Newmarket TV Trends: 19th-20th April 2017

The ITV4 cameras are at Newmarket this midweek (Weds/Thurs) to take in the best of the action at their Craven Meeting. Plenty of early season Classic clues on offer, with the Nell Gwyn and Craven Stakes the two feature contests

As always with all the LVIE ITV action, we've got it all covered with the key trends and stats.

 

Wednesday 19th April 2017

 

1.50 – 6f (Row) Weatherbys General Stud Book Online Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+) ITV4

One previous running
Trainer Kevin Ryan won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Kevin Ryan is 5 from 20 (25%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer David Barron is 0 from 18 with his older horses at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy is 0 from 34 riding older horses at the track
Jockey Luke Morris is just 3 from 36 riding older horses at the track
Jockey Silvestre de Sousa is 4 from 44 riding older horses at track

2.25 – 7f (Row) bet365 European Free Handicap (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4

10/10 – Raced at Kempton, Newmarket, Ascot or Newbury last time out
10/10 – Had won between 1-2 times before
10/10 – Rated between 101 and 107
10/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Last ran 5 ½ months or longer ago
9/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/10 – Didn’t win last time out
8/10 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
8/10 – Drawn in stalls 2-6 (inc)
7/10 – Yet to win over 7f
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won by the Hills stable
4/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3

 


3.00 – 1m1f (Row) bet365 Earl Of Sefton Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (4yo+) ITV4

10/10 – Had won over a least a mile in the past
10/10 – Favourites placed in the top three
9/10 – Won at least 3 times in the past
8/10 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Last ran 5 months or more ago
8/10 – Had won over 1m1f or further in the past
7/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/10 – Had raced at the track before (4 won)
6/10 – Had won a Group/Listed race before
6/10 – Drawn in stalls 8 (3) or 10 (3)
4/10 – Won last time out
4/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/10 – Trained by John Gosden
2/10 – Trained by Jane Chapple-Hyam
2/10 – Ridden by William Buick
2/10 – Winning favourite
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

 


3.35 - 7f (Row) Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4

13/14 – Were having their first run of the season
11/14 – Had won between 1-2 times previously
11/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/14 – Had only won over 6f or 7f before
10/14 – Placed favourites
10/14 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/14 – Had won a Listed or Group race in the past
8/14 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley)
8/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/14 – Had won over 7f before
6/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (won it 6 times in all)
3/14 – Trained by John Gosden
2/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/14 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/14 – Ridden by Jimmy Fortune
1/14 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas
The average winning SP in the last 14 runnings is 9/1

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Thursday 20th April 2017


1.50 – 6f (Row) bet365.com Handicap (Class 2) (3yo) ITV4

10/10 – Had won over 6f before
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Rated between 86-93 (inc)
9/10 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
8/10 – Came from stall 8 or lower
8/10 – Had between 1-4 previous runs
7/10 – Won after 5 ½ months off
7/10 – Had won just once before
7/10 – Carried between 8-10 and 8-13
6/10 – Won from stalls 2, 6 or 8 (2 each)
5/10 – Winning favourites
5/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/10 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

2.25 – 7f (Row) bet365 Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+) ITV4

Just one previous running
Accession won the race 12 months ago
Trainer Richard Hannon is just 1 from 27 (4%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer David O’Meara is just 3 from 52 (6%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer David Barron is 0 from 18 with his runners at the track
Trainer Chris Wall is just 1 from 24 (4%) with his older horses at the track
Trainer Charlie Fellowes is 2 from 5 (40%) running older horses at the track
Jockey Frankie Dettori has a 19% record riding older horses at the track
Jockey Ryan Moore has a 18% record riding older horses at the track
Jockey Ted Durcan is 0 from 18 riding older horses at the track

 

3.00 – 6f (Row) Connaught Access Flooring Abernant Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+) ITV4

10/10 – Aged 4 or older
10/10 – Won over 6f before
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
8/10 – Rated between 106 and 114
7/10 – Ran 5 months or more ago
7/10 – Had run at Newmarket before
7/10 – Won at least 4 times before
7/10 – Irish bred
7/10 – Favourites placed in the top three
7/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Aged between 4 or 5 years-old
3/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/10 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/10 – Won by the Hills stable
2/10 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
0/10 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

 


3.35 - 1m (Row) bet365 Craven Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4

14/14 – Having their first run of the season
13/14 – Rated 110 or higher
11/14 – Yet to win over a mile
11/14 – Came from the top three in the betting
11/14 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
10/14 – Had won over 7f before
9/14 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
9/14 – Had won no more than twice before
9/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
7/14 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (2 won)
6/14 – Winning favourites
6/14 – Finished unplaced last time out
5/14 – Trained by Richard Hannon (including last 4 runnings)
3/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
1/14 – Irish-trained winners
1/14 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
The average winning SP in the last 14 renewals is 9/2

 

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