Doncaster – Friday 8th January 2016
12.15: Both favourites have won at their leisure in the opening event (aggregate distance of twenty two and a half lengths) and REDKALANI looks the part here on his handicap bow, especially now that Keith Reveley's Ashkalani raider steps up in trip. Micky Hammond (four entries) saddled the most runners on the Doncaster card and with the yard sending out a steady stream of winners, JUMPANDTRAVEL looks certain to offer another decent effort, whilst IRISH OCTAVE could plod on for a place at an each way price.
Favourite factor: Both (5/4 & 4/1) favourites have won their respective events to date.
12.45: Although VYTA DU ROC was not overly impressive at Bangor last time out when winning, Nicky Henderson raids this course to great effect and with the ground in his favour, Nicky's seven-year-old is difficult to oppose. A winner of five of his last eight races, VYTA DU ROC was beaten at Cheltenham, Aintree and Newbury on the other occasions, which sums up his class, potentially at least. Having stayed well enough to score over a slightly longer trip on soft ground at Sandown on his penultimate start, Nicky's Lion Noir gelding should not be hard pressed to outstay his rivals on this easier circuit. BOUVREUIL receives eleven pounds however, which should bring the pair close together before pressure is applied to the projected favourite to go and win his race.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Doncaster card.
1.20: KASHTAREE could outrun her odds under these terms and conditions, from a Placepot perspective at least, albeit more logical winners of the race include DONNA'S PRIDE and FOUNTAINS BLOSSOM. The latter named pair both found one too good for them last time out and would not be winning out of turn. Keith Reveley has saddled more winners (seventeen in total) at this venue under the NH code than he has managed anywhere else during the last five years and DONNA'S PRIDE looks sure to give investors a decent run for their collective monies.
Favourite factor: The two market leaders have just a silver medal (alongside a Placepot position) to show for their efforts thus far.
Doncaster record of course winners in the third race:
1.50: Only two of the eleven winners saddled by Paul Nicholls at Doncaster during the last five years have been gained in the hurdle sector via twenty three representatives but that said, it is difficult to ignore the chance of Paul's top weight LE PREZIEN who dotted up at Ludlow on soft ground last month despite a bad mistake at the last flight. Support in the ring for UNBUCKLED would add interest to proceedings, whilst it could prove dangerous to ignore Gary Moore's Irish import KNOCKNANUSS at the first time of asking.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 2/5 market leader duly obliged before last year's 7/4 jolly was touched off by a short head by the 11/4 second favourite.
Doncaster record of course winners in the fourth contest on the card:
2.25: Despite being raised three pounds by the official assessor for a recent victory, Lucinda Russell's top weight MYSTEREE has won off this 120 mark before now, albeit that was a hurdles rating. Having contested races off as high a mark as 129 over timber however, MYSTEREE jumped like a stag on his chasing debut when winning a two horse race by thirty two lengths when sent off at 11/8, trouncing the 4/7 market leader at Wetherby. A repeat of that effort would surely take MYSTEREE close in this grade/company. The jury remains out on Donald McCain's runners at present, though ASKAMORE DARSI is weighted to figure prominently, comments which also apply to MERCERS COURT if conditions are not too arduous.
Favourite factor: This is another new contest on the Doncaster card.
3.00: Nicky Henderson has saddled three five-year-olds in this event to date, claiming two gold and one bronze medal in the process. Nicky has declared his five-year-old DIVINE SPEAR who won at Towcester back in May on good ground. The sire (Oscar) boasts the same 10% strike rate with his stock on good and heavy ground, whereby there seems no reason to desert Nico de Boinvuille's mount here. Nicky boasts a whopping strike rate of 44% in the hurdle sector at Doncaster via twenty seven winners during the last five years, stats which have produced fifty three points of level stake profits. Five-year-olds have secured five of the nine available toteplacepot positions thus far, statistics which also bring BAYOULET DELAROQUE and DALKADAM into the overnight mix.
Favourite factor: All three market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions thus far via one gold and two silver medals.
All references to placed horses on these pages are based on an exact science regarding general place terms offered by bookmakers and totepool.com
Previous Placepot dividends at the corresponding meeting:
2015: £13.30 (7 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced)
2014: £19.20 (6 favourites – 1 winner – 3 placed – 2 unplaced
Average Placepot dividend: £16.25
Favourites record (13): 4 winners – 5 placed – 4 unplaced)
Lingfield stage all weather fixtures today, tomorrow and on Tuesday whereby I thought you might want to look at how their 2016 stats stand going into the busy period for the venue - alongside recent Placepot information.
3/5--David Evans (6/4 - 13/2 - 10/1)
1/1--David Bridgwater (5/1)