Many thanks, dear reader, to the number of you who emailed me about yesterday's tardy email regarding the chances of Night Orbit, the beast co-owned by me. I had said he was fancied and indeed he duly romped home at a tidy enough 5/2.
Alas, in order to communicate with you I'm required to use something called an autoresponder: this is simply an email sending contraption, and I have to say it is a very good one at that. But... occasionally, presumably due to the number of other people who also use the device, my notes to you get jammed in the pipe and can sometimes take up to two hours to arrive. They normally get to you within ten minutes.
The truth is I didn't send yesterday's email until 1pm, as I'd been out enjoying my Sunday morning (as I hope many of you were too). I thought it only fair to mention that the horse was running, seeing as I know many of you look out for the old mule and are almost as invested in him as me!
Well, the note arrived - depending on which email I pick from the virtual postbag - somewhere between 2.08 and 2.17pm. The race of course was at 2pm. As you mostly correctly identified, this was as useful as a chocolate teapot or a beach hut in the Arctic.
My favourite of over fifty emails was from 'Mooner', who was indeed very cheeky! He replied at 4.45pm, saying,
" Thanks for the tip, I have a horse running in the 3.20 Fakenham called Rackalackey and the trainer said he should win, the danger might be Leopold so do a reverse forecast as well - just in case.
Haha, very funny mate!
Seriously, I was gutted that the note didn't get to you in time. Orbit actually fair bolted up, with the slightly stiffer track, tackier going, and longer trip all playing to his strengths (i.e. stamina over speed!). The horse in 2nd was Dinarius, beaten eight lengths, and he was rated 122, with a well backed McCoy ridden debutante (strong flat form) back another four lengths in third. It was 30 lengths and more back to the rest.
The proximity of the highest rated jumps horse and the best backed horse gives the form a solid look, and it's possible that Orbit might be rated around 120 in due course over hurdles. He's definitely found his metier, having struggled to catch slightly quicker animals over inadequate flat race trips, and - as a novice, and if the tracks stay soggy - he'd be capable of winning a couple more novice hurdles and perhaps a handicap or two in due course.
Whether you got on yesterday or not, there look to be further races to be won by 'mighty' Night Orbit!
Now, partially by way of apology, and partly because I was going to it anyway... ok, mostly because I was going to do it anyway, but it's turned out to be timed rather well... I've got a week of freebies for you.
As well as the The Insider sports betting magazine that you can trial for free here, I've got a load of trainers to follow in the next few weeks, and two interesting systems that work especially well in low grade races (of which there are many!).
Today though, I wanted to tell you the names of five trainers you ought to keep on your side over the next few weeks. Their horses are in form currently, and their records in May for the last two years have been equally impressive. Clearly they are early season flyers and worth tracking:
|Trainer||May 07&08||May 09 To Date|
|Strike Rate||P/L||Strike Rate||P/L|
|C F Wall||13-68||+29.96||3-15||+13.25|
|Sir M Prescott||10-47||+17.08||2-9||+4.50|
|H Candy||9-55||+14.39||2-14||-2.00||(8 of last 9 runners 2nd-5th)|
|P W Hiatt||6-42||+9.25||1-9||-4.50||(less winners, bigger prices)|
|D R C Elsworth||12-97||+21.45||4-23||-8.00||(watch for 'Elsy' at Newmarket)|
Now I know the last three are currently in negative equity for this month, and that - consequently - a leap of faith is required. However, Henry Candy's runners are all performing creditably and, with a modicum more fortune, he would be nicely in front again. His string are clearly well.
Peter Hiatt is something of a speculative inclusion, and one might be a tad more circumspect with one's staking with this chap's runners. When they win, they are bigger prices. But they don't win so often.
Finally, my old mate David Elsworth will be banging them in again soon. His record at Newmarket is particularly impressive and, along with John Gosden, I always look for his runners there.
Tomorrow, I'll bring you a little system that's done very nicely over the last few seasons; Wednesday we'll take five more trainers; Thursday another system; and, Friday, a further five handlers to follow.
Don't forget to keep an eye out for the daily system trials - remember you can most easily find them by clicking the 'Current System Trials' button in the top bar: