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Kerry National Trends

Run over 3m the Guinness Kerry National is a Grade A Handicap Chase staged at Listowel racecourse.

Trainer Gordon Elliott has won two of the last four runnings, while we’ve not seen a winning favourite in the last 18 renewals.

Horse racing trends expert Andy Newton takes a look back at past winners and gives you some of the key stats to look out for ahead of the 2020 renewal – this year run on Wednesday 23rd September.

 

Recent Kerry National Winners

2019 – Poker Party (14/1)
2018 – Snow Falcon (6/1)
2017 – Potters Point (8/1)
2016 – Wrath Of Titans (7/1)
2015 – Rogue Angel (8/1)
2014 – Your Busy (25/1)
2013 – White Star Line (16/1)
2012 – Faltering Fullback (33/1)
2011 – Alfa Beat (20/1)
2010 – Alfa Beat (6/1)
2009 – Northern Alliance (4/1 fav)
2008 – Ponmeoath (9/1)
2007 – Ponmeoath (14/1)
2006 – Bothar Na (10/1)
2005 – Euro Leader (11/2)
2004 – Banasan (7/1)
2003 – Native Performance (8/1)
2002 – Monty’s Pass (9/1)

 

Key Kerry National Betting Trends

18/18 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
16/18 – Rated 126 or higher
15/18 – Aged 8 or younger
15/18 – Had run at Listowel before (5 won)
13/18 – Had won at least twice over fences before
13/18 – Finished 4th or better last time out
12/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – The first three home were aged 9 or younger
10/18– Had won 5 or more times
9/18 – Favourites placed
8/18 – Winning distance between 1 and 4 lengths
8/18 – Carried 10-10 or more
6/18 – Had won over 3m (or further) before
5/18 – Ran at Galway last time out
3/18 – Trained by E McNamara
2/18 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/18 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
1/18 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 14/1

 

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