Ahead of this week’s three-day Newmarket Cambridgeshire Meeting, Andy Newton’s got FIVE trainers to look out for that do particularly well at the track and three you might want to be a bit wary of.
HENRY CANDY (Newmarket: 7 winners from his last 43, 16% strike-rate): Okay, so not that much of an eye-catching strike-rate at first glance but when you drill into the stats you’ll notice that ALL (Yes, ALL) of those 7 winners have been with their 3 year-olds. They are in fact 7 from just 19 (37%) with that age group here at HQ, so at this stage Code of Honour and Annina, are two 3 year-olds entered to run this week. They are also heading into the meeting in decent form with 5 winners in the last few weeks and with 26 overall 2013 winners they remain on target to better their 2012 tally of 32.
MARK JOHNSTON (Newmarket: 33 winners from his last 233, 14% strike-rate): They have generally done alright across all age groups at the track, but they are another yard that seem to do slightly better with their 3 year-olds. They are 19 from 113 (17%) in that age bracket and with bundles of entries over the three days then pay special attention to any 3 year-olds. So far this season their overall winners reads 186 (24th Sept), so look odds-on to once again break the 200 mark and should even beat their best finish of 216 (2009).
JOHN GOSDEN (Newmarket: 34 winners from his last 236, 14% strike-rate): They’ve sent out 9 juvenile winners in the last 5 years at the track, and 17 3 year-old winners, but with a 22% strike-rate (8 from 36) with their older horses (4+) then this is the age group to focus on. They also boast an impressive +£32 level stakes profit in that age bracket. Overall for 2013 they sit on 81 for the season, but still need around 40 to get near the 119 (their best yet) that they managed 12 months ago.
ROGER VARIAN (Newmarket: 8 winners from his last 44, 18% strike-rate): The best overall track strike-rate of these trainers featured so anything they run should warrant a second glance. However, they are just 1 from 18 with their 2 year-olds here, and only 1 from 8 with their older horses. Therefore, it’s their 3 year-olds they do best with – they are currently operating at 6 winners from their last 18 runners in this age group (33%) and showing a +£20 level stakes profit. With 62 winners in 2013 they need just 11 more to better their 2012 tally and make this their best campaign since he took over from Michael Jarvis in 2011.
RALPH BECKETT (Newmarket: 11 winners from his last 75 runners, 15% strike-rate): Again nothing to get too excited from at first glance, but with a 17% record (+£137 level stakes profit) with his 2 year-olds then that’s the first plus. Just 5 from 39 with his 3 year-olds and 2 from 13 with his older horses, so I guess the call is to keep any juveniles on side over the three days. With 63 winners this season at the time of writing then they are going great guns, and have, of course, already had a cracking season by landing the Epsom Oaks. 69 in 2010 was their best finish yet, so that looks sure to be smashed, while their overall 2 year-old record this season is 10 from 66 (15%).
Be Wary Of……..
CLIVE BRITTAIN (Newmarket: 4 winners from his last 127 runners, 3% strike-rate)
JAMES FANSHAWE (Newmarket: 2 winners from his last 43 runners, 5% strike-rate)
WILLIAM MUIR (Newmarket: 0 winners from his last 32 runners, 0% strike-rate)
Newmarket Trainer Stats Correct: 26th Sept 2013
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