Monday Musings: A Big Week…

The potential Juddmonte International field...

The potential Juddmonte International field...

It's going to be a big week, dear reader, for a number of reasons, principally of course the race of the season so far.

All the big guns stand their ground for Wednesday's Juddmonte International, meaning it will be a true race to savour.

Derby and Coral-Eclipse winner, Golden Horn takes on dual 2000 Guineas (and quadruple Group 1) winner, Gleneagles; ultra-impressive Royal Ascot winner, Time Test; and bombproof older horses, The Grey Gatsby (2nd in this last year) and Criterion (one of the very top Southern Hemisphere horses).

Phew!

York's Ebor meeting runs from Wednesday to Saturday, with the Ebor Handicap, Europe's richest, bringing down the curtain on a thrilling four days, where we'll have full big race previews on geegeez for the first three.

 

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Geegeez Gold subscribers will be looking forward to the meeting as much as the next man or woman, but they know that value is found on all floors of racing's daily department store, something recent days have epitomized as strongly as ever.

Gold's flagship tipping service - which is free on Mondays and can be found today, here - is having an annus mirabilis, standing as it does on the brink of 100 point profits for the year. The breakdown is thus:

Week +6.5
August +18.75
2015: +99.72
All time: +327.41 (since November 2011, when SotD started)

That's from a single one point bet Monday to Saturday. And, remarkably, last week's profit haul guaranteed a profit for the whole of 2015 even if every single bet for the rest of the year is a loser! A guaranteed profit in the middle of August!!!

That incredible performance has been further embellished by SotD's 'little sister', Double Dutch.

Double Dutch has made a profit of 24.78 points so far in 2015, bringing its overall tally to 112.7 points.

Across the pair, then, that's 440.11 points profit since we started these daily (Monday to Saturday) pieces. Or, in plain English, £4,401.10 profit to £10 stakes. Or £2.75 north of ELEVEN GRAND to £25 stakes.

Those are headline figures in anybody's books, and perhaps (read, almost certainly) I should be trumpeting them louder and charging a lot more. But that's not really the geegeez way, and nor will it ever be under my stewardship. Gold still costs the relatively piffling sum of £24 a month, or £197 a year (£16 a month).

I say 'relatively' because if twenty-four's are hard for you to come by then I don't want to sound dismissive. But, in the context of that level of performance, I can tell you that others - including the most famous tipping brands in racing - charge £97 a month. And that's just for their tips, which can't achieve the same level of profitability - or return on investment - as ours.

Gold also comprises cards and form tools which have been built to 'shortcut' the thinking processes. Again, plain English is called for. What we're trying to do is take raw horse racing data, and convert it firstly into information, but then - importantly - distil it into knowledge.

For instance, look at that Juddmonte racecard again:

The potential Juddmonte International field...

The potential Juddmonte International field...

Ignoring the series of icons under a horse's name, all of which impart reams of knowledge about that runner and its connections, let's just look at the trainer column on the right hand side.

See those green numbers? I use these personally as a cornerstone of my betting. "Is a trainer in form?" is the question they're attempting to answer. We can see that John Gosden has the full set of 14/30/C1/C09+ indicators.

That tells me straight away that he has good current form (14 day and 30 day), and good long term course form (one year, and since 2009). In other words, respect his team.

Now, if I want to know chapter and verse on Johnny G's form, I can click the trainer icon under one of his horses. Doing that will reveal the following:

John Gosden's form, sliced four ways

John Gosden's form, sliced four ways

We now have the constituent breakdown for those four indicators, inline right in the racecard. For each trainer, Gold cards display 14 day, 30 day, course 1 year and course 2009+ form figures... for both trainer and jockey. Pretty neat, huh?

And here's the really, REALLY cool part...

...this inline trainer/jockey information is free to EVERYONE, every single day on every single race!

If you currently use another free racecard, I'd love to know what it is that takes you there rather than to geegeez (so that we can potentially enhance and improve still further our offering 🙂   ).

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As well as the cards and the tips, Gold also has some incredible tools and reports. Everybody uses Gold differently, and there's certainly no 'right way' to use it.

In fact, scores of people only subscribe for the tips and never 'get their hands dirty' with cards, tools and reports. That's absolutely fine, of course, and as I've said they're getting incredible value purely in that context.

But for those that like to engage with the puzzle, there is a goldmine of knowledge knuggets to be harvested.

Again, personal tastes dictate how the content is used, but I wanted to show you a few of the reports I use, from yesterday's racing. Granted, it was an above average day, but by no means an outlier.

I start off with The Shortlist, as close as we have to a tipping report. Here's yesterday's:

A pretty 'average' day for The Shortlist

A pretty 'average' day for The Shortlist

In truth, it was a fairly unspectacular day for The Shortlist.

Your first 30 days for just £1

That said, the highest rated horse, Collen Beag, with a score of 13 (out of a possible 15), won. At 4/1. Of the 11's, Sureness was brought down very early on, having been well backed (including by me, sigh); Prince Connoisseur was 2nd, Togoville was 3rd (at a big price, I backed that one each way); and Patsio was disappointing, again having been well backed (including by me, sigh).

This report flags up 'live' ones, and it usually beats the market, which means it flags up 'live value' ones.

Oh, and it's free to registered free subscribers on Tuesdays. If you're not already registered, click here to put that right. Takes no more than 30 seconds.

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Next up on my report preferences is TJ Combo - free for registered free subscribers on Saturdays. I am especially keen on the 14 day and Course 2009+ views. It is one of the most consistent winner-finders in the entire Gold service. Here is yesterday's long term view:

TJ Combo: Winners, placers and plungers

TJ Combo: Winners, placers and plungers

It was actually a really good day to showcase the report. Here's why:

 - A Slattery/DP McDonogh had a well backed winner in Sors, who eventually returned at 15/2. Sharjah ran no sort of race for the same TJ (trainer/jockey) Combo.

 - Mrs J Harrington/S Foley combined with Ms Brinkleys, who finished 3rd at 3/1. However, what was remarkable about this was that I backed it each way at 10/1, which was generally available (indeed, earlier birds than me took 12's).

 - G Pakidis (who?!)/G F Carroll had Togoville, a horse that also appeared on The Shortlist. He was 14's early, I backed him at 12/1, and he ran 3rd at 11/1 for another nice place return.

Again, this report has far more spectacular days than yesterday, but I thought the different events surrounding horses flagged up might be more interesting than a pure hype-y 'look at all these winners' day. (Believe me, there are plenty of those too!)

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Next up, and probably my favourite of all, is the Trainer Handicap 1st Run [Code] report.

Fresh from nailing 9/1 (from 11/1) Western Way on Saturday night (which helped me scoop £570 for a £20 placepot bet, gloat gloat), the report had just two entries against my filters across all four date range options.

[Note, I do vary my filters on this report a little, as I'm always looking for a horse that could be about to show more as a result of running for the first time in a handicap].

Here's the 1 Year view:

Jeremy Scott and Nick Scholfield combine well...

Jeremy Scott's handicap first timer...

Miss Serious won by four lengths at odds of 4/1.

And here's the 2 Year view:

Ger Lyons da man...

Ger Lyons da man...

Intisari won by four lengths also, in a competitive big field flat handicap, at odds of 12/1.

I would normally back both of these, but yesterday I didn't back either. Sigh. As a point of interest, even when I miss winners such as these, I get a tremendous amount of satisfaction from knowing that some Gold subscribers would have been led straight to them, and may have backed them accordingly.

This is precisely what I mean when I say that Gold takes raw data, and converts it first into information but then into knowledge. Looking at a conventional racecard, you would have absolutely no chance whatsoever of knowing about Ger Lyons' excellent record with handicap first timers.

I've written on the subject of handicap first timers at great length previously. This post is highly recommended, and so is this one.

Incidentally, remember the green trainer and jockey form indicators from earlier? Gold subscribers see an HC1 indicator next to a horse that is in a handicap for the first time in that race code, so such animals are always flagged up as worthy of closer consideration. Yet another 'instant' piece of knowledge in the Gold arsenal.

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I also look at both the Trainer Change and Trainer 2yo 1st Time reports daily. There was nothing to note on the TC report yesterday, aside from a 20/1 Brian Ellison runner (we also flag TC's on the racecard for Gold subscribers), but the 2yo report had two entries:

Two out of two is all right!

Two out of two is all right!

Richard Fahey has been a constant source of winners on this report all season, and regular users know his juvenile first timers are backable blindly. That's knowledge, not information, or data. What's really interesting is that quite a few of these have been weak in the betting but still won!

Appleton added to the trainer's fine Pontefract record yesterday, winning as the 11/4 favourite. Paul Deegan is a very good trainer of two-year-olds too, and he fired in Well Caught at 7/2, to take his Dundalk record with such runners to 33% winners.

A tidy little 16/1 double from the only two qualifiers on the report.

**

Geegeez Gold has been designed to appeal to punters of all experience levels, and regardless of your available time to look at the racing.

Beginner and/or busy? No problem, Stat of the Day is for you. As is Double Dutch and, perhaps, The Shortlist report. And, though I haven't mentioned it here, when you have a few minutes check out the Instant Expert tabs on the racecards - they're very cool and as easy to use as a set of traffic lights.

More experienced but still short on time? Whizz through the reports, and check out recent form via the green racecard indicators. It's what I do most days when I don't have the luxury of a couple of hours to pore over the cards.

More experienced with more time? Pace, Full Form Filter, speed ratings, the reports, inline form (including 'Then What?' form follow), breeding/sales data... treat yourself!

After a quieter time recently on the feature development front, we have plenty planned for the last quarter of the year. But we're conscious not to clutter the layouts (if it ain't broke, don't fix it, as a smart but linguistically challenged somebody once said).

And we're committed to only providing content which can be consumed as knowledge rather than data or information. That may seem like a subtle nuance at first thought, but it's actually what differentiates Gold cards, tools and reports from anything else out there - in the UK and Irish racing space at least.

Gold is immense value and, even when the subscription fees go up slightly in the near future, it will still be immense value (just £2 staked on every Stat of the Day in 2015 would have paid for an annual subscription, and £4 on each would have covered a (not currently available) Lifetime sub!).

If you're an existing subscriber, you will never pay more than you currently do for Gold for as long as you remain a subscriber, and that's a promise.

If you're not currently a Gold subscriber, you can take a 14 day trial for a fiver, here:

You can subscribe here

[Free registered users should log in first, please, to frustration and admin for both of us! 😉 ]

Or, if you want to know more, try the following links:

Tipping

Racecards

Form Tools

Reports

What our users think

**

Finally, depending on when you read this post, you may or may not be aware of some interesting news regarding betting on racing in UK and your humble scribe. I can't say any more at this moment, but I will have a few further words on the matter tomorrow. I'm delighted to be able to represent geegeez readers, as well as myself, in this potentially breakthrough opportunity.

It's going to be a big week...

Matt

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28 replies
  1. Stuart Eyre says:

    Just want to say I took the £5 trial month & by following SotD alone at £4 per point made enough profit to see it’s well worth £25 per month.
    Also contains interesting ‘musings’, tips/systems on the blog & the fantastic racecards.
    Haven’t looked at the Racing Post since discovering the’Gold’ service.
    Many thanks to you, Chris & the rest of the team – truly a wonderful website.

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      That’s wonderful to hear, Stuart, thank you for sharing.

      I would just add a touch of ‘reality’. We’re always conscious that after a good run inevitably comes a bad run – and vice versa – so SotD can be expected to have a downturn at some point, though hopefully not for a while yet!

      Thanks again for your comment,
      Matt

  2. Bubbles180 says:

    Great read gonna follow a few of these today some races double up but nothing ventured nothing gained

    Shadad @ 5.50 Single

    Shadad @ 5.50
    Winter Hey Lane @ 3.50
    Aloysius @ 7.00
    Trixie, 4 bets

    Pinky Promise @ 4.50
    Baltic Knight @ 6.00
    Singoalla @ 4.00
    Doubles, 3 bets

    Pinky Promise @ 4.50
    Baltic Knight @ 6.00
    Singoalla @ 4.00
    Trixie, 4 bets
    Winter Hey Lane @ 3.50
    Euxton @ 6.50
    Doubles, 1 bet
    Euxton @ 6.50 Single
    Winter Hey Lane @ 3.50 Single

    Singoalla @ 4.00
    Dancing Star @ 3.50
    Savvy @ 6.00
    Trebles, 1 bet

    Singoalla @ 4.00
    Dancing Star @ 3.50
    Savvy @ 6.00
    Doubles, 3 bets

    Savvy @ 6.00
    Singoalla @ 4.00
    Doubles, 1 bet

    Savvy @ 6.00
    Singoalla @ 4.00
    Doubles, 1 bet

    Singoalla @ 4.00 Single
    Savvy @ 6.00 Single

    Dancing Star @ 3.50
    Bella Lulu @ 3.00
    Postbag @ 3.50
    Algaith @ 3.25
    Maftool @ 3.50
    Trebles, 4 bets

    Dancing Star @ 3.50
    Bella Lulu @ 3.00
    Postbag @ 3.50
    Algaith @ 3.25
    Maftool @ 3.50
    Doubles, 8 bets

    Dancing Star @ 3.50 Single

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      Hi Bubbles,

      The place for this sort of ‘private’ Gold content is the forum, really. I’ve let it go this time, but am not keen for tips or Gold content to appear in the main blog comments.

      Hope you understand, and that sounds fair enough. And, more importantly, good luck!

      Matt

  3. chrismac says:

    Geegeez is the best way to learn to win at racing, sotd has taught me so much in what is really important for value profitable betting, the amount of times I bet a horse at 5/1+ and see it returned at 3/1 and less is remarkable, it doesn’t even matter if it wins or not because I know I’ve had value and this gives me an edge in the long term. Thanks Matt and Chris

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      You’ve hit the nail squarely on the head there, Chris. Beat the market and you win. There is nothing else to know. (Except HOW to beat the market consistently!)

      Matt

  4. Chris Worrall says:

    Just a quick addition to Matt’s excellent précis of the tools…

    I’ve been personally backing the TJ Combo Course 2009+ runners most days for the last six weeks and I’m currently 40pts to the good!

    • Clayton Risk says:

      Hi Chris, what criteria are you using on this?

      Would it be this that I read somewhere

      runs-10 win%-20 place%-33 win p/l-10

  5. Richard Sutton says:

    Dear Matt and Chris, Thanks for today’s musings, excellent stuff as is the superb Geegeez site. What I particularly admire is the integrity and honesty which is refreshing. I have been following racing since the mid seventies and spend hours each day working on it. I have found this year as difficult as I can recall, but your excellent selection service has been appreciated and admired by me. If I decide to upgrade from monthly to annual subscription, what do I need to do please?

    Best wishes

    Richard.

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      Hi Richard

      Many thanks for your kind words, which are especially appreciated as we so deliberately set out to operate with “integrity and honesty”. 🙂

      Regarding monthly to annual upgrade, I’m slightly embarrassed to say it’s a manual process currently. Please drop me an email and we can sort this.

      Best Regards,
      Matt

  6. bigvern63 says:

    Never tire of saying this chaps, but simply the best horse racing site in the world, nothing comes near and shockingly good value.

    Love the Big Race previews, follow SOTD & DD religiously and the selections thrown up by The Shortlist, TJ combo, etc.. suit my punting style, which tends to be small stake win and e/w patents. Helped me bag two three figure wins for £7 stakes in last few days and whilst not given up the day job, great to be able to enjoy my favourite hobby whilst making a few quid.

    In fact, I think Geegeez has influenced my betting habits and the plethora of great info. has led me to adopt the patent approach, often covering a couple of horses in the same race and spreading the risk whilst looking for the jackpots. If I had more time, I am sure I could fine tune this more but for now will continue with the informed scatter gun approach which suits me just fine at the moment.

    Keep up the great work.

    Cheers, Chris

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      Thanks a million, Chris. I can assure you that Chris and I never tire of reading it!! 😉

      Great to know you’re having fun and winning a few quid from Gold – that’s just what we hope for people to achieve. No false promises about untold wealth, just genuine winner-getting knowledge, and fun to be had in making bets around it.

      Best,
      Matt

  7. RoyalAcademy says:

    Hi Matt,

    Terrific stuff I must say and well done on a superior product.

    As it happens I was in touch with various publications recently and they simply cannot provide the detailed stats and knowledge as offered by yourselves without significant cost or time.

    Being time poor – and missing my horseracing recently – I presume that one can utilise your data without having to overly commit to the process?

  8. Chris Worrall says:

    Ronald Gee has just won the 3.40 Thirsk for the TJ Combo settings I mentioned at 12.30pm.

    Three and a quarter hours later, a 16/1 winner.

    Incredible stuff.

    • Clayton Risk says:

      Chris, I set up using the figures and used p/l to 5 but did not get that horse amongst the 16 it gave me?

      • Chris Worrall says:

        I’m not sure how/why that is the case, but it might be because I run the report the night before, but it was certainly there last night, or I wouldn’t have backed it!
        I took 12/1 BOG from Bet365 and obviously got 16’s.

        • Clayton Risk says:

          Hi Chris,sorry to be a pain as I know you are a busy man, but just want to check that I am doing the right thing, which probably isn’t knowing me 🙂

          Trainer Jockey Combo Stats

          Runs 10/any
          Wins any/any
          Places any/any
          Win % 20/any
          Place % 33/any
          Win PL 5/any
          Place PL any/any
          ALL
          Course Form 2009+

  9. TheDeafGuy says:

    I just want to say to anyone who is still humming and hawing over subscribing to a Gold membership, just do it! I used to get totally confused trying to pick over various bits of form info on other sites but this has made my life so much easier (and so much more profitable) I use the Gold tools for about 20 minutes a day to make a shortlist of selections and then decide my bets. Since using Geegeez Gold, 2.1/2 months now, I am over 150 points up and that doesn’t include the SOTD profit which I back daily. Go for it.

  10. Philip Clayton says:

    Dear Matt,
    I am assuming your news is that you are going to become one of the panel on the BHS punters representatives panel, joining Tanya Stevenson. I hope so. What I want to see is someone standing up and shouting their support for the daily pennies punters who rarely can afford to go racing but fill the bookies and ultimately pay for the industry to keep going.

    Although I personally loathed John McRirick’s politics and unsavoury attitude towards women he was genuinely on the side of the pennies punter and was happy to stand up to the bookies and other authorities.

    Apologies I am not yet joining. I am currently out of the house 15 hours a day and although I can now afford your fees there is nothing fast enough for me to study quickly and bet, not even your fantastic tools. The day will come.

    Philip

  11. keef7149 says:

    Hi Matt.
    I joined Geegeez Gold three weeks ago, being an OAP my bets were a modest £5-£10 max. First day I bladdered in without taking time to digest, and finished up £60 DOWN. No sleep that Saturday night, thinking what have I done.
    I made a momentous decision that Sunday morning and decided to stick with the trial, Chris is brilliant , I m now over £800 in profit, my stake is now £20.
    The whole website has so much information , you really need time to digest it, and I’m still watching your teaching videos. I made another momentous decision this Saturday to join Statpickst, with Chris at the helm, so far 3 bets 2 good winners. All I need to do now is to live another 20 years to gat my previous losses back , pre -Geegeez !!
    Keep up the good work, I’m now in for the long haul
    Regards
    Keith Richardson

    • Matt Bisogno says:

      Great stuff, Keith – that’s brilliant to read. Remember, we have losers too 😉

      Best,
      Matt

Comments are closed.