SAXON WARRIOR wins Qipco 2000 Guineas at Newmarket in May, before the bugs arrived. THIS IMAGE IS SOURCED FROM "RACINGFOTOS.COM"

Newmarket TV Trends (Weds 14th- Thurs 15th April 2021)

More LIVE ITV horse racing action this midweek as the cameras head to flat racing’s HQ – Newmarket racecourse – to take in four races on Wednesday and Thursday.

Several early season Classic pointers to take in over the week with the Nell Gwyn and Craven Stakes both key trials ahead of the 1,000 and 2,000 Guineas run at the track next month.

As always, here at GEEGEEZ we’ve got it all covered with the key trends on each of the LIVE races.

 

Wednesday 14th April 2021

 

1.50 – 6f (Row) Weatherbys Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+) ITV4

Just 4 previous runnings
Trainer Roger Varian won the 2019 running
Trainer Ed Walker won the 2018 running
Trainer Charles Hills won the 2017 running
Trainer Kevin Ryan won the 2016 running
3/4 - aged 4 years-old
3/4 – Carried 9-3 or more in weight
3/4 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
2/4 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
0/4 – Winning favourites
Gunmetal won this race in 2017
Trainer Tom Dascombe has a 40% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track

 

2.25 – 7f (Row) bet365 European Free Handicap (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4

14/14 – Had won between 1-2 times before
13/14 – Rated between 101 and 108
13/14 – Raced at Kempton, Newmarket, Ascot or Newbury last time out
13/14 – Didn’t win last time out
12/14 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Last ran 5 ½ or longer months ago
11/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Drawn in stalls 2-6 (inc)
10/14 – Finished 2nd or 3rd last time out
8/14 – Yet to win over 7f
6/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Won by the Hills stable
4/14 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 11/2

 

3.00 – 1m1f (Row) bet365 Earl Of Sefton Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (4yo+) ITV4

13/13 – Had won over a least a mile in the past
13/13 – Favourites placed in the top three
11/13 – Last ran 5 months or more ago
10/13 – Won at least 3 times in the past
10/13 – Had raced at the track before (5 won)
9/13 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Had won over 1m1f or further in the past
9/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/13 – Had won a Group/Listed race before
7/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/13 – Drawn in stalls 8 (3) or 10 (3)
4/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by John Gosden
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by Jane Chapple-Hyam
2/13 – Ridden by William Buick
0/13 – Winners from stall 1
6 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 2-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

 

3.35 - 7f (Row) Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo) ITV4

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16/17 – Were having their first run of the season
14/17 – Had won between 1-2 times previously
14/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/17 – Had only won over 6f or 7f before
12/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
11/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/17 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
9/17 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley)
9/17 – Had won over 7f before
9/17 – Won last time out
8/17 – Had won a Listed or Group race in the past
7/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (won it 7 times in all)
4/17 – Trained by John Gosden
2/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/17 – Trained by Mick Channon
1/17 – Went onto win the 1,000 Guineas
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 8/1
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 30% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Hugo Palmer is only 2-from-42 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Charles Hills is only 3-from-55 with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

 

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Thursday 15th April 2021

 

1.50 – 6f (Row) Each Way Extra At bet365.com Handicap (Class 2) (3yo)

14/14 – Had won over 6f before
13/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/14 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
12/14 – Came from stall 8 or lower
12/14 – Rated between 86-93 (inc)
11/14 – Carried 8-13 or less
10/14 – Had between 1-4 previous runs
10/14 – Won after 5 ½ months or more off
10/14 – Had won just once before
9/14 – Won from stalls 2, 6 or 8
9/14 – Won last time out
6/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/14 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/14 – Ridden by Silvestre de Sousa
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/1
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 30% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ian Williams has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 26% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

 

2.25 – 1m (Row) bet365 Wood Ditton Maiden Stakes (Class 3) (3yo)

12/12 – Having their debut runs
11/12 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
9/12 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Favourites placed
7/12 – Winning distance less than a length
6/12 – Winning favourites
4/12 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/12 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
2/12 – Trained by William Haggas
0/12 – Winners from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2
Trainer Charlie Appleby has a 30% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey William Buick has a 26% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy has a 21% record riding 3 year-olds at the track

3.00 – 6f (Row) bet365 Abernant Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+)

13/14 – Won over 6f before
13/14 – Aged 4 or older
12/14 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
10/14 – Rated between 106 and 114
10/14 – Ran 5 months or more ago
10/14 – Had run at Newmarket before
10/14 – Won at least 4 times before
9/14 – Favourites placed in the top three
9/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/14 – Irish bred
4/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
4/14 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/14 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/14 – Won by the Hills stable
1/14 – Winners from stall 1 or 2
Oxted won this race in 2020
Brando won the race in 2017 and 2018
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/1

 

3.35 - 1m (Row) bet365 Craven Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) (Class 1) (3yo)

16/17 – Having their first run of the season
14/17 – Rated 110 or higher
13/17 – Yet to win over a mile
13/17 – Came from the top three in the betting
13/17 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
12/17 – Had won over 7f before
12/17 – Had won no more than twice before
10/17 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
10/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
9/17 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before (4 won)
7/17 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/17 – Winning favourites
5/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon (4 of the last 10)
5/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
1/17 – Irish-trained winners
1/17 – Went onto win the 2,000 Guineas
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 5 or less
4 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 1
Trainer Aidan O'Brien has never won this race
The average winning SP in the last 17 renewals is 9/2

 

 

 

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