GeeGeez April Catch Up

Nothing specific to write about today, dear reader, but I did want to take the opportunity to catch up on a few things, and keep you appraised of what's next...

Flat Racing Profiles, which has had an expectedly quiet start, due to the season still being in it's infancy, got off the mark yesterday at Beverley.

From next week, there will be much more action as the evening racing season kicks in and, now that many of the horses have a run under their belt, I expect things to really pick up for us.

A couple of horses to note from yesterday's racing at Beverley were Rowan Lodge and Bajan Pride. These two finished first and second respectively in a lowly seller, but it should be noted the winner was drawn 1 of 17, and the 2nd horse was drawn 5. Given that the next SIX home were drawn 13, 17, 12, 16, 15, 14 (i.e. the top six boxes), it is safe to assume that the winner was value for more than just the winning margin!

Now, please remember, this was selling race form, so don't expect Rowan to go and win a Group race. But in a Class5 Handicap, a claimer, or a seller, he looks a strong contender to follow up. Bajan Pride should also be noted next time, especially if the draw is more favourable (he is actually entered at Wolverhampton on 20th April, but I'm not certain the track suits - I'd wait for his next turf run).

Over at Newmarket, the Craven meeting is in full swing, and there were some nice performances yesterday, notably from the filly Fantasia. It should be said that she beat a bunch of mostly moderate handicappers, but a seven length win is not to be sniffed at.

Ouqba, a decent 2yo, looks to have trained on as well for the previously mentioned hot hot hot Barry Hills stable, and readily put his adversaries to the sword in the European Free Handicap. I'm not at all sure he can win a Guineas, but he looks a decent sort for a race like the Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot.

Today, they race in the Wood Ditton, a 3yo maiden for horses who've yet to race. There is the usual parade of late developing blue bloods here, and a watching brief is recommended. Some very nice animals will improve for their run in here today...

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Meanwhile, over at Laying System, April has been a remarkable month to date, with a profit of 40 points thus far. I do expect a correction some time soon, as this is the nature of the game, but we will continue to make hay while the sun shines. If you want to trial it, click here. (Note, we lay horses at up to 14/1, so you need a bank and some discipline to make this professional laying service work for you - it is NOT for everyone!).

Finally, it's Thursday, so it must be Thursday Fun... I've had the pleasure of my 11 year old niece staying with me for the last couple of days, and she's dragged me to all sorts of places I wouldn't normally go (Primark on Oxford Street being a particularly painful experience!).

However, we also went to London Zoo, which was (and always is) fantastic, so here are a few creature comfort moments to hopefully make you chuckle:

'Zoos are a bit like nursing homes for poor animals...!'

Matt

16 replies
  1. Tony says:

    Here’s a tip. Primark is no place for a grown man. It’s unsafe for men. Wait ouside. I was in there once and a toddler projectile vomited at me. Luckily I was quick on my feet and stepped sideways into the underwear department. The guy behind me wasn’t so quick on his feet.

  2. ronnie nicolson says:

    I am a bit confused over your comments on flat racing profiles yesterday..rowan Lodge was a lay suggestion that won at 12/1!!
    dont remember bajan pride being mentioned.
    which brings me to the question- is there a archive of the daily horse info?
    Yesterday at Newmarket the trend info didnt help at all …couragious , summer fete ,derbass all unplaced

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      Hi Ronnie

      Rowan Lodge was VERY CLEARLY stated as a lay at 7/1 or less. 12/1 is not less than 7/1, I think you’ll agree. Hopefully nothing too confusing there.

      Regarding the trends selections, it should also come as no surprise that not every horse race will be won by the trends selection. With the best will in the world, we are trying to offer ‘grown up’ racing information to grown ups.

      It’s unhelpful and a little upsetting if all you can do is pick holes. David, Gavin and I are horse racing statisticians who follow the sport. We are NOT, I repeat NOT clairvoyant, magicians, alchemists or soothsayers. We did however provide a 33/1 winner just three days ago, which has afforded some lucky souls foreign jaunts.

      If you’re looking for something that promises winners every day, I’m afraid you won’t find it here.

      Matt

  3. Donkers says:

    Yes, that was me 😉 I was expecting it to be a 6f Projectile Vomit handicap, but it was a 5f stakes sprint for 3 year olds and this one fairly bolted out of the stalls!

  4. ronnie nicolson says:

    Yesterdays 4-55 at Beverly had Miss Gibboa as a profiles bet..the horse traded at around 12/1 until shortly before the off when it drifted steadily to an sp of 22/1. and up to 70 on betfair.It duly remained toward the rear and its price stayed sky high on betfair.
    any thoughts??

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      Thoughts? Yes, not fancied, ran accordingly. Will either drop in grade, or go up in trip. In either case, given connections, there could be some ‘sport’ to be had yet. Alas, not yesterday.

  5. mbackhouse says:

    I think you all are doing a good job,i followed the trends and didnt get one horse placed so be it.Trends carnt always come up trumps or we,d all be millionaires.Keep the info coming.

  6. wimbledon44 says:

    Does anyone know if RacindMaestro is a scam. Can the Betfair screenshots be manipulated ?

  7. Jim says:

    I think the results have been pretty solid – even spectacular with 2 big priced winners. The flat racing profiles comments were clear although it is still surprising to see a big priced winner drawn 1 of 17 at Beverley. Hence your advice to watch out for it over similar grade and circumstances is solid.
    Is there an archive of the daily posts?
    Keep up the good work. Jim

  8. paul says:

    nobody can knock the info and hard work that is being put into this thank you very much but i must insist you carry on at the sam standard

  9. Ronnie says:

    Well its unhelpful and a little upsetting if you take my comments entirely the wrong way.
    I thought it was a given that we are all on the same side here.
    Anyway we all learn more from our losers than our winners so it is always good to examine why the trends in this case at Newbury were not helpful in finding winners.Even Twice Over was surprisingly beaten.
    All that said to redress the balance i do offer congrats for niche market and wish us all luck today with Chief Dan George and Merigo.

  10. Ronnie says:

    Well its unhelpful and a little upsetting if you take my comments entirely the wrong way.
    I thought it was a given that we are all on the same side here.
    Anyway we all learn more from our losers than our winners so it is always good to examine why the trends in this case at Newbury were not helpful in finding winners.Even Twice Over was surprisingly beaten.
    All that said to redress the balance i do offer congrats for niche market and wish us all luck today with Chief Dan George and Merigo.

  11. Ronnie says:

    Bad news..Merigo withdrawn..presumably it would not have won anyway if ground condtions have forced withdrawal.

  12. Steve says:

    Dear Matt/Gavin,
    It is a very quiet and peculiar time of the year for betting and the moaners will never be satisfied. The profiles are very very good and represent a tremendous amount of hard work but they are only a guide and if these prats haven’t learnt to lose yet they should be back in the nursery. If they make a bet that important they are betting out of their league.
    Please keep up the good work as there are a lot of us who appreciate it and I am sure we will have a great season.
    Many thanks from the old fella

    Steve

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