Placepot Pointers

Placepot Pointers – Friday 1st September

SANDOWN – SEPTEMBER 1

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £49.60 (6 favourites – 1 winner – 3 placed – 2 unplaced)

 

Friday's Placepot permutation at Sandown: 

Leg 1 (1.40): 5 (The Golden Cue), 8 (Kodiac Express) & 7 (Onefootinparadise)

Leg 2 (2.10): 4 (Our Lord), 1 (Babyfact) & 6 (Gnaad)

Leg 3 (2.45): 5 (Emaraaty) & 1 (Beachwalk)

Leg 4 (3.20): 1 (Bathsheba Bay), 8 (Graffiti Master) & 14 (Zaajer)

Leg 5 (3.55): 1 (Archetype), 6 (Robin Weathers) & 3 (Elucidation)

Leg 6 (4.25): 1 (Hellfire) & 4 (Anastazia)

Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Friday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.40: THE GOLDEN CUE tackles much faster ground here than was the case relating to his course and distance win the last day.  That said, ‘trap two’ gives Steph Hollinshead’s Zebedee gelding a fine chance to re-enact a front running performance here last month which resulted in a facile five length success.  The ground tends to retain more moisture up this five furlong chute at Sandown than over the round course whereby conditions might not be too fast for the March foal, certainly from a Placepot perspective.  KODIAC EXPRESS would been considered a big threat but for his stall 11 position, whilst ONEFOOTINPARADISE completes my trio against the field.

Favourite factor: This is a new race on a Sandown card which has bits and pieces of history relating to different fixtures down the years.

Record of the course winner in the opening event:

1/1—The Golden Cue (soft)

 

2.10: Well over half of the 69 winners sent out by Malcolm Saunders during the last five years have registered their successes at Bath/Salisbury, though two have scored at this Esher venue, one of which is BABYFACT who recorded a fast ground course and distance victory 13 months ago.  The impressive five pound claimer Georgia Cox negates most the penalty dished out for her recent Bath success and OUR LORD will know he has been in a race I’ll wager, despite his even money quote this morning.  OUR LORD escapes a penalty for having completed a hat trick last time out, whereby you can understand why layers are hesitant to offer much more than 6/5 about his chance.  GNAAD has attracted money overnight, possibly having something to do with the fact that Alan Bailey has sent out two of his last four runners to winning effect.  Paddy Power’s 10/1 quote might not last long this morning.

Favourite factor: Both three-year-old 7/2 favourites have finished out with the washing to date behind successful five-year-old raider who scored at 7/1 & 11/2.

Record of the course winners in the second race:

1/1—Babyfact (good to firm)

1/5—Secret Asset (good to firm)

 

2.45: You can ignore the 5/1 trade press quote about the well entered John Gosden newcomer EMARAATY this morning, with quotes between 7/4 and 9/4 in evidence at the time of writing.  I won’t go overboard about those prices because unraced horses can make a fool of us all, given that the market has yet to develop in terms of the amount of equity involved.  Sir Michael Stoute has his team in great form (four of his last seven runners have won) whereby the chance of BEACHWALK is also respected.

Favourite factor: Three of the last four favourites have won this event, with market leaders coming to the gig on a hat trick this time around.  The last eight gold medallists have scored at a top price of 7/1.  That said, the last four favourites that failed to win their respective events also missed out on Placepot positions.

 

3.20: High on numbers but short on potential winners according to the lack of overnight activity, heat two of the previous race looks set to be dominated by BATHSHEBA BAY and GRAFFITI MASTER, if we take brief trading on the exchanges seriously.  Richard Hannon (BATHSHEBA BAY) has saddled seven of his last 18 runners to winning effect whilst like Beachwalk in the previous contest, Ryan Moore has been booked to ride.  Although ZAAJER has drifted with a couple of firms as I home in on the second half of this fixture, it would be foolish to write off the chance of the Owen Burrows Shamardal colt, with the trainer having won with five of his last 10 runners during a period in which he also snared the silver medal with two of his beaten representatives.

Favourite factor: This is the second division of the previous (seven furlong) contest on the card.

 

3.55: I offered Far Dawn as a decent each way bet at Bath on Thursday before Simon Crisford’s raider finished third at 14/1.  Similarly, I can’t let the 9/1 BetVictor quote about course winner ARCHITYPE slip my without having a win and place investment, albeit to moderate stakes.  Simon is another trainer who has his team in good form and his course winner is the first name on my team sheet, albeit closely followed by the likes of ROBIN WEATHERS and ELUCIDATION who more than deserve their respective places in a typically intriguing Sandown contest.

Favourite factor: This is another new event on the Sandown programme.

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Record of the course winner in the fifth contest on the card:

1/2—Archetype (good to firm)

 

4.25: Five of Hughie Morrison’s last eight runners have secured Placepot positions, two of them winning their respective events at odds of 9/2 & 4/5*. Available at 4/1 with three leading firms, I doubt that bookmakers will allow the Archipenko filly HELLFIRE to drift to a ‘bet to nothing’ price which offers a ‘free’ each way bet at 5/1 or more, given that investors would receive their stakes back in full, even if the four-year-old only manages to finished second or third in this 10 runner event.  The fact that ANASTAZIA has contested 10/25 races at Yarmouth is considered as something of a negative factor though that said, trainer Paul D’Arcy also has seven Newmarket results to take into account for his five-year-old mare whereby we can (hopefully) deduce that he has targeted races close to home with this inmate more often than not.  Either way, the fact the ANASTAZIA has finished ‘in the three’ in 14 races in all events suggests she is rarely far away, especially when taking into account 14 assignments when the Kyllachy mare has finished fourth!

Favourite factor: The Placepot finale is the third of the new races on Sandown’s card.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Sandown card on Friday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:

6 runners—Richard Hannon (6/40 – loss of 10 points)

3—John Gosden (3/20 – loss of 3 points)

3—Brian Meehan (3/12 – slight profit)

2—Ralph Beckett (1/13 – loss of 7 points)

2—Jim Boyle (1/6 +7)

2—Mick Channon (1/6 +4)

2—Jane Chapple-Hyam (No previous runners this season at Sandown)

2—Clive Cox (3/20 +9)

2—Iain Furtado (No previous runners)

2—Brett Johnson (0/1)

2—William Muir (0/4)

2—Hugo Palmer (0/9)

2—Amanda Perrett (0/7)

2—Malcolm Saunders (0/1)

2—Sir Michael Stoute (6/16 +21)

2—Ed Walker (0/4)

2—Ian Williams (1/6 +2)

+ 40 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

80 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Thirsk: £124.20 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced

Bangor: £71.90 – 6 favourites – No winners – 4 placed – 2 unplaced

 

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