Geegeez Placepot

Placepot Picks: Pontefract 1st May 2013

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PONTEFRACT--WEDNESDAY 1st MAY

Last five toteplacepot returns at Pontefract:

April 22--£45.20 (four clear favourites secured toteplacepot positions)

April 9--£49.00 (all six)

October 22--£15,743.00 (two)

October 8--£305.20 (three)

September 27--£96.20 (four)

Toteplacepot returns for the last five corresponding meetings:

2012--£124.90 (two clear favourites secured toteplacepot positions)

2011--£14.00 (two)

2010--£59.50 (three)

2009--£123.80 (four)

2008--£299.80 (one)

 

2.20: The previous largest field in this contest during the last decade was in 2006 when twelve runners lined up (fifteen this time around), with the toteplacepot positions going to horses from stalls 5-7-10 under good to firm conditions.  The last five renewals: 3-8-7 (10 ran-heavy), 7-3-1 (9 ran-good to firm), 2-1 (7 ran-good to firm), 8-4-9 (11 ran-good) and 3-1-7 (10 ran-soft).

Trainer trends: Mark Johnston has saddled two winners (2006 & 2003) and the trainer is doubly represented on this occasion.  Mark's winners were sent off at 5/1 and 4/6*.

Vintage stats: This is a two-year-old event

Weight information: Not applicable

Favourite/SP facts: Five renewals have slipped by without a successful favourite being registered, with a 100/1 chance winning this event twelve months ago!  Three favourites have won during the last decade during which time, eight of the eleven market leaders secured toteplacepot positions.

 

2.50: John Gosden (4/11 at Pontefract with his three-year-olds) saddles his Dansili newcomer REMOTE which is interesting, especially as the damn is Zenda who won a Group 1 event for the stable at Longchamp before finishing second in Royal Ascot's Coronation Stakes back in 2002.

 

Trainer trends: Mark Johnston is the only represented trainer to have saddled a winner in this contest of late (2011).

Vintage stats: This is a three-year-old maiden event

Weight information: Not relevant

Favourite/SP facts: Three clear market leaders have won during the last ten years, joined by one joint and one co favourite.  The last seven winners have been returned at a top price of 7/1, whilst nine of the thirteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions.  Three of the four odds on chances in this event obliged during the study period.

 

3.20: Given the stats and facts below, I am content to let the three runners who possess ticks in both the vintage and weight boxes represent yours truly on Wednesday, namely EASTWARD HO, SAVE THE BEES and BLUE MAISEY.

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Trainer trends: None of the previous winning trainers are involved in the contest this time around.

Vintage stats: Five-year-olds have won four of the last six renewals via just 18.4% of the total number of runners (12/65).

Weight information: Four of the last five winners have carried a minimum burden of nine stones, as have ten of the fifteen horses which secured toteplacepot positions.

Favourite/SP facts: Only one favourite has prevailed via seven renewals to date, with four of the seven market leaders having secured toteplacepot positions.  Three of the gold medallists obliged at 14/1-10/1-10/1.

 

3.55: EASTERN DESTINY represents the only trainer (Richard Fahey) to have won this race of the assembled handlers on this occasion.  The weight stats below suggest that the four-year-old (another positive factor) could be the horse on which to concentrate, especially as Richard was the only trainer to saddle two winners during Pontefract's first couple of meetings of the season, albeit via nine runners to date.  Beaten favourite STAR LAHIB will rightly have his fair share of supporters and Mark Johnston's Cape Cross filly is preferred to Richard Hannon's first runner in this contest, namely Heading North.  This is not Richard's luckiest track in all honesty, the trainer having won just one contest via seventeen runners at the venue in the last five years, albeit just four (beaten) three-year-olds have represented the trainer during the study period.

Trainer trends: Sir Michael Stoute saddled the beaten (unplaced) three-year-old 11/10 favourite in the inaugural event back in 2007.

Vintage stats: Four-year-olds have won three of the six renewals to date from 36.9% of the total number of runners (17/46).

Weight information: Five of the six winners carried weights of 9-4 or more which suggests that the top two horses in Wednesday's handicap possess an edge.

Favourite/SP facts: We still await the first successful favourite following six renewals with three of the market leaders having reached the fame (exact science) to date.

 

4.30: Mark Johnston's GREY BLUE was an impressive six length winner on his third start at Beverley last year on good ground before the wheels came off when hiked up in class next time out, subsequently contesting a back-end Nursery without success.  It will be interesting to see how the Verglas gelding copes with this opposition, the pick of which might prove to be THEODORE GERICAULT and BUCKSTAY who have already won their respective events at the second time of asking.

Trainer trends: Mark Johnston's raider was beaten half a length and 'three parts' in last year's inaugural contest with the fourth horse eight lengths adrift.

Vintage stats: This is a three-year-old handicap event.

Weight information: The top weight won off 9-7 last year

Favourite/SP facts: One of the two 7/2 joint favourites obliged in last year's first running of this event, though the other market leader finished out of the money.

 

5.00: DREAM ALLY appeals from an each way perspective in the toteplacepot finale, with Jedd O'Keefe's Pontefract record with three-year-olds standing up well against the other represented handlers in the field.  Jedd has won with four vintage raiders in recent seasons, statistics which reveal a level stake profit of over twenty points in the process.  SAND BOY represents Charlie Hills whose stats below make for interesting reading via the booking of Robert Winston for the Footstepsinthesand colt.

Trainer trends: Nothing outstanding to report, though Robert Winston has already ridden eleven 3YO winners for trainer Charlie Hills, albeit via fifty-six mounts.  Now that Charlie's brother Michael has retired, Robert is Charlie's leading jockey on the fifteen winner mark since taking over from his dad Barry who enjoyed journeying to Pontefract every so often.

Vintage stats: This is a three-year-old handicap event

Weight information: Nothing to report thus far other than joint top weights (off 9-7) finishing first and third twelve months ago.

Favourite/SP facts: Both favourites have finished out of the frame thus far.  That said, five of the six horses to have gained toteplacepot positions were returned at odds of 15/2 or less.

geegeez.co.uk placepot perm

Permutation plan:

2.10 A 4-5-2
2.45 A 2  B 1
3.20 A 4-5-9
3.55 A 1-2
4.30 A 1-2  B 4
5.00 A 5-2

= 216 lines.

Readers can use the ticket builder at www.geegeez.co.uk/ppot/ to create their own part perms. For instance, creating the A's and B's suggested in the perm.

Place your toteplacepot bets with totepool directly, using the link below:

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