Placepot Pointers

Placepot Pointers – 16th January 2016

WARWICK:
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £763.90 (6 favourites - No winners - 1 placed - 5 unplaced)

12.40: Just a reminder that this meeting is subject to an eight o'clock inspection on Saturday morning.  Six-year-olds have won three of the last four renewals, whilst five-year-olds have won three contests via eight renewals during the last decade.  Six of the last eight winners have carried a minimum weight of 11-2 and putting the stats and facts together, POLO, BELIZE, TULLOW TONIC and BOLD DUKE are short listed, despite the fact that the first named Venetia Williams raider will drop below the 11-2 barrier via a claiming jockey.

Favourite factor: Three of the eight favourites have secured toteplacpot positions, statistics which include one (3/1) winner.

1.15: Seven-year-olds have won four of the eight contests during the last decade and with Venetia Williams coming into the race on a hat trick, her seven-year-old raider VIVACCIO is the first name on the team sheet.  That said, this looks a tough heat with the likes of LANCEUR, LASER HAWK and MORNING REGGIE all more than capable of winning this contest on the best of their respective form lines.

Favourite factor: Three winners have emerged during the study period during which time, five of the eight market leaders have finished in the frame (exact science).

Record of course winners in the second event on the card:

1/1--Morning Reggie

1.50: Seven-year-olds have won five of the last seven contests and with three of the five declarations hailing from the vintage this time around, seven-year-olds are 4/6 to extend the good run of results before form is taken into consideration.  BLACK HERCULES makes the journey over from Ireland with obvious claims, albeit SILSOL is a useful horse when on top of his game.  The other seven-year-old DEFINITELY RED would have been nominated as the overnight reserve irrespective of his age.

Favourite factor: Six renewals have slipped by since the only (2/5) favourite obliged during the 10 year period, whilst the biggest priced winner scored at just 5/1.  Only two of the eight marker leaders have claimed Placepot races.

2.25: Seven of the relevant eight winners during the last decade carried a maximum weight of 11 stones, whilst eight-year-olds have secured three of the last five contests.  HOWABOUTNEVER is the only horse in the field with ticks in both boxes whereby the Ian Williams raider could emerge as one of the better bets on the card from my viewpoint.  Joining the Shantou representative in the overnight mix are POBBLES BAY and ISSACSTOWN LAD.

Favourite factor: 10/3 and 9/2 favourites won the first two renewals during the last decade though since those successes, all six market leaders have been beaten.  Five of the 10 market leaders have secured Placepot positions during the study period.

Record of course winners in the fourth contest:

1/1--Rolling Maul

1/1--Howaboutnever

3.00: Five-year-olds have won three of the last four (and four of the last six) contests, whilst Ballagh is eliminated via the weight trends which support horses carrying 11-4 or more.  Course and distance winner BORN SURVIVOR and the Willie Mullins pair THOMAS HOBSON and OPEN EAGLE are at the forefront of my thoughts at the time of writing.

Favourite factor: Only one of the four favourites who failed to win their respective events (via eight contests) additionally claimed a Placepot position.

Record of course winners in the fifth race:

1/1--Born Survivor

3.35:  MIDNIGHT PRAYER is a class act on his day and as Alan King's raider was a late withdrawal for the Welsh Grand National having been a leading hope, his declaration in this lesser contest makes him stand out from the crowd.  That crowd includes plenty of horses with enough ability to make this a decent contest however, notably VIVALDI COLLONGES, WHAT A GOOD NIGHT and (to a fashion) LOOSE CHIPS.

Favourite factor: Only one (9/2) favourite has prevailed during the study period, whilst fiour iof the nine market leaders finished in the frame.

Record of course winners in the toteplacepot finale:

1/1--Sego Success

1/2--Algernon Pazham

1/1--Midnight Prayer

1/2--Rigadin De Beuchene

1/1--Russe Blanc

1/1--De Kerry Man

All references to placed horses on these pages are based on an exact science regarding general place terms offered by bookmakers and totepool.com

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Warwick card on Saturday:

5--Venetia Williams

4--Nigel Twiston-Davies

3--Alan King

3--Charlie Longsdon

3--Willie Mullins

3--Dan Skelton

3--Evan Williams

2--David Bridgwater

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2--Rebcecca Curtis

2--Brian Ellison

2--Chris Gordon

2--Paul Nicholls

2--Fergal O'Brien

2--Oliver Sherwood

2--Robert Walford

2--Ian Williams

1--Kim Bailey

1--Emma Baker

1--John Best

1--Edward Beven

1--Peter Bowen

1--Mark Bradstiock

1--Barry Brennan

1--Ben Case

1--Zoe Davison

1--David Dennis

1--James Eustace

1--Johnny Farrelly

1--Giuseppe Fierro

1--Alex Hales

1--Richard Hawker

1--John Holt

1--Kerry Lee

1--Donald McCain

1--Nick Mitchell

1--Mouse Morris

1--John Quinn

1--Nicky Richards

1--Giles Smyly

1--Colin Tizzard

1--Bill Turner

1--Tim Vaughan

1--Lucy Wadham

69 declared runners

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