Newmarket Craven Meeting TV Trends (Weds 18th-Thurs 19th April)

More LIVE ITV horse racing action this midweek as the cameras head to flat racing’s HQ – Newmarket – to take in four races on Wednesday (18th April) and Thursday (19th April).
Several early season Classic pointers to take in over the week with the Nell Gwyn and Craven Stakes both key trials ahead of the 1,000 and 2,000 Guineas run at the track next month.

As always, we’ve got it all covered with the key trends, plus our tips on each of the LIVE races.

 

Wednesday 18th April 2018

1.50 – 6f (Row) Weatherbys General Stud Book Online Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+)

Just two previous running
Trainer Charles Hills won the 2017 running
Trainer Kevin Ryan won the 2016 running
The last 2 winners were aged 4 years-old
No winning favourite
Trainer Kevin Ryan is 5 from 23 (22%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer David Barron is 0 from 16 with his older horses at the track
Trainer Roger Varian is 1 from 26 (4%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Mick Appleby is 2 from 37 (5%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Roger Varian is 2 from 40 (5%) with his older horses at the track
Jockey Pat Cosgrave has a 26% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 19% (+42) record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy is just 2 from 40 riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey James Doyle is just 3 from 48 riding 4+ year-olds at the track

2.25 – 7f (Row) bet365 European Free Handicap (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo)

11/11 – Had won between 1-2 times before
11/11 – Rated between 101 and 108
11/11 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Raced at Kempton, Newmarket, Ascot or Newbury last time out
10/11 – Last ran 5 ½ or longer months ago
10/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
10/11 – Didn’t win last time out
9/11 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
8/11 – Drawn in stalls 2-6 (inc)
7/11 – Yet to win over 7f
5/11 – Winning favourites
4/11 – Won by the Hills stable
4/11 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/2

3.00 – 1m1f (Row) bet365 Earl Of Sefton Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (4yo+)

11/11 – Had won over a least a mile in the past
11/11 – Favourites placed in the top three
9/11 – Won at least 3 times in the past
9/11 – Last ran 5 months or more ago
9/11 – Had won over 1m1f or further in the past
8/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/11 – Had raced at the track before (5 won)
8/11 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Had won a Group/Listed race before
6/11 – Drawn in stalls 8 (3) or 10 (3)
5/11 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – Trained by John Gosden
2/11 – Trained by Jane Chapple-Hyam
2/11 – Ridden by William Buick
2/11 – Winning favourites
0/11 – Winners from stall 1
Richard Hannon trained the winner 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1

3.35 - 7f (Row) Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo)

14/15 – Were having their first run of the season
12/15 – Had won between 1-2 times previously
12/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/15 – Had only won over 6f or 7f before
10/15 – Placed favourites
10/15 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/15 – Had won a Listed or Group race in the past
8/15 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley)
8/15 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/15 – Had won over 7f before
7/15 – Won last time out
6/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/15 – Winning favourites
5/15 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (won it 7 times in all)
4/15 – Trained by John Gosden
2/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/15 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/15 – Ridden by Jimmy Fortune
1/15 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas
3 of the last 7 winners came from stall 11
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

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Thursday 19th April 2018

1.50 – 6f (Row) bet365.com Handicap (Class 2) (3yo)

11/11 – Had won over 6f before
10/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
9/11 – Came from stall 8 or lower
9/11 – Rated between 86-93 (inc)
9/11 – Had between 1-4 previous runs
8/11 – Won after 5 ½ months or more off
8/11 – Had won just once before
8/11 – Carried between 8-13 or less
6/11 – Won from stalls 2, 6 or 8 (2 each)
6/11 – Winning favourites
6/11 – Won last time out
4/11 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/11 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/11 – Ridden by Silvestre de Sousa
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

2.25 – 6f (Row) bet365 Wood Ditton Maiden Stakes (Class 3) (3yo)

9/9 – Having their debut runs
8/9 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
7/9 – Favourites placed
7/9 – Winning distance less than a length
5/9 – Winning favourites
4/9 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/9 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/9 – Trained by William Haggas
0/9 – Winners from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2

3.00 – 6f (Row) Connaught Access Flooring Abernant Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)

11/11 – Won over 6f before
10/11 – Aged 4 or older
10/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
8/11 – Rated between 106 and 114
8/11 – Ran 5 months or more ago
8/11 – Had run at Newmarket before
8/11 – Won at least 4 times before
8/11 – Favourites placed in the top three
8/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Aged between 4 or 5 years-old
7/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/11 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/11 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
2/11 – Won by the Hills stable
0/11 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
Brando won the race 12 months ago
Magical Memory won the race in 2016
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1

3.35 - 1m (Row) bet365 Craven Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) (Class 1) (3yo)

15/15 – Having their first run of the season
13/15 – Rated 110 or higher
12/15 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
11/15 – Yet to win over a mile
11/15 – Came from the top three in the betting
11/15 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
10/15 – Had won over 7f before
10/15 – Had won no more than twice before
10/15 – Placed favourites
9/15 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
9/15 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
8/15 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (3 won)
6/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Finished unplaced last time out
5/15 – Trained by Richard Hannon (including last 4 of last 6 runnings)
4/15 – Won last time out
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
1/15 – Irish-trained winners
1/15 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
8 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 5 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 5/1

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