LINGFIELD – APRIL 14
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £29.90 (6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced)
Friday's Placepot permutation at Lingfield:
Leg 1 (1.40): 14 (War Glory), 2 (Amazour) & 6 (Hildiday Magic)
Leg 2 (2.10): 14 (Natural Scenery), 13 (Winning Story) & 10 (Petite Jack)
Leg 3 (2.40): 1 (Ashadihan), 6 (Muffri’Ha) & 5 (Make Music)
Leg 4 (3.10): 8 (Pretend), 7 (Mythmaker) & 9 (Realize)
Leg 5 (3.40): 3 (Ennaadd) & 8 (Qurbaan)
Leg 6 (4.10): 5 (Second Thought) & 10 (Dubai One)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Good Friday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.40: Richard Hannon only has two runners on the Lingfield card which is something of a surprise, especially as the stable has been going well of late. WAR GLORY is the first of the two relevant runners and Hollie Doyle’s can make the frame in what could be classed as the toughest race on the Placepot card. AMAZOUR and HOLIDAY MAGIC will hopefully offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings. Money for the first named raider would add confidence whilst Mick Easterby (Holiday Magic) is enjoying as good start to the ‘new season’.
Favourite factor: This is a new race with which to open proceedings on Good Friday.
2.10: The two Godolphin representatives at the foot of the list (NATURAL SCENERY and WINNING STORY) will surely take some kicking out of the frame though as regular readers are aware, staying races on the level do not bring out the best in yours truly. Racehorses are fundamentally born for speed whereby when pace drops away, so do predictable results from my viewpoint. I will add PETITE JACK into the mix accordingly.
Favourite factor: The three favourites to date have secured two gold medals and one of the silver variety, the trio having claimed Placepot positions.
2.40: Four-year-olds have won all three contests to date whilst claiming six of the nine available Placepot positions from round 60% of the total number of runners who have contested the event thus far. ASHADIHAN is the clear pick of the sextet of relevant vintage raiders this time around, with MAKE MUSIC arguably ‘next best’. That said, five-year-old MUFFRI’HA could prove to be the joker in the pack, with Pat Cosgrave’s mount taking a steep drop in class here having contested a Group 1 event when snaring a bronze medal in Dubai last time out.
Favourite factor: Two of the four favourites have claimed Placepot positions without winning their respective events via three renewals. Detectives are still searching for last year’s 4/6 favourite which finished out with the washing.
3.10: I tend to shy away from making excuses for horses because following the game for well over fifty years now has taught me that ‘unlucky’ horses tend to get beaten again next time out, often a skinny prices. Fortunately however, one such horse should still be sent off at a working man’s price today, with PRETEND being the beast in question. Arguably beaten by running too freely two races back, five furlongs was possibly too sharp last time out but the excuses will stop there if the 4/1 chance (thereabouts) suffers defeat again today. A dual beaten favourite in those two Listed races, John Gosden’s representative boasts obvious claims in this Conditions event, despite the fact that a high draw makes life more difficult. As a four time winner at the track, REALIZE is given an each way shout, albeit an additional furlong would have been ideal but then again, the seven-year-old would have been a fraction of the price at that distance. MYTHMAKER completes my trio against the field.
Favourite factor: Mixed favourite returns to date via one winning market leader, one placed and the other finishing out of the frame.
3.40: There are some ‘hot trainers’ involved at Lingfield today and no mistake, with Roger Varian among their number have won with four of his last nine runners, the relevant quartet all having been returned as favourites. A similar scenario is potentially in place here with ENNAADD boasting obvious claims, possibly ahead of QURBAAN who is 5/5 on Polytrack surfaces thus far. NIMR and SALATEEN are offered up as potential each way plays for readers who are looking to oppose more logical winners.
Favourite factor: The three market leaders to date have secured two of the ‘lesser medals’ thus far as we still await the first successful favourite.
4.10: SECOND THOUGHT should take the beating in our final race, especially with William Haggas boasting a sensational 52.4% ratio in 2017 via thirteen winners! A winner of his last three races having finished second on debut on his only other assignment to date, SECOND THOUGHT should still be improving despite the step back in trip which dilutes enthusiasm a tad. Saeed Bin Suroor has saddled five of his last thirteen runners to winning effect whereby DUBAI ONE looks to be the obvious danger.
Favourite factor: The Placepot finale is another new race on the Lingfield programme.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Lingfield card on Good Friday:
6 runners—Andrew Balding
3—Saeed Bin Suror
+ 31 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
83 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Bath: £1,020.00 – 6 favourites: 3 winners & 3 unplaced
There was no meeting staged at Newcastle last year