DONCASTER – JANUARY 26
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £32.30 (7 favourites: 3 winners – 3 placed – 1 unplaced)
Friday's Placepot permutation at Doncaster:
Leg 1 (12.50): 2 (Doktor Glaz), 1 (Spiritual Man) & 5 (Glimpse Of Gold)
Leg 2 (1.25): 9 (Perfect Harmony) & 3 (Cracking Destiny)
Leg 3 (1.55): 1 (Mount Mews) & 2 (Wotzizname)
Leg 4 (2.30): 8 (Nube Negra) & 1 (Bambys Boy)
Leg 5 (3.05): 5 (Bako De La Saulaie), 8 (Amber Gambler) & 9 (Baileys Concerto)
Leg 6 (3.40): 12 (Does It In Style), 7 (Peppay Le Pugh) & 10 (Fit For Fifty)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Friday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
12.50: Every horse in training is allowed an off day once in a while whereby I am offering DOKTOR GLAZ another chance following a slightly disappointing effort here at Town Moor the last day. The fact that money is emerging for Rose Dobbin’s raider is a positive sign too, particularly from a Placepot perspective. Others to consider include SPIRITUAL MAN (the first of no less than eight runners on the card for Jonjo O’Neill) and GLIMPSE OF GOLD.
Favourite factor: All three favourites had claimed toteplacepot positions (one (7/2** winner) before the 2016 renewal which witnessed the complete demise of the 7/2 market leader. Things returned to type twelve months ago however when the 2/1 market leader snared a Placeepot position without winning the relevant contest.
1.25: Alan King has enjoyed plenty of success on the corresponding weekend in recent years and his beaten favourite PERFECT HARMONY is given another chance in this grade/company. Alan’s Definite Article gelding ran halfway down the field in last year’s Championship Bumper event at the Cheltenham Festival in March and even though a 33/1 chance on the day, contesting that event (finished halfway down the pack) bodes well for his chance here. CRACKING DESTINY is the obvious danger from the form lines we have witnessed to date, especially with Nicky Henderson sending just the one runner up the M1 today despite plenty of entries earlier in the week.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Doncaster card.
1.55: A race which inevitably attracts, Harry Fry is looking to maintain his 100% record in the contest with WOTZIZNAME who appears to have MOUNT MEWS to beat. Malcolm Jefferson has some really nice horses at home this season and his progressive seven-year-old Presenting gelding looks sure to take the beating this afternoon. Philip Hobbs continues to enter his horses sparingly (only four runners during the last week) during a rare patch of indifferent form, whereby the jury is very much ‘out’ regarding the chance of Robbib’hannon.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 11/8 favourite missed out on a toteplacepot position behind horses which filled the frame at 6/4 & 25/1. It was a similar case the following year as the 11/8 market leader finished out with the washing behind horses that did the business from a Placepot perspective at 9/2 & 4/1. The next 7/4 favourite won before last year’s 10/11 market leader finished last of four in a ‘win only’ contest.
Course winner in the third event on the card:
2/2—Mount Mews (good & soft)
2.30: Richard Johnson has won on his only ride for Micky Hammond this season whereby connections will be hoping that BAMBYS BOY can at least get NUBE NEGRA off the bridal at the business end of proceedings. Although eleven runners are set to face the starter, it would be churlish in the extreme to oppose this pair. NUBE NEGRA ran Apple’s Shakira to less than four lengths at Cheltenham the last day and a repeat of that effort (without any further improvement) would be good enough to record a facile victory, for all Dickie’s urgings aboard Bambys Boy up the home straight.
Favourite factor: Two of the four favourites have finished in the frame to date, stats which include one (4/9) winner.
3.05: There are overnight signs that the potential ‘rag’ in the field BAILEYS CONCERTO will outrun his 25/1 trade press quote, a price which is not too conspiuous in the dead of night when writing this column. Dianne Sayer’s twelve-year-old is offered up as the speculative each way play accordingly, albeit more logical winners in the field include BAKO DE LA SAULAIE and AMBLER GAMBLER.
Favourite factor: A couple of (2/1 & 9/4) favourites missed out on Placepot positions before the next market leader scored at 4/1. This was followed by last year’s 11/4 joint favourites which filled the forecast positions.
Course winners in the fifth race:
1/3—Steel Summit (good)
1/3—Grandads Horse (soft)
3.40: DOES IT IN STYLE and PEPPAY LE PUGH look the safest Placepot options in the last leg of our favourite wager, whilst adding FIT FOR FIFTY into the equation, with Donald McCain’s runner going so well just now. Donald has sent out nine of his last seventeen runners to winning effect, though a Placepot position will simply be appreciated here if we have live units running onto the finale.
Favourite factor: Three of the four market leaders have claimed Placepot positions via two gold medals and one of the silver variety.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Doncaster card on Friday – followed by their seasonal (in brackets) and five year ratios at the track + profits/losses accrued on both counts:
8 runners—Jonjo O’Neill (4/19 +18) – 12/90 – loss of 16 points
7—Nicky Richards (1/4 – slight loss) – 4/18 +11
5—Tim Vaughan (0/1) – 0/27
5—Ian Williams (2/10 – loss of 2) – 8/65 – loss of 9
3—Richard Phillips (0/1) – 2/28 – loss of 8
3—Dan Skelton (3/9 +1) – 5/62 – loss of 46
2—Jennie Candlish (0/1) – 3/22 – loss of 5
2—Ben Case (1/4 +3) – 4/26 – loss of 4
2—David Dennis (1/5 – loss of 2 points) – 3/31 – loss of 22
2—Rose Dobbin (2/6 +7) – 4/18 +11
2—Oliver Greenall (No runners at Doncaster during the last five years)
2—Alan King (0/8) – 22/92 +35
2—Charlie Longsdon (1/13 – loss of 5) – 7/74 – loss of 27
2—Michael Mullineaux (First runners at Doncaster this season) – 1/6 +45
2—Dianne Sayer (0/2) – 2/11 +7
2—Michael Scudamore (0/2) – 1/9 – loss of 4 points
+ 29 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
72 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Huntingdon: Meeting abandoned
Lingfield: £52.60 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced