Newmarket Craven Meeting TV Trends (Tues 16th-Weds 17th April)

More LIVE ITV horse racing action this midweek as the cameras head to flat racing’s HQ – Newmarket – to take in four races on Tuesday (16th April) and Wednesday (17th April).
Several early season Classic pointers to take in over the week with the Nell Gwyn and Craven Stakes both key trials ahead of the 1,000 and 2,000 Guineas run at the track next month.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with the key trends, plus our tips on each of the LIVE races.

 

Tuesday 16th April 2019

1.50 – 6f (Row) Weatherbys Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+) ITV4

Just three previous running
Trainer Ed Walker won the 2018 running
Trainer Charles Hills won the 2017 running
Trainer Kevin Ryan won the 2016 running
2 of the last 3 winners were aged 4 years-old
No winning favourite yet
Trainer Kevin Ryan is 6 from 26 (23%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Amanda Perrett is 4 from 17 (24%) with her older horses at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is just 1 from 48 (2%) with his older horses at the track

2.25 – 7f (Row) bet365 European Free Handicap (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4

12/12 – Had won between 1-2 times before
11/12 – Rated between 101 and 108
11/12 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Raced at Kempton, Newmarket, Ascot or Newbury last time out
11/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Last ran 5 ½ or longer months ago
10/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
9/12 – Drawn in stalls 2-6 (inc)
7/12 – Yet to win over 7f
4/12 – Won by the Hills stable
5/12 – Winning favourites
5/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/12 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

3.00 – 1m1f – bet365 Feilden Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4

9/10 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Top three finish last time out
9/10 – Had run 5+ months ago
9/10 – Won between 1-2 times before
8/10 – Had won over at least 1m before
7/10 – Favourites placed
7/10 – Winners that came between stalls 2-4 (inc)
5/10 – Won last time out
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Winners from stall 4
2/10 – Trained by John Gosden
2/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/10 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 3/1

 

3.35 - 7f (Row) Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4

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15/16 – Were having their first run of the season
13/16 – Had won between 1-2 times previously
13/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/16 – Had only won over 6f or 7f before
11/16 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/16 – Placed favourites
9/16 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/16 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race in the past
8/16 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley)
8/16 – Had won over 7f before
7/16 – Won last time out
6/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (won it 7 times in all)
4/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/16 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/16 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/16 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas
3 of the last 8 winners came from stall 11
No real draw advantage with the last 10 winners coming from stalls 1 to 13
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

 

Wednesday 17th April 2019

1.50 – 6f (Row) bet365.com Handicap (Class 2) (3yo)

12/12 – Had won over 6f before
11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/12 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
10/12 – Came from stall 8 or lower
10/12 – Rated between 86-93 (inc)
9/12 – Had between 1-4 previous runs
9/12 – Won after 5 ½ months or more off
9/12 – Had won just once before
9/12 – Carried 8-13 or less
7/12 – Won from stalls 2, 6 or 8
7/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/12 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/12 – Ridden by Silvestre de Sousa
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

2.25 – 6f (Row) bet365 Wood Ditton Maiden Stakes (Class 3) (3yo)

10/10 – Having their debut runs
9/10 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
8/10 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Favourites placed
7/10 – Winning distance less than a length
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/10 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/10 – Trained by William Haggas
0/10 – Winners from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

 

3.00 – 6f (Row) Connaught Access Flooring Abernant Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)

12/12 – Won over 6f before
11/12 – Aged 4 or older
11/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
9/12 – Rated between 106 and 114
9/12 – Ran 5 months or more ago
9/12 – Had run at Newmarket before
9/12 – Won at least 4 times before
8/12 – Favourites placed in the top three
8/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/12 – Aged between 4 or 5 years-old
7/12 – Irish bred
4/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
3/12 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/12 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/12 – Won by the Hills stable
0/12 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
Brando won the race 12 months ago and in 2017
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1

3.35 - 1m (Row) bet365 Craven Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) (Class 1) (3yo)

15/16 – Having their first run of the season
14/16 – Rated 110 or higher
13/16 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
12/16 – Came from the top three in the betting
12/16 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
11/16 – Had won over 7f before
11/16 – Yet to win over a mile
11/16 – Had won no more than twice before
10/16 – Placed favourites
10/16 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
9/16 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
8/16 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (3 won)
7/16 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Trained by Richard Hannon (including last 4 of last 7 runnings)
4/16 – Won last time out
2/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
1/16 – Irish-trained winners
1/16 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 5/1

 

 

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