Newmarket July Meeting Trends: DAY TWO (Fri 14th July 2017)

The three-day 2017 Newmarket July Meeting continues on Friday (14th July) and with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle.

As we move into the second day (Gentleman's Day) the Group Two Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Cherry Hinton) and the Group One Falmouth Stakes take centre stage - did you know 14 of the last 15 Falmouth Stakes winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old

As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races, highlighting the main trends – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

 


Newmarket July Meeting - Day Two,
Friday 14th July 2017

 

1.50 – bet365 Handicap (Silver Bunbury Cup) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

Only two previous runnings
Swift Approval won the race 12 months ago
Both previous winners were aged 4 years-old
Both previous winners carried 9-4 or more in weight
1 winning favourite
Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton  is 2 from 4 with her older horses at the track
Trainer John Gosden has a 26% record with his older horses (4+ year-olds) at the track
Trainer Brian Meehan is 2 from 7 with his older horses at the track

 

2.25 - Duchess of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored by Bet365) (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV

13/13 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/13 – Had raced at least twice before
12/13 – Foaled in Feb (6) or March (6)
12/13 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
12/13 – Had won between 1-2 times before
11/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Won by a UK-based yard
10/13 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
9/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
8/13 – Had won over 6f before
7/13 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
6/13 – Winning favourites
6/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by the Hannon team
2/13 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (4 wins in total)
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/13 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
1/13 – Drawn in stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2
Roly Poly (Aidan O’Brien) won the race in 2016 (6/1)

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3.00 - bet354 Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV

9/10 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Had won between 1-2 times beforw
8/10 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
8/10 – Have never run at Newmarket (July) before
7/10 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Placed in the top 6 last time out
6/10 – Unplaced favourites
5/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/10 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
5/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston (including last 4 runnings)
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by Andrew Balding
0/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/1

3.35 - Qipco Falmouth Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

15/15 – Won a Listed or better class race previously
14/15 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/145– Won over at least 1 mile previously
11/15 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
11/15 – Won from stall 5 or lower
11/15 – Had 2+ runs that season
10/15 – Won at 13/2 or shorter in the betting
8/15 – Favourites placed
5/15 – Previous Group One winners
5/15 – Had run on the Newmarket July course previously
5/15 – Favourites  that won (1 joint)
4/15 – Won their last race
2/15 – French-trained winners
2/15 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1
Alice Springs (Aidan O’Brien) won the race in 2016 (5/2)

 



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