David Pipe expects his star novice chaser Dynaste to run at Cheltenham, but remains far from certain whether that will be in the RSA Chase or the shorter Jewson. He doesn’t expect to decide before the five-day entry stage, which leaves a dilemma for anyone currently thinking of backing him ante post.
Realistically, the answer to that is, if you haven’t already done so, don’t do it now – any value has gone. For the RSA he is the favourite with all the firms, ranging from 7/4 at Skybet to 9/4 at Paddy Power and Stan James. Turn to the Jewson and he’s favourite there as well, at least with William Hill, who have him at 5/2, though others have him at two or three times those odds.
History is against him winning the RSA. Dynaste has followed an identical path to that taken last season by stablemate Grands Crus. That involved three novice chases, at Cheltenham and Newbury in November, and then the Feltham at Kempton over Christmas. It’s the record of Feltham winners that really stands against Dynaste, as every one of them, 18 in total, that has gone on to the RSA has failed to win the Festival race.
Pipe seems happy to try and become the first, saying that he doesn’t know of any weaknesses in Dynaste, but admitted that a year ago he would have said the same of Grands Crus, who as well as missing out on the RSA has been pulled up in two of his three races this season. The RSA does seem the more likely of the two targets, with Pipe saying only that “If it’s bottomless I would be favouring the shorter race.”