Placepot Pointers

Placepot Pointers – Friday 8th September

HAYDOCK - SEPTEMBER 8

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £289.00 (6 favourites - 1 winner - 1 placed - 4 unplaced)

 

Friday's Placepot permutation at Haydock: 

Leg 1 (1.50): 3 (Cavatina) & 1 (Amazing Michele)

Leg 2 (2.25): 14 (Pulitzer) & 6 (Forever In Love)

Leg 3 (3.00): 1 (Manshood), 3 (Hyperfocus) & 4 (Russian Realm)

Leg 4 (3.35): 7 (Musharrif), 8 (Elysian Flyer) & 1 (Rasheeq)

Leg 5 (4.10): 3 (Calder Prince), 6 (Noble Peace) & 7 (My Amigo)

Leg 6 (4.45): 3 (Always Resolute), 2 (High On Light) & 1 (Intense Tango)

Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Friday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

1.50: AMAZING MICHELE has been the one for some money overnight given the (seemingly inevitable) withdrawal from what was a ‘dead eight’ event.  Alan Bailey is not particularly noted for his two-year-old winners, though with four of his last nine runners having won, the chance for FLEETING FREEDOM is also respected.  That said, CAVATINA ran well at the first time of asking at Kempton and any amount of usual progress (whatever that is in the juvenile sector) should enable the William Haggas raider to at least snare one of the two available Placepot positions.

Favourite factor: The first two races on the Haydock card are novice events, whereby no history to the contests is in place.

 

2.25: The 11/4 trade press about the chance of Sir Michael Stoute’s Dutch Art filly FOREVER IN LOVE looks fanciful with 15/8 likely to be nearer the returned starting price from my viewpoint.  The dual beaten favourite (from as many assignments thus far) will be expected to score here in the Cheveley Park colours and if the difference between the two prices mentioned in the open sentence don’t look too far removed from each other, the differential is roughly the same as a horse being back in from 9/1 to 9/2.  Hugo Palmer scored with both runners at the track yesterday and stable representative PULITZER appears to be a live threat to Richard Kingscote’s mount.

Favourite factor: The first two races on the Haydock card are novice events, whereby no history to the contests is in place.

 

3.00: Nine of the ten winners have carried 9-2 or more to victory thus far, whilst four-year-olds have claimed five of the last eight contests.  Vintage representatives have also secured 13 of the last 20 available toteplacepot positions whereby MANSHOOD (the only runner with ticks in both of the trend boxes) is the first name on the team sheet.  Paul Midgley was (unusually) not represented at Haydock yesterday but comes to the races with three chances today and MANSHOOD should reach the frame for ‘Potters’.  Definite threats lurk in the murky waters however, the pick of which should prove to be stable companion RUSSIAN REALM (especially if the ground softens up) and Hugo Palmer’s three-year-old raider HYPERFOCUS.

Favourite factor: Five of the twelve favourites have secured toteplacepot positions (three winners) though rogue gold medallists have reared their ugly (25/1-14/1-9/1) heads along the way.

Course winners in the third race:

1/2—Russian Realm (soft)

1/3—Englishman (soft)

1/3—Cosmic Chatter (good to firm)

 

3.35: All eight winners have carried a maximum weight of 9-3, whilst four and five-year-olds have (equally) shared the last four renewals. No four-year-old figures in the ‘superior’ weight sector this time, whilst the pair of the three relevant five-year-old raiders appear to be MUSHARRIF and ELYSIAN FLYER.  Rachel Richardson aids and abets the chance of the top weight RASHEEQ given that Tim Easterby’s four-year-old representative now (potentially) carries just 16 ounces over the weight barrier thanks to Rachel’s claim, the pilot continuing to represent great value for her three pound allowance.

Favourite factor: Four of the nine favourites (via eight renewals) have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two successful market leaders.

Course winners in the fourth contest on the card:

1/3—Major Pusey (good to firm)

1/1—Four Dragons (good)

 

4.10: Four and five-year-olds have (equally) shared the six renewals to date, with five of the six gold medallists have carried a minimum burden of 9-1.  Tom Dascombe snared a 22/1 double at the course yesterday whilst one of his other two runners on the card was only two lengths adrift of adding another 95 points to that return.  Tom has five chances to enhance his good record at Haydock this afternoon, the best of which could prove to be CALDER PRINCE with the ground seemingly coming right for the four-year-old Dark Angel gelding.  That said, Henry Candy also continues to send out regular winners just now, whereby NOBLE PEACE representative a definite threat.  Providing not too much more falls up the M6 corridor today, MY AMIGO could outrun his 8/1 quote (right across the board) if looking race fit in the parade ring following a five month break from the racecourse.

Favourite factor: Four of the five favourites have secured toteplacepot positions (including winners at 7/2, 7/2 & 2/1), though search parties are still out looking for the other 5/1 market leader.

Course winners in the fifth event:

2/5—Calder Prince (good & soft)

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4.45: Four-year-olds have won three of the last four renewals of the Placepot finale and HIGH ON LIGHT has the best chance of the quartet of relevant declarations this time around.  David Barron has retained the services of Rachel Richardson to negate the majority of the four pound hike in the weights and the bandwagon looks set to go close again on this grade/company.  Fellow course and distance winners INTENSE TANGO and ALWAYS RESOLUTE boast similar claims according to the gospel of yours truly and but for having been away yesterday, I think I would have latched on to Brian Ellison’s 11/2 winner on Thursday.  Brian saddles ALWAYS RESOLUTE here having gone on the (rare) missing list at Haydock yesterday when his only runner of the day scored under the NH code at Sedgefield.  I guess it’s worth noting that Brian’s only other runner on the card runs off bottom weight in this event, namely Nordic Combined.  A (minimum stake) saver might be worth considering on Josephine Gordon’s mount, especially as the only victory gained to date by the Haafhd gelding was recorded under soft conditions.

Favourite factor: Four of the six market leaders have finished in the frame, statistics which include two (7/2 & 3/1) winners.

Course winners in the Placepot finale:

2/5—Intense Tango (good & soft)

1/1—High On Light (good to soft)

2/4—Always Resolute (good & good to soft)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Haydock card on Friday, followed by their ratios at the track on Thursday + level stakes profits where applicable:

5 runners—Karl Burke (No runners at Haydock yesterday)

5—Tom Dascombe (2/4 + 18)

5—Richard Fahey (0/3)

3—David Barron (No runners)

3—Ruth Carr (No runners)

3—Tim Easterby (0/2)

3—Paul Midgley (No runners)

2—Robyn Brisland (No runners)

2—Brian Ellison (No runners)

2—James Fanshawe (No runners)

2—Roger Fell (0/2)

2—Charlie Fellowes (0/1)

2—William Haggas (No runners)

2—Michael Mullineaux (0/1)

2—Hugo Palmer (2/2 +6)

2—Derek Shaw (No runners)

+ 29 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

74 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Ascot: £250.40 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced

Musselburgh: £46.50 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced

Kempton: £26.20 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced

Newcastle: £3,712.50 – Only one (6/4*) in the frame (No winners)

 

 

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