LEICESTER--SATURDAY 27TH APRIL
Toteplacepot returns this year at Leicester:
January 8 (NH)--£193.10 (three clear favourites secured toteplacepot posiitons)
January 30 (NH)--£38.00 (five)
February 26 (NH)--17.20 (four)
March 8 (NH)--£47.70 (four)
April 5 (Flat)--£42.90 (five)
Toteplacepot returns for the last five corresponding meetings:
2010--£265.90 (three clear favourites secured toteplacepot posiitons)
2008--£6.00 (all six)
2.10: Kevin Ryan has declared REPETITION having saddled the beaten favourite in the only running of this event back in 2010. Kevin's Royal Applause colt won his only race to date at Southwell back in February and appears to be the horse to beat. Richard Hannon saddles course and distance winner INTRIGO with toteplacepot claims, whilst BENONI completes my trio against the other nine contenders. Henry Candy saddles the latter named raider (Henry's only runner until Tuesday) with the trainer having won with two of his last three runners.
Trainer trends: John Dunlop (now retired) saddled the only winner to date.
Vintage stats: This is a three-year-old handicap
Weight information: Only two horses carried nine stones or more in the only contest thus far, the relevant runners finishing first and second.
Favourite facts: Last year's inaugural 7/2 favourite secured a toteplacepot position at odds of 5/4 when finishing behind horses sent off at 7/1 and 10/1
2.45: Mick Channon's Jeremy colt SLEEPY JOE catches the eye given the information below, whilst Tom Dascombe will no doubt have LARSEN BAY ready to run well at the first time of asking. Four of Tom's two-year-olds have finished 'in the three' this year, statistics which include one (6/1) winner.
Trainer trends: Mick Channon raids this event to regular effect, his last two horses finishing in the money without winning their respective events, unlike Mick's 16/1 gold medallist in 2005.
Vintage stats: This is a juvenile event
Weight information: Not applicable, albeit colts/geldings (9-3) have won the last five renewals.
Favourite facts: Market leaders have won four of the eight renewals during the last decade.
Six favourites secured toteplacepot positions, whilst seven of the eight winners started at odds of 13/2 or less.
3.20: Mark Johnston saddled four winners from just seven runners on Thursday and having won
this race in each of the last two years (and three of the last six), stable representatives BLUE
WAVE and DORFMAN have to head the four declaration from my viewpoint.
Trainer trends: Mark Johnston has saddled at least one runner every year during the study period.
Vintage stats: This is a three-year-old handicap
Weight information: Three of the last seven winners have carried 9-4 or more.
Favourite facts: Four of the last nine favourites (via eight renewals) have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two successful (15/8 & 8/11) market leaders.
3.55: Beaten favourite MAJESTIC MYLES represents Richard Fahey who continues to send out winners for fun at the time of writing. Richard's strike rate is not that great however having saddled lots of runners of late, and both VERSE OF LOVE and ALJAMAAHEER can be expected to offer plenty of resistance at the business end of proceedings.
Trainer trends: Last year's winner, Julia Feilden, is represented with big-priced outsider, CHILLI GREEN.
David Evans (Verse Of Love) saddled last year's runner up (beaten half a length).
Vintage stats: Four-year-olds have secured four of the last seven renewals via 35% of the total number of runners (19/54).
Weight information: The last four winners have carried a minimum weight of 9-2.
Favourite facts: The last six market leaders have secured three gold and silver medals between them.
4.30: Putting the stats and facts together, four-year-olds carrying 9-1 or less should have the edge, with only GOING GREY boasting ticks in both boxes on this occasion. Other four-year-olds to consider include CURLY COME HOME and TAFAWUK.
Trainer trends: No obvious trend on offer.
Vintage stats: Four-year-olds have won six of the seven renewals contested during the last decade.
Weight information: Six of the seven winners were burdened with a maximum weight of 9-1.
Favourite facts: Five renewals have slipped by since the 2/1 market leader prevailed in 2006.
That said, the last two favourites have secured the runner up positions in their respective events.
5.05: Sir Michael Stoute saddles JUST DARCY who was friendless in the market when sent off at 12/1 on his only (Lingfield) assignment to date, though the Danehill Dancer filly was beaten less than five lengths when showing plenty of ability 'late doors' in the September contest. UNMOOTHAJ should emerge as the main threat this time around.
Trainer trends: Sir Michael Stoute is the only trainer to have saddled two winners during the study period.
Vintage stats: Three-year-olds have won eight of the nine contests during the last decade (split divisions in 2006).
Weight information: Only one horse has succeeded when carrying 8-11 or more in the last ten years.
Favourite facts: Three of the last four market leaders have obliged whilst the last six winners were returned at a top price of 4/1.
geegeez.co.uk placepot perm
2.10 A - 2,3,6
2.45 A - 2,4
3.20 A - 1 B - 3,4
3.55 A - 1 B - 6
4.30 A - 7,8,11
5.05 A - 8,9
= 216 lines.
Readers can use the ticket builder at www.geegeez.co.uk/ppot/ to create their own part perms. For instance, creating the A's and B's suggested in the perm.
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