Forgotten Voice (4/1 fav)
2008 – Mr Aviator (25/1)
2007 – Royal Oath (9/1)
2006 – Cesare (14/1)
2005 – New Seeker (11/1)
2004 – Mine (16/1)
2003 – Macadamia (8/1)
2002 – Norton (25/1)

Royal Hunt Cup Trends

17/19 – Had won over at least a mile before
16/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/19 – Unplaced favourites
14/19 – Returned a double-figure price
14/19 – Carried 9-1 or less
12/19 – Had run at Ascot before
11/19 – Won by a 4 year-old (inc 9 of the last 12 runnings)
10/19 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs that season
5/19 – Won their last race
2/19 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/19 – Won by trainer John Gosden
1/19 – Winning favourites
Overall, high number stalls have dominated in recent years
13 of the last 15 winners came from a double-figure stall
We’ve seen 3 winners from stall 33 in the last 12 runnings

 

5.35 - Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f ITV

Windsor Castle Recent Winners

2020 – Tactical (7/2 fav)
2019 – Southern Hills (7/1)
2018 – Soldier’s Call (12/1)
2017 – Sound And Silence (16/1)
2016 – Ardad (20/1)
2015 – Washington DC (5/1)
2014 – Hootenanny (7/2 fav)
2013 – Extortionist (16/1)
2012 – Hototo (14/1)
2011 – Frederick Engels (9/4 fav)
2010 – Marine Commando (9/2)
2009 – Strike The Tiger (33/1)
2008 – Flashmans Papers (100/1)
2007 – Drawnfromthepast (9/1)
2006 – Elhamri (20/1)
2005 – Titus Alone (11/4)
2004 – Chateau Istana (12/1)
2003 – Holborn (5/2 fav)
2002 – Revenue (14/1)

Windsor Castle Trends

19/19 – Had at least 1 previous outing
18/19 – Won by a foal born April or earlier
17/19 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs
14/19 – Had won over 5f before
14/19 – Placed last time out
14/19 – Had never run at Ascot before
10/19 – Returned a double-figure price (inc a 100/1 winner)
10/19 – Unplaced favourites
9/19 – Won their previous race
9/19 – Won by a Feb foal
4/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Wesley Ward
2/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 6)
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings
10 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

6.10 – Kensington Palace Stakes (Handicap) (4yo+) fillies and mares 1m ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a 16% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Walker is just 1-from-34 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett is just 2-from-33 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Mick Channon is just 1-from-31 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Frankie Dettori has a 25% record when riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 29th May 2021

Another busy Saturday of horse racing ahead with the LIVE ITV action this week coming from Chester, Beverley and Haydock. As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends and stats angle – use these to help narrow down the field and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Chester Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.40 – tote+ Pays You More At tote.co.uk Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 7 ½ f ITV

Only 5 previous runnings
5/5 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
5/5 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
5/5 – Won over at least 7 1/2f before
5/5 – Rated between 90-99
5/5 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
4/5 – Aged 5 or older
4/5 – Didn’t win last time out
4/5 – Ran at York (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
4/5 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
3/5 – Won 6+ times
3/5 – Placed favourites
3/5 – Had won at the track before
3/5 – Aged 7 or 8
3/5 – Drawn between stalls 5-7 (inc)
1/5 – Winning favourite
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 11/2

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.45 - Betway Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-95) 6f ITV

Only three previous runnings
3/3 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
3/3 – Drawn in double-figures
3/3 – Carried between 8-10 and 9-4 in weight
3/3 – Drawn between stalls 10-16 (inc)
2/3 – Aged 4 years-old
2/3 – Trained by David O’Meara
0/3 – Winning favourites
Trainer Ed Walker has a 28% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett has a 28% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Michael Dods has a 24% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Keith Dalgleish is just 1-from-26 (4%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 4-from-83 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Karl Burke is just 2-from-39 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Varian is just 1-from-19 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

2.20 - Betway Achilles Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 5f ITV

12/12 – Returned 14/1 or shorter
11/12 – Aged 5 or older
11/12 – Didn’t win last time out
11/12 – Had won over 5f before
9/12 – Drawn between stalls 2-7 (inc)
9/12 – Had run at the course before
9/12 – Had raced in the last 10 weeks
9/12 – Won between 6-8 times before
9/12 – Had finished in the top 5 last time out
8/12 – Winning distance 1 length or less
7/12 – Unplaced favourites
5/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by William Haggas
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1

Note: The 2020 running was staged at Doncaster

 

 

2.55 - Betway Pinnacle Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m3f ITV

17/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
16/18 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/18 – Rated 92 or higher
14/18 – Placed favourites
14/18 – Aged 4 years-old
13/18 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
6/18 – Had run at Haydock before
5/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Won last time out
2/18 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/18 – Trained by John Gosden
2/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

 

 

3.30 - Betway John Of Gaunt Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

16/17 – Rated 107 or higher
16/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
15/17 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
14/17 – Came from the top three in the betting
14/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had won over 7f before
12/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/17 – Drawn in stall 3 or lower
11/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
10/17 – Favourites placed
5/17 – Had run at the track before
5/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 - Aged 9 years-old
Safe Voyage (5/4 fav) won this race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

 

Beverley Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

2.00 - Hilary Needler Trophy Fillies’ Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

13/15 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/15 – Had won over 5f before
12/15 – Had won just once before
11/15 – Irish bred
11/15 – Had raced in the last 2 weeks
11/15 – Had raced between 1-2 times before
9/15 – Won last time out
8/15 – Placed favourites
5/15 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/15 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/15 – Raced at York last out
3/15 – Winning favourites
2/15 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/15– Ridden by Jamie Spencer
1/15 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 11/2
The last 10 winners drawn 9 or lower
8 or the last 10 winners were foaled in Feb or March
8 of last 11 winners have been drawn in stalls 6-9 (inc)

 

3.10 – bet365 Continental Two Year Old Trophy Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) (Colts & Geldings Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

11/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – Feb, March or April bred
11/11 – Drawn in 6 or lower
9/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/11 – Won over 5f before
8/11 – Won at least once before
7/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 – Had raced twice or more
6/11 – Irish bred
6/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Drawn in stall 1
3/11 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/11 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The Richard Hannon yard have a 43% record with their 2 year-olds at the track
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

Brigadier Gerard Stakes Trends

Run over 1m2f the Group Three Matchbook Brigadier Gerard Stakes is staged at Sandown racecourse each year towards the end of May.

In recent years, the valuable prize has been dominated by the 4 year-olds, with 13 of the last 18 going to that age bracket, while we’ve seen five winning favourites in the last 18 renewals and jockey Ryan Moore has ridden FOUR of the last five winners and six of the last ten!

Here at GeeGeez, we are on-hand to look back at past winners, plus have all the stats ahead of the 2021 race – this year run on Thursday 27th May.

Recent Brigadier Gerard Stakes Winners

2020 – LORD NORTH (3/1)
2019 – REGAL REALITY (9/4)
2018 – POET’S WORD (4/6 fav)
2017 – AUTOCRATIC (8/1)
2016 – TIME TEST (3/1)
2015 – WESTERN HYMN (11/4)
2014 – SHARESTAN (5/6 fav)
2013 – MUKHADRAM (3/1)
2012 – CARLTON HOUSE (10/11 fav)
2011 – WORKFORCE (Evs fav)
2010 – STOTSFOLD (7/1)
2009 – CIMA DE TRIOMPHE (4/1)
2008 – SMOKEY OAKEY (20/1)
2007 – TAKE A BOW (11/1)
2006 – NOTNOWCATO (5/4 fav)
2005 – NEW MORNING (12/1)
2004 – BANDARI (7/2)
2003 – SIGHTS ON GOLD (7/1)

Key Brigadier Gerard Stakes Betting Trends

18/18 – Had won at least twice before
16/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
14/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
14/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Had won a Group or Listed race before
14/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/18 – Had won between 2-4 times before
13/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/18 – Aged 4 years-old
13/18 – Rated 111 or higher
10/18 – Had won a Group Race before
10/18 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
8/18 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
8/18 – Irish bred
6/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
6/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (6 of last 10)
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
2/18 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
2/18 – Trained by John Gosden (2 of the last 6)
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 5/1

Note: The 2020 running was staged at Haydock Park.

 

Irish 2000 Guineas Trends

Staged at The Curragh racecourse the Irish 2,000 Guineas is a Group One class race for 3 year-olds only. Run over 1m the contest normally takes place each year in May and was first run in 1921.

Horses that contested the English 2,000 Guineas often go onto run in this race, while winners of the Irish 2,000 Guineas tend to take in the St James’s Palace Stakes, at Royal Ascot.

Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won four of the last nine runnings, while in total, O’Brien has won the race a staggering 11 times.

We take a look back at past winners, plus have all the key trends ahead of the 2021 Irish 2,000 Guineas – this year run on Saturday 22nd May 2021 – did you know that 17 of the last 19 winners had raced in the last 3 weeks, while 14 of the last 19 ran at Newmarket last time out?

Recent Irish 2,000 Guineas Winners

2020 – SISKIN (2/1 fav)
2019 – PHOENIX OF SPAIN (16/1)
2018 – ROMANISED (25/1)
2017 – CHURCHILL (4/9 fav)
2016 – AWTAAD (9/2)
2015 – GLENEAGLES (2/5 fav)
2014 – KINGMAN (4/5 fav)
2013 – MAGICIAN (10/3)
2012 – POWER (5/1)
2011 – RODERIC O’CONNOR (7/2)
2010 – CANFORD CLIFFS (9/4 fav)
2009 – MASTERCRAFTSMAN (6/4 fav)
2008 – HENRYTHENAVIGATOR (5/4)
2007 – COCKNEY REBEL (6/4 fav)
2006 – ARAAFA (12/1)
2005 – DUBAWI (7/4 jfav)
2004 – BACHELOR (12/1)
2003 – INDIAN HAVEN (8/1)
2002 – ROCK OF GIBRALTAR (4/7 fav)

 

Irish Guineas Betting Trends and Stats

17/19 – Had run within the last 3 weeks
15/19 – Had won over either 7f or 1m before
15/19 – Favourites that finished in the top two
15/19 – Had won between 1-4 times before
14/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
14/19 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
13/19 – Irish bred
13/19 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
12/19 – Had run at the Curragh before
11/19 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
10/19 – Had won a Group 1 race before
9/19 – Winning favourites
8/19 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (11 wins in total)
8/19 – Unplaced last time out
8/19 – Trained by a UK-based stable
8/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Won the 2,000 Guineas (Newmarket) that season
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 11/2
Rock of Gibraltar (2002), Cockney Rebel (2007), Henrythenavigator (2008), Gleneagles (2015) & Churchill (2017) all did the English/Irish 2,000 Guineas double

 

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 22nd May 2021

More LIVE ITV4 horse racing this Saturday as the cameras take in nine races across three venues – Haydock, York and Goodwood – with the feature contest the Group Two Temple Stakes at Haydock Park.

As always, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered from a trends angle – use these to narrow down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)

1.40 – MansionBet Watch And Bet Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m6f ITV4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Carried 8-12 or more
7/7 – Drawn between 3-9 (inc)
7/7 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
7/7 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
7/7 – Aged between 4-7 years-old
6/7 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/7 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
6/7 – Won between 2-4 times before
5/7 – Rated between 95-102
5/7 – Carried between 9-1 and 94 in weight
4/7 – Aged 5 years-old
4/7 – Irish bred
4/7 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/7 – Had run at the course before (2 won)
3/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Trained by Amanda Perrett
2/7 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/7 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 13/2

2.10 – MansionBet Beaten By A Head Festival Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f ITV4

15/16 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
12/16 – Had won at least 3 times before
11/16 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/16 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/16 – Had run at Goodwood before
9/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/16 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
8/16 – Finished in the top two last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16– Ridden by Tom Queally
2/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Trained by Chris Wall
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

 

York Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)


2.40 – Williamhill.com Bronte Cup Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3) (4yo+) Cl1 1m6f ITV4

Just 2 previous runnings
Trainers John Gosden and William Haggas have won the race in the past
Trainer Roger Varian is just 3 from 48 (6%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

3.50 – William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Cl2 5f ITV4

Only 6 previous runnings
5/6 – Raced in the last 2 weeks
5/6 – Winning distance ½ length or less
4/6 – Drawn in stalls 5-9 (inc)
4/6 – Didn’t win last time out
3/6 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
3/6 – Returned between 5/1 and 9/1 in the betting
2/6 – Aged 4 years-old
1/6 – Winning favourites
Duke Of Firenze won this race in 2019
Copper Knight won the race in 2017
Trainer William Haggas has a 20% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Roger Fell is just 4 from 82 (5%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Paul Midgley is just 3 from 74 (4%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan is just 4 from 98 (4%) with his older horses at the track

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV4/RacingTV)


1.55 – Casumo Horse Racing And Sports Betting Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 7f ITV4

No previous runnings
Trainer William Haggas has a 26% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Walker has a 26% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Fahey is just 4 from 81 (5%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Karl Burke is just 2 from 36 (6%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track

2.25 – Download The Casumo App Today Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100) 2m ITV4

Just 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Winners aged 4 or 5
6/6 – Didn’t win last time out
6/6 – Came from stalls 2-8 (inc)
6/6 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
5/6 – Unplaced favourites
5/6 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
5/6 – Winners carried 8-13 or more
5/6 – Rated between 90-98
4/6 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
2/6 – Trained by Mark Johnston
0/6 – Winning favourites
Lucky Deal won this race in 2019
Trainers William Haggas, Mark Johnston (2), Tim Easterby, Brian Ellison and Lucy Wadham were previous winners of the race


3.00 – Join Casumo Today Bowl Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV4

17/17 – Had won between 1-3 times before
16/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
15/17 – Had won over 7f or 1m before
15/17 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/17 – Placed last time out
13/17 – Carried 9-1 or less
11/17 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
10/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
6/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston (2 of last 7)
David Probert has ridden 2 of the last 10 winners.
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2


3.35 – Casumo Bet10Get10 Sandy Lane Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo) 6f ITV4

15/15 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/15 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
14/15 – Had won over 6f before
13/15 – Had won between 1-3 times before
13/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – From stall 5 or higher
8/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Came from stall 8 or 9
3/15 – Raced at Newbury last time out
2/15 – Raced at York last time
2/15 – Trained by William Haggas
2/15 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2
Trainer William Haggas won the race in 2009 and 2015


4.10 – Casumo Best Odds Guaranteed Temple Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 5f ITV4

17/18 – Trained in the UK
16/18 – Had won over 5f before
15/18 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
12/18 – Raced within the last 2 months
11/18 – Placed third or better last time out
11/18 – Favourites that were placed
11/18 – Had won a Group race before
9/18 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Won their latest race
2/18 – Owned by Qatar Racing (2 of last 6 runnings)
2/18 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 4 runnings)
2/18 – Trained by Charles Hills (last 2 runnings)
2/18 – Trained by Henry Candy
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 – Ridden by Adam Kirby (2 of last 4 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 6/1
7 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower

 

 

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Temple Stakes Trends

All eyes will be on the sprinters as Haydock Park stages the Temple Stakes in May. A Group Two contest run over 5f, it’s a race that often attracts the some of the best speedsters around.

We take a look back at recent winners and highlights the key trends to take into the 2021 renewal – this year run on Saturday 22nd May 2021 – did you know that 15 of the last 18 successful horses were aged 5 or younger.

Recent Temple Stakes Winners

2020 – No Race
2019 – BATTAASH (5/6 fav)
2018 – BATTAASH (10/11 fav)
2017 – PRICELESS (11/2)
2016 – PROFITABLE (8/1)
2015 – PEARL SECRET (10/1)
2014 – HOT STREAK (9/4 fav)
2013 – KINGSGATE NATIVE (14/1)
2012 – BATED BREATH (2/1 fav)
2011 – SOLE POWER (8/1)
2010 – KINGSGATE NATIVE (3/1 jfav)
2009 – LOOK BUSY (15/2)
2008 – FLEETING SPIRIT (7/2)
2007 – SIERRA VISTA (5/1)
2006 – REVERENCE (9/4 fav)
2005 – CELTIC MILL (16/1)

 

Temple Stakes Betting Trends

17/18 – Trained in the UK
16/18 – Had won over 5f before
15/18 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
12/18 – Raced within the last 2 months
11/18 – Placed third or better last time out
11/18 – Favourites that were placed
11/18 – Had won a Group race before
9/18 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
7/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Won their latest race
2/18 – Owned by Qatar Racing (2 of last 6 runnings)
2/18 – Trained by Clive Cox (2 of last 4 runnings)
2/18 – Trained by Charles Hills (last 2 runnings)
2/18 – Trained by Henry Candy
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 – Ridden by Adam Kirby (2 of last 4 runnings)
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 6/1
7 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 6 or lower

 

 

 

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2021 Royal Ascot Trends – Day Three (Thurs 17th June)

We look ahead to DAY THREE at  ROYAL ASCOT and we've seven more top-notch races to take in, but day three has always only ever been about one race - the Ascot Gold Cup! Trainer Aidan O'Brien will be going for his 8th win in the contest.

Did you know - 15 of the last 19 Ascot Gold Cup favourites finished in the top three?

Like all big race days, here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 ======================================================  

 

2021 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

Thursday 17th June 2021

 

2.30 - Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f ITV4

Norfolk Stakes Recent Winners

2020 – The Lir Jet (9/2)
2019 – A’Ali (5/1)
2018 – Shang Shang Shang (5/1)
2017 – Sioux Nation (14/1)
2016 – Prince Of Lir (8/1)
2015 – Waterloo Bridge (12/1)
2014 – Baitha Alga (8/1)
2013 – No Nay Never (4/1)
2012 – Reckless Abandon (4/1)
2011 – Bapak Chinta (6/1)
2010 – Approve (16/1)
2009 – Radiohead (10/1)
2008 – South Central (11/4 fav)
2007 – Winker Watson (2/1 fav)
2006 – Dutch Art (11/4)
2005 – Masta Plasta (7/2)
2004 – Blue Dakota (5/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Valour (4/1)

Norfolk Stakes Key Trends


18/18 – Had at least 1 previous run
17/18 – Previous winners over 5f
16/18 – Had a RPR of 106+
16/18 – Had never raced at Ascot before
15/18 – Won their previous race
14/18 – Foaled in March or April
11/18 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/18 – Favourites placed
5/18 – Returned a double-figure price
3/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Ran at Windsor last time out
2/18 – Trained by Wesley Ward
2/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (4 wins in total)
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Aidan O’Brien has trained 2 of the last 6 winners
10 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 7-12 (inc)

 

3.05 - Hampton Court Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m2f ITV4

Hampton Court Stakes Recent Winners

2020 – Russian Emperor (10/3)
2019 – Sangarius (13/2)
2018 – Hunting Horn (5/1)
2017 – Benbatl (9/2)
2016 – Hawkbill (11/2)
2015 – Time Test (15/8 fav)
2014 – Cannock Chase (7/4 fav)
2013 – Remote (9/4 fav)
2012 – Energizer (15/2)
2011 – Pisco Sour (20/1)
2010 – Afsare (9/4 fav)
2009 – Glass Harmonium (8/1)
2008 – Collection (13/2)
2007 – Zaham (7/2 fav)
2006 – Snoqualmie Boy (33/1)
2005 – Indigo Cat (3/1 fav)
2004 – Moscow Ballet (8/1)
2003 – Persian Majesty (8/1)

Hampton Court Stakes Key Trends

17/18 – Had not raced at Ascot before
15/18 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
15/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/18 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
10/18 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/18 – Unplaced favourites
6/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 - Ran at Epsom last time out
4/18 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
4/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/18 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
No winner from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
13 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
10 of the last 15 winners came from stall 5-9 (inc)

 

3.40 - Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £77,092 1m4f ITV4

Ribblesdale Stakes Recent Winners

2020 – Frankly Darling (11/8 fav)
2019 – Star Catcher (4/1)
2018 – Magic Wand (10/3)
2017 – Coronet (9/1)
2016 – Even Song (15/8 fav)
2015 – Curvy (9/2)
2014 – Bracelet (10/1)
2013 – Riposte (9/2)
2012 – Princess Highway (17/2)
2011 – Banimpire (3/1 fav)
2010 – Hibaayeb (4/1 jfav)
2009 – Flying Cloud (5/1)
2008 – Michita (10/3 fav)
2007 – Silkwood (4/1)
2006 – Mont Etoile (25/1)
2005 – Thakafaat (22/1)
2004 – Punctilious (9/2)
2003 – Spanish Sun (9/2)

Ribblesdale Stakes Key Trends

15/18 – Had at least 2 previous races that season
15/18 – Had never raced at Ascot before
14/18 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
14/18 – Placed in their previous race
13/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
7/18 – Won their last race
6/18 – Irish-trained winners (5 of last 9)
5/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/18 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 7)
3/18 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just two winners from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
8 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 3-6 (inc)

 

4.15 - Ascot Gold Cup (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

Recent Ascot Gold Cup Winners

2020 – Stradivarius (4/5 fav)
2019 – Stradivarius (Evs fav)
2018 – Stradivarius (7/4 jfav)
2017 – Big Orange (5/1)
2016 – Order Of St George (10/11 fav)
2015 – Trip To Paris (12/1)
2014 – Leading Light (10/11 fav)
2013 – Estimate (7/2 fav)
2012 – Colour Vision (6/1)
2011 – Fame And Glory (11/8 fav)
2010 – Rite of Passage (20/1)
2009 – Yeats (6/4 fav)
2008 – Yeats (11/8 fav)
2007 – Yeats (8/13 fav)
2006 – Yeats (7/1)
2005 – Westerner (7/4 fav)
2004 – Papineau (5/1)
2003 – Mr Dinos (3/1)
2002 – Royal Rebel (16/1)

Key Ascot Gold Cup Trends

17/19 – Had no more than 2 previous runs that season
16/19 – Had won over at least 2 miles on the flat before
16/19 – Had between 1-2 previous runs that season
15/19 – Favourites that were placed
14/19 – Won their last race
13/19 – Previous Group 1 winners
11/19 – Aged 5 or older
11/19 – Won by the favourite
7/19 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/19 – Ran at Sandown last time out (Henry II Stakes)
13 of the last 15 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10 of the last 15 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
8 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
Godolphin won the race in 1996, 1998, 2004 & 2012
Aidan O’Brien has trained the winner in 2016, 2014, 2011, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006
John Gosden has trained the winner in 2018, 2019 and 2020
Since 1949 there have been 15 multiple winners of the race

 

5.00 - Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m ITV4

Britannia Stakes Recent Winners

2020 – Khaloosy (9/2)
2019 – Biometric (28/1)
2018 – Ostillo (10/1)
2017 – Bless Him (25/1)
2016 – Defrocked (13/2)
2015 – War Envoy (10/1)
2014 – Born In China (14/1)
2013 – Beauty Flame (20/1)
2012 – Fast Or Free (6/1 fav)
2011 – Sagramor (8/1)
2010 – Ransom Note (9/1)
2009 – Fareer (20/1)
2008 – Fifteen Love (28/1)
2007 – Eddie Jock (33/1)
2006 – Sir Gerard (9/2 fav)
2005 – Mostashaar (10/3 fav)
2004 – Mandobi (8/1)
2003 – New Seeker (16/1)

Britannia Stakes Key Trends

16/18 – Had no more than 3 previous runs that season
15/18 – Had won a race over 7f or 1m before
14/18 – Placed last time out
13/18 – Failed to win their previous race
13/18 – Carried 8-13 or less
13/18 – Had never run at Ascot before
11/18 – Returned a double-figure price
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
8/18 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
7/18 – Had only won over 7f previously
4/18 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/18 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just one top three finish horse from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
11 of the last 15 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

5.35 - King George V Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m4f ITV4

King George V Stakes Recent Winners

2020 – Hukum (12/1)
2019 – South Pacific (22/1)
2018 – Baghdad (9/1)
2017 – Atty Persse (7/1)
2016 - Primitivo (13/2)
2015 – Space Age (9/1)
2014 – Elite Army (4/1 jfav)
2013 – Elidor (20/1)
2012 – Fennell Bay (12/1)
2011 – Brown Panther (4/1 jfav)
2010 – Dandino (7/1)
2009 – Cosmic Sun (66/1)
2008 – Colony (11/2 fav)
2007 – Heron Bay (20/1)
2006 – Linas Selection (9/2)
2005 – Munsef (14/1)
2004 – Admiral (9/1)
2003 – Fantastic Love (10/1)

 

King George V Stakes Key Trends

17/18 – Had at least 2 previous runs that same season
17/18 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
17/18 – Never raced at Ascot before
17/18 – Placed last time out
15/18 – Carried 8-13 or less
11/18 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
12/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f previously
9/18 – Favourites placed
9/18 – Won their previous race
6/18 – Won by trainers Sir Michael Stoute (2) or Mark Johnston (4)
4/18 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/18 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/18 – Godolphin-owned
10 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 10-20 (inc)
8 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 10-16 (inc)

 

6.10 - Buckingham Palace Handicap (3yo+) 7f ITV4

6/6 – Returned 12/1 or bigger in the betting
6/6 – Had run at Ascot before
6/6 – Had won over at least 6f before
6/6 – Unplaced favourites
5/6 – Had 5+ wins before
5/6 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
5/6 – Rated between 93-98
5/6 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
5/6 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
4/6 – Bred in Ireland
4/6 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
2/6 – Came from stall 29
2/6 – Ran at Ascot last time out
0/6 – Winning favourites
Motakhayyel (14/1) won the race in 2020

 

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Sat TV Trends: 15th May 2021

After a week at York, the ITV cameras head to Newbury this Saturday to cover four races including the Lockinge Stakes, while they are also showing three contests from Newmarket – As always, here at GEEGEEZ we've got all the big race trends and tips……

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.50 – BetVictor Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f8y ITV

14/16 – Had between 1-3 previous wins
14/16 – Had won over 6f before
13/16 – Drawn in stall 5 or lower
12/16 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
11/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
11/16 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Drawn in stall 3
3/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

Note: The 2020 running was staged at Windsor

 

2.25 - Al Rayyan Stakes (Registered As The Aston Park) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f5y ITV

16/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/17 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
13/17 – Drawn 4 or lower
12/17 – Had run at Newbury before
12/17 – Placed favourites
12/17 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
11/17 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
10/17 – Irish bred
9/17 – Had won between 1-3 times before
8/17 – Aged 4 years-old
6/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/17 – Won last time out
3 of the last 12 winners were Godolphin-owned
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2

 

3.00 - BetVictor London Gold Cup (Open Handicap) Cl2 1m2f6y ITV

16/17 – Had won between 1-2 times before
14/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/17 – Carried 8-10 or more
13/17 – Rated 90 or lower
13/17 – Winners from stall 8 or lower
13/17 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/17 – Irish bred
6/17 – Raced at Newbury before (2 won here)
4/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Trained by Roger Charlton
3/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

 

3.35 - Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m ITV

17/17 – Won over a mile before
14/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/17 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
13/17 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had won a Group One race before
12/17 – Aged 4 years-old
12/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/17 – Winning favourites
10/17 – Having their first run of the season
10/17 – Unplaced last time out
5/17 – Godolphin owned
4/17 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/17 – Won by a mare
4/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/17 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
3/17 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (has won the race 8 times in all)
1/17 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 10/3

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

2.05 – Betway Fairway Stakes (Listed) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

14/14 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
13/14 – Had won between 1-2 times before
12/14 – Had raced in the last 3 weeks
12/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
12/14 – Favourites placed in the top three
12/14 – Had won over 1m or further before
11/14 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Draw 1,2 or 3
9/14 – Had raced at Newmarket before (Rowley)
8/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/14 – US-bred winners
4/14 – Godolphin-owned winners
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Trained John Gosden
3/14 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/14 – Ridden by William Buick
2/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2

 

2.40 –Betway King Charles II Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

16/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
14/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
14/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Winners from stall 4 or lower
13/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Won only once before
11/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/17 – Raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
10/17 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
7/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Trained by the Hills stable
2/17 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of last 6 winners)
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Ridden by Dane O’Neill
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

 

3.15 – Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap Cl2 6f ITV

17/17 – Had won between 1-3 times before
14/17 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
14/17 – Had won over 6f before
14/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
13/17 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out
11/17 – Carried 8-12 or more
11/17 – Favourites placed in the top 4
10/17 – Rated between 91-96
10/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/17 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
6/17 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
5/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won by a mare/filly
3/17 – Won by the Kremlin House (Varian) stable
2/17 – Trained by Richard Fahey
10 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 1-8
9 of the last 12 winners came between stalls 3-7
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

Lockinge Stakes Trends

The Lockinge Stakes is a Group One race staged at Newbury racecourse and run over a distance of 1 mile.

First run in 1958 the contest is for 3 year-olds and older horses and has been won 4 times in the last 10 years by the Richard Hannon yard. In recent years the race has also been dominated by 4 year-olds, with 12 of the last 17 runnings going to horses in that age group, while 14 of the last 17 winners hailed from the first three in the betting.

Here at GEEGEEZ we look back at past winners of the race, plus are on-hand with all the key ahead of the 2021 renewal – this year run on Saturday 15th May.

 

Recent Lockinge Stakes Winners

2019 – MUSTASHRY (9/1)
2018 - RHODODENDRON (10/3 fav)
2017 - RIBCHESTER (7/4 fav)
2016 – BELARDO (8/1)
2015 – NIGHT OF THUNDER (11/4 jfav)
2014 – OLYMPIC GLORY (11/8 fav)
2013 – FARHH (10/3)
2012 – FRANKEL (2/7 fav)
2011 – CANFORD CLIFFS (4/5 fav)
2010 – PACO BOY (8/11 fav)
2009 – VIRTUAL (6/1)
2008 – CREACHADOIR (3/1 fav)
2007 – RED EVIE (8/1)
2006 – PEERESS (4/1)
2005 – RAKTI (7/4 fav)
2004 – RUSSIAN RHYTHM (3/1 fav)
2003 – HAWK WING (2/1 fav)

 

Lockinge Stakes Betting Trends

17/17 – Won over a mile before
14/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/17 – Drawn between stalls 3-7 (inc)
13/17 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had won a Group One race before
12/17 – Aged 4 years-old
12/17 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/17 – Winning favourites
10/17 – Having their first run of the season
10/17 – Unplaced last time out
5/17 – Godolphin owned
4/17 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (Has won the race 5 times in all)
4/17 – Won by a mare
4/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/17 – Won by a Cheveley Park stud-owned horse (won it 5 times in all)
3/17 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute (has won the race 8 times in all)
1/17 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 10/3

 

 

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York TV Trends: Fri 14th May 2021

We’ve got all the trends that matter ahead of the LIVE ITV races from the third day (Fri) of the York Dante Meeting, with the Group Two Yorkshire Cup the feature contest today.

 

York Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1.40 – Langleys Solicitors EBF Stallions Marygate Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f ITV4

14/15 – Had won over 5f before
14/15 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/15 – Won by a horse foaled in February or later
13/15 – Drawn in stall 4 or higher
13/15 – Had won between 1-2 times before
13/15 – Won last time out
11/15 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Winners from stall 9
6/15 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 11 winners came between stalls 6-11 (inc)
Richard Fahey has trained 2 of the last 9 winners
Michael Bell has trained 2 of the last 12 winners
2019 Winner: Good Vibes (10/1)

 

2.10 – Oaks Farm Stables Fillies´ Stakes (Registered As The Michael Seely Memorial Stakes) (Listed) Cl1 1m ITV4

14/14 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
14/14 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
14/14 – Won between 1-2 times in the past
11/14 – Had won over at least 7f before
10/14 – Placed 5th or better last time out
9/14 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
7/14 – Horses from stall 1 placed
7/14 – Raced at either Newmarket (5) or Newbury (2) last time out
4/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Ridden by William Buick
2/14 – Ridden by James Doyle
2/14 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2019 Winners: Magnetic Charm (7/1)

 

2.40 – Matchbook ‘Best Value’ Exchange Handicap Cl2 1m2f88y ITV4

18/18 – Aged 7 or younger
17/18 – Had run over 1m2f before
15/18 – Didn’t win their last race
14/18 – Came from stall 5 or higher
14/18 – Won over at least 1m2f before
13/18 – Carried 8-12 or MORE
12/18 – Had a previous run that season
10/18 – Won by a 4 year-old (including 7 of the last 12 years)
9/18 – Finished third or better last time out
6/18 – Had run at York before
6/18 – Won by the favourite
3/18 – Won by trainer Saeed Bin Suroor (2007, 2008, 2009)
3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/18 – Won by trainer John Gosden
2/18 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (last 2 runnings)
2/18 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
12 of the last 14 winners returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
2019 Winner: UAE Prince (15/8)

 

 

3.10 – Matchbook ‘Best Value’ Yorkshire Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 1m6f ITV4

16/16 – Came from stall 7 or lower
15/16 – Didn’t win last time out
15/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
15/16 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
15/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Aged 5 or older
13/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
12/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
11/16 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
9/16 – Had run at York before
8/16 – Horses from stall 7 placed in the top 3
7/16 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
7/16 – Came from stall 4 or 7
7/16 – Winning favourites
4/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/16 – Ran at Newbury last time out
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has never won this race
Stradivarius has won the last two runnings
2019 Winner: Stradivarius (4/5 fav)

 

4.15 – Yorkshire Equine Practice Handicap Cl3 (3yo 0-95) 5f ITV4

9/9 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/9 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Had won over 5f before
7/9 – Unplaced favourites
7/9 – Rated between 78-87 (inc)
7/9 – Returned 8/1 or bigger
7/9 – Didn’t win last time out
6/9 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
6/9 – Drawn in stalls 8 or higher
5/9 – Irish bred
4/9 – Had run at York before
3/9 – Ran at Ripon last time out
2/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by David O’Meara
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 12.5/1

 

 

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Sat TV Trends: 8th May 2021

More LIVE ITV Racing this Saturday as the cameras head to Haydock to take in the Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle, plus they are also at Ascot and Lingfield.

At Ascot, there are three LIVE ITV races that include the Victoria Cup, while it's Derby and Oaks Trials Day at Lingfield.

As always, here at GeeGeez we've got all the LIVE races covered with our key trends and stats.

 

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

3.10 - Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Registered As The Swinton Hurdle Race) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

17/17 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
17/17 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
16/17 – Carried 11-5 or less
16/17 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
15/17 – Didn’t win last time out
14/17 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
11/17 – Irish bred
11/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/17 – Carried 10-8 or less
9/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
9/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/17 – Ran at Aintree last time out
6/17 – Returned a double-figure price
5/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
4/17 – Trained by Evan Williams (4 of the last 7 runnings)
3/17 – Ran at Ayr last time out
2/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/17 – Irish-trained winners
4 of the last 14 winners returned 16/1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

 

1.55 – Tote+ Exclusively At Tote.Co.UK British EBF Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

14/14 – Failed to win last time out
14/14 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
12/14 – Had won over a mile before
12/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
12/14 – Aged 5 or younger
10/14 – Aged 4 years-old
9/14 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/14 – Carried 9-0 or more
8/14 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
8/14 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
8/14 – Rated between 82-87
7/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

2.30 - Tote+ Pays More At Tote.Co.Uk Buckhounds Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

12/15 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/15 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/15 – Had won 3 or more times before
9/15 – Favourites placed
9/15 – Had raced at Ascot before
8/15 – Winning favourites (inc co or joint)
8/15 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
7/15 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/15 – Raced within the last 3 weeks
4/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Trained by John Gosden
3/15 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/15 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The last 12 winners ALL came from stalls 5 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 4/1

Note: The 2020 race was staged at Newmarket

 

3.40 – tote+ Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f  ITV4

15/17 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
14/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
14/17 – Aged 5 or younger
14/17 – Had won no more than 3 times
13/17 – Had won over 7f before
12/17 – Carried 8-10 or less
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
10/17 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
9/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/17 – Had run at Ascot before (5 winners)
5/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint) – only 1 in the last 11 years
2/17 – Trained by David Elsworth (2 of last 5)
The last 7 winners came from a double-figure draw
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 13/1

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield

 

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

 

2.15 - Novibet Oaks Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

15/17 – Had won no more than once before
15/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had no more than 3 career runs
14/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/17 – Came from stall 5 or higher
10/17 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (no winners, two seconds)
9/17 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
9/17 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
9/17 – Having first run of the season
8/17 – Won last time out
7/17 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (4) last time out
7/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
4/17 – Winners from stall 5
4/17 – Trained by John Gosden
4/17 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/17 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/17 – Trained by William Haggas
2/17 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

2.50 – Novibet Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4 

18/18 – Had won no more than 3 times
15/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/18 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (1 winner, Anthony Van Dyck, 2019)
14/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Finished 4th or better last time out
13/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
8/18 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
5/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
High Rise (1998) and Anthony Van Dyck (2019) were the last winners to go onto win the Epsom Derby

 

3.25 - Novibet Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f1y ITV4

14/14 – Aged 5 or younger
12/14 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
12/14 – Won between 1-4 times before
11/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/14 – Had won over 7f before
9/14 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Irish-bred
7/14 – Drawn in stall 3 (4) or 7 (3)
7/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Non UK-trained winners
5/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/14 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
3/14 – Winning favourites
5 of the last 11 winners returned double-figures in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

 

4.00 – Download The Novibet App Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-95) 7 1/2f ITV4

Only 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
3/3 – Unplaced last time out
3/3 – Rated between 85 – 90
3/3 – Carried 9-2 or more
3/3 – Won at least twice before
3/3 – Had won over at least 7f before
3/3 – Had run at the track before
3/3 – Aged between 4-6 (inc)
2/3 – Ran at Haydock last time out
2/3 – Ran in the last 2 weeks
2/3 – Carried 9-7 in weight
2/3 – Trained by Richard Hannon
1/3 – Winning favourite

Chester Cup Trends

The Chester Cup, run at Chester Racecourse over 2m2f, is the feature race of their three-day May Meeting (5th-7th) – Here at GEEGEEZ we take a look back at recent winners and highlights some key betting trends and stats ahead of the 2021 renewal – this year the race will be run on Friday 7th May 2021.

Did you know ? Since 1975 we've only had 4 winning Chester Cup favourites win the race

 

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Recent Chester Cup Winners

2020 – No Race
2019 – Making Miracles (16/1)
2018 – Magic Circle (8/1)
2017 - Montaly (16/1)
2016 – No Heretic (11/1)
2015 – Trip To Paris (10/1)
2014 – Suegioo (10/1)
2013 – Address Unknown (12/1)
2012 – Il De Re (10/1)
2011 – Overturn (11/2)
2010 – Mamlook (7/1 fav)
2009 – Daraahem (7/1)
2008 – Bulwark (33/1)
2007 – Greenwich Meantime (14/1)
2006 – Admiral (28/1)
2005 – Anak Pekan (16/1)
2004 – Anak Pekan (2/1 fav)
2003 – Hugs Dancer (9/1)
2002 – Fantasy Hill (8/1)

Chester Cup Betting Trends

17/18 – Aged 7 years-old or younger
15/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/18 – Officially rated between 93-99
13/18 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-olds
12/18 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/18 – Won from stall 7 or lower
12/18 – Carried 9-2 or less
12/18 – Had raced within the last 2 months
12/18 – Had won previously over at least 2m on the flat
11/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/18 – Favourites were unplaced
8/18 – Irish bred
4/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/18 – Won by owner Dr Marwan Koukash
3/18 – Had won at the track before
3/18 – Ran at Aintree over hurdles last time out
3/18 – Won their previous race
2/18 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/18 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/18 – Won by the favourite
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 12/1

 

Key Chester Cup Stats

The race has seen repeat winners three times since 1997
Since 1975 we’ve only seen 4 winning favourites
The Hills yard took the race in 1980, 1999, 2001 and 2009
Since 1975 all winners have been aged 8 or younger
Since 1975 there have only been three winners aged 8 years-old
Since 1981 only 7 winners have carried more than 9-2 to victory
4 of the last 10 winners came from NH yards
3 of the last 8 winners returned 10/1
Dr Marwan Koukash has owned 4 of the last 12 winners

What do the stats say?

Age – In 2016, we saw an 8 year-old land the race, but since 1986 all bar that winner were aged 7 or younger. In more recent years, 17 of the last 18 winners were aged 7 or younger too, while 13 of the last 18 successful horses were aged 5, 6 or 7. That said, you certainly can’t rule out the 4 year-olds, with the last winner in 2019 – Making Miracles – this age, while we’ve had two 4 year-olds go in since 2015. In short, it’s probably best to avoid the older horses (8+) in the race!

Recent Form – With a massive 12 of the last 18 winners having finished unplaced last time out, then don’t be too worried if your fancy heads here without some 1’s, 2’s or 3’s next to it’s name. But having winning form over at least 2m on the flat in the past is something to look for, while having a run within the last two months is another plus – 12 of the last 18 winners ticked this trend.

Weight – Being a handicap, then it’s always worth looking back at past weight stats. 12 of the last 18 winners carried 9st 2lbs or less, but with the last three winners and 5 of the last 7 winners carrying 9st or more, then this weight trend might be taking a slight turn in the other direction. Since 1981, only seven winners have carried more than 9st 2lb to victory. However, with 13 of the last 18 winners rated between 93-99, which is, of course, closely linked with the weight stat, could be another angle into the race.

Draw – Most of us know that Chester is one of the tightest flat tracks around, so even over this longer 2m2f trip then the draw can play a big part. It’s normally a race that’s well contested too – in 2019 there were 15 runners – so having a decent early pitch can often be the difference between winning and losing. This is backed up with 12 of the last 18 winners drawn from stalls 7 or lower, but the 2019 winner – Making Miracles – did defy this stat by winning from stall 16.

Favourites – It’s not been a great race for favourite backers – since 1975, we’ve only had four winning market leaders and only two in the last 18 runnings. The averaging winning SP in the last 18 years has been 12/1 and with 11 of the last 18 winners priced 10/1 or shorter, then outside the favourite you generally don’t have to look too far down the market to find the winner.

Trainers – I’ve already mentioned this is a race the NH yards often target – in the last 10 renewals we’ve seen four winners from jumping stables take the first prize, while in terms of other yards to note, the Richard Fahey and Ian Williams camps have both won the race twice each since 2007. It’s also a race that popular owner – Dr Marwan Koukash – loves to throw a few arrows at. His grey silks have been responsible for four of the last 12 winners and he’s sure to have some targeted at the race again this year.

 

 

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Chester May Meeting Trends and Tips: Fri 7th May 2021

Here at GeeGeez we give you all the key trends and stats from the LIVE ITV races on the final day of the Chester May Meeting this Friday 7th May 2021 – with the meetings feature – The Chester Cup – run on this day too.  

 

Chester Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.45 – tote+Placepots Pay More Earl Grosvenor Handicap Cl2 7f122y ITV4

16/18 - Didn’t win their last race
15/18 - Had a previous run that season
15/18 - Finished unplaced last time out
14/18 - Had won over this trip (7 1/2f) before
14/18 - Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
14/18 - Had run before at Chester
13/18 - Carried 8-10 or more
12/18 - Favourites placed
10/18 - Came from stall 5 or higher
9/18 - Horses placed from stall 1
8/18 - Won by a 4 year-old
5/18 - Won by the favourite
4/18 – Winning horses from stall 1
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/18 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
Baraweez won the race in 2018

 

2.15 – Melodi Media Huxley Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m2f75y ITV4

17/18 – Aged either a 4 or 5 year-old
15/18 – Had won over 1m2f before
14/18 – Had a previous race that season
13/18 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd in this race
13/18 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Winners from between stalls 1-4
10/18 – Failed to win their previous race
9/18 – Winning favourites
6/18 – Returned 6/4 or shorter in the betting
6/18 – Had raced at Chester before
5/18 – Ran in the John Porter at Newbury before winning this
5/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
5/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
Forest Ranger won the race in 2018 and 2019

 

2.45 – tote+ Chester Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f147y ITV4

17/18 – Aged 7 years-old or younger
15/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
13/18 – Officially rated between 93-99
13/18 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-olds
12/18 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/18 – Won from stall 7 or lower
12/18 – Carried 9-2 or less
12/18 – Had raced within the last 2 months
12/18 – Had won previously over at least 2m on the flat
11/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/18 – Favourites were unplaced
8/18 – Irish bred
4/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/18 – Won by owner Dr Marwan Koukash
3/18 – Had won at the track before
3/18 – Ran at Aintree over hurdles last time out
3/18 – Won their previous race
2/18 – Trained by Donald McCain
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/18 – Trained by Ian Williams
2/18 – Won by the favourite
The average winning SP in the last 18 years is 12/1

Key Chester Cup Stats

The race has seen repeat winners three times since 1997
Since 1975 we’ve only seen 4 winning favourites
The Hills yard took the race in 1980, 1999, 2001 and 2009
Since 1975 all winners have been aged 8 or younger
Since 1975 there have only been three winners aged 8 years-old
Since 1981 only 7 winners have carried more than 9-2 to victory
4 of the last 10 winners came from NH yards
3 of the last 8 winners returned 10/1
Dr Marwan Koukash has owned 4 of the last 12 winners

 

3.15 – Boodles Conditions Stakes Cl3 (3yo+) 5f ITV4

7/7 – Drawn in stalls 3-8 (inc)
6/7 – Carried 8-13 or more in weight
6/7 – Had won at Chester before
5/7 – Winners from stalls 3 (3) or 6 (2)
5/7 – Irish bred
5/7 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
5/7 – Unplaced last time out
5/7 – Aged 5 years-old
4/7 – Rated 100+
3/7 – Winning favourites
3/7 – Trained by Tom Dascombe
2/7 – Ridden by Richard Kingscote
0/7 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 6/1

 

3.45 – Retraining Of Racehorses Handicap Cl2 1m2 1/2f ITV4

11/11 – Won at least twice before
10/11 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
10/11 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
10/11 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
9/11 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
9/11 – Placed favourites
8/11 – Rated between 90-95
8/11 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
4/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute

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