Short post today, dear reader, as I've cricked my neck and typing is killing me!
Much better betting day for me personally yesterday, with both placepots up (Perth and Goodwood) for multiple lines (2 times Goodwood's Â£65.80 and 3.60 times Perth's Â£45.50). I also had a few place wagers cop, including Life And Soul (20/1 from 25's) and Kinky Afro (11/1 from 20's).
But the best of the day was at Galway, where the five shortlisted horses in the trends report for the Galway Plate (our only race of the day) including third placed Majestic Concorde, the 3/1 favourite; second placed Themoonandsixpence, at 7/1 from an advised 10/1; and the winner, Finger Onthe Pulse, at 22/1 (backed by me at 38 on Betfair, Betfair SP of 50!).
It was a fantastic race to watch anyway, but having the first three home in such a hyper-competitive event was brilliant!
Interesting side note. The computer straight forecast paid â‚¬166.48. The tote exacta paid â‚¬1,070.40!! In a race the tote sponsored! They couldn't have asked for better publicity.
We've previewed five of the twelve races we're going to preview for Galway, and it's not too late to get in for the other seven. The price remains that same - â‚¬9.95 - and the page is here.
Meanwhile, back down south at Goodwood, it looks a little easier today than yesterday (famous last words?!), so let's have a quick squint before my neck caves in...
2.10 This one is clearly not easy, and my only investment will be trying to survive leg one of the placepot. Johnston is the only trainer who has saddled a horse to win with nine stone or more in the last decade (in fact, all three of his winners in that time lugged nine stone or more), so Capponi is a must for the shortlist.
Johnny G(osden) has two wins in the same period, so Beachfire is in the perm too. And I'll chuck in 'Sir' Henry's Rigidity as well. If those three don't get me through, fair enough, I'll wipe my mouth. (I had a very big perm on Tuesday that went down in the first race, and got through yesterday with just two, compared to five on Tuesday!)
2.45 Yikes! Seventeen runners, five furlongs, licketty-split. Borderlescott is quick, consistent, a tremendous battler, and has Mister Fallon up top today. He's going to hit the board, for sure. A huge spoonful of spice is added to the mixing bowl here by the appearance of a US-trained turf sprinter in the form of Starfish Bay, ridden by Frankie Dettori.
I'm sorry but if this one wins, I'm giving the game up. He won an ungraded event around the dog track at Monmouth last time and, in his only Graded appearance, he was stuffed sixth of eleven in a Grade 3. Given that our Group 3 turf sprinters are generally better than their Grade 1 turf sprinters, I just cannot see why this one's favourite. Starfish? More like red herring to me. (Cue egg on face and humble pie added to the menu tomorrow!)
Triple Aspect looks far more likely to run his race than the Yankee, and he's added as placepot ballast. But it's all about Kieren, Ron Bastiman, and Borderlescott for me. Come on the old boys! 🙂
3.25 The Goodwood Cup. Perennial bridesmaid Age Of Aquarius takes on nonagenarian plugger, Caracciola, and a host of others over two miles. One horse stands out for me here. I failed to back him the last Friday when I was at Goodwood and he won for the sixth time at the track. Step forward, Mr Illustrious Blue.
Since his last Goodwood victory, he stepped up to two miles to win the Group 3 Sagaro Stakes at Ascot and, whilst seemingly having something to find, there's no question he's a seven pound better horse on the Sussex Downs. 10/1 looks a cracking each way poke.
Tactic looks progressive, and a win over Profound Beauty last time gives him the beating of Age Of Aquarius on the form book, but he may not stay as well as some of these, and AoA is one of those that will always run close to the winner without necessarily putting his head in front.
AoA is the placepot banker, with Illustrious Blue the each way option.
4.00 'Sir' Henry won this last year with a 12/1 shot, and he has another chance with 33/1 Flame of Gibraltar here. She's been frustrating since finishing second in a Group 2 last year, but she's entitled to come on for her debut this season and the price is fat, all things considered.
They don't look a great bunch and this definitely has placepot buster written all over it. So... I'll perm a few with the Flame: Polly's Mark, Myplacelater and Ship's Biscuit.
4.35 If I'm still alive in the 'pot, I like my chances of getting a share. In the fillies' maiden (how can anyone like their chances when the next race is a fillies' maiden?!), James Given will be looking to enhance his excellent Goodwood record with Fenella Fudge. That said, his 8% strike rate with juveniles over the last five years and 0 for 22 this season is off-putting in the extreme. I'll let her go if she's to win today - she does have arguably the best form here.
Electra Star gets the nod then, with the benefit of experience and the certainty that the extra furlong will see her in better light than when running on over six at Newbury on debut. That was a fair contest and, whilst Stoute's Regal Heiress is feared, experience is key here. I'll include Dubawi Gulf for 'pot perm purposes, and also Opera Dancer.
5.10 I'm using the draw as my first eliminator here, despite what RP Postdata says. I'm looking for an 8+ berthed animal, and Cansili Star - drawn eight - looks right. Michael Jarvis' stable form this season has been incredible, and this one was unlucky not to grab a hat-trick last time when never quite getting there behind Below Zero at Chester. I'm not sure the track would have suited, and he's my wager here.
In the hope of getting an outsider placed, I'm also going with Gunner Lindley, Stefanki and Venutius.
The perm then looks thus:
1. 3, 8, 9
2. 2, 9
4. 3, 6, 12, 13
5. 2, 3, 8
6. 6, 7, 10, 14
288 @ 20p = Â£57.60
I'm off to rest my aching neck...