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Monday Musings: Sovereignty Looks The Real Deal

Sovereignty and Junior Alvarado Win the G1 Travers Stakes at Saratoga Racecourse, Saratoga Springs, NY, 8-23-25,Photo Mathea Kelley / Racingfotos.com

Sovereignty and Junior Alvarado Win the G1 Travers Stakes at Saratoga Racecourse, Saratoga Springs, NY, 8-23-25,Photo Mathea Kelley / Racingfotos.com

This is the time of year when we like to see Derby form franked as we move into the lucrative end-of-season international racing action around the world, writes Tony Stafford. Initially, we didn’t and then gloriously at Saratoga on Saturday night, we did.

There were suggestions that Lambourn’s Derby win had been in some ways fortunate. He was very much the second pick for Aidan O’Brien, Ryan Moore favouring Delacroix, who found himself well behind the all-the-way winner. Then the latter’s subsequent electric finish to catch Ombudsman in the Coral-Eclipse at Sandown muddied the waters a little further.

Both colts went to York last week, Lambourn on the back of a second Derby triumph, in the Irish version at the Curragh which was a little underwhelming – but he won, and he was the chosen one in York’s Great Voltigeur Stakes.

Delacroix was pitched in against Ombudsman once more in the Juddmonte International and in a race that took a lot of watching with his pacemaker Birr Castle at one time seemingly in an unassailable lead under Rab Havlin, before he ran partly out of steam.

You have to say “partly” as he was still good enough to be third at a price of 150/1 – thank you M Fabre, say Godolphin and the Gosdens. The winner earned £748k; the second £283k and Birr Castle swelled the Godolphin coffers by a further 141 grand. I bet Havlin has never earned so much for finishing as far back as third on a 150/1 shot.

Once you get into a stream of consciousness, such as events on that first of four days at York, you (well anyway, I) go into sidetrack mood.

Godolphin must be happy with the progress of Ombudsman, but the international operation must be even happier in the knowledge that almost certainly they own the best dirt horse in the world.

For much of the year their Sovereignty, trained by the vastly experienced Bill Mott, and the Michael McCarthy-handled Journalism have dominated affairs among the classic generation. They finished one-two in Sovereignty’s favour in both the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs in May and again in the same order in the Belmont Stakes, third leg of the Triple Crown run over the shorter than usual 1m2f at Saratoga. The track’s tighter configuration doesn’t allow for the 1m4f at Belmont Park which has been under reconstruction.

The margin between them doubled from one and a half to three lengths, while Journalism stepped in for leg two, the Preakness run at Pimlico, Maryland in between, winning that race comfortably. Additionally, he can also lay claim – horses do, you know! – this year to the San Felipe and Santa Anita Derby in California and since the Triple Crown races, picked up the prestigious Haskell at Monmouth Park in July, where he pulled victory from defeat with a flying late run.

So over to you, Sovereignty. Mott departed from the sequence of Grade 1 or Classic races by picking up the Grade 2 Jim Dandy early in the Saratoga meet, but then upped him in grade for the Travers, known as the midsummer 3yo championship for the colts.

Only a quartet took on the 30/100 favourite, but one of them, Magnitude, next best at 18/5, came into the race with interesting credentials. He had won the well-regarded Risen Star at the Fair Grounds in February collecting a $240k prize for trainer Steve Asmussen and one-time North of England jockey Ben Curtis.

The team were reunited when Magnitude went on to win a turf race at Prairie Meadows racecourse back from a lengthy break in July and here was running for $660k in the Travers Stakes.

Curtis set the pace and, coming to the far turn, he was still challenging at the front with eventual runner-up Bracket Buster (Luis Saez), who had been fourth to Journalism in the Haskell.

On their outside around the far turn, Junior Alvarado brought the favourite alongside and for a half-furlong or so, Victoria Oliver’s colt looked to be holding his own. Then the turbo kicked in, Sovereignty quickly drawing clear, and in the last furlong he put ten lengths’ daylight to his closest pursuer even as his jockey eased up in the final strides.

What of Magnitude, winner by nine lengths in each of his two previous races? He was another eleven lengths further back, his bubble well and truly pricked. Ben wouldn’t have been too fussed, the cumulative third prize being a handy $120k.

In his last full season in the UK two years ago, Ben Curtis rode a level 100 winners from 677 rides. The aggregate stakes earnings for his mounts’ efforts were £1,339,549.

The last three runs from Magnitude alone have worked out at not far short of half a million dollars, so without being too pedantic about exchange rates, that’s around a quarter of what his efforts on those 677 rides brought. Indeed, Equibase informs us that Curtis has 2025 earnings to date of $6,568,478 from his rides! And that’s before factoring in all the travel up and down the country and early mornings on the gallops here in Blighty.

Working in the US seems to be just the job for Frankie Dettori (a ‘meagre’ $3,552,180 this year from his roughly half as many mounts) and in a much quieter way, it’s proven ideal for the very capable Ben who at 35 is two decades younger than the former multiple UK champion and is going to make plenty of bank for the rest of his career.



Sovereignty’s superiority on Saturday was overwhelming and he now goes to the Breeders‘ Cup Classic on November 1 as the guaranteed favourite. With prize money as lucrative as it is, there’s no reason why Journalism shouldn’t be there in the vain hope Sovereignty has an off day, and there’s still terrific purses for the places. Last year’s one-two, Sierra Leone and Fierceness, have stayed in training, their connections energised by the thought of £2,866,000 to the winner.

My belief is that the younger pair will take centre stage with Sovereignty looking the best we’ve seen since the 2022 winner Flightline.

After the Wednesday Knavesmire reversals, the Coolmore/Aidan O’Brien week did get much better when the Epsom and Irish Oaks heroine Minnie Hauk comfortably won the Yorkshire version by three and a half lengths from her main market rival, the four-year-old Estrange; her season is putting her potentially in Enable territory.

With big race wins for the Gosden father and son team, the prizemoney margin between their stable and O’Brien has shrunk to not much more than £500k. Creeping up on the inside is Andrew Balding, whose 142 wins this year in the UK is almost double the Gosdens’ number.

Balding’s £5,244,464 tally includes victory in the initial Group 1 running of the Sky Bet Stakes at York on Saturday with Never So Brave, and Jonquil kept up the pressure with success in yesterday’s Group 2 feature at Goodwood.

All three stables have more than 200 horses, but Balding is definitely on the march and I wouldn’t be surprised if he came through to take the pot. I reckon the other contenders will need to have a great Champions Day in October to stave him off.

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