Placepot Pointers

Placepot Pointers – Friday 19th January

LINGFIELD – JANUARY 19

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2017: £19.20 (6 favourites – 4 winners – 1 placed – 1 unplaced)

 

Friday's Placepot permutation at Lingfield: 

Leg 1 (12.55): 1 (Summer Thunder) & 4 (Red Snapper)

Leg 2 (1.25): 4 (Inuk), 2 (Avon Green) & 5 (Hornby)

Leg 3 (2.00): 1 (Jumping Jack), 6 (Bayston Hill) & 5 (Music Major)

Leg 4 (2.30): 7 (Human Nature), 8 (Show Stealer) & 1 (Kachy)

Leg 5 (3.05): 3 (Conkering Hero) & 2 (Strictly Art)

Leg 6 (3.40): 1 (Native Appeal) & 6 (Shakour)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Friday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

12.55: SUMMER THUNDER (1/2) and RED SNAPPER (9/2) are solid prices right across the board in the dead of night in a race which the pair look set to dominate at the business end of proceedings.  Whether the favourite would have had more petrol in the tank when returned as the beaten 13/8 market leader the last day at Kempton had he not dwelt at the start remains unknown though either way, there was precious little left to offer close home.  This race should tell us more about his resolve.  I wouldn’t care to take a price about either horse personally though from a Placepot perspective, they look home and hosed in such a weak contest.

Favourite factor: This is a new race with which to open proceedings at Lingfield.

 

1.25: The previous six winners had all carried a minimum burden of 9-3 before last year’s 33/1 winner upset the heavily laden apple-cart.  The first race on the card will act as a marker for supporters of course winner INUK who finished just over a length adrift of Summer Thunder last time out.  Either way, 7/4 looks skinny enough about the Richard Hughes raider, albeit his Placepot claims are there for all to see.  Joseph Tuite saddled a winner yesterday whereby there will be some confidence behind AVON GREEN I’ll wager, whilst HORNBY completes my trio against the remaining four contenders.

Favourite factor: Just one (6/4) favourite has obliged via seven renewals, two of which were won by horses returned at 33/1 and 10/1. Three of the seven market leaders have claimed Placepot positions, stats which include one beaten 1/2 favourite from a win perspective.

Course winner in the second event:

1/3--Inuk

 

2.00: There is plenty of money in the realistic positive exchange queue for both BAYSTON HILL and JUMPING JACK at the time of writing, the first named runner being closely linked with MUSIC MAJOR via recent form lines.  This trio should get us into the second half of the Placepot equation between them, albeit Miss Minuty should not be far away at the jamstick though ‘value for money’ is the worry regarding Jeremy Scott’s projected favourite.  If Colourful Career prevails, it will be yet another case of taking the wrong stance about an Ed Dunlop runner, a trainer I rarely (if ever) call the right way!

Favourite factor: This is another new event on the Lingfield programme.

Course winners in the third race:

3/5—Miss Minuty

1/6—Cayuga

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3/9—Music Major

1/4—Bayston Hill

 

2.30: HUMAN NATURE makes some appeal at the (bet to nothing) each way price of 5/1 this morning, with Milly Naseb still offering fair value from the saddle via her seven pound claim.  Trainer Stuart Williams is in decent enough form whilst he has saddled more A/W winners at Lingfield than at any other venue, one of two turf-less venues (alongside Chelmsford) where he boasts a level stake profit down the years.  SHOW STEALER and KACHY are feared most.

Favourite factor: The two favourites to date have secured gold (7/2) and Silver (5/2) medals whist securing Placepot positions.

Course winners in the fourth contest on the card:

1/2—Certificate

1/8—Zac Brown

1/8—Kasbah

1/1—Show Stealer

 

3.05: It would come as no surprise if course winner STRICTLY ART outruns his each way price in this grade/company, albeit CONKERING HERO might still be ahead of the handicapper for a week or two.  The latter named raider is Joseph Tuite’s second runner on the card with realistic claims, with this pair preferred to Ban Shoof at the time of writing.

Favourite factor: Another new race on the Lingfield card.

Course winners in the fifth event:

1/2—Ban Shoof

1/2—Strictly Art

1/1—Conkering Hero

1/1—Oregon Gift

1/5—Barthomomew J

1/3—Sanches

 

3.40: Charlie Appleby saddled eight runners ‘out east’ at Meydan yesterday resulting in two winners.  Charlie’s raider NATIVE APPEAL should prove difficult to beat, let alone claiming a Placepot position, especially with (seemingly) only SHAKOUR to beat.

Favourite factor: The Placepot finale is yet another new event.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Lingfield card on Friday – followed by their seasonal (in brackets) and career ratios at the track + profits/losses accrued on both counts:

2 runners—Michael Attwater (0/6) – 35/466 – loss of 61 points

2—David Evans (2/4 +7) – 82/603 – loss of 177

2—Joseph Tuite (0/2) – 10/102 – loss of 5

2—Charlie Wallis (0/2) – 2/47 – loss of 28

+ 37 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

45 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Chepstow: £302.80 – 6 favourites – 4 winners & 2 unplaced

Musselburgh: £217.40 – 7 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 4 unplaced

Newcastle: This is a new meeting

 

 

 

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