Placepot pointers – Friday April 22

SANDOWN – APRIL 22

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £682.50 (6 favourites: 1 winner - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)

Friday's Placepot permutation at Sandown: 

Leg 1 (1.20): 6 (Von Blucher), 7 (Chief Whip) & 1 (Ebtihaal)

Leg 2 (1.50): 7 (Western Hymn) & 2 (Ayrad)

Leg 3 (2.20): 7 (Ventura Storm), 4 (Midterm) & 1 (Algometer)

Leg 4 (2.55): 4 (Belardo) & 2 (Adaay)

Leg 5 (3.30): 9 (Alizoom) & 1 (Riflescope)

Leg 6 (4.05): 3 (Atone), 10 (Southern Stars) & 11 (Taqdees)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

1.20: 'Team Hannon' have landed this prize twice in the last eleven years, the only represented stable to have won the contest on two occasions during the study period.  Richard saddles his unbeaten Giant's Causeway course winner CHIEF WHIP, albeit Ryan Moore's mount only has the one recorded assignment to date.  With rain on the radar, CHIEF WHIP will have to prove that he can handle soft conditions at best I'll wager, whereby VON BLUCHER and EBTIHAAL are added to the overnight mix.  The latter named soft ground winner represents Saeed Bin Suroor who won with three runners from just nine raiders at the track last year.  John Gosden leads the way with four winners at the corresponding meeting in recent years, whereby VON BLUCHER (the first of six representatives on the card) is the first name on the team sheet, especially with the stable in such great form.  For the record, John's ten winners at Sandown last year were gained via a 34% strike rate.

Favourite factor: Eight of the last eighteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include three winners.  Fourteen of the last eighteen winners were returned at 17/2 or less.

Sandown record of course winners in the opening event:

1/1--Chief Whip

1.50: Four and five-year-olds have won twelve of the last fourteen renewals of this Group 3 Gordon Richard Stakes with an even split having been recorded during the period, though five-year-olds were only conspicuous by their absence last year.  WESTERN HYMN attempts to retain his crown, potentially becoming the third consecutive vintage winner when represented.  John Gosden is looking for his third win in five years and with WESTERN HYMN untroubled by potential racing conditions, Frankie Dettori's mount looks one of the best bets on the card, especially given his 3/4 ratio at Sandown.  AYRAD and TULLIUS don't mind cut in the ground and they might give the selection most to do at the business end of proceedings.

Favourite factor: Three of the last eight favourites have obliged whilst the biggest priced winner during the last ten years was returned at just 5/1.  Only six of the sixteen favourites during the last thirteen years have secured toteplacepot positions.

Sandown record of course winners in the second race:

1/3--Master Carpenter

2/5--Tullius

3/4--Western Hymn

2.20: This Group 3 Classic Trial invariably produces an intriguing contest and this year's renewal is no exception. VENTURA STORM did us a favour at Newmarket ten days ago and there was plenty to like about the way the Zoffany colt went about his business when tackled on his seasonal debut.  The ground should not be an issue and I could envisage Richard Hannon's raider thwating late challenges from MIDTERM and ALGOMETER. Charlie Hills saddled the 4/6 beaten favourite twelve months ago and will be looking to make amends with HIGH GROUND on this occasion.   I have long since stated that Sandown is my favourite track in all of the land and this card is a perfect example of the reason why. 'Teasers' to unravel (rather than impossible handicaps) is my idea of horse racing heaven.

Favourite factor: Just three favourites have won via the last sixteen renewals, though bookmakers have not had things going all their own way.  Twelve gold medallists during the period were returned at prices ranging between 1/2 and 11/2.

2.55: Four-year-olds have won nine of the last sixteen contests and the recent Doncaster winner BELARDO is preferred to DUTCH CONNECTION on this occasion, though as much because of the state of the ground as anything else.  That said, Roger Varian (BELARDO and Barchan) secured a 35% strike rate via six winners at Sandown last year, with his runners very much listed in order or preference at the time of writing.  Others for the overnight mix include ADAAY and TOORMORE, though ground conditions might not be ideal for either to these two talented contenders to give of their best.

Favourite factor: Eight favourites have scored during the last sixteen years, whilst ten of the nineteen market leaders have secured win and place positions during the study period from an ‘exact science‘ perspective. Fifteen of the last eighteen gold medallists have scored at odds of 5/1 or less.

3.30: Ten of the thirteen winners to date have carried weights of 9-1 or less which brings my each way shout ALIZOOM into the mix, being another Roger Varian runner on the card with definite claims from my viewpoint. Beaten in four of his five races since his debut effort, ALIZOOM has 'only' been beaten by an aggregate of nine lengths during the period, whereby Roger's Invincible Spirit gelding can reward Placepot investors at the very least. RIFLESCOPE is another consistent performer though connections of Mark Johnston's course winner might want the rain to keep clear of the Esher area leading up to flag fall.  Similar comments also apply to LADY MACAPA.  The jury remains 'out' relating to SIGN OF THE ZODIAC who has shown much better from away from turf thus far, despite showing plenty of ability.

Favourite factor: Nine of the fifteen market leaders reached the frame during the study period, statistics which include seven winners.

Sandown record of course winners in the fifth contest on the card:

1/1--Riflescope

4.05: Sir Michael Stoute played the villain when stopping Sir Henry Cecil securing a hat trick in this contest a few years back, with Michael saddling his Oasis Dream newcomer ATONE this time around.  John Gosden has also claimed the prize in recent times and comes to the gig double handed on this occasion, having offered the green light to both SOUTHERN STARS and TAQDEES.  John's pair have already gained racecourse experience which should stand them in good stead, whilst IONA ISLAND and Roger Varian's Oaks entry AJMAN PRINCESS are others to take into account.

This is another truly wonderful (Friday) card before Messers Nicholls & Mullins take to the stage on Saturday.

Favourite factor: Seven of the twelve market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions in the final leg of our favourite wager, statistics which include four successful market leaders.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Sandown card on Friday:

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6--John Gosden (10/29 at Sandown this season)

6--Richard Hannon (6/64

5--David Simcock (0/3)

4--William Haggas (5/12)

4--Mark Johnston (5/22)

4--Sir Michael Stoute (7/33)

4--Roger Varian (6/17)

3--Mick Channon (2/11)

3--Charlie Hills (0/14)

2--Peter Chapple-Hyam (0/2)

2--Clive Cox (0/18)

2--William Knight (0/9)

2--Rod Millman (0/11)

2--William Muir (4/11)

2--Saeed Bin Suroor (3/9)

+ 22 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

73 declared runners

 

General overview:

Placepot dividends from last year's corresponding meetings:

Chepstow: £294.00 (7 favourites - 4 winners - 1 placed - 2 unplaced)

Doncaster: £465.20 (5 favourites - 1 winner - 1 placed - 3 unplaced - 1 non runner)

Kevin Ryan landed an 84/1 double last year - 1 runner on Friday (Dutch Mist - 3.55)

Perth: £91.20 (7 favourites - 3 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)

Nigel Twiston-Davies secured a 392/1 treble on last years' card - 2 runners on the card

Plumpton: £245.20 (6 favouries - 2 winners & 4 unplaced)

 

Sandown overview:

Last year's {Placepot dividend: £682.50 (6 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)

John Gosden landed a 27/1 treble on the card last year - John's six runners at the track on on Friday:

Von Blucher (1.20) - Western Hymn (1.50) - Southern Stars & Taqdees (4.05) - Eyeshine & Taqaareed (4.35)

 

 

 

 

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