LINGFIELD – MARCH 30
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £250.40 (7 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 3 unplaced)
Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions are offered in brackets:
Race 1: 33.4% units went through – 33/1, 10/3* & 12/1
Race 2: 26.6% of the remaining units when through – 7/1, 7/1 & 16/1 (4/1)
Race 3: 92.1% of the remaining units went through – 6/1, Evens* & 11/2
Race 4: 35.0% of the remaining units went through – 4/1**, 8/1 & 14/1 (4/1**)
Race 5: 17.0% of the remaining units went through – 8/1, 14/1 & 12/1 (6/5)
Race 6: 59.6% of the units secured the dividend – 11/8*, 16/1 & 15/2
Friday's Placepot permutation at Lingfield:
Leg 1 (1.30): 14 (Silent Echo), 10 (Take The Helm), 11 (Swift Approval) & 4 (Squats)
Leg 2 (2.00): 5 (Red Verdon) & 2 (Funny Kid)
Leg 3 (2.30): 3 (Diagnostic) & 13 (Zest)
Leg 4 (3.05): 8 (Kachy), 4 (Gifted Master) & 3 (Double Up)
Leg 5 (3.40): 3 (Corinthia Knight), 4 (Count Otto) & 5 (Desert Doctor)
Leg 6 (4.10): 10 (Second Thought) & 5 (Goring)
Suggested stake: 288 bets to 10p stakes
1.30: Hopefully you are playing up yesterday ‘winnings’ given that four units of my 10p Placepot permutation obliged which gave us a potential return of £505.48 via the full £1,263.70 dividend at Wetherby. Upwards and onward in positive mode accordingly by suggesting that SILENT ECHO could give us a good start to the meeting given his 50% strike rate at the course to date. Confidence is a massive part of producing a profit for investors and after nominating a 25/1 winner yesterday via my permutation, I have no hesitation in offering three outsiders in this opening event to carry our Placepot cash, namely TAKE THE HELM, SWIFT APPROVAL and SQUATS.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 10/3 favourite had to give best to a 33/1 chance close home when securing a Placepot position.
Details of the seven course winners in the opening event:
2/4—Take The Helm
2.00: RED VERDON will surely take some kicking out of the frame though as regular readers are aware, staying races on the level do not bring out the best in yours truly. Racehorses are fundamentally born for speed whereby when pace drops away, so do predictable results from my viewpoint. I will add the French raider FUNNY KID into the mix accordingly.
Favourite factor: The three previous favourites had secured two gold medals and one of the silver variety when claiming Placepot positions, before last year’s 4/1 market leader finished out with the washing.
Details of the two course winners in the second race:
2.30: Four-year-olds have won three of the four contests to date whilst claiming seven of the twelve available Placepot positions from around 60% of the total number of runners who have contested the event thus far. The pick of the four vintage representatives on this occasion appears to be DIAGNOSTIC over Soul Silver from my viewpoint. That said, Roger Charlton’s five-year-old raider ZEST boasts a fine track record here at Lingfield, though an additional furlong would have helped his cause. I guess this race will be run at a furious pace however, whereby he will be closing in on the pace setters as jockeys raise their whips at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: Three of the five favourites have claimed Placepot positions without winning their respective events via four renewals.
Details of the seven course winners in the third contest on the card:
3.05: DOUBLE UP looks a shade too big at 22/1 in a place this morning, especially with stable companion Atletico having been taken out overnight. That said, KACHY and GIFTED MASTER are more obvious winners from a win perspective. The first named Tom Dascombe raider is unbeaten (4/4) when contesting races away from straight courses, whereby he is marginally preferred to Hugo Palmer’s five-year-old raider.
Favourite factor: Three of the five marker leaders have claimed Placepot positions to date via four renewals, stats which include two (65/ & 4/1**) winners.
Details of the six course winners in the field:
3.40: COUNT OTTO contests a much warmer race here than has been the case of late, though his unbeaten course record (2/2) holds him in good stead from an each way perspective at around the 14/1 mark. DESERT DOCTOR is another with win and place claims at a half decent price, though CORINITHIA KNIGHT has an impressive official mark of 105 which is far and away the best indicator of the potential winner of the race.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 11/8 favourite duly obliged twelve months ago.
Details of the four course winners in the penultimate Placepot race on the Good Friday programme:
1/1—Rock On Baileys
4.10: This is the race which helped to produce a half decent Placepot dividend twelve months ago when the 6/5 favourite finished out of the money with horses filling the frame at 8/1, 14/1 & 12/1. As you can detect above, only 17% of the units which were live going into what was the fifth race on the card last year survived to go through to the Placepot finale. This time around however, SECOND THOUGHT could score on the this high profile card for the second successive year, with connections probably having most to fear from GORING who represents Eve Johnson Houghton who recorded fabulous figures last term and a victory here would give the popular trainer a wonderful boost going into the turf season.
Favourite factor: The four market leaders to date have secured two of the ‘lesser medals’ thus far as we still await the first successful favourite.
Details of the seven course winners in the Placepot finale:
Details of the six course winners in the non Placepot event at 4.40:
2/5—Master The World
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.