SOUTHWELL – MARCH 2
Friday's Placepot permutation at Southwell:
Leg 1 (1.45): 3 (Swashbuckle) & 7 (Shine Baby Shine)
Leg 2 (2.15): 2 (Charbel) & 4 (Tomngerry)
Leg 3 (2.45): 1 (Bordeaux Bill), 2 (Nautical Nitwit), 4 (Wilberdragon) & 3 (Volcanic)
Leg 4 (3.20): 6 (Spectator), 4 (Man Look) & 1 (Brotherly Company)
Leg 5 (3.50): 3 (Hammersly Lake), 1 (Good Tradition) & 4 (Newstart)
Leg 6 (4.25): 2 (Fin And Game) & 1 (Blazon)
Suggested stake: 288 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Friday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.45: Let’s hope for some racing today whilst making the point that this is an additional fixture whereby there is no history attached to the meeting and in case you thought I had forgotten today’s course winners; there are none! Upwards and onward by suggesting that SWASHBUCKLE and SHINE BABY SHINE could be worth siding with against Magic Dancer.
2.15: Fair play to a handful of trainers who have supported this initiative, none more so than Brian Ellison who sends seven runners to the course, one of which is TOMNJERRY who looks the only possible threat to CHARBEL. Kim Bailey’s Iffraaj gelding should have enough speed (without obstacles to jump) to score here, not that speed and Fibresand go hand in hand with each other!
2.45: Ordinarily, the recent Wetherby winner BORDEAUX BILL would be something of an automatic call in this ‘win only’ contest but on Fibresand, that chance cannot be taken, pure and simple. I know plenty of people that will not touch ‘all weather’ racing with the proverbial bargepole, let alone get involved given the deep surface that thoroughbreds ae asked to cope with at Southwell. In the circumstances, I’m offering al four runners in my permutation, hoping that the horse with the least units prevails.
3.20: Richard Johnson seemingly travels to Southwell (all being well today) for just the one ride which is surely a pointer towards SPECTATOR who represents Tim Vaughan this afternoon. On all known form, MAN LOOK and BOTHERLY COMPANY are the main threats.
3.50: HAMMERSLY LAKE appears to be the obvious solution but the prospect of a non runner haunts me at the time of writing whereby GOOD TRADITION and NEWSTART are added into the mix. Readers looking to limit their permutations are entitled to bank on the projected favourite (Hammersly Lake) if all five runners look set to start shortly before the off of the opening event. The advice is to leave your bets until as close to the projected time of the first race as you can before settling on your permutation.
4.25: The same scenario is in place here as was the case in the previous race on the card in terms of the projected five runner race. Even I have to draw the line somewhere because as much as I would ideally like to add Miss Adventure into the mix, I’m relying on FIN AND GAME and BLAZON in the Placepot finale, even if a non runner emerges. I have little option (from a financial pwerspective) at the time of writing!
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Southwell card on Friday – followed by their ratios at the track and then their five year figures + profits/losses accrued on both fronts:
7 runners—Brian Ellison (1/5 – slight loss) – 18/120 – loss of 27
5—Donald McCain (0/1) – 0/8
3—Kim Bailey (No runners on the flat track for the last five years)
3—Phil Kirby (2/5 +2) – 8/53 – loss of 14
3—Charlie Longsdon (First runners this season) – 0/1
2—Michael Chapman (0/8) – 2/77 – loss of 58
2—Joanne Forster (1/1 +22) – 1/2 +21
2—Ivan Furtado (2/9 +10) – 8/63 – loss of 15
43 declared runners
+ 16 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Lingfield: £49.40 – 7 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 2 unplaced