YORK - OCTOBER 13
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £829.30 (6 favourites - 1 winner - 3 placed - 2 unplaced)
Friday's Placepot permutation at York:
Leg 1 (2.10): 4 (Tulip Fever), 2 (Beatbox Rhythm) & 15 (Kyllachy Dragon)
Leg 2 (2.45): 11 (Just Hiss), 19 (Highland Colori), 3 (Zwayyan) & 5 (Bravery)
Leg 3 (3.20): 4 (Harrogate), 8 (Malitia) & 1 (Equitant)
Leg 4 (3.55): 6 (The Grand Visir) & 2 (Gold Star)
Leg 5 (4.30): 12 (Bashiba), 11 (Tylery Wonder) & 4 (Monsieur Joe)
Leg 6 (5.05): 12 (Zatorius) & 5 (Photonics)
Suggested stake: 432 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Friday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.10: Eleven of the last thirteen winners have carried weights of 9-3 or less whereby the top horse in the handicap (Zap) is eliminated from my thoughts, whereas a three pound claimer aboard BEATBOX RHYTHM offers connections of Karl Burke’s Beat Hollow colt some hope. First and foremost, I should point out that Richard Fahey has saddled 13 winners at the two day fixture during the last five years which is a great achievement given the competitive edge at this stage of the season. Zap is one of Richard’s three entries in this event, though he might be thwarted here by the likes of TULIP FEVER (William Haggas saddled the second placed favourite last year) and KYLLACHY DRAGON alongside the afore-mentioned BEATBOX RHYTHM.
Favourite factor: Just five of the last fourteen favourites have finished in the frame during which time, only two market leaders prevailed.
Record of the course winners in the opening contest:
1/2—Zap (good to firm)
1/1—Tulip Fever (good to firm)
1/1—International Man (good to firm)
2.45: Only the one renewal to work with. though horses were drawn 14-15-12-11 in last year’s 19 runner event which was contested on good ground, the same conditions which have been projected this time around. Last year’s winner HIGHLAND COLORI has been allotted stall 10/20 twelve months on, a position which not stop him following up successfully if up to the task. Others under the microscope from preferable positions in the gate include JUST HISS (15), ZWAYYAN (16) and BRAVERY (9). The reserve nomination is awarded to Baraweez (20)
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 11/2 favourite finished halfway down the field behind horses which filled the frame at 22/1, 12/1, 16/1 & 10/1.
Record of course winners in the second race on the card:
1/3—Cote D’Azur (good to firm)
1/3—Classic Seniority (good)
1/6—Home Cummons (good)
1/4—Just Hiss (good)
1/5—Highland Colori (good)
3.20: The powers that be have this marked down as a new race via the ‘novice agreement’ they brought into effect a while ago. I have included my stats because not one ounce of difference marks this race (apart from its title), as it is a Class 3 event over five and a half furlongs as was ever the case. It is up to you whether you take note of the facts, plain and simple. This might be the race in which Richard Fahey strikes for the first time on the card having declared MALITIA and EQUITANT. Although Militia is the more fancied runner of the pair, the three pounds that Adam McNamara claims aboard the stable companion should ensure that there is not too much daylight between Richard’s representatives. Daniel Tudhope has been beavering away this year and though his 16% strike rate is down on the last couple of years, Daniel is on course to beat his personal record figure of 110 in a year, with just another ten gold medallists required to achieve that feat. His chance aboard HARROGATE is there for all to see, especially if we take Richard Fahey’s pair out of the equation.
Favourite factor: Three of the seven favourites have finished in the frame (winner & two silver medallists) to date via six contests.
3.55: Nine of the thirteen runners won at the last time of asking, though I have to report half the field last year had the same credentials but failed to land the contest between them. Had the ground been a little softer here today, I could have given BRIMHAM ROCKS a chance of repeating that scenario but given the conditions, I will nominate THE GRAND VISIR (from a win perspective) to thwart horses seeking to put successive victories together. GOLD STAR is the other potential winner in the field according to the gospel of yours truly.
Favourite factor: One of the two market leaders has secured a Placepot position to date, albeit without winning the relevant contest.
4.30: Six-year-olds have won three of the last four renewals and it would come as no great surprise if Nigel Tinkler pulled a rabbit out of the hat via his Iffraj gelding BASHIBA. Five pound claimer Rowan Scott was the last jockey to ride BASHIBA to winning effect, albeit fifteen assignments have come and gone in that time. Others to consider in another tough race on the card to asses are Paul Migleys pair TYLERY WONDER and MONSIEUR JOE who landed the forecast positions between them the last day at Naas.
Favourite factor: Two of the last ten renewals has been claimed by favourites of one description or another, whilst four market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions during the period.
Record of course winners in the penultimate leg of our favourite wager:
1/5--East Street Revue (good)
3/11—East Street Revue (2 x good & good to soft)
1/4—Carlton Frankie (good)
1/3—Tylery Wonder (good)
2/22—Bogart (good to firm & good to soft)
1/4—Top Boy (good to soft)
5.05: I’m not sure if I have ever had a bet on a juvenile to win a race after it has finished second on debut. Such horses always strike me representing poor value for money at such a tender age, with media types often over reacting for just one half decent run. That has not stopped me including umpteen hundreds of the said creatures in my Placepot plans however, and this is the case here with ZATORIUS and PHOTONICS having been declared to run.
Favourite factor: The Placepot finale is a new race on the York card.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the York card on Friday followed by the number of winners (in brackets) they have saddled on the corresponding card during the last five years:
11 runners—Tim Easterby (1)
10—Richard Fahey (5)
5—David Barron (4)
5—Mick Easterby (1)
3—Andrew Balding (2)
3—William Haggas (2)
3—Brian Meehan (2)
2—Karl Burke (1)
2—John Gosden (1)
2—Mark Johnston (1)
Trainers who have only entered one horse at York on Friday who have saddled one winner apiece are as follows: Julie Camacho, Mick Channon, David C Griffiths, John Quinn and Saeed Bin Suroor
+ 27 other trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
118 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Newmarket: £493.90 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 3 placed – 2 unplaced
Newton Abbot: £229.50 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced
Kempton: This is a new fixture on the racing calendar