July joy for Dutch Law

Newmarket July Meeting Trends: Fri 10th July 2020

The three-day 2020 Newmarket July Meeting continues on Friday (10th July) and with LIVE ITV races each day we’ve got everything covered from a trends and stats angle.

As we move into the second day (Gentleman's Day) the Group Two Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Cherry Hinton) and the Group One Falmouth Stakes take centre stage - did you know 14 of the last 18 Falmouth Stakes winners came from stalls 5 or lower?

As always, we are on hand to take you through each of the LIVE races, highlighting the main trends – use these to narrow down the runners and pin-point the best profiles of past winners of the race.

Enjoy!


Newmarket July Meeting - Day Two,
Friday 10th July 2020

1.50 – Price Promise at bet365 Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-88) 7f ITV4

No previous runnings
Jockey Ben Curtis is 4-from-5 (80%) riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Joe Fanning has a 31% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Andrea Azteni has a 30% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey PJ McDonald has a 30% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

2.25 - Duchess of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored by Bet365) (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV4

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16/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
16/16 – Had raced at least twice before
15/16 – Had won between 1-2 times before
14/16 – Foaled in Feb (6) or March (6)
14/16 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
13/16 – Placed favourites
12/16 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
12/16 – Won by a UK-based yard
11/16 – Ran at Ascot last time out
11/16 – Had won over 6f before
8/16 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
7/16 – Winning favourites
8/16 – Won last time out
3/16 – Trained by the Hannon team
3/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (inc 2 of last 4)
3/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (5 wins in total)
2/16 – Drawn in stall 1
Raffle Prize (9/2) won the race in 2019

 


3.00 – bet365 Trophy (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

Just two previous running
The Mark Johnston yard won this race in 2019
The Charlie Appleby yard won this race in 2018
King’s Advice (10/1) won this race in 2019
Trainer Mark Johnston has a 30% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Andrew Balding is 0-from-29 with his 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Ben Curtis is 4-from-5 (80%) riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey Joe Fanning has a 31% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track
Jockey PJ McDonald has a 30% record riding 4+ year-olds at the track

 

 

3.35 - bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV

11/13 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
11/13 – Had won between 1-2 times before
11/13 – Have never run at Newmarket (July) before
10/13 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
10/13 – Placed in the top 6 last time out
9/13 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
8/13 – Unplaced favourites
7/13 – Irish bred
6/13 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
6/13 – Trained by Mark Johnston (including 5 of last 7 runnings)
5/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Trained by Andrew Balding
0/13 – Winning favourites
Walkinthesand (9/1) won the race in 2019

 

4.10 – Tattersalls Falmouth Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

18/18 – Won a Listed or better class race previously
17/18 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/18– Won over at least 1 mile previously
14/18 – Won from stall 5 or lower
14/18 – Had 2+ runs that season
13/18 – Won at 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
10/18 – Favourites placed
7/18 – Favourites  that won (1 joint)
7/18 – Previous Group One winners
6/18 – Had run on the Newmarket July course previously
5/18 – Won their last race
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 6)
2/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 4 runnings)
2/18 – French-trained winners
Veracious (6/1) won the race in 2019

 

 

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