Newbury Trends (Fri 1st Dec 23)

It's DAY ONE of the Newbury Ladbrokes Trophy Meeting this Friday and we’ve five LIVE races on ITV to take in that include the Grade Two Long Distance Hurdle - a race that we've seen 14 of the last 21 winners aged between 7-9 years-old.

As always, here at Geegeez, we’ve got all the LIVE races covered with key trends and free tips.

Newbury Horse Racing Trends (RacingTV/ITV4)

1.15 Coral Racing Bet Bundles Fillies’ Juvenille Hurdle (Listed Race) (GBB Race) (Class 1) (3yo) 2m 1/2f ITV4

No past runnings
Trainer Noel Williams has a 40% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Alan King is just 3 from 66 (5%) with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Harry Cobden has a 24% strike-rate riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Tom Cannon is just 3 from 56 (3%) riding over hurdles at the track

1.50 – Coral John Francome Novices' Chase (Registered As The Berkshire Novices' Chase) (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV4

14/16 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/16 – Aged 5 or older
13/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Favourites placed in the top 2
12/16 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
8/16 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
7/16 – Yet to win over fences
7/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/16 – Trained by Nicky Henderson (inc 2 of last 3 runnings)
2/16 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Jockey Nico de Boinville has won the race twice since 2014
Jockey Daryl Jacob has won the race twice since 2013
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 4/1

2.25 – Coral Racing Club Handicap Chase Cl2 (4yo+) 2m3f187y ITV4

15/16 – Won between 1-3 times over fences
15/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
14/16 – Aged 9 or younger
14/16 – Didn’t win last time out
13/16 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
12/16 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
11/16 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
11/16 – Had raced in the last 6 weeks
8/16 – Rated between 131 and 140
2/16 – Trained by Venetia Williams (2 of the last 5)
2/16 – Trained by Alan King
2/16 – Trained by Tizzard yard
2/16 – Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 6)
1/16 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

3.00 – Coral Long Distance Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m52y ITV3

17/21 – Grade One winner over hurdles
16/21 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
15/21 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
15/21 – Placed favourites
14/21 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
14/21 – Had won a hurdles race at Newbury before
14/21 – Ran at either Aintree (8) or Cheltenham (6) last time out
12/21 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
12/21 – Winning favourites
11/21 – Returned 15/8 or shorter in the betting
9/21 – Won last time out
8/21 – French bred
8/21 – Returned odds-on in the betting
7/21 – Went onto win that season’s Stayers’ Hurdle
7/21 – Won by a previous winner of the race
5/21 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls (inc 5 of last 13 renewals)
Trainer Nicky Henderso has on the race 4 times
Paisley Park (8/15 fav) won this race in 2019
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

3.35 – Play Coral “Racing-Super-Series” For Free Handicap Hurdle Cl2 (4yo+ 0-145) 3m52y ITV4

15/16 – Placed 5^th or better last time out
15/16 – Raced in the last 5 weeks
14/16 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
13/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
12/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
11/16 – Irish-bred winners
10/16 – Raced at either Cheltenham (5), Wincanton (3) or Wetherby (2) last time
9/16 – Won just 1-2 times over hurdles
8/16 – Yet to win over 3m (or further) over hurdles
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/16 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
2/16 – Trained by David Pipe
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/2

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