Woodhay Wonder and P J McDonald win the £150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes for trainer Tom Ward at Newmarket. 7/10/2023 Pic Steve Davies/Racingfotos.com

Goodwood & Newmarket TV Trends: Friday 3rd May 2024

A busy weekend for the ITV cameras gets going on Friday with action from Newmarket and Goodwood.

There are four races from Newmarket - flat racing's HQ - to take in on ITV, with the Group 2 Jockey Club Stakes one of the highlights at 4:10pm.

While, we've also got three at Goodwood, what will see two winners from last season - Spanish Star and Dream Composer - back to defend their titles.

To help you try and find the winners, we've got the key trends and stats for each LIVE ITV race.

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Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV)

2:25 - William Hill Newmarket Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2f ITV

8/10 – Winners from stalls 1 or 2
6/10 – Returned 5/2 or shorter
5/10 – Winners from stall 1
4/10 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (including last 2)
4/10 – Ridden by William Buick (including last 2)
4/10 – Godolphin owned
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Ridden by David Egan
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 26% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 28% strike-rate riding 3 year-olds at the track

3:00 - William Hill Epic Boost Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 7f ITV

Just two previous runnings
Both winners from stall 2
Charlie Johnston and Andrew Balding past winning trainers
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 35% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Charlie Johnston has a 25% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Richard Hannon is just 1 from 42 (2%) with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 29% strike-rate riding 4+ year-olds at the track

3:35 - William Hill King Charles II Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 7f ITV

8/10 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Drawn in stalls 1 or 2
7/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/10 – Ridden by Sean Levey
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 26% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 28% strike-rate riding 3 year-olds at the track

4:10 - William Hill Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

19/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/20 – Won over 1m4f+ before
15/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
15/20 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
14/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
14/20 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
12/20 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
11/20 – Aged 4 years-old
11/20 – Rated 112 or higher
10/20 – Winning favourites
10/20 – Had won a Group race before
9/20 – Won last time out
8/20 – Aged 5 years-old
7/20 – Having their first run of the season
7/20 – Ran at Newbury last time out
5/20 – Won by the Johnston yard (Mark/Charlie)
3/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/20 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute

Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (ITV)

2:40 - British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands C/D) (Qualifier) (GBB/IRE Incentive Race) Cl2 (2yo) 5f ITV

Just three past runnings
All three winners returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
All three winners drawn between 3-7
2 winning favourites
Trainers Rod Milman, George Scott and William Haggas have won the race before
Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton is just 1-from-24 with her 2 year-olds at the track
Trainer Diego Dias is 1-from-1 with his 2 year-olds at the track

3:15 - British Stallion Studs John Dunlop EBF Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 (3yo) 1m ITV

Just three previous runnings
2 of the three winners from stalls 4
All three winners from stalls 4 or 5
1 winning favourite
2 of the 3 winners carried 9-6 or more
2 of 3 winners aged 6+
Spanish Star won the race in 2023
Trainers Patrick Chamings, Charles Hills and David Menuisier have won the race before
Trainer Jack Channon has a 25% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Roger Teal has a 21% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey David Probert is just 3 from 48 riding 4+ year-olds at the track

3:50 - William Hill Epic Boost Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV

8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/10 – Carried between 9-2 and 9-7 in weight
7/10 – Between stalls 4-8 (inc)
5/10 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 5 winners came from stall 8
Dream Composer won the race in 2023
Trainer James Evans has a 30% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Jack Channon has a 25% strike-rate with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is just 5 from 69 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock is 0-from-28 with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

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