Newbury Trends (Fri 26th Nov 21)

It's DAY ONE of the Newbury Ladbrokes Trophy Meeting this Friday and we’ve four LIVE races on ITV to take in that include the Grade Two Long Distance Hurdle - a race that we've seen 13 of the last 19 winners aged between 7-9 years-old.

As always, here at Geegeez, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and free tips.

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RTV/ITV3)

 

12.40 – Ladbrokes Committed To Safer Gambling Novices' Chase (Registered As The Berkshire Novices' Chase) (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV3

13/14 – Aged 5 or older
13/14 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Favourites placed in the top 2
10/14 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
8/14 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/14 – Yet to win over fences
6/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (inc last 2 runnings)
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/2
Champ (4/5 fav) won this race in 2019

1.15 - Play Ladbrokes 5-A-Side On Football ‘National Hunt’ Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+) 2m 1/2f ITV3

10/10 - Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/10 - Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 - Had run under NH Rules between 1-3 times
9/10 - Between 0-1 NH wins
8/10 - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/10 - Irish bred
7/10 - Favourites placed in the top 3
6/10 - Had won a NH Flat race before
6/10 - Had run in the last 4 weeks
4/10 - Had run at Newbury before
4/10 - Won last time out
4/10 - Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/10 - Ridden by Nico de Boinville
3/10 - Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
In recent years, My Drogo (2020), Lostintranslation (2017) and Buveur D’Air (2015) have won this race

 

2.25 – Get Your Ladbrokes £1 Free Bet Today Handicap Chase Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f187y ITV3

13/14 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
13/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Aged 9 or younger
12/14 – Didn’t win last time out
11/14 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
11/14 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
8/14 – Rated between 131 and 140
9/14 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/14 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
2/14 – Trained by Alan King
2/14 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/14 – Trained by Dan Skelton
0/14 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

3.00 – Ladbrokes Long Distance Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m52y ITV3

16/19 – Grade One winner over hurdles
15/19 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
14/19 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
14/19 – Placed favourites
13/19 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
13/19 – Had won a hurdles race at Newbury before
13/19 – Ran at either Aintree (7) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
12/19 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
11/19 – Winning favourites
10/19 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
9/19 – Won last time out
8/19 – French bred
8/19 – Returned odds-on in the betting
7/19 – Went onto win that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle
7/19 – Won by a previous winner of the race
5/19 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls (inc 5 of last 12 renewals)
Thyme Hill (7/2) won this race in 2020
Paisley Park (8/15 fav) won this race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

3.35 – Play Ladbrokes 1-2 Free On Football Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 3m52y ITV3

13/14 – Placed 5th or better last time out
13/14 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
12/14 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
11/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Raced at either Cheltenham (5), Wincanton (3) or Wetherby (2) last time
10/14 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/14 – Irish-bred winners
8/14 – Won just 1-2 times over hurdles
8/14 – Yet to win over 3m (or further) over hurdles
6/14 – Winning favourites
5/14 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/14 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/14 – Trained by David Pipe
Hill Sixteen won this race in 2020
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

 

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 20th Nov 2021

More excellent jumping action at Ascot and Haydock this Saturday with the ITV cameras heading to both tracks. The Betfair Chase is the highlight from Haydock, while the main event at Ascot is the Christy 1965 Chase – As always, here at GeeGeez, we are on hand with all the trends and stats…..

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

 

2.05 – Chanelle Pharma 1965 Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m5f8y ITV

17/18 – Aged 8 or younger
15/18 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
14/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/18 – Favourites placed
13/18 – Had won over this trip (fences) 2m5f or further before
12/18 – Won by a French-bred horse
12/18 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
11/18 – Ran at Aintree (4) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
11/18 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
10/18 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/18 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
9/18 – Won last time out
8/18 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
4/18 – Aged 5 years-old
3/18 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/18 – Won by trainer Alan King
2/18 – Won by trainer Philip Hobbs
2/18 – Went onto win at the Cheltenham Festival that season (Albertas Run & Vautour, RyanAir Chase 2009 & 2016)
Imperial Aura won the race in 2020
Cyrname won the race in 2019
Politologue won the race in 2018

Note: The 2002 running was at Wincanton and the 2004 renewal at Windsor

 

 2.40 - Coral Hurdle (Registered As The Ascot Hurdle Race) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m3f58y ITV

19/19 – Priced 7/2 or less
17/19 – Won over at least 2m 1/2f (hurdles) previously
16/19 – Won a Grade 2 (or better) hurdle race previously
15/19 – Won by and Irish (12) or French (3) bred horse
14/19 – Favourites placed
12/19 – Won their latest race
12/19 – Won between 3-5 times over hurdles previously
12/19 – Had their last race 3 months or longer ago
11/19 – Won by a horse aged 7 or older
11/19 – Won a Grade 1 hurdle race previously
10/19 – Favourites that won (2 joint)
6/19 – Won a hurdles race at Ascot previously
6/19 – Went onto run in that season’s World Hurdle after winning this (1 winner)
5/19 – Went onto race in the Champion Hurdle that same season (4 of 5 finished 4th or better, Faugheen won both renewals in 2014-15
4/19 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/19 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
3/19 - Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 3)
2/19 – Won by the Willie Mullins stable
4 of the last 15 winners were Irish-trained
Song For Someone won the race in 2020
If The Cap Fits won the race in 2018 & 2019
Note: the 2004 & 2005 renewals were at Windsor

 

3.15 – Gerard Bertrand Hurst Handicap Chase Cl2 2m192y ITV

14/15 – Aged between 6 and 9 years-old
14/15 – Had won over fences over this trip (or further) before
13/15 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/15 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
11/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/15 – Carried 11-0 or more
10/15 – Rated 142 or higher
9/15 – Had raced at Ascot before
8/15 – Ran at either Ascot (4) or Cheltenham (4) last time out
8/15 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/15 – Placed favourites
7/15 – Placed horses from the Paul Nicholls yard
5/15 – Won last time out
4/15 – Aged 6 years-old
4/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Trained by Gary Moore
First Flow won the race in 2020
Capeland won the race in 2019
Caid du Lin won the race in 2018

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

 

1.50 - Double Daily Rewards With Betfair Graduation Chase Cl2 (4 yo+) 2m 5 1/2f ITV

10/10 – 0-2 wins over fences
9/10 – Returned 7/2 or shorter
9/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
8/10 – Rated between 144-148
7/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
6/10 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/10 – 0-2 runs over fences before
5/10 – Won last time out
5/10 - Winning favourites
3/10 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/10 – Ridden by Harry Cobden
Master Tommytucker won the race in 2020

 

2.25 - Betfair Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ½f ITV

15/16– Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
14/16 – Had won between 1-3 times (hurdles UK) before
14/16 – Carried 10-9 or more
12/16 – Rated between 132 and 143
11/16 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (1 winner, Paisley Park 2019)
10/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/16 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Placed favourites
8/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – French bred
6/16 – Had raced at Haydock before
4/16 – Trained by David Pipe
3/16 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/16 – Trained by Nick Williams
Main Fact won the race in 2020
Stoney Mountain won the race in 2019
Paisley Park won the race in 2018
Sam Spinner won the race in 2017

3.00 - Betfair Chase (Registered as The Lancashire Chase) (Grade 1) Cl1 3m 1 1/2f ITV

16 Previous runnings
14/16 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
13/16 – Won by and Irish (4) or French (9) bred horse
13/16 - Won a Grade One chase previously
12/16 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/16 - Placed in the top three in their last race
12/16 - Raced at Haydock previously
11/16 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
10/16 – Favourites placed
9/16 – Aged 8 or older
9/16 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
8/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
7/16 – Winning favourites
7/16 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
6/16 – Won their latest race
4/16 - Raced at Aintree last time out
The average winning price in the last 16 runnings is 5/1
No Irish-trained winner yet
8 of the last 9 winners aged 9 or younger
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
The Nigel Twiston-Davies yard has won the prize in 2010, 2017, 2018 and 2020  
The Colin Tizzard yard has won the race in 2013, 2015, 2016 and 2019

 

3.35 - My Odds Boost On Betfair Handicap Chase (Gbb Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 3m 1 1/2f ITV

10/10 - Aged 9 or younger
10/10 - Carried 10-10 or more in weight
9/10 - Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 - Won between 1-3 times over fences
8/10 - Aged between 6-8 years-old
8/10 - Irish (6) or French (2) bred
7/10 - Carried 11-6 or more in weight
7/10 - Won a race over at least 3m before
7/10 - Had run at Haydock before
7/10 - Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 - Rated between 135 and 145 (inc)
6/10 - Placed in the top 3 last time out
6/10 - Placed favourites
4/10 - Won last time out
2/10 - Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 co)

 

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Betfair Chase Trends

Staged at Haydock Park racecourse the Betfair Chase Registered as the Lancashire Chase) is a Grade One race and is run over a slightly longer trip (3m1f). The contest is a fairly new one, being first run in 2005 and takes place in November each season.

Trainer Paul Nicholls has made the race his own, winning the decent prize 6 times in the last 13 years, including four times with Kauto Star, while the popular grey Bristol De Mai has landed the pot three times in the last four years and giving his trainer – Nigel Twiston-Davies – his fourth success in the contest. The Tizzard yard is another to have on your radar - they’ve won four of the last 8.

We are still waiting, however, for the first Irish-trained winner of the race.

Here at Geegeez, we are on hand with all the key stats ahead of the 2021 renewal – this year run on Saturday November 20th 2021.

 

Recent Betfair Chase Winners

2020 - BRISTOL DE MAI (9/4)
2019 - LOSTINTRANSLATION (5/4 fav)
2018 – BRISTOL DE MAI (13/2)
2017 – BRISTOL DE MAI (11/10 fav)
2016 – CUE CARD (15/8 fav)
2015 – CUE CARD (7/4)
2014 - SILVINIACO CONTI (10/3)
2013 – CUE CARD (9/1)
2012 – SILVINIACO CONTI (7/4)
2011 – KAUTO STAR (6/1)
2010 – IMPERIAL COMMANDER (10/11 fav)
2009 – KAUTO STAR (4/6 fav)
2008 – SNOOPY LOOPY (33/1)
2007 – KAUTO STAR (4/5 fav)
2006 – KAUTO STAR (11/10 fav)
2005 – KINGSCLIFF (8/1)

Key Betfair Chase Betting Trends

16 Previous runnings
14/16 - Won over at least 3m (fences) previously
13/16 – Won by and Irish (4) or French (9) bred horse
13/16 - Won a Grade One chase previously
12/16 - Raced within the last 4 weeks
12/16 - Placed in the top three in their last race
12/16 - Raced at Haydock previously
11/16 - Officially rating of 168 or higher
10/16 – Favourites placed
9/16 – Aged 8 or older
9/16 - Winning distance - 2 ½ lengths or less
8/16 – Won by a previous winner of the race
7/16 – Winning favourites
7/16 - Raced at Wetherby in the Charlie Hall last time out
6/16 – Won their latest race
4/16 - Raced at Aintree last time out
The average winning price in the last 16 runnings is 5/1
No Irish-trained winner yet
8 of the last 9 winners aged 9 or younger
The Paul Nicholls yard has won the prize in 2006, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2012 & 2014
The Nigel Twiston-Davies yard has won the prize in 2010, 2017, 2018 and 2020  
The Colin Tizzard yard has won the race in 2013, 2015, 2016 and 2019

 

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Greatwood Hurdle Trends

The Greatwood Hurdle, this year, will be run on Sunday 14th November at the Cheltenham Open Meeting and is being sponsored by leading bookmaker Unibet.

Run over 2m ½ f on the Old Course the contest gives National Hunt racing fans some early season pointers ahead of the Champion Hurdle, run at Cheltenham at the Festival in March – Rooster Booster (2002) was the last horse to win this race and go onto land that same season’s Champion Hurdle.

Since 1988 the race has been won four times by the Pipe stable, three times by Philip Hobbs and three times, including in 2015, by ex-champion trainer Paul Nicholls.

Here at GeeGeez, we look back at recent winners and gives you the key trends to look out for ahead of the 2021 renewal.....this year run on Sunday 14th November.

Recent Greatwood Hurdle Winners

2020 - THE SHUNTER (13/2)
2019 – HARAMBE (16/1)
2018 – NIETZSCHE (20/1)
2017 – ELGIN (10/1)
2016 – NORTH HILL HARVEY (6/1)
2015 – OLD GUARD (12/1)
2014 – GARDE LA VICTOIRE (10/1)
2013 – DELL ‘ARCA (12/1)
2012 – OLOFI (8/1)
2011 – BRAMPOUR (12/1)
2010 – MENORAH (6/1)
2009 – KHYBER KIM (9/1)
2008 – NUMIDE (5/1)
2007 – SIZING EUROPE (5/1)
2006 – DETROIT CITY (6/5 fav)
2005 – LINGO (5/1)
2004 – ACCORDION ETOILE (100/30 fav)
2003 – RIGMAROLE (33/1)
2002 – ROOSTER BOOSTER (7/1)

Greatwood Hurdle Betting Trends and Stats

17/19 – Had won a 2m1f (or further) hurdles race before
17/19 – Had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
14/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/19 – Had a recent run (within the last 6 weeks)
12/19 – Officially rated 140 or higher
12/19 – Finished in the top two last time out
12/19 – Had run at Cheltenham before
12/19 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/19 –  Winning distance – 2 lengths or further
10/19 – Had run 6 or less times over hurdles
9/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Carried 11-4 or more
8/19 – Came from the first three in the betting
7/19 – Won their previous race
7/19 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/19 – Winners that carried 11-12
4/19 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/19 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 4)
2/19 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 10/1
6 of the last 12 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle

 

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Cheltenham TV Trends (Sun 14th Nov 21)

Another big day ahead for the ITV racing team this Sunday (14th Nov) as they take in four races from Cheltenham on the final day of their three-day November Meeting.

Like all big race days, here at GeeGeez we're on hand with all the LIVE ITV race trends and stats………..

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

 

1.45 – Jewson Click And Collect Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m3 1/2f ITV

17/19 – Had won a 3m+ race over fences before
17/19 – Had run at Cheltenham before
16/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Aged 8 or younger
12/19 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
12/19  – Had won between 3 and 5 times over fences before
12/19 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
10/19 – Irish bred
10/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/19 – Officially rated between 135 and 146
8/19 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
8/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/19  – Ran at either Cheltenham (6) or Sandown (2) last time out
7/19 – French bred
3/19 – Won last time out
3/19 – Winning favourites (1 co)
3/19 – Trained by Colin Tizzard (2 of the last 5 years)
3/19 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/19 – Trained by Fergal O’Brien (2 of last 10 years)
Ramses De Teillee (11/2) won the race in 2020
West Approach (11/4 fav) won the race in 2019
Rock The Kasbah (9/1) won the race in 2018

 

2.20 – Shloer Chase (Registered As The Cheltenham Chase) (Grade 2) (BGG Race) Cl1 2m ITV

11/12 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Officially rated 150+
10/12 – Won on seasonal reappearance
10/12 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
9/12 – Favourites that finished 1st or 2nd
9/12 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
9/12 – Went onto run in the Champion Chase (2 winners, Put The Kettle On (2021), Sprinter Sacre 2015)
7/12 – Failed to win last time out
7/12 – Aged 7 or older
6/12 – Favourites that won
5/12 – Carried 11-0 to win
5/12 – Won by a horse aged 8 or older
5/12 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/12 – German bred
3/12 – Raced at Aintree last time out
Put The Kettle On won the race in 2020
Defi Du Seuil won the race in 2019
Sceau Royal won the race in 2018

 

2.55 – Unibet Greatwood Hurdle (A Handicap) (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV

17/19 – Had won a 2m1f (or further) hurdles race before
17/19 – Had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
14/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
14/19 – Had a recent run (within the last 6 weeks)
12/19 – Officially rated 140 or higher
12/19 – Finished in the top two last time out
12/19 – Had run at Cheltenham before
12/19 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/19 –  Winning distance – 2 lengths or further
10/19 – Had run 6 or less times over hurdles
9/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Carried 11-4 or more
8/19 – Came from the first three in the betting
7/19 – Won their previous race
7/19 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/19 – Winners that carried 11-12
4/19 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/19 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Alan King (2 of the last 4)
2/19 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 10/1
6 of the last 12 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle

 

3.30 – Sky Bet Supreme Trial Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Sharp Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV

16/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
14/17 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
13/17 – Won last time out
13/17 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles
13/17 – Favourites that finished in the top three
11/17 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
10/17 – Aged 5 years-old
9/17 – Had won a NH Flat race before
9/17 – Went onto run in that season’s Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (1 winner, Altior)
9/17 – Irish bred
8/17 – Carried 11-7 in weight
6/17 – Aged 4 years-old
4/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/17 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/17 – Won by the Nicholls stable
For Pleasure (14/1) won the race in 2020

 

 

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 13th Nov 2021

A huge day up at Cheltenham this Saturday with the Paddy Power Gold Cup the feature racethe ITV cameras are at Prestbury Park to take in four of the races, plus they are also covering two at Lingfield. As always, here at Geegeez we've got all the key trends & stats to help you whittle down the runners.

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV)

1.40 – From The Horse’s Mouth Podcast Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) (Registered As The November) (GBB Race) Cl2 2m ITV

10/10 - Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
10/10 - Finished first or second last time out
9/10 - Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/10 - Favourites placed in the first three
9/10 - Won between 0-1 times over fences
7/10 - Ran in the last 6 weeks
7/10 - Won last time out
7/10 - Had raced at Cheltenham before (hurdles/chase)
6/10 - Ran at Cheltenham (2), Aintree (2) or Uttoxeter (2) last time out
5/10 - French bred
4/10 - Winning favourites
3/10 - Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10 - Trained by Philip Hobbs
 

2.15 – Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

19/19 – Had run at Cheltenham before
18/19 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
18/19 – Won by a UK-based trainer
15/19 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Carried 11st or less
13/19 – Had won at Cheltenham before
13/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/19 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
12/19 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
11/19 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (2) or Twiston-Davies (3)
9/19 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
9/19 – Aged 7 years-old
9/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
5/19 – Won their last race
5/19 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/19 – Trained by the Pipe stable
3/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/19 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/19 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/19 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/19 – Irish-trained winners
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 10 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 41 runners
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 10.5/1

 

2.50 – Paddy Power Games Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f67y ITV

17/19 – Aged 7 or younger
16/19 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
15/19 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
15/19 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
14/19 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
13/19 – Placed favourites
13/19 – Officially rated 126 to 137
13/19  – Ran at either Cheltenham (7), Aintree (3) or Chepstow (3) last time out
13/19 – Irish bred
12/19 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
12/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/19 – Had run at Cheltenham before
9/19 – Won their last race
7/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/19 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
4/19 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/19 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
5 of the last 13 winners have had a claiming jockey riding
Anteros won the race in 2016 & was second in 2017
First Assignment won the race in 2018
Golan Fortune won the race in 2019
On The Blind Side (7/1) won the race in 2020

 

3.25 – Paddy Power Feel Like A Favourite Intermediate Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m5f26y ITV

14/16 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
14/16 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
13/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/16 – Raced in the last 7 weeks
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price
7/16 – Favourites unplaced
7/16 – Carried 10-13 or less
8/16 – Had run at Cheltenham before
7/16 – Irish-bred winners
6/16 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a race at the Cheltenham Festival
6/16 – Won last time out
5/16 – French bred winners
2/16 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 - Winning favourites
2 of the last 8 winners went onto be placed in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
2 of the last 12 winners went onto be placed in the Stayers’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival that season

 

 

Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ATR/ITV)

 

3.05 – Betway Golden Rose Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 6f ITV

13/14 – Previous winner over 6f or 7f
12/14 – Didn’t win last time out
12/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Aged 4 or older
11/14 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
11/14 – Won 5 or more times before
9/14 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
9/14 – Unplaced last time out
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
4/14 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
4/14 – Winning favourites
Judicial won the race in 2019
Good Effort won the race in 2020

3.40 – Betway Churchill Stakes (Listed Race) (All-Weather Fast Track Qualifier) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2f ITV

13/15 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
12/15 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
11/15 – Rated between 102 and 112
10/15 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
10/15 – Won between 1-4 times before
10/15 – Favourites placed in the top two
10/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/15 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
8/15 – Placed last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
3/15 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Dubai Warrior won the race in 2020
Master The World (10/1) won the race in 2017 and 2018

 

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 6th Nov 2021

This Saturday the ITV cameras head to Wincanton with the Badger Beer Handicap Chase, their feature, plus they are also at Doncaster for the ultra-competitive November Handicap and also take in two Aintree contests as always, here at GeeGeez we've got all the trends and stats for the LIVE races….. 

 

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.25 – Virgin Bet Handicap Cl2 7f ITV4

9/11– Had run at least 6 times before that season
9/11 – Won over at least 7f before
8/11 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/11 – Had run at Doncaster before
8/11 – Won at least 3 times in their career
8/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/11 – Officially rated between 88 and 93
6/11 – Carried 8-13 or less
5/11 – Unplaced last time out
4/11 – Returned a double-figure price
3/11 – Winning favourite
2/11 – Winning mares/fillies
 

2.05 – Betfair Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f ITV4

15/17 – Had at least 6 previous runs that season
15/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
15/17 – Had won over 6f before
14/17 – Won from stall 12 or lower
14/17 – Rated 99 or higher
14/17 – Aged 4 or older
12/17 – Had won at least 5 times before in their career
9/17 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
8/17 – Had won at Doncaster before
8/17 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
5/17 – Ran at York (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
5/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
3/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Winning mare/filly
Dakota Gold (4/1) won the race in 2020
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

 

 

2.40 – Virgin Bet November Handicap Cl2 1m4f ITV4

14/17 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
14/17 – Winners that came from draw 9 or higher
14/17 – Favourites that were unplaced
13/17 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
13/17 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
12/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/17 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
12/17 – Placed last time out
11/17 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/17 – Won carrying 8-13 or less in weight
10/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/17 – Won last time out
3/17 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 6 times in all)
2/17 – Ridden by jockey Martin Dwyer
1/17 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 11/1
Just 1 winning favourite since 1995

 

Wincanton Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 - John Romans Park Homes ‘Rising Stars’ Novices Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

14/14 – Had won no more than twice over fences
13/14 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
12/14 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Irish (6) or French (5) bred
11/14 – Favourites placed
10/14 – Had won over 2m3f or further (Chase)
10/14 – Aged 6 or younger
9/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Winning favourites
7/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 5-7

 

2.25 – Richard Barber Memorial Mares’ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+) 2m5f ITV4

14/14 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Didn’t win last time out
12/14 – Aged 7 or younger
10/14 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Had won over at least 2m4f before (hurdles)
10/14 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
10/14 – Had won at least twice before (hurdles)
9/14 – Rated between 119-129
8/14 – Finished 2nd, 3rd or 4th last time out
8/14 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
8/14 – Irish bred
8/14 – Aged 6 years-old
6/14 – Had run at the track before
5/14 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/14 – Trained by Paul Nicholls (2 of the last 10)
2/14 – Trained by Harry Fry (2 of the last 8)
2/14 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan

 

3.00 - 60th Badger Beer Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f110y ITV4

18/18 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
16/18 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
16/18 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
15/18 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
15/18  – Placed in the top four in their last race
15/18 – Won at least two chase races previously
14/18 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
14/18 –  Raced at the course previously (over fences)
12/18 – Favourites placed
11/18 – Irish-bred horse
11/18 – Raced already that season
11/18 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
10/18 – Raced at either Sandown (4), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
8/18 – Priced at double-figures
8/18 – Won their latest race
7/18 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
7/18 – Favourites that won (1 joint, 1 Co)
7/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/18 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 5 of the last 10 years)
4/18 – Won by the Pipe stable
El Presente (11/1) won the race in 2020

 

3.35 - Unibet Elite Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m ITV4

16/17 – Aged 7 or younger
15/17 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
14/17 – Came from the top three in the betting
13/17 – Won between 2-5 times before (hurdles)
12/17 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
10/17 – Unplaced last time out
10/17 – Rated 150 or lower
9/17 – Having first run of the season
5/17 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/17 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
5/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/17 – Trained by John Quinn
2/17 - Trained by Alan King
Sceau Royal won this race in 2016 and 2020

 

 

Aintree Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.15 – Betway Grand Sefton Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f110y ITV

15/16 – Had between 1-4 previous chase wins
14/16 – Aged 8 or older
14/16 – Rated 124 or more
12/16 – Had run at Aintree before (5 over the GN style fences)
12/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
12/16 – Had won (chase) over at least 2m4f before
10/16 – Irish bred
9/16 – Carried 10-12 or more
8/16 – Returned a double-figure price
6/16 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National
2/16 – Ridden by Sean Bowen
1/16 – Won last time out
Beau Bay (20/1) won the race in 2020
Hogan’s Height (16/1) won the race in 2019
12 of the last 15 winners were aged 8 or 9 years-old

 

3.20 – Betway Hurdle (Class 2) (4yo) 2m4f

6 previous runnings
5/6 - Aged 9 or younger
5/6 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
4/6 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
3/6 – Winning favourites
2/6 – Owned by Simon Munir and Isaac Souede
2/6 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/6 – Ridden by Nico de Boinville
Summerville Boy won the race in 2020

Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends

Run over 2m 4 ½ furlongs the Paddy Power Gold Cup is the feature contest at the three-day Cheltenham Open Meeting, held each year in the middle of November (12th-14th Nov 2021).

The ‘Pond House’ Pipe stable are the leading yard with nine wins in the race, with Celestial Gold, Our Vic and Great Endeavour, who won the contest in 2011, their most-recent winners.

In 2017, the Paddy Power Gold Cup was won by the Nigel Twiston-Davies-trained Splash Of Ginge – a win that gave the yard their third success in the race since 2008 and their four overall.

12 months ago, in 2020,  we saw the Evan Williams-trained Coole Cody win the race and if lining up again in 2021 - he’ll be looking to become the first back-to-back winner since Bradbury Star, who won the race in 1993 and 1994.

We take a look at the 2021 Paddy Power Gold Cup renewal from a stats angle – this year run on Saturday 13th November.

 

Recent Paddy Power Gold Cup Winners

2020 - Coole Cody (10/1)
2019 - Happy Diva (14/1)
2018 - Baron Alco (8/1)
2017 - Splash Of Ginge (25/1)
2016 - Taquin Du Seuill (8/1)
2015 – Annacotty (12/1)
2014 – Caid Du Berlais (10/1)
2013 – Johns Spirit (7/1)
2012 – Al Ferof (8/1)
2011 – Great Endeavour (8/1)
2010 – Little Josh (20/1)
2009 – Tranquil Sea (11/2 fav)
2008 – Imperial Commander (13/2)
2007 – L’Antartique (13/2)
2006 – Exotic Dancer (16/1)
2005 – Our Vic (9/2 fav)
2004 – Celestial Gold (12/1)
2003 – Fondmort (3/1 fav)
2002 – Cyfor Malta (16/1)

Paddy Power Gold Cup Betting Trends

19/19 – Had run at Cheltenham before
18/19 – Had won over at least 2m4f over fences before
18/19 – Won by a UK-based trainer
15/19 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
14/19 – Carried 11st or less
13/19 – Had won at Cheltenham before
13/19 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
12/19 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
12/19 – Had won just 2 or 3 times over fences before
11/19 – Trained by Pipe (3), Jonjo O’Neill (3), Nicholls (2) or Twiston-Davies (3)
9/19 – Won by a horse in the first 3 in the betting
9/19 – Aged 7 years-old
9/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
5/19 – Won their last race
5/19 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/19 – Trained by the Pipe stable
3/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/19 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
3/19 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/19 – Ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies
1/19 – Irish-trained winners
The last winner aged in double-figures was in 1975
Paul Nicholls has saddled 10 placed horses (two winners, Al Ferof & Caid Du Berlais) from his last 41 runners
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 10.5/1

What are the main Paddy Power Gold Cup trends to looks for?

Track Experience - Having previous experience – including winning form at the Cheltenham track, is a big plus. This is supported with ALL of the last 19 winners having run at Prestbury Park in the past, while 13 of those 19 (68%) had won a race at the track before too. Last year’s winner – Coole Cody – had run a solid second at the track the previous month and was a past winner over hurdles at the course too. He also went onto finish a fine fourth in the Paddy Power Plate at the Cheltenham Festival last March, so this race is certainly worth looking back on as the season moves on.

UK-Based Stables Have The Edge – Okay, it’s a race that not many Irish runners have contested in recent years - last year we didn’t have any travellers from the Emerald Isle. Therefore, this might not hold a lot of weight once the final decs come out, but it’s still something to consider – a massive 18 of the last 19 winners came from UK-based stables. The last Irish-trained winner was Tranquil Sea (2009) and that the only successful horse from Ireland in the last 30 runnings. As mentioned, the Pipe, Jonjo O’Neill, Nigel Twiston-Davies and Paul Nicholls stables have by far the best recent records – with 16 of the last 25 winners between them.

Age - Next up is to look at the age as there is a decent pattern building up here. Yes, three of the last five winners were aged 9 years-old, so we certainly can’t rule out this age group. That said, the better overall record has been with horses aged 8 or younger – a massive 15 of the last 19 winners (79%) ticked this age stat! While if you want to take this trend a bit further it could pay to note that 6 or 7 year-olds have won 12 of the last 19 runnings (63%).

The final thing to note with the age is to look at the other end of the age scale - The last double-figure aged winner was in 1975!

Current Form Recent runs are certainly worth looking at too. with 13 of the last 19 winners recorded a top four finish last time out. But those top four finishes have not always come in a recent race, as horses that are making their seasonal reappearances certainly can’t be ruled out - 8 of the last 19 winners took this first time out.

The lightly-raced, or less exposed runners, also have the better record, with 63% of the last 19 winners having only had 2 or 3 previous wins over fences – again backing up the younger, less exposed chasers, are the ones to focus on.

Weight Carried - With the race being a handicap then weight carried is always worth considering. Of the last 19 renewals, 14 winners (74%) carried 11st or less and this was backed-up again in the last four years with the winners having 10st 5lbs, 10st 6lbs, 10st 11lbs and 11st on their backs.

Betting - The final trend to note is the betting market. It’s generally a race that punters are not too far off the mark in. Therefore, any support for runners in the build-up should be respected and there is also an ante-post market to keep an eye on in the weeks before the race.

Last year’s winner returned at 10/1 and was the fifth shortest-priced horse in the race. 15 of the last 19 winners won at 14/1 or shorter in the betting, while even though the favourites have won just three of the last 19 (16%) we have seen 47% of the last 19 market leaders placed. With the winners tending to be priced 14/1 or shorter, then it’s still the horses in the first four or five in the market that command the most interest.

Things will start to ramp-up several notches in the ante-post market a few weeks before this race and it’s often a contest that we see horses from previous renewals running in again. For example, the 2019 winner - Happy Diva Like last year’s winner – Coole Cody - has run in the last three renewals.

In summary, horses aged 8 or younger, that have had previous track experience and are carrying 11st or less are certainly worthy of second glances. If any of those have run at the track before, finished in the top four last time out and also trained by Pipe, Nicholls, O’Neill and Twiston-Davies yard then you’d be foolish not to stand up and take note.

 

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Peterborough Chase Trends

Staged at Huntingdon racecourse over 2m 4½f the Peterborough Chase is a Grade Two chase run in December each year. The contest often attracts some decent names from the jumping world, with horses like Edredon Bleu, Best Mate, Racing Demon and Monet’s Garden all recent previous winners of the valuable race.

The event has also been a fair guide for that season’s Ryanair Chase, run at the Cheltenham Festival, with seven winners going onto finish 7th or better in that contest – including the 2019 winner – Josses Hill, who ended up 5th in the Ryanair Chase.

Trainer Henrietta Knight, who is now retired, has dominated the race in recent times with a staggering 8 victories since 1998, while Nicky Henderson landed the spoils four times back in the nineties, and more recently in 2013 with Riverside Theatre, in 2016 with Josses Hill and in 2017 & 2019 with Top Notch.

However, Henderson added to those successes 12 months ago too and equalled Knight’s haul of 8 Peterborough Chase wins, when the 6 year-old, Mister Fisher won the prize, with the race re-routed to Cheltenham.

Here at GeeGeez, we look back at recent winners and highlights the key trends ahead of the 2021 renewal – this year run on Sunday 5th December.

 

Recent Peterborough Chase Winners

2020 - Mister Fisher (9/2)
2019 – Top Notch (15/8 fav)
2018 – Charbel (13/8 fav)
2017 – Top Notch (4/9 fav)
2016 – Josses Hill (7/4 fav)
2015 – Al Ferof (9/4)
2014 – Wishfull Thinking (13/2)
2013 – Riverside Theatre (9/4 fav)
2012 – Menorah (7/2)
2011 – Gauvain (15/2)
2010 – Tartak (11/4)
2009 – Deep Purple (12/1)
2008 – Monet’s Garden (5/1)
2007 – Racing Demon (1/4 fav)
2006 – Racing Demon (13/8 jfav)
2005 – Impek (5/1)
2004 – Le Roi Miguel (15/8 fav)
2003 – Jair du Cochet (10/3)
2002 – Best Mate  (8/15 fav)

Peterborough Chase Betting Trends

17/19 – Had won a race at Grade 2 or higher before
17/19 – Came from the first three in the betting
17/19 – Had won (fences) over at least 2m4f before
16/19 – Aged 9 or younger
16/19 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
16/19 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Officially rated 155 or higher
15/19 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
15/19 – Either Irish (8) or French (7) bred
14/19 – Placed fifth or better last time out
14/19 – Placed favourites
13/19 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
13/19 – Had between 1-2 previous runs already that season
10/19 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
9/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
8/19 – Former Grade 1 chase winners
8/19 – Went onto finish 7th or better (no winners) in that season’s Ryanair Chase
7/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (8 wins in total)
3/19 – Ran at Aintree in the Old Roan Chase last time out
2/19 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
1/19 – Went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (2002 Best Mate, Gold Cup)
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 10/3

Note: The 2010 renewal was staged at Newbury, the 2020 running was staged at Cheltenham
Note: 2012 renewal was staged at Kempton and the 2017 running was at Taunton

 

 

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November Handicap Trends

Staged at Doncaster racecourse the November Handicap is run over a distance of 1m4f, and, as the race title suggests, is run every November. The event is always run on the last day of Britain’s flat turf racing season – this year run on Saturday 6th November 2021

Being first run in 1876 the contest was staged in the early days at Manchester and Pontefract racecourses - it was then transferred to Doncaster in 1964.

The race is always a very competitive betting heat, and one the bookmakers have loved in recent years with the favourites having a very poor recent record.

In terms of stables to note - Trainer John Gosden has been the man to follow – he’s landed the prize six times since 1991 and most recently in 2018 as the race was abandoned in 2019 due to a waterlogged track but returned 12 months ago when the Alan King-trained On To Victory won the race.

Looking at the recent stats horses drawn in stall 9 or higher have a great recent record but be wary of the market leaders – we’ve only had two winning favourites since 1995!

Here at GeeGeez, we take a look at recent winners of the November Handicap, plus highlights some key trends and stats based to apply to the 2021 running - Sat 6th November.

November Handicap Recent Winners

2020 - On To Victory (10/1)
2019 – Abandoned
2018 – Royal Line (9/1)
2017 – Saunter (6/1)
2016 – Prize Money (4/1)
2015 – Litigant (10/1)
2014 – Open Eagle (15/2 fav)
2013 – Conduct (8/1)
2012 – Art Scholar (20/1)
2011 – Zuider Zee (8/1)
2010 – Times Up (14/1)
2009 – Charm School (17/2)
2008 – Tropical Strait (20/1)
2007 – Malt or Mash (5/1)
2006 – Group Captain (10/1)
2005 – Come On Jonny (14/1)
2004 – Carte Diamond (12/1)
2003 – Turbo (25/1)

 

November Handicap Trends

14/17 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
14/17 – Winners that came from draw 9 or higher
14/17 – Favourites that were unplaced
13/17 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
13/17 – Had raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
12/17 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/17 – Had raced at least 5 times that season
12/17 – Placed last time out
11/17 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/17 – Won carrying 8-13 or less in weight
10/17 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/17 – Won last time out
3/17 -Trained by John Gosden (won it 6 times in all)
2/17 – Ridden by jockey Martin Dwyer
1/17 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 17 years is 11/1
Just 1 winning favourite since 1995

 

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Cheltenham TV Trends (Fri 12th Nov 21)

This Friday we’ve a cracking jumps card from the home of jumps racing – Cheltenham – as their three-day November Meeting gets underway.

To help narrow down the field and hopefully find the winners - we give you all the trends and stats that matter ahead of the FOUR LIVE ITV races from the opening day of the Cheltenham November Meeting this Friday (12th Nov 2021).

Use these Cheltenham trends to find the best profiles of past winners.

 

Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends

 

1:45 – Mucking Brilliant Paddy Power Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 2m ITV4

17/18 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
16/18 – Raced at Cheltenham before
15/18 – Raced at least 5 times over fences previously
15/18 – Carried 11-7 or less in weight
14/18 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
11/18 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
11/18 – Unplaced in their previous race
9/18 – Having their first run of the season
9/18 – Favourites placed
9/18 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting
7/18 – French-bred horse
4/18 – Favourites that won
4/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/18 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/18 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/18 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/18 – Won their most recent race
2/18 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/18 – Trained by Paul Henderson (2 of last 4 runnings)
0/18 – Irish-trained winners
Magic Saint (10/3) won the race in 2020
Bun Doran won the race in 2018

2.20 – SSS Super Alloys Novices’ Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 2m4f110y ITV

18/18 – Won by a horse aged 5 or older
17/18 – Won between 0 and 1 times over fences previously
16/18 – Priced 6/1 or shorter
16/18 – Ran between 0 and 2 times over fences
15/18 -  Finished in the top three in their latest race
14/18 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
13/18 – Favourites placed
13/18 – Placed in the first two in their previous race
11/18 – Won by a horse aged 6 years-old  (10 of last 13 runnings)
9/18 – Irish-bred horse
9/18 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
9/18 – Raced already that season
8/18 – Raced at either Aintree (2), Cheltenham (4) or Auteuil (2) last time out
8/18 – First run over fences
8/18 – Won their latest race
7/18 – French-bred horse
7/18 – Favourites that won
6/18 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
5/18 – Trained by the Pipe stable


2.55 - Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 3m6f ITV4

17/17 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
15/17 – Either Irish (9) or French (6) bred
15/17 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
13/17 – Won at least 5 times over fences previously
13/17 – Unplaced in their last race
12/17 – Winner came from the top 3 in the betting
12/17 – Returned 6/1 or shorter
12/17 – Had a recent run that season
12/17 – Raced over this Cross County course previously (8 won)
11/17 – Favourites placed
11/17 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
10/17 – Carried 11-5 or more in weight
10/17 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
7/17 – Trained by Enda Bolger
6/17 – Favourites that won
Since 2011, we’ve seen 4 past winners win the race again

3.30 - Ballymore Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Hyde Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cl1 2m5f ITV4

16/16 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
16/16 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
14/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/16 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (2 winners)
12/16 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
12/16 – Had won a NH Flat race earlier in their career
12/16 – Had raced at Uttoxeter (4), Chepstow (5) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
11/16 – Aged 5 years-old
10/16 – Had won over 2 ½m (or further) over hurdles before
9/16 – Won just once before (under rules)
9/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
4/16 – Winning favourites
2/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/16 – Went onto win a race at the Cheltenham Festival that season

 

 

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Haldon Gold Cup Trends

The focus is on Exeter racecourse on Tuesday 2nd November as they stage the 2021 Haldon Gold Cup Chase – a Grade 2 limited handicap run over 2m1f.

Here at JuiceStorm we've got all the key stats to look out for ahead of the 2021 renewal, this year run on Tuesday 2nd November.

Did you know that 13 of the last 19 winners were French-bred, while ALL of the last 19 winners returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting.

 

Recent Haldon Gold Cup Winners

2020 - GREANETEEN (15/8 fav)
2019 - JANIKA (5/2 fav)
2018 – GOD’S OWN (7/2)
2017 - POLITOLOGUE (5/2 fav)
2016 – SIR VALENTINO (10/1)
2015 – VIBRATO VALTAT (5/2 fav)
2014 – GOD’S OWN (8/1)
2013 – SOMERSBY (9/2)
2012 – CUE CARD (5/6 fav)
2011 – MEDERMIT (7/2)
2010 – TCHICO POLOS (3/1)
2009 – PLANET OF SOUND (4/1 fav)
2008 – ASHLEY BROOK (8/1)
2007 – PABLO DU CHARMIL (9/2)
2006 – IMPEK (9/1)
2005 – MONKERHOSTIN (10/1)
2004 – AZERTYUIOP (6/5 fav)
2003 – EDREDON BLEU (7/2)
2002 -  EDREDON BLEU (10/1)

Haldon Gold Cup Betting Trends

19/19 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
18/19 – Having their 1st run of the new season
17/19 – Officially rated 150 or higher
17/19 – Had won a chase race over at least 2m2f before
16/19 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
13/19 – Won by a French-bred horse
13/19 – Carried 10-9 or more
12/19 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
11/19 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (5) last time out
10/19 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
10/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/19 – Had won just 3 previous times over fences
7/19 – Winning favourites
7/19 – Unplaced favourites
5/19 – Had won over fences at Exeter before
5/19 – Carried 11-10
5/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/19 – Aged 7 years-old
3/19 – Trained by Tom George
3/19 – Won their last race
2/19 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
The average winning SP in the last 19 years is 5/1

 

 

 

Melbourne Cup Trends

Run each year on the first Tuesday in November the Melbourne Cup is dubbed as ‘the race that stops a nation’ and run over 2 miles it’s the richest handicap run over that distance in the world.

The 2021 race will be staged on Tuesday 2nd November.

Staged at Flemington racecourse in Melbourne (Australia), the race always attracts runners from all corners of the globe, but there are also many key pointers and trends to help you find the winner of the Melbourne Cup.

 

 

Recent Melbourne Cup Winners

2020 - TWILIGHT PAYMENT (25/1)
2019 –
VOW AND DECLARE (10/1)
2018 –
CROSS COUNTER (8/1)
2017 –
REKINDLING (14/1)
2016 –
ALMANDIN (10/1)
2015 –
PRINCE OF PENZANCE (100/1)
2014 –
PROTECTIONIST (7/1)
2013 –
FIORENTE (6/1 fav)
2012 – GREEN MOON (19/1)
2011 – DUNADEN (15/2)
2010 – AMERICAIN (12/1)
2009 – SHOCKING (9/1)
2008 – VIEWED (40/1)
2007 – EFFICIENT (16/1)
2006 – DELTA BLUES (17/1)
2005 – MAKYBE DIVA (17/5 fav)
2004 – MAKYBE DIVA (13/5 fav)

Key Melbourne Cup Betting Trends and Stats

17/17 – Had won a Group class race before
15/17 – Won 8 or fewer races before
15/17 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
15/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
14/17 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
14/17 – Raced at Geelong (2), Flemington (3), Caulfield (4) or Moon Valley (5) last time
12/17 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/17 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
11/17 – Aged 5 or older
11/17 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
11/17 – Had raced at Flemington Park before (7 won there)
10/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
10/17 – Won by a AUS-based horse
10/17 – Aged 6 or older
9/17 – Horses from stall 10 or 11 placed
9/17 – Had won over 1m7f or further before
8/17 – Won by a 6 year-old
7/17 – Placed favourites
4/17 – Had won just once before
4/17 – Won last time out
4/17 – Had raced in a previous Melbourne Cup
3/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – English/Irish winners
2/17 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 18/1

 

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Charlie Hall Chase Trends

Run at Wetherby racecourse the Bet365 Charlie Hall Chase is a Grade 2 contest run over 3m1f. With 18 fences to be jumped this gives National Hunt fans an early season chance to see some of the top chasers back on the track, and can often provide a good guide to the main jumps festivals later in the season.

We take a look back at recent winners and gives you all the stats that matter ahead of the Charlie Hall Chase (30th Oct 2021) race - did you know that 14 of the last 19 winners were aged 8 or older, while it's a race the Nigel Twiston-Davies yard have a great record in - winning it six times, including in two of the last four seasons.

 

Recent Charlie Hall Chase Winners

2020 - CYRNAME (3/1)
2019 – BALLYOPTIC (11/4)
2018 – DEFINITLY RED (3/1)
2017 - BRISTOL DE MAI (6/1)
2016 – IRISH CAVALIER (16/1)
2015 – CUE CARD (11/4 fav)
2014 – MENORAH (8/1)
2013 – HARRY TOPPER (5/1)
2012 – SILVINIACO CONTI (11/10 fav)
2011 – WEIRD AL (7/1)
2010 – NACARAT (6/1)
2009 – DEEP PURPLE (9/2)
2008 – STATE OF PLAY (5/2 fav)
2007 – OLLIE MAGERN (11/4)
2006 – OUR VIC (6/1)
2005 – OLLIE MAGERN (5/2 fav)
2004 – GREY ABBEY (5/1)
2003 – BALLYBOUGH RASHER (40/1)
2002 – MARLBOROUGH (7/2)

Charlie Hall Chase Betting Trends

17/19 – Rated 151 or higher
16/19 – Were having their first run of the season
16/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
14/19 – Aged 8 or older
13/19 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
12/19 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
11/19 – Ran at Ayr (3), Aintree (6) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
11/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Had run at Wetherby before (4 won)
7/19  - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (6 wins in total)
2/19 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (4 wins in total)
2/19 – Trained by Evan Williams
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005, 2007, 2017 and 2019
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 13/2

 

 

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Saturday TV Trends Sat TV Trends: 30th Oct 2021

Another cracking Saturday of LIVE ITV Racing and it’s jumping all the way!

At Wetherby, the Grade Two bet365 Charlie Hall Chase is their main event, while at Ascot the competitive Bateaux London Gold Cup Handicap is always a competitive affair to unravel.

Did you know? Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the Charlie Hall Chase six times

While, over in Ireland we've also got the Ladbrokes Champion Steeplechase from Down Royal - a prize the Noel Meade and Gordon Elliott yards have won 7 times between them in the last 8 runnings.

To help, we are on hand with all the key race trends for this Saturday’s LIVE ITV races - use these stats to whittle down the runners and find the best profiles of past winners.

Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/Sky)

1.35 - Ascot Underwriting Chase (A Novices´ Limited Handicap) Cl3 2m3f ITV4

8 previous runnings
8/8 – Aged 7 or younger
7/8 – Irish bred
7/8 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Yet to win over fences
5/8 – Aged 6 year-old
3/8 – Had run at Ascot before
2/8 – Winning favourites

2.10 – Bateaux London Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m ITV4

17/17 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
17/17 – Had won over at 2m or 2m1f over hurdles before
14/17 – Never raced at Ascot before
14/17 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles
10/17 – Having their first run of the season
9/17 – Unplaced last time out
9/17 – Placed favourites
8/17 – Winning favourites (1 co, 2 joint)
6/17 – Ran at Huntingdon (3) or Aintree (3) last time out
7/17 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/17 – Won by a French bred horse
4/17 – Ridden by a conditional jockey
3/17 – Won by trainer Alan King, including two of last 4 renewals
2/17 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/17 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/17 - Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
7 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 years-old

 

2.45 – Byrne Group Handicap Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f ITV4

15/18 – Aged 8 years-old or younger
13/18 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Irish (5) or French (7) bred
12/18 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences before
10/18 – Having their first run of the new season
10/18 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
8/18 – Rated 130 or lower
8/18 – Unplaced favourites
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Aged 8 years-old
4/18 – Ran at either Ascot (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
4/18 – Won carrying 11-12
4/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Venetia Williams
Amoola Gold (9/2) won the race in 2020
Diego Du Charmil (13/2) won the race in 2019


3.20 – Bateaux London Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cl1 3m ITV4

16/16 – Had won a chase race over at least 2m4f before
13/16 – Didn’t win last time out
12/16 – Had run at Ascot before (6 won)
11/16 – Carried 10-10 or more
10/16 – Had won at least 3 times over fences before
10/16 – Aged 8 or older
10/16 – Having their first run of the season
9/16 – Unplaced favourites
9/16 – Had won a chase race over at least 3m before
9/16 – Unplaced in their last race
9/16 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or more
6/16 – Officially rated 135 to 138 inc
6/16 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/16 – Trained by Gary Moore
2/16 – Ran at Sandown last time out
2/16 – Ridden by Aidan Coleman
Vinndication (2/1 fav) won the race in 2019
Regal Encore won the race in 2020
9 of the last 11 winners were aged 9 or younger
Go Conquer won the race in 2017 and was third in 2018

 

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.20 - bet365 Handicap Chase Cl3 (4yo+ 0-125) 2m3 1/2f ITV4

Just 3 previous runnings
2/3 – Winning favourites
2/3 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
Trainer Tom George won the race in 2020
Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies won the race in 2019
Trainer Charlie Longsdon won the 2018 running

 

1.55 – bet365 Mares´ Hurdle (Listed Race) Cl1 2m110y ITV4

13/14 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
12/14 – Had between 2-5 previous hurdles wins to their name
11/14 – Having their first run of the season
10/14 – Never raced at Wetherby before
9/14 – Placed favourites
9/14 – Had won a NH Flat race previously
8/14 – Finished unplaced last time out
7/14 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Ran at Punchestown last time out
2/14 – Trained by John Quinn
Mrs Hyde (6/1) won the race in 2020

2.30 – bet365 Hurdle (West Yorkshire Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m26y ITV4

19/19 – Had won over at least 2m3f over hurdles before
18/19 – Had won at least 3 times over hurdles before
17/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Won this on their seasonal reappearance
16/19 – Failed to win their last race
14/19 – Officially rated 149 or higher
13/19 – Placed favourites
13/19 – Aged 6,7 or 8 years-old
11/19 – Finished unplaced last time out
10/19 – Ran at either Aintree (5) or Cheltenham (5) last time out
7/19 – Had won at Wetherby before
5/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/19 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
Roksana (13/8) won this race in 2020
The Worlds End (7/2) won this race in 2019

 

3.05 – bet365 Charlie Hall Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f ITV

17/19 – Rated 151 or higher
16/19 – Were having their first run of the season
16/19 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
14/19 – Aged 8 or older
13/19 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
12/19 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
11/19 – Ran at Ayr (3), Aintree (6) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
11/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Had run at Wetherby before (4 won)
7/19  - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/19 – Winning favourites
4/19 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies (6 wins in total)
2/19 - Trained by Paul Nicholls (4 wins in total)
2/19 – Trained by Evan Williams
Nigel Twiston-Davies has won the race in 1992, 1994, 2005, 2007, 2017 and 2019
The average winning SP in the last 19 runnings is 13/2

Down Royal Horse Racing Trends

2.50 – Ladbrokes Champion Chase (Grade 1) 3m ITV4

14/16 – Had won at least a Grade 2 Chase before
13/16 – Had won at least 5 times over fences before
12/16 – Aged 8 or older
12/16 – Had won over at least 3m over fences before
12/16 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/16 – Winning distance 2 ½ lengths or more
11/16 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/16 – Had won a Grade 1 Chase before
7/16 – Having their first run of the season (including 6 of last 9 winners)
7/16 – Winning favourites
7/16 – Had run at Down Royal before
5/16 – Won their last race
4/16 – Trained by Gordon Elliott (4 of the last 8)
4/16 – Raced at Aintree last time out
4/16 – Raced at Limerick last time out
4/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/16 - Trained by Noel Meade (3 of the last 7)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 

 

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