CATTERICK – FEBRUARY 2
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £39.70 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced
Friday's Placepot permutation at Catterick:
Leg 1 (1.20): 5 (Spirit Of Rome) & 3 (Shine Baby Shine)
Leg 2 (1.50): 1 (The Last Day), 3 (Sam’s Gunner) & 5 (What’s The Scoop)
Leg 3 (2.25): 4 (Oak Vintage), 2 (Black Kettle) & 3 (Peppay Le Pugh)
Leg 4 (2.55): 3 (Planet Nine) & 5 (Dark Sunset)
Leg 5 (3.30): 4 (Timon’s Tara), 1 (Same Circus) & 2 (Milly Baloo)
Leg 6 (4.05): 1 (Iskabeg Lane) & 4 (Mount Oliver)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
1.20: Harry Whittington remains an extremely underrated trainer from my viewpoint, invariably selecting realistic targets for his inmates such as in this instance with SPIRIT OF ROME. That said, SHINE BABY SHINE is a worthy opponent, though I’m not sure where the lads and lasses in the trade press office plucked a price of 6/5 from regarding Phil Kirby’s raider. Perhaps they were swayed by Phil’s recent 3/8 ratio, figures which have produced level stake profits of three points. Either way, this pair should take us safely through to the second leg of our favourite wager.
Favourite factor: Favourites come to the opening event on a five timer today.
1.50: There is some semi-serious money accumulating in the positive queue on the exchanges for SAM’S GUNNER at the time of writing, though THE LAST DAY should take the beating in a race which is developing into a potential match according to the potential plays/lays in the dead of night. WHAT’S THE SCOOP is as short as 7/2 in a place as I pen this column, though 11/2 if freely available on the exchanges. WHAT’S THE SCOOP does have one stat on his side however, given that Sue Smith has saddled four of her last seven runners to winning effect.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Catterick card
2.25: Eight-year-olds have claimed five of the eight available Placepot positions to date, stats which include two (9/2 & 9/2*) winners. OAK VINTAGE is preferred to BLACK KETTLE relating to the two vintage representatives on this occasion. PEPPAY LE PUGH is the potential joker in the pack if you are choosing between the eight-year-olds at the time of writing.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 5/2 favourite finished last of the four finishers in a five runner (short field) contest before the following 10/3 market leader secured a silver medal alongside a Placepot position. All was put right last year for investors, with the 9/2 jolly obliging.
2.55: Seven of the eight winners have carried weights of 11-4 or less though the pair of relevant horses on this occasion (one via a claim) are certainly up against it via the form book. Others are preferred, especially the likes of PLANET NINE and DARK SUNSET who represent the in form yards of Rose Dobbin and Donald McCain respectively.
Favourite factor: Three of the nine favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions (one 7/4 winner).
Record of the course winners in the fourth contest on the card:
3.30: TIMON’S TARA was beaten half a length on Saturday when well fancied by yours truly. I was on at 7/1 before Robin Dickin’s raider was backed to half of those odds before flag fall. Robin has not left time for the dust to settle and Jack Quinlan’s mount is expected to go close again. Soft ground course winners SAME CIRCUS and MILLY BALOO are feared most. Please form an orderly queue outside betting shops the length and breadth of the land to back the fourth runner in the contest, namely Sheneededtherun!
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 15/8 favourite was one of two horses which failed to complete the course in a ‘short field’ event. New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way and Placepot perspectives.
Record of the course winner in the fifth event:
1/2—Same Circus (soft)
1/2—Milly Baloo (soft)
4.05: ISKABEG LANE and MOUNT OLIVER represent the safest Placepot options in the finale, especially given the ‘insurance’ factor with laying off opportunities at very short prices, if the dividend looks like paying well before the ‘lucky last’. Tommy The Rascal is the call to follow the pair home.
Favourite factor: All three favourites have secured Placepot positions (one 4/1** winner) via two renewals to date.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Catterick card on Friday – followed by their seasonal (in brackets) and five year ratios at the track + profits/losses accrued on both counts:
3 runners—Donald McCain (3/21 – loss of 6 points) – 37/168 – loss of 13
3—Sue Smith (3/15 – loss of 9 points) – 27/93 +73
2—George Bewley (First runners at Catterick this year) – 2/21 +24
2—Julia Brooke (0/4) – 0/6
2—David Dennis (First runners at Catterick this season) – 1/7 – loss of 4
2—Micky Hammond (3/26 – level on the year) – 12/151 – loss of 68 points
2—Rebecca Menzies (0/4) – 4/26 – loss of 6
2—Neil Mulholland (2/5 – loss of 1 point) – 3/10 – loss of 5
2—J A Nash (No previous runners at Catterick in the last five years)
2—Evan Williams (0/1) – 2/9 – loss of 1 point
+ 17 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
39 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Chepstow: Meeting abandoned
Lingfield: £131.60 – 6 favourites – 4 winners – 1 placed – 1 unplaced
Wolverhampton: £583.30 – 8 favourites – 1 winner – 1 placed – 6 unplaced