Lincoln Preview: there should not be much between ADDEYBB (right, Ryan Moore), who beats AFAAK (centre) and FIRE BRIGADE (left) in The Shadwell Farm Handicap Newmarket 29 Sep 2017 - Pic Steven Cargill / Racingfotos.com

Nell Gwyn Stakes Trends

The Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes is run on Newmarket’s Rowley Mile course in April over a distance of 7f. The Group 3 contest is for 3 year-old fillies only and was first run in 1961 – the race is also often seen as a trial race for the 1,000 Guineas run the following month at the same track, but the last horse to win both races was Speciosa in 2006.

Did you know? 16 of the last 17 winners were having their first runs of the season

Here at GeeGeez we look back at recent winners and gives you all the key stats ahead of the 2021 renewal – this year run on Wednesday 14th April.

Recent Nell Gywn Stakes Winners

2020 – No Race
2019 – QABALA (10/3 fav)
2018 – SOLILOQUY (4/1)
2017 – DABAN (12/1)
2016 – NATHRA (5/4 fav)
2015 – OSAILA (4/1)
2014 – SANDIVA (7/2 fav)
2013 – HOT SNAP (10/1)
2012 – ESENTEPE (28/1)
2011 – BAREFOOT LADY (14/1)
2010 – MUSIC SHOW (6/1)
2009 – FANTASIA (4/5 fav)
2008 – INFALLIBLE (7/2 fav)
2007 – SCARLET RUNNER (15/2)
2006 – SPECIOSA (9/1)
2005 – KAREN’S CAPER (15/2)
2004 – SILCA’S GIFT (25/1)
2003 – KHULOOD (15/8 fav)

Nell Gywn Stakes Betting Trends and Stats

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16/17 – Were having their first run of the season
14/17 – Had won between 1-2 times previously
14/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/17 – Had only won over 6f or 7f before
12/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/17 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley)
9/17 – Had won over 7f before
9/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Had won a Listed or Group race in the past
7/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (won it 7 times in all)
4/17 – Trained by John Gosden
2/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/17 – Trained by Mick Channon
1/17 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 8/1

 

 

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